WEBVTT - Benny vs The Penny, Round 3 0:00:02.279 --> 0:00:05.520 If you thought four hours a day, hundred minutes a 0:00:05.519 --> 0:00:09.200 week was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants 0:00:09.200 --> 0:00:12.480 of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 0:00:12.600 --> 0:00:15.520 treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the 0:00:15.640 --> 0:00:19.640 rich pill poppers in the penthouse, the clearing House of 0:00:19.680 --> 0:00:23.439 hot takes, break free for something special. The Fifth Hour 0:00:23.600 --> 0:00:32.720 with Ben Maller starts right now. Welcome players, You're welcome? 0:00:32.840 --> 0:00:39.200 Are you from Mallar? Mayhap it's time now Benny versus 0:00:39.240 --> 0:00:44.280 the Penny? That it is a week three of Benny 0:00:44.360 --> 0:00:46.040 Versus the Penny? Can believe it's already been three weeks 0:00:46.080 --> 0:00:49.760 of this nonsense. We had an absolutely amazing beginning to 0:00:50.479 --> 0:00:54.360 Benny Versus the Penny of the podcast version. It was authentic, 0:00:54.880 --> 0:01:00.360 It was amazing. The picks we delivered were complete. One. 0:01:00.440 --> 0:01:02.800 It was a colossal success. And then we came back 0:01:02.880 --> 0:01:05.960 and we were like a defensive back doing a moonwalk 0:01:06.080 --> 0:01:09.120 drill as we we went backwards last week. But I 0:01:09.600 --> 0:01:14.800 have the penny is Gascon? David Gascon? Who is there? Gascon? 0:01:14.959 --> 0:01:18.400 So before we look ahead, we must look back. How 0:01:18.600 --> 0:01:22.520 bad was Weak two? It was the Hindenburg, It was 0:01:22.600 --> 0:01:25.200 the Titanic. It was all of that I had. You 0:01:25.240 --> 0:01:28.120 had six and ten it was bad. So it was 0:01:28.160 --> 0:01:31.479 four games, which means I am still six games above 0:01:31.560 --> 0:01:34.240 five D on the year. Yes, I mean, I think 0:01:34.280 --> 0:01:37.720 full disclosure. You should apologize for your week to performance 0:01:37.880 --> 0:01:40.440 and valid it. You'll be better in week number three. Well, 0:01:40.480 --> 0:01:42.640 I know you're uneducated on gambling, but then let me 0:01:42.640 --> 0:01:44.720 tell you the life of a gambler. Okay, all right, 0:01:45.040 --> 0:01:49.560 there are what's called peaks and valleys when you're a game. Well, 0:01:50.240 --> 0:01:53.320 peaks and valleys. I will tell you this much. Since 0:01:53.400 --> 0:01:55.760 you don't have the corporate experience that I have being 0:01:55.760 --> 0:01:58.320 in sales, you're only as good as your last sale, 0:01:59.040 --> 0:02:02.240 and so your last ransaction was was done. So let's go. 0:02:02.360 --> 0:02:04.560 Let's do round number three. Week number three, let's kick 0:02:04.600 --> 0:02:06.560 some maths this week. I know you don't often reach 0:02:06.640 --> 0:02:09.040 the summit like I do with these picks every once 0:02:09.080 --> 0:02:11.320 in a while, but it's very easy for you who 0:02:11.360 --> 0:02:15.560 don't give anything. Well, I'm gonna take out the trivia 0:02:15.560 --> 0:02:17.760 because we have to press on here. We don't so 0:02:17.840 --> 0:02:19.720 know trivia this week. Maybe I'll bring it back next week. 0:02:20.040 --> 0:02:23.280 Denver oh and two at Green Bay two and oh 0:02:23.320 --> 0:02:26.359 it's on Fox. Chris Myers and Darryl Moose Johnson Packers 0:02:26.400 --> 0:02:28.640 opened up a six and a half point favorite. They 0:02:28.680 --> 0:02:31.000 are currently favorite by seven and a half. The pick 0:02:31.080 --> 0:02:32.880 is in, I'm gonna take the Broncos in this game. 0:02:32.919 --> 0:02:34.480 I actually like the Broncos. This is one of my 0:02:34.520 --> 0:02:37.760 stronger picks, which is means the Broncos should be very scared. 0:02:37.800 --> 0:02:40.720 But Joe Flacco has been as advertised, he's a marginal 0:02:40.880 --> 0:02:44.519 NFL quarterback. The reason I have confidence in in Denver 0:02:44.720 --> 0:02:46.799 is I believe this is the week that the defense 0:02:47.360 --> 0:02:50.240 is gonna perform. Aaron Rodgers has been off so far, 0:02:50.240 --> 0:02:52.320 even a green bas won both games, but you know 0:02:52.360 --> 0:02:54.840 he's really been off. His Vaughan Miller and Bradley Chubb, 0:02:54.880 --> 0:02:57.160 they have yet to get started. We're two weeks in 0:02:57.800 --> 0:03:02.959 and these two dynamic uh supernova's of defense have combined 0:03:03.040 --> 0:03:05.880 with a defensive coach, Vic Fangio to have zero sacks 0:03:06.000 --> 0:03:09.400 and only two quarterback hits between them against the Raiders 0:03:09.400 --> 0:03:12.680 and Bears. That's unacceptable. I expect a coming out party 0:03:13.120 --> 0:03:16.480 at Lambo for Von Miller and Bradley Chubb this weekend. 0:03:16.520 --> 0:03:19.920 And the second thing here, I'm not completely behind the Packers. Now, 0:03:19.960 --> 0:03:22.679 I will admit the two wins were the most meaningful 0:03:22.720 --> 0:03:24.520 of all the two and oh teams because they're against 0:03:24.520 --> 0:03:28.079 two divisional opponents, two teams that will be in the 0:03:28.240 --> 0:03:30.920 race for the playoffs, the Vikings and the Bears. So 0:03:31.000 --> 0:03:33.640 that's that's a that's a good schedule to win with. 0:03:33.760 --> 0:03:37.080 But nevertheless, the Packers have flaws like every other team 0:03:37.120 --> 0:03:39.360 that this game should be tight. Green Bay's defense is 0:03:39.400 --> 0:03:41.360 off to a great start. We'll see how that continues here. 0:03:41.360 --> 0:03:44.560 But Aaron Rodgers is averaging just six point four yards 0:03:44.560 --> 0:03:48.400 per attempt. He's actually been worse than Joe Flacco, Josh Allen, 0:03:48.520 --> 0:03:52.160 Andy Dalton. This is a sneaky good spot for Denver 0:03:52.360 --> 0:03:54.720 from the gambling if you look at all the criteria here, 0:03:55.080 --> 0:03:57.120 they're they're gonna be desperate trying to avoid now and 0:03:57.200 --> 0:04:00.200 three start. Also, the Packers have a short we I 0:04:00.240 --> 0:04:03.880 believe they play I think it's Philadelphia the next Thursday game. Uh, 0:04:04.040 --> 0:04:07.480 they play next Thursday night. So from a motivational standpoint, 0:04:07.520 --> 0:04:10.000 you look at all the things that would indicate which 0:04:10.040 --> 0:04:14.120 sides the value the Vegas edge, the public betting the 0:04:14.160 --> 0:04:17.360 Packers even as a big favorite there, Uh, It's all 0:04:17.360 --> 0:04:20.760 about Parker the snow Dog. I'm taking the Broncos in 0:04:20.800 --> 0:04:23.800 the upset. They'll win the game outright twenty twenty over 0:04:23.839 --> 0:04:28.479 the Packers and the Penny picks. Penny likes the Green 0:04:28.520 --> 0:04:32.080 Bay Packers. It's on because you like the dever Broncos Gascons. 0:04:34.000 --> 0:04:36.359 Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller 0:04:36.440 --> 0:04:39.960 Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific on 0:04:40.040 --> 0:04:43.880 Fox Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio app Alright, 0:04:44.120 --> 0:04:48.599 Detroit one oh and one at Philadelphia one and one, 0:04:48.640 --> 0:04:52.040 It's on Fox. You better watch Tom Brenham and Chris Spielman. 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:55.200 The Eagles opened up a seven point favorite. The line 0:04:55.240 --> 0:04:57.920 I have here is at seven at this moment here 0:04:57.920 --> 0:05:01.520 as we're doing the podcast recording the podcast, I've got 0:05:01.520 --> 0:05:03.760 the Lions. This is another one of my stronger picks 0:05:03.760 --> 0:05:05.679 this week. I like the Lions a lot. The Eagles 0:05:05.680 --> 0:05:08.680 have yet to look all that impressive. They played like 0:05:08.800 --> 0:05:12.520 they had concrete cleats on the first game against the Redskins. 0:05:12.560 --> 0:05:14.520 They were able to pull out a flute comeback, big, 0:05:14.560 --> 0:05:17.479 big second half there Uh, they didn't cover the number 0:05:17.520 --> 0:05:19.640 because of a backdoor touchdown by the red Skins but 0:05:19.839 --> 0:05:22.480 and then they blow a game, a close game against 0:05:22.480 --> 0:05:27.520 a suspect Falcons team and Carson wins. Not exactly like 0:05:27.560 --> 0:05:29.760 in the World on Fire is twenty three yards per 0:05:29.760 --> 0:05:33.960 attempt in the NFL with no big guns. The the Eagles, 0:05:34.360 --> 0:05:37.960 it's of the fifty three man roster is either out 0:05:38.000 --> 0:05:41.440 of this game or injured. Eleven of the fifty three 0:05:41.440 --> 0:05:44.400 man roster is on the injury report in Philadelphia. And 0:05:44.400 --> 0:05:47.400 then secondly, uh, you on the other side of the Lions, 0:05:47.400 --> 0:05:48.760 you can play the ifs and butts game, which I 0:05:48.800 --> 0:05:50.920 love to play. Only Matt Patricia and the Lions had 0:05:50.960 --> 0:05:54.760 avoided the time out fiasco in Arizona in the fourth quarter. 0:05:54.800 --> 0:05:57.640 They win that game there two and oh. But ifs 0:05:57.640 --> 0:05:59.520 and butts were candy and nuts, the Lions would be 0:05:59.520 --> 0:06:01.599 winning every week and they're not. We know that. That's 0:06:01.640 --> 0:06:04.600 it to me the Lions. I have them in the 0:06:04.680 --> 0:06:07.919 underrated category. You're mostly based on their win against the 0:06:07.960 --> 0:06:10.640 Chargers last week. That's a signature win for them. A 0:06:10.760 --> 0:06:13.160 defense is played really good. They appear to have a 0:06:13.200 --> 0:06:16.920 solid secondary, and I expect this game to be closed. 0:06:16.920 --> 0:06:20.640 Philadelphia is shorthanded, but the Lions are the healthier team. 0:06:20.720 --> 0:06:23.560 The Eagles have problems in their secondary, so you figure 0:06:23.560 --> 0:06:26.920 Matthew Stafford should be able to exploit that. Here. The Eagles, 0:06:26.920 --> 0:06:30.320 as I said, shorthanded, they could be down multiple starters 0:06:30.360 --> 0:06:34.039 at several positions on the both sides of the ball. 0:06:34.520 --> 0:06:38.240 We know they're not gonna have the spark plug DeShawn Jackson. 0:06:38.360 --> 0:06:41.800 He ain't gonna play. And also, Philadelphia, they do play 0:06:41.839 --> 0:06:44.400 the Packers next Thursday night, so it's a short week. 0:06:44.440 --> 0:06:46.440 You start peeking ahead there, You're like, oh crap, we 0:06:46.440 --> 0:06:48.200 don't get any time off this week. We've gotta come 0:06:48.240 --> 0:06:50.640 right and play on Thursday. So I'm gonna take the 0:06:50.680 --> 0:06:54.320 Lions twenty seven Eagles twenty six Detroit in the upset. 0:06:57.400 --> 0:07:01.040 Impending going with the Philadelphia Eagles, all right. Next up 0:07:01.040 --> 0:07:03.240 we go to Baltimore's Penny versus the Penny. Baltimore to 0:07:03.440 --> 0:07:06.960 know at Kansas City. No, it's on the city. As 0:07:07.760 --> 0:07:10.720 I an Eagle and Dan Fouts have the call. The 0:07:10.800 --> 0:07:13.440 Chiefs opened up a six point favorite. This line is 0:07:13.480 --> 0:07:15.920 at six and a half and the pick is in. 0:07:15.960 --> 0:07:18.320 I'm gonna take the Chiefs here. I I don't believe 0:07:19.160 --> 0:07:22.360 the Ravens are the real McCoy. I still have I 0:07:22.800 --> 0:07:25.400 still have them in the mirage category. They beat the 0:07:25.440 --> 0:07:29.200 Dolphins and Cardinals. Okay, these teams will be lucky if 0:07:29.200 --> 0:07:32.080 they combine when three games this year, three or four games. 0:07:32.120 --> 0:07:35.440 So they did what they were supposed to do against 0:07:35.520 --> 0:07:37.720 the lightweights. Kansas City is a heavyweight now. They don't 0:07:37.720 --> 0:07:39.600 have a good defense in Kansas City. We know that, 0:07:40.280 --> 0:07:43.600 but it's it's never easy in boxing to go up, 0:07:43.600 --> 0:07:45.640 in boxing parlance, to go up a weight class like, 0:07:46.000 --> 0:07:48.880 it's very difficult to do that. Keep an eye on 0:07:48.920 --> 0:07:51.480 the weak link in Baltimore, which right now appears to 0:07:51.520 --> 0:07:54.760 be the past defense. You know you're not doing great 0:07:54.800 --> 0:07:58.520 when Alligator Arms Murray throws for almost three d fifty yards, 0:07:58.640 --> 0:08:00.880 that's all that seems to be a vulnerable spot. You 0:08:00.920 --> 0:08:03.520 don't have to be Jay Glazer Adam Schefter to know 0:08:03.640 --> 0:08:06.080 that this does not bo well for the Ravens who 0:08:06.120 --> 0:08:09.680 go against Patty Patty Mahomes who sports. I think he's 0:08:09.720 --> 0:08:11.200 four hrd yards a game or something like that the 0:08:11.240 --> 0:08:14.080 first couple of weeks and he's he's like sixty yards 0:08:14.080 --> 0:08:17.600 better than everyone else. And another thing about Lamar Jackson secondly, uh, 0:08:17.640 --> 0:08:20.720 you know he he trade, He will trade punches with 0:08:20.760 --> 0:08:24.120 Mahomes for a while. I don't doubt that, but he 0:08:24.280 --> 0:08:26.720 is due for a regression. Does it happen this week 0:08:26.720 --> 0:08:31.240 against the butter soft Kansas City defense. Uh, we'll find 0:08:31.240 --> 0:08:33.640 out about that, but we we know it's gonna be 0:08:33.679 --> 0:08:37.200 a madhouse at Arrowhead this week and the Ravens will 0:08:37.440 --> 0:08:40.280 be in a food comma from all that delicious barbecue, 0:08:40.320 --> 0:08:43.120 the Ben Mallar chicken fingers, which is available in Kansas 0:08:43.160 --> 0:08:46.400 City as well in that area. Um So, I actually 0:08:46.440 --> 0:08:48.280 did go back and forth on this. I wasn't all 0:08:48.360 --> 0:08:50.400 in on the Chiefs because I don't like laying points. 0:08:50.400 --> 0:08:53.400 I don't like taking the chalk. But the public seems 0:08:53.440 --> 0:08:55.319 to like the Ravens in this game. They're buying in 0:08:55.360 --> 0:09:00.760 the Ravens. I'm not Kansas City thirty four Baltimore twenty three, 0:09:00.840 --> 0:09:05.600 year five compending like some casey as well go with 0:09:05.640 --> 0:09:08.120 the Chiefs. Be sure to catch live editions of The 0:09:08.160 --> 0:09:11.000 Ben Maller Show week days at two am Eastern eleven 0:09:11.040 --> 0:09:14.360 pm Pacific alright, next up Cincinnati, oh and two at 0:09:14.480 --> 0:09:17.920 Buffalo two and oh it's on CBS. This is not 0:09:17.960 --> 0:09:19.800 one of the better games for CBS. They have Tom 0:09:19.880 --> 0:09:23.240 McCarthy and j Feely. I feel like Jay Feely is 0:09:23.280 --> 0:09:26.160 the Dick Stockton of the CBS. You know, when Feely 0:09:26.280 --> 0:09:28.600 is doing a game, it's not a game. It's gonna 0:09:28.600 --> 0:09:32.040 get a lot of of attention. Anyway, the Bills opened 0:09:32.240 --> 0:09:34.559 a four point fIF There are six point favorite. Buffalo 0:09:34.640 --> 0:09:36.280 is a six point favorite. The number I have in 0:09:36.320 --> 0:09:38.320 front of me, I'm gonna go the other one. I'm 0:09:38.320 --> 0:09:40.720 gonna take the Bengals here. And I actually like the Bengals, 0:09:40.720 --> 0:09:42.800 which should scare the crap out of people. I don't 0:09:42.840 --> 0:09:45.000 love them as much as the other two five star 0:09:45.040 --> 0:09:48.080 picks I gave out, But I like Cincinnati in this spot. 0:09:48.280 --> 0:09:50.839 And I'll tell you why. This game. I think it's 0:09:50.840 --> 0:09:53.200 gonna be a mistake filled mess. Andy Dalton and Josh 0:09:53.240 --> 0:09:57.360 Allen are turnover prone quarterbacks. And while I love the 0:09:57.400 --> 0:09:59.920 Bills defense, I've been a big advocate of the Bills mafia, 0:10:00.160 --> 0:10:01.600 you know, for their for their defense and all that. 0:10:01.640 --> 0:10:04.840 I expect a much better effort from Cincinnati. And there's 0:10:04.840 --> 0:10:07.160 a theory in gambling, in sports wagering, which I have. 0:10:07.400 --> 0:10:09.320 It's one of the things I look at when I 0:10:09.360 --> 0:10:12.520 when I'm handicapping game. It's the zig zag theory. Right, 0:10:12.520 --> 0:10:14.079 it's not just swinging in the dark. You look for 0:10:14.120 --> 0:10:17.880 certain certain trans clertain theories that have have still held 0:10:17.920 --> 0:10:20.440 the test of time. Uh And and the zig zag 0:10:20.440 --> 0:10:22.520 theory is one which means if a team plays really 0:10:22.520 --> 0:10:26.319 poorly one week, generally they come back and play better. 0:10:26.520 --> 0:10:28.880 And and you look at a Cincinnative played a great 0:10:28.920 --> 0:10:31.880 game in Seattle, they lost, came back at home, they 0:10:31.880 --> 0:10:34.800 were no show. They were tardy against the forty niners 0:10:34.800 --> 0:10:37.079 in that game, and so now you expect the zig 0:10:37.160 --> 0:10:39.760 zag thing to kick in. They were embarrassed. Everyone's trashing 0:10:39.760 --> 0:10:42.360 the Bengals, saying, wow, Bengals aren't that good. They're own 0:10:42.400 --> 0:10:45.040 two and they deserve it was a fluke. They played 0:10:45.080 --> 0:10:47.600 well in Seattle. This is an opportunity at some redemption 0:10:47.640 --> 0:10:50.320 and get some some good will back if assuming they 0:10:50.400 --> 0:10:53.440 still have the fighting spirit here and then be there's 0:10:53.480 --> 0:10:55.920 there's a lot of money on the bills and they're 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:58.760 breaking tables there at the sports books. And but this 0:10:58.800 --> 0:11:00.720 is again a good spot for some Sinnati because of 0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:04.079 the bounce back redemption situation. Trying to you try to 0:11:04.120 --> 0:11:06.240 look for these advantages and you're gonna have to ride 0:11:06.280 --> 0:11:11.439 Joe Mixon, Stonewall Jackson type of defense against that Bills 0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:14.480 where down that Bills defense. But also Buffalo has got 0:11:14.480 --> 0:11:16.600 a key game for them next week. You look ahead 0:11:16.640 --> 0:11:19.239 that the peek a boo and it's just a peekaboo 0:11:19.280 --> 0:11:22.480 trap because the Bills play the Patriots, and that's a 0:11:22.520 --> 0:11:25.480 game where if Buffalo were to beat the Patriots next week, 0:11:25.559 --> 0:11:28.120 that would be a jaw dropping thing that could change 0:11:28.160 --> 0:11:31.360 their entire franchise for this year. So do they start 0:11:31.400 --> 0:11:34.160 peeking ahead to Tom braiding the Patriots. Either way, the 0:11:34.160 --> 0:11:36.200 Bills will win the game. But that's too many points. 0:11:36.280 --> 0:11:39.840 These teams aren't that that far apart. Bills twenty three, 0:11:39.840 --> 0:11:43.880 Bengals twenty So you're throwing there's a cough button. Guess 0:11:43.880 --> 0:11:47.920 guy Penny Legs pay legs the Bills go with the 0:11:47.960 --> 0:11:51.520 Bills six. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk 0:11:51.600 --> 0:11:54.280 lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at 0:11:54.320 --> 0:11:57.680 Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart 0:11:57.760 --> 0:12:01.199 Radio app search f s R, Too List and Live Alright, 0:12:01.440 --> 0:12:05.520 Benny Versus The Penny Atlanta one and one at Indianapolis. 0:12:05.520 --> 0:12:09.719 One and one is on CBS with Andrew Catalan and 0:12:09.840 --> 0:12:12.880 James Loft In the Colts open to two point favorite, 0:12:12.880 --> 0:12:15.560 their favorite by one and a half. The pick is 0:12:15.600 --> 0:12:18.360 in and I am gonna take Indie in this game. 0:12:18.360 --> 0:12:21.760 I'm gonna take Indie here. Uh. The logic behind it, 0:12:21.840 --> 0:12:24.880 my hypothesis on this game. But we have Jacobe Brissette 0:12:25.440 --> 0:12:29.640 who has been surprisingly effective, not great, but effective. He's 0:12:29.679 --> 0:12:32.959 the ninth ranked quarterback in the NFL. He's ahead of 0:12:33.000 --> 0:12:35.960 Aaron Rodgers, doesn't play well, and several other big name quarterbacks. 0:12:36.720 --> 0:12:41.559 The reason I say it's a it's somewhat good. He's 0:12:41.600 --> 0:12:44.079 not completely been great. It's because the passing yards are 0:12:44.160 --> 0:12:46.920 not solid. He has made some big throws in key 0:12:46.960 --> 0:12:50.160 spots for Indianapolis. But the Colts. The reason I like 0:12:50.240 --> 0:12:55.040 Indianapolis here is the mac attack of Marlon Mack as 0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:58.240 the security blanket here. He's been able to run over defense. 0:12:58.280 --> 0:13:00.280 Is at a big game against the Chargers. He can 0:13:00.360 --> 0:13:02.880 run over defenders. He can run with some agility there. 0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:06.760 And remember where the Vikings did to Atlanta in Week one. Uh, 0:13:06.800 --> 0:13:10.320 And I see a Dalvin Cook two point oh in 0:13:10.360 --> 0:13:14.040 the form of Marlon Mack this week. And plus Atlanta 0:13:14.080 --> 0:13:16.079 is coming off a big win for them prime time 0:13:16.080 --> 0:13:19.480 game with Michaels and Colin's worth their Sunday night football 0:13:20.120 --> 0:13:23.360 and this is just a regular, typical one o'clock start 0:13:24.040 --> 0:13:28.120 Eastern Standard time there for the Falcons. And the public 0:13:28.160 --> 0:13:30.559 seems to be all smitten with Atlanta because of that 0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:34.440 win against Philadelphia, and it's always good to bet against 0:13:34.520 --> 0:13:37.800 the public. And the formula over the Matt Ryan years 0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:41.559 in Atlanta has been that you bet on the Falcons 0:13:41.559 --> 0:13:45.559 at home in the Dome and against them on the road. 0:13:46.160 --> 0:13:48.040 Uh that. And then they've also had problems against a 0:13:48.120 --> 0:13:50.559 f C opponents. I've seen that over the last few 0:13:50.679 --> 0:13:53.600 years here. I think they're owing eleven against the spread 0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:55.880 their last eleven games and against the nf A f C. 0:13:56.600 --> 0:13:58.760 Uh if that means anything. If you're a trend player, 0:13:58.960 --> 0:14:02.600 I'm gonna take the Colts. Colts thirty, Falcons twenty three. 0:14:05.520 --> 0:14:07.680 Penny likes the home team is well going with Indie. 0:14:08.640 --> 0:14:10.120 I like that you're letting me be the star of 0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:13.079 this podcast, guest, and you're not commandeering the podcast. You're 0:14:13.080 --> 0:14:16.280 not trying to take possession of it and bogart the podcast, 0:14:16.320 --> 0:14:18.200 which I like. I will try to be like your 0:14:18.240 --> 0:14:22.840 Wedday night and be quick. Wow. Alright, Oakland and my 0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:26.840 wife doesn't listen to this podcast. Oakland at Minnesota, both 0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:31.000 teams one and one. It is on Fox. You better watch. 0:14:31.120 --> 0:14:34.280 Dick Stockton and Mark schlay Writh have the call. So 0:14:34.320 --> 0:14:36.200 this is the game that they think it's gonna be 0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:39.720 very good. Actually, Stockton's had some good games. He didn't 0:14:39.720 --> 0:14:42.360 he have the Broncos game last week, Stockton in the 0:14:42.400 --> 0:14:44.920 Arizona game against the Lions, so he's he's actually two 0:14:44.960 --> 0:14:47.240 for two. All my cheap shot, my good two is 0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:49.520 cheap shots at Dick Stockton. I love the guy, but 0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:52.240 he seems like he's always doing the worst matchup. Anyway, 0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:56.080 this game, Vikings opened a seven point favorite. They are 0:14:56.080 --> 0:15:00.880 currently an eight point favorite, and that's two much. I 0:15:00.920 --> 0:15:03.880 am gonna take the Raiders here. I don't love this play, 0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:05.080 but if I had to pick a side, I'm and 0:15:05.160 --> 0:15:08.160 take the Raiders. The Raiders played biblically bad in the 0:15:08.160 --> 0:15:11.400 second quarter against the Chiefs and that was enough to 0:15:11.400 --> 0:15:14.680 to drown their that game. They give twenty eight points. 0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:17.520 Mahomes had like two seventy passing yards in the second quarter. 0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:21.360 They were gobsmacked by Patty Mahomes for fifteen minutes, but 0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:23.760 the rest of the game. They actually we're okay, Uh, 0:15:24.040 --> 0:15:26.960 you know you're picking your spots here. But the main 0:15:27.000 --> 0:15:30.880 reason to bet against the Vikings is Kirk Cousins. Until 0:15:31.000 --> 0:15:33.760 this guy gets a kick in the ass and comes 0:15:33.800 --> 0:15:36.520 around and plays better football, it's very difficult to win 0:15:36.560 --> 0:15:38.320 a game by over a touchdown with that kind of 0:15:38.360 --> 0:15:41.080 passing offense, which is ranked thirty feet in the NFL 0:15:41.440 --> 0:15:45.680 tied with the Dolphins. The Vikings are tied with their Dolphins. 0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:47.400 Not a lot of that is because of Game one 0:15:47.440 --> 0:15:50.160 where they just didn't throw the ball, but still embarrassing. Uh, 0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:52.760 They've got the Bears next week. Also, the Vikings. You 0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:54.920 look at the schedule, you look for an advantage. You say, 0:15:54.960 --> 0:15:58.440 Minnesota's a key divisional game for them, Vikings and Bears 0:15:58.480 --> 0:16:00.800 next week. So you're like, hey, this they must win. 0:16:01.320 --> 0:16:06.760 A loss to Oakland would be catastrophic for Minnesota. Now 0:16:06.800 --> 0:16:08.600 that doesn't mean they can't lose, but you said, well, 0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:12.480 it's it must win situation. But again, the Peekaboo, the 0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:15.840 Peekaboo factory. Not Secondly, I have been drinking the purple 0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:18.160 cool aid with the Minnesota defense, and I believe that 0:16:18.200 --> 0:16:20.680 to be legit. Uh. Aaron Rodgers got off to a 0:16:20.680 --> 0:16:23.200 good start last week, and then the rest of the 0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:25.840 of the bulk of the game, they're the Vikings, the 0:16:25.840 --> 0:16:29.040 purple people. Eaters just shut down the Packers offense. It 0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:34.520 was punt turnover on downs, just regular turnover. Uh So 0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:36.960 I love that the defense, But I'm just so pessimistic 0:16:37.000 --> 0:16:39.600 about Kirk Cousins. I think we used this stat on 0:16:39.640 --> 0:16:41.560 the radio show this week. I don't remember. I think 0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:45.360 I I planned on using it. Kirk Cousins has thrown 0:16:45.440 --> 0:16:48.440 twenty seven percent of his passes that have been uncatchable. 0:16:48.880 --> 0:16:51.520 That is tied for the second worst mark in the 0:16:51.720 --> 0:16:55.200 entire NFL. And other words, it's gonna be Mike Zimmers 0:16:55.280 --> 0:16:58.760 team that has to ride the defense. Obviously, Dalvin Cook here, 0:16:58.960 --> 0:17:00.680 and what's the point. And it got some good receivers 0:17:00.680 --> 0:17:02.320 in Minnesota, But what's the point. You can't throw the 0:17:02.320 --> 0:17:05.040 ball to theeling if he can't catch it. But the 0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:07.119 Vikings will win this game, but it's too many points. 0:17:07.359 --> 0:17:14.119 So I'm gonna take the Vikings. Nineteen Raiders thirteen. Penny 0:17:14.119 --> 0:17:17.679 believes in the Vikings going Minnesota. All right, Next up, 0:17:17.680 --> 0:17:20.320 we got the big underdog games. Will stack these back 0:17:20.359 --> 0:17:24.280 to back and double digit underdogs. Just the perfect bet 0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:26.639 for many games. I've been a big underdog guy. This 0:17:26.680 --> 0:17:29.920 is gonna test my limits here because we have the Jets, 0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:32.840 j E t s Suck Suck, Suck, oh and one 0:17:32.960 --> 0:17:35.720 at the Giant at the knowing the Patriots rather two 0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:39.040 and all the CBS game, Kevin Harland, we love him, 0:17:39.119 --> 0:17:42.560 and Gannon Rich Gannon have the call Patriots. This game 0:17:42.640 --> 0:17:46.360 opened up. Originally, the original line was like a pick them, uh, 0:17:46.400 --> 0:17:49.240 and then Donald got motto and all these the Patriots 0:17:49.280 --> 0:17:50.920 got off the great start, and so now the Patriots 0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:53.640 are a twenty two and a half point favorite. It's 0:17:53.640 --> 0:17:56.640 as high as twenty three twenty three and a half 0:17:56.720 --> 0:18:00.320 in some spots. Uh. And I am gonna take the 0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:02.159 Jets in this game. I'm gonna take the Jets, and 0:18:02.200 --> 0:18:04.880 I know every indicator says, uh, Pagrits gonna Page's gonna 0:18:04.880 --> 0:18:07.040 win the game. It's a question if can they Can 0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:09.760 they win the game in blowout fashion? That would be 0:18:09.760 --> 0:18:13.840 their third straight blowout win. Blew out the Steelers, blew 0:18:13.880 --> 0:18:16.720 out the Dolphins. Can they do it again? Can they 0:18:16.760 --> 0:18:19.280 stack three? And ron Jets played the money night game. 0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:21.320 I understand why people are betting on the Patriots. Even 0:18:21.359 --> 0:18:23.399 with that big line, they didn't play very well against 0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:26.800 the Browns. It's like a cartoon anvil was dropped on 0:18:26.840 --> 0:18:29.160 their head. There's several guys that are as we're doing 0:18:29.200 --> 0:18:31.520 the podcast, could still be out for the Jets in 0:18:31.560 --> 0:18:34.840 the short week and they're starting a third stringer, Luke 0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:38.000 Falk first start. Guys been released by two different NFL 0:18:38.080 --> 0:18:41.440 teams already. He looked okay, although the numbers were miss 0:18:41.520 --> 0:18:44.160 leading at some zombie stats. If you watch the Money 0:18:44.280 --> 0:18:47.920 Night game, you know there's between the forties where he 0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:50.240 fattened up some of his passing numbers and he completed 0:18:50.240 --> 0:18:52.600 a high percentage, but they were dump off short passes, 0:18:52.680 --> 0:18:56.280 thinking Dad Dunk type passes. I was not impressed because 0:18:56.440 --> 0:18:59.640 I like numbers that lead the points. They didn't lead 0:18:59.680 --> 0:19:02.760 the point. The Jets had a stinking field goal, uh 0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:06.240 in sixty minutes, and historically rookie quarterbacks against the Patriots 0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:10.000 with Belichick, it is just, Uh, it's like a paradha 0:19:10.240 --> 0:19:14.119 blood in the water. Uh. It's it's terrible. Uh. The 0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:17.560 other thing, the Patriots defense, which has wrecked, having on 0:19:17.680 --> 0:19:19.399 their first a couple of points, that's the meat and 0:19:19.440 --> 0:19:22.600 potatoes here, and they're wonderful and great. The offense doesn't 0:19:22.600 --> 0:19:24.600 have to carry the load. They can mix and max 0:19:24.680 --> 0:19:26.760 the run in the past. They are a perfect team 0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:28.840 at this moment, the New England Patriots, and they will 0:19:28.960 --> 0:19:31.440 they will win the Super Bowl again and everyone will 0:19:31.440 --> 0:19:33.199 be upset and all that. But you know that's at 0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:36.720 this moment. That's the reality. But the Patriots as a 0:19:36.800 --> 0:19:40.919 franchise are owing four against the spread when giving twenty 0:19:41.040 --> 0:19:44.720 or more points to the opponent. So that's this spot. Now, 0:19:44.800 --> 0:19:47.440 that's not all under Belichick. That goes back. I believe 0:19:47.480 --> 0:19:50.119 the numbers are since nine, but most of that is 0:19:50.200 --> 0:19:52.080 under Belichick. And three of the four three of the 0:19:52.160 --> 0:19:55.560 four are in the Belichick era and they've not covered. 0:19:55.600 --> 0:19:57.680 Now that doesn't mean they can't cover this week. But 0:19:57.840 --> 0:20:01.400 this point spread is insane to the membrane. It's way 0:20:01.480 --> 0:20:03.960 too high that the Jets. The reason it's too high 0:20:04.000 --> 0:20:06.720 because the Jets will actually be trying, right, unlike that 0:20:06.840 --> 0:20:09.080 other team we're gonna talk about a minute. Typically, if 0:20:09.119 --> 0:20:11.600 you get over a touchdown in a divisional game, you 0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:14.399 take the points. This is three touchdowns. This is not 0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:18.040 what two. This is three. So as long as the Jets, 0:20:18.119 --> 0:20:20.040 go out there and fight. Feed the ball to Levi 0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:24.360 on Bell. Get a couple of of odd bounces from 0:20:24.480 --> 0:20:27.399 from Tom Brady, passes, deflecting and interceptions and all that. 0:20:27.760 --> 0:20:30.359 I'm gonna close my eyes, cover my ears, shut my mouth, 0:20:30.680 --> 0:20:33.120 and I will take the j e t s suck, suck, 0:20:33.240 --> 0:20:41.320 suck to cover Patriots thirty one Jets thirteen. Bennett's ugly, 0:20:41.440 --> 0:20:43.439 but someone's gonna do it. Penny's rolling with the New 0:20:43.480 --> 0:20:46.760