1 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 1: If you thought four hours a day, hundred minutes a 2 00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:09,200 Speaker 1: week was enough, I think again. He's the last remnants 3 00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 1: of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 4 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the 5 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 1: rich pill poppers in the penthouse, the clearing House of 6 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 1: hot takes, break free for something special. The Fifth Hour 7 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: with Ben Maller starts right now. Welcome players, You're welcome? 8 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:39,200 Speaker 1: Are you from Mallar? Mayhap it's time now Benny versus 9 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:44,280 Speaker 1: the Penny? That it is a week three of Benny 10 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:46,040 Speaker 1: Versus the Penny? Can believe it's already been three weeks 11 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: of this nonsense. We had an absolutely amazing beginning to 12 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 1: Benny Versus the Penny of the podcast version. It was authentic, 13 00:00:54,880 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 1: It was amazing. The picks we delivered were complete. One. 14 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: It was a colossal success. And then we came back 15 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:05,960 Speaker 1: and we were like a defensive back doing a moonwalk 16 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 1: drill as we we went backwards last week. But I 17 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 1: have the penny is Gascon? David Gascon? Who is there? Gascon? 18 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:18,400 Speaker 1: So before we look ahead, we must look back. How 19 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: bad was Weak two? It was the Hindenburg, It was 20 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 1: the Titanic. It was all of that I had. You 21 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 1: had six and ten it was bad. So it was 22 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:31,479 Speaker 1: four games, which means I am still six games above 23 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,240 Speaker 1: five D on the year. Yes, I mean, I think 24 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: full disclosure. You should apologize for your week to performance 25 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 1: and valid it. You'll be better in week number three. Well, 26 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 1: I know you're uneducated on gambling, but then let me 27 00:01:42,640 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: tell you the life of a gambler. Okay, all right, 28 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 1: there are what's called peaks and valleys when you're a game. Well, 29 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: peaks and valleys. I will tell you this much. Since 30 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: you don't have the corporate experience that I have being 31 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: in sales, you're only as good as your last sale, 32 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 1: and so your last ransaction was was done. So let's go. 33 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 1: Let's do round number three. Week number three, let's kick 34 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: some maths this week. I know you don't often reach 35 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 1: the summit like I do with these picks every once 36 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:11,320 Speaker 1: in a while, but it's very easy for you who 37 00:02:11,360 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: don't give anything. Well, I'm gonna take out the trivia 38 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 1: because we have to press on here. We don't so 39 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 1: know trivia this week. Maybe I'll bring it back next week. 40 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: Denver oh and two at Green Bay two and oh 41 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:26,359 Speaker 1: it's on Fox. Chris Myers and Darryl Moose Johnson Packers 42 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:28,640 Speaker 1: opened up a six and a half point favorite. They 43 00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 1: are currently favorite by seven and a half. The pick 44 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 1: is in, I'm gonna take the Broncos in this game. 45 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: I actually like the Broncos. This is one of my 46 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 1: stronger picks, which is means the Broncos should be very scared. 47 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 1: But Joe Flacco has been as advertised, he's a marginal 48 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:44,519 Speaker 1: NFL quarterback. The reason I have confidence in in Denver 49 00:02:44,720 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 1: is I believe this is the week that the defense 50 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 1: is gonna perform. Aaron Rodgers has been off so far, 51 00:02:50,240 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: even a green bas won both games, but you know 52 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: he's really been off. His Vaughan Miller and Bradley Chubb, 53 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 1: they have yet to get started. We're two weeks in 54 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:02,959 Speaker 1: and these two dynamic uh supernova's of defense have combined 55 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 1: with a defensive coach, Vic Fangio to have zero sacks 56 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: and only two quarterback hits between them against the Raiders 57 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:12,680 Speaker 1: and Bears. That's unacceptable. I expect a coming out party 58 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 1: at Lambo for Von Miller and Bradley Chubb this weekend. 59 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:19,920 Speaker 1: And the second thing here, I'm not completely behind the Packers. Now, 60 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,679 Speaker 1: I will admit the two wins were the most meaningful 61 00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:24,520 Speaker 1: of all the two and oh teams because they're against 62 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:28,079 Speaker 1: two divisional opponents, two teams that will be in the 63 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 1: race for the playoffs, the Vikings and the Bears. So 64 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 1: that's that's a that's a good schedule to win with. 65 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: But nevertheless, the Packers have flaws like every other team 66 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 1: that this game should be tight. Green Bay's defense is 67 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: off to a great start. We'll see how that continues here. 68 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: But Aaron Rodgers is averaging just six point four yards 69 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 1: per attempt. He's actually been worse than Joe Flacco, Josh Allen, 70 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 1: Andy Dalton. This is a sneaky good spot for Denver 71 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: from the gambling if you look at all the criteria here, 72 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: they're they're gonna be desperate trying to avoid now and 73 00:03:57,200 --> 00:04:00,200 Speaker 1: three start. Also, the Packers have a short we I 74 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 1: believe they play I think it's Philadelphia the next Thursday game. Uh, 75 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: they play next Thursday night. So from a motivational standpoint, 76 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 1: you look at all the things that would indicate which 77 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 1: sides the value the Vegas edge, the public betting the 78 00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 1: Packers even as a big favorite there, Uh, It's all 79 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:20,760 Speaker 1: about Parker the snow Dog. I'm taking the Broncos in 80 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:23,800 Speaker 1: the upset. They'll win the game outright twenty twenty over 81 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 1: the Packers and the Penny picks. Penny likes the Green 82 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 1: Bay Packers. It's on because you like the dever Broncos Gascons. 83 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:36,359 Speaker 1: Be sure to catch live editions of The Ben Maller 84 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 1: Show weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific on 85 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio app Alright, 86 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:48,599 Speaker 1: Detroit one oh and one at Philadelphia one and one, 87 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 1: It's on Fox. You better watch Tom Brenham and Chris Spielman. 88 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 1: The Eagles opened up a seven point favorite. The line 89 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 1: I have here is at seven at this moment here 90 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 1: as we're doing the podcast recording the podcast, I've got 91 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 1: the Lions. This is another one of my stronger picks 92 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:05,679 Speaker 1: this week. I like the Lions a lot. The Eagles 93 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 1: have yet to look all that impressive. They played like 94 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 1: they had concrete cleats on the first game against the Redskins. 95 00:05:12,560 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 1: They were able to pull out a flute comeback, big, 96 00:05:14,560 --> 00:05:17,479 Speaker 1: big second half there Uh, they didn't cover the number 97 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: because of a backdoor touchdown by the red Skins but 98 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:22,480 Speaker 1: and then they blow a game, a close game against 99 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 1: a suspect Falcons team and Carson wins. Not exactly like 100 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: in the World on Fire is twenty three yards per 101 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 1: attempt in the NFL with no big guns. The the Eagles, 102 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 1: it's of the fifty three man roster is either out 103 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: of this game or injured. Eleven of the fifty three 104 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 1: man roster is on the injury report in Philadelphia. And 105 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 1: then secondly, uh, you on the other side of the Lions, 106 00:05:47,400 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 1: you can play the ifs and butts game, which I 107 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 1: love to play. Only Matt Patricia and the Lions had 108 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: avoided the time out fiasco in Arizona in the fourth quarter. 109 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,640 Speaker 1: They win that game there two and oh. But ifs 110 00:05:57,640 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: and butts were candy and nuts, the Lions would be 111 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:01,599 Speaker 1: winning every week and they're not. We know that. That's 112 00:06:01,640 --> 00:06:04,600 Speaker 1: it to me the Lions. I have them in the 113 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:07,919 Speaker 1: underrated category. You're mostly based on their win against the 114 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: Chargers last week. That's a signature win for them. A 115 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 1: defense is played really good. They appear to have a 116 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,920 Speaker 1: solid secondary, and I expect this game to be closed. 117 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 1: Philadelphia is shorthanded, but the Lions are the healthier team. 118 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 1: The Eagles have problems in their secondary, so you figure 119 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford should be able to exploit that. Here. The Eagles, 120 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 1: as I said, shorthanded, they could be down multiple starters 121 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:34,039 Speaker 1: at several positions on the both sides of the ball. 122 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: We know they're not gonna have the spark plug DeShawn Jackson. 123 00:06:38,360 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: He ain't gonna play. And also, Philadelphia, they do play 124 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 1: the Packers next Thursday night, so it's a short week. 125 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 1: You start peeking ahead there, You're like, oh crap, we 126 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 1: don't get any time off this week. We've gotta come 127 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 1: right and play on Thursday. So I'm gonna take the 128 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 1: Lions twenty seven Eagles twenty six Detroit in the upset. 129 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:01,040 Speaker 1: Impending going with the Philadelphia Eagles, all right. Next up 130 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: we go to Baltimore's Penny versus the Penny. Baltimore to 131 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: know at Kansas City. No, it's on the city. As 132 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 1: I an Eagle and Dan Fouts have the call. The 133 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 1: Chiefs opened up a six point favorite. This line is 134 00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 1: at six and a half and the pick is in. 135 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Chiefs here. I I don't believe 136 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 1: the Ravens are the real McCoy. I still have I 137 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 1: still have them in the mirage category. They beat the 138 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 1: Dolphins and Cardinals. Okay, these teams will be lucky if 139 00:07:29,200 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: they combine when three games this year, three or four games. 140 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 1: So they did what they were supposed to do against 141 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:37,720 Speaker 1: the lightweights. Kansas City is a heavyweight now. They don't 142 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 1: have a good defense in Kansas City. We know that, 143 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 1: but it's it's never easy in boxing to go up, 144 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 1: in boxing parlance, to go up a weight class like, 145 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:48,880 Speaker 1: it's very difficult to do that. Keep an eye on 146 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: the weak link in Baltimore, which right now appears to 147 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 1: be the past defense. You know you're not doing great 148 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 1: when Alligator Arms Murray throws for almost three d fifty yards, 149 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 1: that's all that seems to be a vulnerable spot. You 150 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: don't have to be Jay Glazer Adam Schefter to know 151 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: that this does not bo well for the Ravens who 152 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 1: go against Patty Patty Mahomes who sports. I think he's 153 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: four hrd yards a game or something like that the 154 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: first couple of weeks and he's he's like sixty yards 155 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 1: better than everyone else. And another thing about Lamar Jackson secondly, uh, 156 00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:20,720 Speaker 1: you know he he trade, He will trade punches with 157 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 1: Mahomes for a while. I don't doubt that, but he 158 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: is due for a regression. Does it happen this week 159 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 1: against the butter soft Kansas City defense. Uh, we'll find 160 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 1: out about that, but we we know it's gonna be 161 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 1: a madhouse at Arrowhead this week and the Ravens will 162 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 1: be in a food comma from all that delicious barbecue, 163 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: the Ben Mallar chicken fingers, which is available in Kansas 164 00:08:43,160 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 1: City as well in that area. Um So, I actually 165 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 1: did go back and forth on this. I wasn't all 166 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 1: in on the Chiefs because I don't like laying points. 167 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 1: I don't like taking the chalk. But the public seems 168 00:08:53,440 --> 00:08:55,319 Speaker 1: to like the Ravens in this game. They're buying in 169 00:08:55,360 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 1: the Ravens. I'm not Kansas City thirty four Baltimore twenty three, 170 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 1: year five compending like some casey as well go with 171 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. Be sure to catch live editions of The 172 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 1: Ben Maller Show week days at two am Eastern eleven 173 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 1: pm Pacific alright, next up Cincinnati, oh and two at 174 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 1: Buffalo two and oh it's on CBS. This is not 175 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 1: one of the better games for CBS. They have Tom 176 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:23,240 Speaker 1: McCarthy and j Feely. I feel like Jay Feely is 177 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 1: the Dick Stockton of the CBS. You know, when Feely 178 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:28,600 Speaker 1: is doing a game, it's not a game. It's gonna 179 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:32,040 Speaker 1: get a lot of of attention. Anyway, the Bills opened 180 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:34,559 Speaker 1: a four point fIF There are six point favorite. Buffalo 181 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:36,280 Speaker 1: is a six point favorite. The number I have in 182 00:09:36,320 --> 00:09:38,320 Speaker 1: front of me, I'm gonna go the other one. I'm 183 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:40,720 Speaker 1: gonna take the Bengals here. And I actually like the Bengals, 184 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: which should scare the crap out of people. I don't 185 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 1: love them as much as the other two five star 186 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:48,080 Speaker 1: picks I gave out, But I like Cincinnati in this spot. 187 00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:50,839 Speaker 1: And I'll tell you why. This game. I think it's 188 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 1: gonna be a mistake filled mess. Andy Dalton and Josh 189 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 1: Allen are turnover prone quarterbacks. And while I love the 190 00:09:57,400 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 1: Bills defense, I've been a big advocate of the Bills mafia, 191 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: you know, for their for their defense and all that. 192 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 1: I expect a much better effort from Cincinnati. And there's 193 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,160 Speaker 1: a theory in gambling, in sports wagering, which I have. 194 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:09,320 Speaker 1: It's one of the things I look at when I 195 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 1: when I'm handicapping game. It's the zig zag theory. Right, 196 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:14,079 Speaker 1: it's not just swinging in the dark. You look for 197 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 1: certain certain trans clertain theories that have have still held 198 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:20,440 Speaker 1: the test of time. Uh And and the zig zag 199 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 1: theory is one which means if a team plays really 200 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:26,319 Speaker 1: poorly one week, generally they come back and play better. 201 00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:28,880 Speaker 1: And and you look at a Cincinnative played a great 202 00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 1: game in Seattle, they lost, came back at home, they 203 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 1: were no show. They were tardy against the forty niners 204 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:37,079 Speaker 1: in that game, and so now you expect the zig 205 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: zag thing to kick in. They were embarrassed. Everyone's trashing 206 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 1: the Bengals, saying, wow, Bengals aren't that good. They're own 207 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: two and they deserve it was a fluke. They played 208 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:47,600 Speaker 1: well in Seattle. This is an opportunity at some redemption 209 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:50,320 Speaker 1: and get some some good will back if assuming they 210 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,440 Speaker 1: still have the fighting spirit here and then be there's 211 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 1: there's a lot of money on the bills and they're 212 00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:58,760 Speaker 1: breaking tables there at the sports books. And but this 213 00:10:58,800 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 1: is again a good spot for some Sinnati because of 214 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:04,079 Speaker 1: the bounce back redemption situation. Trying to you try to 215 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:06,240 Speaker 1: look for these advantages and you're gonna have to ride 216 00:11:06,280 --> 00:11:11,439 Speaker 1: Joe Mixon, Stonewall Jackson type of defense against that Bills 217 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 1: where down that Bills defense. But also Buffalo has got 218 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 1: a key game for them next week. You look ahead 219 00:11:16,640 --> 00:11:19,239 Speaker 1: that the peek a boo and it's just a peekaboo 220 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:22,480 Speaker 1: trap because the Bills play the Patriots, and that's a 221 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:25,480 Speaker 1: game where if Buffalo were to beat the Patriots next week, 222 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,120 Speaker 1: that would be a jaw dropping thing that could change 223 00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:31,360 Speaker 1: their entire franchise for this year. So do they start 224 00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 1: peeking ahead to Tom braiding the Patriots. Either way, the 225 00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:36,200 Speaker 1: Bills will win the game. But that's too many points. 226 00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:39,840 Speaker 1: These teams aren't that that far apart. Bills twenty three, 227 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:43,880 Speaker 1: Bengals twenty So you're throwing there's a cough button. Guess 228 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 1: guy Penny Legs pay legs the Bills go with the 229 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 1: Bills six. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk 230 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:54,280 Speaker 1: lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at 231 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:57,680 Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart 232 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:01,199 Speaker 1: Radio app search f s R, Too List and Live Alright, 233 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 1: Benny Versus The Penny Atlanta one and one at Indianapolis. 234 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:09,719 Speaker 1: One and one is on CBS with Andrew Catalan and 235 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 1: James Loft In the Colts open to two point favorite, 236 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:15,560 Speaker 1: their favorite by one and a half. The pick is 237 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 1: in and I am gonna take Indie in this game. 238 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Indie here. Uh. The logic behind it, 239 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:24,880 Speaker 1: my hypothesis on this game. But we have Jacobe Brissette 240 00:12:25,440 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: who has been surprisingly effective, not great, but effective. He's 241 00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:32,959 Speaker 1: the ninth ranked quarterback in the NFL. He's ahead of 242 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,960 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, doesn't play well, and several other big name quarterbacks. 243 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:41,559 Speaker 1: The reason I say it's a it's somewhat good. He's 244 00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:44,079 Speaker 1: not completely been great. It's because the passing yards are 245 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:46,920 Speaker 1: not solid. He has made some big throws in key 246 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 1: spots for Indianapolis. But the Colts. The reason I like 247 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:55,040 Speaker 1: Indianapolis here is the mac attack of Marlon Mack as 248 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 1: the security blanket here. He's been able to run over defense. 249 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:00,280 Speaker 1: Is at a big game against the Chargers. He can 250 00:13:00,360 --> 00:13:02,880 Speaker 1: run over defenders. He can run with some agility there. 251 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:06,760 Speaker 1: And remember where the Vikings did to Atlanta in Week one. Uh, 252 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:10,320 Speaker 1: And I see a Dalvin Cook two point oh in 253 00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:14,040 Speaker 1: the form of Marlon Mack this week. And plus Atlanta 254 00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:16,079 Speaker 1: is coming off a big win for them prime time 255 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:19,480 Speaker 1: game with Michaels and Colin's worth their Sunday night football 256 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 1: and this is just a regular, typical one o'clock start 257 00:13:24,040 --> 00:13:28,120 Speaker 1: Eastern Standard time there for the Falcons. And the public 258 00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:30,559 Speaker 1: seems to be all smitten with Atlanta because of that 259 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 1: win against Philadelphia, and it's always good to bet against 260 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 1: the public. And the formula over the Matt Ryan years 261 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:41,559 Speaker 1: in Atlanta has been that you bet on the Falcons 262 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:45,559 Speaker 1: at home in the Dome and against them on the road. 263 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 1: Uh that. And then they've also had problems against a 264 00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:50,559 Speaker 1: f C opponents. I've seen that over the last few 265 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 1: years here. I think they're owing eleven against the spread 266 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 1: their last eleven games and against the nf A f C. 267 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 1: Uh if that means anything. If you're a trend player, 268 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:02,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Colts. Colts thirty, Falcons twenty three. 269 00:14:05,520 --> 00:14:07,680 Speaker 1: Penny likes the home team is well going with Indie. 270 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 1: I like that you're letting me be the star of 271 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:13,079 Speaker 1: this podcast, guest, and you're not commandeering the podcast. You're 272 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:16,280 Speaker 1: not trying to take possession of it and bogart the podcast, 273 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:18,200 Speaker 1: which I like. I will try to be like your 274 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:22,840 Speaker 1: Wedday night and be quick. Wow. Alright, Oakland and my 275 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 1: wife doesn't listen to this podcast. Oakland at Minnesota, both 276 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 1: teams one and one. It is on Fox. You better watch. 277 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 1: Dick Stockton and Mark schlay Writh have the call. So 278 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:36,200 Speaker 1: this is the game that they think it's gonna be 279 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:39,720 Speaker 1: very good. Actually, Stockton's had some good games. He didn't 280 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 1: he have the Broncos game last week, Stockton in the 281 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 1: Arizona game against the Lions, so he's he's actually two 282 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 1: for two. All my cheap shot, my good two is 283 00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:49,520 Speaker 1: cheap shots at Dick Stockton. I love the guy, but 284 00:14:49,680 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 1: he seems like he's always doing the worst matchup. Anyway, 285 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:56,080 Speaker 1: this game, Vikings opened a seven point favorite. They are 286 00:14:56,080 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 1: currently an eight point favorite, and that's two much. I 287 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 1: am gonna take the Raiders here. I don't love this play, 288 00:15:03,920 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 1: but if I had to pick a side, I'm and 289 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 1: take the Raiders. The Raiders played biblically bad in the 290 00:15:08,160 --> 00:15:11,400 Speaker 1: second quarter against the Chiefs and that was enough to 291 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:14,680 Speaker 1: to drown their that game. They give twenty eight points. 292 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 1: Mahomes had like two seventy passing yards in the second quarter. 293 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 1: They were gobsmacked by Patty Mahomes for fifteen minutes, but 294 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 1: the rest of the game. They actually we're okay, Uh, 295 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 1: you know you're picking your spots here. But the main 296 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 1: reason to bet against the Vikings is Kirk Cousins. Until 297 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:33,760 Speaker 1: this guy gets a kick in the ass and comes 298 00:15:33,800 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 1: around and plays better football, it's very difficult to win 299 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:38,320 Speaker 1: a game by over a touchdown with that kind of 300 00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:41,080 Speaker 1: passing offense, which is ranked thirty feet in the NFL 301 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:45,680 Speaker 1: tied with the Dolphins. The Vikings are tied with their Dolphins. 302 00:15:45,760 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 1: Not a lot of that is because of Game one 303 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 1: where they just didn't throw the ball, but still embarrassing. Uh, 304 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,760 Speaker 1: They've got the Bears next week. Also, the Vikings. You 305 00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:54,920 Speaker 1: look at the schedule, you look for an advantage. You say, 306 00:15:54,960 --> 00:15:58,440 Speaker 1: Minnesota's a key divisional game for them, Vikings and Bears 307 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 1: next week. So you're like, hey, this they must win. 308 00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 1: A loss to Oakland would be catastrophic for Minnesota. Now 309 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:08,600 Speaker 1: that doesn't mean they can't lose, but you said, well, 310 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 1: it's it must win situation. But again, the Peekaboo, the 311 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:15,840 Speaker 1: Peekaboo factory. Not Secondly, I have been drinking the purple 312 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 1: cool aid with the Minnesota defense, and I believe that 313 00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:20,680 Speaker 1: to be legit. Uh. Aaron Rodgers got off to a 314 00:16:20,680 --> 00:16:23,200 Speaker 1: good start last week, and then the rest of the 315 00:16:23,280 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 1: of the bulk of the game, they're the Vikings, the 316 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: purple people. Eaters just shut down the Packers offense. It 317 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:34,520 Speaker 1: was punt turnover on downs, just regular turnover. Uh So 318 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 1: I love that the defense, But I'm just so pessimistic 319 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,600 Speaker 1: about Kirk Cousins. I think we used this stat on 320 00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:41,560 Speaker 1: the radio show this week. I don't remember. I think 321 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 1: I I planned on using it. Kirk Cousins has thrown 322 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 1: twenty seven percent of his passes that have been uncatchable. 323 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 1: That is tied for the second worst mark in the 324 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:55,200 Speaker 1: entire NFL. And other words, it's gonna be Mike Zimmers 325 00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 1: team that has to ride the defense. Obviously, Dalvin Cook here, 326 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 1: and what's the point. And it got some good receivers 327 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 1: in Minnesota, But what's the point. You can't throw the 328 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 1: ball to theeling if he can't catch it. But the 329 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:07,119 Speaker 1: Vikings will win this game, but it's too many points. 330 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:14,119 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the Vikings. Nineteen Raiders thirteen. Penny 331 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:17,679 Speaker 1: believes in the Vikings going Minnesota. All right, Next up, 332 00:17:17,680 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 1: we got the big underdog games. Will stack these back 333 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 1: to back and double digit underdogs. Just the perfect bet 334 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:26,639 Speaker 1: for many games. I've been a big underdog guy. This 335 00:17:26,680 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 1: is gonna test my limits here because we have the Jets, 336 00:17:30,119 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 1: j E t s Suck Suck, Suck, oh and one 337 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:35,720 Speaker 1: at the Giant at the knowing the Patriots rather two 338 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:39,040 Speaker 1: and all the CBS game, Kevin Harland, we love him, 339 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: and Gannon Rich Gannon have the call Patriots. This game 340 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:46,360 Speaker 1: opened up. Originally, the original line was like a pick them, uh, 341 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:49,240 Speaker 1: and then Donald got motto and all these the Patriots 342 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:50,920 Speaker 1: got off the great start, and so now the Patriots 343 00:17:50,960 --> 00:17:53,640 Speaker 1: are a twenty two and a half point favorite. It's 344 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:56,640 Speaker 1: as high as twenty three twenty three and a half 345 00:17:56,720 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: in some spots. Uh. And I am gonna take the 346 00:18:00,400 --> 00:18:02,159 Speaker 1: Jets in this game. I'm gonna take the Jets, and 347 00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:04,880 Speaker 1: I know every indicator says, uh, Pagrits gonna Page's gonna 348 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:07,040 Speaker 1: win the game. It's a question if can they Can 349 00:18:07,160 --> 00:18:09,760 Speaker 1: they win the game in blowout fashion? That would be 350 00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:13,840 Speaker 1: their third straight blowout win. Blew out the Steelers, blew 351 00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,720 Speaker 1: out the Dolphins. Can they do it again? Can they 352 00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:19,280 Speaker 1: stack three? And ron Jets played the money night game. 353 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:21,320 Speaker 1: I understand why people are betting on the Patriots. Even 354 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:23,399 Speaker 1: with that big line, they didn't play very well against 355 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,800 Speaker 1: the Browns. It's like a cartoon anvil was dropped on 356 00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:29,160 Speaker 1: their head. There's several guys that are as we're doing 357 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:31,520 Speaker 1: the podcast, could still be out for the Jets in 358 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:34,840 Speaker 1: the short week and they're starting a third stringer, Luke 359 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 1: Falk first start. Guys been released by two different NFL 360 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,440 Speaker 1: teams already. He looked okay, although the numbers were miss 361 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:44,160 Speaker 1: leading at some zombie stats. If you watch the Money 362 00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 1: Night game, you know there's between the forties where he 363 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,240 Speaker 1: fattened up some of his passing numbers and he completed 364 00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 1: a high percentage, but they were dump off short passes, 365 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:56,280 Speaker 1: thinking Dad Dunk type passes. I was not impressed because 366 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:59,640 Speaker 1: I like numbers that lead the points. They didn't lead 367 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 1: the point. The Jets had a stinking field goal, uh 368 00:19:02,840 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 1: in sixty minutes, and historically rookie quarterbacks against the Patriots 369 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:10,000 Speaker 1: with Belichick, it is just, Uh, it's like a paradha 370 00:19:10,240 --> 00:19:14,119 Speaker 1: blood in the water. Uh. It's it's terrible. Uh. The 371 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 1: other thing, the Patriots defense, which has wrecked, having on 372 00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:19,399 Speaker 1: their first a couple of points, that's the meat and 373 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:22,600 Speaker 1: potatoes here, and they're wonderful and great. The offense doesn't 374 00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 1: have to carry the load. They can mix and max 375 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:26,760 Speaker 1: the run in the past. They are a perfect team 376 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:28,840 Speaker 1: at this moment, the New England Patriots, and they will 377 00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,440 Speaker 1: they will win the Super Bowl again and everyone will 378 00:19:31,440 --> 00:19:33,199 Speaker 1: be upset and all that. But you know that's at 379 00:19:33,280 --> 00:19:36,720 Speaker 1: this moment. That's the reality. But the Patriots as a 380 00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:40,919 Speaker 1: franchise are owing four against the spread when giving twenty 381 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:44,720 Speaker 1: or more points to the opponent. So that's this spot. Now, 382 00:19:44,800 --> 00:19:47,440 Speaker 1: that's not all under Belichick. That goes back. I believe 383 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:50,119 Speaker 1: the numbers are since nine, but most of that is 384 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 1: under Belichick. And three of the four three of the 385 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:55,560 Speaker 1: four are in the Belichick era and they've not covered. 386 00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:57,680 Speaker 1: Now that doesn't mean they can't cover this week. But 387 00:19:57,840 --> 00:20:01,400 Speaker 1: this point spread is insane to the membrane. It's way 388 00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 1: too high that the Jets. The reason it's too high 389 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,720 Speaker 1: because the Jets will actually be trying, right, unlike that 390 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:09,080 Speaker 1: other team we're gonna talk about a minute. Typically, if 391 00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:11,600 Speaker 1: you get over a touchdown in a divisional game, you 392 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:14,399 Speaker 1: take the points. This is three touchdowns. This is not 393 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:18,040 Speaker 1: what two. This is three. So as long as the Jets, 394 00:20:18,119 --> 00:20:20,040 Speaker 1: go out there and fight. Feed the ball to Levi 395 00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:24,360 Speaker 1: on Bell. Get a couple of of odd bounces from 396 00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,399 Speaker 1: from Tom Brady, passes, deflecting and interceptions and all that. 397 00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:30,359 Speaker 1: I'm gonna close my eyes, cover my ears, shut my mouth, 398 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,120 Speaker 1: and I will take the j e t s suck, suck, 399 00:20:33,240 --> 00:20:41,320 Speaker 1: suck to cover Patriots thirty one Jets thirteen. Bennett's ugly, 400 00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:43,439 Speaker 1: but someone's gonna do it. Penny's rolling with the New 401 00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 1: England Patriots. How great is it, GUESSCN that you can 402 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:50,120 Speaker 1: take the Jets and have them lose thirty one thirteen 403 00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 1: and still cover the spread? Isn't that wonderful? And this 404 00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:56,639 Speaker 1: is like a college football spread you get like Alabama 405 00:20:56,760 --> 00:21:00,159 Speaker 1: versus the Citadel. This is a gross line, but it is. 406 00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:04,680 Speaker 1: It's nuts. I mean, this is so it is so foreign, 407 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:08,120 Speaker 1: it is so left handed. It's uh, it's odd. It's 408 00:21:08,280 --> 00:21:12,800 Speaker 1: it's just man anyway. Uh, speaking of odd, the Miami Dolphins. 409 00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:15,160 Speaker 1: Do you like that thing? I sent you? Like that photo? 410 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 1: It was? It was really good. That's pretty funny. I 411 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:19,360 Speaker 1: don't usually laugh at those things. There was a meme 412 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:23,000 Speaker 1: going around and it's somebody driving and it they took 413 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 1: a photo out there their front front of the car 414 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:30,320 Speaker 1: there and it says, what a cool experience. I got 415 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:33,080 Speaker 1: to travel alongside the Miami Dolphins team boss on their 416 00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:35,960 Speaker 1: way to practice this morning, and it showed this truck 417 00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:40,000 Speaker 1: carrying porta potties deo porta potties. It was pretty funny. 418 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:45,080 Speaker 1: That's Funnypatrick on that thing though. That's uh yeah, he's 419 00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:48,280 Speaker 1: not there, he's left. He got traded Miami at Dallas. 420 00:21:48,320 --> 00:21:50,920 Speaker 1: What do you get this game, Gascon? I think I 421 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:52,640 Speaker 1: think Josh Rosen will have a lot of fun being 422 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 1: the starting quarterback for this game. Yeah, exactly, Well, it's 423 00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:59,680 Speaker 1: on Fox, Kevin Burkhart and Charles Davis. Dolphins obviously going 424 00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:01,680 Speaker 1: two are on their way to Owen sixteen. They're trying 425 00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 1: for that. They're trying for the imperfect season. Will be 426 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:07,160 Speaker 1: the third imperfect season in my lifetime. Here. Wow, I've 427 00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:09,800 Speaker 1: lived in the golden age of the tanking in the NFL. 428 00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,120 Speaker 1: Dallas is two and oh. Cowboys have been playing great 429 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,160 Speaker 1: beaten up on dumpster teams. They're doing some dumpster diving 430 00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 1: on these bad teams. Dolphins opened a sixteen point underdog 431 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:22,520 Speaker 1: that the Cowboys are now a twenty or twenty and 432 00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 1: a half point favorite in favor of Dallas. There and 433 00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:31,680 Speaker 1: and I am gonna break protocol here. I've always said 434 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:33,159 Speaker 1: that when you get double digit points, you take the 435 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,200 Speaker 1: underdog no matter what. But I've I've reached my limit. 436 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 1: I've reached my limit. I feel the fate is sealed here. 437 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 1: All roads lead to Rome, all roads lead to the 438 00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 1: Dolphins not caring. Uh So I'm gonna take the Cowboys. 439 00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:48,320 Speaker 1: I think they I don't think they can make the 440 00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:50,480 Speaker 1: line big enough on this game the way they Dolphins 441 00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:54,199 Speaker 1: have played. Uh, Dak Prescott's to his credits, played well 442 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:55,919 Speaker 1: a couple of weeks. I think that's more of an 443 00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:58,879 Speaker 1: illusion than a long term time. The more more of 444 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 1: a fad that a long term of thing. And Zeke Elliott, 445 00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:03,879 Speaker 1: you know he he can you know, get his his 446 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 1: yards and all that. Cowboys can pretty much follow the 447 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:11,600 Speaker 1: Navy slogan. It's by land, by air, by sea, and 448 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:16,359 Speaker 1: it's the Cowboys can score defensively because of interceptions from Rosen. 449 00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:20,359 Speaker 1: They can score through Dak Prescott touchdowns and also on 450 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:23,800 Speaker 1: land by Zeke Elliott, and by sea would be like 451 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 1: special teams. I mean, all options are on the table here. 452 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:29,960 Speaker 1: And the Dolphins will put up a futile resistance as 453 00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:33,080 Speaker 1: they continue to be on the highway to hell. Uh, 454 00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 1: the imperfect season all that, but this has been an obscenity. 455 00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 1: It's it's it's made the Cleveland Browns and the Lions 456 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:42,960 Speaker 1: who were owing sixteen this it's only two games, but 457 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:46,480 Speaker 1: this is worse. Is that's possible They're off to a 458 00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:48,800 Speaker 1: worst start than those team that the Browns were actually 459 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 1: in some of those games they would lose back back 460 00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:53,159 Speaker 1: in the day. And now it's it's a center of 461 00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:56,080 Speaker 1: instead of having a gatorade, I believe gascon, they've switched 462 00:23:56,119 --> 00:23:59,800 Speaker 1: out bleach on the sidelines. Uh. I think they're drinking 463 00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,680 Speaker 1: bleach as a performance and answer. But I uh yeah, 464 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,280 Speaker 1: Josh Rosen starting that doesn't do anything for me. That's uh, 465 00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 1: that's an Apple's apples thing with uh with Fitzpatrick and 466 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,840 Speaker 1: but how upset of the Dolphins sough Fitzpatrick had shown anything, 467 00:24:13,080 --> 00:24:15,000 Speaker 1: he would have likely been traded to one of these 468 00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:17,080 Speaker 1: teams that lost their quarterback. He would have been traded 469 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:19,720 Speaker 1: this week. And he's been so bad because everyone around 470 00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:23,040 Speaker 1: him sucks that he hasn't been he's stuck there. Yeah, 471 00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:25,000 Speaker 1: but what about Josh Roseen. He goes from a bad 472 00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:28,080 Speaker 1: situation in Arizona to an even worse situation now in Miami. 473 00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:31,520 Speaker 1: You got a mutiny there and everyone's leaving. Yeah, I'm 474 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:33,760 Speaker 1: not a big rose And guy. He annoys me. He's 475 00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:38,040 Speaker 1: got that elitist kind of vibe to him. Snotty, arrogant, 476 00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:41,359 Speaker 1: preppy kind of guy. I don't like those kind of guys. 477 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:45,920 Speaker 1: He he annoys me. But but there's no need. You can't. 478 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:50,840 Speaker 1: You cannot put lipstick. It's not a lipstick and deodorant 479 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:54,200 Speaker 1: for the Cowboys. The ownership wants to lose. The coaching 480 00:24:54,320 --> 00:25:00,040 Speaker 1: staff is complicit. The players are following along, fighting with 481 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:04,639 Speaker 1: each other. It's a football monstrosity. Eat is puke, it is. 482 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:08,960 Speaker 1: It is the Texas chainsaw massacre. What's gonna happen again 483 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:11,520 Speaker 1: this weekend? Now? I will tell you historically you should 484 00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:13,320 Speaker 1: take the points, but I'm gonna go against the trends 485 00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 1: four There have been eight NFL favorites of twenty points 486 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 1: or more and none of those teams have covered the spread. 487 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:24,159 Speaker 1: Their oh and eight against the spread. So historically you 488 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 1: would say that the Dolphins will stumble into this and 489 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,760 Speaker 1: they'll win. But the Cowboys rather win, but they won't 490 00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:34,160 Speaker 1: cover the spread. But I believe the streak ends. Again, 491 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:36,480 Speaker 1: I there's no reason as a game. But if you're 492 00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,200 Speaker 1: gonna bet on this game, you have to bet on 493 00:25:38,240 --> 00:25:40,880 Speaker 1: the Cowboys. Typically I'd say you bet on the underdog. 494 00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:44,159 Speaker 1: But it's Tank for for twa Tank for two A 495 00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:48,320 Speaker 1: talk about Lawa, the Alabama quarterback, and Dak Prescott continues 496 00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,280 Speaker 1: his march to Babylon for his big pay day there. 497 00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:54,760 Speaker 1: I I can't see any scenario where the Cowboys lose 498 00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 1: the game. Obviously they'll win the game. Cowboys fifty two 499 00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 1: Dolphins three man Penny is also go with the Dallas 500 00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 1: Cowboys Penny versus the Penny, the extended version. But we 501 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:11,360 Speaker 1: are going quick here because guess Garrett has something else 502 00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:13,400 Speaker 1: to do and you have to hurry up. Uh, Giants 503 00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 1: are owing to Tampa Bay one and one. It's on Fox. 504 00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:19,879 Speaker 1: Friend of the show, A Mallard Militiaman Kenny Albert. We 505 00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:23,240 Speaker 1: love Kenny Albert and he's working with the barber's Ronde 506 00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:26,399 Speaker 1: Barber and Tikey Barber. I believe Tikey Barber is you 507 00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:28,680 Speaker 1: know Ronde Barber is going in the Obviously Ranney is 508 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:32,040 Speaker 1: going in the Buccaneers Hall of Fame at halftime of 509 00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:34,119 Speaker 1: this game, but Tikey Barber is gonna be there as well. 510 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 1: Uh Now, a couple of the Bucks are a six 511 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:40,360 Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, and they opened to four. 512 00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 1: It's up to six and a half. The line I 513 00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:44,639 Speaker 1: have here, no line movement after the quarterback change for 514 00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:48,120 Speaker 1: the Giants. I'm gonna take the Giants here, I'm gonna 515 00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:49,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna. I don't love this game, but I'm gonna 516 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:51,760 Speaker 1: take the Giants. That's the side I like. Keeping up 517 00:26:51,800 --> 00:26:54,239 Speaker 1: with the Joneses is the headline. This game is all 518 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 1: about Daniel Jones. Will he have beginner's luck here? Doesn't matter? 519 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,439 Speaker 1: Can he play well and still lose? Of course, Tampa 520 00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:04,440 Speaker 1: looked pretty good last week against the Bucks, but I 521 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:08,159 Speaker 1: believe that's misleading because Cam Newton was limping around and 522 00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,680 Speaker 1: all that. The Giants have not been competitive the first 523 00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:13,320 Speaker 1: two games. They continued to be a dog food franchise. 524 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 1: That's not gonna change just because you changed quarterbacks. But 525 00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:19,399 Speaker 1: but this is actually a pretty good spot for New 526 00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:23,960 Speaker 1: York again, because Tampa Bay is being overvalued because of 527 00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:26,800 Speaker 1: the public's overreacting to what they did. Against Cam Newton. 528 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:31,119 Speaker 1: Carolina is just just brutal without Cam, and it's a 529 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 1: matchup of two bad teams, much like we talked about earlier. 530 00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:35,440 Speaker 1: I think it was the Bengals Bills game. I don't 531 00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:38,160 Speaker 1: need as much difference in these teams, and you're getting 532 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 1: almost a touchdown. It's a blessing. Now. Secondly, Jameis Winston 533 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:46,000 Speaker 1: versus Daniel Jones here this is like a kid picking 534 00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,440 Speaker 1: between a plate of cauliflower that you know is bad 535 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,080 Speaker 1: and a mystery dish which you think is going to 536 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:54,480 Speaker 1: be suspect. You're not sure. You're gonna likely lose either way. 537 00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:58,720 Speaker 1: But Winston was actually worth than Eli Manning, who got 538 00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:02,920 Speaker 1: benched song H Statistically, he had a good first half, 539 00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:05,159 Speaker 1: had a good first half I believe last week in 540 00:28:05,240 --> 00:28:07,320 Speaker 1: the Carolina game, and then he did the face plant 541 00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:10,600 Speaker 1: the second half, but it didn't matter. Winston's the thirtieth 542 00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,760 Speaker 1: ranked quarterback in the NFL, and the turnovers the great 543 00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:18,120 Speaker 1: equalizer here especially, you're getting the points that Giants will ride. Finally, 544 00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:23,920 Speaker 1: sequon Barkley the Express train and Tampa. They will have 545 00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:26,440 Speaker 1: some fun with Danny Dimes, but he will play well 546 00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:30,480 Speaker 1: enough to hang around and both these teams bad defensively. 547 00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:34,840 Speaker 1: Buccaneers thirty three, Giants thirty and Giants get the money. 548 00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:40,640 Speaker 1: Penny Haynes doing this. It's going with Jamis Winston and 549 00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:44,680 Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. I'll get some crab legs. Okay, yeah, have 550 00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 1: a good time. Caroline is also a late game, Carolina. 551 00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 1: All these the rest of these games are late games. 552 00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:52,000 Speaker 1: Carolina owing to Arizona one on one or oh one 553 00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:55,640 Speaker 1: and one. Rather, it's on Fox. Dan Helly and our 554 00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 1: Fox Sports radio colleague Brady Quinn have the call on this. 555 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:02,280 Speaker 1: Brady does a show with Jonas right, and they still 556 00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:09,120 Speaker 1: work Saturday. Sunday's Yeah, Sunday's Uh, Carolina open a three 557 00:29:09,280 --> 00:29:12,760 Speaker 1: point favorite and they are a two and the number 558 00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:14,120 Speaker 1: I have here? Tell me if I'm wrong? Is I 559 00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 1: have two and a half? Uh? And if that's as 560 00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:19,200 Speaker 1: a road favorite, And he said, well, how can you? 561 00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:22,040 Speaker 1: How could Carolina be a road favorite with a backup 562 00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,400 Speaker 1: quarterback who's likely to play here? I actually like the 563 00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:30,400 Speaker 1: Panthers even with what appears to be Kyle Allen getting 564 00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:33,640 Speaker 1: the start. And I'll tell you why. Carolina has served 565 00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:37,400 Speaker 1: up cream of mushroom soup so far, right, there's no 566 00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:41,240 Speaker 1: no no real backbone to any of this. With Drew 567 00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:44,360 Speaker 1: Brees injured in New Orleans, there is still a legitimate 568 00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:47,240 Speaker 1: path to win the NFC South even after an O 569 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:50,040 Speaker 1: and two start, because you know Atlanta is gonna lose 570 00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:52,280 Speaker 1: a couple of games here. The Saints have already lost 571 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:55,320 Speaker 1: a game. Now you look around, Tampa's lost the game. 572 00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:58,880 Speaker 1: The revival, the renaissance has to start this week. Oh 573 00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:00,800 Speaker 1: and three is a much big good deal than owen 574 00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:04,320 Speaker 1: to uh and so Cam Newton looks like he's gonna 575 00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:06,000 Speaker 1: be out by all accounts. You guys in the damn 576 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,080 Speaker 1: walking boot at the time we're doing this, And and 577 00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:10,160 Speaker 1: and Kyle Allen, who I had never really heard of, 578 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:12,800 Speaker 1: is going to get the start. The reason I like 579 00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:16,440 Speaker 1: Carolina is that Arizona is a bad team. They were 580 00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:18,680 Speaker 1: the worst team in football last year. They're a little 581 00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:21,960 Speaker 1: better this year. I'm not optimistic with Kyler Murray, like 582 00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:26,360 Speaker 1: the media loves this guy. Public is foolishly writing the 583 00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:30,080 Speaker 1: Cardinals as a home dog here I have, I have 584 00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,960 Speaker 1: Arizona is the favorite right now. Okay, so they flipped 585 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 1: a lot. What's the line now? Yeah, so open at 586 00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:39,200 Speaker 1: Carolina minus three. It's now Arizona minus two and a half. Okay, 587 00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:41,959 Speaker 1: so then I like Carolina even more. I like Carolina 588 00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,880 Speaker 1: even more because the public has been betting on Arizona 589 00:30:45,320 --> 00:30:48,720 Speaker 1: a lot. They like that, and they're no longer a 590 00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:50,720 Speaker 1: home underdog. But Kyle Allen, this is one of those 591 00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:53,800 Speaker 1: Disney esque type stories. They're chicken soup for the soul 592 00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 1: is LOONI would say back in the day, Kyle Allen 593 00:30:56,080 --> 00:31:01,360 Speaker 1: hometown kid. He's from Scottsdale. He returns to the Phoenix, Scottsdale, Glendale, 594 00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:03,800 Speaker 1: Arizona area, the area there in the Valley of the Sun, 595 00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:14,840 Speaker 1: and leads Carolina to a win. Panthers three Cardinals. No 596 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,880 Speaker 1: chance in hell penny of saying Arizona with this one 597 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:22,320 Speaker 1: and Kyler murder the upa Loopa knock about that? I 598 00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:25,120 Speaker 1: don't know New Orleans want what you like him too? 599 00:31:26,080 --> 00:31:28,800 Speaker 1: You're such a jocksonifer New Orleans one and one at 600 00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:33,640 Speaker 1: Seattle too, And oh it's on CBS, Jim Nance and 601 00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 1: his burnt toast photo and Toney Row Uh Seahawks the 602 00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 1: line I have here. I wrote this down a few 603 00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:44,520 Speaker 1: hours ago, so I hope it hasn't changed. Uh Seattle 604 00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 1: favored by four is that the correct all right, So 605 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:50,560 Speaker 1: I'm right on that. I'm a little gunshye now, but 606 00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:55,720 Speaker 1: Seattle by four, uh, I'm actually gonna take the Saints here. 607 00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:58,320 Speaker 1: They're not gonna win the game, but I'm gonna take 608 00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:01,320 Speaker 1: New Ones. And I'll tell you why one Uh. Not 609 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:03,600 Speaker 1: to be a panic peddler, but the house is on 610 00:32:03,760 --> 00:32:07,240 Speaker 1: fire in New Orleans. Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill will 611 00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,520 Speaker 1: take over for New four NU once which you know 612 00:32:10,560 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 1: you have two quarterbacks, you don't have one as the 613 00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:14,680 Speaker 1: old line goes there, and it's gonna be from a 614 00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:18,120 Speaker 1: dynamic offensive perspective, it's gonna be a pointless endeaver. The 615 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:19,920 Speaker 1: Saints are gonna have to change the way they play offense. 616 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:22,920 Speaker 1: I would think common sense, and it's it's at best 617 00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:26,160 Speaker 1: going to be a slippery slope. It's hard to imagine 618 00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:29,680 Speaker 1: that Seattle is gonna overlook New Orleans. Outside of that, 619 00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:34,000 Speaker 1: the the Saints they're gonna have to to do this 620 00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:36,000 Speaker 1: with their defense. They're gonna have to play much better 621 00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:39,720 Speaker 1: in the secondary. Hid Eli Apple, for example, win the 622 00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:43,720 Speaker 1: special teams. The three prongs of football offense, defensive, special teams. 623 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:46,200 Speaker 1: You've gotta be able to hold your own defensively and 624 00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:49,040 Speaker 1: on special teams if your offense has a backup quarterback. 625 00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:51,080 Speaker 1: And while the Seahawks are too and all the second 626 00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:54,440 Speaker 1: thing here, they have not exactly been clicking on all cylinders. 627 00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: They got a lucky break against the Bengals. They played 628 00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:02,840 Speaker 1: with fire when when the Steelers back up Mason Rudolph 629 00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:05,600 Speaker 1: came in and he jumped in the frying pan. Played 630 00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:08,960 Speaker 1: pretty well against Seattle's second here. So I'm gonna take 631 00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:11,880 Speaker 1: the Saints here and the points for two reasons. Everyone 632 00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:14,520 Speaker 1: and their mother in the public loves Seattle. They think 633 00:33:14,560 --> 00:33:18,440 Speaker 1: the Saints have no chance. And generally speaking, when a 634 00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:21,760 Speaker 1: new quarterback takes over, you have that kind of bump, 635 00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:24,720 Speaker 1: that short term bump, uh, if you know what I'm 636 00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:28,600 Speaker 1: saying here. So I I prefer the Saints, I generally, 637 00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:30,440 Speaker 1: and if I had to choose, I would choose the 638 00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 1: underdog over there. I don't like bet in the chalk 639 00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:36,320 Speaker 1: uh a week to prep for New Orleans. Here they 640 00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:38,840 Speaker 1: will have laser like focusing, gonna trying to prove the 641 00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:41,080 Speaker 1: doubters wrong. I'm a doubter by the way, but I'm 642 00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:43,360 Speaker 1: still taking them in the points. I say they hang 643 00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:48,120 Speaker 1: around another close game for the Seahawks, Saints and Seahawks. 644 00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:50,120 Speaker 1: I'm gonna actually pick New Orleans to win this guy, 645 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,960 Speaker 1: I need they'll pull the upset. Saints twenty Seahawks seventeen. 646 00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:57,600 Speaker 1: No chance in hell at this one. Pants going with 647 00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:01,440 Speaker 1: the Seahawks home field advantage right there at Bengals went 648 00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:05,360 Speaker 1: in there and lit up the seat and covered the spread. 649 00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:08,200 Speaker 1: Thank you very much, Huston one and one. At the 650 00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:11,279 Speaker 1: Los Angeles Chargers of Carson, California. We wish we were 651 00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:15,239 Speaker 1: in San Diego. Uh uh the Charges in Texans. Here 652 00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:18,280 Speaker 1: it's on Fox. Spiro Adidas, former voice of the Lakers 653 00:34:18,440 --> 00:34:22,640 Speaker 1: and the Knickerbockers, and Adam Archiletta, who's claimed to famous. 654 00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:26,080 Speaker 1: He worked with me years ago on an NBC. But 655 00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:29,160 Speaker 1: the Chargers opened a four point favorite. They are a 656 00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:31,440 Speaker 1: three point favorite, which means this game is pretty much 657 00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,239 Speaker 1: even in the eyes of Vegas. The Chargers get three 658 00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:36,000 Speaker 1: points because they're the home team. I'm gonna take the 659 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:39,360 Speaker 1: Chargers here. I actually liked the Chargers a lot in 660 00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:41,800 Speaker 1: this spot. This is a nice bounce back for the 661 00:34:41,880 --> 00:34:44,440 Speaker 1: team that should be in San Diego. They escaped against 662 00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:48,360 Speaker 1: Jacksonville at the Texans. Dad at home. Uh. And I 663 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,960 Speaker 1: would think that those big pass rushers for the Chargers 664 00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,719 Speaker 1: will be licking their chops at Deshaun Watson, who has 665 00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:57,719 Speaker 1: no internal clock, holds the ball too long. Uh he uh, 666 00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:00,640 Speaker 1: he goes away. That doesn't help the offensive line. You know, 667 00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:04,760 Speaker 1: they say basic quarterback play, the ways you avoid sax 668 00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:07,800 Speaker 1: obviously make quicker decisions. He's been bad about that. His 669 00:35:07,880 --> 00:35:10,200 Speaker 1: internal clock is off, Deshaun Watson. The other thing is, 670 00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:12,880 Speaker 1: if you really want to help the offensive line, you 671 00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:15,640 Speaker 1: have to step up in the pocket. You can't he 672 00:35:15,840 --> 00:35:18,960 Speaker 1: he goes right to left, he runs around. He's a scrambler. 673 00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:21,719 Speaker 1: But if you look at what Tom Brady and the 674 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:25,560 Speaker 1: truly elite great quarterbacks do. Peyton Manning I hated him, 675 00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:27,360 Speaker 1: but he used to do this also. You step up 676 00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:30,279 Speaker 1: in the pocket. If if if Deshaun Watson just did that, 677 00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,400 Speaker 1: when he's feeling pressure, just step up in the pocket. 678 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:35,840 Speaker 1: The offensive line blocks in lanes. I don't getting too 679 00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:38,000 Speaker 1: much into excellence. I was a football which is not 680 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:41,480 Speaker 1: what this is about. Uh. But but it's it's annoying 681 00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:43,720 Speaker 1: because Watson does this all the time. He's been sacked 682 00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:47,680 Speaker 1: ten times in two games. Ten times in two games, 683 00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:51,160 Speaker 1: the beat goes on here. Despite Laramie Tunzel being the 684 00:35:51,200 --> 00:35:54,400 Speaker 1: new sheriff in town, Watson is the weak link. He 685 00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:58,120 Speaker 1: sucked last week against Jacksonville's defense. It wasn't for a 686 00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:01,680 Speaker 1: late turnover UH the and then Jacksonville and also that 687 00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:04,320 Speaker 1: two point conversion that didn't go well. Jacksonville could have 688 00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:08,840 Speaker 1: easily won that game. The book on him out of Clemson. 689 00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:12,200 Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson was this guy's fragile UH and he will 690 00:36:12,200 --> 00:36:14,560 Speaker 1: struggle to stay healthy in the NFL, and so far 691 00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:16,560 Speaker 1: that has been the case. He has always dinged up. 692 00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:19,280 Speaker 1: He's always got some kind of ailment and it affects 693 00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:22,720 Speaker 1: his performance. And I would expect a bullrush this weekend. 694 00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,840 Speaker 1: I really do like the Chargers uh secondary also with 695 00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:28,840 Speaker 1: guys like Casey Hayward and Desmond King who should be 696 00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:32,480 Speaker 1: able to slow down Deshaun, Deshaun Hopkins UH and Deshaun 697 00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:35,920 Speaker 1: Watson so good rebound spot zig zag theory betting on 698 00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:40,480 Speaker 1: the Charges after a indignity losing to the Lions, the 699 00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:44,040 Speaker 1: public's all over Houston as a dog. I'll take the 700 00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:48,640 Speaker 1: Chargers thirty, Texans sixteen. Deshaun Watson gets knocked out of 701 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:53,520 Speaker 1: this game. Penny is going DeAndre Hopkins and the Houston Texans, 702 00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:57,000 Speaker 1: all right. Next up we have Pittsburgh oh and two 703 00:36:57,200 --> 00:37:00,800 Speaker 1: at San Francisco too and oh with Greg Humble and 704 00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,839 Speaker 1: Trent Green on the call. The forty Niners. This game 705 00:37:03,920 --> 00:37:05,880 Speaker 1: opened to pick him in. The Niners have them as 706 00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:10,160 Speaker 1: a touchdown favorite on my big board. So Santa Clara, uh, 707 00:37:10,719 --> 00:37:14,839 Speaker 1: laying a touchdown after the game opened, a pick him. 708 00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:17,840 Speaker 1: That's a big number there, uh in this game. So 709 00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:21,680 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the I'm gonna take the forty Niners here. 710 00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:24,120 Speaker 1: Uh you know, actually no, I'm not. I'm gonna go 711 00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:25,680 Speaker 1: the other on. I'm gonna take the Steers here on 712 00:37:26,080 --> 00:37:28,640 Speaker 1: that that line is too big to me. That line, 713 00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:31,160 Speaker 1: I don't think that line even with the backup quarterback here. 714 00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:35,120 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take. I'm gonna take Pittsburgh. Same thinking 715 00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:38,279 Speaker 1: with some of these other teams. Pittsburgh's owen too. Uh. 716 00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:40,680 Speaker 1: They still think they're gonna be a competitive team even 717 00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:43,640 Speaker 1: without Roethlisberger. They got Mason Rudolph, the red nose quarterback. 718 00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:47,920 Speaker 1: It's his first dance as the Steelers quarterback. Will he 719 00:37:48,080 --> 00:37:51,160 Speaker 1: have beginners luck? Will the forty Niners take advantage. They 720 00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:55,560 Speaker 1: have been very opportunistic here the first couple of weeks. Uh. 721 00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:57,680 Speaker 1: And you say, one of this a pretty good spot here, 722 00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:02,000 Speaker 1: but you you gotta keep an eye on the wounded bear. 723 00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:05,680 Speaker 1: The Steelers are a wounded bear, and the wounded bear 724 00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:09,480 Speaker 1: is very dangerous. Uh. Niners have been celebrated here in 725 00:38:09,480 --> 00:38:11,200 Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks with these winds or two 726 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:17,200 Speaker 1: and oh, Jimmy Garoppolo has played much better than I expected. 727 00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:21,480 Speaker 1: He's put on a passing clinic last week. The Niners 728 00:38:21,600 --> 00:38:24,880 Speaker 1: start to to get some buzz, they start buying into 729 00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:27,279 Speaker 1: that hype, and then they slip up and don't play 730 00:38:27,320 --> 00:38:29,879 Speaker 1: a great game. Niners will win, but they won't cover. 731 00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:32,480 Speaker 1: I'll take the Steelers and the points forty Niners twenty 732 00:38:32,520 --> 00:38:37,520 Speaker 1: six Steelers twenty three. Penny's going with the home team 733 00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:40,560 Speaker 1: and this one sent to Clara Hey. Thanks for subscribing 734 00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:43,640 Speaker 1: to the Benny Versus the Penny podcast, which is part 735 00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:45,440 Speaker 1: of the Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and trying the 736 00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:47,479 Speaker 1: other podcast as well, which is just us playing grab 737 00:38:47,520 --> 00:38:50,239 Speaker 1: bass for like an hour and a half or something 738 00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:53,560 Speaker 1: like that. Uh, and just don't be non sports stories. 739 00:38:53,640 --> 00:38:55,399 Speaker 1: We have a good time with that and and tell 740 00:38:55,480 --> 00:38:57,680 Speaker 1: a friend about this. If you're you've got friends gamblers 741 00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,239 Speaker 1: and they want to hear this, and you think it 742 00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:01,600 Speaker 1: has some value you giving an opinions on games. And 743 00:39:01,880 --> 00:39:04,480 Speaker 1: the way I tell people to do this is when 744 00:39:04,520 --> 00:39:06,800 Speaker 1: you when you listen to the show, if you you 745 00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:08,759 Speaker 1: should have some ideas on what you think is gonna 746 00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:10,920 Speaker 1: happen in the games. And then if I agree with you, 747 00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:14,160 Speaker 1: then that's a game you should know. You know what 748 00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:16,520 Speaker 1: I'm saying, Like I I wouldn't bet all of these games. 749 00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:18,560 Speaker 1: You shouldn't bet every game anyway. But if you're if 750 00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:20,719 Speaker 1: you're a gambling type and you're listening this, you probably 751 00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:23,239 Speaker 1: are a gambler, I would think, while hell else would 752 00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:25,759 Speaker 1: you listen to this um So you go in with 753 00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:28,040 Speaker 1: the minds, like for example, the Sunday night game Rams 754 00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:30,520 Speaker 1: and Browns two and oh Rams oh and one Browns. 755 00:39:30,600 --> 00:39:32,399 Speaker 1: If you have a side that you like in the game, 756 00:39:32,880 --> 00:39:34,480 Speaker 1: you have to then decide do you want to take 757 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:37,200 Speaker 1: that Saturday Night it's Al Michael's and Chris Collinsworth. I'll 758 00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 1: tell you what I think. The Rams are a three 759 00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:43,760 Speaker 1: point road favorite. Uh in this particularly actually it opened 760 00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:45,440 Speaker 1: it two and a half. It's at three. The public 761 00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:47,200 Speaker 1: is betting on the Rams. I think the publics on 762 00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:48,920 Speaker 1: the right side. I like to bet against the public. 763 00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:51,920 Speaker 1: I know home Dogs are good, but I just have 764 00:39:52,040 --> 00:39:54,000 Speaker 1: not seen enough from the Browns here to leave me 765 00:39:54,040 --> 00:39:55,880 Speaker 1: to believe they're gonna be great. Sean mcbay's team has 766 00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:58,080 Speaker 1: been able to win ugly. Rams are two and oh 767 00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:00,560 Speaker 1: they have yet to put everything together, like a diesel 768 00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:03,279 Speaker 1: engine that takes time to warm up. It's trial and 769 00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:06,439 Speaker 1: error right now. Rams arete and yards per game holy, 770 00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:10,240 Speaker 1: Sean McVeigh. Jared Goff has been at inadequate. He's provided 771 00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:13,920 Speaker 1: shoddy and inferior quarterback plays, averaging a very average pedestrian 772 00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:19,560 Speaker 1: seven yards per attempt, twenty in quarterback rating behind Derek Carr, 773 00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:22,160 Speaker 1: Joe Flacco, guys like that. The saving race for the 774 00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:25,520 Speaker 1: Rams is the defense Aaron Donald, who statistically has not 775 00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:29,440 Speaker 1: been great, and but his teammates are collectively the ensemble 776 00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:32,759 Speaker 1: cast fifth in yards allowed. The Rams are, and part 777 00:40:32,840 --> 00:40:34,759 Speaker 1: of that is because of a very friendly schedule. I'm 778 00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:37,240 Speaker 1: not naive to that. The second thing here, Baker Mayfield 779 00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:40,719 Speaker 1: and the Browns have not impression. Mayfield has been played 780 00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:44,600 Speaker 1: in terrible football to start the year. Uh. They did 781 00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:46,560 Speaker 1: get a nice comfortable win against the Jets, but they 782 00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:48,320 Speaker 1: didn't even score a lot of style points against the 783 00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:51,200 Speaker 1: bottom feeder team like the Jets. They can only ride 784 00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:53,960 Speaker 1: the coattails of Baker Mayfield so far because the coat 785 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:57,479 Speaker 1: tails are sour. They're rotting their sulfur. And you gotta 786 00:40:57,520 --> 00:40:59,759 Speaker 1: think the Rams are going to be able to under 787 00:40:59,840 --> 00:41:03,320 Speaker 1: my nine Baker Mayfield. He don't need some smelling salts 788 00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:05,759 Speaker 1: with that Ram defense here. Rams have been a great 789 00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:09,279 Speaker 1: road team under Sean McVeigh since he took over. There's 790 00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:12,320 Speaker 1: a good spot earlier this season. Not gonna be ridiculously cold, 791 00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:16,440 Speaker 1: nasty weather in Cleveland. It will be fine, calm, mild conditions. 792 00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:19,520 Speaker 1: It's not like a West Coast team going to snow 793 00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:22,560 Speaker 1: game if this game had been played in December in Cleveland. 794 00:41:23,120 --> 00:41:31,040 Speaker 1: Rams Brown's twenty unanimous selection there. Penny's also going with 795 00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:34,879 Speaker 1: the Rams alright. Last one Monday Night Football Chicago one 796 00:41:34,920 --> 00:41:37,760 Speaker 1: on one at Washington, Oh and two. It's on ESPN 797 00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:43,080 Speaker 1: with Joe Testa tour and Booker McFarland and the Chicago 798 00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:46,760 Speaker 1: Bears opened a five point favorite. The line is currently 799 00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:50,440 Speaker 1: at four here. And I don't love this matchup, but 800 00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:52,600 Speaker 1: I am gonna take the Chicago Bears, and I'll tell 801 00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:56,359 Speaker 1: you why. Chicago has a not so subtle problem. It's 802 00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,920 Speaker 1: Mitchell Trobiski who has been in a death spiral as 803 00:42:00,000 --> 00:42:02,240 Speaker 1: since the beginning of the year. He's got the second 804 00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:05,839 Speaker 1: worst quarterback rating in the NFL. Only Ryan Fitzpatrick, who 805 00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:09,600 Speaker 1: just got benched this week, has been worse. But wait, 806 00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:12,560 Speaker 1: there's more. He's tied for the second most uncatchable passes 807 00:42:12,640 --> 00:42:15,960 Speaker 1: with Kirk Cousins and uh, he's just been bad all 808 00:42:15,960 --> 00:42:19,520 Speaker 1: the way around. So I don't love the Bears because 809 00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:21,440 Speaker 1: of him, but I'm gonna take the Bears in spite 810 00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:24,160 Speaker 1: of him, mainly because of the shortcomings of the Redskins, 811 00:42:24,600 --> 00:42:26,520 Speaker 1: and I was on the Redskins last week. They just 812 00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:31,120 Speaker 1: could not hang with Dallas and even having the spunk 813 00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:33,319 Speaker 1: of case Keeno, which I do. I do think he's 814 00:42:33,320 --> 00:42:36,439 Speaker 1: got that moxie that I like. Um, not that he's good, 815 00:42:37,120 --> 00:42:40,000 Speaker 1: but there are limits that the Bears defense should man 816 00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:44,919 Speaker 1: handle case Keenum. Chicago doesn't have to score that much 817 00:42:45,000 --> 00:42:47,600 Speaker 1: if they're able to put a blockade up and have 818 00:42:47,760 --> 00:42:51,920 Speaker 1: that old Stonewall Jackson uh situation going on against the Redskins. 819 00:42:51,960 --> 00:42:55,280 Speaker 1: And and although true Bisky's follies make this a less 820 00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:59,279 Speaker 1: than fully desirable situation to lay over a field goal 821 00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:03,160 Speaker 1: with the Bear, however, the value is in the Chicago's defense. 822 00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:08,720 Speaker 1: That's the most impressive unit on any team in this game. Redskins. Also, 823 00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:10,800 Speaker 1: if you go by the trend, how about this for 824 00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:16,760 Speaker 1: a trend. Since y years, the Washington Redskins have played 825 00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:19,920 Speaker 1: eighteen Monday night football games at home in the Dan 826 00:43:20,040 --> 00:43:23,839 Speaker 1: Snyder run here since you know how many of those 827 00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:28,640 Speaker 1: games they've covered one one in seventeen against the spread 828 00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:31,680 Speaker 1: in Monday nine games. That is unbelievable. They have changed 829 00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:35,520 Speaker 1: coaches and quarterbacks and players, and they did not compete 830 00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:38,719 Speaker 1: in Monday night. And they'll hang around this game. But 831 00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:43,200 Speaker 1: take the Bears and ride that defense. Bears sixteen, Redskins 832 00:43:43,360 --> 00:43:48,880 Speaker 1: nine penny on the other way, going with the Skins, 833 00:43:50,040 --> 00:43:52,279 Speaker 1: all right, that's it. That's a rap. It is benny 834 00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:56,040 Speaker 1: versus the penny for another week. Enjoy the games this weekend, 835 00:43:56,160 --> 00:43:58,640 Speaker 1: have some some good time. Enjoy the college football as well. 836 00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:01,080 Speaker 1: People want college football where not doing that on this 837 00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:03,000 Speaker 1: at least not for now. But there will be a 838 00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:06,600 Speaker 1: guaranteed winning week I'm gonna have a winning I'm calling 839 00:44:06,640 --> 00:44:09,040 Speaker 1: my shot. I like the card this week. It's gonna 840 00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:10,960 Speaker 1: be like pitch and putt. I will. I'll be all 841 00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:12,759 Speaker 1: right here, so I have a great weekend. Thank you, 842 00:44:12,840 --> 00:44:16,800 Speaker 1: guess JN. Send us email feedback on our social media channels. 843 00:44:16,880 --> 00:44:21,120 Speaker 1: Ben Mallard Show on Facebook, Ben Mallard Show on Reddit, 844 00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:25,239 Speaker 1: Ben Maller on Twitter. Email us Real Fifth Hour at 845 00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:28,320 Speaker 1: gmail dot com. Be warned that guesscon will get that 846 00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:31,040 Speaker 1: email before me and have a great week and face 847 00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:31,479 Speaker 1: real listening