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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn. Ten seconds

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Speaker 2: of eighty they just go show under the basket, under

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Speaker 2: the basket.

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Speaker 3: It's the truth for the wind, God, the go a miracle.

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Speaker 1: I'm just it's up the water.

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Speaker 3: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 1: Shuck it all.

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Speaker 4: It's college basketball.

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Speaker 1: It's not the size on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 3: It's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast. This is the weekend college basketball betting

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Speaker 1: preview and conference tournament Review, Part three. I'm stuck in

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Speaker 1: with me as always on every Friday is BJ Cunningham. BJ.

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Speaker 1: Howe goes the March that.

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Speaker 4: It goes right, it goes very well. I mean, this

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Speaker 4: is the best time, the best time of the year.

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Speaker 5: I'd say probably the best two months for the sports

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Speaker 5: would be October and March. I mean, there's just so

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Speaker 5: much ahead of us. It's gonna be so much fun. Obviously,

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Speaker 5: we have a couple of conference tournaments starting, but man,

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Speaker 5: when Monday hits next week, it's gonna feel so so

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Speaker 5: good when and on Tuesday when ACC tips off and everything,

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Speaker 5: it's gonna feel so great. So yes, best month of

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Speaker 5: year and a lot of us.

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Speaker 1: Still yeah this I finally got maybe the break that

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Speaker 1: I've been waiting for with that incredible ut Island and cover.

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Speaker 1: They're on fourteen with three to go. We've got a

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Speaker 1: one percent chance to cover back door three and then

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Speaker 1: in Bounce goes off of UL. I feel so bad

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Speaker 1: for end Ull. That's a bad way to start your day,

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Speaker 1: those noon tips. Like you feel like if you hit it,

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Speaker 1: you're feeling it. If you don't, you're like, oh God,

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Speaker 1: what am I in for today? So that felt good.

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Speaker 1: Still out a bunch. I'm not going to sit here

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Speaker 1: and complain about that. Here's the thing, like, it's been

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Speaker 1: an unlucky season for me, but well everyone has unlucky

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Speaker 1: seasons and lucky seasons. No one talks about the lucky, right,

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Speaker 1: you know, no one focuses on the lucky. When you're running, well,

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Speaker 1: you're on fire and you know maybe it's just because

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Speaker 1: you're lucky, but no one will ever focus on that.

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Speaker 1: It's just a lot. These are all my great calls.

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Speaker 1: So uh, it's more so we're dwelling on the positives

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Speaker 1: and moving forward. So that was a nice one to

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Speaker 1: get We have a lot to get to. Today, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna cover three conference sorts. Shorter episode today, there's no interviews,

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Speaker 1: no Friday Night six back. We'll highlight a spot or

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Speaker 1: two that we'll talk about on tomorrow's slate, and then

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Speaker 1: a spot or too Saturday. A lot of it's to

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Speaker 1: be determined. Colin will join us in just a minute,

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Speaker 1: and then you know, we'll keep this short and sweet

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Speaker 1: because next week, like Sunday and Monday, you're gonna have

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Speaker 1: about four or five episodes. I'm doing one. I'm doing

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Speaker 1: one with the each of the guys from three men

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Speaker 1: weave covering like four conference sortaments each that I'm doing

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Speaker 1: another one with Colin, Mike and Bjai on Monday, we're

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Speaker 1: covering five more. We're gonna be covering. I'm gonna be

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Speaker 1: doing episodes for twenty conference I think sixteen or seventeen

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Speaker 1: conference tournaments next Sunday night and Monday. It's it's gonna

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Speaker 1: be amazing. So yeah, before we get into everything and

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Speaker 1: get Colin here, take away from the week rant wherever

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Speaker 1: you want to go with it? What do you go?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it's I mean, the Wisconsin Purdue game was incredible

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Speaker 5: on I believe that was Tuesday Nights. You know, Purdue

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Speaker 5: obviously per shock Wall, you should have watched out with

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Speaker 5: the win. Wisconsin banks a couple in but just incredible

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Speaker 5: environments right now in college basketball.

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Speaker 4: The Big Ten I think is somewhat up for grabs

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Speaker 4: right now.

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Speaker 5: There's a couple other conferences that, especially the SEC, that

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Speaker 5: looks completely upergrabs. It's just gonna be a really, really

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Speaker 5: fun conference tournament time now that just upsets are happening

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Speaker 5: left and right around the country. So there's gonna be

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Speaker 5: just a ton of parody as we go through these

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Speaker 5: next two weeks, and it's gonna be a lot of

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Speaker 5: fun and also, you know, be prepared for some pain

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Speaker 5: as well.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, lots of fat. Yeah yeah. I look, it

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Speaker 1: was a great win by Wisconsin. I was also impressed

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Speaker 1: by Providence Stafford they put up at Villanova. The I

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Speaker 1: thought LSU kind of got the cheft by the refs

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Speaker 1: a little bit. Against Arkansas. That was another incredible game. LSU,

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Speaker 1: by the way, they think commit some dumbfouls. I they

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Speaker 1: got a bad whistle a little bit, but one of

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Speaker 1: their let's see, so Wilkinson fouled out and Tarr Easton

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Speaker 1: filed out Tari Easton, who's an incredible player. He has

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Speaker 1: now filled out in three straight games against Kentucky, Missouri, Arkansas.

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Speaker 1: He's played thirteen, twenty and eighteen minutes in those three games.

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Speaker 1: He's found out all of them, and he was playing

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Speaker 1: awesome in the second half. It might have cost LLC

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Speaker 1: the game. But I got to talk with the Big South.

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Speaker 1: I mean, can we get every conference like the Big Stuff? Yesterday?

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Speaker 1: Four Big South games we had. The first there was

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Speaker 1: a buzzer beater trot Chuck Southern with a huge upset,

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Speaker 1: and then we get two overtime games and then we

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Speaker 1: get a double overtime game and a four point play

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Speaker 1: at the buzzer to end it. I can't wait for

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Speaker 1: the Big South and return tomorrow. Maybe we'll talk about

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Speaker 1: have a game that I'll mention. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: you do too, but we have Colin here now live

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Speaker 1: from looks like he's at home in Arkansas.

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Speaker 3: Wilson.

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Speaker 5: What are you doing, hi, oh Jim, I'm just testing

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Speaker 5: my Moroccas usually when I have mind tested, the doctor

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Speaker 5: makes me turn my head and caught.

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Speaker 1: What's the where do we start? In baseball? My? My, my,

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Speaker 1: guy's say like ethics like June Memorial Dash. What do

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Speaker 1: you think for me?

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Speaker 2: SEC Tournament? I'm sorry, SEC Conference play starts in April.

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Speaker 2: So if we don't have MLB, Like, if I'm not

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Speaker 2: tracking bullpen meltdowns from like the Orioles and the and

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Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks in April, then I guess we're gonna move

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Speaker 2: on to SEC bullpen meltdowns.

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Speaker 3: That's just gonna be the life until we get MLB back.

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Speaker 1: Pick your date, though, pick the date you would guess

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Speaker 1: it starts.

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Speaker 2: Uh, you gotta get in for a Memorial days.

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Speaker 3: So let's let's go May twenty fourth.

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Speaker 1: Right, Well, your Hoggs stayed hot, pulled out I would

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Speaker 1: look like could have been a loss, but they pulled

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Speaker 1: out a win. The muscleman gets shirtless again. I think

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Speaker 1: I saw his big.

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Speaker 2: Well, he is the first game without the sling, right,

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Speaker 2: So we've had the sling for like two months since

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Speaker 2: Wade ran into him and he busted up all these muscles.

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Speaker 2: He had this surgery, and so I was thinking with

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Speaker 2: this like winning streak, and I know it was like

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Speaker 2: thirteen or fourteen and there was a loss in there.

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Speaker 2: We can't take the sling off and LSU did you

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Speaker 2: and I wrote the game up. LSU did exactly what

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Speaker 2: we thought. You know, Easton was protecting the rim, Xavi

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Speaker 2: or Pinson was locking down. JD note. That's the only

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Speaker 2: way you're gonna beat Kansas. You got to lock down,

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Speaker 2: JD note. And so I thought that we were finished.

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Speaker 2: But amazingly, this Budwalton Arena rabbit foot, I mean stuck

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Speaker 2: you and I in college football talk about postgame win expectancy.

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Speaker 2: I haven't had the chance to check the shot quality

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Speaker 2: box score. What was our chance to really win that game?

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Speaker 2: Like one percent?

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Speaker 4: Actually, you guys had sixty five actually and.

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Speaker 2: LSU covered eight. Yeah, LSU covered the whole time. So hey,

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Speaker 2: the rabbit foots can. I think it's going to end

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Speaker 2: to Tennessee. But that's not going to be for a

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Speaker 2: lack of it of effort because of muscle and he

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Speaker 2: always has his going.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, there's only so many times I found

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Speaker 1: Arkansas fan I think you like, I mean seating, they're

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Speaker 1: still rising and seating. But like, taking a loss wouldn't

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Speaker 1: be the worst thing at Tennessee. It's not gonna hurt

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Speaker 1: your resume and all these emotions like that Arcanla's gonna

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Speaker 1: have a dud sometime soon. Like there's just just such

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Speaker 1: so many emotional games and emotional wins, like Saturday is

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Speaker 1: like a good time to have it. And then you

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Speaker 1: kind of reset before the SEC tournament. You kind of like, Okay,

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Speaker 1: we're not that good, right You tell your players that.

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Speaker 1: That's kind of what you want it. You want a

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Speaker 1: good spot to tell them that heading into March. By

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Speaker 1: the way, your boy Jalen Williams, that man loves taking

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Speaker 1: trying to take charges and taking charges. I've never seen

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Speaker 1: anyone love it, love it more.

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Speaker 2: I was calling a BS on one of his flops.

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Speaker 2: I'm like, there's no way. I barely got brushed, fell

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Speaker 2: to the floor. I mean we're talking nineteen ninety four,

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Speaker 2: Corey Beck. We're taking about eight per game. So there

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Speaker 2: you can cast your tickets there and bring.

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Speaker 1: Up after tickets, going brings up our nineties Arkanitela basketball.

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Speaker 1: All right, so what do you got? You always cut

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Speaker 1: to us with a winner. I think we're gonna call

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Speaker 1: we're gonna call your bet last week a bush. Sadly

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Speaker 1: I had too, and we'll call it. We'll call it

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Speaker 1: a push. So it should have been a winner, they

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Speaker 1: blow a fucking inadverted whistle and then they come back

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Speaker 1: and split free throws in a bank in three to

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Speaker 1: I mean, just incredible. I feel bad for anyone two

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Speaker 1: and a half or three, but that's the way it

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Speaker 1: goes sometimes. All right, what do you got? You always

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Speaker 1: come to us with one winner. Could be conference tournament,

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Speaker 1: it could be a future, could be something for this weekend.

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Speaker 1: The floor is yours.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I would suggest getting a number early because there's

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Speaker 2: two pushes in a row. Two pushes the last three

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Speaker 2: weeks for me from the closing number, but the opening

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Speaker 2: numbers would have cashed. I'm staying in the SEC, you know,

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Speaker 2: of course, where I feel most comfortable.

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Speaker 3: Auburn is going.

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Speaker 2: To play at at the eleven am slate at eleven

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Speaker 2: am in God's time zone, God's country, and I think,

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Speaker 2: you know they're gonna whop up on South Carolina. The

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Speaker 2: SEC is going to be theirs. That deems Tennessee's chance,

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Speaker 2: you know, because they have a tiebreaker over Auburn of

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Speaker 2: sharing a conference title.

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Speaker 3: That Dean nol in that game.

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Speaker 2: Arkansas I don't think has a shot in the world.

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Speaker 2: There's some sort of weird puzzle. It would take a

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Speaker 2: crazy amount of things to happen. Kentucky lost to Auburn.

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Speaker 2: So there's a lot of things where Kentucky shouldn't be

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Speaker 2: motivated for this game. One, they can only share a

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Speaker 2: conference title if Auburn loses South Carolina, but that game

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Speaker 2: is already gonna be at half by the time Kentucky tips.

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Speaker 2: So when Kentucky goes into halftime at Gainesville against Florida,

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Speaker 2: there's no.

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Speaker 3: Chance that they can win out right.

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Speaker 2: Maybe they can flop two three seeds, it's not going

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Speaker 2: to really matter in the SEC tourna. There's really no

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Speaker 2: reason to play as hard as possible in this game.

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Speaker 2: Now you look at Florida, They're not only on the bubble,

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Speaker 2: they're they're Lunardi's next.

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Speaker 3: Four out right now. This is a crucial game for them.

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Speaker 2: If they lose this game, they're gonna have to win

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Speaker 2: the games. Yeah, they're gonna have to win three games

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Speaker 2: in the SEC Tournament at a minimum. If they win

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Speaker 2: this game, they still might have to win two but

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Speaker 2: to get down into x's and o's.

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Speaker 1: But if they win it, they might be into the

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Speaker 1: like it last four in That's how big this one could.

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Speaker 2: Be huge and they're playing at home, and I think

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Speaker 2: when you get down to like, you know, x's and

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Speaker 2: o's and everything, both Florida Kentucky are two the highest

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Speaker 2: efficiency teams in the SEC and doing dribble three pointers,

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Speaker 2: just dribbling up to the line and shooting it. The

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Speaker 2: difference is Florida's frequency is second in the SEC.

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Speaker 3: That is their bread and butter.

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Speaker 2: Their point distribution per Ken Palm, highest of any other

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Speaker 2: team in the SEC of taking three pointers. Kentucky's defense

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Speaker 2: per shot quality is tenth in the SEC and defending

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Speaker 2: the dribble in three So what Florida does best and

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Speaker 2: what they do most, Kentucky's tenth in the SEC and

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Speaker 2: defending it. So if you combine that with a little,

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Speaker 2: you know, motivation factor, if you want to go down

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Speaker 2: narrative street, that's fine. But from an X and o's standpoint,

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Speaker 2: Florida should cover. What ken Palm is saying is going

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Speaker 2: to be a six point game. I'd play it down

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Speaker 2: to five. It's a great spot for Florida, heavily motivated.

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Speaker 2: We don't know what Kentucky's penman. You and I both

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Speaker 2: thought ty Ty and Wheeler weren't going to play against

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Speaker 2: Arkansas and they're out there collecting minutes.

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Speaker 1: So I and hitting the back door, shut off the

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Speaker 1: backboard right right.

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Speaker 2: So I'm not gonna sit here and pretend like I

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Speaker 2: know what's going through You know, Col's head about who

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Speaker 2: is and who isn't going to play, But I am.

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Speaker 3: I do know that this is the biggest game of

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Speaker 3: Florida season.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, really hype home spot. You also get you have

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Speaker 1: Castleton who can battle she Bay inside. And then the

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Speaker 1: hope is if you bet Florida because I imagine that

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Speaker 1: the first it's like a race to two fouls. In

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Speaker 1: the first half, foul trouble will probably be massive, and

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Speaker 1: you know if you're back Florida here one of the

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Speaker 1: reasons why teams have the home court advantage just because

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Speaker 1: you get an extra whistle here there. So the hope

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Speaker 1: would be that you know, big ugust and foul trouble early.

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Speaker 1: But Castle can Castleton can at least battle him inside.

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Speaker 1: So you're rolling with the Gators. You agree with you

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Speaker 1: that the Hogs go down, right, you think the Hogs

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Speaker 1: go down Saturday.

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Speaker 2: I listen from an X's and O standpoint, I don't

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Speaker 2: think we can hang with Tennessee Ken Palm says the

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Speaker 2: spread should be seven.

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Speaker 3: That indicates and if.

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Speaker 2: The market, I think the market's going to screen an

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Speaker 2: eleven am game and eleven am Central game in Knoxville.

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Speaker 2: It's just not a great spot for us, and I

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Speaker 2: thought we were going to be completely flat against LSU.

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Speaker 3: That flat game is coming.

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Speaker 2: Please get it out of the way before we get

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Speaker 2: to the tournament, before we go down to Tampa and play.

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Speaker 2: And you know where the where the where the Lightning

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Speaker 2: play their hockey games. This tournament has not been in

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Speaker 2: Tampa since two thousand and nine.

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Speaker 1: Stuck.

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Speaker 2: You and I are going to podcast about the SEC

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Speaker 2: tournament next week.

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Speaker 3: And that'll be out there for everybody.

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Speaker 2: But I would love for Arkansas to have a flat

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Speaker 2: game and lose, and I'd love to have Tennessee cover

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Speaker 2: the seven just to get them motivated for the conference tournament.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, good stuff. Has always enjoyed the weekend,

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Speaker 1: enjoy the hoops, the madness, and we'll catch up with

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Speaker 1: you next week.

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Speaker 4: All right, Thanks guys, good luck, woo pick silly all right.

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Speaker 1: Jen, let's before we get into just we'll highlight a

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Speaker 1: couple spots on Saturday, and we have three conference tournaments

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Speaker 1: that we're gonna preview. I believe the three man We've

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Speaker 1: guys covered the so Con right on Wednesday. Yep, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean I think that basically comes down to Furman

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Speaker 1: or Chattanooga, and Chattanooga can get a plus two hundred

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Speaker 1: carerd Toerman a plus one Fiftyman hasn't been to the

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Speaker 1: tournament in like decades and they always choke this firm.

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Speaker 1: I actually think there's value in Chattanooga. They stumbled a

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Speaker 1: little bit down the stretch, but you know they got

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Speaker 1: the best back court they have. You know, Desusa's back healthy,

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Speaker 1: but you have Malchai Smith Baptiste. You know, they beat

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Speaker 1: Furman twice and they didn't have Baptiste for one of

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Speaker 1: they knowed Deeusa for the other. I think Chattanooga's gonna

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Speaker 1: get it done. Furman obviously a high variance team shoot.

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Speaker 1: I think they shoot threes at the first or second

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Speaker 1: highest rate in the country. So if they're on, I

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Speaker 1: mean they're raining threes, they could beat anyone in that

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Speaker 1: conference easily. But they also have in their half of

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Speaker 1: the bracket unc G, who's like the matchup nightmare you

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Speaker 1: don't want to face because they're just like this tough,

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Speaker 1: like physical team that gonna grind you down. They can

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Speaker 1: kind they can work inside against Furman, kind of bully

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Speaker 1: them a little bit, so that could be a potential stumble.

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Speaker 1: I think Furman won both games of seas, but they

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Speaker 1: were both really close. But I think it was about

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Speaker 1: your chatdoock. I think the best team in that conference

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Speaker 1: and you're getting them plus two hundred other easier path

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Speaker 1: to the final. But I think ultimately we'll see Furman

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Speaker 1: versus Chattanooga round three. And by the way, big narrative

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Speaker 1: to get out of the way. It's hard to beat

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Speaker 1: a team three times. That narrative has kind of been debunked.

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Speaker 1: And if you go back thirty years, thirty seasons, the

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Speaker 1: team that won the first two games is fifty two

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Speaker 1: percent against the spread in the third meeting, So there's

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Speaker 1: really no edge there. Now, there can be an edge

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Speaker 1: in certain circumstances, So if there was, like depending on

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Speaker 1: how you lost or what the matchup is, but a

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Speaker 1: lot of times there's a reason the team lost twice. Right,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna be in a conference tournament. It's not like

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Speaker 1: there's gonna be a motivation difference, right, Like it's a

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Speaker 1: conference tournament, right, So there are exceptions to this where

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Speaker 1: it's hard to beat a team three times. Like you know,

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Speaker 1: if there's you have a huge favorite, then they're not

327
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Speaker 1: really playing for anything. In the conference tournament, there's a

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Speaker 1: team playing for their lives like there's but these are

329
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Speaker 1: just one off things. Don't bet into that narrative. It's

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Speaker 1: been debunked and you can go back and look at

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Speaker 1: the oracles that I just quoted. But let's move on

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Speaker 1: to the America East. We're gonna cover three conferences. That

333
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Speaker 1: shouldn't take too much time today because there's, uh, there's

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Speaker 1: some heavy favorites. But I think the Colonial, which we'll

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Speaker 1: get to, is the most interesting. But America East eighteen

336
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Speaker 1: tourney's played on the home court of the higher seed

337
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Speaker 1: fre each game. Stony Brook is not included. They have

338
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Speaker 1: a postseason ban Vermont is a minus six hundred cut down.

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Speaker 4: The nets, like, I don't I have something that big, and.

340
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Speaker 1: I think I feel like I've seen good Zaga Hire

341
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Speaker 1: and yeah, but now, I mean this year you have

342
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Speaker 1: a lot better teams than the WCC. But but the

343
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Speaker 1: thing with Zaga is you get a double buys through

344
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Speaker 1: the semis and then you just got to win two games,

345
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Speaker 1: but I think I've seen get back in like minus

346
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Speaker 1: eight hundred before. But in this is just an eighteen tourney.

347
00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:08,720
Speaker 1: There's no buys. But Vermont has a pretty easy path

348
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Speaker 1: to the final. It alst one game all season in

349
00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:15,800
Speaker 1: conference in overtime. It was by one to Hartford when

350
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Speaker 1: Ryan Davis, who's their stud and Finn Sullivan their point.

351
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Speaker 1: They were out and Hartford went twelve of twenty four

352
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Speaker 1: from three and one by one in overtime. They did

353
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Speaker 1: just beat New mess Lowell by one, but they were

354
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Speaker 1: up thirty in the second half. Every other game was

355
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Speaker 1: decided by double digits. The second best odds are UNBC

356
00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:36,200
Speaker 1: ivily to ten to one. I'm not laying six hundred,

357
00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:40,600
Speaker 1: but I am not interested in any other team in

358
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Speaker 1: this conference. This is Vermont's would be an interesting team

359
00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:46,280
Speaker 1: to get in the tournament that their offenses just can

360
00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:49,120
Speaker 1: go in these runs and just bury teams out of nowhere,

361
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Speaker 1: especially in that that conference. It's a pretty down America East.

362
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Speaker 1: So I got nothing here. I think this is just

363
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Speaker 1: the Vermont Cruz. Unless something goes catastrophe wrong, You got

364
00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:01,240
Speaker 1: anything here?

365
00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:01,880
Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 5: No, I'm pretty much just gonna end up passing. There's

367
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Speaker 5: one team I did take a little bit of a

368
00:17:05,800 --> 00:17:08,040
Speaker 5: look at, but I'll probably end up passing up. Albany

369
00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:11,040
Speaker 5: is fifty to one right now, the five seed. They

370
00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 5: just got one of their best players, Defandre Perry back

371
00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:15,440
Speaker 5: to Temple transfer. It looked like he was going to

372
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Speaker 5: miss the rest of this season and just miraculously in

373
00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:19,520
Speaker 5: the last game of the season was you know, doing

374
00:17:19,600 --> 00:17:22,760
Speaker 5: jumpers for the game and I'm actually playing over ten minutes.

375
00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:24,639
Speaker 5: So who knows what you're gonna get from him in

376
00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:27,520
Speaker 5: a conference tournament coming off the Laundery like that. But

377
00:17:27,680 --> 00:17:30,720
Speaker 5: they will be the five seed. There's a potential if

378
00:17:30,760 --> 00:17:33,760
Speaker 5: you can get an upset from the three to six

379
00:17:33,880 --> 00:17:36,719
Speaker 5: game or the seven two game, because the way this

380
00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:39,920
Speaker 5: one works is that it's always played the lowest lowes

381
00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,000
Speaker 5: seed always plays the highest seed, So there's the potential

382
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:45,920
Speaker 5: they could avoid Vermont in the semifinals if they can

383
00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:47,680
Speaker 5: get past the four seed. Is still up in the

384
00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:49,840
Speaker 5: air right now because some seeding still needs to be

385
00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:53,280
Speaker 5: side in the um Mass Lowell and Hartford game tonight,

386
00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:57,240
Speaker 5: but with him back, Alby is second in the conference

387
00:17:57,240 --> 00:18:00,439
Speaker 5: per shot quality in terms of points possession allowed on

388
00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:03,640
Speaker 5: defense and transitions and also in a half.

389
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Speaker 4: Court so it's interesting.

390
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:07,760
Speaker 5: So if you get your best essentially one of your

391
00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:10,160
Speaker 5: best offensive players back, because Perry was leading the team

392
00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:12,359
Speaker 5: in scoring before he got injured, like right at the start,

393
00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:15,760
Speaker 5: I believe of conference play, it could be a huge

394
00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:17,640
Speaker 5: boost to them, But again, who knows what you're gonna

395
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Speaker 5: get from him coming off that long injury.

396
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Speaker 4: Fifty to one I think is a pretty good price.

397
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:24,560
Speaker 5: You will get a I don't know about a decent

398
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:27,480
Speaker 5: hetche opportunity in the final, because I'm sure if they

399
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Speaker 5: do actually make it all the way there, Vermont will

400
00:18:29,240 --> 00:18:32,240
Speaker 5: be probably i don't know, fifteen somewhere around that favorite.

401
00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 5: So Albani ft one is kind of interesting because they're

402
00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:37,280
Speaker 5: getting one of their best players back. But other than that, yeah,

403
00:18:37,320 --> 00:18:41,000
Speaker 5: this is just definitely not laying with Vermont just passing altogether.

404
00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:44,000
Speaker 1: On one of the worst conference. Yeah. I have no

405
00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:46,880
Speaker 1: real interest in watching it until the final and we'll

406
00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,880
Speaker 1: see how it goes. It's just not an interesting conference

407
00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:52,600
Speaker 1: this year. Yeah. All right, let's move on to the

408
00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:55,280
Speaker 1: Summit League, where we have another big favorite, not as

409
00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:58,840
Speaker 1: big as Vermont, but South Dakota State's minus one seventy

410
00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,159
Speaker 1: five to win this tournament. It's an eighteen tournament in

411
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:05,600
Speaker 1: Sioux Falls, South Dakota. No Buys North Dakota didn't make it.

412
00:19:05,600 --> 00:19:07,880
Speaker 1: They're the odd man out. But there is an advantage

413
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:11,440
Speaker 1: for the top two seeds and the top two seeds

414
00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 1: they both have easy round one game, so you play

415
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:17,439
Speaker 1: two of the of the worst teams that made the tournament.

416
00:19:17,440 --> 00:19:20,480
Speaker 1: They should cruise by. But you also get a day

417
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:22,960
Speaker 1: off before the second round. So it's actually a four

418
00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:25,640
Speaker 1: day so it's No Buys eighteen tournament, but the one

419
00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:27,119
Speaker 1: two seeds, so the one plays the eight and the

420
00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:30,800
Speaker 1: two plays is seven on day one. Then there's day

421
00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:34,600
Speaker 1: two where the three and four seeds play, and then

422
00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:36,960
Speaker 1: everyone plays the next day and then the next day,

423
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:39,359
Speaker 1: so you actually get a day off in between if

424
00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:41,160
Speaker 1: you're the one or two seed, which can be advantaged

425
00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:42,680
Speaker 1: because the other you know, if you're a three or four,

426
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:44,679
Speaker 1: you gotta win three days, three games and three days.

427
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,800
Speaker 1: So if you know, if you're Oral Roberts, I think

428
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:49,840
Speaker 1: there might be a lot of Oral Roberts love out

429
00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 1: there after what they did last year. Oh Banner's no

430
00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:55,639
Speaker 1: longer there, but Max asmas is he will have to

431
00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:58,920
Speaker 1: go nuts, which he is capable of doing and win

432
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:02,320
Speaker 1: three games in three days. They're right around five to one.

433
00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:05,359
Speaker 1: North Dakota State's right around five to one as well.

434
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:11,000
Speaker 1: They're the two seed. UMKC. The rus are twelve to one.

435
00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 1: They got one of their better players back late in

436
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:16,600
Speaker 1: the year started to play better, and South Dakota fifteen

437
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,280
Speaker 1: to one. Their offense got a lot better towards the

438
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 1: end of the year, and then Western Illinois twenty five

439
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:23,720
Speaker 1: to one. I think those are the only teams that

440
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,920
Speaker 1: have a shot. What's annoy zero death whatsoever, faded down

441
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 1: the stretch. I don't think that there's any chance whatsoever.

442
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:34,520
Speaker 1: I think that this is a pretty fairly priced market.

443
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 1: But I could see arguments for, you know, one of

444
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,320
Speaker 1: the two or three seeds, if you fancy one of them,

445
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 1: maybe you do. Bjay, what do you see here?

446
00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 5: I actually really love South Dkota State at this price,

447
00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:48,480
Speaker 5: given the fact that how easy I believe their path

448
00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:50,159
Speaker 5: to the finals is probably gonna They're gona play out

449
00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:51,840
Speaker 5: in Nebraska Maha on the first one. They're gonna be

450
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,119
Speaker 5: twenty five point favorites. They should cruise by that, like

451
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:58,200
Speaker 5: just gonna cruise. Yeah kidding, I mean brascalm on there.

452
00:20:58,320 --> 00:21:01,800
Speaker 5: I believe on Ken Pond they're seventh worst defense and

453
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 5: adjusted defensive viigency. And for those who don't know, and

454
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:05,000
Speaker 5: I haven't.

455
00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:07,440
Speaker 1: Watched, South Coast offense is a machine.

456
00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 5: They are the number They are, without a doubt, the

457
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,400
Speaker 5: best mid major offense in college basketball.

458
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:12,200
Speaker 4: It's not even close.

459
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,840
Speaker 5: They what's crazy is that, so they're the number one

460
00:21:15,840 --> 00:21:18,320
Speaker 5: team in the country in half court points per possession.

461
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:21,160
Speaker 5: They're number two in transition. They are the number one

462
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 5: team in three point field goal percentage. But if you

463
00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:26,080
Speaker 5: look at shot quality, it's actually legit like their shot

464
00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 5: quality three point percentages have around forty four percent. It's

465
00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:32,120
Speaker 5: they are an unbelievable offense. And if you go through

466
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,640
Speaker 5: all of their shot quality scores in conference play, only

467
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:37,760
Speaker 5: one team has gotten within nine points and it was

468
00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:39,960
Speaker 5: Oral Roberts in the second conference game of the season.

469
00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:43,040
Speaker 5: So they have just been trucking everybody. Now there's some

470
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:44,520
Speaker 5: results have come you know.

471
00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:46,960
Speaker 4: A little you know closer. Obviously, Oral Roberts.

472
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:48,879
Speaker 5: Game comes to minds second to last game before the

473
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 5: season ended with I went to overtime and South Coast

474
00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:52,400
Speaker 5: State is skaped by four.

475
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:55,800
Speaker 4: But what's interesting is that that game.

476
00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:57,720
Speaker 5: South Coast State closed is a minus three and a

477
00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:00,080
Speaker 5: half point favorite and minus one sixty five on the

478
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,879
Speaker 5: money line, So if you take away about three points

479
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:06,160
Speaker 5: of home court advantage South Coast States, if they cruise

480
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:08,479
Speaker 5: to the final, like they should, because you know, against

481
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:11,399
Speaker 5: South Dakota and UMKCIA, those teams came within ten points

482
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 5: of them in both meetings, they're probably gonna be minus

483
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:16,920
Speaker 5: seven seven point favorites.

484
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 1: Over OR, and OR will be playing its third game

485
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,320
Speaker 1: in if they get there.

486
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,119
Speaker 5: So they'll be well over minus two fifty on the

487
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 5: money line. So at minus one seventy five, I think

488
00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:29,600
Speaker 5: you're getting really a discount here unless something catastrophic happens

489
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:31,920
Speaker 5: in the first two games, which obviously can happens March.

490
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,960
Speaker 5: But I think the path is just too easy for

491
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:36,720
Speaker 5: South Coast State to get to that final, So I

492
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 5: think you're getting a discount here on them at minus

493
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:43,480
Speaker 5: one seventy five. You mentioned Western Illinois. I kind of

494
00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:44,920
Speaker 5: like their offense is pretty efficient.

495
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:46,920
Speaker 4: I kind of like them. The defense is absolutely horrific.

496
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 4: But the two games against Oral Roberts, they hung they

497
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:51,720
Speaker 4: won one and hung with them in the other one,

498
00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 4: and then they also beat North Dakota State as well

499
00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 4: and barely lost for the other one. So, like you said,

500
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,720
Speaker 4: they have no depth and you know that's why they're

501
00:22:58,760 --> 00:22:59,560
Speaker 4: twenty five to one.

502
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:01,919
Speaker 5: But they're also kind of interesting to potentially get to

503
00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 5: the final. But for me, I do like this price

504
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:07,320
Speaker 5: on South Dkota State. I you know, I'm kind of

505
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,280
Speaker 5: a little bit surprised it's not getting up into you know,

506
00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 5: Maya's two hundred's like similar to where like Colgate is

507
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:14,159
Speaker 5: at in the Patriot League. But obviously you know that

508
00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:18,439
Speaker 5: tournament is campus sites. But but still I love the

509
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,159
Speaker 5: South Costa State team. Selfishly, I really want them to

510
00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:24,200
Speaker 5: make the tournament. I really They're gonna be so much

511
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,520
Speaker 5: fun and a team to really pick as an upset

512
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,480
Speaker 5: in the first round. Bracket Matrix has them as a

513
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:33,119
Speaker 5: twelve right now, twelve or thirteen, and some of the

514
00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:37,280
Speaker 5: teams they'd play would be you know, Houston, Arkansas, Texas, Alabama,

515
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:38,520
Speaker 5: maybe even Providence.

516
00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:42,000
Speaker 4: That would be oh my gosh, that'd be amazing. But yeah,

517
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:44,560
Speaker 4: for me, it's it's South Dakota States or nothing here.

518
00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:49,159
Speaker 1: North Dakota State has some good size, they're healthy, and

519
00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,560
Speaker 1: they're a little intriguing to me. But not enough to

520
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 1: get involved and oral Robert le mean, look, Acemis did

521
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:56,880
Speaker 1: it last year. They won three games in three days

522
00:23:57,160 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 1: and he went off and they won the tournament. But

523
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 1: I think I would need a little more to get

524
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 1: involved here. So yeah, passed for me. But I don't

525
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:09,240
Speaker 1: mind your argument. You're right one. Just from a peer

526
00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:11,679
Speaker 1: price perspective, South Dakota State should get to the final

527
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 1: and then they should be higher than MNUS And that's

528
00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:18,560
Speaker 1: assuming that there's no like other upsets on the other

529
00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 1: end too, right, we could have someone else get knocked

530
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,879
Speaker 1: out and making them probable run to the final, and

531
00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,640
Speaker 1: then South Dakota State could cruise. All right, let's get

532
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:28,920
Speaker 1: to the most of our final. One. It's the most

533
00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:33,399
Speaker 1: interesting conference that we'll talk about today, and that's the

534
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,160
Speaker 1: Colonial and this will be played used to be playing Charleston,

535
00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,200
Speaker 1: Charleston had a little bit of advantage, but now it's

536
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:42,840
Speaker 1: in Washington, d C. So nine teams make it. Everyone

537
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:45,560
Speaker 1: has a buye except for William and Mary Northeasterns. We

538
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:48,679
Speaker 1: will play in the first round on Saturday, and the

539
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 1: one sees thousand, thousands plus one hundred to win this

540
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:58,639
Speaker 1: and not many people know about thosand incredibly they are.

541
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:03,280
Speaker 1: I think they're up to like sixty sixty five on KEMPOP.

542
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:06,880
Speaker 1: Last year they finished two hundred and ninety eight. What

543
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 1: I mean, what an incredible turnround, experienced team that added

544
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:13,360
Speaker 1: a couple key transfers. They are excellent. I mean, it's

545
00:25:13,359 --> 00:25:16,159
Speaker 1: sixty five a team ranked sixty five KEMPOM in the

546
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,280
Speaker 1: Colonial since like these and twenty eleven, I think there's

547
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,240
Speaker 1: only been one team that's been that high, and I

548
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:24,640
Speaker 1: think that's UNC Wilmington maybe five or six years ago.

549
00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:28,359
Speaker 1: So this could be arguably the best team in the

550
00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 1: Colonial over the past ten years. And they play slow,

551
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:34,120
Speaker 1: but as with any Talsand dealers scared they're gonna crash

552
00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 1: the offensive glass. Their offense is excellent. They really just

553
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,720
Speaker 1: have no weaknesses and they can put runs on people.

554
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:43,679
Speaker 1: Look at some other metrics on runs like ten oh

555
00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:46,480
Speaker 1: runs in spurt ability. They could just bury teams out

556
00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 1: of nowhere. Really balanced team, no real weaknesses. One of

557
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 1: the instant things about Talsand is that they'll play the

558
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,480
Speaker 1: winner William Mary Northeastern Northeast and just beat William Marry

559
00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:01,600
Speaker 1: by like forty. The Northeastern wins Northeastern had this disastrous year.

560
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,480
Speaker 1: For whatever reason, they gave Tows in trouble. This year

561
00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:08,159
Speaker 1: they beat thousand once and then they towsand beatn you

562
00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:10,399
Speaker 1: know close. So just for whatever reason, it might not

563
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,280
Speaker 1: be a great matchup for towsand that's why they would

564
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:14,200
Speaker 1: have to get bye and they had to play the

565
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:18,280
Speaker 1: winner of Drexel and Delaware. In the bottom half, you

566
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,840
Speaker 1: have unc Wilmington will take on Elon, and then you'll

567
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:28,359
Speaker 1: have Hofstra taking on Charleston. Hostra is plus three fifty,

568
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:32,200
Speaker 1: Drexels ten to one, Charleston's ten to one, UNCW twelve

569
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 1: to one, Delaware twelve to one, Northeastern's fifty to one.

570
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 1: Who cares about William and Mary, So you know Hosts.

571
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:41,040
Speaker 1: Some of these teams play really fast, and cost wants

572
00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:44,040
Speaker 1: to play fast. Charleston plays fastest placed hundred. Townsend wants

573
00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:47,000
Speaker 1: to play a little slower. Hofstra has incredible guard play,

574
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:49,560
Speaker 1: no size, but they really struggled with tals It in

575
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:51,359
Speaker 1: both times that they played. I don't think it's a

576
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:54,440
Speaker 1: great matchup for them. If I'm gonna take a shot,

577
00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,159
Speaker 1: and I might in this conference, I might look at Charleston.

578
00:26:57,280 --> 00:27:00,119
Speaker 1: It's a team that I think underachieved a bit, but

579
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:02,240
Speaker 1: they have a style that's like conducive to make and

580
00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:04,560
Speaker 1: run of the tournament. Heal the sculling to play really fast.

581
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 1: They got meeks back, they got healthy towards the end

582
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:08,680
Speaker 1: of the year. I think they might be a little

583
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:14,479
Speaker 1: deflated in the advanced metrics, maybe creating some value on Charleston.

584
00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:18,600
Speaker 1: I think they have some high upside, deep bench. You

585
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 1: gotta win. In order to win this, They'll have to

586
00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:23,840
Speaker 1: win win Sunday, Monday, tuesdays to win three games in

587
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,960
Speaker 1: three days, whoever's playing unless you're in northeast will we Marria,

588
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,160
Speaker 1: then you got to win four games in four days.

589
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:33,439
Speaker 1: So you know, it's not the most experienced team. But

590
00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 1: there's something that's screaming to me about Charleston. I don't

591
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:38,040
Speaker 1: know what do you see here?

592
00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 4: You know, it's interesting.

593
00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:42,919
Speaker 5: We've talked about UNC Wilmington a few times on the

594
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:46,280
Speaker 5: podcast and basically how crazy their season has been.

595
00:27:46,280 --> 00:27:47,240
Speaker 4: How many second.

596
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:49,400
Speaker 5: Half comeback I've had. It's it's been insane. I guess

597
00:27:49,400 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 5: what undefeated time. Yeah, they're now up to number one.

598
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 5: They've overtaken Providence number one on Ken Palm and Luck.

599
00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 5: But at the same time, they're sitting there at twelve

600
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:02,439
Speaker 5: to one with a favorable first round matchup against Elon.

601
00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 5: They're kind of screaming to me, especially at that price,

602
00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:08,240
Speaker 5: and the market always dictates, you know, where to go

603
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 5: on this one, and I think what they're saying is like, hey,

604
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:12,439
Speaker 5: this team is incrdibly lucky. They're not gonna win it,

605
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 5: and you know, they're basically trying to force people away

606
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,600
Speaker 5: from it, which is interesting. They are the number one

607
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,360
Speaker 5: defense on shot quality in terms of points per possession

608
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 5: allowed in both the half court and transition, their second

609
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,560
Speaker 5: internal percentage, their first and three point open three point

610
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,399
Speaker 5: rate allowed. It's a good defense, but the offense is

611
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:36,240
Speaker 5: drastically overachieved, and that's why they're sitting at the number

612
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 5: one lucky team in Ken Palm. But at the same time,

613
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 5: with the price of twelve to one, playing against hoftsher Charleston.

614
00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:46,240
Speaker 5: You know though both those teams will have a pretty

615
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,960
Speaker 5: significant edge over UNC Wilmington. But again, looking at that

616
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 5: price of twelve one, Delaware is also pretty interesting at

617
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 5: twelve one. First and shot quality, points possession on offense,

618
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:58,440
Speaker 5: second on defense, first and rim and three point rate

619
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,320
Speaker 5: on offense, and the second and second on defense. They

620
00:29:02,320 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 5: obviously have a tricky matchup against Drexel. Then they'll play Towson,

621
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 5: who beat them pretty badly in the first meeting, and

622
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 5: then in the second meeting they had like a weird

623
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 5: they had to pause the game in the middle and

624
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 5: then restart it essentially like a month later, and Towson

625
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 5: ran away with it in the second half. But so

626
00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:22,080
Speaker 5: I think you can kind of throw that game out

627
00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 5: the window. So Delaware is a little interesting to me

628
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:27,640
Speaker 5: also at twelve to one. So UNC Wilmington Delaware is

629
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 5: where I'm going at twelve to one given the prices.

630
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:32,040
Speaker 5: But I mean, Tewson is clearly the best name in

631
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 5: this in this conference, but it's there's no way I'm

632
00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:35,520
Speaker 5: laying even money with him.

633
00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, Delvin Paynter back for Delaware is big. He played

634
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:42,120
Speaker 1: twenty four minutes, although I don't know that's weird because

635
00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:43,800
Speaker 1: I don't know the actual minutes that he played. The

636
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 1: Towsics was a restarted game. But he's been back the

637
00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,360
Speaker 1: last three games. If you get him, you know more,

638
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 1: at full strength, he's capable of going for you know,

639
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:58,320
Speaker 1: twenty and twenty and ten from the center position. So

640
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 1: I think him being back is really important for Dellaery

641
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:03,720
Speaker 1: missed a bunch of games in time throughout the year,

642
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 1: but they're scary when fully healthy. So I don't mind that.

643
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,440
Speaker 1: I mean, I think that this is I think talent's

644
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:13,480
Speaker 1: probably gonna end up getting there and getting it done.

645
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:17,120
Speaker 1: But it's a fun conference to throw a little flyer

646
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:20,600
Speaker 1: on someone in the bottom half. I think. So, you know,

647
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,719
Speaker 1: dig around, see what you like for one team a player,

648
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:25,720
Speaker 1: and I think it's a good conference maybe to just

649
00:30:25,760 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 1: throw a couple of paces on a team in the

650
00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 1: bottom half. Unlike the other two that we talked about,

651
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 1: I don't think it's really worth throwing any long shot.

652
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 1: That's now next week we'll have a ton more, so

653
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 1: don't be too impatient. We're gonna have lots of lots

654
00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:42,880
Speaker 1: of long shots from the guys from Three Men Weave crew, myself, BJ,

655
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,160
Speaker 1: Mike Calburys, and then Conn will join us for the

656
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:48,440
Speaker 1: SEC episode. All right, that'll wrap up our three conference

657
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 1: tournament previews. All right, let's move on. We'll do this chronologically.

658
00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 1: Let's move on to Friday night or Friday, I should say,

659
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 1: because we have day ball and we have a late

660
00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:02,120
Speaker 1: addition to the Three Men Weave we were not not

661
00:31:02,160 --> 00:31:05,480
Speaker 1: gonna do Friday night lights. But we are six guys,

662
00:31:05,520 --> 00:31:17,959
Speaker 1: six picks. It's a college hoops, a weekend, six packs.

663
00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:14,480
Speaker 3: Bag gets.

664
00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:23,760
Speaker 1: Three men. Weave came in late with their picks, no audio,

665
00:31:24,040 --> 00:31:26,080
Speaker 1: but you know sometimes they don't have lines for these.

666
00:31:26,160 --> 00:31:31,240
Speaker 1: But uh, Matt is going with Mary State versus insert

667
00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:34,000
Speaker 1: any opponent at insert any price. They will play the

668
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 1: winner of SEABO at Tennessee State and we'll smash either

669
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 1: races to four and two last six games against the

670
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:42,280
Speaker 1: spread and OBC turney six six point cover margin next

671
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 1: to meation point, and we'll be off for blood after

672
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,640
Speaker 1: lollygagging across the finish line. Situationally motivated favorites, you can

673
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:49,240
Speaker 1: out class the dog play well in these spots against

674
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,920
Speaker 1: the weak opponent in short rest. So Matt's going Mary State.

675
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 1: Jim Campbell Gardner web under one twenty five down to

676
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 1: one twenty two, he says, And I like this too.

677
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,800
Speaker 1: I know they had a day off. Campbell's still off

678
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:05,040
Speaker 1: A two overtime game regular season meeting barely broke a hundred.

679
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 1: Gardner Webb has had time to prepare for Campbell's tricky offense.

680
00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 1: I generally believe Campbell can slow this game down, but

681
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 1: I think that gets exasperated in postseason environment. Gardner Webb's defense,

682
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 1: by the way, incredible if you look at some of

683
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 1: their metrics. Kai going with NCAA and t down plus

684
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 1: seven is down to plus five, only team to beat

685
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:26,240
Speaker 1: Longwood during the Big South season. I agree this was

686
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 1: actually gonna be mine. Maybe I could find another one.

687
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:30,960
Speaker 1: They should have won the other game I haven't plus

688
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:34,240
Speaker 1: seven out They're up twelve on the road the second half.

689
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 1: They ended up losing by eight on like a technical

690
00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:37,920
Speaker 1: that is melted down late. I think their guard's gonna

691
00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 1: have a ton of success. I think that winning that game.

692
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:43,760
Speaker 1: This is a team transfer is very talented that came

693
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,520
Speaker 1: together a disappointing year. But you know, get New Life tournament.

694
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 1: They're up big on Radford. Survive it right now. You

695
00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:52,280
Speaker 1: can just play with house money play lose play fore

696
00:32:52,320 --> 00:32:54,120
Speaker 1: you're playing long with the team that you know has

697
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:55,960
Speaker 1: all the pressure on them. The only team to beat

698
00:32:56,040 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 1: Longwood all year was NCAAT. I love them plus seven,

699
00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 1: so I agree that was mine. I'll see if I

700
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 1: could find another one, because that's probably gonna be the

701
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:09,280
Speaker 1: double one. I know you probably agree with that one, right.

702
00:33:09,120 --> 00:33:12,320
Speaker 4: Oh yeah, oh yes, won both games on shot Quliday

703
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:12,680
Speaker 4: as well.

704
00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:14,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're a Friday.

705
00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:17,760
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go Ohio minus nine and a half on

706
00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 5: the road against Northern Illinois. Ohio's now out of the

707
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 5: picture of winning MAC you know, regular season title, but

708
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:25,280
Speaker 5: this game does mean a lot in terms of seeding.

709
00:33:25,640 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 5: They're half game up on Buffalo and game up on Akron.

710
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:30,560
Speaker 5: If they drop out of the three seed, they'll have

711
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:32,320
Speaker 5: to play Buffalo or Akron in the first round because

712
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:35,840
Speaker 5: there's only eight teams in the MAC Tournament. But they

713
00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:38,480
Speaker 5: hold onto that three seed, the likely face Miami Ohio,

714
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 5: which is a much better matchup for them. Northern Illinois

715
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 5: they're not going to make the tournament. This game means

716
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 5: absolutely nothing to them. When these two teams met in

717
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,080
Speaker 5: the season, Ohio won at home seventy four to sixty two,

718
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 5: but it's not The final score is kind of misleading

719
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,840
Speaker 5: because Ohio was actually up seventy to forty two with

720
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:57,160
Speaker 5: seven minutes left. Northern Illinois finished on a twenty to

721
00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 5: four run and actually covered eighteen and a half points,

722
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,960
Speaker 5: which is kind of crazy. Northern Illinois just so unbelievably bad.

723
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 5: Offensively three hundred and fiftyifth in shot selection three hundred

724
00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,439
Speaker 5: and thirtieth and opening three point rate three hundred and fifth,

725
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 5: and points per possession on shot attempts at the rim

726
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 5: and behind the arc. It's just it's a really, really

727
00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 5: bad offense. While Ohio incredibly efficient in the half court

728
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 5: fifty ninth in the country points per possession, while Northern

729
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:23,160
Speaker 5: Illinois is tenth and mac in points possessional out and

730
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 5: half court defense.

731
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 4: Plus Ohio is top.

732
00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:29,279
Speaker 5: Two in the conference in turnover percentage both ends of

733
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:32,719
Speaker 5: the court, when Northern Illinois is ninth in turnover percentage offensively.

734
00:34:32,760 --> 00:34:35,239
Speaker 5: So I think we get a blowout from the Bobcats

735
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:37,160
Speaker 5: into calb on Friday night.

736
00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:39,439
Speaker 4: So give me them minus nine and a half, all.

737
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:40,919
Speaker 1: Right, and then I'm gonna go. I'll throw out another

738
00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:44,640
Speaker 1: big South dog Chuck Southern plus seven against USC Upstate.

739
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:47,280
Speaker 1: Pretty fortunate this year in a number of metrics. Charleston

740
00:34:47,280 --> 00:34:50,439
Speaker 1: Southern already played here in this gym, a little familiarity

741
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 1: dog with house money again, little craziness in this tournament,

742
00:34:53,719 --> 00:34:57,719
Speaker 1: catching seven, little magic off the buzzer beater. I think

743
00:34:57,760 --> 00:35:00,560
Speaker 1: this game is winnable for Chuck Southern. So give me

744
00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:04,160
Speaker 1: Charleston Southern plus seven two daytime Big Southeast. So by

745
00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:06,080
Speaker 1: the way, the Big South, I feel like, look long,

746
00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:08,360
Speaker 1: what as lucky as they were, they went fifteen to

747
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:10,879
Speaker 1: one in the conference, and like NCA and T wins

748
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:12,400
Speaker 1: and you get a day off like they should, you

749
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,040
Speaker 1: should play and then let it you have to play

750
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 1: back to back. You're penalizing your your team that won

751
00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:20,439
Speaker 1: it all. Anyway, I digress. So there's a six pack.

752
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:25,120
Speaker 1: We have Jim Campbell, Guarder Web under Matt Merristate, Kai

753
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:28,239
Speaker 1: NCAA and T plus seven Baja Ohio. And then I'm

754
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 1: gonna go Chuck Southern and then our double is on

755
00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:35,920
Speaker 1: obviously NCA and two. All right, so there you have it.

756
00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:39,440
Speaker 1: It's our Friday six pack. One final order of business

757
00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:41,840
Speaker 1: here and that's uh just a spot or two. You

758
00:35:41,880 --> 00:35:43,960
Speaker 1: have circle for Saturday. A lot is to be determined.

759
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 1: To make sure you check out the word winning action

760
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 1: over cap actionork dot com. We'll have tons of content

761
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,399
Speaker 1: for so much of the slate. We'll also have Big

762
00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:54,520
Speaker 1: Bets on Campus Live ten thirty am Eastern. You find

763
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:56,640
Speaker 1: it on Twitter with myself and the guys from the

764
00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:58,799
Speaker 1: Three Men weave and as I mentioned before, tons of

765
00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:00,920
Speaker 1: episodes on COP All the office SERTs next week are

766
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:04,160
Speaker 1: coming out Monday. I think three of them will be

767
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,600
Speaker 1: up by Monday morning. So Saturday, a lot of the

768
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:09,279
Speaker 1: card is TBD, but we do have some of it.

769
00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:12,320
Speaker 1: So many games, so little time.

770
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:14,960
Speaker 2: Let's look at the Saturday slate.

771
00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 1: What do you got circle?

772
00:36:16,640 --> 00:36:18,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, one of the best games of the day in

773
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:21,640
Speaker 5: the A ten Davidson at Dayton. Davidson's going for the

774
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 5: A ten title outright, they clinched a share of it,

775
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:28,240
Speaker 5: but if they lose this game, then Dayton can potentially

776
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:30,960
Speaker 5: whoop the number two seed. Dayton obviously coming off that

777
00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:34,359
Speaker 5: win against Richmond on Tuesday, but.

778
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:36,600
Speaker 4: Per shot quality, they should have lost it by four.

779
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:38,200
Speaker 4: But we're not better about it.

780
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:42,000
Speaker 5: Davidson incredibly efficient offense within the country and a half

781
00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:45,040
Speaker 5: court points for possession sit top six, both catch and

782
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 5: shoot and off the dribble, three point shooting, which is.

783
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:51,279
Speaker 5: But what's crazy about them is there actually due for

784
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:53,799
Speaker 5: some positive aggression from behind the arc. In conference play.

785
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:56,520
Speaker 5: They're hitting just a little over thirty five percent in

786
00:36:56,560 --> 00:36:59,120
Speaker 5: A ten play, but per shot quality they should be

787
00:36:59,160 --> 00:36:59,960
Speaker 5: around forty percent.

788
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:01,880
Speaker 4: It is the best team in the conference.

789
00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:03,759
Speaker 5: They're very good three point defense, but they are also

790
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:07,000
Speaker 5: dead last in the conference in terms of defending spacing,

791
00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 5: which means basically how much space you're giving the on

792
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 5: average between them and the shooter. And well, Davidson's number

793
00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:15,160
Speaker 5: one in the conference, and that offensively, on the flip side,

794
00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:18,640
Speaker 5: Dayton do for some negative aggression from behind the arc,

795
00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:21,520
Speaker 5: shooting way above where they should around the other above

796
00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 5: actually above forty one percent in conference play, while David's

797
00:37:24,760 --> 00:37:28,000
Speaker 5: defensively do for some potits of aggression defending three pointers.

798
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:32,399
Speaker 5: So we have a nice little regression storm there. So

799
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:35,359
Speaker 5: Ken Palm has it at Dayton minus three. I would

800
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:37,759
Speaker 5: love to get Davidson at plus three, but if I can,

801
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:41,040
Speaker 5: I'll probably end up playing the Wildcats on the money

802
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:42,920
Speaker 5: line at anything plus money.

803
00:37:43,120 --> 00:37:46,880
Speaker 1: Don't hate that. I'm going to mention a game that

804
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:50,800
Speaker 1: I already mentioned, and well, we have Florida, which I

805
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 1: think is worth targeting gets six to seven or higher.

806
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:59,320
Speaker 1: Also Tennessee. I would love to get under like six,

807
00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 1: but it might be a money line parlay piece. I

808
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,600
Speaker 1: think that this is just the dud. This is like

809
00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:07,000
Speaker 1: the doud game for Arkansas where they just the energy

810
00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 1: finally gives out. They're way overdue. Maybe I have one

811
00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:13,319
Speaker 1: or two more, but now maybe I have one more,

812
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,000
Speaker 1: But baja, I to let you get years out of

813
00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:15,799
Speaker 1: the way. What do you got?

814
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:17,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm I.

815
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,239
Speaker 5: I was looking through everything and this one kind of

816
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:22,280
Speaker 5: caught my eye when I looked into it. Big Sky

817
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:25,360
Speaker 5: Conference will go there. Portland State at Eastern Washington. So

818
00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,320
Speaker 5: Portland State started out really bad this season.

819
00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 4: They were two and.

820
00:38:29,520 --> 00:38:32,640
Speaker 5: Seven star conference play, but they've surged back to nine

821
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:35,200
Speaker 5: to nine going into Thursday, and it's because of their defense.

822
00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 5: They're number one in the conference in points for possession

823
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:40,399
Speaker 5: allowed in transition, against isolation, against pick and roll. It's

824
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:42,399
Speaker 5: just a really, really good defense. They're also number one

825
00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:45,200
Speaker 5: in turnover percentage on both offense and defense, which is

826
00:38:45,200 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 5: big against Eastern Washington, is near bottom of the conference,

827
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:49,280
Speaker 5: and both at both.

828
00:38:49,160 --> 00:38:49,720
Speaker 4: Ends of the floor.

829
00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:53,640
Speaker 5: Portland State also number one defensive rebounding percentage, which is

830
00:38:53,719 --> 00:38:57,160
Speaker 5: also big against Eastern Washington, who is tallest team in

831
00:38:57,239 --> 00:39:00,680
Speaker 5: the conference. The problem in this matchup is Washington shoots

832
00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:02,399
Speaker 5: a ton of threes. They hit him at a pretty

833
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 5: high rate, and Portland State is not a great three

834
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:05,160
Speaker 5: point defense.

835
00:39:05,239 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 4: But Eastern Washington is near the bottom of college basketball

836
00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:11,960
Speaker 4: in minutes continuity and bench minutes, and it's shown up

837
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:13,120
Speaker 4: on the defense beend to the floor.

838
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:15,400
Speaker 5: They're one of the worst in the half court three

839
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:18,359
Speaker 5: hundred and forty fourth and points per possession allowed. They're

840
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:20,480
Speaker 5: really bad against pick and roll, which is where Portland

841
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:24,680
Speaker 5: State excels. Eastern Washington also dead last and the Big

842
00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:27,440
Speaker 5: Sky in RIM and three point rate allowed, while Portland

843
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:29,600
Speaker 5: State offensive play is number one in the conference. So

844
00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:33,720
Speaker 5: ken Palm has said Eastern Washington minus eight. I would

845
00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:37,400
Speaker 5: love to get Portland State at plus eight or better,

846
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,400
Speaker 5: but I probably end up playing them down to plus

847
00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:42,320
Speaker 5: six and a half.

848
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:47,640
Speaker 1: Any early thoughts on Duke by the way, Yeah, it's

849
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,080
Speaker 1: it's very interesting because the last game, if you look

850
00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 1: at shot quality, obviously Duke.

851
00:39:51,600 --> 00:39:55,440
Speaker 5: Ran away with it pretty early. Game should have been

852
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:58,879
Speaker 5: around even you know, Duke's probably going to be ending

853
00:39:58,920 --> 00:40:01,080
Speaker 5: well to thirteen point FI favorites at home.

854
00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:01,759
Speaker 2: Uh.

855
00:40:02,080 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 5: The over is always intriguing with how well North Carolina

856
00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:07,640
Speaker 5: shoots the ball from behind the arc. But North Carolina

857
00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:09,880
Speaker 5: is also due for a little bit of regression I

858
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:10,879
Speaker 5: believe coming up here.

859
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:13,240
Speaker 4: So it's uh, it's interesting.

860
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:15,440
Speaker 5: I'm definitely not gonna lay it with Duke, but I'll

861
00:40:15,440 --> 00:40:19,360
Speaker 5: potentially be looking at an over if anything's under one fifty.

862
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:21,799
Speaker 5: I think that's a pretty good uh number for two

863
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:25,239
Speaker 5: teams that play pretty fast, So tends to look an over,

864
00:40:25,360 --> 00:40:27,760
Speaker 5: but probably gonna end up staying away.

865
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, it'll come down to the number for me. I

866
00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:34,759
Speaker 1: don't have any strong feel on it. Obviously, it's gonna

867
00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 1: be a really emotional building. They're probably gonna get a

868
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:41,160
Speaker 1: lot of calls one of that. I mean, look, Duke's

869
00:40:41,160 --> 00:40:43,680
Speaker 1: been playing really good basketball of late. They still they

870
00:40:43,760 --> 00:40:46,359
Speaker 1: stole that game at Virginia, but they you know, they

871
00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:48,879
Speaker 1: blew out Syracuse and they blew out Pit. I get it.

872
00:40:48,880 --> 00:40:52,680
Speaker 1: It's really bad oppetition. But one of the players that

873
00:40:52,719 --> 00:40:55,520
Speaker 1: I've been really impressed with is bad Chaa. In the

874
00:40:56,280 --> 00:40:59,359
Speaker 1: half He's really making some strides in the half court office,

875
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:01,040
Speaker 1: and that's kind of what's I thought it was gonna

876
00:41:01,080 --> 00:41:03,560
Speaker 1: hold Duke back. So if they can keep progressing on

877
00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:06,520
Speaker 1: that under the floor, it's a legit national title contender.

878
00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:09,320
Speaker 1: The problem is the AC so bad. It's like the

879
00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:12,680
Speaker 1: amount of like legit sample size games you get against

880
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:14,680
Speaker 1: the lead competition. It's like, all right, are they really

881
00:41:14,680 --> 00:41:17,960
Speaker 1: growing or is it just the dead pit team? That

882
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:19,200
Speaker 1: should be a good one. We'll have a lot of

883
00:41:19,600 --> 00:41:22,320
Speaker 1: content on that on Action work dot com. Like I said,

884
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:24,279
Speaker 1: most of the card is up for grabs, so make

885
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 1: sure you check out the action or caps you we play.

886
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:27,880
Speaker 1: We'll have lots of content out there that'll do it

887
00:41:27,920 --> 00:41:30,080
Speaker 1: for us. Thanks to Colin as always for joining us,

888
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:32,080
Speaker 1: the guys from the Three Men Weave for contributing to

889
00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:35,560
Speaker 1: the Friday six pack, and of course to Vjay and

890
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:39,120
Speaker 1: as always, thank you for listening. Appreciate all of your support.

891
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:41,560
Speaker 1: It's the best time of the year. Let's have a March.

892
00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:44,840
Speaker 1: Make sure you subscribe, unsubscribed, subscribe to a friend, tone enemy,

893
00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 1: gave a review, Get my producer to send out some

894
00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:50,920
Speaker 1: reviews to me so we can give up some giveaways.

895
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:52,920
Speaker 1: We'll do that at some point during one of the

896
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,359
Speaker 1: conference tournaments. The previews, but that'll do it for us.

897
00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:58,920
Speaker 1: Thanks again for listening and we'll catch you early next week.

898
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:00,319
Speaker 1: Conference storm of previews of Wait