WEBVTT - Intel to Sell $15 Billion in Stock After AI Boosts Demand

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

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<v Speaker 2>Let's get a little techie before you. The nasdas up

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<v Speaker 2>fourteen points today. Not much going on out there, but

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<v Speaker 2>there's a lot of news flow out there in the

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<v Speaker 2>tech spaces, or typically is. And for that we like

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<v Speaker 2>to check in with our buddy, Matthew Bloxam, Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 2>Senior technology Analysty covers a bunch of stuff and he

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<v Speaker 2>does it from London.

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<v Speaker 3>Hey Matt, thanks for joining us here. I mean Intel

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<v Speaker 3>coming to the market.

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<v Speaker 2>Here's another big tech company coming with a big equity raise.

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<v Speaker 2>It seems like these guys have an a safeable need

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<v Speaker 2>for capital.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I do, that's right. So what's fifteen billion dollars?

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<v Speaker 4>Roughly three percent of the market cap, So it's not

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<v Speaker 4>that big, but you know, I think still always a

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<v Speaker 4>little bit surprising when these companies come to market for equity.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, they raised I think six and a half

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<v Speaker 4>billion dollars in debt earlier this year, fairly expensive coup

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<v Speaker 4>points kind of four point sixty five percent through just

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<v Speaker 4>six point two percent. So I guess you know they're

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<v Speaker 4>looking to balance their capital needs across different parts of

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<v Speaker 4>the balance sheet structure. Yeah, the valuation is pretty full

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<v Speaker 4>right now, and if you look forward a couple of years,

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<v Speaker 4>it's on fifty times earning. So I guess you're the

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<v Speaker 4>management team take in the view that if there was

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<v Speaker 4>ever a time to raise some equity, this is a

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<v Speaker 4>relatively quote unquote cheap, cheap time.

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<v Speaker 5>To do it.

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<v Speaker 4>You know that they, along with everybody else, have quite

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<v Speaker 4>substantial investment needs compared to some other big tech names.

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<v Speaker 4>Their capex is pretty low, you know, probably about twenty

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<v Speaker 4>billion dollars this year, maybe rising to twenty six billion

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<v Speaker 4>dollars next year. But this gives them a good cash

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<v Speaker 4>cushion to pursue the current projects, and who knows, perhaps

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<v Speaker 4>even consider some acceleration of what they're doing.

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<v Speaker 6>What about Meta This morning, they've just introduced a new

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<v Speaker 6>AI model called news Glimmer. I guess it's an open

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<v Speaker 6>source AI model meant to compete with the Chinese model

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<v Speaker 6>deep Seek. It's up this morning. How do you feel

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<v Speaker 6>about it?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, you know, I think we're at a fairly early

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<v Speaker 4>stage of how the whole AI foundational model play is

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<v Speaker 4>going to evolve. Yeah, this is quite a different position

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<v Speaker 4>to the likes of open AI and anthropic who work

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<v Speaker 4>with closed models. Gemini at Google with geminis a little

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<v Speaker 4>bit kind of mixed. Some open source models and some

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<v Speaker 4>closed models have met a very much kind of penance

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<v Speaker 4>fortunes to the flag of the open model, and you know,

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<v Speaker 4>really trying to kind of make a big difference in

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<v Speaker 4>markverg today in an essay being somewhat critical of some

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<v Speaker 4>of its competitors, you're saying that really we should be

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<v Speaker 4>democratizing AI and putting it in the hands.

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<v Speaker 3>Of the user.

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<v Speaker 4>So I think you're open to see how why you

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<v Speaker 4>adopted this will be what it means for the kind

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<v Speaker 4>of longer term economics. Both matter in the industry, but

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<v Speaker 4>it's certainly an interesting move, and I think as much

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<v Speaker 4>as anything, the language and the rhetoric that Zuckerberg is

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<v Speaker 4>using around this push Matt.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, it's as being in these markets for forty years,

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<v Speaker 2>it's always surprised me in a negative sense. How Europe

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<v Speaker 2>written large basically missed the whole technology revolution. All the

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<v Speaker 2>tech is in the US and Asia and things like that.

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<v Speaker 2>Is the same thing happening with AI. Well, Europe just

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<v Speaker 2>kind of outsource it to other people and not participate.

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<v Speaker 4>It does, unfortunately seem that way. You know, we have

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<v Speaker 4>mistrale As I guess the most well known European AI model,

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<v Speaker 4>but it sits in the shadows of the US and

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<v Speaker 4>the Chinese alternatives. So yeah, you know, it's a perennial

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<v Speaker 4>problem for the regional So there's a kind of big,

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<v Speaker 4>really big introspective process going on right now about Europe

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<v Speaker 4>twenty thirty five and what funding is needed to kind

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<v Speaker 4>of really close the gap and genuinely make Europe competitive enough.

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<v Speaker 4>The numbers are eyewatering, and even if the money was there,

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<v Speaker 4>I think there's so many kind of structural and cultural

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<v Speaker 4>issues about the way Europe works that are very serious

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<v Speaker 4>obstacles have to get around, and all the time they're

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<v Speaker 4>trying to figure those issues out, the US and China

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<v Speaker 4>are running full steam ahead. So it does. I would

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<v Speaker 4>think the base case scenario would be that Europe continues

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<v Speaker 4>to be a taker of technology from other parts of

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<v Speaker 4>the world.

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<v Speaker 3>Stay with us.

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<v Speaker 2>More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple Coarcklay and Android

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<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever

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<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm looking at Microsoft.

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<v Speaker 2>This is a name Stacy, Tom and I, Tom Keen

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<v Speaker 2>and I.

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<v Speaker 3>For the longest time, we're saying just.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, as of a week or two ago, why

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<v Speaker 2>is this stock down twenty five percent year to date?

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<v Speaker 3>This is Microsoft.

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<v Speaker 2>I guess you was thrown out with a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>those software stocks. I thought AI was going to put

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<v Speaker 2>them out of business.

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<v Speaker 3>But this is.

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<v Speaker 6>Microsoft and Microsoft and it's one of the Magnificent seven.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean you know, so sure enough, they put

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<v Speaker 2>up a good print last week, good earnings, stocks erased,

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<v Speaker 2>all those losses now up three or four percent on

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<v Speaker 2>the year, five percent for the year.

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<v Speaker 3>So how about that.

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<v Speaker 2>More news out on Microsoft today. They're going to raise

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<v Speaker 2>next gen AI chip production next year.

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<v Speaker 3>It's pretty interesting. Let's according to the information.

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<v Speaker 2>Anurag Rana joins this senior technost for Bloomberg Intelligence on Ron.

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<v Speaker 2>It's really amazing how the market has kind of got

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<v Speaker 2>a new appreciation I view for the Microsoft story that

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<v Speaker 2>I think was really people were questioning and is Microsoft

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<v Speaker 2>at risk from AI? How do you think about it?

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean you're absolutely right. There was that risk

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<v Speaker 7>of disruption from some of its product from AI. But

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<v Speaker 7>there was another risk. There was another narrative that when

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<v Speaker 7>you look at the three hyper scale clout providers, Google,

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<v Speaker 7>Amazon and Microsoft, Google's chip has just taken off. I

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<v Speaker 7>mean their TPUs are all the rage in the market,

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<v Speaker 7>and Amazon's actually come out with their own print that

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<v Speaker 7>you know, they're making tens of billions of dollars with

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<v Speaker 7>their own chip as well. So what happens is when

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<v Speaker 7>you are looking at this fight of everybody expanding into

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<v Speaker 7>AI data centers, they do need chips. They're all running

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<v Speaker 7>to Nvidia, but two of the three providers talked about

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<v Speaker 7>having their own chips. Now Microsoft was not in that

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<v Speaker 7>game at that point. They have their own chip, but

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<v Speaker 7>it's not widely embraced. But today's report when it talks

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<v Speaker 7>about that they're going to go out and increase the

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<v Speaker 7>production of their own chips, which means customers may be

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<v Speaker 7>ready to use those and if that's the case, their

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<v Speaker 7>cost of spending into that capital expenditure, you know, boom

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<v Speaker 7>will start to go down in a sense, down on

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<v Speaker 7>a relative basis or per token basis. So it's a

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<v Speaker 7>very good news for them in the long run.

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<v Speaker 6>Well Microsoft might be having a very good day, but

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<v Speaker 6>Apple is having a pretty rotten day. What's going on

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<v Speaker 6>with them? Apparently it has something to do with hardware

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<v Speaker 6>not coming out the way that they're hoping.

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<v Speaker 7>Uh no, I don't. I mean, I think that's a

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<v Speaker 7>different somebody's downgrade. That's a different story. But when you

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<v Speaker 7>look at Apple, and let's go back to that time

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<v Speaker 7>period when when Paul talked about when Microsoft was down

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<v Speaker 7>you know, twenty five percent or so over the year

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<v Speaker 7>or you know, at that time, what was happening was

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<v Speaker 7>everybody was worried about ROI on AI trade. This is

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<v Speaker 7>before earning season. You know, you saw Google you So

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<v Speaker 7>everybody was worried about them. But at the same time,

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<v Speaker 7>everybody loved Apple because they were not spending that much money.

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<v Speaker 7>But after the result, what has happened is people are

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<v Speaker 7>relatively more comfortable going back to the AI trade or

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<v Speaker 7>going after the risky assets. And given Apple's valuation where

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<v Speaker 7>it was at that point, it was well in the thirties.

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<v Speaker 7>We are seeing sums sell off on that and people

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<v Speaker 7>buying more of you know, the AI trade. So I

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<v Speaker 7>think there's a little bit of factor shifting there, not

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<v Speaker 7>so much about one product or the other.

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<v Speaker 2>To your clients, your investors in big tech companies do

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<v Speaker 2>they like free cash flow and they upset if they

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<v Speaker 2>don't get free cash flow.

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<v Speaker 7>So two different things once that are looking at this

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<v Speaker 7>massive capex going in, they're seeing what is the benefit

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<v Speaker 7>of that for these companies. So if Microsoft was able

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<v Speaker 7>to show you know, sequel chain improvement in as your

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<v Speaker 7>sales growth, Amazon was able to show that. Google was

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<v Speaker 7>able to show that, So I think they're getting a

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<v Speaker 7>little more comfortable that these companies know what they're doing

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<v Speaker 7>when they're spending you know, hundreds of billions of dollars

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<v Speaker 7>at that time. The second group is somebody who doesn't

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<v Speaker 7>want to be at part of this trade and say,

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<v Speaker 7>you know what, I like Apple, I have plus billion

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<v Speaker 7>dollars in free cash flow. Over there, they're buying back

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<v Speaker 7>that stock. iPhone's doing well, it's gaining share in China.

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<v Speaker 7>So there are I mean, you could say there are

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<v Speaker 7>a couple of buckets of people who are looking at

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<v Speaker 7>this trade from different lenses.

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<v Speaker 6>What about in the hardware sector. Apparently there's a big

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<v Speaker 6>smart watch lineup that's that's getting ready to be released.

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<v Speaker 6>Obviously there's the folding phone everyone has been waiting for.

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<v Speaker 6>How is that Apple looking in the in the hardware sector.

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<v Speaker 7>So when you look at the watch itself, it doesn't

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<v Speaker 7>move the needle for Apple. It's an accessity that goes

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<v Speaker 7>with the phone along with it. I mean, you're not

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<v Speaker 7>going to just buy a small a watch without being

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<v Speaker 7>in the Apple ecosystem. That's a very unlikely thing. But

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<v Speaker 7>one of the things Mark Erman's talked about it when

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<v Speaker 7>you look at some of the other variables you look

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<v Speaker 7>at you know, the Aura ring, which is just a

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<v Speaker 7>phenomenal product right now for a lot of people to

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<v Speaker 7>track their sleep. You're looking at products that are coming

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<v Speaker 7>out in the market without a screen. Garment just launched one.

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<v Speaker 7>I mean I've ordered it, but it's on backlock for me.

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<v Speaker 7>When you you look at a woop, these are all

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<v Speaker 7>bands that you could use to track a lot of

0:10:04.360 --> 0:10:07.440
<v Speaker 7>these you know, sleeping and you know, just your normal

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<v Speaker 7>vitals without the need of a screen oriented product, and

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<v Speaker 7>that's what I think you're going to see down the road.

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<v Speaker 7>But that, to be honest with you, does not move

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<v Speaker 7>the needle. The foldable does. Because Apple's been behind. They

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<v Speaker 7>don't have a foldable phone right now, and iPhone accounts

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<v Speaker 7>for over fifty percent of Apple sales. So if they

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<v Speaker 7>are able to come out with a foldable device, I

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<v Speaker 7>think it's going to create a lot of buzz next year,

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<v Speaker 7>especially in emerging markets where if people are not worried

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<v Speaker 7>about the price of it, which Margoman thinks is going

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<v Speaker 7>to be around twenty five hundred dollars. I think that's

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<v Speaker 7>going to be a very very cool factor that we'll

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<v Speaker 7>see within the next one month.

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<v Speaker 2>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:10:54.679 --> 0:10:57.720
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:10:57.760 --> 0:11:01.079
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app, and on demand wherever

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<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

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<v Speaker 2>It seems like that's a quiet day, but there's a

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<v Speaker 2>lot going on out there in the equity capital markets.

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<v Speaker 3>Intel we started this morning. They're going to do sell

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<v Speaker 3>fifteen billion dollars in common.

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<v Speaker 2>Stock to fuel some of their AI demand. Boom got

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<v Speaker 2>some IPO filings, We got some stocks I thought were

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<v Speaker 2>meme stocks. I'm not sure if they still are, but

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<v Speaker 2>we had Billy Lipschultz and to kind of explain it

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<v Speaker 2>all to us, Billy Lipschutz, Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 3>News senior equities reporter.

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<v Speaker 2>First was game Stop's potential bid was fifty six billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollars for eBay?

0:11:32.920 --> 0:11:34.800
<v Speaker 3>Was that ever considered real legit?

0:11:35.280 --> 0:11:37.720
<v Speaker 5>It was always kind of laughed at, really speaking what

0:11:37.760 --> 0:11:39.840
<v Speaker 5>I was doing. It was. It was It was a

0:11:39.880 --> 0:11:42.000
<v Speaker 5>market I don't want to matter too much, but it

0:11:42.040 --> 0:11:43.840
<v Speaker 5>was basically seen by most on Wall Street is kind

0:11:43.840 --> 0:11:46.240
<v Speaker 5>of a marketing campaign from Ryan Cohen, who is the

0:11:46.360 --> 0:11:48.480
<v Speaker 5>now head of game Stop. He was a big driver

0:11:48.600 --> 0:11:53.360
<v Speaker 5>between behind that twenty twenty one memestock Mania round game Stop,

0:11:53.640 --> 0:11:56.120
<v Speaker 5>becoming the largest shareholder, one of the larger shareholders leading

0:11:56.120 --> 0:11:58.760
<v Speaker 5>the company. He was a co founder of Chewy, made

0:11:58.800 --> 0:12:02.080
<v Speaker 5>his name through that. So I was broadly seen as

0:12:02.240 --> 0:12:08.240
<v Speaker 5>kind of a interesting thought, but resoundingly rejected by eBay

0:12:08.760 --> 0:12:10.960
<v Speaker 5>back in May. He said he was going to come

0:12:10.960 --> 0:12:13.120
<v Speaker 5>for him one way or another, and ultimately, according to

0:12:13.160 --> 0:12:16.120
<v Speaker 5>our reporting, now considering pulling that bid.

0:12:16.440 --> 0:12:18.520
<v Speaker 6>Why does game stop want eBay? I mean, the market

0:12:18.559 --> 0:12:21.280
<v Speaker 6>seem quite disappointed this didn't happen or isn't going to

0:12:21.320 --> 0:12:22.199
<v Speaker 6>happen potentially.

0:12:22.360 --> 0:12:25.200
<v Speaker 5>Well, the big debate always was, you want to make

0:12:25.240 --> 0:12:27.679
<v Speaker 5>a fifty six billion dollar takeover when you have a

0:12:27.760 --> 0:12:30.160
<v Speaker 5>market value of eight billion dollars and you have cash

0:12:30.160 --> 0:12:32.319
<v Speaker 5>and equivalents of eight billion dollars. So there's a huge

0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:35.280
<v Speaker 5>gap you have to bridge at some point. Yeah, yeah,

0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:37.400
<v Speaker 5>you know, if you work on Wall Street, there there

0:12:37.440 --> 0:12:40.640
<v Speaker 5>are levers you can pull. But the reason I think

0:12:40.640 --> 0:12:44.320
<v Speaker 5>we're seeing eBay shares down a little bit again is

0:12:44.480 --> 0:12:47.520
<v Speaker 5>just given kind of that option, the call option potential

0:12:47.559 --> 0:12:51.160
<v Speaker 5>of this being something that could work out. Cohen basically

0:12:51.240 --> 0:12:55.040
<v Speaker 5>has really been vocal and bashing eBay management, talking up

0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:58.559
<v Speaker 5>the potential synergies that they could see. Again eBay downplayed

0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:01.880
<v Speaker 5>those banker or analysts were really like two billion dollars

0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:04.160
<v Speaker 5>in propose, Energy still feels like a bridge too far

0:13:04.440 --> 0:13:07.320
<v Speaker 5>on the potential merger. This is a company that Cohen

0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:10.880
<v Speaker 5>has been either publicly leading or behind the scenes leading

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:12.720
<v Speaker 5>for quite some time, and the big question has been

0:13:13.040 --> 0:13:15.160
<v Speaker 5>what does it actually look like? What do you look

0:13:15.240 --> 0:13:17.720
<v Speaker 5>like if you're a game retailer in an era where

0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:18.760
<v Speaker 5>people download games.

0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:19.600
<v Speaker 3>All right?

0:13:19.679 --> 0:13:25.640
<v Speaker 2>Data center company Switch good name filed confidentially for a USIPO.

0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:27.160
<v Speaker 3>What do we know about Switch?

0:13:27.600 --> 0:13:30.600
<v Speaker 5>Data center rates are hot? Anything around data center's hot.

0:13:31.120 --> 0:13:35.199
<v Speaker 5>We had reported back in July early July the company

0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:39.120
<v Speaker 5>was kicking off a private funding round led by Anderson

0:13:39.120 --> 0:13:42.439
<v Speaker 5>Horowitz that would raise two billion dollars equity value or

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:46.360
<v Speaker 5>enterprise value excuse me, approaching fifty billion dollars. So our

0:13:46.360 --> 0:13:49.920
<v Speaker 5>reporting that they filed confidentially on Friday working with BAA City,

0:13:50.000 --> 0:13:53.200
<v Speaker 5>Goldman JP, and Morgan Stanley the who's who, and that

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:56.440
<v Speaker 5>that funding round was either complete or near complete, and

0:13:56.440 --> 0:13:59.560
<v Speaker 5>that Ben Horowitz, co founder of Anderson Horowitz, would be

0:13:59.640 --> 0:14:01.560
<v Speaker 5>joining the board. So now the big question is, as

0:14:01.600 --> 0:14:05.280
<v Speaker 5>we reported targeting in November IPO, how quickly does that

0:14:05.320 --> 0:14:07.679
<v Speaker 5>come together? Will the market's still be there? And if

0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:10.320
<v Speaker 5>you're doing a two billion dollar private raise, IPO is

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.640
<v Speaker 5>probably going to be much larger, all right?

0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:15.680
<v Speaker 6>Well, apparently a Form Labs, which makes three D printers,

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 6>is also in early talks with potential advisors for an IPO.

0:14:19.920 --> 0:14:22.680
<v Speaker 6>Talk about that business. The three D printer business is

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:25.720
<v Speaker 6>that A is that like a big is that the

0:14:25.760 --> 0:14:26.320
<v Speaker 6>next big thing?

0:14:26.520 --> 0:14:28.560
<v Speaker 5>Three D printing was all the rage, and I want

0:14:28.560 --> 0:14:30.600
<v Speaker 5>to say in twenty and twenty one, everyone.

0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:33.040
<v Speaker 3>My public old son was doing probably still is doing,

0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:34.520
<v Speaker 3>and that was.

0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:36.480
<v Speaker 5>That was the big push. You just look at three

0:14:36.560 --> 0:14:40.160
<v Speaker 5>D Systems trades under the ticker GDD. It hit its

0:14:40.200 --> 0:14:42.080
<v Speaker 5>peak at fifty five bucks if you have trades for

0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:44.880
<v Speaker 5>less than four right now. So the time had been

0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:47.560
<v Speaker 5>much hotter in twenty and twenty one. But form Labs

0:14:47.600 --> 0:14:50.400
<v Speaker 5>backed by soft Bank did have bankers come in for

0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:53.480
<v Speaker 5>a bake off. We have at least one person saying

0:14:53.480 --> 0:14:56.200
<v Speaker 5>they should target a raise of about five hundred million dollars.

0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:59.160
<v Speaker 5>The big question comes back to they are profitable and

0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.800
<v Speaker 5>they are soft bank company, is so what problems are

0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:02.360
<v Speaker 5>you solving for?

0:15:02.400 --> 0:15:03.360
<v Speaker 3>Why are you going public?

0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:06.240
<v Speaker 5>SoftBank has a number of needs and if you're a

0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:09.040
<v Speaker 5>three D printer company, could be interesting to just see

0:15:09.040 --> 0:15:10.840
<v Speaker 5>if you want to scale. They did announce that they

0:15:10.840 --> 0:15:13.480
<v Speaker 5>had annual revenue north of two hundred and fifty million dollars.

0:15:14.120 --> 0:15:16.920
<v Speaker 2>Tom from the Upper East Side writes in and asks

0:15:16.960 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 2>for a space X quote, one hundred and thirty three

0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:22.840
<v Speaker 2>bucks are getting close back to that IPO price a

0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:25.520
<v Speaker 2>one thirty five. What does that mean for kind of

0:15:25.560 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 2>the IPO market in general?

0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:32.920
<v Speaker 5>The broader sentiment has become mixed, partly because SpaceX traded blow,

0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:36.800
<v Speaker 5>partly because ske Highnix, the largest non US company listing

0:15:36.840 --> 0:15:40.880
<v Speaker 5>here with their record fundraising, trays a lot like an EKG.

0:15:41.000 --> 0:15:43.520
<v Speaker 5>The big question now is we are expecting Anthropic to

0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:47.120
<v Speaker 5>go public September October timeframe. How can the market digest

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:50.880
<v Speaker 5>and write down another you know, large ipo open AI

0:15:51.080 --> 0:15:53.440
<v Speaker 5>kind of waiting in the wings potentially early next year.

0:15:53.680 --> 0:15:57.000
<v Speaker 5>We're an IPO market that still is hot but very

0:15:57.040 --> 0:15:59.320
<v Speaker 5>much can be touch and go, and SpaceX kind of

0:15:59.360 --> 0:16:01.880
<v Speaker 5>is emblematic of that. Again one point thirty three now

0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:04.320
<v Speaker 5>just south of one thirty five, but popped up like

0:16:04.360 --> 0:16:04.960
<v Speaker 5>fifty percent.

0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:06.320
<v Speaker 3>Do we have any sense of that?

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:10.880
<v Speaker 2>Insider shares that were eligible to be sold last week?

0:16:10.880 --> 0:16:13.680
<v Speaker 2>Do we know what happened with those? Did anybody actually

0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:14.280
<v Speaker 2>sell their shares?

0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:14.920
<v Speaker 3>Or do we know?

0:16:15.040 --> 0:16:18.240
<v Speaker 5>Well, we won't know because normally you would know if

0:16:18.280 --> 0:16:20.360
<v Speaker 5>a if an investor owns more than five percent, they

0:16:20.400 --> 0:16:23.680
<v Speaker 5>have to file elon Musk is the main one, and

0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:27.320
<v Speaker 5>then valor who's taken on their own Share Sale Project

0:16:27.360 --> 0:16:29.120
<v Speaker 5>and then Google are the only three according to our

0:16:29.160 --> 0:16:31.200
<v Speaker 5>data who would have to file for that. So a

0:16:31.240 --> 0:16:33.320
<v Speaker 5>lot of this could be happening behind the scenes. But

0:16:33.680 --> 0:16:36.000
<v Speaker 5>when you see a stock rally like it has after

0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:39.680
<v Speaker 5>the lock up expired, it's broadly seen as either a

0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:42.720
<v Speaker 5>short covering investors were hoping for more of a kind

0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:45.720
<v Speaker 5>of dash to the exits, or be just simply insiders

0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:46.560
<v Speaker 5>not rushing to sell.

0:16:47.280 --> 0:16:50.360
<v Speaker 2>Stay with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:16:54.440 --> 0:16:58.120
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us Live

0:16:58.200 --> 0:17:01.600
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern Apple Coarclay and Android Auto

0:17:01.680 --> 0:17:04.760
<v Speaker 1>with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever you

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:09.080
<v Speaker 1>get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:09.760
<v Speaker 3>Or Sure Hathaway.

0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:13.159
<v Speaker 2>They had their investor kind of meeting. Yes story, they

0:17:13.160 --> 0:17:16.000
<v Speaker 2>reported some earnings over the weekend. They tend to do

0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:18.680
<v Speaker 2>for some reason. Matthew Palasoll it's his job to figure

0:17:18.720 --> 0:17:20.680
<v Speaker 2>all this stuff out for Sea's Insurance, sent once for

0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:24.000
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Intelligence. So the headline Matt I'm seeing on the

0:17:24.000 --> 0:17:28.919
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg terminal is new CEO Greg Abel, You're spending some

0:17:28.920 --> 0:17:32.520
<v Speaker 2>money here. So what he's doing and how that may

0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:34.640
<v Speaker 2>be a little bit different from mister Buffett.

0:17:34.359 --> 0:17:36.840
<v Speaker 8>So yeah, he's opening up the checkbook a little bit.

0:17:37.200 --> 0:17:41.440
<v Speaker 8>Berkshire still has incredible amounts of cash that is still undeployed,

0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:45.080
<v Speaker 8>but we expected them to buy back some shares in

0:17:45.119 --> 0:17:48.440
<v Speaker 8>the quarter. There was some disclosures made by Buffett around

0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:52.159
<v Speaker 8>his ownership that gave us a clue. We thought it

0:17:52.200 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 8>would be more, but essentially what happened is some of

0:17:55.560 --> 0:17:58.000
<v Speaker 8>that was pushed through to the third quarter, so it

0:17:58.040 --> 0:18:00.439
<v Speaker 8>was about four and a half billion of buybacks. We

0:18:00.480 --> 0:18:02.080
<v Speaker 8>thought it was a wide range, but we thought it

0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:04.880
<v Speaker 8>could be anywhere from five to twelve or thinking maybe

0:18:04.880 --> 0:18:07.200
<v Speaker 8>it was like eight. Turns out, they did four and

0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:09.639
<v Speaker 8>a half in the quarter and then at least another

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:12.040
<v Speaker 8>three in July, so kind of close to what we thought,

0:18:12.040 --> 0:18:15.119
<v Speaker 8>but it's just more spread out through the quarters. Couple

0:18:15.200 --> 0:18:18.919
<v Speaker 8>with that, Bertie was a net buyer of stocks for

0:18:18.960 --> 0:18:22.240
<v Speaker 8>the first time in several years. They might have been

0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:24.560
<v Speaker 8>a net buyer of stocks in the first quarter as well,

0:18:24.600 --> 0:18:27.040
<v Speaker 8>but what they had done was they unwound a bunch

0:18:27.040 --> 0:18:30.359
<v Speaker 8>of positions by one of the former managers investment managers

0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:32.439
<v Speaker 8>who had left, so they sold a lot of his

0:18:32.560 --> 0:18:35.320
<v Speaker 8>positions and they bought some, but it ended that they

0:18:35.320 --> 0:18:38.200
<v Speaker 8>sold more than they bought. But in the second quarter

0:18:38.800 --> 0:18:41.760
<v Speaker 8>they bought more than they sold. And there's about twelve

0:18:41.840 --> 0:18:45.160
<v Speaker 8>billion dollars worth of stock or stocks that they bought

0:18:45.440 --> 0:18:47.399
<v Speaker 8>that we don't know what it is yet. They'll be

0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:50.720
<v Speaker 8>a thirteen f next week that will perhaps see Sometimes

0:18:50.720 --> 0:18:55.120
<v Speaker 8>they hold things confidential, but if not, we'll get some

0:18:55.160 --> 0:18:58.200
<v Speaker 8>more color on what if it was new positions or

0:18:58.720 --> 0:18:59.920
<v Speaker 8>added to existing ones.

0:19:00.200 --> 0:19:02.639
<v Speaker 6>I mean, they have such a legendary reputation for knowing

0:19:03.080 --> 0:19:07.160
<v Speaker 6>where things are headed, especially knowing positions that other people

0:19:07.240 --> 0:19:09.960
<v Speaker 6>don't necessarily take. Do we have any idea of what

0:19:10.000 --> 0:19:11.960
<v Speaker 6>they're buying or what they're bullish on?

0:19:12.160 --> 0:19:14.119
<v Speaker 8>So I could say this. In the first quarter they

0:19:14.160 --> 0:19:17.959
<v Speaker 8>started a new position in Delta. Really so yes, and

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:20.199
<v Speaker 8>Buffett has had a history with the airlines, and the

0:19:20.200 --> 0:19:24.720
<v Speaker 8>first quarter they did Delta. Their airline related businesses that

0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:27.240
<v Speaker 8>they own have been showing some acceleration.

0:19:28.640 --> 0:19:29.480
<v Speaker 3>So I don't know.

0:19:29.520 --> 0:19:31.360
<v Speaker 8>I can't say if I agree or disagree with them

0:19:31.440 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 8>doing that, but you know, perhaps that's something to think about.

0:19:35.119 --> 0:19:37.479
<v Speaker 8>They also made an acquisition. We didn't talk about an

0:19:37.520 --> 0:19:40.239
<v Speaker 8>acquisition in the first quarter that will pay in the

0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:47.159
<v Speaker 8>third for Tyler home business that is a compliment to

0:19:47.240 --> 0:19:50.520
<v Speaker 8>their existing business. So they own a business that builds

0:19:50.560 --> 0:19:52.960
<v Speaker 8>manufactured homes. So they build a home and then they

0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:55.960
<v Speaker 8>bring it to you. This company they bought six point

0:19:56.000 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 8>eight billion I believe was the number. They build homes

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:02.560
<v Speaker 8>on site, and it's more higher end than the business

0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:07.119
<v Speaker 8>they own. So they like to be in these essential businesses.

0:20:07.280 --> 0:20:09.920
<v Speaker 8>So home building homes, you know, we're going to need homes,

0:20:09.960 --> 0:20:13.560
<v Speaker 8>is home demand. Airlines going to need airline demand. Energy

0:20:14.359 --> 0:20:17.160
<v Speaker 8>always energy demand. So those would be maybe three places

0:20:17.160 --> 0:20:19.560
<v Speaker 8>that I would say would be potential clues.

0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:21.760
<v Speaker 2>And speaking of Delta, I'm just looking at the holder's

0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:25.560
<v Speaker 2>page for Delta. They bought a forty million share block.

0:20:26.240 --> 0:20:28.640
<v Speaker 2>They're now the number three shareholder in the company, six

0:20:28.720 --> 0:20:31.800
<v Speaker 2>percent position, So they got in there in a big way.

0:20:31.920 --> 0:20:34.040
<v Speaker 2>I say, if they want to deploy capital, just invest

0:20:34.080 --> 0:20:36.760
<v Speaker 2>in AI data centers and stuff. Well, the people spending

0:20:37.480 --> 0:20:39.960
<v Speaker 2>tens of billions you know at a clip here.

0:20:40.080 --> 0:20:44.119
<v Speaker 8>They also made this year two investments in Google so

0:20:44.960 --> 0:20:51.040
<v Speaker 8>or Alphabet that was initiated by Buffett apparently, so he's

0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:53.320
<v Speaker 8>still working. He's still the chairman, he's still working with

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:57.520
<v Speaker 8>greg Abel. That position was initiated by Buffett. They bought

0:20:57.960 --> 0:21:00.520
<v Speaker 8>Open Market, and then they did as part of Google's

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:04.240
<v Speaker 8>equity raise, they did ten billion dollars in that as well.

0:21:04.280 --> 0:21:05.359
<v Speaker 8>So that's a place in the quarter.

0:21:05.480 --> 0:21:07.119
<v Speaker 2>Is there any reason to believe greg Abel's going to

0:21:07.200 --> 0:21:11.560
<v Speaker 2>purely change the cash return policies? Let's just say the

0:21:11.640 --> 0:21:15.240
<v Speaker 2>day after Warren passes, should we expect to see a

0:21:15.280 --> 0:21:16.080
<v Speaker 2>policy shift.

0:21:16.920 --> 0:21:18.200
<v Speaker 3>Maybe so.

0:21:18.640 --> 0:21:26.000
<v Speaker 8>I think Abel is much more Buffett was older, getting old,

0:21:26.080 --> 0:21:29.800
<v Speaker 8>stepping away. I don't think he was up for any

0:21:29.840 --> 0:21:33.240
<v Speaker 8>material changes. He was never a fan of dividends. Greg

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:39.760
<v Speaker 8>is very much cognizant of keeping the the ethos of

0:21:39.800 --> 0:21:41.679
<v Speaker 8>Berkshire alive. So I don't think he wants to do

0:21:41.680 --> 0:21:46.240
<v Speaker 8>anything that directly contradicts Buffett immediately. I do think over time, though,

0:21:46.320 --> 0:21:49.360
<v Speaker 8>with so much extra capital, maybe a special dividend every

0:21:49.359 --> 0:21:50.960
<v Speaker 8>once in a while or something like that. I think

0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:52.200
<v Speaker 8>it's possible.

0:21:53.119 --> 0:21:57.840
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

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