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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast, but this one is good.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 3: Here we go.

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Speaker 1: Throwing in so we're saying it's a cash stop. We

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Speaker 1: see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they go

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Speaker 1: to winning. O.

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Speaker 3: God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 4: Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 3: I like to make money.

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Speaker 4: All right, this is the ultimate kabani.

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Speaker 1: You want to pay.

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Speaker 3: And we are good the way.

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Speaker 5: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I'm Brandon Anderson, joined

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Speaker 5: as always by Raheem Palmer, and we finally made it

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Speaker 5: to Week one football. Rahim, me and you have been

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Speaker 5: watching football for the last eleven hours straight, but we

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Speaker 5: made it through.

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Speaker 4: How did you do in Week one? How you feeling?

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Speaker 1: You know, it was a little disappointed in Cleveland they

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Speaker 1: kind of choked it away on the money line, but

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Speaker 1: I mean that came in with the plus six. We

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Speaker 1: got some profitable wagers, so I can't complain.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm feeling pretty good. I filed I'm picking every

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Speaker 5: game on the slate this year, so I was very

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Speaker 5: nervous to see how that was going to go. Finished

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Speaker 5: out nine to five and one so far plus tomorrow's game.

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Speaker 5: So it's a solid start. Although me with my crazy

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Speaker 5: long shots, did I tried a five way parlay with

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Speaker 5: my five favorite bets and ended up missing out by

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Speaker 5: Damien Harris fumble r at the end of that New

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Speaker 5: England game. Otherwise I would hit that one.

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Speaker 1: Miami's turn overlook has just been insane for years.

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Speaker 4: It just doesn't go away.

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Speaker 5: And then I was back with a six way same

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Speaker 5: game parlay tonight that was hanging on by a thread,

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Speaker 5: and then that last ram score knocked it away. So

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Speaker 5: you know this is this All parlays go five way

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Speaker 5: and six way. You missed by one, doesn't matter, you

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Speaker 5: missed the whole thing. But yeah, I love my parlays.

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Speaker 5: On our Friday episode. From now on, I'll be giving

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Speaker 5: you guys an all day of parlay so that we

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Speaker 5: can arrive together in a parlay every week, and we

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Speaker 5: will hit some of these, I'm sure of it. But

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Speaker 5: today we are going to run through the entire Sunday slate,

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Speaker 5: So let's go start to finish. Go through every game

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Speaker 5: here with a betting recap and takeaways from every game,

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Speaker 5: everything you needed to know about what happened if you

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Speaker 5: missed them, and then we'll preview Monday Night football and

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Speaker 5: finish with our week too hot read as we look

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Speaker 5: ahead to next week and get some early winners for

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Speaker 5: you if you haven't already done. So make sure that

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Speaker 5: you download our award winning app from the Action Network.

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Speaker 5: You can track all of my bets and we're heemes there.

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Speaker 5: You get real time notifications. As we will talk about

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Speaker 5: later on. It's important to get those and get our

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Speaker 5: bets in as we tell you, not when you wait

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Speaker 5: and play them later in the week. So that costs

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Speaker 5: a couple of covers on some of these plays today.

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Speaker 4: We'll get back to that. But make sure to get

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Speaker 4: the app.

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Speaker 5: Honestly, just as a sports fan, it's a great app

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Speaker 5: just to be able to follow the picks, follow sports,

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Speaker 5: get the stats. It's all in one place, so check

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Speaker 5: that out for today. As always, our odds come from

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Speaker 5: bet MGM, the official odds provider of the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 4: So let's set the stage.

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Speaker 5: Today was a day for the underdogs, So underdogs on

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Speaker 5: the day on fourteen games, underdogs went ten to four

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Speaker 5: against the spread today and they went eight and six outright,

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Speaker 5: including five of those eight wins came on the road

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Speaker 5: and really the Saints also you know as a neutral

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Speaker 5: side game. So it was a big day for underdogs.

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Speaker 5: None bigger though, than the Buffalo Bills. So let's start there.

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Speaker 5: At the top of the day, the Bills were six

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Speaker 5: and a half point favorites. They lost to the Steelers

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Speaker 5: twenty three to sixteen, so we went under on that one,

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Speaker 5: and the Steelers cashed a big money line plus two

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Speaker 5: forty if you played that one. So raheem, what do

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Speaker 5: you make of the Steelers and Bills? Did you see

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Speaker 5: this one coming?

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Speaker 1: I thought it was interesting because you know, these two

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Speaker 1: teams played last year towards the end of the year

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Speaker 1: and Buffalo was laying three points, so for Buffalo would

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Speaker 1: be laying six and a half kind of weird. You

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Speaker 1: saw sharp money actually hit the Steelers and pushed this

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Speaker 1: line down a little bit. Buffalo came out hot, and

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Speaker 1: you know, it looked like they were they were just gonna,

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Speaker 1: you know, pick up where they left off last year,

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Speaker 1: and then Pittsburgh's defense kind of held him down and

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh went out there and scored twenty straight points.

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen looks like he regressed.

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Speaker 1: I mean he had a zero point zero eight negative EPA,

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Speaker 1: which is expected points added. If you look at their

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Speaker 1: game last year, he was a positive EPA he was

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Speaker 1: point one two and he had a total EPA for

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Speaker 1: the game at six point four. Yesterday he had a

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Speaker 1: total EPA of minus five point eight. Buffalo is like

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Speaker 1: they're typically one of the most past happy teams on

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Speaker 1: first down in the league. On early passes. In this game,

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Speaker 1: they had an EPA of negative one point up. So

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Speaker 1: it's just like the things that they did well last year,

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Speaker 1: they didn't do well. Josh Allen struggled with deep ball accuracy.

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Speaker 1: So I just thought it was a really interesting game.

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Speaker 1: You saw it the Still's defenses really for real.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean we know the Steelers defense was going

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Speaker 5: to show up. And I do worry a little bit

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Speaker 5: about the things you said that we suspected we might

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Speaker 5: see some regression, and you know, we saw Brian Dable

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Speaker 5: and Josh Allen light up teams last year, and I

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Speaker 5: don't think teams really knew what was coming like that.

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Speaker 5: Now we've had an entire season, entire offseason that is

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Speaker 5: to prepare for this, to prepare for that aggression early

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Speaker 5: downs like you talked about, to prepare for that deep ball,

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Speaker 5: and you know Stefan digs down the field, and especially

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Speaker 5: when you're a defense that's as good as the Steelers is.

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Speaker 5: You know we I think we both expect them to

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Speaker 5: take a little bit of a step back this year.

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Speaker 5: But still they're clearly very good, and they were ready,

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Speaker 5: they had a plan for it. And now Josh Allen

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Speaker 5: was thirty to fifty one. That's under sixty percent completion,

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Speaker 5: which is never a good start. Five point three yards

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Speaker 5: per attempt not good. Josh Allen was that was really

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Speaker 5: high last year, so that's a huge step back. He

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Speaker 5: had another fumble, which has been a constant theme with them.

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Speaker 5: Here's the thing, though, the Bills ran twenty four more plays.

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Speaker 5: They went eight out of eighteen on third downs, pretty good,

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Speaker 5: so they're moving the ball, they're getting things going. What

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Speaker 5: happened was they went one out of four in the

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Speaker 5: red zone, which will always kill you, and we know

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Speaker 5: that that's a pretty flukey staff that's hard to predict.

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Speaker 5: They also had that punt block for a touchdown. They

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Speaker 5: lost by a touchdown, So take away the punt block,

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Speaker 5: which is a fluke play, flip some of the red

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Speaker 5: zone stuff. I think you play this game again, even

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Speaker 5: with the regression factors, even with the Steelers playing well,

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Speaker 5: and the Bills are right in it and maybe win

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Speaker 5: a bunch of them. So I don't know that I

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Speaker 5: feel like the sky is falling on Buffalo, But my

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Speaker 5: sky for Buffalo is a little bit lower, I think

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Speaker 5: than most were thinking anyway. So I don't know what's

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Speaker 5: your big picture takeaway for Buffalo on this are they?

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Speaker 4: Are they still one of those top Super Bowl contenders.

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Speaker 1: I think it comes down to Josh Allen and if

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Speaker 1: he could be that elite quarterback that he was last year.

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Speaker 1: If he can't, then I'm really concerned about this team.

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Speaker 1: And I think that's really what it comes down to.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I think so I'm not ready to go too

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Speaker 5: hog wild on the Steelers just yet. The six and

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Speaker 5: a half that was a lot of points to give

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Speaker 5: Pittsburgh on the road. Mike Tomlin as an underdog has

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Speaker 5: always been very good, So I can't say I expected

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Speaker 5: the Steelers to pull the upset, but I'm also not

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Speaker 5: completely blindsided. But this had the feel of that early

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Speaker 5: wild card Saturday afternoon weekend game, like the first playoff game,

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Speaker 5: Like oh baby, Buffalo bills back in the playoffs, and

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Speaker 5: then you're watching and it's like it's halftime and it's

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Speaker 5: seven to three, and nothing is happening that early AFC game.

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Speaker 5: Every time this big Ben looked really washed, and then

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Speaker 5: he made a few throws in the second half. He

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Speaker 5: kind of came through down the stretch. He got warmed up.

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Speaker 5: So I don't know, I feel like Buffalo is pretty good.

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Speaker 5: I feel like Pittsburgh is still pretty good. I'm not

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Speaker 5: really ready to go too crazy on either end of it,

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Speaker 5: but I think, you know, it's a good game. I

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Speaker 5: definitely did not see that as the big upset of

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Speaker 5: the day. I know one game that both of us

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Speaker 5: were very excited to watch ann excited talk about is

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Speaker 5: the Los Angeles Chargers and a Washington football team. Those

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Speaker 5: are two teams. You were very high on both of

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Speaker 5: those going to the season. I was less so in Washington,

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Speaker 5: but both of us were high. I think on the Chargers.

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Speaker 5: The Chargers came out with the win twenty to sixteen,

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Speaker 5: so that was another They covered the two and got

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Speaker 5: the money line to win plus one ten and we

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Speaker 5: hit the under there. So what do you think the

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Speaker 5: Chargers and Washington. You've been high on both. What are

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Speaker 5: you making of this game?

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Speaker 1: The Chargers won a game that they typically would lose

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Speaker 1: in other years. Over the last two seasons, they were

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Speaker 1: seven to sixteen straight up in games just got it

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Speaker 1: by one score. Today they finally got it done. And honestly,

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Speaker 1: it's probably a game when you look at the metrics

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Speaker 1: that probably shouldn't have been decided by one scores. The

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Speaker 1: Chargers made a ton of mistakes and I want to

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Speaker 1: for one day. They fumbled deep in the end zone

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Speaker 1: and washing territory, which gave Washington a touchback.

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Speaker 5: Was crazy, by the way, that was like a twenty

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Speaker 5: yard forward pass that we decided as a fumble, Like

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Speaker 5: what is a fumble anymore?

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Speaker 3: You know?

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Speaker 1: It was a fumble though, I mean when they actually

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Speaker 1: zoomed into it, like Montes Sweat did actually cut him

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Speaker 1: in and it looked like a fumble.

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Speaker 3: But it looked like on first glance, You're like, what.

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Speaker 5: Is this like exactly the way that the Chargers lose

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Speaker 5: yet another game every single season. They're like, oh, here's

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Speaker 5: a new way to lose, but it didn't happen this time.

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Speaker 4: You're right, yeah.

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Speaker 3: But I think the big key is that Justin Herbert

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Speaker 3: is a star.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this team they I'm gonna say a star

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Speaker 1: like I look at him like a superstar. In the

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Speaker 1: sense that anytime you go out there and you complete

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Speaker 1: fourteen of eighteen third downs, and I know the final

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Speaker 1: stats is fourteen and nineteen, but they kneeled on the

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Speaker 1: last third down. Washington is, you know, stopping him on

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Speaker 1: first down and second down, and then on third down.

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Speaker 1: It's third and long, third and seven, third and twenty

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Speaker 1: five third and twelve. Justin Herbert is just getting the

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Speaker 1: ball out there to Mike Williams and Keenan Allen.

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Speaker 3: And you know, Keithan.

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Speaker 1: Allen went out there and had seventeen catches for one

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighty two yards. So as much as I

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Speaker 1: thought highly of this Washington defense, I'm not sure if

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Speaker 1: the secondary is as good as what we thought they were.

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Speaker 1: And they just didn't get a ton of pressure on

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Speaker 1: Herbert and the way that I thought that they would,

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Speaker 1: and yet they still had a chance to win his

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Speaker 1: game because of the mistakes, and ultimately it came down

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Speaker 1: to Gibson fumble.

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Speaker 3: But I think the question I want to.

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Speaker 1: Ask you is, are we sure Taylor Hennicky is an

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Speaker 1: upgrade over Ryan Switzpatrick.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm sure so, I just I don't think you know, Fitzpatrick,

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Speaker 5: I was excited about because I loved the big arm

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Speaker 5: and I loved his fit in this offense. I loved

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Speaker 5: the idea of him hooking up deep down the field

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Speaker 5: with Terry McLure and over and overall season, I think

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Speaker 5: wanted to get like thirteen yards and he's out and

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Speaker 5: it sounds like it's not going to be a short

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Speaker 5: thing either. Washington plays Thursday, I'd be pretty surprised at

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Speaker 5: this point if he's a go for that, and we'll see,

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Speaker 5: We'll see what Taylor Hanekey looks like.

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Speaker 4: If you know, if he steps in. He looked pretty

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Speaker 4: good last year, he was solid and playoff game, for sure.

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Speaker 1: He looked better than a lot of quarterbacks against the

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Speaker 1: Bucks last year in that playoff game. And then I

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Speaker 1: mean even what he did today, I mean, look at

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Speaker 1: what they he did today. He was eleven to fifteen,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty two yards eight yard average a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: He had a quarterback rating of one nineteen. He actually

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Speaker 1: led them in a field goal range. They missed the

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Speaker 1: field goal. I just I mean, he put them in

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Speaker 1: position to win, and you know, Gibson fumbled it away

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Speaker 1: and then obviously he got.

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Speaker 3: The ball into charger territory. They're always gonna be the

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Speaker 3: San Diego a little bit.

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Speaker 1: He got them into charge of territory and they ended

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Speaker 1: up punting and they never got.

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Speaker 3: The ball back.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I will say this though. Heinike had one hundred

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Speaker 5: and nineteen quarterback rating but only a thirty eight QBR,

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Speaker 5: and like both of look, we know both of those

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Speaker 5: numbers are fropped, like if they only can tell us

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Speaker 5: so much to all in one sort of metrics. But

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Speaker 5: the QP rating is high because he completed a lot

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Speaker 5: of passes, he had a touchdown, he didn't turn it over,

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Speaker 5: which is all good.

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Speaker 4: Those are all good things.

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Speaker 5: But QBR, I know at least kind of takes into

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Speaker 5: account game situation and so like that. That tells me

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Speaker 5: that there's maybe some kind of check down, easy completion

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Speaker 5: sort of thing in there. To me, I think that

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Speaker 5: Fitzpatrick gave Washington this offensive ceiling, like I thought they

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Speaker 5: could really dial it up and do some stuff. Heinekey

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Speaker 5: maybe is going to be a better game manager. Fitzpatrick

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Speaker 5: is a turnover machine, and all this has been so

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Speaker 5: maybe for this team, maybe now Washington turns into Denver

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Speaker 5: of the NFC with their defense and more of a

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Speaker 5: Teddy Bridgewater tape quarterback. I'm intrigued by that. To me, though,

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Speaker 5: the takeaway in this game is just I'm I was

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Speaker 5: excited about the Chargers. I am in on the Chargers now.

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Speaker 5: Herbert just was so good in this game. The one

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Speaker 5: time I opened up my notes, I was watching it,

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Speaker 5: he put it through another dime, just hit someone in

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Speaker 5: the hands, and I opened up my notes to make

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Speaker 5: a note about man Herbert's ballplacement has been so good,

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Speaker 5: and lo and behold the very next play. As I'm

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Speaker 5: typing that in, he throws the interception in the red zone.

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Speaker 5: Just bad read try to you know, try to do

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Speaker 5: it too much. Overthrew it interception and I was like, oh,

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Speaker 5: then what happens. They get the stop, they get the

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Speaker 5: ball back, and he grabs them right down and throws

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Speaker 5: a perfect dime touchdown pass. And I just I loved

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Speaker 5: what I saw from him. I love what I saw

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Speaker 5: from the Chargers. Yeah, they you mentioned the third down conversion.

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Speaker 5: The Chargers had twenty nine more plays in this game

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Speaker 5: that twenty seven first downs only fifteen. They dominated this game,

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Speaker 5: and it's a little worrisome that they still easily could

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Speaker 5: have lost. But again, like you said, they won. This

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Speaker 5: is the game that the Chargers always lose. They always

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Speaker 5: lose this game, and I think we're all waiting for it,

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Speaker 5: waiting for that other shoot to drop. And they got

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Speaker 5: the win, and if they can start flipping things a

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Speaker 5: little bit in that direction, I think. You know, I

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Speaker 5: guess I'm very excited now Cowboys Chargers next week. To me,

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Speaker 5: those are two kind of sleeper teams that had a

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Speaker 5: really good showing this first week, and I'm excited for

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Speaker 5: that that one just to watch too high flying offenses.

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Speaker 5: I think it will be coming back to that one

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Speaker 5: for a hot read later on. But I'm just excited

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Speaker 5: to see what where both of those teams are going.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, without a doubt. And you know I'm a

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Speaker 1: Cowboys fan, so I definitely want to see that game.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, well, I know you're a Cowboys fan. I know

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Speaker 5: you're also in afhiliate. So let's talk about Philadelphia and Atlanta.

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Speaker 5: I got this one wrong. I thought that the Falcons

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Speaker 5: had a bit of an advantage here, and they clearly done.

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Speaker 4: The Eagles dominated.

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Speaker 1: I look at the Eagles and I look at the Falcons,

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Speaker 1: and I've realized that there's a massive disadvantage, and the

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Speaker 1: massive disadvantage is the Falcons offensive line and the Eagles

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Speaker 1: defensive line. They still got Fletcher Coxy. He's not an

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Speaker 1: easy guy to block. And if you have a Falcons

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Speaker 1: offensive line, you lose Alex Matt his replacement got hurt.

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Speaker 3: It's just you're in a tough position.

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Speaker 1: So I think I was coming into this game film

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Speaker 1: like the Eagles could win outright, and we knew that

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Speaker 1: Author Smith was going to run the ball early and often,

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Speaker 1: and to me, Matt Ryan couldn't do much. So surprised

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Speaker 1: that the Eagles won thirty two to six, But I'm

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Speaker 1: not surprised that they won. I mean, Mett Ryan was

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Speaker 1: onder stage all day, three sex twenty eight yards, So

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Speaker 1: I think that's that's the thing that I noticed, and

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Speaker 1: we all knew coming into this to this season, and

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Speaker 1: Falcons don't have a ton of talent on defense.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I was excited for what the Falcons might be.

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Speaker 5: I think that my takeaway here is that it's going

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Speaker 5: to take some time. There's just not a lot of

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Speaker 5: talent there. I was excited about Atlanta because of Arthur

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Speaker 5: Smith and what the offense would look like, and I

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Speaker 5: liked it early the first drive seventy two yards and

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Speaker 5: then they settled for a field goal. Second drives seventy

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Speaker 5: four yards and then settled for a field goal they

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Speaker 5: couldn't convert in the red zone, and then they never

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Speaker 5: made it back. So seventy two and seventy four on

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Speaker 5: those drives the next or the rest of the game.

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Speaker 5: Ten more drives seventy seven yards total the entire rest

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Speaker 5: of the game. So I don't know if that was

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Speaker 5: because they had the early place scripted or if the

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Speaker 5: Eagles figured something out, but it just disappeared entirely. And

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Speaker 5: I think to me, both of the Pennsylvania teams showed

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Speaker 5: that they maybe have a higher floor than we were

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Speaker 5: giving them credit for.

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Speaker 4: Just with good defense.

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Speaker 5: You know, Philadelphia with their good offensive line right now

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Speaker 5: while it's healthy. Hurts made a few throws in this game.

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Speaker 4: You know, I gotta give him a little credit.

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Speaker 5: DeVante Smith made a nice touchdown. You know, the Eagles

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Speaker 5: could be solid, and especially with Washington, you know, losing Fitzpatrick,

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Speaker 5: with Dallas losing that first game in a couple of

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Speaker 5: key losses, maybe there's something there with the Eagles. But

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Speaker 5: to me, this was about Arthur Smith. So Let's go

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Speaker 5: to Arthur Smith's old team, the Tennessee Titans, and boy

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Speaker 5: did they miss him. They got blown out off the

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Speaker 5: field thirty eight to thirteen by the Arizona Cardinals, who

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Speaker 5: we dumped on the entire preseason. So was this more

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Speaker 5: about the Cardinals or more about the Titans?

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Speaker 4: To you?

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Speaker 3: I think this was the Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: I mean I didn't expect the Cardinals defense to look

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Speaker 1: this legitimate. I mean Chandler Jones went out head there

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Speaker 1: and had five sacks. JJ Watt was in the backfield dominating.

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Speaker 1: I mean through the first half of again, Derrick Henry

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Speaker 1: had nine yards.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I know you took the Derrick Henry under

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Speaker 3: yards and I know I wrote an.

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Speaker 1: Article about why you should fade Derrek Henry this season,

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Speaker 1: but nine yards in the first half. The Titans can't

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Speaker 1: win if that's happened. And the offense for Arizona, I

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Speaker 1: mean they look really, really, really good.

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Speaker 3: I mean you got Christian Kirk catching two.

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Speaker 1: Touchdowns, you got aj Green, ron Dale Moore, Kyler Murray,

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Speaker 1: DeAndre Hoppins.

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Speaker 3: I mean they look scary. I mean they look like.

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Speaker 1: What we thought they would look like when Cliff Kingsbury

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Speaker 1: came into the league and was supposed to tear, you know,

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Speaker 1: tear the NFL up, And I mean, I know some

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Speaker 1: of that had to do with the Titans, but you

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Speaker 1: got to give a team credit when you dominate the

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Speaker 1: way they did.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, Kyler Murray had a huge game, four touchdown passes

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Speaker 5: and a TV run.

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Speaker 4: I saw it. Bet MGM.

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Speaker 5: Kyler Murray is now the second favorite to win MVP

386
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Speaker 5: at plus nine hundred. That's crazy to me. I can't

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Speaker 5: recommend you playing that one. But if he keeps one

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Speaker 5: of five touchdowns every week, I guess we'll after revisit

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Speaker 5: the conversation. But to me, this was the other side

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Speaker 5: of the ball that caught my eye, and it's back

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Speaker 5: to the Arthur Smith's thing. First of all, the Titans

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Speaker 5: offensive line is in big trouble, and I think that's

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Speaker 5: where Derrick Henry struggled as well to be able to

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Speaker 5: get his year. He wasn't getting any holes. There's nothing there.

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Speaker 5: Ryan Tannehill was under pressure all game. The Titans today

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Speaker 5: ran forty two pass plays and Tannehill got sacked six times,

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Speaker 5: and they weren't hooking up the deep ball like they

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Speaker 5: usually were under Arthur Smith. On forty two pass plays,

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Speaker 5: they netted one hundred and sixty two yards. That's three

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Speaker 5: point nine net yards per pass play, and that is

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Speaker 5: terrible and not even anywhere nearer where they were last

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Speaker 5: last year, the last couple of years under Smith Chandler

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Speaker 5: Jones had five sacks today. That's a season, dude, like

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Speaker 5: that the entire season for a lot of players. JJ

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Speaker 5: Watt was looking good. That front set on Arizona was

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Speaker 5: absolutely manhandling Tennessee. So that to me as a vikingspan,

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Speaker 5: we got a play Arizona next week, and I've seen

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Speaker 5: what our line is doing or not doing.

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Speaker 4: That looks like trouble.

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Speaker 5: And if that defensive front seven can stay that good

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Speaker 5: and Kyler Murray keeps dealing, then this entire division. Maybe

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Speaker 5: Arizona is not necessarily the fourth team in the division.

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Speaker 5: This team could really do something there. I gotta mention too,

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Speaker 5: if you played the total on this one, you got

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Speaker 5: a brutal beat because the line was at fifty four

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Speaker 5: and at the end of the third quarters thirty eight

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Speaker 5: to thirteen, and these teams were just going every direction

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Speaker 5: up and down the field, and then we got to

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Speaker 5: the fourth quarter and got zero points, absolutely nothing We

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Speaker 5: just ran the clock out for the final fifteen minutes

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Speaker 5: and hit the under by three points on that after

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Speaker 5: we had scored you know, fifty one points the first

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Speaker 5: three quarters, seventeen points a quarter, and then just sat

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Speaker 5: it out and wait till the end. So if you

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Speaker 5: missed out on that under, my apologies, that is a

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Speaker 5: rough one. Yeah, that was absolutely Brutal's let's stay in

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Speaker 5: the division with the Titans. Speaking of absolutely, let's just

428
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Speaker 5: run through the AFC South, because my god, this division

429
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Speaker 5: is awful.

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Speaker 4: So let's go to the Colts next. The Colts host

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Speaker 4: of the Seahawks.

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Speaker 5: We've all talked about that when the entire offseason, the

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Speaker 5: Colts started as favorites, the Seahawks closed as a three

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Speaker 5: point favorite. Seattle kind of just comfortably won this game

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Speaker 5: in a way that is not really very Seattle, like

436
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Speaker 5: they just did their thing. It was twenty eight to sixteen,

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Speaker 5: they covered easily, we hit the under.

438
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:29,560
Speaker 4: What do you make of what Seattle did? Was this

439
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:31,480
Speaker 4: a dominant performance for you?

440
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:35,199
Speaker 1: I think it was very reminiscent of what we saw

441
00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:39,200
Speaker 1: exactly one year ago with Seattle playing the Falcons.

442
00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:40,240
Speaker 3: I mean they dominated.

443
00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 1: They went into Atlanta and dominated the Falcons in the

444
00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:46,280
Speaker 1: same exact fashion, and right after the game, everybodys saying

445
00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,040
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson could win MVP.

446
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:50,760
Speaker 3: But I look at this Coats team.

447
00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,120
Speaker 1: I mean, we knew coming in that they had problems

448
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 1: on the offensive line, and I think one of the

449
00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:58,720
Speaker 1: things that I'm going to continually stress that like throughout

450
00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 1: this podcast, is that football's one of the trenches. I mean,

451
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:06,399
Speaker 1: they had to retirement Anthony Costanzo, Eric Fisher was fresh

452
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:09,520
Speaker 1: off with a Kelly's injury. He's not playing. Quentin Nelson

453
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:12,520
Speaker 1: got hurt. You got Carson Wentz back there and he

454
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:14,879
Speaker 1: really struggled. I mean the coach gave up three sacks.

455
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:18,320
Speaker 1: They had ten quarterback hits. If Seattle was if this

456
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:22,040
Speaker 1: pass rush they have had in this particular game can

457
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 1: translate to other games, I think Seattle was scary because

458
00:21:26,680 --> 00:21:29,400
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson's gonna give you an opportunity to win the game.

459
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,880
Speaker 1: I mean, Tyler Lockett made one of the greatest catches

460
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,520
Speaker 1: I've ever seen of all time with the pass Russell

461
00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:37,600
Speaker 1: threw in the adjustment in the air, So I wasn't surprised.

462
00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,560
Speaker 1: And Xavier Rose didn't play, so it's just that's too

463
00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:41,400
Speaker 1: much to overcome.

464
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:44,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, we were both all over Seattle on this one.

465
00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:47,600
Speaker 5: This was such an obvious play that the only reason

466
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:49,359
Speaker 5: not to play it was that it was such an

467
00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:50,080
Speaker 5: obvious play.

468
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:52,840
Speaker 4: It was such an easy read that I was.

469
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 5: Afraid to do too much on it, just because it

470
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:58,280
Speaker 5: seems so clear, you know, when when Carson Wentz and

471
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:01,679
Speaker 5: offensive line just had really not had any time together before,

472
00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 5: and you know, then losing roads as well, and I

473
00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 5: just feel like this is this is the game that

474
00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:07,800
Speaker 5: was going to happen.

475
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:09,800
Speaker 4: So here's my question to you.

476
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,040
Speaker 5: I'm gonna ask you a trivia questions even come up with,

477
00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 5: and I have a follow up. So Carson Wentz was

478
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 5: the fifth straight New Colts opening day starter. How many

479
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:21,679
Speaker 5: of the last four can you name? And then I

480
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:23,920
Speaker 5: want to know which one we think Carson Wentz.

481
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 4: Is closest to. So who did we have before Carson?

482
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 1: Okay, so before Carson, we had Philip Rivers. Before before that,

483
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:36,720
Speaker 1: we had Jacoby Brezett. Correct before that we had shoot

484
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,560
Speaker 1: what's his name guy who retired.

485
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:42,960
Speaker 4: Your luck good luck?

486
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:46,360
Speaker 3: And then before that this is the last one, this

487
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 3: is the one I don't know.

488
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:51,719
Speaker 5: Before that was Scott Tolesen, Wisconsin's own Scott Tolsen, who

489
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 5: remember that started and then it came out midway through

490
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:56,600
Speaker 5: the first game. It was just Forset the rest of

491
00:22:56,640 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 5: the way. So four very different quarterbacks. My question for you,

492
00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:02,120
Speaker 5: based on what we saw today and what we've known

493
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:05,800
Speaker 5: about Carson Wentz, which one of those four right now

494
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:08,080
Speaker 5: do we think that Indianapolis is getting Which one is

495
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:09,400
Speaker 5: Wentz gonna be closest to.

496
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:11,320
Speaker 1: I'm not going to put him on a level with

497
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 1: Scott quote Tozine, because I think Scott Tolzine was totally

498
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:19,119
Speaker 1: anti competitive, So I think he's somewhere between Scott Tolzine

499
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:20,280
Speaker 1: and Jacoby Brissett.

500
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 5: So I got a stand for my guy a little

501
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 5: bit here. I'm a Carson Wentz guy in North Dakota State.

502
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 5: I think that he was fine today. I thought it

503
00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:31,399
Speaker 5: wasn't a Carson problem. He was under pressure a lot,

504
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:33,960
Speaker 5: which unfortunately is kind of becoming a theme with him.

505
00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 5: He definitely holds the ball too long, He's taking some sacks.

506
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,520
Speaker 5: But Indianapolis, I think that they really just came down

507
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,199
Speaker 5: to that. They didn't convert on the important downs. They

508
00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,720
Speaker 5: went five and thirteen on third down They're ozer and

509
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:48,560
Speaker 5: three on fourth down, which is basically a turnover turnover

510
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,119
Speaker 5: on downs. This game was I think not actually so

511
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:55,560
Speaker 5: far off. Seattle only had eighteen first downs. It never

512
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:58,080
Speaker 5: really felt competitive, but looking at the numbers last year

513
00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:01,439
Speaker 5: and looking at the numbers after the game, it seems

514
00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,600
Speaker 5: relatively even Russell Wilson had a big game. He threw

515
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 5: four touchdowns. It felt like Seattle dominated the whole way.

516
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,600
Speaker 5: Given what this division looks like, I'm gonna say Wentz

517
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:14,359
Speaker 5: could be more like Rivers, and this is the old Rivers.

518
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:16,439
Speaker 5: This is the about to retire Rivers, not the end

519
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:20,480
Speaker 5: prime one. But I think that Wentz can be fine.

520
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:22,920
Speaker 5: He can get his blocking in order, he can deliver

521
00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:23,439
Speaker 5: the ball.

522
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,640
Speaker 4: I think that Wentz and this team could still make

523
00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 4: the playoffs, if only because somebody has.

524
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 5: To in this division is right now, the Houston Texans

525
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:38,040
Speaker 5: are leading the AFC South oh Maxans hosted the Jaguars

526
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,480
Speaker 5: and they put the beating on them thirty seven to

527
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:43,399
Speaker 5: twenty one. They covered the three and a half plus

528
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 5: one fifty on the money line. I played both of

529
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:49,080
Speaker 5: those today. We hit the over by a mile. Houston

530
00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 5: almost covered the over on their own, so Is this

531
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:53,680
Speaker 5: a Houston thing or is this the Jacksonville thing.

532
00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,680
Speaker 3: I think this is definitely a Jacksonville thing.

533
00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,199
Speaker 1: I mean, we both said it on this podcast that

534
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 1: we felt that urban Meyer might be a little bit

535
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:04,480
Speaker 1: over his head. I mean, for a team that we

536
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:06,159
Speaker 1: expected to be as bad as Houston to go out

537
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:07,840
Speaker 1: there and put thirty seven points on you, I think

538
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 1: it says a lot about the quality of this Jacksonville team.

539
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:13,199
Speaker 4: It's rough. Trevor Lawrence.

540
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:17,679
Speaker 5: This was his first regular season loss ever as a quarterback,

541
00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:21,439
Speaker 5: not in the NFL. College and high school, Trevor Lawrence

542
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 5: has never lost a regular season game, which is insane,

543
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:26,720
Speaker 5: but good news for him. He's going to get a

544
00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:29,240
Speaker 5: lot of practice at doing that real soon in the NFL.

545
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 5: So my question is this right now, the Houston Texans

546
00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 5: are want to know everyone else in the division is

547
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 5: zero to one?

548
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 4: Who's your pick doing the ANFC South? Right now?

549
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,679
Speaker 5: You win with Tennessee heading into the season, is that

550
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 5: still how you're leaning right now?

551
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:45,119
Speaker 4: Somebody's got to win this division?

552
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,760
Speaker 3: Trust either. I don't trust any of these defenses at

553
00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:48,480
Speaker 3: the end of the day.

554
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:51,919
Speaker 1: I mean a lot of people look at the Coast

555
00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:53,520
Speaker 1: defense from last year, and I always felt they were

556
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:56,239
Speaker 1: a little bit overrated. I mean, number twenty second in

557
00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:59,800
Speaker 1: passing success rate one defense last year, so I've seen

558
00:25:59,840 --> 00:26:01,840
Speaker 1: him get carved up in the same way that Russell

559
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:05,560
Speaker 1: carve them today. So I'm not really that high on them,

560
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 1: and I think their offensive line is really a mess.

561
00:26:08,359 --> 00:26:09,920
Speaker 1: I still gotta I gotta stick. I mean, I can't

562
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,439
Speaker 1: overreact after week one. I mean, I'm gonna stick with Tennessee.

563
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:14,919
Speaker 1: I still think they're the best team in this division.

564
00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think that I'm sticking with Indianapolis for the

565
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:22,040
Speaker 5: same reasons of just well, nobody looked good anyways, so

566
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 5: why move off the position right now. It's not like

567
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:26,359
Speaker 5: I'm fearing Houston for any reason.

568
00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:26,680
Speaker 3: Now.

569
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 5: I was hoping we talked before about maybe playing the

570
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,240
Speaker 5: loser of that game, which would be Jacksonville. Now with

571
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,440
Speaker 5: their division odds, well, I needed Indianapolis and Tennessee to

572
00:26:36,520 --> 00:26:39,040
Speaker 5: win for that to matter because Jacksonville is still tied

573
00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:41,320
Speaker 5: with them, so it's not really a good spot after all.

574
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:42,720
Speaker 4: So maybe just stay.

575
00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 5: Away from that division, keep them after television, but you know,

576
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,119
Speaker 5: bet against them. Well, I think we'll be playing a

577
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:50,919
Speaker 5: lot of times against the AFC South you know in

578
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:51,879
Speaker 5: some the season.

579
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:58,800
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580
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608
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 2: Let's get back to the show.

609
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 5: According to the Action Network app, the game that the

610
00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:36,680
Speaker 5: most of you bet on this week was none other

611
00:28:36,760 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 5: than San Francisco and the Detroit Lions. This thing was

612
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:43,520
Speaker 5: a barn burner. I called it Blowout City, and it

613
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,240
Speaker 5: looked the part. San Francisco is up thirty eight to ten,

614
00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 5: and suddenly this thing blew wide open with the Lions

615
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:54,360
Speaker 5: recovered an on side kick. The Lions recovered three fumbles

616
00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:56,280
Speaker 5: from the forty nine Ers. They stormed all the way

617
00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 5: back to forty one to thirty three and then recovered

618
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 5: another fumble and had a shot to tie this thing

619
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 5: and send it to overtime. It was forty one to

620
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:08,120
Speaker 5: seventeen with six minutes left when the Lions got the ball,

621
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,520
Speaker 5: forty one to seventeen, and the Lions almost sent us

622
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 5: to overtime. So what looked like a forty nine Ers

623
00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:17,080
Speaker 5: dominant win ended up not even being a cover. The

624
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 5: Lions were nine point underdogs by the time this thing closed.

625
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:22,800
Speaker 5: They lost by eight, So Detroit had one of the

626
00:29:22,840 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 5: early candidates for Cover of the year. We obviously hit

627
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:29,200
Speaker 5: the over. Both teams nearly hit the over themselves. So

628
00:29:29,560 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 5: is this a bigger statement for Detroit or for San Francisco?

629
00:29:32,720 --> 00:29:32,960
Speaker 4: For you?

630
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:36,000
Speaker 3: I think it's definitely a bigger statement for Detroit.

631
00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 1: I mean, Dan Campbell came down in his opening press

632
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:40,600
Speaker 1: conference and said that they were going to bite some

633
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,560
Speaker 1: kneecaps and if you knock us down and we're going

634
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:45,720
Speaker 1: you're gonna need three hits and we're gonna bite you.

635
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 1: And I think this game was the epitome of debt.

636
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:52,520
Speaker 1: You know, I don't know how long this is gonna

637
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 1: last and how successful he's gonna be. But I found

638
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 1: it encouraging that this team continued to fight for them.

639
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 3: Golf started off one for five for.

640
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:04,800
Speaker 1: Twelve yards and an interception, and then Golf ended up

641
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:07,440
Speaker 1: with three hundred and thirty eight passing yards and three touchdowns.

642
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 1: So I just think this is going to be one

643
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 1: of those scrappy teams. And I want to shout out

644
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 1: to Simon because Simon always says on the Favorite podcast,

645
00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:18,320
Speaker 1: he took Detroit and you know, a lot of us

646
00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:21,440
Speaker 1: didn't see. It was pretty ugly, but they eventually got

647
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:24,320
Speaker 1: it done. So I think that says something about Detroit.

648
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,120
Speaker 1: I mean, sometimes these games take on a life of

649
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 1: their own, and you know, teams kind of relaxed, and

650
00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:32,160
Speaker 1: I think that's what that's the forty nine ers did.

651
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 1: This was their first game back where they had all

652
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,120
Speaker 1: the guys healthy. I mean, we know that they were

653
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:39,200
Speaker 1: one of the top teams in just the games loss

654
00:30:39,280 --> 00:30:42,840
Speaker 1: last year, so maybe the same focus wasn't there after

655
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 1: getting up to such a big lead. And I think

656
00:30:45,840 --> 00:30:47,200
Speaker 1: the forty nine ers still going to be one of

657
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,360
Speaker 1: the cream of the crops in the NFC West.

658
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:52,040
Speaker 3: But I think it said a lot about the Troy.

659
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:53,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think for me, I'm gonna go a little

660
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:56,120
Speaker 5: bit the other direction on this. To me, this is

661
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,320
Speaker 5: just kind of a garbage, nothing, six minute segment from Detroila.

662
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 5: Good for them trying, good for them for pushing hard

663
00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:05,120
Speaker 5: for the coach. To me, though, this is opportunity. This

664
00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 5: is going to mean that Detroit is overvalued and San

665
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:12,120
Speaker 5: Francisco is undervalued. And I'm excited about it because Detroit

666
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 5: looked terrible for most of this game. For the part

667
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 5: that mattered, Detroit looked awful. Their offensive line was pretty good.

668
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:20,320
Speaker 5: Panay Suwell was doing well in a tough spot. Lie

669
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 5: the offense was moving the ball. The Lion's defense was terrible.

670
00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:26,800
Speaker 5: The very first play of the game for the forty

671
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:31,080
Speaker 5: nine ers, Jimmy Garoppolo fumbles a snap. After that until

672
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 5: a little bit into the second half, the forty nine

673
00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,120
Speaker 5: Ers got in a scoring position on every single.

674
00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 4: Drive after that. That's when they went up to thirty

675
00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 4: eight to ten.

676
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:40,960
Speaker 5: They missed a field goal, they hit a field goal,

677
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:42,280
Speaker 5: and they got five touchdowns.

678
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 4: That's what happened with this defense.

679
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:48,280
Speaker 5: Jeff Okuda not having that sophomore breakout start that we

680
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:51,720
Speaker 5: thought maybe would start to come around. It looks rough

681
00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 5: like this defense with the pass was rough last year. Yeah,

682
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 5: it was rough last year, but it was easy to

683
00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 5: blame the coaches and whatever else says. Yeah, snow actually

684
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 5: matters too, So I think San Francisco is very good

685
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 5: and showed it. I don't really make too much of

686
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:09,120
Speaker 5: the late you know, giving up that late run, this

687
00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:11,720
Speaker 5: sup that put up the gas pedal. I'm excited about

688
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 5: my guy, Elijah Mitchell. I gave him out as a

689
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,680
Speaker 5: possible long shot Rookie of the Year five hundred to

690
00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 5: one on our podcast a few weeks ago. Elijah Mitchell

691
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,440
Speaker 5: had one hundred and four yards and a touchdown today

692
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:26,120
Speaker 5: where he mostered. It looks like he's be injured and

693
00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:29,320
Speaker 5: miss a little time. Trey Sermon was inactive today. The

694
00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 5: higher rookie pick didn't even make the roster today. So

695
00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:34,560
Speaker 5: I think Mitchell is going to be the fantasy pick

696
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 5: up of the week. He's a good fit. He's a

697
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:40,160
Speaker 5: one cut runner, He's gonna fit that situation well, and

698
00:32:40,200 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 5: we know they're going to run the ball a lot.

699
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:44,000
Speaker 5: So I think Elijah Mitchell, he's not even on the

700
00:32:44,040 --> 00:32:45,800
Speaker 5: board at a lot of rookie of the year places

701
00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 5: you can't even play, might keep watching him to put

702
00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:49,960
Speaker 5: some more on it, so he's sure his hack won't

703
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:53,360
Speaker 5: be at five hundred to one anymore. But definitely something

704
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,800
Speaker 5: to keep an eye on. Another thing, unfortunately, we have

705
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:58,240
Speaker 5: to keep an eye on for the forty nine ers

706
00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:00,240
Speaker 5: Jason Barrett, I think is one of the big big

707
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 5: injuries of Week one. He tore his ACL and San

708
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:06,440
Speaker 5: Francisco's secondary was already a bit of a weak spot,

709
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:09,640
Speaker 5: like they're already pretty thin at cornerback, and Verrett can

710
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:12,640
Speaker 5: be really good when he's healthy, just never stays healthy.

711
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 5: So this to me dropped San Francisco from something like

712
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:19,280
Speaker 5: eighth to twelfth or something somewhere in there in my

713
00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 5: defensive rankings. And it's that first Domino Week one. You know,

714
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,760
Speaker 5: they're one more cornerback injury away now from from.

715
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:27,680
Speaker 4: Real trouble there.

716
00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:31,080
Speaker 5: So that does you know that That does make me

717
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 5: a little sad for San Francisco's upside, as good as

718
00:33:33,640 --> 00:33:37,560
Speaker 5: things look today, But definitely something to keep an eye out.

719
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 5: One other thing we have to point out here with

720
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,080
Speaker 5: this game and our next one, we'll just talk well briefly,

721
00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:45,600
Speaker 5: you've got to get the early lines on these games.

722
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,720
Speaker 5: We mentioned before the lines covered the closing line of

723
00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:53,120
Speaker 5: plus nine. But I won on the forty nine ers

724
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:54,920
Speaker 5: because I took them early in the week at seven

725
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 5: and a half and they won by eight.

726
00:33:57,040 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 4: So you've got to get that early line.

727
00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:02,040
Speaker 5: If you were waiting around till Sunday, you are missing

728
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:04,520
Speaker 5: all that juicy line movement early in the week.

729
00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 4: So without a doubt, yeah.

730
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:08,880
Speaker 1: I mean, I think I strussed this a lot, and

731
00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,839
Speaker 1: I think the markets are a lot sharper than they

732
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,840
Speaker 1: have than And we've seen this trend over the last

733
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:18,439
Speaker 1: five years where Monday morning, when the lines open up,

734
00:34:18,760 --> 00:34:21,200
Speaker 1: you have sharp money coming in. You can move the

735
00:34:21,239 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 1: market with like five hundred to one thousand dollars now,

736
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:28,280
Speaker 1: And basically what these bookmakers are doing is they're letting

737
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,360
Speaker 1: they're putting out a number, and they're letting the sharpest

738
00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:34,239
Speaker 1: better is in the market shape their number, and then

739
00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:36,880
Speaker 1: they're raising their limits to the week. So by the

740
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 1: time you get the Sunday, yeah, you can bet fifty

741
00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 1: one hundred thousand, five hundred thousand a million on the game.

742
00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 1: But the bookmakers are already comfortable with taking that type

743
00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 1: of action because they've sharpened the number throughout the week,

744
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:53,759
Speaker 1: so you want to get that most inefficient line on

745
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:57,160
Speaker 1: Monday and Tuesday and Wednesday for sure.

746
00:34:57,280 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 5: So the Jets Panthers was another one where the same

747
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:04,120
Speaker 5: problem happened. The Panthers got the win nineteen to fourteen.

748
00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:07,320
Speaker 5: The Jets came down for a late garbage time touchdown

749
00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:10,239
Speaker 5: and missed the two point conversion, and depending on when

750
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 5: you played this line, that two point conversion factored out

751
00:35:13,600 --> 00:35:16,320
Speaker 5: whether you won or not. The Panthers covered the closing

752
00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 5: line of three and a half, but the Jets were

753
00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:20,200
Speaker 5: five and a half earlier in the week, so you

754
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,200
Speaker 5: didn't even need that two points if you got them then,

755
00:35:22,800 --> 00:35:25,520
Speaker 5: So I don't have too much else on this game.

756
00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:28,399
Speaker 5: The Jets were not you know, they're not good enough

757
00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:32,080
Speaker 5: right now. I'm Robert Sala, but they're just not ready.

758
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:34,960
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I mean, I this was a game that

759
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 1: I got wrong. I actually thought that the Jets offense

760
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:40,279
Speaker 1: would look a lot like what it was in the

761
00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 1: fourth quarter as opposed to what it was all game.

762
00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:46,120
Speaker 1: And it's pretty clear that this offense isn't ready yet.

763
00:35:46,440 --> 00:35:50,359
Speaker 1: I mean, the pass protection was absolutely brutal and now

764
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:53,960
Speaker 1: they they may have lost their left tackle with a

765
00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 1: serious knee injury. So I think you going into next week,

766
00:35:57,160 --> 00:36:00,359
Speaker 1: they're playing a Patriots team with a solid defense. I'm

767
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:03,080
Speaker 1: not expecting a lot of points. It's forty three. That's

768
00:36:03,080 --> 00:36:05,360
Speaker 1: a game that I could see going under easily. And

769
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:08,400
Speaker 1: when it comes to the Panthers, I think they're struggling

770
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:11,399
Speaker 1: with the same issues that they had last year. They

771
00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:13,880
Speaker 1: just struggle inside of the rezone. So this is not

772
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:15,720
Speaker 1: a team that's gonna put up a lot of points.

773
00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:19,080
Speaker 1: Darnold proved that he could play well against a bad team,

774
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:21,640
Speaker 1: but what's he gonna do against the other teams in

775
00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 1: the division. I mean, he has to play the Saints twice,

776
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:25,640
Speaker 1: he has to play the Buccaneers twice, and those are

777
00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:28,239
Speaker 1: two teams they have shown us that they have some

778
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:29,759
Speaker 1: of the best defense in the league. They got two

779
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:33,040
Speaker 1: of the best defensive lines. So I'm not really that

780
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:34,759
Speaker 1: high on either one of these teams.

781
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm not really feeling it with either one of them.

782
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 5: The Jets seemed to me like I was excited about

783
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:43,840
Speaker 5: what their team might look like because of the coaching upgrades,

784
00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 5: but today was a reminder that you still got to

785
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:48,480
Speaker 5: actually have the players carry out the orders. On the field,

786
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:50,400
Speaker 5: and there's just not a lot of talent there. So

787
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:52,800
Speaker 5: I'm definitely gonna have to back off the Jets a

788
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:55,360
Speaker 5: little bit from where it was on them. I'm definitely

789
00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:59,200
Speaker 5: backing off my Minnesota Vikings. I think the season's over

790
00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:02,240
Speaker 5: as a Vikings and the sky is falling. The Vikings

791
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:04,440
Speaker 5: went to Cincinnati and what should have been one of

792
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:07,239
Speaker 5: the easier games on the schedule, and they lost in

793
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:11,680
Speaker 5: overtime twenty seven to twenty four. Minnesota's offensive line was

794
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:15,239
Speaker 5: shambles in this game. In the first half alone, Minnesota's

795
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:18,160
Speaker 5: o line had five fall starts in three holding. They

796
00:37:18,239 --> 00:37:20,520
Speaker 5: finished the game with twelve penalties for one hundred and

797
00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 5: sixteen yards and three more decline penalties, and there was

798
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:27,400
Speaker 5: eleven different cold penalties on the offensive line this game.

799
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:32,720
Speaker 5: Minnesota had third and twenty four, third and twenty, third

800
00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:35,520
Speaker 5: and twenty four, fifteen, ten and twenty.

801
00:37:35,200 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 4: Six all by early in the third quarter.

802
00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:41,080
Speaker 5: They were just constantly playing behind the eight ball and

803
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 5: they shouldn't have been really taking it to overtime.

804
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:44,240
Speaker 4: They're lucky to get it there.

805
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:47,160
Speaker 5: So to me, I think that this today, I think

806
00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:49,279
Speaker 5: this is the beginning of the end for the Mike

807
00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:51,000
Speaker 5: zimmer and the Kirk Cousins era.

808
00:37:51,480 --> 00:37:53,600
Speaker 4: Tell me if I'm overreacting.

809
00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:55,200
Speaker 3: I was. Actually I would like you stole to words

810
00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:55,759
Speaker 3: out of my mouth.

811
00:37:55,840 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 1: And you know, I kind of felt that way even

812
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 1: coming into the season before all the like, with all

813
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:04,200
Speaker 1: the stuff with the COVID situation, you know, And I

814
00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 1: don't want to judge anybody's right to take the vaccine

815
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:10,200
Speaker 1: and whatnot, but I do remember hearing Zimber being frustrated

816
00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:13,400
Speaker 1: about that this defense was supposed to be better, but

817
00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 1: Anthony Barr still he doesn't play any football. I think

818
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:20,280
Speaker 1: that's a big loss for them. You mentioned the offensive line,

819
00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:25,800
Speaker 1: which is a complete mess. I mean they had seventy

820
00:38:25,880 --> 00:38:29,440
Speaker 1: of the team's one hundred and sixteen penalty yards. I mean,

821
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,759
Speaker 1: they just got pushed around. It's just for me. I

822
00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:35,880
Speaker 1: think this was a team in which sharp money actually

823
00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:39,080
Speaker 1: came on the on the over. So to see them

824
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 1: go into Cincinnati and put up this type of performance

825
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:44,479
Speaker 1: against a team that's really not that good, that doesn't

826
00:38:44,520 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 1: have a good offensive line, I think they're in trouble.

827
00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:50,799
Speaker 5: They are in trouble because if you look at the

828
00:38:50,880 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 5: schedule the next few weeks, you know, the Cardinals are

829
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:56,960
Speaker 5: up next. They suddenly look like really a tough opponent,

830
00:38:57,080 --> 00:38:59,320
Speaker 5: especially with the way that front seven is playing against

831
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:03,040
Speaker 5: US line. Seattle's After that, Minnesota never plays Seattle well

832
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:06,439
Speaker 5: and Russell Wilson tends to shred the defense. And later

833
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:08,279
Speaker 5: in the year there's a really tough month. This is

834
00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:11,440
Speaker 5: this is the easy stretch. Minnesota needed a hot start,

835
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:14,040
Speaker 5: and this was one of the games they had to win.

836
00:39:14,640 --> 00:39:18,319
Speaker 5: So I think that this really puts the Vikings behind

837
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:20,480
Speaker 5: the eight ball. There's a lot of talent here, certainly

838
00:39:20,600 --> 00:39:23,799
Speaker 5: enough to overcome things, but this is you know, this

839
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:27,000
Speaker 5: to me is one of the more damaging wins to

840
00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:30,040
Speaker 5: a playoff hopeful team that we had today. Teams like

841
00:39:30,120 --> 00:39:32,319
Speaker 5: the Bills that loss like, okay, well you lost to

842
00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:35,400
Speaker 5: a good team. This is just a bad loss, a

843
00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 5: very bad loss that the Vikings shouldn't have done. We

844
00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:42,080
Speaker 5: wrapped up the early afternoon. We're gonna get to the

845
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:45,359
Speaker 5: late afternoon. Cleveland and Kansas City was the game. We're

846
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 5: all excited about, the game of the day. I think

847
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:50,120
Speaker 5: it lived up to the billing. The Chiefs ended up

848
00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 5: winning thirty three to twenty nine.

849
00:39:52,160 --> 00:39:52,919
Speaker 4: We hit the over.

850
00:39:53,520 --> 00:39:57,120
Speaker 5: The Browns did cover the five, but could not quite

851
00:39:57,160 --> 00:39:59,279
Speaker 5: hang on to get the money line win. I know

852
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:01,440
Speaker 5: you were big on Cleveland this week. What did you

853
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:02,200
Speaker 5: make of this game?

854
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 1: I think it was one of the more frustrating games,

855
00:40:05,680 --> 00:40:10,560
Speaker 1: and it's a peak Brown's performance. I mean in terms

856
00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:13,719
Speaker 1: of how to blow a game. I mean they absolutely dominated.

857
00:40:13,719 --> 00:40:16,560
Speaker 1: They had more first downs. I mean they had eight

858
00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,040
Speaker 1: point two yards per play compared to the Chiefs six

859
00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:21,360
Speaker 1: point five yards per play. They had three hundred and

860
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:24,040
Speaker 1: four passing yards. I mean they ran all over the

861
00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:26,760
Speaker 1: Chiefs one hundred and fifty three rushing yards five point

862
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:30,920
Speaker 1: nine yards per rush. I mean they did everything that

863
00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:33,839
Speaker 1: you could possibly do in order to beat Kansas City.

864
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:37,400
Speaker 1: I mean they came out Kevin the Fancy called an

865
00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:41,000
Speaker 1: incredible game. I mean going forward on fourth down, even

866
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:44,319
Speaker 1: scoring a touchdown the opening touchdown and going for two,

867
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:47,200
Speaker 1: I mean, and putting a pressure on Kansas City going

868
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:51,640
Speaker 1: up fourteen three. I mean, you can't play as you

869
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:53,680
Speaker 1: can't expect the team to play as well as the

870
00:40:53,719 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 1: Browns did and lose. And I think it all came

871
00:40:57,120 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 1: to game down to the Nick Chubb fumble. And after

872
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:04,960
Speaker 1: the Nick Chub fumble, you know, Kansas City scored, the

873
00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 1: Browns finally get stopped and then the black point and

874
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:09,640
Speaker 1: I think I just think that changed the game and

875
00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 1: the momentum was completely lost. So I think the Browns

876
00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:15,319
Speaker 1: are a legitimate super Bowl contender. And I think you

877
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:18,400
Speaker 1: mentioned this on the last episode that you wanted to

878
00:41:18,480 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 1: bet the loser of this game to win a super Bowl.

879
00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:24,120
Speaker 1: So are you still is that something that you still

880
00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:24,480
Speaker 1: want to do?

881
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:26,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, I feel good about it to me.

882
00:41:26,920 --> 00:41:29,640
Speaker 5: To me, these are just two good teams that played

883
00:41:29,680 --> 00:41:32,400
Speaker 5: a good game and one team one and one team loss,

884
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 5: like this is not the sky is falling. I joked

885
00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:38,440
Speaker 5: on Twitter about the Browns are really Browns again again

886
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:41,799
Speaker 5: because that punter fumbled a snap and they gave up

887
00:41:41,800 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 5: the long Tyreek touchdown. It looked like there is the

888
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:47,480
Speaker 5: disaster play where they tried to down the punt and

889
00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:49,520
Speaker 5: then Cleveland tried to pick it up and Kansas City

890
00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:52,400
Speaker 5: thought that a touchdown. That's just a good play by Cleveland.

891
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:55,040
Speaker 5: That's the right play to do there. The Browns are

892
00:41:55,040 --> 00:41:58,160
Speaker 5: not brownsing things up. This is a good team. Eight

893
00:41:58,160 --> 00:42:01,280
Speaker 5: point two yards of play is good. It's great. Baker

894
00:42:01,360 --> 00:42:03,880
Speaker 5: Mayfield average eleven and a half yards per attempt he

895
00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:06,799
Speaker 5: was fairing uugh downfield. I know he had the game.

896
00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:09,880
Speaker 5: See interception, he's trying to throw the ball away. That

897
00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:12,399
Speaker 5: wasn't a bad read. He was under pressure. You're trying

898
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:15,520
Speaker 5: to do something, you go for the win. The Browns

899
00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:20,359
Speaker 5: have now in seventeen consecutive season openers, they have gone

900
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:24,839
Speaker 5: without a win seventeen years. The last time Cleveland won

901
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:28,120
Speaker 5: its season opener was two thousand and four, which featured

902
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:32,600
Speaker 5: Jeff Garcia taking down Kyle Boller and the Baltimore Ravens.

903
00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:37,360
Speaker 5: That's how long it's been. But I'm not afraid. Cleveland

904
00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:41,080
Speaker 5: looked good. This to me look like, oh, here are

905
00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 5: the two best teams in the AFC. We went had

906
00:42:43,560 --> 00:42:45,839
Speaker 5: to head. The Browns looked like they should have won.

907
00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:49,319
Speaker 5: It was on the road. Kansas City's fans I think

908
00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:53,319
Speaker 5: played a huge role in, you know, getting Baker in

909
00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:55,920
Speaker 5: the Cleveland off their game a little bit. It's a

910
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:58,839
Speaker 5: good matchup as two teams are very good. If they

911
00:42:58,880 --> 00:43:01,920
Speaker 5: played again, I would like or Cleveland's chances again, It's

912
00:43:02,000 --> 00:43:04,040
Speaker 5: just two teams that are going to be there. I

913
00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 5: think when things matter in the end, So I will

914
00:43:07,160 --> 00:43:10,880
Speaker 5: say this nothing in sports is there a better bet

915
00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,680
Speaker 5: in football or in any sport right now than when

916
00:43:13,719 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 5: Patrick Mahomes gets behind and you can bet Mahomes at

917
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:20,560
Speaker 5: plus money on the money line, that's an absolute auto

918
00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:22,600
Speaker 5: bet for me anytime I get the chance, and I

919
00:43:22,600 --> 00:43:25,400
Speaker 5: will say this, I did the same thing with Aaron Rodgers.

920
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:27,879
Speaker 5: Today didn't work out for me. I did the same

921
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,520
Speaker 5: thing with Djokovic today didn't work out for me. But

922
00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:34,880
Speaker 5: I am willing to let my amazing talent guys get behind.

923
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:37,760
Speaker 5: And Mahomes has won me so much money the incident

924
00:43:37,880 --> 00:43:41,200
Speaker 5: that he falls behind by like ten points automatic bet.

925
00:43:41,440 --> 00:43:43,879
Speaker 1: I mean, I mean, this is a guy who's I mean,

926
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,279
Speaker 1: if you include today, he's thirty nine and eight in

927
00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:49,760
Speaker 1: the regular season since taken over as quarterback of the Chiefs.

928
00:43:50,239 --> 00:43:53,360
Speaker 1: I mean, you can't lose bet with this guy unless

929
00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:54,800
Speaker 1: you bet him in the Super Bowl. I mean, I

930
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:59,360
Speaker 1: think his total record, I mean since he became the starter,

931
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:04,040
Speaker 1: I think good. We're neglecting to mention how good Andy

932
00:44:04,080 --> 00:44:06,600
Speaker 1: Reid is in week one and coming off of by

933
00:44:07,160 --> 00:44:10,920
Speaker 1: so I do think the one trend that you know

934
00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:13,280
Speaker 1: continues to cover is the loser.

935
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:14,239
Speaker 3: The Super Bowl was four.

936
00:44:14,719 --> 00:44:16,759
Speaker 1: I mean, if you clue today that they're four and

937
00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:19,880
Speaker 1: eighteen in the last twenty openers in the following season.

938
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:23,359
Speaker 1: So if you can, if you just think about next

939
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:26,600
Speaker 1: year and you want to bet week one, just figure

940
00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:28,560
Speaker 1: out who's the loser of the Super Bowl.

941
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:29,319
Speaker 3: And just fade him.

942
00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:31,560
Speaker 1: Because the Browns even covered this they I think they

943
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:34,160
Speaker 1: covered the closing line at four and a half as well.

944
00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,000
Speaker 5: There you go, we're hot, reading all the way to

945
00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:39,520
Speaker 5: next season. We've already got you one win for Week

946
00:44:39,560 --> 00:44:42,600
Speaker 5: one next year. That's how ready we are. But speaking

947
00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:44,879
Speaker 5: of quarterbacks, that I bet on that did not come

948
00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:49,200
Speaker 5: through Aaron Rodgers not his finest day. Aaron Rodgers finished

949
00:44:49,239 --> 00:44:51,440
Speaker 5: the game on the sidelines watching Jordan Love. So at

950
00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:54,839
Speaker 5: least the Packers are getting ready for their transition. This

951
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,000
Speaker 5: is not exactly the start of the last dance that

952
00:44:57,040 --> 00:45:00,200
Speaker 5: I think Green Bay fans were hoping for. New Orleans

953
00:45:00,239 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 5: destroyed green Bay thirty eight to three, obviously covering the spread,

954
00:45:04,640 --> 00:45:06,680
Speaker 5: getting the plus one sixty money line.

955
00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:09,640
Speaker 4: This game didn't, you know, hit the under because the

956
00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:12,640
Speaker 4: Packers just never showed up on offense. They really even

957
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:13,360
Speaker 4: had the ball.

958
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:16,160
Speaker 5: Aaron Rodgers got the ball back with a minute seven

959
00:45:16,239 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 5: left in the first half. Green Bay had two possessions

960
00:45:19,200 --> 00:45:21,719
Speaker 5: in the entire game. At that point, the Saints were

961
00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:24,840
Speaker 5: just running the ball, controlling the clock, doing the exact

962
00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:27,360
Speaker 5: thing that we know has happened with Green Bay in

963
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:29,520
Speaker 5: the past. Last year, green Bay lost thirty eight to

964
00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:31,919
Speaker 5: ten to Tampa in the regular season. The year before,

965
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:34,719
Speaker 5: they lost thirty seven to eight to San Francisco. They

966
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:37,800
Speaker 5: seem to have one of these games where the script

967
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:40,239
Speaker 5: doesn't work out right, they give up a lot of

968
00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 5: runs and it just never happens and it just gets

969
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:45,600
Speaker 5: completely out of hand. So is this another of those

970
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:48,719
Speaker 5: games or is this that Packers regression we've been waiting for.

971
00:45:49,560 --> 00:45:51,719
Speaker 3: I think it was one of those games. I think

972
00:45:51,719 --> 00:45:52,479
Speaker 3: it was a little both.

973
00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:56,160
Speaker 1: I mean, I've read an interesting stat after the game,

974
00:45:56,200 --> 00:45:59,200
Speaker 1: and I didn't realize it before, but apparently the Packers

975
00:45:59,200 --> 00:46:02,360
Speaker 1: have they really have struggled in the state of Florida.

976
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:04,640
Speaker 1: I mean, since Aaron Rodgers became a starting quarterback in

977
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:06,759
Speaker 1: two thousand and eight, he has a career record of

978
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:09,000
Speaker 1: three and four. He has just a seventy eight point

979
00:46:09,080 --> 00:46:12,520
Speaker 1: one passer rating inside of the Sunshine State. We all

980
00:46:12,520 --> 00:46:14,560
Speaker 1: remember that Buccaneers game from last year where they got

981
00:46:14,560 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 1: completely dominated, and this was very reminiscent of that. But

982
00:46:18,120 --> 00:46:21,160
Speaker 1: I think some of it has to come with I mean,

983
00:46:21,200 --> 00:46:23,200
Speaker 1: this team didn't have It felt like they didn't have

984
00:46:23,200 --> 00:46:26,520
Speaker 1: a lot of continuity. You got two new starters on

985
00:46:26,520 --> 00:46:30,560
Speaker 1: the offensive line, Obviously David Bactiari he tore his achilles

986
00:46:30,640 --> 00:46:33,719
Speaker 1: last year. Obviously, you lose Corey Lensley, and you got

987
00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:36,759
Speaker 1: two rookies on the offensive line against a solid defensive

988
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:40,960
Speaker 1: line with Cameron Jordan, and they just put pressure on

989
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:43,600
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers all day. And you know, there was a

990
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:47,440
Speaker 1: I think the drive coming out of halftime, and I

991
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:50,239
Speaker 1: think the Packers are down seventeen to three and they

992
00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:52,440
Speaker 1: have a chance to cut it to a one possession game,

993
00:46:53,000 --> 00:46:56,920
Speaker 1: and Aaron Rodgers is so focused on the pressure that

994
00:46:57,400 --> 00:46:59,680
Speaker 1: he steps up to make the throw and he makes

995
00:46:59,680 --> 00:47:01,400
Speaker 1: a jump throw and it's off target.

996
00:47:01,600 --> 00:47:04,319
Speaker 3: I mean Davante Adams was wide open, he.

997
00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:06,279
Speaker 1: Catches that he's probably going into the end zone, he's

998
00:47:06,280 --> 00:47:09,480
Speaker 1: getting the first down, and instead it's an interception, and

999
00:47:09,560 --> 00:47:13,080
Speaker 1: from there on, the game's over. But I think I

1000
00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:15,839
Speaker 1: think the I mean the Packers really haven't addressed their

1001
00:47:15,920 --> 00:47:17,600
Speaker 1: issues on the defensive line.

1002
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:21,480
Speaker 3: I mean, it just felt like the Saints ran the

1003
00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:22,719
Speaker 3: ball over all over them.

1004
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:24,320
Speaker 1: I mean they had one hundred and seventy one rushing

1005
00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:27,399
Speaker 1: yards four point four yards per brush, and I mean

1006
00:47:27,400 --> 00:47:29,080
Speaker 1: from then on it it was just the biggest thing

1007
00:47:29,120 --> 00:47:31,399
Speaker 1: I take away from this is that the Saints are

1008
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:36,120
Speaker 1: going to challenge that division. And I look at Jameis

1009
00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:39,439
Speaker 1: Winston almost similar to Brett Farv. I mean, I don't

1010
00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:42,040
Speaker 1: know if everybody remembers Brett come on, hear me out,

1011
00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:44,000
Speaker 1: hear me out, hear me out, hear me out, hear

1012
00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:46,920
Speaker 1: me out. I don't know if everybody remembers Brett Favre

1013
00:47:47,000 --> 00:47:49,840
Speaker 1: in Atlanta, but he didn't have his act together. And

1014
00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:52,400
Speaker 1: I think that's the same thing that we saw with

1015
00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:55,759
Speaker 1: Jameis Winston and Tampa Bay. James Winston, he got his

1016
00:47:55,840 --> 00:47:58,640
Speaker 1: Lasik surgery, he was playing under a coach. They probably

1017
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:01,960
Speaker 1: didn't really fit him with the risk it no biscuit style,

1018
00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:04,520
Speaker 1: and I think he is a coach and Sean Payton

1019
00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:05,320
Speaker 1: who could.

1020
00:48:05,160 --> 00:48:06,960
Speaker 3: Really change his career. I mean, I know they.

1021
00:48:06,800 --> 00:48:09,600
Speaker 1: Had the ball, they played a ball dominant style today,

1022
00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:13,319
Speaker 1: but I think he's a guy who really could totally

1023
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:17,480
Speaker 1: revitalize his career. And I'm interested in seeing some of

1024
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:20,319
Speaker 1: those numbers on Jamis winning Comeback Player of the Year.

1025
00:48:21,160 --> 00:48:23,560
Speaker 1: I know Dak is the favorite, but I think he

1026
00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:24,560
Speaker 1: might have a shot.

1027
00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:27,480
Speaker 5: Well what about MVP, because I saw Jamis is up

1028
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:29,560
Speaker 5: to twenty five to one at bet MGM. Are you

1029
00:48:29,600 --> 00:48:31,879
Speaker 5: willing to take the long shot before the odds drop

1030
00:48:31,960 --> 00:48:34,480
Speaker 5: further on Jamis Winston NFL MVP.

1031
00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:36,600
Speaker 3: I'm not willing to go that far.

1032
00:48:38,200 --> 00:48:39,719
Speaker 1: I'm not willing to go that far, but I do

1033
00:48:40,440 --> 00:48:43,000
Speaker 1: think this is very similar to you know, Brett fav

1034
00:48:43,160 --> 00:48:45,480
Speaker 1: leaving Atlanta and yeah, he could change his career.

1035
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:48,759
Speaker 5: I see the scenario. I'm not going to overreact on

1036
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:51,320
Speaker 5: the Saints here. I think that maybe that I'm underrating

1037
00:48:51,440 --> 00:48:54,080
Speaker 5: their floor a little bit, definitely, with their run game,

1038
00:48:54,160 --> 00:48:56,759
Speaker 5: the line, the defense, the coaching, They're going to be

1039
00:48:56,760 --> 00:48:58,920
Speaker 5: in all these games. I'm not quite ready to put

1040
00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:02,719
Speaker 5: them in the division yet. Jamis had five touchdowns, but

1041
00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:04,799
Speaker 5: he was fourteen of twenty fo one hundred and forty

1042
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:07,719
Speaker 5: eight yards. So this is not like, oh, Jamis just

1043
00:49:07,760 --> 00:49:10,799
Speaker 5: showed up and lit up the Packers defense. He just

1044
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:13,719
Speaker 5: scored the touchdowns like that matters, But I'm not going

1045
00:49:13,800 --> 00:49:16,359
Speaker 5: to take too much away from that. Do not put

1046
00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:18,840
Speaker 5: your money in at twenty five to one. When Mvaca

1047
00:49:19,080 --> 00:49:21,680
Speaker 5: don't do it. That line is begging you to be like,

1048
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:23,520
Speaker 5: oh no, I better get my money in before it

1049
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:26,520
Speaker 5: drops even lower. It's a trap. Don't do it. Just

1050
00:49:26,600 --> 00:49:29,879
Speaker 5: stay away. I'm not going to overreact to the Packers here.

1051
00:49:30,680 --> 00:49:33,080
Speaker 5: This was This reminded me of those other two games

1052
00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:35,880
Speaker 5: I remember watching those. Even though green Bay ended up

1053
00:49:35,880 --> 00:49:38,640
Speaker 5: getting run off the field, they were never quite as

1054
00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:40,480
Speaker 5: bad as the final score looked. And that's how I

1055
00:49:40,520 --> 00:49:43,480
Speaker 5: feel about this game. Green Bay drove right near the

1056
00:49:43,520 --> 00:49:45,400
Speaker 5: end of the half. I bet on Rogers and the

1057
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:47,920
Speaker 5: Packers right as they got the ball back at one

1058
00:49:47,960 --> 00:49:50,840
Speaker 5: oh seven, they drove down the field and in a

1059
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,560
Speaker 5: lot of games they get one more pass and punch

1060
00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:55,680
Speaker 5: it into the end zone, and this one they settled

1061
00:49:55,719 --> 00:49:57,680
Speaker 5: for a field goal seventeen to three, So I was

1062
00:49:57,680 --> 00:50:01,080
Speaker 5: a missed opportunity. They come out right after half and

1063
00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:04,040
Speaker 5: they could drive right down the field and Aaron Rodgers

1064
00:50:04,040 --> 00:50:06,680
Speaker 5: throws a red zone interception, which has to be the

1065
00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:07,680
Speaker 5: first time he's done.

1066
00:50:07,480 --> 00:50:08,880
Speaker 4: That, like in years.

1067
00:50:08,920 --> 00:50:12,040
Speaker 5: Literally like this dude throws like five interceptions the entire season,

1068
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:14,160
Speaker 5: and he threw that one, and then the very next

1069
00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:18,480
Speaker 5: possession through another one, so literally Rogers through like half

1070
00:50:18,520 --> 00:50:21,600
Speaker 5: of his season interceptions in back to back possessions today.

1071
00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:24,680
Speaker 5: So late in the game, even the Packers were still

1072
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:27,280
Speaker 5: kind of hanging around. They made a big defensive play,

1073
00:50:27,600 --> 00:50:30,759
Speaker 5: and then Zadarius Smith got a big play and they

1074
00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:32,760
Speaker 5: called a penalty for playing football.

1075
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:33,759
Speaker 4: I guess like he.

1076
00:50:33,760 --> 00:50:36,239
Speaker 5: Did, like they would they should put that as like

1077
00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 5: an instructional video of how to blitz the quarterback and

1078
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:42,080
Speaker 5: tackle properly. And then they gave a fifteen hour penalty

1079
00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 5: because it's what we do now in twenty twenty one.

1080
00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:47,440
Speaker 5: So I'm not worried too much about the Packers. This

1081
00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:50,880
Speaker 5: is one of those games. It got away. They'll be fine.

1082
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:53,719
Speaker 5: The division is awful, so Green Bay is gonna run

1083
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:57,040
Speaker 5: away with the division. The Packers will be fine. This

1084
00:50:57,160 --> 00:50:59,440
Speaker 5: definitely hurts, you know, in the win standings as you're

1085
00:50:59,440 --> 00:51:00,800
Speaker 5: trying to get a one. See you later on in

1086
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:03,520
Speaker 5: the year. I lost matters, but I'm not too worried

1087
00:51:03,520 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 5: about them big picture. Let's hit just these last few

1088
00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:10,200
Speaker 5: games more quickly. To wrap up here, not a ton

1089
00:51:10,200 --> 00:51:13,640
Speaker 5: of interesting things here. The Broncos went to New York

1090
00:51:13,719 --> 00:51:16,000
Speaker 5: and took care of the Giants twenty seven to thirteen.

1091
00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:19,040
Speaker 5: Broncos covered and got the under there by a point

1092
00:51:19,040 --> 00:51:20,920
Speaker 5: in a half, even as that one dropped. All week,

1093
00:51:21,160 --> 00:51:23,520
Speaker 5: we were both high on Denver. They seem like to

1094
00:51:23,600 --> 00:51:23,840
Speaker 5: have this.

1095
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:25,880
Speaker 4: All the way. Did you feel good about what you

1096
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:26,480
Speaker 4: saw from them?

1097
00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:27,239
Speaker 2: Oh?

1098
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:29,759
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think they're gonna be one of those those

1099
00:51:29,800 --> 00:51:33,960
Speaker 1: playoff teams who you can bet on again on against

1100
00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:38,160
Speaker 1: bad teams. But I don't think I think they're going

1101
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:40,359
Speaker 1: to struggle against some of the better teams in this league.

1102
00:51:40,360 --> 00:51:44,120
Speaker 1: I think the Chargers are obviously better. I think Bridgewater

1103
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:48,319
Speaker 1: is just a perfectly capable, mediocre quarterback who he's not

1104
00:51:48,360 --> 00:51:50,440
Speaker 1: going to lose you the game, but he's not going

1105
00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:53,480
Speaker 1: to add that level of variance that you need in

1106
00:51:53,560 --> 00:51:56,520
Speaker 1: order to beat some of the elite teams. So I

1107
00:51:56,560 --> 00:51:58,440
Speaker 1: was kind of impressed with their victory, but I mean

1108
00:51:58,480 --> 00:51:59,880
Speaker 1: I kind of was. I mean, the second half was,

1109
00:52:00,480 --> 00:52:03,360
Speaker 1: but I mean the Giants were in this for about.

1110
00:52:03,160 --> 00:52:06,480
Speaker 4: A half, and yeah they were, but Denver lost a

1111
00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:10,040
Speaker 4: fumble in the red zone, they had a drop touchdown

1112
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:12,600
Speaker 4: where they hit the receiver in the hands, and like,

1113
00:52:12,880 --> 00:52:15,120
Speaker 4: this could have gotten away pretty easily. So I think

1114
00:52:15,160 --> 00:52:17,400
Speaker 4: that's just really why New York sort of looked like

1115
00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:18,200
Speaker 4: they hung around.

1116
00:52:18,719 --> 00:52:21,279
Speaker 5: I am worried about Jerry Judy. He's got that high

1117
00:52:21,320 --> 00:52:24,360
Speaker 5: ankle sprain. It looked rough while he was definitely in

1118
00:52:24,520 --> 00:52:28,040
Speaker 5: some pain, and he was lighting up this game. His

1119
00:52:28,120 --> 00:52:30,279
Speaker 5: routes in this game, he was just putting in The

1120
00:52:30,320 --> 00:52:32,319
Speaker 5: Giants have good corners and he was putting those guys

1121
00:52:32,320 --> 00:52:34,839
Speaker 5: in jail just all over the field, So he would

1122
00:52:34,840 --> 00:52:36,719
Speaker 5: be a big loss. Denver was really starting to look

1123
00:52:36,719 --> 00:52:39,440
Speaker 5: good with their weapons out there, so I agree. I

1124
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:42,520
Speaker 5: think this is this is a high floor team that

1125
00:52:42,600 --> 00:52:44,960
Speaker 5: doesn't really have the ceiling. The Chargers have a much

1126
00:52:45,040 --> 00:52:47,399
Speaker 5: higher ceiling, without a doubt, and some of the other

1127
00:52:47,440 --> 00:52:51,120
Speaker 5: teams clearly do. But Denver's defense look good. Teddy's going

1128
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:53,799
Speaker 5: to keep them in games. A couple other teams that

1129
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:56,680
Speaker 5: fit that style a little bit. Miami and New England

1130
00:52:56,800 --> 00:52:59,480
Speaker 5: our last regular afternoon game of the day. This is

1131
00:52:59,520 --> 00:53:03,680
Speaker 5: why I'm met. I had New England and Miami covered

1132
00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:06,279
Speaker 5: and got the win the plus one fifty five to

1133
00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:09,520
Speaker 5: the money line. They won it seventeen to sixteen. So

1134
00:53:10,160 --> 00:53:11,799
Speaker 5: what did you think about this one? Did you feel

1135
00:53:11,800 --> 00:53:15,520
Speaker 5: like Miami deserved the win or how did you process.

1136
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:19,120
Speaker 1: The takeaway here, I just felt neck and neck the

1137
00:53:19,120 --> 00:53:22,160
Speaker 1: whole way, and I just kind of kept waiting for

1138
00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:24,720
Speaker 1: somebody to make a play like Miami made the play.

1139
00:53:24,880 --> 00:53:27,640
Speaker 1: And obviously, I mean, the one thing that stands out

1140
00:53:27,680 --> 00:53:29,759
Speaker 1: to me for the day, if there's a theme, is

1141
00:53:29,760 --> 00:53:33,919
Speaker 1: that rookie quarterbacks are bad. I mean, we all wanted

1142
00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:36,920
Speaker 1: to see Justin fields later, but for the most part,

1143
00:53:37,000 --> 00:53:40,520
Speaker 1: I mean, none of the rookie quarterbacks really were impressive.

1144
00:53:40,640 --> 00:53:45,920
Speaker 5: So yeah, both of us were very low on Miami.

1145
00:53:46,120 --> 00:53:48,640
Speaker 5: So it definitely stings a little bit to see Miami

1146
00:53:48,640 --> 00:53:49,960
Speaker 5: get this first division to win.

1147
00:53:50,680 --> 00:53:53,200
Speaker 4: But I really feel pretty good about what New England

1148
00:53:53,239 --> 00:53:53,680
Speaker 4: did here.

1149
00:53:54,000 --> 00:53:55,880
Speaker 5: New ay One had three hundred and ninety three yards

1150
00:53:55,880 --> 00:53:57,920
Speaker 5: to only two hundred and fifty nine for Miami. That

1151
00:53:58,120 --> 00:54:01,680
Speaker 5: eight more first downs, they ran eighteen more plays time

1152
00:54:01,719 --> 00:54:04,200
Speaker 5: and possession was thirty seven to twenty three in New

1153
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:04,960
Speaker 5: England's favor.

1154
00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:07,600
Speaker 4: That all stacks up to be what should be.

1155
00:54:07,560 --> 00:54:11,400
Speaker 5: A comfortable when unfortunately New England had two fumbles, including

1156
00:54:11,480 --> 00:54:14,200
Speaker 5: late in the game Damien Harris had that killer fumble

1157
00:54:14,239 --> 00:54:16,799
Speaker 5: that broke my parlay. Otherwise they're in the red zone,

1158
00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:18,239
Speaker 5: they're at least going to get a field goal there

1159
00:54:18,239 --> 00:54:23,000
Speaker 5: and take the lead. Miami scored two touchdowns, and it

1160
00:54:23,040 --> 00:54:26,080
Speaker 5: was the first drive of each half. That worries me

1161
00:54:26,120 --> 00:54:28,799
Speaker 5: a little bit because it makes me feel like that's

1162
00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:31,279
Speaker 5: the scripted drive, that's the one they've been practicing those

1163
00:54:31,320 --> 00:54:33,319
Speaker 5: plays all week, and then they got that.

1164
00:54:33,680 --> 00:54:35,719
Speaker 4: Good for them, But then what about the whole rest

1165
00:54:35,760 --> 00:54:37,160
Speaker 4: of the half? What happened there?

1166
00:54:37,640 --> 00:54:41,240
Speaker 5: So I'm not ready to panic quite yet on New England,

1167
00:54:41,600 --> 00:54:44,120
Speaker 5: and I'm definitely not ready to believe too much in Miami.

1168
00:54:44,200 --> 00:54:44,480
Speaker 3: Here.

1169
00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:48,440
Speaker 5: You know, it was a game between two pretty average

1170
00:54:48,480 --> 00:54:50,320
Speaker 5: teams and it came down to a couple of plays.

1171
00:54:50,360 --> 00:54:52,000
Speaker 5: This is the NFL. That's kind of how these games

1172
00:54:52,040 --> 00:54:55,560
Speaker 5: tend to go. You mentioned justin fields. We finally got

1173
00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:57,360
Speaker 5: to see a little bit of feels in the evening

1174
00:54:57,840 --> 00:55:01,359
Speaker 5: the Bears and the Rams. To tell you, here's how

1175
00:55:01,400 --> 00:55:04,640
Speaker 5: this game started. The Chicago Bears get the opening kickoff,

1176
00:55:04,760 --> 00:55:07,160
Speaker 5: a great kickoff return out almost out of the fifty.

1177
00:55:07,440 --> 00:55:11,320
Speaker 5: A couple of plays later, Dan Montgomery cracks a long run. Suddenly,

1178
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:14,000
Speaker 5: four plays in the game, justin fields coming out of

1179
00:55:14,040 --> 00:55:16,040
Speaker 5: the field. I did not expect that. I did not

1180
00:55:16,080 --> 00:55:18,360
Speaker 5: think Chicago would even get him out there. Very much,

1181
00:55:18,719 --> 00:55:21,640
Speaker 5: takes a snap, makes a great pass, third and a one.

1182
00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:24,480
Speaker 5: We're down near like inside the ten. And what does

1183
00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:27,919
Speaker 5: Chicago do. They take justin fields out, They put Andy

1184
00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:30,640
Speaker 5: Dalton in in the mix up, they get a false start,

1185
00:55:30,760 --> 00:55:32,839
Speaker 5: then they burn a time out, and then the very

1186
00:55:32,880 --> 00:55:35,520
Speaker 5: next play, Andy Dalton throws a pick in the end zone.

1187
00:55:36,480 --> 00:55:39,200
Speaker 5: The Rams get the ball back three plays later, eighty

1188
00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:41,040
Speaker 5: yards touchdown Van Jefferson.

1189
00:55:41,520 --> 00:55:42,360
Speaker 4: Game over for me.

1190
00:55:42,560 --> 00:55:46,120
Speaker 5: Like that, that's the Bears in a nutshell is you

1191
00:55:46,239 --> 00:55:49,040
Speaker 5: put fields on the field, he makes the pass, he

1192
00:55:49,120 --> 00:55:51,600
Speaker 5: looks great. It's third and a one in the red zone.

1193
00:55:51,800 --> 00:55:53,839
Speaker 5: This is when you want him on the field. This

1194
00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:56,960
Speaker 5: is exactly why you want your dual threat quarterback out

1195
00:55:56,960 --> 00:56:00,600
Speaker 5: there to be able to make a play, excite your franchise.

1196
00:56:01,239 --> 00:56:03,440
Speaker 5: And then they went right back to the same stupid

1197
00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:06,400
Speaker 5: Dalton thing. And here we are thirty four or fourteen,

1198
00:56:06,440 --> 00:56:08,160
Speaker 5: and we just try to set through another boring game

1199
00:56:08,200 --> 00:56:09,760
Speaker 5: while we waited for Chicago to lose.

1200
00:56:10,680 --> 00:56:12,480
Speaker 3: I mean, as a better I like boring.

1201
00:56:12,560 --> 00:56:15,200
Speaker 1: And I think it's so funny because I actually had

1202
00:56:15,200 --> 00:56:16,880
Speaker 1: to go to the bathroom to start the game.

1203
00:56:17,200 --> 00:56:19,560
Speaker 3: So when I came out of the bathroom, the first.

1204
00:56:19,280 --> 00:56:22,520
Speaker 1: Person I see is Justin Field, and I'm scared to death.

1205
00:56:22,560 --> 00:56:25,759
Speaker 1: I'm like, I did not bet on this game to

1206
00:56:25,880 --> 00:56:27,000
Speaker 1: go against Justin Fields.

1207
00:56:27,000 --> 00:56:27,960
Speaker 3: I bet on this game.

1208
00:56:28,280 --> 00:56:31,240
Speaker 1: I lay eight with the Rams, thinking that Andy Dalton's

1209
00:56:31,520 --> 00:56:33,640
Speaker 1: a statue and he's not gonna be able to do

1210
00:56:33,640 --> 00:56:34,960
Speaker 1: anything with this Rams defense.

1211
00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:37,080
Speaker 3: And he actually impressed me.

1212
00:56:37,160 --> 00:56:40,040
Speaker 1: I mean, for I mean, when you look at Andy Dalton,

1213
00:56:40,960 --> 00:56:43,520
Speaker 1: he wasn't as bad as I thought he would be.

1214
00:56:44,440 --> 00:56:46,239
Speaker 1: I mean when you look at his EPA per play

1215
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:50,680
Speaker 1: early past they had a positive ePAT point four to eight.

1216
00:56:51,239 --> 00:56:53,680
Speaker 1: I mean, he had a success rate of seventy percent

1217
00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:57,879
Speaker 1: on early pass passing downs. So it's just I came

1218
00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:02,040
Speaker 1: away from this game realizing that the defensive losses that

1219
00:57:01,719 --> 00:57:05,879
Speaker 1: the Rams had and free agency, it's really gonna hurt them.

1220
00:57:05,920 --> 00:57:09,479
Speaker 1: And I think the Rams the defense that we saw

1221
00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:11,399
Speaker 1: last year with Brandon Staley, this.

1222
00:57:11,400 --> 00:57:15,360
Speaker 3: Is not the same defense at all. I mean, because.

1223
00:57:17,080 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 1: The Bears actually moved the ball down the field pretty often,

1224
00:57:20,680 --> 00:57:23,520
Speaker 1: it's just they kept stalling out or they have the interception.

1225
00:57:24,080 --> 00:57:29,200
Speaker 1: They had multiple interceptions, and in the Rams territory they

1226
00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:31,880
Speaker 1: struggled on fourth down they were all for four. But

1227
00:57:32,040 --> 00:57:37,040
Speaker 1: besides that, I mean this game was basically decided by

1228
00:57:37,280 --> 00:57:40,840
Speaker 1: the Rams exposive plays, and they had a good four

1229
00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:44,560
Speaker 1: of them that went for touchdowns or put them in

1230
00:57:44,840 --> 00:57:48,600
Speaker 1: Chicago territory. So I think this is a Rams team

1231
00:57:48,640 --> 00:57:51,360
Speaker 1: that's gonna have to win with offense. I think I'm

1232
00:57:51,360 --> 00:57:53,160
Speaker 1: gonna be playing a lot of their overs. I think

1233
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:56,960
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford he played well, but he wasn't quite comfortable

1234
00:57:56,960 --> 00:57:58,520
Speaker 1: with the system. I mean, when you look through their

1235
00:57:58,520 --> 00:58:02,840
Speaker 1: first half, it felt like they barely had the ball

1236
00:58:02,880 --> 00:58:05,320
Speaker 1: for certain points, and there were certain things that he

1237
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:07,080
Speaker 1: struggled with. I know he had he had he had

1238
00:58:07,120 --> 00:58:09,360
Speaker 1: the boot leg, and this is not something that he's

1239
00:58:09,520 --> 00:58:13,120
Speaker 1: He's typically ran in Detroit, but he would run the

1240
00:58:13,160 --> 00:58:16,120
Speaker 1: boot leg, but he wouldn't he wouldn't run like, he

1241
00:58:16,120 --> 00:58:19,400
Speaker 1: wouldn't fake the run enough to where you know, you

1242
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:22,720
Speaker 1: still had the defensive players dropping in coverage. So I

1243
00:58:22,720 --> 00:58:25,000
Speaker 1: think he's gonna get a little bit, he's gonna get

1244
00:58:25,000 --> 00:58:27,960
Speaker 1: more acquainted. I think gets more acquainted with Sean mcvay's system.

1245
00:58:28,120 --> 00:58:30,240
Speaker 1: I think this offense is even going to be even better.

1246
00:58:30,480 --> 00:58:32,840
Speaker 1: But I have no trust in his defense. I'm gonna

1247
00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:33,280
Speaker 1: be honest with you.

1248
00:58:34,000 --> 00:58:36,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, the defense was a bit worriso. That was my

1249
00:58:36,080 --> 00:58:38,800
Speaker 5: only real takeaway from the game. I kind of mentally

1250
00:58:38,880 --> 00:58:41,560
Speaker 5: checked out after that early sequence. I was like, well, yeah,

1251
00:58:41,600 --> 00:58:43,680
Speaker 5: here we go. This is the Bears, this is the Rams.

1252
00:58:43,680 --> 00:58:45,520
Speaker 5: Exactly what I knew was going to happen in this game.

1253
00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:48,720
Speaker 5: And the final score looked like that's what happened. But

1254
00:58:48,800 --> 00:58:51,280
Speaker 5: the final score didn't really quite reflect, you know, how

1255
00:58:51,320 --> 00:58:54,040
Speaker 5: close the game was. The Bears kept moving the ball

1256
00:58:54,040 --> 00:58:58,320
Speaker 5: in the plus territory. The Rams defense not impressive, especially

1257
00:58:58,360 --> 00:59:01,720
Speaker 5: the Bears were running all over them a lot. And yeah,

1258
00:59:01,800 --> 00:59:04,440
Speaker 5: I definitely didn't come away super confident in what the

1259
00:59:04,520 --> 00:59:05,120
Speaker 5: Rams did.

1260
00:59:05,600 --> 00:59:07,680
Speaker 4: But the entire NFCU West does want to know.

1261
00:59:08,200 --> 00:59:10,320
Speaker 5: We knew that division was going to be really tough,

1262
00:59:10,800 --> 00:59:14,320
Speaker 5: and it's looking like any loss you take is losing

1263
00:59:14,360 --> 00:59:16,920
Speaker 5: ground and the division to somebody else that week, probably

1264
00:59:17,040 --> 00:59:20,480
Speaker 5: multiple somebody else's, So it's going to be tough. Stafford

1265
00:59:20,480 --> 00:59:22,960
Speaker 5: look good with some of those big plays, but it

1266
00:59:23,000 --> 00:59:25,080
Speaker 5: does seem like it will take some time with them.

1267
00:59:25,680 --> 00:59:30,360
Speaker 5: Let's switch gears and talk about Monday Night Football. Tonight,

1268
00:59:30,640 --> 00:59:35,320
Speaker 5: Monday Night Football, the Baltimore Ravens travel to Las Vegas.

1269
00:59:35,440 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 4: We get real.

1270
00:59:36,320 --> 00:59:39,640
Speaker 5: NFL football with fans in Las Vegas for the first

1271
00:59:39,640 --> 00:59:43,400
Speaker 5: time ever where the Raiders will host. The Ravens are

1272
00:59:43,560 --> 00:59:46,360
Speaker 5: three and a half point favorites right now. The Raiders

1273
00:59:46,400 --> 00:59:48,440
Speaker 5: are plus one sixty five on the money line at

1274
00:59:48,440 --> 00:59:52,240
Speaker 5: bet MGM, and we're at fifty point five on the total.

1275
00:59:52,720 --> 00:59:55,000
Speaker 5: So what are you thinking as we go into this

1276
00:59:55,080 --> 00:59:57,840
Speaker 5: Monday night game, especially with what Baltimore has looked like

1277
00:59:58,400 --> 00:59:59,840
Speaker 5: heading into the new season.

1278
01:00:01,120 --> 01:00:05,680
Speaker 1: I think, you know, I'm playing in this contest right

1279
01:00:06,160 --> 01:00:10,200
Speaker 1: and one of the football like consensus picks for the Raiders,

1280
01:00:10,720 --> 01:00:14,600
Speaker 1: and obviously the contest takes place in Las Vegas, and

1281
01:00:14,640 --> 01:00:16,960
Speaker 1: it made me think, you know, why is it this

1282
01:00:17,120 --> 01:00:19,880
Speaker 1: many people in the Raiders? And I think a lot

1283
01:00:19,880 --> 01:00:23,760
Speaker 1: of it has to do with the injuries and running

1284
01:00:23,800 --> 01:00:27,840
Speaker 1: back to the Ravens have. I mean, I think people

1285
01:00:27,840 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 1: are tending to overrate those and obviously you struggle, you

1286
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:37,280
Speaker 1: lose Marcus Peters, but I think the Ravens are underrated

1287
01:00:37,320 --> 01:00:39,120
Speaker 1: in this spot, and I think this is a spot

1288
01:00:39,160 --> 01:00:41,600
Speaker 1: where we could see the Ravens go out there and

1289
01:00:41,920 --> 01:00:45,080
Speaker 1: absolutely both race this team. Now, obviously I think you're

1290
01:00:45,080 --> 01:00:47,960
Speaker 1: going to get a lot of people hype over the

1291
01:00:48,080 --> 01:00:51,200
Speaker 1: Raiders having their first home game in Vegas. But we've

1292
01:00:51,240 --> 01:00:53,800
Speaker 1: already seen that home full advantage doesn't mean so much

1293
01:00:53,880 --> 01:00:57,240
Speaker 1: in the NFL anymore. So I'm leaning towards the Ravens

1294
01:00:57,280 --> 01:00:59,760
Speaker 1: in this matchup. I'm gonna do a little bit more research,

1295
01:01:00,320 --> 01:01:02,440
Speaker 1: you know, look at the market tomorrow, but I think

1296
01:01:02,440 --> 01:01:04,040
Speaker 1: I might find myself on Baltimore.

1297
01:01:05,560 --> 01:01:09,200
Speaker 5: I'm really torn on this game because I'm always in

1298
01:01:09,280 --> 01:01:10,040
Speaker 5: on Baltimore.

1299
01:01:10,160 --> 01:01:12,960
Speaker 4: I love this version of the team. I love John Harbaugh.

1300
01:01:13,280 --> 01:01:16,520
Speaker 5: They're always tough on defense, they're always great on special teams.

1301
01:01:16,560 --> 01:01:17,440
Speaker 4: They run the ball.

1302
01:01:18,120 --> 01:01:20,479
Speaker 5: It is a team that when they face the team

1303
01:01:20,520 --> 01:01:22,440
Speaker 5: that's not good, which I don't think the Raiders are

1304
01:01:22,600 --> 01:01:25,640
Speaker 5: very good. Usually they just boat race those kind of

1305
01:01:25,680 --> 01:01:27,760
Speaker 5: teams like then run off the court or run off

1306
01:01:27,800 --> 01:01:31,240
Speaker 5: the field, and we've seen that, especially in Week one.

1307
01:01:31,680 --> 01:01:34,640
Speaker 5: Here's the last four seasons Baltimore Week one last year,

1308
01:01:35,000 --> 01:01:37,840
Speaker 5: thirty eight to six win in Week one year before,

1309
01:01:37,960 --> 01:01:41,040
Speaker 5: fifty nine to ten before that, forty seven to three

1310
01:01:41,120 --> 01:01:44,439
Speaker 5: before that, twenty to zero in four seasons the last

1311
01:01:44,440 --> 01:01:46,120
Speaker 5: four years in a row. That's one hundred and sixty

1312
01:01:46,120 --> 01:01:50,120
Speaker 5: four points for the Ravens nineteen total for four opponents

1313
01:01:50,440 --> 01:01:53,240
Speaker 5: as an average score of forty one to five. So

1314
01:01:53,920 --> 01:01:57,920
Speaker 5: that's terrifying because this Baltimore team comes out ready to go.

1315
01:01:58,920 --> 01:02:02,440
Speaker 5: But I just don't know if that's what the Ravens

1316
01:02:02,480 --> 01:02:05,680
Speaker 5: are this year. I'm very worried about this. We talked

1317
01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:09,600
Speaker 5: with Sun Friday. I'm worried about the running backs. You know,

1318
01:02:09,680 --> 01:02:12,920
Speaker 5: you want the Ravens. If they're going to play Ravens ball,

1319
01:02:12,960 --> 01:02:14,720
Speaker 5: they come and run it down their throat. And I

1320
01:02:14,720 --> 01:02:17,320
Speaker 5: don't even know who's running it down anyone's throat. Who

1321
01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:20,680
Speaker 5: who is on the team running the ball besides Lamar Jackson,

1322
01:02:21,120 --> 01:02:24,600
Speaker 5: we don't really know he's gonna play. Marcus Peters is

1323
01:02:24,640 --> 01:02:27,880
Speaker 5: a big loss. Derek Carr is pretty good, Like Derek

1324
01:02:27,920 --> 01:02:31,240
Speaker 5: Carr is not awesome, but he's got he's solid, he's

1325
01:02:31,240 --> 01:02:34,480
Speaker 5: gonna make some throws. He's good enough to hurt a

1326
01:02:34,520 --> 01:02:39,240
Speaker 5: secondary that is suddenly weak unexpectedly. And here's my problem.

1327
01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:43,120
Speaker 5: I would be willing to say that maybe the Raiders,

1328
01:02:43,760 --> 01:02:46,600
Speaker 5: you know, take an early lead, play to the crowd

1329
01:02:47,200 --> 01:02:49,200
Speaker 5: and then but the Ravens are just the better team

1330
01:02:49,240 --> 01:02:52,360
Speaker 5: and they come back. But what's the one thing that

1331
01:02:52,400 --> 01:02:55,960
Speaker 5: we're afraid of the Ravens doing. It's coming back So

1332
01:02:56,200 --> 01:02:58,200
Speaker 5: if I think that the Raiders are going to come

1333
01:02:58,200 --> 01:03:00,920
Speaker 5: out and you know, maybe play the first quarter or

1334
01:03:00,960 --> 01:03:03,040
Speaker 5: the first half and just nibble a little bit at that.

1335
01:03:03,920 --> 01:03:05,920
Speaker 5: If the Raiders take the lead, I don't like the

1336
01:03:06,000 --> 01:03:08,360
Speaker 5: Ravens playing from behind. I don't trust them.

1337
01:03:08,520 --> 01:03:11,720
Speaker 3: We saw Lamar Jackson last year on Monday Night Football.

1338
01:03:12,480 --> 01:03:13,320
Speaker 3: I don't know what he was.

1339
01:03:13,280 --> 01:03:17,000
Speaker 1: Doing in the locker room, the book game, the hoop game. Yeah,

1340
01:03:17,360 --> 01:03:20,720
Speaker 1: he came back from taking a pool. He comes in

1341
01:03:20,760 --> 01:03:25,600
Speaker 1: on fourth down and like he's straight cold, gets the

1342
01:03:25,640 --> 01:03:28,760
Speaker 1: completion and leads them to a win. So to say

1343
01:03:28,800 --> 01:03:33,000
Speaker 1: he's never come back from a game. Look, he's facing

1344
01:03:33,000 --> 01:03:36,080
Speaker 1: a bad Raiders defense. I mean this is not This

1345
01:03:36,120 --> 01:03:38,400
Speaker 1: is not Kansas City where you need to go out

1346
01:03:38,440 --> 01:03:41,640
Speaker 1: there and you have to score a minimum of thirty

1347
01:03:41,680 --> 01:03:44,360
Speaker 1: five points in order to win. I mean that's what

1348
01:03:44,440 --> 01:03:47,880
Speaker 1: Cleveland needed today. They scored twenty nine points. They needed

1349
01:03:47,880 --> 01:03:49,520
Speaker 1: thirty five points in order to win in that game.

1350
01:03:49,560 --> 01:03:52,600
Speaker 1: I mean this is not that. This is a Raiders

1351
01:03:52,600 --> 01:03:57,080
Speaker 1: team that is not good defensively. So, like you said,

1352
01:03:57,120 --> 01:03:59,680
Speaker 1: these are the teams that Baltimore beats up on.

1353
01:04:00,560 --> 01:04:02,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, I do think what do you think about the

1354
01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:05,160
Speaker 5: over under here? So at fifty and a half, here's

1355
01:04:05,160 --> 01:04:09,040
Speaker 5: what I'm thinking on that is. To me, if I'm

1356
01:04:09,080 --> 01:04:12,400
Speaker 5: playing the Ravens, I like the over. If I'm playing

1357
01:04:12,440 --> 01:04:15,400
Speaker 5: the Raiders, I like the under because I think it's

1358
01:04:15,400 --> 01:04:18,200
Speaker 5: a bet on Baltimore's offense. If we think the offense

1359
01:04:18,320 --> 01:04:20,160
Speaker 5: is fine and they're gonna run the ball and they're

1360
01:04:20,160 --> 01:04:22,480
Speaker 5: gonna show up and do what they do, then the

1361
01:04:22,560 --> 01:04:24,600
Speaker 5: Raves are gonna score a bunch of points. They're gonna cover,

1362
01:04:24,720 --> 01:04:27,000
Speaker 5: and we're gonna hit the over because the Raiders will

1363
01:04:27,000 --> 01:04:29,960
Speaker 5: get some backdoor points. You know, they'll score Derek Carr

1364
01:04:29,960 --> 01:04:32,920
Speaker 5: will score some points. So if we like the Ravens,

1365
01:04:32,960 --> 01:04:35,600
Speaker 5: I think we like the over. I'm leaning toward the

1366
01:04:35,680 --> 01:04:38,280
Speaker 5: Raiders the plus one sixty five just to give them

1367
01:04:38,320 --> 01:04:40,440
Speaker 5: a shot at the money line. You know, that's an

1368
01:04:40,520 --> 01:04:43,000
Speaker 5: under forty percent implied to odds of getting the victory.

1369
01:04:43,360 --> 01:04:45,439
Speaker 5: We've seen all the underdogs get to win this week.

1370
01:04:45,480 --> 01:04:47,920
Speaker 5: They're at home home teams on Monday night we know

1371
01:04:48,040 --> 01:04:50,640
Speaker 5: historically are awesome. I might think about playing it with

1372
01:04:50,680 --> 01:04:54,240
Speaker 5: the under as well, because if I'm playing the Raiders,

1373
01:04:54,640 --> 01:04:57,520
Speaker 5: I'm playing the Ravens not to really show up offensively,

1374
01:04:57,640 --> 01:04:59,720
Speaker 5: not to get into their rhythm, you know, and score

1375
01:04:59,760 --> 01:05:01,920
Speaker 5: some points. So what do you think about the pairing

1376
01:05:02,160 --> 01:05:03,320
Speaker 5: on either side of those?

1377
01:05:05,120 --> 01:05:09,920
Speaker 1: I could see under just because I mean, the Ravens

1378
01:05:09,920 --> 01:05:12,280
Speaker 1: are a team that's like the run. They run the ball,

1379
01:05:12,320 --> 01:05:13,000
Speaker 1: that's what they do.

1380
01:05:13,840 --> 01:05:14,520
Speaker 3: But I just.

1381
01:05:17,440 --> 01:05:19,640
Speaker 1: I don't I don't necessarily like the pairing because I

1382
01:05:19,640 --> 01:05:26,320
Speaker 1: could see the Ravens winning this game twenty seven twenty

1383
01:05:26,720 --> 01:05:28,640
Speaker 1: I see, I mean I could see them winning this game.

1384
01:05:29,360 --> 01:05:33,040
Speaker 3: That is down to Actually, I don't know that's right though.

1385
01:05:33,040 --> 01:05:34,600
Speaker 4: I said that the Ravens win that they hit the

1386
01:05:34,600 --> 01:05:37,080
Speaker 4: over so so you're right that that would work out,

1387
01:05:37,280 --> 01:05:39,439
Speaker 4: you know it would It would bust my pairing that way.

1388
01:05:39,600 --> 01:05:41,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I think the pairing is.

1389
01:05:41,440 --> 01:05:44,160
Speaker 1: I think that's what I'm struggling with, actually, just because

1390
01:05:44,200 --> 01:05:46,160
Speaker 1: the Ravens they run the ball so much.

1391
01:05:47,120 --> 01:05:50,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, for me, it's I'm playing every game. I picked

1392
01:05:50,320 --> 01:05:53,640
Speaker 5: the Raiders on this one in my column already, So

1393
01:05:53,920 --> 01:05:56,080
Speaker 5: I think that if I'm going to play the Raiders,

1394
01:05:56,440 --> 01:05:57,840
Speaker 5: what we saw today is.

1395
01:05:57,720 --> 01:05:58,960
Speaker 4: Where you played the underdog.

1396
01:05:59,040 --> 01:06:01,720
Speaker 5: You should all nibble and to put it a little

1397
01:06:01,760 --> 01:06:04,480
Speaker 5: bit on the money line as well, All but two

1398
01:06:04,520 --> 01:06:07,160
Speaker 5: of the underdogs that covered today a one outright, So

1399
01:06:07,200 --> 01:06:10,560
Speaker 5: if you're gonna think about playing the Raiders one sixty five,

1400
01:06:10,600 --> 01:06:13,320
Speaker 5: I think it's worth a play giving them a shot here,

1401
01:06:13,840 --> 01:06:16,800
Speaker 5: and especially too, I think there's a good chance with

1402
01:06:16,880 --> 01:06:19,800
Speaker 5: the home crowd that the Raiders do take an early lead.

1403
01:06:20,160 --> 01:06:22,440
Speaker 5: So if you like what you're seeing from the Ravens

1404
01:06:22,600 --> 01:06:24,720
Speaker 5: and the Raiders take a lead and you've got the

1405
01:06:24,760 --> 01:06:26,520
Speaker 5: money line, you've got a great head spot and you

1406
01:06:26,560 --> 01:06:28,919
Speaker 5: might be able to lock in a win either way.

1407
01:06:29,040 --> 01:06:32,000
Speaker 5: So I think that's my play. Do you have a

1408
01:06:32,040 --> 01:06:34,400
Speaker 5: play that you're locking in for this game at all?

1409
01:06:34,520 --> 01:06:36,800
Speaker 3: When I look at the Raiders, I'm actually looking ahead

1410
01:06:36,800 --> 01:06:37,360
Speaker 3: of this game.

1411
01:06:37,840 --> 01:06:40,120
Speaker 1: So we do a segment called the hot read, which

1412
01:06:40,160 --> 01:06:43,560
Speaker 1: is next, and I have a great play.

1413
01:06:43,320 --> 01:06:46,400
Speaker 3: On the Raiders next week if we want to get

1414
01:06:46,400 --> 01:06:46,840
Speaker 3: into that now.

1415
01:06:46,880 --> 01:06:49,000
Speaker 1: But I think as far as this game, I think

1416
01:06:49,920 --> 01:06:51,520
Speaker 1: if I had to play anything, I would play the

1417
01:06:51,600 --> 01:06:53,280
Speaker 1: Ravens just because I feel like they're being a little

1418
01:06:53,280 --> 01:06:56,160
Speaker 1: bit undervalue. I think the four points is a little

1419
01:06:56,200 --> 01:06:59,280
Speaker 1: low just from the baseline that I have these teams

1420
01:06:59,280 --> 01:07:01,680
Speaker 1: that coming in of the year. I mean, obviously you

1421
01:07:01,680 --> 01:07:05,160
Speaker 1: want to downgrade the Ravens new to the running back

1422
01:07:05,200 --> 01:07:08,280
Speaker 1: losses and Marcus Peters. But I think Hardball is a

1423
01:07:08,280 --> 01:07:10,919
Speaker 1: great coach and I think you can never understate that

1424
01:07:11,280 --> 01:07:13,720
Speaker 1: Lamar is still one of the best quarterbacks in the league.

1425
01:07:13,800 --> 01:07:15,960
Speaker 1: And this Ravens team, they've proven that they had a

1426
01:07:15,960 --> 01:07:17,920
Speaker 1: lot of death. I mean, they did lose some pieces

1427
01:07:17,920 --> 01:07:20,400
Speaker 1: on the offensive line. Obviously they traded, they got rid

1428
01:07:20,480 --> 01:07:22,960
Speaker 1: of Orlando Brown. But I think that's what I would

1429
01:07:23,000 --> 01:07:23,560
Speaker 1: lean towards.

1430
01:07:23,760 --> 01:07:24,360
Speaker 4: Well, let's do it.

1431
01:07:24,440 --> 01:07:26,680
Speaker 5: Let's get into our hot read as we wrap up today.

1432
01:07:26,800 --> 01:07:30,360
Speaker 5: So each week, on Sunday night Monday morning for you,

1433
01:07:30,840 --> 01:07:33,440
Speaker 5: we are going to finish out our podcast by taking

1434
01:07:33,440 --> 01:07:36,320
Speaker 5: a look ahead at the following week's lines. They're already

1435
01:07:36,360 --> 01:07:38,560
Speaker 5: out there. You can already bet these lines, and some

1436
01:07:38,600 --> 01:07:40,320
Speaker 5: of them you want to grab right away. We saw

1437
01:07:40,360 --> 01:07:43,160
Speaker 5: that today. If you grab the forty nine ers early

1438
01:07:43,200 --> 01:07:46,000
Speaker 5: in the week, you covered. If you've waited until Sunday,

1439
01:07:46,360 --> 01:07:48,360
Speaker 5: you didn't cover. Same thing with the Jets. If you

1440
01:07:48,400 --> 01:07:51,040
Speaker 5: got them early, you still got the cover. If you didn't,

1441
01:07:51,120 --> 01:07:53,880
Speaker 5: you were crying at your dollars lost on Sunday evening.

1442
01:07:54,040 --> 01:07:55,920
Speaker 5: So we're gonna do the hot read. We're going to

1443
01:07:55,960 --> 01:07:58,720
Speaker 5: look ahead at the following week's lines. So we're looking

1444
01:07:58,760 --> 01:08:01,360
Speaker 5: at Week two lines today, I reach gonna pick two

1445
01:08:01,880 --> 01:08:04,080
Speaker 5: that here's what we think, we like the side, and

1446
01:08:04,720 --> 01:08:07,080
Speaker 5: we want to lock in at a key number before

1447
01:08:07,200 --> 01:08:09,320
Speaker 5: we think that this line maybe is gonna shift the

1448
01:08:09,320 --> 01:08:11,280
Speaker 5: wrong direction and cost some value like you did with

1449
01:08:11,280 --> 01:08:14,160
Speaker 5: San Francisco and New York. So I know that you're

1450
01:08:14,200 --> 01:08:16,439
Speaker 5: thinking already about the Raiders in the hot read.

1451
01:08:16,600 --> 01:08:18,559
Speaker 4: So tell me about your hot read on the Raiders

1452
01:08:18,560 --> 01:08:19,080
Speaker 4: for Week two.

1453
01:08:19,640 --> 01:08:19,920
Speaker 3: Okay.

1454
01:08:19,920 --> 01:08:23,280
Speaker 1: I like the Stillers minus six. The Raiders are playing

1455
01:08:23,320 --> 01:08:25,360
Speaker 1: a short week. They got to play on Monday night.

1456
01:08:25,560 --> 01:08:29,720
Speaker 1: They're gonna have this emotional opening to their stadium, and

1457
01:08:29,760 --> 01:08:32,000
Speaker 1: they're gonna have stadium. They're gonna have fans there for

1458
01:08:32,040 --> 01:08:34,760
Speaker 1: the first time. Guess where they have to play next week?

1459
01:08:34,760 --> 01:08:38,120
Speaker 1: They got to play Pittsburgh at nine am West Coast

1460
01:08:38,200 --> 01:08:42,679
Speaker 1: game one o'clock East Eastern time. The Stillers are laying six.

1461
01:08:43,000 --> 01:08:45,080
Speaker 1: I think the Stillers go out there and completely take

1462
01:08:45,120 --> 01:08:47,719
Speaker 1: them into the deep waters and drown them. We've seen

1463
01:08:47,720 --> 01:08:50,000
Speaker 1: the Stillers. They have a great defense. I think the

1464
01:08:50,000 --> 01:08:52,720
Speaker 1: Stillers actually dominate that game. I want to get it

1465
01:08:52,720 --> 01:08:56,080
Speaker 1: before it gets to seven, and especially if they lose

1466
01:08:56,120 --> 01:08:58,240
Speaker 1: that game to the Ravens. I mean, this line is

1467
01:08:58,240 --> 01:09:00,360
Speaker 1: gonna go up, So give me the stillers. I mean,

1468
01:09:00,400 --> 01:09:01,880
Speaker 1: that's the first one in my mind. I just think

1469
01:09:02,120 --> 01:09:04,320
Speaker 1: it's a really bad spot. And then if you look

1470
01:09:04,360 --> 01:09:07,719
Speaker 1: at how they perform previously coming off Monday night games,

1471
01:09:07,760 --> 01:09:10,120
Speaker 1: I mean, this has just been it's been a bad

1472
01:09:10,160 --> 01:09:12,679
Speaker 1: situation for them to play that on a short week week.

1473
01:09:12,760 --> 01:09:15,479
Speaker 1: Ninth Week one, they played the Broncos one twenty four

1474
01:09:15,520 --> 01:09:18,080
Speaker 1: to sixteen. Next week they lost to the Chiefs twenty

1475
01:09:18,080 --> 01:09:22,200
Speaker 1: eight to ten twenty eighteen. Raiders versus Ran lost thirty

1476
01:09:22,200 --> 01:09:26,240
Speaker 1: three thirteen. Next week, they come back as favorites and

1477
01:09:26,320 --> 01:09:30,040
Speaker 1: lose to the Broncos twenty to nineteen. So I think

1478
01:09:30,040 --> 01:09:31,360
Speaker 1: this is a spot that I like faith.

1479
01:09:31,520 --> 01:09:34,679
Speaker 5: So that's interesting because I am also going to fade

1480
01:09:34,680 --> 01:09:37,080
Speaker 5: a Monday night team next week, but I'm fading the

1481
01:09:37,080 --> 01:09:40,960
Speaker 5: other Monday night team. Baltimore is on our televisions again.

1482
01:09:41,439 --> 01:09:44,120
Speaker 5: Baltimore will be on Sunday Night Football next week hosting

1483
01:09:44,160 --> 01:09:47,360
Speaker 5: the Kansas City Chiefs. And right now, the Chiefs are

1484
01:09:47,520 --> 01:09:50,080
Speaker 5: at minus two and a half on the road, and

1485
01:09:50,240 --> 01:09:52,400
Speaker 5: I want that two and a half. Give me Patrick

1486
01:09:52,439 --> 01:09:55,320
Speaker 5: Mahomes at two and a half against pretty much anyone,

1487
01:09:55,680 --> 01:09:58,559
Speaker 5: but definitely give me Pat Mahomes against the Ravens, and

1488
01:09:58,640 --> 01:10:01,240
Speaker 5: I need to make some money on this game, because

1489
01:10:01,360 --> 01:10:03,759
Speaker 5: I don't know how many two, three times in a row. Now,

1490
01:10:04,080 --> 01:10:08,200
Speaker 5: every time that Kansas City plays Baltimore, I get excited

1491
01:10:08,520 --> 01:10:10,920
Speaker 5: because I'm like, Hey, if you were going to build

1492
01:10:10,960 --> 01:10:13,080
Speaker 5: a team to beat Kansas City, wouldn't you build the

1493
01:10:13,120 --> 01:10:17,120
Speaker 5: Baltimore Ravens. Wouldn't you build a great secondary, wouldn't you

1494
01:10:17,400 --> 01:10:20,600
Speaker 5: have a great run game? Control the clock? And I

1495
01:10:20,600 --> 01:10:23,280
Speaker 5: get all excited and I bet the Ravens and it

1496
01:10:23,320 --> 01:10:26,599
Speaker 5: looks good for like a quarter and then wink, Martindale

1497
01:10:26,760 --> 01:10:29,800
Speaker 5: just keeps on blitzing because the only thing Baltimore knows

1498
01:10:29,840 --> 01:10:31,800
Speaker 5: how to do. They blitz, and they blitz and they blitz,

1499
01:10:31,840 --> 01:10:35,400
Speaker 5: and guess what, Patrick Mahomes is pretty good against the

1500
01:10:35,479 --> 01:10:39,519
Speaker 5: blitz and Mahomes lights up the defense. And we already

1501
01:10:39,600 --> 01:10:41,400
Speaker 5: know the run game is not going to be as strong.

1502
01:10:41,439 --> 01:10:44,080
Speaker 5: We already know the corners aren't as strong. At two

1503
01:10:44,080 --> 01:10:47,120
Speaker 5: and a half, I'm grabbing that now because I think

1504
01:10:47,120 --> 01:10:50,400
Speaker 5: the Ravens might lose tonight, and now you're definitely going

1505
01:10:50,479 --> 01:10:52,240
Speaker 5: to get that to three, three and a half, maybe

1506
01:10:52,240 --> 01:10:54,719
Speaker 5: even higher, even if they don't lose, even.

1507
01:10:54,640 --> 01:10:55,639
Speaker 4: If they look pretty good.

1508
01:10:56,040 --> 01:10:58,000
Speaker 5: We already expect them to look at against the Raiders

1509
01:10:58,479 --> 01:10:59,920
Speaker 5: and money I think is going to come in on

1510
01:11:00,000 --> 01:11:02,240
Speaker 5: the Chiefs and move that. I want to grab that

1511
01:11:02,320 --> 01:11:04,479
Speaker 5: while I'm getting Pat Mahomes under a field goal in

1512
01:11:04,520 --> 01:11:06,800
Speaker 5: a regular season game, give it to me every time.

1513
01:11:06,840 --> 01:11:09,439
Speaker 5: I don't care who you're playing, definitely against the Ravens.

1514
01:11:10,200 --> 01:11:12,280
Speaker 1: I really liked that when I think it's an interesting

1515
01:11:12,360 --> 01:11:16,800
Speaker 1: thought because I mean, the Browns basically played the perfect game,

1516
01:11:16,880 --> 01:11:19,519
Speaker 1: and we spoke earlier about how they ran all over

1517
01:11:19,560 --> 01:11:23,080
Speaker 1: the Chiefs and they dominated and they were able to

1518
01:11:23,120 --> 01:11:25,000
Speaker 1: pass the ball, and I think that's noting that the

1519
01:11:25,080 --> 01:11:27,559
Speaker 1: Ravens aren't going to do. What do you think about

1520
01:11:27,680 --> 01:11:31,040
Speaker 1: props on the Ravens to miss the playoffs, given the

1521
01:11:31,080 --> 01:11:34,320
Speaker 1: statistics and the history of teams GO zero and two

1522
01:11:34,439 --> 01:11:35,839
Speaker 1: and how they struggle to make the playoffs.

1523
01:11:35,840 --> 01:11:36,960
Speaker 3: What are your thoughts on that?

1524
01:11:36,960 --> 01:11:41,719
Speaker 5: That is interesting? Yeah, I mean I come it literally.

1525
01:11:42,320 --> 01:11:44,639
Speaker 5: You know, last week I was feeling great about the Ravens.

1526
01:11:44,640 --> 01:11:46,680
Speaker 5: I have the Ravens as the AFC one seed and

1527
01:11:46,720 --> 01:11:50,120
Speaker 5: a possible super Bowl team, and we knew that this

1528
01:11:50,240 --> 01:11:52,680
Speaker 5: opening stretch could be tricky you know, Kansas City is

1529
01:11:52,680 --> 01:11:56,080
Speaker 5: going to be a tough matchup for them, but Pittsburgh

1530
01:11:56,200 --> 01:11:58,240
Speaker 5: is looking good. That's a little bit tougher than I

1531
01:11:58,280 --> 01:12:01,479
Speaker 5: expect in the division, and Cleveland certainly looks good. The

1532
01:12:01,520 --> 01:12:03,960
Speaker 5: AFC is gonna be tough. I don't know if I'm

1533
01:12:04,000 --> 01:12:06,600
Speaker 5: ready yet to say that Baltimore would miss the playoffs.

1534
01:12:06,720 --> 01:12:08,759
Speaker 5: I feel like it's still a pretty high floor team,

1535
01:12:09,400 --> 01:12:12,800
Speaker 5: especially with the defense, the special teams. John Harbaugh just like,

1536
01:12:13,120 --> 01:12:15,559
Speaker 5: there's so much there that I trust, that have grown

1537
01:12:15,600 --> 01:12:18,000
Speaker 5: to trust. Like this is a team that blows out

1538
01:12:18,000 --> 01:12:21,240
Speaker 5: the bad opponents. But it's certainly a big hole they

1539
01:12:21,320 --> 01:12:24,000
Speaker 5: if they do lose Monday night and then they lose again,

1540
01:12:24,760 --> 01:12:26,360
Speaker 5: you know, it's a tough spot for them.

1541
01:12:26,960 --> 01:12:27,680
Speaker 4: I don't hate it.

1542
01:12:28,600 --> 01:12:30,920
Speaker 5: I never would have thought it until you asked, but

1543
01:12:31,000 --> 01:12:32,680
Speaker 5: you're making me think about it. I might have to

1544
01:12:32,720 --> 01:12:35,080
Speaker 5: take a look and see what the line comes up

1545
01:12:35,120 --> 01:12:38,280
Speaker 5: as certainly after the Chiefs game, not before, because that's

1546
01:12:38,360 --> 01:12:40,519
Speaker 5: kind of the point is seeing what happens with an

1547
01:12:40,560 --> 01:12:43,760
Speaker 5: zero to two team. It does seem like a pivotal spot.

1548
01:12:43,880 --> 01:12:45,640
Speaker 5: It seems like a team that we will probably have

1549
01:12:45,680 --> 01:12:47,680
Speaker 5: to come back to for our next hot read if

1550
01:12:47,720 --> 01:12:50,439
Speaker 5: they do lose that game and see, you know, if

1551
01:12:50,479 --> 01:12:52,519
Speaker 5: it's time to go in on the Ravens while things

1552
01:12:52,520 --> 01:12:55,880
Speaker 5: are cheap, or maybe time to get out. I'm gonna

1553
01:12:55,880 --> 01:12:57,920
Speaker 5: do my other hot read because it's a team that

1554
01:12:57,960 --> 01:12:59,800
Speaker 5: I'm going to go in on, and it's the other

1555
01:13:00,320 --> 01:13:03,160
Speaker 5: night game next week. I'm going to Monday night football

1556
01:13:03,520 --> 01:13:06,679
Speaker 5: and I'm grabbing the green Bay Packers. They're home against

1557
01:13:06,720 --> 01:13:09,839
Speaker 5: the Detroit Lions right now. Is that ten and a half,

1558
01:13:10,479 --> 01:13:13,040
Speaker 5: and I think that this line should have gotten in

1559
01:13:13,080 --> 01:13:15,920
Speaker 5: My might still get to thirteen fourteen. I wouldn't be

1560
01:13:15,960 --> 01:13:19,120
Speaker 5: shocked if it gets above fourteen. The Lions were getting

1561
01:13:19,240 --> 01:13:23,000
Speaker 5: murdered today until that final six minutes, and we know

1562
01:13:23,040 --> 01:13:25,960
Speaker 5: the Packers are fine. The Packers are going to light

1563
01:13:26,120 --> 01:13:29,840
Speaker 5: up Detroit. That secondary is terrible. And if Jimmy Garoppolo

1564
01:13:29,960 --> 01:13:32,080
Speaker 5: and Trey Lance are letting you up, I'm pretty sure

1565
01:13:32,080 --> 01:13:33,559
Speaker 5: Aaron Rodgers will be just fine.

1566
01:13:33,600 --> 01:13:34,080
Speaker 4: Thank you.

1567
01:13:34,160 --> 01:13:38,559
Speaker 5: So green Bay always crushes Detroit. It's a Monday night.

1568
01:13:39,040 --> 01:13:41,080
Speaker 5: The Packers are going to be focused because they just

1569
01:13:41,120 --> 01:13:44,599
Speaker 5: got embarrassed. They're going to come out in absolutely rule Detroit.

1570
01:13:45,120 --> 01:13:47,080
Speaker 5: I want it at ten and a half. I wanted

1571
01:13:47,120 --> 01:13:49,600
Speaker 5: at any other number before I start to lose some value.

1572
01:13:49,840 --> 01:13:52,360
Speaker 5: I guarantee you that line is getting bet up this week,

1573
01:13:52,400 --> 01:13:54,000
Speaker 5: and I want to grab the line while I can.

1574
01:13:55,120 --> 01:13:57,240
Speaker 1: I'm not mad at that one. I do think the

1575
01:13:57,320 --> 01:14:00,400
Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers bounce back. I mean, he didn't play

1576
01:14:00,400 --> 01:14:03,280
Speaker 1: in the preseason, so he didn't have the continuity that

1577
01:14:03,320 --> 01:14:05,720
Speaker 1: he's used to. Obviously, they had two rookie starters on

1578
01:14:05,760 --> 01:14:08,080
Speaker 1: the road in Florida, ware he struggles. So I'm not

1579
01:14:08,120 --> 01:14:10,439
Speaker 1: too mad at that. I'm gonna do my other hoigh read.

1580
01:14:10,640 --> 01:14:12,479
Speaker 1: I mean, this is one of the games that we

1581
01:14:12,520 --> 01:14:15,280
Speaker 1: talked about earlier, and you know, we were really excited

1582
01:14:15,320 --> 01:14:19,639
Speaker 1: about Los Angeles Charters Dallas Cowboys. I like the over

1583
01:14:19,840 --> 01:14:22,599
Speaker 1: fifty two. I think I mentioned this last week on

1584
01:14:22,880 --> 01:14:24,880
Speaker 1: the look Ahead lines. I gotta go back to the

1585
01:14:24,920 --> 01:14:27,240
Speaker 1: well again. I believe I mentioned I like the over

1586
01:14:27,320 --> 01:14:29,920
Speaker 1: fifty one and a half. Obviously it's moved at half

1587
01:14:29,920 --> 01:14:31,640
Speaker 1: a point, and I think it's going to continue to

1588
01:14:31,680 --> 01:14:36,719
Speaker 1: move because my model makes this game fifty five. I mean, wow, Yeah,

1589
01:14:37,400 --> 01:14:41,280
Speaker 1: I think this is a good old fashioned shootout. I mean,

1590
01:14:41,800 --> 01:14:44,040
Speaker 1: we saw the Cowboys go out there and throw on

1591
01:14:44,120 --> 01:14:48,120
Speaker 1: early downs at will against mister Packers. I think they

1592
01:14:48,200 --> 01:14:52,120
Speaker 1: keep that up here. I mean justin Herbert. Obviously, he

1593
01:14:52,160 --> 01:14:55,360
Speaker 1: went fourteen and eighteen on third down against a better

1594
01:14:55,400 --> 01:14:58,280
Speaker 1: pass rush, and we'll see against the Dallas Cowboys for

1595
01:14:58,320 --> 01:14:59,200
Speaker 1: a lot of points.

1596
01:15:00,520 --> 01:15:01,679
Speaker 3: It is gonna be a fun game.

1597
01:15:02,560 --> 01:15:06,000
Speaker 5: I love that one. I don't play totals very often.

1598
01:15:06,040 --> 01:15:08,719
Speaker 5: I'm more of a sides guy, but I even earmarked

1599
01:15:08,720 --> 01:15:10,599
Speaker 5: that one as a possibility on mine. It's just like,

1600
01:15:10,760 --> 01:15:14,040
Speaker 5: oh boy, this one's gonna see some points. Like it

1601
01:15:14,080 --> 01:15:15,880
Speaker 5: would not surprise me at all to just see like

1602
01:15:15,920 --> 01:15:18,559
Speaker 5: thirty eight, thirty four or you know, forty one to

1603
01:15:18,600 --> 01:15:21,360
Speaker 5: thirty one or something like. We are going to see points.

1604
01:15:21,680 --> 01:15:24,800
Speaker 5: It's gonna be a fast game. Dallas plays fast, and

1605
01:15:25,000 --> 01:15:28,760
Speaker 5: Herbert and Dak Prescott, to me, we all agree on

1606
01:15:28,800 --> 01:15:31,240
Speaker 5: who those top quarterbacks in the NFL are. Everyone knows

1607
01:15:31,240 --> 01:15:35,120
Speaker 5: Mahomes and Rogers and Brady. Those guys are right there

1608
01:15:35,160 --> 01:15:38,280
Speaker 5: in the next tier to me. And I'm excited to

1609
01:15:38,320 --> 01:15:41,000
Speaker 5: watch that one, and I'm excited for some points. So

1610
01:15:41,160 --> 01:15:43,800
Speaker 5: I like that one for sure. Make sure to grab

1611
01:15:43,880 --> 01:15:46,400
Speaker 5: these lines because they are going to move. They're gonna,

1612
01:15:46,439 --> 01:15:48,360
Speaker 5: you know, be increasing during the week. You're gonna miss

1613
01:15:48,360 --> 01:15:50,800
Speaker 5: some of those key numbers. That's what the hot read

1614
01:15:50,920 --> 01:15:51,160
Speaker 5: is for.

1615
01:15:51,200 --> 01:15:52,160
Speaker 4: We're gonna earn you some.

1616
01:15:52,080 --> 01:15:55,120
Speaker 5: Money on Monday morning, while it will be the ones

1617
01:15:55,240 --> 01:15:57,920
Speaker 5: moving the lines when your money comes in, and then

1618
01:15:57,960 --> 01:16:00,640
Speaker 5: everyone else can be crying to their dollars lost when

1619
01:16:00,680 --> 01:16:03,320
Speaker 5: they lose out later in the week. So that is

1620
01:16:03,360 --> 01:16:06,360
Speaker 5: going to wrap it up today at the Action Network podcast.

1621
01:16:06,960 --> 01:16:10,000
Speaker 5: Make sure that you download the Action Network app. You

1622
01:16:10,040 --> 01:16:12,400
Speaker 5: can find all of our picks there and our articles.

1623
01:16:12,760 --> 01:16:16,679
Speaker 5: Please rate, subscribe, and review the podcast Stocking in a Raybond.

1624
01:16:16,760 --> 01:16:19,040
Speaker 5: We'll be back on a Thursday with their NFL betting

1625
01:16:19,040 --> 01:16:21,920
Speaker 5: guide in six pack preview for the week. Him and

1626
01:16:21,920 --> 01:16:23,920
Speaker 5: I will be back Friday for our quick run through

1627
01:16:23,920 --> 01:16:27,559
Speaker 5: the slate for Raheem Palmer and Brandon Anderson. And this

1628
01:16:27,600 --> 01:16:29,560
Speaker 5: has been the Action Network podcast.

1629
01:16:29,960 --> 01:16:41,680
Speaker 4: We are on to week fo