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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today

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Speaker 1: is our NFL Week thirteen Sunday Recap episode. I am

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Speaker 1: Chad Millman. I am joined by my bff, my companion,

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Speaker 1: mikeel Padre, my co host professional better Simon Hunter. Hello,

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Speaker 1: Simon Simon, look at us, brother. We are here, the

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Speaker 1: Shepherd and the Knucklehead and Hoboken Live. Who to thunk it?

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Speaker 1: Who to thunk it? Man?

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Speaker 2: I cannot believe what's happening around Chad. We are one

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Speaker 2: in three and people are still happy to see us.

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Speaker 2: This is This is as good as it gets, brother.

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Speaker 1: It is. It is an amazing night. We are doing

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Speaker 1: a show for you know, tens of thousands of other listeners,

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Speaker 1: but we are honestly touched and flattered, and I hope

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Speaker 1: they will indulge the fact that we are with so

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Speaker 1: many people who we have enjoyed talking to so much today.

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Speaker 1: People who have come from California, from Boston, Wooster, Baltimore, Binghamton, Albany,

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Speaker 1: even the guy from Tennessee. There's a guy from Tennessee

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Speaker 1: who I was talking to him when the Titans who

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Speaker 1: we have today, they tied the game. I turned around,

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Speaker 1: didn't even pay attention to the extra point. We got

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Speaker 1: shanked in every single way. Doesn't matter. Thanks to the

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Speaker 1: entire crowd for common Thanks to all of the Action

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Speaker 1: Network crew who have been pulling this off behind the scenes.

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Speaker 1: Amazing work to give us all a great night. As

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Speaker 1: a reminder, special thanks. The Favorites podcast is presented by

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Speaker 1: to tail along with us. All right, ooh, not a

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Speaker 1: fun afternoon on the markets. We had Washington plus nine

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Speaker 1: and a half. We'll get to that. We had Tennessee

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Speaker 1: minus one and a half. That was a kick in

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Speaker 1: the dick. We had a New Jersey plus two, I

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Speaker 1: mean the New York Jets plus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: That was no fun. But look the game we loved

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Speaker 1: the most all week and that I hope everybody gave big,

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Speaker 1: big love to the San Francisco forty nine ers. That game,

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Speaker 1: I believe now official minus two and a half. They

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Speaker 1: won four to nineteen. Tonight we have Green Bay plus

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Speaker 1: five and a half. We liked him the plus seven

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Speaker 1: last week on Sunday Night Football. All right, Simon man,

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Speaker 1: let's run through these four games that have been played

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Speaker 1: so far. Let's start with Miami at Washington. Because this

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Speaker 1: was nine and a half. We immediately jumped on the

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. As the week went on, it

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Speaker 1: started to feel like this might be a public dog

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Speaker 1: and we were going to get burned like we did

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Speaker 1: with the Raiders last week. And sure enough, from the

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Speaker 1: start this felt like shit and everything. The commanders sort

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Speaker 1: of looked like they tried to do the worst it

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Speaker 1: got for us. There was that pick six Alex van Ginkel.

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Speaker 1: At one point in the second half, We're sitting in

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Speaker 1: this ZAC spot right now for those who are listening,

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Speaker 1: Simon and I are at the stage area, and we

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Speaker 1: were watching the games and why Washington. I said to

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Speaker 1: Simon it was thirty eight fifteen. I said, we've still

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Speaker 1: got a shot here. Simon, with the sweetest face looking

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Speaker 1: at me like I'm so naive, said, I love you, Chad,

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Speaker 1: And right after that the Commanders missed a field goal

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Speaker 1: and it just got worse from there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I would say, anyone, that's Father's show. When you

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Speaker 2: take a big dog, when they throw a pick six,

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Speaker 2: it's dead. And when they all now, that's the life

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Speaker 2: of beting these dogs though. So yeah, we got once

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Speaker 2: again the public. Man, they're just they're they're beating us

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Speaker 2: right now. But you know, nothing changes, Chad. Only when

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Speaker 2: we have right now is a favorite. I'm sick to

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Speaker 2: my stomach. I don't know what's going on these dogs,

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Speaker 2: but it's been a good time to take favorites.

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Speaker 3: Man. The public is cashing out.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what, I've met a lot of people

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Speaker 1: today and we've been talking about the favorites consistently winning

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Speaker 1: the past few weeks, and more than one person said

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Speaker 1: to me, I thought the title of the podcast was

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Speaker 1: supposed to be ironic. Turns out it's just accurate. The

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Speaker 1: good news, the good news for or the Dolphins is

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Speaker 1: that Tyreek Hill is just short of fifteen hundred receiving yards.

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Speaker 1: Very nice, right, very nice. So we do have Tyreek

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Speaker 1: Hill nine to one to lead the league in receptions

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Speaker 1: from the start of the season. It doesn't It doesn't

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Speaker 1: help at all. No, it doesn't like it was so frustrating.

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Speaker 1: And look the Dolphins. And we're gonna talk about the

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Speaker 1: Dolphins later in the show because I did spotlight the

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Speaker 1: Dolphins as a game that we're going to want to

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Speaker 1: take a look at. We will talk about it because

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Speaker 1: there is something going on with favorites the Dolphins. This

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Speaker 1: is a game that they shouldn't have played well and

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Speaker 1: done what they did based on past history, because while

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Speaker 1: they do dominate as a favorite home, they don't do

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Speaker 1: very well as a favorite on the road. So this

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Speaker 1: was a spot where we thought we were gonna get

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Speaker 1: away with one.

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Speaker 3: It also felt like the Tyreek game. I mean Tyreek Hill.

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Speaker 2: You see why he's the top to top three receeriver

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Speaker 2: in the league. It's just they couldn't cover him. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think one hundred yards at halftime in a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: It's just what are you gonna do when they can't

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Speaker 2: cover the best player in the team, Like you said,

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Speaker 2: Ron River, the whole defense, It's just it's done. The

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Speaker 2: Washington is just a terrible team. And I can't believe

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Speaker 2: when I say this, We're gona add him to the list.

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Speaker 2: We can't bet them from here on out. They're just

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Speaker 2: that bad. They're untouchable. So we'll add them with New England.

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Speaker 2: Thank god, no New England this week.

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Speaker 3: People. I can't take it.

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Speaker 2: Every week the pros bet them and they've just been disappointing.

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Speaker 2: So Washington, thank you for that couple against Seattle a

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Speaker 2: couple of weeks ago.

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Speaker 3: But I'm awful I got nothing for him.

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Speaker 1: Brother. Pretty soon we won't have any more teams to bet.

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Speaker 3: We'll have favorites.

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Speaker 1: We'll have so many teams that are on the list.

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Speaker 1: By the way, great stat from Evan Abrams as always

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Speaker 1: contributing right now, Sam Howell, what is that? Fifty eight

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Speaker 1: sacks through week thirteen thirteen games. That is the third most.

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Speaker 1: The other two are David Carr in two thousand and

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Speaker 1: two in two thousand and five.

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Speaker 3: Give some loved our guy, Evan? Huh? How about our

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Speaker 3: guy Evan? Haven't he showed up tonight? Our guy haven't

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Speaker 3: came for a couple of drinks?

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Speaker 1: All right? Atlanta at the New York Jets. This was

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Speaker 1: this was our big balls bet of the week. Jets

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Speaker 1: Jets plus two and a half. This one never never

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Speaker 1: in doubt look, I wrote down some notes before we

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Speaker 1: came into the space here. In the first quarter, the

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Speaker 1: Jets were up to nothing. They had gotten there, they

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Speaker 1: had gotten their third safety of the year. That is

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Speaker 1: more safeties than anybody in the NFL this year. They

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Speaker 1: had their second safety in the first quarter, and they

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Speaker 1: had doubled up the Falcons on yardage at the end

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Speaker 1: of the first quarter, like, this is exactly the way

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Speaker 1: we thought it was going to play out, right, Like

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Speaker 1: they were getting a bad team, bad quarterback. Then we

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Speaker 1: get here and we're watching it together and you kept

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Speaker 1: saying the same thing over and over, which was.

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Speaker 2: What I've been drinking for five hours. Jet, I have

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Speaker 2: no idea what I said five hours ago, you know.

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Speaker 1: What I feel like, you know how, like they always

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Speaker 1: teach lawyers, don't ever ask a question if you don't

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Speaker 1: know the answer. And I felt going into that question

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Speaker 1: like I shouldn't be asking this.

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Speaker 3: No, no open enders here, just give me the answer.

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Speaker 1: The answer was you kept talking about the turnovers. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: you know, put your mic up. Yeah, yeah, that was terrible.

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Speaker 1: And then like for a minute, for a minute, it

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Speaker 1: felt like we were gonna get our shot. Garrett Wilson

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Speaker 1: kept catching insane balls. At one point he caught a ball,

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Speaker 1: his helmet was half turned around his head, but then

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Speaker 1: the Jets.

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Speaker 2: Jests, Yeah, the worst part of his brain it the

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Speaker 2: whole time, Like we had the two and a half.

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Speaker 2: What was the score, thirteen eight, So me and you

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Speaker 2: are just begging for our field goal. Three turnovers by

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Speaker 2: the Jets. I mean, it's just it's a death sentence.

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Speaker 2: So we say it all the time. You bet these

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Speaker 2: ugly dogs, you bet other ugly quarterbacks, and it just

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Speaker 2: has not been bouncing our way.

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Speaker 3: So that was brutal.

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Speaker 2: Cordel Patterson smacking that ball out of bounce kind of

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Speaker 2: flipped the game right. Like he fumbled that would have

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Speaker 2: gave the Jets momentum. He pushed it at a bounce.

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Speaker 2: It's a dead bet. I mean, Trevor Simeon, we're betting on.

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Speaker 2: We bet on Trevor Simeon today, chet, So it was

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Speaker 2: not not fun watching that Jets game.

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Speaker 1: We bet on Tim Boyle, We bet on Tim Boyle,

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Speaker 1: we bet on Trevor Simeon. It was, Uh, look, it's

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Speaker 1: uncomfortable to make these decisions sometimes, but that's what we do.

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Speaker 1: You gotta bet on bad teams.

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Speaker 3: Long term winner.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it sucks right now, people, I know, but

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Speaker 2: betting these ugly dogs will be profitable long term. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: the again, the public is having a good time right now.

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Speaker 2: Favorites are covered.

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Speaker 1: It's real. When the falcons are favorites and they're covering.

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Speaker 3: You know something's broken.

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Speaker 1: You know you're in a bad spot. The Jets on

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Speaker 1: third down today two of fifteen thirty seven for one

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Speaker 1: sixty on third downs through twelve games. That is insane.

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Speaker 1: That is the worst. That is the worst in the

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Speaker 1: wild card era. Robert Sala has coached seven games on

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Speaker 1: extended rest. The Jets are one and six straight up,

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Speaker 1: oh six and one used that hour exactly against the spread,

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Speaker 1: failing to cover the spread by thirteen points per game.

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Speaker 1: So I don't blame Robert Sala for this, No, I don't.

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Speaker 1: I don't. All right, Indianapolis at Tennessee.

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Speaker 3: Oh there's more. Jesus Christ, dude.

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Speaker 1: I'm building up because we're gonna get to the one

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Speaker 1: that we really care about, thank God. All Right, I

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Speaker 1: will say normally on Sunday, like we'll do our shows

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Speaker 1: and then I'll go sit on my couch and I'm

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Speaker 1: taking notes in my notebook. And like, you know, it's easy.

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Speaker 1: I'm watching the games, it's like I'm getting ready, right,

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Speaker 1: But today we're here, and it felt like I was

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Speaker 1: having great conversations with people, and then every time I

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Speaker 1: turned around, something went bad for us, And it was

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Speaker 1: so excruciating. The fucking Titans man, Mike Frable's our guy.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, what are we gonna do? Back to back? Was

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Speaker 3: it block punts?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I don't have a model for that.

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Speaker 2: Any of you guys got a model I can predict that. No,

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Speaker 2: So if people know here that's they mixed extra point,

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Speaker 2: we were fucked right. As soon as they missed extra point,

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Speaker 2: We're up one, they miss it, it's a tide. Game

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Speaker 2: goes there, overtime, we get the field goal. So all

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Speaker 2: we needed to worry about this point was either sick

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Speaker 2: or three. Worst case scenario, they got the six. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: just a coin flip game. Rabel let us down. But

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Speaker 2: if you would have told me that Levis would have

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Speaker 2: played that kind of game, I wouldn't avoided that game. Like,

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Speaker 2: he played well, The Titans offense played well. Special teams

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Speaker 2: got us, brother. I mean, that's that's what burn us.

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Speaker 3: End of the day.

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Speaker 2: So, yeah, had a couple of people come to you like,

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Speaker 2: I couldn't do it because I know how much you

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Speaker 2: hate Will Levs. I took the Colts I got. I'm

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Speaker 2: so jealous of you right now because it's just the worst.

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Speaker 2: Sweating out Will Levs and need him drive the field,

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Speaker 2: and again I can't complain. He drove the field, got

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Speaker 2: us the points. It's just the Verbel defense that not

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Speaker 2: shrow up today.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's the thing that you would never expect to happen,

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Speaker 1: which is Vrabel not getting his team in a position

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Speaker 1: to win in a clutch situation, which is what he

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Speaker 1: always does. And Gardner Minshew making a throw down the

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Speaker 1: sidelines in overtime that was as perfect as any throw

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Speaker 1: he's made this entire season. And like the fact that

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Speaker 1: that guy got behind the defense. It was even more

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Speaker 1: heartbreaking was I was watching that game and they scored

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Speaker 1: the field goal with about four minutes left. I thought

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Speaker 1: it was the game winner. Because there was so little

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Speaker 1: time left in overtime, I assumed the Colts had the

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Speaker 1: first drive and instead we got screwed.

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Speaker 3: Yeah that's how it goes, brother.

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Speaker 1: Titans had more first downs, better third down percentage. This

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Speaker 1: is how bad this was more yards, more rush yards,

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Speaker 1: more possessions, same number of turnovers and lost for anybody

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Speaker 1: else betting the Titans. I'm really doing this for all

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Speaker 1: of us, just so we can. Yeah, oh all right,

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Speaker 1: we're saying we have an audience member who's saying they

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Speaker 1: lost their punter who's also the holder on the kicks.

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Speaker 1: The Texans and the Colts became the first teams this

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Speaker 1: season to go over their preseason win to Congrats to

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Speaker 1: the Texans and the Colts. Any Texans and Colt betters

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Speaker 1: for preseason win totals are winners. Here's here's something ominous

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Speaker 1: that is going to have to make us rethink what

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Speaker 1: we're doing with the Titans so far the rest of

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Speaker 1: the year. In six seasons with the Titans, Mike Frable

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Speaker 1: has never finished a season below five hundred as an underdog.

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Speaker 1: This season, the Titans are four and six.

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Speaker 3: It's not terrible. Those be way worse. Honestly, It's not a.

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Speaker 1: Good trend for us. Yeah, but the Titans are playing

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Speaker 1: next week and they are underdogs, So we got an

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Speaker 1: opportunity here, all right, the only game that we really

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Speaker 1: cared about today. We love all our games equally, but

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Speaker 1: we love this one more than any other game San

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Speaker 1: Francisco and Philly. And I know we got a lot

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Speaker 1: of Eagles fans like we're in Jersey, but but we

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Speaker 1: loved this game. We loved this game from the start,

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Speaker 1: and you did.

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Speaker 2: I definitely didn't. I was gonna you loved it Sunday,

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Speaker 2: I definitely did not.

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Speaker 1: I was gonna let you get there. Yeah, you get

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Speaker 1: to like how you came around to the idea of

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Speaker 1: betting the Niners because this game. Don't forget at this

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Speaker 1: time last week, seven days ago, exactly this time, the

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Speaker 1: Niners are two and a half point underdogs. As Simon

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Speaker 1: and I were talking as we were sweating the end

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Speaker 1: of the Bills Eagles overtime game, where we had the

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Speaker 1: Bills plus three and a half, I think, uh, the

294
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Speaker 1: line moved to San Francisco plus one. I tried to

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Speaker 1: bet it at San Francisco plus one. It moved while

296
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Speaker 1: I was clicking send to minus one, and it all

297
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Speaker 1: of a sudden ended up at two and a half.

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Speaker 1: On Monday morning. One of us never waivered. One of

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Speaker 1: us came around to it. What what made you come

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Speaker 1: around to it?

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Speaker 2: Talking to profession because I didn't. I modeled this at

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Speaker 2: one and a half. So I the value to me

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00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:07,080
Speaker 2: was towards the Eagles. But I talked to every pro,

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Speaker 2: every single one I talked to was no doubt forty

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Speaker 2: nine ers. And then we had the guys coming about

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Speaker 2: the Luck rankings and it's like, okay, so now the

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Speaker 2: Luck Rankings favorite the forty nine ers. I think you're

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Speaker 2: taking the whole fact that whole overtime thing about the

309
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Speaker 2: Eagles defense playing ninety snaps defensively, it's a big deal.

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Speaker 2: Like it's September. I mean, it's December. You have a

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Speaker 2: team coming off ten days rest with this forty.

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Speaker 3: Nine ers team. But I'm not gonna lie to you. Chat.

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Speaker 2: When they came out that it was raining today and

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Speaker 2: it was windy up in New Jersey, up in Philadelphia,

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Speaker 2: I started worrying a little bit out.

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Speaker 3: It's like, what are we doing here?

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Speaker 2: We're taking such a public favorite because everyone was piling

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Speaker 2: on the forty nine ers, and you know, Luckily, you

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Speaker 2: kept talking to me and you kept saying we got

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Speaker 2: to take it here.

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Speaker 3: And then I had.

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Speaker 2: Multiple conversations last night with a bunch of pros in

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Speaker 2: the city, all of them, even with all the booze flowing.

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Speaker 2: We're talking about this is the easiest bet of the weekend.

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Speaker 2: Forty nine ers even more fuel to the fire, and

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Speaker 2: may be like Eagles are gonna win this shit, But

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Speaker 2: I held held my mouth shut, swallowed my pride back

328
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Speaker 2: to forty nine ers, put a ship ton of money

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Speaker 2: on it, and uh, you were right, Chad, you were right,

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Speaker 2: forty nine ers. This is a good spot, this is

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Speaker 2: a good bet.

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Speaker 3: It's our it's it's our only one of the weekend.

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Speaker 3: So thank you, Chad.

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Speaker 1: Well listen, someone a wise man once said on this podcast.

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Speaker 1: I can't remember exactly who it was, but he did say,

336
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Speaker 1: Chad is sharp, So we have that right. But we

337
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Speaker 1: needed the Niners for our lungs today because I think

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Speaker 1: it's the first week all season that we started h

339
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Speaker 1: to three for the one pms and for the one pms,

340
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Speaker 1: so you know, we really need the packers as well

341
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Speaker 1: for the other lung But yeah, we all the packers.

342
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Speaker 3: But I gave you some flour, something I allowed to

343
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Speaker 3: shit on you.

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Speaker 1: Now. I don't know, I don't know, I don't know

345
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Speaker 1: if I liked the answer here, but go ahead, sure.

346
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Speaker 2: How did we not fade Joe Flacco? Chad tell the

347
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Speaker 2: people here, how did we not fade Joe Flacco?

348
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Speaker 1: Listen, well, we do have some people that loved Joe.

349
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Speaker 3: No one.

350
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Speaker 2: No one loves Joe Flacco. Joe Flacco's wife doesn't love

351
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Speaker 2: Joe Flacco.

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Speaker 3: Well look, look, I thought Chad knew something. I gave

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Speaker 3: the benefit of the doubt. Chad did not.

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Speaker 1: Chad didn't know anything. Chad was way wrong on that one.

355
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Speaker 1: But look, to my credit, I never tried to say, hey,

356
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Speaker 1: let's get into the contest. The only games and we

357
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Speaker 1: didn't talk about this. The only game is we talked

358
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Speaker 1: about putting in the contest. And I don't think we're

359
00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:46,280
Speaker 1: done with the Niners and the Eagles yet. Were the Cardinals,

360
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Speaker 1: which I loved and you were against. I couldn't get why.

361
00:19:50,280 --> 00:19:51,639
Speaker 2: Didn't because it was five and a half when it

362
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:53,360
Speaker 2: was six and a half at every other book, right,

363
00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:55,840
Speaker 2: So that was again the line we get screwed sometimes

364
00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:58,320
Speaker 2: in the contest with the lines. Yep, yeah, it didn't

365
00:19:58,320 --> 00:19:59,600
Speaker 2: even matter. They went out right.

366
00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:01,960
Speaker 1: And you know Nick Giffen who was doing the bet

367
00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:05,159
Speaker 1: when What Happens Live show with Simon Today and nailed

368
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:08,679
Speaker 1: his DeVante Smith Bett and the Kilder Calf and you

369
00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:10,760
Speaker 1: know it was one of the masters of the Luck Rankings.

370
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Speaker 1: That was a Luck Rankings game today and the Niners

371
00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:18,880
Speaker 1: was a huge Luck Rankings games today. And I think

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Speaker 1: what's going to be really interesting is, and we'll talk

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Speaker 1: about this after we get through some other stuff, how

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Speaker 1: is this going to impact what happens for the rest

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Speaker 1: of the season. How we are thinking about this. We

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Speaker 1: did look the Niners at this point. I think with Deebo,

377
00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:41,520
Speaker 1: who was one of our featured players in the Favorites

378
00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:45,280
Speaker 1: Film Room YouTube exclusive this week where we analyze the

379
00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:47,000
Speaker 1: players we think are going to have a big impact

380
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Speaker 1: on the game. Everyone should go watch it on YouTube.

381
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Speaker 1: And with Trent Williams. They're now nine to zero and

382
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Speaker 1: they have been winning games today. They won by twenty two,

383
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:05,200
Speaker 1: twenty three, so they're winning games by an average of

384
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Speaker 1: twenty one points per game with those two guys playing.

385
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Speaker 2: I mean, they're a juggernaut, no doubt. But it's ken

386
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,320
Speaker 2: they stay healthy. That's the big if that you just said.

387
00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:16,879
Speaker 2: So the Eagles a team that it's really good. You

388
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:19,680
Speaker 2: see how they deteriorated Lane Johnson today, couldn't stop anything.

389
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,320
Speaker 2: The guys playing on a bad leg that's a big deal.

390
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:24,840
Speaker 2: So same goes for the forty nine ers if they

391
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:27,040
Speaker 2: sd that healthy. Yeah, I told you last week I

392
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,560
Speaker 2: finally moved them above the Eagles, which was painful to do.

393
00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:32,399
Speaker 2: But they're healthy, and they're the better team right now.

394
00:21:32,400 --> 00:21:36,000
Speaker 2: They've been playing better these last couple of weeks. So yeah,

395
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Speaker 2: I would say the biggest issue right now facing this

396
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:42,760
Speaker 2: Eagles team is now next weekend's Dallas. That's a must win.

397
00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:45,040
Speaker 2: If they lose to that game, they might be a

398
00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:47,600
Speaker 2: fifth seed. That's a big deal. We've seen the NFC.

399
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,399
Speaker 2: Home field is so important. So yeah, if you're a

400
00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:52,400
Speaker 2: four nine Ers fan, you gotta be feeling really good

401
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:57,880
Speaker 2: right now. I mean, you're you're in, You're dominating your division.

402
00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:00,240
Speaker 2: You just bet the team that was quot uncong vote

403
00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:01,800
Speaker 2: the best team of football, and Chad you said he

404
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:05,520
Speaker 2: beat him by twenty two at home. Yeah, God, damn

405
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:07,280
Speaker 2: you forty nine Ers fans, you guys are living good.

406
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Speaker 1: So look, we talked about this. We talked about this

407
00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 1: on Green Dot Daily with Maria Marino, who's here in

408
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:21,520
Speaker 1: the audience today. This week, we talked about MVP odds,

409
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,919
Speaker 1: We talked about DAK, we talked about Christian McCaffrey. We

410
00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 1: talked about brock Purty and Dak at the time was

411
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:30,399
Speaker 1: eight to one. At Bet three sixty five, party was

412
00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 1: fourteen to one. I think McCaffrey was fifteen to one. Maybe, No,

413
00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 1: he was tw twenty five to one. You and I

414
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,440
Speaker 1: bet McCaffrey, I think when he was about twenty five

415
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:43,879
Speaker 1: to one earlier this year. If we're handicapping the race, now,

416
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,679
Speaker 1: who do you think is the best candidate for MVP

417
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:49,600
Speaker 1: of the NFL?

418
00:22:49,800 --> 00:22:50,359
Speaker 3: Still Dak?

419
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:53,320
Speaker 2: I mean, Dak is really as much as like to

420
00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 2: make fun of him, shit on him, he's been playing

421
00:22:55,600 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 2: incredible and it's a regular season award, so postseason Dak

422
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 2: not so much regular season Dak. He shows up and

423
00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:04,520
Speaker 2: he plays really well. And you know, as much as

424
00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:07,000
Speaker 2: we like to make fun of McCarthy, think about what

425
00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 2: they've done these last six seven weeks. This Dallas team

426
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:12,400
Speaker 2: so pretty incredible. I really did think, I mean most

427
00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:15,640
Speaker 2: people here, no. I gave out Seattle's money line Thursday night.

428
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 2: That's just the definition of a trap game. Like Dallas,

429
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 2: especially the last couple years, they always lose that game

430
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:23,919
Speaker 2: before they play the Eagles, like they're just looking ahead

431
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:27,679
Speaker 2: they're gonna overlook that Seattle team, and Dak kept out.

432
00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:29,800
Speaker 2: I know the ref's help, right, Everyone's complained about the

433
00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,639
Speaker 2: refs on Thursday night, but Dak made the throw so

434
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 2: pretty incredible. Him and CD are doing right now. I'm

435
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,520
Speaker 2: sure Dak after this Jalen hurts bad game. What do

436
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,520
Speaker 2: you think Dak's at now? Five hundred? Yeah, plus four hundred,

437
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 2: so yeah, hopefully you got that plus seven to fifty

438
00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:46,159
Speaker 2: because that numbers definitely dropped.

439
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 1: I think it'll get tricky. I would still put a

440
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:52,640
Speaker 1: taste on McCaffrey because if the Niners continue to dominate

441
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 1: the way they are and they end up winning the

442
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,000
Speaker 1: number one seed, McCaffrey is going to have a record

443
00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 1: setting year as an offensive weapon and doing things that

444
00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:04,240
Speaker 1: most running backs have never done, scoring at a clip

445
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:06,880
Speaker 1: that most running backs have never scored at. So it's

446
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,200
Speaker 1: not going to be one of those things where, oh,

447
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:10,879
Speaker 1: he's just a running back who had a good season,

448
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,359
Speaker 1: Like he's having a running back who eclipses what a

449
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 1: lot of quarterbacks would need to do to win the award.

450
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:18,919
Speaker 1: So I'm still a little bit leaning towards the value

451
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:19,560
Speaker 1: in McCaffrey.

452
00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 2: I still think it's just a quarterback award. It's just

453
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,919
Speaker 2: the year ap one. The story was there because he

454
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,240
Speaker 2: had come off the torn acl We don't really have

455
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 2: that on in McCaffrey.

456
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:31,080
Speaker 3: There is no story. We all know McCaffrey is the best.

457
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 2: But anyone's going to make the argument what about party,

458
00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 2: because party obviously is the combination of that. I mean,

459
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:39,359
Speaker 2: I still can't believe this seventh round pick is what

460
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:43,160
Speaker 2: a top twelve player right now in the league quarterback.

461
00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 2: So yeah again, forty nine ers fans, this is peak,

462
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 2: Like this is as good as it gets right now,

463
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 2: Like you guys are living the dream. It's just all

464
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:53,200
Speaker 2: clicking right now for that team.

465
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 1: As a reminder, you can catch every episode of The

466
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:59,119
Speaker 1: Favorites live on YouTube. So for those enjoying on YouTube,

467
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,479
Speaker 1: don't forget to give us a and subscribe to the

468
00:25:01,560 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 1: Action Network you Tube page. All right, a recap our

469
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:09,760
Speaker 1: Foxhole bet Green Bay plus six our big Balls also

470
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 1: known as the Kick and the Dick Tonight New York

471
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:16,119
Speaker 1: Jets plus two and a half. The exact decision I

472
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,360
Speaker 1: don't know why I did this was Cleveland plus five

473
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:23,880
Speaker 1: and a half. But Simon says is also regretful Washington

474
00:25:23,880 --> 00:25:27,159
Speaker 1: plus nine and a half. God love all you for

475
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 1: coming out to all the dogs. Get a follow up

476
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 1: on these fucking loser picks. All right, Simon, uh survivor.

477
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:38,520
Speaker 1: We were debating the Rams and the Steelers. You had

478
00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:40,359
Speaker 1: two pools. You were still going in.

479
00:25:40,560 --> 00:25:43,639
Speaker 2: They got win Rams because that Steelers brutal I mean,

480
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,360
Speaker 2: Kenny Pikett went out in the very beginning. So yeah,

481
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 2: if you had that terrible and then I just can't

482
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,840
Speaker 2: believe we were sweating that Rams game into the fourth quarter.

483
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:55,600
Speaker 2: It was twenty nineteen, got really lucky Browns extra point

484
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:57,479
Speaker 2: and then Joe Flacco Joe Flacco, and I think they

485
00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:58,760
Speaker 2: won by like twenty points.

486
00:25:59,000 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 1: Well, look, I know they're a lot of a lot

487
00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:06,800
Speaker 1: of folks who have listened to the Favorites and its

488
00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:11,440
Speaker 1: previous iterations for a long time. Flacco was indeed battled Flacco.

489
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:12,920
Speaker 2: Oh god, I think you're about to bring up Bob

490
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:15,320
Speaker 2: Scucci for a second. I was like, holy shit.

491
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:20,440
Speaker 1: Scooch, all right, New York Jets, Tennessee Titans, Washington Commanders,

492
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers, Denver Broncos. That was our round robin, our

493
00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 1: Sunday Night football picks and leans we're on Green Bay.

494
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:34,000
Speaker 1: We have him in the contest. We need him for

495
00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 1: our lungs. Tonight, Simon, you got anything to say about

496
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:42,600
Speaker 1: Monday Night football? Cincinnati Jacksonville Jacksonville plus ten. The total

497
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:44,679
Speaker 1: is thirty nine and a half. It's gone up. It

498
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:46,920
Speaker 1: was at thirty eight was it thirty eight and a half?

499
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 1: Went down, went back up, now at thirty nine and

500
00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:48,920
Speaker 1: a half.

501
00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 3: No, these people know what to do under under.

502
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:54,880
Speaker 1: That's it. That's what we're talking about.

503
00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 3: It pays, baby.

504
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 1: We're not talking about the side here. I agree with you.

505
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,439
Speaker 1: We don't like the side. We like the under at

506
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:03,160
Speaker 1: thirty nine and a half.

507
00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:05,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, if you have to take a side. I don't

508
00:27:05,240 --> 00:27:06,359
Speaker 3: hate Jacksonville.

509
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,080
Speaker 2: I just have not seen anything out of the Bengals

510
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,439
Speaker 2: to give me any confidence. But yeah, now it's up

511
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 2: the minus ten at bet three six y five. It's

512
00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 2: like you missed the best of the number. Just stay

513
00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:17,240
Speaker 2: away from that, Simon.

514
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:20,080
Speaker 1: Can you name the fastest running ticketing app in the

515
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 1: United States?

516
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:21,720
Speaker 3: Game Time?

517
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 1: That's right, oh man, Matt Mitchell, wherever you are. We

518
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:27,920
Speaker 1: got to clip this and send it to game time

519
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 1: because this audience knows their stuff. I love game time

520
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 1: for two reasons. One they sponsored the show. Number two

521
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:37,040
Speaker 1: because I actually use game Time to buy tickets. Everyone

522
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 1: knows it. They've got amazing last minute deals on all

523
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,879
Speaker 1: sorts of tickets, including pro and college games. Speaking of which,

524
00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:48,359
Speaker 1: I'm actually opening the game Time app right now from

525
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:51,040
Speaker 1: the Shepherd and the Knuckle Ahead here in Hoboken, New Jersey,

526
00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:53,879
Speaker 1: and I already did this. I already did this, so

527
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:57,600
Speaker 1: I can tell you right now that no sense of

528
00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:00,399
Speaker 1: irony here. If anybody wants to go see the New

529
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:02,840
Speaker 1: York Giants play Monday Night Football next week, you can

530
00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 1: do that for less than forty five dollars. That's right, NFL,

531
00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:13,520
Speaker 1: NFL Football. No matter where you live, download the game

532
00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,879
Speaker 1: Time app, get out and have some fun this week.

533
00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:18,120
Speaker 1: Go sweat your bets live and in person. You can

534
00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:21,920
Speaker 1: redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off your first purchase.

535
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:24,600
Speaker 1: Terms apply again. Just download the app and it are

536
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,360
Speaker 1: code favorites for twenty dollars off last minute tickets, lowes

537
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:32,520
Speaker 1: price guaranteed all right simon Early Week fourteen spots. The

538
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:39,600
Speaker 1: first one I want to talk about Miami minus twelve

539
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:45,800
Speaker 1: at home. I feel like this is a spot to

540
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:51,720
Speaker 1: play the favorite we've been. We haven't done it often,

541
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:53,640
Speaker 1: but when we've done it, we've done it on Miami.

542
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:57,880
Speaker 1: It generally has gone well for us. Give me Miami

543
00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:00,320
Speaker 1: minus twelve. What do you think that?

544
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:02,320
Speaker 3: This is why you're sharp? Chat, it's already thirteen.

545
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,800
Speaker 1: There you go, Miami minus twelve and a half to

546
00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 1: thirteen at Tennessee. I wish I had been able to

547
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 1: bet that instead of talking everybody in this crowd. But

548
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:13,960
Speaker 1: you know, what can I do? But why are we

549
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:14,560
Speaker 1: going to bet that?

550
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 2: Tennessee is the worst covering team in all football, so

551
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 2: they're incredible against the run. But I'm happy to bet

552
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 2: Miami at home under fourteen points.

553
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:26,040
Speaker 3: It's been good to u, especially this season.

554
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:33,640
Speaker 1: Philadelphia plus two and a half at the Dallas Cowboys.

555
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 3: Already already up to three.

556
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 1: Philadelphia plus three at the Dallas Cowboys.

557
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 2: Wait wait, wait, wait wait wait, it's gonna keep going up.

558
00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:44,440
Speaker 2: The only people that are gonna bet Eagles next week

559
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 2: are pros. It's just Cowboys have looked better. They're on

560
00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 2: extended rest. I totally get the fate of the Eagles

561
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,360
Speaker 2: in this position. But for me, yeah, if you like

562
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:57,880
Speaker 2: the Cowboys, go find that two and a half because

563
00:29:57,880 --> 00:29:59,240
Speaker 2: I could see this number again up to three and

564
00:29:59,240 --> 00:29:59,520
Speaker 2: a half.

565
00:29:59,560 --> 00:29:59,760
Speaker 1: Four.

566
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:01,760
Speaker 3: The Eagles are just banged up.

567
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:04,840
Speaker 2: I mean Hurts went out for multiple plays in that game,

568
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 2: So this is this classic situation up. I'm gonna take

569
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 2: Dallas at minus two and a half, take him at

570
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 2: the three, and then if Hurts does play this game,

571
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,479
Speaker 2: I'll buy them a position. But this line could get

572
00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 2: up to seven if Hurts actually misses this game, which is.

573
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 3: A possibility if he has a real injury.

574
00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:22,160
Speaker 2: So definitely an early bet I'll make is Cowboys on

575
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:23,560
Speaker 2: the side for the Sunday night game.

576
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:29,080
Speaker 1: The Eagles really don't have the window to rest Hurts

577
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:32,040
Speaker 1: like they might have had earlier in the year because

578
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 1: of what you just said. They lose to Dallas and

579
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:36,400
Speaker 1: all of a sudden they might not have the edge

580
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:39,560
Speaker 1: to win the division, which means they're going from having

581
00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 1: been the number one seed this week to number five

582
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: getting in as a wild card. He's got to play.

583
00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:49,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, And it's also they've been, like we talk every week,

584
00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:52,080
Speaker 2: they've been really lucky. I mean, you get to the

585
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:54,040
Speaker 2: super Bowl the following year and you're the one seed

586
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 2: the next year're gonna have a first play schedule, so

587
00:30:56,320 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 2: they already had a brutal schedule and they got really

588
00:30:58,920 --> 00:30:59,840
Speaker 2: lucky with the Bills win.

589
00:30:59,880 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 3: The Chiefs win.

590
00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:03,200
Speaker 2: Clearly, it ran out tonight. I mean the forty nine

591
00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:06,200
Speaker 2: ers dominated them. I think the Eagles at halftime the

592
00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 2: leading rusher was eleven yards by Hurts.

593
00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 3: Like it's it's just not going well for them right now.

594
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 2: So yeah, like to me, that's where the value is

595
00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 2: on Dallas right now, Like that number should be much

596
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 2: higher for the Eagles are just they're not worthy of

597
00:31:19,960 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 2: being plus three right now in Dallas.

598
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:27,240
Speaker 1: Here's what I like. It's a tricky one buffalo plus

599
00:31:27,280 --> 00:31:33,280
Speaker 1: three at Kansas City.

600
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 3: I wouldn't do it. I wouldn't do it.

601
00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 1: Would you wait?

602
00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 3: I like that?

603
00:31:38,560 --> 00:31:40,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you're gonna do anything, I tease it now,

604
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 2: but I wouldn't strip. I wouldn't straight butt that three.

605
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 1: So now we're taking our advice from the fans in

606
00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 1: the audience.

607
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:50,400
Speaker 3: He's all right, people, But.

608
00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 2: The thing is, say the Chiefs do blow out tonight,

609
00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,000
Speaker 2: because me and you've been dead off on these dogs today.

610
00:31:57,920 --> 00:31:59,640
Speaker 2: What do you think this number gets to minus four?

611
00:32:00,480 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 2: So that to me, if you do like the Bills,

612
00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 2: I would wait and in said, the Chiefs do happen

613
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:06,720
Speaker 2: to lose tonight. This isn't going lower than two and

614
00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:08,680
Speaker 2: a half, Like, this isn't going to drop that low.

615
00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:10,719
Speaker 2: So to me, if you like the Bills, you can

616
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:12,760
Speaker 2: afford to wait. If you like the Chiefs, you might

617
00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:14,040
Speaker 2: as well throw a little on there now.

618
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:15,840
Speaker 1: And I want to give you one more game and

619
00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 1: then I want to see if there's anything that is

620
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 1: piquing your interest that we haven't touched yet. I got

621
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:22,960
Speaker 1: a couple, all right, Chicago plus five against Detroit?

622
00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:24,200
Speaker 3: You sick?

623
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:29,800
Speaker 1: Fuck you know it's the right side. What is taking

624
00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:34,320
Speaker 1: the Bears a plus five? Dude? We're going to talk

625
00:32:34,360 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 1: about dude on Tuesday. I guarantee we're having this conversation

626
00:32:39,240 --> 00:32:42,480
Speaker 1: and I guarantee we're saying, oh yeah, the Bears in

627
00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 1: the division at this number, this is the side you take.

628
00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:47,840
Speaker 1: Evan's going to give us all the stats, and we

629
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,720
Speaker 1: know this Bears defense is getting better and better against

630
00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 1: the rush. Jared Goff, even though they covered today, did

631
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,440
Speaker 1: not have a good game. This team is not playing

632
00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:59,760
Speaker 1: that well right now. The Bears, they're feeling something like

633
00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:02,760
Speaker 1: just and Fields knows he needs to prove it right now.

634
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 1: This is their spot. They beat the Vikings, they barely

635
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:06,600
Speaker 1: lost to the right.

636
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:07,120
Speaker 3: There's the fear.

637
00:33:07,840 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 1: I'm not worried about it.

638
00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:10,440
Speaker 2: You have them coming off a win in a bye week,

639
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:11,680
Speaker 2: a young team.

640
00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:13,560
Speaker 3: When does that ever work out for US?

641
00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:16,239
Speaker 1: Chicago plus five, well, it's already down.

642
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:19,240
Speaker 3: It's already down a four and a half. So Chad is,

643
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:19,600
Speaker 3: by the.

644
00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:23,400
Speaker 1: Way, every line, every line I've mentioned tonight, has moved

645
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 1: in the direction I said it would move. Yeah, all right,

646
00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:27,880
Speaker 1: give me, give me the number, give me the one

647
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 1: you're looking at.

648
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:30,080
Speaker 2: I just want to talk about the games. I really

649
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,680
Speaker 2: piqued my interest. People are going to fucking hate this.

650
00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 2: But Jets are plus six at home against Houston.

651
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 1: They're probably Matt Mitchell said he cut the bikes if

652
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 1: he makes anyone hear about the j So that was let's.

653
00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 3: Give it their people.

654
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 2: Joe Flacco, Oh we just washed. Is plus three at

655
00:33:58,000 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 2: home against the Jaguars.

656
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:02,640
Speaker 1: You know what I would take that. I'm with you.

657
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:03,920
Speaker 3: I'm man.

658
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 2: I'm telling people the public can't keep one of these

659
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 2: goddamn games, and I'm gonna go broke betting against it

660
00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:11,640
Speaker 2: next one.

661
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 3: Let's let's keep getting ugly, Chad. I'm not that I'm

662
00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:17,000
Speaker 3: not that ugly.

663
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:20,719
Speaker 2: Uh. Eight and o'connells plus two and a half at

664
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 2: home against Ops.

665
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 1: You know what I haven't. I have it, I have

666
00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:25,400
Speaker 1: it written down.

667
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:27,920
Speaker 3: This is my guy right here.

668
00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 1: I agree with that that's gonna be on the board, So.

669
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:33,759
Speaker 2: I'm gonna grab it two and a half just in

670
00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:36,239
Speaker 2: case the pros hit it. But that's another line I

671
00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:38,000
Speaker 2: hope gets the three three and a half. That would

672
00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:40,799
Speaker 2: be such a nice contest play just the Raiders at

673
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:42,840
Speaker 2: home against a team that can't stop the run like

674
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:46,799
Speaker 2: the Vikings. That's a nice spot to back this team.

675
00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:48,880
Speaker 1: Uh, anyone else that we're missing?

676
00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:52,320
Speaker 2: Just a line I didn't understand. Obviously have no opinion

677
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:53,800
Speaker 2: on it yet. I need to run it through a model.

678
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,280
Speaker 2: They have the Rayvens minus seven and a half against

679
00:34:56,320 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 2: the Rams. I saw that that's an interesting backdoor team.

680
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:02,120
Speaker 2: The Rams like yeah, Cooper cups healthy he scored tonight

681
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:02,880
Speaker 2: in their final.

682
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:06,000
Speaker 1: And also Lamar Jackson as a favorite not very good,

683
00:35:06,200 --> 00:35:10,560
Speaker 1: especially as a favorite, not very good. That's an interesting

684
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:11,359
Speaker 1: one too. I'm writing it.

685
00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:13,200
Speaker 2: Downs like that's a number I know my model is

686
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:16,160
Speaker 2: going to have slanted it towards the dog I'm just

687
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:17,759
Speaker 2: gonna grab it now because it's seven and a half.

688
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:20,480
Speaker 2: That's such a key number, way too big for the Rams.

689
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:23,000
Speaker 2: So definitely gonna text a runner to go grab me

690
00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:24,200
Speaker 2: that seven and a half right now.

691
00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 1: All right, here's the games that we've talked about. Chicago

692
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:31,640
Speaker 1: plus five, we love it. Las Vegas Raiders plus two

693
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:35,280
Speaker 1: and a half, we love it. We love it. Buffalo

694
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,600
Speaker 1: plus three. We're waiting to see what happens tonight. Miami

695
00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 1: is up to minus twelve and a half thirteen, We

696
00:35:41,080 --> 00:35:44,520
Speaker 1: still like it. Matt Mitchell said he will not let

697
00:35:44,560 --> 00:35:46,480
Speaker 1: anyone hear about the New York Jets, so we need

698
00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:49,319
Speaker 1: to talk about it. I'm with Simon, I like the

699
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 1: Rams plus seven and a half. We can grab that.

700
00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:55,719
Speaker 1: That's a that's a tricky one. Here's something from Evan Abrams.

701
00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:59,160
Speaker 1: You know, we've had a lot of conversation about favorites

702
00:35:59,200 --> 00:36:02,279
Speaker 1: winning a lot, and that's, you know, the antithesis of

703
00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:05,080
Speaker 1: what we like to bet on. So we're getting hammered

704
00:36:05,120 --> 00:36:08,880
Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks. Last two weeks Favorite twenty

705
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 1: two and five straight up, twenty and seven against the spread.

706
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 1: The last three weeks thirty three and eight straight up

707
00:36:14,520 --> 00:36:17,759
Speaker 1: twenty five and sixteen against the spread. So if you're wondering,

708
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 1: if you're why you're losing. You know my friends from Burlington,

709
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:28,080
Speaker 1: Now we know right regression? Whoever said it? Who said it?

710
00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:31,400
Speaker 1: Right here? There we go the football player from TCNJ

711
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:37,440
Speaker 1: as a reminder. As a reminder, the Favorites Podcast is

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Speaker 1: Terms conditioning and restrictions apply. If you love listening or

726
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Speaker 1: watching us live, which you should because, as we've seen,

727
00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:25,160
Speaker 1: the lines are moving and every point matters. Catch our

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Speaker 1: next episode live on Tuesday one forty five pm Eastern

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Speaker 1: one Action Network YouTube channel covering the entire NFL Week

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Speaker 1: fourteen board.

731
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Speaker 3: Hi Brother.

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733
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