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Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: We're getting towards the tail end of the regular season,

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Speaker 1: so it's time to capitalize on what we've learned thus far.

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Speaker 1: That includes today when we reveal our week thirteen early

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Speaker 1: picks and line movement predictions. I'm your host s Ed Wilcock,

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Speaker 1: and this past weekend's picks. We're a lot like that

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Speaker 1: Jake Paul might Tyson fight, I'll let down today.

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Speaker 2: I'm joined by a man who is high.

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Speaker 1: On life today following a weekend where both his Texas

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Speaker 1: Longhorns and Pittsburgh Steelers got the w Scott Bogman. Happy Monday,

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Speaker 1: my friend. How are you feeling just two weeks remaining

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Speaker 1: in the regular season.

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Speaker 3: I know we're getting a crunch time here and everything

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Speaker 3: is kind of you know, we're racing towards that center

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Speaker 3: point of light to get these playoff standings and obviously

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Speaker 3: conference championships coming up as well, so lots of movement

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Speaker 3: and shake and still left and we're starting to get

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Speaker 3: the full picture here.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, and we've got absolutely stacked program for you all

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Speaker 1: today and rankings, movement reaction plus an early handicap of

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Speaker 1: the biggest games on the Week thirteen slate one of

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Speaker 1: my favorite in a few weeks. I have to say, Bogman,

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Speaker 1: I felt like I had some big, strong early leans

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Speaker 1: this week as opposed to the last few. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if you feel the same about this slate.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, there are some that I like a lot to start,

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Speaker 3: so we'll see how that goes. Three and four on

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Speaker 3: my pick show last week, and a lot of the

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Speaker 3: stuff I said did not come true. I mean, I

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Speaker 3: just can't believe some of the games that we had

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Speaker 3: last week. But you know, that's college football for you.

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Speaker 3: It is.

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Speaker 1: That's why we love sports. Thanks to everyone who rides

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Speaker 1: with us each and every week of the season, we

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Speaker 1: see it, we appreciate. The easiest way to support us

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Speaker 1: is like this video if you enjoy this type of content,

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Speaker 1: Plus subscribe if you aren't already. Betting Pros is putting

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Speaker 1: out some awesome content all fall along, whether we've been

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Speaker 1: into college football, NFL football. We got Terrell over there

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Speaker 1: on the basketball side of things as well, and the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice Matt prowlps to make sure you guys are

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Speaker 1: some driving checking out all the great content we have

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Speaker 1: for you, and while you're here. If you want a

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Speaker 1: chance to win a signed Aaron Jones Minnesota Vikings Jersey

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Speaker 1: for free courtesies our friends over at Pristineauction dot com.

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Speaker 1: All you need to do is subscribe to the benk

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel right now, drop a comment below on

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Speaker 1: any of our videos, and that's it. We will be

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Speaker 1: announcing a winner right here on the channel. So make

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Speaker 1: sure you subscribe turned on those notifications so we can

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Speaker 1: announce a winner and you can be plugged into that

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Speaker 1: if you do having to be that lucky winner and Bogman,

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Speaker 1: let's go ahead and jump right into the week twelve takeaways.

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Speaker 2: The ACC's best.

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Speaker 1: Clemson and SMU.

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Speaker 2: They held on.

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Speaker 1: It was scary for a minute, but they get the

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Speaker 1: wins over pitt and Boston College respectively. South Carolina beats

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Speaker 1: Missouri thirty four thirty and an absolute thriller.

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Speaker 3: Did not make it look easy.

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Speaker 1: No, no shout out Brady Cook, though he looked the

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Speaker 1: best I've seen him look maybe all season. Arizona State

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Speaker 1: knocks off k State twenty four to fourteen. Oregon gets

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Speaker 1: out of Madison with their lives sixteen to thirteen. For

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Speaker 1: a minute, there, I put on my Penn State fan

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Speaker 1: hat I was betting on Oregon. I was like, oh man,

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Speaker 1: Penn State, and we might have a shot at the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten championship if this thing plays out our way.

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Speaker 1: It did not. Oregon getst the w New Mexico makes

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Speaker 1: it count against Wazoo, winning thirty eight to thirty five.

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Speaker 1: Georgia comebacks to beat Tennessee thirty one seventeen, and Kansas

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Speaker 1: continues to be the Giant killers of the season, handing

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Speaker 1: BYU their first loss of the year, winning seventeen to

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Speaker 1: thirteen in Provo, Utah.

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Speaker 2: Whoo, where do we even start, Bogman?

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Speaker 3: I mean, the way the Jayhawks have been playing, you know,

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Speaker 3: especially since how they started, and now they're just so

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Speaker 3: much better. They're the team that we kind of thought

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Speaker 3: they were coming in. They were not that at all

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Speaker 3: to start the season. I think that was probably the

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Speaker 3: most surprising thing that in Oregon. Just not putting it

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Speaker 3: together against Wisconsin was very surprising. I mean, lucky to

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Speaker 3: escape that game with the dub there. The defense really

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Speaker 3: bailed them out there. So I think those two were

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Speaker 3: the biggest ones. But I thought South Carolina was gonna

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Speaker 3: roll Missouri, and Missouri played well Clemson did not put

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Speaker 3: the beat down that I thought they were going to,

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Speaker 3: and they probably really shouldn't have won that game just

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Speaker 3: they they got Kenny picketted against Klubnik with that fifty

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Speaker 3: yard touchdown run. They had like forty yards rushing up

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Speaker 3: to that point too. Pitt had done a great job

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Speaker 3: on defense. He just gassed out at the end. So

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Speaker 3: Longhorn's lackluster performance against Arkansas not a very good one,

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Speaker 3: didn't cover the spread. So yeah, week week twelve was

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Speaker 3: I cannot believe we're already talking in week thirteen, but yeah,

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Speaker 3: Week twelve was a wild one, like a lot of

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Speaker 3: Florida putting the boots to LSU like there was and

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Speaker 3: Lagway didn't run. Like if you had told me that

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Speaker 3: Lagway is playing and they're not going to run him

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Speaker 3: at all, I would have said LSU by one thousand,

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Speaker 3: I don't know, like, and then they ended up winning

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Speaker 3: that game. So yeah, Brian Kelly is officially on the

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Speaker 3: hot seat now too. So yeah, just a lot going on,

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Speaker 3: a lot of moving and shaking in the next two

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Speaker 3: to three weeks here, really going to throw a wrench

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Speaker 3: into everyone's playoff plans.

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Speaker 1: I'm feeling pretty good about that sixty five to one

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Speaker 1: Travis Hunter Heisman ticket right about now good? He's minus funny.

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Speaker 1: They're offering me a lot of units to cash it out.

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Speaker 1: I'm just holding it because it looks like we were

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Speaker 1: coming down the stretch here and he might win that trophy.

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Speaker 1: So I'm excited about that update AP rankings for everyone.

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Speaker 1: It feels like a really tough shob for both the

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Speaker 1: AP and the committee moving forward, especially with these SEC

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Speaker 1: teams that have all kind of beat up on each other.

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Speaker 1: The top Bama now at number seven in the AP,

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Speaker 1: Georgia at Ada, Ole Miss at nine, Tennessee at ten.

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Speaker 1: BYU they have fallen to fourteen, and don't look now,

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Speaker 1: but coach Prime's buffs are nipping at their heels at sixteen,

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Speaker 1: which I think they should even maybe be a little

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Speaker 1: bit higher than sixteen in my opinion. Tulane they're up

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Speaker 1: at two now, Arizona State ranked as well as Illinois,

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Speaker 1: who's back in the top twenty five bogs. I know

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Speaker 1: the college football playoff rankings are really what matter here

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Speaker 1: on out, but does the AP give you any indication

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Speaker 1: or inkling on how the committee might be thinking right now?

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Speaker 3: Not really they've been fairly similar this season, so I

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Speaker 3: expected to be pretty close to that. Maybe, like you said,

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Speaker 3: we'll see a bump for Colorado, maybe BYU will dip

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Speaker 3: down a little bit, so you know, we'll see. But

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Speaker 3: the Big Twelve, I think what we know is the

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Speaker 3: Big Twelve champion is the only Big Twelve team going

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Speaker 3: up to the Attorney because the rest of that conference

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Speaker 3: is beat up on each other. So yeah, I think

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Speaker 3: it'll be but you know, it also gives us something

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Speaker 3: to talk about the next couple of days, So it's

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Speaker 3: gonna be a weird one. I feel like, you know why,

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Speaker 3: Herbstreet was like, yeah, I retired from that show, and

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Speaker 3: then the valor was like is that good or bad?

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Speaker 3: And they both started chuckling. It's like nobody wants to

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Speaker 3: do that show. All those guys do, as he yelled

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Speaker 3: at So yeah, but yeah, none of the rankings matter

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Speaker 3: until the last week, and we still have a lot

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Speaker 3: to suss out.

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Speaker 1: I think the ACC probably only getting one in as

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Speaker 1: well at this point now that they've i don't know,

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Speaker 1: like the strength of schedules don't look great and shout

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Speaker 1: out to uh, shout to Boise as well. They kind

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Speaker 1: of held on there at the end of that one,

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Speaker 1: and San Jose was putting them to him for a

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Speaker 1: little bit. They had to come back from behind, and

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Speaker 1: it looks like it's really going to be them or

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Speaker 1: Army who could potentially sneak in here. Armies got a

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Speaker 1: big one this weekend as well. I'm sure sure we

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Speaker 1: got a lot to talk about in that game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that is going to be an interesting game, and

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Speaker 3: I'm not gonna be on the other side, I can

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Speaker 3: tell you that right now.

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Speaker 1: All right, well, let's go ahead, let's jump right into

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Speaker 1: the picks and early line movement predictions. And it's officially

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Speaker 1: November weather out here in Pennsylvania, So I'm gonna put

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Speaker 1: some soup on the crock pot for me a cup

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Speaker 1: of Joe, because we got a banger of a noonslate

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Speaker 1: on Saturday starting in Columbus, where the second ranked Ohio

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Speaker 1: State Buckeyes host the fifth ranked and undefeated Indiana Hoosiers.

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Speaker 1: College Game Day will be present, as will big noon kickoff.

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Speaker 1: Everyone and their mother will be at this game, i imagine,

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Speaker 1: in the great state of Ohio, and we have quite

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Speaker 1: an interesting spread for this game as well. At ESPN Bet,

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Speaker 1: you can get Indiana as a twelve and a half

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Speaker 1: point dog currently, but the Sugar House books they have

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Speaker 1: the line set at ten and a half IU. They

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Speaker 1: come in off the buy and their nine to one

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Speaker 1: ats that. Their only loss against the spread was their

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Speaker 1: last game to Michigan seven and.

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Speaker 2: Three to the over. As well.

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Speaker 1: They possess the fifteenth ranked total offense and the third

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Speaker 1: ranked total defense Ohio State. They're coming off a game

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Speaker 1: against Northwestern where a bit sluggish to start out there,

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Speaker 1: but they did end up getting it together, still failed

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Speaker 1: to cover though that thirty one and a half point line.

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Speaker 1: They are now five and five ats four and six

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Speaker 1: to the over. They do, however, have the seventeenth ranked

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Speaker 1: total offense and the second ranked total defense.

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Speaker 2: Bogs.

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Speaker 1: Where do you see this line moving? And is there

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Speaker 1: any value currently on the board for this big ten class?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? So the biggest question to me in this game

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Speaker 3: is can Indiana handle the pass rush of Ohio State

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Speaker 3: and put up points with them? Yeah? Right, with Michigan

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Speaker 3: looking so bad that it's this isn't really the look

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Speaker 3: ahead spot that we think for Ohio State. So both

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Speaker 3: teams are coming off bye weeks two. I think I'm

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Speaker 3: still going to be Indiana to the wheels fall off.

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Speaker 3: And that's because I think this line is going to

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Speaker 3: open up, because yesterday it was eleven and now it's twelve.

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Speaker 3: I'm seeing I saw you said you could still get

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Speaker 3: ten and a half at some books, but I'm.

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Speaker 1: Seeing twelve and a half ESPN Bett and then the

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Speaker 1: Sugar House is ten and a half, So yeah, getting

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Speaker 1: some good vines.

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Speaker 3: I see ESPN Bettez at thirteen.

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Speaker 1: Oh, so it seemed.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it seems like I think this is going to

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Speaker 3: expand for Ohio State, which is kind of It's kind

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Speaker 3: of interesting here because a lot of the money in

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Speaker 3: cash is on Indiana. So I just this is the

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Speaker 3: hardest game of the w I feel like to pick

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Speaker 3: because Indiana's looks so good. Yeah, Ohio State played down

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Speaker 3: to Nebraska. You know, we've seen them. Obviously, they lost

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Speaker 3: on the road to Oregon, so they're not impervious here.

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Speaker 3: I think I'm just going to stick right now with

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Speaker 3: my Indiana til the wheels fall off. But let's wait

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Speaker 3: till later in the week and see which way this

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Speaker 3: line moves, because this is if it does open up

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Speaker 3: towards Ohio State, I want the better number. But if

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Speaker 3: it shrinks, maybe then I just don't play it. So

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Speaker 3: that's kind of how I feel. So let's let it

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Speaker 3: open up a couple days and see which way this

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Speaker 3: line bumps. I'm assuming it's going to move towards Ohio

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Speaker 3: State and not towards Indiana. And if that's the case,

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Speaker 3: that's good if you want to take Indiana, So I'll

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Speaker 3: just wait.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm kind of with you on Indiana, and I

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Speaker 1: think how I'll play this one. I guarantee Fandle by

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Speaker 1: Thursday they'll have that fifty percent boost out for this

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Speaker 1: big match on campus, and then you could probably play

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Speaker 1: Indiana maybe like plus plus fifteen, you could.

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Speaker 2: Probably get him.

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Speaker 1: I tried to do that last week with Tennessee. I

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Speaker 1: had them plus thirteen and a half and I got

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Speaker 1: back to our cove there from Georgia. But my thing

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Speaker 1: with this game box is like, has Ohio State played

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Speaker 1: a better quarterback than Curtis for work? Obviously, they've played

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Speaker 1: Alor that game was closed. They played Dylan Gabriel and

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Speaker 1: that game was closed. I feel like all the games

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Speaker 1: against good established quarterbacks have been closed. So I feel

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Speaker 1: like this is just too big of a line and

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Speaker 1: you might be able to get it even larger later

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Speaker 1: in the in the week as well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so my thing is, yes, I think you're probably right.

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Speaker 3: Work has been outstanding this season. But if they can't

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Speaker 3: hold up against that Ohio State D line, like if

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Speaker 3: ost Ohio States D line plays at their peak, I

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Speaker 3: don't think this is a pretty game for Indiana. I'm

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Speaker 3: still Indiana to the wheels fall. They've been so efficient,

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Speaker 3: right like I And the defense has been great as well,

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Speaker 3: and I think that is really kind of fairly matched

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Speaker 3: between Indiana's defense and Ohio State's offense. You know, you

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Speaker 3: got to stick with those huge playmakers, but they've done that. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: this year in Indiana has so but they haven't seen

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Speaker 3: the level of talent that Ohio State is yet. So

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Speaker 3: this is a true test for Indiana. It's weird that

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Speaker 3: it's week thirteen. We're still gonna be learning things, Yeah,

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Speaker 3: but we still are going to be learning things here

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Speaker 3: in week thirteen.

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Speaker 1: I would probably like them a little bit more and

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Speaker 1: maybe would even sprinkle on the money line if this

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Speaker 1: game was not in Columbus and in Bloomington. But that's

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Speaker 1: a real home field advantage out there. I know the

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Speaker 1: Columbus fans. They're not happy about the noon kickoffs they've

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Speaker 1: been getting either, so they'll be up. They'll be ready

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Speaker 1: for this one. Let's move to South Beach, where the

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Speaker 1: eleventh ranked Hurricanes are laying twenty three and a half

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Speaker 1: points on the week Forest Demon Deakins. We last saw

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Speaker 1: Miami in Week eleven. They suffered their first loss of

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Speaker 1: the season to Georgia Tech. They got ran all over

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Speaker 1: Still cam Ward in This top ranked offense has led

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Speaker 1: Miami to a seven to three ATS record and seven

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Speaker 1: to two to one record to the over. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if we've talked about Wake in any sort of

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Speaker 1: fashion all season, Bogs, and for good reason. Yeah, the

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Speaker 1: four and five straight up, four and six ATS. Their

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Speaker 1: best wins have come at Stanford and NC State. Hey,

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Speaker 1: Stanford look a little frisky lately. With that being said, though, Bogman,

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Speaker 1: are you getting back in bed with Mario Christobal and company?

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Speaker 3: Here? Hell no, no, I am done betting on Miami

278
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Speaker 3: to cover these giant spreads. I'll tell you what I

279
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Speaker 3: will do. I'll take the over in this one. I

280
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Speaker 3: think Miami needs to look impressive put up points here.

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Speaker 3: I think it's dealer's choice for how you can beat Wake.

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Speaker 3: They gave up three hundred and eighty five passing yards

283
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Speaker 3: of five hundred total to Cal a couple of games ago.

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Speaker 3: Amario and Hampton ran for thirty five times two hundred

285
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Speaker 3: and forty four against them last week. These last two

286
00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:43,480
Speaker 3: games should be used by Miami to get their confidence back.

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Speaker 3: I feel like so Bachbyer might be hurt too. Michael

288
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Speaker 3: Kern might have to go for Wake Forest, and he

289
00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:52,840
Speaker 3: led them on a couple touchdown drives. He also threw

290
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Speaker 3: pick six, so I kind of think that's good for

291
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Speaker 3: points here. So I'll go with the over and just

292
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Speaker 3: wait with the early money coming in on the under,

293
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Speaker 3: because this is already from Friday night when I checked,

294
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Speaker 3: the line has already dropped a point, okay, down to

295
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Speaker 3: sixty four and a half the total here, and betting

296
00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:14,440
Speaker 3: is kind of both ways, tickets on the over, cash

297
00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:16,840
Speaker 3: on the unders. So we'll see if this one kind

298
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Speaker 3: of starts to drop a little bit as well because

299
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Speaker 3: of that entry to the Wake fores QB. So if

300
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Speaker 3: that's the case, I'm just gonna sit and wait. But

301
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Speaker 3: I don't think it's gonna move up. I think it

302
00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:29,880
Speaker 3: only moves down, So I'll just wait and see if

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Speaker 3: it dips a little bit before I take it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you there, Like you just can't

305
00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:37,720
Speaker 1: lay over three touchdowns in Miami now.

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Speaker 3: The defense just has been playing so bad, right and

307
00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:44,280
Speaker 3: wake Forest has learned to pass by necessity. Now if

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Speaker 3: they need to go to a backup QB, we'll see

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Speaker 3: how that works out. But I like points, That's what

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Speaker 3: I like in this game.

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Speaker 2: Agreed with you there.

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Speaker 1: Let's stay in the noon slate, but return to the

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Speaker 1: swamp where ninth ranked Ole Miss Rebels are at nine

314
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Speaker 1: and a half points against the Gators their favor there

315
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Speaker 1: Florida coming off a huge twenty seven to sixteen win

316
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Speaker 1: over LSU with DJ lagway back at the helm. As

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Speaker 1: we allude to earlier, they've now covered in six of

318
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Speaker 1: their last seven to get to seven and three ats.

319
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Speaker 1: Ole Miss is off the buy, and their last three

320
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Speaker 1: games included wins over Georgia, Arcie and Oklahoma. This second

321
00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:26,960
Speaker 1: ranked total offense in sixteenth ranked total defense have been buzzing,

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Speaker 1: getting them to eight and two ats Bogs. We have

323
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Speaker 1: Billy Napier who is safe after a slow start. Can

324
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Speaker 1: his boys get ready and riled up for this one?

325
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Speaker 1: This weekend, and how are we approaching this game?

326
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Speaker 3: Man? You'd like to think so, right, because this is

327
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Speaker 3: in the swamp this they need one more win to

328
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Speaker 3: go to a bowl. Florida does, but you know you

329
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Speaker 3: mentioned it too, Seth. Florida has been disrespected recently with

330
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Speaker 3: some of these lions. They're only against the spread loss

331
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Speaker 3: since the third game was that loss to Texas. Right right, man,

332
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Speaker 3: I feel like, what did we say the line is at?

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Speaker 2: Right now, we're at nine and a half. There is

334
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Speaker 2: a ten out there as well if you do want Florida.

335
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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that this line is not very disrespectful.

336
00:16:09,800 --> 00:16:11,680
Speaker 3: I think this is an appropriate line for the way

337
00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:13,800
Speaker 3: that Florida has been playing, in the way that Ole

338
00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:16,360
Speaker 3: Miss has been playing their powerhouse on offense. They put

339
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Speaker 3: up twenty eight on Georgia, which is I think the

340
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Speaker 3: second most that george has given up sixty three on

341
00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:26,840
Speaker 3: Arkansas that're coming off of bye. Florida is playing their

342
00:16:26,840 --> 00:16:30,400
Speaker 3: best football, but still have had up and down performances,

343
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Speaker 3: right like that game against Texas where Texas came out

344
00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:36,120
Speaker 3: and put some points up and Florida just lost all

345
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Speaker 3: their composure. So I think we've seen the revs do

346
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Speaker 3: this snowball effect to some good teams this year, like

347
00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:46,360
Speaker 3: Arkansas as well on the road in that game too.

348
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Speaker 3: So I just don't have a lot of hope for

349
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Speaker 3: Florida in this game. I'm going to take the ReBs

350
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Speaker 3: and lay the points.

351
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Speaker 1: I don't blame you. I'm definitely leaning that way. I

352
00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:58,080
Speaker 1: don't know if I'll bet it myself. I just think here, like,

353
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Speaker 1: give Ole miss a week to prepare for this game. Also,

354
00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:04,959
Speaker 1: Trey Harris potentially back healthy. They're all Star wide receiver.

355
00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:06,119
Speaker 1: Maybe that helps.

356
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Speaker 2: And I don't know when Florida's.

357
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Speaker 1: Last buye was, but I feel like they've played a

358
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Speaker 1: lot of tough SEC opponents lately, and I just think

359
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Speaker 1: the you know, you continue to play conference games that

360
00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:19,119
Speaker 1: you get injury stacked up and I don't know, you

361
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:20,520
Speaker 1: know what I mean. Now you're going up against the

362
00:17:20,560 --> 00:17:23,040
Speaker 1: top ten team in the country, so totally understand that

363
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Speaker 1: the analysis there.

364
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Speaker 2: Bogman.

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Speaker 1: Before we continue, I did want to remind everyone to

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Speaker 1: join our college football podcast group. You can sink your

367
00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:32,720
Speaker 1: picks or use the quick pick feature on the Betting

368
00:17:32,720 --> 00:17:34,720
Speaker 1: Pro Sports betting app to get a chance to win

369
00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:38,000
Speaker 1: some free prizes. Elevate your betting strategy and join the

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Speaker 1: conversation today at bettingpros dot com slash college. Let's open

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Speaker 1: up the three thirty slate in your favorite place, Austin, Texas,

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Speaker 1: where the third ranked Texas Longhorns are twenty and a

373
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Speaker 1: half point home favorites over Kentucky.

374
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Speaker 2: Texas.

375
00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:56,760
Speaker 1: They did fail to cover against Archie, and they've now

376
00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:59,439
Speaker 1: failed to cover in three of their last four games.

377
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Speaker 1: The only game they did cover and that span was

378
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Speaker 1: against Florida, who was without the services of Lagway.

379
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:06,679
Speaker 2: Still the long Horns.

380
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:08,960
Speaker 1: They have the eighteenth ranked total offense the top ranked

381
00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:11,280
Speaker 1: total defense. They're nine to one straight up, five to

382
00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:14,880
Speaker 1: four and one ats Kentucky. They have covered in two

383
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:18,359
Speaker 1: straight games, including a ten point loss to Tennessee earlier

384
00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,000
Speaker 1: this month. They're six and four ATS and they have

385
00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:24,280
Speaker 1: the twenty ninth ranked total defense to show. But the offense,

386
00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:26,560
Speaker 1: it's terrible. It's outside the top one hundred ranks.

387
00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:27,200
Speaker 2: Bugs.

388
00:18:27,359 --> 00:18:29,360
Speaker 1: Twenty and a half seems like a lot of points

389
00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:32,760
Speaker 1: for a game against Mark stoops men who typically get

390
00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 1: up in this situation. What number would you have to

391
00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:37,479
Speaker 1: see to take Texas? And do you think we'll see that?

392
00:18:38,000 --> 00:18:40,399
Speaker 3: Yeah, we're not gonna see it. I can tell you

393
00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:42,200
Speaker 3: that much. It's not going to dip low enough for

394
00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:45,879
Speaker 3: me to take the long horns here. If it started

395
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,240
Speaker 3: out at twenty one and a half, we said it's

396
00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,040
Speaker 3: where now I'm sorry, twenty and a half? Yeah, twenty

397
00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:52,880
Speaker 3: and a half. So it's already dipped a point, which

398
00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:56,159
Speaker 3: is great. But and look, this is just not a

399
00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,720
Speaker 3: good game. I feel like to bet the spread right

400
00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:02,600
Speaker 3: because can Texas beat Kentucky by this much? Yeah? They can?

401
00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:06,400
Speaker 3: Will they They haven't been doing that except for Florida.

402
00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:09,080
Speaker 3: And like you just mentioned, a lot of people depend

403
00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:11,400
Speaker 3: on year to year trends for a lot of these things.

404
00:19:11,520 --> 00:19:13,800
Speaker 3: Let's just talk about the trends that have happened this year, right,

405
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:16,920
Speaker 3: And Kentucky gets up to play top five teams, they

406
00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:20,080
Speaker 3: just do right, that has been their trend here. So

407
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:24,119
Speaker 3: you know, they beat Ugga against the spread Tennessee, they

408
00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 3: beat Ole Miss straight up. Texas not played well on

409
00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:29,640
Speaker 3: offense in my opinion, and even in that Florida game,

410
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:32,119
Speaker 3: I think that was more about Florida making mistakes. So

411
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:35,800
Speaker 3: this is just simply too many points. But Texas defense

412
00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:37,920
Speaker 3: has showed up in every game to play in these

413
00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 3: games Kentucky has had to drag you down into the mud.

414
00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:46,440
Speaker 3: Texas loves to play there with the defense, so I

415
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:49,359
Speaker 3: think the under is the best play in this game,

416
00:19:49,440 --> 00:19:52,480
Speaker 3: so I'll probably stick with that. And that's even a

417
00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:55,160
Speaker 3: question to me because of the fact that Texas could

418
00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:58,040
Speaker 3: get rolling. So not my favorite game to pick here,

419
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:00,520
Speaker 3: but with the way Kentucky's been playing, it's way more

420
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,920
Speaker 3: interesting and I would not take I would not lay

421
00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:07,720
Speaker 3: twenty and a half or probably anything up to seventeen.

422
00:20:07,760 --> 00:20:09,840
Speaker 3: I wouldn't lay here in this game with the way

423
00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:12,240
Speaker 3: Texas offense has been playing, So I think the under

424
00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:13,000
Speaker 3: is my favorite play.

425
00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:16,879
Speaker 1: We've also got a big ten clash in Minneapolis, where

426
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,439
Speaker 1: the fourth ranked Penn State ininee Lions are laying eleven

427
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:22,920
Speaker 1: and a half points on the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Penn

428
00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:26,160
Speaker 1: State has picked itself up after losing to Ohio State

429
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,320
Speaker 1: in heartbreak fashion with two straight blowout wins over the

430
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 1: likes of Purdue and Washington PSU. They are just five

431
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:36,600
Speaker 1: and five ats, but I mean tight end Tyler Warren.

432
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:38,480
Speaker 1: He has made his claim as one of the best

433
00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:41,560
Speaker 1: players in the country, leading Penn State to the fourteenth

434
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,080
Speaker 1: ranked total offense to go along with their fourth ranked

435
00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:48,520
Speaker 1: total defense. Minnesota, they have wins over Illinois and USC,

436
00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:52,160
Speaker 1: but they did lose to Rutgers when we last saw them. However,

437
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 1: this Gopher team is pretty frisky ATS six and four

438
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:59,760
Speaker 1: overall and also eleventh ranked in the total defense. Bogs

439
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:02,080
Speaker 1: will happy enough to slow down Drew Aller and the

440
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:03,480
Speaker 1: big Zamboni's offense.

441
00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:07,240
Speaker 3: I don't know, but what I do know is that

442
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 3: both these teams play strong defense. Right. Weird bumping the

443
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:16,399
Speaker 3: road for Minnesota against Rutgers. I thought that one was weird.

444
00:21:17,000 --> 00:21:19,399
Speaker 3: Minnesota's been strong against the spread this season. This is

445
00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,199
Speaker 3: a lot of points, so I don't really like the

446
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:24,960
Speaker 3: play of the side here. Penn State. Yeah, Penn State

447
00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:27,520
Speaker 3: wins with solid defense, and the offense has been finding

448
00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:30,359
Speaker 3: their stride here. Right, But that was against Washington. That

449
00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 3: was against Perdue. Minnesota brings a legit top twenty defense

450
00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 3: to the table in this game. I think the spread

451
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 3: feels a little bit wonky here to me, So I

452
00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:42,399
Speaker 3: like the under in this game again, another under. You know,

453
00:21:42,520 --> 00:21:45,720
Speaker 3: I just see some of these teams winning with defense. Now, look,

454
00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:47,960
Speaker 3: I took some unders this week and it didn't work out.

455
00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:50,240
Speaker 3: For me, and I typically don't like unders. I like

456
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,800
Speaker 3: playing two overs, but I just think Drew Aller is

457
00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:55,520
Speaker 3: the kind of guy that can get slowed down by

458
00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 3: a good defense. We saw Illinois do it earlier this year.

459
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 3: We saw Wisconsin do it in that first half as well,

460
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:03,879
Speaker 3: and I think that's what Minnesota brings to the table.

461
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 3: So for me, I like the under in this one.

462
00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:10,679
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm leaning Penn State early this week. I just

463
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,320
Speaker 1: think they've kind of started to unlock this offense. It's

464
00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:15,159
Speaker 1: still a little gimmicky at times, still a little too

465
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,960
Speaker 1: much motion still, you know, taking Drew.

466
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 2: Alerlah out, bringing Bou Pribula in.

467
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 1: For a lot of plays, which I do like at times.

468
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 1: But at the same time, I feel like they have

469
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:26,920
Speaker 1: their playmakers. They know, hey, Tyler Warren needs to touch

470
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,280
Speaker 1: the ball fifteen times a game, and they're starting to

471
00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:32,600
Speaker 1: get him involved. But I mean this was at last

472
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,720
Speaker 1: time that these two teams played, back in twenty twenty two.

473
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,119
Speaker 1: So I like Penn State. Do you think if I

474
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 1: like Penn State, I should be waiting on this spread?

475
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:42,760
Speaker 1: Do you think it can maybe shrink up a little

476
00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:44,440
Speaker 1: bit or do you think it only expands from here?

477
00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:47,280
Speaker 3: I don't know how much this one moves because I

478
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:48,960
Speaker 3: feel like, you know, the Big Ten, you have a

479
00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:52,240
Speaker 3: lot of better is for both schools. Penn State's better,

480
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,040
Speaker 3: so I think maybe more tickets, so maybe it'll maybe

481
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:59,119
Speaker 3: you should take it early, Okay, but I don't expect

482
00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:01,760
Speaker 3: this line to move ton unless we get some injury

483
00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:02,520
Speaker 3: news or something.

484
00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 1: So also, who is the better defense? Do you think

485
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:07,560
Speaker 1: Washington or Minnesota?

486
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:11,160
Speaker 3: I definitely think Minnesota is way better Washington. Just kind

487
00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:12,240
Speaker 3: of across the board.

488
00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 1: We've gone all ranked affair in Tempe, Arizona, where the

489
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,240
Speaker 1: twenty first ranked Sun Devils are three and a half

490
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:22,359
Speaker 1: point favorites against the fourteenth ranked BYU Cougars. A trip

491
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 1: to the Big Twelve Championship is on the line in

492
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:28,639
Speaker 1: this game. BYU picked up its first loss outright in

493
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 1: second ats last week against Kansas. The Cougars did out

494
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:35,000
Speaker 1: gain the Jayhawks by one hundred and twelve yards, but

495
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 1: they struggled to find pay dirt, had two turnovers to

496
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:42,280
Speaker 1: Kansas's one. Arizona State Meanwhile, they just ended Kansas State's

497
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:45,400
Speaker 1: run twenty four to fourteen last week on the road.

498
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 1: Sam Levitt, he looked great. He tossed three scores. Camp

499
00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:51,639
Speaker 1: Scapito wasn't I don't think one hundred percent healthy. He

500
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:53,640
Speaker 1: did have twenty five carries, though, so I think he's

501
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 1: getting back on the right track. Bogman, how do you

502
00:23:56,400 --> 00:24:00,320
Speaker 1: handicap this game? BYU has the twentieth ranked total defense,

503
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 1: which is probably, in my opinion, the best unit on

504
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,960
Speaker 1: the field. However, ASU has a great rushing offense thirty

505
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 1: first ranked rushing offense, averaging one hundred and ninety one

506
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:12,399
Speaker 1: rushing yards per game. Are they gonna be able to

507
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:14,640
Speaker 1: outrun BYU and Fine Pey Dirt more?

508
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:18,400
Speaker 3: I mean, these teams are going in opposite directions right now,

509
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,000
Speaker 3: aren't they. I think that's kind of just how I

510
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,639
Speaker 3: feel in this game, is that one of these teams

511
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 3: is on a downward trend and one of them is

512
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:29,720
Speaker 3: on an upward trend. And that's kind of just I

513
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 3: think this is the ultimate letdown spot for Arizona State,

514
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,200
Speaker 3: right Like, you go on the road, you beat k State,

515
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:37,920
Speaker 3: who has been great at home, and then you come

516
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:41,080
Speaker 3: back and you drop this game to BYU. Wouldn't be

517
00:24:41,119 --> 00:24:44,439
Speaker 3: the most shocking thing ever. BYU has played great this season,

518
00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:48,520
Speaker 3: but the real issue in this game to me is

519
00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,080
Speaker 3: how is BYU scoring? Because I'm not going to sit

520
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 3: here and tell you the ASU's defense is good. They're okay.

521
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 3: They only gave up fourteen to k State. They did

522
00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:01,359
Speaker 3: give up four hundred and twelve yards. BYU held Kansas

523
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 3: to only two hundred and forty two yards, but they

524
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:06,560
Speaker 3: could only come away with thirteen points in that game.

525
00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:09,720
Speaker 3: BYU is starting to feel like the team that we

526
00:25:09,840 --> 00:25:12,320
Speaker 3: thought they were coming into the season. We see this

527
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,760
Speaker 3: a lot in the Big twelve. Right. Kansas is heading

528
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 3: in the opposite direction. Arizona State has been good for

529
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 3: most of the year and they're starting to seem to peak.

530
00:25:21,119 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 3: And for me, Arizona State's at home. They're starting to

531
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 3: play their best football. They're winning the right moments, which

532
00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:31,600
Speaker 3: is really what Dillingham has been focusing on. And this

533
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:33,879
Speaker 3: game is probably going to be a coin flip. But

534
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 3: everything being equal, ASU is at home and playing better.

535
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 3: I'll take the Devils, but probably get it pretty quickly

536
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:45,239
Speaker 3: because what I saw was, actually, you know what, this

537
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:51,760
Speaker 3: has completely flipped the cash. Yesterday all on Arizona State, today,

538
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 3: all on BYU. I guess maybe the community went to

539
00:25:57,280 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 3: bed early and woke up early started putting some money

540
00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:04,359
Speaker 3: on BYU here, So I don't know, but so I guess,

541
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,840
Speaker 3: maybe waite see what this spread does. Maybe it's gonna

542
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 3: climb back towards BYU now that the cash is flowing

543
00:26:12,920 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 3: on Monday morning, towards the Cougars. So I like ASU

544
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:17,120
Speaker 3: in this game.

545
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:20,080
Speaker 1: I feel like myself is an early season better. This

546
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:21,960
Speaker 1: would be a spot where I would try to back

547
00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 1: b YU because you know, they've played so good all season.

548
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:27,960
Speaker 1: They're plus three and a half. But I've learned over time,

549
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 1: like usually when a surprising team is a little bit

550
00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:33,880
Speaker 1: of a favorite, the books usually know what they're doing,

551
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 1: so I usually don't want to get invested in the dog.

552
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:39,159
Speaker 1: I do have to say, though, shout out to Kenny

553
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 1: Dillingham for what he's done with this program. They had

554
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:44,440
Speaker 1: sanctions coming into the season, they've been dealing with kind

555
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:46,840
Speaker 1: of just a mess that got left there from the

556
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:47,679
Speaker 1: previous regime.

557
00:26:47,720 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 2: He's really cleaned it up.

558
00:26:49,000 --> 00:26:51,359
Speaker 1: I mean, what was their win I don't know what

559
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,160
Speaker 1: their win total was, but it had to be extremely low.

560
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:56,680
Speaker 1: I know they were projected to be like yeah, yeah,

561
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,879
Speaker 1: and they were projected to be what like the worst,

562
00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:00,760
Speaker 1: second worst team, I think they had it.

563
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:02,600
Speaker 3: Was BYU and Arizona State were supposed to be the

564
00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 3: two worst teams in the Big Twelve, and here they

565
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:06,720
Speaker 3: are playing for maybe a chance to go to the

566
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:07,720
Speaker 3: Big twelve title game.

567
00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,680
Speaker 1: So Big twelve is always crazy.

568
00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:11,560
Speaker 3: Man and uh parody?

569
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 1: Yes, and staying right in the Big twelve. Let's round

570
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:19,280
Speaker 1: out this three point thirty slate with the Giant Killer Jayhawks,

571
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 1: who are two and a half point dogs against the

572
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:27,200
Speaker 1: sixteenth ranked Colorado Buffaloes in Arrowhead Stadium. Lance Lypold is

573
00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 1: proving wise he's still also one of the best coaches

574
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:33,480
Speaker 1: in this conference, knocking off two undefeated teams in back

575
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:37,760
Speaker 1: to back weeks BYU and Iowa State. Even without Andy

576
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 1: Cotalniki calling the shots for the offense, they're still pretty

577
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:44,080
Speaker 1: good fifty first ranked in total offense and third in

578
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 1: the country in rushing, led by standout senior Devin Neil.

579
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:49,880
Speaker 1: They've now covered in four straight games to get back

580
00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 1: to five and five ats against spread. Will that be

581
00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:56,720
Speaker 1: a nut against coach Primes Buffs, I'm not sure. They

582
00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:59,720
Speaker 1: just beat Utah forty nine to twenty four last week.

583
00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:03,120
Speaker 1: They've now covered in eight straight shardor Sanders, Travis Hunter.

584
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:05,840
Speaker 1: They've been electric, and I feel like this is one

585
00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:08,800
Speaker 1: of the best passing offenses in the nation. They're seventh

586
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:11,120
Speaker 1: in passing yards per game three hundred and twenty two,

587
00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 1: Kansas eighty ninth in passing defense. So I think that

588
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:17,119
Speaker 1: spells trouble for Kansas. Here at Boggs, How do you

589
00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 1: feel about it?

590
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, look, I'm really been enjoying this Kansas

591
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 3: slasher tour, this takedown tour that they're having. Oh, iow State,

592
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 3: you're leading the big twelve b YU, you're leading, you know,

593
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:35,840
Speaker 3: just cutting them up here. But I was so confident

594
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 3: Utah was gonna drag Colorado down into the mud, and

595
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:43,480
Speaker 3: Colorado just rolled them. And Colorado has won every game

596
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 3: since that case. State lost kind of going away, Kansas

597
00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:49,000
Speaker 3: has been playing their best ball. So maybe this one

598
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 3: isn't the stomping that you know, we would have thought

599
00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:54,880
Speaker 3: a couple weeks ago. But I don't think this two

600
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 3: and a half three point spread is very respectful to Colorado.

601
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:04,560
Speaker 3: They might be able to score Kansas, but they don't

602
00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:09,040
Speaker 3: play defense. They give up a lot of points and secondary,

603
00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,960
Speaker 3: especially the secondary, and when you give up a lot

604
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 3: of points, I mean reds left was bad against them,

605
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 3: but back through for three hundred and eighty three and

606
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 3: three touchdowns. Levitt threw for only one hundred and fifty

607
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 3: seven yards but four scores. Hoover was three fifty six

608
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:26,720
Speaker 3: and three against them. Wow, What is Shader Sanders going

609
00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 3: to do to this secondary? Especially they don't run the

610
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:32,560
Speaker 3: ball because they won't have to in this game. They

611
00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:36,880
Speaker 3: are going to pick that secondary apart. And I like Kansas.

612
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,080
Speaker 3: This is a great story that they've had, but when

613
00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 3: you go toe to toe with a puncher, you're not

614
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:45,320
Speaker 3: gonna win that game if you're Kansas in my opinion.

615
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,560
Speaker 3: So I think Colorado kind of wins this one going away.

616
00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 1: I imagine two and a half is the best number

617
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:51,920
Speaker 1: we're gonna see. We should probably be jumping on this early.

618
00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so.

619
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm just gonna tell you all right now, it's

620
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 1: probably my favorite game to bet. Honestly, I think this

621
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:02,720
Speaker 1: is a really good spot for Colorado. So let's go Buffs, baby,

622
00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 1: Let's go Buffs. And let's go ahead and open up

623
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:09,160
Speaker 1: the primetime slate in the Bronx where the eighteenth ranked

624
00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 1: Army Black Knights do battle against the sixth ranked Notre

625
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:13,880
Speaker 1: Dame fighting Irish.

626
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 3: Notre Dame.

627
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:17,880
Speaker 1: They are fifteen and a half point favorites here in

628
00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,600
Speaker 1: Yankee Stadium. But you can get Army as big of

629
00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 1: a sixteen and a half point dog at some shops.

630
00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:26,720
Speaker 1: There's a lot of points for Army, I feel like

631
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:29,280
Speaker 1: on the board here they're eight to one ATS. They

632
00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 1: have the nation's top rushing offense and the top scoring defense,

633
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:36,800
Speaker 1: allowing an average ten point three points per game. However,

634
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 1: just like Navy earlier this season, Army hasn't played the

635
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:43,080
Speaker 1: best competition. They are one hundred and twentieth in strength

636
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:46,560
Speaker 1: of schedule. Also, QB Bryson Daily threw the ball just

637
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:49,640
Speaker 1: four times last week against North Texas. The Irish have

638
00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:53,240
Speaker 1: been whipping up on teams lately. They have covered convincingly

639
00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:55,440
Speaker 1: in five straight games to get to seven and three

640
00:30:55,520 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 1: ATS Bogs Notre Dame. They've been susceptible against the run

641
00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:03,200
Speaker 1: forty third in rushing defense compared to their second rank

642
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 1: passing defense. Can Army at least cover sixteen and a

643
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,120
Speaker 1: half here? Or could we see this line balloon up

644
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 1: even further later this week?

645
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 3: No, I mean you gotta take it now. It's gonna

646
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 3: get it's gonna balloon, I think. And this is because

647
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 3: of what we saw against Navy. Right, we saw Navy

648
00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:23,360
Speaker 3: come in strong, But I was right about that game too.

649
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,280
Speaker 3: I picked that one and I picked Notre Dame in

650
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 3: that one because of the strength of schedule. You just

651
00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:30,960
Speaker 3: mentioned it seth one hundred and twentieth where you saw

652
00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 3: I see one hundred and twenty third for strength of

653
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 3: schedule for Army, it's bad, right, Like they've been beating

654
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:39,800
Speaker 3: up on inferior competition the whole year and now they

655
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 3: have to go play a top ten team here. So

656
00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 3: I just think Notre Dame is going to smash them.

657
00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 3: We just saw Army a couple weeks ago play North Texas.

658
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 3: They held the ball for forty one minutes and forty

659
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 3: five seconds in that game, and they came away with

660
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 3: two scores. Right, So if you're not beating North Texas defense,

661
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 3: how are you going to beat Notre Dame's defense. I

662
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:03,840
Speaker 3: think this game is going to look very similar to

663
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:05,800
Speaker 3: what we saw with the Navy game. I will give

664
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,760
Speaker 3: Army more credit. I think they're a better overall team

665
00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:11,800
Speaker 3: than Navy. I think they'll make this competitive for maybe

666
00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:14,520
Speaker 3: a half or so that there could be some wind

667
00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 3: in this game in Yankee Stadium, which has been known

668
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:20,560
Speaker 3: to be win deep, right, So we'll see what's happening there.

669
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 3: But I'm gonna take the Irish. I'm gonna lay the points,

670
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 3: and I'm gonna do it early because I think this

671
00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:26,479
Speaker 3: line is going to open up a little bit. So

672
00:32:26,880 --> 00:32:28,800
Speaker 3: I think we see Army get smashed here and we

673
00:32:28,840 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 3: can kind of put that discussion to bed.

674
00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna wait this one out, see if

675
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 1: I can get them closer to twenty point dogs, and

676
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 1: I might back the Army nights here. Man Like, Notre

677
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 1: Dame absolutely did take Navy's head off in that game,

678
00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:43,320
Speaker 1: but Navy also had some big plays, big plays on

679
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 1: that option, and I think maybe that could get the

680
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:46,440
Speaker 1: best of Notre Dame here.

681
00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 2: So I just think it's a lot of points.

682
00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:51,600
Speaker 1: But I totally understand, like it's almost like we've seen

683
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:54,440
Speaker 1: this play out once before, So I get your analysis there.

684
00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:57,120
Speaker 3: Notre Dame just seems like a team possessed since at

685
00:32:57,240 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 3: NIU loss, they seem possessed.

686
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:03,880
Speaker 1: So let's head down south to Auburn, where the four

687
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:06,160
Speaker 1: and six Tigers are short two and a half point

688
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 1: dogs against the Texas A and m Aggies.

689
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:10,120
Speaker 2: The Tigers, they just.

690
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 1: Whooped up on Louisiana Monroe forty eight to fourteen. As

691
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:17,120
Speaker 1: peyton thorn through five Tudies. They've now covered in for

692
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:19,840
Speaker 1: the last five to get to five and five ats

693
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 1: this season.

694
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:21,280
Speaker 2: A and M.

695
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 1: They're eight and two straight up, but just three and

696
00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:27,280
Speaker 1: seven against the spread. They've also lost their top rusher

697
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:29,640
Speaker 1: Levy and Moss for the season a few weeks ago,

698
00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 1: and they're now ninety six in passing offense.

699
00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:33,600
Speaker 2: Bogwin.

700
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 1: Will Auburn bow up in a night game at home

701
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 1: against Mike Elkos Aggies.

702
00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:41,640
Speaker 3: This is the weirdest like look ahead spot for both

703
00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:45,640
Speaker 3: of these teams. Yeah, Auburn has Bama next week. A

704
00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:50,360
Speaker 3: and M has the Longhorns, so rivalry week here for

705
00:33:50,480 --> 00:33:53,360
Speaker 3: sure coming up, so you could see both teams looking

706
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:57,560
Speaker 3: past each other. Both are coming off huge wins to

707
00:33:57,640 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 3: gain confidence coming into this game. They both played upcakes.

708
00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 3: The Aggies have been awful against the spread, but they've

709
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 3: been finding a way to win. They play up and down.

710
00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 3: Though the peak was beating. The beating they laid on

711
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:15,600
Speaker 3: Missouri and then they got worked over by South Carolina right.

712
00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 3: So we also seen Texas A and M. We've seen

713
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:23,279
Speaker 3: them dig out of some problems here, like that LSU game.

714
00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:26,520
Speaker 3: I think we've seen a little bit more from the Aggies.

715
00:34:26,560 --> 00:34:30,640
Speaker 3: Auburn is probably better than their record, but the offense

716
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:33,759
Speaker 3: has failed them only seven against Vandy at home, only

717
00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:36,040
Speaker 3: twenty four points, be four and ninety eight yards with

718
00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:39,560
Speaker 3: thirty five minutes and time of possession when Kentucky laid

719
00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 3: down against them. They only scored thirteen against AGGA, fourteen

720
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:47,279
Speaker 3: against Arkie, and had the pick six to lose to Oklahoma.

721
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,400
Speaker 3: I feel like every important spot we get to with Auburn,

722
00:34:50,480 --> 00:34:54,080
Speaker 3: their offense completely lays down. And that's what I expect

723
00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:55,680
Speaker 3: in this game. I think A and M wins this

724
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:59,399
Speaker 3: one with defense here. I expect this to be kind

725
00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:04,080
Speaker 3: of a little bit lower scoring as well. The totals

726
00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:06,920
Speaker 3: only forty six and a half. So but for me,

727
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:10,279
Speaker 3: I'm just gonna take the Aggies because I don't I

728
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:13,839
Speaker 3: don't trust anything that we've seen from Auburn's offense at all.

729
00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:15,160
Speaker 2: Two and a half.

730
00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:16,839
Speaker 1: I imagine it is probably the best we're gonna see.

731
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:18,919
Speaker 1: So if you want the Aggies get him now, yeah,

732
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:23,440
Speaker 1: I think so. Absolutely We'll round out the program in Norman, Oklahoma,

733
00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:26,000
Speaker 1: where the five and five Sooners are thirteen and a

734
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:30,040
Speaker 1: half point home favorites against the seventh ranked Alabama Crimson Tide.

735
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 1: Kaylin de Bor's team has gotten up in three straight games,

736
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:36,640
Speaker 1: beating Miszoo, LSU, and Mercer by a combined score of

737
00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,840
Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty eight to twenty, largely because Jalen

738
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 1: Milroe he's starting to find peyder, giving Bama the eighth

739
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 1: ranked scoring offense to go with their tenth ranked scoring defense.

740
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:50,399
Speaker 1: Oklahoma is also, I would say, look better as of late,

741
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:53,120
Speaker 1: but they've still dropped four of the last five likes

742
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 1: of Texas, South Carolina or miss Miszoo like no cupcakes

743
00:35:56,920 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 1: on that schedule, but their only winning that span was

744
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:02,719
Speaker 1: again and it's Umane and they're three and seven ats

745
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:05,800
Speaker 1: this season compared to Bama six and four Bogs. Is

746
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:08,440
Speaker 1: there any chance, any chance in the world that OU

747
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:10,799
Speaker 1: is in this game? They have the eleven one hundred

748
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 1: and eleventh ranked total offense and is thirteen and a

749
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:17,160
Speaker 1: half the best number you think we're gonna get on Bama?

750
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 3: I think it probably is, and I don't think I mean,

751
00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:24,239
Speaker 3: oh you they're out here existing just to try to

752
00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 3: ruin some one season at this point, right, Like that's

753
00:36:27,960 --> 00:36:30,879
Speaker 3: we do have Bama in a look ahead spot as

754
00:36:30,880 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 3: we just mentioned to Auburn and the Iron Bowl, Right,

755
00:36:34,560 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 3: But I'm still taking Bama. As you said, Seth, they

756
00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:41,520
Speaker 3: really opened up things with Jaln Milroe and the Sooners.

757
00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:43,920
Speaker 3: They played it. You know, they lost that game in

758
00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 3: a freak way to Missouri. They really should have beat Missouri, right,

759
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:49,840
Speaker 3: but in that game, they only had two hundred and

760
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:53,280
Speaker 3: fifty seven yards of offense. They were five and fifteen

761
00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,520
Speaker 3: on third downs, they scored on a pick six. Right,

762
00:36:58,400 --> 00:37:00,959
Speaker 3: They're just not a good offense. Sou is one hundred

763
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:03,760
Speaker 3: and fifteen statistically passing the grade one hundred and twenty

764
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 3: seventh on PFF. And the one thing that Alabama has

765
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:12,440
Speaker 3: shown weakness to is the secondary. So you have a

766
00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:15,479
Speaker 3: team that plays great defense, but they cannot score going

767
00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:19,480
Speaker 3: up against Alabama. I just I don't see how they

768
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:22,280
Speaker 3: get on track at any point to compete in this game.

769
00:37:22,440 --> 00:37:25,960
Speaker 3: So I think I think Alabama kind of lays the SmackDown.

770
00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:28,680
Speaker 3: I mean, this is not a normal game. This is

771
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,239
Speaker 3: not what we usually see from an Oklahoma team. I

772
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:34,120
Speaker 3: think they're gonna normally be much better even in the SEC.

773
00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:36,879
Speaker 3: I know everyone's making the jokes about OU right now

774
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,560
Speaker 3: and everything, but yeah, this often. They're going to get

775
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:43,520
Speaker 3: a new OC next year for sure, maybe a new

776
00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:46,200
Speaker 3: head coach, we'll see, but they are going to make

777
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 3: wholesale changes next year and be a better offense. They've

778
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 3: also had a lot of injuries at the wide receiver

779
00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:54,719
Speaker 3: position this year, so it's just been rolling one thing

780
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 3: after another for OU on offense that has not worked

781
00:37:57,680 --> 00:38:01,920
Speaker 3: for them. Abama. You know, they have been playing in

782
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:04,560
Speaker 3: a playoff for a while here, so they have to

783
00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:08,280
Speaker 3: win every game to stay afloat here, and I expect

784
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:10,000
Speaker 3: them to come out and give their best again. So

785
00:38:10,120 --> 00:38:12,280
Speaker 3: you so give me Bama. I'll lay the points.

786
00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 2: How high would you go up on that?

787
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:16,200
Speaker 1: Because thirteen and a half, like I feel like that's

788
00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:18,400
Speaker 1: a smash. Would you still take a fourteen?

789
00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:19,440
Speaker 2: Fourteen and a half?

790
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 1: Is there any number that's too big for you?

791
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:24,440
Speaker 3: I think I go up to like seventeen. Okay, sixteen

792
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 3: and a half is probably my highest number that I

793
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:29,640
Speaker 3: would take, so because I want the hook, so yeah,

794
00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:32,960
Speaker 3: but yeah, I think that's probably how high i'd be

795
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 3: willing to go, but I just don't think oh use

796
00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:36,440
Speaker 3: in this game at any point.

797
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:38,680
Speaker 1: Okay, well that'll do it for us today on the

798
00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:41,279
Speaker 1: Betting Pros College Football Show. Thank you all so much

799
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:43,759
Speaker 1: for watching. We will be back later in the week

800
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:47,040
Speaker 1: with Trell for our Picks and Predictions episode. Until then,

801
00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:49,600
Speaker 1: like this video if you enjoy it, subscribe to the

802
00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:53,160
Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel and podcast feed, plus download the

803
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:57,160
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app and sink your sportsbooks today. For Scott Bogman,

804
00:38:57,280 --> 00:39:00,200
Speaker 1: I am said Wilcock. Take carry'all.

805
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:02,440
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

806
00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:05,040
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807
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:07,120
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808
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809
00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:14,239
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810
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,280
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811
00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:23,839
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