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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome the Thursday Week one of college football.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Peralt. You guys can follow me

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Speaker 2: across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and

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Speaker 2: we're back after a bad day.

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Speaker 1: I was worried.

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Speaker 2: I told you we went three to Ozho on Tuesday,

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Speaker 2: and I was like, uh oh, Red Sox win, but

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Speaker 2: they don't cover the run line. The Brewers changed out

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Speaker 2: their starting pitcher, which under old rules that would have

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Speaker 2: avoided the bet. But under new rules, the quote unquote

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Speaker 2: new house rules where it's action and everything is action

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Speaker 2: and there is no refund, you just get burned, which

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Speaker 2: I really don't like. I think it's actually really unfair.

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Speaker 2: But they went with an opener instead of Quinn Priester.

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Speaker 2: So sorry, that was just a bad day. Unfortunately, Brewers

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Speaker 2: run line doesn't get there. They lose outright three to two.

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Speaker 2: Red Sox win. They don't cover the run line, and

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Speaker 2: the Rays lost in extra innings to the Cleveland Guardians.

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Speaker 1: They lost four to three.

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Speaker 2: So we were due to have some things go against us,

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Speaker 2: and that's what happened. So we go from five to

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Speaker 2: one to five and four still a winning week, just.

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Speaker 1: Not nearly as good.

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Speaker 2: We were up over four units and we just gave

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Speaker 2: three point two units back yesterday. But that's a good

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Speaker 2: way to drop baseball for a while. You guys were like, wait, wait, wait,

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Speaker 2: you want to drop baseball? And then you get reminded

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Speaker 2: why baseball can be very wonky. And I told you

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Speaker 2: yesterday that Wednesdays. Wednesdays are like Sundays or getaway days,

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Speaker 2: the early days the Brewers change pitchers out like Wednesday Sunday,

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Speaker 2: the two days. I really don't like betting baseball, but

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Speaker 2: we have Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday. Baseball is going

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Speaker 2: to take a break for a while. Okay, we'll pick

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Speaker 2: it back up, but for right now, we're going to

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Speaker 2: get into college football.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: I did pretty well last year in college football. It

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Speaker 2: did horrible in college basketball, but did pretty well last

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Speaker 2: year in college football, so hopefully we will continue this

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Speaker 2: going on. So I got three bets for us here,

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Speaker 2: all on the games tonight in college football, mostly involving

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Speaker 2: Big ten teams, but also one power or group of

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Speaker 2: five group of five game that I want to get

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Speaker 2: into coming up here today. But before we do that,

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Speaker 2: a reminder about what happens when you subscribe to Betting

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Speaker 2: pros Premium. Well, first you get a seven day free trial.

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Speaker 2: use the code Juice. That's going to get you a

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Speaker 2: have the prop bet cheat sheet, the prop bet Analyzer,

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Speaker 2: litany of other tools you can use this college football

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Speaker 2: and NFL seasons to help you win more bets. It's

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Speaker 2: on the upgrade screen is where you use that code

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Speaker 2: juice for a seven day free trial of Betting pros

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Speaker 2: Premium seven days for free. Check it out by dowloing

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Speaker 2: the Betting Pros app and using the code juice for

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Speaker 2: a seven day free trial. Right, Nebraska and Cincinnati. Man,

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Speaker 2: have I gone back and forth on this? All?

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Speaker 1: Right? Full disclosure.

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Speaker 2: I was once the pre and postgames show host of

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Speaker 2: a show called The Big Red Reaction. It was a

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Speaker 2: call in show before Husker football games and after Husker

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Speaker 2: football games. It was done on the flagship station for

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Speaker 2: the Creighton Blue Jay basketball team, which is the number

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Speaker 2: one rival basketball wise for Nebraska. So clearly I was

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Speaker 2: sort of, you know, not anti Nebraska, but I wasn't

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Speaker 2: in love with Nebraska. I covered Alabama and then I

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Speaker 2: covered Nebraska. It wasn't really fair, Okay, it's it would

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Speaker 2: kind of be like covering the Dallas Cowboys and then

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Speaker 2: you go and cover the Cleveland Browns, like a program

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Speaker 2: that used to be proud, that used to be good,

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Speaker 2: that used to win games, and people would remember, you know,

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Speaker 2: the fans remember what it was like to win. They

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Speaker 2: just haven't seen it for a very long time. So

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Speaker 2: this is a home game for Cincinnati. I know you're

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Speaker 2: gonna go, wait what. This game was supposed to be

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Speaker 2: at Lucas Oil, but they moved it because of a

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Speaker 2: money offer. They moved it to Arrowhead for this game,

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Speaker 2: so it helps Nebraska clearly. Cincinnati gets three fourths of

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Speaker 2: the ticket sales for the game at Arrowhead, so that's

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Speaker 2: why they moved it, because they were like, well, we

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Speaker 2: don't really have a fan base, because since he really

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Speaker 2: doesn't have a big fan base Nebraska. It's a very

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Speaker 2: quick two and a half hour drive straight down I

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Speaker 2: eighty is it eighty? I don't remember the highway. I

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Speaker 2: should I lived there for five years. I worked in

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Speaker 2: Kansas City as well as my lived in Nebraska. So

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Speaker 2: sorry forget the highway, but straight shot right down twenty nine.

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Speaker 2: I think it's twenty nine. I don't know, but you

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Speaker 2: go right down, Omaha, chill right down. So there will

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Speaker 2: be thousands and thousands of Uscar fans and the you know,

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Speaker 2: the Bearcats are gonna make a lot of money from

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Speaker 2: this game. So what happens in this game? If you

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Speaker 2: want to bet the over, you can, but the line

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Speaker 2: movement is scaring the dickens out of me. It was

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Speaker 2: as high as fifty three and a half. You oftentimes

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Speaker 2: will see the pros bet unders early. We saw the

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Speaker 2: game against a game for Kansas State and Iowa State

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Speaker 2: which was a dead under all game long, and the

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Speaker 2: game should have gone over that last second touchdown that

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Speaker 2: was ruled out. They took three knees. The game state

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Speaker 2: under fifty twenty four twenty three, sorry, twenty four to

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Speaker 2: twenty one. The final score it fell forty four. Just

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Speaker 2: a ridiculous So I don't know. I want to play

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Speaker 2: around totals in week one. It's a little dangerous to

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Speaker 2: do that, just because game flow and turnovers and missed

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Speaker 2: kicks and mistakes and a lot of those things happen.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna stick with sides here. Okay, the number

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Speaker 2: is six and a half, and I mean it is

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Speaker 2: painted six and a half.

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Speaker 1: Everyone is at six and a half.

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Speaker 2: Whenever the number goes to seven, it gets gobbled up

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Speaker 2: immediately plus seven gone, and it goes right back to

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Speaker 2: six and a half. What will this number close at

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Speaker 2: I don't know. A part of me says this number

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Speaker 2: is gonna close at six, that the late money's gonna

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Speaker 2: come in there, gonna come in here on Cincinnati. Why

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Speaker 2: Nebraska sucks in their opening Power five game?

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Speaker 1: Like sucks.

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Speaker 2: They can't beat whoever they play in that first game

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Speaker 2: against a Parer five number two under Matt rule, under

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Speaker 2: anyone in the last whether it be Scott Frost or

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Speaker 2: Mike Riley, it doesn't matter. The Huskers can't win one

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Speaker 2: score games. They just can't. So you have the want

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Speaker 2: to be Patrick Mahomes with Dylan Royola playing at Arrowhead,

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Speaker 2: which I actually think is a really bad thing, to

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Speaker 2: be honest. He met Andy Reid yesterday at Arrowhead coming

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Speaker 2: off the practice field. Now, Cincinnati has got a quarterback

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Speaker 2: that I think we need to talk about because I

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Speaker 2: think he's going to present some problems here. And I

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Speaker 2: think this offense could be a little bit better than

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Speaker 2: people think. The Huskers went out and spent money trying

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Speaker 2: to get their defense to be better. But Brendan Soarsby,

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Speaker 2: I think could be a big problem. He's a big

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Speaker 2: kid who can run, and the Huskers have had hard times,

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Speaker 2: and I mean dating back to when I covered Nebraska,

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Speaker 2: they've had a hard time covering quarterback who can run.

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Speaker 2: Got a couple of transfers coming in here. On offense,

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Speaker 2: they got a couple of first team all Big twelve defenders,

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Speaker 2: including this Dante Corleoni guy, who might be ripping people's

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Speaker 2: heads off in this game. The Huskers, if they're going

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Speaker 2: to win this game, they can't turn the ball over

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Speaker 2: and they can't make mistakes in special teams. The black

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Speaker 2: shirt defense has not been the black shirt defense for

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Speaker 2: a long time. It was once a very proud defense

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Speaker 2: that used to hand out those black shirts, and when

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Speaker 2: you got one, there was a lot of pomp and circumstance.

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Speaker 2: There was a lot of pride when you were handed

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Speaker 2: one of those jerseys and you were a black shirt

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Speaker 2: defensive player for Nebraska. Throw the skull and bones right, Huskers.

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Speaker 2: Matt Ruling, year three. Generally speaking, in his previous stops

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Speaker 2: has been tremendous, has turned around the programs quickly. Baylor,

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Speaker 2: Temple and You're Three has been the year that he

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Speaker 2: pops off and everything gets going. Nebraska may win this game,

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Speaker 2: but I can't trust the Huskers to win a game

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Speaker 2: by more than one score. In fact, they may win

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Speaker 2: the game, but I think they win the game by

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Speaker 2: the skin of their teeth. It may be a mistake

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Speaker 2: by Cincinnati, but a part of me thinks that they

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Speaker 2: might lose this game. A part of me thinks that

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Speaker 2: this is not gonna be very easy, and so I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna bet. I'm gonna take the points, but I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: buy the half a point. I don't want to lose

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Speaker 2: this on a twenty eight to twenty one or a

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Speaker 2: thirty five twenty seven type final, a thirty four to

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Speaker 2: twenty seven type final. It's only minus one thirty to

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Speaker 2: buy the half a point here in Vegas, So I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna do that.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I think there's a shot here that Cincony wins the game.

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Speaker 2: And whenever we're betting dogs, we want to sprinkle money line.

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's a horrible idea to sprinkle money line.

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Speaker 2: But I think think Nebraska just is so bad in

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Speaker 2: one score games, and they are so bad in the

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Speaker 2: first Power four Power five game of the season, this

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Speaker 2: being a neutral, this being the first game for both teams,

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Speaker 2: and Scott Centerfield needs his team to get off to

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Speaker 2: a fast start, like there's a lot of pressure on

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Speaker 2: that guy to come out and play. I just don't

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Speaker 2: think the Huskers are going to be able to do this.

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Speaker 2: I mean, this game probably goes over. I think if

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Speaker 2: I had to bet the total, I would bet it over.

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Speaker 2: But because of what happened early watching Iowa State in

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Speaker 2: Kansas State, I'm a little bit gun shy of missed

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Speaker 2: opportunities and turnovers in the red zone and just sloppy

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Speaker 2: football early between Nebraska and Cincinnati, where the teams are

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Speaker 2: leaving points on the field, And so I'm a little

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Speaker 2: wary of the fifty one and a half. Like I said,

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Speaker 2: that number has gone as high as fifty three and

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Speaker 2: a half, it's come down to fifty one and a half.

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Speaker 2: Some books are back to fifty to fifty two. There's

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Speaker 2: just a lot of volatility in the market at the moment,

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Speaker 2: and that concerns me. I would rather go and bet

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Speaker 2: the point half a point and get it to seven.

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Speaker 2: Where we've seen action like when that number hits seven,

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Speaker 2: the pros are grabbing Cincinnati. That tells me that the

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Speaker 2: sharp money is going to come in on Cincinnati. I'm

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Speaker 2: more confident to be on that side. I think the

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Speaker 2: books are gonna need Cincinnati. I think the Huskers are

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Speaker 2: going to get a lot of love from the public

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Speaker 2: here because of Dylan Reyola, because of Matt rule, and

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Speaker 2: because it's that Arrowhead Stadium. They're gonna think, Okay, Minni

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Speaker 2: Mahomes is going to go in there and put up

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Speaker 2: a lot of points and score a lot, which might happen. Okay,

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Speaker 2: the Huskers may score a lot, but I think Cincinnati

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Speaker 2: might also score a lot because they may be getting

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Speaker 2: big plays in their run game and in their passing

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Speaker 2: game against this Husker defense, which I'm not really in

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Speaker 2: love with and haven't been under Matt rule for a while.

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Speaker 2: I'll take the points Cincinnati plus seven. Again. I don't

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Speaker 2: mind the over in this game. You want to bet

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Speaker 2: the over, I don't hate it. Cincinnati plus seven and

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Speaker 2: one thirty and you can bet the over if you want.

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Speaker 2: Fifty one and a half is the best number that

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Speaker 2: currently is in the market, but since the plus seven

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Speaker 2: from maas one thirty for one point three units. Next game,

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Speaker 2: let's talk about Rutgers and Ohio. Ohio won the MAC

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Speaker 2: last year. Okay, and again, if you're a Husker fan,

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Speaker 2: you know all about what happens with Ohio and what

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Speaker 2: this program has looked like for for many years here Ohio.

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Speaker 2: You know Frank Solich has put this program and made

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Speaker 2: it his own. He's been there forever, former Husker coach

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Speaker 2: now being at Ohio. So the Bobcats are And it's

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Speaker 2: funny because I've worked with people who are Bobcats alumni.

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Speaker 2: They love the Bobcats. They got a decent quarterback, they

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Speaker 2: got a couple of receivers. Can the Bobcats keep this

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Speaker 2: game close? The number is fourteen and a half. I

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Speaker 2: actually don't think they're going to and I don't think

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Speaker 2: we even need to buy the half a point down

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Speaker 2: to fourteen, But if you want to, I don't hate that.

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Speaker 2: I think Rutgers wins this game going away. Why well,

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Speaker 2: I think this Husker I think this Rutgers team has

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Speaker 2: got an offensive line, a defensive line in skill players

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Speaker 2: that are going to maul Ohio, and I don't think

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Speaker 2: Ohio has the weapons to keep up. I don't think

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Speaker 2: Ohio is going to have much success here on the

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Speaker 2: road in Piscataway when there's a lot of hype around

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Speaker 2: this year's team for Rutgers, the way they ended the year.

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Speaker 2: Last year, Rutgers was playing extremely well, and I think

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Speaker 2: if you're a Rutgers fan, you're expecting your team to

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Speaker 2: play really well defensively shut down Ohio and you expect

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Speaker 2: your team to run them out of the building like

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Speaker 2: thirty one to seven type final. Okay, again, I hate

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Speaker 2: laying this many points early, but on the road against

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Speaker 2: the Big Ten team Ohio getting blown out is not

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Speaker 2: that shocking at all. Okay, they're gonna have to try

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Speaker 2: to stop the run, and they're gonna have to stop

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Speaker 2: the big play for Rutgers, and I don't think they're

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Speaker 2: going to do that. This is gonna be a pretty

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Speaker 2: hostile environment. Six o'clock Eastern time, kick on the Big

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Speaker 2: Ten Network. I think Rutgers is gonna look to make

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Speaker 2: a statement here and I think they're gonna have a

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Speaker 2: chance to do it. I like Rutgers this year. I

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Speaker 2: like their skill players. I think they're poised to make

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Speaker 2: some noise in the Big Ten and make it difficult

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Speaker 2: for some of the bigger name teams in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 2: I'll lay the fourteen and a half Rutgers minus fourteen

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Speaker 2: and a half up against Ohio at home for one

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Speaker 2: point one units. And finally we go to Boise State

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Speaker 2: on the road against South Florida. This number was six.

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Speaker 2: This number has been bet down to five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Why am taking Boise, Well, it's the quarterback. I watched

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Speaker 2: Maddox Madson a lot, and I watched him in person

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Speaker 2: when he played here against UNLV last year, watched him

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Speaker 2: in the big in the Mountain West title game against

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Speaker 2: UNLV as well. Look, ashtonenty is gone and arguably the

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Speaker 2: best player in college football last year.

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Speaker 1: It's in it.

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Speaker 2: You don't replace a guy like that. However, having Maddox

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Speaker 2: to run the quarterback spot I think is huge. He's

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Speaker 2: a stabilizing force. And a lot of the people that

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Speaker 2: I've heard that are taking South Florida here, they're saying

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Speaker 2: the heat.

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Speaker 1: Is gonna wear down Boise. I don't think so.

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Speaker 2: This Boise team can play in domes, they can play

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Speaker 2: in the cold, they can play in the heat, They're

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Speaker 2: just a juggernaut at the Power five level.

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Speaker 1: They're expected to be right back.

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Speaker 2: In the conversation for a playoff Berth again as the

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Speaker 2: best power five team are Nonpower five team, group of

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Speaker 2: five team. And I think this even without ask jing genty,

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Speaker 2: I think they've got some weapons and they always have

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Speaker 2: a player or two that you're like, WHOA, how did

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Speaker 2: that kid get through? How did that kid wind up

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Speaker 2: at Poise? And the thing that struck me the most

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Speaker 2: about Boise last year and the thing that I think

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Speaker 2: will happen this year is that Boise State can rush

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Speaker 2: the passer. Boise State's defense is ferocious. They're much better

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Speaker 2: than people think. And I think they will continue to

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Speaker 2: progress and continue to get better and better and better

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Speaker 2: South Florida. Look, they lost some players on the offense,

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Speaker 2: some wide receivers. They've brought in a couple of decent quarterbacks,

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Speaker 2: I wide receivers for their quarterbacks to throw to. Look,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna watch this game and I'm gonna go Yeah,

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Speaker 2: Boise is still Boise. I'm surprised this number has gone

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Speaker 2: to five and a half. To be quite honest, I

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Speaker 2: think Boise wins this game by ten points.

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Speaker 1: Or more.

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Speaker 2: I don't think it matters about but the weather in

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Speaker 2: South Florida. I think Boise can play anywhere. And I

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Speaker 2: think we're gonna be reminded of what Boise is capable

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Speaker 2: of doing and why they are most likely going to

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Speaker 2: be back in the college football playoffs. And again, I

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Speaker 2: made fun of Boise all last year. I didn't think

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Speaker 2: they nearly were as good. They didn't deserve a bye

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Speaker 2: last year, Like all of them, all my issue with

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Speaker 2: Boise State were all confirmed. But during the regular season,

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Speaker 2: when they play at this level, when they're not playing

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Speaker 2: a Power five team and they play on a group

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Speaker 2: of five team, this is where I just Boise's culture,

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Speaker 2: Boise's playmakers, and Bois's coaching and players and talent just shine.

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Speaker 2: I'll lay the five and a half points. I think

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Speaker 2: they win the game by seven or more. Boise minus

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Speaker 2: five and a half on the road dangerous to lay

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Speaker 2: points on the road, get it, But it's early in

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Speaker 2: the year. I don't care about the heat of South Florida.

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Speaker 2: I'll take Boise minus five and a half for one

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Speaker 2: point one units. All right, So our plays for today,

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Speaker 2: we're going with Cincinnati plus seven. We're buying half a

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Speaker 2: point from six and a half up to seven. I

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Speaker 2: hope late money comes in on Nebraska and you guys

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Speaker 2: get seven at a cheaper price. But I don't want

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Speaker 2: to lose this game by seven in Nebraska covers twenty

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Speaker 2: seven to twenty and we lose. I'd rather let's just

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Speaker 2: ensure it and make sure that we get a push

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Speaker 2: if since he loses by seven, Boise min is five

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Speaker 2: and a half on the road at South Florida and

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Speaker 2: Rutgers at home against Ohio, we'll lay the fourteen and

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Speaker 2: a half points with the Scarlet Knights to get a big,

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Speaker 2: big win over Ohio coming up here, we'll lay the

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Speaker 2: fourteen and a half points there.

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Speaker 1: Those are our three bets to start week. One.

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Speaker 2: More on Friday, more on Saturday. Reminder, the Friday podcast

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Speaker 2: will be out early. I'm on our red eye back

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Speaker 2: to New England back to Boston on Thursday night, so

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Speaker 2: the Friday morning edition of the Daily Juice will drop.

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Speaker 1: Earlier than normal.

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Speaker 2: You'll get that probably somewhere around I don't know, eight

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Speaker 2: o'clock Eastern, somewhere in that range. For the bets on Friday,

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Speaker 2: we probably won't know what the record is for Thursday completely,

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Speaker 2: but that for you guys out early be watching for

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Speaker 2: that minus Matt Parrel. Follow me across all my soldios

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Speaker 2: at Sportstock Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice