WEBVTT - The Mark Moss Show - The Volatility of Bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of The Mark Moss Show,

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<v Speaker 1>where we talk about bitcoin cryptocurrencies. We talk about the

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<v Speaker 1>decentralized revolution that we are living through that we're witnessing

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<v Speaker 1>right now, and it is never a dull moment as

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<v Speaker 1>we are witnessing the world change right before our very eyes. Man,

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<v Speaker 1>I know I say it a lot, but I just

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just continued just to be impressed by just you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the old Vladimir Lyndon quote of um decades where nothing

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<v Speaker 1>seems to happen, and then decades or days where decades

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<v Speaker 1>seemed to happen. And that's exactly kind of where we're

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<v Speaker 1>living through. You know, I've been talking about bitcoin and

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<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrencies basically full time since like two thousand and sixteen.

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<v Speaker 1>I got into it in and once I kind of

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<v Speaker 1>really understood what it was. Well, I'm still trying to

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<v Speaker 1>figure out what it is. For all of you guys

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<v Speaker 1>that think you already know what you're talking about, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>still trying to figure out what it is. But when

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<v Speaker 1>I when I kind of thought I had understood what

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<v Speaker 1>it was, I was like, dang, I gotta I gotta

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<v Speaker 1>tell the whole world about this. So I guess well,

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<v Speaker 1>let me let me tell you my story real quick.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe I don't know if I've done that before. So, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you're listening to the Mark Moa Show, and I'm talking

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<v Speaker 1>about bitcoin of cryptocurrencies, and as will tell you my

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<v Speaker 1>own little experience here. So you know, I, uh, let's

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<v Speaker 1>say that I had become pretty disillusioned with the financial

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<v Speaker 1>system and the political system after the two thousand eight

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<v Speaker 1>Great Financial Crash. It was devastating for me. UM. I

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<v Speaker 1>lost a lot of money. I pretty much got wiped out.

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<v Speaker 1>I then had to go and try to figure out

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<v Speaker 1>what this whole financial system was about. As I started

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<v Speaker 1>to dig deep into that and try to learn that, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I became, you know, very disillusioned with the system, to

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<v Speaker 1>say the least. UM and I and I figured out

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<v Speaker 1>that the problem was that we had this inflationary monetary

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<v Speaker 1>system basically where the FED can just create unlimited amounts

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<v Speaker 1>of money. And if we could go back to something

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<v Speaker 1>like the gold standard, UM, where we had sound money,

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<v Speaker 1>hard money, hard money or sound money, meaning that uh,

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<v Speaker 1>nobody could just go create more of it, right, get

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<v Speaker 1>a limited amount. If you can go back to something

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<v Speaker 1>like that, then that could solve a lot of the

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<v Speaker 1>problems when I became this goldbug, and um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>moving forward, I became this gold bug, and I started,

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<v Speaker 1>like I said, very disillusioned with politics, to the point

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<v Speaker 1>where I kind of wanted to just ignore it. I

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<v Speaker 1>was like, you know it, it doesn't do me any

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<v Speaker 1>good to pay attention to this. UM get all excited

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<v Speaker 1>by it. Politics gets a lot of dopamine released in

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<v Speaker 1>our bodies. That's why we get really addicted to it.

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<v Speaker 1>But I said, it's kind of a waste of my time.

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<v Speaker 1>My vote doesn't count. UM, nothing I can do is

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<v Speaker 1>gonna change anything. I'm not connected enough to be part

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<v Speaker 1>of the inside. UM, So my goal would just be

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<v Speaker 1>to move away to Central America somewhere I live on beach,

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<v Speaker 1>surf and fish and just you know, I don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to be a freedom fighter. That's why I told my wife,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't want to be a freedom fighter. And I was.

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<v Speaker 1>I was subscribed to this newsletter shout out to Sovereign Man.

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<v Speaker 1>If and you guys ever heard that, and if not,

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<v Speaker 1>you should check it out. And I subscribed to this

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<v Speaker 1>newsletter called Sovereign Man, which is a newsletter that talks

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<v Speaker 1>about being exactly what the name says, which is being

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a sovereign man, sovereign Um. The way that

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<v Speaker 1>I look at sovereign is sovereignty is being able to

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<v Speaker 1>direct my life as I see fit in a way

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<v Speaker 1>that leads to my own ends. So I'm not being

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<v Speaker 1>coerced like a coercion would be. Um, I'm forced to

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<v Speaker 1>make a choice that leads to somebody else's end. So

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<v Speaker 1>for example, take the jab or lose your job. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>either choice I make leads me to your ends, it

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't lead me to my ends. So sovereign tya means

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<v Speaker 1>I can make my choices that leads me to my ends.

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<v Speaker 1>So a sovereign man being a being a man that

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<v Speaker 1>that can control my destiny if you will. And he

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<v Speaker 1>made he made the very compelling case that you wouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>put all your money into one stock, would you write

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<v Speaker 1>or one investment? Of course, the answer is no, And

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<v Speaker 1>why wouldn't you do that? Well because of risk. And

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<v Speaker 1>so if you wouldn't do that, then why do you

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<v Speaker 1>have your whole life in one country? M hmm. It's

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<v Speaker 1>very compelling argument. I had to think about that and

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<v Speaker 1>the answer is, well you maybe shouldn't. Especially um at

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<v Speaker 1>that time, this is back. You know twenty thirteen, fourteen

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<v Speaker 1>fifteen that I was kind of reading this and thinking

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<v Speaker 1>about this. Of course it's never been more more true

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<v Speaker 1>and real today is something that I spent a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of time and so what I'm pounding the table onto

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<v Speaker 1>something called financial sovereignty, which is a financial freedom. But

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<v Speaker 1>then you use that freedom to have I'm sorry that

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<v Speaker 1>financial financial freedom part to have more sovereignty and more freedom.

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<v Speaker 1>So financial sovereignty, that's what I like to focus on.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, if you're tune in on a regular basis,

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<v Speaker 1>then you know that that's what I talked about. We're

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<v Speaker 1>making money, We're working on our freedom, more options to

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<v Speaker 1>deal in the world of uncertainty. If you're not tuning

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<v Speaker 1>in on a regular basis, then you should so make

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<v Speaker 1>sure to put a calendar reminder for this date at

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<v Speaker 1>this time this channel and joined me each and every week.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you want to know more about financial sovereignty,

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<v Speaker 1>I care about it so much. Not only do I

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<v Speaker 1>talk about all the time, I actually started an event

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<v Speaker 1>just to focus on financial sovereignty and help people learn

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<v Speaker 1>more about it and have more money and freedom with

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<v Speaker 1>same time. You can check that out of market Disruptors

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<v Speaker 1>Live dot com. We're actually having our our second annual

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<v Speaker 1>live event coming up next month. Be awesome to come

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<v Speaker 1>out and meet some new people, make some new friends, meet,

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<v Speaker 1>meet and greet me and some of the best speakers

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<v Speaker 1>in the world to talk about how to make more money, build, grow,

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<v Speaker 1>protect your wealth, as I like to say it. So

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<v Speaker 1>market Disruptors Live dot com check that out. But so

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<v Speaker 1>I was on this path for sovereignty, and I was

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<v Speaker 1>he makes the case that why would you have your

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<v Speaker 1>whole life in one country? And so we're in a

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<v Speaker 1>digital aige. You can have multiple flags and multiple countries,

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<v Speaker 1>and so why not have bank accounts in other countries?

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<v Speaker 1>In that way, off your bank in your country sees

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<v Speaker 1>your bank accounts here, you have bank acounts otherwhere. Why

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<v Speaker 1>not have gold stored in other countries? Why not have

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<v Speaker 1>multiple passports and these types of things. And so I

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<v Speaker 1>was actually in the process of um setting up a

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<v Speaker 1>corporation in Panama, so I could set up a trust

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<v Speaker 1>in Panama, I could open up a bank acount of Panama,

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<v Speaker 1>put about seventy five thousand dollars at the time back

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<v Speaker 1>into the bank account and one it would earn very

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<v Speaker 1>good interest. I think at the time I was paying

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<v Speaker 1>like seven percent interest in the bank, which was pretty

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<v Speaker 1>pretty good. Especially considering today's terms it's at zero. So

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<v Speaker 1>I'd make like seven percent of my money, which was

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<v Speaker 1>pretty good back then. Um, well, it's good right now

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<v Speaker 1>to UM. And then the best part is then I

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<v Speaker 1>would get residency. So then I can get residency, and

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<v Speaker 1>then after several years I think it was five years,

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<v Speaker 1>I could actually get UM citizenship. I can get a passport.

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<v Speaker 1>If I would have done that, I would have my

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<v Speaker 1>citizenship by now. But but I didn't do it. And

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<v Speaker 1>the reason why I didn't do it is I took

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<v Speaker 1>another look at bitcoin and it has been coming across

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<v Speaker 1>my desk for a while. I've been in the tech

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<v Speaker 1>space and the internet space for a long time. I

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<v Speaker 1>started internet business in two thousand and one at the

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<v Speaker 1>bottom of the dot com crash, and I've been on

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<v Speaker 1>the internet ever since since. So I'm a tech guy,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm an investor. And so it had come across my

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<v Speaker 1>desk many times and had ran up to like a

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<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars and then it had dropped back down to

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<v Speaker 1>like a couple hundred bucks, and I was like, maybe not,

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<v Speaker 1>but I took another look at I bought it. I'm like,

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<v Speaker 1>this is the same thing. It's like getting my money

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<v Speaker 1>out of the bank, which is what I was ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>trying to do. So I bought bit and once I

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<v Speaker 1>found out about it, once I once I put some

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<v Speaker 1>in what we call it putting a little skin in

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<v Speaker 1>the game. Once I had a little skin in the game,

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<v Speaker 1>I had a little bit of bitcoin, and then it

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<v Speaker 1>encouraged me to start learning more about it. And as

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<v Speaker 1>I started learning more about it, I started to realize, like,

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<v Speaker 1>we actually have a tool that we can win with,

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<v Speaker 1>Like this is something we can do. And so I

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<v Speaker 1>have to tell everybody in the world that I know

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<v Speaker 1>about it. And so I did. And as I said,

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<v Speaker 1>where I started the story is I've been talking about bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 1>uh and cryptocurrencies and this decentralized revolution now full time

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<v Speaker 1>since about and the reason why I say that is

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<v Speaker 1>um bitcoin and cryptocurrency has had this amazing run seventeen.

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<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin started the year twenty seventeen and a thousand dollars

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<v Speaker 1>and finished the year twenty thousand dollars amazing at twenty

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<v Speaker 1>return in just a year. UM. But then in December,

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<v Speaker 1>seeen it had this spectacular blow off top um and

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<v Speaker 1>dropped all the way back down to three thousand and

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<v Speaker 1>everybody was mad and upset and sad and what I room?

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<v Speaker 1>And then nineteen happened and there was like nothing going

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<v Speaker 1>on and there was like nothing to talk about, Like

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<v Speaker 1>it was literally like this long cold winter, and I

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<v Speaker 1>went for like a year and it's like, man, what

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<v Speaker 1>can I even talk about now? And I'm like starting

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about like just more like general business stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>Maybe I talked about a little bit of like personal

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<v Speaker 1>development stuff, like it's boring around here, what the heck

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<v Speaker 1>is going on? And the reason why I say that

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<v Speaker 1>is because there's decades where nothing seems to happen. And

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<v Speaker 1>in that case, there was a couple of years where

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<v Speaker 1>nothing seemed to happen, and here we are now there's

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<v Speaker 1>days where decades seemed to happen. And so today it's

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<v Speaker 1>like every day there's like multiple stories I need to

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<v Speaker 1>be talking about, which um. By the way, I'm thinking

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<v Speaker 1>about starting a daily podcast and a daily YouTube show.

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<v Speaker 1>If you're not following me on YouTube, you shop Mark Moss.

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<v Speaker 1>I got a lot to cover today because there's so

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<v Speaker 1>much that happened, So do not go away. I'm going

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<v Speaker 1>to be right back. All right, welcome back. You are

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<v Speaker 1>listening to the Mark Moss Show, and we're talking about,

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<v Speaker 1>as I said, bitcoin and crypt occurrency. You know, we're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about this decentralized revolution, um that's sweeping the world.

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<v Speaker 1>Before the break, I was just talking about how sometimes

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<v Speaker 1>you know, decades where nothing seems to happen, and here

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<v Speaker 1>we are where everything seems to happen. And I'm talking

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<v Speaker 1>about this, you know, on a daily basis, about this

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<v Speaker 1>decentralized revolution, that's what That's what I call it. And

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<v Speaker 1>I've been talking about a lot. If you haven't heard

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<v Speaker 1>about these three revolutionary cycles that are converging, and do

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<v Speaker 1>you hear a lot about a lot of people talking

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<v Speaker 1>about different aspects of this. So, for example, Ray dalio

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<v Speaker 1>Um one of the smartest investors in the world, the

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<v Speaker 1>founder of Bridgewater Capital, the largest fund in the world.

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<v Speaker 1>He recently wrote a book called The Changing World Order.

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<v Speaker 1>It's an amazing book. I highly recommend it. Um. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a big book. It's thick book with tons of charts,

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<v Speaker 1>tons of data, and he really outlines a bunch of things,

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<v Speaker 1>including you know, these long term debt cycles. So really

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<v Speaker 1>he focused on like the financial revolution aspect about every

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<v Speaker 1>eighty years the financial um the financial system is reset

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<v Speaker 1>and he really and he really talks about the rise

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<v Speaker 1>and fall of empires and it's great. Again, highly recommend it.

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<v Speaker 1>I like to take that. So there's this eighty year

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<v Speaker 1>financial revolution cycle and then look at it with a

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<v Speaker 1>tune into your political revolution cycle, UM. And then your

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<v Speaker 1>revolution cycle is basically like a pendulum that swings back

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<v Speaker 1>and forth and UM. On an your time frame, we

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<v Speaker 1>move towards globalization or centralization, where things get more and

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<v Speaker 1>more centralized, more central government, more central banks, right w EF,

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<v Speaker 1>World to Health, World Economic Form, World Health Organization, World

0:10:37.520 --> 0:10:39.840
<v Speaker 1>Trade Organization, the I, m F, the U N, et cetera.

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<v Speaker 1>These central entities taking more and more control over our lives.

0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:46.160
<v Speaker 1>So the world has been swinging that way, and now

0:10:46.200 --> 0:10:48.880
<v Speaker 1>that pendulum is maxing out, it's ready to swing back

0:10:48.920 --> 0:10:51.360
<v Speaker 1>the other way. So's something I've talked a lot about.

0:10:51.360 --> 0:10:53.199
<v Speaker 1>If you want to learn more about that, you can

0:10:53.240 --> 0:10:57.719
<v Speaker 1>just search Mark Moss um three cycles something like that.

0:10:57.800 --> 0:10:59.840
<v Speaker 1>Go to go to YouTube search of Mark Moss three cycles.

0:10:59.840 --> 0:11:02.840
<v Speaker 1>You'll see that UM. And So really, if you look

0:11:02.880 --> 0:11:03.920
<v Speaker 1>at it's like I said it on a tune and

0:11:03.960 --> 0:11:08.760
<v Speaker 1>fift year time frame and sort of like the four

0:11:08.800 --> 0:11:12.040
<v Speaker 1>seasons of the year's you know, summer, spring, winterfall. On

0:11:12.080 --> 0:11:15.800
<v Speaker 1>the calendar, there's an exact date that that season switches,

0:11:15.840 --> 0:11:18.240
<v Speaker 1>but that doesn't mean the weather changes that exact day, right,

0:11:18.280 --> 0:11:20.120
<v Speaker 1>So it's kind of like plus or minus a little bit.

0:11:20.640 --> 0:11:22.840
<v Speaker 1>And so that's kind of how these cycles are as well,

0:11:22.880 --> 0:11:26.319
<v Speaker 1>about every eighty years eighty four years, right about every

0:11:26.360 --> 0:11:27.880
<v Speaker 1>two and fifty years, and so if you kind of

0:11:27.920 --> 0:11:30.520
<v Speaker 1>have this range, and so that's kind of where we're at.

0:11:30.600 --> 0:11:35.480
<v Speaker 1>I think this range really started about twenty seventeen seventeen

0:11:35.480 --> 0:11:38.480
<v Speaker 1>and it ends about twenty So that's kind of this

0:11:38.720 --> 0:11:41.079
<v Speaker 1>we're in. We're in this where the where the pendulum

0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:44.160
<v Speaker 1>is maxing out and then swinging back the other way,

0:11:44.200 --> 0:11:45.920
<v Speaker 1>and so as it maxes out and swings back, it's

0:11:45.960 --> 0:11:47.560
<v Speaker 1>in that range, right, So that's kind of where we're

0:11:47.559 --> 0:11:53.360
<v Speaker 1>app And so it really started with Brexit, righten brexit um.

0:11:53.440 --> 0:11:56.600
<v Speaker 1>That was Britain trying to break apart from the EU.

0:11:56.800 --> 0:11:59.839
<v Speaker 1>Right So the EU was massive centralization, just centralized the

0:11:59.840 --> 0:12:02.960
<v Speaker 1>whole continent of Europe right um. And then Brexit was like, hey,

0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:04.760
<v Speaker 1>we don't want to be part of that big central

0:12:04.800 --> 0:12:07.440
<v Speaker 1>force a name were let's break apart. Um. Donald Trump

0:12:07.480 --> 0:12:10.360
<v Speaker 1>getting elected was was another symbol of that, right was

0:12:10.760 --> 0:12:13.920
<v Speaker 1>rejecting the status quo. Hillary Clinton was would have been

0:12:13.960 --> 0:12:17.800
<v Speaker 1>more um centralization, right, she was part of that status quo. Uh.

0:12:18.200 --> 0:12:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Trump getting elected was the symbolization of that pendulum swinging

0:12:21.320 --> 0:12:24.120
<v Speaker 1>back where people are saying, no, we don't want that anymore. Um.

0:12:24.240 --> 0:12:27.439
<v Speaker 1>The the yellow jacket protest in Paris, you know, was

0:12:27.480 --> 0:12:30.439
<v Speaker 1>that And so we see this and here we are

0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:33.480
<v Speaker 1>now today, two thousand twenty two, and we are at

0:12:33.480 --> 0:12:37.319
<v Speaker 1>the climax. I mean, it's it's the climax. The pendulum

0:12:37.360 --> 0:12:41.240
<v Speaker 1>is rapidly starting to move the other way. And uh

0:12:41.480 --> 0:12:43.880
<v Speaker 1>so much that you know, this Russia Ukraine war is

0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:47.200
<v Speaker 1>really exaggerated this. And Larry Fink, the CEO of Blackrock,

0:12:47.280 --> 0:12:50.319
<v Speaker 1>the largest asset manager in the world, about two weeks ago,

0:12:50.360 --> 0:12:52.920
<v Speaker 1>came out and said, this is the end of globalization.

0:12:53.000 --> 0:12:56.640
<v Speaker 1>It's that big so um, Like I said, you can

0:12:56.720 --> 0:12:58.240
<v Speaker 1>watch those videos if you want to know more about that,

0:12:58.320 --> 0:13:02.880
<v Speaker 1>just search Mark Moss and three cycles on YouTube. But um,

0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:04.800
<v Speaker 1>what I want to talk about today was more like,

0:13:04.920 --> 0:13:10.200
<v Speaker 1>what what would deglobalization mean for the financial markets? What

0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:12.720
<v Speaker 1>does it mean for inflation? More specifically, what would it

0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:16.559
<v Speaker 1>mean for bitcoin? Something I wanted to talk about I

0:13:16.559 --> 0:13:19.640
<v Speaker 1>think I thought to be pretty interesting, especially seeing as

0:13:19.679 --> 0:13:22.840
<v Speaker 1>here we are witnessing all of this happening right here

0:13:22.880 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 1>before our very eyes. So what would it mean for bitcoin?

0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:28.559
<v Speaker 1>What would it means specifically for bitcoin's price? I think

0:13:28.559 --> 0:13:30.360
<v Speaker 1>that's what a lot of people want to know. I

0:13:30.360 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 1>don't typically talk about price a lot because I think

0:13:32.640 --> 0:13:37.360
<v Speaker 1>it's probably the least interesting aspect of bitcoin. Um When

0:13:37.400 --> 0:13:41.400
<v Speaker 1>you're looking at a new technology like bitcoin, a technological revolution, Really,

0:13:42.000 --> 0:13:43.000
<v Speaker 1>the way that you want to look at it is

0:13:43.000 --> 0:13:44.920
<v Speaker 1>you want to look at user adoption, use your growth.

0:13:44.960 --> 0:13:46.840
<v Speaker 1>Are we getting more users on the network, and two

0:13:46.840 --> 0:13:50.400
<v Speaker 1>are we having development on the network? Those are the

0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:53.160
<v Speaker 1>most interesting things. The price, the price will get there um.

0:13:53.240 --> 0:13:55.959
<v Speaker 1>The price of bitcoin is very volatile. What does that mean?

0:13:56.000 --> 0:13:57.760
<v Speaker 1>It goes up and down a lot, up and down,

0:13:57.880 --> 0:13:59.680
<v Speaker 1>up and down, up and down. Now, volatility, for some

0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:01.719
<v Speaker 1>people say it's a bad thing. They say, how can

0:14:01.760 --> 0:14:04.280
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin never be used for a store value? It's too volatile?

0:14:05.520 --> 0:14:07.280
<v Speaker 1>But volatility is a good thing and it's a bad

0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:11.800
<v Speaker 1>thing because volatility works both ways. Up and down. If

0:14:11.840 --> 0:14:13.599
<v Speaker 1>it never went up, the bitcoin would just always be

0:14:13.640 --> 0:14:15.960
<v Speaker 1>at zero. It would never go up. You can't go

0:14:16.000 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 1>from zero to forty dollars in UM, you know, twelve

0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 1>years without volatility. So that's just the price that you pay.

0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:25.960
<v Speaker 1>The way that I like to look at volatility is

0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:34.080
<v Speaker 1>it's the It's the difference between perception and reality. So

0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:36.640
<v Speaker 1>what do I mean by that, Well, the reality is

0:14:36.720 --> 0:14:41.760
<v Speaker 1>is that the bitcoin network itself is and bitcoin technology.

0:14:41.840 --> 0:14:46.080
<v Speaker 1>The reality is it's growing. We're getting more users, we're

0:14:46.120 --> 0:14:50.280
<v Speaker 1>getting more adoption. Billionaires are now using it as a reserve.

0:14:50.520 --> 0:14:54.280
<v Speaker 1>Fortunate companies are now using it as the reserve. Countries

0:14:54.320 --> 0:14:56.760
<v Speaker 1>like El Savador are now using it as their reserves.

0:14:57.120 --> 0:14:59.520
<v Speaker 1>States in the United States are starting to now accept

0:14:59.520 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 1>payments and fees in it um. Other governments like Mexico

0:15:02.960 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 1>now have put laws into the effect to put it

0:15:05.240 --> 0:15:07.280
<v Speaker 1>as legal tender in the in those countries as well.

0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:11.120
<v Speaker 1>So the network is growing, the network effects, more people

0:15:11.120 --> 0:15:14.840
<v Speaker 1>are using it, and at the same time we're stealing

0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:17.680
<v Speaker 1>more and more mind share. So we have some of

0:15:17.720 --> 0:15:20.680
<v Speaker 1>the best and brightest people. I mentioned Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Capital.

0:15:20.840 --> 0:15:25.600
<v Speaker 1>The CFO left Bridgewater Capital to work for a bitcoin company,

0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:28.160
<v Speaker 1>we're stealing massive amounts of mind share. At the Bitcoin

0:15:28.200 --> 0:15:31.680
<v Speaker 1>conference last week, we had Jordan Peterson come as one

0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:34.200
<v Speaker 1>of the headliners. Now he's probably one of the smartest

0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:38.440
<v Speaker 1>intellectuals in the world today and he's at the Bitcoin conference.

0:15:38.440 --> 0:15:41.840
<v Speaker 1>So we're just this, we're this, this amount of mind share.

0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 1>It's just all being sucked in. So the network is

0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:49.560
<v Speaker 1>growing rapidly um and the mind shares growing rapidly. That's

0:15:49.640 --> 0:15:53.840
<v Speaker 1>the reality. The perception, though, is the volatility. So what

0:15:53.920 --> 0:15:56.600
<v Speaker 1>happens is people see these moves and they get so

0:15:56.680 --> 0:15:59.160
<v Speaker 1>excited they start pushing the price up. And the price

0:15:59.200 --> 0:16:03.920
<v Speaker 1>goes up how higher and faster and further from reality

0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 1>than it should be. People think it's it's it's it's

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:09.360
<v Speaker 1>it's guaranteed, it's gonna be here tomorrow. Everybody buy in, right,

0:16:09.360 --> 0:16:13.400
<v Speaker 1>and so their their perception gets over exaggerated, and then

0:16:13.440 --> 0:16:16.480
<v Speaker 1>people go, well, you know, it's it's it's not that big,

0:16:16.560 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 1>and then it starts selling off, and then it gets oversold,

0:16:19.040 --> 0:16:22.800
<v Speaker 1>and then it it goes below reality. But reality, I mean,

0:16:22.880 --> 0:16:24.360
<v Speaker 1>if I was drawing this out for you on a

0:16:24.400 --> 0:16:27.480
<v Speaker 1>piece of paper, if I had reality moving at like

0:16:27.520 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 1>a forty five degree angle. Right, it's it's moving on

0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:36.640
<v Speaker 1>upward trajectory. More users, more adoption, more mind share, more development. Right,

0:16:36.680 --> 0:16:39.400
<v Speaker 1>that's the reality. The perception goes up and down like

0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:42.760
<v Speaker 1>an s across that line gets overvalued and then it

0:16:42.760 --> 0:16:44.400
<v Speaker 1>gets sold off and it's undervalued, and then it goes

0:16:44.440 --> 0:16:48.040
<v Speaker 1>back to overvalued and undervalued. And that's good thing. And

0:16:48.080 --> 0:16:54.920
<v Speaker 1>it's also our opportunity because if we understand this, then

0:16:55.440 --> 0:16:58.480
<v Speaker 1>we have an opportunity to get in and play these

0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:00.440
<v Speaker 1>little things. Now I'm not a trade or I don't

0:17:00.440 --> 0:17:02.960
<v Speaker 1>recommend that you trade it. But what happens is when

0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:06.000
<v Speaker 1>it gets over sold and it snaps below what we

0:17:06.040 --> 0:17:08.760
<v Speaker 1>believe that reality to be, that's our chance to buy in.

0:17:09.560 --> 0:17:12.639
<v Speaker 1>And so it gives us that opportunity. But uh, as

0:17:12.680 --> 0:17:15.639
<v Speaker 1>I talk about price being not that that interesting, I

0:17:15.640 --> 0:17:17.400
<v Speaker 1>don't talk about that much. Here. We are talking about

0:17:17.440 --> 0:17:19.920
<v Speaker 1>the price, But I want to talk more specifically about

0:17:19.920 --> 0:17:23.720
<v Speaker 1>what would what would this whole global deglobalization mean that

0:17:23.760 --> 0:17:26.200
<v Speaker 1>we're going through the rush of Ukraine wars exaggerating. Larry

0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:28.959
<v Speaker 1>Think says it's in the globalization. The pendulum is swinging

0:17:29.000 --> 0:17:32.240
<v Speaker 1>back from centralization to decentralization. Deglobalization, what does it mean

0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:34.600
<v Speaker 1>for bitcoin? And more specifically, what does it mean for

0:17:34.720 --> 0:17:39.640
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin's price? Um As things have glows as we've moved

0:17:39.680 --> 0:17:42.840
<v Speaker 1>towards globalization, people have enjoyed lower costs right from the

0:17:42.880 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 1>expansion of free trade, um offshoring labor, having products made overseas.

0:17:47.920 --> 0:17:50.720
<v Speaker 1>And as that unwinds, what happens to bitcoin, what happens

0:17:50.720 --> 0:17:53.840
<v Speaker 1>to bitcoin's price. I'm going to talk about that and more.

0:17:53.920 --> 0:17:56.040
<v Speaker 1>You're listen to the Mark Moa Show talking about of

0:17:56.080 --> 0:17:59.679
<v Speaker 1>course bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and the decentralized during this point, the

0:17:59.800 --> 0:18:05.320
<v Speaker 1>d globalized world that we're moving into. Super fascinating to

0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:07.800
<v Speaker 1>be to be living through this right now. That's the

0:18:07.840 --> 0:18:10.479
<v Speaker 1>point where literally history books will be written. And if

0:18:10.520 --> 0:18:13.240
<v Speaker 1>you navigate this correctly, it could be the biggest opportunity

0:18:13.320 --> 0:18:14.840
<v Speaker 1>of your life, which I think it is. I think

0:18:14.840 --> 0:18:17.560
<v Speaker 1>it's the greatest risk adjusted opportunity we've ever seen. But

0:18:17.640 --> 0:18:20.320
<v Speaker 1>you have to understand what you're seeing and that's what

0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:22.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm here to say to tell you, So don't go away.

0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:25.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna be right back with more. All right, welcome back.

0:18:25.000 --> 0:18:29.840
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Mark Moa Show. We're talking about bitcoin, cryptocurrencies,

0:18:29.960 --> 0:18:32.359
<v Speaker 1>the decentralized revolution. Of course, we talked about each and

0:18:32.400 --> 0:18:35.119
<v Speaker 1>every week. Um, we talked about each every week because

0:18:35.119 --> 0:18:37.960
<v Speaker 1>it's the biggest thing happening in the world. The world's

0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:41.560
<v Speaker 1>changing as we speak, and it's going to be It's

0:18:41.600 --> 0:18:43.480
<v Speaker 1>not gonna be good for most people that aren't paying attention,

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:45.320
<v Speaker 1>but it could be the biggest opportunity of your life

0:18:45.320 --> 0:18:47.320
<v Speaker 1>if you navigate it correctly. And of course that's what

0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:50.800
<v Speaker 1>I want for you. That's what it is, has already

0:18:50.840 --> 0:18:53.399
<v Speaker 1>been for me, and and it will continue to be

0:18:53.440 --> 0:18:54.720
<v Speaker 1>and I want you to be a part of that.

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:57.440
<v Speaker 1>So we're talking about the globalization. I was talking about

0:18:57.440 --> 0:18:59.680
<v Speaker 1>the price of bitcoin being the least important part, but

0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:04.159
<v Speaker 1>talking about globalization and what does it mean for bitcoin's

0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:07.920
<v Speaker 1>price because we have all these catalysts going on in

0:19:07.960 --> 0:19:10.480
<v Speaker 1>the world. We have massive inflation, and people are like, well,

0:19:10.560 --> 0:19:12.800
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't this be good for bitcoin? Then why isn't the

0:19:12.840 --> 0:19:15.480
<v Speaker 1>price of bitcoin going up? And people aren't able to

0:19:15.480 --> 0:19:17.200
<v Speaker 1>figure that out, and then we have this deglobalization and

0:19:17.200 --> 0:19:19.760
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't that be helping, right? I mean, if the dollars dying,

0:19:19.760 --> 0:19:22.840
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't bitcoin be the beneficiary? So I want to talk

0:19:22.880 --> 0:19:25.280
<v Speaker 1>about that. So obviously, what's setting this up I was

0:19:25.320 --> 0:19:28.199
<v Speaker 1>kind of hinting to is is history tells us right

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:32.200
<v Speaker 1>on your time frame, we max out on globalization centralization

0:19:32.200 --> 0:19:34.760
<v Speaker 1>and the world pushes back or the pendulum swings back

0:19:34.800 --> 0:19:39.359
<v Speaker 1>to decentralization or deglobalization, and so, um, you know, if

0:19:39.400 --> 0:19:42.440
<v Speaker 1>the pandemic seems like a black Swan event, or um,

0:19:42.440 --> 0:19:44.600
<v Speaker 1>the rush of Ukraine war seems like a black Swan event,

0:19:44.640 --> 0:19:49.320
<v Speaker 1>it's not. We already knew that right now we would

0:19:49.359 --> 0:19:52.840
<v Speaker 1>be rejecting globalization and moving back to deglobalization. And that's

0:19:52.840 --> 0:19:55.399
<v Speaker 1>exactly what's happening, and we're watching it unfold like we

0:19:55.480 --> 0:19:57.080
<v Speaker 1>knew it would. I've been talking about this for over

0:19:57.080 --> 0:19:59.520
<v Speaker 1>a year and a half. You can go back and

0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:02.520
<v Speaker 1>study that. To go back and check out my YouTube channel,

0:20:02.560 --> 0:20:07.439
<v Speaker 1>just search Mark Moss three cycles you'll find that information. So, um,

0:20:07.560 --> 0:20:10.800
<v Speaker 1>we have this geopolitical crisis ress Ukraine, and what's happening

0:20:10.880 --> 0:20:13.920
<v Speaker 1>is over the last I mean really two and or

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:15.760
<v Speaker 1>fifty years. But really, if we just look back over

0:20:15.800 --> 0:20:19.240
<v Speaker 1>like the last fifty years, the United States and really

0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 1>the world has been globalizing. So we've been starting to

0:20:22.640 --> 0:20:25.320
<v Speaker 1>work more with each other's countries. We're having more products.

0:20:25.359 --> 0:20:27.000
<v Speaker 1>The United States is offshore, and a lot of the

0:20:27.080 --> 0:20:30.960
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing base it's having products made in overseas and Asia,

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:34.640
<v Speaker 1>things like that. UM. We're getting these interconnected systems that

0:20:34.920 --> 0:20:39.760
<v Speaker 1>UM tie everything together, supply chains, UM, you know, shipping lines,

0:20:39.880 --> 0:20:43.320
<v Speaker 1>all these things. And what that's allowed for things to

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:46.719
<v Speaker 1>do is for UM, as the world gets more connected,

0:20:46.840 --> 0:20:49.320
<v Speaker 1>it's allowed things to get cheaper. So we took a

0:20:49.359 --> 0:20:51.359
<v Speaker 1>fifty tho dollar a year job that was in the

0:20:51.440 --> 0:20:53.960
<v Speaker 1>United States and now it's eight thousand dollars over in India.

0:20:54.160 --> 0:20:56.479
<v Speaker 1>We take a hundred dollar electronic part that was made

0:20:56.520 --> 0:20:58.040
<v Speaker 1>in the United States and now it's made for eight

0:20:58.040 --> 0:21:02.240
<v Speaker 1>dollars over in Asia or something like that. And so

0:21:02.400 --> 0:21:05.119
<v Speaker 1>what's happened is, especially over the last fifty years, is

0:21:05.200 --> 0:21:11.200
<v Speaker 1>we've had this globalization which has brought prices down at

0:21:11.200 --> 0:21:14.240
<v Speaker 1>the same time as the central banks around the world

0:21:14.240 --> 0:21:17.840
<v Speaker 1>have created trillions of dollars. So creating trillions of dollars

0:21:17.880 --> 0:21:21.040
<v Speaker 1>is inflationary. That inflates the monetary supply, which then pushes

0:21:21.080 --> 0:21:23.840
<v Speaker 1>prices up. But as it's been doing that, the world

0:21:23.880 --> 0:21:26.960
<v Speaker 1>has been globalizing, which has been pushing prices down. And

0:21:27.000 --> 0:21:29.200
<v Speaker 1>so it's been able to hide a lot of this,

0:21:30.119 --> 0:21:33.240
<v Speaker 1>but as we start to reverse that, they're not going

0:21:33.320 --> 0:21:37.520
<v Speaker 1>to be able to hide that. And we can see that. Um,

0:21:37.560 --> 0:21:39.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, since the fall of the I mean, like

0:21:40.000 --> 0:21:40.920
<v Speaker 1>I said, if you want to look at like the

0:21:41.000 --> 0:21:42.800
<v Speaker 1>last fifty years, it's really started the fall of the

0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:46.080
<v Speaker 1>Soviet Union nineteen. Any one really started that. Um. But

0:21:46.240 --> 0:21:48.359
<v Speaker 1>it's been happening for a long time, faster and faster

0:21:48.440 --> 0:21:52.240
<v Speaker 1>and faster. And now economists think that, Um, as this

0:21:52.359 --> 0:21:55.840
<v Speaker 1>starts to break apart, doesn't take an economist to figure

0:21:55.840 --> 0:21:59.280
<v Speaker 1>this out. Um, to make certain commodities or products, it's

0:21:59.320 --> 0:22:02.440
<v Speaker 1>going to become more expensive. Doesn't take a genius to

0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:06.000
<v Speaker 1>figure that out. Right, Uh, if if if if it

0:22:06.040 --> 0:22:07.359
<v Speaker 1>was a hundred dollars to make in the US, and

0:22:07.359 --> 0:22:08.719
<v Speaker 1>then there was eight dollars to make an Asian now

0:22:08.720 --> 0:22:10.600
<v Speaker 1>have to make in the US again. Of course it's

0:22:10.640 --> 0:22:15.600
<v Speaker 1>going to be more expensive. It's easy and um if

0:22:15.600 --> 0:22:18.879
<v Speaker 1>we have to onshore all this labor again. And I

0:22:19.000 --> 0:22:20.960
<v Speaker 1>so now I used to pay people eight thousand dollars

0:22:20.960 --> 0:22:22.720
<v Speaker 1>over the season, have to pay them fifty in the US.

0:22:22.960 --> 0:22:25.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna have to charge more for my products, just

0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:28.760
<v Speaker 1>the way it is. And so while we've been enjoying

0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:32.639
<v Speaker 1>these lower prices that might be over, the trend is reversing,

0:22:32.720 --> 0:22:35.159
<v Speaker 1>so to speak, because, like I said, the end of

0:22:35.160 --> 0:22:37.760
<v Speaker 1>this globalization, we can't we can't trust each other anymore.

0:22:37.760 --> 0:22:39.399
<v Speaker 1>We can't trust each other with the with the with

0:22:39.440 --> 0:22:42.400
<v Speaker 1>the financial system. Um. You know we have and even

0:22:42.440 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 1>before the Rush of Ukraine thing, we had the the U. S.

0:22:44.840 --> 0:22:48.000
<v Speaker 1>China trade war that broke out and that worsen, you know,

0:22:48.359 --> 0:22:52.159
<v Speaker 1>with with the global what it's called the coronavirus pandemic um.

0:22:52.200 --> 0:22:55.280
<v Speaker 1>Then that started straining supply chains. You hear a lot about,

0:22:55.320 --> 0:22:57.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, the bid administration, tendues. Inslation is happening because

0:22:57.880 --> 0:23:00.240
<v Speaker 1>supply chain supply chains, right, and so started with the

0:23:00.320 --> 0:23:02.440
<v Speaker 1>US trying to trade war, then it went into the pandemic,

0:23:03.440 --> 0:23:04.600
<v Speaker 1>and then of course now we have the Rush of

0:23:04.680 --> 0:23:07.000
<v Speaker 1>Ukraine war, which none of them are black swans, right,

0:23:07.080 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 1>this this is all predicted, um. And so we've seen

0:23:10.560 --> 0:23:13.639
<v Speaker 1>that exports are getting choked off in some cases, you know,

0:23:13.920 --> 0:23:16.199
<v Speaker 1>we can't get enough parts, which then mains prices go

0:23:16.280 --> 0:23:21.200
<v Speaker 1>up even more. But this is all part of the globalization.

0:23:21.240 --> 0:23:23.760
<v Speaker 1>But what is the economic impact of them? So as

0:23:23.760 --> 0:23:27.320
<v Speaker 1>global trade and many goods of commodities get disrupted even further,

0:23:28.480 --> 0:23:31.640
<v Speaker 1>then end product prices will continue to rise and contribute

0:23:31.640 --> 0:23:35.000
<v Speaker 1>to inflation. Right, what we've seen just so far from

0:23:35.040 --> 0:23:37.399
<v Speaker 1>the rush of Ukraine war is causing shortage of oil

0:23:37.440 --> 0:23:40.879
<v Speaker 1>and gas, which turns out we need those things. Unlike

0:23:40.880 --> 0:23:43.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people thinking that we have already built

0:23:43.359 --> 0:23:47.480
<v Speaker 1>up enough. Um they call it renewable energy. I like

0:23:47.600 --> 0:23:50.160
<v Speaker 1>to call it unreliable energy because the wind doesn't always

0:23:50.200 --> 0:23:52.720
<v Speaker 1>blow and the sun doesn't always shine, and so it

0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:55.760
<v Speaker 1>turns out we don't have wind and solar built up

0:23:55.800 --> 0:23:57.760
<v Speaker 1>like they told us that we did, and turns out

0:23:57.760 --> 0:23:59.960
<v Speaker 1>we still need things like oil and gas to survive.

0:24:00.000 --> 0:24:02.159
<v Speaker 1>I've not only we need oil and gas to like

0:24:02.240 --> 0:24:04.160
<v Speaker 1>move our cars and our planes, which of course move

0:24:04.200 --> 0:24:07.840
<v Speaker 1>our food. We actually need it for the production of food.

0:24:07.880 --> 0:24:10.160
<v Speaker 1>So we need the natural gas to make the fertilizer

0:24:10.600 --> 0:24:13.800
<v Speaker 1>to make the crops. And guess what, we still need food.

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:15.919
<v Speaker 1>And so now we're having shortage of oil and gas,

0:24:15.920 --> 0:24:18.680
<v Speaker 1>and that means we're having short shortage of food, food shortages,

0:24:18.920 --> 0:24:23.720
<v Speaker 1>food crisis. Really Wheat, nickel and neon we need those

0:24:23.760 --> 0:24:26.760
<v Speaker 1>for you know, electronics, all sorts of goods. We're starting

0:24:26.760 --> 0:24:29.560
<v Speaker 1>to see that we're having shortages, which is pushing prices up.

0:24:31.119 --> 0:24:34.199
<v Speaker 1>And uh, those kinds of shortages of course supply and demand.

0:24:34.440 --> 0:24:37.240
<v Speaker 1>We go shortage of goods and then that pushes the

0:24:37.280 --> 0:24:40.320
<v Speaker 1>prices up, leads to price pikes at the same time,

0:24:40.359 --> 0:24:43.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, more supply chain issues cause more price spikes

0:24:43.280 --> 0:24:46.440
<v Speaker 1>than it's this it's this vert vicious cycle, if you will.

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:50.960
<v Speaker 1>And turns out the central banks are good at printing money,

0:24:51.000 --> 0:24:54.840
<v Speaker 1>but they can't print more oil or natural gas imagine that,

0:24:55.040 --> 0:24:56.800
<v Speaker 1>which is pretty interesting. So there's really not a lot

0:24:56.880 --> 0:24:58.560
<v Speaker 1>they can do. Now. They could go print a fut

0:24:58.560 --> 0:25:01.400
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars and say, go build more more energy production plants,

0:25:01.480 --> 0:25:03.520
<v Speaker 1>or go grow more food, but it takes years to

0:25:03.600 --> 0:25:05.239
<v Speaker 1>get there, so it's not something they can just do.

0:25:07.119 --> 0:25:10.000
<v Speaker 1>And you know, we we hear a lot about inflation, inflation, inflation.

0:25:10.000 --> 0:25:12.120
<v Speaker 1>As a matter of fact, in the last week or two,

0:25:12.600 --> 0:25:16.040
<v Speaker 1>the latest CPI consumer price index numbers came out from

0:25:16.080 --> 0:25:18.879
<v Speaker 1>the government, and we're at eight point five, a record

0:25:19.000 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 1>level that we haven't been to and I think forty

0:25:20.840 --> 0:25:22.679
<v Speaker 1>two years since the eighties, which of course when we

0:25:22.720 --> 0:25:25.959
<v Speaker 1>had record high inflation back then. As well, and and

0:25:26.000 --> 0:25:31.080
<v Speaker 1>we cured it with then President Reagan's FED chair Paul Volker,

0:25:31.680 --> 0:25:36.479
<v Speaker 1>getting crazy and raising rates to over twenty percent. Twenty.

0:25:36.560 --> 0:25:38.720
<v Speaker 1>Now they've been at zero for the last several years

0:25:39.040 --> 0:25:41.960
<v Speaker 1>and they had to raise to stop it. Um And

0:25:42.000 --> 0:25:44.359
<v Speaker 1>so here we are at that at that place again.

0:25:44.480 --> 0:25:47.400
<v Speaker 1>But the you know, the Federals EVE thinks they can

0:25:47.440 --> 0:25:50.520
<v Speaker 1>control inflation by raising interest rates and and you know,

0:25:51.119 --> 0:25:54.800
<v Speaker 1>shrinking the size of its balance sheets supposedly. But even

0:25:54.880 --> 0:25:56.840
<v Speaker 1>if they do that, it's unlikely that higher prices are

0:25:56.840 --> 0:25:59.120
<v Speaker 1>going to go away soon. Because they can raise rates

0:25:59.160 --> 0:26:01.720
<v Speaker 1>all they want, they can shrink the balance sheet all

0:26:01.760 --> 0:26:04.879
<v Speaker 1>they want, but as I said, they can't print more energy.

0:26:05.040 --> 0:26:07.000
<v Speaker 1>They can't print more oil and gas, they can't print

0:26:07.119 --> 0:26:11.800
<v Speaker 1>more wheat. That doesn't just come back, And so we're

0:26:11.800 --> 0:26:14.239
<v Speaker 1>going to have those massive inflationary force. It doesn't seem like, um,

0:26:14.280 --> 0:26:15.880
<v Speaker 1>the higher price is going to go away anytime soon.

0:26:17.760 --> 0:26:19.720
<v Speaker 1>And so what happens then to the U S. Dollars

0:26:19.760 --> 0:26:23.560
<v Speaker 1>dominance in global commerce. Well, if if supply chains start

0:26:23.560 --> 0:26:25.760
<v Speaker 1>breaking down, we don't need as much global commerce. And

0:26:25.800 --> 0:26:28.480
<v Speaker 1>so now we probably um see the dollar starting to

0:26:28.520 --> 0:26:32.679
<v Speaker 1>lose more ground as the major global currency um, not

0:26:32.680 --> 0:26:34.600
<v Speaker 1>not that it would lose I'm not necessary calling for

0:26:34.640 --> 0:26:36.800
<v Speaker 1>an end of the dollar's reserve currency status, but we

0:26:36.920 --> 0:26:40.439
<v Speaker 1>definitely see a fragmentation at a smaller level. Um. And

0:26:40.480 --> 0:26:42.920
<v Speaker 1>so if we're not trading globally, then we could use

0:26:42.920 --> 0:26:46.600
<v Speaker 1>more localized currencies and things like that. And already seeing that,

0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:50.160
<v Speaker 1>we're already seeing that with some countries. They're already renegotiating

0:26:50.200 --> 0:26:54.120
<v Speaker 1>their currency to get paid. So for example, Russia says,

0:26:54.119 --> 0:26:55.920
<v Speaker 1>if you want our gas, then you've got to pay

0:26:55.920 --> 0:26:59.080
<v Speaker 1>in our currency. We don't want that other currency. There's

0:26:59.080 --> 0:27:00.399
<v Speaker 1>a lot of reasons for that, and I'm not going

0:27:00.440 --> 0:27:01.760
<v Speaker 1>to go into all that. We could go down that

0:27:01.760 --> 0:27:04.120
<v Speaker 1>whole rabbit hole. But the point is that we're already

0:27:04.160 --> 0:27:09.359
<v Speaker 1>starting to see some countries renegotiating in their currency. So

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:11.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm not saying the dollar is gonna lose the reserve

0:27:11.560 --> 0:27:15.000
<v Speaker 1>status of the world right away, um or maybe even ever.

0:27:15.160 --> 0:27:16.919
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I believe it will, but but it's not

0:27:16.960 --> 0:27:20.200
<v Speaker 1>inevitable at this point. But we will start to see

0:27:20.200 --> 0:27:25.040
<v Speaker 1>more fragmentation. It's already happening. Oh man, you listen to

0:27:25.040 --> 0:27:27.600
<v Speaker 1>the Mark Moa show. We're talking about bitcoin, cryptocurrencies. We're

0:27:27.600 --> 0:27:30.080
<v Speaker 1>talking about the decentralized revolution. We're talking about the way

0:27:30.160 --> 0:27:32.680
<v Speaker 1>the world is going through de globalization and what would

0:27:32.720 --> 0:27:38.160
<v Speaker 1>be the impact on bitcoin's price as that happens. That's

0:27:38.160 --> 0:27:40.880
<v Speaker 1>exactly what I'm I'm gonna explain to you. Like I said,

0:27:40.920 --> 0:27:42.520
<v Speaker 1>the price is not always the most interesting thing, but

0:27:42.560 --> 0:27:45.119
<v Speaker 1>in this case it is. So I'm gonna explain to

0:27:45.119 --> 0:27:46.240
<v Speaker 1>you what I think is going to happen to the

0:27:46.240 --> 0:27:49.800
<v Speaker 1>price as this all unwinds, and is it a risk

0:27:49.840 --> 0:27:51.720
<v Speaker 1>on or risk off asset that's want to cover when

0:27:51.720 --> 0:27:53.760
<v Speaker 1>I come back. You don't want to miss this, so

0:27:53.840 --> 0:27:56.440
<v Speaker 1>don't go away. I'll be right back. All right, Welcome back.

0:27:56.480 --> 0:27:59.200
<v Speaker 1>You are listening to the Mark Moa Show, and we

0:27:59.280 --> 0:28:03.280
<v Speaker 1>are talking about bitcoin. We're talking about cryptocurrencies, We're talking

0:28:03.280 --> 0:28:05.879
<v Speaker 1>about the decentralized revolution. Like we talked about each and

0:28:06.080 --> 0:28:11.000
<v Speaker 1>every week. I like to focus on the intersection of politics, finance,

0:28:11.160 --> 0:28:14.720
<v Speaker 1>and technology. It's where those three come together. In the

0:28:14.760 --> 0:28:18.680
<v Speaker 1>first segment, I was referencing Readalio's book The Changing World Order.

0:28:18.680 --> 0:28:21.280
<v Speaker 1>It's an amazing book. I highly recommend it. Um It's

0:28:21.280 --> 0:28:24.120
<v Speaker 1>got so much research, so many charts, it's so good.

0:28:24.160 --> 0:28:26.920
<v Speaker 1>But it only focuses on the financial side of things

0:28:27.600 --> 0:28:29.560
<v Speaker 1>a little bit talking about how the financial side of

0:28:29.560 --> 0:28:31.840
<v Speaker 1>things leads into the political side of things, but he

0:28:31.880 --> 0:28:35.679
<v Speaker 1>completely overlooks the technological side of things. And if you

0:28:35.680 --> 0:28:37.480
<v Speaker 1>go back through study history, and this is why I

0:28:37.480 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 1>don't understand how many how he misses this. If you

0:28:39.200 --> 0:28:44.040
<v Speaker 1>go back through history, it's always technology that changes the world. Um,

0:28:44.080 --> 0:28:46.480
<v Speaker 1>and he seems to leave that out, which is pretty interesting.

0:28:46.560 --> 0:28:49.120
<v Speaker 1>But back to that's why I like to focus on

0:28:49.160 --> 0:28:52.760
<v Speaker 1>those three things together, those intersections. And before the break,

0:28:52.760 --> 0:28:55.080
<v Speaker 1>I was talking about, um, we're at this point the

0:28:55.080 --> 0:28:57.920
<v Speaker 1>pendulum is swinging back from globalization. We're gonna start swinging

0:28:57.960 --> 0:29:01.200
<v Speaker 1>back to decentralization or deglobalization. And I was talking about

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:03.680
<v Speaker 1>specifically what would be the impact on bitquins price, and

0:29:03.720 --> 0:29:06.280
<v Speaker 1>I was talking about how, um, the dollar. You know,

0:29:06.320 --> 0:29:10.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm not calling for an inevitable, imminent crash of the

0:29:10.280 --> 0:29:13.320
<v Speaker 1>dollar's urve status, but we're definitely starting to see as

0:29:13.320 --> 0:29:17.000
<v Speaker 1>supply chains breakdown, we're starting to see more regional prices

0:29:17.080 --> 0:29:19.320
<v Speaker 1>and currencies pop up. We're already starting to see some

0:29:19.320 --> 0:29:23.920
<v Speaker 1>countries renegotiate terms in their own in their own currencies. Now, UM,

0:29:23.960 --> 0:29:26.880
<v Speaker 1>it's not just me saying this, I mean Larry. Larry Faint,

0:29:26.920 --> 0:29:29.840
<v Speaker 1>the founder of black Rock, the world's largest asset manager,

0:29:30.040 --> 0:29:33.840
<v Speaker 1>basically said in his annual investor letter, quote, well, dependence

0:29:33.880 --> 0:29:36.320
<v Speaker 1>on Russian energy is in the spotlight. Companies of governments

0:29:36.320 --> 0:29:38.760
<v Speaker 1>will also be looking more broadly at their dependencies on

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:41.640
<v Speaker 1>other nations end quote. So what he's saying is that

0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:45.600
<v Speaker 1>everyone started to like revite everything like, shoot, I didn't

0:29:45.640 --> 0:29:49.240
<v Speaker 1>realize how dependent I was on Russia fill in the blank,

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:53.040
<v Speaker 1>China or whatever, and shoot, who else am I this

0:29:53.120 --> 0:29:55.479
<v Speaker 1>depended on? If I was a business, I wouldn't want

0:29:55.520 --> 0:29:58.120
<v Speaker 1>to have a business that was dependent on only one customer,

0:29:58.160 --> 0:30:00.320
<v Speaker 1>because if I only had one customer and they didn't

0:30:00.320 --> 0:30:02.360
<v Speaker 1>buy from anymore, my whole business goes under. Or if

0:30:02.400 --> 0:30:04.600
<v Speaker 1>I only had one vendor, right, And that's what a

0:30:04.640 --> 0:30:07.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of countries have found themselves in. He went on

0:30:07.040 --> 0:30:10.360
<v Speaker 1>to say, quote this may lead companies to onshore or

0:30:10.480 --> 0:30:13.360
<v Speaker 1>near shore more of their operations, resulting in a faster

0:30:13.480 --> 0:30:16.360
<v Speaker 1>pullback from some countries end quote. So what he's saying

0:30:16.440 --> 0:30:18.360
<v Speaker 1>is that we've been sending all our jobs and our

0:30:18.400 --> 0:30:21.719
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing overseas, which has made things much cheaper for us.

0:30:22.000 --> 0:30:25.320
<v Speaker 1>But now it's like, oh, shoot, I better have control

0:30:25.360 --> 0:30:27.880
<v Speaker 1>of this here, I better bring some of this back,

0:30:28.720 --> 0:30:32.640
<v Speaker 1>and it may happen faster than what um some people think,

0:30:32.680 --> 0:30:34.239
<v Speaker 1>which is what he's saying, of course, than it is.

0:30:34.480 --> 0:30:36.760
<v Speaker 1>And then you want to say, quote a large scale

0:30:36.760 --> 0:30:40.600
<v Speaker 1>re orientation of supply chain, supply chains will be inherently

0:30:41.360 --> 0:30:46.720
<v Speaker 1>inflationary end quote. So what he's saying is that as

0:30:46.800 --> 0:30:49.480
<v Speaker 1>we start to reorganize the supply chain so we're not

0:30:49.560 --> 0:30:52.400
<v Speaker 1>so dependent on all these countries, it's going to be

0:30:52.440 --> 0:30:55.560
<v Speaker 1>inflationary again. As I started out saying, we took a

0:30:55.600 --> 0:30:58.400
<v Speaker 1>fifty job and shipped off off shore for eight thousand,

0:30:58.440 --> 0:30:59.760
<v Speaker 1>and we took a hundred dollar apart, we make it

0:30:59.800 --> 0:31:02.880
<v Speaker 1>off for eight dollars. But now it's the opposite of that.

0:31:02.960 --> 0:31:05.320
<v Speaker 1>So prices went down when we did that, and then

0:31:05.440 --> 0:31:08.200
<v Speaker 1>we bring it back or reverse it, guess what prices

0:31:08.320 --> 0:31:10.920
<v Speaker 1>go back up? So what would be the impact on

0:31:10.920 --> 0:31:16.080
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin's price. Well, most people, many analysts, think that bitcoin

0:31:16.160 --> 0:31:19.640
<v Speaker 1>serves as an inflation hedge like gold, and it has right.

0:31:19.720 --> 0:31:23.920
<v Speaker 1>So bitcoin went from zero dollars to forty dollars, so

0:31:24.080 --> 0:31:26.560
<v Speaker 1>it's gone up way more than the rate of inflation.

0:31:26.640 --> 0:31:29.440
<v Speaker 1>So it has hedged me against inflation, So it has

0:31:29.520 --> 0:31:33.200
<v Speaker 1>done for that. Um. Bitcoin is what we would consider

0:31:33.280 --> 0:31:37.000
<v Speaker 1>hard money. It's harder money than the dollar because the

0:31:37.000 --> 0:31:39.400
<v Speaker 1>Federal Reserve just prints million dollars they want, but nobody

0:31:39.440 --> 0:31:42.520
<v Speaker 1>can print more bitcoin, and so it's harder money. It's

0:31:42.520 --> 0:31:45.040
<v Speaker 1>harder money than gold. Um. If the price of gold

0:31:45.040 --> 0:31:46.800
<v Speaker 1>went to ten thousand dollars and now it's more people

0:31:46.840 --> 0:31:49.800
<v Speaker 1>would go mind gold, and more gold would come into existence.

0:31:50.080 --> 0:31:51.680
<v Speaker 1>But even if the price of bitcoin went to a

0:31:51.760 --> 0:31:54.160
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollars and more people try to mind bitcoin, it

0:31:54.200 --> 0:31:58.160
<v Speaker 1>would not produce more bitcoin. So it's very very very

0:31:58.200 --> 0:32:02.760
<v Speaker 1>hard money, um. And so it should be an inflation head,

0:32:02.840 --> 0:32:06.920
<v Speaker 1>right you think. However, it hasn't really seemed to be

0:32:06.920 --> 0:32:12.200
<v Speaker 1>working like that. Um. And why is that? Well, part

0:32:12.280 --> 0:32:14.760
<v Speaker 1>of it is because is bitcoin a risk on or

0:32:14.840 --> 0:32:18.240
<v Speaker 1>a risk off asset? So US inflation jumped to like

0:32:18.280 --> 0:32:21.120
<v Speaker 1>I said, eight point five percent. Why did bitcoin's price

0:32:21.240 --> 0:32:23.480
<v Speaker 1>rock it up after the inflation print came out? Isn't

0:32:23.520 --> 0:32:28.080
<v Speaker 1>it supposed to be an inflation hedge? Is bitcoin an

0:32:28.080 --> 0:32:30.239
<v Speaker 1>actual inflation? Is it a bad inflication? Is is it

0:32:30.240 --> 0:32:32.280
<v Speaker 1>ever going to be a store value? Right? And so

0:32:32.320 --> 0:32:34.520
<v Speaker 1>there's like all these promises about bitcoin was supposed to

0:32:34.560 --> 0:32:39.120
<v Speaker 1>be and you would think that you know, um, the FED.

0:32:39.400 --> 0:32:42.080
<v Speaker 1>The FED is controlling the money supply. Obviously, no one

0:32:42.080 --> 0:32:44.840
<v Speaker 1>controls the bitcoin supply. The FED is controlling the money supply,

0:32:45.040 --> 0:32:49.760
<v Speaker 1>and they've been given a responsibility for the US monetary

0:32:49.800 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 1>policy to ensure it's what's called the dual mandate. The

0:32:53.560 --> 0:32:56.760
<v Speaker 1>dual mandates are one maximum employment and two stable prices.

0:32:57.080 --> 0:33:00.920
<v Speaker 1>Now it's interesting about the stable prices is that the

0:33:00.960 --> 0:33:05.080
<v Speaker 1>FED basically has three levers in order to achieve that goal. One, um,

0:33:05.160 --> 0:33:08.880
<v Speaker 1>they can print money, Two they can control interest rates,

0:33:09.800 --> 0:33:12.920
<v Speaker 1>and three they can set the rules for the reserve

0:33:12.960 --> 0:33:18.960
<v Speaker 1>requirements of the banks. So if they put if they say, hey,

0:33:19.160 --> 0:33:21.200
<v Speaker 1>banks you don't need to keep as much in reserves anymore.

0:33:21.200 --> 0:33:22.840
<v Speaker 1>You can create more money than they create more money.

0:33:22.880 --> 0:33:25.840
<v Speaker 1>If they lower interest rates, people borrow more, which creates money,

0:33:25.960 --> 0:33:28.200
<v Speaker 1>or they could just print money directly. So they have

0:33:28.280 --> 0:33:32.640
<v Speaker 1>those things, and they can print money basically by buying

0:33:32.720 --> 0:33:35.640
<v Speaker 1>bonds and things like that. So all money is debt based.

0:33:35.680 --> 0:33:38.960
<v Speaker 1>It's created into existence by debt by loaning it out

0:33:40.280 --> 0:33:43.360
<v Speaker 1>and so um. The other the other mandate is stable prices,

0:33:43.400 --> 0:33:46.040
<v Speaker 1>which is kind of funny. So the FED has this,

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:49.040
<v Speaker 1>that's their goal. That's their dual mandate, and it's historically

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:52.960
<v Speaker 1>meant an arbitrary number of two percent target for inflation

0:33:53.000 --> 0:33:57.120
<v Speaker 1>each year, meaning the FED once things to cost two

0:33:57.160 --> 0:33:59.800
<v Speaker 1>percent more each year. That's what that's what that means.

0:34:00.080 --> 0:34:01.360
<v Speaker 1>So their goal is to have two percent. And you

0:34:01.440 --> 0:34:03.880
<v Speaker 1>heard this. We can't quite get two percent inflation. We're

0:34:03.880 --> 0:34:05.360
<v Speaker 1>trying to get two percent. We can't get it, we

0:34:05.400 --> 0:34:07.760
<v Speaker 1>can't get it. Well, their goal of two percent means

0:34:08.120 --> 0:34:10.560
<v Speaker 1>things cost two percent more per year. Or let me

0:34:10.560 --> 0:34:13.080
<v Speaker 1>put it another way, that means you lose two percent

0:34:13.239 --> 0:34:15.640
<v Speaker 1>per year. Let me put it another way. At a

0:34:15.680 --> 0:34:20.239
<v Speaker 1>two percent inflation number, that means your money or your savings,

0:34:20.640 --> 0:34:24.320
<v Speaker 1>your money has a half life of thirty five years,

0:34:24.960 --> 0:34:27.840
<v Speaker 1>So that means that two percent inflation. Their goal, the

0:34:27.880 --> 0:34:31.520
<v Speaker 1>FEDS goal is for you to lose fifty percent half

0:34:31.520 --> 0:34:34.919
<v Speaker 1>of your money in thirty five years. That sound good,

0:34:36.239 --> 0:34:38.200
<v Speaker 1>Sure doesn't sound good to me. Now let me put

0:34:38.239 --> 0:34:41.000
<v Speaker 1>it another way. At seven percent. Now to remember, we

0:34:41.080 --> 0:34:44.479
<v Speaker 1>just at eight point five. At seven percent, that means

0:34:44.520 --> 0:34:49.520
<v Speaker 1>you lose half your money in ten years. That's their goal.

0:34:49.920 --> 0:34:53.320
<v Speaker 1>That's their stated goal. That's what they consider stable prices.

0:34:55.360 --> 0:34:58.040
<v Speaker 1>That's insane. That's what they consider stable prices. I would

0:34:58.040 --> 0:35:01.480
<v Speaker 1>think stable prices means that I don't lose any money

0:35:01.520 --> 0:35:03.880
<v Speaker 1>over ten years, or thirty years or a hundred years.

0:35:04.239 --> 0:35:06.160
<v Speaker 1>I would think that if I put a hundred thousand

0:35:06.200 --> 0:35:08.680
<v Speaker 1>in the bank today, in a hundred years from now,

0:35:08.800 --> 0:35:12.000
<v Speaker 1>I still have a hundred thousand dollars worth of buying power.

0:35:12.560 --> 0:35:15.439
<v Speaker 1>But instead I put a hundred thousand into the bank,

0:35:15.760 --> 0:35:18.440
<v Speaker 1>and in a hunt and a hundred years that hundred

0:35:18.440 --> 0:35:22.320
<v Speaker 1>thousand now only buys me about five thousand dollars worth

0:35:22.360 --> 0:35:27.239
<v Speaker 1>of goods and services or two thousand dollars. So that's

0:35:27.320 --> 0:35:30.600
<v Speaker 1>basically what's happening. Those stable prices are the FEDS gold

0:35:31.080 --> 0:35:35.239
<v Speaker 1>and so in times of high inflation an economics, economic uncertainty,

0:35:35.560 --> 0:35:38.840
<v Speaker 1>investors go risk off, right, They're gonna fly to quality.

0:35:39.239 --> 0:35:41.680
<v Speaker 1>They're gonna say, um, it's too risky. I want to

0:35:41.680 --> 0:35:44.440
<v Speaker 1>go into something like cash or something like government bonds

0:35:44.480 --> 0:35:47.319
<v Speaker 1>that guarantee me something something like gold even and you

0:35:47.360 --> 0:35:50.720
<v Speaker 1>know it's better than gold gold to point oh or bitcoin.

0:35:51.160 --> 0:35:53.480
<v Speaker 1>So we have high inflation, so everyone just piled right

0:35:53.520 --> 0:35:55.880
<v Speaker 1>into bitcoin right then the price went up. That's not

0:35:55.920 --> 0:35:59.239
<v Speaker 1>exactly happened and why not, Well, it's because it's a

0:35:59.280 --> 0:36:03.000
<v Speaker 1>little bit who soon, right, There's one thing missing, it's

0:36:03.040 --> 0:36:06.400
<v Speaker 1>the narrative. So bitcoin's hard money properties do make it

0:36:06.440 --> 0:36:09.759
<v Speaker 1>a risk off asset for its supporters, but most investors

0:36:09.800 --> 0:36:12.840
<v Speaker 1>still see it like a stock, like a risk on asset.

0:36:13.480 --> 0:36:17.120
<v Speaker 1>And so even though if you really understand it, you

0:36:17.200 --> 0:36:19.720
<v Speaker 1>understand it's hard money and it's risk off, most people

0:36:19.760 --> 0:36:21.360
<v Speaker 1>buying it today still look at it as a stock

0:36:21.440 --> 0:36:25.560
<v Speaker 1>as risk on, and so it's really Bitcoin is more

0:36:25.560 --> 0:36:28.239
<v Speaker 1>of like an aspirational store of value than the best

0:36:28.239 --> 0:36:30.279
<v Speaker 1>store of value right now today, unless you have a

0:36:30.280 --> 0:36:33.040
<v Speaker 1>long enough period of time, and the narrative needs to

0:36:33.040 --> 0:36:35.320
<v Speaker 1>penetrate more than a hundred million people that own it

0:36:35.360 --> 0:36:38.560
<v Speaker 1>today and get to the other seven point eight billion

0:36:38.640 --> 0:36:41.400
<v Speaker 1>people who don't view this system as a store of

0:36:41.480 --> 0:36:47.040
<v Speaker 1>value yet. However, that makes it our opportunity because the

0:36:47.080 --> 0:36:49.960
<v Speaker 1>rest of those people don't realize this yet. Then we

0:36:50.080 --> 0:36:52.279
<v Speaker 1>have an advantage to front run that we can get

0:36:52.320 --> 0:36:56.120
<v Speaker 1>in now before the masses do. So. The cost of

0:36:56.160 --> 0:37:01.080
<v Speaker 1>admission is one volatility and two having to wait. If

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:03.360
<v Speaker 1>you can stomach the volatility, the price is going up

0:37:03.360 --> 0:37:05.520
<v Speaker 1>and down and you can afford to wait five years,

0:37:05.920 --> 0:37:09.960
<v Speaker 1>you will be handsomely rewarded. The flip side is if

0:37:10.000 --> 0:37:13.319
<v Speaker 1>you have instant gratification and you can't wait a couple

0:37:13.320 --> 0:37:15.160
<v Speaker 1>of years and you can't stomach the volatility, then you

0:37:15.160 --> 0:37:17.759
<v Speaker 1>can wait and buy it later. You're listening to the

0:37:17.800 --> 0:37:21.480
<v Speaker 1>Markmas Show talking about bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and the decentralized revolution,

0:37:22.280 --> 0:37:25.080
<v Speaker 1>giving you the play by play. Hopefully this made sense

0:37:25.080 --> 0:37:27.160
<v Speaker 1>to you. Hopefully you can stomach and wait it out,

0:37:27.200 --> 0:37:29.320
<v Speaker 1>because you will be rewarded thanks for listening.