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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast. But this one is good.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go. We're growing in so spect.

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Speaker 1: We're saying it's a cash toto that all we see

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Speaker 1: most gamblers when they go to gamble, they go to win. God,

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Speaker 1: that's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money. All right? This is the

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Speaker 1: ultimate Kabani want to and we are underway.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. I am Brandon Anderson,

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Speaker 3: joined as always by Raheem Palmer and folks. At the

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Speaker 3: time of recording, it is five pm Central. We are

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Speaker 3: counting down. We are down to the minutes now until

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Speaker 3: real live NFL football. By the time you hear this,

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Speaker 3: you will have watched the Dallas Cowboys and the Tampa

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Speaker 3: Bay Buccaneers.

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Speaker 2: Football is here.

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Speaker 3: We were all set to give you our usual Friday

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Speaker 3: podcast Rundown, and then the Day from Hell came to

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Speaker 3: the Baltimore Ravens.

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Speaker 2: So we're changing things up a little bit.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna give you a bit of an emergency podcast

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Speaker 3: here on the Ravens. Raheem, before we get into that,

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Speaker 3: how excited are you to watch some actual live football tonight?

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Speaker 1: I'm very excited. I'm a diehard dollars. Cowboys fan, I

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Speaker 1: don't quite roof for them in the same manner that

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Speaker 1: I did in the past because I'm loyal to my bank.

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Speaker 1: Role for NFL is here. It's time to make some money,

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Speaker 1: It's time to watch some football. It's time to eat

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Speaker 1: some wings or some salary if you're vegan, so I'm excited.

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Speaker 2: Love that salary only diet. Let's get it.

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Speaker 3: So before we get started, just a quick reminder of

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Speaker 3: everything you can find here in the Action Network podcast

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Speaker 3: if you haven't listened yet, and make sure to check

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Speaker 3: out our flagship episode from Stocky and Raven with their

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Speaker 3: six pack picks for the week. Lots of good info

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Speaker 3: in there. We had a couple of totals, there was

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Speaker 3: a parlay, lots of good stuff there, so make sure

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Speaker 3: to listen to that. That will come to you late

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Speaker 3: night overnight on Wednesdays. First thing for you on Thursdays

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Speaker 3: and then we will Rahiem and I will be here

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Speaker 3: on Friday, and then we'll be in your ear holes

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Speaker 3: first thing Monday morning to talk about everything you saw

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Speaker 3: on Sunday and process and break down what happened with

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Speaker 3: the games, how did we win so much money together?

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Speaker 3: And how will we get set up to win some

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Speaker 3: more money for the next week. As always, our odds

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Speaker 3: today are from BTMGM, the official odds provider of the

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Speaker 3: Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 2: So let's just jump right into the emergency.

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Speaker 1: Rahim.

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Speaker 2: What happened this afternoon? What's the news with the Ravens.

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Speaker 1: The Ravens need to sage their practice facility because it's

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Speaker 1: reported that cornerback Marcus Peters and running back Gus Edwards

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Speaker 1: potentially had knee injuries. They're both They're feared to be

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Speaker 1: torn acls. This is just really, really, really devastating. The

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Speaker 1: news comes after start and running back JK Doves suffered

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Speaker 1: a season inded knee injury and he already had lost

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Speaker 1: Justice Hill, who tours Achilles early in a week. It's

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Speaker 1: just I mean, worst can't explain how devastating this is

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Speaker 1: for Ravens team that's super reliant on the run. I mean,

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Speaker 1: what are your thoughts?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's big news and I have I have been

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Speaker 3: very high on the Ravens for years, really like this

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Speaker 3: has been my team. When they made the big rise

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Speaker 3: a couple of years ago with Lamar Jackson's MVP season,

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Speaker 3: they were my Super Bowl pick that year. And they

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Speaker 3: looked good all year. Came up a little short, but

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Speaker 3: I have kind of stayed on the bandwagon ever since.

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Speaker 3: I thought there's a lot of value on this team.

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Speaker 3: And boy, it was a rough afternoon from that perspective. Look,

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Speaker 3: we know, running back is the least important position maybe

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Speaker 3: on the football team, you know, certainly on offense. It's

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Speaker 3: definitely the position that you know, when I grew up

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Speaker 3: in the nineties, Emitt Smith and Barry Sanders, and that

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Speaker 3: was the glory position then. And you know, it's kind

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Speaker 3: of become the NBA center of the NFL of just like,

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Speaker 3: just get somebody in there. Is he seven feet tall

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Speaker 3: and he can stand in block shots like in the NFL.

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Speaker 3: Just just get like a twohundred fifty pound dude that

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Speaker 3: can run straight and knock a couple of guys over.

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Speaker 2: It's fine, and that might be true, but JK.

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Speaker 3: Dobbins and Justice Hill and Gus Edwards and it just

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Speaker 3: happens to be the one team in the NFL that

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Speaker 3: is going to run more than any other team and

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Speaker 3: that you know, really needs to get those running backs going.

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Speaker 3: This team led the league in rushing, especially in like

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Speaker 3: Dvoa Football outsiders and things like that for the last

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Speaker 3: couple of years, Like this is a dominant rushing attack.

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Speaker 3: So if any team can't afford to lose the running

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Speaker 3: back depth and actually it matter, it seems like it's

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Speaker 3: this team. But running backs aren't supposed to matter. This

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Speaker 3: is what we've learned so far. So here's the depth

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Speaker 3: chart right now as far as we know. And again

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Speaker 3: Thursday afternoon, so by the time that you listen to

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Speaker 3: this Friday, we maybe Barry or Emma will be back.

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Speaker 3: Like we're running out of names here, so these guys

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Speaker 3: might be on the roster. Le'Veon on the practice squad.

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Speaker 3: He's probably gonna see some time on Monday night. Devonte

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Speaker 3: Freeman was signed today. Tyson Williams went from this kind

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Speaker 3: of trendy sleeper last round fantasy pick to maybe the belcow,

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Speaker 3: maybe the starter on this team. Trenton Cannon is there.

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Speaker 3: That's the running back crew. So I talked with our

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Speaker 3: Samantha Pervidi to say, okay, who's the fantasy pickup.

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Speaker 2: She says, no one. So it's it's ugly.

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Speaker 3: There's not really a play here at running back and

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Speaker 3: it seems like a problem. But how much do you

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Speaker 3: think this actually matters to this offense.

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Speaker 1: I think it's absolutely devastating to their chances. The Ravens

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Speaker 1: had the highest pass rue ratio in the league at

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Speaker 1: fifty five percent run of forty five percent pass. They

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Speaker 1: were eleven offensive efficiency. Last year they were third in

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Speaker 1: the run and seventeenth and passed. They had the third

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Speaker 1: highest explosive run rate they were fifteenth and explosive pass rate.

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Speaker 1: When you look at Lamar Jackson and Dvoway twenty first

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Speaker 1: and dvo Way if you look at you go even

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Speaker 1: further down the metrics, he was twenty third in EPA

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Speaker 1: as expected points at it. So, I mean, this is

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Speaker 1: a guy who really struggles to get the ball out

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Speaker 1: to the hash marks. I mean they signed Sammy Watkins,

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Speaker 1: but I mean and wide receiver. I'm not really respecting

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Speaker 1: this crew to be a group of guys who was

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Speaker 1: just dangerous. This isn't the crew over in Minnesota with

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Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson and Adam Feeling. This isn't the crew over

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Speaker 1: in Kansas City. I mean, you got Devin de Verne,

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Speaker 1: you got Rashad Bateman, you got Sammy Wackins, Mark Keith Brown.

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Speaker 1: And this is a situation where Lamar Jackson has to

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Speaker 1: he has to take off the training wheels, and I'm

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Speaker 1: really really concerned about this team, and the run really

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Speaker 1: opens up everything for this team. They were one of

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Speaker 1: the best third down conversion teams in the league last

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Speaker 1: year because they can run the ball. They have the

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Speaker 1: run pass option. If you can't run, that takes away

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Speaker 1: so much of what they're gonna do. So I think

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Speaker 1: we're in a situation to where this team is gonna

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Speaker 1: sink or swing with Lamar Jackson. And you almost have

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Speaker 1: to wonder if Lamar Jackson at plus seventeen hundred has

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Speaker 1: some value to win MVP.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that that's really interesting. And I just

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Speaker 3: put up my MVP column yesterday at Action Network and

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Speaker 3: Lamar Jackson was in my final four. Partly because we

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Speaker 3: love to give out repeat MVPs. Nine of the last

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Speaker 3: thirteen quarterbacks that have won the award have been guys

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Speaker 3: that won up before and those are just Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 3: and Tom Brady and Peyton Manning winning it over and

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Speaker 3: over and over.

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Speaker 1: Again because that's what we do.

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Speaker 3: And I feel like we've kind of collectively put Lamar

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Speaker 3: Jackson into that Matt Ryan bucket that oh yeah, that

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Speaker 3: year that year that he was the MVP, and maybe

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Speaker 3: it's not. And to play Devil's advocate here, is it

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Speaker 3: possible that this could end up being for the offense

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Speaker 3: kind of a two steps back, three steps forward thing

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Speaker 3: in time. What if the lack of the run game

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Speaker 3: forces their hand and forces the passing game, and maybe

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Speaker 3: in the early part of the season that's not great,

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Speaker 3: but we're counting on the defense, the special teams, the coaching,

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Speaker 3: the kind of hold down the fort The receivers are

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Speaker 3: maybe not great, but I think they're the best Lamar

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Speaker 3: has had. Markus Brown is healthy, that's the speed option

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Speaker 3: that they need to have out there that they haven't

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Speaker 3: really had the past few years to stretch the field.

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Speaker 3: Sammy Watkins the same thing, at least for a couple

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Speaker 3: of weeks until he gets hurt or Shaan Bateman hopefully.

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Speaker 3: I think he's a great fit there and a good target.

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Speaker 3: Mark Andrews, for sure is a very good target and

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Speaker 3: a sure handed guy. What if this injury forces a

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Speaker 3: more even balanced game, forces Lamar to develop a little

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Speaker 3: bit as a passer, and ends up kind of you know,

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Speaker 3: writing the ship long term, like developing a part of

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Speaker 3: the game that everyone has kind of just given up

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Speaker 3: on at this point. But Lamar's not old like, he

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Speaker 3: still has a long ways to go. And let's be

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Speaker 3: fair too, the Ravens have not lost their best running back.

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Speaker 3: That's Lamar Jackson. He's over a thousand yards two years

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Speaker 3: or two yeah, two seasons.

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Speaker 1: In a row. So I don't know what's interesting to me.

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Speaker 3: I have my spreadsheet to kind I keep track of

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Speaker 3: my model to see, okay, how do I rate the offenses?

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Speaker 3: And I have rankings by each position group and then

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Speaker 3: they're weighted. Running back is lowest. Running back is weighted

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Speaker 3: is equally as tight end. If that gives you any

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Speaker 3: idea of just how little importance it is. So when

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Speaker 3: I went in there and said, okay, basically, if they're

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Speaker 3: the worst running backs in the league, which they're certainly

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Speaker 3: in the conversation of right now, even if you do that,

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Speaker 3: it barely moves the needle. The offense drops for me

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Speaker 3: from seventh in the NFL to eighth. It basically doesn't

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Speaker 3: affect them by the model. I think it affects them

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Speaker 3: a little bit more than that because of the way

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Speaker 3: that their running game is so emphasized. To me, though

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Speaker 3: I will talk about is I think Gus Edwards and

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Speaker 3: the running back disaster is what's going to get the attention.

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Speaker 3: Marcus Peters to me is the real attention grabber. Marcus

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Speaker 3: Peters is a huge loss to them. What you loved

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Speaker 3: about the defense is that their corners were the best

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Speaker 3: in the NFL and cornerbacks too is owners and offensive

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Speaker 3: line are two areas that can absolutely derail your season.

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Speaker 3: If you get the injuries and the domino start to come,

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Speaker 3: you just can't make up ground. There's too many guys

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Speaker 3: and you're too far down the depth chart, and it

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Speaker 3: can just totally derail your season. And Marcus Peters was

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Speaker 3: really good. Wink Martindale's defense blitz is a ton and

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Speaker 3: they rely heavily on the corners to get the job done.

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Speaker 3: So Marlon Humphrey is still very good. Jimmy Smith probably good.

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Speaker 3: Pretty old Tevon Young maybe good. Can't stay healthy. I

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Speaker 3: feel like the defense takes a serious blow in my rankings.

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Speaker 3: They drop from seventh to outside the top ten. And

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Speaker 3: I think even more worrisome, is there one more cornerback

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Speaker 3: injury away from like disaster at this point?

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Speaker 2: What do you think about that? Does the defense hold

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Speaker 2: up to you.

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Speaker 1: When I look at Marcus Peters, when I look at

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Speaker 1: his I mean his metrics, he wasn't great. I mean

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Speaker 1: he only had a forty eight percent success rate. I

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Speaker 1: mean you look at all corners of the team outside

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Speaker 1: of Anthony Averett, he was probably the worst guy in

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Speaker 1: the secondary. So I don't know if this completely destroys them,

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Speaker 1: but I do think it's I mean, it's it's a

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Speaker 1: tough loss. Obviously, you don't want to lose a corner

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Speaker 1: and in a pass happy league, but don't I don't

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Speaker 1: think it's completely devastating, but like you said, it hurts

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Speaker 1: their death. I mean, Jimmy Smith is in his eleven season.

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Speaker 1: He's thirty three years old, so it's like you can't

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Speaker 1: afford to lose a starting quarterback in this league. So

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be tough, but I think it's it's something

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Speaker 1: that they can overcome. This is an offensive league at

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Speaker 1: the end of the day, so you got to be

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Speaker 1: able to score points. And how the Ravens score points

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Speaker 1: what's on the ground. So I think Lamar, like I

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Speaker 1: said earlier, Lamar Jackson is gonna have to put on

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Speaker 1: his big boy pants. He's gonna have to take off

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Speaker 1: the training wheels and become a quarterback in a traditional manner,

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Speaker 1: and it remains to be seen.

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Speaker 2: If we could see it, Yeah, I think it's gonna

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Speaker 2: be interesting to watch.

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Speaker 4: Now.

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Speaker 3: It's a real bummer just as a fan of the game,

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Speaker 3: because what you love about Baltimore is that they're different.

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Speaker 3: They're they're their own thing, and I feel like the

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Speaker 3: Gus Edwards injury and the JK. Dobbins and Justice Hill

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Speaker 3: it takes away from that identity and Baltimore. Part of

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Speaker 3: why Baltimore has been so good is because they know

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Speaker 3: what they are. It's different than everyone else, and they

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Speaker 3: stick to the plan. And I feel like both of

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Speaker 3: these injuries are direct hits to the exact plan that

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Speaker 3: they have, the exact thing they want to do on

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Speaker 3: offense and on defense. So I just every year it

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Speaker 3: feels like we get a team or two that's supposed

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Speaker 3: to be a contender and they get that season from hell,

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Speaker 3: and it's just really hard to shake the feeling that

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Speaker 3: that's kind of where this is starting to head for

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Speaker 3: the Ravens. The running back, the whole thing is out.

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Speaker 3: Marcus Peters, don't forget Lamar Jackson had covid in August.

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Speaker 3: And so like we saw last year with Cam Newton

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Speaker 3: when he was out, he was never the same after that.

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Speaker 3: So this is not the same player. But it's a

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Speaker 3: worry just you know, we've seen plenty of players where

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Speaker 3: when you come back, it's not quite the same. Rashad

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Speaker 3: Bateman was supposed to be the big receiver, edition he

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Speaker 3: missed a lot of preseason injured. It's just it's starting

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Speaker 3: to feel like the dominoes are lining up, and it's

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Speaker 3: it's a cumulative effect to me, where it's you know,

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Speaker 3: even if Marcus Peters isn't great, even you know, your

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Speaker 3: metrics certainly don't paint the great picture, But who's the

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Speaker 3: next guy up, and how much worse is he than

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Speaker 3: even what Peters might have been? And I think that

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Speaker 3: that's the problem. So I recommended a Ravens as a

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Speaker 3: one seed. I love them in this division. This was

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Speaker 3: one of my two favorite teams in the AFC, and

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Speaker 3: it's starting to feel like a stay away or at

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Speaker 3: least a wait and see sort of team. Monday night,

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Speaker 3: they traveled to Vegas to play the Raiders. That is

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Speaker 3: the first game ever for those Vegas fans in the

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Speaker 3: stadium and that to me also feels like a stay away.

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Speaker 3: I was on Baltimore before this, but I'm worried. I'm

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Speaker 3: worried about the team. This was a team I was

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Speaker 3: very high on and I'm not out, but I'm definitely

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Speaker 3: at a wait and see your approach.

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Speaker 1: To me, I think they've just been snake bitting over

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Speaker 1: the last couple of years. You know, a lot of

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Speaker 1: people are gonna blame them more. But I mean that

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Speaker 1: Tennessee playoff loss wasn't necessarily his fault. I mean they

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Speaker 1: outgained Tennessee. They had like nearly five hundred yards, and

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Speaker 1: they just you know, were unfortunate on fourth down and

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Speaker 1: they had some turnovers. And then the following year, I

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Speaker 1: feel like the the office line got beat up a bit.

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Speaker 1: I mean, he had some injuries. I mean Marshall Gander

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Speaker 1: retired obviously. I mean you have the departure of Orlando Brown,

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Speaker 1: who is in Kansas City right now, so it remains

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Speaker 1: to be seeing how much this office line is gonna jail.

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Speaker 1: I mean, they got Alexandro villainu Ueva from Pittsburgh, so

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Speaker 1: it's just like they have a lot of question marks

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Speaker 1: to me, So I mean, you've heard me say, I'm

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Speaker 1: high on the Browns and this could be the year

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Speaker 1: where the Browns finally win that division.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we both, we both bet on the Browns to

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Speaker 3: win the Super Bowl, and certainly this clears perhaps clears

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Speaker 3: out a bit of a path for them, so that

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Speaker 3: that could be that could be good for them. Let's

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Speaker 3: pivot a little bit here to some of the other

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Speaker 3: action coming down the pipes in the week one, some

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Speaker 3: of the big injury news here. So, uh, talk to

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Speaker 3: me about some of the cornerback situation with Cincinnati against

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Speaker 3: the Vikings. You're you're not excited about that one. For

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Speaker 3: the Bengals, I think.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I mean they've They've lost Trey Wayne's so

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Speaker 1: they're basically going to be relying on Eli Apple, who

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Speaker 1: was cut from two teams last year for being out

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Speaker 1: of shape. And you're facing one of the best wide

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Speaker 1: receiver duels in the league and Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen.

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Speaker 1: Now we know the Minnesota Viacans. They like to run

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Speaker 1: the ball, but this is a situation in which I

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Speaker 1: think Minnesota can actually get off and dominate. So if

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Speaker 1: you have one of those two guys on your fantasy

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Speaker 1: team or you play daily fantasy, I think that those

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Speaker 1: are guys that you want to pick up. But I think,

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Speaker 1: you know, the number is a little sharp for me.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm not I don't really like how their

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Speaker 1: their preseason went with you know, Kirk Cousins ended up

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Speaker 1: on the COVID list and you know, things of that nature.

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Speaker 1: I just I think you have a new look defense

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Speaker 1: that's trying to gael together. So from a numbers perspective,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if I necessarily like the three and

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Speaker 1: a half, but I do think it's a situation in

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Speaker 1: which the offense can get off.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it matters too that you know, the

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Speaker 3: Bengals also lost to William Jackson and free agency, who

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Speaker 3: was their top corner. So it's just it's it's a

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Speaker 3: very inexperienced group and the Vikings tend to be a

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Speaker 3: high floor, low ceiling team. So when they play against

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Speaker 3: a team that like the Bengals, where the defense is

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Speaker 3: just not very good, this is the sort of game

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Speaker 3: that Kirk Cousins can look really good. And like we

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Speaker 3: know he has that game where he puts up three

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Speaker 3: hundred yards and three touchdowns and then he plays, you know,

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Speaker 3: the Packers or someone actually real the next week and

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Speaker 3: goes back to being Kirk Cousins. But it feels like

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Speaker 3: this is a game I'm staying away as well, just.

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Speaker 2: Because it feels suspicious.

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Speaker 3: But it also wouldn't surprise me to see the Vikings,

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Speaker 3: you know, light it up in the air and Jefferson

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Speaker 3: and Feland have big games and suddenly that's one of

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Speaker 3: the Monday conversations Minnesota one by twenty one? Is this

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Speaker 3: a team We've all overlooked it, and like, is it

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Speaker 3: a big season ahead? And I feel like that might

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Speaker 3: be an overreaction too, but I think it's a possibility.

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Speaker 3: A guy that I've been very high on that picked

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Speaker 3: up a hamstring injury, and I'm worried about my guy,

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Speaker 3: asked an Eckler, who I gave out as like a

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Speaker 3: long shot MVP long shot, Oh the year. I think

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Speaker 3: the long shot has been shot. The hamstring injury heading

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Speaker 3: in two week one is not a good place to

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Speaker 3: go for that.

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Speaker 2: So the Chargers are.

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Speaker 3: Playing in the Washington I know that you are already

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Speaker 3: liking Washington, so I have to believe that the Eckler

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Speaker 3: injury only helps your position.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, without a without a doubt, but I do

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Speaker 1: think I think one thing about the Chargers is there

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Speaker 1: they're a past heavy team and they were that last year,

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Speaker 1: so I think the loss of Eckler hurts, but it's

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Speaker 1: not absolutely devastating in a way we saw with the

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Speaker 1: Ravens right now. So I just the big part of

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Speaker 1: like I watched, I like what the Washington football team is.

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Speaker 1: They can get to the quarterback. Obviously, the Chargers have

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Speaker 1: boasted their offensive line. They got Corey Linsley from Green Bay,

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Speaker 1: but I still think this Washington defense, they boasted the

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Speaker 1: offensive the defensive line, but they also boasted the corner

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Speaker 1: situation over there too. So it's just like, I think

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Speaker 1: they have the guys that slow slow down his defense.

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Speaker 1: I don't think Chargers had a lot of death and

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Speaker 1: I just think Washington at home catching one. It's not

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Speaker 1: a line that I feel like presents any value on

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Speaker 1: the Chargers. I think the value is all on the

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Speaker 1: Washington football team. And you know I've read an interest

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Speaker 1: in stat earlier, so this line is actually one right.

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Speaker 1: But it's like when you look at the Chargers in

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Speaker 1: the last twenty three games over the last two seasons,

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Speaker 1: the Chargers are actually seven and sixteen straight up in

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Speaker 1: games decided by one score. Now, I know some of

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Speaker 1: that was Anthony Lynn, but I still think we still

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Speaker 1: have some questions on Brandon Staley and his status as

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Speaker 1: a head coach. I think he did solid with the Rams,

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Speaker 1: but you had Aaron Donald like you had defensive stars

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Speaker 1: over there. So I'm interested to see what he's gonna

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Speaker 1: do in his first coaching job on the role against

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Speaker 1: a tough deepen.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think too, you know, I think you

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Speaker 3: might be even under rating Echeler's impact a little bit

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Speaker 3: just because to me, the reason he is so good

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Speaker 3: on that team is because of his impact in the

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Speaker 3: passing game, not just the running game. You know, I

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Speaker 3: think with Joe Lombardi there now, I'm expecting Eckler to

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Speaker 3: be in a an Alvin Kamara is sort of a role.

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Speaker 3: And you know, if you think of the Saints, if

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Speaker 3: if suddenly Kamara went missing a couple of days before,

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Speaker 3: I think that would not only throw off both aspects

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Speaker 3: the run in the pass, I think would throw off

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Speaker 3: the whole game plan, because you know, if that's the

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Speaker 3: sort of thing that you've been building, like I expected

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Speaker 3: with Eckler to not have him or to have him

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Speaker 3: in a limited role throws off the whole plan what

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Speaker 3: you're doing. It throws off your run, attack, your short passing,

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Speaker 3: your third downs. Like, the whole equation changes a little bit,

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Speaker 3: you know, to the point that it might he might

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Speaker 3: throw things off for Washington on how to defend a

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Speaker 3: bit of.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the market, the market actually agrees with you because

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Speaker 1: this line went from Chargers plus one to Washington minus one.

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Speaker 1: So I think a lot of that had to do

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Speaker 1: with that move. So I think you are correct in

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Speaker 1: the aspect. I think the difference between the Chargers and

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Speaker 1: the Saints, though, is that Justin Herbert actually has an arm,

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Speaker 1: and you know he has receivers other than might Michael

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Speaker 1: Thomas that grow to I mean, that's true.

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434
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:02,560
Speaker 4: or older to relocated in Michigan, New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana,

435
00:21:02,640 --> 00:21:06,960
Speaker 4: West Virginia, Iowa, Virginia, Tennessee, Nevada, or Pennsylvania. Please gamble responsibly.

436
00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:09,520
Speaker 4: Gambling problem called on eight hundred five two two forty

437
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:12,120
Speaker 4: seven hundred in Colorado and Nevata one eight hundred gambler

438
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 4: in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, in West Virginia, one eight hundred

439
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:16,600
Speaker 4: and nine with it in Indiana one eight hundred and

440
00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:18,680
Speaker 4: two seven zero seven to one one seven in Michigan

441
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 4: one in one hundred and eight nine nine seven eight

442
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 4: nine in Tennessee one e one hundred bets off in

443
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 4: Iowa or one eight eight five three two thirty five

444
00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 4: hundred in Virginia. That'sin not available in the data. Thanks

445
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:29,560
Speaker 4: for listening. Now back to the show.

446
00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:34,399
Speaker 3: So, so let's let's segue into some of those line moves.

447
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,920
Speaker 3: Then talk to me a little bit more about going

448
00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:38,560
Speaker 3: from minus one to plus one.

449
00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:41,600
Speaker 2: It's easy for me to just look.

450
00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:44,000
Speaker 3: At those lines and be like, yeah, okay, whoever wins

451
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 3: by a one point either they're gonna win or the

452
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:48,400
Speaker 3: other team was gonna win. This is all the same line.

453
00:21:48,680 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 3: Tell me why it matters to move from minus one

454
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:54,160
Speaker 3: to plus one? About does it matter to move through

455
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:57,480
Speaker 3: that zero number? Is that a real two point line swing?

456
00:21:57,560 --> 00:21:58,720
Speaker 3: Talk to me about that a little bit.

457
00:21:59,160 --> 00:21:59,400
Speaker 4: See.

458
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:01,440
Speaker 1: I mean, if you're betting the game, straight up, I

459
00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 1: don't think it matters that much. But for me, where

460
00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:08,359
Speaker 1: it matters is on those teasers. So, if you've been

461
00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:10,720
Speaker 1: following me on Twitter, I gave out a two team

462
00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:14,879
Speaker 1: teaser on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus two. You're teasing

463
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:17,560
Speaker 1: it down from eight to minus two. And then the

464
00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:19,840
Speaker 1: second leg of a teaser I gave out the Los

465
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 1: Angeles rams teasing that down from seven and a half

466
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 1: to one and a half. But what I did was,

467
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,520
Speaker 1: I suggest that you add the Washington football team and

468
00:22:27,600 --> 00:22:30,400
Speaker 1: some of those teaser legs because they were catching plus one,

469
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:33,160
Speaker 1: and you can tease up through the key numbers of three, six,

470
00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 1: and seven and you catch it at seven. So if

471
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:38,080
Speaker 1: you lose by touchdown, you push, you lose by six,

472
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,480
Speaker 1: you win. Now that teaser is out the window because

473
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:45,080
Speaker 1: you can't. You don't want to tease through the number zero. Now,

474
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:47,640
Speaker 1: if you're playing, you know, just a straight up bet,

475
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 1: I think you're fine to lay minus one. Obviously you

476
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,520
Speaker 1: don't want to lay You typically don't want to get

477
00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 1: into the habit of laying the worst of the number.

478
00:22:55,880 --> 00:23:00,040
Speaker 1: But more often than not, if you're gonna either you

479
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:01,560
Speaker 1: win the game or you're going to lose the game.

480
00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 1: So one is not that significant when it comes to

481
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:05,840
Speaker 1: the NFL. It's not a key it's not a key

482
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:09,679
Speaker 1: number when it's like like three, six, seven, eight. And

483
00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:12,159
Speaker 1: what I mean by key numbers is that if you

484
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 1: were to go through all of the NFL games for

485
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 1: the last year, or the last ten years, or the

486
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 1: last five years, these are the numbers of these are

487
00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:23,720
Speaker 1: the score differentials that pop up the most. So three

488
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 1: is king in the NFL. I think everybody knows that.

489
00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:28,399
Speaker 1: That's why you see so many people buying onto the

490
00:23:28,440 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 1: three and buying off of the three.

491
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:33,680
Speaker 3: That makes sense. So I know that we talked a

492
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:37,159
Speaker 3: little bit about the Browns. This is the Browns Official podcast.

493
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,760
Speaker 3: We are all Browns all the time here Cleveland and

494
00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,120
Speaker 3: Kansas City. I think it is pretty clearly the game

495
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,600
Speaker 3: of the week. Starting out here, the Browns had the

496
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:49,560
Speaker 3: Kansas City and this line has shifted a bunch today.

497
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 3: So this was at six and a half, it's moved

498
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:54,480
Speaker 3: down to five and a half. So the Chiefs are

499
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 3: still favored, but the gap is closing. And then the

500
00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 3: total is moving too, from fifty two and a half

501
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:02,800
Speaker 3: up to fifty four. So what do you make of

502
00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 3: the line move on both ends with the Browns chief

503
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:07,159
Speaker 3: scam when it comes.

504
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:10,240
Speaker 1: To this brown side, I'm moving from six and a

505
00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:13,159
Speaker 1: half down to five and a half. I think the

506
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:17,080
Speaker 1: loss of Tyron Matthew is huge. We've already had questions

507
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 1: about Kansas City Secondary. We've already had questions about their

508
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 1: ability to stop the run. And if you can't stop

509
00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 1: the secondary and you can't stop the run. I mean,

510
00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 1: you're facing one of the better teams in the NFL,

511
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 1: in Cleveland, You're facing the genius and Kevin Stefanski. So

512
00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 1: there were some sharp shark groups that hit that, and

513
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:40,159
Speaker 1: I think Cleveland is actually live here to win this

514
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 1: game outright. As far as the total, I believe my

515
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:48,240
Speaker 1: model makes this game fifty four, So the line move

516
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,320
Speaker 1: up from fifty two to fifty four makes a lot

517
00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:50,720
Speaker 1: of sense.

518
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 3: So basically, the line move is telling us that the

519
00:24:53,680 --> 00:24:56,040
Speaker 3: Browns are looking kind of good here. The Browns are

520
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,760
Speaker 3: not as big of an underdog as perhaps they were

521
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:01,280
Speaker 3: a bill to be. And those extra points the total

522
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:03,320
Speaker 3: is moving, that's because the Browns are going to score

523
00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:05,520
Speaker 3: a couple more points because of the way the Chiefs

524
00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:08,480
Speaker 3: defense is shaping up. So I think that game is

525
00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 3: really interesting. I go very back and forth on it.

526
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:14,479
Speaker 3: On the one hand, the Browns running the ball and

527
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:16,720
Speaker 3: the play action just seems like the perfect thing to

528
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,800
Speaker 3: attack the Chiefs defense with. You know, the best way

529
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 3: to beat the Chiefs I think is to keep the

530
00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:25,640
Speaker 3: ball out of Mahomes' hands and so run the ball control,

531
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:28,119
Speaker 3: you know, eat up forty minutes of the sixty on

532
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 3: the clock. On the other hand, it's the Browns. It's

533
00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 3: Week one Browns. We saw the Browns play the Chiefs

534
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:36,520
Speaker 3: last year. It looked like they were going to just

535
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 3: run them off the field and the playoffs and tell

536
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:44,040
Speaker 3: the injuries and man, it's anytime that you're getting Patrick

537
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,920
Speaker 3: Mahomes under a touchdown feels like a gift from the.

538
00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 2: Past few years. So this is a tough spot.

539
00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 3: I think I'm going to stay away from this one ultimately,

540
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,320
Speaker 3: just because I can really talk myself into either side

541
00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:57,760
Speaker 3: of it. But I think it's an interesting game. It's

542
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 3: definitely the game I'll be watching closest this week. One

543
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:02,879
Speaker 3: that I do like a little better is New England

544
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,320
Speaker 3: and Miami AFC East Battle. So that line has moved

545
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,560
Speaker 3: a little bit as well. Patriots were minus two and

546
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 3: a half and that has moved to three, only half point,

547
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,440
Speaker 3: but hits that key number. So the Patriots are favored

548
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:17,880
Speaker 3: by three at home now and the total is dropping

549
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:19,760
Speaker 3: from forty five and a half down to forty three

550
00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:22,520
Speaker 3: and a half. So we both have been very low

551
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:25,160
Speaker 3: on Miami. What do you make of the line change

552
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 3: here and what are you thinking about this game?

553
00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:29,399
Speaker 1: You know, when I first thought about it, like, I

554
00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:32,920
Speaker 1: kind of agree with the line move, but more and more,

555
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:36,679
Speaker 1: I just I'm really struggling with laying three points with

556
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 1: the rookie quarterback. And I know over the last two seasons,

557
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,560
Speaker 1: quarterbacks making their first start are eighteen to six against

558
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,280
Speaker 1: the spread. But you know, somebody asked me an interesting

559
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 1: question the other day, how many quarterbacks making their first

560
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 1: start our favorite? And I'm not quite sure that most

561
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:55,680
Speaker 1: of them are favorites. Most of them are underdogs. And

562
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 1: you know Brian Flores, he's led a solid defense. I

563
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 1: think this defense is solid. They're not going to have

564
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:05,360
Speaker 1: the turnover differential that they had last year. But Matt

565
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 1: Jones is not a guy who can add a lot

566
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:10,399
Speaker 1: of variants to the game through his movement. He's a

567
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:13,120
Speaker 1: guy who has to sit in the pocket. And I'm

568
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,440
Speaker 1: not seeing a lot of receivement threats on this New

569
00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:18,960
Speaker 1: England team. So I think this is a three point

570
00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:23,159
Speaker 1: game either way, And personally, I think the value is

571
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:25,400
Speaker 1: worth the under and I think that's why you saw

572
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:27,879
Speaker 1: this total get steamed down from forty five and a

573
00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:28,919
Speaker 1: half to forty three.

574
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:30,399
Speaker 2: So I like New England here.

575
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,840
Speaker 3: I think that Miami's strength on the defense, especially as

576
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,439
Speaker 3: their corners, and so the lack of the New England

577
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:40,200
Speaker 3: receivers kind of almost offsets Miami's strength. There's not really

578
00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 3: a star receiver for the Dolphins to shut out or

579
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:45,879
Speaker 3: take out of the game. I feel like New England's

580
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:48,680
Speaker 3: strengths match up a little differently. I like the Patriots

581
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:50,119
Speaker 3: defense a lot. I think it's going to be a

582
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:52,960
Speaker 3: huge improvement from a year ago. I like their line,

583
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:55,439
Speaker 3: and I just don't like Miami a lot. So I

584
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 3: already got this after two and a half. I don't

585
00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:57,560
Speaker 3: mind it.

586
00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:59,919
Speaker 2: At the three I had this line, I.

587
00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:02,720
Speaker 3: Put it out about four or five, so I still

588
00:28:02,760 --> 00:28:03,880
Speaker 3: think that there's some value there.

589
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:05,520
Speaker 2: I do like New England. That's one of my favorite

590
00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:06,439
Speaker 2: plays of the week.

591
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 3: One other game that I like a lot, even though

592
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:12,480
Speaker 3: the line has moved in the direction of my pick

593
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:15,639
Speaker 3: and made my pick a little worse. Sunday Night, we

594
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:19,400
Speaker 3: get the Rams and the Bears, and my hometown Bears here.

595
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 3: No Justin Fields, He's going to be watching this from

596
00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,800
Speaker 3: the sidelines at least starting out. So the Rams are

597
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,640
Speaker 3: favored at home by a touchdown, but that has gone

598
00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 3: up to seven and a half now moving again off

599
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 3: that key number and then over. The over is rising,

600
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:35,359
Speaker 3: so the total is gone from forty three and a

601
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:36,760
Speaker 3: half to forty six and a half.

602
00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 2: I think this ships up to be a Rams blowout.

603
00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 3: I think that this just feels like that game where

604
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:46,000
Speaker 3: everyone ends up at the end of the night being like,

605
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 3: what are the Bears doing? Starting Andy Dalton? And holy cow,

606
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 3: the Rams look awesome. This is a super Bowl team.

607
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 3: So I feel like, even with the line move, I'm

608
00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 3: still willing to play the Rams. But what do you

609
00:28:58,200 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 3: think about what's happening here?

610
00:28:59,760 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 4: Oh?

611
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 1: I totally agree with you here. I mean, I think

612
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 1: when you look at the Bears, their offensive line is troubling.

613
00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus ranks them the twenty eighth rank offensive

614
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 1: line in the league, and they have to deal with

615
00:29:11,440 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 1: Aaron Donald who has four hundred and fifty six pressures

616
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,560
Speaker 1: over the last five seasons. That's eighty six more than

617
00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:20,040
Speaker 1: any other defender, and a lot of times he's being

618
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 1: double team, which opens up room for his teammates to

619
00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:27,480
Speaker 1: get to the quarterback their facing Andy Dalton. He's a statue.

620
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 1: I mean, I think one of us could move a

621
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:32,800
Speaker 1: lot better than him. Now, there were some rumors that

622
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:35,920
Speaker 1: we could see justin Field step in, but I think

623
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 1: you don't want to throw justin Field to the fire

624
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,719
Speaker 1: against Aaron Donald. So I think this is defensively they

625
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:44,960
Speaker 1: should dominate. And then the upgrade from quarterback from Jared

626
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:49,080
Speaker 1: Golf to Matthew Stafford is gigantic, to say the least.

627
00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 1: I mean, Jared Goff basically had Sean McVay calling his

628
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,040
Speaker 1: plays for him in the huddle. It's not going to

629
00:29:56,080 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 1: be the same way here. And they're facing the Bears defense,

630
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 1: which really isn't at the caliber that they were a

631
00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:05,320
Speaker 1: few years ago. They were eighteenth and drop back expected

632
00:30:05,320 --> 00:30:08,320
Speaker 1: points at it last year. So expect this Rams offense

633
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 1: to go off, like you said this, to blowout. Yeah.

634
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 3: I think this is going to be the lead story

635
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 3: on NFL Live on Monday. The Rams are the team

636
00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:18,600
Speaker 3: that everyone expected. Matt Stafford is here. This is the

637
00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 3: Super Bowl Hope, Stafford MVP hype. I think we can

638
00:30:21,720 --> 00:30:24,280
Speaker 3: get a lot of that conversation coming, especially after a

639
00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:27,840
Speaker 3: Sunday night National TV game. Well, let's wrap up with

640
00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:30,200
Speaker 3: a few best bets for our listeners and get out

641
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 3: of here and get to some football. So three of

642
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:35,360
Speaker 3: my favorites we've talked. We just talked about two of them.

643
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:38,800
Speaker 3: I like the Patriots, I like the Rams. The line

644
00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 3: is moving the direction of both of those, so I

645
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:42,120
Speaker 3: want to grab it before it moves again.

646
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 2: But I feel pretty good about both of those.

647
00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:46,479
Speaker 3: The other one that I like is Denver at New

648
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:49,000
Speaker 3: York Giants. Again, that's another one where the line is

649
00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:52,040
Speaker 3: moving in Denver's direction. It's now minus three on the road,

650
00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 3: Teddy Bridgewater laying three points on the road doesn't make

651
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 3: me super excited. Broncos playing the Giants makes me feel

652
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:03,360
Speaker 3: a little bit more. Jason Garrett's offense against the vic

653
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 3: Fangio's defense, Yes, please sign me up at whatever number

654
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:10,440
Speaker 3: I have to get, don't. I don't trust what Garrett's

655
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 3: doing with that team. I don't feel good about what

656
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:15,160
Speaker 3: the Giants are gonna put out there, and I just

657
00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:19,520
Speaker 3: feel like the Broncos defense is so good, it's ferocious.

658
00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:22,040
Speaker 3: It's gonna get Daniel Jones in a lot of trouble.

659
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 3: I think the Giants they're just gonna have a hard

660
00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:27,320
Speaker 3: time scoring in this game. So Denver is a team

661
00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:29,880
Speaker 3: both of us have been very high on. This to

662
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 3: me is where they're just gonna get the season.

663
00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:32,520
Speaker 2: Started out right.

664
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:38,080
Speaker 3: So Patriots, Broncos, Rams, all to cover and get the win.

665
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:40,520
Speaker 3: Who are some of your best bests for the week

666
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:41,560
Speaker 3: as we wrap up here?

667
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:44,480
Speaker 1: Okay, two of these lines have moved already to Washington

668
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:47,400
Speaker 1: Football Team plus one. I think they win that game.

669
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 1: I also would add them and teasers if you can

670
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:51,960
Speaker 1: find a plus one season up to plus seven. I

671
00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 1: also like the Cleveland Browns plus six and a half.

672
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 1: Unfortunately that's moved, so I'm gona try to give you

673
00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:00,600
Speaker 1: guys some games they haven't moved on. Next out to

674
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 1: me is the Seattle Seahawks. You know, this line is

675
00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:06,080
Speaker 1: two and a half. They're on the road. They're the

676
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:09,880
Speaker 1: antithesis of the Chargers. They've played twenty three one score

677
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 1: games over the last two seasons. They're eighteen and five

678
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: straight up. A big part of that is Russell Wilson,

679
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:19,880
Speaker 1: and they're facing a Colts team that had a tumochuous offseason.

680
00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:22,400
Speaker 1: I mean, Wentz was sylin most of the preseason with

681
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 1: a foot injury, then he landed on the COVID nineteen list,

682
00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:28,240
Speaker 1: and then you look at this offensive line. It's a mess.

683
00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:31,640
Speaker 1: I mean they taking a hit with the retirement Anthony Castonzo,

684
00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 1: left tackle Eric Fisher's fresh off the Achilles injury. It's

685
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 1: not gonna play until October if you have the injury.

686
00:32:37,400 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 1: The left guard Quentin Nelson wins. I mean, he's been

687
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 1: a turnover machine and he's got the match point for point.

688
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:47,520
Speaker 1: With Seattle and this new look offense for Shane Waldron,

689
00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 1: they're letting Russ cook, They're letting push the pace. I

690
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:53,040
Speaker 1: think it's safe to lay the two and a half

691
00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 1: on the road with the Seahawks here. If I want

692
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 1: to give you one more bet, I'm gonna go with

693
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 1: the Jets and the Panthers over forty four and a half. Actually,

694
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 1: I think it's down to forty four. It's been some

695
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:10,200
Speaker 1: resistance here, but I totally don't agree with the resistance. Actually,

696
00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:13,440
Speaker 1: I like the Jets over twenty points as well. I

697
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 1: think you're gonna see a shootout here. The Jets don't

698
00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:18,719
Speaker 1: have a good defense, but they have a solid offense

699
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:21,640
Speaker 1: with Zach Wilson. I really think they go out there

700
00:33:21,640 --> 00:33:23,440
Speaker 1: and put some points in the board, and then I

701
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 1: think you have a revenge game with Sam Darnold and

702
00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:28,840
Speaker 1: under Matt Ruhle and Joe Brady and they're gonna put

703
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 1: up some points. I mean, they have a lot of

704
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:34,920
Speaker 1: receivers over there. They got DJ Moore, Robbie Anderson, Kristin McCarthys.

705
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 1: Bet they go over to forty four with easey and

706
00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 1: so do the Jets. So take the over forty four

707
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:42,560
Speaker 1: and take the over twenty points for the Jets.

708
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 2: I like it. I'll go one stup even further.

709
00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 3: The New York Football Jets would be my upset special

710
00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:50,960
Speaker 3: pick of the week. I think the Jets are oh,

711
00:33:51,560 --> 00:33:54,840
Speaker 3: get that win. So I'm seeing that at plus one

712
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 3: sixty five on the money line. I love the Jets,

713
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 3: you know, I love my long shots to play some football.

714
00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:05,280
Speaker 1: That line was just at five earlier today, and we've

715
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:08,319
Speaker 1: seen some sharp action. Take the New York Jets. It's

716
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,759
Speaker 1: down to four as a consensus four everywhere, but there's

717
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:14,440
Speaker 1: some three and a half's in the market. So if

718
00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:16,400
Speaker 1: you want, if you want to hit that forward, if

719
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:18,960
Speaker 1: you want to grab that right now, and then grab

720
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 1: that money line because this line is going down. And

721
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:25,240
Speaker 1: like I said earlier, rookie quarterbacks are eighteen and six

722
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 1: in their first game. So I just got a hit.

723
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:30,839
Speaker 3: This move, all right, let's going to wrap it up

724
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,680
Speaker 3: at the Action Network podcast. Make sure if you have

725
00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:37,399
Speaker 3: not yet to get our award winning app, download that app.

726
00:34:37,480 --> 00:34:40,799
Speaker 3: Make sure to follow Overreheeman myself. We are populating all

727
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:42,920
Speaker 3: of our picks in there so that you can see

728
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 3: what other picks we'll be adding. They'll get those in

729
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,279
Speaker 3: a real time. You get notifications and everything, Lots of

730
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,719
Speaker 3: good stuff on their best app that I've seen to

731
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 3: follow live sports and to get a lot you know,

732
00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:56,480
Speaker 3: you can check out the articles and.

733
00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 1: Everything else in there. Oh and also one thing you

734
00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 1: want to check out is that I'm giving out five

735
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:04,080
Speaker 1: NFL picks a week, So you want to check out

736
00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 1: my video with Amanda Rose. It should be dropping tomorrow.

737
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:09,840
Speaker 1: You want to check that out to get my five picks.

738
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:12,279
Speaker 3: All right, Well, just a reminder of what's coming up

739
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:15,319
Speaker 3: Sunday night. We will be recording and bringing you from

740
00:35:15,360 --> 00:35:19,080
Speaker 3: Monday Morning Podcast Reaction to Everything that Happened Week one

741
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:22,560
Speaker 3: and a preview Monday Night Football, So keeping out for

742
00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:25,359
Speaker 3: that on Monday, and then midweek you'll get from Stuck

743
00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:27,640
Speaker 3: in a ray Bomb their six pack betting pack, and

744
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:29,840
Speaker 3: then Raheem and I will be back next Friday for

745
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 3: a bit more.

746
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,560
Speaker 2: Traditional episode, assuming.

747
00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 3: The Ravens don't blow out a couple more knees along

748
00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:34,879
Speaker 3: the way.

749
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:36,879
Speaker 2: So that's going to wrap it up today.

750
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:40,640
Speaker 3: As always, please rate, subscribe, and reviewed for Raheem Palmer.

751
00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:44,160
Speaker 3: I'm Brandon Anderson. This has been the Action Network podcast

752
00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:46,279
Speaker 3: and remember, don't let your kids grow up to be

753
00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:47,239
Speaker 3: a Ravens running back

754
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:00,440
Speaker 1: SA