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Speaker 1: The volume Callin Coward Podcast presented by FanDuel Sports Book.

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Speaker 1: L I in FanDuel sports Book App. Sign up, Hi, everybody,

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Speaker 1: and welcome in to the Thursday Morning Podcast. Chad Millman

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Speaker 1: in ten minutes. First though, fake questions, real answers. I

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Speaker 1: have things I want to talk about and don't want

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Speaker 1: to wait for you to ask me. Dear Colin, do

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Speaker 1: you think the term most valuable player needs to be

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Speaker 1: replaced with something else? Yes? I do. The meaning of

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Speaker 1: a word might stay the same over time, but the

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Speaker 1: connotation and how we feel about it can change. I'll

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Speaker 1: give you a great example. Soda companies right now are

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Speaker 1: eliminating the word diet from all of their products. So

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Speaker 1: in the eighties and nineties, right the word diet was popular,

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Speaker 1: It was fashionable, everybody should be lean and trim well.

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Speaker 1: Now studies show that gen Z members don't like the

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Speaker 1: word diet. It means perhaps depriving yourself or trying to

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Speaker 1: achieve some unhealthy idea of body image. That's why diet

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Speaker 1: sodas are now called zero sugar sodas. And I feel

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Speaker 1: the same way about the MVP award. Most Valuable player

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Speaker 1: is another term that should go the way of the dinosaur.

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Speaker 1: And quarterbacks salaries have balloon to forty fifty million a year, right,

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Speaker 1: we can't have anything or any proximity to the word

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Speaker 1: value for a franchise. They're not a value anymore. To me.

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Speaker 1: What makes Brady and great quarterbacks more successful over the

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Speaker 1: last twenty years is they don't have the salary cap

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Speaker 1: hit of an Aaron Rodgers currently or a Russell Wilson.

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Speaker 1: Brady's OWA has been a smaller cap hit. Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 1: this year is a seven million dollar cap hit. I

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Speaker 1: don't I don't like the word valuable because it limits

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Speaker 1: who can win the award. Thirteen to the last fourteen

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Speaker 1: MVPs been quarterbacks. Adrian Peterson the only exception. Just call

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Speaker 1: it best player. That's what college basketball does, Men's and

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Speaker 1: women's March Madness Most Outstanding Player. If it's a best

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Speaker 1: Player award, then t J. Watt, Cooper Cup, Michael Parsons

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Speaker 1: have a shot. If it's most valuable, it's got to

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Speaker 1: be a quarterback. They sim touch the ball more, have

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Speaker 1: more impact on every play. And frankly, we've never had

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Speaker 1: a wide receiver as an MVP. Why because their quarterback dependent.

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Speaker 1: As long as it's called valuable, it will be a

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Speaker 1: limited award. Dear Colin, what did you make of those

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Speaker 1: Tuesday games in the NFL? Thanks for asking, First of

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Speaker 1: all their affirmation of the power of the NFL. I've

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Speaker 1: said this to my wife about coffee. I can tell

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Speaker 1: what an addiction is because time is irrelevant. I like

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Speaker 1: coffee in the morning, I like it in the late morning.

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Speaker 1: I like a cup after lunch, late afternoon, and frankly,

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Speaker 1: sometimes my favorite dessert is espresso over vanilla ice cream.

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Speaker 1: I like coffee all day. That's how I feel about

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Speaker 1: the NFL. I think it's my second addiction. It doesn't

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Speaker 1: matter the day you put it on. I would rather

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Speaker 1: watch an NFL game than anything else on television. Seriously,

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Speaker 1: And remember this, Broadcast media viewing overall went down ten

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Speaker 1: percent last year. This past year, NFL ratings up eleven percent.

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Speaker 1: The Raider Cowboy Thanksgiving game most watched NFL game in

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Speaker 1: twenty eight years. So it used to be that mash

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Speaker 1: Seinfeld Cheers got such a huge rating that there was

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Speaker 1: no reason to put the NFL on during the week.

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Speaker 1: But broadcast prime numbers have been plummeting for years, so

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Speaker 1: nothing can rival Monday Night Football or Thursday Night Football,

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Speaker 1: or frankly even Rocky Bumpy Ugly Tuesday Night Football. One

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Speaker 1: of the downsides to the NFL. One of the fuse

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Speaker 1: things that irritates me is the one o'clock window Eastern

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Speaker 1: or ten am window on Sunday. There's too many games

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Speaker 1: at one time. That's why I buy the red zone.

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Speaker 1: I can't keep up with seven games at one time.

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Speaker 1: I'd love there to be four, and you put a

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Speaker 1: couple of games on Tuesday. Now that broadcast prime time

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Speaker 1: ratings are in that hank and they're going down every year.

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Speaker 1: I think the NFL should lighten up the early window

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Speaker 1: on Sunday and consider manipulating the schedule with an occasional

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Speaker 1: Tuesday night game. That's why they planned Thursdays right to

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Speaker 1: win another night of primetime at a Tuesday. Dear Colin,

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Speaker 1: don't you think this season has proved that the NFL

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Speaker 1: playoff expansion was a good idea. I'm for always expanding

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Speaker 1: all playoffs. If it was up to me, i'd go

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Speaker 1: back to a fourteen game NFL regular season and add

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Speaker 1: two more layers of playoff games. I mean, what's insane

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Speaker 1: about baseball is not only that the regular season has

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Speaker 1: one hundred and sixty two regular season games and last

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Speaker 1: six months. What's more insane is that postseason only last

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Speaker 1: four weeks. If you look at the more successful way

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Speaker 1: to get ratings, people often complain the NBA playoffs are

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Speaker 1: too long. No, they get it, Baseball doesn't. In a

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Speaker 1: more fragmented, frenetted, caffeinated world, the way to get people's

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Speaker 1: attention is urgency. So I would be for expanding the

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Speaker 1: NBA playoffs and cutting down the regular season to sixty games.

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Speaker 1: I would be for cutting baseball down to one hundred

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Speaker 1: games and having a two and a half month playoff season.

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Speaker 1: I'd be for cutting down college football to ten games

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Speaker 1: and having twenty four teams in the playoff. It's a

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Speaker 1: different society. We're more distracted, more playoffs, more urgency. Less

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Speaker 1: regular season. To me, is always a win. Dear Colin,

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Speaker 1: what's the most overplayed story of the year. Well, the

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Speaker 1: one that cracks me up is how a college football

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Speaker 1: coach fits in a region. You know how they say

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Speaker 1: all politics is local, Well so is all sports. Nobody

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Speaker 1: gives a rip in Baton Rouge how Bryan and Kelly

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Speaker 1: plays outside of Baton Rouge. At Orgeron sounded like he

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Speaker 1: belonged at LSU. He no longer works there. Lincoln Riley

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Speaker 1: does not sound like he's from California. He's got a

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Speaker 1: little twang. Nobody cares. Pete Carroll had no affiliation to

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Speaker 1: southern California. None of that stuff matters. It just doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: People don't like Brian Kelly, people love at Orgeron. Who's

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Speaker 1: the better coach? If you start looking around college football

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Speaker 1: and the history of the sport, seventy five percent of

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Speaker 1: the time are or more fit is completely utterly irrelevant.

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Speaker 1: Chip Kelly was from New Hampshire. He turned Oregon into

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Speaker 1: a power Mario crystal Ball was from Miami. He got

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Speaker 1: Oregon back to being in near power. It doesn't matter, Colin,

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Speaker 1: you talk about stars in sports, is there a most

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Speaker 1: overrated star in all of sports? You know, it's funny

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Speaker 1: when people use the word overrated, because I actually think

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Speaker 1: most athletes are properly rated. We know who's great, we

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Speaker 1: know who's not great. So I don't feel there's a

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Speaker 1: lot of overrated athletes in sports. If there was one

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Speaker 1: that jumps to my attention, it's Anthony Davis now of

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Speaker 1: the Lakers. Charles Barkley calls him street clothes because he's

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Speaker 1: never available. The only time you won a championship was

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Speaker 1: during a pandemic when he got a three and a

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Speaker 1: half month hiatus in the middle of a regular season,

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Speaker 1: which was of great benefit to Anthony Davis. Because he

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Speaker 1: cannot stay healthy. He's simply not regularly available. Jordan Lebron

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Speaker 1: are almost always available. He doesn't have leadership DNA, he's

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Speaker 1: not willing to play the five, and he's nearly seven feet.

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Speaker 1: He'd rather shoot from three, where he's hitting nineteen percent.

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Speaker 1: You know, a d's a little like a pharmaceutical drug.

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Speaker 1: That sounds great, and then they spend the next forty

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Speaker 1: five seconds telling you about all the side effects and

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Speaker 1: you're like, you know what, I'd rather have my heart explode.

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Speaker 1: I'm not taking this. It's with Anthony Davis. I keep

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Speaker 1: hearing he's a star, but all the side effects are

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Speaker 1: never available. Not really, a leader doesn't want to play

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Speaker 1: his natural position. I really, honestly, we used to blame

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Speaker 1: the Pelicans for Anthony Davis's rap. It was completely accurate.

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Speaker 1: He's just a really talented two. He'll never be a one.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's spag in Chad Melmann. Time for Sharper Square. Listen.

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Speaker 1: I've had a miserable year and I'm okay with it.

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Speaker 1: I really am okay with it. I got my booster

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Speaker 1: shot this week. I don't even have a sore arm.

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Speaker 1: Oh Macron, I'm not afraid of it. I'm going to

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Speaker 1: hit it head on. I got my Christmas shopping done.

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Speaker 1: I gotta be honest with you. My life has been

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Speaker 1: so good. This year has been so full of joy.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna live with my crappy picks and keep doing

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Speaker 1: sharp and square, and I'm okay with it. Do you

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Speaker 1: know what's interesting. I've had a pretty good year. I

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Speaker 1: got my booster, things worked out well with Action, and

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Speaker 1: yet the loss is hurt as much like I wake

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Speaker 1: up on Monday mornings sometime and or specifically last Friday,

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Speaker 1: I was the charters plus three and a half is

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Speaker 1: probably one of my biggest bets of the year against

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs. There wasn't any point in that game where

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Speaker 1: I thought, oh, I'm not going to win this bet

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Speaker 1: until overtime. Right yeah, And as well as things are going,

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Speaker 1: I got a great life, right we sold Action. I

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Speaker 1: love my job, I love the people I work with.

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Speaker 1: My family's amazing, they're healthy. All things good we've had,

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Speaker 1: like we're with. The volume this year for Action has

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Speaker 1: been amazing. The favorites has blown up, like all these

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Speaker 1: great things. I wake up Friday morning and it took

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Speaker 1: me like forty eight hours before I could talk about it.

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Speaker 1: That's what That's what it does. It that's what it does.

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Speaker 1: It's the juice. We kind of need it. It keeps

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Speaker 1: us humble. It's the juice. But also, like you, I

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Speaker 1: just like to be right. And in this business we're in,

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Speaker 1: we publicly stake acclaim. We say this is the side,

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Speaker 1: and there have been so many times this year where

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Speaker 1: we've been right right. We talked about it last week,

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Speaker 1: we talked about Colts and the Patriots. You wanted to

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Speaker 1: go Patriots. I wanted to go Colts. And I felt

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Speaker 1: great because even though I was winning money on it,

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Speaker 1: I felt better that there was public vindication and like,

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Speaker 1: that's that's just part of the game. That's it. So

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Speaker 1: sharper square. There are a couple of times that I

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Speaker 1: know it's a big number and part of me says, oh,

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Speaker 1: this is going to be square. But I feel strongly

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Speaker 1: about Chargers minus nine and a half of the Texans

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Speaker 1: for two reasons. One, the Texans want the number one pick.

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Speaker 1: They're not going to get the number one pick. There's

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Speaker 1: no valt, there's no reason for them to win. Chargers

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Speaker 1: have extra time to prep coming off a disappointing loss.

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Speaker 1: This is a really good team over the last month,

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Speaker 1: and they have inspiration and motivation to win. I think

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Speaker 1: the Chargers roll the Texans. I know its square, but

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Speaker 1: I love this bet all right. Well, the sharp side

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Speaker 1: will eventually be the Texans. It's like it's kind of

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Speaker 1: power rated in that nine to ten range. So you're

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Speaker 1: you're getting the number right, you're on what the professionals

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Speaker 1: handicap this game to be. It's creeping up to ten.

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Speaker 1: I will tell you when it gets to ten, the

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Speaker 1: wise guys are going to come in and they're going

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Speaker 1: to take the Texans. And they have not shown any

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Speaker 1: indication that they care about the number one pick. They

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Speaker 1: have not. And also there isn't a consensus number one pick.

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Speaker 1: And if you have one of the top two picks,

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Speaker 1: you're likely taking a cornerstone defensive end. Right, So whether

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Speaker 1: you're one or two, depending on your feeling about Thibodeaux

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Speaker 1: or Hutchinson. That's how you're sort of handicapping this particular race.

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Speaker 1: But I want to throw something out of you. Davis

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Speaker 1: Mills having a better year than Trevor Lawrence, like five

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Speaker 1: fewer games, significantly better QB rating, more passing touchdowns. The

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Speaker 1: text next step to five three three four two Arizona.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Patriots minus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Hosting the Bills. Why Bill Belichick after a loss? They're

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Speaker 1: back home. Buffalo still doesn't run the football. Buffalo will

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Speaker 1: have a little revenge. I don't feel strongly about it,

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Speaker 1: but it feels like the market's telling me at minus

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Speaker 1: two and a half, not three to take New England,

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Speaker 1: so I'd take them sharper square. This is a pros

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Speaker 1: Joe's game. Bets are coming in on the Pats about

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Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of the bets, sixty one percent of

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Speaker 1: the money coming in and the Bills. That tells you

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Speaker 1: that the professionals are betting on the Bills. They have

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Speaker 1: this power rated at pick. So you're getting about two

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Speaker 1: and a half points of value. You're getting in Josh Allen,

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Speaker 1: a better playmaking quarterback. You're getting weather that is not

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Speaker 1: expected to be your typical late December New England sort

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Speaker 1: of shit show for lack of a better term, and

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Speaker 1: that match that kind of matchup favors the Bills in

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Speaker 1: his speed and skill perspective. So Sharp's side is the Bills.

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Speaker 1: My friend, Jags Jets, why are we doing this? All season?

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Speaker 1: Have said I'm not bet and bad teams. And when

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Speaker 1: we did this week, I say, you wanted to do

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Speaker 1: the Washington football team plus four and a half against

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Speaker 1: the Eagles. I'm like, what are you doing? I stopped

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00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:08,000
Speaker 1: you before even you went into your logic. What are

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Speaker 1: we doing here? Robert Soloon Zach Wilson need to win.

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Speaker 1: The Jags have no playmakers. Jets are going to roll

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Speaker 1: minus two and a half. Sharper Square. Totally gross, Totally gross,

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Speaker 1: another one. Sixty six percent of the bets are on

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Speaker 1: the New York Jets. Eighty eight percent of the money

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Speaker 1: is on the Jags. In fact, so much professional money

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Speaker 1: coming in on the Jaguars. This line has moved from

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Speaker 1: two and a half to minus one. So if you

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Speaker 1: like the Jets, bet him at one because it's so

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00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:46,760
Speaker 1: lopsided it's heading in the Jags direction. More importantly, you've

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Speaker 1: got millions of fans. Why are you asking them to

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Speaker 1: bet on this game? That's a good question. How about

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00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:58,080
Speaker 1: this one? Dolphins plus three at the Saints. A little

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00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:02,480
Speaker 1: over over zealous people are because the Saint shut out

288
00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:05,840
Speaker 1: Tom Brady. Dolphins right now are a more consistent team.

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Speaker 1: I'm getting points. It's one of my favorite bets. Sharper Square.

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Speaker 1: This is one my favorite bet, totally sharp. I bet

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Speaker 1: this at three and a half. It opened at three

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Speaker 1: and a half, it's been bent down to three. It's

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Speaker 1: headed at two and a half. Get it while you can.

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00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:32,679
Speaker 1: You should like Miami here. The Saints are overinflated even

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00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:35,520
Speaker 1: at that half point, from three and a half down

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00:18:35,520 --> 00:18:38,280
Speaker 1: to three because of that win against the Bucks. One

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00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:41,880
Speaker 1: wise guy I talked to said he liked Miami at

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00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:44,600
Speaker 1: any number over plus one and a half, So you

299
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:46,720
Speaker 1: still got a little time to get it, but the

300
00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:50,439
Speaker 1: number is shrinking. Brown's plus seven and a half at

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00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:54,359
Speaker 1: green Bay. Cleveland is far more desperate. They get most

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00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:57,440
Speaker 1: of their team back. You know. Green Bay's an interesting team.

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00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:04,159
Speaker 1: Outplayed by Cincinnati this year. Chicago stayed close, had to

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00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,040
Speaker 1: come from behind in the last minute against San Francisco.

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00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:10,400
Speaker 1: Green Bay is a good team, still banged up. They'll

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00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:13,360
Speaker 1: probably win. I'll take Cleveland plus seven and a half

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00:19:13,359 --> 00:19:19,679
Speaker 1: sharper square. Ninety nine percent of the money, not the bets.

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00:19:19,960 --> 00:19:23,720
Speaker 1: The money. Money is an indication of what professionals are doing.

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00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:30,480
Speaker 1: Ninety nine percent is on the Packers. It's no surprise

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00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:33,760
Speaker 1: the line has moved a touch in their direction. Hey,

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00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:35,560
Speaker 1: there's not a ton of faith in Baker. If he

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00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:38,199
Speaker 1: even is going to play, We don't know. Miles Garrett

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00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 1: now questionable with a groin he injured on Monday night.

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Speaker 1: We expect regression from the Packers because they've been incredibly

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Speaker 1: good against the spread this year at a pace that

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00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:51,359
Speaker 1: is unsustainable. But they did just not cover a game

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Speaker 1: against the Ravens, so some of the air is out

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Speaker 1: of that expected regression. Won't find a ton of pros

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00:20:01,880 --> 00:20:04,919
Speaker 1: supporting you in this one, largely because we have so

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Speaker 1: much limited info on who will be playing for Cleveland.

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00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 1: And one thing that they are talking about is that

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00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:14,360
Speaker 1: even if Cleveland does go full strength, they haven't practiced

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Speaker 1: together in a while. And the Packers, like you say

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Speaker 1: they're banged up, relatively healthy right like, they are getting

325
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 1: practice time together, they have been playing together. So you're

326
00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:24,600
Speaker 1: not sure what you're getting in a Browns team right now.

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00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:27,399
Speaker 1: I didn't know the Miles Garrett information. Why didn't I

328
00:20:27,440 --> 00:20:30,080
Speaker 1: know that? Had I told me that, I would have

329
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:33,439
Speaker 1: taken Green Bay. It looked like he shredded his groin

330
00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:38,359
Speaker 1: on Monday night, like he was barely walking, so I

331
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:41,280
Speaker 1: would be concerned about his ability to play. But don't worry. Well,

332
00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:43,280
Speaker 1: we're going to get to the end. I'm going to

333
00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 1: give you games to think about that aren't the Browns,

334
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 1: and aren't the Jets and the Jags. I would take

335
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:51,560
Speaker 1: the Titans plus three and a half against the Niners

336
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:54,640
Speaker 1: and the under. I think San Francisco has been playing

337
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,119
Speaker 1: at a really good clip, and they also have not

338
00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 1: been turning the ball over. They've gotten some turnover breaks.

339
00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 1: That stuff doesn't last forever. I think it's low scoring

340
00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:06,639
Speaker 1: and ugly, and in a low scoring game, I'm going

341
00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:08,400
Speaker 1: to take the hook. I'm going to take Tennessee plus

342
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 1: three and a half. Yeah, three and a half is

343
00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:12,920
Speaker 1: exactly the right side. Of course, you're taking the Titans here.

344
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:14,439
Speaker 1: The wise guys are going to take the Titans here.

345
00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:18,720
Speaker 1: They've struggled offensively. They've lost ugly against the Steelers recently,

346
00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 1: which is why this line ticked up a little bit.

347
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,639
Speaker 1: But this is a big butt. The Niners are flying

348
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:31,159
Speaker 1: super high right now that we are getting peak peak Niners,

349
00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 1: and the Titans are starting to get players back. Plus,

350
00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:38,640
Speaker 1: their defense is significantly stingier than it had been earlier

351
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:42,640
Speaker 1: in the year. Their secondary specifically is underrated. So while

352
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 1: they haven't been scoring, they haven't been giving up a

353
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 1: ton of points either. So you're getting a home team

354
00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,399
Speaker 1: hump team. They're more than a field goal. You're getting

355
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:54,280
Speaker 1: that hook. You take it now the game. That's fascinating

356
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 1: to me, and I just there's a game. Every week,

357
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 1: I just say tell me what side I should take.

358
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 1: So the Rams or minus three against Minnesota, And I

359
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:03,439
Speaker 1: look at that game and I think, God, Rams are

360
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,400
Speaker 1: on a short week, but the game is crucial because

361
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:10,359
Speaker 1: they can still win their division. So Stafford in big

362
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:13,199
Speaker 1: spots I trust more than Kirk Cousins in big spots.

363
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,120
Speaker 1: This is a very average defense. My gut is Rams

364
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 1: minus three. You're tell me where to go, Sharper square,

365
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 1: what's the right side? I think the Rams are the

366
00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:24,960
Speaker 1: right side. Um, you know, I thought. I listened to

367
00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:29,200
Speaker 1: your radio program today and it's very good. If you're

368
00:22:29,240 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 1: listening to it's pretty exceptional. It's it's excellent, and I'm

369
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:37,680
Speaker 1: hoping you get discovered. I feel that I'm not either enough.

370
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:42,440
Speaker 1: I feel like someone is going to realize that you've

371
00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:47,359
Speaker 1: got something to say, and they're they're finally going to

372
00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:51,119
Speaker 1: give you a platform. But I listened to specifically to

373
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:54,560
Speaker 1: the segment about O. B. J. And I loved how

374
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:57,800
Speaker 1: you sort of said he was maybe the eighteenth and

375
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 1: most famous person in LA and like eighteenth was such

376
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:04,959
Speaker 1: a specific insult because it might not even be one

377
00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 1: hundred and eightieth, right, And it was a great point

378
00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:12,680
Speaker 1: about Matthew Stafford is better and is more accomplished than ob. J.

379
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:15,159
Speaker 1: Cooper Cup is on pace to have one of the

380
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:18,840
Speaker 1: greatest years in receiving history. Aaron Donald is a Hall

381
00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:23,400
Speaker 1: of Famer. Jalen Ramsey is a generational talent at cornerback. Right,

382
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 1: So OBJ has coming and he's doing all these things.

383
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:29,399
Speaker 1: And it's really because there's a lot of other ways

384
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 1: to emphasize what the Rams that are doing that they're

385
00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:35,439
Speaker 1: doing well. I thought last night was a really interesting

386
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:38,359
Speaker 1: game against the Seahawks. They played it, they played well,

387
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 1: they covered the spread, which I was surprised by. I

388
00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:43,840
Speaker 1: didn't bet the game, but I thought seven was a

389
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:46,959
Speaker 1: really big number for the Seahawks. The problem with this

390
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 1: game and three is the right side. But it was

391
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 1: at two and a half before the game last night,

392
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:54,639
Speaker 1: so you're not getting the best of the number. And

393
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:57,439
Speaker 1: what you should have been thinking about is do I

394
00:23:57,520 --> 00:24:00,479
Speaker 1: like LA last night? If I do, should I bet

395
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 1: them right now? Because if they win, that number is

396
00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: going to go up. I still like it at three,

397
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:06,560
Speaker 1: I'd like to better at two and a half? All right,

398
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 1: tell me the game zi plural, give me two you

399
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:15,199
Speaker 1: like and why? All right? Don't hate me because it's disgusting.

400
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:19,840
Speaker 1: But the Lions are visiting the Falcons this week. Jesus,

401
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:24,919
Speaker 1: I know. Last week this line was at seven. The

402
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:30,200
Speaker 1: Falcons were favored by seven points. After the Lions beat

403
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:34,800
Speaker 1: the Cardinals and the Falcons got blown out, this line

404
00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 1: opened at four, it's now at six. Six is a

405
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,560
Speaker 1: key number. Seven is a key number in this age

406
00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 1: of two point conversions, in this age of kickers missing

407
00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:48,600
Speaker 1: a lot of point after tribes, six is still a

408
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:54,520
Speaker 1: good number. Before the Lions beat the Cardinals, I emphasized this,

409
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:56,600
Speaker 1: This got down to four, right, This was at seven,

410
00:24:57,320 --> 00:25:00,320
Speaker 1: So you're getting a point of value on a key

411
00:25:00,400 --> 00:25:02,879
Speaker 1: number because it's at six. It could have been at seven.

412
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,320
Speaker 1: But this is really about a come back to Earth's

413
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:10,920
Speaker 1: spot for Detroit, whose secondary is truly terrible. Jared Goff

414
00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 1: was in the COVID protocols, and it's a Falcons team

415
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:16,880
Speaker 1: that when they play good teams, they're o and six.

416
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:20,399
Speaker 1: When they play bad teams, which is what the Lions are,

417
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:24,320
Speaker 1: they're six and two. They have a negative one forty

418
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:28,320
Speaker 1: five point differential against good teams. They're point differential against

419
00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 1: bad teams is positive. This is when the Falcons actually cover,

420
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,480
Speaker 1: So I light the Falcons even at minus six, even

421
00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 1: though you're no longer getting the best of the number.

422
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 1: Are you ready for something truly disgusting? This is like

423
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:48,920
Speaker 1: or something like that, or yeah, it's it's it's gross,

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00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:51,040
Speaker 1: it's it's professional betting. This is how you get your

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00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:55,760
Speaker 1: professional betting. Platt the Panthers plus ten and a half

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00:25:56,520 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 1: against the Buccaneers. Oh well, you know what, Throw this

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00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 1: at show so Darnald may play. But secondly, I talked

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00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:06,560
Speaker 1: about this today on the show. If you listen to

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00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 1: my exceptional radio show. Is that Tom's a creature of habit.

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00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:13,720
Speaker 1: So when he went to Tampa, there was all this

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00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:17,040
Speaker 1: chaos that he hadn't experienced in twenty years. New house,

432
00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:22,920
Speaker 1: new schools, new offense, new coach, new system, new teammates.

433
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:26,719
Speaker 1: So what did he want? Gronk? He fought for Gronk

434
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,439
Speaker 1: and a power back because he had a good running

435
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 1: game right in New England. Once they won the championship,

436
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:39,560
Speaker 1: he wanted everybody back. Buccaneers oblige. He was always a

437
00:26:39,680 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 1: great primetime player in New England. He's terrible at night

438
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:49,199
Speaker 1: New England. Why because he's become more personally rigid and

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00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:51,840
Speaker 1: inflexible in Tampa because he has so much chaos in

440
00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:59,919
Speaker 1: his life, so he needs desperately certain things. Gronk Leonard Fernas,

441
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:04,160
Speaker 1: he fights so hard for ab so these he's if

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00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:08,800
Speaker 1: you notice, you're gonna love this. His last nine losses

443
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:14,359
Speaker 1: in New England, he had no multiple interception games. His

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00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:19,560
Speaker 1: nine losses in Tampa, He's got six multi interception games.

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00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 1: He unravels much more quickly in Tampa because of the chaos.

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00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:28,840
Speaker 1: If he doesn't have certain things he needs, Gronk is

447
00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 1: out Leonard Fornett's hurt. He unravels very quickly. Night games

448
00:27:34,480 --> 00:27:37,640
Speaker 1: don't work anymore. Missing my power running back doesn't work,

449
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:42,320
Speaker 1: missing my ally at tight end, No question, you think

450
00:27:42,359 --> 00:27:46,720
Speaker 1: this is nuts, right, Caroline's the side here, Colin, listen,

451
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:51,360
Speaker 1: I'm not as famous as you. I don't get invited

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00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:57,920
Speaker 1: to special, private, off the record sessions with Tom Brady

453
00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:02,800
Speaker 1: because I know Jim Gray like you do. So I

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00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:06,000
Speaker 1: can't make this assessment about Tom Brady in the way

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00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 1: that you can. But what I can tell you is

456
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 1: that eighty percent of the bets are on the road

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00:28:11,840 --> 00:28:14,760
Speaker 1: favorite right now, that is the Buccaneers. When you have

458
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,760
Speaker 1: that kind of public favorite at more than a touchdown,

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00:28:18,160 --> 00:28:21,919
Speaker 1: it historically goes in the direction of the underdog. The

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00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:25,960
Speaker 1: Bucks are hurting right now. Leonard Fournette is out, Chris

461
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 1: Godwin is out. The Panthers secondary, which speaks to your

462
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:33,359
Speaker 1: point about interceptions, is amongst the best in the league.

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00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:36,960
Speaker 1: The Panthers will try to run the ball against a

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00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:39,960
Speaker 1: Tampa defense that is really good against the run. But

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00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:42,719
Speaker 1: if Matt Rule has to run it eighty five times

466
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 1: to keep Sam Donald or Cam Newton or anybody from

467
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:50,640
Speaker 1: flowing the ball down field and creating turnovers, He's going

468
00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,600
Speaker 1: to do it. It will lead to controlling the clock,

469
00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:56,480
Speaker 1: It will lead to a lower scoring game. It will

470
00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,640
Speaker 1: lead to ten and a half being a really hard

471
00:28:59,720 --> 00:29:03,080
Speaker 1: number for the Bucks to cover. You were spot on.

472
00:29:03,320 --> 00:29:05,680
Speaker 1: You knew it the whole time. Why do you give

473
00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:11,200
Speaker 1: me jag jets? I know that those are the oatmeal

474
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 1: anemas of the schedule. I don't know why I went there.

475
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 1: I don't even know who a meal enema is. I

476
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:19,880
Speaker 1: read about it one time and it's the most disgusting

477
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 1: thing I've ever heard, so I thought it was apropos

478
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 1: It sounds terrible, well, especially if I like blueberries with

479
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:32,640
Speaker 1: my oatmeal. So that's even worse. When I was at

480
00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:36,600
Speaker 1: ESPN as you were once too, Yeah, I was having

481
00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 1: h this is a great you love this story. I

482
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:44,280
Speaker 1: was having breakfast with m, one of your producers, and

483
00:29:47,280 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 1: I decided to put peanut butter in my oatmeal. We

484
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 1: were eating in the ESPN cafeteria, and I like oatmeal,

485
00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:56,840
Speaker 1: but I'm a big like protein dude in ways you

486
00:29:56,840 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 1: can get it in smart ways, you know. This morning

487
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:02,240
Speaker 1: for breakfas fist, I had a piece of Howe toast

488
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:05,480
Speaker 1: with some hummus, a little bit of olive oil, little

489
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 1: sea salt, and then I also had an apple with

490
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:11,360
Speaker 1: peanut butter. I love you know these plant proteins. Right,

491
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 1: I put the protein in. He goes, it's concolhord. Move

492
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:17,480
Speaker 1: right there, I go, what do you mean? He goes

493
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:20,800
Speaker 1: he likes peanut butter in his oatmeal. I'm like, didn't

494
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 1: know that? He goes. From now on, when you think

495
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:24,680
Speaker 1: about peanut butter with oatmeal, I want you to think

496
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:31,320
Speaker 1: about concol heard. It's so weird to god. Yeah, true story.

497
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 1: You know, there's a lot of true stories about us,

498
00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:40,480
Speaker 1: and we'll uncover more of those as we go buddy.

499
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 1: I okay, So the two you gave me was Carolina.

500
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 1: What was the other one you gave me? I liked

501
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:50,360
Speaker 1: you like the falcons at Oh you know what? I

502
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 1: bet them once this year and I was right. I'm

503
00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 1: wanting all with them all right. Check it out The

504
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 1: Volume Sports. Go to our YouTube channel, click and subscribe. Also,

505
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:03,640
Speaker 1: so you know I g rate review. Subscribe. Happy holidays, folks,

506
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 1: HM the Volume