1 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:09,200 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keane. Along 2 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 1: with Jonathan Ferrell and Lisa Brownwitz. Daily we bring you 3 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:18,600 Speaker 1: insight from the best and economics, finance, investment, and international relations. 4 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 1: Find Bloomberg Surveillance on Apple Podcast, Suncloud, Bloomberg dot Com, 5 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 1: and of course on the Bloomberg terminal. Right now is 6 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:33,200 Speaker 1: a treat, and it's a particular treat for me after 7 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:36,519 Speaker 1: this pandemic to have parachuting into our Bloomberg building. The 8 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:39,840 Speaker 1: World Bank president at David mel Pass I first learned 9 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 1: of him at bear Stearns a few years ago. I 10 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: have said many times in speeches the single best English 11 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: skills crafted at Colorado College that I know. In Kaylee lines, 12 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: are are thrilled to welcome the President of the World 13 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: Bank this morning. We have so much to talk about, 14 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 1: not enough time, but I need to address right away 15 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 1: the delicacy of you, as President World Bank managing not 16 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:09,080 Speaker 1: a scandal but an uproar with the Managing Director of 17 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 1: the International Monetary Fund when she was at the World Bank. 18 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 1: You've made some very important public comments on that. Summarize 19 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 1: that right now of how you stand in the study 20 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:26,680 Speaker 1: of these allegations against Dr George. I think there are 21 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:30,399 Speaker 1: bigger stories for us. This morning puts on a lot 22 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:35,759 Speaker 1: of reports and so in there were staff raised questions 23 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 1: about the integrity of data dating back to eighteen and 24 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 1: so there was an outside firm brought in and a 25 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,479 Speaker 1: law firm to look at it. The Board of Directors 26 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: got into it, issued the report last week, so it 27 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 1: shows the irregularities and goes through that the report speaks 28 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: for itself. You speaks for the report. You think the 29 00:01:55,560 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: report stands on its own, And yes, and we've discontinued report. 30 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: But the World Bank is going to be very, very 31 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 1: involved in the business climate of developing countries. That's critical 32 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 1: for them in establishing jobs and getting growth, in in 33 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 1: attracting new investment, and that's the purpose of the report. 34 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: The purpose of the World Bank UH is to help 35 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:22,639 Speaker 1: countries and the people in the countries move ahead. So 36 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 1: we're still going to be doing that. You're gonna still 37 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 1: be doing that, and you have this report come out 38 00:02:26,760 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 1: as well, and we don't need to get into the 39 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:31,160 Speaker 1: nitty gritty of who did this or what is further 40 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 1: action needed by you on this uproar? Are you saying 41 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: enough let's move on the reports discontinued and will be 42 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 1: forming and looking for new ways to have an impact 43 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:45,639 Speaker 1: in those areas, which I think is the most important thing. Now. 44 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:48,359 Speaker 1: Time is too valuable. Right now, it's seven dollars a 45 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: dose to get a vaccine. Why can't we vaccinate Africa? Yeah, 46 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:56,800 Speaker 1: this is on everyone's mind, and it's frustrating the access 47 00:02:56,880 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 1: in the advanced economies where I'm share a task force 48 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 1: that includes I, M F W T O and and 49 00:03:03,720 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 1: UH W H O uh. And so that there are 50 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:10,680 Speaker 1: two point four billion excess doses in the advanced economies. 51 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:14,079 Speaker 1: So the goal would be to have those early doses, 52 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:17,760 Speaker 1: the early deliveries go to developing countries where that can 53 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 1: use those particular doses. You know, it's a hard logistics 54 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: problem because you've got to get the dose from the 55 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:27,800 Speaker 1: factory uh to a country that wants that kind of dose. 56 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:31,840 Speaker 1: So some want m r NA doses, someone astras in 57 00:03:31,919 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 1: because some want J and J and so on down 58 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: the list, and then they sit in a warehouse UH, 59 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:40,920 Speaker 1: and they're not applied to people, and that I think 60 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:44,040 Speaker 1: has to be improved. We're urging and the task forces 61 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 1: urging the advanced economies to allow swapping of doses. So 62 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 1: if they have a delivery scheduled into their warehouses in 63 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 1: October of this year or November of this year, allow 64 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 1: that dose to go to a developing country person and 65 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: take a later delivery schedule because you don't need it. 66 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 1: You've got excess two point four billion doses. Yeah, David 67 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 1: is an excellent point. We're having a conversation now about 68 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 1: boosters here in the US when there's many people throughout 69 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 1: the world who have yet to receive their initial dose. 70 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: Do you need the Biden administration to take more leadership 71 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: on that, Hi, Kyley, You know I don't. I think 72 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 1: the world has to come together and find solutions to 73 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: this problem. Um and the boosters are countries are going 74 00:04:29,240 --> 00:04:31,839 Speaker 1: to want to do that as needed in order to 75 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:35,839 Speaker 1: protect their population. That still leaves huge amounts of excess 76 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: doses even in near term deliveries. What we're working on 77 00:04:39,040 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 1: right now is trying to get November and December deliveries 78 00:04:42,240 --> 00:04:46,480 Speaker 1: UH scheduled so that so that the countries can prepare 79 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 1: to deliver that kind You need a specific kind of 80 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 1: cold storage or of of of of trained personnel on 81 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 1: each kind of vaccine, and that needs. We need much 82 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: higher numbers of vaccine nations in developing countries and especially 83 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 1: the poorest countries. Well, David, of course, the United States 84 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 1: has made pledges on the vaccine front. Also this week 85 00:05:09,320 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: at the United Nations, the President doubled his commitment in 86 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:15,480 Speaker 1: terms of financial aid for climate change for the developing world. 87 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 1: Just how bad is the climate problem in certain areas 88 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:23,719 Speaker 1: of the world, and from an economic standpoint, how dire 89 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: is the situation the from an adaptation standpoint, so preparing 90 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,640 Speaker 1: for changes in climate the countries are way behind and 91 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:36,000 Speaker 1: that costs lives. The World Bank, the World Banks the 92 00:05:36,000 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 1: biggest financeer of climate change in the among the international 93 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:45,000 Speaker 1: financial institutions. In fact, more than half of all of 94 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:48,480 Speaker 1: the finances World Bank, and over half of that is 95 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:52,600 Speaker 1: for adaptation, to to address countries that are in low 96 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: lying areas, people who are populations are at risk. The 97 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: other part of the equation is to identify and priorities 98 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 1: is the highest emitters of greenhouse gases and recognize that 99 00:06:04,760 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 1: those have to be brought down. Uh that that's a 100 00:06:07,680 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: small group of countries with big emissions, and more importantly, 101 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 1: the projection of emissions into the future. You know, There 102 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:19,599 Speaker 1: are nine thousand coal fired power plants today and there 103 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:23,039 Speaker 1: are more in the planning stages. The permits are still 104 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 1: being issued. So these are big challenges that cost a 105 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:28,159 Speaker 1: lot of money and there has to be a plan 106 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 1: for actually, what do you do with the workers, how 107 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:34,480 Speaker 1: do you change the system so that there's less greenhouse 108 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 1: gas emissions? And what can you impute on China? If 109 00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:39,359 Speaker 1: China is struggling with us to say the least, and 110 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:42,920 Speaker 1: the marginal development of coal, what does the World Bank 111 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 1: strategy to assist China to a better climate outcome. We 112 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 1: have some programs in China, but you know, it's income 113 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 1: has gone up and we're reducing that. Most of most 114 00:06:54,120 --> 00:06:58,279 Speaker 1: of our programs are are in the area of of 115 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:03,040 Speaker 1: global public goods and space, typically marine plastic abatement, so 116 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 1: that because a lot of plastic goes into the oceans 117 00:07:06,120 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 1: from the rivers in in China, and so we're working 118 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 1: on that heavily. With regard to COLE we do have 119 00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 1: one project area in China, but wherever it is in 120 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:20,840 Speaker 1: the world, it's hard to decommission an actual operating coal plant. 121 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 1: The USC s that and that's a challenge. So the 122 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 1: world's looking to China to do that to to change 123 00:07:29,280 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 1: and I saw yesterday China release the the idea that 124 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:36,680 Speaker 1: they're not going to finance coal fired plants outside China. 125 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 1: So that's a step around the world. We need all 126 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:42,240 Speaker 1: of those steps. We're gonna run out of time, President Malpass, 127 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: But I want to say that today is a wonderful symbol. 128 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,560 Speaker 1: You are the first public official to attend with US 129 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 1: lives since the pandemic began. It's a great, great moment, fabulous. 130 00:07:53,800 --> 00:07:56,680 Speaker 1: It's good to be here, Tom. I wish the times 131 00:07:56,680 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 1: were better because it's chaos across a lot of the 132 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 1: developing world. I'm not gonna ask you about FED policy today. 133 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 1: David bel Pess, thank you so much. He is a 134 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: World Bank UH president as well. We're gonna stop the 135 00:08:15,240 --> 00:08:20,280 Speaker 1: show right now on economics, finance, investment, and international relations 136 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 1: and speak to an authority linking economics to ethics. You 137 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 1: cannot do better than Glenn Hubbard. He is the dean 138 00:08:28,280 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: emeritus of Columbia Business School, formally with the Council of 139 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 1: Economic Advisors. He wants to talk I s l M 140 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: theory and the rest of it. We don't we want 141 00:08:37,920 --> 00:08:41,880 Speaker 1: to talk Glenn Hubbard about course B eight five eight 142 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:47,559 Speaker 1: three dash zero zero one is you resurrected Columbia Business School. 143 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:52,559 Speaker 1: You said we need to teach ethics, explain executive ethics 144 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:56,280 Speaker 1: and the idea that senior officials of the FED can 145 00:08:56,320 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: do investment in bond derivative products. Well, the first part 146 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:05,080 Speaker 1: maybe easier than the second. On the first part, we 147 00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 1: do believe in this business cool parctly any top business school, 148 00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 1: that people need to understand the context of their decisions. 149 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:14,960 Speaker 1: Part of that ethics, part of its understanding social structure. 150 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 1: The FED obviously does have to take a hard look 151 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:23,760 Speaker 1: at its rules as as as Congress, as does the administrations. 152 00:09:24,280 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 1: I think it is a matter for ongoing discussion and 153 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 1: cheer powells and a pretty strong signal. Well, it sound 154 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 1: a pretty strong signal. But what should be the best 155 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 1: outcome here? I'm not talking about senators and the politicians 156 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: with feed officials and investment. What seems so germane to 157 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 1: me is yeah, they can buy apple. That doesn't matter. 158 00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 1: Thinking by stock market, even commodities, et F etcetera. But 159 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 1: the trading of anything having to do with a fixed 160 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:55,720 Speaker 1: income market did that strike you as odd? It does? 161 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,440 Speaker 1: I mean, I think the safer route for a feteficial 162 00:09:58,600 --> 00:10:02,080 Speaker 1: would be to just toll on market measures, no trading 163 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:06,080 Speaker 1: of individual stocks or speculation in the fixed income market. 164 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 1: You know, part of being an official is an abundance 165 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 1: of caution so that people don't challenge your motors. Professor, 166 00:10:12,679 --> 00:10:15,080 Speaker 1: do you think this is the credibility of the Federal 167 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 1: Reserve or not? I don't. I don't. I think it's unfortunate, 168 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 1: but I don't think it's certain the credibility of the FED. 169 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 1: The issues for the credibility of the FED really have 170 00:10:23,600 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 1: more to do with it stands on policy, frankly, than 171 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:29,280 Speaker 1: that on ethics. I want to talk about policy as well, 172 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:32,520 Speaker 1: particularly social policy. Professor. This is the quote from Senator 173 00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:35,280 Speaker 1: Path to me. He said, I think he's tolerated a politicization. 174 00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:37,640 Speaker 1: He's talking about Chair and Powell. The FED won't dring 175 00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:42,080 Speaker 1: into the social and cultural areas where the FED doesn't belong. Professor, 176 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:43,800 Speaker 1: Can I have your reaction to that quote? What you 177 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 1: make of that? Well, it's hard you know exactly what 178 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 1: the center, to me is referring to the FED does 179 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: have to think about the broader social construct of the economy. 180 00:10:53,640 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: At the same time, in any organization, you want to 181 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 1: be clear, you don't have mission creep. The job one 182 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:03,360 Speaker 1: for the FED is low and stable inflation and maximum 183 00:11:03,440 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 1: employment and of course financial stability. Some of the social 184 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:11,840 Speaker 1: concerns are wound up in that climate change, for example. 185 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 1: But I think the FED has to be very careful 186 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:16,400 Speaker 1: to focus on its key jobs and do them well. 187 00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 1: Confederate Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell continue to do his job well, 188 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:24,839 Speaker 1: do you think he deserves the second term? Well, out, 189 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:26,880 Speaker 1: of course is for the presidents, is they not for me? 190 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:31,719 Speaker 1: I think he does. The FED has had I think 191 00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:34,840 Speaker 1: a good record during the pandemic period, and I agree 192 00:11:34,840 --> 00:11:38,320 Speaker 1: with everything, but certainly very good record. Cheer. Powell also 193 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:42,640 Speaker 1: has had an ability that's quite distinctive to talk credibly 194 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:45,199 Speaker 1: to people on both sides of the aisle. So I 195 00:11:45,240 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 1: think it would probably be a mistake not to reappointment. Well, 196 00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:50,320 Speaker 1: let's talk about how he's going to talk at the 197 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:52,960 Speaker 1: press conference today. Do you think the FED can credibly 198 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 1: separate a tapering of bond purchases month on month versus 199 00:11:57,880 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 1: starting to hike interest rates sometime in the future. Great question. 200 00:12:01,679 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 1: Obviously Chair Power will try to do just that. It's 201 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: obvious that we have to have some sort of clear 202 00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:11,440 Speaker 1: taper signals. There's no reason for the Central Bank to 203 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:15,760 Speaker 1: be providing large asset purchases to bolster aggregate demand. What 204 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 1: inflation is high and supply is the problem. At the 205 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:21,840 Speaker 1: same time, a lot of people realize the dot plots 206 00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:26,200 Speaker 1: are shifting the possibility of a rate increase into But 207 00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 1: I would expect Chair Powell to put off that discussion 208 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:32,280 Speaker 1: if you can, during the press conference. But you're right, 209 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:34,840 Speaker 1: it will come up, and it should. Glenn Hubbard, my 210 00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 1: book of the year is In Defense of Public Debt. 211 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:41,600 Speaker 1: I announced that quickly yesterday at Granted this is Barry 212 00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 1: Ike and Green's tour to force on public debt. You 213 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 1: are the single greatest spokesman of responsible not supply side theory, 214 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 1: but a more conservative theory. He opens his book with 215 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:58,480 Speaker 1: a senator from Kentucky, the junior senator from Kentucky, giving 216 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:03,680 Speaker 1: a traditional public at fear line. Speak to conservatives in America, 217 00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:07,120 Speaker 1: what do they get wrong about our ability to solve 218 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: this public debt crisis we're in. Well, it's a great question, Tom, 219 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:15,720 Speaker 1: and debt for a household, for a business, for a country, 220 00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 1: whether it's good or bad depends on what you're using 221 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:22,479 Speaker 1: it for. So the use of debt for the future, 222 00:13:22,480 --> 00:13:27,560 Speaker 1: fighting a war, infrastructure, part of even your ongoing budget 223 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:31,640 Speaker 1: may make sense. The problem is when debt becomes UH 224 00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 1: completely wrapped up into large social programs that are unfunded. 225 00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,840 Speaker 1: That's not just an American problem, it's a it's a 226 00:13:38,880 --> 00:13:42,240 Speaker 1: global problem. So the issue is not necessarily how high 227 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:45,920 Speaker 1: debt is relative to GDP, but what we're doing for it, 228 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: and eventually, of course that debt has to be UH. 229 00:13:49,200 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 1: The ancient glen, the ancient conservative issue is if the 230 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 1: Senator from Vermont comes out with three point five trillion 231 00:13:57,120 --> 00:14:01,000 Speaker 1: dollars of social programs, whether it's to run doesn't matter, 232 00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 1: it will not be applied correctly. Do you see where 233 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:09,319 Speaker 1: we can have a two part fiscal expansion now where 234 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 1: we can have confidence it will be applied productively. I do, 235 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 1: and it's different than what we're talking about. So Part 236 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 1: one is already on the table, which is something akin 237 00:14:20,120 --> 00:14:24,000 Speaker 1: to the bipartisan Infrastructure Bill. Even that bill is more 238 00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 1: in it than I would call infrastructure, but it's certainly 239 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:29,960 Speaker 1: a very good bill. A second part would be more 240 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:35,880 Speaker 1: opportunity focused, helping to connect and reconnect everybody to the economy. 241 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,680 Speaker 1: You can do that much more cheaply than the vast 242 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:42,840 Speaker 1: non means tested expansion of social programs and Senator standards 243 00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:45,080 Speaker 1: and others or suggest So is the three and a 244 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:49,680 Speaker 1: half trillion dollar price tag to high? Glenn? Well, yes, 245 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:52,480 Speaker 1: but I don't even think that's the question. The question 246 00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:53,880 Speaker 1: is not whether it's one and a half or three 247 00:14:53,920 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 1: and now, but what is it? And if it's a 248 00:14:56,000 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 1: massive expansion of the state in new entitlement programs, that's 249 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 1: something we ought to ask. Are we promoting work and 250 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: opportunity or were doing something else? That to me is 251 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 1: the threshold question. But yes, the price tag is too high. 252 00:15:08,920 --> 00:15:12,200 Speaker 1: There's no credible pay fors for a bill that size. Well, 253 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,680 Speaker 1: the pay for is being considered are many, and they're 254 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,160 Speaker 1: higher taxes in many shapes and forms. What do you 255 00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:20,600 Speaker 1: think the growth impact of that is? If those pay 256 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: fors do indeed mean that Americans, granted wealthier ones, have 257 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 1: to pay more, what depends on the pay for? You know, 258 00:15:28,520 --> 00:15:32,200 Speaker 1: obviously the economy of will survive a modest increase in 259 00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:34,320 Speaker 1: the corporate tax. I don't think it's a good idea 260 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 1: of it will certainly be survived. But the small increases 261 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 1: in capital taxes that might have a chance of being 262 00:15:40,720 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 1: enacted are too small to really pay for anything like 263 00:15:43,640 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 1: this bill, and assumptions like savings and drug prices are 264 00:15:47,800 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: a remaking of a system, not really a pay for 265 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: it a conventional set. So the numbers just don't add up. Number. 266 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:57,880 Speaker 1: What does Chairman Powell not want to say today? What's 267 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:02,480 Speaker 1: a single thing where he needs to be signed? Well, 268 00:16:02,520 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 1: I would guess from his perspective he would rather punt 269 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 1: on the discussion of the path for rates as opposed 270 00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 1: to tapering. He probably also would like to avoid talking 271 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 1: about the other taper that's happening, which is the change 272 00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,920 Speaker 1: in the rate of growth of fiscal stimulus. Obviously, that 273 00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:23,040 Speaker 1: is a taper that will be affecting the economy too, 274 00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 1: and I doubt he wants to weigh into that. Glenn, 275 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:28,960 Speaker 1: thank you as always fantastic to catch up with. Glen 276 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:32,640 Speaker 1: That the Columbia Business School dean emeritus and former Council 277 00:16:32,920 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 1: of Economic Advisors Chairman. It's what's so important here, John, 278 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 1: is the idea of will I go full brid We 279 00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 1: know the measurement of you going full Yank in black rocket. 280 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:50,720 Speaker 1: Mr Fink have decided we need the British to go 281 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:54,360 Speaker 1: full Yank in America. And our next guest is she's 282 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:57,240 Speaker 1: she's gone full You want to have this discussion with 283 00:16:57,320 --> 00:17:00,800 Speaker 1: a wonderful fund manager. Yeah, she is makes comes strategists 284 00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 1: like Marin Watson. You want to do that now, which no, 285 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:04,720 Speaker 1: we do right now. We can talk to her about 286 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 1: the serious issues. But she's an example of the international 287 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 1: zai absolutely. Marilyn. Did you find that you lost your 288 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:14,439 Speaker 1: tease early on? Is that what happened? I think I 289 00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:16,320 Speaker 1: have lost them a little bit. I'm trying hard, not 290 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,159 Speaker 1: too though. I'm trying to keep them, but trying to 291 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:22,199 Speaker 1: slip might slip to Marilyn. It's great a catch up 292 00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 1: with the Marilyn Watson here with this black Rock head 293 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:27,480 Speaker 1: of global fundamental fixed income strategy. Marilyn, let's just start 294 00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:30,320 Speaker 1: with today and the Federal Reserved Chairman. Something we've mentioned 295 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,720 Speaker 1: through the morning how difficult it will be to communicate 296 00:17:33,800 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 1: that the decision ultimately on Que's divorced from a decision 297 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:40,680 Speaker 1: on rates doesn't set the clock ticking when the dot 298 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 1: plot is going to be in the mix as well. Yeah, 299 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:47,240 Speaker 1: I think already they've done a relatively good job of 300 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 1: trying to decouple tapering quee with a rising interest rates. 301 00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 1: I think they've been trying to signal that, and I 302 00:17:55,080 --> 00:17:57,720 Speaker 1: think they have done a relatively good job. I think 303 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:02,200 Speaker 1: going into today, the market is expecting to maybe hear 304 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 1: a little bit more around tapering, but they're not expecting 305 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,400 Speaker 1: too much. Maybe, um, something will change in the forward 306 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:12,000 Speaker 1: guidance about you know, substantial further progress being made UM, 307 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:14,080 Speaker 1: and you know, the market, I think, you know, the 308 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:17,840 Speaker 1: consensus is that tapering will start at some point before 309 00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:20,720 Speaker 1: the end of this year. UM. In terms of the dots, 310 00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:22,800 Speaker 1: that is something that we and I think most market 311 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:25,159 Speaker 1: participants will be keeping a very very keen eye on, 312 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:28,760 Speaker 1: particularly as we see um, you know, maybe maybe an 313 00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 1: adjustment two. It's hard to see, but we'll also get 314 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:35,000 Speaker 1: the nuance scored twenty four and at the moment, it 315 00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:38,480 Speaker 1: probably looks like the Federal still probably be suggesting in 316 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:40,960 Speaker 1: adopt loots that you maybe have three great hikes in 317 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three and three and twenty twenty four. But 318 00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:46,000 Speaker 1: I think that's so far done a pretty good job 319 00:18:46,040 --> 00:18:49,960 Speaker 1: of keeping a tapering queue and a changing interest rate's 320 00:18:49,960 --> 00:18:53,000 Speaker 1: pretty well separated. Well. You do a world class job 321 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:57,360 Speaker 1: of synthesizing all that you read and fixed income dynamics, 322 00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:02,600 Speaker 1: what do you anticipate the real you will do well. 323 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,040 Speaker 1: So it's interesting if you look at the behavior of 324 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:09,560 Speaker 1: the U S real yield versus h you European rates, 325 00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:13,480 Speaker 1: or you actually see that, you know, in relative terms, 326 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:16,199 Speaker 1: actually it takes a little bit higher um and I 327 00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:18,560 Speaker 1: think if you do start to see it, it depends 328 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:22,240 Speaker 1: the messaging taking away from this meeting, and if we 329 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:26,359 Speaker 1: do get further guidance on you know, tapering towards the 330 00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 1: end of the year, maybe the dots as well, if 331 00:19:29,359 --> 00:19:32,720 Speaker 1: it's perceived to be a bit more dovish, then I 332 00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:35,320 Speaker 1: do think you will start to see you know, you'll 333 00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:37,960 Speaker 1: subb to see the dollar tick down, and you'll see 334 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 1: an impact on bill hills as well. But at the moment, 335 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 1: I think we would expect to see real yields continue 336 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,359 Speaker 1: to basically tick up a little bit more if we 337 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 1: do get the FED you know, signaling that they are 338 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:51,840 Speaker 1: going to continue with the framework of tapering before the 339 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:53,639 Speaker 1: end of this year, and also the pace will be 340 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:57,000 Speaker 1: important as well. I doubt Maryland that the dead ceiling 341 00:19:57,040 --> 00:19:59,719 Speaker 1: in today's decision is going to have any real bearing 342 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,800 Speaker 1: for the FED, But for the bond market, is there 343 00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:06,119 Speaker 1: a real fear there around the potential of that suspension 344 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 1: not being extended. Well, I think it's definitely another layer 345 00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:13,880 Speaker 1: of uncertainty to add to the myth mix, and it's 346 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:18,240 Speaker 1: certainly another risk. I think, Um, you know, not to 347 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 1: be fully discounting it, because it is it is a 348 00:20:21,080 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 1: risk that is still there. But you know, on the 349 00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 1: base scenario it is that something will be agreed. But 350 00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:30,199 Speaker 1: I think if you add that to to COVID, you 351 00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:34,240 Speaker 1: add it to the news around growth generally in China 352 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 1: and elsewhere as well. Um, it's just another factor that 353 00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:40,600 Speaker 1: I think will maybe contribute a little bit more to 354 00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:43,400 Speaker 1: the ongoing volatility that we're seeing at the moment, perhaps 355 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:45,880 Speaker 1: more in the exuerty market than actually in the fixing 356 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:47,520 Speaker 1: com market at the moment. But as you say, I 357 00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 1: think it is definitely a risk, and I think it 358 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 1: is to a certain extent big priced in. But at 359 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:57,600 Speaker 1: the moment um, you know, I think the general consensus 360 00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 1: that will be some sort of agreement, but most there 361 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:02,760 Speaker 1: always is China will deal with it. China will deal 362 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,119 Speaker 1: with it. Marian, Thank you. Mann Watson. Black Rock Head 363 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 1: a global fundamental fixed income strategy. GM four A is 364 00:21:14,359 --> 00:21:17,199 Speaker 1: standing by he could join in this conversation. Airbus is 365 00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 1: holding a sustainability day to day down in to lose 366 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:24,399 Speaker 1: this clearly ahead of COP twenty six GM. Welcome to 367 00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 1: the program. Thank you very much, D for your time 368 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:28,960 Speaker 1: this morning. You said this morning, and we'll talk about 369 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:32,880 Speaker 1: sustainability first. You said this morning that you are becoming 370 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:37,120 Speaker 1: quote more confident in your ability to deliver a hydrogen 371 00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:41,919 Speaker 1: airplane by twenty five GM. The physics and the chemistry 372 00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:46,159 Speaker 1: is incredibly complicated. What gives you that confidence. The physics 373 00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 1: is complicated, but the physics works. Hydrogen technologies are not new. 374 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:54,439 Speaker 1: They are used in in other sectors. We use them 375 00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:57,240 Speaker 1: in space on our rockets, and we don't need the 376 00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 1: loads of physics to change to be able to use 377 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:02,920 Speaker 1: hydrogen on our planes. So every day we become more confident. 378 00:22:03,520 --> 00:22:05,399 Speaker 1: But we think we need to have a plane. We 379 00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 1: need to have the right fuel, the hydrogen available in 380 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:11,600 Speaker 1: the right quantity at the right place at the right time, 381 00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,040 Speaker 1: and we need the regulations to be ready. So we 382 00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:18,359 Speaker 1: really need the work and the collaboration of many people 383 00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:20,560 Speaker 1: are on the globe to make it happen. And that's 384 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 1: why we have the summit to create that momentum and 385 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,800 Speaker 1: make sure we have the right level of collaboration to 386 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: make it happen on time. What problems do you still 387 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,639 Speaker 1: need to solve, what needs fixing, and what kind of 388 00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,439 Speaker 1: aircraft should we be thinking about. Is this kind of 389 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 1: a turbo prop sized aircraft a smaller aircraft all were 390 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 1: thinking about a replacement for the eight three twenty family. 391 00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:45,119 Speaker 1: The technology needs to be introduced in planes in aviation, 392 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,200 Speaker 1: so we we need to be able to deliver the 393 00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:50,440 Speaker 1: fuel at the airport, to use the plane on board, 394 00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:52,960 Speaker 1: to store it, to burn it, or to use it 395 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:55,440 Speaker 1: in a fuel cell um. There's a lot at stake 396 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,440 Speaker 1: at the moment we are looking at those technologies, so 397 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:01,639 Speaker 1: it's not really about solving problem ms. It's about understanding 398 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:04,840 Speaker 1: the way we can use the different technologies and then 399 00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:09,639 Speaker 1: selecting the right ones. When it comes to the plane themselves, 400 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:15,119 Speaker 1: Hydrogen as different characteristics compared to carosine. There is a 401 00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:19,640 Speaker 1: higher weight density of hydrogen compared to carosine, so it's 402 00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 1: good from the weight standpoint, but it takes more volume 403 00:23:23,040 --> 00:23:26,080 Speaker 1: for the same quantity of energy, So the planes we'll 404 00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 1: have probably a different shape at different architecture, and we 405 00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:33,440 Speaker 1: will use less hydrogen in terms of weight less hydrogen 406 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,639 Speaker 1: on board than with carosin. So we believe we're gonna 407 00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:40,479 Speaker 1: start with a short and mid range aircraft before it 408 00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:44,680 Speaker 1: goes to longer distances or other smaller planes at the beginning, 409 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:48,720 Speaker 1: which is also something reasonable to consider when you look 410 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,680 Speaker 1: at the investment that will be required. So smaller investments 411 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:56,480 Speaker 1: for smaller planes easier go to market um and more 412 00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 1: convenient when it comes to the use of hydrogen. Gim 413 00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:02,919 Speaker 1: we will just check thing about the North Atlantic and 414 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 1: figuring out exactly what kind of impacts President Biden's decision 415 00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:09,199 Speaker 1: to reopen the North Atlantic is going to have. What 416 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:11,720 Speaker 1: is your perspective on this, When do you think that 417 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:15,680 Speaker 1: we're gonna start seeing the reopening translating into new orders, 418 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:19,280 Speaker 1: new white body orders for Airbus. You make a very 419 00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,960 Speaker 1: good connection between the reopening of the North Atlantic and 420 00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:25,439 Speaker 1: the white body situation. Actually, what we see at the 421 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:30,840 Speaker 1: moment is a recovery on domestic flights, original flights um 422 00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:34,439 Speaker 1: and therefore the production increase at their bus on the 423 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,720 Speaker 1: narrow bodies, on the single lined business the E three 424 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,440 Speaker 1: twenty family. But we are still at a very low 425 00:24:39,480 --> 00:24:42,159 Speaker 1: pace when it comes to white bodies. It's the beginning 426 00:24:42,200 --> 00:24:45,159 Speaker 1: of the process. I hope that the reopening of the 427 00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 1: North Atlantic we trigger other positive news when it comes 428 00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 1: to long distance flights, but it's a bit premature. So 429 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,679 Speaker 1: we're very happy to see this first milestone. That was 430 00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:59,600 Speaker 1: the most important one and probably the easier to get 431 00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:04,720 Speaker 1: UM on the on the long distance UH situation, So 432 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:07,800 Speaker 1: very good news for the industry. We need to get 433 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:10,120 Speaker 1: it right. I think this is gonna be okay. It's 434 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 1: very important for the US and European airlines will very 435 00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:17,640 Speaker 1: much help in general in the path to recovery. So 436 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:21,320 Speaker 1: we're very happy with it. Um Um. Some in the 437 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 1: market is starting to believe that you will easily beat 438 00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:27,920 Speaker 1: your six hundred delivery target for this year. Um I'm 439 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,120 Speaker 1: wondering though, whether actually supply chain issues could end up 440 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:34,119 Speaker 1: having quite a negative impact. What are you seeing in 441 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:38,360 Speaker 1: the supply chain right now? Any chip shortages, any material shortages. 442 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 1: What do you think the energy crisis in Europe is 443 00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:43,040 Speaker 1: gonna mean? Do you think you're gonna have any impact 444 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 1: from that? Actually, we continue to operate in a very challenging, 445 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 1: complex and unpredictable environment. We've delivered roughly three hundred planes 446 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:56,120 Speaker 1: in the first half, so six hundred for the fullier 447 00:25:56,240 --> 00:26:00,119 Speaker 1: is something that really makes sense from our perspective. UM. 448 00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:03,639 Speaker 1: The supply chain situation is challenging. They're really in a 449 00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:07,159 Speaker 1: difficult spot. As I said earlier, we're working very closely 450 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,399 Speaker 1: with the supply chain. We're happy of what has been 451 00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:12,480 Speaker 1: achieved in the last eighteen months against the backdrop of 452 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:16,719 Speaker 1: this incredible crisis, but now that we start to ramp up, 453 00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:21,800 Speaker 1: we see some difficulties. Our suppliers have challenges in accessing 454 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:26,119 Speaker 1: raw material, including on the prices of raw material UM, 455 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:31,080 Speaker 1: to reopen plants, to rehire or hire people for the 456 00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:35,439 Speaker 1: ramp up in this challenging situation, it's not easy UM, 457 00:26:35,520 --> 00:26:38,680 Speaker 1: and we are prudent when it comes to the speed 458 00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:42,240 Speaker 1: of recovery of our production. So again we believe the 459 00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,679 Speaker 1: six hundred target we have given to ourselves is a 460 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:47,760 Speaker 1: realistic one. Always the pleasure. Thank you for your time. 461 00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:50,360 Speaker 1: Thank you for sharing a little bit of what you're 462 00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,480 Speaker 1: thinking about the sustainability story UH and how it's going 463 00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 1: to progress from here. GM four, the CEO of a US. 464 00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:02,440 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveying Podcast. Thanks for listening. Join 465 00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:05,879 Speaker 1: us live weekdays from seven to ten am Eastern on 466 00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:10,240 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio and on Bloomberg Television each day from six 467 00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:15,200 Speaker 1: to nine am for insight from the best in economics, finance, investment, 468 00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:20,359 Speaker 1: and international relations. And subscribe to the Surveillance podcast on 469 00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 1: Apple podcast, SoundCloud, Bloomberg dot com, and of course, on 470 00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:28,520 Speaker 1: the terminal. I'm Tom Keene, and this is Bloomberg