1 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:15,520 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: You're watching Open Interest. I'm Shinali Backzek. I'm sitting here 3 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 2: with Aris Management CEO Michael Arraghetti and it's interesting. Mike. 4 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 2: Good to see you today. 5 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 3: Thanks for coming down. 6 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 2: Oh, you're welcome. This is on the heels of some 7 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 2: news at areas. This is on the heels of a 8 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:33,520 Speaker 2: big set of promotions. You announced co presidents for the firm, 9 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 2: but that also set off a wave of promotions underneath 10 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 2: them as well. What does this mean for the future 11 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 2: of areas in the direction you're trying to be so happy? 12 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 3: So Kip Devere and Blair Jacobson, who I think you're 13 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 3: sitting down with later two of my oldest friends. We've 14 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 3: been friends for thirty years, business partners for twenty five 15 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 3: years in the case of Kip, fifteen plus years in 16 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 3: the case of Blair. So anytime you can elevate, you know, 17 00:00:56,840 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 3: good quality people, it's caused for celebration. But as you 18 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 3: hinted at, we've been I think really good at succession. 19 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 3: You know, private equity firms historically are great at succession 20 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 3: I think within their portfolios, but when it comes to 21 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 3: themselves have sometimes missed the mark, and I think any good, 22 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 3: high quality growth company needs to be great at succession 23 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 3: and needs to create pathways for growth for future leaders. 24 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 3: So the reality is, over the last year, we've elevated 25 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:27,320 Speaker 3: co heads in our European direct lending business, We've elevated 26 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 3: co heads in our US direct lending business, We've elevated 27 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 3: people in real estate, and there's just been this massive, 28 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 3: you know, wave of growth and promotion. I think part 29 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 3: of what makes our culture unique speaking to the friendship 30 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 3: that I have with Blair and Kip, but it pervades 31 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 3: the whole organization is we have people here who are 32 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 3: now running businesses that started at areas twenty twenty five 33 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 3: years ago as an analysts and really grew up in 34 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 3: this in this culture. So I just couldn't be happier. 35 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 2: You know, It's interesting this is not just happening at areas. 36 00:01:53,720 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 2: It's kind of happening across the street, where you're seeing 37 00:01:56,120 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 2: more people in high level roles being tapped to be 38 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 2: elevated to the number two, three, four positions. What does 39 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,040 Speaker 2: this say about the talent war on Wall Street? What 40 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 2: are you seeing when you talk to the banks and 41 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 2: you talk to your rivals about people who might want 42 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:10,680 Speaker 2: to come here. 43 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 3: Look, I think you win in this game by developing 44 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 3: and retaining great talent. I think we've been fortunate. We 45 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 3: have very very low turnover, and you can see that 46 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 3: in the way that our leaders are growing and developing here. 47 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:25,919 Speaker 3: There's always going to be a war for talent. I 48 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 3: think the reality is the large firms in our business 49 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 3: are getting larger. There's huge benefits to size and scale, 50 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:34,920 Speaker 3: So I'd like to think that we and others are 51 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 3: kind of net beneficiars of that war for talent. I 52 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 3: would imagine certain other parts of the market, whether some 53 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 3: of the investment in commercial banks are probably struggling to 54 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 3: maintain talent just given some of the secular changes that 55 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 3: are happening in our market. 56 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 2: To that end, a few people realize that you added 57 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:53,560 Speaker 2: about one hundred investment professionals last year. 58 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:56,519 Speaker 3: We did, so, we grew our investment teams over ten 59 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:58,799 Speaker 3: percent last year, and we just came out of our 60 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:01,519 Speaker 3: planning meetings for this year and I would expect growth 61 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,919 Speaker 3: this year will be similar. So obviously the businesses are growing, 62 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 3: they're diversifying, they're globalizing, and the way you support that 63 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 3: growth and complexity is, you know, adding. 64 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:12,480 Speaker 2: High quality time one hundred more people. 65 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, well we're up to almost four thousand people now, obviously, 66 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,519 Speaker 3: so that's part of the conversation around the elevation of 67 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 3: Kip and Blairs, obviously, just putting some of our most 68 00:03:21,880 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 3: proven business builders and leaders against this growth and complexity. 69 00:03:25,880 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 2: You know, the growth is coming against an interesting backdrop. 70 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 2: I was looking at the ten year yield from the 71 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:33,639 Speaker 2: beginning of the year to now and the drop off 72 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 2: is pretty stunning. You are more than a half a 73 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 2: percentage point from the highs that you suggest in January. 74 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 2: The market is afraid of growth, are you. 75 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 3: We're not, you know. And if you look, consumer confidence 76 00:03:45,000 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 3: is feeling a little wobbly, CEO confidence is not showing 77 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:50,360 Speaker 3: the same anxiety. 78 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 2: You know. 79 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 3: Obviously one of the benefits of running the business that 80 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 3: we run as we see things happening in the real 81 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 3: economy all over the globe and we're just not seeing 82 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:01,960 Speaker 3: the deceleration and growth. So our base case coming into 83 00:04:02,000 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 3: the year was that you'd continue to see solid fundamental growth. 84 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 3: You'd see persistently high prices and inflation. Labor markets are 85 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 3: still very tight, so you know, it's interesting when you 86 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 3: think about public markets versus private markets. The public markets 87 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 3: can get a little schizophrenic day to day, week to week, 88 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 3: and I think in the private markets we try to 89 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 3: keep a longer term view and at least based on 90 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:25,520 Speaker 3: what we're seeing. We haven't changed our faces. 91 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 2: But what are you preparing for more at this point 92 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 2: for interest rates to be higher or lower from here? 93 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 3: I'm still in the camp of stable to higher for 94 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:36,359 Speaker 3: longer than changing our view that we're going to see 95 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 3: increasing cuts throughout the end of the year. 96 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 2: We are still seeing a number of bankruptcy filings come 97 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:43,919 Speaker 2: to market. We are seeing some signs of stress. Given 98 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 2: we're in this higher for longer environment, what are you 99 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:48,719 Speaker 2: seeing out there? Are there places in the market that 100 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:50,280 Speaker 2: you're avoiding right now because of it? 101 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:52,960 Speaker 3: There's all the way that we've set the business up. 102 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:55,239 Speaker 3: It's interesting if you look at our history, we've grown 103 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 3: at almost a twenty five percent growth rate over the 104 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 3: last twenty plus years. We've grown fastest coming out of 105 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 3: the financial crisis and coming out of COVID. So the 106 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 3: way that the business is designed, just based on the 107 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 3: products that we have is to be a liquidity provider 108 00:05:09,000 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 3: in good markets and challenge markets. So coming into any 109 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 3: given year. We don't have anxiety about the ability to deploy. 110 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:19,920 Speaker 3: It's just a question where's that deployment going to come from. 111 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:23,440 Speaker 3: Obviously in the more interest rate sensitive sectors that we 112 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 3: invest in, real estate will show signs of stress, low 113 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 3: end consumer lending will show signs of stress. But when 114 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:33,479 Speaker 3: you look at it indexed across everything we do, it's 115 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 3: still we expect it's going to be a good year. 116 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 2: So let's talk again about areas as growth strategy for 117 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 2: a moment here, because what's been so notable is that 118 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 2: you've made a recent multi billion dollar acquisition and the 119 00:05:46,160 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 2: industry has been consolidating. Do you see more acquisitions in 120 00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 2: your near future? 121 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 3: I think acquisitions are always going to be part of 122 00:05:53,560 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 3: our growth. The bar for acquisitions is getting higher and 123 00:05:56,720 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 3: higher as we fill out our BINGO card, if you will, 124 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 3: in terms of capabilities and geographies. But consolidation in our 125 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:11,280 Speaker 3: industry will absolutely continue. If you look at the benefits 126 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:14,159 Speaker 3: of scale in this industry in terms of capital raising, 127 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:19,479 Speaker 3: capital deployment, talent acquisition, and retention, the bigger getting bigger 128 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 3: for good reason, and size is actually showing up in performance. 129 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 3: So unlike public markets where people get concerned that the 130 00:06:25,680 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 3: bigger you get, the harder it is to perform. I 131 00:06:28,320 --> 00:06:31,240 Speaker 3: think we and the large publics are showing that as 132 00:06:31,279 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 3: we consolidate and accumulate capability information edge that we're actually outperforming, 133 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:39,599 Speaker 3: and so I think you're going to continue to see 134 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 3: people fill out capability, geography, distribution in in this phase 135 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:45,479 Speaker 3: of growth. 136 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 2: Speaking of distribution, you're seeing some interesting partnerships starting to 137 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 2: come together in the market, and a lot of it 138 00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 2: is for the idea of bringing private capital, particularly private credit, 139 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:57,799 Speaker 2: into the hands of retail investors. Just today you saw 140 00:06:58,040 --> 00:07:01,280 Speaker 2: the launch of that Apollo State Street Private Credit ETF. 141 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 2: Would you start an ETF? 142 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 3: Well, I always try to remind people there's a big 143 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 3: difference between investment grade private credit and what the market 144 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 3: generally thinks of as private credit private credit, and those 145 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 3: are offering different types of exposures and they have opportunity 146 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 3: for different types of distribution with both retail and institutional investors. 147 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 3: So that's point number one. Point number two is if 148 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 3: you look at Areas as an example, we run a 149 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 3: BDC called Ares Capital Corporation. We have a twenty year 150 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 3: track record and an almost thirty billion dollar portfolio of 151 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 3: private loans private credit that has daily liquidity and is 152 00:07:41,240 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 3: available to any retail investor around the globe. We also 153 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 3: have a large interval fund that invests in a diverse 154 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 3: array of high grade and below investment grade credit exposures. 155 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 3: It offers liquidity. So I think these are more evolutionary moves. 156 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,680 Speaker 3: But I think it's important that people understand this is 157 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 3: not a huge transformation. There's already technology that exists that's 158 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 3: well understood, well Troden, well bought and has performed well 159 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 3: where retail investors can get access to private credit and 160 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 3: other private market assets. 161 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:16,200 Speaker 2: So I totally have one more question with you, although 162 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 2: I have many on the et Apple, I'll have your 163 00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:21,960 Speaker 2: co presidents later. Got to ask you about the NFL. Yes, 164 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 2: you really were involved in the first deal that went 165 00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 2: to the hands of private equity, the Miami Dolphins. What's 166 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:29,119 Speaker 2: the next team? 167 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:32,800 Speaker 3: You know, I can't tell you what we're going to 168 00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 3: do next. But this NFL opening up to private capital, 169 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 3: I think is so indicative of just the role that 170 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 3: private markets and private capital plays generally in the opening 171 00:08:44,120 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 3: up of new markets. Right, So if you just think 172 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:50,679 Speaker 3: about sports investing and the NFL five years ago, institutional 173 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:55,080 Speaker 3: capital was not actually able to access the NFL or 174 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:58,679 Speaker 3: the other major sports leagues around the globe and post COVID. 175 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:03,360 Speaker 3: Now we've in aided to bring creative capital solutions into 176 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 3: these markets and created just a whole new market, and 177 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:09,800 Speaker 3: now we're offering those exposures to institutional and retail investors. 178 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 3: So I think this is, you know, this is a 179 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 3: recurring theme of how private markets can actually come in 180 00:09:15,440 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 3: with flexibility, creativity, liquidity where other traditional forms of capital 181 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 3: can to really do something special. 182 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:24,800 Speaker 2: It certainly brought me into the world of sports reporting 183 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 2: much more. Mike, you glad, We thank you so much 184 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,120 Speaker 2: for your time. That is Michael Arraghetty, of course, the 185 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 2: CEO of Areas Management