1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets podcast 5 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,479 Speaker 1: called Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and 6 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Today is Fed Minutes Day, 7 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:24,920 Speaker 1: and here a Bloomberg and Radio. We think that's a 8 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 1: kind of a fun day, so we get excited about 9 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 1: Fed minutes. So does our next guest, Danielle di Martino, 10 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: Booth CEO and chief strategist for Quill Intelligence, former advisor 11 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 1: at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Danielle, what are 12 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:41,159 Speaker 1: you really looking for this afternoon when we get a 13 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: look at those FED minutes? Well, I'm going to be 14 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:49,640 Speaker 1: looking for the tassett and I use that word carefully. 15 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 1: The tasset concession made to the bears made to Christopher Waller, 16 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:59,000 Speaker 1: the former research director of Jim Bullard at the St. 17 00:00:59,080 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 1: Louis Fed, who's now our gut Ner, uh and Master 18 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 1: and George and others who have been insistent that the 19 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:07,040 Speaker 1: Fed Reserve does not belong in the business of of 20 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 1: housing of the word we would use internally when I 21 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:13,080 Speaker 1: was at the fit with credit allocation. Um. So it's 22 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:15,399 Speaker 1: an inappropriate place where it had to be, and it 23 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: has been for about a year. And the only nod 24 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 1: that we saw to them in the minutes was that 25 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:23,399 Speaker 1: they you know, they said specifically, we're going to get 26 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:24,960 Speaker 1: out of a housing business. We're gonna get out of 27 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 1: the business of mortgage backed securities and focus more on treasuries. 28 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: So I'm interested in that conversation and how that went 29 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: down because I think it's what prevented a dissent. Yeah. 30 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: A lot of people, though, are getting downright angry that 31 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:40,679 Speaker 1: they're waiting this long to make those statements and that 32 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 1: they're waiting until the March meeting to make any moves. 33 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:47,559 Speaker 1: Inflation is at a level where you know, I'm getting 34 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: I'm getting text messages from from viewers who finally figured 35 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 1: out my cell phone number, and there are a lot 36 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: of expletives in them. Um, what do you think about 37 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 1: the possibility of an emergency meeting or a fifty basis 38 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 1: point hike in March? You know, when when I saw 39 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 1: and I was I was actually I was gratified that 40 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 1: Jim Bullard stood by his position on Monday morning, and 41 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 1: because it at least seems to me that there are 42 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 1: at least a few people inside the FED who are 43 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:20,120 Speaker 1: not insensitive. And that's the word that I'll use. So 44 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: it's all good and well to come out with an 45 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:26,240 Speaker 1: emergency rate cut in March of uh, you know, when 46 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 1: investors are being you know, in the crosshairs. But it's 47 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 1: not okay to come out with an emergency rate hike 48 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 1: to answer the plight of everyday US workers. And that's 49 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:40,959 Speaker 1: to me, it boils down to being white and black. 50 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: It's as simple as that we will come to the 51 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:45,079 Speaker 1: rescue of investors, we will not come to the rescue 52 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:47,800 Speaker 1: of you as households. And the FED is mandated to 53 00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: make policy in the public interests and to suggest that 54 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 1: when when when we're when when we've got the gallows 55 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 1: humor going on about skateboarding and relearning how to do 56 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 1: that and gas prices are you know, hitting four dollars 57 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: a gallon, and it's it's just again, the word that 58 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,360 Speaker 1: comes to mind is insensitive. Five dollars a gallon. We 59 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: were talking about five dollars. Yeah, So that Daniel I mean, 60 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 1: when we think about inflation in the FED, I'm not 61 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:14,679 Speaker 1: even sure the FEDS in that business. This an inflation 62 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:19,639 Speaker 1: this time around primarily supply chain driven. So was this 63 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: don't a good point? Maybe it's something that the FED 64 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:25,920 Speaker 1: can't address. How do you think about that? You know, 65 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:28,440 Speaker 1: I don't think it's supply chain driven. We we saw 66 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 1: production this morning increased by point two p once you 67 00:03:32,480 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 1: got rid of the cost for heating oil and gas. 68 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 1: So I don't buy that. I think that the supply 69 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 1: chain disruptions are coming undone. We're seeing inventories be replenished. Uh, 70 00:03:43,200 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 1: and that the you know, on the other hand, forty 71 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: two million Americans got a bump up in their allocation 72 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: for food spending on October the one. And that's why, 73 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:55,800 Speaker 1: despite world food inflation being off the rails, it's even 74 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 1: more off the rails for your average American family because 75 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 1: the US government has put pump so much fiscal spending 76 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: out into the economy. So we we have to look 77 00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:09,040 Speaker 1: in the eye the fact that the fiscal spending, and 78 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 1: there's been countless empirical studies done on this. When you 79 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 1: give people money directly deposit cash into the hands of 80 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 1: those with the highest propensity to spend it. They're going 81 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: to spend it, and they did. And the inflation is lagging, 82 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:25,120 Speaker 1: so it's dragging down growth even as the fiscal stimulus 83 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 1: has largely gone away. Can I just ask you quickly 84 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:34,720 Speaker 1: about Sarah bloom Raskin, what's your take on um, the 85 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 1: kind of job she'll do if she's ever confirmed? Well? 86 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: And I think it's I really do think it's a 87 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:45,359 Speaker 1: big if. People don't quite understand the importance of Pat 88 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:48,160 Speaker 1: to me sticking to his guns and saying I'm i'm 89 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 1: self imposing term limits, and so time and again he's 90 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 1: been able to actually do his job, and and and 91 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:57,080 Speaker 1: and put, you know, give the scrutiny that's needed to 92 00:04:57,320 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 1: certain positions, whether it was defends municipal bond facility that 93 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: he insisted be shut down along with those credit facilities 94 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: in the December two thousand m two at twenty excuse me, 95 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,359 Speaker 1: two thousand twenty stimulus. I think that there has been 96 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: an inappropriate amount of um of disclosure, and I think 97 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: demanding questions as opposed to being placated with saying I'll 98 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 1: sign a pledged it's never exists and dreamed up by 99 00:05:23,080 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 1: Elizbeth Warren, No, I think an appropriate of scrutiny is 100 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:31,720 Speaker 1: called for, and I find some of the testimonies plural 101 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 1: that have been that have been given to be disingenuous 102 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 1: because of the work that they've been in the past 103 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: on climate change. Danielle, thank you so much for joining us. 104 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: As always, we appreciate your thoughts and insight. Danielle di Martino, Booth, 105 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:52,480 Speaker 1: CEO and chief strategists at Quill Intelligence. Speaking of inflation, 106 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:54,359 Speaker 1: for you, no matter where the where you look, you 107 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 1: see it c p I, p p I retail sales. Uh, 108 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:00,920 Speaker 1: certainly many signs of inflat sation out there, whether it's 109 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:04,040 Speaker 1: at the gas pump or the supermarket. The question is, um, 110 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 1: have we peaked? Has it peaked? When will we see 111 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: inflation a subside? And there's a federal reserve in other 112 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:12,400 Speaker 1: center banks have any roll here? Let's check in with 113 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:17,120 Speaker 1: Jennifer Lee, senior economist and managing director Demo Capital Markets. So, Jennifer, 114 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 1: I'd love to get your call here on kind of 115 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:24,159 Speaker 1: us inflation. Have we peaked? Are we near a peak? 116 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 1: How do you think about it? Good morning. I'm going 117 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 1: to continue saying that we have not piked just yet. 118 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: We are actually expecting uh, the inflation data to sort 119 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 1: of you know peak the rollover I'm going to say, 120 00:06:37,400 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 1: like late spring ish. Um, I don't think it's going 121 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 1: to head sells very quickly. Unfortunately, it probably stays somewhat 122 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 1: elevated before heading a before cooling somewhat in the second 123 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: half of the year. But so NOA in a in 124 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:52,600 Speaker 1: my long winded way of saying, I don't think we've 125 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 1: peaked just yet, but we're calling almost there. But you 126 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 1: do think that we're going to come back down? Um? 127 00:06:58,960 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: Is that because you think the FED is going to 128 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:03,599 Speaker 1: hike rates and that's going to cool down the economy 129 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 1: and inflation. That would be the hope. I mean that's 130 00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:09,479 Speaker 1: you know, I think of being central banks around the 131 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 1: world of your just pointing out, are facing the same 132 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 1: issues right now. And given such high inflation rates globally, 133 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 1: you know, all the central banks, including the FED, are 134 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 1: you know, starting to rate in all that accommodation that 135 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:26,280 Speaker 1: they've poured out during during the pandemic. Um, And this 136 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: is the time and with inflation before inflation gets too 137 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:32,200 Speaker 1: much out of control. So, Jennifer, I'm looking at the 138 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:36,400 Speaker 1: w I rp go function on the Bloomberg Turmulin shows 139 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: me potential for seven rate hikes encounter. Is that something 140 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: you ascribed to? Oh, that's pretty rising. I feel every 141 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:49,640 Speaker 1: every single week we are actually we are looking for 142 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 1: five rate hikes this year, twenty five basis points each 143 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 1: and kicking off in March. I think that's more, you know, 144 00:07:58,080 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 1: I've been saying a more reasonable pace. UM, I think 145 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: fifty basis points for example in March that summer calling 146 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 1: for is h I think it would be quite aggressive UM. 147 00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 1: And I think it was only like one UM, one 148 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 1: FED member in particular, that it has been pushing for that. 149 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 1: But I think the other policymakers have been taken more 150 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 1: of a balanced approach and looking for probably basis points instead. 151 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:22,760 Speaker 1: One of the concerns, I mean, we all know what 152 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:27,280 Speaker 1: rate hike cycles look like, or even the kids can 153 00:08:27,320 --> 00:08:29,800 Speaker 1: go back and and look at the history. But one 154 00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 1: sort of unknown is how quantitative tightening will affect markets. 155 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:36,880 Speaker 1: How do you see that panning out? Will they just 156 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 1: um let it run off the balance sheet? Will they 157 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:42,160 Speaker 1: actively sell assets? Is it going to be a problem 158 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:46,160 Speaker 1: for rates markets? So we are looking for the QT 159 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 1: process to start probably in July um and and and 160 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 1: sort of taper off at a steady pace. But the 161 00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:56,920 Speaker 1: Fed has always said that they are going to focus 162 00:08:57,440 --> 00:09:01,320 Speaker 1: more on the FED funds target specific because that is 163 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 1: what the public knows and and how you know, whether 164 00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,800 Speaker 1: or not balance sheets runoff is is going to impact 165 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 1: anyone's mindset is a big question. But I think they're 166 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:13,560 Speaker 1: going to just basically use the set funds and talk 167 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:15,960 Speaker 1: and keep talking about raising rates and sort of in 168 00:09:15,960 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 1: the background, let let the balance sheets sort of start 169 00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 1: coming off. Um. And I think that will also have 170 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 1: the impact of, you know, of a of a tighter, 171 00:09:24,679 --> 00:09:29,319 Speaker 1: tighter financial conditions. Besides, Jeffrey hikes Jennifer. At two pm 172 00:09:29,320 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: Wall Street time, we're going to get the f O 173 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:35,319 Speaker 1: m C meeting minutes. Um. It's always big news here Bloomberg. 174 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,680 Speaker 1: What are you looking for when when you Peruzo's minutes. 175 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:42,440 Speaker 1: There's always a lot to go through, but it's always 176 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 1: interesting to get like a little little little tibbits, like 177 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: you know, how how much each policy maker was pushing 178 00:09:47,840 --> 00:09:50,160 Speaker 1: for what you know, how many um where there are 179 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: several a few, you know a majority of people that 180 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:56,240 Speaker 1: were pushing for you know, a more aggressive tact at 181 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 1: the beginning of a of a great high cycle or 182 00:09:58,400 --> 00:10:01,319 Speaker 1: are they trying to go more severely. Those are little nuances, 183 00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:03,800 Speaker 1: I think, just to see, you know, where how they're 184 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,560 Speaker 1: going to start off, even though they were saying that 185 00:10:06,559 --> 00:10:09,199 Speaker 1: they're going to start raising rates right now, and even though, 186 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,439 Speaker 1: as you're pointing out, we've got seven rate hyps potentially 187 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:15,480 Speaker 1: coming in, which again I think is a bit extreme. Um. 188 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:18,080 Speaker 1: You know, things can change, and once inflation starts to 189 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,280 Speaker 1: taper off, they could start reading in a little bit 190 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:23,080 Speaker 1: some of their um their hawkish talk. Um, you know, 191 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:24,920 Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to be I don't think 192 00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 1: they're on autopilot as things what I'm trying to say, 193 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 1: and I take most central banks are probably in that 194 00:10:29,080 --> 00:10:32,960 Speaker 1: mode right now. Um not all right. We see some 195 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 1: interesting exceptions in the Bank of Japan springs to mind. 196 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 1: We had an interesting opinion piece this morning on Bloomberg saying, 197 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 1: you know, the economy, the growth or the recovery in 198 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 1: Japan doesn't look great. But as we all the rest 199 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:50,679 Speaker 1: of us deal with this huge inflation, um, the rest 200 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: of the world might look to Japan and think one 201 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 1: percent doesn't look so bad. Right now? What's your take 202 00:10:55,760 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 1: on the contrasts of the Japan with with the rest 203 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:04,480 Speaker 1: of the central bank regime Japan has been. It's such 204 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:06,720 Speaker 1: an interesting story there, and I mean they've been facing 205 00:11:06,760 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 1: you know, deflational on your more or less for the 206 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:12,679 Speaker 1: last at least two decades or so. UM and that 207 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 1: is one UMU central Bank, as you just pointed out, 208 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 1: that is remaining stubbornly on on the signlines, and Governor 209 00:11:18,880 --> 00:11:22,840 Speaker 1: Karuda continues to stress that point. Um. You know, they 210 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:25,439 Speaker 1: had bond yields, for example, rising, their ten year yields 211 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:28,680 Speaker 1: were rising in conjunction with everybody else's uh last week 212 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:30,680 Speaker 1: and earlier this week, and they had to pour some 213 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:33,360 Speaker 1: money into to bring it back down to what their 214 00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:36,600 Speaker 1: target was, but they remained so devilish and even one 215 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:39,720 Speaker 1: one or two of the the policy makers within the 216 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:43,479 Speaker 1: bank um continue actually to push for even more accommodations. 217 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:46,320 Speaker 1: So that's a huge extreme from what we're seeing elsewhere, 218 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:48,560 Speaker 1: you know, with with the G seven, even the ECB 219 00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 1: right now, you know, they're starting to become less emboldened 220 00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: to their transitory story and we're probably going to see 221 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:58,040 Speaker 1: you know, it's still a matter of debate right now. 222 00:11:58,080 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 1: But you know, I wouldn't be surprised to see right 223 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:03,240 Speaker 1: high before the end of the year. All Right, thanks 224 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:07,200 Speaker 1: so much for joining us. Real pleasure talking. Um. We 225 00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:11,600 Speaker 1: obviously are following this story very closely. Um, and and 226 00:12:11,640 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 1: we'll continue to Jennifer Lee. They're joining us from BEMO 227 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 1: Capital Markets, where she is senior economist and managing director. 228 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk electric vehicles. Yes, I want to talk 229 00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:28,040 Speaker 1: internal combustion vehicles, but it's the same discussion, the same discussion. 230 00:12:28,040 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 1: Connercend a columnist for Bloomberg Opinion, joins this. Connor, You've 231 00:12:31,160 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 1: got a piece out here saying, the automakers have an 232 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:40,720 Speaker 1: incentive obviously for keeping new car prices high, use car 233 00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 1: prices high, because they need the profits to fund this 234 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: whole pivot towards electric What what's going on there? You're 235 00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:52,119 Speaker 1: basically saying their purposely holding back production to pad margins. 236 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 1: They say that they're kind of in a spot that 237 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 1: they don't mind where you know, again, they have to 238 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:00,079 Speaker 1: inve us billions of dollars in the CP transition, and 239 00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:02,880 Speaker 1: they also have to show investors near term profitability. They're 240 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 1: trying to do both, and so they see the prices 241 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:07,640 Speaker 1: are really high. Inventories are really low. They're saying that 242 00:13:07,720 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 1: their production won't meaningfully impact prices, and make expect prices 243 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:13,360 Speaker 1: to remain high because that's going to fund the profits 244 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 1: that keep keeps this thing going. So in a way, 245 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 1: your column actually made me feel better about being um 246 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:26,360 Speaker 1: an old you know, dodgy e v holdout Because I 247 00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:29,439 Speaker 1: am waiting for General Motors to release a new Sierra, 248 00:13:29,559 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 1: the A T four X. I need the six point 249 00:13:32,160 --> 00:13:36,160 Speaker 1: to leader who naturally aspirated V eight And I felt 250 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:39,320 Speaker 1: guilty about that until I read your column column Connor, 251 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:43,319 Speaker 1: because um, what I realized is I'm paying a high 252 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 1: price for that big inch internal combustion engine, and I 253 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:53,719 Speaker 1: am effectually subsidizing their electric vehicle investment with that. That's 254 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 1: a really good way. I've never thought of it that way. 255 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:57,400 Speaker 1: That's a good point. So now anyone who really wants 256 00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:59,839 Speaker 1: their gas guggler can say, hey, look I'm paying jury. 257 00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:02,640 Speaker 1: So it's you know, there's no way that we'd be 258 00:14:02,640 --> 00:14:04,439 Speaker 1: building these things unless people like me were going out 259 00:14:04,440 --> 00:14:07,960 Speaker 1: and doing our patriarchy duty keeping the old stuff going. Connor. 260 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:10,720 Speaker 1: But if if the automakers had the chips, wouldn't they 261 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:14,080 Speaker 1: crank up production? Back up to sixteen seventeen million star. Yeah, 262 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:17,560 Speaker 1: this is my main question was is selling fewer vehicles 263 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:22,680 Speaker 1: at higher prices more profitable than selling um more vehicles 264 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 1: at lower prices? Right, and I get to the whole 265 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 1: discussion about you know, what does demand for gasoling power 266 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 1: vehicles look like in four We know that right now 267 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:33,880 Speaker 1: we've got a huge shortage, and if you just pump 268 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:36,160 Speaker 1: out vehicles for six months, they're all going to sell 269 00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 1: at high prices. But you know, it's an industry with 270 00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 1: a lot of it's capital in sensive, it's a long 271 00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 1: lead time, and if ebs ramp up, you know it's 272 00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 1: coming out of somewhere. And so it's kind of a 273 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:46,720 Speaker 1: tricky situation, kind of like oil oil product producers where 274 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 1: they kind of need to keep supply low because they're 275 00:14:49,160 --> 00:14:51,480 Speaker 1: really worried about a glut on the market as demand 276 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 1: falls off over time. A buddy of mine runs a 277 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:56,480 Speaker 1: bunch of dealerships, and he used to say, you'd have, 278 00:14:56,560 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 1: you know, a couple hundred vehicles in inventory, but he's 279 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 1: as those days are over, that's on how they're going 280 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 1: to run the dealerships going forward. Is this kind of 281 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 1: a new normal where they're gonna have lower inventories, maybe 282 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 1: lower production. I'm not sure how that works. Yeah, it's 283 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:14,120 Speaker 1: interesting because we're seeing the same thing in the housing 284 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: market where homebuilders are very happy with kind of the lowmentory, 285 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 1: high profit margin situation. That's sort of like, well, we 286 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 1: got caught on two of thementory, but we're making it 287 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 1: up on price and margins. So they're they're kind of 288 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 1: rolling with it for now, and investors are sort of 289 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:30,560 Speaker 1: not sure, Like, you know, valuations are lower because they're 290 00:15:30,560 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 1: not sure if Martin's are gonna Mian revert. But that's 291 00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 1: you know, what they're selling in terms of a good 292 00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 1: thing for investors. Right now, my wife is looking for 293 00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:42,280 Speaker 1: BMW X five X drive forty five E, which is 294 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 1: their new hybrid STUV. I messaged my inside guy at 295 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 1: BMW and said, do you have an inside guy a BMW? 296 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:51,520 Speaker 1: I said, can you source one of the one of 297 00:15:51,520 --> 00:15:53,320 Speaker 1: these for me at a dealership in the States, And 298 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 1: he said, we have one in California, there's one in 299 00:15:56,640 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 1: Sans for it actually called out a deal or is 300 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 1: that we're selling at inflated prices above m s r 301 00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:04,240 Speaker 1: P and they so that those dealers an't going to 302 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 1: get them until I're going forward. So I hope they're 303 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 1: I hope they're true to their word because if you 304 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:12,200 Speaker 1: look for UM, for example, a four D F one 305 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 1: fifty raptor uh there you know, Baja racing truck, or 306 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 1: if you look for the Mustang Shelby Mustang g T 307 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: five hundred, which is the supercharge five point two seven 308 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 1: hundred sixty horsepower monster, you can't find them without ten thousand, 309 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 1: fifteen thousand, twenty thousand dollar additions to the price tag. 310 00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: They call it like UM added dealer something, UM profit margin. Yeah, 311 00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:39,200 Speaker 1: it's it's unbelievable. I always wonder like, if they're doing that, 312 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 1: why can't UM these producers have their own dealerships, right, 313 00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 1: And that's probably the whole point with the online sales 314 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:49,160 Speaker 1: and the big fight about that. So it's that's probably 315 00:16:49,160 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 1: gonna be a contentious flight going forward as dealers want. 316 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:53,680 Speaker 1: You know, if Tesla and Ribbyan can sell online, then 317 00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 1: why can't Board and GM. You make a great point 318 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 1: about Tesla in your column as well. Um Elon Musk 319 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,680 Speaker 1: basically said, yeah, we're not working on the cheap car 320 00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: for every man right now because we're making too much 321 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 1: money with the expensive cars for rich people. Um, what, 322 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:10,720 Speaker 1: what's you know? There's got to be some outcry there 323 00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 1: at least I'm not that not that the Model three 324 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,800 Speaker 1: is that expensive, but they are making huge margins on 325 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 1: all their products, right And I think right now, because 326 00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:21,680 Speaker 1: some conductors are in short supply, they can credibly say, 327 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:24,160 Speaker 1: you know, sorry, this is really just a situation we're 328 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:26,760 Speaker 1: put upon, we're put in. But if some semi conductor 329 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,159 Speaker 1: towards normalized, then maybe there won't be those excuses and 330 00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:32,760 Speaker 1: they'll be more legitimate outcry and crack down on, you know, 331 00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:35,400 Speaker 1: when wind fall profits or whatever you wanna call it. So, 332 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:40,080 Speaker 1: what is the new normal level of vehicle sales in 333 00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 1: the U S? If it's not a production, if it's 334 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:45,720 Speaker 1: not sixteen seventeen million, I mean, what's that? You're always 335 00:17:45,760 --> 00:17:47,439 Speaker 1: asking me what the stars for this? Yeah? And I 336 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,240 Speaker 1: think the I that's where demand is, right, I mean, 337 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:54,640 Speaker 1: if I'm a factory, I think I think over time 338 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 1: that's where we're gonna be. But it's sort of evs 339 00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:59,159 Speaker 1: are supplied constrained for the time being, and automakers are 340 00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: very cautious about letting the market with ice vehicles because 341 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 1: they don't know what the man looks like down the road. Connor, 342 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:08,359 Speaker 1: just personally, have you spent any uh time seat time 343 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 1: in an electric vehicle? What do you think about them? 344 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:13,119 Speaker 1: I have to which it's sort of embarrassing that I 345 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 1: write about him, but I have not been behind the 346 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:16,399 Speaker 1: wheel of one. I'm on the list, dribbian, but I 347 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:18,439 Speaker 1: have not driven one yet. I have to say so 348 00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 1: many I find um interesting. I was super psyched about 349 00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:26,480 Speaker 1: these uh um F one fifty lightning trucks coming up 350 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:30,400 Speaker 1: the waitlist put me off. Now I've tested out the 351 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:34,440 Speaker 1: Mustang Maki, which is fast and sporty, but it doesn't vibrate. 352 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:37,600 Speaker 1: It doesn't there's no feeling in it. That's I don't 353 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,440 Speaker 1: enjoy driving it. I keep asking you car people, isn't 354 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 1: that gonna be a big turn off for these things 355 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 1: for evs? I just I just think the folks that 356 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:48,119 Speaker 1: like the internal combustion engine, particularly if you go to 357 00:18:48,119 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 1: the high end, you know, performance cars, I think that's 358 00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 1: gonna be a problem. But what do I know? So 359 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,879 Speaker 1: but everybody's tell me where you can't shift your own gears? 360 00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:57,520 Speaker 1: I know, don't even go no more manual, Connor. I mean, 361 00:18:57,680 --> 00:18:59,359 Speaker 1: let's not go there. I kind of send calmness for 362 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:02,960 Speaker 1: Boomberg and joining us. He's a founder of Peachtree Creek Investments. 363 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 1: He's a Bloomberke opinion columnist. Uh, we're all going electric, folks, 364 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:09,400 Speaker 1: get used to it. I guess I'm keeping my two 365 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:14,120 Speaker 1: thousand four team BMW five series six speed manual transmission 366 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 1: for as long as I possibly ken because it's a 367 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:24,720 Speaker 1: lot of fun. One of the many things that I 368 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:29,280 Speaker 1: don't understand about this pandemic, any economic disruption resulting from it, 369 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:32,080 Speaker 1: is this whole thing about the great resignation, these three 370 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:35,480 Speaker 1: four five million workers. Who are they? Where did they go? 371 00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 1: How do they do it? And I really don't how 372 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,439 Speaker 1: did they get how did they get so lucky? I'm 373 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:45,119 Speaker 1: thinking about Dave Wilson, Bloomberg's former Stocks editor. Um, I 374 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 1: blame him. I put him in that bunch. But he 375 00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 1: worked here for thirty years. If you work someplace for 376 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:54,760 Speaker 1: thirty years plus, you're incredibly smart. Uh, you save well, 377 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:59,080 Speaker 1: you invest well, you should retire. Okay, alright, alright, I 378 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:01,760 Speaker 1: just said, Dave, are you going? Buddy? Michael Hanson, he's 379 00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 1: a CEO of Send Gauge Group. Michael, who are these people. 380 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:10,760 Speaker 1: Where did they go? Are they coming back to the workforce? Yeah, 381 00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:14,160 Speaker 1: thanks for having me. And actually the example that you said, 382 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:18,520 Speaker 1: the retiring um the people are the minority of these people, 383 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 1: the last majority of those people that are resigning actually 384 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 1: reassessing their career. They're saying, what don't I like about 385 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,000 Speaker 1: my current job and what where do I want to 386 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: go next? And about of them feel that their current 387 00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:35,679 Speaker 1: job is not really supporting their career and is not 388 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:38,679 Speaker 1: supporting them. Yeah, that's why I say, you know, he 389 00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:41,440 Speaker 1: should be retiring. If you if you have a thirty 390 00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:44,679 Speaker 1: year career and you do very well and retire, that's no, 391 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 1: that's no surprise. The great resignation is weird in that 392 00:20:48,680 --> 00:20:51,359 Speaker 1: people who you wonder how do they have enough money 393 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,719 Speaker 1: to to quit their jobs are doing it. And one 394 00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:55,960 Speaker 1: of the points that you make, Michael, is that they're 395 00:20:55,960 --> 00:21:00,199 Speaker 1: actually making financial sacrifices. They're not retiring to Indian hills 396 00:21:00,240 --> 00:21:03,080 Speaker 1: in playing eighteen holes a day. They're they're doing other 397 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:07,480 Speaker 1: stuff exactly. And this is why this is actually good 398 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 1: news in a way. These people are courageous, They take risks, 399 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 1: and what they say is I want to learn another 400 00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:16,119 Speaker 1: skill and I want to get a better job that 401 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:19,240 Speaker 1: gives me more satisfaction and better pay. And that is 402 00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:22,480 Speaker 1: something that actually should give us, you know, great confidence 403 00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:25,480 Speaker 1: in the future and great uh conviction in the American 404 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 1: labor labor force. In a way, Michael, they're shaking up 405 00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:31,200 Speaker 1: the job market as well. You know that the courage 406 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:34,720 Speaker 1: of those people, which is what I hear you saying, 407 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:39,600 Speaker 1: is forcing employers to do better in terms of the 408 00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 1: wages they offer, in terms of working conditions, in terms 409 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:46,560 Speaker 1: of dealing with you know, the working class. Absolutely, And 410 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: the only thing I would add other than what you 411 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:52,320 Speaker 1: said is the employers should think about also about how 412 00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:56,000 Speaker 1: they reskill and upskill their workforce. How what can they 413 00:21:56,040 --> 00:22:00,200 Speaker 1: do to give them education and training and give them 414 00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 1: opportunities while they're working to get better skills to get 415 00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: a better job and better pay. They don't have to 416 00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:08,240 Speaker 1: wait until they resign. They can do it when they're 417 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:12,760 Speaker 1: actually employees. Michael, Uh, Matt and I have to come 418 00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:16,199 Speaker 1: into the office every day. I don't we don't have 419 00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:19,119 Speaker 1: an option per se. But it seems like we are 420 00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:23,480 Speaker 1: very much the outliers in this new world order. Are 421 00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 1: you in the camp that says we are now in 422 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:31,560 Speaker 1: a permanent, hybrid type of environment. I'm in the camp off. 423 00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:35,760 Speaker 1: First of all, let's not stipulate what the future is 424 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 1: going to hold. We gotta get open, and we gotta learn, 425 00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 1: and we've gotta learn what works and what doesn't work. 426 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:43,119 Speaker 1: And I am, however, a believer that we're not going 427 00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:45,200 Speaker 1: to go back to the old world that everybody has 428 00:22:45,240 --> 00:22:47,160 Speaker 1: to show up in the office at you know, nine 429 00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:49,600 Speaker 1: am on Monday morning. That's not where we're gonna go. 430 00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:51,119 Speaker 1: Where we're gonna end up, it's going to be a 431 00:22:51,200 --> 00:22:53,120 Speaker 1: hybrid model. But how we're going to mix it, how 432 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,960 Speaker 1: we have technology influenced this, I think is open and 433 00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:59,159 Speaker 1: what I would recommend to other CEOs that are you know, 434 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:02,480 Speaker 1: we are a foreign a thousand people company. We're experimenting 435 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 1: a lot, and we're learning from each other and keep 436 00:23:04,600 --> 00:23:07,280 Speaker 1: that open mindset. Yeah, I mean, I would point out 437 00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: that it would be technologically possible for me to do 438 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,159 Speaker 1: this job for a moment, I wouldn't want to um 439 00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:15,920 Speaker 1: because we pick up so much from our colleagues here. 440 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:19,920 Speaker 1: We discuss stories, I uh, you know, in the midst 441 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,679 Speaker 1: of breaking news. Are we going to be able to 442 00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,679 Speaker 1: do that online eventually? Michael, what do you think about 443 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:31,160 Speaker 1: the possibility of working in the metaverse. I don't think 444 00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:33,040 Speaker 1: we've got to in the foreseeable future. I don't think 445 00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:35,520 Speaker 1: we're going to be doing this online. I think we've 446 00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:37,440 Speaker 1: got to find the right blend, in the right mix. 447 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,680 Speaker 1: And you use some great examples when you bump into colleagues, 448 00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:44,440 Speaker 1: you share stories and think about somebody just joining a company. 449 00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:47,359 Speaker 1: You've never worked for this company, and how do you 450 00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:49,359 Speaker 1: get you know, a sense of what the culture is 451 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,919 Speaker 1: like if you don't have a cup of coffee with people, 452 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,359 Speaker 1: or share a meal, or you know, bump into the 453 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 1: met the water cooler. So I do think hybrid that 454 00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:00,159 Speaker 1: that finding the right mix or face to face and 455 00:24:00,240 --> 00:24:03,600 Speaker 1: online is going to be the way for the future. Hey, Michael, 456 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,440 Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us there. Michael Hansen, CEO 457 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:12,359 Speaker 1: of Send Gauge Group, talking about the Great Resignation. Thanks 458 00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:15,840 Speaker 1: for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe 459 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 1: and listen to interviews with Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast 460 00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:23,160 Speaker 1: platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at 461 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 1: Matt Miller three. Pt on Fall Sweeney I'm on Twitter 462 00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 1: at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you can always catch 463 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 1: US worldwide at Bloomberg Radio,