WEBVTT - 23andMe Takes on Long Covid Impact

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News her company. You might recall

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<v Speaker 1>a Business Week cover story back in November about how

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<v Speaker 1>twenty three and Me wants to use its customers genetic

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<v Speaker 1>data to beat cancer. It was a fascinating story when

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<v Speaker 1>we think about innovation disruption when it comes to treatments,

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<v Speaker 1>especially when it comes to cancer. We've got with us

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<v Speaker 1>and Wichiski, the co founder and the CEO of twenty

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<v Speaker 1>three and Me and joins us this afternoon via zoom

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<v Speaker 1>from Las Gatos, California. And how are you. I'm good?

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<v Speaker 1>Are you? We're doing well? Thanks, it's really good to

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<v Speaker 1>have you with us. I want to get into everything

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<v Speaker 1>that you're understanding when it comes to COVID and long

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<v Speaker 1>covid via twenty three and me. But first I want

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<v Speaker 1>to just get your get your thoughts on what we're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing with the macro environment, with the volatility in the

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<v Speaker 1>stock market. We should note a year to date shares

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<v Speaker 1>of twenty three and me. Uh, down about give us

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<v Speaker 1>your take. Oh well, that's that's that's a big question. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, look, the markets are definitely complicated right now,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think that you know, it's as coming from

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<v Speaker 1>the Wall Street world and now being the CEO of

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<v Speaker 1>a publicly traded company, UM, it is. You know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's interesting that twenty three continues to execute UM. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>incredibly proud of the team. UM. We continue to move

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<v Speaker 1>programs through the pipeline. UM, you know, make drug discovery.

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<v Speaker 1>UM continue to UM you know, engage our customers on

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<v Speaker 1>you know, genomic medicine and where we can go with that.

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<v Speaker 1>We recently acquired a company called Lemonade, so it gives

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<v Speaker 1>us the ability to offer UM care to our customers

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<v Speaker 1>both through pharmacy as well as to access to care providers.

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<v Speaker 1>So UM the company has just continued to execute. But

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<v Speaker 1>obviously market conditions are are challenging. So we're very mindful

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<v Speaker 1>of the fact that market conditions have changed, and um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the future is more than certain. So we

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<v Speaker 1>take all that into consideration now and we want to

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<v Speaker 1>talk to more about what you're doing, because I feel

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<v Speaker 1>like we just came back from a conference it was

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<v Speaker 1>all about the financial world. Um. I was involved in

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<v Speaker 1>a panel that specifically about what the future of money is,

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<v Speaker 1>reimagining it, and I think when it comes to things

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<v Speaker 1>like financial services and certainly healthcare, it does feel like

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<v Speaker 1>we're on the cusp of doing things so different, especially

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to treatment modalities. Having said that, I

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<v Speaker 1>just want to go back to the market environment because

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<v Speaker 1>we're asking all of our leaders this. I mean, when

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<v Speaker 1>you do have a stock that is down more than six,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, what kind of pressure does that put on

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<v Speaker 1>you and your team who are working on things that

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<v Speaker 1>are going to take some time. Yeah, you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>was investing back in sort of when the market crash

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<v Speaker 1>back in two thousand, um, you know, two thousand one um,

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<v Speaker 1>and it took a long time to recover. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think that there's the way we approach this is really

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<v Speaker 1>about making sure that we're doing things that are going

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<v Speaker 1>to um, you know, see see value within near term

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<v Speaker 1>and you know probably have to to you know, minimize

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<v Speaker 1>some of the projects that are going to focus on

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<v Speaker 1>some of the longer term initiatives, but really focus on

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<v Speaker 1>priorities and and you know, also making sure that you're

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<v Speaker 1>using cash and the wisest way, so um, all kinds

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<v Speaker 1>of things that we start to you know, reevaluate. But

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's it's really about making sure that you

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<v Speaker 1>we you know, we have a very strong balanciet right

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<v Speaker 1>now and making sure that we um, you know, extend

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<v Speaker 1>that runway as long as possible, and making sure that

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<v Speaker 1>all the programs that we're focused on are really essential. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And I want to get to the research that you've

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<v Speaker 1>recently found at twenty three and me some really interesting

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<v Speaker 1>stuff when it comes to long COVID and I think,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we're at the point in the pandemic where

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<v Speaker 1>Caroline I traveling yesterday, at some points I felt like

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<v Speaker 1>I was the only one wearing a mask on some

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<v Speaker 1>of those flights in the airport and even at this

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<v Speaker 1>conference that we were at. But Long CODE have my

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<v Speaker 1>mask go back you did too, Yeah, but but we

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<v Speaker 1>were it was like, yeah, that was it. Um, we

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<v Speaker 1>were in Texas to be fair, But I do want

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<v Speaker 1>to know and what you found when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>long COVID, because that's something that I think about a

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<v Speaker 1>lot and one of the reasons why I don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to get COVID. Yeah. So there's a couple of things

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<v Speaker 1>that are really interesting thing for me about this. So

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<v Speaker 1>first and foremost, you know, the way part of what

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<v Speaker 1>we conceptualize when we started twenty three and me, and

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<v Speaker 1>it goes back to some of your earlier questions, was

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<v Speaker 1>really a whole new way of doing research, Like how

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<v Speaker 1>is it you can have millions and millions of people

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<v Speaker 1>engaged on a single platform with phenotypic data, with their

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<v Speaker 1>genetic information, and be able to go back to them

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<v Speaker 1>very quickly, easily ask more questions and make insights. And

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<v Speaker 1>so this long COVID research that we've done is really

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<v Speaker 1>a good example of how the twenty three model works.

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<v Speaker 1>That we could put out a survey to our customers,

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<v Speaker 1>collect a lot of information and make really interesting and

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<v Speaker 1>meaningful findings. So one of the things a couple of

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<v Speaker 1>things here that are are interesting and again being female.

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<v Speaker 1>It's obviously top of my mond mind. UM. Over seventy

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<v Speaker 1>eight percent of those diagnosed with long COVID were women,

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<v Speaker 1>so clearly disproportionately impacting women. UM. People with depression diagnosed

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<v Speaker 1>depression and anxiety are more than twice as likely uh

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<v Speaker 1>to have it, so twice twice increasing their risk. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Half of those people are UM, you know, having persistent

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<v Speaker 1>symptoms for over six months UM, and about ten percent

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<v Speaker 1>or having it for over a year. UM. So it's

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<v Speaker 1>you know, all this data comes from about a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>thousand customers who reported that they had COVID, over twenty

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<v Speaker 1>six thousand that said that they had long COVID. So

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<v Speaker 1>we have a lot of data here, and it's definitely

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<v Speaker 1>concerning that it's again impact so many women. UM. Anxiety

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<v Speaker 1>being a risk factor is obviously quite interesting to to

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<v Speaker 1>follow up further on, and the fact that it's so persistent,

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<v Speaker 1>so similar to you and what you just said. I

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<v Speaker 1>was recently at Lego Land and nobody was wearing a

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<v Speaker 1>mask but me and I am. I'm sticking to my

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<v Speaker 1>mask quite quite of my yeah pay airport yesterday, Carols,

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<v Speaker 1>I've wear this duck mask around and and all our listeners,

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<v Speaker 1>and this guy at the airport was like, what is

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<v Speaker 1>that mask? And I had to explain, this thing is

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<v Speaker 1>actually pretty comfortable. It's go ahead there. I love it.

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<v Speaker 1>I love it. No, I think it's just it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>just clear that there's you know, I this this clear

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<v Speaker 1>like long term impacts here and so understanding it. There's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more to be followed up on with respect

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<v Speaker 1>to long COVID. We kept saying that milk and we're

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<v Speaker 1>at the Milk and Institute in April. Um, nobody had

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<v Speaker 1>masks on and what is the head of Mayo Clinic

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<v Speaker 1>comes up, comes up, and who's an m D. And

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<v Speaker 1>he was the only one having a mask, and he

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<v Speaker 1>kept it on to the interview, took it off for

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<v Speaker 1>the interview, and put it right back on. He's like,

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<v Speaker 1>why wouldn't I wear a mask? At this point? UM,

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<v Speaker 1>so much more to talk, Please come back soon. We

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<v Speaker 1>love to hear about the work you're doing because I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's so relevant to where we are going in

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<v Speaker 1>the world. Uh. And Sky she's co founder, chief executive

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<v Speaker 1>officer twenty three and me via Zoom from Los Gatos, California.

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<v Speaker 1>I did have a mask, and I also I do

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<v Speaker 1>like to wear it on the plane too, because it

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<v Speaker 1>keeps me warm. And then there was somebody like coughing

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<v Speaker 1>like crazy, and I was like, yeah, but when I

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<v Speaker 1>was hanging out by the pool, I wasn't wearing it.

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<v Speaker 1>Now you weren't. I don't wear it out, Can I

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<v Speaker 1>tell you? He looks so California. I wish I had

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<v Speaker 1>taken a picture. All right, lots more to come right

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<v Speaker 1>here on Bloomberg Radio. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. So this story is among the most right

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<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg Today. It's also on the Bloomberg Big Take.

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<v Speaker 1>It is an excerpt from a new book that's also

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<v Speaker 1>featured in the new issue of Bloomberg Business Week, which

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<v Speaker 1>is out on newsstands. You can find it online at

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com, slash Business Weekend on the Bloomberg terminal.

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<v Speaker 1>It is riveting. I read it in this week's issue

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<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week. The story by Michael Smith and

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<v Speaker 1>Jonathan Franklin. It's an excerpt from the new book Cabin Fever,

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<v Speaker 1>and it describes the panic and despair aboard Holland America's

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<v Speaker 1>MS Zandem as COVID ripped through passengers and crew. Michael

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<v Speaker 1>Smith's Projects and investigations reporter for Bloomberg Business Week. He

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<v Speaker 1>joins us viasume from Miami. Joel Webber is the editor

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<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week. He joins us on the access

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<v Speaker 1>line from Brooklyn. Joel, I gotta tell you reading this,

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<v Speaker 1>I felt like I was on the ship and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's no other way to put that. It

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<v Speaker 1>brought me back two years ago and just the terror

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<v Speaker 1>and horror these passengers felt, oh man, those early days

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<v Speaker 1>of the pandemic. And it still associates with the crew,

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<v Speaker 1>the story of the cruise industry and and Carnival and

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<v Speaker 1>especially the MS um zend MP. And you know this,

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<v Speaker 1>this book, which were so proud of Mike about Cavin Fever,

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<v Speaker 1>really began with a Business Week story. But when we

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<v Speaker 1>got to do the excerpt, we wanted him to to

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<v Speaker 1>revisit it and come up with something special. So so

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<v Speaker 1>Mike tell us about the book and and also the excerpt. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>like you said it, Um, it started with basically covering

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<v Speaker 1>this story. I was I was just fascinated by and

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<v Speaker 1>horrified by it as an unfolded um, you know, in

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<v Speaker 1>the news and on our screens, and then it turned

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<v Speaker 1>into the excellent UM feature story we did for Business Week,

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<v Speaker 1>and that basically led to uh, my friend Jonathan Franklin's

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<v Speaker 1>who I've known for a long time. His agent called

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<v Speaker 1>me up when he saw the story and he said,

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<v Speaker 1>you have to write a book about this. It's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's just an amazing story. It's it's it's COVID, but

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<v Speaker 1>it's also sort of a story of human survival on

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<v Speaker 1>the high seas, and it's filmk and all this stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>So he kind of convinced me to to go for it.

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<v Speaker 1>And luckily, uh, you know, I had Bloomberg behind me,

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<v Speaker 1>and they really accommodated me, starting with Joe Weber. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>So you know, it started with that, and I just

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<v Speaker 1>found it to be, uh a sort of a way

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<v Speaker 1>to tell the story of what we all went through

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<v Speaker 1>with COVID, but just to the extreme, because that's exactly

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<v Speaker 1>what it was. Um. You know, this particular ship left

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<v Speaker 1>South America on March eight, and about forty five minutes

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<v Speaker 1>before it left port in Buenos Aires, South America, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>the State Department put out a warning saying people, especially

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<v Speaker 1>older people, should not take cruises, and they left port

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<v Speaker 1>any and the world just started shutting down around them.

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<v Speaker 1>And then they discovered COVID was actually on the ship,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're just stuck out on the high seas as

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<v Speaker 1>far away as you can imagine from for most of

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<v Speaker 1>the world as this disease just started picking people off

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<v Speaker 1>one by one. Um and uh, and it's just it's

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<v Speaker 1>just really incredible the more we dug into the what happened, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>just the individual stories of heroism and part of these

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<v Speaker 1>crew members on this ship that are underpaid, overworked, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're really just risking their lives to take care of

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<v Speaker 1>what is basically like a shipload of everybody's grand grandparents,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, like really just vulnerable people, especially then, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>who were just stuck in their cabins, terrified and just

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<v Speaker 1>waiting for this disease to come in and kill them

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<v Speaker 1>by some unknown way. Well, Michael, Michael, let me jump

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<v Speaker 1>in for a second, because I think what is always

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<v Speaker 1>so good and it sounds like in your book, the

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<v Speaker 1>very the specificity and the individuals telling their accounts what

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<v Speaker 1>they saw, and and this one excerpt that's in the book, Uh,

0:11:03.600 --> 0:11:06.560
<v Speaker 1>And in the magazine, I should say, you talk about

0:11:06.559 --> 0:11:08.960
<v Speaker 1>this individual George walking into the pack kitchen of the

0:11:09.000 --> 0:11:12.160
<v Speaker 1>cruise ship and asking a booming voice, what do you need?

0:11:12.400 --> 0:11:15.120
<v Speaker 1>And we obviously find out, as you detail, they needed

0:11:15.160 --> 0:11:17.240
<v Speaker 1>a lot. What was it in terms of the specifics

0:11:17.240 --> 0:11:20.160
<v Speaker 1>that really just jumped out for you, Well, what jumped

0:11:20.200 --> 0:11:23.880
<v Speaker 1>out for me was in that in that particular scene,

0:11:23.920 --> 0:11:28.720
<v Speaker 1>if you will, which is all real um, is that

0:11:29.520 --> 0:11:34.640
<v Speaker 1>he uh, was one of about a dozen volunteers who

0:11:34.640 --> 0:11:39.160
<v Speaker 1>were working on other ships and they put out a call, uh,

0:11:39.480 --> 0:11:41.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, we need people to come and help really

0:11:41.520 --> 0:11:45.560
<v Speaker 1>relieve this overworked and ever sickening crew on this other

0:11:45.600 --> 0:11:48.400
<v Speaker 1>ship and just helped him on the ship because if not,

0:11:48.600 --> 0:11:50.360
<v Speaker 1>it's just going to be a disaster and the ship

0:11:50.400 --> 0:11:53.400
<v Speaker 1>will not be able to function. And so he was

0:11:53.440 --> 0:11:56.120
<v Speaker 1>one of the ones who he did the call very courageously.

0:11:56.200 --> 0:12:00.000
<v Speaker 1>He knew or he suspected that he was getting into

0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:01.920
<v Speaker 1>a situation where there's covid although he didn't really know.

0:12:02.000 --> 0:12:05.240
<v Speaker 1>I think he sort of hoped it wasn't covid um,

0:12:05.280 --> 0:12:08.400
<v Speaker 1>but he just went for it. And it's quite remarkable

0:12:08.600 --> 0:12:12.959
<v Speaker 1>and the fact that the reason people sort of were

0:12:13.040 --> 0:12:15.520
<v Speaker 1>just sort of overwhelmed by joy when he came in

0:12:15.559 --> 0:12:19.000
<v Speaker 1>and said, what you need, UM, is that they were

0:12:19.040 --> 0:12:20.960
<v Speaker 1>at a point of desperation. I'm talking about the people

0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:23.120
<v Speaker 1>who are working on the zan Dam had been fighting

0:12:23.160 --> 0:12:26.720
<v Speaker 1>this for for you know, for for many days by then, UM,

0:12:26.800 --> 0:12:29.000
<v Speaker 1>and the fact that someone from the outside world was

0:12:29.000 --> 0:12:33.000
<v Speaker 1>actually coming on board a great risk to help them

0:12:33.120 --> 0:12:36.480
<v Speaker 1>was just emotionally more than any of them could take. UM.

0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:38.480
<v Speaker 1>And of course when he got on and realized how

0:12:38.520 --> 0:12:40.720
<v Speaker 1>bad it was, he started saying, you know, I should

0:12:40.760 --> 0:12:43.679
<v Speaker 1>have listened to my wife because his wife, he's from Romania.

0:12:44.120 --> 0:12:46.880
<v Speaker 1>His job on this other ship called Austro Dam was

0:12:46.920 --> 0:12:49.760
<v Speaker 1>to run the shops on board, you know, like selling

0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:53.960
<v Speaker 1>jewelry and overpriced uh you know, scarves and stuff, and

0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:56.480
<v Speaker 1>he has, you know, has he has his little kids

0:12:56.480 --> 0:12:58.600
<v Speaker 1>at home back in Romania, and his wife said, are

0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:00.640
<v Speaker 1>you crazy? Why are you doing this? And he's like,

0:13:00.640 --> 0:13:02.720
<v Speaker 1>I just got to do it. And so, you know,

0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:04.400
<v Speaker 1>one of the first things he thought of when he

0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:06.319
<v Speaker 1>realized how bad it was was I should listen to

0:13:06.400 --> 0:13:09.160
<v Speaker 1>my wife. But but he stuck with it, UM. And

0:13:09.240 --> 0:13:12.079
<v Speaker 1>that's just that's what's so striking about the story to

0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:15.040
<v Speaker 1>me is that UM, you had so many people like

0:13:15.080 --> 0:13:17.800
<v Speaker 1>that who were working that ship, who really risked their lives,

0:13:19.000 --> 0:13:21.760
<v Speaker 1>and we're you know, we just plunge themselves into a

0:13:21.880 --> 0:13:27.200
<v Speaker 1>chaotic um situation that was COVID at that time in

0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:28.880
<v Speaker 1>the world. You know, we were all going through this,

0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:31.959
<v Speaker 1>you know, I what I what I think. One thing,

0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 1>the reason I think that the book sort of resonates

0:13:34.040 --> 0:13:37.480
<v Speaker 1>with almost everybody, is that it takes you back to

0:13:37.520 --> 0:13:40.480
<v Speaker 1>those days when you were like scrubbing your groceries with

0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:43.439
<v Speaker 1>with you know, with antiseptic wipes, or like you know,

0:13:43.440 --> 0:13:45.040
<v Speaker 1>putting him the garage for a couple of days, which

0:13:45.040 --> 0:13:46.920
<v Speaker 1>you're afraid you would get COVID from the you know,

0:13:47.000 --> 0:13:50.960
<v Speaker 1>your your box cereal or something. UM. It says, which

0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 1>now seems almost ridiculous because we kind of we know

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:55.240
<v Speaker 1>so much now and we were all vaccinated or most

0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:58.560
<v Speaker 1>of us are. UM. But to me, it just like

0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:01.880
<v Speaker 1>it was like that at on Turbo Charged. You know,

0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:04.560
<v Speaker 1>it just takes you back to that time and how

0:14:04.640 --> 0:14:07.920
<v Speaker 1>dangerous things were, but it also takes you to a

0:14:07.920 --> 0:14:11.760
<v Speaker 1>place where you're really happy you survived UM. And that's

0:14:11.880 --> 0:14:13.720
<v Speaker 1>the way, Mike. You know. The other element that I

0:14:13.720 --> 0:14:15.440
<v Speaker 1>just want to touch on because it's so central to

0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:17.839
<v Speaker 1>the excerpt, and it sort of last question here we

0:14:17.960 --> 0:14:20.040
<v Speaker 1>wrap up and only have a few more seconds. But

0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:24.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, really the penultimate tension here is is Panama, right,

0:14:24.520 --> 0:14:26.280
<v Speaker 1>like the ship makes it all an all the way

0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:30.320
<v Speaker 1>around uh south South America, and then uh, you know

0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:34.120
<v Speaker 1>it culminates with this idea of the canal, right, and

0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:38.680
<v Speaker 1>and how did that play out quickly? Well, if you're right,

0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:42.240
<v Speaker 1>the Panama did not want to let the ship through because, uh,

0:14:42.600 --> 0:14:45.120
<v Speaker 1>when they publicly announced that there was COVID a board,

0:14:45.360 --> 0:14:48.520
<v Speaker 1>which is in this in this exert um, that triggered

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:51.400
<v Speaker 1>a basically prohibition on any ship going through the canal

0:14:51.760 --> 0:14:54.520
<v Speaker 1>with the COVID case on board, because the Panamenians were

0:14:54.600 --> 0:14:59.840
<v Speaker 1>rightfully worried that um, you know, the disease with somehow

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:04.520
<v Speaker 1>ump off the ship onto land or more critically, the

0:15:04.560 --> 0:15:07.240
<v Speaker 1>canal pilots, which there are only a few that have

0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:09.240
<v Speaker 1>to take every ship through the canal, would all get

0:15:09.240 --> 0:15:11.040
<v Speaker 1>sick and they would have to shut down the Panama

0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:14.560
<v Speaker 1>Canal with Mike, we gotta run. This is a great read.

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:17.000
<v Speaker 1>Check out the magazine. Check out the book. Michael Smith

0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:23.880
<v Speaker 1>and Joel Weber a Bloomer Business Week. This is Bloomberg

0:15:23.960 --> 0:15:27.640
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:15:27.680 --> 0:15:31.320
<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. We've been covering a lot of

0:15:31.320 --> 0:15:34.440
<v Speaker 1>the crypto headlines as well our own ogre career, writing

0:15:34.440 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 1>about how crypto traders are turney against each other, Tim

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:41.360
<v Speaker 1>in a collapsing market. Yeah, we mentioned the challenges that

0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:44.320
<v Speaker 1>the crypto community said this week when it comes to Celsius,

0:15:44.320 --> 0:15:47.960
<v Speaker 1>we got three arrows as well, Babel, as Movie Shan

0:15:48.080 --> 0:15:50.680
<v Speaker 1>wrote for the Bloomberg Terminal. Let's get to someone in

0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:52.960
<v Speaker 1>the crypto community who can help shed some light on this.

0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:55.720
<v Speaker 1>Noah Buxton as a partner in practice leader of blockchain

0:15:55.760 --> 0:15:58.440
<v Speaker 1>and digital assets at Armanino. He joins us on the

0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:01.280
<v Speaker 1>phone from San Francisco. It's good to have you with us.

0:16:01.280 --> 0:16:03.760
<v Speaker 1>No uh I mentioned some of the big headlines just

0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:06.000
<v Speaker 1>from the last few days. At this point, not to

0:16:06.040 --> 0:16:10.480
<v Speaker 1>mention coin base layoffs close of the firm. My question

0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:14.160
<v Speaker 1>for you is about adoption. When consumers who haven't dipped

0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:18.160
<v Speaker 1>their toes into crypto see stories like these, and then

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:22.040
<v Speaker 1>consumers who have gotten burned on crypto with declining asset prices,

0:16:22.840 --> 0:16:25.320
<v Speaker 1>what does that do for widespread adoption of the of

0:16:25.360 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 1>the digital asset. Yeah, Tim, thanks with a question, and Carol,

0:16:30.280 --> 0:16:34.240
<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me. Yes, certainly, Uh this this puts

0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:38.520
<v Speaker 1>caution right in people's minds. It puts additional skepticism as well.

0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:41.360
<v Speaker 1>The headlines right now are certainly not great. If you're

0:16:41.360 --> 0:16:43.920
<v Speaker 1>thinking about, hey, what is this new technology? How do

0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:46.360
<v Speaker 1>I get my mind around it? What are the investment

0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:49.960
<v Speaker 1>of potentials or opportunities in here? And then then all

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 1>you hear is bad things? Right, So of course it

0:16:53.120 --> 0:16:56.480
<v Speaker 1>puts puts a temper. You know, it chills the market

0:16:56.560 --> 0:16:59.400
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to new entrance, that's for sure, UM.

0:16:59.440 --> 0:17:01.800
<v Speaker 1>And and that happens in every crypto downturn. Right, we

0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:04.200
<v Speaker 1>have sort of the new entrance, the wheat is separated

0:17:04.200 --> 0:17:08.159
<v Speaker 1>from the chaff, and UM. You know, unfortunately, yes, some

0:17:08.160 --> 0:17:11.080
<v Speaker 1>people get hurt in these investments. UM. But what we see,

0:17:11.160 --> 0:17:13.360
<v Speaker 1>is what I see on a daily basis, is a

0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:18.200
<v Speaker 1>core set of UM companies that are innovating, that are

0:17:18.240 --> 0:17:22.639
<v Speaker 1>truly doing UM good work in terms of democratizing finance,

0:17:22.920 --> 0:17:26.840
<v Speaker 1>opening up additional opportunities, interesting financial products that I think

0:17:26.880 --> 0:17:29.640
<v Speaker 1>will be important for our future UM. And so there's

0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:32.800
<v Speaker 1>a lot of good innovation that's still happening behind the scenes,

0:17:33.119 --> 0:17:36.359
<v Speaker 1>and self to say nasent innovation, I mean for the

0:17:36.400 --> 0:17:38.240
<v Speaker 1>folks that we keep talking to. And I mentioned a

0:17:38.280 --> 0:17:41.399
<v Speaker 1>crypto panel I did out at b and Y malon

0:17:41.480 --> 0:17:46.040
<v Speaker 1>Pershing Inside this week with two individuals who are very

0:17:46.119 --> 0:17:49.880
<v Speaker 1>well versed in the crypto space and being very realistic

0:17:49.880 --> 0:17:52.360
<v Speaker 1>that this is like the early early days of the Internet,

0:17:52.400 --> 0:17:54.920
<v Speaker 1>and that the timeline on this and there's going to

0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:57.320
<v Speaker 1>be a lot of fallout, which we're seeing right now

0:17:57.840 --> 0:18:00.399
<v Speaker 1>that Noah, the timeline is probably a lot longer than

0:18:00.400 --> 0:18:05.400
<v Speaker 1>we all realize. When there comes to the credibility. Sure, yeah,

0:18:05.560 --> 0:18:08.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't think that's an unfair assessment by any means, right.

0:18:08.119 --> 0:18:10.960
<v Speaker 1>I think us, those of us that work in this

0:18:11.080 --> 0:18:14.879
<v Speaker 1>every day had gotten pretty comfortable being at a you know,

0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:17.920
<v Speaker 1>two and three trillion dollar market gap. Hey, we feel

0:18:17.960 --> 0:18:19.800
<v Speaker 1>like a real market now. Look at you know, look

0:18:19.840 --> 0:18:22.199
<v Speaker 1>at look at us UM and bitcoin itself was a

0:18:22.240 --> 0:18:25.159
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollar asset class, you know, and we saw institutional

0:18:25.160 --> 0:18:27.520
<v Speaker 1>players in the space, you know, start to treat it

0:18:27.560 --> 0:18:30.640
<v Speaker 1>that way, right, this is an institutional quality asset. It's

0:18:30.640 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 1>a digital commodity um and you know, when that value

0:18:34.359 --> 0:18:38.320
<v Speaker 1>is stripped out very quickly. Um. Yes, you realize that, Wow,

0:18:38.359 --> 0:18:41.159
<v Speaker 1>we actually have a very very shallow market. Um. And

0:18:41.200 --> 0:18:44.119
<v Speaker 1>so uh, these things move very quickly. And also the

0:18:44.119 --> 0:18:49.199
<v Speaker 1>credit moves differently in crypto as as compared to traditional markets.

0:18:49.200 --> 0:18:51.960
<v Speaker 1>And so that's why we see these these very very

0:18:51.960 --> 0:18:54.800
<v Speaker 1>fast bottoming outs that can happen. Yeah, I want to

0:18:55.040 --> 0:18:56.440
<v Speaker 1>I want to build on that a little bit because

0:18:56.440 --> 0:19:00.399
<v Speaker 1>I think about what our markets, bloomer markets, uh. Alice

0:19:00.640 --> 0:19:03.959
<v Speaker 1>have a guilty little said earlier today about the idea

0:19:04.160 --> 0:19:07.360
<v Speaker 1>of seeing looking to bitcoin is a sign of capitulation,

0:19:07.640 --> 0:19:09.639
<v Speaker 1>and it reminds me of what Scott minded Over Kugenheim

0:19:09.680 --> 0:19:12.880
<v Speaker 1>said on Bloomberg TV just a few days ago after

0:19:13.000 --> 0:19:17.679
<v Speaker 1>fed here J Powell uh spoke the idea that cryptos

0:19:17.720 --> 0:19:21.800
<v Speaker 1>canary in the coal mine for risk assets like equities. No,

0:19:21.960 --> 0:19:24.959
<v Speaker 1>and I'm wondering what the crypto market can tell us

0:19:25.000 --> 0:19:30.160
<v Speaker 1>about the way that other asset classes are going to move. Yeah,

0:19:30.160 --> 0:19:32.920
<v Speaker 1>that's an interesting perspective. I do see cryptos are very

0:19:32.960 --> 0:19:36.560
<v Speaker 1>free market. Honestly. I think that, Um, yeah, when we

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:39.720
<v Speaker 1>see uh, as I just mentioned the for instance of

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:42.880
<v Speaker 1>credit credit tightening quickly, So I do think that there's

0:19:42.920 --> 0:19:45.600
<v Speaker 1>a canary in the coal mine aspect. And I think

0:19:45.600 --> 0:19:47.840
<v Speaker 1>it's also fair to to look at the you know,

0:19:48.200 --> 0:19:51.560
<v Speaker 1>equities markets today and say, wow, look at the ratios.

0:19:51.600 --> 0:19:55.600
<v Speaker 1>This seems a bit disconnected from reality. Um but why

0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 1>does that move slower? Why are we not seeing downturns?

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:00.680
<v Speaker 1>There are many reasons, of course, but I do think

0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:04.320
<v Speaker 1>that some of those reasons are there's um an infrastructure

0:20:04.440 --> 0:20:07.600
<v Speaker 1>of credit facilities, there's a lender of last resort. There's

0:20:07.600 --> 0:20:10.280
<v Speaker 1>a whole infrastructure of sort of trust and transparency in

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:13.840
<v Speaker 1>those markets. Right public companies do reporting, um you know,

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:16.879
<v Speaker 1>there's a rich market of analysts that that analyze all

0:20:16.920 --> 0:20:20.199
<v Speaker 1>that data and keep markets comfortable and informed, and so

0:20:20.280 --> 0:20:23.360
<v Speaker 1>that that leads to fair, orderly markets ultimately with good

0:20:23.359 --> 0:20:28.200
<v Speaker 1>price discovery um A. You know, and liquidity injection for

0:20:28.200 --> 0:20:31.800
<v Speaker 1>for traditional markets doesn't hurt either, But we don't have

0:20:31.840 --> 0:20:34.840
<v Speaker 1>that in crypto markets, you know. So I think, you know,

0:20:34.880 --> 0:20:37.560
<v Speaker 1>the other thing that the other point that I'd like

0:20:37.600 --> 0:20:39.440
<v Speaker 1>to make I see on the daily basis is that,

0:20:39.480 --> 0:20:41.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, I have a pretty sober view of this.

0:20:41.200 --> 0:20:43.879
<v Speaker 1>I think that there are certainly trusted players in the space,

0:20:43.920 --> 0:20:47.680
<v Speaker 1>and there are certainly those um that have a lot

0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:49.800
<v Speaker 1>more work to do, and I think that we can

0:20:49.840 --> 0:20:51.880
<v Speaker 1>see real differentiations. So one of the things I work

0:20:51.920 --> 0:20:55.359
<v Speaker 1>on every day is providing that trust and transparency. Right,

0:20:55.400 --> 0:20:58.440
<v Speaker 1>We're a large cp A firm and and we see

0:20:58.440 --> 0:21:00.560
<v Speaker 1>this differentiation on the daily right. So what we see

0:21:00.600 --> 0:21:04.879
<v Speaker 1>happening with Celsius, what's happening it's uh, well, it's really

0:21:05.160 --> 0:21:07.720
<v Speaker 1>a lack of customer trust. It's a lack of reporting

0:21:07.760 --> 0:21:10.760
<v Speaker 1>from the company to an engender that trust and give

0:21:10.920 --> 0:21:14.000
<v Speaker 1>customers what they need to trust those services and see

0:21:14.040 --> 0:21:17.359
<v Speaker 1>that their assets are adequately backed or reserved. Um. You know,

0:21:17.400 --> 0:21:19.960
<v Speaker 1>you can contrast that with the well and I would

0:21:20.040 --> 0:21:21.880
<v Speaker 1>jump in no, no, and just say because we're unning

0:21:21.880 --> 0:21:24.160
<v Speaker 1>out of time here. But that's why people respect something

0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:26.640
<v Speaker 1>like the US dollar, like there is something behind it

0:21:27.040 --> 0:21:29.439
<v Speaker 1>and there's credibility and respect. And I will say on

0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:31.960
<v Speaker 1>my panel, folks were calling said, we do need some

0:21:32.000 --> 0:21:35.520
<v Speaker 1>regulatory oversight that that will give it, certainly the crypto

0:21:35.520 --> 0:21:38.760
<v Speaker 1>markets some credibility. No buxed in from our our money.

0:21:38.880 --> 0:21:41.680
<v Speaker 1>No joining us on the phone from San Francisco. This

0:21:41.840 --> 0:21:50.639
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg. I'm a journal Yeah, but you let me

0:21:50.760 --> 0:21:58.480
<v Speaker 1>drive Oh no, no, no, no, please, I want to drive.

0:22:01.000 --> 0:22:11.879
<v Speaker 1>Good question, dri drive to the close bloom Bird Radio.

0:22:12.200 --> 0:22:14.240
<v Speaker 1>All right, we've got just about ten and happen it's

0:22:14.280 --> 0:22:17.080
<v Speaker 1>left in today's trading session. What a week it's been.

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:21.560
<v Speaker 1>We have seen a significant selling. Are these numbers right?

0:22:21.640 --> 0:22:24.480
<v Speaker 1>Are we down about seventeen percent in the daw for

0:22:24.480 --> 0:22:27.040
<v Speaker 1>the week? No, not for the week? No, on the

0:22:27.080 --> 0:22:29.120
<v Speaker 1>dow wear'd down four point six percent for the week.

0:22:29.520 --> 0:22:31.320
<v Speaker 1>These numbers I'm looking at. I got to check these. Oh,

0:22:31.400 --> 0:22:33.040
<v Speaker 1>year to date forgive me. That's year to day and

0:22:33.080 --> 0:22:35.600
<v Speaker 1>down about three percent. I told you I'm only going

0:22:35.640 --> 0:22:37.440
<v Speaker 1>on three hours of sleep, so bear with me. Thank

0:22:37.440 --> 0:22:39.720
<v Speaker 1>you Tim for keeping me on. Yeah, any time, Carol.

0:22:40.880 --> 0:22:42.919
<v Speaker 1>Five point seven percent for the week, but so very

0:22:43.000 --> 0:22:45.040
<v Speaker 1>man selling. So let's see if our next guest thanks

0:22:45.040 --> 0:22:48.520
<v Speaker 1>capitulation or not. Larry Pokowski is managing partner and portfolio

0:22:48.600 --> 0:22:51.719
<v Speaker 1>manager at good Haven a Capital Management. Larry joining us

0:22:51.720 --> 0:22:54.560
<v Speaker 1>this afternoon on the phone from Milbourne, New Jersey. So, Larry,

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:57.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna just give you Carol's question, capitulation. Are we close?

0:22:58.800 --> 0:23:01.960
<v Speaker 1>You know, Tim, it's you never really know if this

0:23:02.040 --> 0:23:04.040
<v Speaker 1>is the bottom. I would say there are two very

0:23:04.080 --> 0:23:06.720
<v Speaker 1>important things I keep on my desk in handy. One

0:23:06.800 --> 0:23:08.960
<v Speaker 1>is by Sir Winston Churchill, which has never let a

0:23:09.000 --> 0:23:11.480
<v Speaker 1>crisis go to waste and for though that for us

0:23:11.480 --> 0:23:15.680
<v Speaker 1>at good Haven, that means using volatility to try and

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:19.359
<v Speaker 1>continuously look for better companies to invest in, to upgrade

0:23:19.359 --> 0:23:22.520
<v Speaker 1>the portfolio, and to use the volatility to try and

0:23:23.080 --> 0:23:25.840
<v Speaker 1>for the advantage of our clients and shareholders. And the

0:23:25.880 --> 0:23:27.920
<v Speaker 1>other one I keep handy is by Rick mere is

0:23:27.960 --> 0:23:31.399
<v Speaker 1>a very famous indiecar racer, which was to finish first,

0:23:31.440 --> 0:23:34.440
<v Speaker 1>You must first finish, which means, you know, we try

0:23:34.560 --> 0:23:37.320
<v Speaker 1>and uh make sure we always have some cash around.

0:23:38.119 --> 0:23:42.280
<v Speaker 1>We are not running levered portfolios because in a crisis

0:23:42.359 --> 0:23:46.080
<v Speaker 1>those things uh really are very important, more important than

0:23:46.080 --> 0:23:48.520
<v Speaker 1>ever before. And so all I can tell you is

0:23:48.560 --> 0:23:51.520
<v Speaker 1>we have found plenty of to look at. We like

0:23:51.640 --> 0:23:54.800
<v Speaker 1>what we own and you know, uh there are more

0:23:54.880 --> 0:23:58.040
<v Speaker 1>potential bargains than there were six months ago. So wait

0:23:58.240 --> 0:24:00.639
<v Speaker 1>to finish first, You must first finish. So how do

0:24:00.640 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 1>you apply that to this market? Well, I think the

0:24:03.920 --> 0:24:07.160
<v Speaker 1>point of the saying is if you are over levered

0:24:07.320 --> 0:24:10.639
<v Speaker 1>or you have no resources, uh, you may have some

0:24:10.720 --> 0:24:13.560
<v Speaker 1>interesting ideas, but you may not get to see it through.

0:24:13.880 --> 0:24:18.440
<v Speaker 1>So I think as a portfolio manager. What it means is, uh,

0:24:18.640 --> 0:24:21.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, being unlevered and having some cash allows you

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:25.200
<v Speaker 1>to control your own destiny and try and take advantage

0:24:25.200 --> 0:24:27.320
<v Speaker 1>of the volatility that's going on out there. Is supposed

0:24:27.320 --> 0:24:31.000
<v Speaker 1>to the volatility taking advantage of you. Okay, so let's

0:24:31.000 --> 0:24:35.760
<v Speaker 1>talk about opportunities here and where you're seeing them right now. Um,

0:24:35.880 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 1>you guys are still bullish on energy despite the fact

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:42.400
<v Speaker 1>that this week has been brutal. I mean, look, it's

0:24:42.440 --> 0:24:44.399
<v Speaker 1>the best performing sector in the sp THOT founder this

0:24:44.480 --> 0:24:48.679
<v Speaker 1>year and last year it was. Um. Why still bullish

0:24:48.720 --> 0:24:50.920
<v Speaker 1>on energy even if there could be a recession which

0:24:50.960 --> 0:24:54.639
<v Speaker 1>could really crimp demand around the world. Well, Tim, it's

0:24:54.720 --> 0:24:58.040
<v Speaker 1>very good question. I'd like to answer it by reminiscing

0:24:58.040 --> 0:25:00.159
<v Speaker 1>a little bit with Carol. Carol con we remin us

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:05.000
<v Speaker 1>just a little bit on this part. June June seen

0:25:05.040 --> 0:25:07.200
<v Speaker 1>I was on the show and we were talking mostly

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:09.480
<v Speaker 1>about energy, and we were talking about one of our

0:25:09.520 --> 0:25:12.040
<v Speaker 1>bigger holdings at the time, which was w p X Energy.

0:25:12.280 --> 0:25:15.600
<v Speaker 1>Oil was forty five bucks. Not many people thought it

0:25:15.640 --> 0:25:18.600
<v Speaker 1>was an interesting industry to be invested in. The stock

0:25:18.720 --> 0:25:21.000
<v Speaker 1>was with w PX was ten bucks. Oil was forty

0:25:21.000 --> 0:25:26.120
<v Speaker 1>five it was a very unpopular area, and I thought

0:25:26.119 --> 0:25:28.280
<v Speaker 1>it was interesting. I know you thought it was interesting,

0:25:28.359 --> 0:25:31.720
<v Speaker 1>and here we are. Devon then acquired w p X.

0:25:32.359 --> 0:25:34.719
<v Speaker 1>It is still an important holding for us. It has

0:25:34.760 --> 0:25:39.680
<v Speaker 1>gone up substantially since then. But I think today when

0:25:39.760 --> 0:25:43.359
<v Speaker 1>you look at what Devon has done over the years,

0:25:44.240 --> 0:25:48.120
<v Speaker 1>you have a very material dividend policy. They really were.

0:25:48.240 --> 0:25:50.320
<v Speaker 1>I think the first at the pick called the fix

0:25:50.400 --> 0:25:55.560
<v Speaker 1>plus the variable dividend. The stock has been weak lately. Uh,

0:25:55.560 --> 0:25:58.600
<v Speaker 1>it is still materially up from you know, our cost,

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:01.440
<v Speaker 1>which is a single digit number. But if you look

0:26:01.480 --> 0:26:04.840
<v Speaker 1>at it today, you're looking at a potential dividend yield

0:26:04.840 --> 0:26:08.879
<v Speaker 1>of probably almost yeah, I would say north of a

0:26:08.960 --> 0:26:11.800
<v Speaker 1>percent to be conservative. Even if oil were to come

0:26:11.840 --> 0:26:14.480
<v Speaker 1>back to let's call it, you know, on the back

0:26:14.480 --> 0:26:17.959
<v Speaker 1>of an envelope eighty bucks oil, five fifty gas, they

0:26:17.960 --> 0:26:19.760
<v Speaker 1>should still be able to generate six and a half

0:26:19.760 --> 0:26:22.919
<v Speaker 1>bucks of free cash flow. Uh. So, you know, we

0:26:23.040 --> 0:26:25.439
<v Speaker 1>think it's interesting. It's been a holding for a while,

0:26:25.520 --> 0:26:29.760
<v Speaker 1>but it's interesting again today. And you know, I think

0:26:30.119 --> 0:26:33.240
<v Speaker 1>Devon and their brethren, to the credit of Rick Moncree

0:26:33.240 --> 0:26:34.800
<v Speaker 1>for runs the show there and to some of their

0:26:34.840 --> 0:26:39.640
<v Speaker 1>brethren too, have really become uh focused on moderate production

0:26:39.680 --> 0:26:43.879
<v Speaker 1>growth and using the enormous profitability to benefit you know,

0:26:43.920 --> 0:26:48.440
<v Speaker 1>all of their constituents, including their shareholders and bondholders. So

0:26:49.000 --> 0:26:52.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean what you're saying in this energy play, though, too,

0:26:52.960 --> 0:26:55.280
<v Speaker 1>to me is and first of all, I love reminiscing.

0:26:55.280 --> 0:26:56.600
<v Speaker 1>And I went back and I was on the Bloomberg

0:26:56.640 --> 0:26:58.080
<v Speaker 1>and I'm like, oh my god, yeah, they were required.

0:26:58.280 --> 0:27:00.160
<v Speaker 1>It's interesting. And I do also feel like you are

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:02.040
<v Speaker 1>part of a theme and trend that I keep seeing

0:27:02.119 --> 0:27:04.720
<v Speaker 1>Larry from people saying, look at some of the stocks

0:27:04.720 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 1>that pay dividends in an uncertain environment. You know, there's

0:27:08.080 --> 0:27:10.239
<v Speaker 1>kind of a certainty to it if you're looking for

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:13.920
<v Speaker 1>some performance. But going back to your energy play, even

0:27:13.960 --> 0:27:18.520
<v Speaker 1>though we are moving to an alternative energy world, renewables increasingly,

0:27:19.080 --> 0:27:21.879
<v Speaker 1>we've all got to be realistic about this timeline, especially

0:27:21.920 --> 0:27:24.480
<v Speaker 1>with the war in Ukraine, Like this is not going

0:27:24.560 --> 0:27:28.800
<v Speaker 1>to happen overnight, so energy is going to provide some performance.

0:27:30.200 --> 0:27:32.479
<v Speaker 1>I think that all makes perfect sense. Kell, And you know,

0:27:32.920 --> 0:27:35.320
<v Speaker 1>I think from our perspective, these things that are now

0:27:35.440 --> 0:27:40.200
<v Speaker 1>front page items, energy prices, higher interest rates, inflation, they're

0:27:40.240 --> 0:27:43.960
<v Speaker 1>all front page items. To use that a phrase today,

0:27:44.000 --> 0:27:47.240
<v Speaker 1>But we have been trying to think about them, We've

0:27:47.240 --> 0:27:50.440
<v Speaker 1>written about them when we've had exposure to these areas

0:27:50.520 --> 0:27:52.600
<v Speaker 1>for a long time. And I think that's the idea

0:27:52.640 --> 0:27:55.120
<v Speaker 1>to try and you know, be ahead of what might

0:27:55.160 --> 0:27:57.399
<v Speaker 1>be a trend. Now. Having said that, we like to

0:27:57.480 --> 0:28:00.800
<v Speaker 1>own primarily, you know, good quality, growing companies that are

0:28:00.840 --> 0:28:04.399
<v Speaker 1>not very levered, but the devon of today, we're willing

0:28:04.440 --> 0:28:06.720
<v Speaker 1>to still have it as a material holding because we

0:28:06.760 --> 0:28:11.399
<v Speaker 1>think they're current policies, uh, you know, really fit in well,

0:28:11.720 --> 0:28:14.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, appropriately sized for you know how I think

0:28:14.560 --> 0:28:17.119
<v Speaker 1>about the portfolio. Yeah, okay, Larry, we have another minute

0:28:17.119 --> 0:28:18.320
<v Speaker 1>with you, and I just want to get your take

0:28:18.359 --> 0:28:20.760
<v Speaker 1>on where you're seeing the FED right now. Do we

0:28:20.800 --> 0:28:23.359
<v Speaker 1>see seventy five basis points at the next meeting? And

0:28:23.760 --> 0:28:27.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, you know, first of all, I'm sorry sorry

0:28:27.160 --> 0:28:28.440
<v Speaker 1>to have to disappoint you and tell you that I

0:28:28.480 --> 0:28:30.760
<v Speaker 1>don't know, but I will I will say that higher

0:28:30.800 --> 0:28:35.200
<v Speaker 1>interest rate or something or something that we've thought about

0:28:35.200 --> 0:28:36.840
<v Speaker 1>for a long time, and we have a bunch of

0:28:36.880 --> 0:28:40.400
<v Speaker 1>companies that will benefit from higher interest rates. And Chair

0:28:40.440 --> 0:28:44.440
<v Speaker 1>Powell seems quite determined, uh, you know, to not let

0:28:44.520 --> 0:28:47.680
<v Speaker 1>inflation get out of control. And we had something in

0:28:47.680 --> 0:28:50.800
<v Speaker 1>the financial sector, which was Allegheny, which was a property

0:28:50.840 --> 0:28:53.760
<v Speaker 1>casualty insurance company, which the type of thing that will

0:28:53.800 --> 0:28:56.479
<v Speaker 1>benefit from higher interest rates, which Mr Buffett and Omaha

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:59.520
<v Speaker 1>is buying out from us very shortly. So we've thought

0:28:59.520 --> 0:29:02.160
<v Speaker 1>about this for a while. There are ways to try

0:29:02.200 --> 0:29:05.720
<v Speaker 1>and look for companies that might benefit from higher interest rates.

0:29:05.760 --> 0:29:08.320
<v Speaker 1>As far as a prediction on the FED, I'm sorry

0:29:08.320 --> 0:29:10.560
<v Speaker 1>to disappoint you. I don't have it. We'll just try

0:29:10.600 --> 0:29:13.360
<v Speaker 1>and take stocks and worry about risk. Oh, it's actually

0:29:13.400 --> 0:29:15.640
<v Speaker 1>a really important perspective, right. There's just so much you

0:29:15.640 --> 0:29:17.880
<v Speaker 1>can or cannot control when it comes to macro, and

0:29:17.920 --> 0:29:20.520
<v Speaker 1>so you've gotta deep into the digg into the fundamentals

0:29:20.560 --> 0:29:23.480
<v Speaker 1>of specific names and make investment decisions based on that.

0:29:23.920 --> 0:29:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Larry Pittkowski fund to reminisce managing partner and portfolio manager

0:29:27.800 --> 0:29:30.640
<v Speaker 1>Goodhaven Capital Management. Have a good and safe weekend. Joining

0:29:30.680 --> 0:29:34.120
<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from millburgn New Jersey. Thanks for

0:29:34.160 --> 0:29:37.920
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud,

0:29:38.040 --> 0:29:40.200
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0:29:40.200 --> 0:29:42.800
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0:29:42.920 --> 0:29:45.680
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