WEBVTT - Trump Indictment May Be Imminent

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Law with June Brusso from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Over the years, Donald Trump has faced criminal investigations, special

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<v Speaker 1>counsel inquiries, even impeachments, but none has stuck. That may

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<v Speaker 1>be changing, as a flurry of witnesses, including Trump's former

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<v Speaker 1>fixer Michael Cohen, have testified before a Manhattan grand jury

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<v Speaker 1>considering criminal charges against the former president. This isn't a

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<v Speaker 1>question of vindication. It's not a question, as I stated before,

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<v Speaker 1>about revenge. This is my position is that at the

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<v Speaker 1>end of the day, Donald Trump needs to be held

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<v Speaker 1>accountable for his dirty deeds if in fact that's the

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<v Speaker 1>way that the facts play out. That plus an invitation

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<v Speaker 1>to Trump to testify before the grand jury, indicate that

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<v Speaker 1>Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg is close to an indictment.

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<v Speaker 1>The first criminal charge is against a former president in

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<v Speaker 1>our nation's history. Trump's reaction to it all has been predictable.

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<v Speaker 1>These are which huntsees have been going on for a

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<v Speaker 1>long time. They've weaponized justice in our country. It's a disgrace,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think people are very angry about it. Joining

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<v Speaker 1>me is former federal prosecutor Jennifer Rogers, a professor at

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<v Speaker 1>NYU Law School. The prevailing view of most legal experts,

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<v Speaker 1>including Trump's own attorney, is that he will be indicted

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<v Speaker 1>in Manhattan. Do you agree, Yeah, that seems to be

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<v Speaker 1>what's happening. I mean, the practice of the Manhattan BA

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<v Speaker 1>is to invite descendants to participate in the grand jury

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<v Speaker 1>at the end of an investigation, before they seek an indictment.

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<v Speaker 1>And so they've been putting all the witnesses that they

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<v Speaker 1>would need, you know, Michael Cohen and others into the

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<v Speaker 1>grand jury, and they've invited Trump to participate, which he

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<v Speaker 1>declined wisely, and so it does look like they're wrapping

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<v Speaker 1>up with the grand jury. I mean, you know, you

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<v Speaker 1>do an investigation, you talk to all these witnesses, there's

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<v Speaker 1>no reason to actually put them in unless you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to speak in indictment. And so it seems very much

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<v Speaker 1>like that's where it's headed. His attorney's met with prosecutors

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<v Speaker 1>recently to make their case against an indictment in a

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<v Speaker 1>case like this. I mean, is there really any hope

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<v Speaker 1>that they could change prosecutors' minds? No, No, not much.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it rarely happens in any kind of case,

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<v Speaker 1>but in this kind of case. It's a fairly simple case. Factually, there,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, is a tricky legal issue. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>if it's tricky as much as it's just not been

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<v Speaker 1>done before, So it's a bit unknown whether the felony

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<v Speaker 1>will hold up on heel if they get the convictions.

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<v Speaker 1>But where everything is already known to the prosecutors, it's

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<v Speaker 1>really just almost a formality. But you know, defense lawyers

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<v Speaker 1>always want that chance to come in and make the pitch,

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<v Speaker 1>and prosecutors are willing to give them that chance. So

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<v Speaker 1>they did it and it didn't work, And all that's

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<v Speaker 1>very predictable tell us about the legal theory they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to try to use to the misdemeanor of falsifying business

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<v Speaker 1>records into a felony. So in New York State, the

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<v Speaker 1>falsification of financial records that prosecutors alleged was done here

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<v Speaker 1>where they took this money that was paid to Stormy

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<v Speaker 1>Daniels to keep her quiet before the election, and instead

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<v Speaker 1>of just writing her a check from the Trump organization

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<v Speaker 1>or Trump writing her a personal check, they instead had

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<v Speaker 1>Michael Cohen pay her and then they paid him back

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<v Speaker 1>from the business, pretending that it was for legal expenses.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's the falsification of records that the Trump organization

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<v Speaker 1>kind of hid all of these payments. That's a misdemeanor

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<v Speaker 1>in New York State. So in order for it to

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<v Speaker 1>be a felony, that crime has to be committed in

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<v Speaker 1>conjunction with another crime, so in order to facilitate or

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<v Speaker 1>to cover up a different crime. So what they are

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<v Speaker 1>alleging here, we think is that this cover up was done,

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<v Speaker 1>the falsification of records was all done in order to

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<v Speaker 1>commit a campaign finance crime, meaning that this payment actually

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<v Speaker 1>was done to benefit the campaign because had she come

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<v Speaker 1>out and told her story in the week leading up

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<v Speaker 1>to the election, he wouldn't have been elected. So it's

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<v Speaker 1>a benefit to the campaign. The campaign hid that benefit.

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<v Speaker 1>They didn't disclose it as part of the paperwork that

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<v Speaker 1>they have to file with election officials. And so that's

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<v Speaker 1>what they say is the second crime that the falsification

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<v Speaker 1>crime facilitated, and that makes it a felony under New

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<v Speaker 1>York day law. The Manhattan DA didn't bring charges against

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<v Speaker 1>Trump in the criminal tax fraud case where they brought

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<v Speaker 1>charges against his former CFO, Alan Weisselberg. Now they appear

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<v Speaker 1>to be going after him with this untested legal theory,

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<v Speaker 1>and it seems kind of odd to me that they

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<v Speaker 1>would proceed with a novel theory in the first case

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<v Speaker 1>ever against a former president. Yeah, it's hard to know

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<v Speaker 1>how they assess their case and exactly what they're thinking.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, they know more about the case than we

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<v Speaker 1>all know sitting outside here, but you know, I think

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<v Speaker 1>that they're probably trying to assess it in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>is this case something that we would charge someone else with?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, yes, it's untested, but do we think it's right?

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<v Speaker 1>Do we think that it will stand up on appeal legally?

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<v Speaker 1>The issues with it being a former president make it

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<v Speaker 1>really tricky in terms of what is a jury going

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<v Speaker 1>to do once they're speeded. You know, when you have

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<v Speaker 1>twelve people in the box, are we going to get

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<v Speaker 1>twelve people who are going to be able to assess

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<v Speaker 1>this fairly? But the untested portion of it is a

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<v Speaker 1>legal issue on that front, it's more about is it

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<v Speaker 1>going to stand up in front of the judges who

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<v Speaker 1>will be affessing it. Can we get it through the

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<v Speaker 1>trial court level? On appeal? Will the appellate court judges

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<v Speaker 1>say that it meets legal muster? So I think they're

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<v Speaker 1>probably just saying, listen, do we think this is a

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<v Speaker 1>correct theory, and can we convince the judges of this.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not really a jury issue. And then on the

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<v Speaker 1>jury side, you just say, listen, if we think he

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<v Speaker 1>has done this and we think that we would charge

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<v Speaker 1>someone else with it, we should take a shot at it,

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<v Speaker 1>former president or no, you know, he's not above the law.

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<v Speaker 1>We should have that accountability. And then on the other

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<v Speaker 1>case that's apparently still kicking around. It's definitely true that

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<v Speaker 1>earlier last year, Alvin Bragg, the brand new DA at

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<v Speaker 1>that time, decided not to go into the grand jury

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<v Speaker 1>with the case about inflating and decreasing the assets in

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<v Speaker 1>order to get benefits. But they say that investigation is ongoing,

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<v Speaker 1>and a lot of it had to do with whether

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<v Speaker 1>they were able to get the true and complete cooperation

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<v Speaker 1>of Alan Weisselberg, which by all accounts they have not.

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<v Speaker 1>So that kind of I think has more to do

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<v Speaker 1>with that side of things. And listen, they may ultimately

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<v Speaker 1>bring that case if they think that they can. Apparently

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<v Speaker 1>they're still working, honestly, that's what the DA's office to say.

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<v Speaker 1>So Trump has called this a politically motivated witch hunt,

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<v Speaker 1>said he did absolutely nothing wrong and denied having an

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<v Speaker 1>affair with the porn star Stormy Daniels, and said Bragg's

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<v Speaker 1>inquiry was an effort to take down the leading Republican

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<v Speaker 1>candidate in the twenty twenty four presidential election. I'm wondering

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<v Speaker 1>if the fact that the former DA didn't charge Trump

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<v Speaker 1>and Bragg, you know, as you just mentioned, may still

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<v Speaker 1>but didn't charge him in that another case, can that

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<v Speaker 1>be used by the defense in any way to say

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<v Speaker 1>this is politically motivated. They kept on trying and trying

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<v Speaker 1>and trying until they got him. Well, listen, this is

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<v Speaker 1>of course Trump's playbook, right, Anything that anybody does that

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<v Speaker 1>accuses him of anything is a politically motivated witch hunt.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is kind of how he responds to everything.

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<v Speaker 1>There's no evidence that anyone has gone after him for

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<v Speaker 1>political reasons. When the DA, just prior to Alvin Bragg,

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<v Speaker 1>cy Van was investigating, you know, they needed to do

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<v Speaker 1>this investigation. You can't decide on charters until you know

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<v Speaker 1>what you're dealing with. And they didn't finish. They didn't

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<v Speaker 1>finish the investigation that they were focused on. They appear

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<v Speaker 1>to put this one kind of on the back burner,

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<v Speaker 1>probably because of the untested nature of the legal theory

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<v Speaker 1>as far as the felony charge goes, and they focused

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<v Speaker 1>on the other thing. Bragg thought they hadn't gotten there yet,

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<v Speaker 1>so he switched gears. I mean, there's just nothing to

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<v Speaker 1>suggest that it's political at all. This is just kind

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<v Speaker 1>of Trump's play. And once you get to court, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>he makes all of these statements in the public realm

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<v Speaker 1>because you know, that's just how he works, and he's

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<v Speaker 1>trying to influence ultimately with the public thinks, because they're

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<v Speaker 1>the voters and also of course potentially the jury pool.

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<v Speaker 1>But when you get into court it's a little bit different.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, you can't just stand up and yell, which

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<v Speaker 1>hunts all the time. If you're going to claim something

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<v Speaker 1>like prosecutorial misconduct or that you are actually being targeted

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<v Speaker 1>because of political reasons, you have to prove that in

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<v Speaker 1>order to make that case in court, or the judge

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<v Speaker 1>will say you can't make that argument. So once you

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<v Speaker 1>get into the four corners of the courtroom, he won't

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<v Speaker 1>be able to just without any basis at all, which

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<v Speaker 1>there is none, claim that, so you know it'll be

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<v Speaker 1>a little different once you're actually in front of the

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<v Speaker 1>jury and the judge in this case. In the meantime,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, he's just trying to kind of poison, if

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<v Speaker 1>you will, the well a little bit with the public

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of saying that which you always said. Some

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<v Speaker 1>of the defense attorneys has said that this payment wasn't

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<v Speaker 1>part of a campaign, It was to save face, to

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<v Speaker 1>save Milania from any embarrassment, sort of a nuisance payment.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that a defense for him in this case? So

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<v Speaker 1>it's kind of interesting when people were talking about a

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<v Speaker 1>pure campaign finance violation, like on the federal side what

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<v Speaker 1>Michael Cohen pleaded guilty too. It would I mean, if

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<v Speaker 1>you could convince the jury that the reason that you

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<v Speaker 1>didn't report this as a campaign benefit is that that's

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<v Speaker 1>not what it was to you, right, it was instead

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<v Speaker 1>trying to cover it up for your wife or what

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<v Speaker 1>have you, then yes, it would be a defense to that.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I don't know if you remember way back

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<v Speaker 1>that John Edwards case that was brought against Senator John

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<v Speaker 1>and Edwards he was acquitted and the jury hunts on

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<v Speaker 1>accounts of his case because he made that argument and

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<v Speaker 1>apparently it was successful that the money that he paid

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<v Speaker 1>to this woman he hid for personal embarrassment reasons and

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<v Speaker 1>so on, not because of his campaign. The problem for

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<v Speaker 1>Trump is that that only helped him on the piece

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<v Speaker 1>of it that makes it a felony, right, So, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>he falsified the records of his organization in order to

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<v Speaker 1>make this payment. By admitting now that he has made

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<v Speaker 1>those payments, which he is doing basically by saying, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>I did it for this reason, not for that reason,

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<v Speaker 1>he's effectively admitting that he's guilty of the primary charge,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the misdemeanor. So it's just now about the

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<v Speaker 1>piece that makes the felony. And the question is do

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<v Speaker 1>you believe that? I mean, is it really believable that

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<v Speaker 1>in the run up to the election he does all

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<v Speaker 1>of this just to keep it from his wife in public?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, a man who's been credibly accused of sexual

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<v Speaker 1>assault and even rape by multiple people and he's so

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<v Speaker 1>concerned about this one person. You know, it doesn't necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>ring true, I think, although ultimately a jury will decide that,

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<v Speaker 1>but it doesn't help him on the primary charge that

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<v Speaker 1>the DA appears to be proceeding on. Anyway, Does the

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<v Speaker 1>case hinge on the testimony of Michael Cohen, Trump's former

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<v Speaker 1>fixer an attorney, and if so, what are the problems

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<v Speaker 1>with his having pleaded guilty to the hush Bunny and

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<v Speaker 1>lying to Congress and going to prison over it. So

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<v Speaker 1>on the first question, if it hinges on him, I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know exactly how much it hinges on him. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>certainly they put him into the grand jury, and they

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<v Speaker 1>talk to him many many times, so it seems that

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<v Speaker 1>at least they are strongly considering using him, or think

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<v Speaker 1>that they might need him. I just don't know what

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<v Speaker 1>else they have on the key piece of how much

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<v Speaker 1>former President Trump actually knew about this. They obviously have

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<v Speaker 1>the records, They have other people, I think who will

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<v Speaker 1>talk about that. So it's unclear to me whether he's

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<v Speaker 1>really really necessary and they couldn't proceed without him, or

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<v Speaker 1>whether they think he just adds enough to make it

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<v Speaker 1>worth it. You know, Listen, he's a difficult witness to

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<v Speaker 1>put on because he has lied before and has been

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<v Speaker 1>to prison. As you say, he's a convicted spellon. But

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<v Speaker 1>prosecutors deal with this issue all the time, honestly. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>one of the things you sometimes stay instammation is Listen,

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<v Speaker 1>I wish I could put on the witness stand, you know,

0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:28.439
<v Speaker 1>rabbis and priests and ministers for you all. But those

0:12:28.480 --> 0:12:30.800
<v Speaker 1>aren't the sort of people who get caught up in crime, right.

0:12:31.200 --> 0:12:33.120
<v Speaker 1>I need to put on the stand people who can

0:12:33.120 --> 0:12:36.000
<v Speaker 1>tell you about what happened here, people who this criminal

0:12:36.040 --> 0:12:38.800
<v Speaker 1>sitting at the defense table associated with. So it's not

0:12:38.920 --> 0:12:41.240
<v Speaker 1>uncommon for prosecutors to have to deal with a witness

0:12:41.320 --> 0:12:44.080
<v Speaker 1>who has lied, who has admitted lying. If you lie

0:12:44.200 --> 0:12:47.760
<v Speaker 1>for the defendant previously to cover up what the defendant

0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:49.840
<v Speaker 1>has done and what you yourself has done, and then

0:12:49.880 --> 0:12:51.760
<v Speaker 1>you come clean and then you're going in there and

0:12:51.800 --> 0:12:55.120
<v Speaker 1>talking to them under oath, that's something that prosecutors can

0:12:55.240 --> 0:12:57.760
<v Speaker 1>explain and do explain all the time. And that's what

0:12:57.840 --> 0:13:01.400
<v Speaker 1>happened here. So you know, I think that they definitely

0:13:01.440 --> 0:13:04.800
<v Speaker 1>have a shot at putting on Michael Cohen's testimony and

0:13:04.840 --> 0:13:07.200
<v Speaker 1>getting a jury to believe it. And you do that

0:13:07.280 --> 0:13:10.520
<v Speaker 1>by explaining what it is and also by corroborating it.

0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:13.160
<v Speaker 1>You know how much corroboration is there. Michael Cohen says

0:13:13.240 --> 0:13:16.280
<v Speaker 1>he was paid you know, periodically in this amount, and

0:13:16.320 --> 0:13:18.560
<v Speaker 1>guess what you have the checks that support that, you know,

0:13:18.600 --> 0:13:21.320
<v Speaker 1>and you kind of corroborate it by the physical evidence

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:24.200
<v Speaker 1>and the testimony of other witnesses, and you put it

0:13:24.200 --> 0:13:26.520
<v Speaker 1>all together and say do you believe him? Yeah? You should.

0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:28.600
<v Speaker 1>You're telling you the truth, and here's how you know that. So,

0:13:29.080 --> 0:13:31.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, looks like they're going to use him. I

0:13:31.240 --> 0:13:33.520
<v Speaker 1>assume that means that they think that they need him,

0:13:34.080 --> 0:13:37.719
<v Speaker 1>and we'll see how it goes. What do you think

0:13:37.760 --> 0:13:40.320
<v Speaker 1>of the fact that they call Stormy Daniels in to

0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:44.280
<v Speaker 1>talk to them the prosecutors did, but not to testify

0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:48.040
<v Speaker 1>before the grand jury. Yeah, it's it's interesting. I mean,

0:13:48.200 --> 0:13:51.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm not surprised that they want to speak to everyone

0:13:51.120 --> 0:13:55.520
<v Speaker 1>who might potentially be a witness or has some information.

0:13:56.160 --> 0:13:58.160
<v Speaker 1>If they don't put her in the grand jury, it

0:13:58.240 --> 0:14:01.920
<v Speaker 1>suggests she's not strictly next story. In New York State,

0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 1>it's different from the federal system. In the federal system,

0:14:05.080 --> 0:14:06.839
<v Speaker 1>you can go into the grand jury with just one

0:14:06.880 --> 0:14:08.959
<v Speaker 1>witness that can be your case agent, and they can

0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:11.880
<v Speaker 1>testify about everything that they've learned about the case, including

0:14:11.920 --> 0:14:14.120
<v Speaker 1>from other people and so on. In New York State,

0:14:14.120 --> 0:14:16.760
<v Speaker 1>you can't put in hearsay. So if they thought that

0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:19.320
<v Speaker 1>they needed something from her, that she's the only person

0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:21.520
<v Speaker 1>who could provide they would have to put her into

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:24.360
<v Speaker 1>the grand jury really in order to get their indictment,

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:26.960
<v Speaker 1>So it suggests they don't really need her need her.

0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:29.760
<v Speaker 1>Maybe they're just trying to assess whether they want to

0:14:29.880 --> 0:14:33.560
<v Speaker 1>use her as an added benefit. You know, I'm not

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:37.080
<v Speaker 1>sure exactly why they were talking to her now, except

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:40.000
<v Speaker 1>that it again kind of highlights that they're really at

0:14:40.000 --> 0:14:42.160
<v Speaker 1>the end of this thing. You know, they really are

0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:44.960
<v Speaker 1>wrapping everything up and you know, wanting to talk to

0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:48.120
<v Speaker 1>everyone and put their case fully together before they seek

0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:52.640
<v Speaker 1>the indictment. So we'll see, it makes it kind of sensational, right,

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:55.680
<v Speaker 1>And the question is do you want to try to

0:14:55.720 --> 0:14:59.040
<v Speaker 1>do this in this streamline a case is possible like

0:14:59.040 --> 0:15:01.280
<v Speaker 1>the way that you would with any other case, I mean,

0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:04.160
<v Speaker 1>bringing Stormy Daniels in to testify, because of course you

0:15:04.200 --> 0:15:07.840
<v Speaker 1>won't have any personal knowledge about how the payments were

0:15:07.920 --> 0:15:11.440
<v Speaker 1>done and how Michael Cohen was reimbursed and what Trump

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.320
<v Speaker 1>knew about those reimbursements and stuff. She's only brought in

0:15:14.360 --> 0:15:17.480
<v Speaker 1>to say, you know, yes, we had sex, and so

0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:20.320
<v Speaker 1>is that worth it in terms of making this even

0:15:20.400 --> 0:15:23.640
<v Speaker 1>more sensational than it already is? So they might be

0:15:23.720 --> 0:15:26.920
<v Speaker 1>mulling over that question. So if they do indict him,

0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:29.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I'm sure there won't be a perp walk

0:15:29.400 --> 0:15:34.240
<v Speaker 1>or handcuffs, But otherwise, will he be treated like an

0:15:34.240 --> 0:15:36.920
<v Speaker 1>average defendant? I mean, can he be treated like an

0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:40.160
<v Speaker 1>average defendant when he has Secret Service with him all

0:15:40.160 --> 0:15:43.800
<v Speaker 1>the time. Yeah, I think he'll be treated like a

0:15:44.200 --> 0:15:48.400
<v Speaker 1>very very important person, like an uber rich defendant, that

0:15:48.440 --> 0:15:50.520
<v Speaker 1>sort of thing. They certainly will make an agreement with

0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:53.360
<v Speaker 1>him to surrender at a certain time. He will not

0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:57.720
<v Speaker 1>be arrested at six am with handcuffs, perp walks everything.

0:15:57.760 --> 0:15:59.920
<v Speaker 1>As you say, He'll get to show up at a

0:16:00.120 --> 0:16:03.000
<v Speaker 1>time that's agreed with his lawyers. He'll have to be processed.

0:16:03.000 --> 0:16:05.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, he'll have to go through the same steps

0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:07.720
<v Speaker 1>and go before the judge and do everything like any

0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:10.200
<v Speaker 1>other defendant in a sense. But they'll work that out

0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:12.920
<v Speaker 1>with his lawyers, and they'll work with his Secret Service

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:15.520
<v Speaker 1>detail and all of that to make sure. You can

0:16:15.600 --> 0:16:19.560
<v Speaker 1>kind of look to how FBI conducted the search warrant

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:22.920
<v Speaker 1>at Marologa, right, I mean, they went and searched his home,

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:25.080
<v Speaker 1>and you have to give the lawyers and you have

0:16:25.120 --> 0:16:27.320
<v Speaker 1>to give the Secret Service detail a heads up and

0:16:27.360 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 1>that sort of thing when things like that are happening,

0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 1>and that's what'll happen here. They're professionals, they'll be able

0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:35.440
<v Speaker 1>to work it out, and so of course they'll be

0:16:35.720 --> 0:16:38.720
<v Speaker 1>a Donald Trump mug shot. Yeah, yeah, for sure. And

0:16:38.760 --> 0:16:41.320
<v Speaker 1>I mean obviously that mug shot will be on the

0:16:41.320 --> 0:16:45.120
<v Speaker 1>front pages of every publication and so on whenever gets released.

0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:47.000
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, I mean, all of that, of course happens

0:16:47.040 --> 0:16:50.120
<v Speaker 1>behind closed doors, the processing and stuff, So it'd be

0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:52.400
<v Speaker 1>great to see a camera in there, but that's not

0:16:52.440 --> 0:16:55.040
<v Speaker 1>how it works. Going to be quite a case, thanks

0:16:55.040 --> 0:16:59.160
<v Speaker 1>so much, Jennifer. That's former federal prosecutor Jennifer Rogers, a

0:16:59.280 --> 0:17:04.520
<v Speaker 1>professor at YU Law School. The legal dominoes are being

0:17:04.600 --> 0:17:07.480
<v Speaker 1>lined up and the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and

0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:11.240
<v Speaker 1>Signature Bank. On the federal side, the Justice Department and

0:17:11.280 --> 0:17:15.679
<v Speaker 1>the Securities and Exchange Commission are looking into possible misconduct

0:17:15.720 --> 0:17:20.280
<v Speaker 1>by SVB officers, according to Bloomberg sources. On the civil side,

0:17:20.440 --> 0:17:24.880
<v Speaker 1>investors have filed their first class action lawsuits against both banks,

0:17:25.359 --> 0:17:29.400
<v Speaker 1>joining me as attorney Jim Baar, president of CMBG Advisors.

0:17:29.840 --> 0:17:34.520
<v Speaker 1>The Justice Department and the sec are investigating the collapse

0:17:34.560 --> 0:17:37.639
<v Speaker 1>of Silicon Valley Bank. What kind of things do you

0:17:37.680 --> 0:17:42.639
<v Speaker 1>think they're investigating? And is it unusual? So it's non

0:17:42.760 --> 0:17:47.359
<v Speaker 1>unusual when you have a large collapse like this because

0:17:47.440 --> 0:17:50.520
<v Speaker 1>obviously a lot of people are going to be yelling

0:17:50.520 --> 0:17:53.840
<v Speaker 1>and screaming, think you know what happened? How did this happen?

0:17:53.840 --> 0:17:55.359
<v Speaker 1>And they want to get to the bottom of it.

0:17:55.520 --> 0:17:57.639
<v Speaker 1>So I don't think it's unusual from that perspective. The

0:17:57.680 --> 0:18:00.640
<v Speaker 1>real question is what is it they're looking for here

0:18:01.320 --> 0:18:04.440
<v Speaker 1>and what are the legal risks that are out there

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:07.040
<v Speaker 1>for the board of directors and you know, the other

0:18:07.400 --> 0:18:09.919
<v Speaker 1>people working at Silicon Valley Bank. And the answer is

0:18:10.359 --> 0:18:14.080
<v Speaker 1>that there's two aspects of this bank failure. There is

0:18:14.119 --> 0:18:16.280
<v Speaker 1>the fact that there was a run on their deposits,

0:18:16.800 --> 0:18:19.199
<v Speaker 1>where you have to have a certain amount of deposits

0:18:19.240 --> 0:18:22.440
<v Speaker 1>obviously in order to have you meet your counter requirements.

0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:25.159
<v Speaker 1>And the run on the bank obviously was a problem.

0:18:25.200 --> 0:18:29.040
<v Speaker 1>But that begs the question, which is was there a

0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:32.640
<v Speaker 1>reason a concern that all of a sudden had been

0:18:32.760 --> 0:18:36.840
<v Speaker 1>underappreciated that came out. Because if there's an unappreciated risk,

0:18:37.480 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 1>there's the depositor who are at risk, but there's also

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:43.520
<v Speaker 1>the investors who are at risk because people are buying

0:18:43.560 --> 0:18:46.679
<v Speaker 1>the stock in the stock market, they're trading in the

0:18:46.760 --> 0:18:50.720
<v Speaker 1>securities on the basis that they think it's a good investment.

0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:53.760
<v Speaker 1>So when the stock has gone down as dramatically as

0:18:53.800 --> 0:18:57.120
<v Speaker 1>it did and there was this risk, which is all

0:18:57.119 --> 0:19:02.640
<v Speaker 1>these deposits could disappear, the question is was their mismanagement,

0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:06.280
<v Speaker 1>was their fraud, was their negligence in the way that

0:19:06.359 --> 0:19:09.199
<v Speaker 1>it was described in their financial statements, And that's what

0:19:09.280 --> 0:19:14.520
<v Speaker 1>the SEC's focusing on. Apparently they're also examining stock sales

0:19:14.560 --> 0:19:19.360
<v Speaker 1>that svb's officers may have made days before the bank failed.

0:19:20.160 --> 0:19:22.560
<v Speaker 1>That is correct, So there's two issues there as well.

0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:26.920
<v Speaker 1>So again, officers that own stock in a bank are

0:19:26.960 --> 0:19:30.120
<v Speaker 1>able to sell, but one of the concerns is they

0:19:30.160 --> 0:19:34.480
<v Speaker 1>have access to inside information and if they trade on

0:19:34.520 --> 0:19:39.040
<v Speaker 1>that information, they're in an advantage. That the regular investment

0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:41.879
<v Speaker 1>does not have access to that information, they're at a disadvantage.

0:19:42.240 --> 0:19:45.680
<v Speaker 1>So the question is when the officers sell stock, did

0:19:45.680 --> 0:19:50.240
<v Speaker 1>they do so appropriately or did they trade because they

0:19:50.320 --> 0:19:52.560
<v Speaker 1>knew something bad was going to happen that other people

0:19:52.600 --> 0:19:55.480
<v Speaker 1>did not, which is considered unfair. So we should point

0:19:55.520 --> 0:19:59.439
<v Speaker 1>out that very recently they continued to tighten up the

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:04.439
<v Speaker 1>rules under which officers can sell. There are restrictions in

0:20:04.520 --> 0:20:08.719
<v Speaker 1>terms of time periods, there are waiting periods. There are

0:20:08.720 --> 0:20:12.800
<v Speaker 1>things designed to level the playing field so that officers

0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 1>are not able to take advantage of insight information and

0:20:16.920 --> 0:20:19.240
<v Speaker 1>sell when no one else knows what's really going on.

0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:24.120
<v Speaker 1>And in this instance, because those news rules were in effect,

0:20:24.480 --> 0:20:28.679
<v Speaker 1>my understanding is that the officers did sell consistent with

0:20:28.720 --> 0:20:32.720
<v Speaker 1>those new rules. But it still begs the question were

0:20:33.280 --> 0:20:37.560
<v Speaker 1>they aware that there were more risks with the bank

0:20:38.080 --> 0:20:41.480
<v Speaker 1>that have been otherwise properly disclosed in their financial statements?

0:20:41.480 --> 0:20:44.679
<v Speaker 1>And if there were, then they have exposure. From that perspective,

0:20:44.960 --> 0:20:50.359
<v Speaker 1>the SEC and the DOJ investigating after an incident like

0:20:50.400 --> 0:20:53.560
<v Speaker 1>this or a few incidents like this, that's not unusual,

0:20:53.760 --> 0:20:56.320
<v Speaker 1>is it. I mean, it doesn't indicate that anything really

0:20:56.640 --> 0:21:00.000
<v Speaker 1>was done wrong. No, I think again, I've said this before.

0:21:00.359 --> 0:21:03.440
<v Speaker 1>I don't like this mass hysteri where people jump to conclusions.

0:21:03.800 --> 0:21:05.800
<v Speaker 1>We really do try to have a system that says

0:21:05.840 --> 0:21:09.360
<v Speaker 1>innocent until proven guilty. And so the answer is that, yes,

0:21:09.520 --> 0:21:13.000
<v Speaker 1>something this large is going to trigger an investigation, but

0:21:13.040 --> 0:21:17.959
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't mean that there was nefarious activities like m RON. Also,

0:21:18.119 --> 0:21:21.080
<v Speaker 1>we've had the first securities class action, the first of

0:21:21.160 --> 0:21:26.120
<v Speaker 1>many I suspect, and this goes to what the officers did,

0:21:26.240 --> 0:21:30.280
<v Speaker 1>so explain what the security class action is about. So

0:21:31.080 --> 0:21:36.240
<v Speaker 1>when you have a stock decline in a precipitous manner,

0:21:36.800 --> 0:21:41.120
<v Speaker 1>there's a whole industry of what we call plaintiff's attorneys

0:21:41.880 --> 0:21:45.600
<v Speaker 1>securities lawyers that follow the stock market, and when the

0:21:45.680 --> 0:21:50.200
<v Speaker 1>stock declines quickly, they often file what's called a class

0:21:50.200 --> 0:21:55.919
<v Speaker 1>action lawsuit alleging that there was something materially misleading in

0:21:56.000 --> 0:22:00.960
<v Speaker 1>the financial statements, either there was an omission or a misstatement.

0:22:01.320 --> 0:22:05.440
<v Speaker 1>Now there's an old expression, bad facts make bad law,

0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:09.080
<v Speaker 1>and also looking at something with twenty twenty hindsight. But

0:22:09.480 --> 0:22:13.200
<v Speaker 1>what these lawyers have figured out is where there's smoke,

0:22:13.280 --> 0:22:17.760
<v Speaker 1>there is often fire. So when a stock declines precipitously,

0:22:18.400 --> 0:22:22.120
<v Speaker 1>it begs the question, if you had been disclosing your

0:22:22.240 --> 0:22:28.880
<v Speaker 1>risks properly, why wouldn't the market react over time and

0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:31.880
<v Speaker 1>bring the stock to an appropriate level. But if there's

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:35.080
<v Speaker 1>a precipitous drop, was there something you should have been

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:38.640
<v Speaker 1>telling people that you weren't, So, for instance, the fact

0:22:38.720 --> 0:22:44.000
<v Speaker 1>that they had so much money in deposits that were unensured. Well,

0:22:45.320 --> 0:22:48.399
<v Speaker 1>that's an unusual situation. Is it something that should have

0:22:48.440 --> 0:22:51.520
<v Speaker 1>been disclosed? Was it disclosed? I don't know, but it

0:22:51.640 --> 0:22:56.159
<v Speaker 1>begs the question was this bank at a higher degree

0:22:56.200 --> 0:22:59.560
<v Speaker 1>of risk and other financial institutions because it had such

0:22:59.560 --> 0:23:03.280
<v Speaker 1>a law large percentage of its money in non sticky deposits.

0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:06.760
<v Speaker 1>And if that was the case, was it disclosed? Number one?

0:23:07.160 --> 0:23:10.160
<v Speaker 1>Then number two? For instance, the bank had certain types

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:13.040
<v Speaker 1>of investments we focus on over those good investments in

0:23:13.119 --> 0:23:15.480
<v Speaker 1>terms of buying T bills, You're buying T bills in

0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 1>a rising interest rate environment. That portfolio went down and

0:23:19.440 --> 0:23:23.440
<v Speaker 1>valued dramatically? Was that disclosed? Should they have disclosed that

0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:27.520
<v Speaker 1>they weren't hedging like other financial institutions. So what these

0:23:27.560 --> 0:23:31.240
<v Speaker 1>class action lawyers are looking for is evidence in the

0:23:31.320 --> 0:23:36.439
<v Speaker 1>financial disclosures with the sec the ten ks, the annual report,

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:42.640
<v Speaker 1>and so forth. They're looking for evidence that proper disclosures

0:23:42.680 --> 0:23:46.040
<v Speaker 1>were not being made. Do you expect a rash of

0:23:46.119 --> 0:23:50.960
<v Speaker 1>lawsuits requesting class action status? Yeah? I think what's going

0:23:51.040 --> 0:23:55.960
<v Speaker 1>to happen is as more and more companies disclosed the

0:23:56.000 --> 0:24:00.800
<v Speaker 1>true nature of their earnings. So again, if you're a bank,

0:24:01.160 --> 0:24:06.679
<v Speaker 1>or you're a company that's been artificially making profits based

0:24:06.720 --> 0:24:11.800
<v Speaker 1>on these low interest rates that we've experienced. As interest

0:24:11.880 --> 0:24:17.040
<v Speaker 1>rates stay higher than people expect, what's going to happen

0:24:17.119 --> 0:24:19.679
<v Speaker 1>is you're gonna have more and more companies reporting lower

0:24:19.720 --> 0:24:23.360
<v Speaker 1>earnings and their stocks are going to get hammered. And yes,

0:24:23.400 --> 0:24:26.800
<v Speaker 1>there will be lawsuits saying how could this happen? And

0:24:27.200 --> 0:24:29.800
<v Speaker 1>I think we are just at the beginning of that cycle.

0:24:30.520 --> 0:24:33.240
<v Speaker 1>A lot of people are looking at the rollback of

0:24:33.359 --> 0:24:37.359
<v Speaker 1>the Dodd Frank under the Trump administration. Do you think

0:24:37.480 --> 0:24:41.080
<v Speaker 1>if those rules had been in place that this would

0:24:41.160 --> 0:24:45.720
<v Speaker 1>not have happened. So that's a great question, and the

0:24:45.800 --> 0:24:49.919
<v Speaker 1>answer is will never know for sure, But we certainly

0:24:50.000 --> 0:24:57.360
<v Speaker 1>know that these financial institutions in two and eighteen lobbied

0:24:57.480 --> 0:25:04.800
<v Speaker 1>Congress to change dot Frank, to basically change the rules

0:25:04.840 --> 0:25:07.480
<v Speaker 1>such that if you were a certain size institution, you

0:25:07.520 --> 0:25:11.400
<v Speaker 1>were not one of the quote, really large banks. There

0:25:11.480 --> 0:25:15.520
<v Speaker 1>was an ability to loosen up the regulations and allow

0:25:15.720 --> 0:25:19.399
<v Speaker 1>less scrutiny by the regulators and broader flexibility in the

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:22.960
<v Speaker 1>guise of investments that you made and the man in

0:25:22.960 --> 0:25:26.440
<v Speaker 1>which the company is being runned. And so that law

0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:30.080
<v Speaker 1>was changed in twenty eighteen in Silicon Valley Bank did

0:25:30.119 --> 0:25:34.640
<v Speaker 1>benefit from it, and as did by Play many other

0:25:34.760 --> 0:25:38.320
<v Speaker 1>financial institutions, and that's what we're still waiting to see.

0:25:38.320 --> 0:25:40.440
<v Speaker 1>Is the other shoe gonna drop? Because it does bang.

0:25:40.520 --> 0:25:44.000
<v Speaker 1>The question are there risks out there with many other

0:25:44.119 --> 0:25:47.439
<v Speaker 1>banks that have not been properly disclosed. My suspicion is

0:25:47.680 --> 0:25:50.679
<v Speaker 1>that there are other banks out there where these things

0:25:50.720 --> 0:25:55.840
<v Speaker 1>had not been disclosed. What's happening with SVB now The

0:25:55.960 --> 0:25:59.280
<v Speaker 1>FDIC has stepped in and is essentially running the bank

0:25:59.320 --> 0:26:02.800
<v Speaker 1>at this point, and they are looking to sell off

0:26:03.480 --> 0:26:06.080
<v Speaker 1>pieces of the bank. My understanding is they had other

0:26:06.160 --> 0:26:09.800
<v Speaker 1>divisions and operations that are also being marketed, and at

0:26:09.800 --> 0:26:12.560
<v Speaker 1>this point, really what's happening is they're looking to see

0:26:12.600 --> 0:26:16.119
<v Speaker 1>if there are institutions they want to take over the

0:26:16.200 --> 0:26:18.520
<v Speaker 1>different aspects of the business, just like I don't know

0:26:18.520 --> 0:26:22.240
<v Speaker 1>if you saw in Britain they sold the British subsidiary

0:26:22.240 --> 0:26:25.760
<v Speaker 1>for a dollar or a pound. Yesterday, President Biden said

0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:28.720
<v Speaker 1>the FDIC is in charge of the bank and all

0:26:28.720 --> 0:26:31.639
<v Speaker 1>the bank officers are going to be fired and basically

0:26:31.720 --> 0:26:34.400
<v Speaker 1>we're going to hold people responsible. Do you think that's

0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:36.919
<v Speaker 1>really likely to happen? You know, just like when we

0:26:36.920 --> 0:26:38.920
<v Speaker 1>look back to the two thousand and eight crisis, it

0:26:39.080 --> 0:26:41.600
<v Speaker 1>started and you know, there were certain warning signs, and

0:26:41.640 --> 0:26:43.639
<v Speaker 1>then there was Lehman and there was bear Stearns, and

0:26:43.680 --> 0:26:47.919
<v Speaker 1>there's AIG's built if you go back, they started raising

0:26:47.960 --> 0:26:51.399
<v Speaker 1>interest rates, right, So the first most vulnerable thing to

0:26:51.440 --> 0:26:56.080
<v Speaker 1>blow is crypto. We had the fts situation. When credit

0:26:56.160 --> 0:27:00.960
<v Speaker 1>starts drawing up, the people that are the most over

0:27:01.240 --> 0:27:05.240
<v Speaker 1>leveraged and the most exposed, they're the first to fall.

0:27:05.920 --> 0:27:10.080
<v Speaker 1>So it started with crypto. Crypto really fell and it's

0:27:10.119 --> 0:27:14.480
<v Speaker 1>continuing to fall and go back and forth. Now technology, right,

0:27:14.560 --> 0:27:18.840
<v Speaker 1>because technology also you had over extension and people having

0:27:18.880 --> 0:27:22.359
<v Speaker 1>to go back and refining it. And so when you

0:27:22.440 --> 0:27:26.080
<v Speaker 1>look at this from the government's perspective, they came out

0:27:26.200 --> 0:27:31.200
<v Speaker 1>hard against crypto because looking back to the days where

0:27:31.240 --> 0:27:35.360
<v Speaker 1>we had President Obama and the whole issues with Occupy

0:27:35.440 --> 0:27:39.479
<v Speaker 1>Wall Street, there was a huge political backlash because no

0:27:39.520 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 1>one went to jail and they bailed out the banks. Well,

0:27:43.520 --> 0:27:46.720
<v Speaker 1>this time they're saying, we didn't bail out anybody with

0:27:46.840 --> 0:27:50.840
<v Speaker 1>government money. The financial system is being taken care of

0:27:50.880 --> 0:27:53.959
<v Speaker 1>by its own, meaning we're going to raise fees on

0:27:54.040 --> 0:27:58.800
<v Speaker 1>banks to pay off the losses at Signal Bank in

0:27:58.880 --> 0:28:02.120
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley Bank. That's the beginning and they can do that,

0:28:02.880 --> 0:28:04.680
<v Speaker 1>and then they can also try to make examples of

0:28:04.760 --> 0:28:07.120
<v Speaker 1>some of these executives to say, see, we're getting tough

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:10.120
<v Speaker 1>on this. We're not going to stand still like what's

0:28:10.119 --> 0:28:14.960
<v Speaker 1>happening in crypto. What begs the question is if this

0:28:15.080 --> 0:28:20.240
<v Speaker 1>spreads to other institutions, you're a lot more people exposed

0:28:20.600 --> 0:28:23.600
<v Speaker 1>than just a few institutions. And then the question is

0:28:23.640 --> 0:28:25.840
<v Speaker 1>what's the government going to do, Because at the end

0:28:25.880 --> 0:28:30.240
<v Speaker 1>of the day, this is the government caused problem. The

0:28:30.280 --> 0:28:33.920
<v Speaker 1>government kept interest rates artificially low, which led money going

0:28:34.000 --> 0:28:37.560
<v Speaker 1>to risky assets, and investors are going to basically, if

0:28:37.560 --> 0:28:40.840
<v Speaker 1>they're given money and they have to invest it, they're

0:28:40.840 --> 0:28:42.640
<v Speaker 1>going to invest it one way or the other. That's

0:28:42.640 --> 0:28:47.520
<v Speaker 1>what they do. And the government led up regulations, so

0:28:47.600 --> 0:28:51.120
<v Speaker 1>you have a perfect storm. No regulation or limited regulation

0:28:51.680 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 1>together with low interest rates is going to lead to

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:57.320
<v Speaker 1>a lot of loss of money. And then the government's

0:28:57.320 --> 0:28:59.680
<v Speaker 1>going to have a lot of explaining to do. And yes,

0:28:59.760 --> 0:29:02.520
<v Speaker 1>I think they're going to be looking for holding people accountable,

0:29:02.880 --> 0:29:04.680
<v Speaker 1>but at the end of the day, I think it's

0:29:04.760 --> 0:29:08.600
<v Speaker 1>all of the money going into politics. It's allowed these

0:29:08.640 --> 0:29:12.640
<v Speaker 1>regulations to get rolled back, and it's the lack of accountability.

0:29:12.840 --> 0:29:16.160
<v Speaker 1>And so I'm hoping what happens is that we do

0:29:16.240 --> 0:29:18.960
<v Speaker 1>a deep dive like we did after the Great Depression

0:29:19.360 --> 0:29:21.800
<v Speaker 1>when we adopted the thirty three and thirty four Act

0:29:22.520 --> 0:29:24.960
<v Speaker 1>and what we started to do. If you read Obama's book,

0:29:25.200 --> 0:29:28.320
<v Speaker 1>he said he didn't go far enough. Well that's true.

0:29:28.360 --> 0:29:31.360
<v Speaker 1>Like the Guns of August. Barbara Tuckman's book, World War

0:29:31.400 --> 0:29:34.440
<v Speaker 1>One never ended. World War two is a continuation. I

0:29:34.480 --> 0:29:36.520
<v Speaker 1>don't think the recession of two and eight, two thou

0:29:36.720 --> 0:29:40.160
<v Speaker 1>nine ended. We've papered it over with cheap money and

0:29:40.880 --> 0:29:44.520
<v Speaker 1>rolling back regulation which allowed this party to go on

0:29:44.640 --> 0:29:47.320
<v Speaker 1>in other twelve years. Well, guess what with a thirty

0:29:47.320 --> 0:29:49.920
<v Speaker 1>one trillion dollars deficit and a FED balance sheet of

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:53.880
<v Speaker 1>ten trillion dollars, the party is over and it's going

0:29:53.920 --> 0:29:56.960
<v Speaker 1>to be painful. Thanks so much for being on the show, Jim.

0:29:57.360 --> 0:30:03.480
<v Speaker 1>That's Jim Bear, President of CMBG Advisors. The danger of

0:30:03.560 --> 0:30:08.320
<v Speaker 1>forever chemicals has long been known. Environmental and public health

0:30:08.360 --> 0:30:13.120
<v Speaker 1>advocates have called for federal regulation of PFOS chemicals for years,

0:30:13.160 --> 0:30:16.440
<v Speaker 1>and so have lawmakers. Let's not beat around the bush here.

0:30:16.480 --> 0:30:19.600
<v Speaker 1>The chemicals are toxic. They are known as forever chemicals.

0:30:20.080 --> 0:30:22.800
<v Speaker 1>They do not easily break down. Instead, they accumulate in

0:30:22.840 --> 0:30:27.600
<v Speaker 1>the environment and in the human body. You know, there's

0:30:27.600 --> 0:30:32.400
<v Speaker 1>an old saying that says nothing lasts forever. Unfortunately, nothing

0:30:32.560 --> 0:30:36.760
<v Speaker 1>that is, except for fluorinated chemicals. That was former US

0:30:36.880 --> 0:30:41.280
<v Speaker 1>Representative Harley Ruda and Representative Debbie Dingle at a hearing

0:30:41.280 --> 0:30:44.200
<v Speaker 1>of the House Subcommittee on the Environment more than three

0:30:44.280 --> 0:30:48.200
<v Speaker 1>years ago. Public concern has increased in recent years as

0:30:48.280 --> 0:30:52.120
<v Speaker 1>testing reveal p fos chemicals in a growing list of communities.

0:30:52.400 --> 0:30:55.880
<v Speaker 1>The US hasn't regulated a new contaminant in drinking water

0:30:55.960 --> 0:31:00.000
<v Speaker 1>in nearly thirty years, but on Tuesday, the Environmental Protection

0:31:00.000 --> 0:31:04.240
<v Speaker 1>an Agency proposed the first federal limits on harmful forever

0:31:04.400 --> 0:31:08.560
<v Speaker 1>chemicals and drinking water along away to protection, the agency said,

0:31:08.600 --> 0:31:12.840
<v Speaker 1>will save thousands of lies and prevent serious illnesses. Journing

0:31:12.880 --> 0:31:17.120
<v Speaker 1>me is environmental law attorney Joel Johnston, a partner at Hollestal.

0:31:17.560 --> 0:31:21.440
<v Speaker 1>I want to start with having you explain exactly what

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:27.320
<v Speaker 1>are forever chemicals. So pfas, which are referred to as

0:31:27.480 --> 0:31:32.960
<v Speaker 1>forever chemicals, are really quite a number. You know, there's

0:31:33.000 --> 0:31:38.240
<v Speaker 1>probably hundreds of them that exist. They're used throughout every

0:31:38.320 --> 0:31:43.200
<v Speaker 1>type of product virtually. They're used in raincoats, they're used

0:31:43.240 --> 0:31:49.440
<v Speaker 1>in food packaging, they're used in rugs and textiles. And

0:31:50.080 --> 0:31:53.600
<v Speaker 1>once they get into the environment, either through a release

0:31:54.080 --> 0:31:59.120
<v Speaker 1>at say a chemical plant or a manufacturing facility, or

0:31:59.240 --> 0:32:03.840
<v Speaker 1>simply through the breakdown of products, you know, wherever they are,

0:32:04.200 --> 0:32:07.520
<v Speaker 1>these compounds get into the environment. They get into the soil,

0:32:07.600 --> 0:32:10.400
<v Speaker 1>they get into the water, and we find that they

0:32:10.440 --> 0:32:14.400
<v Speaker 1>get into people's bodies and they really don't break down

0:32:14.440 --> 0:32:18.680
<v Speaker 1>efficiently at all, and so they're widespread use. And then

0:32:18.720 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 1>the fact that they really don't degrade like a lot

0:32:22.240 --> 0:32:25.520
<v Speaker 1>of other chemicals do over time means that they're just

0:32:26.160 --> 0:32:31.040
<v Speaker 1>very very prevalent throughout the environment. We're finding and what

0:32:31.120 --> 0:32:34.800
<v Speaker 1>are the health hazards that have been reported or discovered?

0:32:35.720 --> 0:32:38.760
<v Speaker 1>So a lot of that is still being researched, but

0:32:39.200 --> 0:32:43.160
<v Speaker 1>there have been confirmations that a number of these compounds

0:32:43.160 --> 0:32:47.560
<v Speaker 1>are cancer causing with really no safe level of exposure.

0:32:48.360 --> 0:32:54.840
<v Speaker 1>Others are linked to various types of reproductive health, cardiovascular issues,

0:32:55.040 --> 0:32:58.320
<v Speaker 1>organ damage, and so forth. So how big a step

0:32:58.520 --> 0:33:01.520
<v Speaker 1>is this for the EPA seems like it was years

0:33:01.520 --> 0:33:05.680
<v Speaker 1>in the making. It has Benjie, And the reality is

0:33:05.760 --> 0:33:10.440
<v Speaker 1>that PFA compounds have been identified as being problematic for

0:33:10.560 --> 0:33:17.800
<v Speaker 1>quite some time, and with pretty overwhelming bipartisan support and

0:33:17.880 --> 0:33:22.640
<v Speaker 1>I think support throughout even industry. What's happened is that

0:33:22.680 --> 0:33:27.040
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twenty one the EPA, the administration laid out

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:30.920
<v Speaker 1>really a roadmap, if you will, of various actions that

0:33:31.320 --> 0:33:35.200
<v Speaker 1>it was looking to take with respect to PFA's This

0:33:35.320 --> 0:33:38.160
<v Speaker 1>is really just one of those, but I think it's

0:33:38.160 --> 0:33:42.240
<v Speaker 1>a significant one in the sense that it really seeks

0:33:42.280 --> 0:33:45.480
<v Speaker 1>to limit exposures through the way that so many people

0:33:45.880 --> 0:33:49.960
<v Speaker 1>can annoyingly be exposed, which is through just water coming

0:33:50.000 --> 0:33:54.000
<v Speaker 1>out of the faucet. And the impacts will be potentially

0:33:54.040 --> 0:33:59.400
<v Speaker 1>significant on water utilities that identify that they've got problems

0:33:59.440 --> 0:34:03.440
<v Speaker 1>with their supply. But you know, some water systems are

0:34:03.440 --> 0:34:06.080
<v Speaker 1>going to have no issue. They don't detect them business

0:34:06.160 --> 0:34:10.640
<v Speaker 1>as usual other than ongoing sampling requirements. Water systems that

0:34:10.719 --> 0:34:14.719
<v Speaker 1>identify that they have these contaminants present in amounts that

0:34:14.840 --> 0:34:18.800
<v Speaker 1>exceed the EPA's threshold that they're setting through this rule

0:34:19.080 --> 0:34:22.239
<v Speaker 1>would be required to either clean up that water or

0:34:22.400 --> 0:34:25.320
<v Speaker 1>to provide a new source of water tell us a

0:34:25.320 --> 0:34:30.080
<v Speaker 1>little about the proposed rule. So the main brunt of

0:34:30.160 --> 0:34:34.399
<v Speaker 1>these new rules is that if they are finalized, which

0:34:34.400 --> 0:34:37.280
<v Speaker 1>the EPA would hope to do through the rulemaking process

0:34:37.320 --> 0:34:40.839
<v Speaker 1>by the end of the year starting in twenty twenty four,

0:34:41.640 --> 0:34:46.920
<v Speaker 1>essentially every water supply system in the country would be

0:34:47.000 --> 0:34:51.720
<v Speaker 1>required to sample their water supply a number of times

0:34:51.800 --> 0:34:56.600
<v Speaker 1>over the following twelve months to confirm that they do

0:34:56.719 --> 0:35:01.319
<v Speaker 1>or do not have these compounds present. And as the

0:35:01.480 --> 0:35:05.719
<v Speaker 1>rule is effectively drafted, what that would then require for

0:35:05.800 --> 0:35:10.960
<v Speaker 1>those water systems that you know identify these compounds is

0:35:11.280 --> 0:35:15.000
<v Speaker 1>either they need to remove the compounds from the water

0:35:15.520 --> 0:35:19.360
<v Speaker 1>some sort of engineering filters, that kind of thing, or

0:35:19.640 --> 0:35:23.280
<v Speaker 1>they would need to source new water. So that's really

0:35:23.320 --> 0:35:27.680
<v Speaker 1>the brunt of it is a the sampling obligations to

0:35:27.719 --> 0:35:31.920
<v Speaker 1>test and confirm and identify and then be if there

0:35:31.960 --> 0:35:37.120
<v Speaker 1>are issues, the requirement to resolve those issues so that

0:35:37.200 --> 0:35:41.640
<v Speaker 1>the levels present in the water supplier below the EPA threshold.

0:35:42.120 --> 0:35:47.960
<v Speaker 1>How difficult will that be and how costly for water utilities? Well,

0:35:47.960 --> 0:35:52.160
<v Speaker 1>the good news is that the Infrastructure Act has already

0:35:52.239 --> 0:35:58.160
<v Speaker 1>started to provide funding for this type of sampling, specifically

0:35:58.200 --> 0:36:04.520
<v Speaker 1>targeted at rural water systems, smaller water systems, and water

0:36:04.600 --> 0:36:10.040
<v Speaker 1>systems in areas where the community just can't afford to

0:36:10.080 --> 0:36:14.880
<v Speaker 1>take this on. But the sampling obligations are more comprehensive.

0:36:14.920 --> 0:36:19.360
<v Speaker 1>For larger water utilities, the requirements are a little bit lower,

0:36:19.400 --> 0:36:24.040
<v Speaker 1>for there's not quite as much sampling required for smaller

0:36:24.160 --> 0:36:28.240
<v Speaker 1>utilities that supply I think under ten thousand people or something,

0:36:28.719 --> 0:36:32.000
<v Speaker 1>and so you know that we're talking about sampling a

0:36:32.040 --> 0:36:35.280
<v Speaker 1>couple of times a year from all throughout their system.

0:36:35.400 --> 0:36:38.200
<v Speaker 1>So for example, where I live in Denver, Denver Water

0:36:38.280 --> 0:36:40.840
<v Speaker 1>has got a lot of samples that they're going to

0:36:40.920 --> 0:36:45.759
<v Speaker 1>need to collect, for example, all their storage locations and

0:36:45.760 --> 0:36:50.160
<v Speaker 1>so forth. I think the bigger challenge is that some

0:36:50.239 --> 0:36:53.840
<v Speaker 1>of the chemicals that are being regulated have been determined

0:36:53.880 --> 0:36:58.040
<v Speaker 1>to have really no safe exposure level. Yet the technology,

0:36:58.600 --> 0:37:02.960
<v Speaker 1>the current state of test doesn't really effectively allow us

0:37:03.080 --> 0:37:06.480
<v Speaker 1>to test below the level that the EPA has had

0:37:06.520 --> 0:37:09.400
<v Speaker 1>to set, which is very very low for some of these,

0:37:10.000 --> 0:37:14.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, four parts per trillion, and the testing to

0:37:14.520 --> 0:37:19.520
<v Speaker 1>determine compounds at that low of a concentration is complicated.

0:37:20.200 --> 0:37:23.080
<v Speaker 1>And so I think that what we'll also see over

0:37:23.160 --> 0:37:29.200
<v Speaker 1>time as you know, presumably that technology, those testing methodologies,

0:37:29.640 --> 0:37:33.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, improve and get more accurate over time. This,

0:37:33.120 --> 0:37:35.200
<v Speaker 1>as you mentioned, is a proposed rule. It has to

0:37:35.239 --> 0:37:39.799
<v Speaker 1>be finalized. Do you think there'll be opposition from industry

0:37:39.840 --> 0:37:45.160
<v Speaker 1>groups like the American Chemistry Council and water utility groups

0:37:45.760 --> 0:37:49.600
<v Speaker 1>to some degree? Yes, you know, there are a number

0:37:49.640 --> 0:37:53.000
<v Speaker 1>of states, I think six or seven states that have

0:37:53.080 --> 0:37:59.560
<v Speaker 1>already passed fairly stringent regulations about PFA's main is one

0:37:59.640 --> 0:38:04.240
<v Speaker 1>that has really banned them in any consumer product, whether

0:38:04.280 --> 0:38:07.400
<v Speaker 1>they're added or not. California has got a number of

0:38:07.880 --> 0:38:13.279
<v Speaker 1>fairly stringent regulations. So states have already been moving Some

0:38:13.320 --> 0:38:17.080
<v Speaker 1>states have already been moving towards this. I think that

0:38:17.239 --> 0:38:22.200
<v Speaker 1>it's the rule around drinking water is fairly hard to oppose.

0:38:22.960 --> 0:38:28.239
<v Speaker 1>It doesn't directly cut into manufacturers. It's not, you know,

0:38:28.440 --> 0:38:32.080
<v Speaker 1>regulating how much they can use in their factory or

0:38:32.080 --> 0:38:36.279
<v Speaker 1>how they have to report it. It's really strictly addressing

0:38:36.680 --> 0:38:39.800
<v Speaker 1>the exposure at the at the community drinking water level.

0:38:40.320 --> 0:38:44.360
<v Speaker 1>I think that most water utilities support the rule, but

0:38:44.840 --> 0:38:48.320
<v Speaker 1>are going to have some concerns I would expect about

0:38:48.360 --> 0:38:53.480
<v Speaker 1>the testing frequency, the testing methodologies, and so forth. They

0:38:53.520 --> 0:38:56.920
<v Speaker 1>want to make sure that those are pure reviewed and

0:38:57.280 --> 0:39:01.160
<v Speaker 1>accurate and consistent. So I think what we would see

0:39:01.239 --> 0:39:07.040
<v Speaker 1>from the manufacturing community our concerns about, you know, some

0:39:07.120 --> 0:39:12.080
<v Speaker 1>of these compounds are pretty necessary in today's world, and

0:39:12.160 --> 0:39:15.000
<v Speaker 1>there's not replacements for them in the moment. So I think,

0:39:15.520 --> 0:39:19.960
<v Speaker 1>especially with food packaging, it's been a challenge to you know,

0:39:20.040 --> 0:39:23.719
<v Speaker 1>get the pfas out of all of the types of packaging.

0:39:24.600 --> 0:39:26.799
<v Speaker 1>And so I think that that's where we tend to

0:39:26.800 --> 0:39:30.640
<v Speaker 1>see the pushback, not so much on allowing unbridled use,

0:39:30.920 --> 0:39:34.640
<v Speaker 1>not so much opposition to restricting them in drinking water,

0:39:35.360 --> 0:39:39.120
<v Speaker 1>but concerns about, you know, in ways where they can't

0:39:39.120 --> 0:39:43.480
<v Speaker 1>be avoided, and also with respect to, you know, for

0:39:43.520 --> 0:39:47.200
<v Speaker 1>the water utilities, making sure that the that the next

0:39:47.200 --> 0:39:50.919
<v Speaker 1>step if they have an issue is fairly clear. I'll

0:39:50.920 --> 0:39:54.160
<v Speaker 1>give you a quick example. Utah, for example, has been

0:39:54.400 --> 0:39:58.240
<v Speaker 1>sampling their water supply systems and they discovered a number

0:39:58.680 --> 0:40:01.920
<v Speaker 1>I think two or three of their water water systems

0:40:01.960 --> 0:40:06.360
<v Speaker 1>had issues that exceed this threshold that was published in

0:40:06.400 --> 0:40:09.800
<v Speaker 1>the EPA rule the other day. One of those systems

0:40:09.880 --> 0:40:13.799
<v Speaker 1>is Park City, and in Park City, they're attributing the

0:40:13.840 --> 0:40:17.400
<v Speaker 1>PFA levels in their drinking water to the use of

0:40:17.480 --> 0:40:22.520
<v Speaker 1>ski wax, particular types of flora based ski wax, and

0:40:22.920 --> 0:40:26.279
<v Speaker 1>so they're moving and may have by now banned the

0:40:26.400 --> 0:40:30.399
<v Speaker 1>use of that particular type of ski wax. So these

0:40:30.440 --> 0:40:34.520
<v Speaker 1>are so prevalent that it's those types of uses that

0:40:34.560 --> 0:40:38.879
<v Speaker 1>I think industry is resistant to restrictions on because of

0:40:39.040 --> 0:40:42.000
<v Speaker 1>this idea that there's nothing to replace it. Thanks for

0:40:42.040 --> 0:40:45.320
<v Speaker 1>being on the Bloomberg Law Show. That's environmental law attorney

0:40:45.360 --> 0:40:48.719
<v Speaker 1>Joel Johnston, a partner at hall Estill. And that's it

0:40:48.800 --> 0:40:51.400
<v Speaker 1>for this edition of the Bloomberg Law Show. Remember you

0:40:51.400 --> 0:40:53.840
<v Speaker 1>can always get the latest legal news on our Bloomberg

0:40:53.960 --> 0:40:57.520
<v Speaker 1>Law Podcast. You can find them on Apple Podcasts, Spotify,

0:40:57.760 --> 0:41:02.759
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<v Speaker 1>and remember to tune in to The Bloomberg Law Show

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<v Speaker 1>every weeknight at ten pm Wall Street Time. I'm June

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<v Speaker 1>Grosso and you're listening to Bloomberg