1 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:05,199 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:08,320 Speaker 1: dot Com, the Radio, plus mobile and on your radio. 3 00:00:08,600 --> 00:00:13,040 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash from Bloomberg World Handquarters. 4 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie, held out the dial. The SMP nez dat 5 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:18,360 Speaker 1: continue to slump. Stocks are falling in the worst sell 6 00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: off since the UK voted to leave the European Union, 7 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: Britain leaving the European Union after a Federal Reserve official 8 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: signaled more willingness to raise interest rates Right now, the 9 00:00:27,960 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: SMP down forty four points at thirty seven, a drop 10 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: there of two percent. Navs stacked down a hundred and 11 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:39,240 Speaker 1: thirteen points, a drop there of two point two percent. Down, 12 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:43,479 Speaker 1: Industrials now down three hundred twenty points, a drop of 13 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:47,159 Speaker 1: one point seven percent. The tenure down thirty seconds had 14 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 1: yield one point six eight percent, Gold down eight to 15 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:54,360 Speaker 1: thirteen twenty nine, a drop of six tents of one percent. 16 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 1: And crude oil West Texas Intermedia Crude down three and 17 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 1: a half percent, dropping a dollar sixty seven of barrel 18 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 1: to I'm Charlie Pellot. That's a Bloomberg business flash. You're 19 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:10,760 Speaker 1: listening to Taking stock with Pim Fox and Kathleen Hayes 20 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. All right, let's bring in Scott roth 21 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:19,120 Speaker 1: for right now. He is president and founder of Lakeview 22 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: Asset Management, and he joins us from the great state 23 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: of New Jersey. Scott, Uh, we're gonna talk a little 24 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 1: bit about supermarkets and food retailers because they've had a horrible, 25 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:35,480 Speaker 1: horrible week, um, getting really crushed, except for the fact 26 00:01:35,560 --> 00:01:40,399 Speaker 1: that Kroger is doing well today, um after putting out earnings. 27 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 1: So what's going on with Kroger. Well, you know, I 28 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:46,960 Speaker 1: think that when you're looking at the industry right now, 29 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: people are looking at what happened with Sprouts Farmers Market 30 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 1: earlier in the week and Whole Foods earlier in the summer, 31 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 1: and both of those stocks have have ciently had problems recently, 32 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 1: and and Kroger as well had really been so both 33 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: hard from it, it's highs. Kroger is somewhere. Um it's 34 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: kind of a hybrid type of operation. Uh. It's it's 35 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 1: part Costco because it does sell gasoline. Um, it is 36 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,920 Speaker 1: part Whole Foods because the Kroger is trying to bring 37 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: in organic foods into the mix. And it's part of 38 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: the traditional uh you know path Mark type of of 39 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:28,359 Speaker 1: a restaurant chain. They also happened to be the the uh, 40 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 1: in my opinion, the best managed company the entire industry. 41 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:34,919 Speaker 1: And they have a larger buy back plan on and 42 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 1: and they're very opportunistic. UM. So the company reported results today. UM. 43 00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:48,359 Speaker 1: Their margins were down very slightly because of food prices. UH. 44 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 1: They kind of trimmed backed their guidance, but overall it 45 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: wasn't all about it that bed of a quarter. Comps 46 00:02:55,440 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 1: are doing well, especially once you factor out the gasoline 47 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,920 Speaker 1: side of the business. UM. And I think they have 48 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 1: a good mix of business as opposed to when you 49 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 1: look at Whole Foods and Sprouts, which really are more 50 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:10,080 Speaker 1: focused on the organic side of the business. It's only 51 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 1: about of Kroger's business right now. UM. But it's the 52 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 1: healthcare costs and the pension costs paying people that's hurting them, right, 53 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: That's only part of it. Um. Uh, pensions are hurting them. 54 00:03:23,280 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 1: UM and UM. Look, these two companies are experiencing growth, 55 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:33,040 Speaker 1: you know, growth pains. UM. It happens. You know, you 56 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 1: start out in these industries, um, and you know you 57 00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: grow slowly and you you get you know, white acceptance. 58 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 1: But you know, as time goes on UM. While you're 59 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: selling a higher priced organic UM product to people, you're 60 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: still managing with lower cost UH inputs. And now what 61 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 1: they're funding is that things like you know, pensions are 62 00:03:56,320 --> 00:04:00,720 Speaker 1: starting to hit them, healthcare costs which didn't hit them before. UH. 63 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: And so they're they're they're maturing here and and they're 64 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: beginning to experience UH some of the complexities of maturing businesses. 65 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: Scott Rothbort Kroger has undred stores around the country, Kroger 66 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,279 Speaker 1: of course the brand name Ralphs as well as Dylan's. 67 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 1: The stock is down, you know since the beginning of 68 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:25,919 Speaker 1: the year. Is it worth buying Kroger KR at thirty 69 00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 1: six to share well him? As you know, we run 70 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:33,480 Speaker 1: a separate restaurant and food portfolio and put our newsletter 71 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 1: h within the last few days we actually bought some 72 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:40,480 Speaker 1: Kroger before it during his couple of days before UM 73 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:44,039 Speaker 1: has a decent divon yield of one point five. We 74 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: thought that that all the BED news as already in 75 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:49,279 Speaker 1: the stock. With the stock coming down from a fifty 76 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 1: two week high of forty two seventy five down into 77 00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 1: that's today, I mean in today training it hit aft 78 00:04:57,200 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 1: two week low. Uh it it actually a couple of 79 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:03,280 Speaker 1: days ago, but but we're pretty close to it today. 80 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: And of course the stock is up on the day. Yeah. 81 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 1: I don't see the stock going much lower. And I 82 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:12,679 Speaker 1: think this company has the ability to manage through the storm, 83 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,080 Speaker 1: if you want to call that in in the grocery industry. 84 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 1: And because they don't have the exposure to exposure to 85 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:22,480 Speaker 1: the organic end of the business where we're seeing food 86 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: costs come down tremendously and there's pressure on companies like 87 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:31,919 Speaker 1: Sprouts and Whole Food to lower their prices to the 88 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,280 Speaker 1: end consumer, Prober really doesn't have it because Probo gives 89 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 1: you a choice. You can buy the traditional head of 90 00:05:38,040 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 1: lettuce or you can buy an organic head of lettuce. 91 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 1: And I think that's the big difference that's going on here. 92 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:47,080 Speaker 1: But also fund actually quite fascinating also is that that 93 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 1: the comps a Whole Foods were down, yet the comps 94 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 1: at Sprouts were higher. Um and you knows, as I 95 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 1: tell my students at at UM at Setonhole University where 96 00:05:57,400 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 1: it teaches in the snance department, when you look at comps, 97 00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 1: you really have to dig down through comps and comps 98 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:05,600 Speaker 1: have three different aspects to him, it's a traffic how 99 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 1: many people come into the store, the price, um, you know, 100 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 1: the price of the products, and the ticket side, how 101 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: much you are actually buying. And so I think we 102 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:17,920 Speaker 1: we we've got to deconstruct um the comps for all 103 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:22,800 Speaker 1: these stores based upon those three uh different aspects of comps. 104 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:25,119 Speaker 1: And I think what's happening that Sprouts and Whole Foods 105 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:29,320 Speaker 1: are starting to see their their traffic flowing uh to 106 00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:34,840 Speaker 1: Kroger's or other chains that are not organic but do 107 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 1: have organic offerings. So you like the stock at about 108 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: thirty one and a half dollars to share. But if 109 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 1: you pull up him, if you pull up the c 110 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,160 Speaker 1: o MP on the Bloomberg can take a five year 111 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:49,839 Speaker 1: look at Kroger over the last five years, including reinvested 112 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:54,239 Speaker 1: dividends right the S and P and the consumer stage. No, 113 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 1: no contest, Kroger did much better. Yeah, it's tripled, you know, Uh, 114 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: the SPS only doubled, and Whole Food is you know, 115 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 1: down over the last five years. So you know, Kroger 116 00:07:05,400 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 1: understands how to manage um east to west and north 117 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 1: to south in this country, both in a flute areas 118 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:17,000 Speaker 1: and just regular, you know, middle and lower class areas. 119 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 1: Whole Foods doesn't understand how to do that because they 120 00:07:20,200 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 1: can't appeal to every consumer. So, you know, plus Kroger's 121 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: understands how to manage through good and bad economic times. 122 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: Wholefoods doesn't understand that. We do want a little bit 123 00:07:29,600 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 1: of Whole Foods because we want to be in the stock, 124 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: But I think Roger is a much better buy at 125 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 1: this point in time. We've gotta run, Thanks very much, 126 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 1: Scott Rothford. He is the president founder lake View Asset Management. 127 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg coming up on taking stock. We're going 128 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 1: to take stock of Jesse Ventura, former governor of Minnesota. 129 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 1: He's gung ho on his marijuana manifesto. Will tell you 130 00:07:56,280 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 1: what it is next