1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:05,800 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: dot Com, the radio plus mobile lap and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business flag from Bloomberg World Handquarters. 4 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 1: I'm Charlie Pellett. Now a down day for both the 5 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:19,079 Speaker 1: down Jones Industrial Average and the SMP five hundred index. 6 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:21,880 Speaker 1: The SMP hovering out a record now at twenty one 7 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:24,759 Speaker 1: seventy nine, down a point and a half. That's drop 8 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:28,000 Speaker 1: of about point one percent. Down. Industrial is also down 9 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: by point one percent, falling sixteen points to eighteen thousand, 10 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:35,159 Speaker 1: five hundred twelve. Naz Dak holding onto a game, up 11 00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:38,640 Speaker 1: eight points to fifty two twenty one. If you're keeping 12 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:42,880 Speaker 1: track record on naz danc fifty two twenty eight point 13 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:44,920 Speaker 1: seventy one, a gain right now with two tens of 14 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 1: one percent, ten year up fifteen thirty seconds, had healed 15 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: one point five four percent, and gold hired by six 16 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 1: forty the ounce of five tens of one percent to 17 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: thirteen forty two. I'm Charlie Pellett, and that's a Bloomberg 18 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 1: Business flash. This is taking stock with pin Box and 19 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 1: Kathleen Hayes on Bloomberg Radio. The shares of Valiant of 20 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 1: Pharmaceuticals hired right Now by more than twenty percent, even 21 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 1: though it posted a wider loss in its latest quarter. 22 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:19,120 Speaker 1: But the company says it's going to reorganize and continuing 23 00:01:19,160 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 1: to remake itself as a conventional pharmaceutical firm. Here to 24 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,039 Speaker 1: tell us more is Liz Kruda Hollow, Specialty Pharma and 25 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:31,679 Speaker 1: Biotech analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, and you can follow Liz 26 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 1: on Twitter at Liz Underscore Kruda Hollow. Liz, thanks very 27 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 1: much for joining us. Tell us about Valiant Pharmaceuticals and 28 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: why is the stock surging. Yeah, so most people were 29 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 1: pretty happy to see that guidance have been maintained for 30 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: the year. We were expecting to see potentially some color 31 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 1: around whether or not they expect that they could still 32 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 1: meet their guidance on revenue and EPs and ITTA, which 33 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: they do say that they can do, despite the fact 34 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 1: that to did not look all that promising on those metrics. 35 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 1: Now that they have to reaffirm their guidance in order 36 00:02:06,160 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 1: to manage the debt covenants that they have with their lenders. Yeah, 37 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 1: so that's certainly part of it. So most of their 38 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:17,240 Speaker 1: debt covenants are tied to their EBITA ratios, and so 39 00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: that's something that we need to watch very carefully and 40 00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 1: make sure that they are maintained, otherwise the debt repayments 41 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:27,400 Speaker 1: could accelerate. So one of the interesting things that came 42 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: up in the fault today was they have divested several 43 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:33,920 Speaker 1: small assets, nothing too large, but they did indicate that 44 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: they've received interest on what could potentially be a larger deal, 45 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 1: and that could be something that would be about two 46 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 1: billion dollars in revenue but could get them an additional 47 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: eight billion dollars for debt repayments. So that may be 48 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:49,640 Speaker 1: something that they look to to maintain that guidance, to 49 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 1: make sure that they do actually meet the EBATA guidance 50 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 1: and repay their debts for the year. The chief executive 51 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: of Valiant, Joe Papa, is he going to remake this 52 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 1: company me so that it looks nothing like the Valiant 53 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 1: of big acquisitions and big price increases. So that's the 54 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: goal here and that's certainly what we would like to 55 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:13,240 Speaker 1: see on That's what most investors are really looking for 56 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:16,920 Speaker 1: a complete turnaround in strategy, as it's clear that the 57 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 1: strategy of growing simply through M and A and price 58 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 1: increases really is no longer sustainable. So Papa comes from Parago, 59 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 1: which is mostly age generic and consumer health company, so 60 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: there are some synergies with the Valiant portfolio, and I 61 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: think on the consumer health side he can do a 62 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:35,160 Speaker 1: really nice job with that. And he's done a pretty 63 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:37,839 Speaker 1: good job of leading a turnaround at Parago, So we're 64 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: expecting that, you know, that's essentially why the board brought 65 00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 1: him on to take over from Pearson. Now, another stock 66 00:03:45,440 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: in the pharmaceutical industry that is surging today is Endo 67 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: International shares. They are higher by more than twenty one 68 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:58,280 Speaker 1: percent right now. Tell us about Endo. So Endo is 69 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 1: an interesting company. Day are sort of on the fence 70 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 1: in terms of whether or not they are generics company 71 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 1: or a specialty company. They're quite divided. However, they made 72 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:12,400 Speaker 1: an acquisition of par Pharmaceuticals last year in September that 73 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 1: puts them much more focused on the generic side. So 74 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:19,320 Speaker 1: basically in one queue we saw a huge impact on 75 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 1: pricing and it was very detrimental to their earnings. They 76 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 1: basically expect to see continuation of that erosion throughout the year. 77 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:30,599 Speaker 1: So we're expecting a bigger hit into q than we 78 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:34,039 Speaker 1: actually saw. So about some renewed enthusiasm there and that 79 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:37,280 Speaker 1: perhaps that one que was a one time effect and 80 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 1: that it should moderate through the rest of the year. 81 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: The company is still guiding tours that by percent decline 82 00:04:43,320 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: each quarter, so that's something we need to keep an 83 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 1: eye on and make sure that people don't get a 84 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: little too enthusiastic about the surprise in two Q. Thank 85 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 1: you very much for spending time with us. Liz Kruda 86 00:04:55,560 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: Hollow is our specialty format and biotech analysts for blue 87 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 1: Berg Intelligence. Of course, Bloomberg Intelligence providing unique and real 88 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 1: time research and context in a variety of industries as 89 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: well as markets and government factors that affect business. Our 90 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: terminal customers can access this function at b I Go. 91 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 1: We turn now to politics, and I'd like to bring 92 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:21,799 Speaker 1: in Mark Halpern. He is, of course the co author 93 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:24,640 Speaker 1: of the book Game Change and host of Bloomberg TVs 94 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 1: with all due respect and it can be seen weekdays 95 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:32,120 Speaker 1: at five pm Eastern as well as week nights at 96 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 1: five pm on Bloomberg in Washington, d C. Mark Halprin, 97 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:40,719 Speaker 1: thank you very much for being here. Let's begin by 98 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:45,560 Speaker 1: just reviewing the speech that Donald Trump made yesterday at 99 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: the Detroit Economic Club. What has been the reaction to 100 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,560 Speaker 1: his economic proposals? Very favorable reaction from the Wall Street 101 00:05:52,600 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 1: Journal editorial page, which is a pretty good arbiter of 102 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 1: where it sort its mainstream center right thinking is they 103 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:02,360 Speaker 1: criticize his Paul sees on trade, which they disagree with, 104 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 1: but they liked much of the rest of what he did. 105 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: I don't think you saw very much what we call 106 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: man by dog reaction, which is to say Democrats criticized 107 00:06:12,000 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 1: the plan in seventeen different ways. I think Republicans were 108 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 1: generally supportive, and a lot of Republicans pleased to see 109 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,919 Speaker 1: Trump talking about some of the orthodox positions the Republican Party, 110 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: like tax cutting, less regulation, changing the Affordable Care Act. 111 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 1: But some Republican senators not swayed by his speech on economics. Indeed, 112 00:06:33,320 --> 00:06:36,640 Speaker 1: the GOP senator Susan Collins says she's not gonna be 113 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:39,359 Speaker 1: supporting Donald Trump. Can we expect more of this pretty 114 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 1: big defection? And I do think it will lead to more. 115 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 1: You know, Donald Trump will say, and I think he's 116 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 1: quite right that you'd rather have Republican voters than Republican 117 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:51,160 Speaker 1: politicians at a time when Washington and political figures are 118 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:54,080 Speaker 1: not in particularly high regard. At the same time, Susan 119 00:06:54,080 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 1: Collins is a very respected figure. She made her announcement 120 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:59,040 Speaker 1: that she wasn't going to vote for Trump in an 121 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 1: opinion piece in The Washington Post in which he basically 122 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 1: laid most of it off the questions about his temperament 123 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: and judgment, particularly his conflict of recent conflict with the 124 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 1: con Family. This is the exact argument that Hillary Clinton 125 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 1: is making against Donald Trump is senator. Her argument is 126 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:18,440 Speaker 1: to have a respected figure in the Republican Party basically say, 127 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:20,280 Speaker 1: I agree with Hillary Clinton. Donald Trump doesn't have the 128 00:07:20,360 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 1: right temperament to be president. It's pretty damning thing. And 129 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 1: I do think Trump will almost certainly see more defections 130 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 1: and some perhaps is a direct result of what Susan 131 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:32,679 Speaker 1: Collins has done. Alright, Susan Collins a Republican Senator from Maine. 132 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:36,880 Speaker 1: Third party candidates Mark Halprin Uh, whether it is the 133 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 1: Libertarian Party, the Green Party, or a new entrant an 134 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 1: independent candidate, Evan McMullen. It's going to be a guest 135 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:47,000 Speaker 1: on with all due respect today tell us about third 136 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:49,120 Speaker 1: party candidates, Well, it's very hard in this country that 137 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 1: so favors the two major parties to break through at 138 00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: any level, particularly the presidential level, without fame and vast 139 00:07:56,400 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 1: fortune or some pretty clear issue differences with the two 140 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:03,240 Speaker 1: major party candidates. You've now got a Green candidate, a 141 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 1: Libertarian Candida, and now this independent candidate or Republican who's 142 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:09,320 Speaker 1: running after a day and make it pretty clear that 143 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: he's opposed to both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. I 144 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: think the the issue for all of them is can 145 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:17,560 Speaker 1: they get that virtuous cycle going in politics? You want 146 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 1: to raise money, have people here about your raising money? 147 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 1: Take you seriously. Your poll numbers go up, you get 148 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 1: more media attention because people see the rising and the 149 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:29,720 Speaker 1: polls and raising money, and then off that media attention 150 00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 1: you raise more money and your poll numbers continue to 151 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: go up. So can he get that virtuous cycle going? 152 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 1: Can the Libertarians? Can the Green ideas matter? For sure? 153 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 1: And all three of the all three of those parties 154 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 1: are have fielded candidates who are clearly are looking to 155 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:46,839 Speaker 1: expand their uh their reach based on ideas, But but 156 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:49,439 Speaker 1: they need money, they need access to the media, they 157 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:51,439 Speaker 1: need to have the polls go up, and obviously all 158 00:08:51,440 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 1: three of them would like to see their poll numbers 159 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 1: go up high enough that they can get into the 160 00:08:56,120 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 1: presidential debates. Does Evan McMullen have what it takes to 161 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 1: get on the ballot in Utah to the point where 162 00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: he denies Donald Trump what has typically voted as a 163 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: Republican state. Well, he's from Utah, he is a Mormon, 164 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:14,319 Speaker 1: and and and certainly as he looks at the states 165 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 1: where he can do well, that'd be near at or 166 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 1: near the top of the list. He says he's running 167 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:20,360 Speaker 1: to win and needs a lot more than just not 168 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:24,199 Speaker 1: just Utah, but perhaps other Western states with large Mormon populations. 169 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 1: And he does have to solve the puzzle of how 170 00:09:25,640 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 1: to get on the ballot. Even in states where the 171 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:31,280 Speaker 1: deadlines haven't passed, it's still a difficult task to gather 172 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:34,679 Speaker 1: the signatures and fulfill the other requirements. So Utah is 173 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:37,840 Speaker 1: certainly in intriguing possibility, but it's not the only state 174 00:09:37,920 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: he plans to compete in. Just to pick up on 175 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 1: what you just mentioned a moment ago about the presidential debates, 176 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: what would it take for the libertarian candidate, let's say 177 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:52,319 Speaker 1: Gary Johnson or Green Party nominee Jill Stein, or indeed 178 00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: Evan McMullan to actually be at one of those lecterns 179 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,640 Speaker 1: in one of the three presidential debates, well the Commission 180 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:00,600 Speaker 1: Presidential Debates that said you need to be at fifteen 181 00:10:00,640 --> 00:10:03,959 Speaker 1: percent in a series of national polls in order to qualify. 182 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 1: Donald Trump has said has said again as recently It's 183 00:10:07,000 --> 00:10:09,720 Speaker 1: Today to Time Magazine, that he wants to say in 184 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:13,200 Speaker 1: some of the dimensions of this of how the debates work, 185 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:17,680 Speaker 1: the anothering magic about the fifteen percent threshold. Trump has 186 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 1: also said that he'd like one on one with Hillary Clint. 187 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: He doesn't want other candidates on the stage, and I 188 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:25,959 Speaker 1: suspect that he will try to use his leverage, uh 189 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:29,000 Speaker 1: to extent he has any to make sure that other 190 00:10:29,040 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 1: candidates aren't on the stage, assuming that he really does 191 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 1: want that one on one that he says he does, 192 00:10:33,360 --> 00:10:35,280 Speaker 1: if one of those third part of candidates does get 193 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 1: on the stage, who does that help? Who does that hurt? Now? 194 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: I've asked a lot of my best sources about that, 195 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:42,320 Speaker 1: and there's mixed feelings about it. I don't think there's 196 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 1: any clear answer to it at this point. My guess 197 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:48,959 Speaker 1: is Trump probably is right that he's better off one 198 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:52,800 Speaker 1: on one simply because as he's behind and he needs 199 00:10:52,840 --> 00:10:54,719 Speaker 1: to try to kind of get a clean shot at 200 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:57,680 Speaker 1: the person who's ahead of him. Now, thank you very much. 201 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 1: Mark Halpern. He is, of course, co host of With 202 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:04,640 Speaker 1: All Due Respect, co managing editor of Bloomberg Politics, With 203 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:07,839 Speaker 1: all due Respect, weeknights five pm on Bloomberg Television and 204 00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:12,199 Speaker 1: Bloomberg One in Washington, d C. This is Bloomberg