1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,720 Speaker 1: Well, as he had mentioned um China extending its drills 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 1: near Taiwan following Nancy's Pelosi Nancy Pelosi's visit to the 3 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:11,360 Speaker 1: territory that was a week ago. Now drills ongoing joining 4 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:16,400 Speaker 1: us now, as Steven Angel Bloomberg's TV chief North Asia correspondent, Stephen, 5 00:00:16,440 --> 00:00:20,120 Speaker 1: what's the situation around Taiwan at the moment. Yeah, So 6 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 1: we were going to have those four days of military exercises, 7 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 1: which we did have from Wednesday to Sunday following Nancy 8 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: Pelosi's exit from the island after her controversial visit, and 9 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:34,599 Speaker 1: they did have these six exclusion zones encircling Taiwan, and 10 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:37,599 Speaker 1: that's where we had a number of different exercises with 11 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:40,919 Speaker 1: the p l A, Navy, the Air Force as well 12 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 1: as rocket teams. A number of different missiles were fired, 13 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 1: ballistic missiles as well as claims by Japan that a 14 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 1: few of them actually went over the island of Taiwan 15 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 1: and also into Japan's Exclusive Economic Zone or e Z. 16 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: So it was set up for being quite an inflammatory 17 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 1: a week. Obviously that was supposed to conclude on Sunday. 18 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:06,680 Speaker 1: But again we're hearing from the military of China that 19 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 1: they've either extended or launched new exercises. As we just 20 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 1: heard from Ed that anti submarine operations are underway as 21 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:19,040 Speaker 1: well as well as air to see strikes. And again 22 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 1: Taiwan would call this the most provocative by the p 23 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 1: l A and decades. We'll have to see where it 24 00:01:24,280 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 1: goes from here, Steve, as you know, I mean, the 25 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:29,840 Speaker 1: big concern here is on the invasion front, right that 26 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: that the mainland Chinese forces would actually invade Taiwan. Are 27 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 1: people saying that this is essentially a dress rehearsal under 28 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: these circumstances, I think they're using this opportunity to fine 29 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 1: tune their tactics obviously, and to poke little holes in 30 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: the fence around Taiwan. Uh see where there's vulnerabilities. And 31 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: for their sake, Taiwan is doing the same thing. They're 32 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: seeing the tactics being used by the p l A 33 00:01:55,000 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 1: forces and where they need to bolster their defenses as well. 34 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 1: I would be the last wanted to say that Nancy 35 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: Pelosi's visit would spark an invasion of Taiwan. I think 36 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:08,920 Speaker 1: there's been a standoff in a status quo for a 37 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: long time for very good reason. Neither side if you will, 38 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 1: would want war right now. But I think they're just 39 00:02:14,720 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: testing each other right now. Yeah, to what degree, both 40 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 1: Pelosi's visits and what we're seeing from the Chinese military 41 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:25,080 Speaker 1: at the vironment, it's really tailed to domestic audiences rather 42 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: than address rehearsal for an invasion. Oh, he absolutely, absolutely, 43 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: if you're talking about shij and PINGI absolutely has a 44 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 1: domestic audience to cater too. I think when Nancy Pelosi 45 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 1: actually landed on the island, there was an outcry from 46 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 1: ultra nationalists on way bar in the Chinese social media 47 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 1: that the Beijing did not do enough well in the 48 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: last you know, six days or so. They've been trying 49 00:02:48,040 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 1: to escalate, if you will, the military exercises and show 50 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 1: a sign of strength, if you will, against the moves, 51 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:58,840 Speaker 1: and there's been some economic moves as well, But just 52 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:02,359 Speaker 1: how far can China go without also damaging itself as 53 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 1: well on the economic front. So if you're she she 54 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: in Ping and you're dealing with difficulties on the economic 55 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 1: front visa vie the property market, you're looking at the 56 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 1: People's Congress in the fall, do you exploit this as 57 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:17,919 Speaker 1: a way of building nationalism? I think obviously everything they 58 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:21,520 Speaker 1: do kind of tries to build up nationalism and support 59 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 1: for the Communist Party. I think that's Is it a distraction, 60 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:29,560 Speaker 1: It's well, it depends on how you do it. I mean, 61 00:03:29,600 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 1: if you are seen by the populace in China as 62 00:03:32,960 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 1: losing the optics game, then then it is a distraction. 63 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: But if you also say, you know, vilify Nancy Pelosi, 64 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:44,160 Speaker 1: villify the u S efforts to destabilize the status quo, 65 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:46,640 Speaker 1: then they can use it to their advantage, especially as 66 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 1: you say at ahead of this Party congress where seed 67 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 1: in Ping will very likely get that third consecutive term. 68 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: A number of other countries Australia you're included, have described 69 00:03:56,320 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 1: China's actions after Pelosi's visit as an overreact. Shouldn't do 70 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 1: you think the US and its allies got a bit 71 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 1: caught off? God by just how long these drills have 72 00:04:05,720 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 1: been going on for now? Well, Joe Biden was asked 73 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:11,520 Speaker 1: about that today and he expressed confidence that China would 74 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 1: not escalate beyond just these drills. As I said, the 75 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:18,800 Speaker 1: economic sanctions so far a pretty miniscule. Again, the big 76 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:22,839 Speaker 1: economic trade between the two is on integrated circuits and 77 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:26,920 Speaker 1: China absolutely needs those integrated circuits from Taiwan, so cutting 78 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:31,520 Speaker 1: that off would do itself there you know, some harm um. 79 00:04:31,560 --> 00:04:34,160 Speaker 1: But again Joe Biden also kind of refused when he 80 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: was asked, did did Nancy Pelosi cause this tension these 81 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:41,719 Speaker 1: military games? And he refused to falter. Really he's saying 82 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:44,160 Speaker 1: that was her decision to go. But I'm sure there's 83 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 1: been a lot of internal dialogue and maybe some uh 84 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:52,359 Speaker 1: conversations if you will, behind the scenes. Is like that 85 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:55,039 Speaker 1: probably wasn't such a good idea. Well, it's interesting you 86 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: bring up the semiconductor story, I mean where Taiwan is 87 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 1: concerned and the product that needs to go to the mainland. 88 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 1: What has commercial shipping been like in the Taiwan Straight 89 00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:06,880 Speaker 1: over the last week. Well, there was big concern obviously 90 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,680 Speaker 1: because these six exclusion zones, or as state media in 91 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:12,840 Speaker 1: China called them, danger zones. Uh many of them, or 92 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:14,720 Speaker 1: at least three of them I could see on the map, 93 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: are in the Taiwan Straight uh key shipping lane. Obviously 94 00:05:20,040 --> 00:05:22,719 Speaker 1: for global shippers, some have had to divert around the 95 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:24,760 Speaker 1: east side of the island rather than go through the 96 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 1: Taiwan Straight But shipping tracking data that Bloomberg has seen 97 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,240 Speaker 1: shows that four of the p l A so called 98 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: danger zones are being traversed right now by merchant ships. 99 00:05:35,800 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: So it seems as though the threat, at least according 100 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:41,760 Speaker 1: to many of the shipping lines, has diminished. How does 101 00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 1: all of this get received domestically in Taiwan, not just 102 00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: Nanci Pelosi's visit, the military flaxing that's going on from China, 103 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 1: you know, how do how do the ordinary Hiwanese feel 104 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:55,240 Speaker 1: about all of this? Yeah, that that's an interesting question. 105 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 1: I think it probably um they've they've been dealing with 106 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,360 Speaker 1: this threat for many, many years. I lived in Taiwan 107 00:06:01,920 --> 00:06:04,560 Speaker 1: in the early or to mid nineties, and there was 108 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:08,280 Speaker 1: there was these kinds of things. In fact, six there 109 00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 1: was an eight month long standoff called the Third Taiwan 110 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 1: Straight Crisis. Two different US aircraft carrier groups were sent 111 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: to the area. One the Nimbits even passed through the 112 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 1: Taiwan Straight There was serious saber rattling going on, and 113 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: Taiwan got on with its business. And I think they're 114 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:26,559 Speaker 1: still doing that as well. There's gonna be a little 115 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:29,600 Speaker 1: bit of economic pain, but even the Ministry of Finances 116 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 1: chief statistician giving a press conference, the Chief statistician, essentially saying, 117 00:06:34,240 --> 00:06:38,839 Speaker 1: because of the China's reliance on electronics and integrated circuits 118 00:06:38,839 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 1: and the like, we expect very little chance of China 119 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:45,520 Speaker 1: imposing stricter economic sanctions that would be the biggest pain. 120 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 1: That the military threat has always been there. But yes, 121 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:51,359 Speaker 1: these are very provocative war games, obviously, Stephen, good stuff. Oh, 122 00:06:51,400 --> 00:06:53,920 Speaker 1: by the way, very quickly, what do we know about 123 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:56,920 Speaker 1: the way in which this is being represented in Chinese 124 00:06:57,200 --> 00:07:01,200 Speaker 1: press outlets. Oh, they're absolutely using it to their advantage 125 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:03,119 Speaker 1: as they would. I mean, the most of the media 126 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:07,360 Speaker 1: outlets are controlled by the Communist Party, so they'll they'll 127 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:10,760 Speaker 1: they'll be using this to their advantage. Obviously. Always a pleasure, Steve, 128 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:13,000 Speaker 1: thanks so much for being with this Bloomberg. Stephen Engel, 129 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: who is our chief Asia TV North Asia TV correspondent, 130 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 1: joining us from Hong Kong