Speaker 1: Hello, ladies and gentlemen, welcome in to leading off right
Speaker 1: here and finishing growth crow to you by Prize Picks.
Speaker 1: I am the Welsh, that is the worm, and we
Speaker 1: are here and says the worm down there. I didn't
Speaker 1: even notice that on the overthlay Ryan Wormley a awesome,
Speaker 1: fantastic weekend of baseball. But you had a big move.
Speaker 1: How you doing, buddy?
Speaker 2: I did have a big move.
Speaker 3: Anybody who's seed me on shows before can probably tell
Speaker 3: from the background that looks a little different than usual.
Speaker 3: This is not a final setup of what my podcast
Speaker 3: studio will look like down the line, but it's what
Speaker 3: I could throw together here. Yeah, big move this weekend
Speaker 3: bought my first house. Very exciting and a special thank
Speaker 3: you to my parents who flew out from Virginia to
Speaker 3: Denver to help.
Speaker 2: Me with the move this weekend.
Speaker 3: So I really appreciate all their help because it is
Speaker 3: a lot moving by yourself. Is I was telling you
Speaker 3: before the show my fourth move in the last three
Speaker 3: and a half years, So hopefully this is it.
Speaker 2: I'm done.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna be here for several years and can finally
Speaker 3: just settle in one place.
Speaker 1: Where are you at now?
Speaker 3: I am just north of Denver. I'm in North Glenn. Technically,
Speaker 3: it's like twenty minutes north of the city.
Speaker 1: What's your address? Give your address out.
Speaker 2: That's just that's as much detail as I'm willing to get.
Speaker 1: I just wonder. I just wonder we can get your address.
Speaker 1: Awesome weekend of baseball and we've got it all here
Speaker 1: for you today. We've got the headlines, We've got lots
Speaker 1: of injuries. We're gonna bring back the stats. We are
Speaker 1: also going to give you price picks, our best bets
Speaker 1: in DFS. It's all going down here and leading off,
Speaker 1: we are day two of No Joe Piece Apia by
Speaker 1: the way, which, by the way, just a little sequitor.
Speaker 1: When I'm out of here about an hour or so after,
Speaker 1: I am going to be with Joe in about two
Speaker 1: and a half hours. And I'm not joking you. When
Speaker 1: he texted me his kids are here, so we're gonna
Speaker 1: go meet up at David Busters. I think we might
Speaker 1: video the basketball contest, which I'm going to smoke him in.
Speaker 1: But I'm not joking you. He said, we're thinking about
Speaker 1: going to an escape room. I've never done an escape room,
Speaker 1: so I might be doing an escape room with Joe,
Speaker 1: with Joe and his kids here in a couple hours.
Speaker 2: So you've never done one.
Speaker 1: I've never done in.
Speaker 3: This Oh they're so fun. I've done a bunch of them.
Speaker 3: We've done them. It's sort of a tradition to my
Speaker 3: friend group. At everybody's bachelor party or the morning of
Speaker 3: the wedding. We've done them, and so it's kind of fun.
Speaker 3: We did one that was Serial Killer themed and it
Speaker 3: was like it was like movie themes, so it was
Speaker 3: like Saw and seven and Silence of the Lambs and
Speaker 3: it was funny. We started off, they individually handcuffed everybody
Speaker 3: to pipes around the room, shut off the lights in
Speaker 3: the pitch black, and just left and we were talking.
Speaker 3: That was the morning of my best friend's wedding, so
Speaker 3: we were talking to all the bridesmaids you know, later
Speaker 3: that day and they were like, oh, well, you know,
Speaker 3: we had some nice mimosas we did our hair this morning.
Speaker 3: We were like, yeah, we were handcuffed in a pitch
Speaker 3: black room somewhere that was themed like Saw.
Speaker 2: It was very different, but it was a ton of fun.
Speaker 2: I love escape rooms.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've had some, like wedding parties handcuffed and dark rooms.
Speaker 1: But there was a saw theme, Ryan, So I don't
Speaker 1: know what you're talking about. That's nutty, but just letting
Speaker 1: everybody know you can be on the lookout for that.
Speaker 1: Let's talk some baseball, Let's talk some stuff. Also, welcome
Speaker 1: into the peanuts and cracker jacks. With all of the chat,
Speaker 1: feel free to throw out stuff. See if we can't
Speaker 1: comment as we go. You say nice things, we respond,
Speaker 1: You say mean things, and we will lose it and
Speaker 1: chastise you.
Speaker 2: You know.
Speaker 1: That's how it goes. This week in big headlines, stolen
Speaker 1: bases are up. I want to say the final number
Speaker 1: with seventy nine. I could be maybe incorrect about that,
Speaker 1: I know. On here the note we have is the
Speaker 1: Orioles pace of stolen bases, because I believe maybe it
Speaker 1: was ninety or something like that, but I believe ten
Speaker 1: stolen bases off of the first four games came from
Speaker 1: the Baltimore Orioles, who are accuorating to more than ten
Speaker 1: percent of all of the stolen bases in baseball. They
Speaker 1: stole ninety five in twenty twenty two. So the final
Speaker 1: tally here worm is we have stolen bases way up.
Speaker 1: The leader is Cedric Mullins. We've got I believe, four
Speaker 1: guys with three stolen bases, and we're going to talk
Speaker 1: about one of those guys, one of my favorites that
Speaker 1: was able to put up three so stolen base big time,
Speaker 1: my friend. And it is maybe could taper down a
Speaker 1: little bit, but it's looking good. Yeah.
Speaker 3: You know, the Orioles, like you said, they're at ten
Speaker 3: no caught ceilings. Obviously a success rate one hundred percent.
Speaker 3: They're going to keep running, especially with their fast guys.
Speaker 3: We talked a little bit about that on Friday. But
Speaker 3: there while they are, you know, clearly pacing the field here,
Speaker 3: they're not the only one. The Astros have six steals,
Speaker 3: White Sox, Guardians, Yankees each have five. Those next four
Speaker 3: teams have combined for only three caught steilings. So again
Speaker 3: it's not just a volume that's up, it's the success
Speaker 3: rate is way up. I think Jeff Passon had something
Speaker 3: that was like eighty three percent success rate for the league.
Speaker 3: I don't remember if that's exactly where something like that,
Speaker 3: which is an absurd number.
Speaker 2: This is what we expected. Again, we talked about this
Speaker 2: on Friday. We thought this is what we were going
Speaker 2: to see.
Speaker 3: We saw it on an opening day, We've now seen
Speaker 3: it throughout opening weekend.
Speaker 2: This is a thing.
Speaker 3: It's here to stay and it rises everybody's stolen based
Speaker 3: potential outcomes.
Speaker 2: Whether you're one of the fast guys or the slow guys.
Speaker 2: The opportunity is just there.
Speaker 1: Yeah, the success rate is what really stood out to me, right,
Speaker 1: The success rate is something I think to monitor. Everyone's
Speaker 1: talking about the overall number, but that success rate does
Speaker 1: I think that could be the game changer for the
Speaker 1: rest of the year.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think for sure, because I think that's what
Speaker 3: you're going to see. I think the attempts are just
Speaker 3: going to keep going up if people are keep being successful.
Speaker 3: I mean it's sort of a simple concept, right. If
Speaker 3: they were not getting these stolen basics, they're getting caught stealing.
Speaker 2: Every time the number was going to go down, they're not.
Speaker 3: There's now added value in running and you're going to
Speaker 3: I know, fre Rob Manfrey would like to keep saying that,
Speaker 3: you know, analytics are bad for the game or whatever.
Speaker 3: That's a longer conversation for a different time. But the
Speaker 3: analytics quote unquote, if you run bases and you get
Speaker 3: on without getting out, it's better they're going to keep
Speaker 3: doing it.
Speaker 2: I just think it's going to keep going up.
Speaker 1: Yeah, And like Wonky said right here, if the picture
Speaker 1: can throw over, the success rate is going to be
Speaker 1: better than that. Hey percent, It's just going to keep
Speaker 1: going as that's going on. Jeff Passen also jumping back
Speaker 1: on that, he had a great thread of everything where
Speaker 1: we saw game time cut by about forty minutes overall.
Speaker 1: Twenty twenty two, average game time on the first four
Speaker 1: days of the MLB season was three hours, nine minutes.
Speaker 1: It was two thirty eight, which is crazy. It's about
Speaker 1: the same amount of games. Batting average is up by
Speaker 1: about fifteen points. It was two thirty in twenty twenty two,
Speaker 1: two forty five this past year. Obps up, sluggings up,
Speaker 1: all that, and the stolen base is seventy of eighty
Speaker 1: four from twenty nine of forty three is what we
Speaker 1: had last round, which is just it's absurd. It's really absurd,
Speaker 1: absurd in the best ways. By the way, I'm all
Speaker 1: for everything being fun, and I'm all here for the
Speaker 1: stolen bases. Like doctor Glenn, I would like you to
Speaker 1: strap in my friend because he even had to throw
Speaker 1: Look at the saltiness. He threw a welch. I know
Speaker 1: someone salty when they throw a welch instead of welsh
Speaker 1: because he knows. I'm gonna talk about the other big headline,
Speaker 1: Corbin Carrol. Calbyn Carroll stole three bases against the Dodgers.
Speaker 1: This is what's on our headlines. I didn't even put
Speaker 1: it there, but this is part of that stolen base thing.
Speaker 1: I think he's ready to run wild. And obviously I'm
Speaker 1: a big Corbyn Carol fan. He stole two against No.
Speaker 1: A cinderguard. It's that big deal, you know, like you
Speaker 1: have to have an exchange rate. We've talked about this.
Speaker 1: Everyone got on me about Jeff Springs this weekend because
Speaker 1: I was like having a little bit of fun and
Speaker 1: everyone's like tigers and it's like, okay, well, what is
Speaker 1: the exchange rate then? Is that eight strikeouts versus a
Speaker 1: really good team, or nine strikeouts versus a decent team.
Speaker 1: Stealing against No. A cinderguard? Okay, no throw overs? Right,
Speaker 1: they didn't even attempt to throw on the first one,
Speaker 1: and the very next pitch he stole third without a throw,
Speaker 1: without a throw, and then he proceeded to steal one
Speaker 1: more base. He is now second in baseball after one game,
Speaker 1: and he had two lefties up going in the early front,
Speaker 1: which he wasn't running at A side note, I want
Speaker 1: to give as well to everybody that's kind of like
Speaker 1: still weird about him Wonky I was gonna say, but
Speaker 1: you know, take that it's not Wonky Penguin. Is that
Speaker 1: on the broadcast the Diamondbacks openly talked about it is
Speaker 1: so weird too that Tory Leavello his number one question
Speaker 1: he's asked Ryan is why is Corban Carroll not leading off?
Speaker 1: And he said he did not want to put the
Speaker 1: young guy in that position early on, which is stupid,
Speaker 1: which is such silly old baseball stuff. But he acknowledges
Speaker 1: that he's going to get there, but he purposely is
Speaker 1: doing it, not to put the pressure on him. Not
Speaker 1: that he's not set well. I think after stealing two bases,
Speaker 1: putting himself in by the way, that two stolen base
Speaker 1: he got from stealing second and third put him in
Speaker 1: run position where the Diamondbacks then scored on the very
Speaker 1: very next play. That's the type of stuff that old
Speaker 1: baseball heads love and will put him in a better spot.
Speaker 1: So three stolen bases a pretty big day for the
Speaker 1: rookie Corbyn Carroll, right, and there's a lot of stuff
Speaker 1: that I just threw up.
Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I think it is kind of silly. On
Speaker 3: the one hand, I do think that, you know, a
Speaker 3: manager knows his players better than we do, so like theoretically,
Speaker 3: maybe he's like trying to use some insight into oh
Speaker 3: this kid actually might not, you know, want to deal
Speaker 3: with the pressure leading off. I think that's kind of
Speaker 3: bogus though, Like I agree with you if you're a
Speaker 3: really good player, like you're going to be a really
Speaker 3: good play player, especially at the top of the lineup,
Speaker 3: where you can help your team more and find more
Speaker 3: early success and then just gain that early confidence. So
Speaker 3: I do think that's kind of a weird notion on
Speaker 3: the on the steals and on Carol, I wanted to
Speaker 3: ask you how high of an over under what I
Speaker 3: need to set for you to not take the over
Speaker 3: on his total stolen bases this season?
Speaker 1: Oh my gosh, Like well what's the number? Oh?
Speaker 2: Why? Like like sixty?
Speaker 1: Oh, I'm not ridiculous. I mean, if people have been
Speaker 1: following along, there's a point the projections had him under
Speaker 1: twenty to start the year. I just want to remind
Speaker 1: everybody the bat X had him under twenty way over.
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna seal forty plus this year.
Speaker 2: Ryan and I do too, but I'm not.
Speaker 3: I'm not totally against saying some pretty outlandish numbers because
Speaker 3: of this first weekend we've seen again, I think the
Speaker 3: attempts are going to continue to go up as the
Speaker 3: success rate stays high. I think these rules are gonna
Speaker 3: have that big of an imp and a guy who
Speaker 3: has elite speed like Carol if his team is gonna
Speaker 3: let him run like I don't see any reason why
Speaker 3: a guy like him, or like Mullins and Mateo and
Speaker 3: Baltimore or some of these guys that we already kind
Speaker 3: of look at as elite level speed guys in elite
Speaker 3: level base dealers, I don't see any reason why they
Speaker 3: couldn't go well above fifty or even sixty. I I
Speaker 3: am not holding back my enthusiasm for this new new
Speaker 3: landscape of the league at all. And I guess sort
Speaker 3: of a second follow up question that I have for
Speaker 3: you is, as a fantasy manager, when you look at
Speaker 3: so and bases being up across the board, do you
Speaker 3: take the angle of Okay, I really need to invest
Speaker 3: in the elite guys because it's gonna be harder to compete.
Speaker 3: Or do you say, I don't need to invest as
Speaker 3: much draft capital and you know, trade value in the
Speaker 3: elite guys because you can find them on the margins
Speaker 3: more if everybody's running more.
Speaker 2: How do you approach that?
Speaker 1: I lead, Okay, that's a really good question because I've
Speaker 1: always leaned into having a couple elite guys. I don't
Speaker 1: think you have to have the Outaward demond sies or
Speaker 1: anything like that. But I was leaning into the guys
Speaker 1: that were thirty plus. I thought Andres Jemenez would be there.
Speaker 1: That's a big target of mine. I do think with
Speaker 1: the waters rising a little bit, you can start to
Speaker 1: stack but still have a top guy, you know, still
Speaker 1: have an upper tier two upper tier players, and stack
Speaker 1: a whole bunch of other guys. So, by the way,
Speaker 1: apologies off my own it's being weird. I can see it,
Speaker 1: but I love you all. I just want you to know.
Speaker 1: Let's move on. Joey Gallo homers twice and doubles after
Speaker 1: beginning zero for six with forced trikeouts. We also had
Speaker 1: yal Mancotton now Homer and double twice on Sunday, Ryan,
Speaker 1: are you back on Joey Gallo and or yal Moncotton.
Speaker 3: No, I'm definitively not back in on Gallo. I would
Speaker 3: say I am on My god. I mean this is
Speaker 3: kind of like a post post post post post hype sleeper, right,
Speaker 3: I mean a guy not that he's never had a
Speaker 3: good season obviously. Uh, you know a few years ago
Speaker 3: he was really good, but really up and down, never
Speaker 3: quite put it all together in the way his elite
Speaker 3: prospect status would have had us all hope to see.
Speaker 3: But he looks really good to start. The tools are there.
Speaker 3: He's still only twenty seven years old. Like, this is
Speaker 3: the exact type of high ceiling guy that I'm willing
Speaker 3: to buy in on a sort of a later career
Speaker 3: breakout that we've gotten used to with a lot of
Speaker 3: these top prospects, you know, in the last decade or so,
Speaker 3: it seems like everybody comes in and makes an early impact.
Speaker 3: Just because he didn't reach those lofty levels and expectations
Speaker 3: we had doesn't mean he can't.
Speaker 2: Again, he's still twenty seven years old, So.
Speaker 3: He is a guy that I would would be very
Speaker 3: willing to buy back in on and see what happens.
Speaker 2: It takes one of those high upside swings Gallo. No,
Speaker 2: I mean he had he had a great game. Congrats.
Speaker 3: I didn't think he was never gonna have a good game. Again,
Speaker 3: it's not nearly enough for me to buy back in
Speaker 3: on it.
Speaker 1: Shame on. Yeah, you can't get full No, I'm not
Speaker 1: doing that. Also that point out sometimes there's got to
Speaker 1: be players where it's like, even if they you just
Speaker 1: have to be committed. And it's like, I'm committed to
Speaker 1: never committing to Joey Gallo, even if he becomes the
Speaker 1: best player in baseball, I'll just be wrong. We'll just
Speaker 1: be wrong.
Speaker 3: I'm not I'm willing to be wrong on Gallo if he,
Speaker 3: you know, explodes this year.
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly, And I'm with you. I actually I am
Speaker 1: very much fear for the Moncada stuff. Another one of
Speaker 1: those guys. I would just throw out. What I'm super
Speaker 1: interested in the stolen base market is the guys that
Speaker 1: go from two or three up to ten or twelve.
Speaker 1: And that's what that's what like what you were alluding to,
Speaker 1: and having the elite guys would change it. Also want
Speaker 1: to point out we have a celebrity in the chat.
Speaker 1: By the way, Joe pisa Pa is here, big t.
Speaker 1: By the way, Joe, I told him about our escape
Speaker 1: room that I might potentially be along with you guys
Speaker 1: with But I also said, you and I are going
Speaker 1: to have Joe Pisap and I are going to be
Speaker 1: having a basketball shootof competition in a couple hours and
Speaker 1: we'll get it filmed.
Speaker 3: That'll be going, yeah, if we get that filled, We'll
Speaker 3: get that on the fantasy for his MLB Twitter account.
Speaker 2: That's a promise, we'll get it. Yeah.
Speaker 1: But back to the baseball buying on Mancata, not on
Speaker 1: Joey Galla. We had some injuries. Anthony Rendon dealing with
Speaker 1: a knee issue and also being a huge, huge a
Speaker 1: hole if you will. I don't know if everybody saw it.
Speaker 1: This weekend he grabbed a fan, said a few choice
Speaker 1: words and tried to swipe at him and Baseball. They
Speaker 1: said he's dealing with a knee issue right now, but
Speaker 1: Baseball is also looking into a potential suspension on Anthony.
Speaker 1: Y don't the biggest takeaway on that whatever side you take, like, oh,
Speaker 1: screw fans and saying stuff to players or whatever, anthonyermand
Speaker 1: don't look like a psycho. He looked like the joker.
Speaker 1: He could be the next joker. He had this like
Speaker 1: crazy smile and he had like the big guys and
Speaker 1: he's like, oh you call me, and it was a
Speaker 1: wild I don't know if you saw the video orm Yeah.
Speaker 2: I did.
Speaker 3: Well. You remember when the movie Smile, That horror movie
Speaker 3: was out and they kept putting all the actors in
Speaker 3: baseball stadiums to say this smiling. He kind of looked
Speaker 3: like one of those actors that had been dropped into
Speaker 3: the stadium.
Speaker 1: He totally did. He looked like a total psychopath on there.
Speaker 1: And Baseball is reviewing it. Horgey Mintael, this is an
Speaker 1: interesting one. This is the stolen bas episode. Horne. Mateo
Speaker 1: was held out Sunday with a finger issue after stealing
Speaker 1: four bases and he leads baseball. So, I mean literally
Speaker 1: two games, steals four bases, leads baseball. Miteo right now
Speaker 1: is everything that people wanted out of his story, Ruiz,
Speaker 1: and this is what Miteo kind of does. My only
Speaker 1: problem with him in my big betlong term has been
Speaker 1: can he hit consistently? And I don't think so. It's
Speaker 1: also been my problem with a guy like historyuiz can
Speaker 1: he hit consistently get on base to have those stolen
Speaker 1: base attempts? But either way, Mateial's near the top a
Speaker 1: little bit banged up. You also had Robbie Ray hitting
Speaker 1: the eye l and this might be a much more
Speaker 1: extended one. Also some vlo dips. I had major worries
Speaker 1: about Robbie Ray coming into the season and it kind
Speaker 1: of came to fruition. I don't know what you feel
Speaker 1: about Robbie Ray right now.
Speaker 2: I was higher on him coming into the year than
Speaker 2: you were.
Speaker 3: He's a similar to Max Freed, Like we talked about
Speaker 3: a Friday where I just have him everywhere and then
Speaker 3: the injury hurts me. Robbie Ray, I just I am
Speaker 3: getting destroyed in this first weekend on the fitching health
Speaker 3: you know front. But I know Ray is a guy
Speaker 3: that I liked quite a bit. Obviously, you know, tons
Speaker 3: of strikeouts, all that. Everybody knows about Robbie Ray. But yeah,
Speaker 3: really concerning just a the way he looked and be
Speaker 3: now the fact that it might be an extended app sences,
Speaker 3: it's not good.
Speaker 1: Did you You don't have those two on the same team,
Speaker 1: do you?
Speaker 3: I do in fact, it's my most important to my dynasty.
Speaker 3: Ly like most money you know on the table here
Speaker 3: and both of Carlos Rodin, who even in Spragg had
Speaker 3: already started off with the injury.
Speaker 2: Not a great start in that group.
Speaker 1: Oh, we are into this part of the season too,
Speaker 1: justin this is a good point. Don't draft starting pinchers
Speaker 1: in the first nine rounds. Ever, that's what this is.
Speaker 1: The part of the season. By the way, I did
Speaker 1: implement this in my final two drafts of the season
Speaker 1: was something I kind of did not that it was
Speaker 1: in the first nine rounds, but I really didn't go
Speaker 1: heavy sps. So I suppose it's something that can you
Speaker 1: can be not hurt, but you really have to. You
Speaker 1: got to hit it off on a couple other players,
Speaker 1: which one we'll talk about here in a second row.
Speaker 1: Max Munsey dealing with groin issues. He's not expected to
Speaker 1: land on the IL, but he might lead baseball and strikeouts.
Speaker 1: Currently get five strikeouts I think on Saturday, and he
Speaker 1: just continues to strike out. Carlos for don it's gonna
Speaker 1: be facing live hitters this week, which I think is
Speaker 1: a really good sign. I actually believe I believe that
Speaker 1: we're gonna see they said he's gonna throw one bullpen
Speaker 1: session and then he's gonna have a rehab stint. I
Speaker 1: don't know if how many rehabs starts he really is
Speaker 1: going to need. So if let's just hypothetically say it's
Speaker 1: one and one, you might have him back by late
Speaker 1: ish April, which would be a very very good sign.
Speaker 1: So you know, Carlos Radon coming back where we're losing
Speaker 1: all these other guys. Travis Story is going to begin
Speaker 1: a throwing program in two weeks, which is going to
Speaker 1: help the timeline. Joey bart lands on the IL as
Speaker 1: the Giants also signed Gary Sanchez and JT. Brubaker maintained
Speaker 1: Tommy John So that's no bueno on any of the
Speaker 1: injury front. My friends, I know none of us want
Speaker 1: any of those. But what you do want is a
Speaker 1: premium lockdown account over at Fantasy Pros and you can
Speaker 1: get it one year free, one year free, premium upgrade
Speaker 1: to Fantasy Pros where you can get custom advice, premium content,
Speaker 1: industry leading mock drafts, manage multiple drafts, you subscribe, you comment,
Speaker 1: and you win. And that is how you can get
Speaker 1: locked in and while you're at it, go and download
Speaker 1: the My Playbook app. You get lineup assistance, waiver assistants,
Speaker 1: trade analyzers, league analyzers, get all of your leagues in
Speaker 1: one spot. It's actually maybe the most valuable fantasy tool
Speaker 1: in the entire land, so you can manage all your
Speaker 1: fantasy lineups, dominate your league. Download My Playbook and of
Speaker 1: course subscribe, comment for your chance to win, and get
Speaker 1: yourself hooked up with a little bit of premium content
Speaker 1: over on Fantasy Pros. Do that, my friends. Let's talk
Speaker 1: about some stats, maybe a little bit more quickly. I'm
Speaker 1: a little bit more drowning out and drawing out things
Speaker 1: than Joe Is. How about Jeffrey Springs. Jeffrey Springs six innings,
Speaker 1: twelve k's on just eighty one pitches. Here's my take,
Speaker 1: real quick, Ryan Is. I had my DMS lit up
Speaker 1: about Dylan cease because I had Dylan Ceese's a bus
Speaker 1: and everyone's like, hey, look at this, look at that.
Speaker 1: But when I celebrate being the most right person on
Speaker 1: the planet about Jeffrey Springs, I'm not allowed to celebrate.
Speaker 1: So here's the deal. You don't get it both ways.
Speaker 1: You get to pick one either you don't get to
Speaker 1: hassle me about something I'm wrong about, or you get
Speaker 1: to and I also get to throw it in your
Speaker 1: face when I'm so right about Jeffrey Springs, who look
Speaker 1: like the best picture in baseball. So I'm just pointing
Speaker 1: it out there because Sunday was a good day of
Speaker 1: Jeffrey Springs and Corbyn Carroll. Maybe that was Saturday. There's
Speaker 1: a good weekend of Welsh right things outside of newt
Speaker 1: Bar not playing Ryan. So just wanted to throw that
Speaker 1: out because Jeffrey Springs looked mighty, mighty mighty guys.
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, quickly, I fully agree.
Speaker 3: And also, well, yeah, first of all, like you either
Speaker 3: are allowed to react to these opening games or you're not,
Speaker 3: Like you can't, like you said, overreact to one and
Speaker 3: not the other.
Speaker 1: But number one comment, I keep saying, that's fine that
Speaker 1: it was against the Tigers. Here's my but I don't
Speaker 1: mean to interrupt you. It's fine that it was against
Speaker 1: the Tigers. But good pitchers play well, they do good
Speaker 1: against bad teams. Great pitchers play great against bad teams,
Speaker 1: and that is what he did. And that is my
Speaker 1: main point. It is like, cool, it's against the Tigers.
Speaker 1: He's not gonna strike out twelve every day, but like
Speaker 1: hit a a no hitter through five and struck out
Speaker 1: twelve against the Tigers. Great pictures should do that, And
Speaker 1: that's what's so fun about it.
Speaker 2: I love that.
Speaker 3: That's so that's the exact point I was going to
Speaker 3: make before you very politely interrupted me, which is that, yes,
Speaker 3: this is this is what a great pitcher would do
Speaker 3: against a bad team. I don't care that it was
Speaker 3: a bad team, because he didn't look just good or
Speaker 3: fine or decent. He looked awesome. That is like great teams,
Speaker 3: great players being great against terrible teams. That's a key
Speaker 3: way of how you know they are great. I'm a
Speaker 3: big college basketball guy. That's that's a key tenant of
Speaker 3: ken Pom, which is revolutionized a sport.
Speaker 2: Like if you're.
Speaker 3: Really really good at something, you should utterly dominate the
Speaker 3: people who are really bad at it. And that's what
Speaker 3: happened with Springs against the Tigers. I'm really excited about it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you on that one. So it
Speaker 1: was a very very good start the three up. Definitely
Speaker 1: the top of the three up of the best performances.
Speaker 1: Adam Devall phenomenal eight for fourteen five seventy one, two homers,
Speaker 1: eight RBI for thriving in Boston. This is another one
Speaker 1: of those like you can probably buy in on Adam
Speaker 1: Deval and then I'm gonna just throw out Brendan Donovan
Speaker 1: five for fourteen three fifty seven, two homers, four RBI
Speaker 1: been leading off because newpar has been out. Who are
Speaker 1: you more excited about Donovan or Daval? And the reason
Speaker 1: I asked that too is because Deval is very acquirable,
Speaker 1: probably still out on the wire in a lot of spots,
Speaker 1: probably you know, got picked up in a few over
Speaker 1: the last couple of days. But who are you more
Speaker 1: invested in Daval, in that Boston lineup and that Boston
Speaker 1: ballpark or Brendan Donovan.
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a good point on the fact that Duval
Speaker 3: is more acquiable right now.
Speaker 2: Donovan is the guy I have more of. I don't.
Speaker 3: I actually think I have Daval anywhere. Donovan's a guy
Speaker 3: I have more of and was really excited about. Obviously,
Speaker 3: the positional flexibility is just fantastic and really exciting, especially
Speaker 3: if you're in a league with smaller benches, daily lineups,
Speaker 3: you know, any sort of scenario where you can take
Speaker 3: advantage of that flexibility. I love him and I thought
Speaker 3: he could take you know, a step forward in the
Speaker 3: power department this year. He has to start the year obviously,
Speaker 3: like they trust him enough with new bar out to
Speaker 3: put him at the top of the lineup.
Speaker 2: Like I'm really excited about Donovan.
Speaker 3: There's always one like Hitter who's kind of past his
Speaker 3: prime you don't expect much of who just roasts the Orioles.
Speaker 3: It's been like Randal Gritch of can pass years. It
Speaker 3: just seems like it's going to be Duval this year.
Speaker 3: I'm like fully prepared for every Boston Baltimore series to
Speaker 3: end up with Duval hitting like three bombs and ten RBI.
Speaker 3: I didn't quite do that this time, but I still Again,
Speaker 3: I like your point about him being very acquireable and
Speaker 3: I would be looking to get him.
Speaker 2: But I like Donovan better of the two.
Speaker 1: Gotta be curious in the chat. Put it in there
Speaker 1: who you like Donovan or Adam Davall. We already had
Speaker 1: a Donovan in here. Be curious what you got on
Speaker 1: the stat downs. Chris Bassett lit up three and one
Speaker 1: thirds niner and runs ten k's I'm worried because Velo
Speaker 1: was down and spin was down across the board. This
Speaker 1: also happened in spring training, so he is an actual
Speaker 1: worry after one start for me, maybe not for everybody else.
Speaker 1: Chris Sale gave up seven and runs and three innings
Speaker 1: with three homers, and Alex Bregman oh for sixteen with
Speaker 1: seven strikeouts. One of those guys are major worry for you.
Speaker 2: I would say Bassett and Sale more concerning to me
Speaker 2: than Bregman. Bragmany.
Speaker 3: We've seen him go through prolongs slung plumps before he
Speaker 3: always breaks out of it.
Speaker 2: I'm not doubting him at all. But the two pitchers,
Speaker 2: they're a little more concerned.
Speaker 1: All right, my friends, let's go and take a look
Speaker 1: at a little bit of Prize Picks. Yes, we are
Speaker 1: getting down with it, the sponsor of our podcast because
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Speaker 1: pretty good so far, We've had some pretty good ones.
Speaker 1: I don't know if you guys are all playing, hopefully
Speaker 1: you are along with us. Why don't we get yours?
Speaker 1: As the chat has reminded me, I've done lots of talking,
Speaker 1: so let's get yours to start, and then I will
Speaker 1: give give mine.
Speaker 3: Yes, I actually don't recall how I did on Friday's
Speaker 3: show on my prize picks, so I'll have to go
Speaker 3: back and check that and and see how I did.
Speaker 3: But for today, I have Byron Bucks did more than
Speaker 3: one and a half hits runs RBI.
Speaker 2: It's Marlins. Bucks is just a guy.
Speaker 3: Like when he's healthy, I'm pretty much always going to
Speaker 3: buy on him, you know, being great, and now he's
Speaker 3: health reed Debt Mers I'm going under four and a
Speaker 3: half hits allowed against the Mariners. Debt Meurs is another
Speaker 3: one of these sleeper pitchers that a lot of people
Speaker 3: got in the mid to late rounds and drafts that
Speaker 3: there was a ton of hype about.
Speaker 2: I was a part of that hype. I'm very excited
Speaker 2: about him this year.
Speaker 3: So we'll see, you know, if he can start off
Speaker 3: strong there and then Rasmussen is a guy that I
Speaker 3: really liked having last year.
Speaker 2: I always worry about.
Speaker 3: You know, just how much the Rais are going to
Speaker 3: actually let him go deep into games. But he did
Speaker 3: go deeper into games in the second half last season.
Speaker 3: He had a couple of outings in August and early
Speaker 3: September where he was striking out seven, eight, nine, ten guys.
Speaker 3: So to only need to get more than four strikeouts
Speaker 3: here against the lowly Nationals, I'm very excited about that
Speaker 3: one as well. So Buckston more than one and a
Speaker 3: half hits, runs RBI, debt Mers less than four and
Speaker 3: a half hits allowed fewer and more than four strikeouts
Speaker 3: for res Muson.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with that. I have some similar stuff in here.
Speaker 1: This is actually one of my favorite ones. I have
Speaker 1: a little one that I did for bigger money on
Speaker 1: Debtmers and Rasmusen strikeout over this one my official play though,
Speaker 1: I'm going with Wander Franco Fantasy score eight and a half.
Speaker 1: I love the matchup Oniell Cruz Fantasy score of six
Speaker 1: and a half. I love Oneal Cruz today and I'm
Speaker 1: going to read Debtmers five and a half k's more.
Speaker 1: Those are my three prize picks that I'm putting together,
Speaker 1: and I love them very much. And like I said,
Speaker 1: I'm also playing the smaller side of ras musen in
Speaker 1: him as a little solo two to one. If you
Speaker 1: guys want to do the prize picks promo code leading
Speaker 1: off download play along with us. That also leads to
Speaker 1: our bets, So I'm kind of tailing a little bit
Speaker 1: of these. I've got Oneal Cruz total bases plus one fifteen.
Speaker 1: You can get that over at Caesars right now. I've
Speaker 1: got Debtmers five and a half strikeouts over which I
Speaker 1: got it is minus minus one ten, but I really
Speaker 1: like it. Actually think the George Kirby number is interesting too.
Speaker 1: The reason is the Mariners, I believe, are in the
Speaker 1: top ten of most strikeouts, maybe in the top five
Speaker 1: of most strikeouts so far this season. So even if
Speaker 1: Kirby outduels him, I actually like your no hits one
Speaker 1: are the your four and a half hits, But the
Speaker 1: strikeout one for Debt feels great. And I really like
Speaker 1: Corbyn Carrol Stile in base today it's plus two forty.
Speaker 1: Last night, by the way, it was in the four
Speaker 1: hundreds and we missed out opportunity today, but it's still
Speaker 1: plus two forty and my last one is Drew mash
Speaker 1: Muse and strikeouts, which we've been talking about four and
Speaker 1: a half plus one twenty three on fan Duel. So, Ryan,
Speaker 1: what do you got on your best plays? Your best's
Speaker 1: which everyone can check out over on the prop cheat
Speaker 1: sheet over at Fantasy Pros, which I highly suggest you do.
Speaker 1: Adam Davall actually leads the way of their favorite projected
Speaker 1: play at point five total bases, which is minus one sixty.
Speaker 1: You'd have to play, but go check out the prop
Speaker 1: cheat teet yourself.
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely.
Speaker 3: I like all of your picks, honesty, and I like
Speaker 3: all the names that I already listened in prize picks,
Speaker 3: but for the sake of picking some other names, I
Speaker 3: have Marcus Simeon over half an RBI against the Orioles
Speaker 3: that's plus one seventy five. I actually like Kyle Bradish
Speaker 3: a lot, but the defense has not been very good
Speaker 3: for the Orioles and the bullpen has not been very
Speaker 3: good for the Orioles, So I like SAME's chance of
Speaker 3: getting an RBI in that one.
Speaker 2: Mookie Betts.
Speaker 3: I also have getting an RBI that's against the Rockies
Speaker 3: plus one seventy. Bobaschet been really hot start the year
Speaker 3: over one and a half hits against the Royals, that's
Speaker 3: plus one forty eight. And then I threw in a
Speaker 3: fourth one here and we talked about Debtburs and we
Speaker 3: talked about Kirby. I have the under seven and a
Speaker 3: half total runs in the Angels Mariners game with Debtmvers
Speaker 3: and Kirby going head to head.
Speaker 1: What was that last one? I think I might have
Speaker 1: taken under Oh you know what, that's funny. I took
Speaker 1: the three and a half on the first five under. Well,
Speaker 1: I really like that one. So I like your bet,
Speaker 1: and I like first five to not get to the
Speaker 1: bullpen there. And by the way, chat blowing up here
Speaker 1: with lots of good stuff. I like all your guys's takes,
Speaker 1: especially where was it. Ron's is the best about I
Speaker 1: am the man, of course, so thank you very much.
Speaker 2: Ron.
Speaker 1: Richard's got me worried though, thinking that we might and
Speaker 1: a couple people that Deptvers might get lit all right
Speaker 1: quickly On the DFS side, I've only got a couple players,
Speaker 1: really dig Miguel Vargas two point three on DK Chas
Speaker 1: McCormick is one of those stolen base guys. He's got
Speaker 1: three early on and the Astros broadcasting was talking about
Speaker 1: how he has the absolute green light and he is
Speaker 1: stealing at will. He's two point six of like Drew
Speaker 1: Respusen in wherever lineup you can get him. What do
Speaker 1: you like on the fan duel dk DFS.
Speaker 2: What do you got a couple guys I like. I
Speaker 2: do like a couple of the Orioles.
Speaker 3: Adlely has one for ten since that opening day bonanza,
Speaker 3: but just thirty six hundred. I think he's my favorite
Speaker 3: catcher on the board there. Nolan Gorman has been really good,
Speaker 3: just twenty five hundred. You know the cost for him.
Speaker 3: He obviously has had a really strong start to the year.
Speaker 3: Is a talented player. I do have Bradish as sort
Speaker 3: of a lower end pitcher there that I like to
Speaker 3: get some value on. Austin Riley's low start to the season.
Speaker 3: I like him, Hora Matteo that obviously he's got the
Speaker 3: finger issue.
Speaker 2: This is if he plays.
Speaker 3: I just think he's going to get like two stolen
Speaker 3: bases basically every game he starts and went healthy. That
Speaker 3: glove is going to keep him in the lineup even
Speaker 3: at the bat's struggling a bit. And then you know,
Speaker 3: I like to go in on outfielders as my big spenders.
Speaker 3: So George Springer thirty eight hundred and Yoshida thirty two hundred,
Speaker 3: I like what I've seen from him to start the year.
Speaker 2: Two.
Speaker 1: Last up here is the home run calls, my friends.
Speaker 1: We also have a leading off group that you can
Speaker 1: check out on Betting Pros with a contest for MLB
Speaker 1: picks if you want to check it out Leaderboard for
Speaker 1: Mob Picks, and we're giving away a free subscription to
Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros two monthly leaders, So go
Speaker 1: and check that out over on Betting Pros. And of course,
Speaker 1: if you guys are on the premium, you can get
Speaker 1: in the discord where you can make your home run
Speaker 1: calls and you can be a rock star like some
Speaker 1: of our freakin' rock stars here. We already have a
Speaker 1: four homer guy. We're gonna have the graphics up here
Speaker 1: very soon. We're gonna be announcing the prize. I think
Speaker 1: I'm actually gonna be able to help out with announcing
Speaker 1: the prize here in the next day or two. But
Speaker 1: BHB Daddy has four along with b Stros seventeen. They
Speaker 1: both have four. Houston, Joe Zamboni and Randy have three,
Speaker 1: and I do see Wonky up there with two, and
Speaker 1: may I note that I technically would have two if
Speaker 1: I followed my heart. I keep following my head, and
Speaker 1: my head is zero for two. My heart is two
Speaker 1: for two, and that takes us to the home run calls,
Speaker 1: and I hate to do this. I've got it again.
Speaker 1: I've got a head and a heart call, so I
Speaker 1: don't know if I flip. At the end of the day.
Speaker 1: My head call is Juan Soto up against Ryan Nelson
Speaker 1: with the Diamondbacks. My heart call is O'Neill cruise worm.
Speaker 1: So what should I do? You tell me what do
Speaker 1: I do here? Give me advice? Do I flip the coin?
Speaker 1: Do I do the opposite? Do I go with my head?
Speaker 3: I say, you do whatever is the opposite of what
Speaker 3: you've been doing, because it has it worked so far.
Speaker 1: So I should flip the coin and do the opposite
Speaker 1: of what it says.
Speaker 3: Yes, yes, So like Georgian Sidefeld, you flip the coin
Speaker 3: and just do the opposite.
Speaker 1: Heads of soda tails is onio cruise, Let's go. It's heads.
Speaker 1: So we're going with onell Cruise, we're going on it.
Speaker 1: Let's say we're not going with one Soda. Who was
Speaker 1: my pick? It's official on'ell cruise. Put it on the board. Worm,
Speaker 1: you probably have a much better system than me. Let's
Speaker 1: let's hear you get because you do have a homer
Speaker 1: on you on the contest.
Speaker 3: Well, first of all, I've now never been rooting harder
Speaker 3: for Want Soda a Tato home run tonight. But uh,
Speaker 3: and also I will say my system is clearly not better.
Speaker 3: Because I couldn't take an Oriol on Friday they weren't playing.
Speaker 3: I had to start off my year of taking Oil
Speaker 3: as soon as I could. I'm not going to do
Speaker 3: that every time, but I'm going to take an Oil here.
Speaker 3: I'm taking Gutter Henderson, who has gotten a lot of
Speaker 3: hate in the and deservedly so.
Speaker 2: He's obviously been terrible this year.
Speaker 3: I saw he's got a base with the walks but
Speaker 3: doesn't have a hit yet this season.
Speaker 2: He's been really bad.
Speaker 3: I believe in the talent. I did want to take
Speaker 3: Adlee Because's why I would have taken it up Thursday,
Speaker 3: and it worked out. So technically, I feel like I
Speaker 3: should be on the board with two as well. But no,
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take Guttary. This is a pure homer pick.
Speaker 3: I will admit it through and through. I just think
Speaker 3: the talent's degree, he's gonna figure it out. I'm not
Speaker 3: like worried about him long term or anything, and I
Speaker 3: promise tomorrow I will not take it, Nora.
Speaker 2: But I had to get at least one in as
Speaker 2: soon as I could.
Speaker 1: Doctor Glenn said, Wansoa is gonna hit the longest homer
Speaker 1: of the season tonight. It's literally the opposite. I would also,
Speaker 1: I would like an opposite Welsh tracker. I would like
Speaker 1: my other identity, my other personality. It's like Juckal and Hyde.
Speaker 1: Let's have a Jucklin Hide season. Let's see how Welsh
Speaker 1: Heart does versus Welsh Head. I don't know what we
Speaker 1: would put this up as because I flipped the coin
Speaker 1: and technically I'm I guess I am going with my
Speaker 1: heart now with Onyo Cruiz, So we'll check it all out.
Speaker 1: We'll have graphics up soon. We've got Worm back tomorrow,
Speaker 1: and we've got you guys. Whether you love us or
Speaker 1: hate us, we love you. So thank you guys for
Speaker 1: hanging out with us today, getting you set for this week.
Speaker 1: Go set your lineups, by the way, lots of good
Speaker 1: fab out there, and we will be back again tomorrow
Speaker 1: for all the prize picks, all the bets, and all
Speaker 1: the latest news right here, and leading off, I am
Speaker 1: the Welsh, that is the worm, and I'm gonna go
Speaker 1: beat Joey.
Speaker 2: P Yeah, tell Joe I said, hello, I know I will.
Speaker 1: Dude in the maybe you know what, maybe he'll get
Speaker 1: stuck in the escape or maybe he'll never escape. Let's
Speaker 1: see who escapes first. All right, we're out of here. Guys,
Speaker 1: have a great one. We'll talk to you tomorrow. By bye.