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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Monday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all socials at Sports Talk. Matt in this pockets being ruty.

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Speaker 2: But Omaha Steaks dot com, we're juice at checkout. That

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Speaker 2: promo code takes ten dollars off your order at Omaha

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Speaker 2: Steaks dot com. All right, not a good week. I'm

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Speaker 2: not even gonna do the accounting because it was a

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Speaker 2: losing week. I know it was a losing week. We're

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Speaker 2: just gonna flush that week and move on. It was

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Speaker 2: not a good week. We go oh and three yesterday,

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Speaker 2: both college baseball bets wrong. I knew I was in

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Speaker 2: trouble when I got up in the morning and the

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Speaker 2: line had steamed against both bets. I was like, uh oh,

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Speaker 2: that's not good because really, to move a line in

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Speaker 2: a college baseball game, that's sharp money. Okay, that's the

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Speaker 2: pros are moving that line, not the public. So I

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Speaker 2: was annoyed with that, and then my.

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Speaker 1: Gosh, the fever.

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Speaker 2: They were lucky to win that, but the Chicago Sky,

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Speaker 2: I mean, they are so caught up in things that

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Speaker 2: do not matter for basketball. It's incredible in the whining.

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Speaker 2: Someone tell Andrew Reese to shut up. I mean, my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 2: crying about whistles. How about you don't hit somebody over

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Speaker 2: the head with your elbow intentionally, Like what are you doing?

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Speaker 2: So zher and three there. But it's not all bad news.

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Speaker 2: Russell Henley comes in top ten. You got that. Even

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Speaker 2: if you bet on books that had the dead heat rules,

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Speaker 2: you catch that five point fifty. So that was huge

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Speaker 2: to win two point seventy five units right there. We

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Speaker 2: almost got it. We almost if Bryson had bogeyed eighteen

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Speaker 2: and we went to a playoff. But that bunker shot,

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Speaker 2: My gosh, what a shot, what a play, what a round,

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Speaker 2: What a recovery for Bryson, Das Schambeau, second US Open

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Speaker 2: for him, hell of a shot on eighteen to go

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Speaker 2: up and down to win the US Open.

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Speaker 1: If he bogets that, if she bogetes.

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Speaker 2: That, it's five and we have Rory and Bryson in

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Speaker 2: a playoff, and that means five under would have won

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Speaker 2: the tournament. So we would have cashed the bet, the

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Speaker 2: one point three to five unit bet on over or

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Speaker 2: the score being worse than six under to win the thing.

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Speaker 2: Six hundred and six under won the things. We got

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Speaker 2: hooked on that damn good number by the sports books

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Speaker 2: for two seventy four and a half.

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Speaker 1: It fell.

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Speaker 2: It fell to seventy four, so books are good. We

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Speaker 2: lost that on one point three five. We lost willye

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Speaker 2: z a half a unit there, and then Henley comes

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Speaker 2: in and wins the two point seventy five units for us.

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Speaker 2: We win about a unit a point nine to five

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Speaker 2: on that, So we go down, you know, three point

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Speaker 2: four on the day, but then we come back and

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Speaker 2: win a unit. So two point four units down yesterday.

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Speaker 2: So obviously losing day, losing week not great. So let's

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Speaker 2: just move on to Monday. All NBA boys, this is

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Speaker 2: it and girls, this is it. This is the last bet.

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Speaker 2: This is going to be the end of the NBA

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Speaker 2: season in my opinion. So I'm going to only bet

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Speaker 2: on the NBA the first bet we were making, and

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Speaker 2: these are going to be kind of rinse and repeat bets, guys,

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Speaker 2: I don't need to handicap this much. First half team

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Speaker 2: total Boston Celtics at home, fifty five and a half over.

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Speaker 2: Now here's the thing I'm going to bet more than

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Speaker 2: a unit. I'm gonna officially bet a unit, but I'm

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Speaker 2: on this for more than a unit. This is my

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Speaker 2: favorite bet of the night. Okay, I will be stunned

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Speaker 2: if the Boston Celtics do not come out on fire

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Speaker 2: in the first half. Stunned if they don't. It's a

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Speaker 2: series in Boston's in trouble. Boston was due to lay

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Speaker 2: an egg. Boston was due to get humbled, and that's

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Speaker 2: what happened in Game four. But now you're home for

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Speaker 2: Game five, and Boston off of double digit losses. They

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Speaker 2: lost two games by twenty plus points in the regular season.

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Speaker 2: They won the next game by thirty two and sixteen points.

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Speaker 2: They're four and one on the year coming off of

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Speaker 2: double digit losses.

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Speaker 1: Now it's the playoffs. It's the NBA Finals. I get

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Speaker 1: all of that. However, this is a Celtics.

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Speaker 2: Team that had won ten great ten games straight in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs, like they were due to lay an egg. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so now they're at home, everyone's gonna say the pressure

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Speaker 2: is all on Boston if Luca and company win this game.

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Speaker 1: Oh my god. Okay, all very true.

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Speaker 2: Boston Celtics team total over first half fifty five and

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Speaker 2: a half. I think Boston scores sixty. I think you

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Speaker 2: could ladder this, okay. I think Boston's gonna hit a

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Speaker 2: lot of shots tonight, hit a lot of threes. I

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Speaker 2: think you could look at you know, made threes by

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Speaker 2: Derek White, made threes by Jason Tatum, made threes by

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Speaker 2: Al Horford. I have no idea if Persingis plays, why,

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Speaker 2: I mean, hold him for game seven. Like, you lose

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Speaker 2: game five, you gotta go to Dallas, You'll probably lose

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Speaker 2: Game six, You'll come back home for a game seven,

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Speaker 2: then play per singas like.

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Speaker 1: It looks like a decoy to me.

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Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna play, But I mean that's

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Speaker 2: that Game seven is scheduled for I think Sunday of

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Speaker 2: next weekend, so like I think it's Monday, Thursday, Sunday.

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Speaker 1: I think it's how it's scheduled.

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Speaker 2: So I one hundred percent would play him in game seven.

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Speaker 2: I would not play him in game five. I would

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Speaker 2: not play him in game six. I'd play him in

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Speaker 2: game seven, but I don't think we're going to a

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Speaker 2: game six or seven for that matter. Celtics first half

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Speaker 2: team total over fifty five and a half for one

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Speaker 2: point one units. Bet that again. You can ladder that.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna be on that for more than a unit.

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Speaker 2: But that's my favorite play of the night. Second bet

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Speaker 2: game over half a unit. It's two oh nine. I

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Speaker 2: bet this over because I think we've hit the basements.

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Speaker 2: I think two oh nine is the low. Okay, we've

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Speaker 2: seen this number and it's been remarkable. I mean, you

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Speaker 2: talk about Dallas being an under team at home. All

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Speaker 2: four games have gone under and we've been on them. Okay,

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Speaker 2: we've been just you know, rinse and repeat here when

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Speaker 2: it comes to the under. In this series, however, five

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Speaker 2: straight unders for the Boston Celtics. We've got four straight unders,

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Speaker 2: five out of six for Dallas. But the Celtics at

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Speaker 2: home this year, we're twenty eight and twenty three to

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Speaker 2: the over Boston. In Game one, it went under, but

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Speaker 2: it was one oh seven eighty nine and one oh

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Speaker 2: five ninety eight. We're approaching this number where you're like, okay,

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Speaker 2: we're down to two oh nine. It's a closeout game

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Speaker 2: at home where if Boston hits their threes, the question

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Speaker 2: is going to be how many points will Dallas score?

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Speaker 2: Because Dallas scored one hundred and twenty two points. That

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Speaker 2: was the first time they scored over one hundred points

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Speaker 2: in this series. If they don't get to one hundred

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Speaker 2: points tonight, they can't win. They've got so like, I'm

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Speaker 2: only gonna place a half a unit on this. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is a light bet. This is not a bet

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna make heavily. Here. The last time Dallas had

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Speaker 2: a two to oh nine total was in the closeout

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Speaker 2: game on the road against the Timberwolves in Game five,

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Speaker 2: in which they scored one hundred and twenty four points

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Speaker 2: and the game went over by eighteen points. So I

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Speaker 2: am going to just say, all right, both offenses may

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Speaker 2: be hot tonight, let's go over too oh nine. But

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Speaker 2: I don't love it. Okay, half a unit. I'm only

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Speaker 2: playing a half a unit on it. Now, What am

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Speaker 2: I doing with the other half a unit? Boston Celtics

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Speaker 2: minus six and a half. We're gonna bet this to

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Speaker 2: and a half a unit, Okay, So it's basically zero

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Speaker 2: point five to five okay on both those bets. I

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Speaker 2: think if Boston wins, Boston covers, I think this game

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Speaker 2: could look very similar to Game one. Okay, I don't

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Speaker 2: think it's as big of a blowout. The game one

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Speaker 2: total was two to seventeen and a half. To give

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Speaker 2: you an idea, it went under by twenty one and

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Speaker 2: a half points. Boston's gooring one hundred and seven points.

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Speaker 2: It was one oh seven eighty nine. I don't think

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Speaker 2: Boston's going to be up by twenty points in this game.

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's gonna be like that. But I

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Speaker 2: do think Boston has a really good shot of winning

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Speaker 2: this game by double digits. They have covered six and

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Speaker 2: a half in every game that they've won in this series.

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Speaker 2: Game one, Game two, Game three, they won by seven,

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Speaker 2: they won by seven, and they won by what eighteen? Okay,

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Speaker 2: when they lost they got housed.

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Speaker 1: They win.

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Speaker 2: I think they cover half a unit Boston Celtics minus

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Speaker 2: six and a half. Celtics to win and cover. Now

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Speaker 2: two bets to get into here for us on the game.

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Speaker 2: Two prop bets to get into for us here on

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Speaker 2: the game. Luca Donchet's point total is thirty two and

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Speaker 2: a half. Luca has not hit this point total yet

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Speaker 2: in this series. They keep on putting up thirty two

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Speaker 2: and a half. The public keeps on betting it over.

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Speaker 2: It keeps on losing. It's zero to four. Does Luca

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Speaker 2: go crazy? Maybe, but Luca's stamina is a problem. Thirty

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Speaker 2: eight minutes, forty two minutes, thirty eight minutes, thirty three minutes.

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Speaker 2: In the second half, the drugs wear off. Okay, the

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Speaker 2: drugs wear off. In the first half, he feels great.

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Speaker 2: The drugs are there, his back, in his knee, feel great.

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Speaker 2: You get to the second half, o oh, can't give

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Speaker 2: him any more drugs. It wears off. He isn't nearly

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Speaker 2: as effective. He hurts, he's sore, he's tired. Under thirty

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Speaker 2: two and a half points, Luka donchetz bet to win

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Speaker 2: and a half a unit in mines one to ten.

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Speaker 1: We're going under.

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Speaker 2: Keep the streak alive, Luca under thirty two and a

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Speaker 2: half points, and then if Perzingis doesn't play, or if

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Speaker 2: he's just you know, he doesn't warm up, doesn't run around,

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Speaker 2: he's not playing. Okay, you can wait to bet this

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Speaker 2: if you want, because I don't think the number is

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Speaker 2: gonna move howser over one and a half threes. This

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Speaker 2: guy's been awesome for us. He's just been great, and

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Speaker 2: I think he's going to continue to be great. I

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Speaker 2: think he's to continue to catch this bet for us.

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Speaker 2: It's minus one oh eight. Now we don't get plus

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Speaker 2: money anymore. Right, we got plus one twenty four, then

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Speaker 2: we got plus one oh five. This is now minus

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Speaker 2: one oh eight. The numbers not moving, the juice is moving.

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Speaker 2: But I like Hawser. I like Hawser to get some

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Speaker 2: run here. As long as we do not see perzingis

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Speaker 2: in the game, I think Hawser will be off the bench. Defensively, offensively,

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Speaker 2: I think he'll get a bunch of shots. I mean, look,

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Speaker 2: even it was a blowout, I know, but Hawser has

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Speaker 2: been getting looks and they've been looking for him off

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Speaker 2: the bench to take threes. I mean Hawser took four threes, sorry,

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Speaker 2: six threes in Game three, our game four brother four

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Speaker 2: of six, hit four of them. We just need two, right,

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Speaker 2: He hit three in Game three, he hit two in

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Speaker 2: Game two. Sam Hauser over one and a half made

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Speaker 2: threes minus. Want to wait Bett to win a half

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Speaker 2: a unit. And that is how we're going to approach

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Speaker 2: this day today. I'm not betting baseball, I'm not betting

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Speaker 2: anything else. All on basketball here, and let's see if

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Speaker 2: the NBA season comes to a close here tonight at home.

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Speaker 2: The Boston Celtics were thirty seven and four in the

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Speaker 2: regular season, in the playoffs or in the regular season,

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Speaker 2: rather thirty seven and four. That is an unbelievable home record. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Dallas wasn't bat on the road twenty five and sixteen.

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Speaker 2: But this is a big moment for both Jalen and

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Speaker 2: Jason Brown, Tatum and Jason Brown. This is a big

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Speaker 2: moment for everyone in a Celtic uniform. And look, Dallas

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Speaker 2: might come out and punch him in the mouth early.

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Speaker 2: It wouldn't be shocked here. Okay, six and a half.

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Speaker 2: You can take Dallas plus six and a half and

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Speaker 2: look to get a better number in game and then

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Speaker 2: go ahead and even get Boston on the plus side too.

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Speaker 2: You can play that if you want. I'm also going

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Speaker 2: to say you may you have over two oh nine.

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Speaker 2: If we get off to like a wicked fast start

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Speaker 2: and get them saying that on purpose you'd off to

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Speaker 2: a wicked fast start. You could get to ten to

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Speaker 2: twenty to thirty, depends how fast the game starts. Okay,

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Speaker 2: and bed under if you want to look to middle

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Speaker 2: it like we've been doing ten points. If we get

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Speaker 2: an in game two nineteen bed under you have over

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Speaker 2: two oh nine under two nineteen Okay, not bad. Fourth

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Speaker 2: quarter has slowed down dramatically, by the way, fourth quarter

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Speaker 2: scoring is like fifty points. For whatever reason, these teams

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Speaker 2: don't score in the fourth quarter. It slows down big time.

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Speaker 2: So if we're entering the fourth quarter and there were

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Speaker 2: somewhere like a pacing like two twenty two twenty one

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Speaker 2: or something like that, you could feel pretty good about a.

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Speaker 1: Under coming in here in this game.

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Speaker 2: So full unit play one point one units Celtics team

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Speaker 2: total over fifty five and a half in the first half.

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Speaker 2: Half a unit Boston minus six and a half, half

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Speaker 2: a unit over two oh nine, half a unit Luca

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Speaker 2: under thirty two and a half points, half a unit

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Speaker 2: Houser over one and a half threes made here. Let's

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Speaker 2: see what happens in Game five of the NBA Finals.

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Speaker 2: If we had a game six, I think Dallas wins

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Speaker 2: Game six and we're going to a game seven. So

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Speaker 2: this is either a game five over or we're going

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Speaker 2: seven in the NBA Finals, and a whole lot of

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Speaker 2: pressure will be on the Boston Celtics. They forced Miami

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Speaker 2: to play seven, but Miami is still one in seven Boston.

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Speaker 2: And by the way, if this does go seven, we

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Speaker 2: win the Mavericks plus one and a half.

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Speaker 1: Bet right.

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Speaker 2: I picked Boston in seven. That's what was my prediction.

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Speaker 2: Let's see if we go to seven, does an end

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Speaker 2: tonight or do we potentially go back to Boston next weekend.

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Speaker 2: Mine's Matt Parol follow because all socials at Sports Talk

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Speaker 2: Matt every morning DLJUS podcast. I was being brought to

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Speaker 2: you by omah stakes dot Com