WEBVTT - 8/3/26: Trump Backs Down On Iran Strikes, US Forced Out Of Iraq, Munitions Run Low Amid War 0:00:00.080 --> 0:00:01.599 Hey guys, Saga and Crystal here. 0:00:01.680 --> 0:00:05.240 Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 0:00:05.360 --> 0:00:07.840 and we are so excited about what that means for 0:00:07.880 --> 0:00:08.720 the future of the show. 0:00:08.880 --> 0:00:10.760 This is the only place where you can find honest 0:00:10.760 --> 0:00:13.239 perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 0:00:13.320 --> 0:00:14.680 not exist anywhere else. 0:00:14.760 --> 0:00:17.080 So if that is something that's important to you, please 0:00:17.120 --> 0:00:19.599 go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 0:00:19.640 --> 0:00:22.800 you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free, 0:00:22.800 --> 0:00:25.600 and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 0:00:25.680 --> 0:00:27.560 We need your help to build the future of independent 0:00:27.560 --> 0:00:29.920 news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 0:00:29.960 --> 0:00:33.600 dot com. 0:00:33.880 --> 0:00:36.479 Good morning, everybody, Happy Monday. I have an amazing show 0:00:36.520 --> 0:00:37.839 for buddy today. What do we have, Crystal? 0:00:38.560 --> 0:00:39.239 Indeed we do. 0:00:39.320 --> 0:00:43.200 The Taco cycle continues on Iran. Trump backs down after 0:00:43.240 --> 0:00:45.519 making a series of extraordinary threats. 0:00:46.159 --> 0:00:47.720 Stop me if you've heard this one before. 0:00:47.800 --> 0:00:51.519 We'll break down the very latest here. Meanwhile, Top brass 0:00:51.560 --> 0:00:55.120 in military warning that we can choose. We can either 0:00:55.200 --> 0:00:58.200 protect Israel or we can protect the homeland. So that 0:00:58.240 --> 0:01:00.959 seems great. This comes as US four versus are withdrawing 0:01:01.200 --> 0:01:03.480 from a rock and a series of warnings have gone 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:06.880 out to embassies across the region. Connerson Max Miller is 0:01:07.000 --> 0:01:10.479 under fire for domestic abuse allegations. We've got some new 0:01:10.520 --> 0:01:14.480 details there and a wild video that he released doubling 0:01:14.520 --> 0:01:17.480 down and trying to defend himself. It appears that the 0:01:17.600 --> 0:01:20.880 US and Israel may have been behind a hybrid war 0:01:21.040 --> 0:01:24.480 up against Spain, possibly looking likely. 0:01:24.640 --> 0:01:26.120 We'll show you all the evidence. 0:01:26.160 --> 0:01:28.360 Van David Rojas is going to join us to break 0:01:28.360 --> 0:01:33.680 down what happened in Seyouta with this migrant quote unquote invasion. Meanwhile, 0:01:33.720 --> 0:01:36.280 New York is suing Calshi for the right to control 0:01:36.319 --> 0:01:39.800 gambling in their own state. This is a major, major 0:01:39.959 --> 0:01:42.240 lawsuit which will determine whether or not states have any 0:01:42.280 --> 0:01:45.160 say whatsoever in what is allowed to go in their 0:01:45.200 --> 0:01:46.400 state with regards to gambling. 0:01:46.480 --> 0:01:49.480 Yes, it is a landmark lawsuit. It will literally determine 0:01:49.520 --> 0:01:51.880 the fate of sports gambling nationwide and. 0:01:52.120 --> 0:01:56.080 Also give just people some details about how explosive. 0:01:55.480 --> 0:01:57.840 Gambling has become here in our society. 0:01:57.880 --> 0:01:59.920 Thank you to everybody who has been signing up Breaking 0:02:00.040 --> 0:02:02.559 Points at dot com. You can go ahead and sign 0:02:02.640 --> 0:02:05.720 up for our free newsletter. We have a big announcement 0:02:05.760 --> 0:02:08.520 actually that's coming tomorrow and that will be released on 0:02:08.560 --> 0:02:11.520 our newsletter for all of our subscribers. So it's totally 0:02:11.560 --> 0:02:13.680 free to be able to sign up Breakpoints dot Com, 0:02:13.760 --> 0:02:16.760 or you can support our premium subscription program, which is 0:02:16.800 --> 0:02:19.680 also available at our website. If you're watching this on YouTube, 0:02:19.680 --> 0:02:22.000 please hit subscribe to our YouTube channel. If you're listening 0:02:22.000 --> 0:02:25.080 to the podcast, please share an episode with a thread. 0:02:25.080 --> 0:02:28.120 But as Crystal said, let's go ahead and begin with 0:02:28.240 --> 0:02:31.919 Taco Sunday of what we saw. Let's put a one 0:02:32.080 --> 0:02:33.560 up here on the screen. 0:02:33.680 --> 0:02:34.040 Trump. 0:02:34.320 --> 0:02:37.680 The USA is locked and loaded, ready to go against 0:02:37.720 --> 0:02:41.200 the Islamic Republic of Iran at levels of military terror, 0:02:41.240 --> 0:02:42.520 strength and power not. 0:02:42.600 --> 0:02:43.960 Seen since World War Two. 0:02:44.400 --> 0:02:46.840 Despite this, we have just been asked by Iran and 0:02:46.880 --> 0:02:50.120 other Middle Eastern countries to hold off any attack in 0:02:50.160 --> 0:02:52.560 that the parameters of a deal has been agreed to. 0:02:53.000 --> 0:02:56.320 This would include the immediate, complete and total opening of 0:02:56.360 --> 0:02:59.400 the Horne moves straight and an end to Iran's nuclear threat. 0:03:00.160 --> 0:03:02.720 On this request, I have agreed, for the future benefit 0:03:02.760 --> 0:03:05.600 of the world and likewise the survival of a successful 0:03:05.600 --> 0:03:08.840 and prosperous Iran, to cancel the attack subject to being 0:03:08.880 --> 0:03:11.600 able to rapidly make a deal. The country of Israel 0:03:11.680 --> 0:03:14.200 joins me in this commitment. Get to work, everybody, get 0:03:14.200 --> 0:03:16.120 it done. Thank you for your attention to this matter, 0:03:16.200 --> 0:03:17.120 President Donald J. 0:03:17.280 --> 0:03:17.640 Trump. 0:03:17.960 --> 0:03:22.800 So this comes on the heels of some leakage that 0:03:22.919 --> 0:03:25.440 came out of the White House. What we can now 0:03:25.560 --> 0:03:28.920 very clearly see was an op President Trump met on 0:03:29.080 --> 0:03:32.000 Friday with his entire cabinet in which he convened a 0:03:32.040 --> 0:03:36.040 big meeting about Iran. And in that meeting, what immediately 0:03:36.080 --> 0:03:39.240 came out and leaks to Axio, CBS News and otherwise 0:03:39.360 --> 0:03:43.080 was the US was planning a massive attack on Iran's 0:03:43.200 --> 0:03:46.800 energy infrastructure in conjunction with the nation of Israel. Now, 0:03:46.800 --> 0:03:49.440 immediately many people said, well, you know, if you were 0:03:49.480 --> 0:03:51.839 going to do a big attack, which you necessarily leak 0:03:51.880 --> 0:03:54.760 it in the first place, many speculated that it was 0:03:54.880 --> 0:03:57.360 indeed an opening and a threat to try and get 0:03:57.360 --> 0:04:01.080 Iran to capitulate. However, Iran did not capitulate, that they 0:04:01.160 --> 0:04:04.160 did not come to the table, no deal actually was reached, 0:04:04.240 --> 0:04:06.920 and when push came to shove, Trump ultimately just decided 0:04:06.920 --> 0:04:09.120 to cancel it because of the dire warnings from his 0:04:09.200 --> 0:04:12.320 own military. And we know this because Iran has released 0:04:12.360 --> 0:04:14.520 this let's put it up here on the screen. They 0:04:14.560 --> 0:04:17.960 say the plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is false. 0:04:18.400 --> 0:04:20.640 A source close to the nuclear negotiation team this is 0:04:20.640 --> 0:04:23.120 from Iranian state media told far As Media there is 0:04:23.200 --> 0:04:25.560 no agreement regarding the reopening the Strait of Hormuz. 0:04:25.680 --> 0:04:27.120 The news published about it is false. 0:04:27.320 --> 0:04:30.080 Furthermore, a military source emphasized, as long as the United 0:04:30.120 --> 0:04:33.640 States continues as hostile actions, the Strait of hormuves remains closed. 0:04:33.680 --> 0:04:36.039 The passes of ships will only be possible through the 0:04:36.040 --> 0:04:38.480 designated route and with permission from the Navy of the 0:04:38.520 --> 0:04:42.320 Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Hours ago, some media outlets affiliated 0:04:42.360 --> 0:04:45.120 with the enemy claimed Iran had agreed to reopening the 0:04:45.120 --> 0:04:47.800 Strait of Hormuz, a plan which ships would enter the 0:04:47.839 --> 0:04:50.960 Persian Gulf through the Iranian territorial waters and exit through 0:04:51.160 --> 0:04:55.239 Omani territorial waters. Basically crystal from what we can see 0:04:55.320 --> 0:04:58.440 so far is that this so called parameter of a 0:04:58.520 --> 0:05:02.040 deal is based upon a meeting in which nothing was 0:05:02.080 --> 0:05:05.719 agreed to between the Omani's and between the Iranians, in 0:05:05.760 --> 0:05:09.400 which they were hashing out for themselves whether ships were 0:05:09.400 --> 0:05:12.800 able to enter through Iran and exit through the Omani Route. Remember, 0:05:12.800 --> 0:05:15.039 the United States is currently trying to route all traffic 0:05:15.120 --> 0:05:19.279 through the Omani Route outside of Iranian territorial waters, of course, 0:05:19.320 --> 0:05:22.200 which has been met with Iranian fire because of their 0:05:22.400 --> 0:05:24.760 control of the Strait of Our Moose. In fact, just 0:05:24.920 --> 0:05:28.920 hours after this deal was supposedly announced, Iran fired at 0:05:28.920 --> 0:05:31.880 a tanker which was trying to do just that hours ago. 0:05:32.120 --> 0:05:34.440 As of last night, so nothing has actually been agreed to. 0:05:34.720 --> 0:05:37.680 The blockade is on Trump just completely basically. I mean, 0:05:37.800 --> 0:05:41.360 you know, chickened out because we want him to taco. 0:05:41.640 --> 0:05:44.960 We want that here on this show. But ultimately it 0:05:45.000 --> 0:05:49.120 came down to bluster threats didn't follow through because the 0:05:49.320 --> 0:05:52.400 entire Gulf was like, please do not do this. You 0:05:52.560 --> 0:05:56.560 can't defend us, and then our infrastructure will also be destroyed. 0:05:57.440 --> 0:05:59.360 Yeah, that's right, And I wouldn't be surprised at all 0:05:59.400 --> 0:06:02.960 because has agreed to nothing if they continue to take 0:06:03.000 --> 0:06:06.560 shots at strategic assets in the region, because you know, 0:06:06.680 --> 0:06:09.839 their view is that they need to continue to make 0:06:09.920 --> 0:06:12.880 us pay and force Trump to do more than chicken out, 0:06:12.920 --> 0:06:15.159 because it's not enough for him to just walk away 0:06:15.200 --> 0:06:19.000 from the current insane threat that he's making. He actually 0:06:19.040 --> 0:06:21.720 has to accept a defeat. And that's why you can 0:06:21.800 --> 0:06:25.760 never you can never dismiss these wild ravings from him. 0:06:25.960 --> 0:06:28.640 You know, we see assets moving to the region, we 0:06:28.680 --> 0:06:31.520 see him making these very public threats, we see leaks 0:06:31.560 --> 0:06:34.520 in the press about wild plans that are being hatched 0:06:34.560 --> 0:06:37.880 and considered in the situation room, and you can't dismiss it, 0:06:37.920 --> 0:06:40.120 even though we go through this cycle time and time again, 0:06:40.560 --> 0:06:44.840 because it's impossible to see him also accepting the deal 0:06:44.880 --> 0:06:46.960 that would be on the table, which would acknowledge that 0:06:47.000 --> 0:06:49.880 we have been completely defeated. So we're now in this 0:06:50.120 --> 0:06:52.640 no man's land where it is very precarious, where it 0:06:52.680 --> 0:06:55.280 is very uncertain what the next move is ultimately going 0:06:55.320 --> 0:06:58.240 to be, and you cannot rule out that he may 0:06:58.240 --> 0:07:01.440 get frustrated at some point and do some wild you know, 0:07:01.640 --> 0:07:05.360 nuclear attack on Pickaxe Mountain or try to seize carg Island, 0:07:05.360 --> 0:07:07.560 et cetera. Put a seven up on the screen. You 0:07:07.640 --> 0:07:09.560 flagged this this morning. I mean, this gives you a 0:07:09.600 --> 0:07:12.960 sense of just how desperate at of ideas they are. 0:07:12.960 --> 0:07:17.040 They've taken to like crowdsourcing strategies for an attack. 0:07:17.080 --> 0:07:18.440 Here, this is from CNN. 0:07:18.520 --> 0:07:22.200 They say exclusive US military as troops for creative and 0:07:22.360 --> 0:07:26.840 unconventional ideas to punish Iran. The request from a senior 0:07:26.880 --> 0:07:29.559 officer at the US military command carrying out President Donald 0:07:29.560 --> 0:07:32.920 Trump's war with Iran came in an email. We need ideas. 0:07:33.240 --> 0:07:35.840 We are looking for new, creative and unconventional ways to 0:07:35.880 --> 0:07:38.680 pressure and punish Iran, an officer and US sent Comm's 0:07:38.720 --> 0:07:41.080 intelligence branch wrote in a message sent Wednesday to a 0:07:41.120 --> 0:07:44.040 broad group of military analysts, according to a source familiar. 0:07:44.200 --> 0:07:47.040 Second source also said a senior US military officer sent 0:07:47.120 --> 0:07:49.800 the message last week, soliciting new ideas for how to 0:07:49.920 --> 0:07:54.440 deal with Iran. The crowdsourcing style query, which military officials 0:07:54.440 --> 0:07:58.160 said was unusual over email, is one sign of the 0:07:58.240 --> 0:08:01.960 limited and potentially unpalatable options available to Trump to force 0:08:01.960 --> 0:08:04.680 Iran into a deal on his terms. Hoping to find 0:08:04.720 --> 0:08:08.520 an alternative, official at Sencom kicked off the brainstorming session 0:08:08.600 --> 0:08:11.760 via email to see if anyone had a better idea. 0:08:12.120 --> 0:08:15.760 The second source SITCOM is looking at everything, acknowledging it 0:08:15.800 --> 0:08:20.560 needs to reevaluate the strategy. I mean this is wild, 0:08:20.680 --> 0:08:22.400 I mean saber, think about think about this? 0:08:22.920 --> 0:08:23.640 How long? 0:08:24.160 --> 0:08:28.160 How many decades has the US military been thinking about 0:08:28.200 --> 0:08:31.640 and wargaming and planning out what they would do vis 0:08:31.680 --> 0:08:36.320 a vis Iran, considering we thought every possible scenario. And 0:08:36.400 --> 0:08:38.600 so if you think, you know, if you're listening to 0:08:38.640 --> 0:08:42.000 Mark Levin or you're missing listening to Ben Shapiro and 0:08:42.040 --> 0:08:44.400 you're hearing all this confidence from people, Oh, we just 0:08:44.400 --> 0:08:46.240 need to strike them harder, we just need to bomb 0:08:46.320 --> 0:08:47.920 them a little bit more, and it's all going to 0:08:48.000 --> 0:08:51.000 work out. The US military doesn't think, so they are 0:08:51.520 --> 0:08:55.160 literally out of ideas and having to go to the crowd. 0:08:55.720 --> 0:08:58.640 I don't know were we got nothing? You guys got 0:08:58.640 --> 0:09:00.440 any thoughts on what we could do here? 0:09:03.040 --> 0:09:05.520 Forty seven years, trillions of dollars and all I got 0:09:05.600 --> 0:09:06.600 was this lousy email. 0:09:06.679 --> 0:09:07.800 I mean that kind of. 0:09:07.760 --> 0:09:10.599 Sus top basically where we're at. You're going to the 0:09:10.640 --> 0:09:13.120 junior officer corps and be like, hey, we've only spent 0:09:13.160 --> 0:09:15.680 our entire careers planning for this. This has been the 0:09:15.760 --> 0:09:18.079 number one thing, the op plan on the desk and 0:09:18.160 --> 0:09:20.680 sent com commander. It's literally his job every year to 0:09:20.880 --> 0:09:23.280 update the plan. And they executed that plan. It was 0:09:23.280 --> 0:09:25.760 a tremendous failure. So what does that say about them? 0:09:25.800 --> 0:09:28.800 And I'm sure there's some junior military officer and other 0:09:29.080 --> 0:09:31.720 who's trying to come up with some better ideas, and 0:09:31.760 --> 0:09:34.000 they could try, but the end of the day, you know, 0:09:34.080 --> 0:09:36.680 what we have in front of us is very simple, 0:09:36.800 --> 0:09:39.800 is within the bounds of what Trump actually this is. 0:09:39.880 --> 0:09:42.680 And this, this dispels the entire thing. This is not 0:09:42.800 --> 0:09:46.400 a military problem. This is a political problem, because if 0:09:46.440 --> 0:09:50.040 this had a military solution, it would have already been done. 0:09:50.240 --> 0:09:53.640 When it comes to unconventional ideas, and you know, let's 0:09:53.800 --> 0:09:56.360 take past wars where the US was bought in, like 0:09:56.400 --> 0:09:58.280 World War two or others. What would happen in a 0:09:58.320 --> 0:10:01.040 situation like this is they would have buy in from 0:10:01.080 --> 0:10:04.400 the business community, from the intellectuals, from all of society 0:10:04.440 --> 0:10:07.679 who are all working together to creatively solve this very 0:10:07.760 --> 0:10:10.600 very thorny issue. But here the vast majority of the population, 0:10:10.760 --> 0:10:14.080 we want out any corporation that's not a defense contract 0:10:14.200 --> 0:10:16.679 or other that's engaged in trying to do this. We're like, whoah, 0:10:16.679 --> 0:10:19.360 we don't want to continue this war. We want this 0:10:19.640 --> 0:10:22.440 over with, done for. And that's the biggest problem that 0:10:22.480 --> 0:10:24.400 the White House faces politically. 0:10:24.480 --> 0:10:25.880 We don't want a ground invasion. 0:10:25.880 --> 0:10:28.400 Sure it could happen, but that's not necessarily something that 0:10:28.520 --> 0:10:30.000 any of us want at all. 0:10:30.040 --> 0:10:31.880 In fact, we want the total opposite. 0:10:31.960 --> 0:10:34.520 And that's why within the confines of what Trump has, 0:10:34.520 --> 0:10:37.000 where he has to have minimal casualties and he wants 0:10:37.040 --> 0:10:41.160 to inflict maximum damage, there is no military solution to 0:10:41.280 --> 0:10:42.000 this problem. 0:10:42.040 --> 0:10:42.480 Period. 0:10:42.520 --> 0:10:46.479 The sooner that we get to capitulation and to acknowledging 0:10:46.800 --> 0:10:49.640 de facto Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz, the 0:10:50.240 --> 0:10:52.880 better we all are off. And in fact, you can 0:10:52.920 --> 0:10:55.960 even see any even signs of peace quote unquote, or 0:10:56.040 --> 0:10:58.840 even lack of action. You know, oil isn't like eighty 0:10:58.880 --> 0:11:01.480 something dollars a barrel. You know, if this comes and 0:11:01.520 --> 0:11:04.360 stays for the next two weeks, you will see dipping 0:11:04.400 --> 0:11:07.880 below four dollars, and it'll just continue to be this 0:11:08.080 --> 0:11:10.800 on and off cycle. But I do think that your 0:11:10.840 --> 0:11:13.839 point about how the Iranians will very likely continue to 0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:17.680 punish is because they see that the problem of oil 0:11:17.800 --> 0:11:20.920 continuing to go up and down, and you know, up 0:11:20.960 --> 0:11:24.120 and down is giving the White House the runway necessarily 0:11:24.240 --> 0:11:26.680 that they don't want, because remember, the blockade is still 0:11:26.679 --> 0:11:29.160 in power, and their economy is still suffering. They have 0:11:29.200 --> 0:11:31.720 a much higher capacity for suffering than we do. They've 0:11:31.760 --> 0:11:34.640 lost I mean, so many more people in the in 0:11:34.679 --> 0:11:35.439 the engagements. 0:11:35.640 --> 0:11:37.360 I mean, we're going to talk about one of them. Actually, 0:11:37.400 --> 0:11:38.200 maybe we can just put. 0:11:38.040 --> 0:11:41.280 It up here now a five for example, all of 0:11:41.280 --> 0:11:43.520 what's being done in our name, you know, right now, 0:11:43.559 --> 0:11:45.920 it appears to the United States we dropped a two 0:11:46.000 --> 0:11:49.640 thousand pound bomb on a family home on Keshiam Island, 0:11:49.880 --> 0:11:52.280 killing a husband, a wife, and their two year old son. 0:11:52.640 --> 0:11:57.000 The paper found no indication of a nearby military target. 0:11:57.080 --> 0:11:59.559 You can see the crater. I mean, it is stunning, 0:11:59.640 --> 0:12:03.640 like genuinely crazy scenes out of Gaza. Why did we 0:12:03.720 --> 0:12:06.720 kill these people for no reason? You know, absolutely not, 0:12:07.080 --> 0:12:13.520 and their blood was shed for literally nothing in this case, 0:12:13.600 --> 0:12:16.360 you know. And it shows also the point about scentcom 0:12:16.920 --> 0:12:19.480 being like we need more ideas, we've run out of targets. 0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:22.120 It appears if we're going around we're hitting family homes 0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:25.640 with two thousand pound bombs. We're just bombing random stuff 0:12:25.920 --> 0:12:27.960 in and along the straight up our moves or where 0:12:28.000 --> 0:12:31.520 Iranian air defense capabilities are head and so you can 0:12:31.600 --> 0:12:34.559 see like it is just a never ending cycle of 0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:38.440 we bomb simply for the sake of bombing all blying 0:12:38.520 --> 0:12:42.560 a you know, an actual diplomatic solution, and that diplomatic 0:12:42.559 --> 0:12:45.920 solution will will involve the greatest strategic defeat of the 0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:47.560 United States in modern history. 0:12:47.720 --> 0:12:49.000 And that's simply people. 0:12:49.120 --> 0:12:51.840 We have to swallow it until we get until we 0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:54.520 get used to that idea. Then this is just going 0:12:54.559 --> 0:12:56.600 to be the status quo. And the President has not 0:12:56.640 --> 0:12:59.200 suffered nearly enough to be able to get him to 0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:01.199 that point because we all know, you know what it's 0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:03.120 going to have to look like. It's just it is 0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:06.280 the simple reality of the current facts that are in 0:13:06.280 --> 0:13:06.800 front of us. 0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:09.959 I mean, this two thousand pound bomb dropped on a 0:13:10.080 --> 0:13:14.760 family home, trusts, constant threats to commit war crimes against 0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:19.840 civilian and infrastructure, the of course triple bombing of a girls' school, 0:13:19.880 --> 0:13:21.800 which I don't think anyone could say with a straight 0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:26.160 face for sure was unintentional. We act just like the 0:13:26.200 --> 0:13:28.920 Israelis now. You know, we spend a long time covering 0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:32.280 the genocide in Gaza, saying that with all of the 0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:34.080 qualms and critiques that we have of the way the 0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:37.160 US military behaved in Iraq and Afghanistan, there were some 0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:39.480 lines and I don't think that we can really say 0:13:39.480 --> 0:13:41.920 that anymore, you know, I don't think that we would 0:13:42.440 --> 0:13:44.240 give in a similar scenario. I mean, we backed the 0:13:44.400 --> 0:13:47.760 entire Gaza genocide, so how can we even say separate 0:13:47.800 --> 0:13:51.320 ourselves from any of this. This is exactly the way 0:13:51.360 --> 0:13:53.800 that Israel behaves is the way we behave and we 0:13:53.880 --> 0:13:57.080 think nothing of taking your tax dollars and using it 0:13:57.160 --> 0:13:59.640 to buy two thousand pound bombs that we drop on 0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:03.440 family homes, you know, in Iran. So that is what 0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:06.240 our country is at this point, and people should be 0:14:06.240 --> 0:14:10.120 horrified by that. Do you have any expectation that the 0:14:10.120 --> 0:14:13.079 Trump administration will engage in any sort of investigation to 0:14:13.120 --> 0:14:13.560 find out. 0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:14.160 What happens here? 0:14:14.360 --> 0:14:14.440 No? 0:14:14.840 --> 0:14:18.679 Because there was theoretically an investigation into the girls school bombing, 0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:20.840 and Trump came out and said, oh, well, we'll never 0:14:20.880 --> 0:14:23.600 know what happened, meaning they'll never release the results. They 0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:27.880 know exactly exactly what happened there. A couple things with 0:14:27.960 --> 0:14:32.440 regard to the let's crowdsource and brainstorm the next move 0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:35.200 here because we're out of ideas. Do you think Iron's 0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:38.840 ount of ideas? No, they know exactly what they would 0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:42.360 do next. They know exactly the way that they would escalate. 0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:45.000 They have lots of ideas for how they could cause 0:14:45.080 --> 0:14:48.840 even more pain and tighten the grip on the global economy, 0:14:48.840 --> 0:14:52.360 which is obviously a primary strategy for them. So while 0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:55.480 we're running around, I don't know what we do next. 0:14:55.520 --> 0:14:58.160 We kind of blew our load with all the targets 0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:01.040 and none of it's really having an impat And don't 0:15:01.040 --> 0:15:03.160 really want to do this ground invasion because it will 0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:05.640 be a complete and total disaster and probably won't work anyway. 0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:08.240 Don't really want to do the whole tactical nuclear weapon 0:15:08.280 --> 0:15:09.479 on Pickax Mountain. 0:15:09.240 --> 0:15:11.480 Because of what that will unleash. 0:15:12.200 --> 0:15:14.880 Iran has a plan and a strategy and has been 0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:20.320 executing it quite effectively, so their coherence versus are chaotic. Incoherence, 0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:23.480 I think tells you a lot to begin with here, 0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:26.200 and let's go in. Put a six up on the screen. 0:15:26.200 --> 0:15:29.000 In terms of how Iran is thinking about this, this 0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:32.400 is from treet de Parsi. He's reflecting on the latest 0:15:32.400 --> 0:15:35.600 Taco cycle. He says, yet another apocalyptic threat followed by 0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:39.160 another self congratulatory climb down. The pattern is becoming tiresome. 0:15:39.200 --> 0:15:41.960 By now, unable to escalate his way on of the 0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:44.760 self inflicted debacle, Trump tries to bluff his way out, 0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:47.360 except Tehran is not falling for it. Rather, it is 0:15:47.400 --> 0:15:51.040 confidently raising the stakes, calculating Trump will only fully commit 0:15:51.080 --> 0:15:53.840 to a diplomatic solution once he has internalized that he 0:15:53.920 --> 0:15:57.560 does not have a military option. It's a risky strategy 0:15:57.600 --> 0:16:00.480 with potential attacks in Egypt and cyber attacks in the US. 0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:02.440 Will get to that in just a moment, but one 0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:05.560 that the new and far lesser strained military leadership believes 0:16:05.640 --> 0:16:09.240 is more likely to achieve security than giving into Trump. 0:16:09.280 --> 0:16:12.000 So the next few days will undoubtedly be eventful, and 0:16:12.120 --> 0:16:15.240 he's holding a Q and A session Friday. I believe 0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:17.720 you can sign up over at his substack, which of 0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:21.320 course we recommend that you do. But you know, the 0:16:21.720 --> 0:16:23.960 reality here is Sager. It's easy for us to sit 0:16:23.960 --> 0:16:26.680 here and say, hey, Taco all the way like, let's 0:16:26.720 --> 0:16:28.320 get the hell out of here. That's what's going to 0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:29.880 be best for the US. That's what's going to be 0:16:29.880 --> 0:16:32.320 best for the war, for the world. This war is 0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:35.600 an utter and complete disaster if you're Trump. And by 0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:38.640 the way, also if you are a member of the 0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:42.120 military brass the deep state, you're ideologically committed to the 0:16:42.200 --> 0:16:44.800 US empire. We have to acknowledge that basically the end 0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:48.840 of the US Empire admitting defeat and meaning that admitting 0:16:48.840 --> 0:16:51.000 that we can't control the waterways. I mean, what are 0:16:51.040 --> 0:16:52.920 we as an empire if we aren't, you know, out 0:16:52.920 --> 0:16:55.560 there to secure free trade, free global trade and commerce 0:16:55.600 --> 0:16:57.760 around the world. If we have to acknowledge, no, we 0:16:57.760 --> 0:16:59.840 can't do this with iron even if we wanted to, 0:17:00.240 --> 0:17:03.160 they get to have a say that is basically the 0:17:03.320 --> 0:17:06.600 end of US Empire. And so that's why even a 0:17:06.600 --> 0:17:08.520 lot of the military brass that had a lot of 0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:12.560 reservations going into this, which were expressed clearly not force 0:17:12.600 --> 0:17:15.399 fully enough to Trump, why they're still going to be 0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:17.760 trying to figure this thing out and trying to come 0:17:17.800 --> 0:17:20.239 up with a solution. Okay, if we do, you know, 0:17:20.280 --> 0:17:23.520 some insane bombing campaign, if we do some sort of raid, 0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:25.639 maybe there's some sort of hacking up, maybe we can 0:17:25.680 --> 0:17:27.600 take on a few more regime leaders, they're going to 0:17:27.680 --> 0:17:30.199 throw a lot at the wall because they've realized that 0:17:30.320 --> 0:17:32.879 it is kind of all on the line here, and 0:17:32.960 --> 0:17:35.720 you know, they're ideologically committed to the continuance of the 0:17:35.800 --> 0:17:37.800 US Empire. And so that's why in a lot of 0:17:37.800 --> 0:17:39.240 ways them and Trump are in the same boat at 0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:39.600 this point. 0:17:39.680 --> 0:17:42.480 Right that explains at one point five trillion dollar military 0:17:42.480 --> 0:17:44.240 spending because they're like, oh, we just have to spend 0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:46.800 even more on the exact same weapons that got us 0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:48.000 into the same situation. 0:17:47.680 --> 0:17:48.320 That we're in right now. 0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:50.840 We could have more weapons. Wouldn't matter, It literally wouldn't matter. 0:17:51.280 --> 0:17:55.960 Wouldn't change anything about Iranian capitulation zero. What it would change, obviously, 0:17:56.040 --> 0:17:59.200 is the American ability to defend other far fling parts 0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:01.439 of our empire. But this is going to create like 0:18:01.480 --> 0:18:04.600 the husbandry of resources, which is a disaster ultimately to 0:18:04.680 --> 0:18:07.240 the prestige and to the image. Because it was inconceivable, 0:18:07.520 --> 0:18:10.720 even to extreme military skeptics like me, that we would 0:18:10.760 --> 0:18:13.240 be in this situation today. I mean, all the script 0:18:13.320 --> 0:18:15.320 was written, though, to be fair, when we look at 0:18:15.359 --> 0:18:17.359 the drone threat, when we look at the interestet we 0:18:17.440 --> 0:18:19.600 talked about here for years and years, from the Ukraine 0:18:19.600 --> 0:18:24.359 conflict to the Operation Midnight Hammer, the Reduction of Thad. 0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:27.960 The script was there, but nobody expected I think the 0:18:28.080 --> 0:18:31.160 Third Act to go in the direction that it ultimately did. 0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:33.679 So now what's going to happen In my opinion, this 0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:36.520 like Phase two style type thing where we have no 0:18:36.640 --> 0:18:39.200 war and no peace. It's going to happen for a 0:18:39.359 --> 0:18:42.480 very long period of time for the exactly the situation 0:18:42.600 --> 0:18:45.680 that you just laid out. It's just like Afghanistan. Admitting 0:18:45.760 --> 0:18:50.480 defeat is so catastrophic to the image and prestige and 0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:53.320 of the United States and its military that we will 0:18:53.359 --> 0:18:57.320 throw good money after bad ten times over just to 0:18:57.359 --> 0:19:00.199 not have to admit defeat. And Trump will have to 0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:04.840 be brought to a crushing economic situation to ultimately recognize 0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:08.040 the de facto Irani and Romani control of the Strait 0:19:08.040 --> 0:19:11.040 of Hormuz. Many, you know, the cranks of the people 0:19:11.119 --> 0:19:13.000 like us who are like, why are we in this? 0:19:13.080 --> 0:19:15.280