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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast All the Way, and.

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Speaker 2: It is good. The twenty second edition of the FIFA

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Speaker 2: World Cup two hundred and thirty three days away. While

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Speaker 2: competition in Qatar doesn't kick off until the winter time,

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Speaker 2: there is still plenty to discuss. We react to today's

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Speaker 2: World Cup draw. The thirty two participating nations now set

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Speaker 2: into eight groups of four, joined by the Action Networks

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Speaker 2: BJ Cunningham and Michael Leeboff. I am Brendan glass Sheen.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Networks World Cup Draw betting Breakdown.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna discuss and dissect group by group, weigh in

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Speaker 2: on Team USA. Of course player passed the Red, White,

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Speaker 2: and Blue this upcoming winter. Plus BJ and Mikey'll make

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Speaker 2: their favorite bets for the Cup to win the Cup,

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Speaker 2: and then we'll each give our long shot bets for

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Speaker 2: the World Cup, which again starts at the end of

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Speaker 2: November into December. We will have a champ and that's

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Speaker 2: all coming up on this show. So we look forward

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Speaker 2: to having you with us on YouTube, also on the

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Speaker 2: TAM podcast. So fill us with the odds now out

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Speaker 2: whatever book you may please to find odds, and of

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Speaker 2: course we encourage you to go find the best odds

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Speaker 2: possible when betting the World Cup and looking at this

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Speaker 2: current draw with all the groups now organized, BJ will

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Speaker 2: start with you, what's a bet you want to make

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Speaker 2: right away? Right now? You just can't let it go away?

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Speaker 3: Well, Senegal has already dropped from one hundred to one

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Speaker 3: to fifty to one. That would have been my bet,

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Speaker 3: but I've gotten a little too short. So I love

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Speaker 3: Serbia at eighty to one. They're in a pretty favorable

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Speaker 3: group with Brazil, Switzerland and Cameroon. Switzerland a team I'm.

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Speaker 1: Not really high on. I don't think it really has

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Speaker 1: the talent to compete in this group.

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Speaker 3: This Serbian team, we haven't seen me in a major

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Speaker 3: competition and a long time, but boy do they have

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Speaker 3: a lot of talent, especially upfront with Dussan Vlahovak, the

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Speaker 3: Juventus striker, Alexander Mitrovich who's been playing for Folham for

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Speaker 3: quite a long time, and Luky Yovitch who also plays

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Speaker 3: for Real Madrid. They have talented wingers like deuce On

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Speaker 3: Tata who plays i ax Lee Kostic who plays for

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Speaker 3: Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga, and then they have potentially

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Speaker 3: one of the best central midfielders that I don't think

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Speaker 3: many people have heard of, serge Ami Kovic Sabach who

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Speaker 3: plays for Lazio and Siria AH. He is a vital,

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Speaker 3: vital part of their team and really connects up to

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Speaker 3: those attackers. They're probably not going to beat Brazil, but

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Speaker 3: I'm definitely gonna have them as pretty good favorites over

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Speaker 3: Switzerland and definitely favorites over Cameroon. And then if they

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Speaker 3: finished second in this group, which most likely they will,

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Speaker 3: they'll get a rematch with Portugal, a team that they

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Speaker 3: beat on the final day of their qualifying group to

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Speaker 3: actually win and get through to the FIFA World Cup.

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Speaker 3: So at eighty to one, with a team with this

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Speaker 3: much talent, I think Serbia is the bet you have

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Speaker 3: to make right away, because I don't think it's going

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Speaker 3: to stay very long in.

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Speaker 2: Eighty to one leave off. What's a bet you want

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Speaker 2: to make right now based on the current odds after

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Speaker 2: today's World Cup revealed.

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Speaker 4: Oh Canada are home man native Land two hundred and

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Speaker 4: fifty to one on Canada right now is a gift.

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Speaker 5: Look, when you're betting these tournaments, you're basically betting the

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Speaker 5: path you're betting the draw right, That's why it's so

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Speaker 5: important to get down right away. And you couldn't have

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Speaker 5: scripted as better for Canada. They're in a Group F

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Speaker 5: with an overrated Belgium side, a Croatia team that's very old,

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Speaker 5: and Morocco, who Look, it's basically a coin flip between

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Speaker 5: Canada and Morocco as the biggest long shot in this group.

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Speaker 5: But I think Canada. Look, this team has built an

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Speaker 5: ethos around it, They've come together, they were very, very

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Speaker 5: impressive in CONCACAF qualifying, So I don't think this number

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Speaker 5: is going to hang around much longer to fifty to one,

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Speaker 5: And as you get closer and closer, I think there's

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Speaker 5: gonna be a lot of hype around the maple leafs,

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Speaker 5: like you want to get down on this team, now

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Speaker 5: join the fun and look, they have one of the

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Speaker 5: best national anthems in the entire draw. It's going to

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Speaker 5: be electric when they're singing O Canada in Katar. So

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Speaker 5: get down on these reds now. I think I like

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Speaker 5: them in any derivative, right, you want to bet them

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Speaker 5: to win the World Cup, to get out of the

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Speaker 5: group or maybe even win Group F, because I think

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Speaker 5: Belgium is there paper tiger going into twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 2: So based on that handicap, you are hoping Canada just

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Speaker 2: gets off to a really fast start. Right after the anthem,

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Speaker 2: they take the field and they are just dialed in

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Speaker 2: from the very start. I like it very good. So,

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Speaker 2: as we mentioned off the top of the show, we

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Speaker 2: were going to go group by group and break it

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Speaker 2: all down. All the odds are out there for each

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Speaker 2: of these nations to win the World Cup. But now

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Speaker 2: we're more curious about which teams or which team I

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Speaker 2: should say, comes out of each group. So for example,

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Speaker 2: we'll start in Group A Qatar the hosting nation of course.

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Speaker 2: Then you have the Netherlands, Senegal BJ mentioned them, and

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Speaker 2: then Ecuador at one hundred and fifty to one second

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Speaker 2: longest behind the host country and Qatar in this group.

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Speaker 2: So we'll start with Group A. Gentlemen, we'll start with BJ.

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Speaker 2: I would imagine you're picking Senegal to come out of

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Speaker 2: Group A BJ based on your wisdom at the top

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Speaker 2: of the show.

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Speaker 3: Absolutely, I mean Senegal is the best team in Africa.

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Speaker 3: They show that they won after a Cup of Nations

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Speaker 3: they got by Egypt and the final qualifying playoff. It's

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Speaker 3: a team with a ton of talent. You know, Saudio

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Speaker 3: Mane a place for Liverpool, one of the best wingers

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Speaker 3: in the world. They have solid midfielders like Adrisea Ganagayo

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Speaker 3: plays for PSG.

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Speaker 1: They have one of the best.

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Speaker 3: Center backs in the entire world that not a lot

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Speaker 3: of people have known of in Kubali who plays for Napoli,

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Speaker 3: and then one of the best goalkeepers in the Premier

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Speaker 3: League and Edward Mendi. It's a team with a lot

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Speaker 3: a lot of talent and they've shown it throughout the

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Speaker 3: latest competitions and more importantly, when you're going to these

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Speaker 3: type of competitions. It's a team that's been playing together

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Speaker 3: quite a bit. They had, you know, six matches at

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Speaker 3: Africup of Nations and then two playoff qualifying matches, so

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Speaker 3: they've had a lot of experience playing with each other.

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Speaker 3: I'm guessing my prediction is they will get through this group,

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Speaker 3: but they're probably going to finish in second behind the Netherlands,

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Speaker 3: a team that has just loads and loads of talent.

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Speaker 1: Obviously got knocked out in the round sixteen at.

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Speaker 3: The Euros because of a red card against the Czech Republic,

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Speaker 3: but they didn't have Virgil van Dijke their.

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Speaker 1: Best center back during that tournament.

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Speaker 3: So that's a team that's going to be very dangerous

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Speaker 3: and its probably gonna end up winning this group, and

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Speaker 3: that's why you see them as minus one sixty favorites.

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Speaker 3: So my pick is Netherlands and Senegal to basically cruise

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Speaker 3: those group because I don't think guitar Ecuador really have

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Speaker 3: the talent.

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Speaker 1: To compete with these two squads.

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Speaker 2: Leeba, I thought a group a who do you like?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, A slight disagreement with DJ here because I like Ecuador.

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Speaker 5: I think this is a team full of young talent,

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Speaker 5: and I think because so many people are going to

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Speaker 5: be talking about Senegal and Netherlands, we're going to see

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Speaker 5: these odds on Ecuador kind of creep through and they

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Speaker 5: should stay around where they are there one hundred and

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Speaker 5: fifty to one right now. But this is a team

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Speaker 5: that was pretty impressive in a marathon. Qualifying in Conmobile

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Speaker 5: like South Africa, South American qualifying is brutal, and they

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Speaker 5: got through. They have young players like Piero Hincapie who

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Speaker 5: plays for lever Coustin est Pinon and Valencia Sefuentes who's

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Speaker 5: a good center central midfielder for LAFC. And like be

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Speaker 5: just said, this is a team that has played together

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Speaker 5: for a little bit now and they're young and they're

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Speaker 5: coming up together, so a little bit like Canada, right

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Speaker 5: this is a team that has good team spirit. And

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Speaker 5: I think that with everybody paying attention so much to

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Speaker 5: Senegal and Netherlands rightfully, so we could see Ecuador, who

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Speaker 5: played guitar first, which is key because if they can

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Speaker 5: get those three points and then you have Netherlands at

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Speaker 5: Senegal battling out there, they're in the driver's seat for

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Speaker 5: the group. So I actually don't mind Ecuador across all

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Speaker 5: markets here. If they can get by Katar, then they're

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Speaker 5: in the driver seat for a group. And I mean

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Speaker 5: BJ and I talked about Netherlands before before the drug

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Speaker 5: saying like, look, we both like this team. They were

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Speaker 5: sixteen to one before the draw, they shortened to ten

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Speaker 5: to one, and they're going to keep I think they're

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Speaker 5: going to keep shortening down to single digits because of

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Speaker 5: this great draw. But it's a good draw for the

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Speaker 5: two long shots to and Senegal on Ecuador to.

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Speaker 2: Either of you give the host country any bit of

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Speaker 2: a chance in Group ACTION. I mean, I gotta ask, right,

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Speaker 2: it's Qatar here a Group A. They're the host country,

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Speaker 2: so of course they're in Group A. Let's give the

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Speaker 2: host country a little bit of love in terms of

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Speaker 2: our attention. Any chance here BJ for the host country

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Speaker 2: to make some noise.

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Speaker 1: I don't think so.

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Speaker 3: I mean, obviously, they played in the Gold Cup this

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Speaker 3: summer against the United States and I actually probably should

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Speaker 3: have beat them in the semi finals. But it's a

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Speaker 3: team that really hasn't been playing much together. They haven't

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Speaker 3: really been tested. They did the first round of World

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Speaker 3: Cup qualifying even though they were already going through as

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Speaker 3: the host nation, and they dominated a bunch of smaller

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Speaker 3: sides across Asia. But no, there's just not enough talent.

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Speaker 3: Too many guys that aren't playing in some of the

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Speaker 3: top leagues around the world. Most of them are playing

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Speaker 3: around the middle least. So it's a team that once

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Speaker 3: they get to the World Cup and they have to

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Speaker 3: face the team that has the talent, like the Netherlands

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Speaker 3: or Senegal, it's going to be a massive step up

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Speaker 3: and competition.

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Speaker 1: So I don't really give the host nation that much

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Speaker 1: of a chance here to get through Group A.

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Speaker 2: Leebov. Did you study the Qatar national anthem before today's

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Speaker 2: show or no.

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Speaker 5: I've been trying to stay out of the Katari like

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Speaker 5: geopolitical stuff as best I can. But they have They

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Speaker 5: do have a chance because they would want Ecuador in

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Speaker 5: the first match too, right, Like you can say, just

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Speaker 5: looking at the odds, it's Ecuador should be favored, but

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Speaker 5: it's on Katari soil, so they have home field advantage here,

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Speaker 5: so they got the best draw possible as well. And look,

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Speaker 5: this is FIFA. We saw what happened in two thousand

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Speaker 5: and two with South Korea, like you can never ever

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Speaker 5: count out some shenanigans happening. So do they have a chance, Yeah,

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Speaker 5: but I would much rather be putting my money down

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Speaker 5: on Senegal or Ecuador to be the shotgun rider. With

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Speaker 5: the Netherlands on to Group B, England, the United States,

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Speaker 5: which we'll get more on the United States later in

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Speaker 5: the show, some more in depth discussion on the Red, White,

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Speaker 5: and Blue. Iran and Wales, as well as Ukraine and

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Speaker 5: Scotland are some teams that we will discuss here in

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Speaker 5: Group B. But of some of these teams, England and

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Speaker 5: Iran are the two teams that jump out Iran at

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Speaker 5: three point fifty to one, England's at plus six hundred,

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Speaker 5: the United States at one hundred to one. So of

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Speaker 5: course England is the team to beat in this group. BJ,

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Speaker 5: is England your pick out of Group B?

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Speaker 1: Yes, England is by far and away the best group.

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Speaker 3: I have them rated as number one in my power rankings,

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Speaker 3: just the edge above Spain. England I believe is gonna

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Speaker 3: win the World Cup because they have the most not

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Speaker 3: only the most talent, but the most depth of talent

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Speaker 3: in this entire tournament. I mean, you have obviously Harry

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Speaker 3: kaneup top, and he has capable strikers behind him. I

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Speaker 3: mean the plethora of attacking midfielders that Gareth Southgate has

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Speaker 3: to deploy, and we saw it at the Euros.

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Speaker 1: It's just mind numbing.

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Speaker 3: Some of these other teams who are barely scraping together

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Speaker 3: a couple of you guys, and they're solid at the back.

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Speaker 3: They have two really really good defensive midfielders and Declan

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Speaker 3: Rice and Calvin Phillips.

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Speaker 1: It's, honestly, I think the best team in the world

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Speaker 1: and I think they.

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Speaker 3: Should cruise through this. We'll see all they do against

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Speaker 3: the United States. I have them as a minus two

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Speaker 3: twenty five favorite against the United States and they'll be

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Speaker 3: favored by more over any other team in this group.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, it's England should cruise to group be latest.

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Speaker 2: Fef for rankings on gold dot Com. England is your

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Speaker 2: number five team in the world. How about you leaboff

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Speaker 2: you take in England as well? Or is there a

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Speaker 2: dark horse pick out a Group B?

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Speaker 5: I mean I would say that if there is a

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Speaker 5: dark horse group or picking Group B, it's going to

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Speaker 5: be USA or if Wales gets through. I think those

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Speaker 5: are the only two teams out of the possible group

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Speaker 5: of five that are left to challenge them. But with

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Speaker 5: England like they're the best team in the group by eons.

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Speaker 5: But it comes down to what it always comes down

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Speaker 5: to with England, which is can they handle the pressure.

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Speaker 5: They're gonna be playing in a group with either possibly

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Speaker 5: either Wales or Scotland and the United States, So it's

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Speaker 5: gonna be a weird kind of narrative street for them

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Speaker 5: to walk down. But on talent alone, they should be

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Speaker 5: able to cruise through, especially with their first group match

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Speaker 5: being against iran number four ranked.

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Speaker 2: Team in the world. Argentina just a smidge ahead of England.

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Speaker 2: Argentina is your favorite in Group C in terms of

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Speaker 2: favorites to win the Cup at plus seven fifty. I'm

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Speaker 2: looking at DraftKings right now in terms of my odds.

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Speaker 2: These guys are looking at plenty of books getting you

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Speaker 2: ready for the World Cup. Again, we are breaking down

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Speaker 2: each group. We will have more thoughts on Team USA

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Speaker 2: favorite bets as well as dark horse bets from BJ

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Speaker 2: and Leeboff as the show rolls on the World Cup draw.

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Speaker 2: So Group C includes Argentina, as I mentioned, Mexico, Poland,

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Speaker 2: and Saudi Arabia BJ.

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Speaker 3: This is clearly one of the easiest draws for one

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Speaker 3: of the Pot one teams. Argentina should just breeze right

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Speaker 3: through this time is get play Saudi Arabia in the

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Speaker 3: first match. That's the team I will be betting, not

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Speaker 3: only to finish lastness group in ten, be the lowest

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Speaker 3: scoring team of the entire tournament, one of the more

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Speaker 3: overrated teams throughout the entire world. But you know, Mexico

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Speaker 3: obviously strung a little bit in Conca CAFF World Cup qualifying.

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Speaker 3: I think you know I have the two performances against

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Speaker 3: the United States against Canada were really eye opening. They

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Speaker 3: obviously took care of business against all the other sides,

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Speaker 3: and then Poland will Robert Lewandowski or nothing as usual.

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Speaker 3: So Lionel Messi and company, they haven't lost since twenty nineteen,

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Speaker 3: so they're on a really long unbeaten streak.

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Speaker 1: They've been really good.

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Speaker 3: Obviously one Copa America this summer in South America. So

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Speaker 3: Argentina should cruise through this group and I as far

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Speaker 3: as a second place finisher, it's really a coin flip

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Speaker 3: between Mexico and Poland.

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Speaker 5: About Julie buff Yeah, I mean Argentina, they were twelve

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Speaker 5: to one before the draw, so they've already shortened almost

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Speaker 5: in half. So it tells you that they got went

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Speaker 5: from a Lukewarn favorite to a contender just based on

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Speaker 5: this draw with a struggling Mexico side. Like bj said,

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Speaker 5: a kind of a one trick pony with Poland and

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Speaker 5: Saudi Arabia is going to be one of the biggest

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Speaker 5: long shots in the group, in the whole field. I

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Speaker 5: should say, I don't mind if you take a shot on,

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Speaker 5: like if you want to get frisky and like take

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Speaker 5: a shot on Saudi Arabia just to qualify. If they

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Speaker 5: get lucky, maybe earn a draw in that first match,

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Speaker 5: and these tournaments are all chaos, right, There's always going

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Speaker 5: to be a surprise package that makes it to the

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Speaker 5: round of sixteen, and this group, with Poland and Mexico

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Speaker 5: being in the form that they are and with their

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Speaker 5: talent kind of aging out, it's not a crazy, crazy thing.

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Speaker 5: Would I suggest it as like a lock. Absolutely not,

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Speaker 5: but yet it does seem pretty straightforward here for Ourdentina.

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Speaker 2: Great to have you all joining us on YouTube live.

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Speaker 2: We are also on the TAM podcast, so we are

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Speaker 2: keeping eyes out for our folks that are watching live

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Speaker 2: on YouTube. So apologies if you're catching up on the

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Speaker 2: podcast and we were talking to our live audience as well.

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Speaker 2: We move on to Group d BJ France is your

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Speaker 2: favorite here at plus six.

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Speaker 1: Fifty Yeah, and and rightfully should be.

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Speaker 3: I mean, this French team that was here are the

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Speaker 3: defending World Cup champions, but we saw some cracks in

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Speaker 3: the Euros. They had really good formul They were in

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Speaker 3: the group of death with Germany and Portugal. They got through,

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Speaker 3: they won that group and they lose an extra time

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Speaker 3: to a Switzerland team.

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Speaker 1: That they were way better. So the team was obviously

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Speaker 1: a ton of talent.

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Speaker 3: They have the best player in the entire tournament and

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Speaker 3: Gillian and Bape, and it's a team that I think

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Speaker 3: they really should easily get through this group.

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Speaker 1: The match against Denmark's gonna be very interesting. The Danes

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Speaker 1: are a really really.

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Speaker 3: Good team, made it all the way to the Semis

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Speaker 3: of the Euros and bring back pretty much that entire

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Speaker 3: squad for this World Cup. As far as this group

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Speaker 3: is concerned, I mean it should be Denmark France one too.

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Speaker 3: You could take a shot at Denmark to win this

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Speaker 3: group because I think they are live against France when

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Speaker 3: they play them.

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Speaker 1: But the other two teams Tunisia.

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Speaker 3: I mean I barely have them ranked inside the top

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Speaker 3: ten in Africa, and then the intercontinental playoff between Asia

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Speaker 3: and South America. I mean it's Peru, who's a very

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Speaker 3: overrated team, and then Australia or United Arab Emirates, two

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Speaker 3: teams that I don't even have ranked inside the top fifty.

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Speaker 3: So it should be a cruise for France and Denmark.

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Speaker 3: But if you want to take a shot, I think

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Speaker 3: Denmark is pretty live potentially win this group.

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Speaker 1: But France and Denmark are definitely going.

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Speaker 2: Through Denmark twenty five to one to win the Cup

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Speaker 2: in twenty twenty two, franch or number three ranked team

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Speaker 2: according to gold dot com. Leab Off, what about you.

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Speaker 2: You're taking the cheese on Denmark or is France coming

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Speaker 2: out of Group D.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm in agreement with big. I think if you

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Speaker 5: want to take a shot with Denmark to win the

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Speaker 5: Group gart ahead, they're going to be incredibly, incredibly trendy,

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Speaker 5: just like they were before the Euros. They shortened from

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Speaker 5: like forty to one all the way down to in

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Speaker 5: the mid twenties, and they showed betters why right like

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Speaker 5: they went on a semi final run. They were plucky,

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Speaker 5: they just got They played well against England, they lost

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Speaker 5: an extra time, so they gave betters full value for

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Speaker 5: their money at long odds, and guess what, They're going

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Speaker 5: to go right back to the Danes once again for

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Speaker 5: the World Cup. Peru is interesting just because they were

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Speaker 5: really trendy before twenty eighteen. A lot of people liked

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Speaker 5: them at like six to one to win their group.

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Speaker 5: They were an upstart team that just never really got

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Speaker 5: it together. So I'm interested just to see the market

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Speaker 5: movement on Peru if they are the team that does

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Speaker 5: qualify into this group through that playoff. But other than that,

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Speaker 5: you have pretty straightforward here France and Denmark in what

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Speaker 5: should be coast for both of them.

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Speaker 2: Four groups down, four groups to go. Once again. If

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Speaker 2: you're joining us on the TAM podcast, we also have

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Speaker 2: you on YouTube. You can of course watch the archived

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Speaker 2: episode on our Action Network YouTube channel. Brendan last geet

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Speaker 2: with BJ Cunningham and Michael Lieboff here to break down

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Speaker 2: the World Cup draw. All. Thirty two teams have now

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Speaker 2: been organized into eight groups of four. We're going group

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Speaker 2: by group. We'll have thoughts, more specific thoughts on Team

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Speaker 2: USA later in the show, player past the Red, White,

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Speaker 2: and Blue, and we'll also get favorite bets best bets

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Speaker 2: from Leeboff and Cunningham, as well as their favorite long

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Speaker 2: shot when the show concludes. So let's go to Group E.

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Speaker 2: Spain is ranked inside the top ten, number seven team

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Speaker 2: as of today according to gold dot com, and Spain

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Speaker 2: is at plus seven point fifty to win the World

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Speaker 2: Cup in twenty twenty two in Katar. BJ thoughts on

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Speaker 2: Spain or is there another team here in the group

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Speaker 2: that stands out to you?

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Speaker 3: The clear two teams that I think everybody's gonna think

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Speaker 3: or go through is Spain and Germany. But I think

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Speaker 3: the Japanese team is kind of live to potentially qualify here.

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Speaker 3: They have some talent, you know Liverpool's Minamino, they have

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Speaker 3: Arsenal's Tomoyasu, they have a really young fun striker who's

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Speaker 3: owned by Real Madrid's on Lana Majorca, and take Fuso Kubo.

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Speaker 3: Japanese team was by far the best offense throughout Asian qualifying,

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Speaker 3: over forty expected goals in around and just under twenty matches.

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Speaker 3: So it's a team that I think can give the

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Speaker 3: Germans some trouble in that first match. And I think

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Speaker 3: that is a larger point is that I think Germany

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Speaker 3: is a little bit vulnerable to potentially not get through here.

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Speaker 3: We saw it at the Euros. They were in the

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Speaker 3: Group of death. They needed some late heroics to actually

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Speaker 3: get through and actually beat Hungary to get through in

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Speaker 3: the third place. They have struggled a little bit throughout qualifying.

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Speaker 3: The lost to North Macedonia, but ever since the Euros

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Speaker 3: they've won every single match against lower competition. The problem

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Speaker 3: with Germany is I don't know what they're going to

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Speaker 3: do in defense, and it was a real problem in

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Speaker 3: the Group of death because if they're really going to

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Speaker 3: go with the back line of Rudiger Hummels and theyas

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Speaker 3: Ginter that got thrashed by both Portrait in France and

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Speaker 3: even Hungry It, they really are live to potentially.

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Speaker 1: Miss out in this.

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Speaker 3: But Spain look out for them to potentially win. I mean,

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Speaker 3: they're one of the favorites obviously to win it all.

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Speaker 3: I have them ranked as the second best team in

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Speaker 3: the world. A lot of fun young talent on that team.

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Speaker 3: Just not a team that you would look at you'd say,

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Speaker 3: all right, here's the one star player for them, but

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Speaker 3: just so much good talent. I put them in the

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Speaker 3: same class as England of a team that has just

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Speaker 3: talent around the field, but also depth. And that's very

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Speaker 3: key in this tournament because we'll talk about it a

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Speaker 3: little more, but we're playing this in the middle of November.

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Speaker 3: There's gonna be three months of club soccer going on

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Speaker 3: before that, so injuries can definitely happen and basically take

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Speaker 3: out some of these teams from the tournament who are

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Speaker 3: very reliant on one star player. So teams like England,

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Speaker 3: Brazil and Spain they should be the overwhelming favorites given

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Speaker 3: the depth of talent that they have in those squads.

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Speaker 2: You we're two hundred and thirty three days from the

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Speaker 2: competition in Qatar, so still a long ways to go.

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Speaker 2: So Leeboff mentioned and bj kind of hinted at this

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Speaker 2: with Germany. So Spain is tied for the fourth longest

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Speaker 2: odds to win the World Cup this year at plus

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Speaker 2: seven to fifty. Then you've got Germany, the number twelve

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Speaker 2: ranked team in the world, and they're at ten to one.

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Speaker 2: How do you feel about Germany making any noise here

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Speaker 2: or someone else in Group B?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, this is this is the never say never group.

436
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:15,240
Speaker 5: And Germany was in that same group in the last

437
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:17,720
Speaker 5: World Cup when they played against Sweden, Mexico and Korea

438
00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:20,560
Speaker 5: and they finished last. So that's what people always forget

439
00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:22,800
Speaker 5: about these tournaments. It's just going to be chaos. There's

440
00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:25,960
Speaker 5: a lot of variants. It's really data for international soccer

441
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,280
Speaker 5: is so noisy. You can't really depend on on like

442
00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:30,520
Speaker 5: the long term predictive metrics that we rely on when

443
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:33,200
Speaker 5: we handicap the Premier League and the other major leagues

444
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:36,680
Speaker 5: in Europe. So with this it's it does behoove people

445
00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,400
Speaker 5: to kind of think from the you know, pitch backwards,

446
00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:41,800
Speaker 5: how can this team not get through? And there are

447
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,360
Speaker 5: some pass I think for Germany this is a new manager.

448
00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 5: They like bj said, they did struggle under Yogi Low

449
00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:52,080
Speaker 5: in his last couple of years in charge of dimand Cheft,

450
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:54,399
Speaker 5: and I think he made a great point about Spain,

451
00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:56,840
Speaker 5: which is they've kind of become what Germany was when

452
00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,360
Speaker 5: they were dominant in the early part of the two

453
00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 5: thousands and to this last decade that just passed where

454
00:20:02,760 --> 00:20:04,320
Speaker 5: they were just a machine. Because this is a team

455
00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:06,800
Speaker 5: that grew up together, played together and the sum of

456
00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:09,800
Speaker 5: its parts where were much greater than you know, the individuals.

457
00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:12,680
Speaker 5: And now Spain is kind of like that with Pedrie

458
00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:15,840
Speaker 5: and Javi in the middle, Like these are incredible up

459
00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:18,960
Speaker 5: and coming talents. So look Spain plus seven and fifty

460
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:21,280
Speaker 5: in this World Cup. I'm pretty sure they're going to

461
00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:23,320
Speaker 5: be the favorite in twenty twenty six, which I know

462
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:24,760
Speaker 5: is a long way from now, but this team is

463
00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:26,760
Speaker 5: just going to get better and better and better. So

464
00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:29,639
Speaker 5: it's even though it's a short number plus seven fifty

465
00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,560
Speaker 5: in a tournament that it could have chaos. I don't

466
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:34,760
Speaker 5: hate it, and I think that they should get through

467
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:37,760
Speaker 5: here without a problem, whereas Germany might have a little

468
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:39,760
Speaker 5: bit of a slug here. Let's go to.

469
00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:41,560
Speaker 2: Group F, and Leeboff want to go right back to you,

470
00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 2: because there's Canada once again the fourth, the fourth favorite

471
00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:47,760
Speaker 2: in this group at two fifty to one. As you

472
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:50,080
Speaker 2: talked about off the top that was, now there's I

473
00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:51,720
Speaker 2: guess there's a little bit of a difference. That's a

474
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:53,879
Speaker 2: bet you want to make now as opposed to the

475
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,199
Speaker 2: long shot that you'll pick later in the show. But

476
00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:00,600
Speaker 2: Belgium's the favorite in terms of winning the World Cup likely,

477
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,639
Speaker 2: of course, based on those odds, the favorite to command

478
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:06,159
Speaker 2: of Group F. So Belgium, you're saying that off the

479
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,000
Speaker 2: top of the shows, you're basically making the point that

480
00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:09,160
Speaker 2: Belgium is no sure thing.

481
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:11,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think that you know this. This Belgium team,

482
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:13,600
Speaker 5: they sure do have a lot of talent. But we've

483
00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:17,000
Speaker 5: seen this group in so many tournaments already and they're

484
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:20,120
Speaker 5: now aging out of their prime. And their manager, Roberto Martinez,

485
00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:22,119
Speaker 5: he's a romantic and we love them for that, but

486
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,680
Speaker 5: he's not set. He doesn't set his team up in

487
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:27,880
Speaker 5: pragmatic ways. Sometimes when they need to be go back

488
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:29,800
Speaker 5: to the last World Cup, they had to come back

489
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 5: from two nil down against Japan in the round of

490
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:34,719
Speaker 5: sixteen just to qualify for the quarterfinals. Everyone's gonna think, oh,

491
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 5: they made a nice run in the last World Cup

492
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 5: and they got to the knockout stages and made some

493
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,720
Speaker 5: noise again in the Euros. But this team is heavily

494
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:44,919
Speaker 5: flawed and sure they have a high ceiling, but their floor,

495
00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:48,119
Speaker 5: I mean I could see them absolutely capitulating in a

496
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:51,920
Speaker 5: group with Croatio, who Yeah, they're older, but Luka Modric

497
00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:54,080
Speaker 5: is a match winner on his own, and they still

498
00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,560
Speaker 5: have talented players in the middle of the park that

499
00:21:56,680 --> 00:21:59,600
Speaker 5: can really just dictate a game and on any given night.

500
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:02,200
Speaker 5: And then, like I said, Canada, this is a team

501
00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:04,120
Speaker 5: that I think is going to be plucky and they're

502
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:06,639
Speaker 5: gonna be a surprise package. And the reason I like them,

503
00:22:06,960 --> 00:22:08,400
Speaker 5: as I said off the jump, is because I think

504
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 5: I don't see these number this number and Canada going

505
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 5: anywhere but down, and I could see it, you know,

506
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:14,800
Speaker 5: ending up around one hundred to one as we get

507
00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:16,600
Speaker 5: into the tournament. Because this is a very favorable draw

508
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:18,960
Speaker 5: for them. I like, I think Belgium still gets through,

509
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:20,600
Speaker 5: but I like Canada to be the team that rides

510
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:22,080
Speaker 5: with them into the round of sixteen.

511
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 2: Gold dot Com ranks Belgium BJ the number two team

512
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:28,480
Speaker 2: in the world and Belgium's at twelve to one to

513
00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 2: win the World Cup. Well, how do you look at

514
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 2: Group F your breakdown?

515
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,360
Speaker 3: I think Group F is the most up for grabs

516
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:36,720
Speaker 3: group of any other groups in the whole World Cups.

517
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,000
Speaker 3: So if you want to take a chance on Canada

518
00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:41,840
Speaker 3: or Morocco to win this group, I think they're absolutely live.

519
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:43,720
Speaker 3: My Michael led the nail on the head. The Golden

520
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 3: Generation is over for Belgium. They just really don't have

521
00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:49,640
Speaker 3: the talent, and especially in defense, because I don't really

522
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 3: know what they're gonna do.

523
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:52,120
Speaker 1: Are they really going to go with another.

524
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 3: Pairing of Jonathan Denier and Jan Vertongan who's like thirty

525
00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:57,800
Speaker 3: six now? I mean, they just really don't have talent

526
00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 3: in defense. Up top, obviously Romolu, he's been out of

527
00:23:00,760 --> 00:23:03,720
Speaker 3: favorite at Chelsea. Eden Hazzard is way past his prime.

528
00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,000
Speaker 3: He keeps getting injured. They obviously have a good midfield

529
00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,480
Speaker 3: with Eerie Tillmans and Kevin de Bruyne, but they're not

530
00:23:08,520 --> 00:23:09,399
Speaker 3: the number two team.

531
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:10,080
Speaker 1: In the world anymore.

532
00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:13,040
Speaker 3: I mean I have them ranked as ninth, so they

533
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 3: are by far the most vulnerable team of anybody out

534
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:20,000
Speaker 3: of Pot one, obviously outside of Katar But Canada and

535
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,719
Speaker 3: Morocco I think are very very live to potentially get

536
00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 3: through here. Croatia very similar to Belgium. They're getting past

537
00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:30,160
Speaker 3: their golden generation. They don't really have the talent per se.

538
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,159
Speaker 3: They used to be this type of team where you

539
00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:33,919
Speaker 3: look at the top teams in the world and the

540
00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 3: very next tier down it was Croatia.

541
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:36,600
Speaker 1: Well now it's.

542
00:23:36,480 --> 00:23:39,640
Speaker 3: Denmark, so Croatia is really starting to fall off. They

543
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 3: did make it through, you know, the Euros to the

544
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:43,879
Speaker 3: round of sixteen and took Spain to extra time, but

545
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:46,200
Speaker 3: the a team that's just too old and just really

546
00:23:46,320 --> 00:23:49,320
Speaker 3: lacking the type of talent to make noise in this

547
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:49,800
Speaker 3: World Cup.

548
00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:52,320
Speaker 1: So, you know, I think a bet on.

549
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:55,720
Speaker 3: Both Morocco and Canada to qualify and get through to

550
00:23:55,720 --> 00:23:58,280
Speaker 3: the next round I think has a ton of value.

551
00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 3: The Moroccan team, I'll talk about him later. I am

552
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 3: just in love with this team and I really think

553
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:05,640
Speaker 3: that they're have the talent to get through this group

554
00:24:05,680 --> 00:24:06,639
Speaker 3: and potentially even win it.

555
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 2: Croatia was the great story four years ago in twenty eighteen,

556
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,600
Speaker 2: reaching the final. We go to Group G. The favorite

557
00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:16,040
Speaker 2: to win the World Cup in twenty twenty two, Brazil

558
00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:20,760
Speaker 2: at plus four point fifty BJ Back to you, Brazil, Yeah,

559
00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:22,640
Speaker 2: I mean they should be the four in depth here.

560
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:24,359
Speaker 2: Of course, I think you're gonna say they're gonna come

561
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 2: out of the group. But Brazil's chances here in this

562
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 2: World Cup.

563
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:29,120
Speaker 3: No, I mean they're just as good as I would

564
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 3: say England or Spain, and I put them in that

565
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:33,679
Speaker 3: same category as I think there's basically three teams that

566
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 3: are not head and shoulders, but in a class of

567
00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:39,280
Speaker 3: their own for this World Cup because of not only

568
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:40,880
Speaker 3: the talent on the field, but the depth of talent.

569
00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,400
Speaker 3: I mean, this Brazilian team just is stabbed from Neymar

570
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 3: to Bevenisians junior up top, from Casamiro in midfield to

571
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:52,879
Speaker 3: Edermilzo and Markinos and defense at Allison Liverpool's keeper. I mean,

572
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 3: it's just there's just so much talent across the board

573
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:57,960
Speaker 3: for this Brazilian team, and they showed it throughout South

574
00:24:58,000 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 3: American qualifying.

575
00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:01,080
Speaker 1: They were the number one team in the They're an.

576
00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:04,680
Speaker 3: Incredible defense, They should pretty much cruise to this group.

577
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 3: I am way more interested in the Serbian Switzerland dynamic

578
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:10,840
Speaker 3: here of who's going to finish seconds second, because I

579
00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 3: think Serbia, like I already mentioned, has way more talent

580
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 3: than Switzerland.

581
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:15,560
Speaker 1: But Switzerland is this.

582
00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:17,159
Speaker 3: Type of team that you look at it and you're like,

583
00:25:17,160 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 3: all right, they don't really have the talent per se

584
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,879
Speaker 3: to get through essentially a group like this, but it's

585
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:24,920
Speaker 3: a team that's been playing together for such a long

586
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,600
Speaker 3: time and it's just so so cohesive.

587
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:29,119
Speaker 1: And knows what they want to do.

588
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 3: I mean, they won their qualifying group over Italy and

589
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:35,160
Speaker 3: it's what forced Italy to go into the the UWEFA

590
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 3: qualification playoffs and ended up losing to North Macedonia.

591
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 1: So this is still a really good team.

592
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:42,320
Speaker 3: But yeah, I think Brazil should cruise and get number

593
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:44,639
Speaker 3: one in this group. There definitely should be one of

594
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 3: the favorites to win the World Cup. But at plus

595
00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,080
Speaker 3: four to fifty, I don't like to think there's much

596
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 3: value in betting them to actually win the World Cup.

597
00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:53,720
Speaker 3: But I think I really think Serbia is getting through.

598
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,800
Speaker 3: And then you Cameroon. They obviously had Afcon in their

599
00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,040
Speaker 3: home country, they had a good performance. They lost an

600
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:03,440
Speaker 3: extra time to Egypt, but I think they're and most

601
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:05,960
Speaker 3: doubtably gonna end up finishing last in this group.

602
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 2: All right, Leabov, So Brazil the clear favorite in Group

603
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:10,960
Speaker 2: G or assessment of Group G for.

604
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 5: US, Yeah, I mean Brazil. I think a lot of

605
00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:17,119
Speaker 5: times the stereotype around around Brazil going into these tournaments

606
00:26:17,160 --> 00:26:18,399
Speaker 5: is they can beat you in one way, which is

607
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:20,760
Speaker 5: like they're gonna play beautiful soccer, They're gonna put the

608
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,240
Speaker 5: ball on the floor and pass and move around you.

609
00:26:23,280 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 5: But this team could beat you in you know, ten

610
00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:27,760
Speaker 5: different ways. They have a great defense. Bj said they

611
00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 5: have two of the world's best goalkeepers, so if there's

612
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,560
Speaker 5: any issue with one of them, maybe coming getting out

613
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 5: of form or getting hurt. Before the tournament, Brazil's Achilles

614
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:38,159
Speaker 5: Hill for so long was goalkeeper, and now they have

615
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,400
Speaker 5: two of the best in the world. Uh, so there's

616
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:43,119
Speaker 5: no no problems there. And like you said, neymar Martinelli

617
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 5: Vinnie Junior for Charleston Rafenia, like they they have so

618
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,760
Speaker 5: many match winners up front that this should be pretty

619
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 5: straightforward for them. But like BJA, I'm very interested in Serbia.

620
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 5: I think that this team not only are they They're

621
00:26:54,280 --> 00:26:55,720
Speaker 5: gonna be tough to beat there. They're kind of like

622
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:58,520
Speaker 5: the cliche team nobody wants to play and when when

623
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:00,399
Speaker 5: you get into the playoffs and other sports are ornaments

624
00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:03,440
Speaker 5: in soccer because they're they're physical, they're big, they believe

625
00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,600
Speaker 5: in themselves, and they have a lot of attacking talent.

626
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,639
Speaker 5: You know of Lahovich just having a career year in

627
00:27:08,680 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 5: Italy right now. So I think of all the in

628
00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,639
Speaker 5: Group GIE, of the four teams, like Serbia definitely has

629
00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 5: the most betting interest. To me, I think eighty to

630
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,159
Speaker 5: one is a pretty good number. I don't think that

631
00:27:20,359 --> 00:27:22,119
Speaker 5: betting them to win the group per se will have

632
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:24,199
Speaker 5: the upside that you want as a better but so

633
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:26,880
Speaker 5: I would rather chase something bigger like them when when

634
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:28,920
Speaker 5: they start putting markets up for you know, how far

635
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 5: can teams go. I think Serbia is live to maybe

636
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 5: make a run to the quarterfinals or you know, maybe

637
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:34,240
Speaker 5: even semi finals.

638
00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 2: Okay, onto our eighth and final. Group Group H Portugal

639
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:40,920
Speaker 2: rank number eight in the world according to gold dot

640
00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:45,920
Speaker 2: com at twelve to one, BJ Group H Portugal is

641
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 2: your favorite.

642
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean they should be the favorites, but I

643
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 3: definitely think that they're pretty vulnerable.

644
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:53,440
Speaker 1: I mean the Uruguayan team is.

645
00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:55,959
Speaker 3: I mean, when you look at Portugal, they have obviously,

646
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 3: they have Chris sharmanal though, and they have so many

647
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:04,159
Speaker 3: great attackers from Diego Jota to Andre Silva to Bruno

648
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:07,520
Speaker 3: Fernanz Like it's just, I mean, the type of attackers

649
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 3: that they can throw at you, it's just it's some

650
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:11,359
Speaker 3: of the best of anybody in the entire world.

651
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:13,600
Speaker 1: But you look in the midfield.

652
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:14,879
Speaker 3: And you're like, Okay, is it really going to be

653
00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:17,919
Speaker 3: Ruben Nevis and gian Lutino play together at Wolves like

654
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:20,199
Speaker 3: they're going to get dominated by any other team who

655
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:21,399
Speaker 3: has at least a decent midfield.

656
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 1: Then you look at defense.

657
00:28:22,640 --> 00:28:24,720
Speaker 3: They obviously have Ruben Dias, who should be healthy and

658
00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:26,280
Speaker 3: he's one of the best center backs in the world,

659
00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:28,400
Speaker 3: But are they really going to play a forty year

660
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:31,960
Speaker 3: old Pepe next to him? I mean, down the wing, obviously,

661
00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:35,720
Speaker 3: you know wingbacks Raphael Guero and Gio Kinsale who plays

662
00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:38,920
Speaker 3: for Manchester City, very very good and Jones saw net

663
00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:41,880
Speaker 3: So's It's a good team, but I don't think it's

664
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:42,840
Speaker 3: a team that I'm going.

665
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:45,120
Speaker 1: To be really betting on to actually win the World Cup.

666
00:28:45,160 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 3: I think I have too many questions in the midfield

667
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 3: and defense for Portugal. Uruguay, they had some struggles for

668
00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 3: a while throughout South American qualification, but it's a really

669
00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 3: really good team with some solid pieces in upfront, with

670
00:28:59,520 --> 00:29:04,520
Speaker 3: obviously Luis Suarez and company in defense, you know, I mean,

671
00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:06,400
Speaker 3: they're probably gonna go with Nicholas Autemendi and a couple

672
00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:09,560
Speaker 3: other guys, but a really really solid team. Or excuse

673
00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 3: me not Nicholas Automeddi plays for Argentina.

674
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:15,760
Speaker 1: My bad Jimenez who plays for Athletico Madrid. That's what

675
00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:16,360
Speaker 1: I was thinking of.

676
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:19,800
Speaker 3: It's just a really really solid team that is starting

677
00:29:19,800 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 3: to come on and play much better at the end

678
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:24,239
Speaker 3: of qualification. So Uruguay is another team I'm looking at

679
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:25,840
Speaker 3: a fifty to one to win this tournament.

680
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:27,240
Speaker 1: I think they're definitely.

681
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,920
Speaker 3: One of the teams I'll be picking to get through

682
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:34,680
Speaker 3: this group. Ghana is one of the more overrated teams

683
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 3: along with massaudi ARAA, but one of the teams I'll

684
00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 3: be betting to, you know, have the lowest point total

685
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:39,840
Speaker 3: or have score the least goals.

686
00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:42,400
Speaker 1: I mean, they got really lucky to beat Nigeria in

687
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:43,360
Speaker 1: that World.

688
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:46,920
Speaker 3: Cup playoff, and then South Korea is also pretty interesting.

689
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:50,240
Speaker 3: Him and Son, who plays for Tottenham, is their star player.

690
00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 3: He's obviously been just ripping up Asian qualification. He Chen

691
00:29:54,120 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 3: Hwang in places for Wolves is another great talent that

692
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,040
Speaker 3: they have. So South Korea is kind of interesting. I mean,

693
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 3: South Cakerea should be able to Ghana and the matches

694
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 3: against Portugal and Uruguay will be pretty interesting. So I'll

695
00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:05,440
Speaker 3: be very interesting to see what South koreaz odds are

696
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 3: to get through potentially win this group, because I think

697
00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 3: they could potentially be live to make some noise in

698
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:10,720
Speaker 3: this tournament.

699
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 2: Portugal like the Netherlands in Belgium twelve to one to

700
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:17,239
Speaker 2: win the World Cup in twenty twenty two. Leebov take

701
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:19,640
Speaker 2: us home. Your thoughts on group bah, Yeah.

702
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 5: I actually had very little betting interest in Uruguay until

703
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 5: the draw. I think that they're a team that betters

704
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:27,960
Speaker 5: love to get behind for these tournaments because they're a

705
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:30,959
Speaker 5: great pragmatic defensive side and for a long time, for

706
00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 5: like a decade, it was Godean and him and As

707
00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:35,640
Speaker 5: in the middle of that defense with Suarez and Cavani

708
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 5: up top, so they could nick games. They can just

709
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:39,840
Speaker 5: slog games out to the eightieth minute and then all

710
00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:42,920
Speaker 5: of a sudden, Suarez or Cavani pulls out a moment

711
00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 5: of magic, and before them it was you know, Diego

712
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:47,280
Speaker 5: Fourlon like this, this has been a try and a

713
00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 5: true recipe for this team forever. They made a managerial

714
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:54,800
Speaker 5: change after about a decade with Oscar Tabaris, who loved

715
00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:57,320
Speaker 5: playing with that approach and making this a really really

716
00:30:57,360 --> 00:31:00,600
Speaker 5: solid structured side. So I'm interested to see like where

717
00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:03,840
Speaker 5: they go for the next few months here. But I

718
00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 5: think bj is right like they are live because they're

719
00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:08,480
Speaker 5: going to be tough to break down. They have the

720
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 5: strikers who win games in like the late stages of matches,

721
00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 5: and their defense should still be pretty well structured. I

722
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,200
Speaker 5: like Portugal, though I think that they are at twelve

723
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,480
Speaker 5: to one, they're they're definitely live. This is a team

724
00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:24,440
Speaker 5: that can score in bunches, you know, Jota, Ronaldo, Bernardo Silva.

725
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 5: We can go down the line, and I trust Roumands

726
00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 5: to be the you know Virgil van Dyke of this side,

727
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:32,960
Speaker 5: like like van Dyke would be for Netherlands. I get this.

728
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 5: This defense well organized and the goalkeeper like bij said

729
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 5: Jose sad like, don't overlook that he's been spectacular for

730
00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 5: Wolves this season and in the World Cup, you're probably

731
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:44,040
Speaker 5: gonna need to win a penalty shootout or two to

732
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:46,720
Speaker 5: get through. So if in terms of you know, the

733
00:31:47,040 --> 00:31:49,680
Speaker 5: peripheral stuff, I think Portugal actually checks a lot of

734
00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:52,160
Speaker 5: boxes here. So I like Portugal, I like Yrugua. I

735
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,880
Speaker 5: think they're both betable in a couple of different markets,

736
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:56,680
Speaker 5: and I wouldn't argue against either one of them.

737
00:31:57,040 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 2: Great stuff, guys. Group A through H all down here

738
00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 2: on the podcast. If you're tuning into the Action Network podcast,

739
00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:06,400
Speaker 2: we encourage you to scroll back and find details on

740
00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 2: each group. Of course, we have you on YouTube as

741
00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:11,920
Speaker 2: well live or the recorded version, So go back and

742
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:14,880
Speaker 2: look and see each group breakdown in terms of teams

743
00:32:14,880 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 2: that each of these guys like to come out of

744
00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:18,640
Speaker 2: the group. Not only that, but also maybe a team

745
00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:21,400
Speaker 2: a longshot team to win the World Cup this year

746
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 2: in Qatar. So we tease this off the top. We

747
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 2: will give Team USA some attention here for a couple

748
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 2: of minutes. The question with Team USA one hundred to

749
00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 2: one to win the World Cup in twenty twenty two.

750
00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 2: A nice nugget here from BETMGM. They're data reported yesterday

751
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:39,560
Speaker 2: Thursday that the US has taken a whopping thirty point

752
00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 2: four percent of the tickets to win it All in Qatar.

753
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:46,120
Speaker 2: That is well ahead of the nine point six percent

754
00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 2: of the tickets on raiding champion France and also five

755
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 2: time tournament winner Brazil. So the public money is coming

756
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 2: in on the United States. Is Team USA playable in

757
00:32:56,800 --> 00:32:59,160
Speaker 2: twenty twenty two BJ Yes?

758
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 3: I would say yes. I have them ranked as the

759
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,479
Speaker 3: eleventh best team in the entire world. They've obviously been

760
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:07,000
Speaker 3: the best team throughout CONCACAF qualifying. You may not see

761
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 3: it in the final table standings, but they have the

762
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,920
Speaker 3: best expected goals for and against anybody in the entire qualification.

763
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 1: It's a different US team than we've seen in years past.

764
00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:18,560
Speaker 3: Obviously we didn't qualify for the twenty eighteen World Cup,

765
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:21,360
Speaker 3: but we have an out and out star in Christian

766
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:24,920
Speaker 3: poolas Stitch, and we have talent around him with Giorna

767
00:33:25,520 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 3: from Moosa, from a bunch of other guys like Tyler

768
00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:32,920
Speaker 3: Adams in midfield. It's a team in Timothy Waya up top.

769
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 3: We have loads and loads of young talent across the

770
00:33:37,480 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 3: pitch now Yeah, when you talk about winning the World Cup,

771
00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:42,080
Speaker 3: you have to talk about the path. So if US

772
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:44,200
Speaker 3: finishes and second in Group E, which I think is

773
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,320
Speaker 3: most likely, they're gonna have to probably play the Netherlands

774
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:50,080
Speaker 3: or Senegal in the next round, which is not the

775
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,640
Speaker 3: best of matchups. But if they get that match against

776
00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:54,960
Speaker 3: England under their belts against it's one of the best

777
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:56,840
Speaker 3: teams in the world, I think that's huge for US

778
00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:00,360
Speaker 3: because we since we didn't qualify for the twenty eighteen

779
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:02,800
Speaker 3: World Cup, we haven't played some of the best teams

780
00:34:02,840 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 3: in the world in a really, really long time. It's

781
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:09,480
Speaker 3: just been Gold Cup and CONCACAF qualifying. So that England

782
00:34:09,520 --> 00:34:11,800
Speaker 3: match is going to be and especially a match against

783
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:14,560
Speaker 3: whether it be Wales, Scotland or Ukraine, whoever comes out

784
00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:17,240
Speaker 3: of the euro playoff, it's going to be very interesting

785
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:19,640
Speaker 3: to see how the US handles some of that talent. Now,

786
00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:22,440
Speaker 3: the good news is we're not just using MLS players

787
00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 3: like years past. We're using guys who are playing in

788
00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:26,960
Speaker 3: the top leagues in Europe, so they're used to playing

789
00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:29,920
Speaker 3: these type of teams. But at one hundred and one

790
00:34:29,960 --> 00:34:31,880
Speaker 3: I think is a decent number for you know, the

791
00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:34,479
Speaker 3: I have as the eleventh ranks best team in the world,

792
00:34:34,560 --> 00:34:36,799
Speaker 3: So I think the US is definitely playable at one

793
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 3: hundred and one when.

794
00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,279
Speaker 2: When you're talking about cheering for your country, if I

795
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:42,680
Speaker 2: may add, it's the one exception I think in sports

796
00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:45,440
Speaker 2: where you're allowed to say we, you know, like if

797
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:48,040
Speaker 2: you're like a pro sports team in your town and

798
00:34:48,160 --> 00:34:50,200
Speaker 2: use we, I kind of give you that eye roll

799
00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:53,040
Speaker 2: that like, come on, really, you're not them. But this

800
00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 2: is a little different when you're repping your nation's colors

801
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 2: or your nation's flag. Just wanted to get that off

802
00:34:57,560 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 2: my chest. Leave off. How do you feel about team

803
00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:03,200
Speaker 2: playable coming out of group B? Possibly coming out of

804
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 2: Group B, but one hundred to one to win the world?

805
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:05,960
Speaker 1: Come yeah?

806
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 5: I mean sometimes it's hip to be square, and why

807
00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:11,640
Speaker 5: at this number it's certainly playable. One hundred to one

808
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,279
Speaker 5: is giving them a one percent chance to win the

809
00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:17,759
Speaker 5: entire thing, which you know probably is fair because when

810
00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:19,239
Speaker 5: you think about what they're gonna who the teams are

811
00:35:19,239 --> 00:35:20,920
Speaker 5: gonna have to beat. If they get through in the

812
00:35:20,960 --> 00:35:23,240
Speaker 5: round of sixteen, round eight, you're gonna have to beat Spain,

813
00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:25,560
Speaker 5: and then you're gonna have to beat you know, Portugal

814
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:28,080
Speaker 5: or someone Brazil back to back to back to back,

815
00:35:28,120 --> 00:35:31,160
Speaker 5: like so, really really tough path. But that's why they're

816
00:35:31,160 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 5: a hundred to one. So the fact that I'll also say,

817
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:36,840
Speaker 5: the fact that odds makers haven't really adjusted them down

818
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:40,280
Speaker 5: to where Senegal is. For example, Senegal was one hundred

819
00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:42,399
Speaker 5: to one before the draw and now they're fifty to one,

820
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 5: and they haven't adjusted USA down from one hundred to

821
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:48,200
Speaker 5: one to anywhere from before the draw despite taking all

822
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 5: this money. He tells you that you know they're welcoming

823
00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:52,440
Speaker 5: the money in they don't believe in the team, and

824
00:35:52,719 --> 00:35:54,360
Speaker 5: I mean you can't blame it for that because of

825
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:56,319
Speaker 5: what I just said with the path, but I think

826
00:35:56,400 --> 00:35:59,040
Speaker 5: that at this number they're certainly playable. If this thing

827
00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:01,560
Speaker 5: was around, you know, fifty to one, yeah, I mean

828
00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:02,960
Speaker 5: you could still bet them, because we're not going to

829
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,839
Speaker 5: judge anybody for betting on their home country to win

830
00:36:05,880 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 5: the World Cup, right, serious, fomo, if that happens and

831
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:12,319
Speaker 5: you're not on the train with it, right, So I

832
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 5: think one hundred and one, you're getting a really nice

833
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 5: number to be a part of that ride and a

834
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,440
Speaker 5: team that, like BJ said, they have a high ceiling

835
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:20,879
Speaker 5: and I wouldn't be surprised if they make some noise

836
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:23,120
Speaker 5: in the group. But I think that if you're gonna

837
00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 5: bet them, you know, go big or don't go it

838
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:26,759
Speaker 5: all and take them to win it all.

839
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:29,720
Speaker 2: World Cup starts in two hundred and thirty three days

840
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,520
Speaker 2: in Katar. Before you wrap up this episode on the

841
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:37,520
Speaker 2: TAM podcast. Also to our video audience on YouTube, let's

842
00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:40,319
Speaker 2: get favorite bet to win the World Cup the twenty

843
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:42,279
Speaker 2: twenty two World Cup, bej. We'll start with you and

844
00:36:42,320 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 2: then leave off the Please Yeah for.

845
00:36:44,120 --> 00:36:47,920
Speaker 3: Me, it's England. It sticks to one. Listen, A long

846
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:50,520
Speaker 3: shot has pretty much never actually won the World Cup.

847
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 3: So if you really are serious about winning and picking

848
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:55,640
Speaker 3: a winner, obviously we love taking all these long shots

849
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:58,319
Speaker 3: because they have value. But one of the favorites is

850
00:36:58,360 --> 00:36:59,759
Speaker 3: going to win this World Cup, and I think it's

851
00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:01,399
Speaker 3: going to England, who I think is the best team

852
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:02,280
Speaker 3: in the entire world.

853
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:04,799
Speaker 1: I like I already mentioned just the depth.

854
00:37:04,480 --> 00:37:06,640
Speaker 3: Of talent that they have with Harry Kane up top

855
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 3: and the amount of attacking midfielders from macayosaka Jack Realist,

856
00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:12,960
Speaker 3: Phil Foden Raheem Sterling that they can throw at you

857
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:17,120
Speaker 3: from a really solid defensive midfield of Declan Rice and

858
00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:20,600
Speaker 3: Calvin Phillips to a solid defense you know of Harry Maguire,

859
00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:22,959
Speaker 3: Ben White's John Stones, whoever you want to throw back there.

860
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:25,759
Speaker 3: It's a team that is going to win their group.

861
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:28,240
Speaker 3: They're going to have a pretty decent path to get

862
00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 3: to the World Cup final. At six to one, I

863
00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:33,880
Speaker 3: really think that they should be the second favorite. I

864
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:37,080
Speaker 3: think they should be above France and Spain. So I

865
00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:40,319
Speaker 3: think it's coming home. I think football is finally coming home.

866
00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:41,719
Speaker 3: I think England's going to win the World Cup at

867
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 3: six to one.

868
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 5: Man for me, I know Bjay was saying earlier on

869
00:37:46,520 --> 00:37:48,400
Speaker 5: that he's not a believer in Portugal. I'm going to

870
00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 5: spend these next seven months trying to convince him to

871
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:53,400
Speaker 5: get on the train with me.

872
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 2: I thought he was going to say the next like

873
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:56,400
Speaker 2: seven minutes.

874
00:37:57,480 --> 00:37:59,200
Speaker 1: Well, no, he'll be on me all seven months.

875
00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:02,239
Speaker 5: We're going to talking a lot about this Portuguese side.

876
00:38:02,440 --> 00:38:04,600
Speaker 5: They've already won a major tournament too, which was a

877
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:07,319
Speaker 5: huge burden off their shoulders. And when you go back

878
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:09,960
Speaker 5: to Euro twenty sixteen and what that tournament showed you

879
00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:12,239
Speaker 5: is everything comes down to the path. When you're betting

880
00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:15,319
Speaker 5: these tournaments. Think about Croatia in twenty eighteen. This is

881
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:18,200
Speaker 5: what they had to do to get to the final

882
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 5: after advancing from the group. They beat Denmark, Russia and

883
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 5: then England shootout, shootout, extra time. So a lot of

884
00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:26,400
Speaker 5: luck has to go your way, but also you need

885
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 5: to catch a break with the path. And I don't

886
00:38:28,239 --> 00:38:31,799
Speaker 5: hate Portugal's second round potential matchup. We both said that

887
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,600
Speaker 5: we kind of are interested in Serbia as a long

888
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,440
Speaker 5: shot play, but Portugal will be favored over them if

889
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 5: they win the group in the round of sixteen, and

890
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 5: from there it's a fool's errandt to try to game

891
00:38:42,120 --> 00:38:45,239
Speaker 5: it out. So this Portuguese side has a favorable draw

892
00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:48,240
Speaker 5: in a pretty easy group of Uruguay, Korea and Ghana,

893
00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:52,080
Speaker 5: and we know that they have the talent to outscore teams,

894
00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:55,160
Speaker 5: and I think I trust this defense. Finally, for the

895
00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:57,279
Speaker 5: first time in a long time, Portugal has a back

896
00:38:57,320 --> 00:38:58,800
Speaker 5: line that you can go to sleep at night and

897
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:01,759
Speaker 5: feel pretty good about in especially with Ruben ds in

898
00:39:01,800 --> 00:39:03,800
Speaker 5: the back. And like you said, jou Cancelo is a

899
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:06,239
Speaker 5: great fallback. And then do we even have to mention

900
00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:11,240
Speaker 5: that attacking talent Ronaldo Diego, Diego Jota, Bruno, Bernardo Silva.

901
00:39:11,560 --> 00:39:13,439
Speaker 5: These guys are going to be able to beat teams

902
00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 5: in more than one way. They can outscore them, they

903
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 5: can grind out results. I like this Portuguese side. Twelve

904
00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:19,600
Speaker 5: to one. I think is a pretty good number.

905
00:39:19,960 --> 00:39:22,240
Speaker 2: All right, before we wrap up this World Cup draw,

906
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:25,160
Speaker 2: betting breakdown here on the Action Network. All right, come on,

907
00:39:25,239 --> 00:39:28,360
Speaker 2: let's do a long shot. And Leeboff revealed this to

908
00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:30,359
Speaker 2: us before we got started since two thousand and two,

909
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:33,319
Speaker 2: longest odds to win the World Cup we're Germany twenty

910
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:36,000
Speaker 2: fourteen Italy. In two thousand and six they were both

911
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:39,000
Speaker 2: plus eight hundred. So, as BJ hinted at, long shot

912
00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:41,480
Speaker 2: has never won this thing. But if you had to

913
00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:44,840
Speaker 2: pick one for the people, BJ, give us a long shot.

914
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:46,520
Speaker 1: Morocco two hundred to one.

915
00:39:46,520 --> 00:39:48,560
Speaker 3: I love and Ryan Morocco is the second best team

916
00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:51,239
Speaker 3: in Africa, behind Senegal. I would have said Senegal if

917
00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:52,960
Speaker 3: they didn't drop from one hundred to one to fifty

918
00:39:52,920 --> 00:39:54,720
Speaker 3: to one. Idean it's a little too trendy, but Morocco

919
00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:58,719
Speaker 3: really just dominated throughout the Africa Cup of Nations. They

920
00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:01,560
Speaker 3: just thrash everybody in their path and then they got

921
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 3: really unlucky against Egypt in the playoffs. The team that

922
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:07,080
Speaker 3: has talent that's playing at some of the top leagues

923
00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 3: in the world, you know, and necessarily who plays for

924
00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:10,759
Speaker 3: Savilla in La Liga. They have potentially one of the

925
00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:13,279
Speaker 3: best right backs in the world in atra Fakimi, and

926
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:15,640
Speaker 3: they just have solid players around the pitch.

927
00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:16,959
Speaker 1: They're a really good pressing team.

928
00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:18,680
Speaker 3: They're a team that can give you a lot of fits,

929
00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:21,279
Speaker 3: and they're in a very very favorable group, like I

930
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:26,279
Speaker 3: already mentioned with Canada, Belgium and I'm forgetting Croatia. So

931
00:40:26,640 --> 00:40:28,799
Speaker 3: the path isn't great for coming out of Group F

932
00:40:28,920 --> 00:40:31,640
Speaker 3: because you're gonna have to play the counterpart of Group

933
00:40:31,680 --> 00:40:34,160
Speaker 3: E in the first round, but at a price of

934
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:36,320
Speaker 3: two hundred to one if they potentially finish second and

935
00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:39,040
Speaker 3: they have to play Spain, who at the Euros show

936
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:42,800
Speaker 3: that they are very, very vulnerable in knockout styles soccer.

937
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:46,640
Speaker 3: I mean, they went to extra time with Croatia and

938
00:40:46,680 --> 00:40:48,960
Speaker 3: then they just can continually. Even though they put up,

939
00:40:49,040 --> 00:40:51,719
Speaker 3: you know, great expected goals numbers every single match, they

940
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:53,719
Speaker 3: tended to struggle with a lot of teams that had

941
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:56,040
Speaker 3: a little bit of talent, So it's not crazy to

942
00:40:56,040 --> 00:40:58,320
Speaker 3: think that Morocco can't pull off an upset against Spain

943
00:40:58,520 --> 00:41:00,400
Speaker 3: in the round of sixteen to potentially make run in

944
00:41:00,400 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 3: this type of tournament with the talent that they have.

945
00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:05,200
Speaker 3: So at two hundred and one, I love the Moroccan

946
00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:07,560
Speaker 3: side to potentially win the World Cup.

947
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:10,480
Speaker 2: Leeba, if you're long shot twenty twenty two war Old.

948
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:13,279
Speaker 5: Cup, like BJ said, a lot of love is going

949
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,800
Speaker 5: to go to Senegal in this market looking for a

950
00:41:15,880 --> 00:41:18,279
Speaker 5: dark horse. For me, I would suggest you go one

951
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:20,440
Speaker 5: step further in Group A and look at Ecuador one

952
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:22,880
Speaker 5: hundred and fifty to one right now, they're playing guitar

953
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,080
Speaker 5: in the first match. If they get those three points,

954
00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:28,040
Speaker 5: these odds immediately sledge, So you're looking at them being

955
00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:30,200
Speaker 5: a favorite even on the road. I think against katar

956
00:41:30,520 --> 00:41:32,320
Speaker 5: And this is a team that actually has the talent

957
00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:34,799
Speaker 5: to make some noise in a very soft group they

958
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:39,320
Speaker 5: and they like some. I think there's some merit to

959
00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:42,319
Speaker 5: World Cup qualifying it, depending on what the setup is

960
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:45,040
Speaker 5: and inconnable there should be some right like this is

961
00:41:45,080 --> 00:41:48,799
Speaker 5: you're going to places like Bolivia, Brazil, Argentina, You're playing

962
00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:50,800
Speaker 5: in really really tough environments. If you get out of

963
00:41:50,800 --> 00:41:51,920
Speaker 5: the group and you don't even have to play in

964
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:54,160
Speaker 5: the playoff. As a young team that shows me something,

965
00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:55,840
Speaker 5: shows me you got a little bit of moxie. And

966
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:57,720
Speaker 5: I think this Ecuador team not only the have moxie,

967
00:41:57,840 --> 00:42:01,680
Speaker 5: they have a lot of talent. Piero hincapie Es Stupignan, Ceflentes,

968
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:04,720
Speaker 5: Felix Torres and Moyses Cassado. These are young emerging talents

969
00:42:04,719 --> 00:42:07,320
Speaker 5: from South America. So with an opening match against guitar

970
00:42:07,400 --> 00:42:09,160
Speaker 5: and a soft group, I think one hundred and fifty

971
00:42:09,200 --> 00:42:11,799
Speaker 5: to one on a team that has the upside to

972
00:42:11,840 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 5: pull a couple of stunners and is in a very

973
00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:16,800
Speaker 5: very favorable jaw is worth worth a couple of pennies.

974
00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:18,800
Speaker 2: Chan's great stuff. That was a lot of fun, and

975
00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:21,239
Speaker 2: I'm sure your coverage will continue over on the Action

976
00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:24,960
Speaker 2: Network as the next seven months unfold, and you'll both

977
00:42:25,000 --> 00:42:27,279
Speaker 2: be hearing from each other. As bj hinted at, you'll

978
00:42:27,280 --> 00:42:32,760
Speaker 2: be in each other's ears, slack channels, text messages, phone calls,

979
00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:36,040
Speaker 2: perhaps discussing the World Cup, which is two hundred and

980
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:38,799
Speaker 2: thirty three days away. The twenty second edition of the

981
00:42:38,800 --> 00:42:42,400
Speaker 2: FIFA World Cup in Qatar this winter so again, like

982
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 2: I mentioned, keep an eye on BJ Cunningham and Michael

983
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:47,239
Speaker 2: Liebov's work on the Action Network. Thanks for all of

984
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:49,640
Speaker 2: you that tuned in live on the YouTube stream. You

985
00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:51,560
Speaker 2: can go back and watch, of course on our Action

986
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:54,680
Speaker 2: Network YouTube channel. And to those of you listening now

987
00:42:54,960 --> 00:42:58,480
Speaker 2: on the Action Network podcast for Michael leebof MBJ Cunningham,

988
00:42:58,520 --> 00:43:01,600
Speaker 2: Brendan Lashen, Thanks to tuning in to the World Cup

989
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:04,359
Speaker 2: draw betting breakdown again. Go back in you can find

990
00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:08,000
Speaker 2: group by group breakdown thoughts on Team USA, also some

991
00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:10,920
Speaker 2: long shots as well as each of the guy's favorite

992
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:13,359
Speaker 2: to win the twenty twenty two World Cup. We'll catch

993
00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:15,520
Speaker 2: you next time, and we'll see you very soon as

994
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:20,680
Speaker 2: the World Cup news