WEBVTT - Stretch Run! 0:00:04.299 --> 0:00:06.699 NFL Game Deview is a production of the NFL in 0:00:06.739 --> 0:00:12.299 partnership with iHeartRadio. 0:00:12.499 --> 0:00:13.779 Everybody, Welcome to game debut. 0:00:13.819 --> 0:00:16.499 Patrick Claybahn back here with Greg Roseendal and Cynthia Freeland. 0:00:16.619 --> 0:00:17.859 Week fifteen is here. 0:00:17.899 --> 0:00:20.019 We had a great slate last week, Greg, we got 0:00:20.019 --> 0:00:20.659 a great slate. 0:00:20.699 --> 0:00:21.539 This week we do. 0:00:21.659 --> 0:00:24.659 This is officially the Stretch Up Stretch. We're branding it. 0:00:24.699 --> 0:00:27.899 No more bye weeks, no teams with different records, and 0:00:28.059 --> 0:00:30.299 especially this week, like a lot of the top teams 0:00:30.339 --> 0:00:30.939 playing each other. 0:00:31.019 --> 0:00:33.219 Yeah, I mean, we have so many division rivals playing 0:00:33.219 --> 0:00:35.779 even in the early window on Sunday, there's three pivotal 0:00:35.819 --> 0:00:39.259 matchups for seating, playoff, all of the things, first order 0:00:39.379 --> 0:00:40.579 playoff things. 0:00:40.739 --> 0:00:41.259 It's awesome. 0:00:41.779 --> 0:00:45.179 We love the division rivalries, but can we spread them 0:00:45.179 --> 0:00:47.059 out a little bit. It's kind of jam packed towards 0:00:47.099 --> 0:00:48.579 the end of the season. If I'm talking to you 0:00:48.619 --> 0:00:52.339 schedule makers who I know are watching us intently right now, 0:00:52.379 --> 0:00:54.779 speaking of you know, schedules and games and all that. 0:00:54.979 --> 0:00:57.139 I was able to extend the lead somehow in. 0:00:57.059 --> 0:01:01.179 Our Pigs contest, Goingrea eight and six, three games ahead 0:01:01.179 --> 0:01:05.059 of Cynthia. But Cynthia Freeland is inevitable and Greg Rosendal 0:01:05.179 --> 0:01:07.899 is decided to climb up the rankings. 0:01:08.019 --> 0:01:09.659 No, not this year. 0:01:09.979 --> 0:01:13.459 They're of the crown, reluctantly, none of our arching yet. 0:01:13.539 --> 0:01:14.779 Falla's talk some ball here. 0:01:14.819 --> 0:01:17.139 Back in Week five, the upstart Patriots, at the time 0:01:17.299 --> 0:01:19.299 sitting at two and two, met up with the four 0:01:19.299 --> 0:01:22.819 and zero juggernaut Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football, tied 0:01:22.899 --> 0:01:25.779 at twenty with the round two minutes remaining, Drake May 0:01:25.899 --> 0:01:27.979 led the Patriots right down the field of connect with 0:01:27.979 --> 0:01:31.179 Stefan Digs for twelve yards, then Kishon Booty for another 0:01:31.259 --> 0:01:34.339 nineteen or the first down A few plays later, andres 0:01:34.339 --> 0:01:37.499 borgallis now the fifty two yard game winner to stun 0:01:37.739 --> 0:01:40.539 all of those folks in Buffalo who have been plotting 0:01:40.819 --> 0:01:45.179 revenge all season long. It's worth mentioning that Sean McDermott 0:01:45.219 --> 0:01:47.419 squad did have three turnovers, a couple of them really 0:01:47.499 --> 0:01:50.099 rough in that Week five loss, and Sunday we get 0:01:50.099 --> 0:01:50.619 that rematch. 0:01:50.699 --> 0:01:53.779 New England eleven and two can clinch the AFC. 0:01:53.339 --> 0:01:55.859 East with a win. Buffalo currently the sixth seed. Do 0:01:55.979 --> 0:01:59.219 the Patriots sweep the season series against the Bills. 0:01:59.459 --> 0:01:59.819 They do. 0:02:00.059 --> 0:02:02.539 I have a one point win for New England twenty 0:02:02.579 --> 0:02:05.819 six to twenty five. I'm looking at this matchup and 0:02:05.859 --> 0:02:07.979 by the way, I have the Bills ending up in 0:02:07.979 --> 0:02:10.579 the five sets, so all is not lost because they'll 0:02:10.579 --> 0:02:12.659 probably get to play the Steelers anyways, it doesn't really 0:02:12.699 --> 0:02:16.859 matter about that necessarily. But what does matter in this matchup, Well, 0:02:16.859 --> 0:02:18.059 it's Drake May of course. 0:02:18.139 --> 0:02:18.619 Obviously. 0:02:18.779 --> 0:02:21.659 When you look at the deep passing situation, you're like, oh, 0:02:21.779 --> 0:02:23.219 I remember Christian Benford. 0:02:23.539 --> 0:02:25.339 He has two scores. 0:02:25.019 --> 0:02:27.539 And two games now and the lowest passer rating allowed 0:02:27.539 --> 0:02:30.459 in coverage and like a really long time. And I'm like, yeah, 0:02:30.659 --> 0:02:33.419 But there are other parts to that defense to target. 0:02:33.579 --> 0:02:36.299 And if you're looking at the deep pass where Drake 0:02:36.379 --> 0:02:39.739 May has been incredibly efficient, like over a one and 0:02:39.859 --> 0:02:43.699 a quarter epa per deep pass attempt, which is a massive, 0:02:43.819 --> 0:02:47.419 massive number, that is where they can succeed, just maybe. 0:02:47.219 --> 0:02:48.939 Not into the coverage of Christian Benford. 0:02:49.019 --> 0:02:52.299 So the deep pass and a kind of sneaky stat 0:02:52.499 --> 0:02:55.819 where Buffalo allows those deep passes to connect, that is 0:02:55.859 --> 0:02:56.619 the difference maker. 0:02:56.699 --> 0:02:58.139 There's volatility in this game. 0:02:58.299 --> 0:03:01.259 Volatility means fun for fans, but meaning there could be 0:03:01.259 --> 0:03:01.859 turnovers too. 0:03:02.219 --> 0:03:04.939 I've also got a slim Patriots, but a two point 0:03:04.939 --> 0:03:07.339 win twenty six to twenty four, because we saw it 0:03:07.339 --> 0:03:08.899 in the highlights that something was talking about. 0:03:08.899 --> 0:03:10.299 But this deep passing game. 0:03:10.299 --> 0:03:13.419 The Patriots have guys who made plays on those balls 0:03:13.459 --> 0:03:16.219 thrown in every direction by drag may not just deep. 0:03:16.339 --> 0:03:18.779 The Buffalo Bills could use some help. 0:03:18.779 --> 0:03:21.339 In that capacity if you want to talk about Bills 0:03:21.339 --> 0:03:24.739 receivers with less than a yard of separation making plays 0:03:24.739 --> 0:03:27.859 on the ball. The leading guys Josh Palmer this season 0:03:28.179 --> 0:03:32.259 with three OO elsewhere the team, and I know Khalilsa 0:03:32.339 --> 0:03:34.059 here had a great one on what was the quite 0:03:34.099 --> 0:03:36.659 essential Josh Allen play where he ran around, made a 0:03:36.659 --> 0:03:38.819 bunch of guys miss, and then fired a ball into 0:03:38.859 --> 0:03:42.099 a holeless size of a football. The rest of the 0:03:42.099 --> 0:03:44.379 team hasn't really done that, and I think it's relying 0:03:44.419 --> 0:03:46.579 on Josh Allen obviously a little too much. 0:03:46.859 --> 0:03:48.339 It's going to be too much again on Sunday. 0:03:48.579 --> 0:03:51.899 How dare you question the rest of the Buffalo Bills. 0:03:51.939 --> 0:03:53.179 This is a. 0:03:52.819 --> 0:03:55.659 Championship team year after year in the afcast. They took 0:03:55.699 --> 0:03:58.099 that title from the Patriots, and they're going to try 0:03:58.139 --> 0:04:00.339 to take it back. Yes, I'm picking the Bills I'm 0:04:00.379 --> 0:04:03.259 going against my Patriots. We're just gregging it up here 0:04:03.539 --> 0:04:06.819 in week Fife because of this man, Josh Allen. You 0:04:06.859 --> 0:04:08.699 say he doesn't have any weapons. Well, first of all, 0:04:08.739 --> 0:04:12.339 khaliols Sekire is awesome, Dalton Kincaid is back. It's a 0:04:12.379 --> 0:04:16.099 great three tight end group. It's a great offensive line 0:04:16.219 --> 0:04:19.259 going up against a defensive line that's a little banged up, 0:04:19.379 --> 0:04:24.019 possibly without Harold Landry, definitely without Milton Williams. And the 0:04:24.139 --> 0:04:27.219 number one thing is the success rate on Josh Allen 0:04:27.299 --> 0:04:30.579 runs in the month of December is one billion percent. 0:04:31.139 --> 0:04:33.379 I just think this is a guy who when he 0:04:33.499 --> 0:04:36.059 plays his best, he tends to go on a streak 0:04:36.259 --> 0:04:37.979 of playing his best and that was one of the 0:04:37.979 --> 0:04:39.979 best Josh Allen games of all time last week. I 0:04:40.019 --> 0:04:42.459 think he carries himself in the Spills team to a 0:04:42.459 --> 0:04:44.499 win and they just split. That's what happens among good 0:04:44.539 --> 0:04:45.259 two teams. 0:04:45.419 --> 0:04:45.859 They split. 0:04:46.099 --> 0:04:46.219 Well. 0:04:46.259 --> 0:04:48.379 The Patriots currently the number two seed in the AFC. 0:04:48.419 --> 0:04:51.379 They're looking up at the Denver Broncos who won ten straight, 0:04:51.419 --> 0:04:53.819 but they've got a match up with the feisty Packers 0:04:53.819 --> 0:04:54.619 team on Sunday. 0:04:55.739 --> 0:04:57.419 They get motion to the tight end of the line, 0:04:57.979 --> 0:05:00.979 take the swift, big legging. Let Williams looking flints. 0:05:04.939 --> 0:05:07.659 A late being in oception bodka shot. 0:05:07.819 --> 0:05:12.939 Next, sim Panter is your dagger, Henna. 0:05:12.779 --> 0:05:15.419 Lambeau leaf to the south ten zone. 0:05:15.259 --> 0:05:19.819 Stands twenty two seconds to go. Then the Packers tmhung on. 0:05:20.899 --> 0:05:23.259 The Packers playing the top spot in NFC North with 0:05:23.299 --> 0:05:25.419 their win over the Bears. They're heading to Denver to 0:05:25.459 --> 0:05:27.899 take on the AFC's one seed, the Broncos. 0:05:27.899 --> 0:05:30.579 It's a heavyweight fight. But who's standing at the end 0:05:30.619 --> 0:05:31.419 of it, Cynthia. 0:05:31.539 --> 0:05:34.699 So you're saying that the Broncos are not favored at home, 0:05:35.179 --> 0:05:38.219 I am saying that, yes, interesting, my model doesn't agree. 0:05:38.219 --> 0:05:41.379 I have Denver winning this one twenty one to twenty. 0:05:41.739 --> 0:05:43.339 I know that there's a lot of great things I 0:05:43.339 --> 0:05:44.979 could say about the Denver defense, and I think I've 0:05:45.019 --> 0:05:46.899 said like a lot of them throughout the course of 0:05:46.939 --> 0:05:47.259 the season. 0:05:47.339 --> 0:05:49.859 But I want to talk about RJ. Harvey because this O. 0:05:49.979 --> 0:05:52.979 Line combined with a dynamic rookie and how he stepped 0:05:53.059 --> 0:05:56.619 up in JK. Dobbins's behest after he got injured has 0:05:56.659 --> 0:05:58.859 been really interesting. We know that there are a lot 0:05:58.859 --> 0:06:01.179 of shorter passes. I'm pretty sure someone else is going 0:06:01.219 --> 0:06:01.899 to talk about that. 0:06:02.139 --> 0:06:03.019 But the way RJ. 0:06:03.219 --> 0:06:05.779 Harvey has take get a hold of this offense and 0:06:05.819 --> 0:06:09.139 being able to help this quarterback escape sacked. We know 0:06:09.659 --> 0:06:11.659 Sean Payton does not like his quarterback to be sacked. 0:06:11.659 --> 0:06:13.099 I don't know if you've heard that anywhere before, but 0:06:13.139 --> 0:06:14.939 you know he said it over and over and over again. 0:06:15.099 --> 0:06:17.219 But it's true. And part of that is getting RJ. 0:06:17.339 --> 0:06:19.819 Harvey into the spots to succeed, to get them those 0:06:20.019 --> 0:06:21.819 first and four. It doesn't need to look great, No, 0:06:21.899 --> 0:06:24.659 Jeff Hafley defenses don't give up las of but four 0:06:24.739 --> 0:06:27.019 yards on first down. That is sexy right there, and 0:06:27.099 --> 0:06:28.259 it also leads them to win. 0:06:28.379 --> 0:06:31.579 Yeah, we just have to I have the beholder because 0:06:31.579 --> 0:06:33.579 you know it can be sexy. 0:06:32.939 --> 0:06:34.219 I think it's great. 0:06:34.419 --> 0:06:36.859 It'd be fun. Two great defenses. I think it's a 0:06:36.899 --> 0:06:38.819 bit of a rock fight. I'm gonna take the twenty 0:06:38.859 --> 0:06:41.539 twenty five Broncos in a rock fight. Every single time 0:06:41.739 --> 0:06:44.899 a one point Broncos win, because yeah, Sean Payton doesn't 0:06:44.939 --> 0:06:47.259 like his quarterback does not. One thing that you can 0:06:47.299 --> 0:06:49.499 do is get the ball out of his hands. Very tough, 0:06:49.899 --> 0:06:52.499 and the screen game. The only player with more screen 0:06:52.579 --> 0:06:55.259 completions in the league this year than bow Knicks is 0:06:55.259 --> 0:06:58.139 Patrick Mahomes. He's got four hundred and eleven yards on 0:06:58.219 --> 0:07:00.419 screens this season, and they can work them to slow 0:07:00.499 --> 0:07:03.019 down that pass rush on their way to a one 0:07:03.059 --> 0:07:06.859 point win and take this win stread to eleven games. 0:07:07.179 --> 0:07:09.619 So you're gonna give me the favorite. 0:07:09.899 --> 0:07:12.699 You're gonna give me Jordan Love, one of the best 0:07:12.739 --> 0:07:14.619 quarterbacks in the league against bo Nicks. 0:07:14.659 --> 0:07:15.979 It's just Greg number two. 0:07:16.019 --> 0:07:17.939 There we go, both time game favorites. 0:07:18.059 --> 0:07:18.779 Let's do it. 0:07:19.139 --> 0:07:20.979 This Packers seem is one of the best in the 0:07:21.139 --> 0:07:23.899 entire NFL right now. I'm putting them right there with 0:07:23.939 --> 0:07:25.939 the Rams and the Seahawks. I don't think the top 0:07:25.939 --> 0:07:28.219 of the AFC, which includes the Broncos, is in the 0:07:28.219 --> 0:07:31.019 same category as the top of the NFC. And it's 0:07:31.059 --> 0:07:34.099 partly because of this guy, Kristin Watson. I don't know 0:07:34.139 --> 0:07:36.819 what he did after that ACL surgery, but he came 0:07:36.859 --> 0:07:41.259 back as explosive, maybe even more explosive, certainly more productive. 0:07:41.419 --> 0:07:45.619 He's got seven touchdowns, He's got as many deep catches 0:07:45.699 --> 0:07:48.899 as anyone in the NFL since he returned, tied with 0:07:49.299 --> 0:07:50.179 CD Lamb. 0:07:50.299 --> 0:07:51.979 And I think this is a defense. 0:07:52.179 --> 0:07:55.459 They can take advantage of everyone not named Patrick Sirtan, 0:07:55.579 --> 0:07:58.819 and that's you Riley Moss. So Christian Watson on Riley Moss, 0:07:58.859 --> 0:08:03.219 I think the Packers get the wins, but he's not 0:08:03.299 --> 0:08:05.819 Patrick Sirtanus to getting targeted catches. 0:08:05.819 --> 0:08:09.019 Another target from Greg Rosenthal. Here the Packers and Broncos 0:08:09.019 --> 0:08:11.259 have some history. Denver beat Green Bay way back. 0:08:11.379 --> 0:08:13.219 What's that long ago Super Bowl thirty two? You know 0:08:13.259 --> 0:08:16.299 who els has some beef. Jared Goff and Matthew Stafford. 0:08:16.419 --> 0:08:19.979 Here's the quarterback comparison since twenty twenty one in terms 0:08:20.019 --> 0:08:23.499 of the winning lost head to head in favor of 0:08:23.659 --> 0:08:25.819 Jared Goff, the at points per game in favor of 0:08:25.819 --> 0:08:28.499 Matthew Stafford, Passing yards going Stafford's way. 0:08:28.779 --> 0:08:30.659 But the lasting memory I'll have. 0:08:31.019 --> 0:08:33.899 Is you're good enough for Detroit Jared from his head 0:08:33.939 --> 0:08:38.139 coach Dan Campbell. As we look back, Stafford didn't get 0:08:38.139 --> 0:08:39.859 the win in the Super Bowl in his first year 0:08:39.859 --> 0:08:40.379 with the Rams. 0:08:40.379 --> 0:08:40.899 So there's that. 0:08:41.019 --> 0:08:44.179 Sunday we get part four of the Golf Stafford Trade Bowl. 0:08:44.179 --> 0:08:46.099 The Lions need a win to stay in the playoff hunt. 0:08:46.099 --> 0:08:49.619 The Rams can clinch a postseason berth with a win. 0:08:50.139 --> 0:08:52.979 Do they get it great they do because the Rams 0:08:52.979 --> 0:08:55.419 lost the last two times these two teams wait because 0:08:55.419 --> 0:08:59.619 the whole team wasn't as good. But now Matthew Stafford 0:08:59.659 --> 0:09:01.579 is not the whole thing. It's also about the defense 0:09:01.579 --> 0:09:05.059 and the pass rush. Especially think back to week one 0:09:05.539 --> 0:09:07.659 of a couple of years ago when they last played. 0:09:07.699 --> 0:09:09.539 We didn't even know how good Jared Versus was gonna 0:09:09.579 --> 0:09:12.259 be or Braydon Fist. You're looking at Byron Young, who 0:09:12.339 --> 0:09:15.659 is having a breakout season as a totally complete pass 0:09:15.699 --> 0:09:18.619 rusher and run stopper. You have Kobe Turner up front, 0:09:18.659 --> 0:09:21.459 so we know that Jared Goff does not like pressure 0:09:21.699 --> 0:09:26.379 what quarterback does, and ultimately I expect that Jared Goff 0:09:26.419 --> 0:09:29.059 will be under a lot more pressure on Sunday than 0:09:29.099 --> 0:09:32.619 Matthew Stafford because these two teams are not even even 0:09:32.659 --> 0:09:35.419 if the quarterbacks were, the Rams pass rush gets home. 0:09:36.339 --> 0:09:38.219 I agree with you on the winner. I think your 0:09:38.259 --> 0:09:40.259 margin's a little too big. I have a three point win, 0:09:40.339 --> 0:09:42.659 twenty seven to twenty four. I mean, let's just make 0:09:42.699 --> 0:09:45.779 it two points. After seeing that horrible music video, we're 0:09:45.819 --> 0:09:47.579 better than just good enough for Detroit. 0:09:47.659 --> 0:09:49.379 Jared Goff my god. 0:09:49.419 --> 0:09:53.139 Anyways, I want to talk about Blake Korham, although I'm 0:09:53.139 --> 0:09:56.339 now angry about the Jared Goff slander. If all of 0:09:56.379 --> 0:09:58.699 the directional schools of Michigan can chant your name, you 0:09:58.739 --> 0:10:00.739 are good enough for the whole state of Michigan and 0:10:00.779 --> 0:10:03.459 probably the whole country. Anyways, we're not gonna talk about anymore. 0:10:03.459 --> 0:10:05.859 We're talking about bla who comes from the University of Michigan. 0:10:06.099 --> 0:10:07.059 Great week for them. 0:10:06.939 --> 0:10:09.979 By the way, But ultimately, Blake Cooram is a new 0:10:09.979 --> 0:10:13.139 wrinkle and fold in this offense that perhaps is one 0:10:13.179 --> 0:10:15.659 of the things that they don't know so much about 0:10:15.659 --> 0:10:18.939 each other. Blake korm is extremely explosive. They found really 0:10:18.939 --> 0:10:21.619 interesting ways to use him. There's a lot of familiarity 0:10:21.659 --> 0:10:24.339 between these two teams, considering they don't play very often. 0:10:24.539 --> 0:10:27.579 But Blakekoram could have a nice upside to a run 0:10:27.619 --> 0:10:30.219 defense that has been very, very stingy. This could be 0:10:30.259 --> 0:10:32.859 one thing where they find just those wrinkles unfolds and 0:10:33.059 --> 0:10:35.259 figure out just a new way to get a first down. 0:10:35.579 --> 0:10:38.219 And now we have an interesting opportunity for Lions fans 0:10:38.259 --> 0:10:40.299 to take a picture of the screen, because I'm also 0:10:40.379 --> 0:10:43.099 taking the rams and meme us away. I don't want 0:10:43.099 --> 0:10:46.139 to in this memes Cynthia in the picture because that's gonna. 0:10:45.939 --> 0:10:48.619 That's that's more likely to have a picture taken. 0:10:48.739 --> 0:10:51.859 Yeah, I don't know what I got a one point win. 0:10:52.139 --> 0:10:53.219 No, I don't want to be a part of. 0:10:53.139 --> 0:10:56.979 The Yes Walker it is pukin Akola is the reason 0:10:57.259 --> 0:10:59.059 that I am taking the Los Angeles rems. 0:10:59.059 --> 0:10:59.939 Have you've seen what I know? 0:11:00.019 --> 0:11:02.459 Jamior Gibbs has been lighting the league on fire, especially 0:11:02.619 --> 0:11:05.459 a game against the Giants up Pooka these nast few weeks. 0:11:05.499 --> 0:11:07.819 Has been catching everything. You have that great one hander 0:11:08.499 --> 0:11:11.179 in Charlotte with the Rams lost, but that's gonna be 0:11:11.179 --> 0:11:13.379 the lasting memory of that game for me. 0:11:13.499 --> 0:11:14.979 Two touchdowns against the Cardinals. 0:11:14.979 --> 0:11:17.379 He averages one hundred and eight yards a game in 0:11:17.979 --> 0:11:20.259 his career against the Lions in his career. Kind of 0:11:20.299 --> 0:11:23.499 coinciding with the lines being good. Kirby has banged up 0:11:23.659 --> 0:11:27.339 no more branch the rest of the year in the secondary. 0:11:27.379 --> 0:11:29.699 So yeah, it's Ramley across the. 0:11:29.619 --> 0:11:31.939 Board for us. It's tough for who's eaten good? 0:11:31.979 --> 0:11:35.539 Presented by Applebee's Cynthia, which quarterback in the game is 0:11:35.579 --> 0:11:38.659 more likely to throw for over two sixty jg or 0:11:38.699 --> 0:11:39.619 Matthew Staff. 0:11:39.459 --> 0:11:43.939 Your probable MVP. Matthew Stafford is the answer to this one. 0:11:44.259 --> 0:11:48.419 You've talked about it. There's no Brian Branch problem. Terry 0:11:48.419 --> 0:11:50.539 on Arnold, where are you? You just had surgery today? 0:11:50.539 --> 0:11:53.139 Hope went a little buddy, but not on the field. 0:11:53.459 --> 0:11:55.259 This is not great. You know, we saw a lot 0:11:55.299 --> 0:11:58.179 of DPI like there's just it's just not a good 0:11:58.219 --> 0:12:01.379 situation for the legion of whom it's going to be 0:12:01.419 --> 0:12:04.139 a big advantage for Poka Nakua and all the past 0:12:04.259 --> 0:12:06.059 catchers for Matthew Stafford. 0:12:06.619 --> 0:12:09.619 Time for Seas this season presented by Caesar Sportsbook, as 0:12:09.619 --> 0:12:12.539 we look at the first touchdown score odds between the 0:12:12.659 --> 0:12:16.459 Ravens and the Cincinnati Bengals. Somehow Dereck Henry ahead of 0:12:16.499 --> 0:12:20.539 Jamar Chase in this one, as Chase Brown, Mark Andrews, 0:12:20.539 --> 0:12:24.139 and Zay Flowers round out that top group of players. 0:12:24.179 --> 0:12:26.179 Let's discuss this matchup if more. 0:12:26.259 --> 0:12:28.619 The Bengals took it to the Ravens on Thanksgiving, winning 0:12:28.659 --> 0:12:31.219 thirty two to fourteen. The Ravens can stop turning the 0:12:31.219 --> 0:12:34.219 ball over and Joe Burrow's return was great. I think 0:12:34.259 --> 0:12:36.899 the Ravens win it this time around a score of 0:12:36.939 --> 0:12:39.259 twenty nine to twenty eight. Not having a pass rush 0:12:39.339 --> 0:12:42.499 is a definite issue against Joe Burrow and the Bengals. 0:12:42.819 --> 0:12:45.859 But Lamar Jackson appears to be moving a bit better, 0:12:46.619 --> 0:12:48.459 so we can add some points. How do they do 0:12:48.499 --> 0:12:51.339 that with the issues they've had upfront? They could just 0:12:51.419 --> 0:12:54.979 run play action. He's completed eighty point three percent of 0:12:55.059 --> 0:12:57.179 his passes while the Ravens were running play action. 0:12:57.259 --> 0:12:58.059 It seems like some of the. 0:12:58.059 --> 0:13:01.179 Guys upfront might better be better at pass blocking when 0:13:01.179 --> 0:13:04.979 they're pretending to run block. He's only trailer Sam Donald 0:13:05.019 --> 0:13:07.259 and yards per attempt when they run play action. I'm 0:13:07.299 --> 0:13:10.779 just perhaps on wishcasting a particular direction that they could 0:13:10.779 --> 0:13:11.859 go to win this game. 0:13:11.899 --> 0:13:13.659 But I do have them winning it by one point. 0:13:14.299 --> 0:13:17.339 I have the Ravens winning by three points, and I 0:13:17.339 --> 0:13:19.019 think it's going to be a score fest. I don't 0:13:19.019 --> 0:13:20.859 feel good about either one of these teams right now. 0:13:21.059 --> 0:13:23.339 I think Joe Burrow is going to play well in 0:13:23.379 --> 0:13:25.579 this game, because when you watch what he did last 0:13:25.579 --> 0:13:28.699 week in the Snow, he was disappointed because of how 0:13:28.699 --> 0:13:30.499 it ended with a couple of turnovers. Ones on a 0:13:30.499 --> 0:13:33.459 tip pass one is just a ridiculous play by Christian Bedford. 0:13:33.859 --> 0:13:37.579 But he was playing incredible football. I can't tell you 0:13:37.619 --> 0:13:41.019 how many highly difficult throw and catch us. Yeah, that 0:13:41.019 --> 0:13:43.539 throw to Chase Brown was incredible, and his receivers are 0:13:43.539 --> 0:13:44.659 coming through for him. 0:13:44.699 --> 0:13:47.099 It's like they're playing even better. We don't know about T. 0:13:47.219 --> 0:13:50.379 Higgins's status in this game, but the vibes are down 0:13:50.379 --> 0:13:53.019 horrendous in Baltimore, and I just don't feel good about 0:13:53.059 --> 0:13:54.619 either of these teams. But I do feel good just 0:13:54.659 --> 0:13:57.699 about points. I don't trust ultimately in the defenses. I 0:13:57.739 --> 0:14:00.339 trust more in the quarterback. So I think lots of points, 0:14:00.699 --> 0:14:03.499 and ultimately I think these two teams deserve to split. 0:14:03.619 --> 0:14:05.699 So the ultimate Baltimore gets the win. 0:14:05.859 --> 0:14:07.779 I agree with you on points, but way do you 0:14:07.819 --> 0:14:10.419 see how unsure I am about points. I have Baltimore 0:14:10.419 --> 0:14:13.779 winning by two, maybe the most annoying one anyways, but 0:14:13.859 --> 0:14:16.219 that's the most annoying score. But Derrick Henry is the 0:14:16.219 --> 0:14:18.979 difference maker. I was a round surprise Chase Brown wasn't 0:14:19.019 --> 0:14:22.179 the highest first touchdown score odds. That was interesting to me. 0:14:22.299 --> 0:14:26.099 But Derrick Henry on outside run, specifically against this defense. 0:14:26.859 --> 0:14:31.379 This is where this defense has been extremely vulnerable week 0:14:31.419 --> 0:14:33.859 in and week out. I'm not saying there's a lot 0:14:33.859 --> 0:14:35.939 of bright spots in the Bengals defense. I'm not saying 0:14:35.939 --> 0:14:38.059 you can't pass on them. I'm saying do the thing 0:14:38.099 --> 0:14:39.379 where you're not going to turn the ball over. 0:14:39.419 --> 0:14:41.899 You know what that is? Twenty two end zone. Just 0:14:41.939 --> 0:14:42.739 have him run. 0:14:42.899 --> 0:14:44.979 So I'm looking at Derrick Henry in this situation and 0:14:45.019 --> 0:14:47.699 I'm saying, I do understand why he had the highest 0:14:47.699 --> 0:14:49.779 odds for the first touchdown. I think it's Chase Brown, 0:14:49.819 --> 0:14:51.219 but I think he gets a second touchdown. 0:14:51.259 --> 0:14:55.019 How about that Steelers handed the Ravens last week a 0:14:55.019 --> 0:14:57.619 big loss to claim the top spot in the AFC North. 0:14:57.619 --> 0:14:59.779 They're playing host to the Dolphins on Monday night. The 0:14:59.779 --> 0:15:02.579 Fins have won four in a row. They technically still 0:15:02.579 --> 0:15:05.259 have a shot at the playoffs. Who wins this game 0:15:05.299 --> 0:15:07.219 as the Fins try to sneak their way in. 0:15:07.379 --> 0:15:10.299 Yeah, I think that they do actually end up winning, 0:15:10.859 --> 0:15:14.099 just by one point. Twenty two to twenty one is 0:15:14.139 --> 0:15:16.259 where the model nets out because Devon E. 0:15:16.419 --> 0:15:19.499 Chan is likely, you know, healthy enough to. 0:15:19.419 --> 0:15:22.739 Be able to be his effective and efficient self. The 0:15:22.899 --> 0:15:26.859 offense has weird metrics. Jalen Model has been good, but 0:15:26.979 --> 0:15:28.899 Devon A Chan he has been the rudder. 0:15:29.019 --> 0:15:29.779 He has been the. 0:15:29.819 --> 0:15:34.179 Reason that this team is navigating these waters of wins 0:15:34.259 --> 0:15:36.899 when it started off looking pretty terribly. When you look 0:15:36.899 --> 0:15:38.979 at his ability to accelerate, what's the balls in his hands? 0:15:38.979 --> 0:15:41.019 When you look at his fatigue even in the cold, 0:15:41.219 --> 0:15:42.619 you know, you look and start to see those it 0:15:42.699 --> 0:15:45.419 doesn't matter Devon a chan for a million to the moon. 0:15:45.499 --> 0:15:47.059 That's the difference maker for me in this one. 0:15:47.139 --> 0:15:49.139 Yeah, I haven't made an even bigger difference because I've 0:15:49.139 --> 0:15:49.899 got a bigger. 0:15:49.619 --> 0:15:51.699 Fins win twenty three to eighteen. 0:15:51.739 --> 0:15:54.419 Because I'm looking back at Aaron Rodgers completing all these 0:15:54.419 --> 0:15:56.819 deep passes, three of them with twenty or more are yards. 0:15:56.819 --> 0:15:58.859 He was oh for November throwing the. 0:15:58.859 --> 0:16:03.059 Ball deep none zero in the entire month until they 0:16:03.059 --> 0:16:05.859 played the Baltimore Ravens. Now, it's a defense that has 0:16:05.899 --> 0:16:07.899 a bit of a better pass rush, but Finn Flitz 0:16:07.899 --> 0:16:10.739 at a higher rate. They generally have a higher pressure 0:16:10.819 --> 0:16:15.899 percentage other than Baltimore, And so the Rogers revival was 0:16:15.979 --> 0:16:18.179 discount double checking, and folks would think about it was 0:16:18.219 --> 0:16:20.979 because the ad campaign ended, No, because he didn't have 0:16:21.019 --> 0:16:22.059 any rushing touchdowns. 0:16:22.179 --> 0:16:23.699 Its back in twenty twenty two. 0:16:24.939 --> 0:16:27.099 I think the Finns get enough pressure to get a 0:16:27.139 --> 0:16:29.619 win here and inside track for the Baltimore Ravens in 0:16:29.659 --> 0:16:30.419 a big game for them. 0:16:30.419 --> 0:16:30.659 Great. 0:16:30.739 --> 0:16:33.339 Wow, such a doubter, such a hater of an all 0:16:33.339 --> 0:16:36.579 time great like Aaron Rodgers. I believe the Steelers are 0:16:36.619 --> 0:16:39.859 gonna win this game strongly, twenty three to twenty two. 0:16:39.979 --> 0:16:42.419 Give it to me. It's a field goal. 0:16:42.619 --> 0:16:43.059 That's three. 0:16:43.139 --> 0:16:44.539 Now, that's three for three. 0:16:44.939 --> 0:16:48.099 They're all favored. What I started the week down nine, 0:16:48.379 --> 0:16:52.379 make it six. Steelers aren't gonna let Miami get back 0:16:52.419 --> 0:16:53.379 into the playoff run. 0:16:53.619 --> 0:16:53.939 Why? 0:16:54.499 --> 0:16:57.099 Because Aaron Rodgers is coming off his best game since 0:16:57.099 --> 0:16:58.619 he was a member of the Green Bay Packers. 0:16:58.619 --> 0:17:00.259 I don't think that's even a question. 0:17:00.539 --> 0:17:02.659 Yeah, no, maybe even better than any game in twenty 0:17:02.699 --> 0:17:03.139 twenty two. 0:17:03.219 --> 0:17:04.179 He was awesome last week. 0:17:05.099 --> 0:17:07.659 There's something about this Dolphins four game winning streak that 0:17:07.699 --> 0:17:11.339 I just it's two blots in the. 0:17:11.299 --> 0:17:12.979 Division the Jets last week. 0:17:13.099 --> 0:17:13.939 Yeah, I'm stupid. 0:17:14.259 --> 0:17:17.259