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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Monday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the dal Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parott. You

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Speaker 2: guys can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: We're here every single morning or every your audio pad

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Speaker 2: podcast YouTube for the video, and the offer from betmgm

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Speaker 2: one fifty at betmgm dot com or bet mgm on

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Speaker 2: the application where it's available in the state that you

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Speaker 2: live in. Okay, So not a good weekend, kind of

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Speaker 2: a bummer day. We got off to a pretty rocky start,

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Speaker 2: had a really good middle, and then the Bucks game

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Speaker 2: really killed us. So let's start with the good. The

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Speaker 2: long teaser is now ten and four on the year.

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Speaker 2: It's the one thing that consistently is hitting for me

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Speaker 2: in the NFL, maybe the only thing that's consistently, although

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Speaker 2: props have been pretty good too. Consistently now ten and

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Speaker 2: four for the long teaser. We get that correct three

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Speaker 2: and one on the props, we would have gotten four

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Speaker 2: and out Godwin would have gotten there. He got hurt

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Speaker 2: with six catches. We needed over seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: He had six late second quarter. I mean he would

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Speaker 2: have gotten at least two more catches, if none more.

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Speaker 2: And then Mike Evans going out, Leonard Fournette going out.

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Speaker 2: I mean, that's just that's betting. And look, I mean

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Speaker 2: a lot of people are saying, ah, the Bucks are vulnerable.

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Speaker 2: What you saw was Tom Brady with the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: That's what that is.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Brady went to Tampa for a reason. He

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Speaker 2: went there because they have weapons. The Patriots did not

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Speaker 2: have weapons and really still don't have a ton of

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Speaker 2: weapons either.

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Speaker 1: But that's why Brady went there.

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Speaker 2: Because of Evans and Fournette and Godwin and the guys

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Speaker 2: you could throw to Antonio Brown suspended. So like, without

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Speaker 2: your top four offensive weapons, you're gonna get shut out.

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Speaker 2: And that's exactly what happened. They got shut out. Credit

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Speaker 2: that Saints defense. We were right to tease it down.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I did not think the Saints were going

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Speaker 2: to score very much. They scored nine points. Nine points

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Speaker 2: was good enough to beat Tom Brady at home in primetime,

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Speaker 2: So that stinks. Got that wrong. And then the Titans

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Speaker 2: just completely fell apart. Man that minus one and a

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Speaker 2: half should have been good enough, but four turnovers, three

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Speaker 2: in the second half, and they just fell apart. So

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Speaker 2: the Titans over nine and a half wins. We still

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Speaker 2: need one more of those, and now there are Now

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Speaker 2: the Steelers are two wins away from cashing that over

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Speaker 2: eight and a half. I still think there's a good

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Speaker 2: chance that we wind up with eight wins for the Steelers,

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Speaker 2: but they have seven now, so it's getting a little tight.

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Speaker 2: With week sixteen seventeen eighteen, we need them to lose

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Speaker 2: two of the next three games, which we see their schedule,

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Speaker 2: it's likely, but we need that to happen for us

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Speaker 2: to wind up getting ourselves under eight and a half

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Speaker 2: wins for the Steelers. The Falcons lose, so they stay

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Speaker 2: where they are with six wins. We need two more

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Speaker 2: wins out of the Falcons there to get there, and

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Speaker 2: then the Raiders, and the Raiders tonight take on the

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Speaker 2: Baltimore Sorry, the Cleveland Browns, and I'm gonna tell you

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Speaker 2: right here, right now, I'm not touching the game. I'll

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Speaker 2: get involved live, but we don't know who's playing quarterback.

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Speaker 2: The line movement back to Browns minus three. That tells

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Speaker 2: me that we are going to see Baker Mayfield playing.

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Speaker 2: He's gonna get cleared out of protocols. The line move

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Speaker 2: has been just so stupid. Where it was six and

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Speaker 2: a half Cleveland and then swung all the way to

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Speaker 2: four and a half for the Raiders and has now

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Speaker 2: come all the way back to three for the Browns.

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Speaker 2: It just doesn't I don't know how you bet that game.

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Speaker 2: We don't know who's in, we don't know who's out,

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Speaker 2: we don't know who's playing quarterback. You mean for prop

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Speaker 2: bets for anything, I have no idea, so live and

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Speaker 2: the weather may be a fact or two. So for live,

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Speaker 2: I am going to wait, and I very well might

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Speaker 2: bet the under that game live, depending on how it goes,

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Speaker 2: might bet the over in that game, depending how the

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Speaker 2: game goes and who plays. So nothing on the Browns

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Speaker 2: and the Raiders. But before I give you the Vikings

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Speaker 2: and the Bears, because I am involved with three picks

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Speaker 2: to give you for Vikings and the Bears. Here in

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Speaker 2: just one second, I want to say quickly about the

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Speaker 2: next couple of weeks. Okay, so here's what's going to

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Speaker 2: happen and here's what is happening. It is Christmas, Okay,

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Speaker 2: a lot of you who gamble, This can be a

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Speaker 2: tough time for you, guys, okay. And this is where

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Speaker 2: in the time of the year where problem gambling can

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Speaker 2: really rear its head. Bank Roll management right now is

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Speaker 2: extremely important, okay. If you are gambling to get Christmas presents,

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Speaker 2: if you are gambling to try to pay off debt

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Speaker 2: right now before the end of the year, if you

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Speaker 2: are doing anything but having fun when it comes to

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Speaker 2: these pixing games, you have to stop.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I am huge on recognizing problem gambling and trying to

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Speaker 2: get help. If you need help, my dms are always open.

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Speaker 2: I will do my best to direct you to the

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Speaker 2: right place in your state to get help.

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Speaker 1: Okay. Christmas, the Holidays.

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Speaker 2: New Years, these are all big triggering events for a

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Speaker 2: lot of people, okay. And I don't want you to

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Speaker 2: feel alone. I don't want you to feel lost. I

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Speaker 2: don't want you to feel like I don't know what

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Speaker 2: to do. So just know that if you got nothing,

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Speaker 2: you got me. Okay, and DM me let me know

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Speaker 2: and I'll do my best to help you guys out.

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Speaker 1: Okay. If you're not having fun, stop. It's that simple. Stop.

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Speaker 2: We have COVID issues all over the place. The NHL

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Speaker 2: today announced that they're not crossing the border until the

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Speaker 2: holiday break is over, meaning Canada is staying in Canada

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Speaker 2: and the USA is staying in the USA. That is

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty, okay, when the leagues had to separate. Essentially

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Speaker 2: you had a Canadian NHL and a US NHL and

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Speaker 2: then they played it basically on a neutral ice. It's

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Speaker 2: it's incredible that we're here, that we're going backwards. But man,

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Speaker 2: the New York always was kind of the Canary and

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Speaker 2: the coal mine. And I can't tell you how many

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Speaker 2: people I've spoken to in New York, any New Jersey,

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Speaker 2: in Connecticut who have COVID. I mean, it is running

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Speaker 2: through that area right now, and that only means it's

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Speaker 2: gonna hit Chicago and Dallas in Los Angeles like we're

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Speaker 2: just weeks behind. Right It's all gonna come like it

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Speaker 2: did before, where it starts in New York and then

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Speaker 2: comes through the entire country. So what we look like

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Speaker 2: coming up in two months, I don't know. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: be honest, I don't know, but it's hard to bet.

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Speaker 2: Right now, it's very difficult to bet right now, and

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Speaker 2: there are all sorts of crazy things going on. So

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Speaker 2: if you are struggling, shorten the bank roll, drop the

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Speaker 2: unit size, or just don't bet at all. Okay, there's

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Speaker 2: nothing wrong with it. Watch the game, have fun. You

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Speaker 2: don't have to have money on it. You don't have

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Speaker 2: to Okay. Look, I know it's hard for me because

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Speaker 2: I've been doing some math and because we're getting close

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Speaker 2: to the end of the year. It's been a bad

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Speaker 2: NFL season for me. I have not I mean good

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Speaker 2: in college football, have been bad in the NFL. I

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Speaker 2: have made over two thousand, two hundred bets in the

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Speaker 2: history of the Daily Juice. Okay, my percentage is fifty

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Speaker 2: point five. Fifty point five. I'm essentially a coin flip, Okay,

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Speaker 2: which would make sense because that really is what gambling

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Speaker 2: is for most people. It's a coin flip. And so

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Speaker 2: what causes us to be down the juice? I'm essentially

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Speaker 2: down the juice. We have to do all the calculations.

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Speaker 2: It's right now eleven I'm down eleven units. Historically, in

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Speaker 2: the history of the Daily Juice, from July seventh, twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty to what is it, December the twentieth, twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I have.

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Speaker 2: Bet every day over two two hundred bets and we're

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Speaker 2: hitting out a fifty point five percent clip.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: That's to give you an idea of just how difficult

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Speaker 2: it is to make money off the books. And there

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Speaker 2: are people who do this, and I have to this

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Speaker 2: numerous times. There are people who are better than me

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Speaker 2: at this. And if you fade me and I make

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Speaker 2: you money, great, If I trail you and I make

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Speaker 2: you money, great, Okay. But this is not easy to do.

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Speaker 2: That's why it has to be about entertainment in the community.

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Speaker 2: We've built up with Discord channel with over ten thousand

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Speaker 2: users in a podcast that's you know, listened to eight

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Speaker 2: thousand times a day and watched about two to three

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Speaker 2: thousand times.

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Speaker 1: A day, and just put up. You know, we're gonna.

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Speaker 2: Get to three thousand bets at some point in the

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Speaker 2: early part around April of twenty twenty two, three thousand bets,

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Speaker 2: and we're gonna get ourselves in probably you know, we're

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Speaker 2: at ten thousand users on Discord. Maybe you get to

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Speaker 2: fifteen thousand users, you know by the summer, if not more,

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Speaker 2: and new people join every day and they come in

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Speaker 2: and they're a part of the community, and it's just

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Speaker 2: it's it's a lot of fun. So I'm always telling

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Speaker 2: you guys, I'm trying to be as transparent as possible.

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Speaker 2: This has been, you know, a bad NFL year, which

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Speaker 2: is weird because last year in the NFL, I went

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Speaker 2: into the playoffs up I think I think it was

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Speaker 2: thirteen units. I was up in the NFL going into

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. I lost nine units in the postseason. I

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Speaker 2: couldn't get a bet right to save my life in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs, and then I went eight and oh in

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Speaker 2: the super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Last year.

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Speaker 2: Now, I made quarter unit bets on all those plays

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Speaker 2: because I'd been so bad in the regular in the

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Speaker 2: postseason that I just couldn't stomach, you know, losing five, six,

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Speaker 2: seven units in the super Bowl. But I went, you know,

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Speaker 2: clean sweep rocked it.

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Speaker 1: So I ended up.

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Speaker 2: You know, it was a profitable NFL year last year,

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Speaker 2: but it wasn't highly profitable because I gave it all back.

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Speaker 2: So now I'm down pretty large in the NFL. So

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Speaker 2: let's see what happens here in the postseason. Maybe I

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Speaker 2: get hot in the playoffs and maybe we make a

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Speaker 2: run in the playoffs and we you know, pick up

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Speaker 2: some of the slack that we're that we've been lacking here.

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Speaker 2: So you know, it's a roller coaster ride. It's up

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Speaker 2: and down. You guys have been with me. For those

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Speaker 2: people who have been with me since the beginning. You

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Speaker 2: guys have seen me get hot, you got have seen

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Speaker 2: me cold, You see me hit big bets. We have

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Speaker 2: a bunch of future wagers set to come in. And

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Speaker 2: when that when those start to hit, when the NBA

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Speaker 2: and the NFL future start to come in, that's where

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Speaker 2: we kind of balance it out a little bit from

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Speaker 2: a unit's perspective. So we'll see, you know, we've that

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Speaker 2: plus three fifty out there. We got a couple of

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Speaker 2: I mean that Villanova to win the Big East. I

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Speaker 2: got a two unit bet on that I'm going on

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Speaker 2: Nova to win the Big East. We have Lalo Chicago

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Speaker 2: one unit on Layo Chicago to win the Valley at

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Speaker 2: plus one fifty.

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Speaker 1: That looks pretty good.

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Speaker 2: That that's coming along nicely for them to win the

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Speaker 2: Missouri Valley Conference regular season. So we've got college basketball futures,

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Speaker 2: We've got NBA futures, we have NHL futures, that all

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Speaker 2: could come in, and that's been maybe my most profitable

219
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Speaker 2: place of all the betting categories in the due's history,

220
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Speaker 2: it's probably been with that, So good stuff going with that.

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Speaker 2: So anyways, I just want to take couple of minutes

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Speaker 2: just to kind of get into that, because I think

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Speaker 2: it's important to get into that.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So, as I said, I'm not touching raiders in the Browns.

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Speaker 2: Maybe I'll get into it later. We got bowl games

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Speaker 2: coming up. We'll getting some bowl game betting coming up

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Speaker 2: Tuesday Wednesday, and then we're well, we have two games

229
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Speaker 2: tomorrow in the NFL, and then we have the bowl

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Speaker 2: games on Wednesday and Tuesday for that matter, but bowl games,

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Speaker 2: and we got a busy football week if you like

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Speaker 2: the NBA and the NHL. I'm not going to be

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Speaker 2: too heavily involved in that, Okay. So let's start talk

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Speaker 2: Vikings Bears, and let's start with where these teams are.

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Speaker 2: Ats Minnesota at Chicago. The Vikings play every game close,

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Speaker 2: like we know. Okay, so far, these are the margins

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Speaker 2: so far with the Vikings. One by eight, lost by two,

238
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Speaker 2: lost by eight, one by three, one by seven, lost

239
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Speaker 2: by three, lost by four, one by six, one by two,

240
00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:25,839
Speaker 2: lost by seven, lost by one, lost by three, and

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Speaker 2: then the one outlier at home back in late September,

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Speaker 2: two point dogs that won by thirteen. That is the

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Speaker 2: only two digit game the Vikings have played so far

244
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Speaker 2: this year. Chicago is four and nine against the spread.

245
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Speaker 2: They are one in seven against their conference, they are

246
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Speaker 2: one in three against the division against the number, they

247
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Speaker 2: are two and four against two and four at home,

248
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Speaker 2: and they are three and seven over their last ten,

249
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Speaker 2: and they've failed to cover in over their last four

250
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Speaker 2: games and last seven of eight, they have not covered.

251
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Speaker 2: Didn't cover against Green Bay, didn't cover against Arizona, didn't

252
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Speaker 2: cover against Detroit, didn't cover against Baltimore. They were underdogs

253
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Speaker 2: in three of those four games. They were favored by

254
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Speaker 2: two and a half against Detroit and they won by two. Okay,

255
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Speaker 2: didn't cover. Minnesota hasn't been covering either. Two of the

256
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Speaker 2: last three they've not covered, they won by eight a

257
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Speaker 2: three and a half point favorites at home against Pittsburgh.

258
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Speaker 2: Their last two games on the road again San Francisco,

259
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Speaker 2: catching four and laying seven against Detroit, they did not cover.

260
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Speaker 2: They lost both those games outright, one as a favorite,

261
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Speaker 2: one as an underdog. So here they go tonight, taking

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Speaker 2: on a Bears team that has been hit by COVID. Okay,

263
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Speaker 2: we don't know everything about the COVID situation right now.

264
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Speaker 2: For the Bears, we're not positive who could get cleared,

265
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Speaker 2: who maybe on the list, who maybe out. Andy Dalton's

266
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Speaker 2: on the COVID list, So there really isn't a backup

267
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Speaker 2: quarterback right now. Justin Fields is the guy. He'll start,

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Speaker 2: but you know kahek of now with COVID, it is

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Speaker 2: all kind of crazy. So I'm a little bit scared

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Speaker 2: because we don't know this. So I am going to

271
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Speaker 2: play around here and I am going to do a

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Speaker 2: same game teaser.

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Speaker 1: Now. I have not been great these but I.

274
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Speaker 2: Don't want to get I was gonna tease the Raiders

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Speaker 2: up to nine and take the Vikings down to a

276
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Speaker 2: half a point. But I just don't really trust this, Okay,

277
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Speaker 2: I don't trust that the Raiders are gonna hang around,

278
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Speaker 2: and I don't know what to make of the Raiders

279
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Speaker 2: on the road. If the weather is bad and that

280
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Speaker 2: Browns defense goes to work, it might be a really

281
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Speaker 2: long day for the Raiders. They could get blown out.

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Speaker 2: It's not out of the rem possibility in my mind

283
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Speaker 2: for them to get blown out. So let's talk about

284
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Speaker 2: the Vikings in the Bears total. Okay, the total is

285
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Speaker 2: forty four here in Vegas. I'm gonna pull this thing

286
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Speaker 2: down and go over thirty eight. And here is why

287
00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:44,280
Speaker 2: the Vikings are eight and five to the over and

288
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Speaker 2: they're six and one on the road to the over

289
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Speaker 2: this year. All right.

290
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Speaker 1: They give up points.

291
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Speaker 2: They gave up twenty eight to Pittsburgh, twenty seven to Detroit,

292
00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:58,880
Speaker 2: thirty four to San Francisco, thirty one to the Green

293
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Speaker 2: Bay Packers, twenty to the LA Chargers, thirty four to

294
00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:07,280
Speaker 2: the Baltimore Ravens. Okay, those are the last six games

295
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:11,000
Speaker 2: for this Vikings defense. They give up points. I think

296
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Speaker 2: Chicago moves the football. But on the other side, Chicago,

297
00:14:14,080 --> 00:14:17,560
Speaker 2: the last two games have also gone over. Chicago has

298
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Speaker 2: scored thirty against Green Bay, twenty two against Arizona. Well,

299
00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:26,080
Speaker 2: giving up thirty three and forty five points against Detroit

300
00:14:26,080 --> 00:14:28,200
Speaker 2: and Baltimore. It went under, but that was a lot

301
00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:30,080
Speaker 2: to do with the fact that the other team's offenses

302
00:14:30,120 --> 00:14:33,840
Speaker 2: weren't that great. Pittsburgh, they gave up twenty nine points,

303
00:14:33,840 --> 00:14:37,239
Speaker 2: they scored twenty seven, went over by sixteen. Against San Francisco,

304
00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:39,640
Speaker 2: they give up twenty they give thirty three, and they

305
00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:44,920
Speaker 2: scored twenty two teams with offenses that are halfway decents,

306
00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:49,160
Speaker 2: they give up points. I think tonight we're gonna see

307
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Speaker 2: points being scored by the Vikings. I'm gonna pull this

308
00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:56,800
Speaker 2: down for one unit at minus one twenty Vikings minus

309
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Speaker 2: half a point over thirty eight for chicag in Minnesota. Okay,

310
00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:05,040
Speaker 2: even with crummy weather in Chicago and even with where

311
00:15:05,040 --> 00:15:06,880
Speaker 2: we are, I still think we're going to see points

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Speaker 2: getting scored by both these teams over thirty eight. I

313
00:15:10,080 --> 00:15:12,520
Speaker 2: think the Vikings give up points and I think the

314
00:15:12,600 --> 00:15:16,280
Speaker 2: Vikings score half a point. Vikings just win the game

315
00:15:16,920 --> 00:15:20,960
Speaker 2: over thirty eight is my play here for a one unit,

316
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Speaker 2: and I totally agree that thirty eight scares me.

317
00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:24,800
Speaker 1: I'm with you.

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Speaker 2: Going with the total scares me, but I'm gonna go

319
00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:29,320
Speaker 2: with the over here six and one to the over

320
00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:32,800
Speaker 2: on the road for the Vikings, two and four for Chicago.

321
00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:35,760
Speaker 2: But as I said recently, Chicago has been giving up points,

322
00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:38,440
Speaker 2: so hopefully that continues here with the COVID issues and

323
00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,680
Speaker 2: not having some of their key defenders due to being

324
00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:43,480
Speaker 2: out Khalio Mack is out for the year with a

325
00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:46,200
Speaker 2: foot injury, so they're missing some key key members of

326
00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:49,000
Speaker 2: that defense. So the giving up points, let's go half

327
00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:52,520
Speaker 2: a unit over thirty eight. I've got two prop bets

328
00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:54,920
Speaker 2: that I've already jumped in with here, and let's start

329
00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:58,040
Speaker 2: with Darnell Moody, the receiver for the Chicago Bears. Fifty

330
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Speaker 2: and a half is the number for him right now

331
00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:03,320
Speaker 2: at well across the board bet mgams where I got

332
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Speaker 2: this at minus one fifteen okay, at home. Here are

333
00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:10,880
Speaker 2: the numbers for Moody at home receiving. Okay, he had

334
00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,600
Speaker 2: twenty seven yards against the Cardinals. That's not great. But

335
00:16:13,680 --> 00:16:16,400
Speaker 2: against Baltimore he had one hundred and twenty one. Against

336
00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,280
Speaker 2: San Francisco, he had sixty four. Against Green Bay he

337
00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:23,440
Speaker 2: had forty five. Okay, So two times over the last

338
00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:27,040
Speaker 2: four home games he's gone over fifty and a half. However,

339
00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:30,480
Speaker 2: he had one hundred and twenty three yards against Detroit

340
00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:33,880
Speaker 2: on the road. He had forty one against Pittsburgh. He

341
00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:37,360
Speaker 2: had thirty nine against Tampa. He had thirty five against

342
00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:41,240
Speaker 2: the Raiders, one hundred and twenty five against the Detroit Lions.

343
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Speaker 1: Okay, at home.

344
00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:46,120
Speaker 2: Like I mentioned, this defense is given up points, This

345
00:16:46,160 --> 00:16:49,320
Speaker 2: defense is given up yards. I think that Moody being

346
00:16:49,480 --> 00:16:52,760
Speaker 2: with justin Fields, these two dudes really see eye to eye.

347
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:57,040
Speaker 2: These guys have a connection. He looks for him consistently

348
00:16:57,080 --> 00:17:00,080
Speaker 2: down the field, in particularly when he's scrambling around. He

349
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,080
Speaker 2: looks for him down the field. And the Vikings are

350
00:17:02,080 --> 00:17:05,040
Speaker 2: giving up seven point one yards per pass play that's

351
00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:08,000
Speaker 2: twenty fifth best in the NFL, and two hundred and

352
00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:11,439
Speaker 2: fifty one point nine yards per game passing that's twenty

353
00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:14,840
Speaker 2: six in the NFL. They don't have a good pass defense. Okay,

354
00:17:15,160 --> 00:17:17,840
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go for Moody or Mooney, sorry, the best

355
00:17:17,840 --> 00:17:20,480
Speaker 2: receiver here for the Bears to have a big game

356
00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:23,439
Speaker 2: over fifty and a half receiving yards. The prop bit

357
00:17:23,560 --> 00:17:27,160
Speaker 2: cheat sheet likes this as well, Darnell Mooney over fifty

358
00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:29,960
Speaker 2: and a half receiving yards for the Bears at a

359
00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:33,040
Speaker 2: quarter unit. Hopefully the win's not too bad here. That's

360
00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:35,520
Speaker 2: gonna really recavoc with the passing attack. And for the

361
00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:39,400
Speaker 2: most part, I think we're gonna be okay with this.

362
00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:41,080
Speaker 2: My last look at the weather, I'll just do it

363
00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:43,560
Speaker 2: another thing. Yeah, I mean, it's gonna be forty two degrees.

364
00:17:43,840 --> 00:17:46,240
Speaker 2: It's not gonna be nice, but it's not gonna be awful.

365
00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:49,239
Speaker 2: Partly cloudy forty two degrees. Wins at fourteen miles per

366
00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:50,920
Speaker 2: hour should be pretty fun. As long as that weather

367
00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:53,840
Speaker 2: stays as is for this game, we should be okay,

368
00:17:54,080 --> 00:17:57,719
Speaker 2: So Mooney over fifty and a half receiving yards. Speaking

369
00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:02,639
Speaker 2: of receiving yards, Dalvin Cook. Dalvin Cook has been and

370
00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:05,080
Speaker 2: this might only be one catch like last week, Okay,

371
00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:08,159
Speaker 2: Dalvin Cook had one catch for seventeen yards. He was

372
00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:10,960
Speaker 2: targeted three times. If you look at the way Cook

373
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:13,200
Speaker 2: has been targeted here by the offense in the last

374
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:17,359
Speaker 2: four games, five targets, four targets, seven targets, three targets. Okay,

375
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:20,359
Speaker 2: he's getting chances to catch the football. They're looking for

376
00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:23,000
Speaker 2: him in the screen game. They're looking for him. He

377
00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,720
Speaker 2: had one catch for seventeen yards last game. His total

378
00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:28,760
Speaker 2: is seventeen and a half for this game. Game before

379
00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:32,080
Speaker 2: this against San Francisco sixty four yards on six catches.

380
00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:35,160
Speaker 2: Game before that against Green Bay twenty nine yards on

381
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:37,399
Speaker 2: three catches. In the game at four that against the

382
00:18:37,520 --> 00:18:42,160
Speaker 2: Chargers twenty four yards on three catches. Okay, he's been utilized.

383
00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,200
Speaker 2: He has gone three to one over the last four

384
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:48,400
Speaker 2: games to this number. However, the one game he didn't

385
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:50,520
Speaker 2: go over it was seventeen, so he was off on

386
00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:53,240
Speaker 2: the hook. I'm going to go over seventeen and a

387
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:57,400
Speaker 2: half receiving yards for Dalvin Cook here against the Bears.

388
00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:59,800
Speaker 2: Like I mentioned, we've got two defenses that are giving

389
00:18:59,840 --> 00:19:02,760
Speaker 2: up points. The Bears passing offense. Passing defense is not

390
00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:05,360
Speaker 2: that great. Seven point two yards per pass play. That's

391
00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:08,240
Speaker 2: twenty seventh in the NFL. Two hundred and sixteen yards

392
00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:10,359
Speaker 2: per game, though, is top ten in the NFL. It's

393
00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:12,879
Speaker 2: only seventh best. They do get after the quarterback. They

394
00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:17,080
Speaker 2: have the number one sacking percentage defense, but that's throughout

395
00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:18,840
Speaker 2: when they had Mack and whatnot. But they still get

396
00:19:18,840 --> 00:19:21,320
Speaker 2: after the quarterback. That's where the screen game comes in.

397
00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:22,239
Speaker 1: Guys, get up.

398
00:19:22,240 --> 00:19:24,159
Speaker 2: You get Dalvin Cook on a screen and zoop, he

399
00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:26,720
Speaker 2: goes for twenty yards and we catch this bet Okay,

400
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,639
Speaker 2: that's the play. Hopefully at some point during the game,

401
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:32,640
Speaker 2: Dalvin Cook over seventeen and a half receiving yards here

402
00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,800
Speaker 2: at a quarter unit a right three plays on the

403
00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:40,720
Speaker 2: Bears and the end the Vikings coming up again. I

404
00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:44,199
Speaker 2: may have a half unit play live going into the

405
00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:46,600
Speaker 2: Raider game. I may have a prop better two going

406
00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:49,520
Speaker 2: for the Raider game against the Browns, but nothing pregame

407
00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:51,879
Speaker 2: because I cannot trust who is in and who is

408
00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,560
Speaker 2: out due to the COVID protocols. For the Browns, I

409
00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:58,359
Speaker 2: think Mayfield's playing. Maybe not, I don't know. But let's

410
00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,920
Speaker 2: see if, by some weird chance to this right now,

411
00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 2: if by some weird chance, the Raiders go off as

412
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:09,800
Speaker 2: a favorite and we have plus money on the Browns

413
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:13,159
Speaker 2: money line because we're on six and a half for

414
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:17,200
Speaker 2: the Raiders at minus one ten, well we can hedge

415
00:20:17,240 --> 00:20:20,000
Speaker 2: that by putting a half the unit on the Browns

416
00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:22,120
Speaker 2: plus money to win the game.

417
00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:24,080
Speaker 1: So if the Raiders.

418
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,960
Speaker 2: Win, we cash that six and a half. The Browns win,

419
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,800
Speaker 2: we cash a plus money bet at a half a unit. Okay,

420
00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:31,640
Speaker 2: so just the heads up on that. If by chance,

421
00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:33,520
Speaker 2: the Browns were to go off on the money line

422
00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:37,199
Speaker 2: as a dog or getting plus money right now, they're not.

423
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:39,320
Speaker 2: They're MNS one fifty five on the money line right now.

424
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,400
Speaker 2: A lot of movement had to happen again to get

425
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:43,800
Speaker 2: to plus money for the Browns. But if by chance,

426
00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:46,399
Speaker 2: you know, they scrap their whole team or whatever may happen.

427
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:49,360
Speaker 2: I would take the Browns simply because if the Raiders win,

428
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 2: we cash that six and a half point the six

429
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:53,880
Speaker 2: and a half future bet on them for one unit.

430
00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:55,639
Speaker 2: So come back with the Browns kind of a hedge

431
00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:57,480
Speaker 2: on that, and we may have a second chance to

432
00:20:57,520 --> 00:20:59,720
Speaker 2: do that again against the Bronco So we could potentially

433
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:01,639
Speaker 2: if they do lose out, we can make some money

434
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,240
Speaker 2: by feeding the Raiders knowing we have that to kind

435
00:21:04,240 --> 00:21:06,600
Speaker 2: of playing off that total, that that one unit bet

436
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:08,880
Speaker 2: that we've got for the Raiders to win over six

437
00:21:08,920 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 2: and a half games. Just a heads up, Okay, so

438
00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:14,920
Speaker 2: again we're going half a unit over thirty eight one

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00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 2: unit minus one twenty same game teaser for Vikings Bears

440
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:21,360
Speaker 2: Darnell Mooney over fifteen and a half receiving yards and

441
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,680
Speaker 2: over seventeen and a half receiving yards for Dalvin Cook.

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00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 2: Here for our three plays for Monday Night Football for us.

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00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,080
Speaker 2: Here for the Daily Juice mins Matt Paroltz. Follow me

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00:21:29,119 --> 00:21:31,359
Speaker 2: on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning it's the

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00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:33,359
Speaker 2: Deal Juice podcast, always being brought to you by bet

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00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:33,879
Speaker 2: MGM