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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Thursday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daly Jues Podcast. I'm your host, Matt Peralti. Every

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Speaker 2: single morning we are here across wherever you get your

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Speaker 2: audio podcasts, and the Betting Pros YouTube channel for the

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Speaker 2: video of this podcast always being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: oma Steaks dot com. Ohma Steaks their semi annual sale

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Speaker 2: real quick here at the top. And this is not

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Speaker 2: this is a podcast about sports betting. So what I'm

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Speaker 2: about to say is just because it's really weighing on me.

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Speaker 2: But last night, with what happened in Lewiston, Maine, I've

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Speaker 2: got a lot of family in the Portland, Maine area,

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Speaker 2: and my sister's boyfriend is a firefighter who got put

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Speaker 2: on call during that He works in the Portland area

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Speaker 2: up near Lewiston. So it's been a pretty hairy night.

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Speaker 2: It's been a pretty significant night for me. So I

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Speaker 2: just want to say my thoughts and my well wishes

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Speaker 2: to everybody up in New England. In Maine, there were

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Speaker 2: metal med flights taken from Lewiston to the hospital next

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Speaker 2: to where I grew up. I'm from andover mass Lawrence,

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Speaker 2: Mass is right next door. There's a hospital there, Lawrence

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Speaker 2: General Hospital. I've been in that hospital. My mother, you know,

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Speaker 2: spent time working in that hospital. So to hear that

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Speaker 2: victims were taken there, and well it's you know, it's

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Speaker 2: ten thirty at night here on the on the west coast,

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Speaker 2: so the numbers are horrific. Twenty two people have been

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Speaker 2: killed as of tape time, and over eighty people have

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Speaker 2: been shot. And what we know, I guess is this

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Speaker 2: was a mentally deranged firearms instructor, which I can't really

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Speaker 2: understand those words. But it's been tough. I'm in Vegas,

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Speaker 2: and so it's always hard when I'm this far away

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Speaker 2: from loved ones when tragedy strikes, and if you're in

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Speaker 2: the area, if you're in New England, if you were,

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Speaker 2: god forbid affected by what happened. I just want to

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Speaker 2: say a quick thought. I don't like the thoughts in

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Speaker 2: Prayer's line.

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Speaker 1: I never really have.

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Speaker 2: I don't think it really is significant. It doesn't solve anything.

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty frustrated by everything that's gone on in this

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Speaker 2: country around that topic, but just want to give my

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Speaker 2: thoughts and just want to say that I'm thinking about

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Speaker 2: you guys, and I'm hoping for the best and hopefully

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Speaker 2: we can find our way to stop these things from

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Speaker 2: happening because they've become far too common here in America.

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Speaker 2: So sorry, get off the soap box. Now, let's talk betting. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: last night was not good. Last night was bad Celtics.

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Speaker 2: We were one shot away from getting swept oh and

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Speaker 2: five last night the prop bets and by the way,

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Speaker 2: just a heads up, I'm gonna take a break on

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Speaker 2: the props for the NBA for a couple of days.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna let the prop bet cheat sheet get some

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Speaker 2: games under its belt. I wanted to use it night

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Speaker 2: number one, but it's all it's hard. I mean, the

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Speaker 2: algorithm needs Derek White had two assists, we needed three.

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Speaker 2: Scoot Henderson, I don't know what happened. I didn't watch

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Speaker 2: much of the game, but they got killed. Portland gonna

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Speaker 2: annihilate it. That maybe a team we want to fade

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Speaker 2: going forward, but it's one game. It's hard to kind

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Speaker 2: of get a good grasp on the algorithms and just

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Speaker 2: the trends and rotations and whatnot for these teams. So

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna let the prop bet cheat sheet get kind

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Speaker 2: of caught up here for a couple of games. Let

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Speaker 2: these teams get a couple of games on other belts.

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Speaker 2: And it's fine because we have Thursday. You know, your

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Speaker 2: football tonight be hockey tonight, So then we have obviously

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Speaker 2: college football heavy NFL, so we don't need to bet

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Speaker 2: NBA player props for a couple of days here, probably

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Speaker 2: until like next I don't know, Tuesday or Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: So we'll take a break here from the player props.

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Speaker 2: But zero to two and the player props, we're down

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Speaker 2: about point five to five units on that, and then

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Speaker 2: we got one and two on the full unit plays.

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Speaker 2: But that three at the buzzer could have killed us.

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Speaker 2: I mean they won by four, Boston did, so they

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Speaker 2: just covered that was sweating that thing all the way

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Speaker 2: to the end.

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Speaker 1: So we got a fortuitous shot miss there.

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Speaker 2: Remember that when we get beat on a buzzer next

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Speaker 2: time out from a player perspective. But the Timberwolves fell

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Speaker 2: apart in the second half. They lose to Toronto and

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Speaker 2: the team total if it went to overtime, we were good.

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Speaker 2: Boston wound up about two or three buckets shy of

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Speaker 2: their one thirteen and a half first half team total

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Speaker 2: also did not hit for Boston, so let's watch that

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Speaker 2: for Friday. My gut tells me that number is going

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Speaker 2: to be super low on Friday against the Heat. But

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Speaker 2: we'll see what the team total number is for Boston

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Speaker 2: the first half in the game as well. Probably an

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Speaker 2: underplay for Boston in Miami, as Boston's going to work

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Speaker 2: out some of the rotational kinks and whatnot. So one

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Speaker 2: and two officially on the full units, zero and two

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Speaker 2: on the props. So not a great night. Down one

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Speaker 2: point seven by my count, that wipes out the wins basically.

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Speaker 2: So we're back to right around flat, maybe up point

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Speaker 2: one or something for the week as we head towards Thursday. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so we've got three bets I like in hockey. I

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Speaker 2: got one bet in the NFL, like the NFL bet first,

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Speaker 2: and then we'll get into what we're going to do

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Speaker 2: here for for the NHL tonight. Okay, So I don't

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Speaker 2: like this game at all. I'm not laying nine and

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Speaker 2: a half points I'm not laying nine. I'm not playing

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Speaker 2: the over forty three and a half. I guess you

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Speaker 2: know you want to jump on that. That's potential there.

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Speaker 2: I'm not taking the points either. Tampa might get run

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Speaker 2: out here, so I'm going to play a little bit of.

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Speaker 1: A gut feel.

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Speaker 2: I get there's some numbers to back this up, but

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Speaker 2: Buffalo lost to the Patriots. Their offense didn't look good.

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Speaker 2: I would expect here, even on a short week, I

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Speaker 2: would expect the Bills to come out fired up in

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Speaker 2: the first half. The first half total is twenty one.

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Speaker 2: The Bills average seventeen points per game in the first half.

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Speaker 2: Now Tampa only scores seven points per game in the

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Speaker 2: first half. So what that tells me is the books

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Speaker 2: are thinking about a seventeen to three type of first half,

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Speaker 2: which is twenty and so it goes under. But you

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Speaker 2: can say, Matt wanting to just lay the points in

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Speaker 2: the first half with Buffalo, and you could do that too.

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Speaker 2: You can lay the first half points if you want

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Speaker 2: with Buffalo. That's a thought. I thought about doing that,

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Speaker 2: but the Bill's defense has so many injuries that I

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Speaker 2: don't know. I was like, what happens if this is

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Speaker 2: like thirteen ten at the break, and we miss it

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Speaker 2: because it's four and a half first half line.

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Speaker 1: We have to leave them by three and we.

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Speaker 2: Lay the points with the Bills and then they lose

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Speaker 2: or they win. They' up thirteen to ten, which I

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Speaker 2: think is a really good chance. Touchdown in a field

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Speaker 2: goal from this Bucks offense not impossible against a Bill's defense.

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Speaker 2: It's banged up. They have so many injuries on that

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Speaker 2: defensive line, on the Milano White, in the secondary. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they have got just big, big issues. And this is

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Speaker 2: a Bucks team that's been a little scrappy. They've been

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Speaker 2: throwing the ball. Mike Evans having a good year.

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Speaker 1: Baker.

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Speaker 2: It's primetime. Totals twenty one two, three touchdowns, fourteen to seven.

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Speaker 1: We push. I think it's possible Bill scored.

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Speaker 2: Two touchdowns and then one touchdown for the Bucks or

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Speaker 2: vice versa. It's fourteen to seven. I don't think that's crazy.

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Speaker 2: The weather should be fine. Yes, it's primetime. Yes it's

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Speaker 2: a short week Thursday. I'm gonna bet the first half over. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Bill's have scored a lot of points against bad defenses.

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Speaker 2: The Bucks don't have a bad defense, but the Bills

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Speaker 2: have scored big points against, Raiders have scored big points

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Speaker 2: against the Dolphins has scored big points at home, So

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Speaker 2: they have scored a lot at home. I think they

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Speaker 2: score a lot in the first half over twenty one

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Speaker 2: one point one units Bills and the Bucks tonight here

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Speaker 2: on Thursday Night football. A little bit of a trend here.

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Speaker 2: I got some exotics. This is exotic Thursday. Sometimes I

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Speaker 2: get bored and I want to just bet things that

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Speaker 2: I think could hit and I like and that are

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Speaker 2: a little bit different. That's one of them. We haven't

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Speaker 2: done a first half total yet here in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: There's your first one. First half total could be our last.

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Speaker 2: If I lose it badly, Eve, it's like three to

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Speaker 2: nothing at the break, I may not do it again.

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Speaker 1: But twenty one over twenty one points push potential.

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Speaker 2: There, Bill's and the Bucks Thursday Night football for one

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Speaker 2: point one units. Okay, Now to hockey. Speaking of exotics,

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Speaker 2: I got two first half period bets. I want to

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Speaker 2: make Philly and Minnesota over one and a half goals

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Speaker 2: in the first period. It's minus one thirty at DraftKings

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Speaker 2: Minnesota four and two to the over. But there's six

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Speaker 2: and zero to Gifts goal in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 2: Don't mind that play, but it's super juicy. Philly five

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Speaker 2: and one to the Over in their games two goals

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Speaker 2: being scored five and one to the Gift for them,

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Speaker 2: same record, So you get a gift goal in the

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Speaker 2: first ten minutes. Shot, we're getting two goals in the

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Speaker 2: first period. Doesn't matter who scores the two goals. We

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Speaker 2: just need two goals in the first period. It is

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Speaker 2: expected to be Gufheson against Heart. Now that's just expected.

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Speaker 2: That can change, but probably guphes In isn't worry there.

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Speaker 1: He's one in two.

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Speaker 2: He's been giving up goals in the second and third

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Speaker 2: period a ton, not a ton in the first period.

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Speaker 2: But Carter Hart is three and oh to the Over

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Speaker 2: on the road this year. Ten goals given up in

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Speaker 2: three games on the road this year for Carter Hart.

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Speaker 2: We're going over one and a half goals Minnesota in

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia first period will over one and a half goals.

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Speaker 2: At minus one thirty one point three units down, we've

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Speaker 2: been doing well. I still have this adage in my

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Speaker 2: brain you only pay the juice when you lose, and

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Speaker 2: I know this next BET's going to be juicy, but

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Speaker 2: I think it's that a really good shot of hitting.

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Speaker 2: This number comes from Caesar's Shop. Okay, I've seen this

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Speaker 2: as high as minus one seventy. It's minus one forty

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Speaker 2: at Caesars william Hill. Rangers oilers over one and a

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Speaker 2: half goals in the first period.

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Speaker 1: The Rangers are four and two to the over.

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Speaker 2: This year in the first period over one and a half,

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Speaker 2: the Oilers are five and one to the over one

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Speaker 2: and a half goals in the first period. You striking,

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Speaker 2: surprisingly enough, egors two and one to the over in

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Speaker 2: first periods this season on the road. Campbell first home start. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so this is the first time he's playing at home.

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Speaker 2: We don't have any numbers on him at home. But

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Speaker 2: he's given up fifteen goals in four games. I mean

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Speaker 2: it's given up just goals at their goals, at the

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Speaker 2: goals like it's just fading. Campbell's not a bad idea.

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Speaker 2: It's mine one forty, but we're gonna do it. Rangers

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Speaker 2: are five and one. Let's go to six and one

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Speaker 2: to the first period over. Rangers oilers over one and

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Speaker 2: a half goals in the first period is minus one forty.

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Speaker 2: All right, so two first period over one and a

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Speaker 2: half goal bets over one and a half, Minnesota, Philly

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Speaker 2: over one and a half, Rangers and the Oilers gifts.

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Speaker 2: Go right ahead if you want. I mean again, Minnesota

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Speaker 2: is six and oh Oilers are very aggressive here, same

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Speaker 2: type of numbers. I believe they're five and one to

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Speaker 2: the gift for the Oilers. Let's see Oilers, Yes, five

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Speaker 2: and one from a gift perspective, so you want to

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Speaker 2: jump on that. Rangers are a little bit scary on

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Speaker 2: the gift. The Rangers are the Rangers. Yeah, they're four

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Speaker 2: and two. It's not too bad. They're four and two

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Speaker 2: to a gift. So you can do that too. If

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Speaker 2: you want, you want to do goal in the first

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Speaker 2: ten minutes, go ahead, goal in the first five try

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Speaker 2: for a Santa. If you want go right ahead on

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Speaker 2: that Minnesota hed you hit the Santa last time out.

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Speaker 2: With Minnesota goal in the first five minutes, meaning goal

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Speaker 2: in the first ten minutes and over in the first period,

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Speaker 2: there's a Santa.

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Speaker 1: That's your sweep. If you want to do that.

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna take the first period and use the

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Speaker 2: whole twenty minutes rather than cut it in half. Over

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Speaker 2: one and a half goals Minnesota, Philly and Rangers in Oil.

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Speaker 2: And then one more bet for you, the opposite full

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Speaker 2: game under Boston Bruins taken on the Anaheim Ducks. These

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Speaker 2: two teams played in Anaheim last week over the weekend.

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Speaker 2: Rather three to one win for the Bruins. Anaheim is

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Speaker 2: three and out to the under on the road this year.

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Speaker 2: The Bruins are two and oh to the under at home.

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Speaker 2: Olmark in Net he is three and one to the

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Speaker 2: under so far this time. Sorry, he's three and oh

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Speaker 2: to the under. He's given up the final scores for

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Speaker 2: the games he has played three to one three separate times.

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Speaker 1: Gibson in Net.

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Speaker 2: He had a loss on the road to Vegas, but

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Speaker 2: the game went under four to one in his only

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Speaker 2: road start so far this year.

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Speaker 1: It is six push potential.

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Speaker 2: We're going under six goals Anaheim in Boston tonight for

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Speaker 2: one point one units.

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Speaker 1: Okay, a little bit of a different type of card.

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Speaker 2: Got to shake it up sometimes and gotta have some

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Speaker 2: fun with it and enjoy different things. You can bet

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Speaker 2: on different angles and plays. Again, you don't have to

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Speaker 2: follow any of these. Is just what I have bet

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Speaker 2: so far. Here tonight for the card on Thursday. Again,

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Speaker 2: to recap, we are going first half over Bucks and

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Speaker 2: the Bills over twenty one for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: We're going over one and a half goals for Minnesota

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Speaker 2: Philly at minus one thirty in the first period, in

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Speaker 2: over one and a half goals in the first period

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Speaker 2: for Rangers Oilers at minus one forty. And we were

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Speaker 2: going under six goals for the Bruins and the Anaheim

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Speaker 2: Ducks under six for one point one units. There So

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Speaker 2: Thursday four bets not touching the NBA. All those only

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Speaker 2: two games in the NBA, I'm not going to touch

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Speaker 2: either one of those. We're going to look towards the

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Speaker 2: weekend college football. I'm not going to touch college football yet.

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Speaker 2: We'll get back to college foot. We'll come up tomorrow

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Speaker 2: and then obviously a big slay. I don't love this

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Speaker 2: slate on Saturday. The college football slay on Saturday is okay,

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Speaker 2: nothing great couple. I mean, a lot of top ten

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Speaker 2: teams with huge spreads twenty twenty five points. Tough to

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Speaker 2: lay the many points, but we'll get to that coming

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Speaker 2: up on Saturday. All to us and following me across

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Speaker 2: all socials at Sports Talk, Matt every morning The Dealdce

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Speaker 2: podcast being brought to you by omawsteakes dot com