1 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:07,520 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg to Washington, d C, 2 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: Bloomber to Boston, Bloomberg dwell unders to San Francisco, Bloomberg 3 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: to the country at Channel one, and around the globe 4 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Radio plus Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg surveillance, Marian, 5 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 1: It's seventh already at All Street at Michael McKee along 6 00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: with Tom King. This is Bloomberg surveillance. Here's a couple 7 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:33,239 Speaker 1: of things happening in the company's space that you'll want 8 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: to know about before trading starts in about two hours 9 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: from now. Best Buy not gonna do this for them. 10 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: Earnings per share a dollar fifty three for the most 11 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: recent quarter, better than the dollar thirty nine that was forecast, 12 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 1: But that's on fourth quarter profit that was seven point 13 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 1: seven percent weaker than in the same quarter a year ago. 14 00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 1: Investors shrugging off twenty billion dollars in losses, rewarding two 15 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: of North America's biggest natural gas producers yesterday Chesapeake Energy 16 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 1: and in kind of is twenty three percent each. Lloyd's 17 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: Banking Group raising its dividend, introducing a special payout, and 18 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: indicating it may have reached the end of charges for 19 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: wrongly sold payment protection insurance. It cost it five point 20 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:16,400 Speaker 1: six billion dollars last year. And Anheuser Busch in BEV 21 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:21,319 Speaker 1: reported fourth quarter earnings that missed analyst estimates. Americans apparently 22 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:26,200 Speaker 1: drank less beer. Hard to believe, but apparently true. Now 23 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 1: it's springing. John Tucker and the latest world in national headlines, 24 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: John and Michael Houston will be decided Tonight's Republican presidential debate, 25 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: but Donald Trump rivals getting one more chance to try 26 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 1: and de rail the GOP front rudder before Super Tuesday. 27 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:43,760 Speaker 1: There's a state of emergency in Virginia. That's where four 28 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: people were killed after tornadoes damaged homes and left thousands 29 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:51,120 Speaker 1: without power across the state. China's Defense ministry says the 30 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: commander of US forces in the Pacific smear to China 31 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 1: while seeking additional defense funding for the US Congress. Those 32 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 1: spokesman strongly criticized Admiral Harry Harris Jrs. Testimony before Congress 33 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: this weekend, which Harris said China was militarizing the South 34 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: China Sea and a Coast Guard vessel overturned. Andrew was 35 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:11,800 Speaker 1: sent to assist a fishing boat that ran aground in 36 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 1: an inlet off New York City. The crew of the 37 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: Coastguard vessel and those aboard the fishing boat did make 38 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:20,640 Speaker 1: it safely to shore early this morning. Global News twenty 39 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: four hours a day, powered bar twenty four hundred journalism 40 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 1: more than one hundred fifty news bureaus around the world. 41 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:30,079 Speaker 1: I'm John Tucker, Michael, Thanks John. Time now for the 42 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 1: Racontina Auto Group Bloomberg NBC Sports Update. Here's John Stashour, 43 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:36,840 Speaker 1: John all Right, Mike Wayness. Nick lost last night and 44 00:02:36,960 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: Indianda game where they let an halftime tied. Going to 45 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, they had three point shots in the 46 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 1: last two seconds that would have either tied the game 47 00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:46,119 Speaker 1: or given them the lead. Neither went in. The Pacers 48 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 1: won one oh five, Paul George twenty seven points, all 49 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: but two in the second act. Chris Stops Porzingis scored 50 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 1: twenty two, but Carmelo Anthony had only fourteen on five 51 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,840 Speaker 1: of twenty shooting. Both missed threes down the stretch and 52 00:02:58,880 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: the Knicks up for their third lost in the last 53 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 1: fifteen games. But Porzingis called it a moral victory and 54 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:07,920 Speaker 1: today we got back to to the team that we 55 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 1: are actually are. We were playing physical or not letting guys, 56 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:16,000 Speaker 1: you know, push us around, and and that's that's a 57 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:17,800 Speaker 1: team we are, and that's a team you gotta be 58 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 1: every night. And so I think from now this is 59 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 1: the game that we can build on and then go 60 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: from here back at the Garden tomorrow to play Orlando. 61 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 1: Golden State. Gotta combine sixty five points from the all 62 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 1: star backcourt of Steph Curry and Clay Thompson to win 63 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 1: in Miami, raises the Warriors record of fifty one and five. 64 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 1: They called it the biggest game between Catholic schools and St. 65 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 1: John's and Georgetown. Fifth rank Xavier avenged a thirty one 66 00:03:41,800 --> 00:03:44,280 Speaker 1: point loss earlier in the year of Illanova knocked off 67 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 1: the top rank Wildcats ninety three. With the Bloomberg NBC 68 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: Sports Update, I'm John Stampsham. Thank you John. Let's check 69 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 1: the driver of the market's oil. West Texas eight is 70 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 1: down two tenths of eight percent. Brent crude fourteen is 71 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 1: off by eight tens of a percent and oddly enough 72 00:04:03,840 --> 00:04:06,760 Speaker 1: not having an impact. Futures are higher in the United States, 73 00:04:06,760 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 1: stocks are higher in Europe. We'll talk with Vince Piazza 74 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 1: from Bloomberg Intelligence about oil coming up here on Bloomberg Radio. 75 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Surveillance. I'm Michael McKee along with Tom Keene. 76 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:26,240 Speaker 1: As I mentioned, SMP futures are up by four points 77 00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: two tents of eight percent, same gain for dal Emni features, 78 00:04:29,760 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 1: They're up thirty one points. Nasdaq Emnis up five points, 79 00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 1: tents of a percent of stock six hundred in Europe 80 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,679 Speaker 1: up six points right now, that is a one point 81 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:42,839 Speaker 1: nine percent gain on the day, So green on the screen, 82 00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:46,000 Speaker 1: except for in China, where we did see a six 83 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: percent decline today. That's the outlier, but it hasn't affected 84 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:54,000 Speaker 1: everyone else. Right now, right now, let's check in with 85 00:04:54,040 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 1: Bob Moon. The Bloomberg and j i T STEM Report 86 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 1: brought to you by New Jersey Institute of Technology, partnering 87 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: with government and industry to apply the university's world class 88 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 1: research assets to innovate and spur economic growth. Learn more 89 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:09,279 Speaker 1: at n j i T dot com. Writer Michael Good Morning, 90 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: a Wall Street. Here's what's making news in science, technology, engineering, 91 00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:15,880 Speaker 1: and math. We what if we could, but we can't. 92 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 1: That's the essence of Tim Cook's argument against helping the 93 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: FBI crack into a terrorist iPhone. As the clock ticks 94 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 1: to ward to California courts deadline to respond tomorrow. The 95 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:28,479 Speaker 1: Apple chief was interviewed by ABC News and explained that 96 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:30,839 Speaker 1: it's not a matter of just opening up the phone, 97 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: but rewriting special software code to reverse Apple's carefully crafted 98 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:39,120 Speaker 1: privacy protections. If we knew a way to get the 99 00:05:39,200 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 1: information on the phone that we haven't already given, if 100 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 1: we knew a way to do this that would not 101 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 1: expose hundreds of millions of other people's issues, we would 102 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,680 Speaker 1: obviously do it, and Cook told ABC News the government 103 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:55,280 Speaker 1: is going too far. What is it stake here is 104 00:05:55,960 --> 00:06:00,680 Speaker 1: can the government compel Apple to write software are that 105 00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 1: we believe would make hundreds of millions of customers vulnerable 106 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:07,479 Speaker 1: around the world, including the US. The government claims it 107 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 1: only wants access to one dead terrorist encrypted smartphone, while 108 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 1: Cook says this will obviously lead to unlimited requests. He 109 00:06:14,680 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 1: says his company is standing tall on principle and argues 110 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,360 Speaker 1: that there's probably more information about you on your phone 111 00:06:20,920 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 1: than there is in your house. And that's this morning's 112 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 1: Bloomberg and j I t Stem report Michael Nobody's torturing 113 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:30,840 Speaker 1: my phone, give up everything they know, Bob Moon, thank 114 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 1: you very much. Vince Fiazza is in charge of our 115 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 1: coverage of the oil and energy industry for Bloomberg Intelligence, 116 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: and we asked him to come by because we've been 117 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 1: talking a lot about, uh, the influence of oil on 118 00:06:42,600 --> 00:06:46,159 Speaker 1: the markets and where we go from here, especially a 119 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 1: month ahead of when the banks all reset the loans 120 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:54,160 Speaker 1: that they have made to energy exploration and production companies. 121 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 1: And so what we wanted to do is is kind 122 00:06:57,080 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 1: of get caught up with you, Vince, because its been 123 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 1: a little while about where we are with I know 124 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:05,920 Speaker 1: it's impossible to predict prices basically, but um, we were 125 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: talking with a guest earlier this week who said the 126 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: prices could go to ten dollars of barrel because the 127 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 1: marginal cost of just turning on the taps is still 128 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:18,000 Speaker 1: so low even if we cut back on new wells 129 00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 1: out there. Well, I think that is in part true. Um, 130 00:07:21,880 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 1: what we have seen of late, we've had we have 131 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 1: seen a few green shoots. So the net petroleum draw 132 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 1: that we saw on Wednesday was a step in the 133 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: right direction. UM crew did build, but the refined product side, uh, 134 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: they all decline. So net net you had a small 135 00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 1: modest draw Production continues to bleed down modest as well, 136 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 1: but still continues to bleed down. What you really need 137 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:55,240 Speaker 1: to see is a better sentiment on the demand side. 138 00:07:55,960 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 1: Right now, the imbalances remain wide and investor indifference to 139 00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 1: the space remains wide as well. Uh So, still a 140 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: lot of wood to chop. I've used that terms several 141 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 1: times here. But you still have across the petroleum value chain, 142 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 1: uh significant imbalances that you need to work through. Uh. 143 00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:21,040 Speaker 1: Crude above the five year average. This is known on 144 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: the products side themselves, gasoline and also distal. It's quite 145 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 1: robust relative to the five year average. We're coming into 146 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 1: uh in the process of of of a seasonal maintenance. 147 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:38,400 Speaker 1: Uh So you still have some some negative headwinds to 148 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:41,600 Speaker 1: push through, but there are some green shoots that we 149 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:44,880 Speaker 1: do see in front of us. Perhaps everybody saying, you know, 150 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:48,680 Speaker 1: no deal on cutting output from OPEC and non OPEC 151 00:08:48,760 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: companies countries. But did the cap agreement announced last week, 152 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,080 Speaker 1: did that put a floor under oil because we really 153 00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:01,680 Speaker 1: haven't seen a big drop since it. Well, I really 154 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:06,960 Speaker 1: can't agree with the argument that the freeze provided a 155 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:12,599 Speaker 1: positive inflection because when you think about Russian output UM, 156 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:15,960 Speaker 1: it's doubtful that that growth could have been much more 157 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:21,559 Speaker 1: significant UM. And Saudi capacity UH, it's doubtful that they 158 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:25,200 Speaker 1: could have raised the turn the spigin on even more UM. 159 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 1: So I don't see how that can be viewed as 160 00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:33,719 Speaker 1: a significant positive net net. You still have Iranian capacity 161 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 1: that's coming on UH, and you still have growth from Iraq. 162 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 1: So you still have on a global basis of these 163 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:47,559 Speaker 1: imbalances UH promoted by opeckin its willingness to continue to produce. 164 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: We've got just about thirty forty seconds left, so I 165 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:53,560 Speaker 1: have to ask this quickly. But the bankruptcy situation a 166 00:09:53,600 --> 00:09:59,080 Speaker 1: month from now, well, we have seen UM. What we 167 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 1: have seen is continuing pressure on the operators, especially those 168 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:08,840 Speaker 1: that have not hedged. Coming into sixteen. There is a 169 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:13,079 Speaker 1: view that additional cap CAPEX cuts are coming in order 170 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:17,240 Speaker 1: to bring cash flow more in line with cap X. 171 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:20,640 Speaker 1: But there is stress in the system, and the operators 172 00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 1: are doing what they can to continue to stay in 173 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 1: the fight. But there will be ongoing stress on some 174 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 1: of the higher yield operators. Alright, well, we gotta have 175 00:10:29,640 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 1: you back talk more about that as we get closer 176 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:35,440 Speaker 1: UH to March. We're very close to March. As we 177 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:38,160 Speaker 1: get into March, and we have to start thinking about 178 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 1: whether the banks are gonna start pulling their loans or not. 179 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:44,440 Speaker 1: Vince Piazza for Blueberg Intelligence, Thanks very much for coming 180 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 1: in and joining us today. West Texas thirty two oh six, 181 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 1: Brent thirty four twelve, and we were talking about gasoline 182 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 1: and gasoline futures at a dollar one right now retail 183 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:59,240 Speaker 1: gas one seventy two a gallon. This is Bluemberg Radio, 184 00:11:01,880 --> 00:11:04,200 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Surrounds brought you by s c n B v 185 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 1: Bank for Business is on the move. Are you looking 186 00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:08,840 Speaker 1: for the right banking partner? 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