1 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, Boys and girls. How are you welcome into 2 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:16,200 Speaker 1: another edition another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. I'm 3 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: your host, Matt Parolt here off a betting pros dot com. 4 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by our great friends 5 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: at bet MGM. All Right, so we got some good 6 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: news and bad news yesterday. Unfortunately, we're down another two 7 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: plus units yesterday, which is not what we want. Obviously, 8 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 1: the week's not going great. But hey, we're back for 9 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: the other day, right, pick up our bootstraps here and 10 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:41,200 Speaker 1: lick our wounds or however way it goes. Right, let's 11 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 1: get into some picks and some winners here. I've got 12 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 1: four in the NBA in one in hockey to get to. 13 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 1: Coming up for today, I'm just not feeling baseball, and 14 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: I know the White Sox are kind of an automatic fire, 15 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 1: so I don't blame you if you just bet the 16 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 1: White Sox. I just don't have a great feel or 17 00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: I'm just not watching a lot of baseball right now. 18 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 1: And the thing about this podcast is I can only 19 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:05,920 Speaker 1: bet on so many things, right. I can't go and 20 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: bet on everything, and I gotta bet on the things 21 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:10,479 Speaker 1: that I'm watching and that I feel like I see 22 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:12,679 Speaker 1: edges On and I have a good feel for and 23 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 1: I'm just not watching a lot of baseball right now, 24 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,559 Speaker 1: and maybe I will in the postseason. Maybe I'll become 25 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 1: more interested in betting baseball, and maybe I'll get more 26 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: locked in on baseball. The White Sox. You guys are 27 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 1: sending this trend, like three of you are sending me 28 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: this trend where against left handed pitching, the White Sox 29 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 1: have now won thirteen straight games, I believe. So it's ridiculous, right, 30 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 1: I love the White Sox. I have Luise Robert on 31 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 1: that Rookie of the Year plus four hundred bets, so 32 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: I have a future going. So I am paying attention, 33 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:42,479 Speaker 1: but I'm just not watching it because of hockey and basketball. 34 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 1: It's the weirdest year because we can only do so much, right, 35 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: we can only watch so many things. And I'm in 36 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: the process of moving. So this room that I'm in 37 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: right now is a complete mess, like nothing's on the 38 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: walls anymore, and there's boxes everywhere. Downstairs, there's all boxes. 39 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: We move. Basically, we get keys to our new house 40 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:04,280 Speaker 1: coming up on Thursday, and then we're moving. And so 41 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: the podcast might sound a little different. I don't know 42 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: where I'm gonna be taping it is, you know, a 43 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:10,920 Speaker 1: new little sports room type of setup. But I just 44 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: feel like I can only bet on the things I'm 45 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:18,239 Speaker 1: watching in hockey playoffs and NBA playoffs. There's just I 46 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: feel like I'm going from watching like a NASCAR race 47 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: to watching like five year olds pedal bicycles. Like it's 48 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 1: just I can't do this. I can't go from the 49 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 1: NBA and the NHL playoffs and then watch baseball and 50 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 1: normally during the month of September, yes, I am basically 51 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 1: watching baseball when it comes to the Pennant chases and 52 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: we're coming down the stretch. But maybe it's because the 53 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:43,360 Speaker 1: Red Sox stink and my team is embarrassing, or maybe 54 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: it's the weird rules, or maybe it's the seven inning 55 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: double headers. I don't know what it is, but I 56 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 1: do apologize if you guys want baseball picks. I feel 57 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: like I need to be widespread, but like I just 58 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 1: can't do it. I mean, I will do it, but 59 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: like when there's things like if I can go ahead 60 00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: and eat fill a, Like why do I want Hamburger? 61 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: Like it's Hamburger's fine. I like burgers they're great, but 62 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: I would rather have a stake like just and right now, 63 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:11,839 Speaker 1: there's just so much more intrigue and so much more 64 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 1: fun going on with the pace of play and whatnot 65 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: for hockey in the NBA that I just, I don't know. 66 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: I feel like I owed it to explain to you 67 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: guys here at the top as to like, why am 68 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:22,680 Speaker 1: I not making baseball plays when it's Labor Day weekend 69 00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 1: and normally you'd have a whole slate of baseball And 70 00:03:25,560 --> 00:03:28,320 Speaker 1: normally I would have like five baseball plays going, because 71 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: that's all there would be. There's just not a lot 72 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 1: of interest right now from me. Now, that doesn't mean 73 00:03:33,880 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 1: you don't love baseball and you aren't betting on it 74 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:38,640 Speaker 1: and you aren't enjoying it. You know, bet on the 75 00:03:38,680 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 1: White Sox. I looked at the Reds today, but the 76 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: line isn't out the Red Sunny Gray's pitching. I like 77 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 1: the Reds today, but you know, I just I can't 78 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 1: bet it because the line's not out yet. So that's 79 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: the other thing is that, like I can't do for 80 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 1: the podcast, the lines I like aren't being posted. So 81 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: even if I do want to make a play, I 82 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:56,200 Speaker 1: have to wait till the morning to bet it. And 83 00:03:56,200 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: that's why I do recommend following me on Twitter at 84 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt, because I do add plays from time 85 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:03,720 Speaker 1: to time, so just a quick explanation as to what's 86 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 1: going on. So I've got four plays on the NBA, 87 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:08,440 Speaker 1: one playing hockey, Like I mentioned, we got one in 88 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 1: one yesterday for our first start in college football. The 89 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 1: Army pick was beautiful. It was a laugher. I would 90 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:17,600 Speaker 1: take every one of every single bet I ever make. 91 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:20,160 Speaker 1: Could be that easy, would be amazing. But that was 92 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 1: a forty two nothings, shutout, huge victory, easy w first 93 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:28,039 Speaker 1: cash of college football. That was fun. On the other side, SMU, 94 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 1: their new offensive coordinator, is way worse than I thought 95 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: he was going to be. I was a little concerned 96 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:38,240 Speaker 1: about that, but not really. SMU wins they survive, But 97 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 1: I thought the fact that they did not play TCU, 98 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: they're not going to play them next week. You know 99 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 1: that that weight was lifted. So now focus on Texas State. Well, 100 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: I don't know what happened. That was just that was 101 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: wild to watch. Sam Buschel was pretty good, but I 102 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 1: mean they didn't throw the ball. Every time they threw 103 00:04:55,440 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: the ball vertically they had big plays like why were 104 00:04:57,640 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: they running the football? Like when did they go and 105 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 1: become like like it was bizarre to me, like why 106 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:03,720 Speaker 1: are they running the ball against Texas State? Just you 107 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:07,359 Speaker 1: have two great receiving athletes throw the ball downfield. It 108 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:09,840 Speaker 1: was so annoying watching that game, like it should have 109 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:12,479 Speaker 1: been a complete blowout, but instead it's just a ten 110 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 1: point victory or so, I don't that really made me angry. 111 00:05:15,720 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: So we missed on that. We only bet a quarter 112 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 1: of a unit on Tis. The Law came in second 113 00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:23,160 Speaker 1: place for the derby. Don't care about that. Boston we 114 00:05:23,200 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 1: got on a plus one. A ton of money came 115 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: in on the Celtics. I was really nervous about that. 116 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 1: It winds up flipping Celtics where the favorite before they 117 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 1: tipped off, and then Boston does not win. They lose 118 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 1: by seven to the Raptors. That series is very much alive, 119 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 1: and the Clippers the over to twenty one. It died 120 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 1: in the third quarter because the Nuggets shot incredibly well 121 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 1: in quarter one and then like crap in quarter three, 122 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:49,720 Speaker 1: and eventually we end up about ten point shy of 123 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 1: that over of two twenty one. Keep these stats in mind, though, 124 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:57,279 Speaker 1: and Dave Tooley, who works for Visen, had some incredible 125 00:05:57,279 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: stats that were gonna tail come up today. The Dogs 126 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:02,400 Speaker 1: are nine and one against the spread in the second 127 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: round of the playoffs with eight upsets favorites. The favorites 128 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: lead is now down to thirty eight to eighteen straight 129 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 1: up in twenty four, twenty five, twenty four and two 130 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 1: against the spread in the playoffs. Unders in the second 131 00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:18,839 Speaker 1: round are on a nine to one run that is 132 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:22,400 Speaker 1: a tear, and they lead thirty one and twenty one overall. 133 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: Here in the bubble. The Nuggets were the first Zigzag 134 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 1: team to cover this round, as they're one in five 135 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: against the spread going back and forth with the Zigzag. 136 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: One team wins, next team wins, fifteen to twenty three 137 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:37,720 Speaker 1: and two against the spread overall with the Zigzag going 138 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 1: back and forth, that is quite remarkable when you look 139 00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 1: at the numbers here. So great stuff from Dave Tooley. 140 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 1: Definitely recommend following Dave on Twitter. He's a phenomenal view 141 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 1: at view from Vegas. Great got to follow on Twitter 142 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:52,479 Speaker 1: for a lot of great contents, trends and betting trends. 143 00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:55,679 Speaker 1: So a couple things first, Let's talk about that draft 144 00:06:55,760 --> 00:06:59,040 Speaker 1: Kings incredible promotion again, that's going on right now. Bettingpros 145 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:03,239 Speaker 1: dot com Chiefs one oh one, Bettingpros dot com slash 146 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 1: Chiefs one oh one. This is free money, right, fifty 147 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:10,640 Speaker 1: bucks max bet at minus one ten. It's the Chiefs 148 00:07:10,680 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 1: plus one oh one going up against the Texans on 149 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:17,000 Speaker 1: Thursday night. I mean, if you have a Draft Kings account, 150 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 1: open to everybody, this is just them giving you basically 151 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 1: forty five dollars to play with. It is a promotion 152 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: that I think everyone who is available. I can't use it. 153 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:28,440 Speaker 1: I can't use DraftKings here in Vegas. But if you 154 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 1: have an account, New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, this 155 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: is open to all you guys, and I would highly 156 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 1: recommend jumping on it because it's just straight up free money. 157 00:07:38,760 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 1: So you should one hundred percent get on this. If 158 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,800 Speaker 1: you have a DraftKings account, Bettingpros dot com slash Chiefs 159 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:48,400 Speaker 1: one oh one, Bettingpros dot com slash Chiefs one oh one. 160 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 1: It excludes live bets, parlays, free bets, cash outs, avoided 161 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 1: bets in odds boots. You get one of these per user. Pennsylvania, 162 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Illinois, and West Virginia. Those are 163 00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:06,679 Speaker 1: the states. This is valid in Thursday Thursday Night Chiefs 164 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:11,679 Speaker 1: taking on the Houston Texans Bettingpros dot com slash Chiefs 165 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 1: one on one Betting Pros dot Com slash Chiefs one 166 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 1: a one. All right, do our picks here on a 167 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 1: Sunday Labor Day weekend, and we need to find some winners. Man. 168 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:26,080 Speaker 1: So look, it's a long month, and as I showed 169 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 1: you last month in August, where I was horrible in 170 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 1: the beginning and much better in the late in the 171 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:32,559 Speaker 1: later part of the week or the month, Hopefully that's 172 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 1: gonna happen again, because I've not been good here during 173 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 1: this month. So we're down about four and a half 174 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:38,160 Speaker 1: units here during this week. That's not where we want 175 00:08:38,160 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 1: to be. So hopefully we get rolling here, we can 176 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 1: close it out, we can get ourselves going to the 177 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: next big football weekend, which I'm so fired up for 178 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:49,079 Speaker 1: next weekend with college football, but hopefully in the NFL 179 00:08:49,120 --> 00:08:50,600 Speaker 1: for that matter too. I mean, my gosh, we get 180 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 1: the NFL going, it's going to be our picks contest. 181 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 1: I'm signing up today for the CIRCA million. I'm in 182 00:08:56,840 --> 00:09:00,040 Speaker 1: the DraftKings contest with Dan Harris, a Fantasy pro So 183 00:09:00,040 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 1: we've got a ton of cool things coming up here 184 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:04,840 Speaker 1: for football in the NFL and for college. But let's 185 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 1: take a look at first the Miami Heat. The total 186 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 1: right now, the Miami Heat trying to close out Milwaukee Bucks. 187 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 1: The line is Miami minus two is where I got it. 188 00:09:14,600 --> 00:09:16,839 Speaker 1: I heard that DraftKings hadn't posted it in some books 189 00:09:16,880 --> 00:09:19,120 Speaker 1: were gonna wait on Giannis's ankle to see what he 190 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 1: would look like. I mean, Circus Sports here in Vegas 191 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 1: hung it. So I bet it and at minus two 192 00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 1: minus one ten the Miami Heat, I think, even with 193 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:31,079 Speaker 1: the healthy, honest will win and close this out. They're 194 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:34,840 Speaker 1: just the better basketball team and they are hungrier Jimmy 195 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:38,360 Speaker 1: Butler's mentality. I mean, we've bet Miami plus five and 196 00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:40,360 Speaker 1: a half, plus five and plus five, and they've won 197 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:43,840 Speaker 1: all three games. Outright, I'll lay two points for Miami 198 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 1: to close out the Bucks and to sweep them out. 199 00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:48,440 Speaker 1: I don't see I don't foresee a big comeback. I 200 00:09:48,440 --> 00:09:50,679 Speaker 1: don't think they want to be there. I think Milwaukee 201 00:09:50,679 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 1: would rather go home. I think they got bigger things 202 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:55,679 Speaker 1: on their minds in the world to go after it, 203 00:09:55,960 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 1: and I think the Butler led Heat are just focused 204 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 1: on one thing and one thing only. So for the 205 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 1: first time, we're gonna lay points here in this series. 206 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:04,880 Speaker 1: We're not catching points, we're laying it. But I'm gonna 207 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:06,680 Speaker 1: lay the two points here with the Miami Heat to 208 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:09,600 Speaker 1: close out. Even if Giannis is healthy and good to go, 209 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,679 Speaker 1: he may not be fully though. That ankle looked pretty bad. 210 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 1: He was limping pretty bad, so you know, I don't know. 211 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 1: I doubt they would not play him in a closeout game. 212 00:10:18,080 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 1: It would be a really bad look. But I think 213 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 1: that possibility is there that Giannis would not play today, 214 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: and that's why I'm going with the Heat minus two here. 215 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:30,720 Speaker 1: In Game four of the Eastern Conference semi finals. Also 216 00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:34,720 Speaker 1: in that game, also as I mentioned that Dave Tully 217 00:10:34,800 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 1: trend because look, I'm looking around, and sometimes when you're 218 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 1: kind of looking in the dark, you want to try 219 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:43,360 Speaker 1: to find winners and get get the feelback. You can 220 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:46,680 Speaker 1: trail things like this. Nine to one is a ninety 221 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:49,319 Speaker 1: percent clip until it really flips. I think we need 222 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: to trail this, So I'm gonna do this in both picks, 223 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: both games under. We're taking the under two nineteen here 224 00:10:56,880 --> 00:11:00,680 Speaker 1: under two nineteen for the Heat and the Hockey Bucks. 225 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:04,559 Speaker 1: I don't like the offense for Milwaukee. Although they can 226 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,839 Speaker 1: be explosive at times, I'm pretty concerned about it. So 227 00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:12,640 Speaker 1: I got the under two nineteen for the Bucks and 228 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 1: the Heat in game number four of their best of 229 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 1: seven series. Game number two in the NBA to talk about, 230 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:22,719 Speaker 1: obviously Lakers taking on a pesky Rockets team, I got 231 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:26,679 Speaker 1: Game one really wrong. I can't see this. I can't 232 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:30,920 Speaker 1: see the Lakers not having a big bounce back game. 233 00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:34,559 Speaker 1: I just can't see them making adjustments. I can't see 234 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:37,640 Speaker 1: them losing. This is of all the picks I'm making today, 235 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:41,720 Speaker 1: I dislike this one the most. But I just can't 236 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:43,920 Speaker 1: see Lebron going down two games to none to the 237 00:11:43,960 --> 00:11:47,160 Speaker 1: Rockets here. And I think this is a bounce back 238 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:50,200 Speaker 1: spot for the Lakers. I think they shoot better. I 239 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 1: think Danny Green shoots better. I think Anthony Davis shoots better. 240 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 1: I think the energy level is much higher. I think 241 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 1: Lebron will get the guys ready, and I expect Lebron 242 00:11:59,600 --> 00:12:02,520 Speaker 1: to be on a different planet coming up for Game two. 243 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: He may not be able to sustain it the entire time. 244 00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna lay the five and a half points 245 00:12:06,840 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 1: here with the Lakers, And this is a little ugly, 246 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:13,520 Speaker 1: it's a little dangerous. As I mentioned, these zig zag 247 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 1: bets have not gone well where that team wins and 248 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 1: then you bet on the other team to win. It's 249 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:19,679 Speaker 1: not gone this way in the playoffs. But this is 250 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 1: the Lakers, this is Lebron James. I mean, if the 251 00:12:22,960 --> 00:12:25,520 Speaker 1: shots don't go for the Rockets, if they don't hit threes, 252 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 1: they could get blown out. I don't think that's gonna happen. 253 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:30,319 Speaker 1: But I am gonna lay the five and a half 254 00:12:30,400 --> 00:12:33,600 Speaker 1: points here. It's a little dangerous. Again, I don't love it, 255 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 1: Lakers minus five and a half. What I do like more, though, 256 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:38,760 Speaker 1: is the under in this game at two twenty four 257 00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:42,080 Speaker 1: and a half. The Lakers are playing a really perplexing style, 258 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:45,440 Speaker 1: like they are just not running against anybody. Not against Portland. 259 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:47,400 Speaker 1: I thought that they would run against Portland. They did 260 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 1: not run against Portland. They're not running here, at least 261 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 1: not in Game one. They didn't run against the Rockets. 262 00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:56,120 Speaker 1: And they're playing half court basketball, and the Rockets are 263 00:12:56,160 --> 00:12:58,480 Speaker 1: better at it defensively than I thought they would be. 264 00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 1: And look they don't have guys, but they're playing hard 265 00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:04,240 Speaker 1: and when they want it more, look at the heat 266 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 1: if you want it more in there's bubble situation. I 267 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 1: think it's a really big deal. So I'm going with 268 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:12,200 Speaker 1: the under two twenty four and a half under two 269 00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:15,320 Speaker 1: twenty four and a half Lakers and the Rockets here 270 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:18,120 Speaker 1: for game number two of their best of seven series. 271 00:13:18,800 --> 00:13:22,000 Speaker 1: So we're going Lakers minus five and a half under 272 00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:25,200 Speaker 1: two twenty four and a half heat minus two under 273 00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:29,680 Speaker 1: two nineteen for NBA basketball. And finally, Game one of 274 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:33,200 Speaker 1: the Western Conference Finals between the Dallas Stars and the 275 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 1: Vegas Golden Knights. Look it when you look at the 276 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,839 Speaker 1: way that Demko played in how he was peppered by 277 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: the offense for the Vegas gold Knights, I don't think 278 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:46,319 Speaker 1: we're gonna see another recreation here either goaltender for the 279 00:13:46,400 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 1: Dallas Stars, whoever plays coming up today. I think this 280 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:52,200 Speaker 1: is a high scoring game. I think I'm gonna go 281 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:55,200 Speaker 1: at six at minus one oh five. I'm gonna take 282 00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:58,520 Speaker 1: the over six goals because I think a push could happen. 283 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,160 Speaker 1: It could be a four to two game. So I 284 00:14:01,160 --> 00:14:03,720 Speaker 1: think we're okay, but I'm expecting a lot of offense 285 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:06,720 Speaker 1: here in this series. Dallas's defense is not nearly as 286 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 1: good as we thought it was going to be, but 287 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: their offense is better than we thought. Their powerplay is 288 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 1: pretty good. I'm gonna say points points goals goals here 289 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 1: in game number one over six goals for Vegas in 290 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:20,760 Speaker 1: the Dallas Stars at minus one oh five over six 291 00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 1: in game one of their best of seven series. So 292 00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:28,440 Speaker 1: five plays going for us here on a Sunday, four 293 00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 1: in the NBA, one in hockey, two wonders in basketball, 294 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 1: two favorites in basketball, and one over six goals for 295 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:39,480 Speaker 1: Vegas and the Dallas Stars. If you can find five 296 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 1: and a half, by the way, hammer it, I love that. 297 00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 1: I couldn't find it. It's not in Vegas. There's nowhere 298 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 1: on the East Coast. I couldn't find it. If you 299 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:47,720 Speaker 1: can find five and a half somewhere for the total, 300 00:14:47,960 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: absolutely jump all over it. And we're not going to 301 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 1: do the second period thing anymore. Okay, that came crashing 302 00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 1: down to earth. I think it hit two out of 303 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:59,480 Speaker 1: the last seven times it hit. So the law of 304 00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:02,840 Speaker 1: averages came into play with our second period overs for 305 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 1: one and a half goals, including yesterday, which it did 306 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:07,480 Speaker 1: not hit yesterday for US, unfortunately for the Islanders. But 307 00:15:07,600 --> 00:15:09,920 Speaker 1: the Islanders hit that cash at plus one twenty five. 308 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 1: That was great because we really needed the help after 309 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 1: what happened yesterday. We would have been really down with 310 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 1: units if that hit that didn't hit yesterday, So that 311 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 1: was good to get that plus one twenty five cashed yesterday. 312 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:23,680 Speaker 1: All Right, we have a lot to come NFL Football 313 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 1: week Thursday, and I already told you Chiefs mis ten 314 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 1: but cannot wait for NFL football coming up on Thursday. 315 00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. If I 316 00:15:33,600 --> 00:15:36,560 Speaker 1: sound a little cranky, I'm sorry, I'm moving. My life 317 00:15:36,640 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 1: is all just ridiculous right now. This is gonna be 318 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 1: a tough week for me, so I'm sorry. I apologize 319 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:44,120 Speaker 1: ahead of time if I'm cranky on Twitter. But follow 320 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. That's my Instagram 321 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 1: as well. We're back tomorrow for a Monday. Oh, by 322 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 1: the way, that reminds me I told you on Twitter, Navy, 323 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 1: I got it at plus one. It dropped to a pick. 324 00:15:57,480 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 1: Actually I got it plus one and a half. It 325 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:03,640 Speaker 1: dropped to a pick yesterday. Navy bet it now, don't 326 00:16:03,640 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 1: wait till Monday. That's gonna be a play for Monday's podcast. 327 00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 1: But I'm telling you now, Navy bet it now, Navy 328 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:13,600 Speaker 1: taking on BYU. I like Navy, pick them. I don't 329 00:16:13,640 --> 00:16:15,360 Speaker 1: want to lay points, so trying to if you can 330 00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,480 Speaker 1: find it without laying points, don't lay points with Navy. 331 00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:19,400 Speaker 1: But I got to plus one and a half. That 332 00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:22,000 Speaker 1: should be a barn burner of a game Navy. Though. 333 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:24,080 Speaker 1: I think we'll wind up winning that game, but by 334 00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 1: how much I'm not sure. So I got to plus 335 00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:28,480 Speaker 1: one and a half. It's a pick or was a 336 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:31,760 Speaker 1: pick yesterday. Hopefully it's still somewhere hovering around there and 337 00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 1: you guys can get Navy for Monday's podcast. That's a 338 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:37,560 Speaker 1: look ahead bet But at Sports Talk Matt, I give 339 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:39,240 Speaker 1: you stuff like that on Twitter when you follow me 340 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:42,640 Speaker 1: on Twitter. Back tomorrow for another edition another podcast for 341 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice of Betting Pros dot Com, presented by 342 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:46,280 Speaker 1: Beto JM