Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock bet. We
Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the
Speaker 1: betting show that makes the square sharper and makes the
Speaker 1: wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Melman. I am
Speaker 1: joined by my co host, my bff, my companion, Mike
Speaker 1: Campadre Professional Better, Simon Hunter et O Simon.
Speaker 2: Good morning, Chad brother.
Speaker 1: We got a lot of work to do today. This
Speaker 1: is the Sunday episode Stripped down in the room eavesdropping
Speaker 1: version of Sharper Square, which you and I will try
Speaker 1: to nail down the final five picks. Now that injuries
Speaker 1: have been reported, lines have been moving. Are you ready?
Speaker 2: Let's do it all right?
Speaker 1: These are the games we heard in on the other day,
Speaker 1: Big big news here obviously addressing it off the top.
Speaker 1: Chicago A. Baltimore. This was our big balls bet of
Speaker 1: the week Baltimore minus six and a half. At the time,
Speaker 1: we had an expectation Lamar Jackson was playing. This line
Speaker 1: is now two and a half. How stupid can the
Speaker 1: Ravens and John Harbaugh be because they happened to list
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson as a full participant in practice on Friday.
Speaker 1: The lines immediately moved from six and a half to seven.
Speaker 1: It's the news everybody who was paying attention to this
Speaker 1: game had been waiting for. I know this.
Speaker 2: He practiced today, full practice today, so that was good.
Speaker 1: And then the news came out that Lamar Jackson practiced
Speaker 1: with the third stringers, and then his status was changed
Speaker 1: to out. And now the NFL is investigating how the
Speaker 1: Ravens managed their injury report injury report news and sharing
Speaker 1: of all the weeks to not tow the line with
Speaker 1: injury reports and act like an arrogant idiot, this was
Speaker 1: not the week to do it. Simon what a tone deaf,
Speaker 1: stupid air again thing to do by John Harbott, and
Speaker 1: I feel like this is the week of stupid, arrogant
Speaker 1: things from NFL coaches. We'll get to that in a second,
Speaker 1: but look, we're sticking with the Ravens at minus six
Speaker 1: and a half. The line is now down. It went
Speaker 1: to two, it's actually moved up to two and a half,
Speaker 1: and there's actually some threes out there. We're not gonna
Speaker 1: play this game. I just wanted to raise it so
Speaker 1: people are aware of it since we had discussed it
Speaker 1: a lot during the week. Thoughts from your point of view.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it stinks, but I think God not that they
Speaker 2: listened to us, but they listen to general public. They're
Speaker 2: not playing Cooper Rush. Who I know, it's a big deal.
Speaker 2: They gave the guy seven million, but Chad, Chad thought
Speaker 2: I was crazy. I'm telling you, like that was my
Speaker 2: view on him. I'd much rather have Snoopuntley in there,
Speaker 2: even how bad he could be. Snoop, It's like, anything's
Speaker 2: better than Cooper Rush.
Speaker 1: Like the fact that I don't think this is dead
Speaker 1: for us, I honestly don't know.
Speaker 2: So like on the mindset of I, we could mean
Speaker 2: Chad could take Bear six and a half in their contest.
Speaker 2: I have no interest of it. Bears have a really
Speaker 2: banged up secondary, they have run injuries. It's still a
Speaker 2: bad spot for the Bears. But yeah, as a Bears fan,
Speaker 2: I'd be really happy right this is you're playing the
Speaker 2: ravens el Lamar. You could just steal one, of course,
Speaker 2: But to Chad's point, probably wouldn't be that big of
Speaker 2: a deal if they had just been honest on Friday
Speaker 2: saying he was limited in practice and the rather than
Speaker 2: what Chad said, like them saying that he was full
Speaker 2: go Lamar. It's a big no go. Like we talked about,
Speaker 2: these these organizations, these teams, they need to realize this
Speaker 2: isn't twenty twenty, this isn't twenty fifteen. Right, hardball in
Speaker 2: twenty fifteen, if this would have happened, not a big deal,
Speaker 2: maybe a very small fine. Your league, yourself, your owner,
Speaker 2: your franchise, everyone is in bed with these gambly companies.
Speaker 2: You cannot be doing this anymore. It's it's a new age.
Speaker 2: So I'm with you, Chad. It's we could spend twenty
Speaker 2: minutes about how stupid it is and all that is
Speaker 2: wrong with it and manipulating lines. But like I always say,
Speaker 2: the pros, who's got good sources and they took a
Speaker 2: risk and they made a bet. They somehow were on
Speaker 2: this with this Barrassne They were been at all week.
Speaker 2: They just did not trust the news coming out about Lamar.
Speaker 2: So youah, bad bad miss by me. But like I
Speaker 2: just said, I'm still on this Ravens team. Still think
Speaker 2: what that defense guys are getting back healthy Derrick Henry
Speaker 2: with Snoopuntley and that run scheme they should be to
Speaker 2: run the ball. So it's it's an interesting spot for
Speaker 2: this Ravens team, then I must win. But yeah, sorry, guys,
Speaker 2: we definitely messed up on that one.
Speaker 1: We're going to get to our rock in a hard place,
Speaker 1: San Francisco at Houston. We've been on this all week. Yeah,
Speaker 1: line moved up to two and a half. It's two
Speaker 1: at hard Rock bet right now. Huge move on the game.
Speaker 1: It was Texans minus one when you called it. As
Speaker 1: Simon says on Tuesday, I think we're getting even better
Speaker 1: number in the contest that we play with the Texans
Speaker 1: as a dog either way, we've been on this game
Speaker 1: forgetting about the contest. We're still on this game as
Speaker 1: Texans are short favorites. The Niners are missing some key
Speaker 1: players on a defense that cannot get pass rush. Bryce
Speaker 1: Huff who had a great game last week sack for
Speaker 1: his fumbles several tackles, will not be playing today. We're
Speaker 1: going to be on the Texans no matter what the
Speaker 1: number here.
Speaker 2: Yeah, still playing the Texans, and we've talked about it.
Speaker 2: It's a bet on their defense at home in this matchup,
Speaker 2: and it's a bet on CJ without his number one,
Speaker 2: number two receiver. He has a big deal. But like
Speaker 2: Chad just mentioned, he's not going to have pressure in
Speaker 2: his face. And we've seen with CJ has time, you
Speaker 2: could give him no names. He made Nico Collins into
Speaker 2: a name. So that's the thing with CJ. He can
Speaker 2: take guys you haven't heard of, make it work as
Speaker 2: long as he has time and he's comfortable. And yeah,
Speaker 2: it's a great matchup. Like Chad said, we're also getting
Speaker 2: an amazing number on this Texans team. So yeah, played
Speaker 2: it all week. What is still taking in our contest?
Speaker 2: Honestly for those minus two and a half, Like I
Speaker 2: have no issue with betting this as long as under three,
Speaker 2: we talk, this is going to be the pros rust shows.
Speaker 2: The pros are all over it, the public is over
Speaker 2: the forty nine ers, and yeah, we can't avoid this one,
Speaker 2: especially the factor gets such a good line. So Houston's defense,
Speaker 2: we need them to show up, give them major problems
Speaker 2: once again. It's a banged up mac Jones. Come on,
Speaker 2: take away mccaffor Houston defense. That's all you gotta do, That's.
Speaker 1: Right, Dallas at Denver, Denver is minus three. At hard
Speaker 1: Rock Bet it's three and a half most places. This
Speaker 1: was Chad's choice when it was Denver minus three. Look,
Speaker 1: the biggest fear here is Bonix against a zone defense.
Speaker 1: And I have never in the years we've done this
Speaker 1: show that Matt Iberflus has been someone that anyone ever
Speaker 1: talked about as a Bears head coach and now is
Speaker 1: the Cowboys defensive coordinator. I have never said this is
Speaker 1: a problem for a quarterback against the Matt Eberflus defense,
Speaker 1: because the guy is terrible at his job. But Bonix
Speaker 1: is not very good against his own defense. And I
Speaker 1: think that's what you're going to get from Dallas because
Speaker 1: that's basically all you get from Dallas. So that is
Speaker 1: a little bit of a fear here. But we continue
Speaker 1: to be on the Broncos. Whether it's three or three
Speaker 1: and a half, whatever you're getting, we are still going
Speaker 1: to play the Broncos here. I just like the pressure
Speaker 1: the Broncos can get against Dak and I think that
Speaker 1: can be the game changer in this game.
Speaker 2: Yeah, love Denver, and part of me is just I
Speaker 2: was excited to see if all the stuff, all the
Speaker 2: numbers are true that Dallas is a worst team on
Speaker 2: the road, and you know, so far, we're here, we
Speaker 2: are in Week eight, and it's proven out a little
Speaker 2: bit right, They're lost Week one to the Eagles on
Speaker 2: the road. Week three against Chicago. People probably remember they
Speaker 2: lost thirty one to fourteen. Okay, can say I was
Speaker 2: a fluky game. They had a bunch of injuries. Then
Speaker 2: they beat the Jets on the road, and then they
Speaker 2: lost the Panthers on the road. So they're one win
Speaker 2: on the season on the road is against arguably the
Speaker 2: worst team in football in the New York Jets. Chad
Speaker 2: and I are both in the same belt. We have
Speaker 2: high expectations for this Denver team. This should be the
Speaker 2: best defense they've faced this season. It's not indoors, it's
Speaker 2: not that controlled environment. Is going to be outdoors in
Speaker 2: tough playing conditions. So yeah, I get what the general
Speaker 2: public is coming on DAK. Right at the base, it's
Speaker 2: pretty simple. You're getting plus three and a half with
Speaker 2: DAK against bow Knicks. Me and Chad we love those
Speaker 2: type of moments, those type of spots where it's people
Speaker 2: think this number is too good to be true. I
Speaker 2: still don't think this number is off by one or
Speaker 2: two points. So I love that you're still get under four. Yeah,
Speaker 2: obviously we were hoping for a minus three. It's it's
Speaker 2: my star and a half. I have no problem betting
Speaker 2: the hook with this Denver team. I love this matchup.
Speaker 1: Let's talk about one that we've been debating all week.
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay at New Orleans. New Orleans is plus three
Speaker 1: and a half. You've loved it all week. The Wise
Speaker 1: guys have loved it all week. Huge pros Joe's game,
Speaker 1: majority of the money on the Saints, majority of the
Speaker 1: bets on the Buccaneers. I have been trying to avoid
Speaker 1: this game all week. I think the injury bug is
Speaker 1: really starting to get in my head about the Buccaneers
Speaker 1: and the fact we're still getting the hook at three
Speaker 1: and a half on the Saints. Hassan Riddick is out
Speaker 1: for the Bucks on the defensive side of the ball
Speaker 1: at defensive end, Vida Vea is questionable. Luke Haggard on
Speaker 1: the offensive line is out obviously, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin,
Speaker 1: Bucky Irving out. This will this caught up with them
Speaker 1: last week. Again, the Lions can to catch up with
Speaker 1: them in a divisional game against a team that is
Speaker 1: scrappy and competitive that the Wise guys love. I feel
Speaker 1: like we're walking into it, but I also feel like
Speaker 1: it's hard to avoid it right now.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the question is one of our five favorite bets.
Speaker 2: That's gonna be the toughest one here. I've bet into it,
Speaker 2: but like you said, I'm not betting it so much
Speaker 2: with a ton of confidence on Spencer Ratler, Like this
Speaker 2: does feel like the a game where Baker should bounce
Speaker 2: back after such a poor performance, and we're asking a
Speaker 2: lot Spencer rather needs to keep up with a Baker
Speaker 2: run offense. So to me, you talked about the injuries.
Speaker 2: That's that's why I'm so into backing this Saints team
Speaker 2: where fully healthy bucks, you know, got all their weapons,
Speaker 2: all their pieces on defense. They're not you know, hanging
Speaker 2: on by rags here. Sure I could have got up
Speaker 2: to four and a half five this team is. They're
Speaker 2: currently constructed. They're not blowing teams out this year, like
Speaker 2: we've already talked about that. They play close Games's just
Speaker 2: who they are. Sometimes it takes Baker a little bit
Speaker 2: to get going. So it's about the number, Like we're
Speaker 2: getting a good number, like our contest, Chad knows it's
Speaker 2: five and a half. That's a conversation, right, The best
Speaker 2: number you can get right out any book is four
Speaker 2: and a half. People want to shop around on the
Speaker 2: Saints team. That's a huge key number, Like you're crossing
Speaker 2: four there, that's a big deal. So I'm knowing people
Speaker 2: know I'm on the Saints. Is gonna be one of
Speaker 2: our five. We have a real conversation here because it's
Speaker 2: a tough week with a lot of a lot of
Speaker 2: games we don't love, and this is one of the
Speaker 2: games I am bet into. I do like, so we
Speaker 2: can talk about it, but I'm I'm not going to
Speaker 2: force us to bet Baker against Baker twoeks in a row.
Speaker 1: Uh Are you ready for our Rock in a Hard Place?
Speaker 1: Cleveland at New England? New England is minus seven right
Speaker 1: now at hard Rock Bet, and it is trending to
Speaker 1: six and a half. So I want people to be
Speaker 1: patient on this. You look at any book, it has
Speaker 1: come down from seven and a half. It's come down
Speaker 1: from seven. The juice looks like it's trending towards six
Speaker 1: and a half. But this week, Our Rock and a
Speaker 1: Hard Place better, the week presented by hard Rock Bed
Speaker 1: is going to be Cleveland at New England. A lot
Speaker 1: simon whether the number seven or six and a half,
Speaker 1: We're going to be on New England here. I think
Speaker 1: that's I've been thinking about this game all week. I
Speaker 1: have not pulled the trigger on it. And this morning
Speaker 1: I woke up and I'm like, what am I doing?
Speaker 1: How am I not pulling the trigger against the Browns
Speaker 1: defense that we know we like to bet when they're
Speaker 1: a bet against, when they're on the road off of
Speaker 1: a big win with a quarterback we don't believe in,
Speaker 1: against a team whose strength is throwing the ball down field,
Speaker 1: and that happens to be maybe the one if you
Speaker 1: could call it weakness for this Cleveland Browns defense.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and we already talked about it all week that
Speaker 2: you know we could get usually get burned by this one.
Speaker 2: We have been on the other side of this bet
Speaker 2: for a long time. But it's like we always said,
Speaker 2: it's a new dawn, a new age, trying to lean
Speaker 2: into it and take these really really public sides and
Speaker 2: spots that feel icky for the little growth. But I
Speaker 2: can't get I can't get by what Chad just talked about,
Speaker 2: Like this just feels like a horrible, horrible situation for
Speaker 2: this Cleveland team with their quarterback. They currently have just
Speaker 2: a bad matchup, Like this is the exact type of
Speaker 2: match of Rabel should have actually dominate a team. Right,
Speaker 2: there's rookies on the road after what they went by
Speaker 2: twenty points last week. I mean, I can't even imagine
Speaker 2: what their practices were like this week and their reps
Speaker 2: about how just a team like Cleveland, I don't think
Speaker 2: they know how to handle success. This is a team
Speaker 2: that you know, we heard that stat multiple times last week.
Speaker 2: They didn't scored more than eighteen points in like two years,
Speaker 2: Like they're just it's just a bad franchise. So that
Speaker 2: could have been a jumping off point, right, we could
Speaker 2: be ste walking into We're back in a team here
Speaker 2: that Patriots have covered in won four straight games after
Speaker 2: a long road trip, now coming back home, how does
Speaker 2: a young team handle that? Like me and Chack keep saying,
Speaker 2: And luckily we've been avoiding betting against him and for
Speaker 2: the most part in our contest because it's verybel and
Speaker 2: at the end of the day is great as may
Speaker 2: has been. This just feels like a vrable bet Arabel
Speaker 2: spot once again. So yeah, in our contest, we can
Speaker 2: get minus six and a half. They know what they're doing,
Speaker 2: they knew they ascuse they gave us that line, we're
Speaker 2: gonna get me on it. So, like Chad said, be patient,
Speaker 2: I'm already seeing two books pop six and a half
Speaker 2: right now. So professionals, they're gonna be on the Browns.
Speaker 2: Hopefully they bet this down and they give us a
Speaker 2: better line. But yeah, love the Patriots here all right.
Speaker 1: So we know we're going to be on Houston, Denver, Pittsburgh,
Speaker 1: New England. We're looking for our fifth right now. New Orleans,
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay is on the outside looking in. Let's talk
Speaker 1: about the New York Giants seven point dogs at Philadelphia
Speaker 1: right now the numbers come down, there's still seven and
Speaker 1: a half's out there. Yeah, people should be looking for
Speaker 1: the seven and a half. The Eagles without AJ Brown,
Speaker 1: hard Roud.
Speaker 2: It is the only book here in Jersey at seven right.
Speaker 1: Now, right without Dory Jackson, card Rock, Yeah, very sharp.
Speaker 1: AJ Brown is out a Dory Jackson cornerback out, Cam
Speaker 1: Jurgen center out, Azizo Jilari defensive end out all for
Speaker 1: the Eagles. Like I mentioned this on Thursday, the Giants
Speaker 1: relatively healthy. Brian Burns was questionable, But this feels like
Speaker 1: the kind of game where we probably need to be
Speaker 1: on the Giants. If we're getting that hook.
Speaker 2: Yeah, it feels a type of gross game that would
Speaker 2: just be sloppy and close, and it's a huge, huge number.
Speaker 2: Like we said this, the books are in a tough
Speaker 2: spot because two weeks ago on the road, they had
Speaker 2: the Eagles as what was this seven and a half
Speaker 2: point favorite, So in their mind they've already moved in
Speaker 2: the line a lot, including those injuries and the perception
Speaker 2: of this Giants team. But we've talked about, like since
Speaker 2: starts taking over, it just feels like the books haven't
Speaker 2: priced are right. And I admitted I definitely got away
Speaker 2: with one with that Giants because my whole view was, well,
Speaker 2: let's see how this Shiints team handles a big win
Speaker 2: now going on the road with a rookie quarterback and
Speaker 2: what happened? They had five turnovers? So yep, you know
Speaker 2: it's not the most ideal conditions, right, This isn't the
Speaker 2: best spot ever with this Giants team. But I still
Speaker 2: think this is an insane number. And the Eagles are
Speaker 2: being priced as a five and two Super Bowl defending
Speaker 2: champ that has been rolling along dominating teams this season.
Speaker 2: Where we talked to one tonight, they have like I
Speaker 2: think a plus five point differential. This is not a
Speaker 2: juggernaut of an Eagles team. This is a team that
Speaker 2: can't close teams out. A team that last week. I mean,
Speaker 2: how lucky do you have to be to cover that
Speaker 2: number if you had the Eagles ticket last week? I
Speaker 2: mean the Vikings who are not good like we saw
Speaker 2: on Thursday, wentz win one to five in the red zone.
Speaker 2: If he had just scored one of those, yeah, Pakasin
Speaker 2: didn't drop the one, they get to cover maybe the win.
Speaker 2: So just feels like an Eagles team that's overpriced. Yeah,
Speaker 2: can Saquon get right here with the run game? Which
Speaker 2: is there dying to do? Possibly? But like Chad just said,
Speaker 2: the interior line's those team has just banged up, tons
Speaker 2: of injuries, guys not missing, including their center. Just too
Speaker 2: much to ask go yeah plus seven plus seven and
Speaker 2: a half. I've come a long way on this giant
Speaker 2: sid I start to really like this number.
Speaker 1: Today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor,
Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. It's not just a great sportsbook app,
Speaker 1: it also gives you crazy stats. Check out these streaks
Speaker 1: from hard Rock Bet Stats up. You can find live
Speaker 1: odds to bet on all of these streaks. In the
Speaker 1: hard Bet app, Cleveland faces the Red Hot Patriots, but
Speaker 1: have lost fifteen in a row. Is underdogs against the
Speaker 1: AFC East. The Giants have gone twelve games without a
Speaker 1: win in Philadelphia. All that is just a tap away
Speaker 1: when you open a hard Rock Bet app. If you
Speaker 1: haven't tried your first bet on hard Rock Bet, there's
Speaker 1: still time for you to get one hundred and fifty
Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets if you win. Just place a
Speaker 1: five dollar bet and if it hits, you get not
Speaker 1: only your winnings, but one hundred and fifty dollars in
Speaker 1: extra bonus bets. Plus on hard Rock Bet you can
Speaker 1: get a parlay boost for today's games. There's new promos
Speaker 1: every day. Boost your same game parlay or SGP mes
Speaker 1: so your bet pays extra winnings. There's new promos every day,
Speaker 1: so if you're listening to this later, just open the
Speaker 1: app and check out what you've got. Any day of
Speaker 1: the week, pay a bullin bonus bets, not a cash
Speaker 1: offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida. In Florida,
Speaker 1: offered by Seminoal hard Rock Digital LC and all other
Speaker 1: states must be twenty one and over and physically present
Speaker 1: in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,
Speaker 1: or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about
Speaker 1: gambling in Florida called one eight three three play wise
Speaker 1: in Indiana. If you are someone you know as a
Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred nine
Speaker 1: with it gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois,
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Last one. I just want
Speaker 1: to raise it quickly. Jets at Cincinnati, it's six at
Speaker 1: hard Rock, six and a half. Basically everywhere else we're
Speaker 1: going to book in with arrogant, defensive, insecure coaches right
Speaker 1: now because Aaron Glenn reached peak I know better, frustrated
Speaker 1: coach and oppressor the other day when he would not
Speaker 1: answer questions about the quarterback. And now we know Tyrad
Speaker 1: Taylor is out with a brus knee and it's going
Speaker 1: to be up to justin fields. The Jets are the
Speaker 1: right side here. Everybody knows it. I have no compunction
Speaker 1: to put into the contest, but we need a fifth
Speaker 1: and it's the sharpest number that's out there. I mean, honestly,
Speaker 1: it is like there's no rating that has the Bengals
Speaker 1: a six and a half point better than the Jets.
Speaker 1: This is a public perception pros Joe's game, and we
Speaker 1: see that because the number is inching towards six. Do
Speaker 1: we want to risk it?
Speaker 2: I can't tell if you're trying to do us a favor.
Speaker 2: You just forgot that Pittsburgh has a game on Sunday night.
Speaker 1: Oh my god.
Speaker 2: But I do love your your belief in this Jets team.
Speaker 2: I think at the end of the show you use
Speaker 2: them as your Sharper square bet, which was very funny. Yeah,
Speaker 2: I don't know. Like Jed said, it's probably right, We're
Speaker 2: probably supposed to do it, but I'm not going to
Speaker 2: make our listeners bet this side. Like we gave up
Speaker 2: their money line, which was great value. We got a
Speaker 2: really good number on that, and yeah, like if it
Speaker 2: was seven and a half, I could probably be talked
Speaker 2: into it. But it's six and a half. I know
Speaker 2: it's a sharp number. I just between the Sauce Cordner,
Speaker 2: all the injuries they had, and now that assumption should go,
Speaker 2: I gotta avoid this one for the show, Chef.
Speaker 1: I don't want to do it. You don't want to
Speaker 1: do it, but I had to raise it. I'm glad
Speaker 1: you reminded me about Pittsburgh. I skipped right over it.
Speaker 1: We look, we've liked it all week, getting the hook.
Speaker 1: This numbers coming down. It's at three at a lot
Speaker 1: of places, two and a half at hard rock.
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, so big movement.
Speaker 1: It's pretty big. We're going to be on the Steelers
Speaker 1: here in the contest. That's that's a no brainer. It's
Speaker 1: it's you know, I've I think I skipped over it
Speaker 1: because I already listed it as one of our as
Speaker 1: one of our five.
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's crazy. Is a hard rock and another book
Speaker 2: are They are at minus two and a half, So
Speaker 2: that's that's a pretty big deal. I didn't think they'd
Speaker 2: come off the three, just because for me, if it
Speaker 2: feels like green Bay to the Masses is a much
Speaker 2: better team, right, they have much more talent. It's it's
Speaker 2: easy to believe in this team. Right. They're four to
Speaker 2: one on one number one team right now in the NFC,
Speaker 2: which is bizarre, but it's true. And Pittsburgh coming off
Speaker 2: that embarrassing loss last week. I am shocked that this
Speaker 2: number has moved as it has. I thought it would
Speaker 2: get back to three and a half, which is what
Speaker 2: we do have in our contest. But people know I
Speaker 2: plus three Pittsburgh. If you're forced to take the plus
Speaker 2: two and a half, that's the only you have. I
Speaker 2: don't hate it, but Chad knows. We always feel better
Speaker 2: on the three. Even though Lands on two. It feels
Speaker 2: like when Land's on the three, we want we want
Speaker 2: that three. So especially in this type of matchup that
Speaker 2: could easily come down to Green Bay last second field
Speaker 2: goal to win it, it just feels like gonna be
Speaker 2: a really close game, possibly the ugliest uniform matchups of
Speaker 2: the season. Wait until you see these tonight. People just
Speaker 2: gonna be brutal. That's the only other team I could
Speaker 2: think of, even though I only bet them at minus
Speaker 2: thirteen and a half. The Colts are an interesting play
Speaker 2: at minus fourteen and a half. No Simmons now for Tennessee,
Speaker 2: but taking them over the Steelers, I can't get there.
Speaker 2: So I just wanted to mention I am on the Colts.
Speaker 2: Do like the Colts, even if they're you know, minus
Speaker 2: fourteen and a half at your book, I still like
Speaker 2: the Colts, but yeah, for our contest is such a
Speaker 2: huge number, I feel way better at taking Pittsburgh the Giants.
Speaker 2: Those two last teams again are even the Patriots much
Speaker 2: more than the Colts of minus fourteen and a half.
Speaker 1: Oh, to me, the Patriots are in. It's really coming down.
Speaker 1: And if you're saying, if you're throwing Colts in all
Speaker 1: of a sudden, I'd go with Giants. Like to me,
Speaker 1: it's Houston plus one Denver minus three and a half.
Speaker 1: And by the way, Houston, we still like it at
Speaker 1: the current numbers two two and a half not an
Speaker 1: issue for us. No, Houston plus one Denver minus three
Speaker 1: and a half, which is what is available right now.
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh we're getting it at three and a half. We
Speaker 1: like it at three. Try to find the three wherever
Speaker 1: you are, even if it's to pay a little bit
Speaker 1: of the juice. New York Giants plus seven and a half,
Speaker 1: you definitely want to get that, and then New England
Speaker 1: minus six and a half. Be patient, there are I
Speaker 1: have seen a six and a half at a book,
Speaker 1: so it is good, and the juice is saying it's
Speaker 1: going that way, so just give it a it. It's
Speaker 1: gonna get to six and a half.
Speaker 2: That's five super quick. I mean last week we went
Speaker 2: won to one. The totals. Hit the under in that
Speaker 2: Bucks Lions game, obviously did not hit the under in
Speaker 2: that Dallas Washington game. People are looking for just gross
Speaker 2: unders again this week. The total in that Dallas game,
Speaker 2: I'm gona keep going back though it's fifty one and
Speaker 2: a half Dallas Denver. That feels like a fun under.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna hate myself two minutes into that game, Houston
Speaker 2: Texans forty nine ers totals forty one and a half,
Speaker 2: even when they're missing a piece of forty niners. I
Speaker 2: think both defenses are gonna be on the forefront here
Speaker 2: like this feels like a seventeen to ten, seventeen to
Speaker 2: thirteen type of game, just two defenses going at it
Speaker 2: this entire game. I really like that low total, and
Speaker 2: let's give the people one more under. That's just I
Speaker 2: don't know. We've already talked about Patriots, but I just
Speaker 2: don't see how the Browns score. Give me that under
Speaker 2: forty point five. It's I could just see the Patriots
Speaker 2: winning twenty to nothing or twenty to three like it
Speaker 2: just feels like a gross, booring game. Like Chad said,
Speaker 2: Cleveland can't running against them, but you can pass the ball.
Speaker 2: So I could see him getting out the early lead
Speaker 2: and just being a boring, sloppy game the rest of
Speaker 2: the way. So like a bunch of unders this week
Speaker 2: real quickly.
Speaker 1: Monday Night football Washington and Kansas City. Kansas City is
Speaker 1: an eleven and a half point favorite. It's ticked up
Speaker 1: a little bit. I know people get excited about betting
Speaker 1: these games. I'll tell you the one thing I've done
Speaker 1: with this game. I did a three team money line
Speaker 1: parlay of Kansas City, Atlanta and the Patriots just before
Speaker 1: you knew Kirk Cousins was coming in. Is Kirk Cousins.
Speaker 2: Kirk Cousins is the starter brother wow or. I don't
Speaker 2: know if it's been officially cleared, but it was like
Speaker 2: a chance. What was worded to me that Kirk is
Speaker 2: starting this week for Pennix and that number reflections it.
Speaker 2: It's down to minus six and a half at a couple
Speaker 2: of books. That Atlanta game.
Speaker 1: Either way, that's what I've played is the City is
Speaker 1: part of the money line parlay.
Speaker 2: I don't hate it. I talked to you a little
Speaker 2: bit about it. My favorite money line of any team
Speaker 2: is the Bills this week. So to me, Bills, Chiefs, Colts,
Speaker 2: whatever you want to do, get the number down. But yeah,
Speaker 2: like I I do like the do you like the
Speaker 2: big chalk this week? But yeah, it's uh, we know
Speaker 2: some upsets are gonna happen. We just me and chatter
Speaker 2: on the same boat. It's like, is Tua gonna beat Kirk? Is?
Speaker 1: Is?
Speaker 2: Uh? Is the Browns? Are they gonna upset the Patriots?
Speaker 2: Jackson Dark and win two in a row against the Eagles.
Speaker 2: It's like, I can't see it happening, but something's gonna happen, right,
Speaker 2: one of these teams have to do and I have
Speaker 2: to pull an upset off. So just be careful out
Speaker 2: there people, these type of bets.
Speaker 1: Be careful out there. Uh. I would say it's a
Speaker 1: great Hill Story Blues reference, but you don't know what
Speaker 1: that is. And Eve one hunder fifty doesn't know what
Speaker 1: that is.
Speaker 2: Hey, let's speak careful out.
Speaker 1: All right, one more time. Houston plus one, Patriots minus
Speaker 1: six and a half, Denver minus three and a half,
Speaker 1: Steelers plus three and a half. New York Football Giants
Speaker 1: last ones in plus seven and a half. This has
Speaker 1: been Sharper Square, part of the Volume podcast network. We
Speaker 1: will be back on Sharper Square seven thirty ish live
Speaker 1: tonight Sharper Square YouTube to recap all the misery and glory.
Speaker 1: Watcher listen on YouTube at sharper Square. Like this video,
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. Also download us with Spotify, Apple Pods,
Speaker 1: wherever you get your posit rate review, subscribe, leave us
Speaker 1: five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift.
Speaker 1: Until next time, Love you