WEBVTT - FINAL NFL Week 8 Bets: Cowboys-Broncos, Packers-Steelers, Giants-Eagles, Bills-Panthers, Bucs-Saints and more

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock bet. We

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<v Speaker 1>are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the

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<v Speaker 1>betting show that makes the square sharper and makes the

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<v Speaker 1>wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Melman. I am

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<v Speaker 1>joined by my co host, my bff, my companion, Mike

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<v Speaker 1>Campadre Professional Better, Simon Hunter et O Simon.

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<v Speaker 2>Good morning, Chad brother.

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<v Speaker 1>We got a lot of work to do today. This

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<v Speaker 1>is the Sunday episode Stripped down in the room eavesdropping

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<v Speaker 1>version of Sharper Square, which you and I will try

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<v Speaker 1>to nail down the final five picks. Now that injuries

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<v Speaker 1>have been reported, lines have been moving. Are you ready?

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<v Speaker 2>Let's do it all right?

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<v Speaker 1>These are the games we heard in on the other day,

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<v Speaker 1>Big big news here obviously addressing it off the top.

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<v Speaker 1>Chicago A. Baltimore. This was our big balls bet of

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<v Speaker 1>the week Baltimore minus six and a half. At the time,

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<v Speaker 1>we had an expectation Lamar Jackson was playing. This line

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<v Speaker 1>is now two and a half. How stupid can the

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<v Speaker 1>Ravens and John Harbaugh be because they happened to list

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<v Speaker 1>Lamar Jackson as a full participant in practice on Friday.

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<v Speaker 1>The lines immediately moved from six and a half to seven.

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<v Speaker 1>It's the news everybody who was paying attention to this

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<v Speaker 1>game had been waiting for. I know this.

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<v Speaker 2>He practiced today, full practice today, so that was good.

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<v Speaker 1>And then the news came out that Lamar Jackson practiced

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<v Speaker 1>with the third stringers, and then his status was changed

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<v Speaker 1>to out. And now the NFL is investigating how the

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<v Speaker 1>Ravens managed their injury report injury report news and sharing

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<v Speaker 1>of all the weeks to not tow the line with

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<v Speaker 1>injury reports and act like an arrogant idiot, this was

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<v Speaker 1>not the week to do it. Simon what a tone deaf,

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<v Speaker 1>stupid air again thing to do by John Harbott, and

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<v Speaker 1>I feel like this is the week of stupid, arrogant

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<v Speaker 1>things from NFL coaches. We'll get to that in a second,

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<v Speaker 1>but look, we're sticking with the Ravens at minus six

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<v Speaker 1>and a half. The line is now down. It went

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<v Speaker 1>to two, it's actually moved up to two and a half,

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<v Speaker 1>and there's actually some threes out there. We're not gonna

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<v Speaker 1>play this game. I just wanted to raise it so

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<v Speaker 1>people are aware of it since we had discussed it

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<v Speaker 1>a lot during the week. Thoughts from your point of view.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it stinks, but I think God not that they

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<v Speaker 2>listened to us, but they listen to general public. They're

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<v Speaker 2>not playing Cooper Rush. Who I know, it's a big deal.

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<v Speaker 2>They gave the guy seven million, but Chad, Chad thought

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<v Speaker 2>I was crazy. I'm telling you, like that was my

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<v Speaker 2>view on him. I'd much rather have Snoopuntley in there,

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<v Speaker 2>even how bad he could be. Snoop, It's like, anything's

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<v Speaker 2>better than Cooper Rush.

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<v Speaker 1>Like the fact that I don't think this is dead

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<v Speaker 1>for us, I honestly don't know.

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<v Speaker 2>So like on the mindset of I, we could mean

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<v Speaker 2>Chad could take Bear six and a half in their contest.

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<v Speaker 2>I have no interest of it. Bears have a really

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<v Speaker 2>banged up secondary, they have run injuries. It's still a

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<v Speaker 2>bad spot for the Bears. But yeah, as a Bears fan,

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<v Speaker 2>I'd be really happy right this is you're playing the

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<v Speaker 2>ravens el Lamar. You could just steal one, of course,

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<v Speaker 2>But to Chad's point, probably wouldn't be that big of

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<v Speaker 2>a deal if they had just been honest on Friday

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<v Speaker 2>saying he was limited in practice and the rather than

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<v Speaker 2>what Chad said, like them saying that he was full

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<v Speaker 2>go Lamar. It's a big no go. Like we talked about,

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<v Speaker 2>these these organizations, these teams, they need to realize this

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<v Speaker 2>isn't twenty twenty, this isn't twenty fifteen. Right, hardball in

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<v Speaker 2>twenty fifteen, if this would have happened, not a big deal,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe a very small fine. Your league, yourself, your owner,

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<v Speaker 2>your franchise, everyone is in bed with these gambly companies.

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<v Speaker 2>You cannot be doing this anymore. It's it's a new age.

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<v Speaker 2>So I'm with you, Chad. It's we could spend twenty

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<v Speaker 2>minutes about how stupid it is and all that is

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<v Speaker 2>wrong with it and manipulating lines. But like I always say,

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<v Speaker 2>the pros, who's got good sources and they took a

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<v Speaker 2>risk and they made a bet. They somehow were on

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<v Speaker 2>this with this Barrassne They were been at all week.

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<v Speaker 2>They just did not trust the news coming out about Lamar.

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<v Speaker 2>So youah, bad bad miss by me. But like I

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<v Speaker 2>just said, I'm still on this Ravens team. Still think

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<v Speaker 2>what that defense guys are getting back healthy Derrick Henry

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<v Speaker 2>with Snoopuntley and that run scheme they should be to

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<v Speaker 2>run the ball. So it's it's an interesting spot for

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<v Speaker 2>this Ravens team, then I must win. But yeah, sorry, guys,

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<v Speaker 2>we definitely messed up on that one.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to get to our rock in a hard place,

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<v Speaker 1>San Francisco at Houston. We've been on this all week. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>line moved up to two and a half. It's two

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<v Speaker 1>at hard Rock bet right now. Huge move on the game.

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<v Speaker 1>It was Texans minus one when you called it. As

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<v Speaker 1>Simon says on Tuesday, I think we're getting even better

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<v Speaker 1>number in the contest that we play with the Texans

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<v Speaker 1>as a dog either way, we've been on this game

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<v Speaker 1>forgetting about the contest. We're still on this game as

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<v Speaker 1>Texans are short favorites. The Niners are missing some key

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<v Speaker 1>players on a defense that cannot get pass rush. Bryce

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<v Speaker 1>Huff who had a great game last week sack for

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<v Speaker 1>his fumbles several tackles, will not be playing today. We're

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<v Speaker 1>going to be on the Texans no matter what the

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<v Speaker 1>number here.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, still playing the Texans, and we've talked about it.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a bet on their defense at home in this matchup,

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<v Speaker 2>and it's a bet on CJ without his number one,

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<v Speaker 2>number two receiver. He has a big deal. But like

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<v Speaker 2>Chad just mentioned, he's not going to have pressure in

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<v Speaker 2>his face. And we've seen with CJ has time, you

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<v Speaker 2>could give him no names. He made Nico Collins into

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<v Speaker 2>a name. So that's the thing with CJ. He can

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<v Speaker 2>take guys you haven't heard of, make it work as

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<v Speaker 2>long as he has time and he's comfortable. And yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>it's a great matchup. Like Chad said, we're also getting

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<v Speaker 2>an amazing number on this Texans team. So yeah, played

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<v Speaker 2>it all week. What is still taking in our contest?

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<v Speaker 2>Honestly for those minus two and a half, Like I

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<v Speaker 2>have no issue with betting this as long as under three,

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<v Speaker 2>we talk, this is going to be the pros rust shows.

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<v Speaker 2>The pros are all over it, the public is over

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<v Speaker 2>the forty nine ers, and yeah, we can't avoid this one,

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<v Speaker 2>especially the factor gets such a good line. So Houston's defense,

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<v Speaker 2>we need them to show up, give them major problems

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<v Speaker 2>once again. It's a banged up mac Jones. Come on,

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<v Speaker 2>take away mccaffor Houston defense. That's all you gotta do, That's.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, Dallas at Denver, Denver is minus three. At hard

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<v Speaker 1>Rock Bet it's three and a half most places. This

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<v Speaker 1>was Chad's choice when it was Denver minus three. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>the biggest fear here is Bonix against a zone defense.

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<v Speaker 1>And I have never in the years we've done this

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<v Speaker 1>show that Matt Iberflus has been someone that anyone ever

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<v Speaker 1>talked about as a Bears head coach and now is

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<v Speaker 1>the Cowboys defensive coordinator. I have never said this is

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<v Speaker 1>a problem for a quarterback against the Matt Eberflus defense,

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<v Speaker 1>because the guy is terrible at his job. But Bonix

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<v Speaker 1>is not very good against his own defense. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think that's what you're going to get from Dallas because

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<v Speaker 1>that's basically all you get from Dallas. So that is

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit of a fear here. But we continue

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<v Speaker 1>to be on the Broncos. Whether it's three or three

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<v Speaker 1>and a half, whatever you're getting, we are still going

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<v Speaker 1>to play the Broncos here. I just like the pressure

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<v Speaker 1>the Broncos can get against Dak and I think that

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<v Speaker 1>can be the game changer in this game.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, love Denver, and part of me is just I

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<v Speaker 2>was excited to see if all the stuff, all the

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<v Speaker 2>numbers are true that Dallas is a worst team on

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<v Speaker 2>the road, and you know, so far, we're here, we

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<v Speaker 2>are in Week eight, and it's proven out a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit right, They're lost Week one to the Eagles on

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<v Speaker 2>the road. Week three against Chicago. People probably remember they

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<v Speaker 2>lost thirty one to fourteen. Okay, can say I was

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<v Speaker 2>a fluky game. They had a bunch of injuries. Then

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<v Speaker 2>they beat the Jets on the road, and then they

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<v Speaker 2>lost the Panthers on the road. So they're one win

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<v Speaker 2>on the season on the road is against arguably the

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<v Speaker 2>worst team in football in the New York Jets. Chad

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<v Speaker 2>and I are both in the same belt. We have

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<v Speaker 2>high expectations for this Denver team. This should be the

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<v Speaker 2>best defense they've faced this season. It's not indoors, it's

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<v Speaker 2>not that controlled environment. Is going to be outdoors in

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<v Speaker 2>tough playing conditions. So yeah, I get what the general

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<v Speaker 2>public is coming on DAK. Right at the base, it's

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<v Speaker 2>pretty simple. You're getting plus three and a half with

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<v Speaker 2>DAK against bow Knicks. Me and Chad we love those

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<v Speaker 2>type of moments, those type of spots where it's people

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<v Speaker 2>think this number is too good to be true. I

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<v Speaker 2>still don't think this number is off by one or

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<v Speaker 2>two points. So I love that you're still get under four. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>obviously we were hoping for a minus three. It's it's

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<v Speaker 2>my star and a half. I have no problem betting

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<v Speaker 2>the hook with this Denver team. I love this matchup.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's talk about one that we've been debating all week.

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<v Speaker 1>Tampa Bay at New Orleans. New Orleans is plus three

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<v Speaker 1>and a half. You've loved it all week. The Wise

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<v Speaker 1>guys have loved it all week. Huge pros Joe's game,

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<v Speaker 1>majority of the money on the Saints, majority of the

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<v Speaker 1>bets on the Buccaneers. I have been trying to avoid

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<v Speaker 1>this game all week. I think the injury bug is

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<v Speaker 1>really starting to get in my head about the Buccaneers

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<v Speaker 1>and the fact we're still getting the hook at three

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<v Speaker 1>and a half on the Saints. Hassan Riddick is out

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<v Speaker 1>for the Bucks on the defensive side of the ball

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<v Speaker 1>at defensive end, Vida Vea is questionable. Luke Haggard on

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<v Speaker 1>the offensive line is out obviously, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin,

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<v Speaker 1>Bucky Irving out. This will this caught up with them

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<v Speaker 1>last week. Again, the Lions can to catch up with

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<v Speaker 1>them in a divisional game against a team that is

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<v Speaker 1>scrappy and competitive that the Wise guys love. I feel

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<v Speaker 1>like we're walking into it, but I also feel like

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<v Speaker 1>it's hard to avoid it right now.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the question is one of our five favorite bets.

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<v Speaker 2>That's gonna be the toughest one here. I've bet into it,

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<v Speaker 2>but like you said, I'm not betting it so much

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<v Speaker 2>with a ton of confidence on Spencer Ratler, Like this

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<v Speaker 2>does feel like the a game where Baker should bounce

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<v Speaker 2>back after such a poor performance, and we're asking a

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<v Speaker 2>lot Spencer rather needs to keep up with a Baker

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<v Speaker 2>run offense. So to me, you talked about the injuries.

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<v Speaker 2>That's that's why I'm so into backing this Saints team

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<v Speaker 2>where fully healthy bucks, you know, got all their weapons,

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<v Speaker 2>all their pieces on defense. They're not you know, hanging

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<v Speaker 2>on by rags here. Sure I could have got up

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<v Speaker 2>to four and a half five this team is. They're

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<v Speaker 2>currently constructed. They're not blowing teams out this year, like

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<v Speaker 2>we've already talked about that. They play close Games's just

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<v Speaker 2>who they are. Sometimes it takes Baker a little bit

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<v Speaker 2>to get going. So it's about the number, Like we're

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<v Speaker 2>getting a good number, like our contest, Chad knows it's

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<v Speaker 2>five and a half. That's a conversation, right, The best

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<v Speaker 2>number you can get right out any book is four

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<v Speaker 2>and a half. People want to shop around on the

0:10:48.040 --> 0:10:51.800
<v Speaker 2>Saints team. That's a huge key number, Like you're crossing

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<v Speaker 2>four there, that's a big deal. So I'm knowing people

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<v Speaker 2>know I'm on the Saints. Is gonna be one of

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<v Speaker 2>our five. We have a real conversation here because it's

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<v Speaker 2>a tough week with a lot of a lot of

0:11:02.559 --> 0:11:03.920
<v Speaker 2>games we don't love, and this is one of the

0:11:03.920 --> 0:11:07.200
<v Speaker 2>games I am bet into. I do like, so we

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<v Speaker 2>can talk about it, but I'm I'm not going to

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<v Speaker 2>force us to bet Baker against Baker twoeks in a row.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh Are you ready for our Rock in a Hard Place?

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<v Speaker 1>Cleveland at New England? New England is minus seven right

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<v Speaker 1>now at hard Rock Bet, and it is trending to

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<v Speaker 1>six and a half. So I want people to be

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<v Speaker 1>patient on this. You look at any book, it has

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<v Speaker 1>come down from seven and a half. It's come down

0:11:34.559 --> 0:11:37.640
<v Speaker 1>from seven. The juice looks like it's trending towards six

0:11:37.679 --> 0:11:42.720
<v Speaker 1>and a half. But this week, Our Rock and a

0:11:42.800 --> 0:11:47.520
<v Speaker 1>Hard Place better, the week presented by hard Rock Bed

0:11:47.720 --> 0:11:52.480
<v Speaker 1>is going to be Cleveland at New England. A lot

0:11:57.800 --> 0:12:00.240
<v Speaker 1>simon whether the number seven or six and a half,

0:12:02.679 --> 0:12:04.320
<v Speaker 1>We're going to be on New England here. I think

0:12:04.360 --> 0:12:07.760
<v Speaker 1>that's I've been thinking about this game all week. I

0:12:07.760 --> 0:12:11.880
<v Speaker 1>have not pulled the trigger on it. And this morning

0:12:11.920 --> 0:12:13.840
<v Speaker 1>I woke up and I'm like, what am I doing?

0:12:14.200 --> 0:12:17.400
<v Speaker 1>How am I not pulling the trigger against the Browns

0:12:17.400 --> 0:12:20.520
<v Speaker 1>defense that we know we like to bet when they're

0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:24.880
<v Speaker 1>a bet against, when they're on the road off of

0:12:24.920 --> 0:12:27.640
<v Speaker 1>a big win with a quarterback we don't believe in,

0:12:28.040 --> 0:12:31.680
<v Speaker 1>against a team whose strength is throwing the ball down field,

0:12:31.720 --> 0:12:34.439
<v Speaker 1>and that happens to be maybe the one if you

0:12:34.480 --> 0:12:37.600
<v Speaker 1>could call it weakness for this Cleveland Browns defense.

0:12:39.360 --> 0:12:41.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and we already talked about it all week that

0:12:42.480 --> 0:12:44.360
<v Speaker 2>you know we could get usually get burned by this one.

0:12:44.559 --> 0:12:46.400
<v Speaker 2>We have been on the other side of this bet

0:12:46.760 --> 0:12:49.839
<v Speaker 2>for a long time. But it's like we always said,

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:53.320
<v Speaker 2>it's a new dawn, a new age, trying to lean

0:12:53.360 --> 0:12:56.640
<v Speaker 2>into it and take these really really public sides and

0:12:56.760 --> 0:13:01.840
<v Speaker 2>spots that feel icky for the little growth. But I

0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:04.160
<v Speaker 2>can't get I can't get by what Chad just talked about,

0:13:04.200 --> 0:13:08.080
<v Speaker 2>Like this just feels like a horrible, horrible situation for

0:13:08.120 --> 0:13:11.160
<v Speaker 2>this Cleveland team with their quarterback. They currently have just

0:13:11.200 --> 0:13:13.360
<v Speaker 2>a bad matchup, Like this is the exact type of

0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:16.200
<v Speaker 2>match of Rabel should have actually dominate a team. Right,

0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:19.040
<v Speaker 2>there's rookies on the road after what they went by

0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:21.800
<v Speaker 2>twenty points last week. I mean, I can't even imagine

0:13:21.800 --> 0:13:24.120
<v Speaker 2>what their practices were like this week and their reps

0:13:24.200 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 2>about how just a team like Cleveland, I don't think

0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:28.760
<v Speaker 2>they know how to handle success. This is a team

0:13:28.800 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 2>that you know, we heard that stat multiple times last week.

0:13:31.640 --> 0:13:34.080
<v Speaker 2>They didn't scored more than eighteen points in like two years,

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:37.400
<v Speaker 2>Like they're just it's just a bad franchise. So that

0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:39.200
<v Speaker 2>could have been a jumping off point, right, we could

0:13:39.200 --> 0:13:41.079
<v Speaker 2>be ste walking into We're back in a team here

0:13:41.120 --> 0:13:45.080
<v Speaker 2>that Patriots have covered in won four straight games after

0:13:45.120 --> 0:13:47.640
<v Speaker 2>a long road trip, now coming back home, how does

0:13:47.679 --> 0:13:51.120
<v Speaker 2>a young team handle that? Like me and Chack keep saying,

0:13:52.160 --> 0:13:54.600
<v Speaker 2>And luckily we've been avoiding betting against him and for

0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:57.120
<v Speaker 2>the most part in our contest because it's verybel and

0:13:57.280 --> 0:13:58.800
<v Speaker 2>at the end of the day is great as may

0:13:58.840 --> 0:14:02.200
<v Speaker 2>has been. This just feels like a vrable bet Arabel

0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:05.520
<v Speaker 2>spot once again. So yeah, in our contest, we can

0:14:05.640 --> 0:14:08.120
<v Speaker 2>get minus six and a half. They know what they're doing,

0:14:08.240 --> 0:14:10.080
<v Speaker 2>they knew they ascuse they gave us that line, we're

0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:12.600
<v Speaker 2>gonna get me on it. So, like Chad said, be patient,

0:14:12.640 --> 0:14:14.640
<v Speaker 2>I'm already seeing two books pop six and a half

0:14:14.720 --> 0:14:17.880
<v Speaker 2>right now. So professionals, they're gonna be on the Browns.

0:14:18.000 --> 0:14:20.000
<v Speaker 2>Hopefully they bet this down and they give us a

0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 2>better line. But yeah, love the Patriots here all right.

0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:25.960
<v Speaker 1>So we know we're going to be on Houston, Denver, Pittsburgh,

0:14:26.040 --> 0:14:31.080
<v Speaker 1>New England. We're looking for our fifth right now. New Orleans,

0:14:31.080 --> 0:14:35.760
<v Speaker 1>Tampa Bay is on the outside looking in. Let's talk

0:14:35.800 --> 0:14:41.400
<v Speaker 1>about the New York Giants seven point dogs at Philadelphia

0:14:41.520 --> 0:14:43.760
<v Speaker 1>right now the numbers come down, there's still seven and

0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:46.720
<v Speaker 1>a half's out there. Yeah, people should be looking for

0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:49.880
<v Speaker 1>the seven and a half. The Eagles without AJ Brown,

0:14:50.480 --> 0:14:50.920
<v Speaker 1>hard Roud.

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:53.240
<v Speaker 2>It is the only book here in Jersey at seven right.

0:14:53.080 --> 0:14:56.520
<v Speaker 1>Now, right without Dory Jackson, card Rock, Yeah, very sharp.

0:14:57.200 --> 0:15:00.240
<v Speaker 1>AJ Brown is out a Dory Jackson cornerback out, Cam

0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:04.520
<v Speaker 1>Jurgen center out, Azizo Jilari defensive end out all for

0:15:04.600 --> 0:15:11.000
<v Speaker 1>the Eagles. Like I mentioned this on Thursday, the Giants

0:15:12.080 --> 0:15:18.360
<v Speaker 1>relatively healthy. Brian Burns was questionable, But this feels like

0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:22.200
<v Speaker 1>the kind of game where we probably need to be

0:15:22.280 --> 0:15:24.000
<v Speaker 1>on the Giants. If we're getting that hook.

0:15:25.880 --> 0:15:28.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it feels a type of gross game that would

0:15:28.320 --> 0:15:31.240
<v Speaker 2>just be sloppy and close, and it's a huge, huge number.

0:15:31.280 --> 0:15:34.440
<v Speaker 2>Like we said this, the books are in a tough

0:15:34.480 --> 0:15:37.440
<v Speaker 2>spot because two weeks ago on the road, they had

0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:39.840
<v Speaker 2>the Eagles as what was this seven and a half

0:15:39.840 --> 0:15:43.920
<v Speaker 2>point favorite, So in their mind they've already moved in

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:48.400
<v Speaker 2>the line a lot, including those injuries and the perception

0:15:48.480 --> 0:15:51.560
<v Speaker 2>of this Giants team. But we've talked about, like since

0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:54.680
<v Speaker 2>starts taking over, it just feels like the books haven't

0:15:54.680 --> 0:15:57.880
<v Speaker 2>priced are right. And I admitted I definitely got away

0:15:57.920 --> 0:16:02.360
<v Speaker 2>with one with that Giants because my whole view was, well,

0:16:02.400 --> 0:16:04.280
<v Speaker 2>let's see how this Shiints team handles a big win

0:16:04.400 --> 0:16:06.960
<v Speaker 2>now going on the road with a rookie quarterback and

0:16:07.000 --> 0:16:10.040
<v Speaker 2>what happened? They had five turnovers? So yep, you know

0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:14.120
<v Speaker 2>it's not the most ideal conditions, right, This isn't the

0:16:14.160 --> 0:16:16.000
<v Speaker 2>best spot ever with this Giants team. But I still

0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:17.960
<v Speaker 2>think this is an insane number. And the Eagles are

0:16:18.000 --> 0:16:21.040
<v Speaker 2>being priced as a five and two Super Bowl defending

0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:24.200
<v Speaker 2>champ that has been rolling along dominating teams this season.

0:16:24.280 --> 0:16:26.160
<v Speaker 2>Where we talked to one tonight, they have like I

0:16:26.160 --> 0:16:28.160
<v Speaker 2>think a plus five point differential. This is not a

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:31.000
<v Speaker 2>juggernaut of an Eagles team. This is a team that

0:16:31.000 --> 0:16:34.840
<v Speaker 2>can't close teams out. A team that last week. I mean,

0:16:34.840 --> 0:16:36.880
<v Speaker 2>how lucky do you have to be to cover that

0:16:37.000 --> 0:16:39.040
<v Speaker 2>number if you had the Eagles ticket last week? I

0:16:39.080 --> 0:16:41.800
<v Speaker 2>mean the Vikings who are not good like we saw

0:16:41.880 --> 0:16:44.600
<v Speaker 2>on Thursday, wentz win one to five in the red zone.

0:16:44.600 --> 0:16:46.720
<v Speaker 2>If he had just scored one of those, yeah, Pakasin

0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:49.000
<v Speaker 2>didn't drop the one, they get to cover maybe the win.

0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:53.280
<v Speaker 2>So just feels like an Eagles team that's overpriced. Yeah,

0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:55.720
<v Speaker 2>can Saquon get right here with the run game? Which

0:16:55.760 --> 0:16:59.120
<v Speaker 2>is there dying to do? Possibly? But like Chad just said,

0:16:59.160 --> 0:17:01.960
<v Speaker 2>the interior line's those team has just banged up, tons

0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:05.199
<v Speaker 2>of injuries, guys not missing, including their center. Just too

0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:07.920
<v Speaker 2>much to ask go yeah plus seven plus seven and

0:17:07.960 --> 0:17:10.639
<v Speaker 2>a half. I've come a long way on this giant

0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:12.240
<v Speaker 2>sid I start to really like this number.

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:15.840
<v Speaker 1>Today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor,

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0:17:30.920 --> 0:17:36.000
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0:17:36.080 --> 0:17:39.520
<v Speaker 1>have lost fifteen in a row. Is underdogs against the

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<v Speaker 1>AFC East. The Giants have gone twelve games without a

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0:18:58.760 --> 0:19:03.120
<v Speaker 1>New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Last one. I just want

0:19:03.160 --> 0:19:06.840
<v Speaker 1>to raise it quickly. Jets at Cincinnati, it's six at

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:11.080
<v Speaker 1>hard Rock, six and a half. Basically everywhere else we're

0:19:11.080 --> 0:19:14.840
<v Speaker 1>going to book in with arrogant, defensive, insecure coaches right

0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:18.879
<v Speaker 1>now because Aaron Glenn reached peak I know better, frustrated

0:19:18.920 --> 0:19:21.359
<v Speaker 1>coach and oppressor the other day when he would not

0:19:21.760 --> 0:19:27.400
<v Speaker 1>answer questions about the quarterback. And now we know Tyrad

0:19:27.440 --> 0:19:29.199
<v Speaker 1>Taylor is out with a brus knee and it's going

0:19:29.280 --> 0:19:31.600
<v Speaker 1>to be up to justin fields. The Jets are the

0:19:31.680 --> 0:19:37.480
<v Speaker 1>right side here. Everybody knows it. I have no compunction

0:19:38.119 --> 0:19:41.520
<v Speaker 1>to put into the contest, but we need a fifth

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:44.440
<v Speaker 1>and it's the sharpest number that's out there. I mean, honestly,

0:19:44.680 --> 0:19:47.560
<v Speaker 1>it is like there's no rating that has the Bengals

0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:50.800
<v Speaker 1>a six and a half point better than the Jets.

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:55.080
<v Speaker 1>This is a public perception pros Joe's game, and we

0:19:55.160 --> 0:20:00.760
<v Speaker 1>see that because the number is inching towards six. Do

0:20:00.840 --> 0:20:01.600
<v Speaker 1>we want to risk it?

0:20:02.280 --> 0:20:04.200
<v Speaker 2>I can't tell if you're trying to do us a favor.

0:20:04.240 --> 0:20:08.120
<v Speaker 2>You just forgot that Pittsburgh has a game on Sunday night.

0:20:08.800 --> 0:20:09.440
<v Speaker 1>Oh my god.

0:20:10.680 --> 0:20:14.480
<v Speaker 2>But I do love your your belief in this Jets team.

0:20:14.560 --> 0:20:15.919
<v Speaker 2>I think at the end of the show you use

0:20:16.000 --> 0:20:20.600
<v Speaker 2>them as your Sharper square bet, which was very funny. Yeah,

0:20:20.760 --> 0:20:23.000
<v Speaker 2>I don't know. Like Jed said, it's probably right, We're

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:25.680
<v Speaker 2>probably supposed to do it, but I'm not going to

0:20:25.720 --> 0:20:28.679
<v Speaker 2>make our listeners bet this side. Like we gave up

0:20:28.680 --> 0:20:30.760
<v Speaker 2>their money line, which was great value. We got a

0:20:30.800 --> 0:20:34.679
<v Speaker 2>really good number on that, and yeah, like if it

0:20:34.720 --> 0:20:36.960
<v Speaker 2>was seven and a half, I could probably be talked

0:20:36.960 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 2>into it. But it's six and a half. I know

0:20:39.359 --> 0:20:43.960
<v Speaker 2>it's a sharp number. I just between the Sauce Cordner,

0:20:44.000 --> 0:20:46.800
<v Speaker 2>all the injuries they had, and now that assumption should go,

0:20:47.880 --> 0:20:49.720
<v Speaker 2>I gotta avoid this one for the show, Chef.

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:51.439
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to do it. You don't want to

0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:53.280
<v Speaker 1>do it, but I had to raise it. I'm glad

0:20:53.320 --> 0:20:55.600
<v Speaker 1>you reminded me about Pittsburgh. I skipped right over it.

0:20:56.400 --> 0:20:59.000
<v Speaker 1>We look, we've liked it all week, getting the hook.

0:20:59.080 --> 0:21:01.280
<v Speaker 1>This numbers coming down. It's at three at a lot

0:21:01.280 --> 0:21:03.000
<v Speaker 1>of places, two and a half at hard rock.

0:21:03.720 --> 0:21:05.639
<v Speaker 2>Okay, yeah, so big movement.

0:21:05.920 --> 0:21:08.800
<v Speaker 1>It's pretty big. We're going to be on the Steelers

0:21:08.800 --> 0:21:12.080
<v Speaker 1>here in the contest. That's that's a no brainer. It's

0:21:12.160 --> 0:21:14.520
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, I've I think I skipped over it

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:16.439
<v Speaker 1>because I already listed it as one of our as

0:21:16.480 --> 0:21:17.200
<v Speaker 1>one of our five.

0:21:18.640 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's crazy. Is a hard rock and another book

0:21:20.960 --> 0:21:22.840
<v Speaker 2>are They are at minus two and a half, So

0:21:22.880 --> 0:21:25.000
<v Speaker 2>that's that's a pretty big deal. I didn't think they'd

0:21:25.000 --> 0:21:30.199
<v Speaker 2>come off the three, just because for me, if it

0:21:30.280 --> 0:21:33.720
<v Speaker 2>feels like green Bay to the Masses is a much

0:21:33.720 --> 0:21:37.640
<v Speaker 2>better team, right, they have much more talent. It's it's

0:21:37.680 --> 0:21:39.840
<v Speaker 2>easy to believe in this team. Right. They're four to

0:21:39.840 --> 0:21:42.240
<v Speaker 2>one on one number one team right now in the NFC,

0:21:42.640 --> 0:21:45.920
<v Speaker 2>which is bizarre, but it's true. And Pittsburgh coming off

0:21:45.920 --> 0:21:49.320
<v Speaker 2>that embarrassing loss last week. I am shocked that this

0:21:49.400 --> 0:21:51.200
<v Speaker 2>number has moved as it has. I thought it would

0:21:51.200 --> 0:21:53.000
<v Speaker 2>get back to three and a half, which is what

0:21:53.080 --> 0:21:55.359
<v Speaker 2>we do have in our contest. But people know I

0:21:55.600 --> 0:21:58.960
<v Speaker 2>plus three Pittsburgh. If you're forced to take the plus

0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:01.919
<v Speaker 2>two and a half, that's the only you have. I

0:22:01.960 --> 0:22:04.880
<v Speaker 2>don't hate it, but Chad knows. We always feel better

0:22:04.920 --> 0:22:06.640
<v Speaker 2>on the three. Even though Lands on two. It feels

0:22:06.640 --> 0:22:09.640
<v Speaker 2>like when Land's on the three, we want we want

0:22:09.680 --> 0:22:12.040
<v Speaker 2>that three. So especially in this type of matchup that

0:22:12.640 --> 0:22:15.680
<v Speaker 2>could easily come down to Green Bay last second field

0:22:15.680 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 2>goal to win it, it just feels like gonna be

0:22:18.240 --> 0:22:22.680
<v Speaker 2>a really close game, possibly the ugliest uniform matchups of

0:22:22.720 --> 0:22:25.600
<v Speaker 2>the season. Wait until you see these tonight. People just

0:22:25.640 --> 0:22:28.720
<v Speaker 2>gonna be brutal. That's the only other team I could

0:22:28.720 --> 0:22:31.800
<v Speaker 2>think of, even though I only bet them at minus

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:34.680
<v Speaker 2>thirteen and a half. The Colts are an interesting play

0:22:34.880 --> 0:22:39.440
<v Speaker 2>at minus fourteen and a half. No Simmons now for Tennessee,

0:22:39.880 --> 0:22:42.840
<v Speaker 2>but taking them over the Steelers, I can't get there.

0:22:42.880 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 2>So I just wanted to mention I am on the Colts.

0:22:45.280 --> 0:22:47.640
<v Speaker 2>Do like the Colts, even if they're you know, minus

0:22:47.680 --> 0:22:50.600
<v Speaker 2>fourteen and a half at your book, I still like

0:22:50.640 --> 0:22:54.639
<v Speaker 2>the Colts, but yeah, for our contest is such a

0:22:54.760 --> 0:22:58.720
<v Speaker 2>huge number, I feel way better at taking Pittsburgh the Giants.

0:22:59.240 --> 0:23:02.359
<v Speaker 2>Those two last teams again are even the Patriots much

0:23:02.400 --> 0:23:04.480
<v Speaker 2>more than the Colts of minus fourteen and a half.

0:23:04.520 --> 0:23:08.200
<v Speaker 1>Oh, to me, the Patriots are in. It's really coming down.

0:23:08.320 --> 0:23:10.199
<v Speaker 1>And if you're saying, if you're throwing Colts in all

0:23:10.240 --> 0:23:13.679
<v Speaker 1>of a sudden, I'd go with Giants. Like to me,

0:23:13.760 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 1>it's Houston plus one Denver minus three and a half.

0:23:17.840 --> 0:23:19.960
<v Speaker 1>And by the way, Houston, we still like it at

0:23:19.960 --> 0:23:23.119
<v Speaker 1>the current numbers two two and a half not an

0:23:23.160 --> 0:23:29.960
<v Speaker 1>issue for us. No, Houston plus one Denver minus three

0:23:30.040 --> 0:23:32.480
<v Speaker 1>and a half, which is what is available right now.

0:23:33.240 --> 0:23:36.280
<v Speaker 1>Pittsburgh we're getting it at three and a half. We

0:23:36.520 --> 0:23:39.440
<v Speaker 1>like it at three. Try to find the three wherever

0:23:39.480 --> 0:23:40.959
<v Speaker 1>you are, even if it's to pay a little bit

0:23:41.000 --> 0:23:45.439
<v Speaker 1>of the juice. New York Giants plus seven and a half,

0:23:45.480 --> 0:23:48.320
<v Speaker 1>you definitely want to get that, and then New England

0:23:48.400 --> 0:23:51.600
<v Speaker 1>minus six and a half. Be patient, there are I

0:23:51.640 --> 0:23:54.840
<v Speaker 1>have seen a six and a half at a book,

0:23:55.320 --> 0:23:57.800
<v Speaker 1>so it is good, and the juice is saying it's

0:23:57.840 --> 0:24:00.560
<v Speaker 1>going that way, so just give it a it. It's

0:24:00.600 --> 0:24:01.840
<v Speaker 1>gonna get to six and a half.

0:24:02.800 --> 0:24:06.159
<v Speaker 2>That's five super quick. I mean last week we went

0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:08.520
<v Speaker 2>won to one. The totals. Hit the under in that

0:24:09.080 --> 0:24:11.720
<v Speaker 2>Bucks Lions game, obviously did not hit the under in

0:24:11.720 --> 0:24:15.200
<v Speaker 2>that Dallas Washington game. People are looking for just gross

0:24:15.280 --> 0:24:19.639
<v Speaker 2>unders again this week. The total in that Dallas game,

0:24:19.640 --> 0:24:21.399
<v Speaker 2>I'm gona keep going back though it's fifty one and

0:24:21.400 --> 0:24:24.320
<v Speaker 2>a half Dallas Denver. That feels like a fun under.

0:24:24.600 --> 0:24:29.119
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna hate myself two minutes into that game, Houston

0:24:29.160 --> 0:24:32.560
<v Speaker 2>Texans forty nine ers totals forty one and a half,

0:24:33.119 --> 0:24:34.760
<v Speaker 2>even when they're missing a piece of forty niners. I

0:24:34.840 --> 0:24:37.720
<v Speaker 2>think both defenses are gonna be on the forefront here

0:24:37.720 --> 0:24:40.879
<v Speaker 2>like this feels like a seventeen to ten, seventeen to

0:24:40.920 --> 0:24:45.080
<v Speaker 2>thirteen type of game, just two defenses going at it

0:24:45.160 --> 0:24:48.160
<v Speaker 2>this entire game. I really like that low total, and

0:24:48.440 --> 0:24:52.359
<v Speaker 2>let's give the people one more under. That's just I

0:24:52.400 --> 0:24:54.800
<v Speaker 2>don't know. We've already talked about Patriots, but I just

0:24:54.840 --> 0:24:57.160
<v Speaker 2>don't see how the Browns score. Give me that under

0:24:57.520 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 2>forty point five. It's I could just see the Patriots

0:25:01.560 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 2>winning twenty to nothing or twenty to three like it

0:25:03.640 --> 0:25:06.520
<v Speaker 2>just feels like a gross, booring game. Like Chad said,

0:25:07.000 --> 0:25:09.359
<v Speaker 2>Cleveland can't running against them, but you can pass the ball.

0:25:09.560 --> 0:25:11.760
<v Speaker 2>So I could see him getting out the early lead

0:25:11.800 --> 0:25:13.600
<v Speaker 2>and just being a boring, sloppy game the rest of

0:25:13.640 --> 0:25:16.040
<v Speaker 2>the way. So like a bunch of unders this week

0:25:16.720 --> 0:25:17.359
<v Speaker 2>real quickly.

0:25:17.440 --> 0:25:21.280
<v Speaker 1>Monday Night football Washington and Kansas City. Kansas City is

0:25:21.280 --> 0:25:23.879
<v Speaker 1>an eleven and a half point favorite. It's ticked up

0:25:23.920 --> 0:25:26.879
<v Speaker 1>a little bit. I know people get excited about betting

0:25:26.920 --> 0:25:29.000
<v Speaker 1>these games. I'll tell you the one thing I've done

0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:33.440
<v Speaker 1>with this game. I did a three team money line

0:25:33.520 --> 0:25:46.440
<v Speaker 1>parlay of Kansas City, Atlanta and the Patriots just before

0:25:46.440 --> 0:25:50.960
<v Speaker 1>you knew Kirk Cousins was coming in. Is Kirk Cousins.

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:54.960
<v Speaker 2>Kirk Cousins is the starter brother wow or. I don't

0:25:54.960 --> 0:25:58.960
<v Speaker 2>know if it's been officially cleared, but it was like

0:25:58.960 --> 0:26:02.800
<v Speaker 2>a chance. What was worded to me that Kirk is

0:26:02.840 --> 0:26:06.199
<v Speaker 2>starting this week for Pennix and that number reflections it.

0:26:06.200 --> 0:26:07.920
<v Speaker 2>It's down to minus six and a half at a couple

0:26:07.920 --> 0:26:10.000
<v Speaker 2>of books. That Atlanta game.

0:26:10.800 --> 0:26:13.639
<v Speaker 1>Either way, that's what I've played is the City is

0:26:13.680 --> 0:26:14.920
<v Speaker 1>part of the money line parlay.

0:26:15.320 --> 0:26:17.280
<v Speaker 2>I don't hate it. I talked to you a little

0:26:17.280 --> 0:26:19.000
<v Speaker 2>bit about it. My favorite money line of any team

0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:22.720
<v Speaker 2>is the Bills this week. So to me, Bills, Chiefs, Colts,

0:26:22.720 --> 0:26:26.440
<v Speaker 2>whatever you want to do, get the number down. But yeah,

0:26:26.600 --> 0:26:29.159
<v Speaker 2>like I I do like the do you like the

0:26:29.160 --> 0:26:32.119
<v Speaker 2>big chalk this week? But yeah, it's uh, we know

0:26:32.200 --> 0:26:34.200
<v Speaker 2>some upsets are gonna happen. We just me and chatter

0:26:34.200 --> 0:26:37.760
<v Speaker 2>on the same boat. It's like, is Tua gonna beat Kirk? Is?

0:26:37.760 --> 0:26:37.920
<v Speaker 1>Is?

0:26:38.000 --> 0:26:41.120
<v Speaker 2>Uh? Is the Browns? Are they gonna upset the Patriots?

0:26:41.160 --> 0:26:43.199
<v Speaker 2>Jackson Dark and win two in a row against the Eagles.

0:26:43.200 --> 0:26:47.480
<v Speaker 2>It's like, I can't see it happening, but something's gonna happen, right,

0:26:47.480 --> 0:26:48.840
<v Speaker 2>one of these teams have to do and I have

0:26:48.880 --> 0:26:51.160
<v Speaker 2>to pull an upset off. So just be careful out

0:26:51.160 --> 0:26:52.600
<v Speaker 2>there people, these type of bets.

0:26:52.920 --> 0:26:57.240
<v Speaker 1>Be careful out there. Uh. I would say it's a

0:26:57.280 --> 0:26:59.199
<v Speaker 1>great Hill Story Blues reference, but you don't know what

0:26:59.280 --> 0:27:01.240
<v Speaker 1>that is. And Eve one hunder fifty doesn't know what

0:27:01.280 --> 0:27:01.560
<v Speaker 1>that is.

0:27:01.840 --> 0:27:05.359
<v Speaker 2>Hey, let's speak careful out.

0:27:06.840 --> 0:27:11.440
<v Speaker 1>All right, one more time. Houston plus one, Patriots minus

0:27:11.640 --> 0:27:15.639
<v Speaker 1>six and a half, Denver minus three and a half,

0:27:16.040 --> 0:27:20.920
<v Speaker 1>Steelers plus three and a half. New York Football Giants

0:27:21.320 --> 0:27:27.040
<v Speaker 1>last ones in plus seven and a half. This has

0:27:27.080 --> 0:27:31.000
<v Speaker 1>been Sharper Square, part of the Volume podcast network. We

0:27:31.080 --> 0:27:34.879
<v Speaker 1>will be back on Sharper Square seven thirty ish live

0:27:35.640 --> 0:27:38.800
<v Speaker 1>tonight Sharper Square YouTube to recap all the misery and glory.

0:27:39.840 --> 0:27:42.280
<v Speaker 1>Watcher listen on YouTube at sharper Square. Like this video,

0:27:42.320 --> 0:27:45.440
<v Speaker 1>subscribe to the channel. Also download us with Spotify, Apple Pods,

0:27:45.440 --> 0:27:47.760
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0:27:47.760 --> 0:27:50.040
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0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:51.800
<v Speaker 1>Until next time, Love you