1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: This is Alec Baldwin and you're listening to Here's the thing. 2 00:00:04,240 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but I never read the 3 00:00:06,720 --> 00:00:09,800 Speaker 1: business pages of a newspaper before I was forty five. 4 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: Then something changed My interest in banking, financial markets, technology 5 00:00:15,760 --> 00:00:18,959 Speaker 1: and its effects on our lives. My whole view of 6 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 1: the role of economics shifted. Today it's the first section 7 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:25,080 Speaker 1: I go to in my own case, It's the New 8 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: York Times because I have questions, lots of questions. Roughly 9 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:33,519 Speaker 1: three years along from the economic meltdown that still affects 10 00:00:33,560 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 1: us all, I made a call to Dr Joseph Stiglitz 11 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: at Columbia University. Dr stiglets is a rare contradiction, a 12 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 1: Nobel Prize winning economist who speaks in plain English. He's 13 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 1: a renowned expert on taxation, trade, and development who would 14 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 1: also be good company at a ballgame. Presidents continually turned 15 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: to him for guidance. Under Clinton, he chaired the Council 16 00:00:57,640 --> 00:01:03,400 Speaker 1: of Economic Advisors from five but he shows no restraint 17 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 1: when unleashing criticism of their policies. Of President Obama's financial 18 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:11,959 Speaker 1: rescue plan, Stigletz said that whomever designed it was quote 19 00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:15,760 Speaker 1: either in the pocket of the banks or incompetent unquote. 20 00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 1: Stiglets was the chief economist at the World Bank for 21 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 1: three years until January two thousand, when he resigned in 22 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 1: protest over the bank's policies. He wanted more transparency at 23 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: the Bank and felt that the money doled out shouldn't 24 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: have so many strings attached. Joseph Stigletz gets around. He's 25 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:37,800 Speaker 1: lectured all over the world and taught at Yale, Stanford, Duke, Oxford, 26 00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:41,120 Speaker 1: and Princeton. I met him at his office at Columbia University, 27 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: where he's taught since two thousand and coming here today, 28 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 1: I was reminded of why they have orientation weeks at colleges, 29 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: where you spend the first week just finding where all 30 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: your classes are. It was like an assure print getting 31 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: here to your office today. With Stiglets, you're in no 32 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:00,120 Speaker 1: need of an orientation, even if you're talking about the 33 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:03,440 Speaker 1: financial crisis. Joseph Stiglitz calls them like he sees them. 34 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:08,840 Speaker 1: Where both Bush and Obama made a fundamental mistake is 35 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 1: they didn't distinguish between saving the banks and saving the 36 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 1: bankers and the bank's shareholders and bondholders. It was both 37 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 1: an economic and I think a political mistake, because what 38 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:32,519 Speaker 1: Americans saw was that hundreds of billions of dollars were 39 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 1: going into save the bankers, their shareholders, and their bondholders 40 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 1: without any constraint on how that money was going to 41 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 1: be used, paid out in dividends, paid out in bonuses. 42 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,640 Speaker 1: Do you think that because of the urgency, do you 43 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:52,360 Speaker 1: forgive them and say there wasn't time where they should 44 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 1: have known that there should be less discretion for the 45 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:57,079 Speaker 1: banks to distribute the money as they saw fit. I 46 00:02:57,120 --> 00:03:00,239 Speaker 1: think there was no excuse for what they did. The 47 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: UK did a much better job in terms of playing 48 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: by the rules of the game after we did. They 49 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:10,079 Speaker 1: did it roughly at the same time, and either there's 50 00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 1: a fundamentally different mindset about investment banking over there. What 51 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 1: was quite remarkable is that in the UK banking was 52 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:20,920 Speaker 1: even more important than it was in the United States, 53 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 1: but the government there had a greater sensitivity about what 54 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:30,080 Speaker 1: needed to be done, so their view was just like 55 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 1: in the United States. The argument was we needed to 56 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:37,160 Speaker 1: keep the flow of money lending going if we're going 57 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 1: to keep the economy. And that was what was so 58 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 1: absurd about what both the Bush and Obroma administrations did. 59 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:49,760 Speaker 1: They gave money to the banks to recapitalized, to lend, 60 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:51,800 Speaker 1: but then they said, by the way, you don't have 61 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 1: to use that money to recapitalize and land. You can 62 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 1: use that money to pay dividends or to pay bonuses. 63 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 1: The question is was there something else they could have done? 64 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 1: There were many other things they could have done. One 65 00:04:06,560 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: of the things they could have done is in giving 66 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 1: money to the banks, they could have said, you have 67 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 1: to continue lending, especially to small and medium sized enterprises, 68 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 1: and not use the money to pay out bonuses or 69 00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:21,960 Speaker 1: to pay dividings. The second thing they could have done, 70 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:23,919 Speaker 1: the banks would have done a response to that, what 71 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:26,919 Speaker 1: would they have said? I think the banks had no choices. 72 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 1: What prevented them from going to the banks and saying, 73 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: we're going to give you seven hundred billion dollars or 74 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:34,159 Speaker 1: whatever the figure was initially, and we're gonna give you 75 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:37,720 Speaker 1: this money and you are forbidden from using more than 76 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:41,640 Speaker 1: a certain percentage of it for distribution in bonuses and 77 00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:45,480 Speaker 1: in shareholder dividends. Why don't you think they did that? 78 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:51,960 Speaker 1: Very simple politics? Uh, they got a lot of money, 79 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:54,600 Speaker 1: and who do you think was the person that was 80 00:04:54,600 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 1: was it Paulson? Was the one who was telling when 81 00:04:56,600 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 1: your estimation, well, I unrestricted money. I think it was 82 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: a broad consensus between Paulson, Bernanke, and Geitner, who was 83 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:11,400 Speaker 1: the head of the New York fat which was playing 84 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 1: a pivotal role because it was the big banks in 85 00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: New York were still in Bush's term and it's the 86 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 1: first bailout, and Bernanke and Geitner are predisposed to this 87 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:24,359 Speaker 1: as well. Exactly why do you think why? I think 88 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 1: they panicked, and I think they brought into the mindset 89 00:05:30,560 --> 00:05:33,919 Speaker 1: and the arguments of the banks. Not a surprise that 90 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 1: the bankers tried to instill fear. But how does someone 91 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:41,360 Speaker 1: instill fear? How do bankers to say, if you don't 92 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 1: give us this money unrestricted, this is what's going to happen. 93 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 1: What's going to happen? The fear, I think was that 94 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,599 Speaker 1: the banks would never be able to get private money, 95 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 1: people would leave banking. Now, to me, it was pretty 96 00:05:57,320 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 1: clear where the bankers going to go, especially as the 97 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:04,840 Speaker 1: economy goes into a downturn. It wasn't as if there 98 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:07,360 Speaker 1: was a lot of offers for these guys who have 99 00:06:07,440 --> 00:06:11,360 Speaker 1: brought the economy to the brink of room it didn't 100 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 1: look good. And you're talking about private money, so you're saying, 101 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:16,359 Speaker 1: if you don't give us this money unrestricted, so for 102 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:19,599 Speaker 1: that shareholders can be rewarded. Shareholders will view this as 103 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: a very very bear market in a bare environment, and 104 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:25,760 Speaker 1: you won't be able to raise additional money, and to 105 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:28,919 Speaker 1: keep the banking system going, you'll need more public money 106 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:30,839 Speaker 1: and that's going to be very difficult. Do you find 107 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:32,719 Speaker 1: that on Wall Street? Because what this sounds to me 108 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:35,320 Speaker 1: like that there really is just this kind of generic 109 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:38,719 Speaker 1: sense of an administration, of an sec of a white 110 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:41,480 Speaker 1: house in a treasury department that are Wall Street friendly 111 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 1: and those that are not Wall Street friendly. And what 112 00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:46,880 Speaker 1: defines Wall Street friendly is you just don't tell us 113 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 1: what to do. We completely run our own shop, and 114 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:51,719 Speaker 1: you just stay out of it. That's right. We're the experts. 115 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:55,039 Speaker 1: Don't mess with us because we're vital to the economy. 116 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:57,720 Speaker 1: If you get us upset, they're like a terrorist with 117 00:06:57,800 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 1: a bomb strapped around their body. If I go down, 118 00:06:59,880 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 1: your all going down. You see it in in so 119 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:06,280 Speaker 1: many different contexts, for instincts. When A I G was 120 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 1: bailed out to the tune of a hundred and fifty billion, dollars. 121 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 1: A critical point in that bailout was that a I g. 122 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 1: The government brought back the derivatives and they paid for 123 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 1: those derivatives on the dollar. They didn't want to say 124 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 1: where the money was going. Eventually pressure was put on 125 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:33,320 Speaker 1: the Fed to tell where the money went. The largest 126 00:07:33,320 --> 00:07:37,720 Speaker 1: recipient was Goldman Sacks. There are other instincts is with 127 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 1: the banks did in the process of foreclosure, the robo 128 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 1: signing where they were signing ALFI David's that they had 129 00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: inspected the records and that these people deserved to be 130 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: thrown out of their houses because they owed money they 131 00:07:50,840 --> 00:07:54,880 Speaker 1: had not. We basically had a banking system where writing mortgages, 132 00:07:55,680 --> 00:07:58,840 Speaker 1: the banks and the lenders didn't care whether you could 133 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 1: pay or not. But because once they made those loans 134 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:04,559 Speaker 1: and those loans crapped out, they believed what the government 135 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaker 1: was going to step in email m What was actually 136 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 1: worse than that because they were engaged in predatory lending 137 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:14,160 Speaker 1: and discriminatory lending. So it wasn't just that they didn't care. 138 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:19,560 Speaker 1: They went after the poorest, at least financially sophisticated Americans, 139 00:08:20,560 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 1: and they tried to move the money from the bottom 140 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: of the pyramid to the top in a way that 141 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 1: was unconscionable. When the bank shift to, as you said, 142 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 1: both predatory and discriminatory lending, having a market which a 143 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:38,640 Speaker 1: wholesale number of people default on their mortgages. What were 144 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:41,160 Speaker 1: the banks hoping for in that market that they created, 145 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 1: which was that the god from what would swoop in 146 00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 1: and bail them out? A couple of interesting aspects of 147 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 1: their strategy. One was this financial development called securitization. So 148 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 1: it used to be there. When banks wrote a mortgage, 149 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:57,439 Speaker 1: they hold onto it, and because they hold onto it, 150 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 1: they wanted to make sure it worked well. But once 151 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:04,080 Speaker 1: they started selling them, once they started securitizing, selling them 152 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 1: to others, their object was simply to write a product 153 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 1: that others would buy. So when the sale by the banks, 154 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:16,680 Speaker 1: by the mortgage lending institution, by the securitization of those things, 155 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 1: when did that start? Well, the process really began in 156 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:25,839 Speaker 1: the early nineties. I wrote an article in around anticipating 157 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: that this whole securitization was going to end in disaster 158 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:34,080 Speaker 1: and saying that they were going to underestimate the probabilities. 159 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 1: Is the thing You've won your greatest number of awards 160 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 1: for but it was it was interesting to see the 161 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 1: extent that I had to anticipated what what had actually happened. Namely, 162 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:50,520 Speaker 1: they underestimated the likelihood the prices will go down. The 163 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 1: models they rating agencies were using assume that prices never 164 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:56,720 Speaker 1: go down, when in fact you look around the world 165 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:59,079 Speaker 1: you see they often do go down. Let's stop there 166 00:09:59,800 --> 00:10:02,559 Speaker 1: to about the rating agencies, you must be a profound 167 00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 1: critic of the ranging the rating agencies believed. You might say, 168 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:11,560 Speaker 1: in financial alchemy, you take a bundle of mortgages that 169 00:10:11,640 --> 00:10:14,720 Speaker 1: should have been F rated, and you put them together, 170 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:19,760 Speaker 1: and you convert bad mortgages into an A rating security, 171 00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 1: but you dilute them. That that was I can't have 172 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:24,199 Speaker 1: a whole bundle of all f and coll and A 173 00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:26,600 Speaker 1: can you. Well that's what they did. So they took 174 00:10:26,600 --> 00:10:31,160 Speaker 1: what was homogeneously bad bundle, well not all bad, but 175 00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 1: there were a very large fraction of bad and and 176 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:40,280 Speaker 1: what happened was that these bundles collapsed. The rating agencies 177 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:43,640 Speaker 1: are they serve at the behest of who The rating 178 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:47,520 Speaker 1: agencies are paid by the investment banks. So it's like 179 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:50,440 Speaker 1: playing in the NFL and the ref won't throw the 180 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:52,640 Speaker 1: flag because the ref isn't working for the league. The 181 00:10:52,679 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 1: ref is working for some ref work for each team. 182 00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:58,839 Speaker 1: For each team, they had incentives that we now know 183 00:10:59,320 --> 00:11:03,360 Speaker 1: Districkler to distort the facts to give a ratings. Uh. 184 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:07,360 Speaker 1: They helped the banks design products that met the minimal 185 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:11,479 Speaker 1: standards that were Where do people turn for an unbiased 186 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:13,840 Speaker 1: rating of a securities? Though? Where do they go? That's 187 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 1: the fundamental problem that information on the kinds of securities 188 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 1: that arise out of the securitization process is very difficult 189 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 1: to get unbiased information, And there's a quandary. If the 190 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:32,480 Speaker 1: producer of the securities the investment banks pay, you can't 191 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:37,160 Speaker 1: trust the rating agencies. But it's very hard to get 192 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:43,560 Speaker 1: the consumer to pay because one investor might pay, but 193 00:11:43,600 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: then that information can spread to others, and it's hard 194 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:51,680 Speaker 1: to create a viable business model that will provide the 195 00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 1: finance for the supply of information. Does any arm of 196 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:59,840 Speaker 1: the government have any legal authority over the rating agencies 197 00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: to force them to adjust their standards and to adjust 198 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:10,400 Speaker 1: their methodology. The answer is no. UH. They've tried to 199 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:14,880 Speaker 1: claim that it's just a matter of free speech. My 200 00:12:14,920 --> 00:12:18,000 Speaker 1: own view is that there needs to be more accountability 201 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:25,920 Speaker 1: than that this is Alec Baldwin. You're listening to Here's 202 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 1: the thing more in a minute. This is Alec Baldwin, 203 00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:46,480 Speaker 1: and I'm talking with Joseph Stigletz, Nobel Prize winning economist, professor, 204 00:12:46,600 --> 00:12:50,119 Speaker 1: and author. We met in his office at Columbia University. 205 00:12:50,480 --> 00:12:53,079 Speaker 1: He spent a good part of his career advising world 206 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:56,840 Speaker 1: leaders on economic issues. But Joseph Stigletz is no stranger 207 00:12:56,880 --> 00:13:00,679 Speaker 1: to the world of academia. I went to MS colleague 208 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:05,680 Speaker 1: as an undergraduate. I began studying physics. I just love 209 00:13:05,760 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 1: the elegants the mathematics, but sometimes in my junior year 210 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:17,760 Speaker 1: I decided that my real passion was economics. I had 211 00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 1: grown up in Gary, Indiana, which was in some ways 212 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:26,080 Speaker 1: an amazing industrial town in the southern shores of Lake Michigan. 213 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 1: It was founded by U. S. Steel as the largest 214 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 1: integrated steel mill in the world in nineteen o six, 215 00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:38,920 Speaker 1: and it typified in many ways America of the twentieth 216 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 1: centiartland America, and you saw both the strengths but also 217 00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 1: some of the weaknesses. So as I was growing up 218 00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: very aware of very serious poverty, the economic system didn't 219 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 1: always work well. We had episodic and appointment business cycles. 220 00:13:57,400 --> 00:14:01,840 Speaker 1: You could see around you lots of crimination, and it 221 00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 1: just didn't seem like a system that was working. Um, 222 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 1: it was working for some, but not working for an 223 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 1: awful lot of people. So in my junior year in college, 224 00:14:12,920 --> 00:14:15,640 Speaker 1: I decided I wasn't going to become a physicist. I 225 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:18,960 Speaker 1: was going to be an economist. I went to my advisors. 226 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 1: They said, you should go to M I T. And 227 00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:25,720 Speaker 1: so I went to M I T. And began doing 228 00:14:25,760 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 1: work trying to understand why markets often didn't work as 229 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:33,960 Speaker 1: well as those people who said the markets were working perfectly. Uh, 230 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 1: free free markets, people like the University of Chicago economists 231 00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:41,760 Speaker 1: who talk about Freedman. Freedman. I grown up and I 232 00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 1: had seen the markets were not perfect, But I want 233 00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 1: to know why they weren't, what was wrong with our 234 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:51,240 Speaker 1: analysis with their arguments. But then I very quickly started 235 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:54,080 Speaker 1: working into one specific issue that turned out to be 236 00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 1: very important. What are the consequences of imperfect information and 237 00:14:59,840 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 1: so obvious ones related to what happened in the recent crisis. 238 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:09,120 Speaker 1: It was the presence of imperfect information that allowed the 239 00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:12,600 Speaker 1: banks to take advantage of others. No, no, when you 240 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 1: say this idea of imperfect information. Do you think that 241 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 1: the system has grown and has evolved so quickly over 242 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: the last let's say, twenty years, that the government can't 243 00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: keep up to the Goldman's sexes of the world and 244 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:28,480 Speaker 1: do all the most I don't want to say predatory, 245 00:15:28,520 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 1: but the most veloci raptor esque investment banking houses who 246 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:38,080 Speaker 1: just are devouring profits and just devouring equity. Is it 247 00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 1: because the government just can't keep up with them. No, 248 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 1: I could have done a much much better job. So 249 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:46,200 Speaker 1: you believe that's a profound statement. You believe the government 250 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 1: could have prevented much of what happened. It could have 251 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 1: prevented much of what happened, saying that in hindsight, at 252 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:53,600 Speaker 1: the time, they knew there were steps they could have taken. 253 00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:56,720 Speaker 1: In particularly, there were people even on the FED that 254 00:15:56,760 --> 00:15:59,920 Speaker 1: warned them. Ned Gramlick, he was on the board of 255 00:15:59,920 --> 00:16:04,440 Speaker 1: the FED, and he said, something wrong is going on 256 00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 1: in the mortgage market in terms of the securitization problem. 257 00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 1: The problem was that you had that they had fed 258 00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:14,920 Speaker 1: some people who believe that markets always worked, that there 259 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 1: weren't such things as bubbles. The most people in your field, 260 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:22,720 Speaker 1: the most sophisticated, most knowledgeable minds and economics today. Do 261 00:16:22,760 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 1: you find many of them view these bubbles like people 262 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 1: in California view the San Francisco earthquake. That's a total anomaly. 263 00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 1: What happened in the twenties would never happen again. As 264 00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 1: we get towards oh seven away, no matter how the 265 00:16:34,560 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 1: the house was shaking, they said, it's not going to 266 00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 1: be like again. If you look at the history of capitalism, 267 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 1: there have been bubbles, panics, and bubbles that broke repeatedly. 268 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 1: With each bubble, they look at the past and say, oh, 269 00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,920 Speaker 1: those guys were very stupid. We're smarter, And of course 270 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 1: that was true. In the last bubble, they believed that 271 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 1: it was not a bubble because bubbles were a thing 272 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 1: of the past. We are smart people, we don't have bubbles. 273 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:08,800 Speaker 1: But in fact, the telltale signs that there was a 274 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:12,639 Speaker 1: bubble were there for anybody who wanted to look at them, 275 00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 1: and there were instruments that were there to anyone who 276 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:20,720 Speaker 1: wanted us to tame the bubble, like raising the down payments. 277 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:23,679 Speaker 1: What does Vulcan saying that you agree with or not. 278 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:28,880 Speaker 1: I think Bolger is one of the heroes of this story. 279 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:35,359 Speaker 1: Um Vulgar realized that financial markets needed to be regulated, 280 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:38,000 Speaker 1: and that was one of the reasons that Reagan looked 281 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 1: for somebody to replace him. After all, in terms of 282 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:46,720 Speaker 1: what central bankers normally are graded on, he had brought 283 00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:50,399 Speaker 1: down double digit inflation down to very low levels, and 284 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:54,359 Speaker 1: that would normally have been rewarded by a reappointment, but 285 00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:58,240 Speaker 1: he was dismissed. When Reagan comes in, people view this 286 00:17:58,280 --> 00:18:03,000 Speaker 1: as this watershed in that area, that about smashing government regulation. 287 00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 1: What did reagonomics mean to people? Throw that word around 288 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:08,719 Speaker 1: like it's this magic dust. You know, what did Reagonomics 289 00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: mean to you then? And what does Reaganomics mean to 290 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 1: you now? Is a Reagonomics as perhaps another act in 291 00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 1: a long standing battle about the appropriate balance between markets 292 00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:29,640 Speaker 1: and government. And Reagan came in and try to put 293 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:32,359 Speaker 1: his hand on one side of that balance and say, 294 00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:36,400 Speaker 1: let's get rid of government, let's just let markets rip. 295 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:41,000 Speaker 1: Why do you think I think it was just ordinary greed, 296 00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:45,359 Speaker 1: the belief that we got rid of the regulations and 297 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:48,440 Speaker 1: all the cree could make more money. There was one 298 00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:52,960 Speaker 1: other argument that in a way shows the naivety of 299 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: their reasoning. In the decades after Glass Steagle, which was 300 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:03,240 Speaker 1: this law that separated investment banking from commercial banking, that 301 00:19:03,320 --> 00:19:06,119 Speaker 1: had tried to put restraints that avoiding some of the 302 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:09,120 Speaker 1: conflicts of interest that had marked the past. In those 303 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:12,280 Speaker 1: decades after the passage of these whole series of laws 304 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 1: and the Great Depression, the country had been remarkably stable. 305 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 1: There had not been a financial crisis. And because there 306 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:23,240 Speaker 1: had not made a financial crisis, they made the wrong inference. 307 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:26,159 Speaker 1: They said, financial crisis are a thing of the past. 308 00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:29,000 Speaker 1: But they were a thing of the past only because 309 00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 1: we had the regulators. So once you repealed Glass Eagle, 310 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:36,439 Speaker 1: once you got rid of the regulations, once you started 311 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:40,960 Speaker 1: going into deregulation, you started having crisis after crisis. Do 312 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:42,800 Speaker 1: you think we should be institute class to Eagle or 313 00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:46,159 Speaker 1: a modification thereof something new. What is clear is that 314 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:50,119 Speaker 1: we need to have stronger regulation. The vocal rule is 315 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,680 Speaker 1: one way of doing it. How would you characterize the 316 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 1: vocal rule for people who don't know what happens. The 317 00:19:54,640 --> 00:20:00,400 Speaker 1: vulgar rule is a restriction that says banks are supposed 318 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:04,560 Speaker 1: to be serving their customers, not making money for their 319 00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:08,720 Speaker 1: own portfolio. So it's an attempt to say you can't 320 00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:11,959 Speaker 1: engage in what are called proprietary trading, trading on your 321 00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:15,399 Speaker 1: own behalf gambling against your customers in the way that 322 00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:19,120 Speaker 1: Goldman Sachs did. It just opens up such a can 323 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 1: of worms that it's very difficult for government to stop 324 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:27,919 Speaker 1: it once you open up that possibility. Barney Frank, what 325 00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,159 Speaker 1: did you make of what happened with him, with Freddie 326 00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:33,440 Speaker 1: Mack and Fannie man With what the issues were that 327 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:36,520 Speaker 1: people were contending about Frank and what he did? A 328 00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 1: couple of points. One, He and the Democrats more generally 329 00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:47,080 Speaker 1: were very instrumental in ninety four giving the FED scope 330 00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:52,720 Speaker 1: for regulating better. They were more pro regulations, and had 331 00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:58,200 Speaker 1: they had the Fed implemented the regulations that they had 332 00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:01,920 Speaker 1: the authority to implement, we would have avoided the crisis, 333 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:05,920 Speaker 1: at least the worst parts of it. There's a very 334 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:10,720 Speaker 1: large controversy over the rule of Fannie Mae and Freddie 335 00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:14,600 Speaker 1: mac in the current crisis. In my own mind, there 336 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 1: shouldn't be any controversy. The evidence is overwhelming that they 337 00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:25,439 Speaker 1: were a late comer to the problems and basically a 338 00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 1: side show. The fundamental problems were created by the private 339 00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:38,359 Speaker 1: banks in their subprime fraudulent predatory practices. The if you 340 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 1: go in your mind, they don't deserve to be lumped 341 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:43,959 Speaker 1: into the same categories. Definitely, if you look at their 342 00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:48,800 Speaker 1: default rakes, their problem rakes, they performed far better than 343 00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:54,560 Speaker 1: the private sector. Now, after they collapsed, the government began 344 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 1: to use Fannie Mae and Freddie Mack in part to 345 00:21:56,880 --> 00:22:00,760 Speaker 1: bail out the private banks and to buy bad portfolios 346 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:03,640 Speaker 1: and so forth, and they became part of the resolution 347 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:08,879 Speaker 1: mechanism trans fery money from the public sector to the 348 00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:11,960 Speaker 1: private sector. So you can't look at some of the 349 00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:16,160 Speaker 1: things that have happened after the government took them over 350 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:20,520 Speaker 1: and the collapse of two thousand and eight to make 351 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 1: inferences about the kinds of lending they were doing before. 352 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,480 Speaker 1: Now you have been out of the government since two 353 00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 1: thousand correct, I've actually been out of government six I 354 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:38,920 Speaker 1: was in the World Bank from do you miss that world? 355 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:42,440 Speaker 1: Think about going back to where it's been a long 356 00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:51,000 Speaker 1: time now. It's very exciting. It's both frustrating and satisfying. 357 00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:56,439 Speaker 1: Really difficult problems shaping public policy, figuring out what to do, 358 00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,720 Speaker 1: then persuading others. Because we live in a democratic society, 359 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 1: I can't just decide what I think is the right thing. 360 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:09,320 Speaker 1: I have to persuade others. This idea that government officials 361 00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: work nine to five is absurd. We had our first 362 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:17,119 Speaker 1: meeting at seven am, and I had to prepare all 363 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,399 Speaker 1: kinds of work before that, So that meant you had 364 00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,680 Speaker 1: to get up at five am, and we had meetings 365 00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:25,680 Speaker 1: that would go on to midnight. If you went back 366 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:29,879 Speaker 1: into the political sphere, would you do things differently? Do 367 00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 1: you think you would have approached your work differently? In hindsight, Actually, 368 00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 1: I feel reasonably satisfied about what I did with the 369 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:41,359 Speaker 1: battles I fought, uh I thought against the deregulation of 370 00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 1: the financial sector, and when I was there, we did 371 00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:49,000 Speaker 1: not repealed Glass Steagle. I guess I would have hoped 372 00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,439 Speaker 1: I would have been more successful, and some of the 373 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:55,720 Speaker 1: battles you always wish you could have done more. So 374 00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:59,919 Speaker 1: you you come back into academia and have students changed. 375 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 1: One of the things that I think that has changed 376 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 1: certainly since I was a gradual student is that there 377 00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:13,040 Speaker 1: are overall fewer of the very best students to go 378 00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 1: into academia into public service. One of the major miss 379 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:23,160 Speaker 1: allocations of the financial sector is the misallocation of our 380 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 1: scarcest resource our young people, and many of them could 381 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:36,560 Speaker 1: not resist the temptation of these outsized bonuses. Many of 382 00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,919 Speaker 1: them went in thinking that they would work for a 383 00:24:39,960 --> 00:24:43,600 Speaker 1: few years, make their fortune, and then do what they want. 384 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:46,960 Speaker 1: So they'd rather be Lloyd blank find than Joseph Stickles, 385 00:24:47,040 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 1: many of them, and in terms of in terms of 386 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:53,399 Speaker 1: the career path, unfortunately, I think a disproportionate number. I 387 00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:55,760 Speaker 1: don't think they think of it as Lloyd blank blank find. 388 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:59,800 Speaker 1: But I think the thractions of the lure of money 389 00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:07,240 Speaker 1: was irresistible and still today but more guarded because more 390 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:10,920 Speaker 1: of them see the problems of the financial sector, more 391 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:17,400 Speaker 1: are aware that money doesn't buy happiness, and they want 392 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,280 Speaker 1: to feel good about their lives and what they do. 393 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:24,240 Speaker 1: Do you see yourself in that room? Sometimes? Um, I 394 00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 1: find that there are a few students who have that 395 00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:31,720 Speaker 1: kind of deep curiosity, a few that have a real 396 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:37,160 Speaker 1: commitment to help our society, help developing countries. Would I 397 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:42,640 Speaker 1: find also extraordinary disturbing is the kind of you might 398 00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,879 Speaker 1: call I don't want to say fear, but the worry 399 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,439 Speaker 1: are they going to get good jobs? Are they going 400 00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:54,760 Speaker 1: to get promotions? Does the economics profession care about the 401 00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 1: things they care about. So when you draw that line 402 00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 1: from the young men and in Gary, Indiana, who was 403 00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:06,320 Speaker 1: fascinated by whole quilted nature of the economy in his 404 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:10,200 Speaker 1: own hometown and then went to Amherst, I thought he 405 00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:11,960 Speaker 1: wanted to go into physics, went to m I t 406 00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:16,160 Speaker 1: went into economics. When that man wins the Nobel Prize 407 00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:19,920 Speaker 1: for economics for that very thinking, how did you feel? Well, 408 00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:24,080 Speaker 1: obviously I felt very very pleased. I think one of 409 00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:28,320 Speaker 1: the things though, that as you study things, you understand 410 00:26:28,640 --> 00:26:32,840 Speaker 1: how complex things are, how much more there is to understand. 411 00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,000 Speaker 1: The other thing, I guess which has been might say 412 00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:41,080 Speaker 1: the frustration is well, I think there's been these enormous 413 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:46,320 Speaker 1: advances in economic science, in our understanding of the ways 414 00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:51,800 Speaker 1: markets don't work, our public policy, our ability to persuade 415 00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:57,879 Speaker 1: the population in general to move policies, and persistent with 416 00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:02,159 Speaker 1: these four implement and four in some ways we've been 417 00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:06,320 Speaker 1: moving to disconnect. There's a disconnect. The period in which 418 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:11,720 Speaker 1: the free market ideas gained the upper hand in the 419 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:18,240 Speaker 1: United States, beginning in Reagan, was exactly the period when 420 00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 1: economic science was explaining why free markets didn't work, just 421 00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:27,960 Speaker 1: as we were making real strikes forward and understanding the 422 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:33,480 Speaker 1: limitations of markets were the boat in the opposite direction exactly, 423 00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:40,159 Speaker 1: and and the increasing difficulty of getting the politics to 424 00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:42,919 Speaker 1: move in that. But as you said, the great challenge 425 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:44,480 Speaker 1: for you have the work you did, was you said 426 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:48,879 Speaker 1: to sell these ideas to people and the democracy. You 427 00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:50,920 Speaker 1: have to do that. I mean, I can know the answer, 428 00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:55,320 Speaker 1: but unless I can persuade others, it doesn't do any good. 429 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 1: I believe very strongly that that if we're going to 430 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:03,800 Speaker 1: win in this battle that I had begun when I 431 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:08,240 Speaker 1: was a young person at Amherst, one has to persuade 432 00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:14,159 Speaker 1: others that these are real problems the way of market, 433 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:17,119 Speaker 1: they are urgent, and that we have answers, maybe not 434 00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:19,919 Speaker 1: perfect answers, but answers, but things that we could do 435 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:26,359 Speaker 1: to make things a lot better. M. Joseph Stiglitz has 436 00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,520 Speaker 1: written more than twenty books, including the forthcoming The Price 437 00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:34,679 Speaker 1: of Inequality, How today's divided society endangers our future. You 438 00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,680 Speaker 1: can find more information on our website. Here's the thing 439 00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:45,280 Speaker 1: dot org you're listening to. Here's the thing. I'm Alec 440 00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 1: Baldwin