WEBVTT - Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Robert Kaplan & Anna Wong

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, the.

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<v Speaker 2>Single best idea really interesting post FED show picking up

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<v Speaker 2>the pieces off that. Thanks to Lisa Bramwitz for driving

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<v Speaker 2>the conversation yesterday afternoon. Some great conversations centered around selective

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<v Speaker 2>bombshells from Chairman Paul. We'll get to that in a moment.

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<v Speaker 2>Robert Kaplan in lovely to see him in the studio.

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<v Speaker 2>He is with Goldman Sachs as vice chairman, the former

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<v Speaker 2>president of the Dallas FED and all of his teaching

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<v Speaker 2>at HBS years ago. Robert Kaplan really interesting on monopsy

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<v Speaker 2>on the great American roll up, not the large cap,

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<v Speaker 2>not the mid cap, small cap. Here's Robert Kaplan on

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<v Speaker 2>the in between.

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<v Speaker 3>Lots of still small emerging businesses powered by AI that

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<v Speaker 3>can grow and will be very attractive, and they'll get

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<v Speaker 3>to a point where they kind of stabilize. You'll have

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<v Speaker 3>lots of very big, huge scale companies that are dominant,

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<v Speaker 3>and you're gonna have a lot in between. And I

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<v Speaker 3>guess we'd say it in between has gotten a lot bigger.

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<v Speaker 3>And the last companies that used to think they were

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<v Speaker 3>big and dominant and still aren't or less dominant.

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<v Speaker 2>I looked at Procter and Gamble carefully said, I don't

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<v Speaker 2>want you to come in on individual security. But what

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<v Speaker 2>does old industry do in their in between?

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<v Speaker 3>This build size and scale and make more investment in efficiency, productivity,

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<v Speaker 3>technology and so all that costs money and in the

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<v Speaker 3>short run reduces margins. And that's why you also see

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of bell tightening right now right now to

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<v Speaker 3>offset some of the margin impact.

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<v Speaker 2>Robert Kaplan with Goldman sex really interesting there. I can't

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<v Speaker 2>say enough about the bet the traditional non technology, non

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<v Speaker 2>AI economies and companies will look to productivity as the

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<v Speaker 2>path forward. Certainly that was a surprise at the FED

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<v Speaker 2>meeting yes today, Austin Gouldsby with that descent I thought

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<v Speaker 2>was fascinating a bit of the way through the press conference,

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<v Speaker 2>the chairman with a bombshell taking non farm payrolls and

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<v Speaker 2>marking them down as revisions are made. Who did I

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<v Speaker 2>think of Anna Wong at Bloomberg Economics. She has been

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<v Speaker 2>path breaking in America on adjusting unemployment to a more

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<v Speaker 2>negative outcome. Here is doctor Wong on the labor economy.

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<v Speaker 4>Powell mentioned that the three month rolling average is currently

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<v Speaker 4>about forty thousand, so if they're six sixty thousand over

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<v Speaker 4>statement that you negative twenty thousand and net's I think

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<v Speaker 4>that's the number. But on a month to month basis,

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<v Speaker 4>there of course a lot of fluctuations. For example, last

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<v Speaker 4>month we saw one hundred nineteen thousand, right, and next

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<v Speaker 4>week we are going to have a double payrollsport or

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<v Speaker 4>this this this is highly unusual.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, A lot of economic data next week that will

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<v Speaker 2>get us through December. On podcasts or on Apple, We're

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<v Speaker 2>on Spotify, on YouTube podcasts. It's single best idea