WEBVTT - This Doesn't Look Good

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<v Speaker 1>Wanted to cook at soul.

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<v Speaker 2>Good morning, everybody, Welcome back. It is Tuesday, August eleventh,

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<v Speaker 2>and the Yankees will open up a series with the

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<v Speaker 2>Mariners tonight. Honestly, this episode might come off a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit as negative. I want to get you guys a

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<v Speaker 2>look at my hoodie right here. Summer of George.

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<v Speaker 3>Summer of George.

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<v Speaker 2>Anyway, this episode might come off a little bit as negative.

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<v Speaker 2>Just from looking at my own notes, I was just like, man,

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<v Speaker 2>that's pretty damn negative. But you know, whatever I think

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<v Speaker 2>of and whatever you know comes in my head is

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<v Speaker 2>what I talk to you guys about. And when the

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<v Speaker 2>Titanic was sinking, you know, the band kept playing. They

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<v Speaker 2>were pretty optimistic, right, or maybe they were just trying

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<v Speaker 2>to entertain people. But I'm sure there were some people

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<v Speaker 2>who were like, Ah, the band's playing, it can't be

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<v Speaker 2>that bad. But I'm sure there are some people, and

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<v Speaker 2>I would fall into this category, who are like, let

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<v Speaker 2>me see if I can find something to float on,

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<v Speaker 2>because this doesn't look good. And right now, even when

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<v Speaker 2>the Yankees win a series, they are losing ground. And

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<v Speaker 2>that's a sign that the team ahead of them is

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<v Speaker 2>taking care of business. And that is the Tampa Bay Rays,

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<v Speaker 2>who now lead the American League East by six games,

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<v Speaker 2>and the Yankees have essentially been putting all of their

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<v Speaker 2>energy and effort into staying above water, and by the

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<v Speaker 2>time the SS judge arrives to pick up the lifeboats,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not sure that there's gonna be much energy left.

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<v Speaker 3>To fight for the division.

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<v Speaker 2>And I don't know about you guys, but after that

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<v Speaker 2>loss on Sunday, I think he's got one run in

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<v Speaker 2>extra innings again. I just needed a break from the strikeouts.

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<v Speaker 2>I was glad that we had the day off yesterday.

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<v Speaker 2>It was a rare, just like a mental reset, and

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<v Speaker 2>I watched the Rays game against the Athletics and they

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<v Speaker 2>were down, I believe it was six to two in

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<v Speaker 2>the eighth inning, and they scored eight runs in the

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<v Speaker 2>eighth inning to come back and win. And when I

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<v Speaker 2>saw that, I realized the Yankees don't have that fight

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<v Speaker 2>in them. They can't compete with the Rays right now.

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<v Speaker 2>They're not as good, just flat out not as good.

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<v Speaker 2>They don't hit as good, they don't play defense as well,

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<v Speaker 2>and if they match up in the playoffs, I think

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<v Speaker 2>it's gonna go a lot like the series with the

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<v Speaker 2>Blue Jays went last year. We're probably looking at a

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<v Speaker 2>wild card series, and if the Yankees don't get right,

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<v Speaker 2>they're probably looking at a wild card series on the

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<v Speaker 2>road against the Red Sacks. Now, the reds or Red

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<v Speaker 2>Sox have slowed down the last couple of days, they've

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<v Speaker 2>lost a.

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<v Speaker 3>Couple in a row. But Yanke's got to get their

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<v Speaker 3>act together. So let's talk about the Rays and what they.

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<v Speaker 2>Are proving, because it is, honestly, it's time to stop

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<v Speaker 2>looking up at them in the standings and start paying

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<v Speaker 2>attention to the wild card. It doesn't mean the season

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<v Speaker 2>is over. The Yankees currently own the top wild card

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<v Speaker 2>spot and they're like six and a half games from

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<v Speaker 2>falling out of a playoff spot entirely, but we've seen

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<v Speaker 2>it enough now to know plainly that without Aaron Judge

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<v Speaker 2>and Cody Bellinger and to a certain degree John Carlos Stanton.

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<v Speaker 2>They're used to playing without Stanton, but without their three

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<v Speaker 2>big monsters, the lineup just is not good enough to

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<v Speaker 2>win the American League East. I mean, and there's nothing

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<v Speaker 2>wrong with just calling a spade a spade. It might

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<v Speaker 2>be good enough to survive and win a wild card

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<v Speaker 2>because of the Yankees pitching, but surviving and winning the

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<v Speaker 2>division are different things, different things. Brian Cashman likes to

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<v Speaker 2>say that pitching is the key, and he said that

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<v Speaker 2>many times pitching is the key to winning, and he's

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<v Speaker 2>not wrong. Pitching is very important, and the Yankees have

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<v Speaker 2>the best era in baseball at three point three zero.

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<v Speaker 2>But pitching isn't the only key. It's not a skeleton key.

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<v Speaker 2>You also need an offense. More importantly, you need an

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<v Speaker 2>offensive philosophy that continues to function when your best players disappear,

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<v Speaker 2>even if they're out of the lineup for one day,

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<v Speaker 2>you should be able to compete. This one doesn't judge

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<v Speaker 2>got hurt. The Yankees are hitting two nineteen. They two

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<v Speaker 2>eighty three on base percentage.

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<v Speaker 3>Guys, that's pitiful. That is absolutely pitiful.

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<v Speaker 2>And over their last forty four games they're hitting two

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<v Speaker 2>oh three. I'm gonna repeat that, over their last forty

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<v Speaker 2>four games, the Yankees are hitting two oh three.

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<v Speaker 3>As a team.

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<v Speaker 2>If an individual player hits two oh three, the fans

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<v Speaker 2>want that player demoted. They want that player traded shipped

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<v Speaker 2>to space, launched into the sun. Pick your metaphor. But

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<v Speaker 2>if the whole team hits two hundred for a month

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<v Speaker 2>and a half. You just sit there and take it

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<v Speaker 2>and be grumpy. There's nothing you can do. This is

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<v Speaker 2>a lineup constructed to hit the ball over the fence,

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<v Speaker 2>and when home runs disappear, the entire operation shuts down.

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<v Speaker 2>They don't string together hits, they don't consistently take the

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<v Speaker 2>extra base, they don't manufacture enough runs. They wait for

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<v Speaker 2>somebody to hit a three run home erw and half

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<v Speaker 2>the time there aren't even two runners on base anyway.

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<v Speaker 2>The irony is that the Yankees last sustained championship run.

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<v Speaker 2>The last time the Yankees were really successful and had

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<v Speaker 2>a sustained championship run, it was because they were a

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<v Speaker 2>complete team. They were built by Gene Michael, and they

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<v Speaker 2>can beat you in every conceivable way. They would take

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<v Speaker 2>advantage of errors and mistakes. They played tight defense, they

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<v Speaker 2>stole bases, they hit with runners in scoring position. They

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<v Speaker 2>still hit home runs, but they weren't dependent on them.

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<v Speaker 2>The ninety eight Yankees, best team in my lifetime, had

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<v Speaker 2>ten players reached double digits in homers, but nobody hit

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<v Speaker 2>more than twenty eight. Tino led that team with twenty

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<v Speaker 2>eight home runs. They also hit to eighty eight as

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<v Speaker 2>a team, and they led baseball with a three to

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<v Speaker 2>sixty four on base percentage and constantly forced pitchers to work.

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<v Speaker 2>You get guys on base, you knock them in. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe the Yankees of the modern era, we'll look at

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<v Speaker 2>velocity and shifting and specialized bullpens and all of the

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<v Speaker 2>other difficulties in generating offense, and they'll say, the path

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<v Speaker 2>of least resistance is power. You can hit the ball

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<v Speaker 2>over everyone and skip all of that. And so they

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<v Speaker 2>think that if you collect enough home run hitters and

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<v Speaker 2>pair it up with a good pitching staff, you can

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<v Speaker 2>do damage and you can win, and it will usually

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<v Speaker 2>get you to the playoffs if everyone's healthy. And then

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<v Speaker 2>it's a crap shoot, right, That's what Cashman and company

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<v Speaker 2>like to say. It's crapshoot. I disagree. I reject that premise,

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<v Speaker 2>that premise completely. The Astros proved it wasn't by having

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<v Speaker 2>repeated and sustained success. The Dodgers have proved it isn't.

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<v Speaker 2>And when your power gets limited and your offense disappears,

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<v Speaker 2>it taxes you're pitching. That's the thing that nobody talks about,

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<v Speaker 2>that nobody looks at. Every base runner becomes an emergency.

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<v Speaker 2>Every mistake can lose you in the game, and that

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<v Speaker 2>wears down your pitcher more than pitch counts and all

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<v Speaker 2>that stuff. The stress. Every pitching coach will tell you that.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's take a look at what the Rays are doing.

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<v Speaker 2>Because they lead the American League handily. They are hitting

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<v Speaker 2>two fifty nine as a team, that is second and

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<v Speaker 2>Major League Baseball. They've got a three point seven zero

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<v Speaker 2>ERA that's.

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<v Speaker 3>Sixth the in baseball.

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<v Speaker 2>They have created a team that can win baseball games

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<v Speaker 2>in more than one way. They have four qualified hitters

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<v Speaker 2>that are batting at least two to seventy seven. Chandler

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<v Speaker 2>Simpson's at three h five, Yanni Diez is at three

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<v Speaker 2>h two, Jonathan rond is at two eighty eight, and

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<v Speaker 2>junior cameronero is at two to seventy seven. Liam Hicks

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<v Speaker 2>not gonna recount him because he came in from a trade,

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<v Speaker 2>but he's hitting over to eighty. Also, the Yankees have

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<v Speaker 2>one player on their active roster hitting that well for

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<v Speaker 2>the season, Luis Garcia Junior two seventy nine, and he's

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<v Speaker 2>only been on the team for five minutes. The only

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<v Speaker 2>qualified hits which is three point one played appearances per game,

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<v Speaker 2>per team game that are hitting above two forty two

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<v Speaker 2>are Cody Balinger, who is on the injured list, and

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<v Speaker 2>ben Rice Ballenger's hitting two fifty nine. Rice is hitting

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<v Speaker 2>two fifty seven now. Batting average has been treated like

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<v Speaker 2>an embarrassing stat for about fifteen years, and I'm sick

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<v Speaker 2>of it. I'm sick of it. You mentioned it around

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<v Speaker 2>the analytics guys and they act like you're trying to

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<v Speaker 2>show them highlights on a VCR, right, they laugh at you.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh yea unk boomer, all that shit. Walks are valuable.

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<v Speaker 2>On base percentage is valuable. Nobody is saying they're not.

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<v Speaker 2>But a hit can score somebody from second, It can

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<v Speaker 2>send somebody first to third. It could force the defense

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<v Speaker 2>to make a play, to make a throw, to execute

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<v Speaker 2>under pressure. And we've seen in an era built around

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<v Speaker 2>exit velocity and all that stuff that a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>teams struggle with fundamentals and defense. So the Yankees have

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<v Speaker 2>valued on base percentage for a long time because it

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<v Speaker 2>helps you when you hit the ball out of the ballpark,

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<v Speaker 2>But it only helps if you do something with it,

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<v Speaker 2>and when you're not hitting the ball out of the ballpark,

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<v Speaker 2>you end up stranding a lot of runners because you

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<v Speaker 2>walk or you get one hit four bats, five at

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<v Speaker 2>bats and you leave them on base. The Rays also

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<v Speaker 2>close games. They have a major league best forty eight saves.

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<v Speaker 2>And then there's the question that nobody wants to talk about,

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<v Speaker 2>and that is the money question. The Yankees are carrying

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<v Speaker 2>a pay roll over three hundred million dollars. Tampa Bay

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<v Speaker 2>is roughly a third of that. And I don't believe

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<v Speaker 2>that being wealthy inherently makes someone lazy or automatically makes

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<v Speaker 2>them stop trying. But there's something something too guaranteed money,

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<v Speaker 2>in my opinion that I don't know. It disrupts things, right,

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<v Speaker 2>Guaranteed money and guaranteed status can kind of create less competition.

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<v Speaker 2>Guys become comfortable. It's like, well, I'm struggling, but they're

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<v Speaker 2>not going to get rid of me because I'm making

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<v Speaker 2>ten million dollars like Jazz Chisholm making eleven million dollars.

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<v Speaker 2>He doesn't give a shit about baseball right now, The

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<v Speaker 2>Rais can't afford to operate that way. Their players are

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<v Speaker 2>constantly fighting for roles, playing time, and their next contract.

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<v Speaker 2>And maybe that urgency matter is just as much as

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<v Speaker 2>batting average does so we take a look at the

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<v Speaker 2>division snapshot. Yankees now six games back in the American

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<v Speaker 2>League East, two games ahead of the Boston Red Sox.

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<v Speaker 3>Will take a look, now uncomfortably at the wild card.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's see here, we pull that up and we can

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<v Speaker 2>take a closer look at how the wild card standings

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<v Speaker 2>are going. American League Wildcard Yankees are currently holding the

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<v Speaker 2>top spot, the Boston Red Sox the number two spot,

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<v Speaker 2>Texas Rangers, the number three spot, Twins number four.

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<v Speaker 3>So the Yankees are in.

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<v Speaker 2>A good position to make the playoffs and maybe that's

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<v Speaker 2>all they care about, getting a couple of you know, revenues,

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<v Speaker 2>revenue gates from the postseason, but not gonna work out

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<v Speaker 2>if you have two games in Boston and you're going home,

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<v Speaker 2>all right. So tonight the Yankees will take on the

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<v Speaker 2>Seattle Mariners. Ryan weathers on the mound. He's been throwing

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<v Speaker 2>the ball exceptionally well. You would think his record would

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<v Speaker 2>be five and seven, but better than five and seven

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<v Speaker 2>with a three point seven to nine er, but it

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<v Speaker 2>is what it is. Brian Will one of my favorite

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<v Speaker 2>pitchers to watch. Not having a great year, but he

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<v Speaker 2>pitches the exact way that the Braves pitcher pitched on

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<v Speaker 2>Sunday that shut them down, mixes pitches, spots his pitches,

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<v Speaker 2>throws a lot of breaking balls, got a good fastball too,

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<v Speaker 2>and so tonight it's gonna be difficult for the Yankees.

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<v Speaker 2>Although Seattle has lost four straight and they're fifty six

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<v Speaker 2>and sixty three, they I think their urgency is out

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<v Speaker 2>the door a little bit, but anyway, we'll see.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's take a look at what to watch.

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<v Speaker 2>Grisham has been swinging the bat slowly, a little bit better.

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<v Speaker 2>He had a home run on Sunday, a couple of

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<v Speaker 2>hits a day before that. Austin Wells has gotten it

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<v Speaker 2>going a little bit over the last ten games to

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<v Speaker 2>ninety two average, nine to twelve ops in the last

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<v Speaker 2>ten games.

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<v Speaker 3>And Jazz Chisholm.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know if I've seen worst body language on

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<v Speaker 2>a player since Aaron Hicks right before he got released.

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<v Speaker 2>It's pitiful to watch, all right, So let's do our

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<v Speaker 2>nostra Derek prediction. I'm taking Ben Rice and I am

0:12:38.880 --> 0:12:43.600
<v Speaker 2>taking Austin Wells. How about that. I picked Austin Wells

0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:45.760
<v Speaker 2>once this year and he came through with a home run.

0:12:45.800 --> 0:12:48.000
<v Speaker 2>So we're going for we're going for a second time.

0:12:48.000 --> 0:12:53.440
<v Speaker 2>All right, let's take some voicemails here, John from Florida.

0:12:52.760 --> 0:12:55.679
<v Speaker 4>Hey, Derrek, John from Florida's got a question. Yeah, he's

0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:58.160
<v Speaker 4>looking like they're doing for a wildcard spot. Based on

0:12:58.200 --> 0:12:59.960
<v Speaker 4>how the Red Sox are playing, and based on how there,

0:13:00.080 --> 0:13:03.319
<v Speaker 4>he's probably already put this thing away. In the two

0:13:03.360 --> 0:13:07.560
<v Speaker 4>game set, we know Splitzler's going game one. Who would

0:13:07.600 --> 0:13:09.560
<v Speaker 4>you have go go game two? Would you have Cole?

0:13:09.640 --> 0:13:11.080
<v Speaker 4>Or would you have free go to game two?

0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:12.720
<v Speaker 1>So you got you got Splitler?

0:13:12.760 --> 0:13:15.000
<v Speaker 4>Who else would you have for that wildcard game?

0:13:15.440 --> 0:13:19.440
<v Speaker 2>Me on, that's a great question. I mean, there's no question.

0:13:19.480 --> 0:13:21.240
<v Speaker 2>If you're going three games, those are your three guys.

0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:26.400
<v Speaker 2>And I think the number two, honestly, I think the

0:13:26.480 --> 0:13:29.959
<v Speaker 2>number two honestly might be Schlitler because he's going to

0:13:30.000 --> 0:13:32.199
<v Speaker 2>be tired by that point. You know, he's never thrown

0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:35.199
<v Speaker 2>this deep into a season before, especially at the major

0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:39.840
<v Speaker 2>league level. I think that Freed and Cole are both

0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:41.960
<v Speaker 2>going to be a lot more fresh. I think one

0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:43.319
<v Speaker 2>of them might get the game when start, So I

0:13:43.360 --> 0:13:45.320
<v Speaker 2>think you go with whoever's throwing the ball. Well, you

0:13:45.400 --> 0:13:47.560
<v Speaker 2>go with Cam in the pivotal game too. And hope

0:13:47.559 --> 0:13:50.120
<v Speaker 2>that you have a third ace in waiting to go

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:52.920
<v Speaker 2>in in game three or in game one of the

0:13:52.960 --> 0:13:53.640
<v Speaker 2>following series.

0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:55.960
<v Speaker 3>But that's a great question. Here's Tabor talk.

0:13:56.640 --> 0:13:59.240
<v Speaker 5>Hey, Derek cow are you Tavorite talk from the Tascos

0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:02.040
<v Speaker 5>Yankees all today they took two out of three from Atlanta,

0:14:02.080 --> 0:14:05.040
<v Speaker 5>both as we all know, wasted pitching. What a gym

0:14:05.120 --> 0:14:09.160
<v Speaker 5>by Schlickler. The Yankees are not scoring the last what

0:14:09.320 --> 0:14:14.280
<v Speaker 5>is it twenty game for something averaging under three runs

0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:17.719
<v Speaker 5>a game. It's really pathetic. Anyway, I'm listening to the

0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:20.320
<v Speaker 5>Michael Kay Show. I catch his show every day, and

0:14:21.120 --> 0:14:25.880
<v Speaker 5>a lot of calls about how the Oldzheimer's Day was

0:14:26.240 --> 0:14:32.000
<v Speaker 5>not good, kind of the blackluster, like like twenty thousand

0:14:32.080 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 5>people half the stadium was empty during the also a game,

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:38.560
<v Speaker 5>a lot of guys didn't show up. Andy pettit wasn't there.

0:14:39.560 --> 0:14:43.720
<v Speaker 5>Gooding wasn't there, Strawberry, A bunch of other guys didn'tows.

0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:47.320
<v Speaker 5>Dereck Cheeter wasn't there. Michael Kay said that was one

0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:50.880
<v Speaker 5>of his favorite as growing up as a kid, the

0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:55.560
<v Speaker 5>old Teimer's Day, And he says nostalgia. I'm the opposite,

0:14:55.600 --> 0:14:57.960
<v Speaker 5>and I think you agree with me. I don't like

0:14:58.000 --> 0:15:01.560
<v Speaker 5>it at all. It's very depressed. Even as a kid,

0:15:01.640 --> 0:15:07.040
<v Speaker 5>I didn't like it. It's just seeing these great athletes

0:15:07.040 --> 0:15:10.120
<v Speaker 5>who could barely run and throw the boy It's like,

0:15:10.680 --> 0:15:13.080
<v Speaker 5>it's like it just reminds me of death. I'm sorry that.

0:15:13.280 --> 0:15:17.400
<v Speaker 2>I appreciate the call reminds you of death.

0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:19.480
<v Speaker 3>I don't think we need to say anymore. Willie called

0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:20.400
<v Speaker 3>in about the same topics.

0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:22.160
<v Speaker 2>I want to let Willy have this moment that I'll

0:15:22.160 --> 0:15:22.600
<v Speaker 2>address it.

0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:29.120
<v Speaker 1>Hey, Derek talking about Old time as Day? What happened

0:15:29.160 --> 0:15:41.000
<v Speaker 1>to Sabati, the Sina, will Petty Cleming, Jeeter good Strawberry?

0:15:42.600 --> 0:15:44.320
<v Speaker 1>What what?

0:15:43.720 --> 0:15:43.760
<v Speaker 5>What?

0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:47.920
<v Speaker 1>What happened to all them players? How come they was

0:15:48.000 --> 0:15:51.760
<v Speaker 1>the old time game? That's pub with me.

0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:55.680
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, if I were the Yankees, I would feel embarrassed

0:15:56.040 --> 0:15:59.160
<v Speaker 2>about that. I think it has something to do with Cashman. Cashman,

0:15:59.240 --> 0:16:02.760
<v Speaker 2>the Ruins a lot of relationships with people. We've heard

0:16:02.760 --> 0:16:04.920
<v Speaker 2>a lot of players talk about this. They just don't

0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:07.520
<v Speaker 2>like the guy, okay, and I don't blame them, and

0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:11.720
<v Speaker 2>so they're not inclined to go worship this organization. Also,

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:15.400
<v Speaker 2>you know, twenty years ago when you were having Old

0:16:15.440 --> 0:16:17.080
<v Speaker 2>Timers Day, you.

0:16:17.040 --> 0:16:18.000
<v Speaker 3>Were getting.

0:16:19.240 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 2>You know, championship teams from the seventies, right, and then

0:16:24.640 --> 0:16:29.040
<v Speaker 2>now you're getting those early two thousands teams that didn't

0:16:29.040 --> 0:16:34.360
<v Speaker 2>win anything. They won a couple of penance one to

0:16:34.400 --> 0:16:38.680
<v Speaker 2>oh three, but nine their only championship. You really should

0:16:38.680 --> 0:16:41.400
<v Speaker 2>have better representation from the nine team. You really should

0:16:41.480 --> 0:16:45.240
<v Speaker 2>have CC there. And look Jeter not being there as

0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:48.280
<v Speaker 2>just it's like if Joe Tomagio Mickey Mannel didn't show up.

0:16:48.480 --> 0:16:53.560
<v Speaker 2>It just didn't happen. Okay, maddeningly still managing. So I

0:16:53.600 --> 0:16:56.280
<v Speaker 2>agree with you. It is lackluster and it reminds us

0:16:56.280 --> 0:16:58.720
<v Speaker 2>of death. All right, guys, I'll see you after the

0:16:58.760 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 2>game tonight.

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:02.800
<v Speaker 3>Enjoy your day. I'll see you next time. Hey, thanks

0:17:02.800 --> 0:17:03.240
<v Speaker 3>for watching.

0:17:03.240 --> 0:17:05.000
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0:17:05.040 --> 0:17:08.960
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0:17:09.160 --> 0:17:12.719
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0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:17.760
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0:17:17.840 --> 0:17:21.200
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0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:23.720
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0:17:23.760 --> 0:17:25.520
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0:17:25.600 --> 0:17:26.440
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