1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,720
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

2
00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:06,720
Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

3
00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:12,200
Speaker 3: Spreading the corn.

4
00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,800
Speaker 1: Ten seconds of any then just go show me under

5
00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:16,280
Speaker 1: the basket.

6
00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:17,760
Speaker 2: Under the basket, it's.

7
00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:24,439
Speaker 1: The truit for the wind God. A miracle. I chuck

8
00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:26,480
Speaker 1: the water hit.

9
00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:30,720
Speaker 2: That one from the parking lot. Welcome back to another

10
00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:34,239
Speaker 2: episode of the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

11
00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:37,680
Speaker 2: bet MGM. It is a Wednesday episode that means it's

12
00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:40,560
Speaker 2: the Weave Crew. I am your host this week, Jim Root,

13
00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:44,440
Speaker 2: joined by the other two members, Kai McEwan and Matthew Cox.

14
00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:48,599
Speaker 2: We are here every midweek Wednesday, with Stucky and Co.

15
00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,680
Speaker 2: Taking the Monday and Friday episodes. We're taking you through

16
00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:55,120
Speaker 2: the Wednesday and Thursday slates with a handful of segments,

17
00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:58,080
Speaker 2: mainly the Live Dog of the Week, the Power Games

18
00:00:58,080 --> 00:01:00,400
Speaker 2: of the Week, the mid Major Games of the Week,

19
00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:03,720
Speaker 2: the trash Man Pick of the Week, and a spotlight

20
00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:07,320
Speaker 2: section at the end. Fellas, let's get right into it.

21
00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:09,880
Speaker 2: Let's dive in. Let's look at the Live Dogs of

22
00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:22,360
Speaker 2: the week. Where First, a recap of last week. Ah,

23
00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:26,280
Speaker 2: not as strong as we had done previously. I believe

24
00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:29,319
Speaker 2: we swept the board last last time we had recapped

25
00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:32,720
Speaker 2: not so true this time. Saint John's nope, excuse me,

26
00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:37,839
Speaker 2: Saint Joe's nope. Delaware, no, Northern Iowa, no Western Kentucky.

27
00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:40,080
Speaker 2: Almost got there for both of you guys. They lost

28
00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:43,800
Speaker 2: an overtime, big bummer. At least they covered Ky. We're

29
00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:45,160
Speaker 2: gonna find winners this week, right.

30
00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:51,760
Speaker 3: Yes, absolutely guaranteed. If they don't cover, Matt will let

31
00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:53,840
Speaker 3: you live in his apartment for free.

32
00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:58,680
Speaker 1: Confirmed. We've already already excavated the back off his annex.

33
00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:01,880
Speaker 1: Kais souplony. His face'll be roomy not to have a

34
00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:02,760
Speaker 1: punishment if you don't.

35
00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,320
Speaker 2: Okay, yeaht's Matt's always traveling all over the world anyways,

36
00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:07,480
Speaker 2: he can airb and be his place if need be.

37
00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,280
Speaker 2: Don't you worry, folks, So you could be friends with

38
00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:14,400
Speaker 2: Kaina in downtown Chicago. Okay, let's look at Wednesday. Got

39
00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:16,120
Speaker 2: a couple I picked out here. We'll see if they

40
00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:20,960
Speaker 2: intrigue my co hosts here, Providence plus eight at Yukon,

41
00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:26,440
Speaker 2: Syracuse plus five at Clemson, and Temple plus eight at Cincinnati.

42
00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:30,320
Speaker 2: Start with the Friars. A relentless underdog. Ed Cooley is

43
00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,480
Speaker 2: one of the best ATS coaches as an underdog just

44
00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:37,120
Speaker 2: a hair above sixty percent in his career at Providence

45
00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:39,120
Speaker 2: on a very large sample size, So you have to

46
00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:41,919
Speaker 2: think they're going to compete. Yukon hasn't been the same

47
00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:45,239
Speaker 2: team as of late. Looking at Syracuse and Clemson, Matt,

48
00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:47,000
Speaker 2: Clemson just lost the Louisville So if you don't think

49
00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,880
Speaker 2: they can lose this game, you're crazy. They can lose

50
00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:53,720
Speaker 2: to anyone not the elite ACC squad they appeared. And

51
00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:56,680
Speaker 2: I know my friend Matt is high on Syracuse as

52
00:02:56,680 --> 00:02:58,600
Speaker 2: a potential bi low candidates. We'll see if we can

53
00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:00,919
Speaker 2: talk him into the money line there. And then Temple

54
00:03:00,919 --> 00:03:03,680
Speaker 2: and Cincinnati. Look, Temple's one at Houston, they have this

55
00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:06,800
Speaker 2: in their range of outcomes. They are an erratic up

56
00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:09,480
Speaker 2: and down team, and sometimes that's what you're looking for

57
00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:12,519
Speaker 2: with a money lined dog. The big question is Caleb Battle.

58
00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:16,040
Speaker 2: He's been out due to personal reasons. His status is TBD. Matt,

59
00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:18,440
Speaker 2: going to you, any one of these really jump out

60
00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,480
Speaker 2: to you as a strong candidate this week?

61
00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:23,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, Providence does for sure. Jim, you said you had

62
00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:26,240
Speaker 1: a Cooley at over sixty percent. I think I have

63
00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:30,320
Speaker 1: him at fifty seven percent from twenty six, two thousand

64
00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:33,240
Speaker 1: and six and forward regardless his.

65
00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:35,760
Speaker 3: I think it's over.

66
00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:37,920
Speaker 2: Sixty at Providence if you take out the Fairfield day.

67
00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:41,040
Speaker 1: Okay, gotcha, got you catch it? Okay. Still yeah, his

68
00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,640
Speaker 1: moo holds up here and you can well. I think

69
00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:45,960
Speaker 1: they're maybe trending back in the right direction. I think

70
00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,920
Speaker 1: they're a little bit of an overvalued team in the market. Still,

71
00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:52,280
Speaker 1: so they're not They're a team I'm willing to play

72
00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:54,680
Speaker 1: on the ed Koley transit dog there, Kay, So I'm

73
00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:58,200
Speaker 1: taking Providence. Don't trust Temple, and even though I like Syracuse,

74
00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:00,720
Speaker 1: I don't think that's enough of a enough value At

75
00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:03,160
Speaker 1: plus five money lining and Clemson, I.

76
00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:06,240
Speaker 3: Would consider Providence. It's not going to be eight that

77
00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,880
Speaker 3: spreads enormous. I would definitely take Providence as a dog

78
00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:12,600
Speaker 3: in that sense. Plus eight, I don't see the spread

79
00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,440
Speaker 3: being that high. But yeah, Providence beat you come by

80
00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:17,960
Speaker 3: devile digits earlier this season. They could certainly do it again.

81
00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:20,320
Speaker 3: I'm not going to endorse it officially for the show

82
00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:23,640
Speaker 3: money line. I do like Temple if Battle is in

83
00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:27,719
Speaker 3: the lineup, because when Battle and Done are on the court,

84
00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:30,200
Speaker 3: no one can really stop him. They're two of the

85
00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:33,560
Speaker 3: best guards in this conference. The American and Cincinnati has

86
00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,240
Speaker 3: had its faults. They've certainly been better as of late.

87
00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:39,440
Speaker 3: But Victor lock In I think came back last game.

88
00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:42,480
Speaker 3: Still not excuse me, he did not come back last

89
00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:44,719
Speaker 3: game if he saw a lineup. He's a big piece

90
00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:48,120
Speaker 3: of Sinsey and Jamill Reynolds for Temple can really take

91
00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,200
Speaker 3: advantage if he's out of the game. So I think

92
00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:52,920
Speaker 3: towards Temple as a money line dog, I'm taking it.

93
00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:55,520
Speaker 2: Jim there you go. You go jump on Temple. Matt

94
00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:59,120
Speaker 2: here out. I'll clarify Coolly as a road dog is

95
00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:02,360
Speaker 2: sixty points five percent yeah in his career, so maybe

96
00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:03,840
Speaker 2: not as strong as a home doog, but hey, he's

97
00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:05,719
Speaker 2: on the road here, so that that works out well

98
00:05:05,720 --> 00:05:08,640
Speaker 2: for us. I would tend to agree. Given the form

99
00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:11,479
Speaker 2: that Yukon has showed recently, I doubt that they're laying

100
00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:13,919
Speaker 2: eight in that spot, so maybe the money line value

101
00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:15,880
Speaker 2: comes down a little bit. But actually I am going to

102
00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:19,000
Speaker 2: ride with the Friars. I feel strong enough that they'll

103
00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:24,000
Speaker 2: compete with their physicality and the paint, and given that,

104
00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:26,200
Speaker 2: you know, give me a close game, it's worth taking

105
00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:28,560
Speaker 2: a little bit of a shot. Splitting my bed between

106
00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:32,120
Speaker 2: spread and money line there not no Syracuse.

107
00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:35,039
Speaker 1: No Syracuse plus seven maybe converted his money line, but

108
00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,320
Speaker 1: plus five a little more four points to five value there,

109
00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:38,400
Speaker 1: So don't trusty from home.

110
00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:41,040
Speaker 2: Unfortunately, that's you know, when you lose too little, like

111
00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:44,520
Speaker 2: Clemson did, your analytical value goes down and your spreads

112
00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:49,160
Speaker 2: get smaller. Okay, let's look at Thursday. Ucla is on

113
00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:52,440
Speaker 2: the road at Utah, so Utah getting five points at

114
00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:57,680
Speaker 2: elevation there, Northwestern plus five at Illinois. The Purple Cats

115
00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:00,360
Speaker 2: are rolling right now. They're trying to sweep the line.

116
00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:02,920
Speaker 2: I get an in state sweep over Brad Underwood's club.

117
00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:06,840
Speaker 2: And Northeastern plus eight at Drexel. Don't look now, guys,

118
00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,279
Speaker 2: but Northeastern has won two in a row, very easily

119
00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:12,520
Speaker 2: blown out two opponents, and Drexel's lost three in a row.

120
00:06:12,680 --> 00:06:16,120
Speaker 2: Amary Williams got hurt this last game. They lost to

121
00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:18,840
Speaker 2: Hampton without him, so you know they can lose to

122
00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:22,760
Speaker 2: Northeastern as well. Kile, we'll start with you here between

123
00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,240
Speaker 2: these three, do any jump out at you for the

124
00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:26,240
Speaker 2: Thursday sleep.

125
00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:29,520
Speaker 3: Ah man, I'm tired of fading Drexel. It has not

126
00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:32,080
Speaker 3: gone well for me. I know they just lost to Hampton,

127
00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:35,960
Speaker 3: But gosh, that's the team I can't figure out UCLA.

128
00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:40,200
Speaker 3: Maybe I think they're pretty much run running into form though,

129
00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:41,839
Speaker 3: and I think they're a top five team in the country,

130
00:06:42,360 --> 00:06:44,800
Speaker 3: so fading them scares me. But I do like the

131
00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:48,600
Speaker 3: Purple Cats Northwestern. Why not, Man, they've been playing so

132
00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:51,640
Speaker 3: well lately. I don't mind riding a train one more

133
00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:55,400
Speaker 3: time with them. At an Illinois team that, frankly is

134
00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:58,960
Speaker 3: a little bit erratic. They certainly have the ability to

135
00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:02,599
Speaker 3: lay a stinker. Saw one live at Illinois against Indiana

136
00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:07,880
Speaker 3: and Northwestern there they're nothing. If they aren't steady, they

137
00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:10,720
Speaker 3: they're just rock solid. They don't make a lot of mistakes,

138
00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,560
Speaker 3: and their backcourt's been great lately. So I like Northwestern gym.

139
00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:16,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Illinois fans are driven nuts, but they're like,

140
00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:18,400
Speaker 2: we don't know what team is going to show up.

141
00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:20,320
Speaker 2: We have no idea which Illinois version is going to

142
00:07:20,360 --> 00:07:23,040
Speaker 2: show up in March, and Matt, I believe Terren Shannon

143
00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,760
Speaker 2: is still out for that game, still in concussion protocol,

144
00:07:25,800 --> 00:07:28,480
Speaker 2: So that tilted even more towards Northwestern. This line could

145
00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:30,640
Speaker 2: be lower than four. Maybe this is only like plus

146
00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:33,040
Speaker 2: one fifty. What about you though, any of these three

147
00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:34,080
Speaker 2: games jumping out to you.

148
00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:37,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I still don't like Northwestern there because of the

149
00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:40,679
Speaker 1: big ten at home angle. It's just been so freaking

150
00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:42,880
Speaker 1: strong so far this season, and then they played well

151
00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:45,200
Speaker 1: without Shannony at Iu. I mean you're almost beat the

152
00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,640
Speaker 1: Hoosiers at Assembly and they then the Hoosiers are playing

153
00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:50,280
Speaker 1: as well as anyone right now. Utah don't trust him

154
00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:51,960
Speaker 1: without Gay Matts and just haven't be a different team

155
00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:54,280
Speaker 1: since he's been out. I like Northeastern though, right I

156
00:07:54,320 --> 00:07:55,720
Speaker 1: think it's a team that you're getting in an all

157
00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:58,480
Speaker 1: time by low. There's been some lineup changes. I think

158
00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:00,600
Speaker 1: Bill Collens may there. And then you're catching Drexel, who

159
00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:02,400
Speaker 1: is a complete different team without Maury Williams. I mean

160
00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:04,160
Speaker 1: he's their anchor up front. Without them, they have like

161
00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:07,120
Speaker 1: no defensive backbone. So that could be like a really

162
00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:10,440
Speaker 1: sharp pointing comment versus really sharp falling knife there at

163
00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:12,280
Speaker 1: Northeastern drex Sol. I kind of like that ANNG especially

164
00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:13,600
Speaker 1: you're getting plus seven or plus eight.

165
00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:17,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, Williams being out would be the point for me there.

166
00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:19,960
Speaker 2: Justin Moore has been out, Jamie Bergens has been out too.

167
00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:22,640
Speaker 2: They're better backcourt creators like that team is really really

168
00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:26,120
Speaker 2: limited right now by injuries, So if they're going to

169
00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:29,360
Speaker 2: stay that shorthanded, I think Northeastern's worth a shot there

170
00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:32,120
Speaker 2: in the season finale. Of course, that will be senior

171
00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:34,960
Speaker 2: Day for Drexel, but I believe they're only saying goodbye

172
00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:38,040
Speaker 2: to two or three players, none of those those injured guys.

173
00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,319
Speaker 2: So we'll see how that one pans out. But any

174
00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:42,679
Speaker 2: others you guys, that you have looked through seen on

175
00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:45,800
Speaker 2: the Wednesday or Thursday slate that intrigue you. I know,

176
00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:48,640
Speaker 2: I only picked out six of these possible games. There's

177
00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:51,360
Speaker 2: a lot of these moneyline dog spots in conference play.

178
00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:53,839
Speaker 2: Now I'll go to you first. Anything that jumped out.

179
00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:56,360
Speaker 1: I looked at Mercer versus Furman because I'm sick and

180
00:08:56,440 --> 00:09:00,160
Speaker 1: I still have this weird affinity for Mercer as a

181
00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:02,040
Speaker 1: team with high upside. I think we agree that they

182
00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:05,760
Speaker 1: can They're good, is still very good, and o Furman's

183
00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:07,320
Speaker 1: been kind of a mini juggernaut, but it's a team

184
00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:09,679
Speaker 1: that's prone to letdowns, right losing at home to the Citadel.

185
00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:12,920
Speaker 1: So I think Mercer, you're going to catch probably twelve

186
00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:16,160
Speaker 1: thirteen points. I mean, you get a really juicy price there.

187
00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:17,480
Speaker 1: I think it'd be worth a Flargen. That's the only

188
00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:18,640
Speaker 1: one that really popped at me though. In the mid

189
00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:20,240
Speaker 1: major them for Wednesday.

190
00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:22,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, Furman needs to win out to win the SoCon.

191
00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:25,520
Speaker 2: They've got to beat Mercer there and then win at Sanford.

192
00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,199
Speaker 2: So there are very high stakes for them. But look

193
00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:29,200
Speaker 2: they needed to do that when they beat Or when

194
00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:31,280
Speaker 2: they lost to the Citadel. And yeah they also almost

195
00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:32,920
Speaker 2: lost it home to East Tennessee State as like a

196
00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:35,440
Speaker 2: thirteen point favorite, So I can see that, Matt. They

197
00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:38,360
Speaker 2: have not been super convincing at times. Kay, what about you?

198
00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:38,960
Speaker 2: Anything else?

199
00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:43,840
Speaker 3: I consider Pepperdine at Santa Clara, But then I realized, oh,

200
00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:47,000
Speaker 3: Pepperdine on the road not great. Oh Pepperdine in general

201
00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:50,320
Speaker 3: not great. They just have they had the upside still

202
00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:54,520
Speaker 3: offensively to pull a major upset, but I just don't

203
00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:56,400
Speaker 3: think romar is it. I don't think the team chemistry

204
00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:58,920
Speaker 3: is it. So I stayed away. There just Temple in

205
00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:00,360
Speaker 3: Northwestern from me, Jim that.

206
00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:03,319
Speaker 2: Roster it's so talented for Pepperdine, but the Waves have

207
00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:06,719
Speaker 2: not really lived up to the talent level. Yeah, so

208
00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:09,319
Speaker 2: to recap Kai, you are going with Temple and Northwestern?

209
00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:09,880
Speaker 2: Is that correct?

210
00:10:10,280 --> 00:10:10,720
Speaker 3: Correct?

211
00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:12,719
Speaker 2: Matthew? Where you going?

212
00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:14,559
Speaker 1: Providence Northeastern?

213
00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:17,600
Speaker 2: I'm gonna do a little combination plate of your guys

214
00:10:18,280 --> 00:10:22,760
Speaker 2: offerings Providence, Northeastern, and Northwestern. So the north blank Stern

215
00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:26,480
Speaker 2: combination there, I think it's worth it. I think splitting

216
00:10:26,520 --> 00:10:28,959
Speaker 2: between spread money line and those. Again, we'll see what

217
00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:31,199
Speaker 2: the Northwestern price ends up being with Arren Shannon out

218
00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:34,319
Speaker 2: and the way Northwestern is trending, But those are the

219
00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:36,719
Speaker 2: ones I'm going with. All right. Our next segment that

220
00:10:36,760 --> 00:10:39,760
Speaker 2: I actually forgot to mention in the opening that is

221
00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:43,199
Speaker 2: Blowout City, and I gotta say I'm very fond of

222
00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:45,160
Speaker 2: the two I picked out here, so hopefully I can

223
00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:55,160
Speaker 2: convince you guys last week Louisville did not get crushed

224
00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,719
Speaker 2: by Virginia. They hung around, avoided being crock potted, so

225
00:10:59,080 --> 00:11:03,040
Speaker 2: hat tipped to the Cardinals, and Hostra did destroy Hampton.

226
00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:06,520
Speaker 2: Hostra is just completely rolling down the stretch and CAAA

227
00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:09,360
Speaker 2: play well straight up and against the spread. So hey,

228
00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:13,000
Speaker 2: if you see the pride on your betting slip, you're

229
00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:15,960
Speaker 2: betting Menu. Maybe worth betting Hostra because they've got one

230
00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:18,960
Speaker 2: more win to clinch that regular season title. But guys,

231
00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:23,600
Speaker 2: for our blowout city Wednesday, I've got Maryland laying eighteen

232
00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:27,440
Speaker 2: at home against Minnesota and Thursday Gonzaga laying twenty at

233
00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:30,000
Speaker 2: home to San Diego. Here's why I like those two.

234
00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:32,959
Speaker 2: Maryland is a juggernaut at home, no surprise, we know this,

235
00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:35,800
Speaker 2: eleven to four against the spread plus two cover margin.

236
00:11:36,280 --> 00:11:38,080
Speaker 2: If you take out the UCLA game where they got

237
00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:40,480
Speaker 2: smashed by an elite team, the cover margin goes up

238
00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:43,040
Speaker 2: to like six a game. They are fully capable of

239
00:11:43,120 --> 00:11:47,000
Speaker 2: destroying teams. And Minnesota is on a very tough short turnaround.

240
00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:49,480
Speaker 2: They played at Illinois on Monday, they have to go

241
00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,719
Speaker 2: out to College Park, two time zone away, four to

242
00:11:52,760 --> 00:11:55,400
Speaker 2: eight hours later. I think that's a terrible spot for them.

243
00:11:55,960 --> 00:11:59,600
Speaker 2: So I like Maryland there and on Thursday, Gonzaga playing

244
00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:02,560
Speaker 2: a short handed team that already doesn't play any defense.

245
00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:07,160
Speaker 2: That would be San Diego the Torrero's and Gonzagas still

246
00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:10,320
Speaker 2: has the implications of the tiebreaker atop the WCC, which

247
00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:13,880
Speaker 2: is the net. They're trailing Saint Mary's in the net

248
00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:16,760
Speaker 2: by a few spots, so a blowout wind really really

249
00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:21,720
Speaker 2: benefits them. There's the incentive. Matt I found two favorites

250
00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:23,600
Speaker 2: that I like. Do you side with either of them?

251
00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:27,840
Speaker 1: Here's why I don't like Minnesota. Dawson Garcia's back. They've

252
00:12:27,880 --> 00:12:30,559
Speaker 1: been a different team with him back. Yes, the spot

253
00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:32,360
Speaker 1: is terrible, and I think they actually couldn't negate the

254
00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:35,560
Speaker 1: Garcia factor. But the fact that they have been competitive

255
00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:37,679
Speaker 1: against Illinois and Penn State two straight games makes me

256
00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:39,679
Speaker 1: think that they could be a little bit undervalued right now.

257
00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:42,240
Speaker 1: So I steer it clear that when gonzagaz still feels

258
00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:43,640
Speaker 1: too many for a defense, I don't all the way

259
00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:45,840
Speaker 1: trust I know San Diego won't be able to reguard

260
00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:49,040
Speaker 1: the Zags. Worry about the Zags letting off. They're letting

261
00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:50,280
Speaker 1: the foot off the gas. The one I do like

262
00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:53,880
Speaker 1: Jim off the board. If if I may, Drake hosting

263
00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:56,400
Speaker 1: Illinois State, who's been a dumpster fire lately, and Drake

264
00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:58,640
Speaker 1: has been the mini juggernaut that we saw in the

265
00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:00,679
Speaker 1: non con two seasons ago, I think they keep it

266
00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,559
Speaker 1: going here as we head closer toward Arch madness in

267
00:13:03,600 --> 00:13:04,319
Speaker 1: Saint Louis Kai.

268
00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:08,440
Speaker 2: I'm going to rebut Matthew's point on Minnesota. I'm gonna

269
00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:11,080
Speaker 2: push back a little. Yes, they were decent in those

270
00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:13,319
Speaker 2: two games, but they were playing shorthanded Illinois, who we

271
00:13:13,520 --> 00:13:15,439
Speaker 2: just talked about is super erratic. They did not have

272
00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,920
Speaker 2: tern Shannon so great hung around there and look Penn

273
00:13:18,960 --> 00:13:20,959
Speaker 2: State at home losing by eight. I'm not like super

274
00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:24,319
Speaker 2: blown away by that performance. That's not some great Shakes

275
00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:28,160
Speaker 2: unstoppable juggernaut. So I think Maryland at home is still

276
00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:30,640
Speaker 2: a good bet. Kai, did I convince you on either one?

277
00:13:30,720 --> 00:13:32,440
Speaker 2: Are you going with Matt's bet there?

278
00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:35,959
Speaker 3: I'm going Zag's for sure. I think they destroy San

279
00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:39,480
Speaker 3: Diego for the points you mentioned San Diego. Their defense

280
00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:42,199
Speaker 3: is terrible, and Gonzaga, the best office in the country,

281
00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:45,040
Speaker 3: will score it will. Mark Few is very aware where

282
00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:46,800
Speaker 3: the net stands right now. He knows he needs to

283
00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,520
Speaker 3: blow them out. Not that he's not going to try anyways,

284
00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:53,640
Speaker 3: but I think it's a little extra motivation. I actually

285
00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:58,000
Speaker 3: lean towards Minnesota against Maryland. The first game, Maryland was

286
00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:01,320
Speaker 3: up by forty two points against Minnesota. Garcia wasn't there,

287
00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:04,079
Speaker 3: Carringson wasn't there. That game played sixty one possessions, So

288
00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,959
Speaker 3: Minnesota succeeded in making it a slog. They just didn't

289
00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:10,280
Speaker 3: have the talent or the shooting that night. It was brutal.

290
00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:13,160
Speaker 3: I don't think Minnesota's gonna win, but eighteen points a lot,

291
00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:15,880
Speaker 3: so I'd probably in towards them covering in a game

292
00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:17,320
Speaker 3: that could play sixty possessions.

293
00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:21,160
Speaker 2: Folks, these two are crazy going against big ten home

294
00:14:21,240 --> 00:14:24,400
Speaker 2: court there. I believe the Illinois spread on Ken Poet

295
00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:26,960
Speaker 2: seventeen and it ended up being fourteen and a half

296
00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,280
Speaker 2: in real life. So does it get more intriguing if

297
00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:31,280
Speaker 2: it's down at like fifteen to fifteen and a half

298
00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:32,360
Speaker 2: here instead of eighteen.

299
00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:34,320
Speaker 3: I think that's because of Shannon, though I don't think

300
00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:38,040
Speaker 3: it'll be that. I think it'll be eighteen, all right, Yeah, Okay.

301
00:14:38,760 --> 00:14:41,200
Speaker 2: Before we move into our next segment, that would be

302
00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,560
Speaker 2: Power Game of the Week, we're gonna get a word

303
00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:47,320
Speaker 2: from our sponsor. College basketball season is in full swing,

304
00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:50,280
Speaker 2: so get in on the action with the King of Sportsbooks.

305
00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:53,440
Speaker 2: Sign up with bet MGM using bonus code action and

306
00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:57,480
Speaker 2: receive first bet insurance up to one thousand dollars. Visit

307
00:14:57,560 --> 00:15:04,280
Speaker 2: BETMGM dot com for terms and conditions. Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada,

308
00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:07,600
Speaker 2: New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Tennessee, Virginia, Washington,

309
00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:10,600
Speaker 2: d C, West Virginia, Wyoming, or Ontario only. Must be

310
00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:13,160
Speaker 2: twenty one year old with wager nineteen or older. In Ontario,

311
00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:16,480
Speaker 2: New custom offer only. All promotions are subject to qualification

312
00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:19,800
Speaker 2: and eligibility agreements. Rewards issued as non withdrawable free bets

313
00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:22,360
Speaker 2: or site credit free bets expire seven days from issue,

314
00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:27,360
Speaker 2: and this excludes Michigan dissociated persons. Please gamble responsibly. Gambling

315
00:15:27,440 --> 00:15:29,800
Speaker 2: problem called one hundred next step in Arizona, one hundred

316
00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,360
Speaker 2: and five two two forty seven hundred in Colorado, d C, Kansas,

317
00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:35,000
Speaker 2: Louisiana and Nevada, Wyoming or Virginia. One eight hundred and

318
00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:37,240
Speaker 2: twenty seven h seven to one one seven for confidential

319
00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:40,320
Speaker 2: help in Michigan one in hundred gambler in Indiana, Maryland,

320
00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:42,360
Speaker 2: New Jersey or West Virginia one eight hundred bets off

321
00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:45,000
Speaker 2: in Iowa one eight hundred nine eight one two to

322
00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:48,000
Speaker 2: three in Puerto Rico called eight seven seven eight Hope

323
00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:50,000
Speaker 2: and hy or text hope and Y in New York,

324
00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:52,400
Speaker 2: call or text to Tennessee redline at eight hundred and

325
00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:54,200
Speaker 2: eight eight nine nine seven eight nine are called one

326
00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,560
Speaker 2: eight eight eight seven seven seven nine six ninety six

327
00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,240
Speaker 2: in Mississippi. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns

328
00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:01,560
Speaker 2: about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact

329
00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:05,360
Speaker 2: Connects Ontario at one eight sixty six five six hundred

330
00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:07,680
Speaker 2: to speak to an advisor free of charge. Sports betting

331
00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:09,680
Speaker 2: is void in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states

332
00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:12,920
Speaker 2: were prohibited. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York.

333
00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:19,200
Speaker 2: All right, guys, power Game of the Week. Next segment. Oh,

334
00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:24,800
Speaker 2: I could feel this is typically the showcase great matchups

335
00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:27,800
Speaker 2: at the top of the country. We typically have a

336
00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:29,880
Speaker 2: Big twelve game here, but the Big twelve front load

337
00:16:29,920 --> 00:16:33,280
Speaker 2: of their schedule on Big Monday and Super Tuesday. So

338
00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:36,880
Speaker 2: don't have a great slate here. We already discussed Providence

339
00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:39,360
Speaker 2: at Yukon of Western Illinois. You say, like Utah a

340
00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:42,040
Speaker 2: little bit. Those could be argued as maybe the three

341
00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:44,120
Speaker 2: best games of Wednesday and Thursday. So we're going to

342
00:16:44,160 --> 00:16:46,600
Speaker 2: go to some sort of more off the radar big

343
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:52,400
Speaker 2: bubble implications, starting with Iowa at Wisconsin. Badgers are really

344
00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:56,720
Speaker 2: against Wall here basically exactly on the cut line. Any

345
00:16:56,760 --> 00:16:58,800
Speaker 2: bracketology you look at, they're probably the last team in

346
00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:01,920
Speaker 2: or the first team out. They are living dangerously at

347
00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:05,239
Speaker 2: the stage. They just lost it home to short handed Rutgers. Kay,

348
00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:08,120
Speaker 2: can they get it done against Iowa once again? Big

349
00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:11,280
Speaker 2: ten home court, which is sixty eight and forty one

350
00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:13,479
Speaker 2: against the spread this year. Are you going to buy

351
00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:14,280
Speaker 2: in on the Badgers?

352
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:18,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a short number, and Iowa is three and

353
00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:21,000
Speaker 3: six against the spread. As a road team, they're not

354
00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:23,960
Speaker 3: as good away from home. But gosh, I'm kind of

355
00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:24,919
Speaker 3: done with Wisconsin.

356
00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:26,320
Speaker 2: What are we doing it?

357
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,600
Speaker 3: We just did this, guys, We just did this dance.

358
00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:34,120
Speaker 3: The Rutgers loss was disappointing. Rutgers no McConnell, no mag

359
00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:38,320
Speaker 3: and still won that game against Wisconsin. That's ridiculous. Not

360
00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:42,240
Speaker 3: to mention Wisconsin beat Iowa in their first matchup that

361
00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:45,520
Speaker 3: was at Iowa. Iowa didn't have Chris Murray. Didn't have

362
00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:47,480
Speaker 3: Chris Murray in that game. So I do think Iowa

363
00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:50,560
Speaker 3: comes out looking for blood here, and I think Wisconsin

364
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:53,320
Speaker 3: season effectively ends with this game.

365
00:17:54,280 --> 00:17:57,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, Iowa by seven. I mean, it's hard to really

366
00:17:57,280 --> 00:18:00,520
Speaker 1: beat Wisconsin badly. I just think they're outclassed Big Ten.

367
00:18:01,119 --> 00:18:03,600
Speaker 1: I think we learned quickly what Big ten teams are

368
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:06,520
Speaker 1: really bad, and it's the ones that can't really defend

369
00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:09,160
Speaker 1: their home court consistently at all, especially in good spots.

370
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:11,119
Speaker 1: I think that was sort of a telltale sign the

371
00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:14,840
Speaker 1: Rutgers deflation. So yeah, I'm all out on Iowa here, Jim.

372
00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:17,280
Speaker 2: Interesting. Wow, just a note.

373
00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:19,720
Speaker 3: Wisconsin three to nine against the spread at home. They're

374
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:21,120
Speaker 3: the exception to the Big ten rule.

375
00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:22,960
Speaker 1: They're just are good. They're just bad.

376
00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:25,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, they have nine Q one Q two wins.

377
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:25,800
Speaker 1: Met.

378
00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:28,200
Speaker 2: Somehow they have managed to be good enough to be

379
00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:30,040
Speaker 2: where they're at. So it's so really funny. I feel

380
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:31,639
Speaker 2: like every show we do, Met's like, all right, I'm

381
00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:33,800
Speaker 2: done going against Big ten home. And then we talked

382
00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:36,080
Speaker 2: about like three Big ten games. I like their road team.

383
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:39,639
Speaker 2: I like their road team. That's okay, we love our Matthew.

384
00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:42,640
Speaker 2: The other one I want to talk about is Kentucky

385
00:18:42,800 --> 00:18:47,560
Speaker 2: at Florida. Florida maybe trending way down here. Ken Pom

386
00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:50,720
Speaker 2: has the spread minus too. I would wager very comfortably

387
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:53,520
Speaker 2: that Kentucky is favored with no Colin Castleton since he

388
00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:56,399
Speaker 2: broke his hands. Florida's first game without him, they got

389
00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:59,520
Speaker 2: smashed at Arkansas. Just no chance on the road there.

390
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:03,440
Speaker 2: Kentucky actually trending up a little bit, Matt. This is

391
00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:08,800
Speaker 2: a golden opportunity, uh, Golden Florida coach, golden opportunity for

392
00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:12,040
Speaker 2: a Q one win for the Wildcats. Continue to shore

393
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:15,080
Speaker 2: up that resume, and you're playing a team that's shorthanded,

394
00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:16,840
Speaker 2: but it's still gonna be comfortably a Q one win

395
00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:19,600
Speaker 2: on the road, and they took care of them at

396
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:22,680
Speaker 2: Rup with Castleton in the lineup. Why shouldn't we back

397
00:19:22,800 --> 00:19:24,159
Speaker 2: big Blue Nation here now?

398
00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:26,240
Speaker 1: I think we should. I've been a Florida backer most

399
00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,399
Speaker 1: of the season, stubborn lay. The market's been shading their

400
00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:32,240
Speaker 1: way pretty can you see their odds maker opener prices

401
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,800
Speaker 1: and early market bet into prices always Q higher in

402
00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 1: the what Kempom and Bart Torrik have them set at.

403
00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:40,680
Speaker 1: But here without Castleton, different team. I think they're a

404
00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:42,640
Speaker 1: hard sell at this point Kentucky, right, I know it's

405
00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:45,760
Speaker 1: gonna be a hostle environment. Big opportunity for mister Golden

406
00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:47,119
Speaker 1: to get a key win there, kind of write the

407
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:50,680
Speaker 1: ship after a frustrating season, is cillin the Cats get done?

408
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:54,239
Speaker 3: Though? I did too. Without Castleton, there's no hope here.

409
00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:57,080
Speaker 3: Game one, he had twenty five points eight boards for

410
00:19:57,200 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 3: Florida in a losing effort. She Boys stat that game

411
00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:04,199
Speaker 3: he was two for fourteen from two she way two

412
00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:07,720
Speaker 3: for fourteen. The guy works around the bucket. Yeah, total anomaly.

413
00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:12,120
Speaker 3: Caston's gone or doesn't have them. I think it's Kentucky

414
00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:13,560
Speaker 3: by a fair margin in this game.

415
00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,560
Speaker 2: Yep, big agree. I like Kentucky. I think unfortunately Florida's

416
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:19,879
Speaker 2: playing out the string a little bit. And everything they

417
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:23,800
Speaker 2: did well interior defense, playing through the post, getting out

418
00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:26,240
Speaker 2: and passing out of double teams with Castleton getting attention,

419
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:29,199
Speaker 2: it was all based on Castleton. I don't know how

420
00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:32,119
Speaker 2: they score. They cannot shoot the ball, and their defense

421
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:35,240
Speaker 2: is way more vulnerable without a mobile shot blocker the

422
00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 2: way Castleton is. So Yep, I'm with Kentucky there. I

423
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 2: think they take money. I could see that game closing

424
00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:43,000
Speaker 2: like Kentucky minus three, and I would still probably take

425
00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:46,160
Speaker 2: the Wildcats. We'll see and in the end of this show,

426
00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,720
Speaker 2: in the spotlight section, you'll hear the SEC home court

427
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:53,159
Speaker 2: not all that strong, so potentially an angle there, all right.

428
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,800
Speaker 2: Next up is mid major game of the week, have

429
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:59,199
Speaker 2: a few to highlight here. Top of the board, New

430
00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 2: Mexico at Boise State. On Wednesday, the Broncos lank six

431
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:07,160
Speaker 2: at home at Taco Bell Arena in Boise. Great name

432
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:09,760
Speaker 2: on that. New Mexico has fallen to the outside looking

433
00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:13,320
Speaker 2: in of the bracket. They need wins here. They need

434
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:15,200
Speaker 2: to pick up a big one on the road. Marcus

435
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:18,160
Speaker 2: Shaver's back, hitting huge shots, doing what he does down

436
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:21,640
Speaker 2: the stretch. KAI, which team are you back in here

437
00:21:21,720 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 2: in the Mountain West, oh Man.

438
00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 3: I hope In Mexico wins this game, frankly because I

439
00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:29,920
Speaker 3: want them in the tournament. They were without Jalen House

440
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:32,600
Speaker 3: for two games. They drop both those games. Now, you

441
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,280
Speaker 3: shouldn't lose at home to Wyoming even without House, that

442
00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:37,720
Speaker 3: was a terrible loss. Even at air Force is a

443
00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 3: pretty bad loss. I hope they get the win here.

444
00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 3: They have the firepower to do it. And I think

445
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,399
Speaker 3: if they drop this one, certainly three games going forward.

446
00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:50,120
Speaker 3: But if they're hovering around five hundred come selection time

447
00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:52,840
Speaker 3: in the Mountain West, I don't think the committee's going

448
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:54,760
Speaker 3: to look kindly on that, especially when you're going to

449
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:57,879
Speaker 3: take at least three other Mountain West teams right now.

450
00:21:58,080 --> 00:22:00,600
Speaker 3: So New Mexico kind of needs this one. I am

451
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:01,920
Speaker 3: leaning their way in mat Yeah.

452
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:03,920
Speaker 1: I think if they win this game, though, it just

453
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:06,719
Speaker 1: puts more spotlight on me with and without Jayane House thing,

454
00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:08,159
Speaker 1: so I think it actually they could be like a

455
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,520
Speaker 1: slingshot effect in the committee's eyes if that eye test

456
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:12,359
Speaker 1: does come into play. I mean, they're all in for

457
00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:13,920
Speaker 1: this game. They have Bois and they have San Diego

458
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,240
Speaker 1: State at home this weekend. They're gonna get one of

459
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:17,359
Speaker 1: these two. They have to get one of these two.

460
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:19,200
Speaker 1: They've met a different team at home this season, no

461
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:20,480
Speaker 1: question about it. But I think they've been down the

462
00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,000
Speaker 1: road as well. They haven't been like this complete, you know,

463
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 1: one sided, you know, only protect your home core, can't

464
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:28,000
Speaker 1: translate it on the road. I think they actually get

465
00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,919
Speaker 1: this done. It's is a team that's still undervalued, right.

466
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:33,080
Speaker 1: They were undervalued early in conference play. They are I

467
00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:36,679
Speaker 1: think undervalued now because they were without House. I think

468
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:37,320
Speaker 1: six to too many.

469
00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 2: I think the Lobos on the road I agree, man,

470
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 2: they actually have been really solid on the road. One

471
00:22:42,080 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 2: at San Diego State, one at Saint Mary's. Should have

472
00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 2: won at Nevada if not for a ridiculous flagrant call

473
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:51,400
Speaker 2: in the final minute against Morrissey dese in overtime. So yeah,

474
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 2: I actually will be betting New Mexico. That's potentially a

475
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:57,920
Speaker 2: moneyline live dog of the week as well. Guys could

476
00:22:57,960 --> 00:22:58,960
Speaker 2: have been brought up in that section.

477
00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,639
Speaker 3: New Mexico five and one against the spread on the

478
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:07,400
Speaker 3: road plus thirteen cover margin plus thirteen that's a lot yep.

479
00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:11,159
Speaker 2: And what they just smoked San Jose State getting Jalen

480
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,479
Speaker 2: House back, yep. Just a totally different team with him

481
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:13,960
Speaker 2: in the lineup.

482
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:14,439
Speaker 1: All right.

483
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:16,520
Speaker 2: On Thursday, the other mid major game, We're going to

484
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:21,600
Speaker 2: highlight North Texas at Charlotte laye one in Conference USA.

485
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:25,360
Speaker 2: That is a spread per Ken Pom, A grinding tempo game,

486
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 2: two teams that really like to play in the half court.

487
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:32,119
Speaker 2: One hundred and thirteen projected points per mister Pomeroy. But

488
00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,800
Speaker 2: North Texas has climbed into the at large picture. They

489
00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,960
Speaker 2: are hanging around. This is a Q two win opportunity.

490
00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:42,880
Speaker 2: Charlotte fairly comfortably in Quadrant II on the road here, kid,

491
00:23:42,880 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 2: does North Texas start to solidify at least a somewhat

492
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,360
Speaker 2: of a case to make the committee think about them

493
00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:49,399
Speaker 2: on selection Sunday.

494
00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's kind of awesome. They're they're in the field

495
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:55,159
Speaker 3: discussion right now. They have twenty three wins if they

496
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:58,880
Speaker 3: beat Charlotte tomorrow and then finish up with winnable games

497
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:02,880
Speaker 3: Middle Tennessee, Western Tucky twenty six wins in that top

498
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 3: fifty is kim palm mark. That's gonna be really tough

499
00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:08,359
Speaker 3: to keep to keep them out of the tournament. I

500
00:24:08,840 --> 00:24:11,399
Speaker 3: forget always what the win record is for teams that

501
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:14,040
Speaker 3: have missed the Dance, But if North Texas grabs a

502
00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 3: couple of Conference USA tournament wins as well, say twenty

503
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 3: eight wins met, I think it was a real chance

504
00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:22,040
Speaker 3: they get in. And we always said Conference USA should

505
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:24,159
Speaker 3: be a two bid league anyways this season with FAU,

506
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:26,920
Speaker 3: so I'm hoping they get it done. I do like

507
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 3: them against Charlotte, I.

508
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:30,159
Speaker 1: Do too, Yeah, I mean Charlotte's last couple games, right,

509
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,200
Speaker 1: they play Louis in a tech without Kobe Williams, who's

510
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 1: basically just a totally different team. You know. O, We're

511
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 1: time to be Western Kentucky, who's been sort of a

512
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:40,280
Speaker 1: disappointment this season. I got blown out by North Texas

513
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:42,600
Speaker 1: the game before that, so yeah, I liked now Texas here.

514
00:24:43,200 --> 00:24:45,199
Speaker 1: I know there's some revenge, I guess, but I think

515
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 1: the mean can get it done.

516
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:49,760
Speaker 2: Can we just highlight that the first game between these

517
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:53,520
Speaker 2: two met you just mentioned had forty seven possessions O

518
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 2: my gosh, forty seven possessions in forty minutes, like.

519
00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 1: In black font on kem Pom's site. That's so bolded

520
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,240
Speaker 1: so like it's in. Yeah, it's an outlier. It's not

521
00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:03,760
Speaker 1: even almost physically possible.

522
00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:06,119
Speaker 2: It has to be the slowest game of the year.

523
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:08,040
Speaker 2: I mean, team's taking almost thirty seconds every time in

524
00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 2: the shot clock. Every offensive rebound they pull it out

525
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:14,840
Speaker 2: and take another twenty seconds. That is ludicrous. Forty seven possessions.

526
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,639
Speaker 2: No Texas super comfortable at that pace. I like them

527
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 2: as well. I think they get to win on the road.

528
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:22,160
Speaker 3: They scored one point four to three points per possession

529
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 3: in that game North Texas and only hit.

530
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:28,400
Speaker 2: Sixty seven points. This was a juggernaut of an offensive

531
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:33,360
Speaker 2: performance despite scoring sixty seven points. Yeah, totally absurd. If

532
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,159
Speaker 2: you have like morbid curiosity about that, I think that

533
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:38,440
Speaker 2: game is also worth watching there if you have a chance.

534
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, two of the slowest three teams in the country

535
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 3: by tempo this year.

536
00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:46,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, ludicrous. Forty seven possessions. That's insane. I can't even

537
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:48,919
Speaker 2: fathom it. All right, let's go to the trash man

538
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:51,159
Speaker 2: pick of the week. After we discussed the slowest game

539
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:53,840
Speaker 2: of the season, the trash man pick of the week.

540
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 1: I'm the trash man.

541
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:58,720
Speaker 2: Just throw me to trash your garbage, and you know it,

542
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 2: totally unreli anples of it, undependent of it.

543
00:26:01,680 --> 00:26:01,920
Speaker 3: That's it.

544
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:02,639
Speaker 1: You've been told off.

545
00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:03,240
Speaker 2: How do you like that?

546
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:03,880
Speaker 1: Good?

547
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,800
Speaker 2: This will not be a slow game, but I'm giving

548
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 2: mid majors a break here. We've kind of dunked on

549
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 2: the OVC and the NEC over and over again in

550
00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:16,480
Speaker 2: this section, Matt, I'm going to dunk on Saint John's

551
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:20,120
Speaker 2: and Georgetown. Saint John's laying five on the road at Georgetown.

552
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:23,119
Speaker 2: There won't be much defense in this game, so hey,

553
00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 2: at least there's points. But it's a trash man pick

554
00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 2: of the week because I don't think either coaches could

555
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:30,320
Speaker 2: be employed in a month. So that's why I'm kind

556
00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 2: of throwing throwing both these two to the wolves. Do

557
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 2: you see anything interesting about this matchup?

558
00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 1: I like Saint John's. They've been semi competitive I'll put

559
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:43,080
Speaker 1: semi underscore the caveat there. But the last three games

560
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:46,320
Speaker 1: David Jones back be Providence at home, beat to Paul

561
00:26:46,359 --> 00:26:49,679
Speaker 1: and DOUBLET on the road, and lost to Creighton by

562
00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:51,480
Speaker 1: ten at home. Not exactly a great effort, but you know,

563
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:55,359
Speaker 1: not incompetent Kai or Georgetown. Yes, they just be Butler

564
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:58,000
Speaker 1: or Butler. I still think there's they're a worst team

565
00:26:58,040 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 1: than Saint John's With David Jones.

566
00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 3: Back, Yeah, a leaning towards Saint John's as well. It's

567
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:05,280
Speaker 3: going to be sloppy. There's gonna be a lot of

568
00:27:05,359 --> 00:27:08,639
Speaker 3: dumb mistakes because both teams are not well coached. Frankly,

569
00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:13,480
Speaker 3: slight apologies to Mike Anderson there, but mostly Patrick Ewing.

570
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:17,400
Speaker 3: His coaching abilities is obviously well documented. It's a trash game, Jim,

571
00:27:17,640 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 3: I'll probably stay away from it in general. Yeah, leans

572
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 3: Saint John's on whatever the number is going to be.

573
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, Saint John's has been not been without Andre Corbello

574
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 2: due to I believe coach decision like it just this

575
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 2: chemistry experiment with him and Pasha Alexander was kind of

576
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:36,880
Speaker 2: always doomed to fail. I think that was the easy

577
00:27:36,880 --> 00:27:39,280
Speaker 2: answer in the preseason. I think we said it on

578
00:27:39,400 --> 00:27:42,520
Speaker 2: our Big Eiast preview pot and three man weave, and yeah,

579
00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,120
Speaker 2: it's been a nightmare for them. I do love aj

580
00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:47,000
Speaker 2: Store the freshman. Going to give him a shout out.

581
00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:49,280
Speaker 2: I think he's going to be really, really good wherever

582
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:50,760
Speaker 2: he hands up. I don't know if he'll stay at

583
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 2: Saint John's if they change coaches, but very intrigued by

584
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 2: his potential. All right, guys, let's now go to the

585
00:27:57,600 --> 00:28:01,119
Speaker 2: final segment of our show. That would be spotlight section,

586
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:05,719
Speaker 2: and I have the spotlight shining on conference splits. Here

587
00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:08,200
Speaker 2: we're going to talk about the best home in road

588
00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:12,640
Speaker 2: ats conferences, best and worst actually, and then also totals.

589
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:16,920
Speaker 2: Certain leagues have tilted way way towards the over. We're

590
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:18,920
Speaker 2: going to theorize as to why that might be and

591
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:22,600
Speaker 2: whether it will continue down the stretch. Starting with home court.

592
00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 2: No surprise here, guys, the Big Ten sixty eight and

593
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:29,479
Speaker 2: forty one against the spread, our home team's sixty two

594
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:32,639
Speaker 2: point four percent. It's been even stronger in January. If

595
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 2: you throw out some of the December results where the

596
00:28:34,760 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 2: games maybe weren't as grueling, not as late in the schedule, Matt,

597
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 2: they just have great home environments, right, Like that's kind

598
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 2: of the biggest thing. Do you think officiating is a

599
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:44,240
Speaker 2: big part of it as well?

600
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I do. Big ten fans will certainly tell you

601
00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 1: as such. And there's been some kind of back of

602
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 1: the nap can analysis on Twitter. It like breaks down

603
00:28:52,400 --> 00:28:54,600
Speaker 1: some of the fouling rates by vote teams home and away,

604
00:28:54,720 --> 00:28:57,000
Speaker 1: and I think there is a real effect home team

605
00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 1: on the whistle. Home team in ten get a little

606
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:00,320
Speaker 1: from your whistle, and with so many the teams that

607
00:29:00,360 --> 00:29:02,560
Speaker 1: play physical, I think that edge does kind of matter.

608
00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:04,040
Speaker 1: So yeah, this is real. I mean, it's like legit

609
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:04,840
Speaker 1: five points this year.

610
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:08,960
Speaker 2: Other conferences worth looking at here the OVC, the OBC

611
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:11,719
Speaker 2: thirty two and eighteen now that is per bet Labs.

612
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:14,280
Speaker 2: I feel like that's missing games that I don't think

613
00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 2: there's only been fifty games in the OBC, potentially could

614
00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 2: be lacking some of the samples, So I'm not going

615
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:22,120
Speaker 2: to put a ton of stock in that yet. On

616
00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 2: the summit, forty five and thirty six about fifty six percent.

617
00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:29,520
Speaker 2: The MAC also like that. Matt the Mid American however,

618
00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:31,920
Speaker 2: over the last month only twenty three and twenty seven,

619
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:33,640
Speaker 2: which makes more sense to me. There's not a ton

620
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:37,080
Speaker 2: of travel in that conference. You're basically in Ohio or Michigan.

621
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:41,160
Speaker 2: Not a lot of tough flights or drives. Buffalo really

622
00:29:41,200 --> 00:29:43,800
Speaker 2: the only trip that I think intrigued or is difficult

623
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:46,600
Speaker 2: for most. So I think that one is going to

624
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 2: come back down to fifty percent as we go on.

625
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 2: On the other hand, the NBC Missouri Valley fifty seven

626
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 2: and forty seven, but twenty six and eighteen over the

627
00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 2: last month that's been rising. Could see that happening in

628
00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 2: the last couple of games here before Arch Madness Ki

629
00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:02,960
Speaker 2: your takeaways from that group of strong home court leagues.

630
00:30:03,400 --> 00:30:05,680
Speaker 3: I've been thinking about why certain leagues are like this,

631
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,600
Speaker 3: and I think the answer is parody. Within the league,

632
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:12,880
Speaker 3: teams largely the same or at least closely rated. They

633
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 3: tend to do better at home because they have the

634
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:17,320
Speaker 3: extra home court environment behind them. You'll get the big

635
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:20,680
Speaker 3: ten twelve teams in that conference rink between nineteen and

636
00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 3: sixty four on KIMPOM nine or between twenty six and

637
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:26,000
Speaker 3: sixty four. That's not a very big spread, so these

638
00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:28,400
Speaker 3: teams are pretty evenly matched. I think that's a big

639
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:31,360
Speaker 3: part of it. Same story in the OVC same story

640
00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 3: in the Summit. Outside of Oral Roberts. The MAC is

641
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 3: a bit weird that there are seven teams that are

642
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:39,720
Speaker 3: really close to each other the bad teams. I'd say

643
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:41,240
Speaker 3: that's a little bit more of an outlier. Jim, and

644
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 3: you mentioned it's coming down in the Valley's case where

645
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 3: there is some parody. That league has always had really

646
00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:51,120
Speaker 3: strong home courts, and I think, frankly, the way the

647
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 3: teams travel to these places. I think they take buses

648
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 3: the Valley to all these places, and these environments are

649
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 3: pretty hostile. They have really good home crowds there, So

650
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:00,960
Speaker 3: the Valley's just kind of a strong home court for

651
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:01,440
Speaker 3: that reason.

652
00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think everything physicality there too, which

653
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:08,440
Speaker 2: again could could contribute to roughing. Sorry not go ahead

654
00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:08,880
Speaker 2: on parody.

655
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:11,960
Speaker 1: No, yeah, I think I hit it for once. I'm

656
00:31:12,000 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 1: just kidding. Uh oh No, it's I think they're all

657
00:31:14,880 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 1: competitive leagues, and you're I think some of the travel

658
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 1: new or burdens I guess are stronger, especially in the Valley.

659
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:24,480
Speaker 1: Like I know, it's not as geographically dispersed as like

660
00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 1: the Whack or something, but it's not a you know,

661
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:29,280
Speaker 1: it's not always going from Saint Louis to Chicago or anything.

662
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:31,000
Speaker 1: And these are kind of teams, you know, places that

663
00:31:31,080 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 1: aren't near big cities, tougher to get to.

664
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:35,520
Speaker 2: Yeap. All right, let's talk worse home court, and I

665
00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:39,920
Speaker 2: think your sense, especially the worst league, makes a lot

666
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:43,000
Speaker 2: of sense to us. The Metro Atlantic thirty three and

667
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:45,680
Speaker 2: fifty five against the spread are home teams. That is

668
00:31:45,760 --> 00:31:49,240
Speaker 2: thirty seven and a half percent. There's very little travel

669
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:52,360
Speaker 2: for most schools in this league outside of the Buffalo

670
00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:55,600
Speaker 2: trip over to Canisius and Niagara, and Canicius isn't very good.

671
00:31:55,680 --> 00:31:58,080
Speaker 2: They played some games not even at home. They had

672
00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:00,920
Speaker 2: to play at Niagara because of I believe it was

673
00:32:00,960 --> 00:32:04,560
Speaker 2: a storm situation going on with the facility, so that

674
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:07,720
Speaker 2: hurts the home court. Very little travel in the Northeast.

675
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:09,560
Speaker 2: Now this doesn't really surprise us.

676
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:12,080
Speaker 1: Right, No, I think we've been saying this for a while.

677
00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:15,440
Speaker 1: Northeast cluster conferences don't give too much dock to home

678
00:32:16,120 --> 00:32:18,160
Speaker 1: and this is I think the microcosm of that.

679
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:20,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, this one does go against parody a little bit,

680
00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 3: but they are so close together perhaps just negates it.

681
00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, and there there is you know, a powerhouse. I

682
00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 2: own it at the top and then there's some drags.

683
00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:32,880
Speaker 2: Marit has been really really bad this season, and I

684
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 2: think that might contribute to it too. I know they

685
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 2: haven't been very good at home really anywhere, so con

686
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 2: also in here as one of the worst home court

687
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:44,719
Speaker 2: advantages thirty and fifty against the spread are the home teams.

688
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:48,120
Speaker 2: This one I think has the opposite of parody KaiA.

689
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:50,640
Speaker 2: There's some really good teams that are separated themselves atop

690
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,920
Speaker 2: the league, and then you have VMI the Citadel. They

691
00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:57,120
Speaker 2: have really really struggled. East Tennessee State's had a lot

692
00:32:57,120 --> 00:33:00,240
Speaker 2: of injuries, So I think this one makes a little

693
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:01,240
Speaker 2: bit of sense as well.

694
00:33:01,800 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, good teams, bad teams. Basically the split there.

695
00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:09,440
Speaker 2: Yep, home court matters more if you're good in general,

696
00:33:09,640 --> 00:33:12,000
Speaker 2: like you're gonna have more fans there, You're going to

697
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:15,120
Speaker 2: get more of a boost from playing there. It just

698
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,480
Speaker 2: it just means a little bit more. C USA thirty

699
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:20,640
Speaker 2: nine and fifty against the spread at home. I thought

700
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:22,520
Speaker 2: this would be a little higher, but look, you know,

701
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:25,040
Speaker 2: there's only so many UTEP trips you can make all

702
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:27,680
Speaker 2: the way out west. The rest of it maybe not

703
00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:31,400
Speaker 2: as strong of travel, and again Florida Atlantic, North Texas

704
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 2: UAB pretty clearly the top three there. I think that

705
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 2: helps separate this a little bit. Yeah, I agree. And

706
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:41,360
Speaker 2: then the SEC the lowest home court advantage for any

707
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:44,880
Speaker 2: of the power conferences forty five and fifty three. Again,

708
00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 2: this is only forty six percent. It's not some massive

709
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 2: like auto bet angle, and it's stabilized. In February, home

710
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,600
Speaker 2: teams are twenty one and seventeen against the spread, A

711
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:57,320
Speaker 2: little bit surprising given the way we perceive a team

712
00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:01,160
Speaker 2: like Auburn or Arkansas is being a lot better at home.

713
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,479
Speaker 2: But yeah, South Carolina is terrible. Teams have bullits them

714
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 2: at their place. I don't think that home cart matters

715
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:10,279
Speaker 2: really at all. And there's a couple other situations where

716
00:34:10,680 --> 00:34:13,640
Speaker 2: maybe it's just not as strong this season last, but

717
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:15,560
Speaker 2: not least we're going to talk over in under leagues

718
00:34:15,840 --> 00:34:19,240
Speaker 2: and really the only super strong angles here on the overside,

719
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:21,920
Speaker 2: And that makes sense given how strong overs have been

720
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:26,120
Speaker 2: just throughout the entire country this season. I believe over

721
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 2: the past month they're hitting it at like fifty seven percent.

722
00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:32,320
Speaker 2: Efficiency and pace have been a little higher than in history,

723
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,320
Speaker 2: or then history would indicate, which means points points points.

724
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:39,600
Speaker 2: Matt the American a league we typically think is poor

725
00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:44,239
Speaker 2: shooting all defense, fifty two and twenty five to the

726
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:48,319
Speaker 2: over with a plus seven cover margin almost Now ot

727
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:51,000
Speaker 2: skews margins here. That's never going to help an under

728
00:34:51,040 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 2: and it's always going to help over. So keep that

729
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:55,319
Speaker 2: in mind. But what is it about the American math

730
00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 2: that we think is creating such a massive.

731
00:34:58,200 --> 00:35:02,200
Speaker 1: Over environment the changes in coaching, It's it's a more

732
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 1: it's a faster league. You for a half court, grind

733
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:06,520
Speaker 1: out type of league, but now you have South Florida

734
00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:10,040
Speaker 1: running to lane runs at a breakneck tempo. Memphis obviously runs,

735
00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:13,839
Speaker 1: Cincinnati's run, now SMU's run under first year coach troublin year,

736
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:16,879
Speaker 1: even Tulsa even I probably should not be running. They're

737
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 1: playing at a faster tempo. So yeah, I think it's

738
00:35:18,680 --> 00:35:21,640
Speaker 1: mostly Pacedrevan just the you know, most of the prices

739
00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:23,799
Speaker 1: haven't adjusted to the new normal, I guess across the board.

740
00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, and Tulsa has like an all time bad defense

741
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:29,520
Speaker 2: for this league, so a lot of their games go

742
00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:31,640
Speaker 2: over because they're given up ninety to one hundred every night.

743
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:34,960
Speaker 2: How about the Mountain West? Is there anything about that

744
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:37,040
Speaker 2: league that jumps out to you that would be leading

745
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:39,400
Speaker 2: to overs because they're fifty two to twenty six to

746
00:35:39,520 --> 00:35:43,000
Speaker 2: that to that angle sixty almost sixty seven percent two

747
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:44,880
Speaker 2: thirds of the games. What are you seeing with the

748
00:35:44,920 --> 00:35:45,640
Speaker 2: Mountain West here?

749
00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 3: It's efficiency For the Mountain West there are six in

750
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:52,200
Speaker 3: the country in efficiency. They still play at one of

751
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:56,319
Speaker 3: the slowest temples tempo's excuse me, but defenses have been

752
00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 3: poor in this league. Offenses have been much better for

753
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:01,920
Speaker 3: a lot of teams across the league. And if you

754
00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:04,759
Speaker 3: think about it, if these teams all play small or

755
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:08,440
Speaker 3: low tempos, the totals are going to be lower in

756
00:36:08,520 --> 00:36:11,720
Speaker 3: these games. Tend to be easier to cover a low total,

757
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:15,960
Speaker 3: especially with late game fouling at games are close. Teams

758
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,280
Speaker 3: have been more efficient in this league. So that's driving

759
00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:19,280
Speaker 3: the Mountain West overs.

760
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:23,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, Mountain West top five nationally in three point percentage,

761
00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 2: two point percentage, and free throw percentage, free throw percentage,

762
00:36:26,200 --> 00:36:28,400
Speaker 2: Yet a lot of shot making there. I think, Matt,

763
00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:31,120
Speaker 2: you mentioned coaching changes Utah State bringing in Otum is

764
00:36:31,160 --> 00:36:35,120
Speaker 2: a really big shift towards overs, just among some of

765
00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:37,920
Speaker 2: the other ones. In Fresno has you know, maybe been

766
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:40,840
Speaker 2: a little bit more over than in past years. So

767
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 2: that one. I'm kind of looking to see if it'll

768
00:36:44,160 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 2: continue down the stretch. I don't know if they've fully

769
00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:49,200
Speaker 2: baked in that efficiency quite yet. The other two leagues

770
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:53,720
Speaker 2: to mention CUSA OBC C USA had about sixty percent

771
00:36:53,920 --> 00:36:56,400
Speaker 2: to overs, kind of similar to Mountain West Or. I

772
00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:58,040
Speaker 2: think there's some slow teams that have been a lot

773
00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:01,680
Speaker 2: more efficient than expected. And then OBC thirty one and

774
00:37:01,760 --> 00:37:03,800
Speaker 2: nineteen to the over. Again, I still think that is

775
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,000
Speaker 2: not enough games for that league, and I don't know

776
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 2: why there's only fifty there.

777
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, short on games, but also everyone plays at a

778
00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:13,480
Speaker 3: breakneck speed except Morehead. There's like six teams in the

779
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:16,120
Speaker 3: top eighty or something in tempo this season.

780
00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:19,560
Speaker 2: They just run and coincidentally, Kai who's in first place

781
00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:22,760
Speaker 2: by two games in that league. It's Morehead, It's Morehead

782
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:25,600
Speaker 2: Jim slowing everybody else down, making them play their game

783
00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:29,560
Speaker 2: has worked out very well for Preston Spraddling there. The

784
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:34,479
Speaker 2: under leagues Matthias, the PAC twelve, forty four and fifty six. Again,

785
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 2: these are not super strong, only like forty four percent

786
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:39,040
Speaker 2: for each of these leagues, but at least worth noting

787
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:42,280
Speaker 2: the Big East forty and fifty the Metro Atlantic forty

788
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 2: two and forty nine. Any takeaways from you, Matt on

789
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,320
Speaker 2: that or you just kind of saying, look, none of

790
00:37:48,360 --> 00:37:50,320
Speaker 2: those are strong enough to be anywhere close to auto

791
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:51,480
Speaker 2: bet so I'm just shrugging.

792
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:53,960
Speaker 1: I kind of felt like PAC twelve was an underleague

793
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:55,440
Speaker 1: makes sense to me. I think I actually wrote that

794
00:37:55,520 --> 00:38:01,359
Speaker 1: down somewhere, just like the way USC Washington State. Even

795
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:05,680
Speaker 1: this year's version of Oregon in UCLA with their re

796
00:38:05,800 --> 00:38:09,400
Speaker 1: bolstered size up front, I guess they're younger but emerging size,

797
00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 1: it does feel like an underleague. I think there's a

798
00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:15,399
Speaker 1: lot more rim protectors and the offensive firepower hasn't quite

799
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:18,200
Speaker 1: lived up to stuff. Arizona State, I think, you know,

800
00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 1: look at their basic identity chef this season, you know,

801
00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 1: one of the largest in the country. Oregon State, Stanford, Washington.

802
00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 1: You know, these are teams just kind of muck it up.

803
00:38:26,120 --> 00:38:29,520
Speaker 1: So I kind of understand that. Also, the junkie defenses

804
00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:31,359
Speaker 1: tends to deflate pace a little bit too, So pack

805
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:33,880
Speaker 1: twell on a good underleague. I think that's a sustainable

806
00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 1: angle to maybe keep an eye on.

807
00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:41,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, mister Palmerroi's website by conference doesn't have average height

808
00:38:41,320 --> 00:38:43,040
Speaker 2: but I would venture to guess that the PAC twelve

809
00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:45,520
Speaker 2: is the tallest conference in the league. It is number

810
00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:48,800
Speaker 2: one in block rate, and teams are not making threes

811
00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:51,240
Speaker 2: in that league either thirtieth nationally and three point percentage.

812
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:53,839
Speaker 2: So they can't score inside, they can't score out. That's

813
00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:56,760
Speaker 2: why they're twenty ninth in efficiency. That is a problem,

814
00:38:57,000 --> 00:38:58,960
Speaker 2: all right. That pretty much wraps it up, guys. For

815
00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:03,319
Speaker 2: this week's as of big bets on campus, we could

816
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:07,040
Speaker 2: do a quick recap of what we have as bets

817
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:09,719
Speaker 2: from this week. For the live Dog of the Week,

818
00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:13,800
Speaker 2: I went with Providence, Northeastern and Northwestern. Kai had Temple

819
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:17,040
Speaker 2: and Northwestern. Matt Providence or Northeastern, so some overlap there.

820
00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 2: Blow out City. I'm riding with Maryland and Gonzaga to

821
00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 2: get big blowouts. I think these guys only agreed really

822
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:26,399
Speaker 2: on Gonzaga. Matt. You like Drake's correct.

823
00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:29,120
Speaker 1: Drake Grizzy Drake blowout of Elle State.

824
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:33,840
Speaker 2: There we go, Power game of the week. These we

825
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:37,560
Speaker 2: were split on Iowa at Wisconsin. Not much to say there.

826
00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:40,600
Speaker 2: I think both these guys liked Iowa to prove Wisconsin

827
00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:42,759
Speaker 2: as a fraud kicked them out of the tournament. And

828
00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:45,400
Speaker 2: we all agreed Kentucky at Florida as long as you

829
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:47,560
Speaker 2: don't get something crazy like laying four and a half

830
00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:50,160
Speaker 2: or whatever with no Castleton in there. For Florida and

831
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:53,600
Speaker 2: Kentucky trending up, Kentucky's worth a look mid major game

832
00:39:53,640 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 2: of the week. Matt like New Mexico. We both kind

833
00:39:56,680 --> 00:40:00,400
Speaker 2: of liked North Texas. Not a lot going in trash

834
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 2: Man and in Spotlight. Remember to look at Big ten

835
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:07,239
Speaker 2: home court, potentially some American and Mountain West overs and

836
00:40:07,440 --> 00:40:10,680
Speaker 2: packed twelve unders. That's what we're zeroed in on for

837
00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:13,040
Speaker 2: the week. That wraps it up for Big Bets on

838
00:40:13,120 --> 00:40:16,080
Speaker 2: Campus for this Wednesday episode. Thank you to bet mgm

839
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:19,279
Speaker 2: our sponsor for Kai McEwan, Matthew Cox, I am Jim

840
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:22,160
Speaker 2: Root with the three Man Weave. We'll be back next Wednesday.

841
00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:23,600
Speaker 2: Good buck with your bets.

842
00:40:36,160 --> 00:40:40,640
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

843
00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:43,480
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

844
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:46,600
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler