1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,600 Speaker 1: Is the recount effort in three battleground states nothing more 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: than a hail Mary Pass. Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:09,800 Speaker 1: has raised more than six million dollars for the effort. 4 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:12,800 Speaker 1: In a video on her Facebook page, Stein said the 5 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:16,959 Speaker 1: party did not have a smoking gun showing fraud, but 6 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:20,200 Speaker 1: let me say, we do not need to prove that 7 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 1: there was fraud in order to justify a voting system 8 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: that is secure and that we have confidence in. Hillary 9 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 1: Clinton's campaign announced it will join in any recount despite 10 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 1: no actionable evidence of vote hacking, in order to ensure 11 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 1: the process proceeds in a manner of fair to all parties. Trump, 12 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 1: who lost the popular vote, called the recount effort a scam. 13 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:46,519 Speaker 1: His chief of staff, Ryan's previous told Fox News the 14 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 1: recount was ridiculous. I think the American people know this 15 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:52,520 Speaker 1: is a waste of everyone's time and money, and it's 16 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: only for to divide this country when we need to 17 00:00:55,840 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 1: come together. The Obama administration has defended the inten agorty 18 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 1: of the vote, but Trump himself has tweeted that millions 19 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:06,679 Speaker 1: of people voted illegally as an explanation of why he 20 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: was two million votes behind Clinton in the popular vote. 21 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 1: Our guest is Josh Douglas. He's a professor at the 22 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:17,559 Speaker 1: University of Kentucky. Josh, even if there's no smoking gun, 23 00:01:17,880 --> 00:01:21,520 Speaker 1: is there anything wrong with going through with recounts allowed 24 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:25,959 Speaker 1: by law in order to provide certainty, especially when you 25 00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 1: had an election campaign where there was evidence of hacking 26 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 1: and interference by other countries. Well, there's nothing illegally wrong 27 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 1: with it, and certainly there within their right to request 28 00:01:38,040 --> 00:01:42,320 Speaker 1: the recount. I think it is concerning that there's continued 29 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: questions about the legitimacy of the process and the legitimacy 30 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: of the result. What I fear is that this recount 31 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 1: business is taking the focus away from areas where I 32 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: do think there are actual problems with the election system 33 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 1: that need to be fixed. So, although you know, I 34 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 1: don't think the recounts kind go anywhere, Uh, and there 35 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: within the right to request it, I think we should 36 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: be focusing on on bigger problems. Josh. What would we 37 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 1: learn from a recount? What? How is it that the 38 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 1: count may may come out differently the second time around? 39 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: The recount will be done at the county level in 40 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: each of the states. Uh. And so take Michigan for example, 41 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 1: which uses all paper ballots Wisconsin is a mix of 42 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,239 Speaker 1: of all paper and some machines that don't have a 43 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:29,960 Speaker 1: paper trail. Um. But they'll basically at the county level, 44 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:33,520 Speaker 1: the individual county clerks will go through a process will 45 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 1: they will actually recount each of the ballots in the 46 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 1: states that just have electronic voting machines of the note 47 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,359 Speaker 1: paper trail, which I think is a big concern. Uh, 48 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: They'll do what they was known as re canvassing and 49 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,960 Speaker 1: the machines and basically check the tallies on the machines. Well, 50 00:02:48,000 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: we'll see the shift of votes some one way or another, um. 51 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 1: Not by much, probably numbering in a couple of hundreds uh. 52 00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: In recounts that have been done statewide in the past 53 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 1: fifteen years, the margin typically only shifts by a few 54 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 1: hundred votes UM. And so you know, that's what we're 55 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 1: gonna learn is a more accurate count done at the 56 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: county level to declare how many votes each candidate received. 57 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:21,240 Speaker 1: Josh Trump himself tweeted out that millions of people voted illegally. 58 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: Does that provide support for the theory of the recount? Well, 59 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 1: Trump has no evidence whatsoever for that claim, And I 60 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 1: think that claim is is as dangerous or probably more 61 00:03:33,280 --> 00:03:36,320 Speaker 1: dangerous than going through the recount, because this is the 62 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 1: president elect who should be trying to bring people together, 63 00:03:40,520 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 1: tweeting out allegations with absolutely no evidence. Um. So, no, 64 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 1: I don't think that necessarily provides a greater reason to 65 00:03:49,040 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: have the recount, although uh, certainly, um, you know, it's 66 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 1: ironic that he is making these claims in the midst 67 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 1: of the other side also claiming that there are problems 68 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: with the integrity of the election system. You know, one 69 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: of the things that that is revered about our democracy 70 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 1: worldwide is that we have a peaceful transfer of power. Uh, 71 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 1: and the winners, you know, graciously accept their win the 72 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 1: losers graciously accept the feet. And when we start questioning 73 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 1: when there's no basis of changing the result whatsoever and 74 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 1: really no evidence that there are problems, I think it 75 00:04:19,560 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 1: puts people into a frenzy that unnecessarily takes attention away 76 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 1: from other concerns like why were there thousands of people 77 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:28,839 Speaker 1: who actually were not able to vote because of oners 78 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:32,839 Speaker 1: voting laws that have no real justification. Well, along those lines, 79 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,599 Speaker 1: what do you make of the Clinton campaign's stance in 80 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:38,479 Speaker 1: this They say they're gonna take part in the recount, 81 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:40,919 Speaker 1: but they weren't the ones who were requesting it in 82 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:43,800 Speaker 1: the first place. I think it makes a lot of sense. Uman. 83 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:46,599 Speaker 1: Certainly politically, they don't want to be the ones that 84 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 1: are looking like they are trying to question the results. 85 00:04:50,000 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 1: But now that the process is started, I think it's 86 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 1: perfectly reasonable for her representatives and Trump's representatives to be 87 00:04:56,800 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 1: involved in the process. Um. You know, I think the 88 00:05:00,160 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 1: is a in some ways to wait and see type 89 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: of stance that they're taking. Um. I think they recognize 90 00:05:06,080 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 1: that the results not going to be changed. I mean, 91 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:11,680 Speaker 1: it would take something truly extraordinary to change the result 92 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: by the thousands of votes that the current margins are 93 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 1: in each of the three states, or in all of 94 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:20,159 Speaker 1: the three states to give Clinton an electoral college victory. Um. 95 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:22,360 Speaker 1: But I think it's fine for lawyers to be involved 96 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:25,839 Speaker 1: now that the process has started. Now, the three states 97 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 1: which are being targeted for recounts have different methods of voting, 98 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:36,039 Speaker 1: and different methods for recounts. Is one more difficult than 99 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 1: the other? Yeah? The states that have more electronic voting 100 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:45,520 Speaker 1: machines with no paper ballots or no nor verified paper 101 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 1: trail make it a lot harder because you can't actually 102 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 1: recount anything. All you can do is check the machines 103 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: to ensure that the number of votes on the machines 104 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: is accurately reflected. Uh. In some ways, that's almost like 105 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 1: just pushed the button the in on the machine for 106 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 1: it to tell you the count a second time after 107 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 1: you did it once already. Uh. And so that's problematic 108 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 1: for getting an accurate vote count. And as I said, 109 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:15,320 Speaker 1: Pennsylvania has all electronic voting machines. Michigan's process, which uses 110 00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 1: all paper ballots that are fed into an electronic scanner 111 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:22,360 Speaker 1: to count uh initially and then we'll be hand recounted, 112 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:25,800 Speaker 1: is a lot easier from an accuracy standpoint. Now, it's 113 00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:27,800 Speaker 1: gonna take a lot of work because there's millions of 114 00:06:27,800 --> 00:06:30,479 Speaker 1: ballots that will we need to be recounted in each 115 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:33,800 Speaker 1: of the counties. Um. But at least we'll get a 116 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 1: more accurate count through that method. But Josh, and none 117 00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 1: of these states do you expect anything close to I 118 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:44,160 Speaker 1: guess the closest of them is what about eleven thousand 119 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:47,480 Speaker 1: in Michigan. You're you're only talking about a change of 120 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 1: a much smaller number than that. Yeah, I would be 121 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 1: shocked if we had a shift of that many votes again, 122 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 1: uh In I think it's twenty two statewide recounts since 123 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:01,919 Speaker 1: two thousand UM. The mark and shifted uh an average 124 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:04,280 Speaker 1: just about a couple of hundred votes UM, and only 125 00:07:04,440 --> 00:07:07,599 Speaker 1: three of those states did result actually change. In three 126 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,800 Speaker 1: of those cases, one was the two thousand for Washington 127 00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 1: governor's race, another was the two thousand eight US Senate 128 00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:19,480 Speaker 1: recount in Minnesota, and then Vermont had a a state 129 00:07:19,520 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 1: auditor position where the result changed after the recount. But again, 130 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 1: the margin of victory on election night was only a 131 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 1: couple of hundred votes and the shift in votes was 132 00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 1: only a couple of hundred as well. We've never seen 133 00:07:30,960 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 1: anything that would shift eleven thousand, much less just a 134 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 1: couple of thousands. Clinton is the fifth candidate in US 135 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 1: history to lose the electoral college vote despite winning the 136 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 1: popular vote. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has said the recount 137 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 1: efforts are a legal right and no big deal, but 138 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: he's joined those Democrats who are calling for a re 139 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 1: examination of the electoral college system. Sanders pointed out the 140 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 1: strange result of electoral college to CNN. We have one 141 00:07:59,000 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 1: candidate got some in more votes than the other candidate, 142 00:08:02,320 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 1: but she is not going to be sworn in as president, 143 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:07,440 Speaker 1: and I think on the surface that's a little bit weird. 144 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 1: We've been talking with Josh Douglas, a professor at the 145 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 1: University of Kentucky. Josh, does this election result prove that 146 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 1: the Founding father father's reasons for wanting an electoral college 147 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 1: just don't work out anymore? I think that's right. Um. 148 00:08:28,320 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 1: I think we have gone past the point where the 149 00:08:31,720 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 1: auditoral college makes sense for our democracy. Um. The reasons 150 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 1: the Founding Fathers decided to use the electoral college was 151 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 1: to protect small states and also because travel was very 152 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: hard and so national campaigning was very difficult. Um. We 153 00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:50,880 Speaker 1: don't really have that any longer, and so I do 154 00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:54,839 Speaker 1: think the electoral college has outlived a usefulness. Josh, let 155 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 1: me ask, uh, well, so much smaller question about the 156 00:08:57,480 --> 00:09:01,160 Speaker 1: electoral college, which which is I'm about how that fits 157 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:04,960 Speaker 1: in with the recount issue that we were talking about before. 158 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 1: We saw back in two thousand that there are some 159 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:12,080 Speaker 1: deadlines that that occur in the electoral college process. Is 160 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 1: it compare we have a system where where states run 161 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:18,720 Speaker 1: the elections, but they have to have their electors vote 162 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 1: in the electoral college. Is there a timing problem with 163 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:24,320 Speaker 1: the way this all works. Yeah, it's a really crunched 164 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:28,800 Speaker 1: time concern. The federal law says that you have to 165 00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:33,400 Speaker 1: finish your post election procedures and certified results for the 166 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:37,439 Speaker 1: presidential election, uh six days before the electoral College is 167 00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:40,640 Speaker 1: set to meet. This year, the Electoral College will meet 168 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 1: in all fifty states on December nineteen, when they'll actually 169 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:46,760 Speaker 1: cast their votes, which means that all of the recounts 170 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:50,480 Speaker 1: have to be done by December. And that timing issue 171 00:09:50,559 --> 00:09:53,959 Speaker 1: was one of the biggest disputes in that two thousand 172 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,440 Speaker 1: case out of Florida Bush v. Gore that went to 173 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 1: the U. S. Supreme Court, and the court stopped forwards 174 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 1: reach count in part or largely because Florida was not 175 00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 1: going to be able to finish their recount by the 176 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 1: safe harbor deadline. Josh, speaking of the two thousand election, 177 00:10:11,480 --> 00:10:15,199 Speaker 1: there were calls for doing away with the electoral college 178 00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:18,400 Speaker 1: at that point. What would it take to do away 179 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,560 Speaker 1: with the electoral college and have a president elected strictly 180 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 1: by popular vote. It's gonna be very difficult because you 181 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 1: would need either a constitutional amendment, which requires three quarters 182 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:32,720 Speaker 1: of the states to certify in two thirds of each 183 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 1: House of Congress UM, or you would have to do 184 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:39,440 Speaker 1: this work around plan that some people have been floating 185 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 1: called the National Popular Vote Compact, and actually ten states 186 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:47,480 Speaker 1: plus DC have passed this into their laws to basically 187 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:51,200 Speaker 1: say that regardless of who wins their own state, they'll 188 00:10:51,320 --> 00:10:53,640 Speaker 1: have their electors vote for the winner of the National 189 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: Popular Vote. UM. That plan doesn't take effect, however, until 190 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:00,680 Speaker 1: enough states have ratified it to equal two in seventy 191 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:03,800 Speaker 1: electoral college votes, so there's still more states that need 192 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:06,800 Speaker 1: to pass it, and then there's some significant concerns about 193 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 1: the constitutionality of that plan, with each individual state kind 194 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 1: of changing the rules to say that they're going to 195 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:17,240 Speaker 1: award their electoral College votes to the national popular vote winner. 196 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:19,960 Speaker 1: For a practical standpoint, I think what it will take 197 00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:25,240 Speaker 1: is a UM Republican candidate winning the electoral College but 198 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:29,320 Speaker 1: losing the popular vote, and then you'd have pushed on 199 00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:32,560 Speaker 1: both sides. As the stands, however, you know, Democrats have 200 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 1: won the popular vote but last the electoral college and 201 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:39,079 Speaker 1: two of the past five presidential elections. Thanks very interesting 202 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:42,440 Speaker 1: and uh, we'll look forward to to the recount and 203 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:45,839 Speaker 1: talking to you again. That's Josh Douglas, professor at the 204 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:50,240 Speaker 1: University of Kentucky. We're talking about the recount here and 205 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 1: the possibility of the doing a way of electoral college, 206 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: which seems as if it's quite far away. Coming up 207 00:11:57,320 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Law. Is literacy a fundamental unto right under 208 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 1: our Constitution? The State of Michigan wants a federal judge 209 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:08,240 Speaker 1: to dismiss a lawsuit seeking to establish a constitutional right 210 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:12,760 Speaker 1: to literacy. I'm June Grosso with Gregg Store and Michael Best. 211 00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:16,720 Speaker 1: That's coming up on Bloomberg Law. This is Bloomberg