1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: This is straight Fire with Jason McIntyre, Rise and Grind America. 2 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:20,319 Speaker 1: It's me Jason McIntyre. Friday, November. Yeah, you can you know, 3 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:23,080 Speaker 1: you can sense I'm excited the Colts came through your 4 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 1: boys losing streak. Yes over, Finally, I feel like the 5 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: hex is lifted. We'll get to the Colts game in 6 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: a minute. Uh and obviously best bet we'll get to 7 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: that later in the podcast. Rogie. I just noticed it's Friday. 8 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:39,159 Speaker 1: And I don't know about you, but when I was 9 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 1: a kid in elementary school, it was like, oh, Friday 10 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:45,520 Speaker 1: the thirteenth, Oh my gosh, just like a big day. 11 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,239 Speaker 1: People were scared, you know. I mean, the Friday the 12 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 1: thirteenth series was popular, Jason vorhees, and like people would 13 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: wear the ski mask as like a joke, like after school, 14 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: and it would be like it was a thing. Now 15 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 1: nobody talks about Friday our teeth. Yeah. The fact that 16 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 1: this is the second Friday, and I didn't know that 17 00:01:05,959 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: until you literally just brought it up right now. So 18 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: that tells you exactly where we're at with regards to 19 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: that specific day. I wonder what maybe the Internet just 20 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 1: kind of killed Friday the thirteenth. Can we just chalk 21 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: that up another thing the Internet killed because you know, 22 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: like I guess when you look online is Friday thing? 23 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 1: Not really, but before you had a million information, you know, 24 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: and encyclopedia in your pocket. Uh, it was kind of 25 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:31,120 Speaker 1: a big deal anyway, It felt that way when I 26 00:01:31,160 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 1: was a kid. So let me be all right. So 27 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 1: later in the show, great interview with that guy. I 28 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: used to do some TV with John Shearon. He's an 29 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 1: irishman who is, you know, near the top of the 30 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:45,360 Speaker 1: food chain at FanDuel and Listen, we do talk a 31 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 1: lot about a gambling on this show, probably too much 32 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 1: for Rob G's liking. However, sports gambling guys, wait until 33 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 1: you hear the numbers from John Shearon. Uh in the interview. 34 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:58,560 Speaker 1: I mean, it is skyrocketing and if you want to 35 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 1: project ahead, like this is gonna be a huge deal 36 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 1: in five years. I've called it the gambling gold Rush 37 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 1: for about two years and like you've still got time 38 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 1: to get in on the ground level. It's it's big, um. 39 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 1: So that that's later in the show. All right, let's 40 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: quickly get to Thursday night football. It was a fun game. 41 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:18,239 Speaker 1: I don't know, I was I was texting with a 42 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:20,640 Speaker 1: buddy that it felt like a big game in the 43 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 1: first half, like there was a lot of tempo out 44 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:25,640 Speaker 1: of both sides. The Colts kept going for it on 45 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 1: fourth down, like there was a lot at stake in 46 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 1: this game. And I don't know if if it was 47 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:33,799 Speaker 1: like you know, fox piping in the crowd noise, or 48 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: there were enough people in Nashville at the game, but 49 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 1: it sounded like an actual home game in has been 50 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: weird man, you know, no helm field advantage. We'll get 51 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,240 Speaker 1: to that in the interview. But the Titans look good 52 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 1: early and then the second half it was all colds 53 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 1: and it was a pretty dominant game from Indianapolis folks. 54 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: They were so dominant in this game that they did 55 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 1: not punt on chill there were four minutes left. Essentially 56 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 1: a flawless game plan offensively from Frank Reich, up and 57 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 1: down the field, going for it on fourth down, making 58 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 1: field goals uh and special teams. The game really turned 59 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: on special teams in the third quarter after a goal 60 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:20,239 Speaker 1: line stand by Tennessee Um they had to punt and 61 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: their punters shanked like a seventeen yarder and the cold 62 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: score and then on the next possession they I think 63 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:29,120 Speaker 1: they went three and out and there was a punt 64 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 1: blocked and the Colts returned for a touchdown and that 65 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 1: was it. It was over. Um Derrick Henry looked banged up. 66 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 1: I I said on a Fox show on Wednesday, I'm 67 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 1: sorry on Thursday that something seemed off with Henry. Now, 68 00:03:42,600 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: he had a pretty good game in the first half. 69 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,920 Speaker 1: I think he had seventy yards at halftime, but only 70 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 1: finished with a book a hundred three yards and he 71 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: was he had like the shoulder was hurting him. Tannehill 72 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 1: wasn't that effective in the play action. This Colts team 73 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: looked real now, Rob g I don't know a lot 74 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 1: of people every week or Philip Rivers is washed. They 75 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: don't have any explosive players. I watch that game and 76 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 1: Michael Pittman, the rookie out of USC looks like an 77 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,480 Speaker 1: absolute stud if you put him on the opposite side 78 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 1: of t Y Hilton. Like, this team's got something. And 79 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 1: Rivers completed passes to eight different players. Um that's I 80 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: think last week it was like eleven different guys and 81 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:25,040 Speaker 1: then the week before that eight they spread it around. 82 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 1: You can't focus on one guy and they will find 83 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 1: the mismatches. And this is an interesting Colts team. When 84 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 1: they've got Darius Leonard healthy at linebacker, it's tough to 85 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 1: run on these guys. And they really hit Tannehill hard. 86 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 1: DeForest Buckner, oh my gosh, laid the wood to Tannehill 87 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 1: at least twice. And I don't know, Rob g this 88 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 1: this Colts team looks like it could be feisty come 89 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 1: come the postseason. Sure, you know they could be feisty. 90 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:53,479 Speaker 1: They should be in the mix for the playoff spot 91 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:58,480 Speaker 1: between Tennessee in the Vegas and Cleveland. They're all kind 92 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:00,320 Speaker 1: of bunched up right there fighting for the the last 93 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,920 Speaker 1: couple of spots. But I'm still not a big believer 94 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: in Indy at all, at all. I think that this 95 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:09,680 Speaker 1: game felt more like the after effects of what happened 96 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: with Tennessee on Sunday. They had that really knocked down drag. 97 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:16,479 Speaker 1: I think it was against Chicago right now, and they 98 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,599 Speaker 1: look just physically beat up. They they look spent. That 99 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:22,480 Speaker 1: you just mentioned Derrick Henry didn't look like himself. And 100 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:24,520 Speaker 1: it's funny that you brought up t Y Hilton because 101 00:05:24,560 --> 00:05:27,280 Speaker 1: I almost picked him up in Fantasy who he picked 102 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 1: him up. He's on the waiver. Wid Yeah, let me 103 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:31,400 Speaker 1: tell you why, because I almost got him because maybe 104 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 1: like an hour before kickoff, and I ultimately decided not to. 105 00:05:35,680 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 1: I went with some guy from Chicago I've never heard 106 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:42,000 Speaker 1: of Moon, Yes, exactly, almost went with him. And this 107 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 1: is the reason why I picked up with Mooney over 108 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: t Y Hilton. T Y Hilton's four catches last night 109 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:50,480 Speaker 1: were the most he's had since week five. So this 110 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 1: idea that him and Michael Pittman is, you know, some 111 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 1: dynamic duo. We may have missed me on that one. 112 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:58,600 Speaker 1: Philip Rivers is still washed. He still wasn't throwing anything 113 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,240 Speaker 1: that made me, made you threatened the defense. It was 114 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:04,280 Speaker 1: I felt more like this was about what Tennessee couldn't 115 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 1: do than what indeed did do. Huh. You love to 116 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 1: hate on Rivers man, Listen, it's it's less like we've 117 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:13,360 Speaker 1: only seen Pittman. I think he's played in three games 118 00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 1: and t Y Hilton's always hurt. But when he's been healthy, 119 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: it's been like, hey, we gotta get the ball to 120 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 1: t Y Hilton. Now it's like, oh, look we got 121 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:24,479 Speaker 1: this Pittman guy. Pittman had I think seven catches for 122 00:06:24,560 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 1: a hundred one yards and he was the most targeted guy. 123 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:31,280 Speaker 1: Usually it's a tight end or t Y Hilton, right, 124 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 1: and today it was the Pittman Show eight targets, and 125 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: you know, Hilton was like an afterthought. But you still 126 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:39,919 Speaker 1: gotta respect Hilton because he's scorely and quick. Um. I 127 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:44,040 Speaker 1: don't know, man, this is not a team good coach, Um, 128 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 1: as long as Rivers isn't turn the ball over. By 129 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:48,600 Speaker 1: the way that sack he took at the end of 130 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:51,400 Speaker 1: the first half. I was almost cursing at the screen 131 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 1: watching with my kids and wife while eating dinner. Yes, 132 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:57,840 Speaker 1: I do put the Thursday night football game on while 133 00:06:57,839 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 1: we're eating dinner. I have to. It's part of the job. 134 00:07:00,000 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 1: I do a podcast, I do a lot of stuff 135 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:04,919 Speaker 1: and I need to have the TV on. Don't judge me, um, 136 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:07,280 Speaker 1: And I was. I was nearly cursing that Rivers took 137 00:07:07,320 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: that sack. But my guy blanket Ship kicked the field goal. Yes, 138 00:07:10,200 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 1: I've got him in fantasy and the Colts delivered all right, 139 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 1: So we only have one reel, big story that I 140 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 1: found interesting before we get to the interview with Mr Shearan. Um. 141 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:22,640 Speaker 1: I don't know if you guys saw this. So Lamar 142 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 1: Jackson we talked about this on the podcast. He doesn't 143 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: look like the Lamar Jackson m VP of last year. 144 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: The Ravens just aren't what they were last year. Offensively. 145 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: They were the number one offense last year, scoring machine, unstoppable, 146 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 1: greatest show in the NFL. Yes, I think, slightly better 147 00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 1: than Mahomes. And this year they're like, what's going on? 148 00:07:44,600 --> 00:07:47,400 Speaker 1: They're plotting. So Lamar Jackson went on the radio show 149 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: this week. It was like, you know, opponents are calling 150 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 1: out our plays at the line of scrimmage, and yeah, 151 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:56,680 Speaker 1: that's good. That's gonna slow down the offense. When that happens, 152 00:07:57,400 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 1: I found it weird and I made wonder in rob 153 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 1: g are they able to do that because the Ravens 154 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 1: have dumbed down the offense so much for Lamar Jackson, 155 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:11,160 Speaker 1: or are they so overconfident that they just think they 156 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 1: can run back everything they ran last year. I don't 157 00:08:13,600 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 1: know why this would happen. I am of the belief 158 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 1: that that comment that Lamar Jackson made was more about 159 00:08:21,760 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 1: him dry snitching on himself than it was about the offense. 160 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: Because everybody in the NFL knows each other's place. I mean, 161 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 1: you look at Minnesota. You know what they want to do. 162 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 1: They want to run the ball with Dalvin Cook first down, 163 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:36,439 Speaker 1: second down, third down, and then occasionally do a play 164 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 1: action with Kirk Cousins. And yet it's still effective because 165 00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:42,280 Speaker 1: they just executed properly, and you know, because Kirk Cousins 166 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 1: can audible and maybe maybe from the last runs to 167 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 1: the right. That kind of thing. I think with Lamar 168 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 1: Jackson and you this is one of the things that 169 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:51,240 Speaker 1: was brought up yesterday by Greg Roman when he kind 170 00:08:51,240 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 1: of shot down the whole idea about this being a 171 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 1: unique situation where someone asked him, well, they see allowed 172 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 1: to audible. You know, if he's saying that they know 173 00:08:58,400 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 1: what you're doing and wants you just check out of it, 174 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:04,800 Speaker 1: And without fully throwing Lamar under the bus, what he 175 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:07,839 Speaker 1: said was, while, you know, there's some guys who will 176 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 1: go with the line and they can audible every play, 177 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: and there's other guys who don't audible at all, and 178 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 1: we're kind of somewhere in the middle. So he started, 179 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:18,160 Speaker 1: what thirty games now, and he's still not comfortable checking 180 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 1: out of place. If I'm a Ravens fan, but I 181 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 1: will say that the silver lining to all of this 182 00:09:25,760 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 1: is and I saw this in the Athletic when they 183 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:30,960 Speaker 1: did their tears revisited with Mike standing, he's a maybe 184 00:09:30,960 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: we'll get him on one of these days. So Lamar 185 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 1: Jackson was the unanimous m v P while deserving last season. 186 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:40,840 Speaker 1: You know what his numbers were last year through eight games, 187 00:09:42,120 --> 00:09:46,200 Speaker 1: no worse than they are now. Wow, he had let 188 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,840 Speaker 1: me get this right, twelve touchdown passes, five picks. Right 189 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 1: now he's at twelve touchdowns, four picks. But he closed 190 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,040 Speaker 1: the season on such a tear. That's how we ran 191 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:58,440 Speaker 1: away with the m v P. So don't be surprised, 192 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 1: especially with the way their schedule shape. It's up. I 193 00:10:01,200 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 1: mean get hot here, he could get hot, and that's 194 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 1: why I said that they were the future playing with 195 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:08,400 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. So Roman is the guy who made 196 00:10:08,640 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 1: Colin Kaepernick in San France with Harbaugh. Harball gets a 197 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 1: lot of credit, but Greg Roman was running that offense. 198 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:17,400 Speaker 1: If you remember, Alex Smith was the starter. He gets hurt, 199 00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:20,280 Speaker 1: Kaepernick comes in and it's so good. He doesn't give 200 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 1: up the job. He was so good he led them 201 00:10:23,559 --> 00:10:25,840 Speaker 1: to the super Bowl and they end up losing the 202 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:30,400 Speaker 1: Super Bowl, right, and the next season, Rob G. Kaepernick 203 00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 1: was good, but he wasn't quite as good, and of 204 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 1: course who he is. Final game that he was ever 205 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 1: really good was in that NFC title game against Seattle. 206 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 1: He throws the picks and then Sherman goes off about 207 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:46,360 Speaker 1: crab tree blah blah blah. And I don't want to 208 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 1: say that the league figured out Kaepernick, you know, in 209 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 1: that second season, but he wasn't as amazing as he 210 00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: was the first season. And I just wonder same offensive 211 00:10:56,360 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: coordinator and Lamar Jackson sputtering a little bit. I don't 212 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 1: to hear. You know, they don't have weapons. They could 213 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:04,760 Speaker 1: have gone to got weapons. They're so desperate they're adding 214 00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 1: Dez Bryant. I know they lost Marsha Yonda to retirement 215 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:11,319 Speaker 1: and Stanley their left tackles down, so that obviously hurts, 216 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:13,920 Speaker 1: but the running backs are still the same market Andrews 217 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:16,840 Speaker 1: is still very good. I think they lost Hayden Hurst 218 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 1: to tight end who's who was excellent, um, but Lamar 219 00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:23,000 Speaker 1: just doesn't look dynamic. And I'm not saying that. Listen, 220 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:24,559 Speaker 1: the lead caught up to him and he's washed and 221 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:29,199 Speaker 1: he's gonna be toast after this year. I just listen. 222 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 1: I gotta see it. And and this is a big 223 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: test against the Patriots Sunday night. This is gonna be 224 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:35,680 Speaker 1: a big one because the world is gonna be on 225 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:38,680 Speaker 1: the Baltimore Ravens. They're expecting Baltimore to kill New England 226 00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:41,520 Speaker 1: in this game. John Sierra will tell us about that shortly. 227 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:45,840 Speaker 1: But if Lamar in a primetime game does not really deliver, 228 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 1: I think, Rob g the Monday story is gonna be 229 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,199 Speaker 1: listened What's up with Lamar? And now we were early 230 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 1: what's up with Lamar Jackson? But I think that would 231 00:11:53,800 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 1: be the narrative he if he doesn't show out on 232 00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 1: Sunday Night football, Now I'm with you. But you know, 233 00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:02,839 Speaker 1: if you're a Ravens fan, you know Patrick Mahans threw 234 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:05,079 Speaker 1: fifty touchdowns his first year as a starter. Next year 235 00:12:05,080 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 1: it was so it's it's not unusual to see it. 236 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 1: Uh NFL catch up to these guys who are super 237 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 1: human in year one? All right, now it's up to 238 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 1: him to adjust the other way. Yeah yeah, so, uh, 239 00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:19,880 Speaker 1: I'm kind of looking forward to I still think the 240 00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:21,600 Speaker 1: Ravens can be a super Bowl team in the a 241 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:23,280 Speaker 1: f C. I don't know if they're better than case. 242 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:29,079 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh defense is nasty, so they that it travels well. Yes, um, listen, 243 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 1: a f C is gonna be great. Uh NFC. We 244 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:33,560 Speaker 1: thought it was better than the a f C early 245 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: in the season. I don't know if that's true anymore 246 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 1: because Pittsburgh so good. But let's get to our interview. 247 00:12:38,080 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 1: John Shearon from FanDuel. Jason likes to think he knows 248 00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 1: everything when it comes to sports. I know what sports 249 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:51,079 Speaker 1: stands want, but for everything he doesn't. He knows a 250 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 1: guy who does. Let's just say I know a guy 251 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:57,880 Speaker 1: who who knows a guy who knows another guy. All right, 252 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:00,280 Speaker 1: let's welcome into straight fire. A guest I've know him 253 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 1: for about two years once he started to blow up 254 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 1: over here at fan Duel. John Sheeran an irishman, John, 255 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:10,439 Speaker 1: How are you man? Very well, Jess and good to 256 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 1: see you. Yeah. And um, I gotta say like I 257 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 1: was doing a show with Lisa Kearney More Ways to 258 00:13:17,520 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 1: Win on the tv G network and then they said, 259 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,680 Speaker 1: oh we got this new guy who was at bet Fair. 260 00:13:22,720 --> 00:13:25,000 Speaker 1: I think you're a bet Fair at the time, right, Yeah, 261 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 1: Putty Power best fair in EUROPEA And they were like, 262 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:29,719 Speaker 1: you know, he's got this thick accent, but you know 263 00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:31,640 Speaker 1: he's got some great gambling stuff. I was like, oh, 264 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 1: I can't wait, and I'll never forget John. The first show, 265 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:37,240 Speaker 1: you were just like boom boom, and I was like wow, 266 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 1: I told what's his name? Um, Dave. I was like, Dave, 267 00:13:42,000 --> 00:13:44,360 Speaker 1: this guy's got some great information. And and now here 268 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 1: you are, what two years later, you're a massive star. 269 00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 1: You're doing podcast left and right. How how are things going? Man? Yeah? 270 00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:56,280 Speaker 1: Really good? Yeah, it was. It was a baptism of 271 00:13:56,360 --> 00:14:01,719 Speaker 1: fire for sure. Getting let loose on American audience with 272 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:05,840 Speaker 1: an Irish accent talking about NFL was quite the baptism. 273 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 1: I remember I was working in the Meadowlands one day. 274 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 1: You were, you were doing the show with us, and 275 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 1: Dave was with us, and my phone beats halfway through 276 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:17,840 Speaker 1: the show and there was this guy. He had replied 277 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 1: to more Ways to Win. We were doing it live 278 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:24,200 Speaker 1: from the Meadowlands and he replied to to more ways 279 00:14:24,240 --> 00:14:27,240 Speaker 1: to Win on Twitter and he said, I love the content, 280 00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:29,960 Speaker 1: love the show. Just get rid of that guy that 281 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 1: can't speak English. So I'm brand new, a bit sensitive, 282 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,360 Speaker 1: and I said to I said to Weaver, I said, 283 00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:40,440 Speaker 1: see this, see this, and I actually laughed out loud, 284 00:14:40,440 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 1: and I thought it was really funny. Actually took it 285 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 1: quite well, and we were the nice guy that he is. 286 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 1: Said to me something like, don't worry, that could be 287 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:49,720 Speaker 1: any of us he's talking about. And I looked at 288 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:52,160 Speaker 1: David was like, Dave, really, I'm the only one with 289 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:56,920 Speaker 1: any different accident whatsoever. Saw to be a nice guy. Listen. 290 00:14:56,960 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 1: The gambling community on social media is pretty aggressive, right, Yeah, 291 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 1: for sure. I mean I think, you know, I do 292 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,520 Speaker 1: think we live in in a bit of a funnel 293 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:09,800 Speaker 1: and we see it and I'm not sure the broader 294 00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:13,760 Speaker 1: public that it resonates as closely with them as it 295 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,200 Speaker 1: does with us. Um So I think we get like 296 00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:19,440 Speaker 1: a microscopic view of it, and I'm not sure it 297 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:25,119 Speaker 1: really breaches the non twitter atti from a gambling perspective, 298 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 1: but it's pretty wild when you're in the middle of it, 299 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 1: for sure. Oh heck yeah. Alright, So I need you 300 00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 1: to explain your role at vanduel in regards to setting lines, 301 00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 1: moving lines and all that fun stuff, just for the 302 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 1: audience out there. I think they're gonna like this job. Man, 303 00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:41,280 Speaker 1: This is gonna be a job it's just gonna become 304 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 1: super popular John here in the next ten years. Yeah. 305 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 1: I mean, look, I obviously had a background in book 306 00:15:47,760 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 1: making for the last twenty years, and I went FANDU 307 00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 1: launched in July in New Jersey myself on one of 308 00:15:56,360 --> 00:15:59,240 Speaker 1: my colleagues were sent here, one from Dublin, one from 309 00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:02,120 Speaker 1: Australia to kind of laid down some of the foundations 310 00:16:02,160 --> 00:16:05,320 Speaker 1: that would allow us to develop the business over here 311 00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:08,000 Speaker 1: and have a footprint from a risk and trading perspective, 312 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:12,800 Speaker 1: which really encompasses all the odds making. So the guys 313 00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 1: will you know, set the lines for all the games, 314 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 1: they'll you know, react to any information that we get 315 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 1: from the bets that come through. They'll move the lines 316 00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:24,080 Speaker 1: depending on where we we think they should be, and 317 00:16:24,480 --> 00:16:26,920 Speaker 1: take some stances against the market, which is an odds 318 00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 1: maker is always good fun. We do a lot of 319 00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 1: the kind of player props. A lot of that is 320 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:34,840 Speaker 1: is done from here in New Jersey, and we now 321 00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 1: own each of the four course sports for the Flutter brands. 322 00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 1: So that's the global brands that we have in Europe, 323 00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 1: Australia as well as founded here in the US and 324 00:16:44,760 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 1: now Fox Better our colleagues of Fox Bet now that 325 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 1: they're all under the same umbrella. So yeah, we we 326 00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,280 Speaker 1: look after all of that and it's a it's a 327 00:16:52,280 --> 00:16:56,160 Speaker 1: lot of fun. The numbers are really taken off on 328 00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 1: a you know, uh, in a way that we could 329 00:16:59,120 --> 00:17:03,160 Speaker 1: never have foreseen before before we landed. I remember the 330 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 1: first week of the NFL inen we did about I 331 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:10,359 Speaker 1: think about four million handle. We're all like high fiving 332 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 1: each other, saying saying to each other, look at the 333 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 1: size of this business. Uh, And you know we do 334 00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 1: about fifty million on a game. We now already just 335 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:22,800 Speaker 1: two years, two years later, so we still have only 336 00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:26,439 Speaker 1: access to about somewhere between fifteen and twenty percent of 337 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 1: the US population as well. So if you think five 338 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:34,480 Speaker 1: years down the road is going to be huge. Um, 339 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:37,000 Speaker 1: I guess is there any way you can rank the 340 00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:39,879 Speaker 1: sports in terms of handle? Obviously NFL's number one, But 341 00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 1: where is NBA, college football, the golf and the masters? Um, 342 00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 1: how would you rank the ones after football? Um? So 343 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:54,600 Speaker 1: basketball is actually the highest one? Was a number of games? Yes, yes, 344 00:17:54,640 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 1: the games? Yeah, I mean football is king right, Football 345 00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 1: is the most important one. It's the one where you know, 346 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:03,439 Speaker 1: we acquire more customers at the start of the NFL 347 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:05,560 Speaker 1: season and for Super Bowl than we will for any 348 00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:09,120 Speaker 1: other event all year long. Um, so it's still king 349 00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:13,000 Speaker 1: from that perspective. Obviously, football betters are are very loyal 350 00:18:13,040 --> 00:18:15,200 Speaker 1: and sticky for lack of a better word. They come 351 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 1: back every week and they bet every game, and that's great. 352 00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 1: But basketball, given the number of games and the normal season, 353 00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:25,199 Speaker 1: not this year, will always be number one because the 354 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:28,680 Speaker 1: frequency of the game. So the top four core sports, 355 00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:33,720 Speaker 1: including hockey, which is less relevant um with soccer and tennis, 356 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 1: actually is the sports betting business in the US. The 357 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:42,400 Speaker 1: top four sports will be about top three sports will 358 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 1: be about something in the rounds of two thirds of 359 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:49,520 Speaker 1: the entire business. So baseball, pro and college. Okay, baseball 360 00:18:49,600 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 1: has a lot of games. Why is the why is 361 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:55,199 Speaker 1: the interest not similar? Um, it's a good question. I 362 00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:59,400 Speaker 1: think baseball is actually not that very similar to football. Actually, 363 00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:01,760 Speaker 1: so the two of them and net out at the 364 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:04,639 Speaker 1: end of the season very close. In the normal twelve months, 365 00:19:05,280 --> 00:19:07,520 Speaker 1: they'll be in spots two and three and very close 366 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:10,880 Speaker 1: to each other. So there is still huge demand for baseball. 367 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:13,600 Speaker 1: Hockey is the surprising one I particularly here on the 368 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:17,000 Speaker 1: East Coast. Um, you know hockey will only ever get 369 00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:19,840 Speaker 1: three or four percent of our total handle. It's only 370 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,440 Speaker 1: ever been as high as eight in Las Vegas, and 371 00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:26,600 Speaker 1: that was only with the development of the of the Nights. 372 00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:30,399 Speaker 1: So um yeah, that one surprises me a little. And 373 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 1: the demand for soccer and tennis as an ever increasing 374 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,639 Speaker 1: one is is huge. Golf, you just spoke about it 375 00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:39,920 Speaker 1: in the middle of Masters week. I've never seen a 376 00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:43,000 Speaker 1: handle like we've seen this week for the Masters that 377 00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,560 Speaker 1: already surpasses all of the international brands that we have. 378 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 1: And these are brands that are household names in Europe 379 00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:52,360 Speaker 1: and that have been around for twenty years. And here 380 00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 1: we are just live online in recently in our eighth 381 00:19:55,800 --> 00:19:59,280 Speaker 1: state in Tennessee, and it's already taking more handle on 382 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,040 Speaker 1: the Masters, and none of those businesses in Europe. So 383 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:06,400 Speaker 1: trajectory strong. And those big events, regardless of whether they're 384 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 1: in m M a fight. If we get McGregor Inmquirier 385 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:13,359 Speaker 1: in January, that will be another huge event. Well, I 386 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:15,480 Speaker 1: guess that the truth of the matter, and what we 387 00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:18,120 Speaker 1: shouldn't lose sight of is that the core of four 388 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 1: sports are are the meeting podatos of the business. Let's 389 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:26,360 Speaker 1: go specifically specifically to the NFL. John, Uh, this season 390 00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:29,000 Speaker 1: has been a different one with really a lot of 391 00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:32,040 Speaker 1: fans being left out of the stadiums and all I 392 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:34,720 Speaker 1: see anywhere is there's no home field advantage. How have 393 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:39,120 Speaker 1: you guys had to adjust to the COVID situation this year. Yeah, 394 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:41,160 Speaker 1: I mean it's been a challenge. I think the unknown 395 00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,479 Speaker 1: at the start of the year was probably the biggest one. 396 00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:46,120 Speaker 1: I think we learned very quickly. I think I can't 397 00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:47,959 Speaker 1: remember what game it was I was watching. I think 398 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:51,040 Speaker 1: it was the Charger game in so far, I'm not sure. 399 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 1: It was a week two or three. UM, and I 400 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 1: heard um the quarterback shouting the you know, the audibles. 401 00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:01,800 Speaker 1: I've never heard that before or any game. Uh. And 402 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:05,000 Speaker 1: straight away you started to see that, you know, increased 403 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 1: efficiency of the away teams offenses. And we knew that 404 00:21:09,160 --> 00:21:12,320 Speaker 1: home field advantage was trending down anyway. We learned that 405 00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 1: from you know, the sports in Europe like soccer where 406 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 1: you know, video video replaced had come in. We saw, 407 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,280 Speaker 1: you know, the first season in NFL history last year 408 00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:24,160 Speaker 1: where the away teams that scored the home teams. UM. 409 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:27,840 Speaker 1: I ran a little test on home field advantage from 410 00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:30,840 Speaker 1: all of last season and this year, and it comes 411 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:34,840 Speaker 1: out at plus point zero two other points. So when 412 00:21:34,880 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 1: you hear people talk about it, looking at the body 413 00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:40,280 Speaker 1: of work over the last season and a half, there 414 00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:44,320 Speaker 1: actually is almost no home field advantage whatsoever. So specifically, 415 00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:46,480 Speaker 1: one of the things I noticed was that I guess 416 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:51,000 Speaker 1: home divisional dogs have done an insane cover rate. I mean, 417 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 1: underdogs in general have been doing well this season. You know, 418 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:57,240 Speaker 1: would you guys say that you've picked it up the 419 00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 1: last couple of weeks in the early start of the season, 420 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:02,240 Speaker 1: kind of the the public betders we're winning and now 421 00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:06,720 Speaker 1: you guys are starting to clean up. Yeah. Look, I'm 422 00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:09,679 Speaker 1: not sure that they directly correlate in the way that 423 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:14,160 Speaker 1: you kind of insinuate. I think what happens every season 424 00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 1: is as we get through six or seven weeks and 425 00:22:17,880 --> 00:22:21,000 Speaker 1: we get a better field for what the team's capabilities are. 426 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,680 Speaker 1: And I do think that the lines just naturally get 427 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:25,959 Speaker 1: sharper as you kind of get in. If you think 428 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,160 Speaker 1: about the start of the season, there's lots of unknowns. 429 00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 1: We don't know what additional schemes they've come up with, 430 00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 1: what impacts coaching changes will have done, what progression from 431 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:37,479 Speaker 1: year one to year two for the quarterback looks like, um, 432 00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:40,200 Speaker 1: so we've all these unknowns and then gradually every week 433 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:43,920 Speaker 1: you're learning more and more as the public art two. Um, 434 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,879 Speaker 1: And I think looking at weeks in groups or isolation, 435 00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:50,199 Speaker 1: and probably it's probably a mistake that cards will follow 436 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,639 Speaker 1: the way that they may, and our job is really 437 00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:54,920 Speaker 1: set the most efficient line as quickly as we can, 438 00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,640 Speaker 1: and you live or die by the results afterwards. So 439 00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:00,040 Speaker 1: I think I think this year that's probably probably a 440 00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:03,199 Speaker 1: bit more pronounced because we had more unknowns at the 441 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 1: start in week one than we've ever had before. Right, 442 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:09,359 Speaker 1: do you find the biggest question every week is so 443 00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:11,800 Speaker 1: where is the public? Where are the sharp place? And 444 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,760 Speaker 1: you know, be be honest, John, like how much does 445 00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,639 Speaker 1: that even matter? If you talk to any of the 446 00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 1: guys who do modeling, they don't care about that stuff. 447 00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:22,680 Speaker 1: They're like, oh, why do I care that the public 448 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:25,960 Speaker 1: is on this team? That's like a way of looking 449 00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:28,680 Speaker 1: at handicapping games. Where do you come in on that? 450 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 1: Like the number of bets, size of bets when you're 451 00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:37,280 Speaker 1: when you're handicapping. Yeah, I look, I've never I've never 452 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:41,640 Speaker 1: seen anything to the scale of this idea that it's 453 00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:45,840 Speaker 1: sharps against squares narrative that's driven by the mead sports 454 00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:49,119 Speaker 1: media in the US and gambling media in particular. Um, 455 00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:51,680 Speaker 1: it's it's crazy, it's off the charts. It doesn't happen 456 00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:57,400 Speaker 1: in Europe. Um. You know the idea that because nine 457 00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:01,680 Speaker 1: percent of the money is on Baltimore this week, Um, 458 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,960 Speaker 1: that that's got nothing to do with what the right 459 00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:06,640 Speaker 1: number is. Right now, the Sharks will have played, they'll 460 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:08,600 Speaker 1: have fixed the line if it was wrong. We've seen 461 00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 1: that tonight with the Colst game. Plus two and a 462 00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:15,639 Speaker 1: half to minus one. Doesn't matter. It doesn't really matter 463 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 1: anymore what the public and sharp side is. It just 464 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:21,399 Speaker 1: matters that you know the number is where it is 465 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 1: a closing and we know that's the most efficient line. 466 00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,280 Speaker 1: And once you get this close, you're having a bet 467 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,359 Speaker 1: at what is you know, small negative VV regardless of 468 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:31,879 Speaker 1: which side you back tonight. So let's let's look at 469 00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:35,000 Speaker 1: that Ravens Patriots game. Right, it's basically been what six 470 00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:38,000 Speaker 1: and a half seven the entire week. Yeah, we flipped 471 00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:39,720 Speaker 1: between six and a half and seven and a half 472 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:41,800 Speaker 1: since it went up last week. So let me guess 473 00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 1: every time it hits seven and a half, they take 474 00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:46,120 Speaker 1: the Patriots, and any time it hits six and a half, 475 00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:49,359 Speaker 1: they take the Ravens. Right, it depends on who you say, 476 00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:53,600 Speaker 1: all right, So like when you look at this game, 477 00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 1: what do you see? I'm curious through your eyes, not 478 00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:59,040 Speaker 1: the models, but you John, what do you see on 479 00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:02,199 Speaker 1: Ravens Patriots? I think this is a really good matchup 480 00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,480 Speaker 1: for the Ravens. I think you're in a position where 481 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 1: you know, we've learned through the last particularly after Week three, 482 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:13,360 Speaker 1: that the Patriots Patriots offense is exceptionally an unicum. It 483 00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:15,919 Speaker 1: was Rex burkeout who changed that game on Monday Night 484 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:18,480 Speaker 1: against the Jets because he started running it down the 485 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,040 Speaker 1: middle for six and seven yards to carry. You know, 486 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:24,720 Speaker 1: when you have Greg Williams daring Cam Newton against the 487 00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:27,159 Speaker 1: New York Jets, who are your New York Jets and 488 00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:30,159 Speaker 1: our ow and as when he's daring Cam Newton to 489 00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:32,879 Speaker 1: throw the ball down the field, um, I think that 490 00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: tells you where they are offensively. And I think from 491 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 1: my perspective, I think Baltimore will stop the run first 492 00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,440 Speaker 1: and foremost, and then they'll match up Mantiman because they're 493 00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: probably feel like they're just better football players in those 494 00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:48,639 Speaker 1: spots and will take those matchups all day long. And 495 00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 1: I just can't see the Patriots putting up enough points 496 00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:56,320 Speaker 1: and to deal with what Baltimore will give them, even 497 00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,000 Speaker 1: if they know what all the play calls are. Like you, 498 00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:01,720 Speaker 1: Mark tells us, So this is the Sunday night football game. 499 00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:04,120 Speaker 1: We know that at the end of the day, people 500 00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,480 Speaker 1: are gonna be chasing on Sunday Night, Right, anybody who 501 00:26:06,520 --> 00:26:08,439 Speaker 1: lost it is gonna be like, I gotta chase, I 502 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:11,480 Speaker 1: gotta catch up my winnings. Um, do you guys see 503 00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,600 Speaker 1: this line moving higher? Will just hit eight eight and 504 00:26:13,600 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 1: a half? I mean it made no, I can't see 505 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,200 Speaker 1: it going like so, So your point earlier is right. 506 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:26,080 Speaker 1: I'm not. We're not in the business of moving the 507 00:26:26,160 --> 00:26:29,359 Speaker 1: line just because all of the money will be on 508 00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:34,320 Speaker 1: Baltimore at seven. We had taken when I checked this 509 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:36,720 Speaker 1: morning on that game at minus seven. We've taken over 510 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:41,760 Speaker 1: fifty tho bets on the spread on that games were 511 00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:46,159 Speaker 1: on the Patriots. Um, the line is now six and 512 00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:48,639 Speaker 1: a half. So that tells you everything you need to 513 00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:50,960 Speaker 1: know about whether we move the lines based on money 514 00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 1: that we see. We just don't do it. Will it 515 00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:56,200 Speaker 1: have an influence in the market, and do we use 516 00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:59,080 Speaker 1: market consensus as an input. The answer to both of 517 00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:02,800 Speaker 1: those questions is absolutely yes. But you know people out 518 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:06,080 Speaker 1: there that may think that because ninetiescent of the money 519 00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:08,080 Speaker 1: is on Baltimore that you have to bet them now 520 00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:11,160 Speaker 1: because it's going to move that way. That's just not true, 521 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:13,960 Speaker 1: not true. So for instance, let's take another game at 522 00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 1: least at least well, and I like how fan do 523 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,880 Speaker 1: will operates like you other places, You're just gonna move 524 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:22,760 Speaker 1: and follow the market and just do whatever you do. Right. Um, 525 00:27:22,800 --> 00:27:26,080 Speaker 1: But I noticed today we're recording. On Thursday, Miami had 526 00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,560 Speaker 1: two defensive starters go on the COVID list, not because 527 00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 1: they have COVID, but because of the contact tracing, similar 528 00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:35,199 Speaker 1: to Matt Stafford. Um, I did notice the line at 529 00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:38,200 Speaker 1: the same time went down. I think it was Miami 530 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 1: two and a half then to one and a half. 531 00:27:40,119 --> 00:27:42,520 Speaker 1: Now do you think the line moved because of COVID? 532 00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 1: Did you guys move it? And and our two defensive 533 00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:48,200 Speaker 1: starters and not not Howard or Jones, the great cornerbacks. 534 00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:50,199 Speaker 1: Are those guys even worth a point or is it 535 00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:53,480 Speaker 1: something else that might be moving the line? I think 536 00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:56,560 Speaker 1: so I didn't look at the game specifically. I wasn't 537 00:27:56,600 --> 00:27:59,280 Speaker 1: even aware of it as we sit here now, But 538 00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,639 Speaker 1: but you're right, the truth of it is they're not 539 00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:05,800 Speaker 1: worth the point on the spread. I think with COVID 540 00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:09,080 Speaker 1: the one thing we have learned is in general it's 541 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 1: not localized, right, there's a chance that there's trace contacts 542 00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:15,639 Speaker 1: those other players implicated, and if you get two positives, 543 00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:17,600 Speaker 1: it's likely that there may well be others. So I 544 00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:20,640 Speaker 1: think you see the market take avasive action when those 545 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:24,959 Speaker 1: things are announced, um, and that that's probably the bigger 546 00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:28,480 Speaker 1: reason for the move, potentially any impact it may have 547 00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:31,639 Speaker 1: on practice between now and kickoff as well. So I 548 00:28:31,640 --> 00:28:33,880 Speaker 1: think it's the wider idea that there may be an 549 00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:38,080 Speaker 1: issue rather than necessarily those players individually being named as 550 00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:40,760 Speaker 1: on the COVID list. One of the biggest moves we've 551 00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:45,000 Speaker 1: seen all season I think was, uh was it Tampa 552 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:46,840 Speaker 1: in the Saints last week? There was a big move there. 553 00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:48,400 Speaker 1: There was one a couple of weeks back with the 554 00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:51,680 Speaker 1: Rams and the fort I think, and this week Bears 555 00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 1: Vikings seems to be like a big move from the 556 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:58,360 Speaker 1: look ahead to what it currently is. What do you 557 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:02,320 Speaker 1: can you express what that move is about. Not really. 558 00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:04,720 Speaker 1: I mean, I think the best example is the one 559 00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:09,480 Speaker 1: you mentioned where the look ahead before the Niners Chargers game. 560 00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:13,440 Speaker 1: I think the look ahead was minus three and it 561 00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:18,600 Speaker 1: basically jumps six points went to plus Rams Niners. That's right, right, Sorry, 562 00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:21,880 Speaker 1: Rams not Chargers. Yeah, Rams Niners are right, um. And 563 00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:23,760 Speaker 1: I think that that's a game where it's a good 564 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:28,240 Speaker 1: example of massive overreaction and that idea of week to 565 00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:32,720 Speaker 1: week narrative. We were very very much on the Niners 566 00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:36,640 Speaker 1: side that time, and we really do struggle because we 567 00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:40,080 Speaker 1: were lean on and rely on priors to such a 568 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,920 Speaker 1: degree that it always is a struggle for us to 569 00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 1: get a number where you get these big shifts week 570 00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 1: on week. And I think you're right. I think you 571 00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:51,080 Speaker 1: know a lot of them. Um. Obviously, there's a lot 572 00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:52,920 Speaker 1: of information in the market, and a lot of it 573 00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:55,360 Speaker 1: is information we just can't have, so I think you 574 00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 1: have to pay a respect to it, but that doesn't 575 00:29:57,880 --> 00:29:59,320 Speaker 1: mean you have to go all the way. And that's 576 00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,840 Speaker 1: what we're trying. Okay, So let me ask about priors. 577 00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,880 Speaker 1: We're we're looking at Kirk Cousins, who everybody knows stings 578 00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:07,200 Speaker 1: on Monday Night, football. He's like a win nine. You know, 579 00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,239 Speaker 1: it can't beat teams with a winning record. But uh, 580 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 1: you know, it's not like there's a lot of priors 581 00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:16,880 Speaker 1: for fulls versus the Vikings with the Bears. I mean 582 00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:20,400 Speaker 1: there's it's such a small sample size, right, yeah, I 583 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 1: mean sample size is another huge thing, And that's why 584 00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:25,000 Speaker 1: we talk about priors and week to week stuff. And 585 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:30,960 Speaker 1: I think there's an art understanding when priors need to 586 00:30:31,000 --> 00:30:33,600 Speaker 1: be moved away from quicker. So the Jets, for me, 587 00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 1: at the start of the season, we're a really good 588 00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:39,160 Speaker 1: example of a team where all the sharp a lot 589 00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:42,480 Speaker 1: of the sharp Twitter community repeatedly bet the Jets every 590 00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:45,680 Speaker 1: week because the number represented value. But the number was 591 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,280 Speaker 1: based on a body of three seasons of work, right, 592 00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:51,200 Speaker 1: And at a certain point you have to understand that 593 00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:54,000 Speaker 1: there's a fundamental change that traded away players a bit 594 00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:57,600 Speaker 1: like the Dolphins last year. Um. And I think one 595 00:30:57,640 --> 00:30:59,960 Speaker 1: of the weaknesses of priors, and we're all guilty of 596 00:31:00,120 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 1: because we lean on them heavily too, is that in 597 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:07,040 Speaker 1: these edge cases you end up over valuing bad teams. 598 00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,640 Speaker 1: I heard somebody say it last week around they had 599 00:31:09,640 --> 00:31:12,800 Speaker 1: a strategy for betting and it's kind of silly in isolation, 600 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,320 Speaker 1: and the strategy was very simply, I don't bet on 601 00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:18,320 Speaker 1: bad football teams, regardless of what the numbers tell me. Yeah, 602 00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:20,960 Speaker 1: that sounds it sounds ridiculous. But when you get edge 603 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,880 Speaker 1: cases like the Dolphins last season, and I know they 604 00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:26,880 Speaker 1: fixed that halfway through the season, we're actually competitive. And 605 00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:29,400 Speaker 1: the Jets at a little bit later of of this 606 00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:32,440 Speaker 1: season tend to mirror that a little bit. But I 607 00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:35,240 Speaker 1: think that's the reason why in people's minds they think 608 00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 1: avoiding a dog that's just bad all the time is 609 00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:41,600 Speaker 1: a good strategy. Um, you know, I look for improvement 610 00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:44,560 Speaker 1: for the Jets, and since Darnel came back, I think 611 00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:47,880 Speaker 1: the Jets have actually steadily improved. Now, you lost him 612 00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:50,960 Speaker 1: and you had Flackle last week, but you're against anemic 613 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:54,240 Speaker 1: Patriot deep offense that you know the Jets defense could 614 00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:56,840 Speaker 1: live with, and and for me, that's why why you 615 00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:58,960 Speaker 1: take them the way you do, And they followed the 616 00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:02,720 Speaker 1: results fall in as John, Isn't that what makes the 617 00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:05,520 Speaker 1: NFL so tough? So look at last week, right, Um, 618 00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:08,440 Speaker 1: the three worst teams in the league all covered Jacksonville 619 00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:11,120 Speaker 1: with a rookie quarterback who nobody had ever heard of 620 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:14,080 Speaker 1: some six round kid, right the Cowboys with a guy 621 00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:16,720 Speaker 1: they promoted from the practice squad. I think, right, Gilbert 622 00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 1: cover against undefeated stealers. Everybody saw that coming, but I 623 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:21,720 Speaker 1: don't think to that level. Then't really won the game. 624 00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:25,240 Speaker 1: And then the third one was Donald goes out Flacco 625 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:28,880 Speaker 1: in Patriots like and the Jets cover. I mean, last week, 626 00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 1: you guys absolutely cleaned up because nobody wants have been 627 00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:33,640 Speaker 1: on bad teams. Right, you would have fade the bad 628 00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:36,640 Speaker 1: quarterbacks of the bad teams. But is that a one 629 00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:38,680 Speaker 1: off or do you I mean, is this a season 630 00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:41,920 Speaker 1: where you got to throw that out the window? Look, 631 00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:47,200 Speaker 1: I think the substituting dinal Like that line was seven 632 00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:50,400 Speaker 1: with Dinald in and it jumped nine and a half 633 00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:54,160 Speaker 1: with Flacco. Like, you can say what you like about 634 00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:57,000 Speaker 1: the Jets, but there's no way Joe Flacco is a 635 00:32:57,080 --> 00:33:01,560 Speaker 1: downgrade of some Dinald. Wait hold up against the Cardinals, 636 00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:03,640 Speaker 1: they scored ten points and then they got blanked by 637 00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:07,520 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. So like I was, I'm rooting for the 638 00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,160 Speaker 1: Jet to lose at this point, but I was on 639 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:12,040 Speaker 1: the picture. It's like an idiot hold on a second 640 00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:15,120 Speaker 1: day they kept the Buffalo Bills, who are now the 641 00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:18,520 Speaker 1: greatest things, and slice spread because they dismantled the Sea 642 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:23,680 Speaker 1: Halls six field goals. They were competitive for three quarters 643 00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:26,200 Speaker 1: of the game at least versus the spread against the Chiefs, 644 00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:29,400 Speaker 1: who were the favorites for the Super Bowl. So I 645 00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:31,520 Speaker 1: think when you look at that progression, I said, I 646 00:33:31,560 --> 00:33:34,840 Speaker 1: think that they've definitely improved, and I think they are 647 00:33:34,920 --> 00:33:38,000 Speaker 1: figuring out a way. You see p Ryan now more competitive, 648 00:33:38,040 --> 00:33:42,080 Speaker 1: you see Sims performing really well, and that linebacker looked 649 00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 1: pretty good again for the last two weeks. So I 650 00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:47,080 Speaker 1: just think that they're finding a way. They're getting used 651 00:33:47,080 --> 00:33:49,440 Speaker 1: to the system. These guys are getting more reps they 652 00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:51,640 Speaker 1: weren't planned at the start of the season, for sure, 653 00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:55,280 Speaker 1: but more time in general. And the gap, I think 654 00:33:55,360 --> 00:33:57,720 Speaker 1: is the other thing that these are small gaps the 655 00:33:57,760 --> 00:33:59,560 Speaker 1: best team to the worst team in the NFL. We 656 00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:02,480 Speaker 1: have all this idea that it's twenty one points like 657 00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:04,400 Speaker 1: the spread on the look Ahead was for the Patriot 658 00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:08,040 Speaker 1: or for the Chiefs and the Jets. The gap is 659 00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:10,839 Speaker 1: not that big. So if you can get your fundamentals, 660 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:13,600 Speaker 1: be well coached, and execute, you can be competitive with 661 00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:15,640 Speaker 1: any other team in the league. I I almost think 662 00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,160 Speaker 1: with with a lot of Jets fans myself included, once 663 00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:21,279 Speaker 1: it started to go hey wire, with Gaye stinking, it's 664 00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:24,600 Speaker 1: obviously's going to be fired, Greg Williams stinks, and you 665 00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:27,439 Speaker 1: and the coaches calling around the league looking for jobs 666 00:34:27,480 --> 00:34:30,160 Speaker 1: because they know they're going to get outed. I thought 667 00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:31,879 Speaker 1: a lot of people thought the Jets might just throw 668 00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:33,239 Speaker 1: in the towel and be like, all right, well this 669 00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,600 Speaker 1: is done. We're not going anywhere. I might as well party. 670 00:34:35,640 --> 00:34:38,279 Speaker 1: I'm not going to be you know, uh not go 671 00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:41,080 Speaker 1: out for five months because I'm on a winless team. 672 00:34:41,120 --> 00:34:44,520 Speaker 1: And kind of the opposite thing happened, right, Yeah. I 673 00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:46,360 Speaker 1: think it comes down to those players that we just 674 00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:49,360 Speaker 1: touched on. Those guys are playing for contracts. You know, 675 00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:51,600 Speaker 1: A wise man said to me a long time ago. 676 00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:54,359 Speaker 1: He said, regardless of what the organization want to do, 677 00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:57,120 Speaker 1: the guys on the field in general wants to completely 678 00:34:57,160 --> 00:35:00,359 Speaker 1: saw with the Dolphins last year, you see it again 679 00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:01,960 Speaker 1: now with the Jets. I think that's very true. These 680 00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:04,720 Speaker 1: guys are fighting for a lot of them are inexperience. 681 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:07,600 Speaker 1: You think about Barrioss, you think about p Ryan and 682 00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 1: new new running back, those guys are fighting for a 683 00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:13,759 Speaker 1: career in the NFL, and they're not wealthy guys not 684 00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:16,520 Speaker 1: getting paid a ton of money and have a retirement 685 00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,279 Speaker 1: fund that they can lean back on. They need to 686 00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:21,080 Speaker 1: be competitive on the field and and that's their shop windows. 687 00:35:21,080 --> 00:35:22,680 Speaker 1: So why wouldn't they take it? All right, I'll ask 688 00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:25,200 Speaker 1: you two more real quick, Buffalo, you joke that they're 689 00:35:25,239 --> 00:35:27,920 Speaker 1: the hottest thing. Ever, I'm assuming everybody's betting the Bills 690 00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:30,960 Speaker 1: this weekend in Arizona. I was looking at adding the 691 00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:36,160 Speaker 1: Cardinals to my to my my contest play. Yeah, I look, 692 00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:39,000 Speaker 1: I think it's an interesting one. I think bar last week, 693 00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:41,960 Speaker 1: I mean, everybody told me, you know, the Bills were finished. 694 00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:44,920 Speaker 1: They were talking about Heisman or not heisman m v 695 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:48,160 Speaker 1: P performance from from Josh Allen after three weeks and 696 00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:50,319 Speaker 1: then he was gone. Now all of a sudden, you 697 00:35:50,320 --> 00:35:52,239 Speaker 1: want me to believe he's back against what we know 698 00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:56,080 Speaker 1: is a terrible defense. I'm not sure I trust Buffalo. 699 00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:00,279 Speaker 1: I think it could it could potentially be a good 700 00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,480 Speaker 1: spot for the Cardinals. I think the spread is condensed 701 00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:05,200 Speaker 1: because of that performance. You're getting them now under a 702 00:36:05,280 --> 00:36:07,960 Speaker 1: field goal, it's about a seven to one ratio and 703 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:09,759 Speaker 1: the money that we've taken a two and a half 704 00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:14,960 Speaker 1: for the Cardinals. So um yeah, I don't mind people 705 00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:19,200 Speaker 1: taking the Cardinals this week. Ram Seahawks maybe the most 706 00:36:19,280 --> 00:36:23,040 Speaker 1: interesting game on the board. Uh McVeigh has owned Pete 707 00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:25,640 Speaker 1: Carroll lately one four or five. The other game they 708 00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:28,680 Speaker 1: should have won the kicker mr field goal. And I 709 00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:31,879 Speaker 1: just this, This Seattle defense just is not very good. 710 00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,759 Speaker 1: You know, you joked about him a minute ago there on. 711 00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:37,000 Speaker 1: I think they've given up the most yards through eight 712 00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:39,919 Speaker 1: games in NFL history or some insane stat like that. 713 00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:44,680 Speaker 1: But I still have reservations going again th Russell Wilson. Um, 714 00:36:44,840 --> 00:36:46,279 Speaker 1: I mean I want to take the Rams here. I 715 00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:49,360 Speaker 1: don't know, do you trust Jared Goff against heavy pressure? 716 00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:53,719 Speaker 1: They did sack Josh Allen seven times last week? Do 717 00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:59,399 Speaker 1: I know? I do not stared golf against any sort 718 00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 1: of pressure. I think we've all seen what a deer 719 00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:04,319 Speaker 1: in the headlights looks like. You're right, though, I think 720 00:37:04,320 --> 00:37:06,880 Speaker 1: he's he's going to have had ten days to prepare 721 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:11,160 Speaker 1: for this. Mcphaghum. I we were really high on the 722 00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:13,520 Speaker 1: Seahawks at the start of the season, particularly when we 723 00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:16,239 Speaker 1: saw them go to New England and or play New 724 00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:20,239 Speaker 1: England and be as pass heavy as they were. I 725 00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,640 Speaker 1: think they're the highest team in the league for passing 726 00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:25,400 Speaker 1: on first down something like sixty four percent of the time. 727 00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:30,080 Speaker 1: Incredible receivers. You can't stop water at this stage. And 728 00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:32,839 Speaker 1: you know, I think until we get the safeties back, 729 00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:34,640 Speaker 1: I think they're going to continue to be in trouble 730 00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:37,680 Speaker 1: and I would probably just thrust the rams a little 731 00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:41,800 Speaker 1: bit more in this spot off that layoff. YEA. Alright, 732 00:37:41,840 --> 00:37:45,720 Speaker 1: So John, you guys doing any giveaways, any specials, um 733 00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:49,480 Speaker 1: you want to tout here on the podcast for our 734 00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:51,760 Speaker 1: listeners are all over the country now. I will say 735 00:37:51,800 --> 00:37:53,719 Speaker 1: a large portion of our listeners are in l A 736 00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:57,759 Speaker 1: because I moved out here and whatever. But um, l 737 00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:00,920 Speaker 1: A you can't gamble yet, So any advice for the 738 00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:02,440 Speaker 1: people who are in a state where you can get 739 00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:05,160 Speaker 1: able what they might want to do this weekend. Look, 740 00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:08,520 Speaker 1: I'm not here. I leave the touting of our of 741 00:38:08,640 --> 00:38:12,879 Speaker 1: our offers for the marketing team. I think I think 742 00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:14,640 Speaker 1: the biggest thing for us. Look, if I am going 743 00:38:14,680 --> 00:38:17,600 Speaker 1: to say something about the sports book, Um, I don't 744 00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:19,080 Speaker 1: know if you've seen much of it, but the Same 745 00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:22,200 Speaker 1: Game party really is a cool feature, particularly when you 746 00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:25,319 Speaker 1: think about the primetime standalone games. You know, being able 747 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:28,360 Speaker 1: to pick five or six elements of the games, particularly 748 00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:31,040 Speaker 1: around player props, and parlay them all in one game 749 00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:35,200 Speaker 1: is pretty unique feature. And even if you're in California 750 00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:38,360 Speaker 1: and we're not legal there yet, hopefully we will be 751 00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:41,040 Speaker 1: in the next few years, and get yourself accustomed to it. 752 00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:43,480 Speaker 1: It's a really cool feature and really it's really good fun, 753 00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:46,440 Speaker 1: all right, John, John Shearon, Vanduel thanks a lot, man, 754 00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:49,200 Speaker 1: keep up the good work. John. Thanks Jason, good to 755 00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:53,520 Speaker 1: hear you. The only thing better than sitting on your 756 00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:57,920 Speaker 1: couch watching the game, he's making money while you do it. 757 00:38:58,200 --> 00:39:04,760 Speaker 1: Here's your best bet. Absolutely tremendous stuff from John Shearon's. 758 00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:06,919 Speaker 1: You know, I did TV with him, as I said 759 00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,520 Speaker 1: two years ago, and I instantly knew man, this guy sharp. 760 00:39:09,600 --> 00:39:12,279 Speaker 1: He is a smart individual. So you definitely want to 761 00:39:12,280 --> 00:39:14,400 Speaker 1: follow him on social media if you're up for that, 762 00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:16,799 Speaker 1: and uh, if you're into sports gambling. All right, let's 763 00:39:16,840 --> 00:39:20,320 Speaker 1: get to the best bet. Thank goodness. The Colts ended 764 00:39:20,360 --> 00:39:24,040 Speaker 1: my really ice cold losing streak with an easy winner 765 00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:28,240 Speaker 1: Thursday night. I mean they dominated the second half. Absolutely 766 00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:30,960 Speaker 1: awesome performance. That's a new team with Michael Pittman. As 767 00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:34,800 Speaker 1: we said earlier, I got boosted to forty wins, thirty 768 00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:38,279 Speaker 1: two losses, and five pushes since the start of the podcast. 769 00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:41,680 Speaker 1: And you know, guys, I went over four last Sunday 770 00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:43,640 Speaker 1: in the NFL, so I think I can come back. 771 00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:45,520 Speaker 1: This is how much confidence I have. I know I'm 772 00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:47,680 Speaker 1: a good gambler. I've been doing this long enough. I 773 00:39:47,719 --> 00:39:50,000 Speaker 1: have enough confidence I will go for O this weekend. 774 00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:52,480 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna give you four winners right now, and 775 00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:55,359 Speaker 1: number one going back to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Yes, 776 00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:57,120 Speaker 1: I know, Jason. Oh my gosh, what do you what 777 00:39:57,120 --> 00:40:00,120 Speaker 1: are you doing? Are you crazy? Tampa Bay minus five 778 00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:03,560 Speaker 1: and a half, folks, this is just when you look 779 00:40:03,600 --> 00:40:06,360 Speaker 1: at the XS and ose of the matchup, everything favors 780 00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:09,799 Speaker 1: the Bucks. Okay, it's just like Week two. They were 781 00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:13,080 Speaker 1: coming off a loss to the Saints. Tom Brady did 782 00:40:13,120 --> 00:40:17,680 Speaker 1: not look good. Tampa Bay. Uh, you know, needed to rebound, 783 00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:19,960 Speaker 1: just as they did after Sunday Night's loss, and they 784 00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:22,480 Speaker 1: took it out on Teddy Bridgewater. I mean they sacked 785 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:27,120 Speaker 1: him five times, forced four turnovers, they led twenty one nothing. Uh, 786 00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:28,680 Speaker 1: they took the foot off the gas a little bit 787 00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:31,680 Speaker 1: in the third quarter and they ended up covering thanks 788 00:40:31,719 --> 00:40:33,880 Speaker 1: to a Leonard four net long touchdown Roun with like 789 00:40:33,920 --> 00:40:36,200 Speaker 1: five minutes left. Teddy Bridgewater tried to come in the 790 00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:38,239 Speaker 1: back door and get a push late, but he could not. 791 00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 1: It's just a bad matchup. The big deal with Teddy 792 00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:44,520 Speaker 1: Bridgewater is if you can pressure him, he crumbles. He 793 00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:47,480 Speaker 1: is the worst quarterback in the league under pressure, tied 794 00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:50,880 Speaker 1: for the most interceptions five one under pressure. Now, if 795 00:40:50,880 --> 00:40:53,280 Speaker 1: you give him a clean pocket, he's gonna deliver eleven 796 00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:58,640 Speaker 1: touchdowns when he's not under pressure only one interception. Completions 797 00:40:59,080 --> 00:41:04,600 Speaker 1: under pressure fifty eight percent completions, zero touchdowns, five interceptions. 798 00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:08,480 Speaker 1: And folks, Tampa Bay has blitzed more than any other 799 00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:11,040 Speaker 1: team in the NFL this season. Okay, this is a 800 00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:14,720 Speaker 1: team that sack Bridgewater five times. The Bears got Bridgewater four, 801 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:18,040 Speaker 1: Bridgewater lost. The Falcon's got him three times. Bridgewater lost. 802 00:41:18,560 --> 00:41:21,359 Speaker 1: I like Tampa Bay. I got them at five and 803 00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:23,640 Speaker 1: a half. Alright, my next bet, and this is kind 804 00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:26,960 Speaker 1: of the zigzag theory. I like the Cardinals all season. 805 00:41:27,000 --> 00:41:29,359 Speaker 1: You guys know that if you followed my fox picks, 806 00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:31,080 Speaker 1: I said that Kyler Murray would be an m v 807 00:41:31,120 --> 00:41:34,640 Speaker 1: p UM. I like the Cardinals to get in the playoffs. 808 00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:38,000 Speaker 1: I had some futures on them, and I'm not gonna 809 00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:40,279 Speaker 1: put it all out there, um, but I do have 810 00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:44,080 Speaker 1: a connection to the Cardinals, and this person has been 811 00:41:44,080 --> 00:41:47,080 Speaker 1: telling me how high they are on Arizona, and I respected. 812 00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:50,280 Speaker 1: I've been doing looking in to the Cardinals since the offseason. 813 00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:52,879 Speaker 1: I love everything about Kingsbury and Kyler Murray and I'm 814 00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,200 Speaker 1: on them. I took them. Let me see what the 815 00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:59,680 Speaker 1: line is as we record this. Arizona favored by two. 816 00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:01,840 Speaker 1: Oh is it two and a half? That's two and 817 00:42:01,840 --> 00:42:03,920 Speaker 1: a half two and a half against Buffalo. I just 818 00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:07,080 Speaker 1: I can't. I can't look away from Arizona. I've gotta 819 00:42:07,120 --> 00:42:12,359 Speaker 1: take them here. I love everything about this matchup, folks. Um. 820 00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:15,520 Speaker 1: This is a Buffalo team that hit the skids earlier. 821 00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:17,520 Speaker 1: They had some bad weather, they did not look good, 822 00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:19,920 Speaker 1: and then they torched one of the worst secondaries in 823 00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:23,440 Speaker 1: the league. Uh newsflash, Arizona has a good secondary. They 824 00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:26,200 Speaker 1: were just missing guys last week. Their slot cornerback Byron 825 00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:29,399 Speaker 1: Murphy was out with COVID and their third quarterback, Drake 826 00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:32,880 Speaker 1: Kirkpatrick was injured. Both of them are back this week, 827 00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:35,080 Speaker 1: so now you're at full strength at the corners. My 828 00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:37,520 Speaker 1: I have a little concern about this Buddha Baker injury. 829 00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:40,840 Speaker 1: He misspracticed Wednesday and Thursday. He's the highest paid safety 830 00:42:40,840 --> 00:42:42,560 Speaker 1: in the league and one of the top rated safeties 831 00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:44,799 Speaker 1: in the league according to Pro Football Focus. But that 832 00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:48,600 Speaker 1: secondary will hold their own. Seattle had no chance none 833 00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:51,799 Speaker 1: against Buffalo. I was a terrible read by me, and 834 00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:54,560 Speaker 1: I just think, you know, this is an Arizona team 835 00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:58,680 Speaker 1: that's gonna move the football easily. The Buffalo Bills defense stinks. Honestly, 836 00:42:58,680 --> 00:43:00,520 Speaker 1: It's one of the bottom eight unit in the league 837 00:43:00,520 --> 00:43:03,720 Speaker 1: and almost every metric, and I mean they hemorrha yards 838 00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:07,480 Speaker 1: every week. You know, if Josh Allen's not dominating, this 839 00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:09,400 Speaker 1: defense is gonna lose them the game. And I like 840 00:43:09,520 --> 00:43:12,920 Speaker 1: Kyler Murray to do just enough and get the w 841 00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:15,600 Speaker 1: favored by two. Let me shut that down Arizona two 842 00:43:15,600 --> 00:43:18,200 Speaker 1: and a half. Now, this next one is risky because 843 00:43:18,200 --> 00:43:20,320 Speaker 1: I've been on Miami. If you've been following the show, 844 00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:22,239 Speaker 1: I was on them against the Rams. I got a 845 00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:24,319 Speaker 1: lot of WHOA, what the hell are you doing? Jay? 846 00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:28,480 Speaker 1: What's going on here? Boom it hit. I had them 847 00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:33,480 Speaker 1: last week in Arizona. Boom it hit and the line 848 00:43:33,520 --> 00:43:35,440 Speaker 1: we even went against me. People are like doubt in Miami. 849 00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:38,120 Speaker 1: I'm just telling you, and I can't continue to prattle 850 00:43:38,239 --> 00:43:41,720 Speaker 1: on about it. The scheme that Brian Flores has is awesome. 851 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:46,760 Speaker 1: It's what Belichick thrive. Did You play your cornerbacks man coverage, 852 00:43:47,239 --> 00:43:50,080 Speaker 1: You dominate the line of scrimmage. You do not give 853 00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:53,640 Speaker 1: them anything. And I just I love everything about this 854 00:43:53,640 --> 00:43:57,000 Speaker 1: Miami defense. You've got a rookie quarterback in a big 855 00:43:57,120 --> 00:44:01,240 Speaker 1: road test against you know, Xavian Howard is an excellent quarterback, 856 00:44:01,560 --> 00:44:05,359 Speaker 1: held uh new Copkins without a target in the first 857 00:44:05,400 --> 00:44:07,919 Speaker 1: half last week. I mean new Copkins is elite. Now, 858 00:44:07,960 --> 00:44:10,040 Speaker 1: Howard did get flagged three times in the second half, 859 00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:13,919 Speaker 1: but he is excellent and Byron Jones very good quarterback. Listen, 860 00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:16,640 Speaker 1: we talked uh with John sheer and about this earlier. 861 00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:19,759 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Miami here. I know it's uh. You know, 862 00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:22,640 Speaker 1: Miami has been great as an underdog. I'm taking him 863 00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:25,279 Speaker 1: as a favorite here. I like the Chargers. I like 864 00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:28,560 Speaker 1: everything about Herbert. I don't like anything about Anthony Lynn. 865 00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:31,200 Speaker 1: At some point he's gonna make a head scratching decision. 866 00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:34,760 Speaker 1: And we saw this Thursday night, folks. Special teams matters. 867 00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:38,040 Speaker 1: Tennessee came into that Thursday night football game thirty in 868 00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:41,160 Speaker 1: the league. In special teams, they had a like a 869 00:44:41,239 --> 00:44:44,400 Speaker 1: seventeen yard punt, they had a blocked punt for a touchdown, 870 00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:47,640 Speaker 1: and they had a misfield goal and that was basically 871 00:44:47,640 --> 00:44:51,160 Speaker 1: the third quarter. The l A Chargers are dead last 872 00:44:51,320 --> 00:44:54,120 Speaker 1: in the NFL in special teams. At some point it's 873 00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,640 Speaker 1: gonna come in. And remember, Miami very good in the 874 00:44:56,680 --> 00:44:59,120 Speaker 1: special teams. They had a punt return for touchdown against 875 00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:01,080 Speaker 1: the Rams. I just I think this is a great 876 00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:03,440 Speaker 1: spot for Miami. I took them favored by one. So 877 00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:07,640 Speaker 1: my last game, and this was a tough one because listen, 878 00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:09,840 Speaker 1: when you promise four winners coming off and oh and 879 00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:12,560 Speaker 1: four last weekend my worst weekend of the season. Seven 880 00:45:12,600 --> 00:45:14,880 Speaker 1: winning weeks, one losing week, and then last weekend I 881 00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:17,960 Speaker 1: got really just kicked in the teeth um. This final 882 00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:22,280 Speaker 1: one is difficult. I really looked hard at the Browns, 883 00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:24,680 Speaker 1: but too many, too many people are like in the 884 00:45:24,680 --> 00:45:26,600 Speaker 1: Browns this week as a favorite. I mean, come on, 885 00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:28,799 Speaker 1: like really, I know the wind is gonna be a 886 00:45:28,800 --> 00:45:30,960 Speaker 1: factor and things line up for the Browns to look good. 887 00:45:32,000 --> 00:45:35,520 Speaker 1: I'm not betting the Browns three and a half um three. 888 00:45:35,520 --> 00:45:37,120 Speaker 1: I would take them, but I think there's a better 889 00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:40,200 Speaker 1: bet here. I think the Philadelphia Eagles. Yes, they've lost 890 00:45:40,200 --> 00:45:43,040 Speaker 1: me some money this season. I have not read Philadelphia. Well. 891 00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:46,440 Speaker 1: Their favored by three on the road against the Giants, 892 00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:49,239 Speaker 1: and I'm taking the Eagles. This is the healthiest they 893 00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:52,360 Speaker 1: will have been all season. Okay, you're talking about a 894 00:45:52,400 --> 00:45:54,480 Speaker 1: team that's gonna be as healthy as they've been on 895 00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:56,840 Speaker 1: the offensive line as they were in Week one. You 896 00:45:56,920 --> 00:45:59,560 Speaker 1: got Miles Sanders coming back, and running back Dallas got 897 00:45:59,560 --> 00:46:03,280 Speaker 1: her back tight end and if Carson Wentz can't get 898 00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:07,279 Speaker 1: right in this spot against the Giants team that I 899 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:10,280 Speaker 1: mean every week they were in a cardiac game. Okay, 900 00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:14,160 Speaker 1: they had the turnover margin plus five last week against 901 00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:18,440 Speaker 1: Washington and they barely won the game, barely won against 902 00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:21,640 Speaker 1: the back third string Washington quarterback. Well, I guess you 903 00:46:21,680 --> 00:46:23,759 Speaker 1: know what is Alex Smith is he's second or third? 904 00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:26,879 Speaker 1: I think Haskins started the season, so Kyle Allen was second. 905 00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:30,520 Speaker 1: So yeah, against the third string quarterback, they needed a 906 00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:34,160 Speaker 1: bevy of turnovers to pull that off. Daniel Jones had 907 00:46:34,200 --> 00:46:37,960 Speaker 1: his first turnover free game of the season, and he's 908 00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:41,719 Speaker 1: a turnover machine. This is what the guy does. You know? Um, 909 00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:44,160 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Eagles, man. I know it's it's risky 910 00:46:44,280 --> 00:46:47,120 Speaker 1: on the road. Favored by three divisional matchup, but I 911 00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:50,480 Speaker 1: like Philadelphia here to lay the wood to the Giants 912 00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:52,719 Speaker 1: and served notice that just like last year when the 913 00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:55,239 Speaker 1: Eagles were five and seven and then they got hot 914 00:46:55,239 --> 00:46:56,719 Speaker 1: at the end and went four oh and got to 915 00:46:56,760 --> 00:46:59,839 Speaker 1: the playoffs, I think this is the beginning of the 916 00:47:00,000 --> 00:47:01,960 Speaker 1: Eagles getting hot and you want to get in on 917 00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:05,400 Speaker 1: the ground level. So Eagles minus three to recap Arizona 918 00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:08,279 Speaker 1: favored by two and a half, Miami favorite by one, 919 00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:11,359 Speaker 1: Tampa favored by five and a half. Yes, I did 920 00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:14,120 Speaker 1: just realize that is four favorites. Alright, guys, we had 921 00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:16,840 Speaker 1: an awesome week. The numbers continue to go up. On 922 00:47:16,880 --> 00:47:18,759 Speaker 1: the podcast, Rob g relays them to me. I'm really 923 00:47:18,760 --> 00:47:21,680 Speaker 1: proud man. Thank you guys for all the comments and 924 00:47:21,880 --> 00:47:24,560 Speaker 1: uh you know them. What is the five star reviews. 925 00:47:24,600 --> 00:47:26,359 Speaker 1: We're gonna do a giveaway next week. I'm gonna give 926 00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:28,279 Speaker 1: you guys some money because I do like to do that. 927 00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:30,640 Speaker 1: Besides giving out the winning picks, I like to hand 928 00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:32,600 Speaker 1: out money. We'll talk to you on Monday.