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Speaker 1: Two's breaking news as we go on the air.

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Speaker 2: Did you guys know the very Swifts and Vince Young

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Speaker 2: when they were coaching at Oklahoma playing at Texas, respectively,

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Speaker 2: did you know they were in the process of between

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Speaker 2: SEC Legends. The SEC Legends class for twenty twenty four

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Speaker 2: just announced.

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Speaker 1: Barry Switzer Vince Young.

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Speaker 2: SEC Legends, as it turns out, never wore the conference

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Speaker 2: patch on their jersey a single time, but there were

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Speaker 2: SEC Legends all along. What do you know what were jampacked?

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Speaker 2: We're hy atape still sunny downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Because it

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Speaker 2: is the middle of the day, Tuesday, October twenty second

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Speaker 2: year of Our Lord twenty twenty four, proudly brought to

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Speaker 2: you by Academy Sports and Outdoors. Cranked up the show

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Speaker 2: a little early tonight. Why well, because we have a

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Speaker 2: very very busy night slash week ahead. I'll tell you

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Speaker 2: about it, but I'm also going to tell you we

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Speaker 2: got full week nine predictions.

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Speaker 1: Nothing changes here. We're predicting week nine.

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Speaker 2: I'm even giving you the upset Alert segment forty eight

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Speaker 2: hours ahead of time. We'd normally do that Thursday, We're

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Speaker 2: going to do that tonight and We'll still have a

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Speaker 2: show Thursday. We're just going to do different things on that.

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Speaker 2: The whole college football officiating thing, What a firestorm that is.

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Speaker 2: You guys wouldn't believe how many coaches I heard from

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Speaker 2: merely because we well, we told the truth. I think

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Speaker 2: on the Sunday Night show about the problems with college

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Speaker 2: football officiating, none of you are happy with it. I'm

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Speaker 2: not happy with it. They're not happy with it. And

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Speaker 2: these are not people guarding the nuclear codes. Believe it

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Speaker 2: or not, we are owed some answers and transparency on

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Speaker 2: this front. It is the entertainment business, after all. I

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Speaker 2: got a new JP poll come in at you in Well,

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Speaker 2: it's a matter.

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Speaker 1: Of minutes, just a few minutes. We got a jam

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Speaker 1: packed show.

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Speaker 2: They're watching us in Jacksonville, Alabama, Manchester, New Hampshire, Abilene, Texas,

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Speaker 2: Fort Stewart, Georgia. Listen to this. Flying up to New

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Speaker 2: York City after the show in a little while. We'll

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Speaker 2: be over the next four days. We'll be doing some

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Speaker 2: stuff in New York City. We'll be in Las Vegas

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Speaker 2: on Friday night. I'll be back here in Nashville on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to do Inside College football Wednesday night in

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Speaker 2: New York at CBS World Headquarters, not merely local headquarters,

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Speaker 2: World Headquarters. We will do our show from New York Thursday.

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Speaker 2: We will be at UNLV boising on the sideline Friday

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Speaker 2: night out there in Allegiance Stadium in beautiful Las Vegas, Nevada.

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Speaker 1: And then right here in our home base.

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Speaker 2: At Vanderbilt in Nashville on Saturday to see Texas come

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Speaker 2: into town. And we're going to talk about that game

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Speaker 2: in upset alert a little bit later on what kind

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Speaker 2: of alert scales should I put on that?

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Speaker 1: What kind of number should I put on that one?

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Speaker 2: In the meantime, it is Thursday, and that means or

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Speaker 2: it's Tuesday. Yeah, that means around here, it's Prediction Night.

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Speaker 2: Happy to have you with us. LS you place Texas,

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Speaker 2: A and M this Saturday. It's a seven thirty Eastern

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Speaker 2: timekick on ABC. What we get here, so everyone's clear,

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Speaker 2: is we get Kyle Field at night and for all

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Speaker 2: the aughts and love that this show has participated in,

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Speaker 2: and all the neil and love that this show has

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Speaker 2: participated in, and rightfully so, Kyle Field can bring it too.

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Speaker 2: Kyle Field can turn a game too, and One of

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Speaker 2: the big arguments I have with some folks in the

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Speaker 2: data and analytics community is the impact of home field.

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Speaker 2: I believe in it. I believe in it a lot.

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Speaker 2: Kyle Field could really sink its teeth into you if

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Speaker 2: you let it. The home team has won seven consecutive

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Speaker 2: games in this series, and don't let the press clippings

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Speaker 2: convince you otherwise. These are the two top teams in

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Speaker 2: the SEC right now. Maybe not in the JP pole,

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Speaker 2: maybe not even in the AP pole, but in the

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Speaker 2: outright standings in the league. You got two undefeated teams

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Speaker 2: in the conference, and it's LSU and Texas A and M.

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Speaker 2: So I have a question for you as we open

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Speaker 2: this show on this Tuesday. Do you believe in Connor Wegman?

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Speaker 2: LSU fan, an M fan, Nebraska fan for all I care,

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Speaker 2: innocent bystander, do you believe in Connor Wegman. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: tell you why. That's a very important question. Number one,

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Speaker 2: because he is one of the starting quarterbacks in this game.

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Speaker 2: Number two, he looked brilliant against Missouri, did he not.

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Speaker 2: We were there, we were on the field, we saw it.

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Speaker 2: And then he was very suspect against Mississippi. State last

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Speaker 2: week coming out of a buy through two picks, had

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Speaker 2: another four balls that we think were turnover worthy. So

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Speaker 2: it could have been a disaster of a game against

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Speaker 2: Mississippi State. And so which Connor Wigman are we getting here?

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Speaker 2: This is probably the best pressure team that he will

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Speaker 2: have seen. LSU has gotten themselves righted in a lot

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Speaker 2: of ways, defensively, pressure chief among them, and he has

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Speaker 2: he being Connor Wigman, three multi interception games in his

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Speaker 2: last seven starts. So that's one recipe to lose a game.

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Speaker 2: Now you carve him up like you did Missouri, that's

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Speaker 2: a recipe to win a game. Which brings me back

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Speaker 2: to my question the premise here. Do we believe in

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Speaker 2: Connor Wigman? Remember LSU kind of shut the run down

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Speaker 2: against Arkansas, So there's a follow up to that.

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Speaker 1: Do I believe in Le'Veon Moss? Yes? I do? Will

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Speaker 1: he be able to carry this game?

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Speaker 2: Will this be a game where A and m is

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Speaker 2: able to work off the ground game and then they

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Speaker 2: can go play action and it can be a nice

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Speaker 2: compliment to owning the game on the ground.

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Speaker 1: Maybe it would be great if they could.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't necessarily count on it, but maybe the follow

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Speaker 2: up to the follow up is it's really a prove

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Speaker 2: it game for Garrett Nusmeyer. As much as I focused

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Speaker 2: on the quarterback position with A and M, it's really

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Speaker 2: kind of a prove it game for Garrett Nusmeyer at

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Speaker 2: LSU too. A and M's a pretty good pressure team

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Speaker 2: in their own right. They're thirty sixth versus the run.

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Speaker 2: LSU is ninety sixth running the ball. Now, it should

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Speaker 2: be noted that last week I thought LSU may struggle

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Speaker 2: a little bit to run the ball against Arkansas, And

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Speaker 2: while they didn't run Arkansas out of the building, they

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Speaker 2: outgained Arkansas. And that's not something that the paper that

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Speaker 2: the game is not played on suggested that should happen.

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Speaker 1: So do we have a follow up here?

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Speaker 2: Does LSU go on the road again, second road game

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Speaker 2: in as many weeks, by the way, do they go

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Speaker 2: in here and do they pull something surprising out like

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Speaker 2: out gaining A and M on the ground. If they

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Speaker 2: did that, LSU's probably well on their way to winning

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Speaker 2: this game. But if they don't, let's just say they

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Speaker 2: have an average to below average day on the ground.

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Speaker 2: It's not the end of the world for LSU. Just

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Speaker 2: means Garrett nus Meyer's got to come through. He has

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Speaker 2: spread the ball around here. It hasn't been like we

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Speaker 2: saw with Bama where they targeted Ryan Williams twenty.

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Speaker 1: Times last game.

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Speaker 2: Kiron Lacey's the best receiver on this team at Aaron

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Speaker 2: Anderson has had a good year, Daniels has had a

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Speaker 2: good year. Mason Taylor at tight end positions had a

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Speaker 2: really good year. So he's got a multitude of weapons

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Speaker 2: here down in the red zone. He can run it

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Speaker 2: in himself. Lsu wants to run the ball a and

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Speaker 2: m kind of needs to run the ball. Is the

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Speaker 2: way this game breaks down for me. But let's just

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Speaker 2: say neither of them do it all that. Well, neither

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Speaker 2: team is above four four point three yards per carry,

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Speaker 2: so neither team has taken the game over on the ground. Well, then,

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Speaker 2: if it is quarterback against quarterback, I have no choice

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Speaker 2: but to trust Garrett Nusmeyer more because he's earned it.

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Speaker 2: And I'm not sure Connor Wigman has the consistency to

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Speaker 2: have earned that. But I do know what his capability

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Speaker 2: is because I do know what he did last time

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Speaker 2: he played a game in this building because I was there.

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Speaker 1: So let's take a look at what Model thinks.

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Speaker 2: The fan duel number on this game as we speak

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Speaker 2: is Texas A and M minus two and a half.

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Speaker 2: The model is a little shorter than that. The model

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Speaker 2: sees no favorite right out of pick them. And I

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Speaker 2: got to tell you sometimes with these games I wrestle

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Speaker 2: back and forth.

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Speaker 1: It was very simple to me.

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Speaker 2: There's a huge chunk of unknown because of what I

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Speaker 2: will or won't get from Connor Wigman. But I'm not

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Speaker 2: going to blindly buy into something that's a question mark

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Speaker 2: when I do have on the other side of the

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Speaker 2: coin here a little more proven commodity in LSU's quarterback situation.

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Speaker 2: So I'll take LSU to win the game out right. Actually,

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Speaker 2: you can give me the two and a half points.

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Speaker 2: I'll take them to win the game out right. Not

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Speaker 2: a massive confidence game for me. These teams are very

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Speaker 2: comparable in many ways. I'll show you the JP pole later,

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Speaker 2: not one huge edge over the other. A and M

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Speaker 2: does get LSU in a back to back road game situation.

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Speaker 2: So scheduling dynamics may not necessarily be an LSU's favor,

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Speaker 2: but they're scaling up at the right time as a team,

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Speaker 2: and I don't want to be the guy who keeps

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Speaker 2: getting in front of LSU and they keep running me over.

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Speaker 2: So I'll take LSU slightly into LSU to win the

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Speaker 2: game outright. Academy Sports and Outdoors, especially if you're going

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Speaker 2: to this game knowing that neighborhood, knowing the entire East

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Speaker 2: Texas area, Central Texas, even into Louisiana. If you're on

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Speaker 2: the road, you can stop an academy because I know

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Speaker 2: there's one on every street corner. And they got your

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Speaker 2: tailgating needs, They've got your outdoor camping, sporting, good supply needs.

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Speaker 2: They got you're back to school now. But I mean,

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Speaker 2: isn't the season transitioning down there. It does get a

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Speaker 2: little cooler at night this time of year. Maybe it's

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Speaker 2: time for a jacket, Maybe it's time for a new coat.

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Speaker 1: They've got those.

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Speaker 2: They've got fishing gear, they got all the stuff you

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Speaker 2: need hunting gear, and they got it at academy.

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Speaker 1: And if you can't get there in person, that's okay.

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Speaker 1: Not the end of the world.

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Speaker 2: Academy dot Com as you covered real, real good friends

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Speaker 2: of the program. They make our show free. We never

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Speaker 2: have even had to have a meeting around here. Wondering

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Speaker 2: about whether we would have to put the show behind

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Speaker 2: a paywall, will we have to crowdfund and crowdsource. We

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Speaker 2: don't have to worry about that because of partners like Academy.

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Speaker 2: They step up and say what do you need from us?

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Speaker 2: And we never have to ask twice, So I will

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Speaker 2: ask you once and not twice. Just check them out

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Speaker 2: for all those needs and then some Let's move right

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Speaker 2: along because I think something is headed our way. I

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Speaker 2: think something's headed our way. I think that's something is

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Speaker 2: November Chaos. It's not quite a Guns n' Roses song,

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Speaker 2: but it could have been one. Do we see an

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Speaker 2: elite team out there? I got several recipes for chaos here,

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Speaker 2: and some, if not all, of them may be coming true.

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Speaker 2: You may not have lived through two thousand and seven,

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Speaker 2: or maybe you did. But even if you did and

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Speaker 2: you've forgotten it, maybe we've got those vibes again.

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Speaker 1: But let's get specific. What does that even mean?

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Speaker 2: Well, the first thing is, remember a couple of weeks ago,

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Speaker 2: I told you we got to see Ohio State and

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Speaker 2: Texas lose, because at that point there will be no

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Speaker 2: perceived elite elite teams out there. That means everybody's beatable.

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Speaker 2: Even Georgia's w lost. Oregon got pushed to the wire

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Speaker 2: against every team they played from the state of Idaho.

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Speaker 2: So you may look great in the moment, but not

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Speaker 2: too far in your rear view mirror. Even if you

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Speaker 2: look good right now, there is a shaky, shaky past,

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Speaker 2: and so well, what do you know. Two weeks later,

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Speaker 2: Texas has lost and kind of got humbled in the process.

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Speaker 2: And we've seen Ohio State lose. Ohio State played a

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Speaker 2: good game, but they still lost. So everyone is gettable.

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Speaker 2: And we also have another reality that we need to

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Speaker 2: keep in mind. There are three active head coaches in

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Speaker 2: college football who have won national titles. One of them

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Speaker 2: will not be in the conversation this year. It's Mack

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Speaker 2: Brown at North Carolina. The other two are Dabo and Kirby.

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Speaker 2: Both of them are in the mix right now. Outside

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Speaker 2: of that, no matter who it is that starts to

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Speaker 2: emerge down the stretch, none of them have been there before,

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Speaker 2: or in the case of Ryan Day, he's been there

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Speaker 2: in the national title game but hasn't won one and

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Speaker 2: got blown out in the title game.

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Speaker 1: So they are going to be a lot out of

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Speaker 1: new heads at the table.

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Speaker 2: Regardless of who emerges here, because we've got a twelve

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Speaker 2: team playoff this year.

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Speaker 1: But if we don't have an elite team, that's.

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Speaker 2: A precursor to some really really crazy stuff Like this weekend.

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Speaker 2: We've got a weekend where a lot of these teams

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Speaker 2: are big favorites Oregon. I'll just randomly pick the Ducks.

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Speaker 2: They're playing Illinois. None of you are paying attention to

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Speaker 2: that game. They're a three touchdown favorite. If we have

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Speaker 2: elite teams, you have reason not to pay attention to

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Speaker 2: those games. If we don't have elite teams, you cannot

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Speaker 2: take any of these saturdays, or even a block on

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Speaker 2: a Saturday, for granted, because you have no idea what

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Speaker 2: could be sprung on you. Here's the next part of

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Speaker 2: the recipe for chaos. We got two conferences right now,

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Speaker 2: the Big Ten and the ACC where the conference officials,

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Speaker 2: the powers that be, just have their fingers crossed that

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Speaker 2: they don't arrive at a doomsday scenario. And that doomsday

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Speaker 2: scenario is that they have three undefeated teams in conference play.

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Speaker 2: And because we got rid of divisions, this is possible,

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Speaker 2: albeit a small mathematical possibility. Everyone understood when they got

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Speaker 2: rid of divisions. It is possible because of how big

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Speaker 2: these conferences are, that if we get rid of divisions,

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Speaker 2: we could have more than two undefeated teams in conference play. Well,

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Speaker 2: right now, I've got bad news, good news, or just news,

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Speaker 2: depending on which seat you were in. Oregon is undefeated,

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Speaker 2: Penn State is undefeated. Indiana is undefeated in conference play,

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Speaker 2: and they don't play each other. So you could still

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Speaker 2: look at that and say, oh, but certainly Ohio State

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Speaker 2: will beat Penn State. Right well, the line on that

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Speaker 2: game is about three and a half or four right now,

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Speaker 2: so you can think that's a certainty if you want to.

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Speaker 1: I don't think it is.

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Speaker 2: You could say, well, I mean, certainly Indiana's not going

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Speaker 2: to go undefeated, are they. I didn't think they were

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Speaker 2: going to body bag Nebraska last week. I didn't think

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Speaker 2: game day was going to be in Bloomington this week.

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Speaker 2: So you can throw that word certainty around, and I'm

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Speaker 2: sure the data slash analytics folks out there would tell

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Speaker 2: you there's a microscopic chance of this happening. But problem is,

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Speaker 2: every Saturday I turn on my TV and I see

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Speaker 2: some team that the real time analytics had a ninety

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Speaker 2: nine percent chance of winning that ended up losing a game.

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Speaker 2: So that stuff happens a lot more than it should,

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Speaker 2: which makes me question that whole analytics game as it

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Speaker 2: relates to live game tracking and in the ACC not

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Speaker 2: to be outdone, we have another potential conundrum on our hands.

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Speaker 2: Clemson is undefeated in conference play, Miami is undefeated in

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Speaker 2: conference play, SMU is undefeated in conference play, and for

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Speaker 2: that matter, Pit is but Pitt ends up playing Jesse.

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Speaker 2: Do they play both Clemson and Miami? I know they

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Speaker 2: play at least one of them, so we do have

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Speaker 2: Pitt probably on the outside looking in on this, but

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Speaker 2: the others don't play each other. Clemson does not play

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Speaker 2: Miami in the regular season. SMU don't play even one

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Speaker 2: of them in the regular season. So do we have

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Speaker 2: a little shark fin offshore or in the form of.

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Speaker 1: Three undefeated teams?

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Speaker 2: And then I don't even want to get into the

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Speaker 2: tie breakers because I don't know what they are, because

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Speaker 2: I didn't bother to check, because I just want to

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Speaker 2: find out with the rest of you. Like I saw

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Speaker 2: a multiple paragraphs paraguy was the plural of paragraphs. I

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Speaker 2: saw that the other day, and I did not even

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Speaker 2: get more than two sentences in anytime this happens. I

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Speaker 2: just hit up Uncle Dennis, Dennis Dodd to you, Uncle

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Speaker 2: Dennis to me, I just say, hey, what would the

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Speaker 2: rule be here?

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Speaker 1: We're not there yet.

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Speaker 2: Third ingredient in the little chaos bucket here is the

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Speaker 2: great sec unknown and that simply means couple of things.

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Speaker 2: Number One, who are the favorites in this conference? You

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Speaker 2: guys watched just like I did Saturday night. We had

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Speaker 2: Texas and we had Georgia, right and they played in

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Speaker 2: Austin and Georgia gets a resounding win.

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Speaker 1: Texas isn't out of anything by any stretch.

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Speaker 2: Georgia the presumptive favorite at FanDuel Georgia's the favorite to

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Speaker 2: win the conference right now. So like those are the

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Speaker 2: two favorites right Well, the problem is no, in the standings,

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Speaker 2: they're not. Because in the standings I got the top

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Speaker 2: two teams in the SEC about to play each other

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Speaker 2: this Saturday night, and they are not Georgia in Texas.

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Speaker 2: They are LSU and they are Texas A and M.

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Speaker 1: Now I know what.

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Speaker 2: You assume one of them is gonna lose Saturday and

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Speaker 2: then the one that remains undefeated, they'll drop a game

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Speaker 2: because you probably don't think A and M and or

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Speaker 2: LSU are good enough to go undefeated in conference play.

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Speaker 2: And you know what, I probably agree with you. The

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Speaker 2: model probably agrees with you. But let's also remember something else.

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Speaker 2: Maybe Texas isn't done losing. Maybe Georgia loses another game.

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Speaker 2: There are no foregone conclusions in college football this year,

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Speaker 2: and so however that shakes out is however it shakes out.

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Speaker 2: But then the follow up to that, Part two of

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Speaker 2: the Great SEC Unknown is how many two loss SEC

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Speaker 2: teams will profile as playoff teams against let's say, teams

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Speaker 2: from other conferences, Because we are headed towards a world

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Speaker 2: now where maybe we were wrong, maybe there won't be

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Speaker 2: a three loss team in the playoffs. Maybe as it's

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Speaker 2: stacking up right now, what do we have, Jesse, We've

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Speaker 2: got ten undefeated teams right now, not in the SEC,

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Speaker 2: that would be a record. We've got ten undefeated teams

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Speaker 2: in the country, twenty one loss teams and eighteen two

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Speaker 2: loss teams. Now it's Week nine, So a lot of

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Speaker 2: that will sort itself out. A lot of them will

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Speaker 2: play each other. Yes, that will get shaved down, not

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Speaker 2: quite exponentially, but it will get shaved down as the

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Speaker 2: weeks go on, but as it stands right now, I

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Speaker 2: get it. If you tell me that you don't think

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Speaker 2: there's going to be room for a three loss team.

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Speaker 1: I had many of you dming me that.

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Speaker 2: So let's just for the sake of argument, say you're right,

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Speaker 2: and let's say there are enough two loss teams. Well,

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Speaker 2: that leads us to a big mess, and it leads

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Speaker 2: to future ramifications on it, because at that point you're

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Speaker 2: going to have let's say a two lost Tennessee or

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Speaker 2: a two loss Missouri, a two loss LSU, or who

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Speaker 2: knows how it shakes out. Point is, you're gonna have

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Speaker 2: a little batch of two loss SEC teams there. And

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Speaker 2: then maybe you have a one loss team from the

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Speaker 2: Big twelve, or maybe there's a two loss team from

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Speaker 2: the ACC whose second loss was in the conference title game,

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Speaker 2: And you're gonna have to ask yourself if you're a

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Speaker 2: committee member who deserves to be in. And I have

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Speaker 2: told you, as I did call this in the spring,

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Speaker 2: and I'll tell you again, I've told you I don't

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Speaker 2: think the pendulum automatically swings towards the SEC. I think

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Speaker 2: the opposite could happen. And what I've meant by that

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Speaker 2: is you think the SEC may get blind benefit of

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Speaker 2: the doubt, and they may. But there is another world

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Speaker 2: where the committee looks and says, well, we've already put

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Speaker 2: three SEC teams in or four SEC teams in, And

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Speaker 2: if it comes down to an ab resume test and

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Speaker 2: you're measuring whether to put a fifth SEC team in

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Speaker 2: versus a second Big twelve or ACC, I'm not quite

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Speaker 2: sure it just blindly goes towards the SEC. Although most

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Speaker 2: people think it will. I'm not totally sure. You don't

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Speaker 2: have committee members say well, the SEC's already got four.

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Speaker 2: I mean we need to give another one to someone else.

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Speaker 2: These are humans, They're not all from the SEC, by

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Speaker 2: the way. These are humans on that committee. So that

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Speaker 2: could happen. And the reason I mentioned ramifications is because

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Speaker 2: the SEC, just like the Big Ten, had their little

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Speaker 2: summit here recently in Nashville, and one of the main

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Speaker 2: topics of conversation is if we don't get enough playoff spots,

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Speaker 2: are we going to sign off on this format beyond

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty six?

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Speaker 1: Spoiler alert, They are not.

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Speaker 2: So if Greg Sankie looks and thinks that his member

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Speaker 2: institutions got screwed out of playoff spots, or Tony Petitti

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Speaker 2: in the Big ten or doomsday scenario. Both of them

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Speaker 2: feel that way they could just take the old proverbial

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Speaker 2: ball and go home. That'd be chaotic for all the

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Speaker 2: wrong reasons. There is another just pure picture of chaos

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Speaker 2: out there. It's called the Big Twelve. It's beautiful. We

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Speaker 2: call it America's college football conference on this show. So

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Speaker 2: I always encourage you to joy the Big Twelve for

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Speaker 2: what it is. The Big Twelve is a standalone product.

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Speaker 2: The Big Twelve. You don't need playoff implications on the

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Speaker 2: games because every one of them's close, every one of

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Speaker 2: them's competitive. Everybody can challenge everybody on any given Saturday.

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Speaker 2: It is the most pure, any given Saturday conference out there,

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Speaker 2: even above and beyond any of the others. The competitive

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Speaker 2: balance is insane week to week in the Big Twelve. Now,

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Speaker 2: mathematically that means you got a low likelihood of teams

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Speaker 2: going undefeated, and you also, in general, even if someone

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Speaker 2: does go undefeated, should understand your future national champions probably

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Speaker 2: not in the Big Twelve, which is aoka because it's

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Speaker 2: okay to just enjoy a conference for what it is,

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Speaker 2: and that is a standalone Saturdays in the Fall special.

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Speaker 2: Having said that, that is not the structure of the playoff.

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Speaker 2: The structure of the playoff is such that if you

405
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Speaker 2: win a conference, you're probably getting an auto bid, and

406
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Speaker 2: the Big Twelve champ will and then follow up question,

407
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Speaker 2: which becomes more and more relevant by the week, and

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Speaker 2: that is as unlikely as it is what happens if

409
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Speaker 2: Iowa State and bring him Young face off undefeated in

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Speaker 2: the Big twelve title game, the winner goes to the

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Speaker 2: playoff and has a top four seed. What happens to

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Speaker 2: the loser? Pause, just for affect there, what happens to

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Speaker 2: the loser of that game? It's unlikely, but not impossible.

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Speaker 2: We're sitting here in a world where my working theory

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Speaker 2: is the committee is not going to punish the loser

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Speaker 2: of the SEC championship game too much or the loser

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Speaker 2: of the Big Ten championship game too much. I don't

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Speaker 2: think they're knocking that loser down behind teams that sat

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Speaker 2: idly by on conference championship Saturday, because that paints the

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Speaker 2: picture that you got punished for playing in your conference

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Speaker 2: title game. But I'm not sure how they'll handle the

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Speaker 2: loser of the Big Twelve championship game. And so that

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Speaker 2: is a great unknown because that could be chaotic. Everyone's

424
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Speaker 2: just counting on the Big twelve conference title game loser

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Speaker 2: to otherwise not have a resume that warrants one of

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Speaker 2: those playoff spots. And I agree with you, that's what

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Speaker 2: I expect too. But what if we're wrong? And then

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Speaker 2: let me also remind you Kansas State is still in

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Speaker 2: this thing with one loss. We have got Texas Tech

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Speaker 2: that's got one conference loss. Since he's got one conference loss,

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Speaker 2: you know who else only has one conference loss? Colorado.

432
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 2: So here's another little scenario. Let me kick you this.

433
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:30,080
Speaker 2: Let me let me just let me just say Iowa

434
00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:32,200
Speaker 2: State goes undefeated and they're playing in the Big twelve

435
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:36,080
Speaker 2: title game, and let's say Colorado plays them, and they're

436
00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:40,359
Speaker 2: ten and two, they're nine and three, but they're there,

437
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:43,440
Speaker 2: they emerge from the wreckage and they're there and they

438
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:48,480
Speaker 2: win the thing. They're the automatic Big twelve representative, is

439
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:53,040
Speaker 2: the conference champ. How does the committee handle twelve and

440
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,760
Speaker 2: one Iowa State or twelve and one Brigham Young If

441
00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,400
Speaker 2: it's them, that's a chaos scenario that I don't think

442
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,840
Speaker 2: many people expected. But you know what, it shouldn't be

443
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 2: a surprise because a mere two years ago, the Big

444
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:09,560
Speaker 2: Twelve was good enough to have their conference championship loser

445
00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 2: make the playoff.

446
00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:11,680
Speaker 1: You remember that, right?

447
00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:17,880
Speaker 2: You may not see revisionist history tells you that TCU

448
00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,679
Speaker 2: won the Big Twelve two years ago en route to

449
00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:24,120
Speaker 2: a national Championship Game appearance, But they didn't. They went

450
00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:28,239
Speaker 2: undefeated all year. They lost to Kansas State in the

451
00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:31,480
Speaker 2: Big Twelve title game, but their resume was so good

452
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 2: that they got put in the four team playoff anyway,

453
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,399
Speaker 2: and then lumbe Hoole, they beat Michigan and went to

454
00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:39,440
Speaker 2: the National title Game. So we have precedent. Kansas State

455
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 2: went to the Sugar Bowl that year. Point being two

456
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:43,679
Speaker 2: years ago, both of them would have probably been in

457
00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:47,680
Speaker 2: a twelve team playoff, so why not this year? Also,

458
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:50,399
Speaker 2: where did I put that? Okay, So the odds to

459
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,320
Speaker 2: make the playoff right now, Just so you guys are aware,

460
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:55,479
Speaker 2: we hit up FanDuel earlier today we made sure all

461
00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 2: this is right. The odds to make the playoff is

462
00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 2: a really popular market over at FanDuel right now, and

463
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 2: the odds to make the playoff this doesn't mean you

464
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:04,960
Speaker 2: have to pick the seed. It doesn't mean they have

465
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:06,480
Speaker 2: to win a game just to be in the thing.

466
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 2: Oregon is an overwhelming favorite minus thirty five hundred. If

467
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:13,240
Speaker 2: you want to bet that the Ducks just make the playoff.

468
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:17,360
Speaker 2: George is the next closest at minus seventeen hundred. Texas

469
00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:21,120
Speaker 2: Ohio State. Penn State's minus six hundred to make the playoff.

470
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 2: Recalibrate your mind. Work with me here. It's not a

471
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:27,920
Speaker 2: fourteen playoff anymore. Some people who advocated for expansion are

472
00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 2: still in fourteen mode in their mind. And I say, hey, man,

473
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 2: I think I think Penn State's going to make the playoff,

474
00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:34,879
Speaker 2: And you're like, oh, no, they're not.

475
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:35,800
Speaker 1: Yes they are.

476
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 2: They're minus six hundred to make it right now. That

477
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:40,840
Speaker 2: have to drop a game to Wisconsin, probably drop another

478
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:43,800
Speaker 2: game to not make the playoff. So they're in a

479
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:46,840
Speaker 2: good spot right now. Miami's in a good spot, Clemson's

480
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,160
Speaker 2: in a good spot. Do you understand Alabama is still

481
00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 2: minus one ten to make the playoff, and Alabama looks

482
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:54,720
Speaker 2: horrible right now. It should be noted Bama and Boise

483
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,359
Speaker 2: have the same odds to make the playoff, and Iowa

484
00:23:57,400 --> 00:24:00,560
Speaker 2: State has better odds than Bama to make the playoff,

485
00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 2: but you choose your fighter there the odds to make

486
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,680
Speaker 2: the playoff, we continue to go down the list, LSU.

487
00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:09,399
Speaker 2: I mean, we could go all the way down to

488
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:13,680
Speaker 2: Colorado at plus seven fifty, and that's as of today

489
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,880
Speaker 2: now plus seven fifty. You got to go a long

490
00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:19,639
Speaker 2: way down before you start getting into really really long

491
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 2: odds of teams to make the playoffs. So in a

492
00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:25,840
Speaker 2: twelve team playoff field, honestly, it should still look like

493
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,520
Speaker 2: that in week nine. It should still be like that,

494
00:24:28,640 --> 00:24:30,520
Speaker 2: especially in a year where we have no elite teams

495
00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 2: but ten undefeated right now twenty one loss, eighteen to

496
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:37,719
Speaker 2: two loss. I think it's going to be a very

497
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:41,199
Speaker 2: chaotic November. Doesn't have to be chaotic for you on

498
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:43,119
Speaker 2: the road, though. The answer is quick trip. It's as

499
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 2: simple as that. When we needed someone to fuel our

500
00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:47,920
Speaker 2: tour this fall, the whole New Saturday tour, quick trip.

501
00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:48,399
Speaker 1: Uh.

502
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:52,520
Speaker 2: And when you guys have stopped by there and taken

503
00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:54,679
Speaker 2: your picture and improved it on social media, what have

504
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,080
Speaker 2: we done. We've just thrown out free tanks of gas

505
00:24:57,320 --> 00:24:59,440
Speaker 2: all season. We've done a couple of them this week,

506
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:01,520
Speaker 2: I'll probably do a couple more of them over.

507
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:03,439
Speaker 1: The course of the week. It's really that easy.

508
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:06,880
Speaker 2: It's just see a Quick Trip sign, hit the exit,

509
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 2: go fill up, Go get your beef jerky stick, go

510
00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:12,879
Speaker 2: get you a cold brew, whatever you want. Just snap

511
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:14,920
Speaker 2: a picture while you're there, Tag me, and chances are

512
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 2: I'll see it. And if you're one of the lucky

513
00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:19,359
Speaker 2: ones that gets chosen, because I'm in a good mood

514
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 2: at that moment, that's the determining factor. By the way,

515
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 2: I'll just tag I'll hit you with the free tank

516
00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 2: of gas. It's that simple. We've been doing that all year.

517
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:27,679
Speaker 2: I told you we were going to do that when

518
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 2: we picked Quick Trip, I told you they were committed

519
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 2: to giving away thousands in free tanks of gas to

520
00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:34,920
Speaker 2: you guys. And they've already done that and we'll continue

521
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:36,960
Speaker 2: to do it, and we've had a lot of fun

522
00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 2: with that. And also Quick Trip the reps that we

523
00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 2: work with kind of like Academy, the reps we work with,

524
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 2: we're friends with them, so I talk back and forth

525
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 2: with them all day, so it's kind of I mean,

526
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,280
Speaker 2: it might as well be like they're in the live

527
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:53,880
Speaker 2: chat here. That's the back and forth we have with them.

528
00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:57,000
Speaker 2: Ninety percent of it is not about our deal with them.

529
00:25:57,040 --> 00:25:58,879
Speaker 2: In fact, ninety nine percent of it's not about our

530
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:02,480
Speaker 2: deal with them. It's just, hey, is Oklahoma gonna resurrect

531
00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,960
Speaker 2: their offense? Or can A and M make the National

532
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,879
Speaker 2: Championship Game? These sorts of things, the things that normal

533
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:10,240
Speaker 2: guys talk about with each other. But we appreciate quick

534
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:12,879
Speaker 2: trip fueling the whole New Saturday tour, which we'll go

535
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:16,680
Speaker 2: to Las Vegas Friday nights for Boise State versus UNLV,

536
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:22,520
Speaker 2: and then they fuel up the jet and we fly

537
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:24,800
Speaker 2: back to Nashville and we'll be on the sideline for

538
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:28,879
Speaker 2: Texas Vandy Saturday, and we look forward to our first

539
00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:32,360
Speaker 2: two stop week. Ever, is this the first time we've

540
00:26:32,400 --> 00:26:34,400
Speaker 2: ever done that, Colin? I think on the record, it's

541
00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:36,280
Speaker 2: the first time we've ever done And I may have

542
00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:38,199
Speaker 2: snuck in a building or two off the record in

543
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:45,880
Speaker 2: the past. But yeah, we appreciate quick trip. Okay, back

544
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,760
Speaker 2: to business. It's time to get very controversial. I appreciate

545
00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,480
Speaker 2: you guys watching live. If you are or watching the

546
00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:53,679
Speaker 2: replay or listening to the replay, just make sure you

547
00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 2: are subscribed. I'll talk more about subscriptions in a little while.

548
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:01,119
Speaker 2: JP Poll Week nine. It is here. The paper is

549
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 2: still hot, that's how fresh it is. This is not rankings.

550
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,439
Speaker 2: This is power ratings. Why do I do this? You

551
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,200
Speaker 2: guys know, and those of you who don't know, you're

552
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,639
Speaker 2: probably not listening anyway at this point point being this

553
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 2: is gonna sound a whole lot different than the ape

554
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:16,360
Speaker 2: pole because this is about neutral field favorability. I mean,

555
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:20,399
Speaker 2: Washington last year never cracked the top five for US

556
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:22,680
Speaker 2: and they went to the National Title game. And yet

557
00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:26,960
Speaker 2: we were right about Washington. We were just wrong about Washington.

558
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,960
Speaker 2: I hope that made sense. Okay, let's go. Ohio State

559
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:32,880
Speaker 2: is still our number one team. So the model would

560
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 2: favor Ohio State against anyone on a neutral field. Right now,

561
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:38,920
Speaker 2: there's the casual, casual car. We opened the door. Yes,

562
00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 2: car's casual, Carl. Excuse me. Ohio State just lost to

563
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:44,480
Speaker 2: Oregon last week. How could they be ahead of Oregon? Well,

564
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:46,239
Speaker 2: because Ohio State would be a two and a half

565
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:47,840
Speaker 2: point favorite over Oregon if they played right now in

566
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:50,359
Speaker 2: a neutral field. Well that's just your opinion, bro. No,

567
00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:53,320
Speaker 2: we confirmed it with FanDuel Carl. Where are you going?

568
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:53,840
Speaker 1: There?

569
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 2: Goes casual Carl So George's number two, Oregon's number three,

570
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:00,560
Speaker 2: Texas Downtown number four.

571
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 1: Clemson is at number five.

572
00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 2: Quick note, Georgia versus Texas has seen some movement. Predictably, Georgia,

573
00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:11,479
Speaker 2: the model would currently favor by four against Texas on

574
00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:14,680
Speaker 2: a neutral field. So what did that line close out?

575
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 1: Like?

576
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:19,000
Speaker 2: Five? Jesse, Georgia was an underdog against Texas in their building.

577
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 2: That's swung fairly significantly. Based on the outcome, we'd favor

578
00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:28,119
Speaker 2: Georgia by four. We got Ohio State minus nine against

579
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:31,040
Speaker 2: Penn State on a neutral field. Ohio State will play

580
00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:34,440
Speaker 2: at Penn State next week. And I mentioned Penn State

581
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 2: because we don't have them in the top five. We're

582
00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:38,560
Speaker 2: a little bit lower on Penn State than the AP is.

583
00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 2: So let's move along and I'll show you where Penn

584
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:45,720
Speaker 2: State is. Miami is at six. Poor defense, excellent offense.

585
00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 2: It is a year of flawed teams. That's why Miami

586
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:50,600
Speaker 2: can be that high. We'll see where they go from here.

587
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 2: Ole Miss is at seven, heavily detached from the AP.

588
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 2: The model is still quite high on ole Miss, but

589
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 2: the caveat there we cannot factor in, and predictability is

590
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 2: is the team still all in they play this weekend,

591
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:10,600
Speaker 2: I think Oklahoma. But if they're still all in, then

592
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:13,680
Speaker 2: that'll be a dogfight for Georgia down the road. If

593
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:16,480
Speaker 2: they're not, then it's a very winnable game for Georgia.

594
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:19,040
Speaker 2: It's winnable anyway, but it becomes very winnable. And we're

595
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 2: very wrong about ole Miss. So if they're still all in,

596
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 2: I'm confident that ole Miss power ratings wise, is at

597
00:29:25,440 --> 00:29:28,560
Speaker 2: least a top ten team. We'll see Penn State. We're

598
00:29:28,600 --> 00:29:31,960
Speaker 2: a little detached from the ape pole, not terribly. We've

599
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 2: got Penn State at number eight right now, I'll just

600
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,640
Speaker 2: quickly tell you, Jesse, where does the AP have Penn

601
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:42,680
Speaker 2: State number three? Okay, so we've got Penn State. I

602
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:46,240
Speaker 2: mean we've probably got them. There's probably about a four

603
00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,240
Speaker 2: and a half point gap between our number three team

604
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 2: and our number eight team, so it's.

605
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:50,480
Speaker 1: Not that huge.

606
00:29:51,160 --> 00:29:54,880
Speaker 2: Tennessee is at nine. I don't think that's Tennessee's ceiling.

607
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 2: So if we saw the offense click into place, if

608
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 2: we see consistency in the passing game from Tennessee, they

609
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:04,479
Speaker 2: can be a top five team. Tennessee's extremely dangerous if

610
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:08,320
Speaker 2: their offense, and the explosivity in that offense catches up

611
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 2: with the ground game in the defense. That team can

612
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:12,760
Speaker 2: be a top five team. Don't give up on them. LSU,

613
00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 2: same thing, LSU. I don't think they've hit their ceiling yet.

614
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,920
Speaker 2: Total wildcard team right now. If we put LSU versus

615
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:23,160
Speaker 2: Georgia neutral field, we'd favor Georgia by eleven and a half,

616
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:25,200
Speaker 2: just to give you an idea of the gap there.

617
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:29,360
Speaker 2: Moving along number eleven, we've got Notre Dame. Bama is

618
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:34,280
Speaker 2: down to number twelve. Anm is at thirteen, Iowa States

619
00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:38,480
Speaker 2: at fourteen. We've got Bama minus three versus Iowa State

620
00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,080
Speaker 2: if they played today in football.

621
00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:43,000
Speaker 1: And Indiana is at fifteen.

622
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 2: Now I need to tell you Indiana is at fifteen

623
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:49,240
Speaker 2: with Rourke still at quarterback because he's gonna miss one game.

624
00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 2: We have not knocked Indiana down if he was out

625
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 2: for the season, we would. So this is with their quarterback.

626
00:30:55,120 --> 00:31:00,320
Speaker 2: Their number fifteen. Moving on sixteen is Kansas State team

627
00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 2: will just blow people's minds. Florida we think is a

628
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,280
Speaker 2: really good team right now. This is not about what

629
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:08,240
Speaker 2: their record is, It's not about what they have done.

630
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:13,160
Speaker 2: It is about here and moving forward future predictability, neutral field.

631
00:31:13,320 --> 00:31:15,280
Speaker 2: We had them twenty fourth last week, they were an

632
00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:18,360
Speaker 2: underdog to Kentucky. We made them one of our best bets.

633
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:21,240
Speaker 2: They blew Kentucky out, So it does not matter if

634
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 2: they lost a game in week one. It matters what

635
00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:25,920
Speaker 2: they are now. We think they're a top twenty team

636
00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:28,320
Speaker 2: right now. Here's what I want you to pay attention to.

637
00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:32,000
Speaker 2: I think they're off this week, so most people don't

638
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 2: think Florida is this good period, which is okay, But

639
00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:38,640
Speaker 2: they're also going to play some teams ranked ahead of

640
00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 2: them or power rated ahead of them in the coming weeks.

641
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:45,200
Speaker 2: If they lose to Georgia in Jacksonville, but it's around

642
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:48,440
Speaker 2: what the spread says it should be, Florida's not falling

643
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:51,360
Speaker 2: if they lose who else they play, they play Texas.

644
00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 2: I think if they lose to Texas roughly in part

645
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 2: with what the spread says, or they cover, they're not falling.

646
00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:00,960
Speaker 2: So my point is Florida could lose a few more

647
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:04,120
Speaker 2: games here, and if they play in line with what

648
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 2: the model thinks they should do, they're probably not gonna fall.

649
00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:08,000
Speaker 2: Now they get blown out, that's a different story. If

650
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:11,440
Speaker 2: they quit that's a different story. Wisconsin is number eighteen.

651
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 2: Notice they play Penn State Saturday. They're less than a

652
00:32:16,920 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 2: touchdown favorite. By the way, Penn State less than a

653
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:21,520
Speaker 2: touchdown favorite, So we'll see if Wisconsin's real or not.

654
00:32:21,760 --> 00:32:24,240
Speaker 2: SMU is at nineteen, one of our best bets of

655
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:28,120
Speaker 2: the week as SMU at Duke and USC is down

656
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 2: five to twenty.

657
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:30,200
Speaker 1: Same question here.

658
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,280
Speaker 2: If I know that USC is still all in, this

659
00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:36,720
Speaker 2: is about where they should be in neutral field favorability terms.

660
00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:40,120
Speaker 2: They should be about at twenty. They've got some close losses.

661
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 2: This isn't a ranking, it's a power rating. So they're

662
00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:45,920
Speaker 2: not falling off a cliff because they're losing close games.

663
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:50,560
Speaker 2: Having said that, if the team's not all in, then

664
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 2: there's no floor. They could fall precipitously. We don't know

665
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 2: where they are yet on that front. Boise is at

666
00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:59,680
Speaker 2: twenty one. Virginia Tech is back. Virginia Tech has jumped

667
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:04,080
Speaker 2: up six spots. They are number twenty two. Right now,

668
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:07,640
Speaker 2: Clemson would be a thirteen point favorite according to the

669
00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:11,680
Speaker 2: model against Virginia Tech on a neutral field. Clemson goes

670
00:33:11,720 --> 00:33:14,440
Speaker 2: to Virginia Tech in a few weeks, so we would

671
00:33:14,440 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 2: make that one around Clemson minus nine, Clemson minus ten,

672
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:22,719
Speaker 2: Louisville is twenty third, Iowa falls to twenty four. South

673
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:27,560
Speaker 2: Carolina is power rated twenty fifth in the JP poll.

674
00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:31,280
Speaker 2: And because many of you will want to know, Brigham

675
00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:34,160
Speaker 2: Young did not move. They are number thirty despite the

676
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,440
Speaker 2: fact that they are that they are undefeated, and they

677
00:33:36,480 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 2: should be ranked where they are in the AP These

678
00:33:38,560 --> 00:33:43,680
Speaker 2: are power ratings, and there certainly are several teams that

679
00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 2: would be favored against Brigham Young if they played neutral

680
00:33:45,880 --> 00:33:49,360
Speaker 2: field today. That doesn't matter because they keep winning. But

681
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 2: I've explained what this is many times to you guys,

682
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 2: So you either get it or you don't, or appreciate

683
00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:55,760
Speaker 2: it or you don't, and.

684
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:56,480
Speaker 1: It's fine either way.

685
00:33:57,040 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 2: So there you go. That's that's your number one through ten.

686
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 2: Ohio state number one. We look all the way down there.

687
00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:05,080
Speaker 2: There are a lot of SEC teams up there. Logic

688
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:07,000
Speaker 2: tells us not all these SEC teams are making it

689
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,080
Speaker 2: in the playoff, at least that's what logic tells me.

690
00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 2: All right, We had a milestone earlier today. We had

691
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:16,319
Speaker 2: three hundred thousand subscribers on the YouTube channel today. So

692
00:34:16,360 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 2: we had a little golf clap around the office then

693
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 2: we got right back to work. Just wanted to say,

694
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:24,520
Speaker 2: appreciate it to you guys. You've made it possible. We

695
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:26,759
Speaker 2: used to be lucky to get twenty viewers on this

696
00:34:26,800 --> 00:34:28,640
Speaker 2: show when I used to do it, when we first

697
00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:32,080
Speaker 2: started it back down in Columbus, Georgia. And now, I mean,

698
00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:35,120
Speaker 2: we are the number one college football show on YouTube

699
00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:37,759
Speaker 2: any given day like today, We're the number one college

700
00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:41,319
Speaker 2: football podcast in the world, always within the top three

701
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,880
Speaker 2: any given day you check that. But I mean, podcast

702
00:34:44,040 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 2: is not our main source of traffic, so that's like

703
00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,960
Speaker 2: an added bonus when we top those charts. So you've

704
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:52,080
Speaker 2: turned the show into a monster. We go on the road.

705
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:54,440
Speaker 2: The reception is incredible. I mean, I don't know how

706
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,880
Speaker 2: many pictures and interactions I have with you guys every week.

707
00:34:57,000 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 2: I appreciate it. It always goes noticed, It never goes unnoticed.

708
00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:04,440
Speaker 2: Management sees it, the higher ups at CBSC it, the

709
00:35:04,520 --> 00:35:07,080
Speaker 2: higher ups at other companies see it. So the feedback

710
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:11,040
Speaker 2: we get universally phenomenal. A ton of coaches watching the show,

711
00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:14,800
Speaker 2: a ton of players watch the show. I enjoy interacting

712
00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:19,120
Speaker 2: with you guys behind the scenes. Just appreciate it, man,

713
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:21,879
Speaker 2: don't know what else to say. We don't even think

714
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:23,880
Speaker 2: we scratch the surface of what we're capable of with this.

715
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:26,440
Speaker 2: There is a ton of transition that's happening in this

716
00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:32,560
Speaker 2: whole media ecosystem, college football especially, and it'll really transform

717
00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:34,480
Speaker 2: itself over the next five years. And you guys have

718
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:37,759
Speaker 2: gotten our show, and I say, are very intentionally to

719
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:39,719
Speaker 2: a position where we can kind of call our shot

720
00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:41,239
Speaker 2: and we can do what we want to with it,

721
00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:42,839
Speaker 2: and we can take it where we want to, and

722
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 2: we can make it what we want to. So we're

723
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:46,719
Speaker 2: going to do the exact same thing we've been doing,

724
00:35:47,000 --> 00:35:49,320
Speaker 2: and that is stick to one hundred percent college football

725
00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:52,040
Speaker 2: and listen to you guys and give you what you want.

726
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:54,360
Speaker 2: So that's been the blueprint. It will continue to be

727
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:56,960
Speaker 2: the blueprint. We appreciate it. We celebrated for about two

728
00:35:56,960 --> 00:36:00,360
Speaker 2: minutes today. Get right back to work. Okay, let's continue.

729
00:36:00,440 --> 00:36:03,399
Speaker 2: It is after all, Tuesday. That means it is prediction day.

730
00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 2: Oh boy, Missouri's playing Alabama Saturday. Bama doesn't have a

731
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 2: bye week, Bama doesn't have an FCS game. How this

732
00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:13,000
Speaker 2: game profiles Let me explain to you how this should go.

733
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:17,040
Speaker 2: History has taught us that when you have a more

734
00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:20,360
Speaker 2: talented roster, which Alabama is, and they come off a

735
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 2: gut wrenching loss on the road, and they come home

736
00:36:23,200 --> 00:36:25,880
Speaker 2: and they're in must win, do or die mode, and

737
00:36:25,920 --> 00:36:29,759
Speaker 2: they're playing a team that had a very suspect win

738
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:34,319
Speaker 2: the week before. Then that home team should run away

739
00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:36,680
Speaker 2: with the game. That is normally how this would happen.

740
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:40,520
Speaker 2: And Alabama has five straight wins in this series, all

741
00:36:40,560 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 2: by thirteen plus points. So a lot of the trends,

742
00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:45,799
Speaker 2: if you believe in that sort of thing, would tell

743
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:48,280
Speaker 2: you Alabama's going to win this thing in a runaway fashion.

744
00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 2: But as me and while used to tell me, trends

745
00:36:50,120 --> 00:36:52,760
Speaker 2: are good at one thing, and that is predicting the past.

746
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:55,279
Speaker 2: How do we predict how this game is going to go? Well,

747
00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:58,760
Speaker 2: to predict this game, good luck.

748
00:36:59,360 --> 00:36:59,680
Speaker 1: Firstly.

749
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:02,560
Speaker 2: Second, to predict this game, you got to tell me

750
00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:06,200
Speaker 2: what Alabama's offense is. Does anyone out there? Calein de

751
00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:08,600
Speaker 2: Bor could call in if he wants to explain to

752
00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:12,280
Speaker 2: me what Alabama's offense is. Well, Josh, it's about explosive plays.

753
00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 1: Wrong.

754
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:17,600
Speaker 2: It was about explosive plays until they stopped being able

755
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,759
Speaker 2: to create explosive plays. They've got bad production from the

756
00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:25,279
Speaker 2: running back position. This is pretty shocking. Alabama has been

757
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:27,600
Speaker 2: under three point five yards per carry at the running

758
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 2: back position in SEC play period. Haynes and Miller have

759
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:35,920
Speaker 2: not combined for seventy or more rushing yards in a

760
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:39,120
Speaker 2: single SEC game. And I'm telling you that is a

761
00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 2: glaring problem because I'm telling you that offensive staff thought

762
00:37:42,719 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 2: that those two were two of the keys to the offense.

763
00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:50,360
Speaker 2: And so you got that as problem one of nineteen

764
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 2: and then two. Because you don't have a run game,

765
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,520
Speaker 2: no one has to respect any kind of play action.

766
00:37:56,160 --> 00:38:00,320
Speaker 2: And therefore number three, it really comes down to Dalen

767
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:02,279
Speaker 2: Milroe being able to run the ball and throw the ball,

768
00:38:02,280 --> 00:38:04,040
Speaker 2: and he hadn't been able to run the ball worth

769
00:38:04,040 --> 00:38:06,640
Speaker 2: anything recently, so it just comes down to him throwing

770
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:10,080
Speaker 2: the ball. And you saw how that turned out against

771
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,759
Speaker 2: South Carolina and then especially against Tennessee.

772
00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 1: So what are we reduced to here. It's an identity less.

773
00:38:16,680 --> 00:38:19,879
Speaker 2: Offense, that's really what we're reduced to. And Milroe's throwing

774
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:22,080
Speaker 2: six picks in the last four games. He's been sacked

775
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:24,560
Speaker 2: nine times in the last three games. One of the

776
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:27,760
Speaker 2: most hideous offensive performances that you will see this team

777
00:38:27,800 --> 00:38:30,320
Speaker 2: play was last week on the road at Newland Stadium,

778
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:32,520
Speaker 2: and Tennessee had a lot to do with that. So

779
00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:34,399
Speaker 2: if that's the case, then it won't carry over. Right,

780
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:37,880
Speaker 2: Alabama will right the wrongs.

781
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 1: I think he's banged up physically.

782
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:42,480
Speaker 2: They will never confirm that, nor should they because it's

783
00:38:42,480 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 2: nobody's business. But you will not convince me he's playing

784
00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:48,279
Speaker 2: it near one hundred percent right now now having said that,

785
00:38:48,320 --> 00:38:50,840
Speaker 2: they're going to play the game Saturday anyway, and Alabama

786
00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:53,840
Speaker 2: is a thirteen and a half point favorite against Missouri anyway,

787
00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 2: So I think third down is extremely important for Missouri's defense.

788
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:00,400
Speaker 1: I want you to list into this.

789
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:05,880
Speaker 2: Alabama's offense has been in fifty three third down situations

790
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:09,440
Speaker 2: this year. Out of those fifty three third down situations,

791
00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 2: thirty three of them have been third and long. That

792
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 2: means third and seven plus. They've converted five of those

793
00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:20,840
Speaker 2: third and lungs. Five out of thirty three. That's fifteen

794
00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:24,640
Speaker 2: percent they're converting on those third and lungs. They're one

795
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:27,320
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty seventh in the country in that metric.

796
00:39:27,840 --> 00:39:30,239
Speaker 2: But here's the good news for them. On third and short,

797
00:39:31,160 --> 00:39:34,240
Speaker 2: third and three yards or less, they're eighteenth in the country.

798
00:39:34,360 --> 00:39:36,120
Speaker 1: They're okay if they can.

799
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 2: Stay on schedule, but because the elements of the offense

800
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:41,800
Speaker 2: they need to be there haven't been there, and because

801
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 2: they're penalized every other play, they haven't really been able

802
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:48,399
Speaker 2: to stay on schedule. And the news gets worse when

803
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:50,400
Speaker 2: I tell you Missouri is a top ten defense on

804
00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:53,799
Speaker 2: third down. So right off the bat, there's just a

805
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:57,239
Speaker 2: glaring red light here that if Alabama continues to do

806
00:39:57,280 --> 00:40:00,200
Speaker 2: what they've been doing and they can't stay ahead of schedule, well,

807
00:40:00,760 --> 00:40:03,520
Speaker 2: Missouri can mess you up here. Any team can mess

808
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 2: you up if you stay behind schedule that much, but

809
00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:06,719
Speaker 2: Missouri can especially.

810
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:08,280
Speaker 1: So that's part one from Missouri.

811
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:10,799
Speaker 2: Part two from Missouri is what do we need from

812
00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 2: Brady Cook at quarterback? Because he hasn't looked like himself

813
00:40:13,560 --> 00:40:16,680
Speaker 2: all year either. I think physically he's been limited. Obviously

814
00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:18,560
Speaker 2: had to leave the game last week and came back.

815
00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 2: It depends on what the style of the game is.

816
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:25,000
Speaker 2: See last week, it turns out Tennessee could afford to

817
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:26,799
Speaker 2: get shut out in the first half and still win

818
00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:30,160
Speaker 2: because Bama never pulled away. Because Bama couldn't put together

819
00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 2: sustained drives, they couldn't take advantage of turnovers. So if

820
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:36,440
Speaker 2: that's the style you get where you need twenty points

821
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:38,640
Speaker 2: to win, well, Brady Cook and give you enough. He

822
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:40,719
Speaker 2: can find theo Weiz, he can find Luther Byrd in

823
00:40:40,760 --> 00:40:43,879
Speaker 2: a time or two. But if Bama's offense does click

824
00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:46,560
Speaker 2: this week and you need to get into the thirties

825
00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:48,920
Speaker 2: to beat them, well, I don't believe in you if

826
00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 2: you need to do that against them. I don't believe

827
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:52,759
Speaker 2: in this Missouri team if they need to do that.

828
00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:55,720
Speaker 2: So there's so much unknown in this game. Like normally,

829
00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:58,640
Speaker 2: my default would be, well, Bama will get right here,

830
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:02,480
Speaker 2: they'll get right at home. I cannot count on much

831
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:05,120
Speaker 2: of anything offensively with them right now. So let's take

832
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:07,400
Speaker 2: a look at what the model thinks. Fanda's got this

833
00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:10,640
Speaker 2: thing at Bama minus thirteen and a half. The models

834
00:41:10,640 --> 00:41:14,240
Speaker 2: a little bit shorter than that. We got Bama minus eleven.

835
00:41:14,360 --> 00:41:16,640
Speaker 2: I don't know what else to do. Take Bama to

836
00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:18,680
Speaker 2: win in Missouri to cover. I'm not betting on the game.

837
00:41:19,080 --> 00:41:22,239
Speaker 2: I have no idea how you could ever say that

838
00:41:22,360 --> 00:41:27,200
Speaker 2: you could see a Bama pull away victory coming. Bama winning, okay,

839
00:41:27,600 --> 00:41:30,520
Speaker 2: but them pulling away winning the game by two or

840
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:31,280
Speaker 2: three scores.

841
00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:34,240
Speaker 1: How do you forecast.

842
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:36,359
Speaker 2: That I could see, I could see it happening. I'm saying,

843
00:41:36,360 --> 00:41:38,400
Speaker 2: how do you forecast? That's kind of like Georgia Texas?

844
00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:39,040
Speaker 1: Last week.

845
00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:41,279
Speaker 2: Georgia goes in there and plays the kind of game

846
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:43,919
Speaker 2: that they haven't played all year. They played a half

847
00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:47,080
Speaker 2: of it against Clemson and folks wanted to puff the

848
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:49,640
Speaker 2: chest out afterwards. Who never gave a prediction beforehand? And

849
00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:52,640
Speaker 2: I'm like, you're telling me you could see that game coming.

850
00:41:53,120 --> 00:41:55,880
Speaker 2: Where did you see it coming from? It hasn't been

851
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:59,400
Speaker 2: shown to you all year. So likewise, with Bama, we

852
00:41:59,440 --> 00:42:01,719
Speaker 2: saw the first half against Georgia and then after that

853
00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:04,520
Speaker 2: it has been kind of rough to watch them. If

854
00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 2: they play that kind of game again, Okay, they'll win,

855
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:09,279
Speaker 2: they'll cover. How could you be confident in that? So

856
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:12,719
Speaker 2: I'm splitting the difference. Bama wins, Missouri covers. Let's move

857
00:42:12,760 --> 00:42:16,600
Speaker 2: along and let's take a look at a very sneaky

858
00:42:16,640 --> 00:42:20,879
Speaker 2: game in the Big Ten. Very sneaky game. Penn State

859
00:42:20,920 --> 00:42:24,760
Speaker 2: plays Wisconsin this week. Everyone's already focused on that Ohio

860
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:26,960
Speaker 2: State game next week. No, Penn State goes on the

861
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:29,839
Speaker 2: road to Wisconsin in primetime this week. Penn State got

862
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:32,520
Speaker 2: a little schedule break here, by the way, and they're

863
00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 2: fortunate because Penn State's coming off of bye and the

864
00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:38,399
Speaker 2: last time they played, they went on the road. They

865
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:41,720
Speaker 2: beat USC. Drew Aller got a little confidence about himself.

866
00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:44,879
Speaker 2: But they're road tested. They've been to West Virginia, they've

867
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:48,920
Speaker 2: been to LA to face USC, so Camp Randall probably

868
00:42:48,920 --> 00:42:51,200
Speaker 2: won't present anything new to them and they're off a

869
00:42:51,280 --> 00:42:54,880
Speaker 2: by But conversely, Wisconsin, they have been heating up. But

870
00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,359
Speaker 2: this is the fifth straight game and it's a back

871
00:42:57,400 --> 00:42:59,240
Speaker 2: to back. They're off a back to back road stretch.

872
00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:05,279
Speaker 2: I think, so Wisconsin strangely has settled into some sort

873
00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:08,319
Speaker 2: of familiarity when it comes to what they look like

874
00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:10,120
Speaker 2: on paper. Now they're doing it a different way. It

875
00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:13,279
Speaker 2: doesn't look the same, but they're playing good defense and

876
00:43:13,320 --> 00:43:16,720
Speaker 2: they're running the ball. It's just that Phil Wongo running

877
00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:18,319
Speaker 2: the ball looks a little bit different, but they're running

878
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:20,920
Speaker 2: the ball. Their last three games, they've allowed six points,

879
00:43:20,960 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 2: seven points, and three points.

880
00:43:22,880 --> 00:43:23,720
Speaker 1: That's the good news.

881
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:26,480
Speaker 2: The other news, take it however you want, is it

882
00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:30,560
Speaker 2: was purduing Rutgers in Northwestern Those offenses rank one oh

883
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 2: seven seventy seven and one twenty nine, respectively, So Penn

884
00:43:35,760 --> 00:43:38,719
Speaker 2: State's a little bit different caliber team here. I said

885
00:43:38,719 --> 00:43:42,640
Speaker 2: it against USC, I will say it again, this is

886
00:43:42,719 --> 00:43:45,319
Speaker 2: the kind of game where the Penn State running game

887
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:49,239
Speaker 2: should be able to take over. Wisconsin is in the

888
00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:52,600
Speaker 2: sixties against the run. I thought they'd do it against

889
00:43:52,600 --> 00:43:54,440
Speaker 2: the USC, and they didn't. They found a way to win,

890
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:56,560
Speaker 2: but Southern Cal out rushed them. I did not see

891
00:43:56,560 --> 00:44:00,360
Speaker 2: that coming. That should not happen here. So it should

892
00:44:00,400 --> 00:44:03,560
Speaker 2: be a game where those two can make it, can

893
00:44:03,600 --> 00:44:05,439
Speaker 2: do a lot of damage, and then you can throw

894
00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 2: the ball. Wisconsin top ten statistically against the pass right now.

895
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:12,680
Speaker 2: I'm not sure they're that good. Top ten good, but

896
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:14,640
Speaker 2: you ought to be able to run the ball here.

897
00:44:14,920 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 2: What happens on the other side, though, if Penn State

898
00:44:18,160 --> 00:44:22,279
Speaker 2: takes the runaway. Tywie Walker at Wisconsin's had a couple

899
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:23,920
Speaker 2: of hundred yard games as last two I think he

900
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:27,080
Speaker 2: had ninety four three games ago too. But Penn State's

901
00:44:27,080 --> 00:44:28,680
Speaker 2: tenth in the country versus the run.

902
00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:30,280
Speaker 1: USC found a way.

903
00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:33,759
Speaker 2: I don't know if Wisconsin finds a way, especially with

904
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:35,719
Speaker 2: Penn State haven't focused on that so much over the

905
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:38,799
Speaker 2: past two weeks. They just what they can't do at

906
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:42,480
Speaker 2: Wisconsin is they cannot make this just fall on Braden

907
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:47,279
Speaker 2: Lock's shoulders. The quarterback there they've got. Penn State's got

908
00:44:47,280 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 2: the best pass rush he's seen. He's thrown an interception

909
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:52,120
Speaker 2: in each of his last four games. If it falls

910
00:44:52,120 --> 00:44:54,680
Speaker 2: on him and they're having to play from behind, could

911
00:44:54,760 --> 00:44:56,640
Speaker 2: be a long day. So let's take a look at

912
00:44:56,640 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 2: what the model thinks, FanDuel. Right now Penn State minus

913
00:44:59,600 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 2: six and half. Now, the model is high on Wisconsin,

914
00:45:02,360 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 2: as you saw in the JP pole. It's got him

915
00:45:04,600 --> 00:45:09,480
Speaker 2: top twenty. Maybe it thinks the number on this game

916
00:45:09,480 --> 00:45:13,880
Speaker 2: should be Penn State minus three. I disagreed with the

917
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:17,000
Speaker 2: model last week and lost on the Bama Tennessee game,

918
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:19,680
Speaker 2: but I'm gonna disagree with it again here. I think

919
00:45:19,680 --> 00:45:21,400
Speaker 2: Penn State will hit a stride coming out of the

920
00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:24,120
Speaker 2: by and you'll find that Wisconsin is a good team,

921
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:28,160
Speaker 2: but maybe the model has them slightly overrated. James Franklin

922
00:45:28,200 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 2: against anyone not named Ohio State and Michigan has been

923
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 2: perfect for quite a while in the Big Ten. I

924
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:35,960
Speaker 2: think that'll continue here. I'll take Penn State to win.

925
00:45:36,080 --> 00:45:38,200
Speaker 2: I will take Penn State to cover. Not a blowout,

926
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:41,239
Speaker 2: but I will take them to cover the odds to

927
00:45:41,239 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 2: win the Big ten. Right now, Oregon, Ohio State very

928
00:45:45,040 --> 00:45:47,680
Speaker 2: comparable odds, and then Penn State at plus three thirty

929
00:45:47,719 --> 00:45:50,399
Speaker 2: and then it falls off a cliff. They're watching us

930
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:54,880
Speaker 2: in Madison, Mississippi, or Rura, Colorado, and Billings, Montana, along

931
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:58,120
Speaker 2: with Lynchburg, Virginia. Okay, we normally do this on Thursday,

932
00:45:58,360 --> 00:46:03,520
Speaker 2: but I'm gonna do this today. Upset alerts in week nine?

933
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:06,279
Speaker 2: How concerned should we be? On a scale of one

934
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:08,960
Speaker 2: to ten with these games? Texas is coming here, Texas

935
00:46:09,040 --> 00:46:12,400
Speaker 2: is coming to Nashville to face Vanderbilt. Texas is favored

936
00:46:12,400 --> 00:46:15,840
Speaker 2: by eighteen and a half. We already saw the Diego

937
00:46:15,880 --> 00:46:17,880
Speaker 2: Pavia magic against Alabama.

938
00:46:18,080 --> 00:46:19,600
Speaker 1: We saw him get off to a fast start.

939
00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:22,440
Speaker 2: They have a long drive and then they pick a

940
00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:24,040
Speaker 2: ball off I think it was a pick six and

941
00:46:24,080 --> 00:46:26,960
Speaker 2: they're up thirteen and nothing. You do that against Texas,

942
00:46:27,000 --> 00:46:29,400
Speaker 2: anything could happen? Is that duplicable?

943
00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:29,880
Speaker 1: I don't know.

944
00:46:30,120 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 2: I will say this. I am fresh off watching Texas

945
00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:34,360
Speaker 2: turn the ball over a.

946
00:46:34,360 --> 00:46:35,400
Speaker 1: Lot against Georgia.

947
00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:37,440
Speaker 2: Now you could take that to mean it could happen again,

948
00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:39,319
Speaker 2: or you could take it to mean it is a

949
00:46:39,640 --> 00:46:44,160
Speaker 2: supreme focus point in Texas practice this week. All I'm

950
00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:48,120
Speaker 2: saying is this is typically a get right game. Don't

951
00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:50,880
Speaker 2: be calling Vandy in twenty twenty four a get right game.

952
00:46:51,280 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 2: You do that at your own peril. I'm gonna put

953
00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:57,680
Speaker 2: a five on this the upset concern meter. I'm gonna

954
00:46:57,680 --> 00:46:59,799
Speaker 2: put a five. Vandy has my attention. This game has

955
00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 2: my attention enough that I'm gonna be there and I

956
00:47:02,640 --> 00:47:04,719
Speaker 2: have not gone. I have not taken the tour to

957
00:47:04,760 --> 00:47:07,279
Speaker 2: a Vanderbilt game, even though it's like five blocks down

958
00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:09,440
Speaker 2: the road from US. So I'm gonna put a five

959
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:12,799
Speaker 2: on the upset alert concern scale there because still, if

960
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:14,200
Speaker 2: you're looking at the schedule.

961
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:17,080
Speaker 1: Here, I'm not always a big who have they played? Guy?

962
00:47:18,000 --> 00:47:20,560
Speaker 2: But when you get exposed like you did to a

963
00:47:20,600 --> 00:47:23,080
Speaker 2: degree against Georgia, then I do start to look. The

964
00:47:23,120 --> 00:47:27,000
Speaker 2: Michigan win is what it is, utsa u El Monroe,

965
00:47:27,040 --> 00:47:30,120
Speaker 2: Mississippi State challenged you a little bit. Oklahoma didn't. But

966
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:32,880
Speaker 2: Oklahoma couldn't score on me and Jesse and Colin. So

967
00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:38,799
Speaker 2: it's the possibility is still there that you're overrated. Not

968
00:47:38,880 --> 00:47:40,839
Speaker 2: the reality, but the possibility is still there.

969
00:47:41,000 --> 00:47:41,439
Speaker 1: We'll see.

970
00:47:41,520 --> 00:47:43,760
Speaker 2: I'm gonna put a five on that one. Notre Dame

971
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:48,080
Speaker 2: is playing ranked Navy this Saturday. This is up in

972
00:47:48,120 --> 00:47:50,919
Speaker 2: New Jersey at high noon Eastern time. Notre Dame's twelve

973
00:47:50,960 --> 00:47:53,480
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite at FanDuel. I've got a

974
00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:58,000
Speaker 2: seven on this game. I'll say I'm concerned about it

975
00:47:58,040 --> 00:48:00,560
Speaker 2: is ninety fifth in the country versus the run, So

976
00:48:00,600 --> 00:48:04,360
Speaker 2: certainly Notre Dame should just have their way on the ground.

977
00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:06,120
Speaker 1: That's the way this game should happen.

978
00:48:06,200 --> 00:48:10,120
Speaker 2: It's not the way the games always play out. Notre

979
00:48:10,160 --> 00:48:14,080
Speaker 2: Dame cannot let this game get pulled into the kind

980
00:48:14,120 --> 00:48:17,719
Speaker 2: of mode where they get popped early and they're having

981
00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:20,120
Speaker 2: to play keep up, because what Navy will do to

982
00:48:20,200 --> 00:48:23,480
Speaker 2: you this year is they don't always have to play

983
00:48:23,520 --> 00:48:26,440
Speaker 2: you in a two hour, thirty minute game. Navy will score.

984
00:48:26,560 --> 00:48:29,000
Speaker 2: They have scored this year. They're averaging forty four point

985
00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:31,439
Speaker 2: eight points per game this year. And so if Notre

986
00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:34,600
Speaker 2: Dame gets themselves into a situation where this game's headed

987
00:48:34,640 --> 00:48:37,200
Speaker 2: into the thirties, it's not that they can't win it,

988
00:48:37,680 --> 00:48:40,680
Speaker 2: but you have gotten yourself in a situation you have

989
00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:43,680
Speaker 2: no business getting yourself in there. I want to see

990
00:48:43,680 --> 00:48:45,640
Speaker 2: how this goes. I really want to see how this goes.

991
00:48:45,800 --> 00:48:49,040
Speaker 2: I think Army profiles as a better challenge to Notre Dame,

992
00:48:49,840 --> 00:48:51,520
Speaker 2: but I want to see how this goes. So I'm

993
00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:53,960
Speaker 2: going to put a seven on this one. Notre Dame's

994
00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:57,120
Speaker 2: got Navy this week. I mean, what if I told

995
00:48:57,200 --> 00:48:59,480
Speaker 2: you we were going to get too close to Halloween

996
00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:02,880
Speaker 2: and the Navy and Army We're gonna be bigger challenges

997
00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:05,319
Speaker 2: to Notre name the Florida State. What kind of world

998
00:49:05,360 --> 00:49:09,600
Speaker 2: are we living in? Next up, Washington's going to Indiana.

999
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:12,400
Speaker 2: Indiana's favored by six and a half in their starting

1000
00:49:12,480 --> 00:49:15,520
Speaker 2: quarterbacks out. This is an eight on the Upset Alert

1001
00:49:15,560 --> 00:49:17,960
Speaker 2: concern meter for me, this is the best offense Indiana

1002
00:49:18,000 --> 00:49:21,759
Speaker 2: has faced Washington's coming off of bye. Tavian Jackson got

1003
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:24,960
Speaker 2: some action last week at quarterback because Rourke went down

1004
00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:28,240
Speaker 2: in the game against Nebraska. They were in the process

1005
00:49:28,239 --> 00:49:30,839
Speaker 2: of blowing Nebraska out. So you're either going to see

1006
00:49:30,840 --> 00:49:33,920
Speaker 2: a galvanization effect here or you'll see Indiana get exposed

1007
00:49:33,960 --> 00:49:37,880
Speaker 2: a little bit. Galvanization if you've ever watched this show,

1008
00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:40,319
Speaker 2: is something I really believe in. When your quarterback gets

1009
00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:43,520
Speaker 2: hurt we always bet on backup quarterbacks. One of the

1010
00:49:43,520 --> 00:49:46,240
Speaker 2: most popular moves that I make in betting on college

1011
00:49:46,280 --> 00:49:48,840
Speaker 2: football is I go bet on teams when their quarterback

1012
00:49:48,880 --> 00:49:52,560
Speaker 2: gets hurt, because you get more value than you really

1013
00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:55,839
Speaker 2: should be getting. And number two, if a quarterback gets

1014
00:49:55,920 --> 00:49:59,200
Speaker 2: hurt in a game, it's one thing. But if he

1015
00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:01,160
Speaker 2: gets hurt and and then you have an entire week

1016
00:50:01,200 --> 00:50:03,400
Speaker 2: to get ready for the backup to play. A funny

1017
00:50:03,400 --> 00:50:06,680
Speaker 2: thing happens in that a group of eighteen to twenty

1018
00:50:06,719 --> 00:50:12,080
Speaker 2: two year olds will voluntarily take more ownership. They will

1019
00:50:12,120 --> 00:50:16,960
Speaker 2: take more responsibility upon themselves. Defensive line knows we got

1020
00:50:17,000 --> 00:50:20,120
Speaker 2: to get one or two more pressures this week. Dbs

1021
00:50:20,200 --> 00:50:22,040
Speaker 2: know it's up to us to flip this thing and

1022
00:50:22,080 --> 00:50:25,160
Speaker 2: maybe score special teams take on an added responsibility, and

1023
00:50:25,640 --> 00:50:29,400
Speaker 2: collectively what you can get is an entire team knowing

1024
00:50:29,480 --> 00:50:32,799
Speaker 2: their quarterbacks out, they collectively raise their level of play,

1025
00:50:32,800 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 2: where in the aggregate, the result that gets put on

1026
00:50:35,440 --> 00:50:37,919
Speaker 2: the field is as good or better than it would

1027
00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:41,000
Speaker 2: have been had your starter been playing. That happens a lot.

1028
00:50:41,360 --> 00:50:43,480
Speaker 2: Will it happen here. I've got an eight on it

1029
00:50:43,520 --> 00:50:48,520
Speaker 2: because Indiana's not a supremely talented roster they're good enough

1030
00:50:48,560 --> 00:50:51,319
Speaker 2: to be undefeated. They've done crazy things this year, but

1031
00:50:51,640 --> 00:50:54,920
Speaker 2: it's a crapshoot any given week anyway. Washington is a

1032
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:57,360
Speaker 2: team that's still pretty good. So I'm gonna put a

1033
00:50:57,360 --> 00:51:00,720
Speaker 2: eight on that one. Illinois plays at Oregon Saturday. Oregon

1034
00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:04,520
Speaker 2: favored by twenty one and a half. Oregon showed supreme

1035
00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:07,440
Speaker 2: focus against Purdue. I actually was very impressed with how

1036
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:11,440
Speaker 2: thoroughly and relatively easily they handled Perdue. Not cost Purdue's

1037
00:51:11,440 --> 00:51:15,239
Speaker 2: any good, but because the scheduling, dynamic spot it was

1038
00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:18,440
Speaker 2: so maturity. It's a good coaching staff. So they come home,

1039
00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:21,760
Speaker 2: they get Illinois. Illinois coming off and win against Michigan.

1040
00:51:22,320 --> 00:51:24,600
Speaker 2: Illinois will bow their neck on you. It's a weird

1041
00:51:24,719 --> 00:51:26,440
Speaker 2: trip for him. I doubt any of them have ever

1042
00:51:26,480 --> 00:51:29,640
Speaker 2: been out there to Oregon. They will challenge Oregon here.

1043
00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:32,160
Speaker 2: They have played two styles of games in the past

1044
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:34,920
Speaker 2: two weeks. They needed half one hundred to beat Purdue

1045
00:51:35,320 --> 00:51:39,360
Speaker 2: and then they shut Michigan down. Not the tallest task

1046
00:51:39,400 --> 00:51:41,160
Speaker 2: in the world, but they did it, and so I

1047
00:51:41,200 --> 00:51:44,600
Speaker 2: think Illinois will challenge Oregon here. I'm gonna put a

1048
00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:47,600
Speaker 2: five and a half on the upset alert concern scale

1049
00:51:48,480 --> 00:51:53,840
Speaker 2: interesting to see if physicality is decidedly edge Oregon or

1050
00:51:53,880 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 2: if Illinois puts up a little bit more of a

1051
00:51:55,680 --> 00:52:00,000
Speaker 2: fight physically than people expect. And lastly, man I had

1052
00:52:00,120 --> 00:52:03,479
Speaker 2: had outside designs of going to this game a long

1053
00:52:03,520 --> 00:52:07,200
Speaker 2: time ago. Florida State's playing Miami. Miami's favored by twenty

1054
00:52:07,280 --> 00:52:11,600
Speaker 2: and a half. There's one way Miami loses this game.

1055
00:52:11,640 --> 00:52:15,040
Speaker 2: That is sloppiness and arrogance. Because if you come anywhere

1056
00:52:15,040 --> 00:52:17,000
Speaker 2: close to taking care of your business, Florida State can't

1057
00:52:17,000 --> 00:52:19,520
Speaker 2: beat you. They're a very bad football team. They can't

1058
00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:22,200
Speaker 2: catch the ball. If you give it to them, they can.

1059
00:52:23,120 --> 00:52:25,480
Speaker 2: I'm gonna put a four on the upset alert concern

1060
00:52:25,560 --> 00:52:32,520
Speaker 2: scale because everybody is scoring on Miami. And yet when

1061
00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:35,600
Speaker 2: I say that, I mean Florida State can't catch footballs,

1062
00:52:36,120 --> 00:52:38,480
Speaker 2: so if they did it would be a surprise. I'm

1063
00:52:38,480 --> 00:52:40,400
Speaker 2: gonna put a four on it only because if you

1064
00:52:40,480 --> 00:52:43,680
Speaker 2: get loose, anything can happen in a rivalry game. But

1065
00:52:44,360 --> 00:52:46,080
Speaker 2: I don't have a ton of concern about it. I

1066
00:52:46,080 --> 00:52:49,680
Speaker 2: think Miami's gonna win the game fairly comfortably. This is

1067
00:52:49,719 --> 00:52:52,080
Speaker 2: the last week at FanDuel. I need to remind you

1068
00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:55,759
Speaker 2: guys of this our exclusive odds provider, FanDuel appreciate them

1069
00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,960
Speaker 2: to no end. This is the last week that new

1070
00:52:59,040 --> 00:53:01,880
Speaker 2: sign ups can bet five dollars to win three hundred,

1071
00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:05,440
Speaker 2: so do it. You can click on the QR code

1072
00:53:05,480 --> 00:53:06,960
Speaker 2: Colin to put it up in a second. You can

1073
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Speaker 2: so pay attention. So we got SMU minus eleven and

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Speaker 2: a half. We got on that Sunday Night, Sam Houston State.

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Speaker 2: We are taking them. Oh and also good job, Colin,

1086
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Speaker 2: I forgot all about that. I put UTSA in there

1087
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Speaker 2: as well. Sunday Night, so UTSA minus seven point five.

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Speaker 2: So we got them in SMU already. Here are the

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Speaker 2: We've got them tonight. They kick off at six thirty

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Speaker 2: Central Time. Minnesota is playing Maryland this Saturday. Maryland just

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Speaker 2: beat USC right, Yeah, they're going to Minnesota. Minnesota's rested

1094
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Speaker 1: wrap the show up today by talking about something that

1115
00:55:24,760 --> 00:55:25,680
Speaker 1: I talked to you about the other day.

1116
00:55:25,680 --> 00:55:27,759
Speaker 2: I'm I take a sip from the challice Colin, do

1117
00:55:27,840 --> 00:55:30,560
Speaker 2: me a favor, show me that tweet. There was a

1118
00:55:30,600 --> 00:55:33,680
Speaker 2: guy responded to me about a segment we had. So

1119
00:55:33,760 --> 00:55:35,200
Speaker 2: I'll take a sip and I'll read it to you.

1120
00:55:37,840 --> 00:55:43,239
Speaker 2: Two sevens my bad. So well, well I'll just read

1121
00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:44,799
Speaker 2: it to you. I'll tell you what I think on

1122
00:55:44,840 --> 00:55:49,520
Speaker 2: the back end. So the other day we had egregiousness

1123
00:55:49,560 --> 00:55:52,360
Speaker 2: in the officiating ranks in college football, and we have

1124
00:55:52,480 --> 00:55:55,680
Speaker 2: that a lot, and we really didn't get answers that sufficed.

1125
00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:58,120
Speaker 2: So I said a lot about it on the Sunday Show.

1126
00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:00,279
Speaker 2: I clipped it, I put it on Twitter, and a

1127
00:56:00,280 --> 00:56:02,160
Speaker 2: lot of people had a lot to say about it.

1128
00:56:02,600 --> 00:56:05,680
Speaker 2: Kyle hit me. I got nothing against you, Kyle. I

1129
00:56:05,760 --> 00:56:08,399
Speaker 2: respect you. I just wanted to respond to what you said.

1130
00:56:08,400 --> 00:56:11,200
Speaker 2: So Kyle came at me. He said, I'm an official.

1131
00:56:11,719 --> 00:56:13,959
Speaker 2: Just because you don't see it doesn't mean we don't

1132
00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:16,920
Speaker 2: answer for it. We are analyzed on the accuracy of

1133
00:56:16,960 --> 00:56:20,080
Speaker 2: calls and procedure at every level. I guarantee there will

1134
00:56:20,120 --> 00:56:23,680
Speaker 2: be repercussions and some of these officials will serve suspensions.

1135
00:56:23,920 --> 00:56:27,319
Speaker 2: You just don't know their names. Well, actually I do

1136
00:56:27,400 --> 00:56:29,600
Speaker 2: know their names. It just is irresponsible to throw them

1137
00:56:29,600 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 2: out there. But your point is taken, Kyle. I think

1138
00:56:32,600 --> 00:56:36,080
Speaker 2: it was kind of misguided, not that you're wrong. You

1139
00:56:36,160 --> 00:56:38,719
Speaker 2: know more about your profession than I do. A lot

1140
00:56:38,760 --> 00:56:42,520
Speaker 2: more about it. So I got all the respect in

1141
00:56:42,560 --> 00:56:47,480
Speaker 2: the world for umpires, for officials. Very rarely do you

1142
00:56:47,560 --> 00:56:50,839
Speaker 2: hear me argue vehemently against calls and whatnot, cause I

1143
00:56:50,920 --> 00:56:54,160
Speaker 2: know we've got humans doing this, so they're imperfect.

1144
00:56:54,440 --> 00:56:55,480
Speaker 1: I don't ever.

1145
00:56:55,400 --> 00:57:00,600
Speaker 2: Even with any allegation of underhandedness or betting getting involved.

1146
00:57:00,640 --> 00:57:02,160
Speaker 2: And you guys who are throwing that out there, you

1147
00:57:02,160 --> 00:57:07,160
Speaker 2: were so far off the mark about why officiating occasionally

1148
00:57:07,160 --> 00:57:12,800
Speaker 2: go sideways. I mean the whole concept that sports betting

1149
00:57:13,360 --> 00:57:17,240
Speaker 2: has made officiating more sketchy. Sports betting has made it

1150
00:57:17,360 --> 00:57:21,040
Speaker 2: less sketchy because now it's monitored by the most powerful

1151
00:57:21,080 --> 00:57:21,960
Speaker 2: eyes in the world.

1152
00:57:22,280 --> 00:57:24,120
Speaker 1: And you can either believe me on that or not.

1153
00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:26,880
Speaker 2: I know what I'm talking about on that front because

1154
00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:31,240
Speaker 2: I know the people responsible for it. So sports betting

1155
00:57:31,680 --> 00:57:35,680
Speaker 2: proliferating the sporting community like it does, and the legalization

1156
00:57:35,760 --> 00:57:40,120
Speaker 2: of it, I promise you gets officiating more in line

1157
00:57:40,280 --> 00:57:45,360
Speaker 2: and makes it more likely that crooked officiating isn't tolerated anymore.

1158
00:57:45,360 --> 00:57:47,160
Speaker 2: So I don't ever go down that road because it's

1159
00:57:47,160 --> 00:57:50,000
Speaker 2: a waste of time. What I do say is I

1160
00:57:50,000 --> 00:57:52,520
Speaker 2: do say there's no transparency in this stuff right now,

1161
00:57:52,600 --> 00:57:57,560
Speaker 2: and it's inexcusable. Notice what Kyle said there. Kyle said, hey, hey,

1162
00:57:57,600 --> 00:58:00,120
Speaker 2: we're held to a standard. Well that's fine, Kyle, just

1163
00:58:00,160 --> 00:58:02,000
Speaker 2: want to know what the standard is. Kyle said, well,

1164
00:58:02,440 --> 00:58:06,240
Speaker 2: I mean we're taken to task on this, we are corrected,

1165
00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:08,880
Speaker 2: we're analyzed. We just want to see it, Kyle, We

1166
00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:11,560
Speaker 2: want to see it because at the end of the day,

1167
00:58:12,120 --> 00:58:16,320
Speaker 2: it is owed to us. It's owed to us the

1168
00:58:16,360 --> 00:58:19,520
Speaker 2: same way that coaches sometimes have to talk to the media,

1169
00:58:19,600 --> 00:58:22,480
Speaker 2: which is a conduit to talk to fans. Players do

1170
00:58:22,560 --> 00:58:26,760
Speaker 2: that as well, and sometimes you can get so insulated

1171
00:58:27,360 --> 00:58:29,800
Speaker 2: whether you're an official or whether you're a coach or

1172
00:58:29,880 --> 00:58:32,520
Speaker 2: whether you're a player, that you get turned off by

1173
00:58:32,560 --> 00:58:35,400
Speaker 2: that notion, and it's like, well, what do we owe

1174
00:58:35,480 --> 00:58:40,240
Speaker 2: the fans everything? You owe the fans everything, because the

1175
00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:44,360
Speaker 2: entire impetus for you existing and millions of people having

1176
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:46,920
Speaker 2: their eyes on you, and if you're a coach making

1177
00:58:47,000 --> 00:58:50,160
Speaker 2: millions of dollars, if you're a player making big money

1178
00:58:50,200 --> 00:58:52,720
Speaker 2: now or marketing and branding yourself to make big money

1179
00:58:52,720 --> 00:58:55,880
Speaker 2: down the road, is because enough people care about what

1180
00:58:55,960 --> 00:58:56,400
Speaker 2: you do.

1181
00:58:56,920 --> 00:58:57,920
Speaker 1: You don't work.

1182
00:58:57,680 --> 00:59:01,120
Speaker 2: At NASA, you're not a government official, you don't work

1183
00:59:01,120 --> 00:59:03,920
Speaker 2: in a world in other words, where there may be interest,

1184
00:59:04,440 --> 00:59:08,320
Speaker 2: but it's really nobody's business what you're doing. It's everybody's

1185
00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:12,840
Speaker 2: business what you're doing, you're providing or you're participating in

1186
00:59:12,880 --> 00:59:17,400
Speaker 2: a form of entertainment. Football is not the football business.

1187
00:59:17,440 --> 00:59:21,560
Speaker 2: It's the entertainment business. And football exists in the entertainment business,

1188
00:59:21,600 --> 00:59:24,160
Speaker 2: and whether you've ever viewed yourself like this or not,

1189
00:59:24,400 --> 00:59:26,560
Speaker 2: you play a role in it. And a lot of

1190
00:59:26,560 --> 00:59:28,720
Speaker 2: people are paid a lot of money to coach this game,

1191
00:59:28,920 --> 00:59:31,600
Speaker 2: and a lot of people's careers right on the outcomes.

1192
00:59:31,240 --> 00:59:32,560
Speaker 1: Of these games. I'm not talking about me.

1193
00:59:32,600 --> 00:59:36,760
Speaker 2: I'm talking about players and coaches, and they get held

1194
00:59:36,760 --> 00:59:39,480
Speaker 2: accountable for making the play or not making the play.

1195
00:59:39,720 --> 00:59:41,480
Speaker 1: That publicly, they get held.

1196
00:59:41,280 --> 00:59:44,760
Speaker 2: Accountable for making the right call, for recruiting the right kids,

1197
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:46,960
Speaker 2: for making the right decisions and the right hires or not,

1198
00:59:47,600 --> 00:59:49,200
Speaker 2: and sometimes they pay for it with their job. But

1199
00:59:49,280 --> 00:59:52,680
Speaker 2: ultimately they're judged on wins and losses. And if you're

1200
00:59:52,760 --> 00:59:56,440
Speaker 2: determining that based on the outcomes of some of your calls,

1201
00:59:56,800 --> 01:00:00,680
Speaker 2: and we've seen very high profile situations of that nature

1202
01:00:00,720 --> 01:00:03,320
Speaker 2: this year, you ought to have to answer for it.

1203
01:00:03,520 --> 01:00:05,880
Speaker 2: There ought to be transparency, and if you get a

1204
01:00:05,920 --> 01:00:11,400
Speaker 2: call wrong, then coaches and administration types are certainly owed

1205
01:00:11,400 --> 01:00:14,360
Speaker 2: an answer. I'm owed an answer as a fan. I'm

1206
01:00:14,400 --> 01:00:18,880
Speaker 2: owed an answer because I invest in this financially and emotionally,

1207
01:00:19,440 --> 01:00:22,560
Speaker 2: so I'm owed something. So there ought to be transparency

1208
01:00:22,800 --> 01:00:25,240
Speaker 2: and there ought to be accountability. And don't just tell

1209
01:00:25,280 --> 01:00:27,560
Speaker 2: me you're being held accountable, because I'm telling you right now.

1210
01:00:27,720 --> 01:00:30,120
Speaker 2: I turn on these SEC games, I see the same

1211
01:00:30,200 --> 01:00:33,160
Speaker 2: dudes officiating I have for the past fifteen or twenty years,

1212
01:00:33,320 --> 01:00:35,960
Speaker 2: and it's the same in other conferences. So don't be

1213
01:00:36,000 --> 01:00:38,480
Speaker 2: telling me that I've turned on Major League Baseball games

1214
01:00:38,480 --> 01:00:42,160
Speaker 2: for years. Angel Hernandez was an Aboma nation when he

1215
01:00:42,240 --> 01:00:45,400
Speaker 2: was behind the plate, and only just in the past

1216
01:00:45,560 --> 01:00:47,960
Speaker 2: year did Major League Baseball find a way to.

1217
01:00:47,960 --> 01:00:49,880
Speaker 1: Get rid of him. Why.

1218
01:00:50,200 --> 01:00:52,480
Speaker 2: Well, in their case, they had a union. In the

1219
01:00:52,560 --> 01:00:55,320
Speaker 2: college football case, it's because no one really actually knows

1220
01:00:55,320 --> 01:00:58,680
Speaker 2: what goes on behind the curtain, and with how popular

1221
01:00:58,720 --> 01:01:01,520
Speaker 2: the sport is, with how much it is wagered on,

1222
01:01:02,120 --> 01:01:05,160
Speaker 2: and with how many careers are riding on the outcomes

1223
01:01:05,160 --> 01:01:07,919
Speaker 2: of these games, it's no longer good enough for league

1224
01:01:07,960 --> 01:01:10,720
Speaker 2: officials or the heads of officiating to just say we

1225
01:01:10,800 --> 01:01:14,000
Speaker 2: got it, then show as you got it, and if

1226
01:01:14,000 --> 01:01:16,600
Speaker 2: you don't, then someone else ought to be in your position.

1227
01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:20,440
Speaker 2: But at the very least, you owe people who make

1228
01:01:20,520 --> 01:01:22,680
Speaker 2: it possible for you to have the job. You have,

1229
01:01:22,960 --> 01:01:26,640
Speaker 2: answers and transparency. No one's asking you to be perfect,

1230
01:01:27,000 --> 01:01:29,760
Speaker 2: No one's claiming that you ought to never screw up

1231
01:01:29,800 --> 01:01:30,160
Speaker 2: a call.

1232
01:01:30,360 --> 01:01:33,160
Speaker 1: Everyone would. The only way to avoid that is is

1233
01:01:33,240 --> 01:01:35,120
Speaker 1: ai officials. I'm not sure how to do that.

1234
01:01:35,680 --> 01:01:37,640
Speaker 2: I think we can put micro chips and footballs to

1235
01:01:37,680 --> 01:01:41,360
Speaker 2: avoid you guys spotting them. That's another segment for another time.

1236
01:01:41,640 --> 01:01:45,640
Speaker 2: But you absolutely do owe people explanations and transparency. How

1237
01:01:45,680 --> 01:01:47,840
Speaker 2: in the world we ever got this far down the

1238
01:01:47,920 --> 01:01:50,320
Speaker 2: road without transparency.

1239
01:01:50,000 --> 01:01:50,640
Speaker 1: Is beyond me.

1240
01:01:51,160 --> 01:01:54,680
Speaker 2: I cannot believe that this sport exists at the level

1241
01:01:54,800 --> 01:01:57,400
Speaker 2: and magnitude that it does today and we have something

1242
01:01:57,520 --> 01:02:01,080
Speaker 2: as integral a part of it as a fiating which

1243
01:02:01,120 --> 01:02:05,560
Speaker 2: matters on every play and determines sometimes the trajectory or

1244
01:02:05,600 --> 01:02:08,360
Speaker 2: outright outcome of a game, and you don't ever have

1245
01:02:08,400 --> 01:02:10,920
Speaker 2: to give a public account for it. Maybe if we're lucky,

1246
01:02:11,280 --> 01:02:14,800
Speaker 2: Maybe if we're lucky, you'll issue a statement on a game.

1247
01:02:15,280 --> 01:02:18,560
Speaker 2: Maybe if coaches are lucky, you'll tell them two days later,

1248
01:02:18,880 --> 01:02:19,920
Speaker 2: we may have screwed.

1249
01:02:19,680 --> 01:02:20,160
Speaker 1: Up that call.

1250
01:02:21,120 --> 01:02:23,960
Speaker 2: You won't change anything, but maybe a couple of days later.

1251
01:02:25,360 --> 01:02:28,920
Speaker 2: Coaches are held accountable, players are held accountable. Officials ought

1252
01:02:28,920 --> 01:02:30,880
Speaker 2: to be the exact same way. That's our show tonight.

1253
01:02:30,920 --> 01:02:32,960
Speaker 2: We appreciate it. I gotta leave here. We are headed

1254
01:02:33,000 --> 01:02:36,160
Speaker 2: to New York tonight. I'll do Inside College Football tomorrow

1255
01:02:36,240 --> 01:02:39,960
Speaker 2: night on CBS Coorts Network, and we'll do our show

1256
01:02:40,400 --> 01:02:42,720
Speaker 2: earlier in the day on Thursday. I'll let you know

1257
01:02:42,800 --> 01:02:44,240
Speaker 2: the time. Follow me on on.

1258
01:02:44,200 --> 01:02:45,280
Speaker 1: Twitter, Instagram, et cetera.

1259
01:02:45,640 --> 01:02:47,880
Speaker 2: And then Friday night will be in Vegas, and then

1260
01:02:47,880 --> 01:02:50,000
Speaker 2: Saturday we'll be back here and Sunday we'll just talk

1261
01:02:50,000 --> 01:02:52,320
Speaker 2: about it all again. So appreciate you guys so much.

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