1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 2: This is a breaking news update from Bloomberg, instant reaction 3 00:00:14,120 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 2: and analysis from our three thousand journalists and analysts around 4 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: the world. 5 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 3: Let's bring in Bloomberg Tech b Tech co host Ed Ludlow, 6 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 3: who will be speaking exclusively with Nvidio CEO Jenson Wong. 7 00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 3: That's coming your way at six thirty pm Wall Street 8 00:00:28,760 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 3: time right here on Bloomberg TV and Radio. Hey, Ed, 9 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 3: investors seem to be pretty happy. It's up about two 10 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 3: percent here. What's your immediate takeaway from these results? 11 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, in the fiscal third quarter that they just reported, 12 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 4: you know, it's a beat and a good one, and 13 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:48,920 Speaker 4: this was a high bar going into it. And in 14 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 4: the outlook for the fourth quarter, you know, it's a 15 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 4: it's a good three billion dollars above consensus sixty five 16 00:00:56,880 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 4: billion dollars plus or minus two percent. Remember this is 17 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 4: always the case. There were some very bullish forecasts on 18 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 4: the street. I think some analysts were saying that in 19 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 4: Vidio could even surprise us with a seventy five billion 20 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 4: dollar figure for that fourth quarter. But the great unknown 21 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:17,479 Speaker 4: is the numbers that they've just posted, how do they 22 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 4: relate to the five hundred billion dollar or half a 23 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:24,440 Speaker 4: trillion dollar figure that Jensen wog outlined at GtC in 24 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 4: the last week of October. He basically said, over the 25 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 4: next six fistal quarters, just for Blackwell Rubin Systems, they 26 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 4: see five hundred billion dollars of demand. But in video 27 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 4: doesn't give formal guidance like that. It was just a 28 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 4: slide over his shoulder on stage. So there is going 29 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 4: to be some mathing based on what he says on 30 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 4: the call and hopefully in the conversation that we have 31 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 4: to explain how in aggregate their forecast has changed for 32 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:49,880 Speaker 4: the longer term. 33 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 2: Okay, So Jentsen, if you're watching just a little preview 34 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 2: of the line of questioning that you may get from 35 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 2: Ed Ludlow at six thirty Wall Street time Bloomberg Television 36 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 2: and Radio for that exclusive conversation in video shares off 37 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 2: about as of today's close, roughly ten percent from those 38 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 2: all time highs back at the end of October. That 39 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 2: was just around the GtC event in Washington, d C. 40 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 2: Where I know you spoke with Jensen and Justin Hotard 41 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 2: of Nokia as well. I'm wondering really about the narrative 42 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 2: that's emerged since then about cracks starting to form or 43 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 2: punctures in the quote unquote AI bubble and the decline 44 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 2: in some of the high flying stocks that we've seen 45 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 2: of late. Does this assuage investor concerns that not all 46 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 2: is okay when it comes to the infrastructure spend. 47 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, you know, in Nvidia is down sharp piece since 48 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 4: since the all time high it hit four weeks ago. 49 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 4: But it's also a stock that as of today's close 50 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 4: was up almost forty percent year to date, double the 51 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:51,959 Speaker 4: performance that we see of the Nasdaq one hundred or 52 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:56,000 Speaker 4: the S and P five hundred. This again was a 53 00:02:56,120 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 4: very high expectations quarter where there is also high skepticism 54 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 4: to meet it. And two of the data points that 55 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 4: we will inevitably hear asked of Jensen is the circular 56 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:12,080 Speaker 4: financing issue, because a lot of the news flow in 57 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 4: that period of time has been about Nvidia investing in 58 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 4: some form in the in the frontier model labs or 59 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 4: end users of their chips. 60 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 2: Look at the anthropic news yesterday. 61 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 4: This week, right, you know, And in that specific case, 62 00:03:26,400 --> 00:03:29,920 Speaker 4: it's very hard to argue it is not circular financing 63 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:33,959 Speaker 4: because historically what Jensen Wang's argument has been is when 64 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:37,920 Speaker 4: they put an investment into an AI company, they don't 65 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:42,000 Speaker 4: require the AI company to use that capital or financing 66 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 4: to buy in video chips. They can go away and 67 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 4: using video's money to buy someone else's chips. But in 68 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 4: the mechanics of that anthropic deal, you know, it is 69 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 4: a flow of capital from in video interanthropic and then 70 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:58,800 Speaker 4: enthropic buying capacity that does use in video chips. The 71 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:02,640 Speaker 4: other data point is appreciation, which is a real fixation 72 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 4: of this market at the moment. 73 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:08,120 Speaker 3: So, you know, one of the things we were talking 74 00:04:08,120 --> 00:04:09,800 Speaker 3: about with Jay Goldberg and we're going to get back 75 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:10,680 Speaker 3: to him in just a moment. 76 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 2: We're leting him read the pressure, so we're letting him 77 00:04:13,400 --> 00:04:14,839 Speaker 2: actually look at the numbers right now. 78 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 3: But you talked about China remaining effectively online. 79 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 5: How much of it that is a problem? And I 80 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 5: think we also heard. 81 00:04:21,360 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 3: From was it this being kind of the first clean 82 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 3: numbers that we're kind of getting was that Kunja? 83 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 2: I think we talked. 84 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 3: About, you know, without kind of I guess China impact 85 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:37,040 Speaker 3: or China concerns, but and how important is China going 86 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 3: forward to the Nvidia story. 87 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 4: So you know, China is potentially the biggest end market 88 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:46,279 Speaker 4: in the world for data center and right now Nvidia 89 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 4: assumes zero China. You know that five hundred billion dollars 90 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 4: or half a trillion dollar figure that I mentioned a 91 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 4: moment ago that was given on October twenty eight excluded 92 00:04:56,640 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 4: China completely. I've just put in the blog and just 93 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:03,599 Speaker 4: making an observation that if you go back to August 94 00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 4: when in Video gave their forecast for the third quarter 95 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 4: that they've just released, they were very clear in explaining 96 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 4: that this did not assume any h twenty sales to China. 97 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 4: It's interesting, but there is no mention of the word 98 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 4: China at all in today's press release, and so now 99 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 4: it's kind of all stripped out. But as Jensen Wong 100 00:05:27,520 --> 00:05:31,480 Speaker 4: has said repeatedly, it's a really critical market. A lot 101 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:35,239 Speaker 4: of activity is there, and you know in Video would 102 00:05:35,320 --> 00:05:37,920 Speaker 4: like to be able to sell its technology into that market. 103 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 3: Jay, I want to just bring you back in and 104 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 3: we do see and Video shares climbing once again, back 105 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:46,479 Speaker 3: up near that four percent mark that we saw on 106 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:49,000 Speaker 3: the aftermarket. It's up about three point six three point 107 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 3: seven percent. 108 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:50,200 Speaker 5: Jay. 109 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:52,720 Speaker 3: As you are going through the press release, anything that's 110 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 3: jumping out. 111 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:56,039 Speaker 5: That you think the Bloomberg audience needs to know about 112 00:05:57,560 --> 00:05:58,279 Speaker 5: so far nothing. 113 00:05:58,440 --> 00:06:01,480 Speaker 6: I came the same conclusion, there's nothing. There's no mention 114 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 6: of China in here at all, which is good for now, 115 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 6: but also concerning it, looks like their networking business, the 116 00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:12,360 Speaker 6: networking side of their of their data center business did 117 00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:15,240 Speaker 6: a little better than expected, which is great because it's 118 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:18,479 Speaker 6: high margin, high margin business. Is very They have a 119 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 6: really solid position there. I mean, overall, it's a pretty 120 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:22,920 Speaker 6: clean quarter. I haven't gotten all the way through it, 121 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 6: but I do. I am curious to hear what Jensen's 122 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 6: going to say about circular financing and those sorts of questions. 123 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 6: Jensen is probably the most persuasive, charismatic CEO in semiconductors 124 00:06:35,640 --> 00:06:37,720 Speaker 6: right now, so listening to him on the quarter is 125 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:41,279 Speaker 6: always going to be interesting. I want to see how 126 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 6: much energy he brings and how he's going to address 127 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 6: some of those sort of stickier questions. 128 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 3: Hey, Ed Lodlo, come on in on this as you 129 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 3: listen to Jay. Love to bring you into the conversation 130 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 3: with Jay. 131 00:06:52,880 --> 00:06:56,159 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the circular financing question is one that 132 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 4: I've received in advance, you know, of speaking to Jensen 133 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:02,479 Speaker 4: in a couple of hours time. The other one for 134 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,039 Speaker 4: me is the depreciation issue. 135 00:07:05,480 --> 00:07:05,640 Speaker 1: Right. 136 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:08,719 Speaker 4: You know, Nvidia commits to this annual cadence of a 137 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:12,880 Speaker 4: new generation of GPU, and I think there are a 138 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 4: lot of people out there who would really appreciate Jensen 139 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:22,160 Speaker 4: explaining the useful life cycle of any generation of GPU 140 00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 4: and how they manage that, how they convince the big 141 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 4: spenders in a CAPEX context to upgrade. Is that a 142 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 4: concern for you? Is it something that you feel is unanswered? 143 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 6: Well, I think there is this dynamic taking place where 144 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:37,040 Speaker 6: in Nvidia is trying very hard to prop up the 145 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 6: neo clouds as alternatives to the traditional hyperscalers. You'd much 146 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 6: rather have one hundred small customers than three large ones. 147 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 6: The problem is that will eventually conflict with that annual cadence. Right. 148 00:07:49,600 --> 00:07:51,560 Speaker 6: This whole issue about the appreciation of how long a 149 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 6: server lasts. I think people look a lot of sort 150 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 6: of the physical life of the server, but the more 151 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:59,040 Speaker 6: important question is the economic life of the server. And 152 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 6: if you have a new GPU coming out every year, 153 00:08:02,120 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 6: the old ones become less valuable, and so that leads 154 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 6: to some pretty pretty punishing price curves for the neo clouds, 155 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 6: and so Jensen and n Video want to constantly be 156 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 6: coming out, coming out with new products to stay competitive 157 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 6: and push their own sales up. But that makes it 158 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 6: hard for these big for these customers, the small ones 159 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 6: who have to also stay on that treadmill. And at 160 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 6: some point, at some point, it can't go on forever, right, 161 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:30,160 Speaker 6: the neoclouds will eventually run out of money. And so 162 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 6: that's sort of a big long term picture outlook. And 163 00:08:34,960 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 6: I mean it's one of these things that keeps me, 164 00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:39,840 Speaker 6: would keep me up at night if I didn't have 165 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 6: a cell rating on it. 166 00:08:41,080 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 2: Well, okay, so Ed, I want you to kind of 167 00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 2: go back to Jay on this because I know you've 168 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:47,680 Speaker 2: talked to Core, we've CEO quite a bit of time, 169 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 2: quite a bit in recent months. We said that Core 170 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 2: we've was hire in sympathy after these Invidia results and 171 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 2: in addition to another neo cloud company that's out there 172 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:02,400 Speaker 2: right now, the demand is there for these neo cloud companies. 173 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:05,360 Speaker 2: I mean even Core we've said just very recently it's 174 00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 2: been able to diversify away from its biggest customers. 175 00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, in the conversations that we've had with Microntrator that 176 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 4: they there is demand for the older generation technology. One 177 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 4: sort of data point or statistic that those who are 178 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 4: more calm about the depreciation issue would point to his utilization. 179 00:09:30,160 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 4: So they would say, right now the Hopper generation of 180 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:37,640 Speaker 4: accelerators or GPUs is running at one hundred percent utilization 181 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 4: in terms of workloads. It can't be used any more 182 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 4: than it already is, as a very bullish signal that 183 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:47,120 Speaker 4: they're these these kind of obsolute somes of funny thing 184 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:50,319 Speaker 4: to say, but these older generation GPUs are not idle. 185 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:56,720 Speaker 4: Comparing contrast with some of the secondary secondary market data, 186 00:09:56,840 --> 00:10:00,240 Speaker 4: which we have limited visibility into. We don't know how 187 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:03,080 Speaker 4: strong that is, and nor do do we know how 188 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:06,320 Speaker 4: close attention in Vidia plays to the secondary market for 189 00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:11,520 Speaker 4: older generations of chip. But forty percent of revenue is 190 00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:15,679 Speaker 4: the hyperscalers and depreciation is an accounting issue that they 191 00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 4: need to mark against their balance sheets, and. 192 00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 5: We haven't seen it yet. 193 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 4: So it's kind of interesting because at some point, and 194 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 4: I ain't an accountant, but you know, basic financial journalism, 195 00:10:28,840 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 4: it will come up. 196 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:35,840 Speaker 5: Hold on for a second, Jay, last question, final thoughts 197 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 5: on this. 198 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 3: I mean, I'm looking at the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index up 199 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:41,840 Speaker 3: almost two percent in the aftermarket, A name like Broadcom 200 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 3: is also up about two percent and again, and Vidia 201 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 3: is still up about three point two percent here after 202 00:10:47,080 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 3: its earnings. Final thoughts jay from you when it comes 203 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:51,760 Speaker 3: to Nvidia, So. 204 00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 6: I want to respond. I want to close in responding 205 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:58,360 Speaker 6: to Ed's comment utilization. I've certainly heard data points that 206 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:02,640 Speaker 6: utilization are high in the neoclouds, at least some of 207 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 6: them anecdotally. But if if utilization is so high, why 208 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 6: do A and D and Nvidia make it a practice 209 00:11:10,120 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 6: to backstop capacity at the neoclouds as part of these deals. 210 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:16,720 Speaker 6: If you look across the sales process for GPS right now, 211 00:11:17,160 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 6: you'll see a lot of these big neoclouds have contractual 212 00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:22,959 Speaker 6: terms which allow them, which basically put am D in 213 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:26,439 Speaker 6: Nvidia in the position of backstopping or buying up excess capacity. 214 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:29,839 Speaker 6: And it seems like a little bit of disconnect to 215 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 6: me that you would need those backstops if utilization were 216 00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 6: so high. So I think I think there is definitely 217 00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 6: signs of froth in the neocloud sector, not necessarily Coreweave 218 00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:41,319 Speaker 6: or nebbutus I don't want to pick on them, but 219 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 6: there is the there are growing signs of friction that 220 00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 6: in that corner of the AI trade, it makes me 221 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:50,200 Speaker 6: cautious about the broader spectrum of things. 222 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:51,760 Speaker 3: And to be fair, I just want to bring you 223 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:53,319 Speaker 3: in on that if you have any thoughts. 224 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 4: For Jay, you know only that those that share some 225 00:11:56,920 --> 00:11:59,559 Speaker 4: skepticism and want to ask difficult questions of gens and 226 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:02,200 Speaker 4: would all so point out that you know, call Weave 227 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 4: is one of Nvidia's biggest equity positions to equity investments. 228 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 4: It's also one of its biggest customers technically, and they 229 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 4: are in a position where call weaves under pressure from 230 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:17,959 Speaker 4: its customers to have access to the latest technology. There 231 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 4: is a disconnect there. At some point they can't be 232 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:23,040 Speaker 4: running both the old GPUs. But again, you know, I 233 00:12:23,080 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 4: think asking the basic question of depreciation and how Jensen 234 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 4: Wong sees it, that that's something that we will put 235 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 4: to him for sure. 236 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, it definitely has to be addressed. Jake Olberg, thank 237 00:12:32,559 --> 00:12:34,240 Speaker 3: you as always, you give us so much time. We 238 00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:37,640 Speaker 3: so appreciate it. Senior analyst semic Conductors and Electronics over 239 00:12:37,640 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 3: at Seaport Research Partners. 240 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:40,880 Speaker 5: As we've said, currently, as. 241 00:12:40,760 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 3: A cell rating on Nvidia, the only such rating for 242 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 3: the stock listed in the terminal, sticking. 243 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 5: To his conviction. 244 00:12:46,240 --> 00:12:48,679 Speaker 3: His conviction shares of Nvidia, by the way, still up 245 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 3: about three point six percent, but ed still with. 246 00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:53,440 Speaker 2: Us sill with uson once again, Jay, not just the 247 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,400 Speaker 2: only cell rating, but that price target at one point 248 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:58,840 Speaker 2: forty and shares you know close today? What you know 249 00:12:58,960 --> 00:13:05,200 Speaker 2: one sixty something? Yeah, yeah, six, Thank you, go ahead, No, Ed. 250 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:08,040 Speaker 3: As you think about, you know, your conversation Jensen. You've 251 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 3: had many conversations with him at you know, different venues, 252 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 3: different events, I don't know what are you what is 253 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:16,959 Speaker 3: really you think the most important thing to hear from 254 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:19,319 Speaker 3: We talked about depreciation and some other things. But I'm 255 00:13:19,360 --> 00:13:21,560 Speaker 3: just curious what's top of mind for you here and 256 00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 3: what you really want to hear from him. 257 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 5: Electricity. 258 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:28,959 Speaker 4: It's fair to say I've had more terminal client ibs, 259 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 4: more messages on social media, more people in the user 260 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 4: and come up to me and just say, like, you know, 261 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 4: we we should probably talk about electricity and energy because 262 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,600 Speaker 4: you know, we don't really have a good line of 263 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 4: sight to whether if they can build all these data centers, 264 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 4: and Jensen one does have a good line of sight 265 00:13:46,840 --> 00:13:50,480 Speaker 4: on that. When the data center is built, finish, ready 266 00:13:50,520 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 4: to turn the lights on. Is the electricity there? You know? 267 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 4: And the answer is no. There's loads of deals out there, right. 268 00:13:58,120 --> 00:13:59,599 Speaker 4: You guys would have done the red headline on the 269 00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 4: show to about the US or the DOE taking government 270 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 4: ownership of nuclear reactors. But these rule deals on paper, 271 00:14:06,880 --> 00:14:09,720 Speaker 4: they don't exist in the real world. I think that's 272 00:14:09,760 --> 00:14:11,959 Speaker 4: really critical. The other thing is the press release says 273 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 4: they're sold out of GPUs. I just asked him what 274 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 4: do you mean by sold out? Because they're ramping output. 275 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,880 Speaker 4: You know, their supply constraint. Demand is greater at any 276 00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:24,800 Speaker 4: given moment than their ability to supply. But to say 277 00:14:24,840 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 4: that something is sold out is a bit confusing, to 278 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 4: be honest, and so you know, ask for some clarity 279 00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 4: on that. 280 00:14:31,560 --> 00:14:34,160 Speaker 2: Hey, before we let you go, last question, Ian King 281 00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 2: writing an inventory took a jump in the quarter normally 282 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 2: at chip makers, and just to remind everybody, Ian King 283 00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 2: has covered chip makers for more than twenty years, that's 284 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 2: a worrying sign, meaning the amount of unused product is 285 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:47,480 Speaker 2: going up. The company said it's to quote ordering to 286 00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:50,640 Speaker 2: secure long lead time components, meet the demand for blackwell 287 00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 2: and support future architecture road maps. Is a little different 288 00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 2: than what it's traditionally done. 289 00:14:54,640 --> 00:14:56,480 Speaker 5: I thought they don't cant ne demand. 290 00:14:57,240 --> 00:15:00,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, inventory is typically bad, depending on the type of chip, 291 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 4: because it signals that you, you know, no one's building 292 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 4: up there, the customers aren't building. Inventry by the way, 293 00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 4: Ian's covered semiconductors since nineteen ninety eight at Bloomberg, so 294 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 4: so longer than twenty years. But you know, in Videa's 295 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 4: argument has always been, we keep telling our customers, our suppliers, 296 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 4: and our partners what we're doing for the next five years. 297 00:15:20,000 --> 00:15:25,080 Speaker 4: That includes the memory chip makers and telematics, data center 298 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:28,400 Speaker 4: server design builders, so that everyone can keep pace. And 299 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 4: the argument that they're making is that when they want 300 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 4: to ship Blackwell accelerating computer systems at scale, the GPU, 301 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 4: it can't just be the GPU that's ready to go. 302 00:15:41,560 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 5: You need all the. 303 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 4: Other components to go with it. And you know, with 304 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:47,600 Speaker 4: the stock up whatever it is now and after ours 305 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 4: four percent STO, I don't think anyone's worried about that 306 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:50,440 Speaker 4: inventory number. 307 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:54,280 Speaker 3: YEP inventry days all right, all right, good stuff. Hey listen, Kitter, 308 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,720 Speaker 3: we will be watching, all of us will be watching. 309 00:15:57,440 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 5: Co host of b Tech and Ludlow. 310 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 6: Hello. 311 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:03,000 Speaker 3: As you know, catch him at eleven am Wall Street 312 00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:06,200 Speaker 3: Time every Monday through Friday. But he will be speaking 313 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,480 Speaker 3: exclusively this evening with Nvidia CEO Jensen Wank. That's at 314 00:16:09,520 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 3: six thirty pm Wall Street Time, and you can catch 315 00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 3: that on both Bloomberg Television and Bloomberg Radio, So be 316 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:15,760 Speaker 3: sure to check that one out. 317 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 5: It is an exclusive. So he's got the conversation well 318 00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 5: in video. 319 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 2: Gave a strong revenue forecast for the current period of 320 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 2: sales expected to be about sixty five billion dollars in 321 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 2: the fiscal fourth quarter. I want to bring in Bloomberg 322 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 2: News Big Tech team leader Sarah Fryer. She's also the 323 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:32,320 Speaker 2: author of No Filter, The Inside Story of Instagram. She 324 00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:36,800 Speaker 2: joins us from Bloomberg's San Francisco bureau. So going into this, Sarah, 325 00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:40,040 Speaker 2: there was this narrative emerging that there was concern that 326 00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:43,800 Speaker 2: the AI bubble, you know, if we're calling it that 327 00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 2: maybe losing a little bit of air, if we're going 328 00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 2: to stay with that metaphor concerned about the hyperscalers capex. 329 00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 2: We saw what happened with meta platforms a few weeks ago. 330 00:16:53,040 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 2: Is that concern gone after reports such as this is 331 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:57,120 Speaker 2: everything all fine and dandy. 332 00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 1: Now, I don't think the concern is gone, because I 333 00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 1: do think there are still some trends that are are 334 00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:06,479 Speaker 1: you know, as noted in my my colleague and King stories, 335 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 1: but somewhat worrisome. Right the fact that in Vidia is 336 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:13,080 Speaker 1: investing in a lot of the entities that are buying 337 00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:15,560 Speaker 1: its chips, right, so is there is there a way 338 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:20,680 Speaker 1: that that they are indirectly ending demand for their product. 339 00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 1: There is the concern about China sales. We still don't 340 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:28,679 Speaker 1: have any forecast of sales to China despite some of 341 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:33,760 Speaker 1: the loosening of the most restrictive restrictive policies from the 342 00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 1: Trump administration. And and then there's also the question of 343 00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:43,000 Speaker 1: everyone trying to come up with Nvidia alternatives for their chips, 344 00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 1: and some some of the rivals starting to gain a 345 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 1: little bit attraction we saw a little bit from Ambi. 346 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:53,280 Speaker 1: And then furthermore, just the idea that you know, so 347 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:57,600 Speaker 1: much of the uh, some of the the spending on 348 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:01,480 Speaker 1: chips on data centers depends on having this physical infrastructure 349 00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 1: to really put them to work, and especially the energy 350 00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:11,080 Speaker 1: making sure that there is power to make all these 351 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:15,040 Speaker 1: data centers come to life with Nvidia's chips. So I 352 00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:17,679 Speaker 1: think that, you know, although this is this is a 353 00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:20,240 Speaker 1: company on a tear, this is we are in the 354 00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:23,159 Speaker 1: you know, the Nvidia economy. It is really popping up 355 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:26,760 Speaker 1: the stock market right now. It has it has altered 356 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 1: the financial future of a lot of the companies my 357 00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: team covers. But you know, can it last longer? Probably, 358 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,679 Speaker 1: and that's what this report is showing. But is it 359 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:43,080 Speaker 1: inevitable that it will? You know, are all the fears 360 00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 1: in our past and we're not thinking about them anymore, 361 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 1: certainly not. We're going to keep looking at all those 362 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 1: trends and making sure that we can explain to people 363 00:18:50,680 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 1: what what is what is putting pressure on the future. 364 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:56,480 Speaker 5: So one thing I want to bring out, Sarah. 365 00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 3: You're, you know, there on the West coast, San Francisco, 366 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:03,119 Speaker 3: you know, the tech community front and center, so you 367 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:04,640 Speaker 3: hear things in. 368 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 5: And around, not just in the newsroom, but just in 369 00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:07,040 Speaker 5: the area. 370 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 3: And I'm you know, I'm looking at you know, the 371 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:11,600 Speaker 3: concerns about Like you said, maybe this doesn't put concerns 372 00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:14,920 Speaker 3: to rest, but I'm looking at you know, in videos. 373 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:15,879 Speaker 5: Certainly up in the aftermarket. 374 00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:18,240 Speaker 3: I'm looking at Nasdaq one hundred e mini futures, they're 375 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,159 Speaker 3: up about one and a half percent. S and P 376 00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:23,480 Speaker 3: five hundred futures are up about nine tens of a percent. 377 00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:24,480 Speaker 2: I think it's big. 378 00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:25,920 Speaker 5: It's big. 379 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:27,960 Speaker 2: I look at the SoCs effect. 380 00:19:28,080 --> 00:19:30,160 Speaker 5: The Socks is up almost two percent. There's a bunch 381 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,120 Speaker 5: of other names in the space. So it's I. 382 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:34,280 Speaker 3: Think there was just so much fear that what if 383 00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 3: they missed those numbers and they you know, met on 384 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:39,680 Speaker 3: the data center revenue number for the third quarter and 385 00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,920 Speaker 3: fourth quarter revenue was upbeating the outlook, Right, So I think, 386 00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:45,199 Speaker 3: does it feel like, I mean, I don't know, you know, 387 00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:47,480 Speaker 3: this community just a little bit of a sigh of 388 00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:51,239 Speaker 3: relief that Okay, they hit these numbers. They actually did 389 00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:54,320 Speaker 3: better than what the street was expecting, and maybe that 390 00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 3: puts some. 391 00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,840 Speaker 5: Some of the concerns, I don't know, under wraps for 392 00:19:58,880 --> 00:19:59,320 Speaker 5: a little bit. 393 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:01,920 Speaker 1: I think here, you know, you're asking about the perspective 394 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:05,359 Speaker 1: here in the valley. Here in the valley, AI doesn't 395 00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:08,359 Speaker 1: sound like anything that there's the sense that we're just 396 00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:11,440 Speaker 1: at the beginning of this grand movement that will change 397 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 1: the world. Right, Maybe it's not even the ll M 398 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:20,920 Speaker 1: that will be the model that secure the future with AI. 399 00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 1: And so we're just now starting to see the applications 400 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 1: of AI. The you know, the payback really for all 401 00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:32,679 Speaker 1: of this investment, we haven't quite solved that, you know, 402 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:36,880 Speaker 1: where where is all this this revenue, the actual sales 403 00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:39,600 Speaker 1: to companies that are going to pay for all of 404 00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,919 Speaker 1: the chips that Nvidia makes. We haven't really solved that 405 00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:46,200 Speaker 1: problem to the tune of the billions that have been spent. 406 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,439 Speaker 1: But I think that here you're asking out here in 407 00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:52,280 Speaker 1: the valley, it is very much you know, all systems 408 00:20:52,359 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 1: go on AI. 409 00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:53,680 Speaker 4: There. 410 00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 1: There is not as much of a concern about whether 411 00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,680 Speaker 1: this is the bubble. People are seeing these these big 412 00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:04,000 Speaker 1: numbers and they're thinking, you know, the world is about 413 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:08,240 Speaker 1: to change even further. How so, people are thinking about 414 00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: how their jobs are going to change. They're using AI 415 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 1: very very much in their jobs, in their personal lives, 416 00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:16,840 Speaker 1: like you know, relying on on AI to help them 417 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 1: make decisions for themselves and their families. And I think 418 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:25,399 Speaker 1: people are are eager to create products that are going 419 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:28,640 Speaker 1: to take advantage of the of this is a new resource. 420 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:34,560 Speaker 1: Whether that is going to dramatically lead to efficiency, more 421 00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:41,440 Speaker 1: more profits for the companies given all the investment so far, 422 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 1: it's sort of yet to be seen. 423 00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:47,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's just kind of interesting, right. I mean, 424 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:49,639 Speaker 3: here we are, what almost three years in to this 425 00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,679 Speaker 3: AI story, and most people say it's just early innings 426 00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:54,439 Speaker 3: on all of this. But it's hard for right, all 427 00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:58,800 Speaker 3: of us who've covered you know, booms and busts and crises, 428 00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:00,760 Speaker 3: and I'm not saying that this is any of that, 429 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,000 Speaker 3: but it's hard not to be a little bit skeptical 430 00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:05,600 Speaker 3: when you see, you know, the spend over and over 431 00:22:05,640 --> 00:22:10,240 Speaker 3: and again, the conversations around the circular financing, and you know. 432 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:10,720 Speaker 5: It's hard. 433 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:12,960 Speaker 3: You're the logical side of your brain says, well, wait, 434 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 3: an it doesn't ultimately make sense. 435 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 1: Two things can be true, right, It's not necessarily either 436 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 1: or there can be a dramatic revolution in technology that 437 00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:28,040 Speaker 1: will change our lives, and there can be irresponsible spending 438 00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:31,360 Speaker 1: at the same time. Right. We saw in the dot 439 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:34,439 Speaker 1: com boom, for instance, that there were a lot of 440 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:39,400 Speaker 1: companies that had very dire circumstances at the end when 441 00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:42,400 Speaker 1: that bubble burst and they had to shut down. But hey, 442 00:22:42,440 --> 00:22:44,600 Speaker 1: we still use the internet via the net is still a. 443 00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:47,159 Speaker 5: Thing, so so I think. 444 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:54,919 Speaker 1: No, I think I think we might. We're not necessary Yeah, no, 445 00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,640 Speaker 1: we're not necessarily talking about, you know, a bubble burst. 446 00:22:57,680 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 1: And that means that AI wasn't the thing, and we 447 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,720 Speaker 1: shouldn't have we shouldn't have thought that it was going 448 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:04,240 Speaker 1: to be so big. It could be that, you know, 449 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:08,760 Speaker 1: there there is still potential for a large financial correction 450 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:14,159 Speaker 1: down the road, but AI remains a force that changes 451 00:23:14,240 --> 00:23:16,240 Speaker 1: how we do business and how we live our lives. 452 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:20,679 Speaker 1: So I think to put it in that stock of 453 00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 1: a either or is missing the larger trend. 454 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:25,760 Speaker 5: This is why we come to you. 455 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 3: Because it's really yeah, and it's very balanced and thoughtful. 456 00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:34,200 Speaker 5: Sarah, thanks so much. 457 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 3: I really appreciate Bloomberg News Big Tech team leader Sarah Fryer. 458 00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,840 Speaker 3: She's also the author of No Filter, The Inside Store 459 00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:41,760 Speaker 3: of Instagram, and she is, of course there from our 460 00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:43,280 Speaker 3: Bloomberg San Francisco bureau