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Speaker 1: Hello, everyone, Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Podcast. I'm

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Speaker 1: Pat Fitzmorris here with my esteemed colleague Paul mcbrear, and

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Speaker 1: the PGA Tour kicks off the Florida Swing. This week.

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Speaker 1: We are going to preview the first of the Florida events,

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Speaker 1: the Cognizant Classic formerly known as the Hanta Classic. We

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Speaker 1: are also going to recap last week's Mexico Open. Maybe

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Speaker 1: pop open a bottle of champagne since we finally gave

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Speaker 1: you a winner, and there it is, and by we,

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Speaker 1: it's Bo mcbrar, not me. Bo was pretty much all

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Speaker 1: over Jake Napp last week, and Nap rewarded Bo's faith

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Speaker 1: with a win. Pretty phenomenal call on that one, since

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Speaker 1: Jake Knapp is a rookie and the Mexico Open was

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Speaker 1: his first ever PGA Tour win. But Bo said Jake

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Speaker 1: Napp was the player to bets at the Mexico Open.

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Speaker 1: Bo even picked him in our one and done competition

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Speaker 1: Nikes where he is now completely crushing me. So we

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Speaker 1: will let Bo sit here and sip his champagne as

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Speaker 1: I toss bouquets in his direction.

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Speaker 2: Everyone who tailed me, cheers to you. Kat and special

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Speaker 2: cheers to the big CSTA himself, Jake Knapp, Thank you,

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Speaker 2: my good friend.

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Speaker 1: Yes, excellent, and that was perfect. I did tail you,

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Speaker 1: bo and I needed it after a couple of days

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Speaker 1: in Las Vegas. That helped solve some of my open. Yeah, yeah, exactly.

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Speaker 1: So this show is sponsored by Underdog Fantasy, which is

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Speaker 1: the place to be for Bestball fantasy football contest. But

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Speaker 1: a special pick available for you in the lobby. More

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Speaker 1: on an Underdog and its golf contests in a bit.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about Jake Knapp's glorious win at the

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Speaker 1: Mexico Open. Bow shoots an opening round sixty seven decent starts,

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Speaker 1: then he goes on an absolute terror, shooting a sixty

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Speaker 1: four on Friday and a sixty three on Saturday. Nap

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Speaker 1: had a four shot lead going into the final round,

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Speaker 1: and he was paired with a fellow rookie, Sammy Valamaki

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Speaker 1: of Finland, sleeping on a four shot lead as a

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Speaker 1: PGA to a rookie couldn't have been easy, and early

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Speaker 1: in Sunday's round it looked like Knapp was going to

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Speaker 1: fritter away the lead. Before he even finished the front nine.

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Speaker 1: He bogie number one. He bogied number three after hitting

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Speaker 1: an epic hook off the tee bo. We were just

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Speaker 1: talking about this off camera. I mean, I am a

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Speaker 1: right to left player myself, and I'm not good at golf,

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Speaker 1: so you can imagine some of the hooks I hits.

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Speaker 1: Jake knapps drive on number three was the mother of

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Speaker 1: all hooks. He hit it in the water. But he

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Speaker 1: did manage to salvage a bogie, which I think.

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Speaker 3: Was coracular fashion bogie. That's yes, that was.

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Speaker 2: Huge because that almost stopped the bleeding in a way

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Speaker 2: where he started off so bad the first two holes.

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Speaker 3: Then you hit that shot off the third.

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Speaker 2: T and you're like, oh man, this really could be

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Speaker 2: hanging in the balance for him. But ta salvage a

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Speaker 2: five there was unbelievable for especially for his confidence leading

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Speaker 2: on to maintaining the leader, keeping himself close enough to

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Speaker 2: Vallamachy where if anything goes his way he can get

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Speaker 2: back on top like he did.

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Speaker 1: Yep, moral victory without question. So yeah, Nap was kind

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Speaker 1: of spraying drives all over the place on the front

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Speaker 1: but sort of mitigating the damage. And by the time

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Speaker 1: he made the turn he's tied with Vallamachi. No one

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Speaker 1: else was making a big move, so it was basically

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Speaker 1: match play coming home. And then after the bad start,

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Speaker 1: Nap pulled it together while Vallamachi started making some mistakes,

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Speaker 1: missing some fairways and some poor chip shots that left

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Speaker 1: him with tough parpots that he failed to convert. So

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Speaker 1: Jake Napp wound up finishing minus nineteen to win by

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Speaker 1: two shots. Congrats to Jake Nap on his first PGA

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Speaker 1: Tour win, his master's birth and congrats to bow.

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Speaker 3: Mara Gold Cali Gold right here.

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Speaker 1: Congrats to Bow in a fantastic call. I hope you

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Speaker 1: all did tail bowl and put some money down on

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Speaker 1: Nap bo any other thoughts you have on the Mexico Open.

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Speaker 2: I was. I was so pleasantly surprised to see Jake

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Speaker 2: Nap like put those two rounds together on Friday and

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Speaker 2: Saturday like that put him on such a hot streak,

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Speaker 2: especially on approach where his what we talked about last

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Speaker 2: week was this guy is normally a really good short

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Speaker 2: game player, and he's obviously massive off the tee, but.

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Speaker 3: The one question mark had been his approach play.

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Speaker 2: And he was on such a heater leading into that

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Speaker 2: week on approach and to carry that into that tournament

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Speaker 2: and keep it going for three days, for two and

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Speaker 2: a half at least, was huge for him, because even

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Speaker 2: when things went a little stale off the tee on Sunday,

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Speaker 2: he still pulled it together with the other parts of

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Speaker 2: his game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, his approach shots Friday and Saturday. I mean, if

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Speaker 1: you would have put him in a Scottie Scheffler costume,

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Speaker 1: you would have been able to tell the difference based

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Speaker 1: on their.

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Speaker 3: Plans dialed dialed in.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. So, okay, let's make it two in a row. Bow,

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Speaker 1: Let's turn our attention. Sure, we're going to turn our

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Speaker 1: attention to the Cognizant Classic. But first, our friends at

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Speaker 1: All right, bo. The Cognizant Classic kicking off the PGA

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Speaker 1: Tours Florida Swing. This event used to be the Honda Classic,

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Speaker 1: so it's actually an existing event, not a new one,

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Speaker 1: but Honda pulled its sponsorship after forty two years. I

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Speaker 1: think it might have been the longest running title sponsor

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Speaker 1: of any tour events. So now it's the Cognizant Classic,

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Speaker 1: but the tournament will still be played at PGA National

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Speaker 1: in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. It is a par seventy

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Speaker 1: one course that plays two seven and forty seven yards.

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Speaker 1: This course had been a par seventy, but they lengthened

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Speaker 1: the par four tenth and made it a par five.

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Speaker 1: This course, first thing you think of, extremely watery. It

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Speaker 1: has water hazards on fifteen of the eighteen holes. There

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Speaker 1: are also a lot of bunkers of them. I believe.

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Speaker 1: PGA National also features the bear Trap, a three hole

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Speaker 1: stretch from the fifteenth to the seventeenth. Yeah, the bear

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Speaker 1: trap is nasty. You're gonna see a lot of bogies there.

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Speaker 2: This par threes are nasty. Four is a bear but

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Speaker 2: those par threes are filthy.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. So the par four sixteenth, I think it's four

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Speaker 1: hundred and thirty four yards water hazard all the way

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Speaker 1: down to the right, down the right side of the

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Speaker 1: hole and in front of the green. It's tough. But

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Speaker 1: the fifteenth and seventeenth are par threes guarded by water

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Speaker 1: on like two or three sides, I think both of them,

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Speaker 1: and they're long, yeah, and if you bail out to

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Speaker 1: avoid the water, you're going to be in a bunker.

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Speaker 1: So that's that's kind of the design here. Players encounter

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Speaker 1: another difficult three hole stretch on the front side with

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Speaker 1: the fifth, sixth, and seventh holes. The fifth and the

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Speaker 1: seventh also par threes, both of them over two hundred yards,

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Speaker 1: and the sixth is a four hundred and seventy nine

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Speaker 1: yard par four with water all down the left side

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Speaker 1: all the way to the green. We're going to see

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Speaker 1: lots of bogies. One. Yes, this is not a birdie

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Speaker 1: birdie fest by any means. PG National also seems pretty

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Speaker 1: susceptible to the wind. But the wind shouldn't be that

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Speaker 1: bad this week, a little breezy wins in the ten

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Speaker 1: to fifteen mile per hour range throughout the tournament with

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Speaker 1: a slight chance of rain every day and now bow

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Speaker 1: after weeks of Poa greens and the past Pollam greens

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Speaker 1: last week in Mexico, we're getting Bermuda greens. So different

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Speaker 1: kind of putting. Last year at this event, Chris Kirk

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Speaker 1: beat Eric Cole in a playoff. They were both fourteen

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Speaker 1: under par, the lowest winning score at this event since

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Speaker 1: two thousand and five. Sepstraca won in twenty twenty two

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Speaker 1: with the score of minus ten the three winners, but

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Speaker 1: before that Matt Jones minus twelve, and I think Matt

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Speaker 1: Jones won easily that year, Sung jm at minus six.

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Speaker 1: I remember the wind being up for that one in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty and Keith Mitchell in twenty nineteen at minus nine.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, this is a tough course, bo different kind

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Speaker 1: of golf than we've been seeing. What jumps out to

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Speaker 1: you about PGA National and the sort of players who

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Speaker 1: might do well here.

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Speaker 2: So it's interesting that the schedule also changed where this

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Speaker 2: tournament kind of got buried in a big, long, five

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Speaker 2: tournament stretch where a lot of the best golfers would

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Speaker 2: skip this tournament just to get a week off because

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Speaker 2: the Florida Swinging with the players and Bayhill, they're both

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Speaker 2: really challenging tournaments, and then you get to another one

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Speaker 2: and you just don't want to play it. It's another

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Speaker 2: third week in a row of grueling, tough tournament work.

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Speaker 2: And now with it being earlier in the season, we

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Speaker 2: see Rory McElroy and other big names latch onto it

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Speaker 2: because it fits their schedule better. And that's a good thing.

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Speaker 2: As far as what we're looking for, very good accurate

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Speaker 2: tea shots not necessarily long, but I'm looking at approach

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Speaker 2: distances between one hundred and twenty five and one hundred

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Speaker 2: and seventy five yards, and that is going to be

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Speaker 2: very heavily weighted. Approach game is everything here because it's

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Speaker 2: going to challenge the iron play. Like virtually any other

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Speaker 2: course on the PGA Tours schedule, this one challenges good

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Speaker 2: iron play and if you're not good with that, you

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Speaker 2: have you better be a good scrambler on top of

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Speaker 2: it to avoid bogies, because big numbers are lurking around

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Speaker 2: every corner of this golf course. But if you're good,

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Speaker 2: you're good here. A lot of guys, lot of guys

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Speaker 2: catch fire here and they stay hot, which is a

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Speaker 2: good thing. We get to kind of the usual suspects,

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Speaker 2: so somebody who's had success at PGA National before are

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Speaker 2: preferred because it does have a little correlation there with

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Speaker 2: prior history with the golf course.

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Speaker 1: And we do have some horses for this particular court,

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Speaker 1: which we will get to in a minute. But first,

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Speaker 1: if you want a chance to win a free one

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Speaker 1: year premium Betting Pro subscription, you need to subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the Betting Pros YouTube channel right now, comment below on

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Speaker 1: this video and that's it. We will be off announcing

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Speaker 1: a winner right here on the channel. So make sure

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Speaker 1: to turn on your notifications so you can be alerted

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Speaker 1: when new episodes are up and to claim your prize.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk odds bo Rory McElroy as you

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Speaker 1: mentioned in the field this week, and he is a

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Speaker 1: heavy favorite as of late Monday, Monday afternoon. Rory was

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Speaker 1: plus seven hundred on DraftKings. Next shortest odds were Cameron

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Speaker 1: Young at plus two thousand, Russell Henley is plus twenty

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Speaker 1: two hundred, Matt Fitzpatrick, Eric Cole and Ben On Are

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Speaker 1: all plus twenty five hundred, Tom Kim plus twenty eight hundred,

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Speaker 1: Keith Mitchell, JG. Postin and Daniel Berger plus three thousand,

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Speaker 1: and Steven Jaeger, Shane Lowry, minwoo Lee and Corey Connors

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Speaker 1: plus thirty five hundred. Anyone you like here, Bob.

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Speaker 3: There's a lot of names here.

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Speaker 2: Of course, Rory McElroy demands respect here depending on how

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Speaker 2: he does tonight in the match against Lexi Thompson and

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Speaker 2: Rose Zang and Max Homa. So he's got a quick

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Speaker 2: turnaround here. So it's not nothing that he's playing tonight

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Speaker 2: in the charity event.

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Speaker 3: For the match.

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Speaker 2: But I am kind of leery about what kind of

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Speaker 2: form he'll be in playing that much competitive golf all

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Speaker 2: at once. I don't know if I want to bet

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Speaker 2: him at plus seven hundred, but it is pretty intriguing

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Speaker 2: because I mean it's Rory macroy, number two player in

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Speaker 2: the world. He's got recent form success you can't ignore

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Speaker 2: the top five number at plus two hundred. That's a

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Speaker 2: really solid number for a favorite, especially where it kind

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Speaker 2: of drops off after him. Honestly, Cameron Young shouldn't be

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Speaker 2: at twenty to one anytime soon because of his last

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Speaker 2: year and a half. Since his great Rookie of the

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Speaker 2: Year season, he hasn't really done much. Russell Henley is

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Speaker 2: my face in this range at plus twenty five hundred

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Speaker 2: Master iron player, and I know you want to talk

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Speaker 2: about how he loves Bermuda grass because he's from Georgia

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Speaker 2: and he was also born on the island of Bermuda,

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Speaker 2: so he is a Bermude in Bermuda now, So you

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Speaker 2: can't ignore a guy like that. Russell Henley is everything

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Speaker 2: we want on this golf course statistically.

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Speaker 3: Will he pull it off is.

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Speaker 2: The only question that kind of lingers for me. I

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Speaker 2: still love him with that number because I think he

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Speaker 2: should be at a shorter number than Cameron Young or

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Speaker 2: bent On.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the Florida Swing is really Russell Henley's time to

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Speaker 1: make Hay. It seems like that that in the Sony Open,

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Speaker 1: where he also typically does very well. But I didn't

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Speaker 1: know that he was actually born on the island of

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Speaker 1: Bermuda Baw. I knew he was from Making Georgia, but yeah,

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Speaker 1: he does seem to like putting on these greens. Finished

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Speaker 1: top eight in his last two appearances here, although he

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Speaker 1: hasn't played since twenty twenty one for some reason, and

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Speaker 1: top twenty five in four straight appearances here at PGA National.

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Speaker 1: So oh, I sort of like Shane Lowry at plus

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Speaker 1: thirty five hundred. You know, even though it's not going

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Speaker 1: to be a wind swept tournament, it's going to be

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Speaker 1: a little breezy, and Lowry is one of the better

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Speaker 1: win players in the world, and he has a good

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Speaker 1: track record here second here in twenty twenty two, fifth

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Speaker 1: year last year, And you know, even though it's probably

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Speaker 1: not the sort of style of greens he grew up playing,

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Speaker 1: these Bermuda grass greens do seem to suit him. Do

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Speaker 1: you like Lowry at all? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: So I like Shane Lowry, but I like the two

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Speaker 2: guys in the same group as him a little bit

264
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Speaker 2: better at thirty to one. I like Tom Kim because

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Speaker 2: we kind of get we lose sight of recent success

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Speaker 2: because he doesn't do well on the California as much

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Speaker 2: like you get into the late season, we start to

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Speaker 2: remember on the East Coast, Tom Kim is a better player.

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Speaker 2: He likes playing at Hilton Head, he likes playing at

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Speaker 2: all these little target practice golf courses. He performed well

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Speaker 2: to players. These are all kinds of the same tight

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Speaker 2: forced window iron players that are going to be successful here.

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Speaker 2: So I like Tom Kim at thirty to one, and

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Speaker 2: I love my guy Sung j M. Because again, you're

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Speaker 2: looking at iron players, iron players, especially in that mid

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Speaker 2: iron to probably just short to mid iron range on approach.

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Speaker 2: These guys are the ones that are popping up at

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Speaker 2: the very top.

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Speaker 3: Along with Rory.

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Speaker 2: And so if you're going just in that stat category

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Speaker 2: and waiting iron play, like I am, having guys in

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Speaker 2: this thirty to thirty five to one range at the

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Speaker 2: same level as Rory at plus seven hundred, that's really encouraging.

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Speaker 1: I'm glad to hear you say that about M. He's

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Speaker 1: one of my favorite too.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Now, admittedly has not been in great form lately. He's

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Speaker 1: finished forty fourth or worse in his last four events,

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Speaker 1: but obviously M is a tremendously talented player, and one

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Speaker 1: here in twenty twenty, right before COVID hit and finished

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Speaker 1: eighth here in twenty twenty one, so he does have

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Speaker 1: a track record of success at PGA National. So glad

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Speaker 1: you're on him. Let's take a look at some of

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Speaker 1: the other guys in the plus four thousand plus five

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Speaker 1: thousand range. So at plus four thousand m, maybe the

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Speaker 1: odds have dropped on him since I checked this late

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Speaker 1: on Monday afternoon, he's down a little bit. Good. I'm

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Speaker 1: glad I got him at forty one forty.

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Speaker 3: He's at thirty five now, so that's.

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Speaker 1: Great, excellent value. Also at plus four thousand, Sepstraka and

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Speaker 1: Chris Kirk, the defending champ at plus forty five, plus

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Speaker 1: forty five hundred Matthew Pavaan, Luke Liszt, Bo Hostler and

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Speaker 1: Adam Spence and a plus five thousand, Tom Hogy, Jake

304
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Speaker 1: Napp and Rasmus Hoguard. Not Nikolai Hogard, his brother Rasmus.

305
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Speaker 1: So what do you look from this group? Paul? Are

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Speaker 1: you going to continue to ride the Jake Knap Express?

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Speaker 3: I don't know this course.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he's the kind of a guy that could

309
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Speaker 2: have like a little bit of a.

310
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Speaker 3: Lapse, especially on a course.

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Speaker 2: It's so different from the one he just won on

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Speaker 2: I don't want to hit him at that number because

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Speaker 2: it's inflated from previous success. This number has moved dramatically.

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Speaker 2: I believe he opened at seventy. So the fact that

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Speaker 2: it's already here means that we missed our chance when

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Speaker 2: it first opened, because the hype behind a defending champion

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Speaker 2: of the previous week is it's a real thing and

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Speaker 2: that we have to pay for if we're really confident

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Speaker 2: in that golfer. I'd rather go with the defending champion

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Speaker 2: of this event, Chris Kirk at forty to one, or

321
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Speaker 2: even Sepstraca who won two years ago over Shane Lowry.

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Speaker 2: I mean, that's a great group of guys in I

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Speaker 2: can't ignore the recent success of one Francois Matsieur Pavon.

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Speaker 1: Do you think Pavan's game fits this place?

325
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Speaker 3: It does, It really does.

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Speaker 2: And he pops up in my model very well, probably

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Speaker 2: number eight to twelve in the various weights that they

328
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Speaker 2: run it. That's impressive. That tells me that not just

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Speaker 2: his recent form, is that play here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I couldn't be more on board with your Stepstraca,

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Speaker 1: and Chris Kirk calls I mean Straka the big man's

332
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Speaker 1: strokes gained numbers here on this course over the several years. Yeah,

333
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Speaker 1: among the best in the field. I think in strokes

334
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Speaker 1: gained total here over I know, like a five year stretch.

335
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Speaker 1: One here two years ago, finished fifth last year, really

336
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Speaker 1: good track record and Chris Kirk's last three times out

337
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Speaker 1: at PGA National twenty fifth, seventh playoff victory. So as

338
00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,040
Speaker 1: it's just been getting better and better for Chris Kirk.

339
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Speaker 1: He's been in good form this year. So what's what's

340
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Speaker 1: not to like? And frankly, I'm kind of surprised his

341
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Speaker 1: odds are where he like. I'd rather bet him at

342
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Speaker 1: the same odds as Cameron Young, right, no question, Yeah

343
00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:18,360
Speaker 1: it is. It is strange, that strange.

344
00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:22,000
Speaker 3: In our favors. So get it. Well, it's hot, we

345
00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:22,480
Speaker 3: like it.

346
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Speaker 1: What about long shots bo anyone beyond Let's see what

347
00:19:27,000 --> 00:19:29,800
Speaker 1: do we go up to? Five thousand? We went to

348
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:32,600
Speaker 1: fifty to one. Anyone you like with longer odds than that.

349
00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:36,680
Speaker 2: I'm gonna have a little bit of Akshavatiya just because

350
00:19:36,720 --> 00:19:40,680
Speaker 2: he's so talented and his strength is that pro range,

351
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:43,040
Speaker 2: as well as having a really good scramble game to

352
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:45,840
Speaker 2: him and his putting stroke, which was a weakness last year,

353
00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:49,119
Speaker 2: has somewhat been resolved by his new putter and stroke,

354
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Speaker 2: So that's gonna be that's gonna be helpful for him.

355
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:55,639
Speaker 2: And I mean this course more than it fits Jake Knapp,

356
00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:59,840
Speaker 2: fits Sammy Volamachi. So I'm going to have some Sami

357
00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:03,400
Speaker 2: because he's as hot as they get right now. He's

358
00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:07,119
Speaker 2: his last four tournaments have all been positive, close to

359
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,399
Speaker 2: being wins for the guy, and he's he's one of

360
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,439
Speaker 2: us thick boys, and he's out there, looks like he

361
00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:15,720
Speaker 2: could pound a case of beer right after the match

362
00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 2: and it wouldn't feel anything.

363
00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:19,919
Speaker 3: This guy could go out and shoot sixty five in

364
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:20,399
Speaker 3: his sleep.

365
00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:24,120
Speaker 2: He looks like like a new age John Daily, And

366
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Speaker 2: I want to I want to bet on those guys.

367
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:26,639
Speaker 3: I want to go.

368
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:28,520
Speaker 2: I want to bet on the guys that I relate to.

369
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Speaker 2: I look at him and I go, yeah, we could

370
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 2: definitely hang.

371
00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:35,080
Speaker 1: I know, Sammy Volamaki looks like he should be playing

372
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:38,840
Speaker 1: a defenseman for the Ottawa Senators, a good one and

373
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Speaker 1: he's just a big dude. You're not worried about scar

374
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Speaker 1: tissue with him after this this past.

375
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Speaker 2: Now, I mean he didn't strike me as the kind

376
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Speaker 2: of guy who would be affected by that. I think

377
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:55,720
Speaker 2: he would spin spin that performance, a second place finish

378
00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:58,399
Speaker 2: in a real PGA Tour event in his rookie season

379
00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:00,160
Speaker 2: as a very positive.

380
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:03,000
Speaker 3: Experience for him. Pretty nice payday too.

381
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Speaker 1: I'm kind of interested in Austin ekrote at ninety to one,

382
00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:09,159
Speaker 1: and you mentioned Batia by the way, he's going off

383
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,160
Speaker 1: at sixty to one last I checked yes and yes

384
00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:14,960
Speaker 1: bo I'm interested in him too. We keep touting him

385
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:17,919
Speaker 1: as like the breakthrough is coming. I don't want to

386
00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,920
Speaker 1: like not be on him when it finally comes.

387
00:21:21,000 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 2: I think that's a common refrain in our community is

388
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Speaker 2: we don't want to be the guy who wasn't on

389
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Speaker 2: the rising star that everybody else was. I don't want

390
00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:34,040
Speaker 2: to miss out on this because it's going to be

391
00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,080
Speaker 2: the worst FOMO ever if we get off of the

392
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:39,600
Speaker 2: Batilla train and then he pops, because there's nothing worse

393
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 2: than that. So we got to hold true to our

394
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:45,960
Speaker 2: guy because we haven't really been deterred from feeling that way.

395
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:47,399
Speaker 3: He's been playing well.

396
00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:51,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, and like a precision ball striker, right, So I

397
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:54,479
Speaker 1: mean we're not too worried about the course fit here like,

398
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,640
Speaker 1: I think he should do fairly well, and that's kind

399
00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 1: of why I like Ekro real accurate with the and

400
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,520
Speaker 1: like mid to long irons. I think he's done pretty

401
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:07,840
Speaker 1: well statistically there. I don't know how he comes out

402
00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 1: in your model. Uh, and I wro like not really

403
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,800
Speaker 1: popping lately as far as recent form, but he's finished

404
00:22:14,840 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 1: top forty and three of his last four events, so

405
00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,240
Speaker 1: you know, he's kind of he's lurking.

406
00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:24,680
Speaker 2: He's right here in the top thirty next to Billy

407
00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,840
Speaker 2: Horschell in my model, so that's pretty solid for his odds.

408
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:32,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, any thoughts on Horsechell, who typically plays tough courses

409
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:32,800
Speaker 1: very well.

410
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 3: I don't know what he's in right now, honestly, not good.

411
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:37,960
Speaker 1: Not good.

412
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, he hasn't been playing well enough for me to say,

413
00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:42,679
Speaker 2: oh yeah, it's we're back to Florida. It's everything's going

414
00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:45,479
Speaker 2: to be better now. I'm just not there with Billy Horschell,

415
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:49,240
Speaker 2: but I am there with a little guy named Sam Stevens,

416
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,240
Speaker 2: who we kind of forget about when we get to

417
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 2: these driver friendly golf courses because he's just a spot iron.

418
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:57,360
Speaker 3: Player and it has a really good short game.

419
00:22:57,720 --> 00:22:59,560
Speaker 2: I want to I want to see Sam Stevens do

420
00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:02,240
Speaker 2: well at one hundred and fifty to one. He's he's

421
00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:04,440
Speaker 2: a quality option down here. If you want to throw

422
00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,040
Speaker 2: a couple bucks at a guy and for him to

423
00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 2: have the firepower to keep up even if it's a

424
00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 2: grind out.

425
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 1: There, Yeah, that's probably a better than a better bet

426
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:17,080
Speaker 1: than my longest shot. But I'm going to throw two

427
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,960
Speaker 1: dollars on Gary Woodland at one one.

428
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:25,120
Speaker 2: Just I mean, like, Gary's a friend of the show, Okay, hey,

429
00:23:25,320 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 2: Larry's Yeah, he's a great story and he's already a

430
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:31,679
Speaker 2: great guy, and now he's got a great guy with

431
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 2: a great story, and he's actually playing really good golf lately,

432
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:36,760
Speaker 2: so that's very encouraging all around.

433
00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:41,200
Speaker 1: And if he is getting his form back rounding back

434
00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:44,399
Speaker 1: into form, three top eight finishes here in the last

435
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 1: seven years, so he has played this course pretty well.

436
00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:50,359
Speaker 1: If he finally does bring it all together, and I

437
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,480
Speaker 1: think everyone's rooting for that. Woodland is one of the

438
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:56,600
Speaker 1: really good guys on the PGA Tour. One and thirty

439
00:23:56,600 --> 00:24:00,359
Speaker 1: to one payoff wouldn't hurt either. So what do you

440
00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 1: have on your betting card so far? I think we

441
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 1: might have the most similar cards of any tournament we've

442
00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:05,880
Speaker 1: had so.

443
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,160
Speaker 2: Far, and with with your recent forum, I'm a little

444
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:08,879
Speaker 2: concerned by that.

445
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:15,680
Speaker 1: Very fair, very fair, you should be terrified. I think

446
00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:17,199
Speaker 1: it could be a losing week for you.

447
00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:17,600
Speaker 3: Yeah.

448
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:20,520
Speaker 2: I'm actually gonna start my card with Russell Henley and

449
00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 2: then Sun Jam, I'll have a little bit on Chris Kirk,

450
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 2: and then I'm going to sprinkle in some.

451
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 3: Shoot.

452
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:33,920
Speaker 2: I just lost it Ok Batilla and Sammy Vallamaki and

453
00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,600
Speaker 2: a couple bucks, like I said, on our guy down

454
00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 2: there at one hundred and fifty to one Sam Stevens.

455
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've got outrights on Russell Henley, Shane Lowry, Sung,

456
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:52,160
Speaker 1: JM Sepstraca, Chris Kirk. I've also got im top five

457
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:56,600
Speaker 1: at plus eight point fifty. So yeah, iim is the

458
00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 1: guy I'm filing a guy I'm feeling pretty good about

459
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 1: this week. And then small outrights on Akshay Batilla, Austin

460
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 1: Akrote and Gary Woodland. All right, let's get to our

461
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 1: one in Dune Picks. Bo, you got the win from

462
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:13,800
Speaker 1: Jake Knapp, which got you just over one point four

463
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:18,600
Speaker 1: million dollars. I had Tony Finow finishing a tie for thirteenth.

464
00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 1: I believe good for one hundred and forty five, one

465
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty five dollars. You're now just up over

466
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:28,320
Speaker 1: three million in winnings already and we haven't even hit

467
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,399
Speaker 1: March yet. Bo, while I am stuck at eight hundred

468
00:25:31,440 --> 00:25:33,120
Speaker 1: and ninety five thousand.

469
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 3: You'll get him these seven figures eventually.

470
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 1: It might not be till August, but hey, I'm gonna

471
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:42,680
Speaker 1: keep plugging away. I believe I have the first selection

472
00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 1: this week. BO, I'm gonna take Shane Lowry. As much

473
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:50,280
Speaker 1: as I like m, I'm going with the big European here.

474
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:53,400
Speaker 1: I'm feeling the big, big European motif with strak at

475
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:55,280
Speaker 1: Lowry this week. What about you?

476
00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:59,760
Speaker 2: So I'm still back and forth and I already used

477
00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 2: hen which is unfortunate. I think I'm going to use

478
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 2: that throws a monkey wrench into what I wanted to do.

479
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:13,280
Speaker 2: Really already using Henley, so let me go go with

480
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:18,520
Speaker 2: Chris Kirk. Already, Oh, Chris Kirk, I'm gonna say.

481
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:23,960
Speaker 1: Back to back, all right, Well, let's get to uh yeah, that,

482
00:26:24,440 --> 00:26:28,119
Speaker 1: I guess that's it. So Chris Kirk for Bow, Shane

483
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 1: Lowry for me, and that is going to do it

484
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,160
Speaker 1: for this week show, I want to thank our sponsor,

485
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 1: Underdog Fantasy. Sign up for Underdog with the promo code

486
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:39,359
Speaker 1: BP Golf to get your first deposit match up to

487
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:42,159
Speaker 1: one hundred dollars plus a special pick available for you

488
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:45,199
Speaker 1: in the lobby, and please come join Bow and I

489
00:26:45,240 --> 00:26:48,359
Speaker 1: again next week when we will be previewing the Arnold

490
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,520
Speaker 1: Palmer Invitational. We might get in a word or two

491
00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 1: on the Puerto Rican Puerto Rico Open. Also, I believe

492
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:59,440
Speaker 1: it's a two of that week. Yeah. Anyway, I'll throw

493
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,360
Speaker 1: a few bucks in the Puerto Rico up. And I'm

494
00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:03,879
Speaker 1: a degenerate, so it's great.

495
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:05,680
Speaker 3: Somebody asked to be.

496
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 1: Exactly So until then, So long everyone, thanks for listening

497
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros podcast. If you love the show,

498
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:15,199
Speaker 1: the best freeway to support us is by leaving a

499
00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:18,919
Speaker 1: positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on

500
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:22,119
Speaker 1: x and TikTok at Betting Pros and Instagram at Betting

501
00:27:22,119 --> 00:27:25,760
Speaker 1: Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube

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00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:27,400
Speaker 1: dot com slash Betting Pros