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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. Is me Joey p Joe Pizabia and this

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Speaker 1: is BP NFL with me as always the undertaker every

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Speaker 1: Monday morning to play a little Monday Morning quarterback, look backwards,

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Speaker 1: but really look ahead to the week that is Week

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Speaker 1: six in the NFL, and we're excited to do that.

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Speaker 1: A nice bounce back in week five. Oh baby, what

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Speaker 1: a week it was ten and three. Follow me at

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash Joe and follow erics in there

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Speaker 1: as well, Betting Pros dot Com slash ericson so you

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Speaker 1: can hang with us now. Terrell Ferman's not here today.

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Speaker 1: He's not usually doing the Monday look Ahead show, but

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Speaker 1: I could tell you on Thursday You're not gonna want

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Speaker 1: to miss that show because I'm going to give him

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Speaker 1: all you can handle. After Sam Donald in the Minnesota

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Speaker 1: Vikings beat up on the Jets, that's right. I don't

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Speaker 1: care if it got tight at the I don't care.

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Speaker 1: I don't care they didn't cover, they didn't win. Go Vikings,

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Speaker 1: Go Sam Donald. I am so happy. I know the

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Speaker 1: kids talk about it. They manifest things to happen. I

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Speaker 1: feel like I manifested the Sam Donald victory ericson. I'm

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Speaker 1: just I'm in such a good mood after yesterday morning.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, no, it was a great way to start off

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Speaker 2: the week of football. Yesterday was one of the longest

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Speaker 2: days of football ever. It basically because you had games starting. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: you had games starting Sunday morning going all the way

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Speaker 2: to Monday morning essentially, so we had almost a twenty

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Speaker 2: hour cycle of just NonStop football. So we've been stimulated

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Speaker 2: to the high sixtent you could ask for possible. But

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Speaker 2: here we are back, ready for week six. Back for

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Speaker 2: more punishment. Let's go.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yes, more punishment, more buys, hopefully more profits too,

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Speaker 1: because that's what we've been doing here. Before we get

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Speaker 1: to the games, quick reminder, free stuff. We gave away

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Speaker 1: the Nick Chubb helmet, but now we've got the old

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Speaker 1: school Michael's Stroyhan Giants jersey. We're giving away giants coming

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Speaker 1: off a huge victory. So you're feeling good. You want

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Speaker 1: that Strayhan jersey, Well, there's only one way to get

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Speaker 1: it for free, courtesy of our friends at Pristine Auction

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Speaker 1: dot Com. All you need to do is that the

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Speaker 1: betting Pros dot com slash contest. Complete the form and

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Speaker 1: either download the Betting Pros app, leave review of the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe to our social media channels

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Speaker 1: on Instagram. The more actions you complete, the more entries

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Speaker 1: you'll receive, and we'll be announcing the winner right here

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Speaker 1: on the channel. So make sure you turn on those

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Speaker 1: notifications so you can be alerted when new episodes are

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Speaker 1: up and you can claim your prize. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: get after it. We've still got one game left to play,

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Speaker 1: the upset special of the week. I don't know how

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Speaker 1: Erickson's feeling about it. Maybe we'll talk about at the

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Speaker 1: end of the show.

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Speaker 2: But I will say I feel less confident about it

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Speaker 2: because we already got so many upsets already this week.

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Speaker 2: Now we're really going to roll in another upset, I hope.

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Speaker 1: So we're rolling, We're rolling. Let's go, let's do it.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to San Francisco, who's coming off all lost

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Speaker 1: to the Arizona Cardinals, which we talked about. Arizona always

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Speaker 1: plays them tough, they always do, and this time just

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Speaker 1: a little too tough. Seattle coming off a loss of

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Speaker 1: their own to the New York Giants, Now that's more embarrassing. Sorry, folks,

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Speaker 1: But Seattle at home in this one, they are three

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Speaker 1: point underdogs at home. Forty seven and a half is

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Speaker 1: the number plus one thirty five of the money line

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Speaker 1: for Seattle. I'm gonna give this symbil Andrew. I think

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Speaker 1: the San Francisco forty nine ers get pissed off, go

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Speaker 1: out there, beat up on Seattle a little bit. Seattle

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Speaker 1: has shown you. Once the competition gets a little bit better,

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden they kind of fade to the

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Speaker 1: background a little bit. That's my feeling. Seattle had some

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Speaker 1: opportunities in that game too, that they failed to connect

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Speaker 1: on a couple of mistakes there as well. We know that.

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Speaker 1: But I'm on the San Francisco side of this game

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Speaker 1: with the three forty seven and a half feels about

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Speaker 1: right to me. So I don't like that number. What

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Speaker 1: are your thoughts?

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Speaker 2: I think I like the under in this game, to

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Speaker 2: be honest, I think that both these teams are a

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Speaker 2: bit overrated, and you saw that last week, right, both

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Speaker 2: heavy home favorites lost out right to do different teams.

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Speaker 2: I think the Seahawks is worse because they lost to

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Speaker 2: the New York Giants, and I don't think that game

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Speaker 2: was again, like you said, they had some chances. The

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Speaker 2: forty nine ers definitely got dealt a poor hand. They

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Speaker 2: lost their kicker. That really kind of changes the dynamic

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Speaker 2: of the game, and I'm interested to see what they

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Speaker 2: do again. At least they'll probably have a kicker for

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Speaker 2: this particular matchup, so that does make it so they

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Speaker 2: don't have to go for every single time on fourth down.

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Speaker 2: So I do give the edge to the forty nine

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Speaker 2: ers here as favorites, but I don't really like them

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Speaker 2: giving or laying this amount of points. I think for me,

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Speaker 2: it's I like the under.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the next one here, Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: at Chicago. The Bears are three and two. Jacksonville finally

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Speaker 1: got their first W, so they're going to travel to

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Speaker 1: Chicago in this one. Chicago one and a half point favorite,

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Speaker 1: so it's practically a pick them. Forty three and a

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Speaker 1: half is the number for this one plus one oh five.

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Speaker 1: On the Jag side of things, Bigsby with some big moments,

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Speaker 1: a little explosive run game there that's good. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if we're ever going to get Evan Ingram back

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Speaker 1: playing football. I mean, this is just lingering forever. I

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Speaker 1: think if we do. I like the Jacksonville side of

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Speaker 1: this game right on the money line plus one oh five.

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Speaker 1: If you get Ingram back, I think that's like that

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Speaker 1: missing piece for him where he just doesn't look like

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Speaker 1: the same guy, which is so weird. And Brian Thomas

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Speaker 1: has been that dude. And you were way ahead of

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Speaker 1: that curve, Andrew, But where do you see this one

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Speaker 1: when you're looking ahead any early value?

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Speaker 2: So you said, so this game is not in Chicago.

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Speaker 2: This is a London game.

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Speaker 1: So oh, I'm sorry. They're a whole team in London.

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Speaker 2: Bears, the Bears are. Yes, they're the home team. So

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Speaker 2: I don't understand this line at all. I think Jacksonville

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Speaker 2: should be favored this team.

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Speaker 1: It's easy to forget it. It's a home game for

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Speaker 1: the Jets.

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Speaker 2: This London. They have the advantage playing in London. We

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Speaker 2: see this all the time with these teams. London has

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Speaker 2: wacky games. And even again, the Vikings beat the Jets,

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Speaker 2: but Jets came calling back after being basically dominated in

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Speaker 2: the first half. So, yeah, you're having a rookie quarterback

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Speaker 2: making his first start internationally, right, what's that going to

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Speaker 2: be like? That experience? So I like the Jags here.

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Speaker 2: They need to build momentum traditionally. I think it's probably

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Speaker 2: good for them. Hey, let's get away. They have back

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Speaker 2: to back games in London because they have this game,

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Speaker 2: and they're also playing next week in London as well,

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Speaker 2: so they're focused on football. Getting the win I think

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Speaker 2: was huge against Indianapolis Colts in a shootout, I think

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Speaker 2: the Jaguars are to build momentum here. I honestly don't

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Speaker 2: understand why the Jags are not favored here. They're they're

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's they're not. They are the home team, right,

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Speaker 2: So are the Bears getting credit? Did not?

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Speaker 1: It's record, No, it's record. It's it's the fact that

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Speaker 1: Jags are one and four and Chicago three and two.

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Speaker 1: That's that's why it's slightly on that side. Why I'm

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Speaker 1: just going straight to the money line, Jags plus money,

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Speaker 1: and I totally, I totally forgot they should have looked

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Speaker 1: at the time there for this game. But it is,

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Speaker 1: like you said, it's practically a home game. They are

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Speaker 1: so comfortable in that environment because they've been there so

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Speaker 1: many times, and rookie quarterback traveling out there leaves a

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Speaker 1: lot to be decided. What about the over under forty three,

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Speaker 1: I think it lives up to that or you think

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Speaker 1: it goes under.

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Speaker 2: I think under Look the underwent with Vikings in Jets game.

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Speaker 2: I think that just betting. That's six straight unders for

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Speaker 2: these international games dating back to last year. So if

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Speaker 2: it Ay broke top fix and the Undertaker has spoken.

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Speaker 1: New Orleans will see what they do tonight. They're going

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Speaker 1: to host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers regardless next week. So again,

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Speaker 1: early values always tricky on these teams that haven't played

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Speaker 1: on Monday Night because you don't know if there's injuries

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Speaker 1: to account for. But as of right now, New Orleans

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Speaker 1: two and a half point favorites at home forty five

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Speaker 1: and a half is the number plus one twenty on

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Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay money line. Tampa taking a tough loss

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Speaker 1: Thursday night football. They've got some extra time here though,

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Speaker 1: to think about it after losing to the Falcons. So

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Speaker 1: this is a huge game for the Buccaneers because you

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Speaker 1: can't keep losing games in this division and they expect

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Speaker 1: to win this division. It's gonna get real height at

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Speaker 1: the end there if you keep doing that. So what

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Speaker 1: are your thoughts on this one?

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Speaker 2: I think the values all on the Buccaneers. We just

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Speaker 2: saw this play out with the New York Giants and

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Speaker 2: Seahawks game.

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Speaker 1: Right.

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Speaker 2: You had the Giants playing a Thursday game play on

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Speaker 2: the road against the team playing on Monday night of

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Speaker 2: the same week, and who ended up winning the team

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Speaker 2: that had extra rest. I think that Tampa Bay on

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Speaker 2: a neutral field, I think Dead Bay is probably better

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Speaker 2: than New Orleans. Baker Mayfield is bawling out right now

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Speaker 2: every single week except for that one game against Denver.

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Speaker 2: And what Denver's defense is legit. Denver might have the

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Speaker 2: best defense in the NFL. So if Baker mean for

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Speaker 2: that's his only bad game, I love the Bucks. I

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Speaker 2: think this is where you get the value. And especially

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Speaker 2: after I think the Saints show up pretty well against

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs, I think you're gonna see that value maybe

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Speaker 2: dissipate a little bit. So I like Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 1: Here Arizona coming off a huge upset going to Green Bay.

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Speaker 1: Green Bay took care of business, but they were disappointing.

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Speaker 1: Let's be honest, some of the props that I wanted there.

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Speaker 1: Wicks was disappointing reading in the end zone. Tucker Craft,

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Speaker 1: thank goodness saved the day. Good for you, Tucker, well done.

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Speaker 1: Waiver Wire out of the week for tight end last

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Speaker 1: week on the FP Show. So green Bay five point

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Speaker 1: favorites feels like a big number, but I don't think

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Speaker 1: it is. I think green Bay is the superior team,

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Speaker 1: and defensively certainly as well. They keep getting turnovers every

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Speaker 1: single week, but kid, he's been unbelievable. Fifty is the

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Speaker 1: total for this game, plus one ninety eight for the

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Speaker 1: Arizona Cardinals. Five is fine. I'm comfortable here at the five.

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Speaker 1: I think they can win this by a touchdown. So

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Speaker 1: give me green Bay with a touchdown here in the

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Speaker 1: early look ahead. How about you, Erickson?

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Speaker 2: I like the under. I think that this is really high.

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Speaker 2: Have a total. We're seeing these kind of incomplete games

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Speaker 2: from Jordan Love. Again, he's coming back from the injury,

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Speaker 2: so there are points where he looks like a superstar,

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Speaker 2: and their points were like, dude, what are you doing?

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Speaker 3: Man?

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Speaker 2: Like, what's going on? Like the pick six in this

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Speaker 2: past game? What are we doing here? Jordan Love? Don't. Don't.

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Speaker 2: You're not Anthony Richardson. We know you're better than him,

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Speaker 2: So I think for me, it's just a really high total.

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Speaker 2: You look at the Cardinals, They've had two games against

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Speaker 2: high powered offenses Detroit Lions a couple of weeks ago,

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Speaker 2: forty nine Ers. They've thrown shutouts in the second halfs

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Speaker 2: of games. So the Cardinals defense has show at times

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Speaker 2: the ability to stop high powered offenses. So just given

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Speaker 2: total fifty points on the road against Green Bay, I

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Speaker 2: actually like the the under here.

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Speaker 1: Next one up here the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans.

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Speaker 1: Now this line could move depending on who is playing quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Is Richardson beck is Flacco gonna start again? We don't know.

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Speaker 1: That's why we're here at the early line. But what

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Speaker 1: we're trying to do is also use the tools there

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros, so you can get custom line alerts. Again

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Speaker 1: when you download the app, you could set it for

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Speaker 1: certain games. You could see how that line moves throughout

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Speaker 1: the week. And that's a great tool over on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros app. Again, download it in iOS, Android, sink

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Speaker 1: your sportsbooks for free and watch the line movement here

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Speaker 1: because this one definitely is going to have some of

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Speaker 1: that this season in this week rather excuse me, so

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis Tennessee right now, it's practically a pick up. You

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Speaker 1: got Tennessee minus one because they're at home. Forty two

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Speaker 1: and a half is the number minus one ten on

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Speaker 1: both teams for the money line. My initial instinct is

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Speaker 1: just to take the Colts, and just take the Colts

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Speaker 1: at minus one ten on the money line, find a

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Speaker 1: way to win. You've seen Josh down start to emerge

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Speaker 1: now it's been with Flacco, so does that carry over

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Speaker 1: with Richardson. I don't know, but regardless, I think the

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Speaker 1: Colts are the side I want to be on this one,

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Speaker 1: and I think I'm okay betting it early. However, if

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Speaker 1: maybe Richardson does play and the market doesn't like that

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Speaker 1: as much and people are concerned because Richardson's been underwhelming,

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Speaker 1: you might actually get a better number if you wait ericson.

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Speaker 1: What's your take on this one? As you're trying to

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Speaker 1: look into the future.

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Speaker 2: It's a Sunday, I think I'm just gonna pause on

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Speaker 2: this game. I don't that's fail. It's comfortable throwing my

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Speaker 2: money where things can change dramatically. The Colts offense is

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Speaker 2: totally different with Richardson and Jonathan Taylor another factor. And

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Speaker 2: what about the Titans defense. Titan's defense is not the

254
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Speaker 2: Jaguars defense. They are very different animals. Titans, I think,

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Speaker 2: are much better defense overall against the run. In the past,

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Speaker 2: we knew that the Jaguars could get thrown on, so

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Speaker 2: it was no surprise to see Joe Flacco drop back

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Speaker 2: to throw for so many yards. I think for me,

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Speaker 2: it's I'm gonna wait and see to see the reports.

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Speaker 2: I want to see where the things are trending when

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Speaker 2: it comes to quarterback. If Shane Steichen was smart, he

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Speaker 2: would announce quarterback till Sunday right, make the Titans prepare

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Speaker 2: for both quarterbacks, just like he did against Jacksonville. And

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Speaker 2: the team probably knew all week that Joe Flaca was

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Speaker 2: going to start, right We got the report on Friday

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Speaker 2: that Flaka was taking all the first team reps. So

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Speaker 2: I lean with you where, Hey, if it's trending where

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Speaker 2: it's Flacco is going in this matchup, I think you're

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Speaker 2: going to see maybe the lines flip to the Colts,

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Speaker 2: and then I'm okay taking even at a lesser value

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Speaker 2: because Colts. Usually they only win as favorites. Last week

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Speaker 2: they weren't favorites and they lost out right. So I

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Speaker 2: want to see the line in the movement go towards

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Speaker 2: Indianapois before I decided to back them.

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Speaker 1: This next one has me a little nervous because I look,

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Speaker 1: I don't think you can keep going on with this

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Speaker 1: Toshaun Watson experiment. Like I just don't. You can't do

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Speaker 1: it anymore. I said this on the FP Show and

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Speaker 1: going to say it again here on the VP Show today,

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Speaker 1: which is, you can't live in a mistake just because

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Speaker 1: you made a long time making that mistake, and you

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Speaker 1: know you've you've made years now of this mistake with

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Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson. At a certain point you have to stop

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Speaker 1: and give Winston a chance to see what you can

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Speaker 1: get out of this offense. Philly is favored by nine

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Speaker 1: in this one coming off of bye, which I do

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Speaker 1: like Philly coming off the buy the assumptions you're gonna

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Speaker 1: have all the wide receivers back, so I get this.

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Speaker 1: My worst fear is Philly goes up, Watson looks terrible,

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Speaker 1: Winston comes in all of a sudden, this game gets

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Speaker 1: oddly close that is my big fear because I don't

292
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Speaker 1: trust the secondary of the Philadelphia Eagles at all. Forty

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Speaker 1: four and a half is the number plus three fifty

294
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Speaker 1: for Cleveland to win this outright now, I'm not going there,

295
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Speaker 1: but by my early inclination is to take the nine

296
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Speaker 1: and hope for that scenario. Now, I know that's a

297
00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:41,560
Speaker 1: little bit of wishing and hoping, but there's just something

298
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Speaker 1: about this one that just does not feel comfortable. It's

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Speaker 1: a big number, and the Eagles have not made me confident.

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Speaker 1: Nor is Nick Sirianni in his decision making process. He

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Speaker 1: goes for fourth downs and weird moments where I don't

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Speaker 1: think he should I think he should take the points.

303
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Speaker 1: And that's the kind of crap that comes back to

304
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Speaker 1: haunt you in games later on when they get too tight.

305
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Speaker 1: So Cleveland isn't good. Deshaun wats is not good at all.

306
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Speaker 1: But there's something about this game that feels like a

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Speaker 1: trap to me.

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Speaker 2: Andrew oh N nine and a half points, Oh my god,

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Speaker 2: I can't not with the Eagles. H gross, I'm not

310
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Speaker 2: touching sides in this matchup. Again. It's it's too many points.

311
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Speaker 2: I get. It's Shaun Watson nobody wants to bet on him.

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Speaker 2: The offensive line is horrible. Totally understand all those reasons,

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Speaker 2: but it's Eagles we're talking about, right. They don't cover

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Speaker 2: these massive spreads. It's hard to cover this massive amount

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Speaker 2: of spread, especially when we know Watson's gonna be the quarterback.

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Speaker 2: I think, at least in my opinion, it's not coming

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Speaker 2: from the coaching staff. I think the coach would want

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Speaker 2: to take him out, but it's coming from management that no,

319
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Speaker 2: Shaun Watson is the starter. I mean, that's the reason

320
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Speaker 2: why Joe Flacko was not there anymore, right because management said, no,

321
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Speaker 2: we're not bringing back Joe flack we don't want this

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Speaker 2: QB controversy, even though he's the best option for us,

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Speaker 2: that's not gonna happen. So almost Watson gets hurt, I

324
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Speaker 2: think he's gonna continue to play and be under center,

325
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Speaker 2: and I don't know, he gets banged up. He gets

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Speaker 2: hit a lot, so we'll see how long he lasts.

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Speaker 2: But for me, I do like the over in this

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Speaker 2: game we saw yesterday or yesterday Commanders and Browns. I

329
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Speaker 2: bet I liked was over in that game and the

330
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Speaker 2: Browns basically did nothing on offense. But we still got

331
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Speaker 2: there because the Commanders did their thing offensively. So going

332
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Speaker 2: back to hey, I expect the Eagles to get their

333
00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:12,800
Speaker 2: playmakers back. I expect them to score points in this matchup.

334
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Speaker 2: There you go, maybe we getting over here, and we

335
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Speaker 2: know Deshn Watson again, things are gonna get wacky. Well,

336
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Speaker 2: wacky leads to points. So that's why I like the

337
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Speaker 2: over here as opposed to picking sides.

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Speaker 1: I think that's really good logic. Andrew. I think the

339
00:14:23,360 --> 00:14:25,720
Speaker 1: forty four and a half actually is that's pretty solid.

340
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Speaker 1: It's right there. I'm with you. Let's go the over together. Houston,

341
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Speaker 1: New England. It's New England. Oh, it's an under. It's

342
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Speaker 1: just an under. Just keep betting the under forever and ever.

343
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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter. I told you last week, like the

344
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Speaker 1: Dolphins coming in, was it thirty five? I think it

345
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Speaker 1: was last week, right, But the Dolphins.

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Speaker 2: I was projecting it un the seven game. And even

347
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Speaker 2: if you can put the bulk, even if that touchdown counts,

348
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Speaker 2: it doesn't matter against it would have gone under.

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Speaker 1: Come on, man, all right, So anyway, Houston Texans, New England.

350
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Speaker 1: The numbers thirty eight and a half. The Houston Texans

351
00:14:57,480 --> 00:14:59,520
Speaker 1: on the Road are favored by seven. The offensive line

352
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Speaker 1: is absolute dreadful for the New England Patriots. You can't

353
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Speaker 1: put Drake May back there. I know he can run,

354
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Speaker 1: but he's gonna have to run for his life if

355
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Speaker 1: you do that. So I'm not trying to do that.

356
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Speaker 1: So like, that's not what you want to do with

357
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Speaker 1: your number one prospect there right away. So for me,

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the under in this game. That's it. That's

359
00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:20,840
Speaker 1: all that's appealing to me. I don't care about the seven.

360
00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:22,800
Speaker 1: I don't care about anything else. I'd rather just bet

361
00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:24,720
Speaker 1: two units on the under and just walk away.

362
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Speaker 2: Your thoughts, I concur I think you should have been

363
00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:32,400
Speaker 2: on the under. And I don't understand the desire for

364
00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:35,720
Speaker 2: seeing Drake May under center behind an XFL offensive line.

365
00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:38,840
Speaker 2: What's what's the point, what's the point of doing that?

366
00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:42,080
Speaker 2: Just putting him out there to develop bad habits, to

367
00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:45,880
Speaker 2: take sacks, to take hits, that's not that's that's not

368
00:15:45,920 --> 00:15:48,960
Speaker 2: going to be conducive to his growth as an NFL quarterback.

369
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Speaker 2: He's a really young player. I think that Yes, eventually,

370
00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,320
Speaker 2: last four weeks of the season, Okay, sure throw him

371
00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,280
Speaker 2: in there, get him some live reps. We also don't

372
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Speaker 2: know how long Jacoby Prissett is going to last behind

373
00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,680
Speaker 2: this offensive line taking the beating. Brissette takes more hits

374
00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:06,280
Speaker 2: than passes similarly every single week. So I agree the

375
00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:08,360
Speaker 2: under is the play here, all right?

376
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Speaker 1: Next one here, this is fun. Lamar Jackson one point

377
00:16:11,360 --> 00:16:13,960
Speaker 1: zero against Lamar Jackson two point oh. The Washington Commanders

378
00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:15,920
Speaker 1: and the Ravens are going to hook up here the

379
00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:20,320
Speaker 1: Commander's four and one? Are they this year's Texans? Andrew Rickson? Certainly?

380
00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:22,960
Speaker 2: I mean they're following the exact same footstep. Because now,

381
00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:25,440
Speaker 2: just like last year, when Stroud started out starting heating up,

382
00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:27,720
Speaker 2: we talked about not c J. Stroud for Offensive Rookie

383
00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:29,760
Speaker 2: the Year, but c J. Stroud for MVP. And now

384
00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:31,960
Speaker 2: when you're looking at hey, the MVP goes to the

385
00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:34,400
Speaker 2: quarterback on the best team. Well, the Commanders four and one.

386
00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:36,960
Speaker 2: That's a really strong record for a team. And why

387
00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:40,160
Speaker 2: are they good? Because of Jade Daniels. So he's checked

388
00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,280
Speaker 2: off the boxes of yes, I mean the rookie of

389
00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:45,720
Speaker 2: the year that that conversation is gone, locked and loaded. Baby,

390
00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:51,120
Speaker 2: But now is MVP is that too aggressive with him?

391
00:16:51,160 --> 00:16:55,520
Speaker 1: I don't know, it's too aggressive now. But if Long is,

392
00:16:55,840 --> 00:17:00,160
Speaker 1: if he beats Lamar in this game, that narrative go

393
00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:02,520
Speaker 1: to change considerably, Like people are gonna start looking as hey,

394
00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:04,440
Speaker 1: maybe we should be betting this. And look, if you're

395
00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:06,080
Speaker 1: with us early the year, we told you plus six

396
00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,200
Speaker 1: fifty on Jayde Daniels before the season started for Rookie

397
00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:10,360
Speaker 1: of the Year was the bet to make. Not Caleb Williams,

398
00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:13,080
Speaker 1: not Marvin Harrison, not my league neighbors, it was Jade Daniels,

399
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:15,399
Speaker 1: and like Andrews said, and I doubled down on it

400
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,520
Speaker 1: when it went to I think it went to minus

401
00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:22,439
Speaker 1: one ten or something when I yeah, So I doubled

402
00:17:22,440 --> 00:17:24,240
Speaker 1: down on it and just bet it with a bigger unit. Again.

403
00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:29,000
Speaker 2: It's gotta because no probably minus oh three this morning.

404
00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,320
Speaker 1: But look interesting when because Baltimore is favored by six

405
00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:36,280
Speaker 1: and a half, which understandably so Washington's defense has some issues.

406
00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,560
Speaker 1: The Ravens have gotten there, you know what, together fifty

407
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,040
Speaker 1: one and a half is the number as a big

408
00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:45,239
Speaker 1: number here plus two thirty five. So the Ravens and

409
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:47,720
Speaker 1: Bengals coming off that game where they those games always

410
00:17:47,760 --> 00:17:50,119
Speaker 1: have high totals. Those two teams are very familiar with

411
00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,919
Speaker 1: each other, they go at it. I kind of wonder

412
00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:56,480
Speaker 1: here if the under is the approach it's such a

413
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,160
Speaker 1: big number. Do we get something that's a little bit

414
00:17:59,280 --> 00:18:03,040
Speaker 1: more of a you know, a tighter contest, a little

415
00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:04,959
Speaker 1: bit more of a tug of war. I don't know,

416
00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:07,000
Speaker 1: but this one, this one's a great game. I just

417
00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:08,879
Speaker 1: want to watch and I want a bit some of

418
00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:11,119
Speaker 1: individual props. But the game itself has a lot of

419
00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:13,199
Speaker 1: volatility because the Ravens have shown you they've had some

420
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,480
Speaker 1: hiccups before, and the Washington Commanders, as good as they

421
00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:19,159
Speaker 1: have been, I don't want to annoint them as an

422
00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:21,680
Speaker 1: elite NFL team quite yet, despite the fact that Jaydon

423
00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:23,520
Speaker 1: Daniels is playing like an elite quarterback. So where do

424
00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:24,240
Speaker 1: you stand on this one?

425
00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:26,119
Speaker 2: Yeah? This is a fascinating game, and it feels so

426
00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:29,040
Speaker 2: bad to be on the side of Well, looks like

427
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:31,600
Speaker 2: the unders of the play with these two exciting quarterbacks

428
00:18:31,600 --> 00:18:33,359
Speaker 2: and this offense, the two heavy put two are.

429
00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:36,800
Speaker 1: But let's let's dial back to last week. Josh Allen CJ.

430
00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 1: Stroud high number. Everybody was going themselves about the over,

431
00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:43,800
Speaker 1: and we were sitting here talking about, no, you play

432
00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,439
Speaker 1: the under on this game? These two offenses have been

433
00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:50,119
Speaker 1: a little flat at times, made some mistakes and guess what,

434
00:18:50,240 --> 00:18:52,800
Speaker 1: the underplayed out. I'm gonna take that logic and go

435
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:54,080
Speaker 1: back to this one too. I think people get so

436
00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:55,720
Speaker 1: hyped up and I would not be shocked if this

437
00:18:55,880 --> 00:19:00,360
Speaker 1: number goes from fifty one and a half higher point

438
00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:02,280
Speaker 1: because people are gonna talk about this game all week.

439
00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:05,720
Speaker 1: So if you do want the under, maybe weight on

440
00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:08,960
Speaker 1: it till Friday and then see what it's at again.

441
00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:09,720
Speaker 1: That's my two cents.

442
00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:13,920
Speaker 2: Do you think that Washington because of again the hype machine,

443
00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:17,040
Speaker 2: do you think that this spread closes a little bit

444
00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:20,120
Speaker 2: in Washington's favor where we're getting more maybe Washington plus

445
00:19:20,160 --> 00:19:22,040
Speaker 2: six is it the best number for Washington? Or do

446
00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:23,440
Speaker 2: you think it's gonna be more about You know, you

447
00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 2: gotta bet on the Ravens. They're at home, They're gonna

448
00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:27,760
Speaker 2: smash the Commanders their defense. I know they've been good

449
00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:30,119
Speaker 2: the last two weeks or better the last two weeks,

450
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,879
Speaker 2: but there's still a horrible defense overall on the season.

451
00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 2: Where do you kind of foresee this line movement or

452
00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 2: you think it just stays at plus six and a half.

453
00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:40,639
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna stay I think what you're saying

454
00:19:40,720 --> 00:19:43,679
Speaker 1: is not wild to think about. I do think it

455
00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:47,040
Speaker 1: stays there because I think it's still an unproven team.

456
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:49,640
Speaker 1: The Ravens are still you know, you know, they still

457
00:19:49,680 --> 00:19:51,680
Speaker 1: got the Raiding MVP playing, you know, all that stuff.

458
00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:54,359
Speaker 1: It's in Baltimore. I find it hard to believe. I

459
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 1: maybe it will move to the six. Maybe, but I

460
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:58,359
Speaker 1: don't know. I think the six and a half is

461
00:19:58,400 --> 00:19:59,800
Speaker 1: probably where you're gonna see it by the time I

462
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:00,480
Speaker 1: get Sunday.

463
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:03,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good question. I still agree that. Again,

464
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:06,240
Speaker 2: I think the under is probably the moved as as

465
00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:09,640
Speaker 2: as as much not fun that is, it's probably it's

466
00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:10,640
Speaker 2: probably the right move to make.

467
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 1: It's not fun at all. But this could definitely be

468
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,399
Speaker 1: a twenty three twenty game. Let's not pretend like you

469
00:20:15,480 --> 00:20:17,440
Speaker 1: can't and still be a good one. I could still

470
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:21,000
Speaker 1: be a fun football game, but it might just underperform

471
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:24,959
Speaker 1: a tat Los Angeles, the Chargers against the Denver Broncos.

472
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,639
Speaker 1: We got Denver Bronco defense. Really, because I'll lock it

473
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:31,639
Speaker 1: in here, last couple of weeks minus two on the

474
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,919
Speaker 1: side of the Chargers going to Denver. I like Denver.

475
00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:37,159
Speaker 1: Give me Denver with the points plus two. I'm sorry,

476
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,439
Speaker 1: I just I don't know. It's ugly. This might be

477
00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:42,800
Speaker 1: the Joey P Close your Eye Special of the week.

478
00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:46,000
Speaker 1: I don't know. Under thirty seven for me, that's also

479
00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:48,439
Speaker 1: where I am on this game. And then might as

480
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:50,320
Speaker 1: well go Denver on the money line plus one fifteen.

481
00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 1: Just sweep the board on the Denver side, give me

482
00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:55,560
Speaker 1: the low scoring Denver grind out, find a way to win. Weird,

483
00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:58,000
Speaker 1: because that seems to be the direction they're going. I

484
00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:00,359
Speaker 1: know the Chargers are coming off of bye, but it

485
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:02,879
Speaker 1: is traveling to Denver, and Denver typically also from an

486
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:04,600
Speaker 1: environment standpoint, it's a little tougher to play.

487
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,040
Speaker 2: For me, it depends on what the help of the

488
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:09,960
Speaker 2: Chargers players are. Do they have the tackles back? What's

489
00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:13,440
Speaker 2: justin Herbert's status, because they're a completely different team when

490
00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 2: their stars are injured. Right, So I agree right now,

491
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:20,800
Speaker 2: without knowing that information, I like the under.

492
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 1: If I'm guessing that information isn't good. I'm betting this

493
00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 1: now because I do think it will change the more

494
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:29,919
Speaker 1: you get news about well, you know, all the tackles

495
00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:31,920
Speaker 1: aren't gonna play again, and this guy's not gonna play again.

496
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 1: The bye week, wasn't enough? Could be? Now? The Pittsburgh

497
00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:38,919
Speaker 1: Steelers are coming off two straight losses, unfortunately, want at

498
00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:41,800
Speaker 1: home to the Cowboys last night. But they're gonna take

499
00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:43,919
Speaker 1: on the Raiders and that's where you get right, folks.

500
00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 1: They are three point favorites in Las Vegas next week. Here,

501
00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:49,239
Speaker 1: thirty seven and a half is the number plus one

502
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:51,440
Speaker 1: thirty six. Just give me Pittsburgh with the three points,

503
00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:55,080
Speaker 1: get back on track game. They had some delays last night,

504
00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:57,760
Speaker 1: a really tough loss on the road to the Colts.

505
00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:00,359
Speaker 1: So this is the get right game for the Steelers

506
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:01,800
Speaker 1: in my opinion, Andrew, what do you think?

507
00:22:02,080 --> 00:22:04,320
Speaker 2: I agree? I think that we're looking at even though

508
00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:07,160
Speaker 2: the Steelers are coming off back to back losses, which

509
00:22:07,200 --> 00:22:10,320
Speaker 2: team do you think is reeling here? The Steelers or

510
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:12,280
Speaker 2: the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders don't even know who

511
00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:15,920
Speaker 2: their quarterback is, right, Antonio Pierce is pulling some desperation

512
00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,199
Speaker 2: moves where oh man, she's throwing two picks. All right,

513
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:20,440
Speaker 2: I got to change the quarterback. But an O'Connell can't

514
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:23,440
Speaker 2: move behind an offensive line the camp lock. So there's

515
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:25,960
Speaker 2: just there's so much drama with this Raiders team, right, Now,

516
00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:30,000
Speaker 2: I know last year Antonio Pierce no expectations and he

517
00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 2: performed well. But this year they've come in with expectations

518
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,720
Speaker 2: and so far it's been underwhelming, especially on the defensive

519
00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:39,199
Speaker 2: side of the football, where that's where they're supposed to

520
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:42,160
Speaker 2: have their strength. And you hear Max Crosby talking about,

521
00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:44,120
Speaker 2: oh yeah, this is how it is. With the Devontae

522
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 2: Adams saga going on, I think that the Steers get

523
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:49,000
Speaker 2: back on track as well.

524
00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 1: Atlanta at Carolina Atlanta five and a half point favorites. Honestly,

525
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:54,919
Speaker 1: I don't think that's enough. Give me. I would have

526
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,800
Speaker 1: set this at eight and a half. Sorry, Falcons, with

527
00:22:57,840 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 1: extra time to rest, looking as good as they did

528
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,960
Speaker 1: in that last game. I'm telling you, just leave these

529
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:06,480
Speaker 1: guys alone. Give Kirk Cousins some time to get comfortable,

530
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:09,919
Speaker 1: and he is getting very comfortable with these weapons, with Mooney,

531
00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:13,880
Speaker 1: with London. Dare I say, Kyle Pitts, dare I, They've

532
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 1: got two running backs worthy of the sult there. Forty

533
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:16,959
Speaker 1: and a half is the number for this when I'm

534
00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:19,040
Speaker 1: staying away from the total because I just I don't

535
00:23:19,119 --> 00:23:22,000
Speaker 1: know what Carolina team shows up there. Get got hurt

536
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:24,680
Speaker 1: last week too, plus one eighty five on the Carolina side.

537
00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 1: He can take that away to give me Atlanta. Give

538
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:28,479
Speaker 1: me the five and a half, and I think I'm

539
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 1: gonna lock this in early because I could see this

540
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:31,960
Speaker 1: one moving a six and a half very soon.

541
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:34,440
Speaker 2: I'm taking the under. I think four to eight and

542
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:36,560
Speaker 2: a half is way too high. We saw what was

543
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,119
Speaker 2: Ravens and Bengals. Was that forty nine and a half?

544
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 2: Are we really comparing these two games. I can't believe

545
00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,439
Speaker 2: that this numbers is high. I get the Falcons offense

546
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:48,040
Speaker 2: looked explosive. That's gonna probably be their best offensive game

547
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 2: of the season. He threw for five hundred yards. That's

548
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:53,720
Speaker 2: not gonna happen again. So this is totally recency buas

549
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:56,320
Speaker 2: based on this massive number. I know Dalton's had some

550
00:23:56,359 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 2: decent games. Look, the Falcons defense, take it or leave it.

551
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:02,800
Speaker 2: It's not great. They have issues, but I don't think

552
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 2: it's the bottom worst defense in the NFL. Where you're

553
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:07,880
Speaker 2: gonna see Andy Dalton just light at the scoreboard. Caroline

554
00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:09,639
Speaker 2: is playing at home. I just don't think think the

555
00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:11,320
Speaker 2: Falpins offense is going to be as efficient as it

556
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,720
Speaker 2: was against Tampa Bay, Who's still down a bunch of

557
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,920
Speaker 2: corners in their secondary So I still like the under here.

558
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 1: Is this the point where I'm supposed to shake you

559
00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:22,640
Speaker 1: and say stop putting faith in the Carolina Panthers.

560
00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:25,600
Speaker 2: This is it's I mean, I'm betting against their offense

561
00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:28,520
Speaker 2: scoring points, so that's not betting with them.

562
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:32,360
Speaker 1: Five and a half. Take it, lock it in. That's

563
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 1: my favorite early lock of the week. Detroit and Dallas.

564
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:37,440
Speaker 1: Now this is an interesting one here because you've got

565
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 1: the lines three point favorites in Dallas, and Dallas has

566
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,120
Speaker 1: not played well at home in the last couple times

567
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,560
Speaker 1: we've seen them, including last year in the playoffs. Fifty

568
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:45,800
Speaker 1: one and a half is the number, which is a

569
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 1: huge number. But this team, both teams, I should say,

570
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:51,040
Speaker 1: have a lot of playmakers, right, a lot of guys

571
00:24:51,080 --> 00:24:52,960
Speaker 1: who can really bust open games on both sides of

572
00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 1: the football. You know, you have the eight and Hutchinson's

573
00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 1: of the world and some other players on the defensive side.

574
00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 1: To get Michael Parson's back healthy this week, we'll see.

575
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 1: But the number for Dallas plus one thirty. I still

576
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 1: like Detroit in this game. The question is can Dallas

577
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:10,480
Speaker 1: cover the three the way they've struggled at home. I'm

578
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,480
Speaker 1: gonna say no. But rather than even worry about that,

579
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go right for the over, even though

580
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:17,199
Speaker 1: it's a higher number. And now, look some of these

581
00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:20,119
Speaker 1: higher numbers we've been under on recently for good reason.

582
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 1: This one feels a little bit more wild West to

583
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:28,359
Speaker 1: me again. With so many just inspirational talents and incredible

584
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,040
Speaker 1: playmakers on both sides of the football here for both

585
00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:34,160
Speaker 1: of these teams. That's when scores can get very volatile.

586
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,080
Speaker 1: I'll take the over on a very high fifty one

587
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:37,120
Speaker 1: and a half early on here.

588
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 2: I like the Lions here, coming off the bye week.

589
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 2: I expect Dan Campbell to get everybody going ready to go.

590
00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 2: You have the Cowboys coming off a really really late

591
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:48,320
Speaker 2: game again they're playing they play on Sunday night, but

592
00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 2: a game that went very very late into the evening

593
00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 2: because of the weather delay. The Cowboys came away with

594
00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:55,080
Speaker 2: the win. I would say they escaped a little bit

595
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:57,440
Speaker 2: with that victory. I think things kind of come back

596
00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,880
Speaker 2: down to earth against the Lions. This is a real

597
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 2: from last year right where the Cowboys won on that

598
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,520
Speaker 2: weird I think it was a touchdown that wasn't a touchdown.

599
00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:08,159
Speaker 2: I have to go back and check the exact numbers

600
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,280
Speaker 2: for that particular matchup, but I'm pretty sure the Lions

601
00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:13,200
Speaker 2: lost of the Cowboys last year in a very tight matchup,

602
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 2: and I think Dan Campbell's gonna get this. Guys motivated

603
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:17,199
Speaker 2: to win this game. So I like the Lions here

604
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,520
Speaker 2: again when the Cowboys don't play the Steelers, who only

605
00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:23,439
Speaker 2: playing tight games, the Cowboys playing blowouts, and to me,

606
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:25,360
Speaker 2: I think this is more likely to be a blowout

607
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:28,040
Speaker 2: for the Lions than the Cowboys actually showing up.

608
00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:31,760
Speaker 1: Sunday Night football, the New York Football Giants are going

609
00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:33,920
Speaker 1: to host the Cincinnati Bengals. I love what Joe Burrow said,

610
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:36,560
Speaker 1: which is after that tough loss there to the Ravens,

611
00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 1: he said, this is not a championship Calber Football team.

612
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:40,920
Speaker 1: I love that kind of leadership with the quarterbacks, like, look,

613
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 1: we're not there yet, we are not that team. Look

614
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 1: or one to four, this is who we are. And

615
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:48,159
Speaker 1: I think that sends a message to everybody that it's

616
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:49,840
Speaker 1: just not good enough. I love that. Now this is

617
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:52,840
Speaker 1: interesting because the Giants maybe get my lak neighbors back

618
00:26:52,840 --> 00:26:55,719
Speaker 1: this week. That's a huge piece. They are still three

619
00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:57,960
Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs at home. Even if Neighbors

620
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,480
Speaker 1: comes back, maybe this moves to the three. But the

621
00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:04,120
Speaker 1: Bengals defense is not good. Forty eight and a half

622
00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 1: is the number for this one. I'll take the over

623
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 1: in this one too. With the way the Bengals defense

624
00:27:07,680 --> 00:27:10,880
Speaker 1: is played, Giants defense is not much better, and then

625
00:27:10,920 --> 00:27:13,400
Speaker 1: you have the Giants of plus one fifty. It's it's

626
00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 1: tempting to take the Giants at home, but instead I'm

627
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 1: just gonna go for the over on the forty eight

628
00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:20,080
Speaker 1: and a half, which is already big number. But the

629
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,919
Speaker 1: way Joe Burrow and Jamar Chase seem to get on

630
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:25,439
Speaker 1: the same page and t Higgins coming back, the offense

631
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:28,439
Speaker 1: ain't the problem. The defense is the problem, and the

632
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:29,880
Speaker 1: defense is gonna help get to this over.

633
00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 2: Andrew Witser take the offense with the Bengals is cooking.

634
00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 2: It is. It looks absolutely fantastic, and it sucks because you.

635
00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:39,919
Speaker 1: Can't stop anybody. And the schedules suck too.

636
00:27:40,040 --> 00:27:44,159
Speaker 2: The defense is so horrible. It's weird because I keep,

637
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:46,760
Speaker 2: you know, when I handicap these games, look at the spreads.

638
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 2: The Bengals keep losing games, and then oh what they're

639
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:52,280
Speaker 2: favorite again by more than a field goal, even though

640
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:55,280
Speaker 2: they on they have one win this season. The Bengals

641
00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 2: are a weird team because when you look at them,

642
00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:00,200
Speaker 2: they're a team where nobody wants to face them the

643
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,760
Speaker 2: playoffs because we know that with their offense, they could

644
00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 2: beat anybody, I think, but it's a matter of can

645
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 2: they win in a track meet essentially, So I think

646
00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:10,359
Speaker 2: that they're a team that could be dangerous for the

647
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,360
Speaker 2: time playoffs come around, but it's a matter of can

648
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:14,800
Speaker 2: they just sneak in can they become that seventh seed.

649
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 2: So that's kind of looking season long, But for this

650
00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:20,439
Speaker 2: particular matchup, I think that we're probably down. We're probably

651
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,399
Speaker 2: going to get a letdown spot from the Giants, to

652
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,600
Speaker 2: be honest. I mean, they went on the road against Seattle,

653
00:28:25,240 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 2: major win, upset win. They get the field goal touchdown

654
00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:29,879
Speaker 2: at the end of the game, the guy jumps over

655
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 2: the set of the snapper, which is always a really

656
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,720
Speaker 2: cool play because it's a penalty if you touch the guy,

657
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,240
Speaker 2: but if you go all over all the way, it's

658
00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 2: a clean play. So I think the Giants come back

659
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 2: to Earthier. So I'm going to in tentatively back the

660
00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:43,200
Speaker 2: Bengals again.

661
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:47,480
Speaker 1: Speaking of letdowns, I give you Monday Night Football the

662
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 1: Jets and the Buffalo Bills. The Bills coming off two

663
00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 1: straight losses. The Jets, they're coming off two straight losses.

664
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:58,240
Speaker 1: This one's in New York. Oh, baby, I can feel

665
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:02,680
Speaker 1: the crowd turning somewhere around five minutes into this game

666
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:06,880
Speaker 1: on the New York Jets. Oh, you could sense the

667
00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 1: disdain growing in the fan base. This is gonna be tricky.

668
00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:12,600
Speaker 1: Josh Allen's seven and four in his career against the

669
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 1: New York Jets. They are two and a half point favorites.

670
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:18,520
Speaker 1: I don't think that's enough. I'm gonna be honest with you.

671
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 1: Forty one and a half is the number plus one twenty.

672
00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:24,720
Speaker 1: So here's the question, Andrew, it's the approach to this game.

673
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 1: Neither offense has been really cooking these last two weeks.

674
00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,360
Speaker 1: I think we can all agree on that. So forty

675
00:29:30,400 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 1: one and a half relatively low number. Is that still

676
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 1: an under for you on Monday Night Football? Or do

677
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:39,720
Speaker 1: you think maybe these offenses break out a little bit

678
00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:41,960
Speaker 1: against each other. I don't know. I'm still with the

679
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:43,600
Speaker 1: Buffalo two and a half. That's where I want to

680
00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:45,479
Speaker 1: go and just keep it simple, how about you.

681
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:49,240
Speaker 2: I think I still lean towards the under unless unless

682
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:51,440
Speaker 2: I get news or we find out that Nathaniel Hackett

683
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 2: was left in London and they didn't bring him back

684
00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:56,760
Speaker 2: to the States. I can't back the Jets offense doing

685
00:29:56,760 --> 00:29:59,480
Speaker 2: the right things and taking the steps to increase production.

686
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,520
Speaker 2: So we saw Garrett Wilson get twenty two targets, he

687
00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 2: caught thirteen passes. So again, they're still not functioning at

688
00:30:06,880 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 2: a high level. And you talked about this earlier with

689
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:11,200
Speaker 2: Kirk Cousins and the Falcons. They're starting to cook as

690
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 2: they've getten more chemistry developing. Maybe we see that dimensionally

691
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 2: with the Jets. But oh my god, why did they

692
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:19,600
Speaker 2: not take the bye week after playing in London? I

693
00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:21,840
Speaker 2: don't understand. It would have been the perfect time to like,

694
00:30:21,960 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 2: all right, let's get back to square one, let's take

695
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 2: Hacket out of the equation. We need new offensive production,

696
00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:31,400
Speaker 2: new offensive ideas. Just move guys around, let's get motion going,

697
00:30:31,480 --> 00:30:33,240
Speaker 2: Let's do some things more unique to some of these

698
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:35,560
Speaker 2: more advanced offices, just like Garrett Wilson was talking about.

699
00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:37,960
Speaker 2: So for me right now, honestly.

700
00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 1: Andrew, how about you just well, keep running football more, yes,

701
00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:45,360
Speaker 1: I would, how about more breeze Hall, how about just

702
00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 1: run the ball and play defense and stop pretending that

703
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:52,240
Speaker 1: this is Aaron Rodgers from twenty twelve, because it's not.

704
00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:56,040
Speaker 1: It's just not. I mean, the two games that they've

705
00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 1: won this year, very heavy RB usage in that offense.

706
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 1: Correct against the Titans, right, and then on Thursday Night football, right,

707
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:04,880
Speaker 1: Braylan Allen, Oh, who's this guy? I don't know, but

708
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:08,240
Speaker 1: look at him. He looks pretty good. Stop putting the

709
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:12,320
Speaker 1: ball in Aaron Rodgers' hands. It's it's he is past

710
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 1: his prime. Well, he was past his prime when he's

711
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,240
Speaker 1: still in Green Bay at the end. Come on, that's

712
00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:19,120
Speaker 1: the secret sauce here. And if that happens, that's going

713
00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 1: to play one under. And I just don't know if

714
00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 1: the Jets offense is smart enough to do that.

715
00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:27,160
Speaker 2: I agree with you. I'm not so sure, but I

716
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,960
Speaker 2: think from the Buffalo side as well, we saw Kali

717
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 2: Shaker missed this last game, and that was a big

718
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 2: loss for the Bill. It was you saw that no

719
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 2: receiver really step up in his absence, and we all

720
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:41,600
Speaker 2: like Shakir as, Oh, this is a nice little receiver.

721
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 2: He's got a chemistry with Josh Allen, but it showed

722
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 2: up a lot last week where no, that's his guy

723
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 2: in the slot, because Kurtis Samuel comes in, doesn't do much.

724
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,280
Speaker 2: Don Kin k doesn't have a big game. Kim Coleman

725
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:54,440
Speaker 2: makes one touchdown grap but then he had another pass

726
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 2: hit him directly in the helmet because he wasn't ready

727
00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 2: for it. So I think that the Bills are still

728
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:02,160
Speaker 2: going through growing pains in post Stefon Diggs era, where hey,

729
00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:05,000
Speaker 2: sometimes when you put too much on Josh Allen and

730
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:08,200
Speaker 2: sometimes he's not superman. So again he's also dealing with

731
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:10,800
Speaker 2: those injuries. We'll see if that leads to anything. I

732
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:12,560
Speaker 2: know he got banged up a little bit against the Texans,

733
00:32:12,680 --> 00:32:14,479
Speaker 2: So I think right now, if I'm hopping on this,

734
00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,280
Speaker 2: it's fade these offenses. They're going to both run the

735
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:20,240
Speaker 2: football and yeah, prime time unders yet again.

736
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:24,360
Speaker 1: Yeah again. Use the tools everybody say on top of

737
00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:26,200
Speaker 1: things here in the betting world for Week six. Also

738
00:32:26,360 --> 00:32:28,720
Speaker 1: use the Betting Systems tool over a Betting Pros too.

739
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:31,920
Speaker 1: Our new Betting Pros Betting Systems Tool is designed to

740
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:35,120
Speaker 1: help you find winning strategies and make smarter bets. You

741
00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:38,640
Speaker 1: can customize your betting systems by sport, bet type, and

742
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:41,680
Speaker 1: timeframe to make the best of the opportunities using real

743
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 1: time data and expert analysis, and track the performance of

744
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Speaker 1: different betting systems over time and optimize your bets to

745
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:50,360
Speaker 1: increase your chances of success. Again, download the VP app

746
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:52,440
Speaker 1: right now today wherever you get your apps, and also

747
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:55,240
Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting Pros channel here on YouTube. Drop

748
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 1: your comments below let me know what your favorite early

749
00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 1: line selection of week is. I want to hear from you.

750
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:03,440
Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, but the story of the

751
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 1: game goes on. For Andrew Erickson, I'm Joey p Well

752
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:07,840
Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids.

753
00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:10,880
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754
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:13,280
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755
00:33:13,320 --> 00:33:16,720
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756
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:19,640
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757
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:23,360
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758
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:26,080
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