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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros.

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Speaker 2: It's time to place your bets and it's me Joey P,

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Speaker 2: joe P Zapia and it's Friday.

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Speaker 1: You know what that means.

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Speaker 2: It's time to look ahead to the props in the

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Speaker 2: NFL to help go through them. Of course, my boy

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Speaker 2: the Welsh and the Undertaker himself Andrew Erickson. Shout out

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Speaker 2: to everybody who's been with us all season long. And

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Speaker 2: if you're new, it's in the Betting Pros YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: Welcome.

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Speaker 2: It's a wonderful place where dreams come true. And Thursday

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Speaker 2: Night Football Games give you Kirk Cousins going to five

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Speaker 2: hundred yards passing last night, and if you'll watch Thursday

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Speaker 2: Night Football Preview yesterday with myself and Bogman. Three straight

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Speaker 2: weeks Joey P, Same Game Parlay Special, Mike Evans over

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Speaker 2: and the Tuddy As three weeks in a row. We're

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Speaker 2: going strong.

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Speaker 1: Boys.

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Speaker 2: I'm feeling good about week five. I think we know

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Speaker 2: who some of these teams are and we know what's

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Speaker 2: lacking in some other teams. I love the props you

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Speaker 2: guys have put together today. It's a great grouping here

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Speaker 2: and I just want to quick out reminder to everybody too.

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Speaker 2: If you're trying to put some props together and some

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Speaker 2: things that we're not going to talk about today, please

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Speaker 2: use the prop bet cheat sheet. It's an incredible tool

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Speaker 2: over at Betting Pros. It's free to you should go

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Speaker 2: on there. You click on prop at cheat sheet over

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Speaker 2: at Bettingpros dot com slash props, and you could see

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Speaker 2: the best lines, the best houses, with the best metrics

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Speaker 2: in terms of is it going to go over under

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Speaker 2: based on all of our data at Fantasy Pros. And

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Speaker 2: it is just an invaluable tool if you're going to

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Speaker 2: be a successful prop better. I use it for this show,

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Speaker 2: I use it for my bets. I use it for

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Speaker 2: the TV show when I put it together every single

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Speaker 2: Sunday over on Sportscreen TV. It's a great tool. I

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Speaker 2: hope you're utilizing it again. It's right there on the

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Speaker 2: app on the Betting Pros app. Go download that bad Boy,

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Speaker 2: or just go to Betting Pros dot com slash props

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Speaker 2: and see what I'm talking about. I want to start

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Speaker 2: with you we are Welsh today because you're going back

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Speaker 2: to a well of one of my favorite by low players.

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Speaker 2: You're starting with Garrett Wilson and the number is fifty

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Speaker 2: four and a half. Now, last week we thought it

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Speaker 2: would underperform, it did. Now I love buying Garrett Wilson

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Speaker 2: rest of season, especially with all of the DeVante Adams

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Speaker 2: chatter and all this stuff going on. So fly to

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Speaker 2: London and talk about Garrett Wilson. Where do you stand

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Speaker 2: on this prop?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is my favorite prop of the week. The

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Speaker 3: only thing that takes me off of it just a

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Speaker 3: tiny bit is they're going to London and like, weird

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Speaker 3: things happen. I remember someone in one of the shows

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Speaker 3: we did, it might have been actually ericson and I's

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Speaker 3: discord show that we do over on Fantasypros dot Com,

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Speaker 3: slash chat on our discord and it becomes a podcast

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Speaker 3: on the podcast feed where they were like, what is

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Speaker 3: your overarching thesis analysis to games that are played overseas?

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Speaker 3: And usually I'm like, I don't know, MESSI sometimes unders.

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Speaker 3: So that always makes me like.

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Speaker 1: A little bit worried.

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Speaker 3: About going with something like this. But you know, the

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Speaker 3: Garrett Wilson comeback, he has kind of been in our

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Speaker 3: face and Aaron Rodgers last week really putting a focal

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Speaker 3: point on the offense and then needing to get together

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Speaker 3: and get going, and the way you get going is

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Speaker 3: through Garrett Wilson. Well, there's another big positive. The Vikings

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Speaker 3: are giving up the most receiving yards two receivers in

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Speaker 3: the league this year. Unbelievable. They are one of two

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Speaker 3: teams giving up over eight hundred receiving yards that are

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Speaker 3: specifically to wide receivers, and it's actually happening because they're

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Speaker 3: number one with nine less catches than the next team,

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Speaker 3: which again, these are like just ridiculous ability, ridiculous matchup

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Speaker 3: for Garrett Wilson when they should be slaying him the ball.

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Speaker 3: We've also seen Wilson get eight or more targets in

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Speaker 3: three of his last four games, so this is like

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Speaker 3: just a really low total. I picked on a couple

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Speaker 3: wide receivers. I'm gonna get back to the well on

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Speaker 3: one where you know, the poor performance is putting up

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Speaker 3: low totals here. But there's a great matchup, there's a

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Speaker 3: narrative that speaks to it, and I really really love

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Speaker 3: this one with Garrett Wilson. Projections are all over this number,

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Speaker 3: but it's not like a massive beat. I'll say, you know,

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Speaker 3: between like fantasy pros and betting pros projections or you

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Speaker 3: go look over on PFF they're over the fifty four

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Speaker 3: and a half, but not by a ton. I like

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Speaker 3: this to smash over. I think Garrett Wilson is going

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Speaker 3: to get a heavy, heavy dose in this game. Kind

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Speaker 3: of also like Aaron Rodgers over passing yards, so Garrett

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Speaker 3: Wilson receiving yards. It's probably my favorite one. First bet.

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Speaker 3: I locked in and I don't feel confident enough because

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Speaker 3: of last week to ladder. I'm a little gun shy.

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Speaker 3: But if I were laddering, I could maybe peek at

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Speaker 3: Garrett Wilson and push it up to eighty or something

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Speaker 3: like that.

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Speaker 2: Joey, all right, Erickson, your first prop of the week

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Speaker 2: is a wide receiver, and certainly one that has been

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Speaker 2: a little controversial, perhaps another fantasy by low guy. I

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Speaker 2: love that we're coming out of the gate hot here

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Speaker 2: with some guys that maybe the market's a little depressed

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Speaker 2: on because a performance hasn't quite been up to expectations.

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Speaker 2: Who is the guy that we're talking about? For the

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Speaker 2: San Francisco forty nine ers.

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Speaker 4: I am going with wide receiver Brandon Ayuk going over

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Speaker 4: sixteen and a half. Receiving yards. I've come full circle

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Speaker 4: or halfway, I should say, because I was kind of

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Speaker 4: off of Ayuk earlier in the week, not sure is

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Speaker 4: he still the same guy. I'm over it. I'm ready.

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Speaker 4: This is ayuk smash week. I'm convinced. I want to

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Speaker 4: ladder about this over sixteen and a half receiving yards

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Speaker 4: because what does Ayuke do? He has games where he disappears,

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Speaker 4: which has been the first four weeks of the season.

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Speaker 4: He's gone under this number every single week this season.

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Speaker 4: Is this a Yuk? Is this the new norm where

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Speaker 4: he's just gonna have forty receiving yards? Last week he

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Speaker 4: almost had fifty receiving yards on two catches. He almost

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Speaker 4: got to this number on two catches alone. He had

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Speaker 4: five targets, a couple incompletions. Look Bearzona Cardinals, not a

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Speaker 4: great defense, thirty first in yards per passe attempt allowed

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Speaker 4: this season, and I actually looked at an interesting split

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Speaker 4: with a Yuk just looking at his numbers last year.

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Speaker 4: So most of his big games came at home. Those

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Speaker 4: were a heat where he had his massive spiked week games.

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Speaker 4: So back at home for the forty nine ers against

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Speaker 4: an inferior defense, I think this is the week that

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Speaker 4: brand Now you kind of gets it together, feels like

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Speaker 4: a ViBe's based pick. But last week it was all

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Speaker 4: in the numbers, and the numbers bit back, especially the

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Speaker 4: running backs for me. So I'm going with a more

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Speaker 4: vibes base picked here with Brandon and Yuke breaking out

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Speaker 4: of this slump going over sixty and a half receiving

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Speaker 4: yards against the Cardinals, who I like the vibes.

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Speaker 3: Let's have a vibe meter. Let's put that on betting process.

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Speaker 3: I mean, here's the analysis, but this is five vibes.

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Speaker 3: This might be a expectation, but a five vibes guys,

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Speaker 3: I'm in.

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Speaker 2: It's all about the vibes at the end of the day, baby,

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Speaker 2: That's what it's about. All right, Well, let's go back

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Speaker 2: to you, and you've got another wide receiver lined up

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Speaker 2: for week five that you've got some feelings about.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about DJ Moore of the Bears.

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Speaker 2: Certainly, if you watch Caleb Williams, it certainly leaves you

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Speaker 2: dumbfounded at times. Overthrows, underthrows, bad reads. I know it's

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Speaker 2: the learning curve.

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Speaker 1: I get it.

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Speaker 2: It's not always pretty at the beginning of a career,

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Speaker 2: but what do you see ahead for DJ Moore with

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Speaker 2: Caleb Williams in week five.

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Speaker 3: You know, this is kind of a little bit of

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Speaker 3: a ViBe's play too, because this is a revenge narrative

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Speaker 3: that I love. I absolutely love the revenge narrative here

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Speaker 3: for DJ Moore against the Panthers. But also, you know,

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Speaker 3: like with the healthy wide receivers, I think this is

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Speaker 3: what makes it more of a question. You don't often

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Speaker 3: see DJ Moore at four and a half receptions anymore.

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Speaker 3: This is a usual five and a half Keenan Allen

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Speaker 3: and donsay they maybe put some questions a little bit

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Speaker 3: into this, but this is one that's even hovered between

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Speaker 3: like that minus one thing to minus one fifteen, but

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Speaker 3: four and a half receptions over for DJ Moore. I

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Speaker 3: love he's hit this in three of the four games.

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Speaker 3: If you go and take a look at the betting

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Speaker 3: Pros page, you can get an analysis of everything they do.

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Speaker 3: He's hit this three of the four, which is awesome.

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Speaker 3: One of the funny things about this too, because I

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Speaker 3: think there's always a battle between reception props and receiving

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Speaker 3: yard props. Which side do I want to go? Moore

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Speaker 3: has also showed us. In one game this year he

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Speaker 3: caught five and it was like for nothing yards. And

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Speaker 3: I think they're going to easily get him involved and

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Speaker 3: some of the underlying stuff has told us why he's

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Speaker 3: so interesting here. Thirty one percent first read for this

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Speaker 3: team and twenty three percent design plays for DJ Moore,

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Speaker 3: And that's something what I'm talking about. When you saw

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Speaker 3: he had like the five catches for like eighteen yards

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Speaker 3: or whatever nonsense that it was, you know they're going

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Speaker 3: to purposely try to do that screenplay, get him the ball,

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Speaker 3: make him do something with his feet. And this is

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Speaker 3: like a mid A line Carolina pass defise and so

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Speaker 3: like you know, middle of the league as far as

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Speaker 3: yards have given up. But it's a decent matchup for

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Speaker 3: Caleb Williams to be throwing the ball. It has been

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Speaker 3: a ratic that there's no doubt about that. But also

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Speaker 3: I think that's why this team looks to guys like

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Speaker 3: DJ Moore for some of those short line plays to

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Speaker 3: not have him, you know, running around for twelve seconds

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Speaker 3: and then throwing it fifty yards for big air yards.

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Speaker 3: I don't want to play the yards on this one.

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Speaker 3: I want to play five catches for Dj Moore against

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Speaker 3: his old team when he has done this seventy five

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Speaker 3: percent of the time this season. So I really like

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Speaker 3: this reception yard prop for DJ Moore. Vibes. You know

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Speaker 3: analytics about a three vibes five.

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Speaker 1: There you go.

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Speaker 2: One guy who's not feeling the vibes right now is

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Speaker 2: Devanta Adams of the Las Vegas Raiders.

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Speaker 1: He's just not feeling it.

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Speaker 2: So without Devanta Adams on the field, Andrew Erickson, is

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Speaker 2: there a beneficiary and maybe a way that we want

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Speaker 2: to bet this because in this matchup, Jacoby Myers might

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Speaker 2: be a tough spot here with one of the elite

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Speaker 2: corners in the NFL. So who could be the beneficiary

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Speaker 2: of the Adams absence?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? So for me, I love brock Bowers this week.

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Speaker 4: I think it's brock Bauers week for the Las Vegas

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Speaker 4: Raiders over forty three and a half receiving yards. Look,

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Speaker 4: he was the focus for the offense first two weeks

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Speaker 4: of the season. The last two weeks haven't been nearly

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Speaker 4: as great. But you're taking Devonte Adams out. Like you said,

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Speaker 4: Myers is gonna get locked up by Patrick's ratan Trey

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Speaker 4: Tucker will have his opportunities, but Rock Powers then forty

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Speaker 4: plus yards and three of his first four games played

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Speaker 4: this season and last week two for nineteen yards. On

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Speaker 4: the first play of the game he dropped a past

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Speaker 4: it would have gone for thirty yards, and then the

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Speaker 4: very next playoffter that he had to cut another pass

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Speaker 4: that was taken off the war due to a penalty.

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Speaker 4: So there is a world where brockvirus has gone over

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Speaker 4: this number every single week of the season. So I'm

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Speaker 4: buying the dip after a bad game last week where

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Speaker 4: didn't show up in the box score based on the

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Speaker 4: matchup alone, He's gonna get Pepper with opportunities and rock

224
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Speaker 4: Bowers again. This Tidan landscape is horrible. He is one

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Speaker 4: of the rare guys that can actually do it in

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Speaker 4: one play because of how good he is with the

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Speaker 4: ball in his hands. So give me brock Bowers to

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Speaker 4: bounce back here over forty three and a half receiving

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Speaker 4: yards against the Denver Broncos.

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Speaker 3: I actually kind of shocked. I thought we might get

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Speaker 3: a Trey Tucker one in here because you kind of

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Speaker 3: mentioned him. But I was looking at this because Trey

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Speaker 3: Tucker and Myers are both interesting to me. I believe

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Speaker 3: it's the number one wide receiver up against Denver has

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Speaker 3: just absolutely been shut out. If you go and look

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Speaker 3: at the individual matchups, it's been like the two or three.

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Speaker 3: If there's been a standout against Denver, it's been that

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Speaker 3: receiver and not the number one, which screamed Jacoby Myers

239
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Speaker 3: and kind of wanted to move away because he's big

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Speaker 3: plus money and it was one of the big props

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Speaker 3: on Betting Pros cheat sheet if you guys go check

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Speaker 3: it out, as you know, an algorithm type of play.

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Speaker 3: But it's been that number one wide receiver coverage, which

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Speaker 3: makes it four and a half because it's the biggest

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Speaker 3: Jacoby Myers at four and a half reception seems like

246
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Speaker 3: a no brainer, but they get shut out. So I

247
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Speaker 3: look to Trey Tucker as maybe an interesting one. But

248
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Speaker 3: the Boers receiving yard is a total play against that

249
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Speaker 3: wide receiver not struggling. So I think this is like

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Speaker 3: super good five vibes, one hundred percent and five analytics,

251
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Speaker 3: so this is a perfect match.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And to Erickson's point two, I'm going with the yards,

253
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Speaker 2: don't go with the receptions when it comes to Boers,

254
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Speaker 2: because again, all you need is that one or two

255
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Speaker 2: big plays. Whenever you're betting receptions versus yards, always keep

256
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Speaker 2: that in mind. It's like, you know, you need that

257
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Speaker 2: one big play to hit the receiving yards. Prop Sometimes

258
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Speaker 2: you know, gamescript doesn't always go that way, or injuries

259
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Speaker 2: get happen. You know, there's you give yourself so much

260
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Speaker 2: more opportunity to be right when you're betting the yards

261
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Speaker 2: as opposed to the receptions. Receptions is a difficult needle

262
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Speaker 2: to thread. Sometimes you've got to really lock in and understand.

263
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Speaker 2: It's got to be like a Cooper Cup in his

264
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Speaker 2: prime situation in a great matchup, you know, with Matthew

265
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Speaker 2: Stafford just peppering him with targets all day long. The

266
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Speaker 2: next one we're going to get to here a situation

267
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Speaker 2: here with Pittsburgh Steelers playing the Dallas Cowboys without DeMarcus Lawrence,

268
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Speaker 2: probably without Micah Parsons here was still waiting that official word,

269
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Speaker 2: but it looks like, certainly it's very clear what the

270
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Speaker 2: offense is of the Pittsburgh Steelers.

271
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Speaker 1: Here.

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Speaker 2: You hand them ball off to Naja Harris and he

273
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Speaker 2: runs into the offensive line. Then Justin Fields runs off

274
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Speaker 2: on his own, makes a couple of big plays and

275
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Speaker 2: typically just throws the ball to one guy and that

276
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Speaker 2: guy is George pay So Welsh, what do you want

277
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Speaker 2: to do with Pickens this week?

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Speaker 3: We want to take We're going back to yards. I've

279
00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:06,920
Speaker 3: only got that one reception prop. It's DJ Moore. We're

280
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Speaker 3: playing We're the heavy receiving yard week this week, and

281
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Speaker 3: it's George Pickens receiving yards, which is low. I mean

282
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Speaker 3: it kind of sits kind of low. You understand it

283
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Speaker 3: just because of Justin Field's in the passing offense. But

284
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Speaker 3: going back to Pickens, he has hit this in three

285
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Speaker 3: of his last four outings, which the VP page shows

286
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Speaker 3: us projections on BP he's at sixty comparing it to PFF,

287
00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:32,480
Speaker 3: he's at sixty three. Even last week alone, Pickens over

288
00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:34,960
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty air yards. I believe that with

289
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Speaker 3: second or third among all wide receivers, and he had

290
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Speaker 3: an over sixty percent air yard share. It's just no

291
00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:46,280
Speaker 3: surprise or I'm not breaking news or telling anybody anything.

292
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Speaker 3: George Pickens makes big plays. The question would be how

293
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Speaker 3: many opportunities are the Steelers going to give him at

294
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Speaker 3: the end of the day. But you can kind of

295
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Speaker 3: throw on Dallas and if they are playing from behind,

296
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Speaker 3: they will be throwing more. So this is a low

297
00:12:59,080 --> 00:13:03,200
Speaker 3: total under for Pickens in this matchup seems phenomenal. Project

298
00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:06,400
Speaker 3: you're getting almost a ten pinning which projection system you

299
00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:08,680
Speaker 3: look at, You're almost getting like a ten yard cushion

300
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Speaker 3: between projection and what the number is. I love it.

301
00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:16,439
Speaker 3: Everything is saying, go for it, smash George Pickens over receiving.

302
00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:18,640
Speaker 2: Yards on that Pickens page you're talking about over on

303
00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:20,960
Speaker 2: betting Purse two. I'm looking not only I'm hitting this

304
00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:23,680
Speaker 2: three of the last four weeks, but also I'm looking

305
00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:26,800
Speaker 2: at the alt line for him, which says seventy five

306
00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:27,720
Speaker 2: percent chance.

307
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Speaker 1: Of this going over here.

308
00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,200
Speaker 2: And as you move the alt line up as well,

309
00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:32,760
Speaker 2: you can move it all the way up to eighty

310
00:13:32,800 --> 00:13:34,679
Speaker 2: one and a half. As an alt line, you get

311
00:13:34,720 --> 00:13:36,839
Speaker 2: a much bigger number on it, and you're still getting

312
00:13:36,840 --> 00:13:39,320
Speaker 2: a coin flip fifty percent. So again, these are the

313
00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:41,480
Speaker 2: little tools over betting pros that make a big difference

314
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Speaker 2: if you're trying to get the most out of maximizing

315
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Speaker 2: all of your bets. Let's go to another wide receiver.

316
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Speaker 2: We are wide receiver happy today and it makes me happy.

317
00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:54,000
Speaker 2: I love betting wide receiver props so Jacksonville over this season.

318
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Speaker 2: Typically they really have the cults number, especially in their

319
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Speaker 2: own building. Here, it seems like this is the last

320
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Speaker 2: ditch effort here and Evan Ingram back for this game,

321
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Speaker 2: which I think helps Trevor Lawrence out significantly because it

322
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Speaker 2: seems like that's the safety blanket that's been missing.

323
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Speaker 1: No Evan Ingram.

324
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Speaker 2: Trevor Lawrence looks like he's been kind of a mess

325
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Speaker 2: in certain spots. But Ericson, there's another guy in the

326
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Speaker 2: Jags you want to talk about for Week five. Let's

327
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Speaker 2: talk about Brian Thomas Junior and your thoughts on him.

328
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Speaker 4: Like the over over fifteen and a half receiving yards

329
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Speaker 4: for Brian Thomas. To look at the prop at cheat sheet.

330
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Speaker 4: When it comes to Brian Thomas, what do you see

331
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Speaker 4: all green baby? That's all that he's done so far

332
00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:33,800
Speaker 4: this year is go over his receiving prop every single

333
00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:36,360
Speaker 4: game and the books are starting to adjust moves it

334
00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:39,560
Speaker 4: up to fifty fifteen a half yards, still not high enough.

335
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Speaker 4: He's a stud. He is the number one receiver on

336
00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:44,920
Speaker 4: the Jacksonville Jaguars. He is a deep threat. He leads

337
00:14:44,920 --> 00:14:48,080
Speaker 4: all rookies and deep perceptions in receiving yards this season,

338
00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,400
Speaker 4: average depth of route ranks third, only behind Xavier Worthy

339
00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:53,480
Speaker 4: and Marvin Harrison Junior. He's got at least forty seven

340
00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:56,480
Speaker 4: receiving yards in all four games this season. And when

341
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Speaker 4: you look at who or how you beat the Colts,

342
00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,640
Speaker 4: it's not through this. It's these perimeter receivers, the foremost

343
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Speaker 4: comparable players to Ryan Thomas that have faced the Colts

344
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Speaker 4: this season for straight overs. So I'm not trying to

345
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Speaker 4: overthink this one. Brian Thomas is good at football. He

346
00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:15,600
Speaker 4: goes over. The Colts allow receivers to go over, So

347
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Speaker 4: I'm going over. Baby.

348
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Speaker 2: Let's go shout out to you, Eric Sually, because you

349
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:23,040
Speaker 2: were the I think the pied piper about Brian Thomas Junior,

350
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Speaker 2: and I wasn't seeing it.

351
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Speaker 1: I see it now. It's too late.

352
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Speaker 2: I don't have enough fantasy shares, but I could certainly

353
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Speaker 2: make up for it in the wagering space, which is

354
00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:33,479
Speaker 2: a nice thing to do. Going back to the Cowboys

355
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Speaker 2: Steelers game, Welsh, I want to talk about the evolution

356
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Speaker 2: of the Cowboys backfield because Ezekiel Elliott is indeed dust.

357
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Speaker 2: If you think otherwise, you just ain't paying attention, and

358
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Speaker 2: certainly the numbers bear it out to which means it's

359
00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:49,320
Speaker 2: Rico doubt all time. And I'm thinking here there's an

360
00:15:49,320 --> 00:15:52,480
Speaker 2: opportunity where the I think the projections of Vegas haven't

361
00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:55,640
Speaker 2: quite caught up to maybe where things are trending for

362
00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:58,600
Speaker 2: this backfield, and I think you very astutely are going

363
00:15:58,640 --> 00:15:59,920
Speaker 2: to take advantage of that today.

364
00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:02,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, I feel like you're almost gonna sell me on

365
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:05,280
Speaker 3: and over. But guess what, I'm not gonna be overwhelsh

366
00:16:05,360 --> 00:16:07,440
Speaker 3: I'm going to be under Welsh. Yeah, maybe you didn't

367
00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:07,760
Speaker 3: see that.

368
00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:08,560
Speaker 1: Maybe you were playing that.

369
00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:09,360
Speaker 3: I thought you.

370
00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:13,240
Speaker 5: I saw Rico Dowbdell, and I just got excited, like, yes, fine.

371
00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:16,680
Speaker 3: I play all over so but no, I will throw

372
00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:17,600
Speaker 3: those unders in there.

373
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Speaker 4: So I shouldn't learn his lesson from all the unders

374
00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:21,280
Speaker 4: I took on running backs last week.

375
00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:24,720
Speaker 5: No, I didn't, but part of those, by the way,

376
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Speaker 5: but you know.

377
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Speaker 1: Ericson But the results, I mean, the math didn't.

378
00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:34,680
Speaker 3: Also, the runs are not gonna run against Pittsburgh, so

379
00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:37,240
Speaker 3: I don't like the matchup at all. Rico Dowdell can

380
00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:39,840
Speaker 3: be fine, especially if he's gonna get more usage here,

381
00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:42,760
Speaker 3: but this is not the matchup that I'm looking for

382
00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:45,720
Speaker 3: him to break out. Dubell his rushing yard total right

383
00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:47,720
Speaker 3: now is at forty and a half. This is the

384
00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:49,880
Speaker 3: most it has been all season long as he got

385
00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:51,880
Speaker 3: a little bit more run he has hit this and

386
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Speaker 3: only one of four games that obviously could start to

387
00:16:55,760 --> 00:16:58,520
Speaker 3: alter and change. If Elliott, we think he's dust, but

388
00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:01,040
Speaker 3: they keep throwing him out there, and they're gonna keep

389
00:17:01,040 --> 00:17:02,520
Speaker 3: throwing them out here this week. We even see some

390
00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:06,840
Speaker 3: Deuce Vaughn. But the three backs against the Pittsburgh Steelers

391
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:10,000
Speaker 3: so far this year haven't hit this number a forty

392
00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:13,360
Speaker 3: and a half. But it took fifteen or more carries

393
00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:16,280
Speaker 3: for all three of those backs three and you know

394
00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,840
Speaker 3: like they'll use like multi backs and whatever. So of

395
00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,480
Speaker 3: four games, three backs have gone over forty fifteen or

396
00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:24,200
Speaker 3: more carries. By the way, Dowdell has not had more

397
00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:28,520
Speaker 3: than eleven carries in a single game. Pittsburgh Steelers do

398
00:17:28,600 --> 00:17:30,879
Speaker 3: not give up the rushing yards like this. We do

399
00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:34,800
Speaker 3: not see volume from Dowdle. They still will split series.

400
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:37,520
Speaker 3: So Dowdell might be more efficient and might be more

401
00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:40,720
Speaker 3: of a fun play, but not over forty yards rushing

402
00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:43,359
Speaker 3: against the Pittsburgh Steelers in a split back system for

403
00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:46,760
Speaker 3: a team that cannot run super well. So I'm going

404
00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:49,800
Speaker 3: under Dowdle's rushing yards. He can still be effective in

405
00:17:49,840 --> 00:17:53,040
Speaker 3: the passing game. It's just not going to be a big, big,

406
00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:56,000
Speaker 3: established running game side. So give me the under unreco

407
00:17:56,080 --> 00:17:58,000
Speaker 3: Dawdle rushing yards a stut or not.

408
00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:01,200
Speaker 2: I will say this the only he's done it. It

409
00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:03,040
Speaker 2: was the last game we saw him, which I think

410
00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:06,120
Speaker 2: the realization of the Cowboys coaching staff is all right,

411
00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:08,760
Speaker 2: enough with the Seakelliot stuff, it's done, it's over. So

412
00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 2: you did see him hit that forty six, so we

413
00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:14,560
Speaker 2: went over that number. It was also the highest amount

414
00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:16,119
Speaker 2: of carries. I think the trend is going in any

415
00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:18,399
Speaker 2: other direction, and it's it's starting to go up. I

416
00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:20,600
Speaker 2: understand it's a tough matchup against the Steelers, but I

417
00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:24,280
Speaker 2: think from a necessary standpoint here you know you're down

418
00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:26,720
Speaker 2: Brandon Cooks, you're down a little bit here, you're missing

419
00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:29,720
Speaker 2: some defensive players. I think establishing a run game is

420
00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:31,960
Speaker 2: very important, whether it's successful or not. I would even

421
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:35,480
Speaker 2: look for maybe if you could find the total yards

422
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,359
Speaker 2: between receiving and rushing for him, that might be an

423
00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:39,880
Speaker 2: interesting way to go too, because I do think you're

424
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:41,320
Speaker 2: gonna see him get involved in this offense.

425
00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:43,160
Speaker 1: So Welsch and I on the other side of that one.

426
00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:46,800
Speaker 2: In terms of unders, certainly, you know we can't have

427
00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:49,000
Speaker 2: a show without the Undertaker having an under so far

428
00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:51,840
Speaker 2: Andrew Rickson three or three overs, we just can't have that.

429
00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:52,960
Speaker 1: So give me something else.

430
00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:55,600
Speaker 3: We need to have an all over show for Ericson

431
00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:57,080
Speaker 3: and me and all under show.

432
00:18:57,160 --> 00:18:59,880
Speaker 2: No, no, you can't ut show over for the Undertaker.

433
00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:02,200
Speaker 2: Can't do it sacrilege.

434
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:04,560
Speaker 4: Be fun Now, that would take me way out of character.

435
00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:06,240
Speaker 4: I would be able to do the show.

436
00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:09,320
Speaker 3: No vibes good live vibes.

437
00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:10,000
Speaker 5: No good vibes either.

438
00:19:10,040 --> 00:19:12,920
Speaker 4: In Cincinnati, in this backfield. Last week it was great

439
00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:16,560
Speaker 4: Zach Moss scoring touchdown, Chase Brown scoring touchdowns fifteen carries

440
00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:18,879
Speaker 4: a piece. Was against the Carolina Panthers, one of the

441
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,400
Speaker 4: worst run defenses of the NFL. Not the case here

442
00:19:21,520 --> 00:19:23,800
Speaker 4: with Cincinnati taking on the Baltimore Ravens. So I'm going

443
00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:26,359
Speaker 4: under on Zach Moss rushing yards at forty one and

444
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:29,720
Speaker 4: a half Cincinnati. At least my read on this game

445
00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:32,440
Speaker 4: is Cincinnati just going to throw and throw and throw

446
00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:34,239
Speaker 4: because if they need to score points, because they got

447
00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:36,639
Speaker 4: to do whatever it takes to take denn Derreck Henry

448
00:19:36,680 --> 00:19:39,960
Speaker 4: off the field, because he's going to destroy that Bengals defense.

449
00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:43,320
Speaker 4: So I fear for those guys, praying for them. We'll

450
00:19:43,320 --> 00:19:45,840
Speaker 4: see if they come out, we'll see. But for me,

451
00:19:45,960 --> 00:19:49,560
Speaker 4: Zach Moss, look, we saw the backfield split a little

452
00:19:49,600 --> 00:19:51,919
Speaker 4: bit more, Chase Brown was a little bit more involved,

453
00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:54,800
Speaker 4: and the Ravens again talking about how good the Steelers

454
00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:57,640
Speaker 4: run defense is. The Ravens are first and fewest rushing

455
00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:00,480
Speaker 4: yards allowed per game at fifty seven point eight. So

456
00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,440
Speaker 4: this Ravens offense plays ball control. It doesn't give the

457
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:05,439
Speaker 4: other team a lot of opportunities. And I don't think

458
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:07,760
Speaker 4: the Bengals are gonna mess around with Let's try to

459
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,919
Speaker 4: establish the run. No, just score points because if you

460
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:14,120
Speaker 4: fall behind, you're screwed. Because I'm just gonna feed Derek Henry.

461
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 4: You're not gonna be able to stop him. So I

462
00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:17,159
Speaker 4: think the Bengals how they're gonna try to win this

463
00:20:17,200 --> 00:20:19,600
Speaker 4: game is to put the Ravens in a position where

464
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:23,200
Speaker 4: they're trailing, which I think means more passing and less rushing.

465
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,160
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna go with the under on Zach Moss

466
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,000
Speaker 4: forty one and a half rushing yards.

467
00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:30,040
Speaker 2: All right, let's go back to you Welsh to close

468
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:31,639
Speaker 2: things out for the propis and then we'll get to

469
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:36,000
Speaker 2: the touchdown calls for the week ahead. Tyreek Hill somebody

470
00:20:36,080 --> 00:20:40,720
Speaker 2: that certainly is a divisive asset right now. People are

471
00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:45,160
Speaker 2: jumping ship everywhere. I'm buying everywhere. Personally, I think there's opportunities.

472
00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:46,720
Speaker 2: So forty seven and a half is the number. Look,

473
00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:48,840
Speaker 2: this is one big play for Tyreek Hill. The question

474
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:50,359
Speaker 2: is Kenny get it against the Patriots.

475
00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,679
Speaker 3: Don't tell me, don't listen to me, close your eyes,

476
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:57,199
Speaker 3: plug your ears, just don't listen. I'm still buying my

477
00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,520
Speaker 3: take from last week. I'm still going in don't tail it,

478
00:21:00,840 --> 00:21:03,199
Speaker 3: but I have to keep going with Tyreek Hill. Did

479
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:05,160
Speaker 3: you know last week Tyreek Hill and all that mess

480
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:08,200
Speaker 3: still had one hundred and twenty seven air yards a

481
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:11,119
Speaker 3: Dot's Silver eighteen and a thirty one percent target share.

482
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:12,320
Speaker 3: But it was gross.

483
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:13,119
Speaker 1: It was gross, And.

484
00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,159
Speaker 3: The thing I've been talking about all week was the

485
00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:17,280
Speaker 3: logic of where I wanted to buy and what can

486
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:18,360
Speaker 3: happen with Tyreek Hill.

487
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:19,200
Speaker 5: It was all there.

488
00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:24,800
Speaker 3: Screen passes runs deep play. Tyler Huntley stunk. He was awful,

489
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:27,119
Speaker 3: He was horrible, but they still were trying. They were

490
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:29,560
Speaker 3: still trying to get him involved. This number is now

491
00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 3: lower than it was last week. Every projection still has

492
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:37,040
Speaker 3: him over, but it's not properly projecting for Tyler Huntley. Obviously,

493
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,879
Speaker 3: I'm going in. I think that play is going to

494
00:21:40,920 --> 00:21:43,760
Speaker 3: break this time. Patriots are giving up the fifth most

495
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:46,520
Speaker 3: receiving yards to wide receivers so far this year. They

496
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:48,200
Speaker 3: tried to go deep, which I think is a really

497
00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 3: good positive for Tyreek Hill, and they want to get

498
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 3: him the ball. He got covered. Sneed kind of locked

499
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:54,879
Speaker 3: him down a little bit. Maybe he made a dumb

500
00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,240
Speaker 3: drop and then couldn't haul in. It was a really

501
00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:59,520
Speaker 3: awful throw deep. But the whole point is like they're

502
00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:02,480
Speaker 3: trying to continue doing what has made Tyreek Hill great.

503
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:06,960
Speaker 3: Hopefully one more game, one more week into this offense,

504
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:09,159
Speaker 3: which Erickson did a show with Bogman and I we

505
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:11,639
Speaker 3: talked Humbley. It's been with the team since September twenty fourth,

506
00:22:11,680 --> 00:22:13,119
Speaker 3: I think it was was the number, so like he

507
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 3: has not been with this team for long. Hopefully this

508
00:22:15,440 --> 00:22:19,080
Speaker 3: extra week, a second week of practice working with the starters.

509
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:21,880
Speaker 3: We can see some better throws. There's an optimism, there's

510
00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,960
Speaker 3: a Pollyanna optimism. I'm throwing to it. This is a

511
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,280
Speaker 3: vibes play. This is analytic. I mean, listen, he had

512
00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:30,199
Speaker 3: the air yards, he had the eight on targets, all

513
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:31,879
Speaker 3: of that. So that's like a two. Let's give it.

514
00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 3: Quarterback brings it down. This is five vibes. This is

515
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,120
Speaker 3: the lowest number Tyreek Hill has probably had in years,

516
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 3: understandably with the quarterbacks. So don't bet it. Don't follow

517
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:44,360
Speaker 3: it if you want. But I'm still hardcore by Tyreek Hill,

518
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,399
Speaker 3: and under fifty yards on Tyreek Hill. If Joe was

519
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,920
Speaker 3: the quarterback, I probably am still playing because he.

520
00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:53,040
Speaker 5: Can say, hey, I'm still pretty good. I'm still all right.

521
00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:55,359
Speaker 3: You're like, you get like good short yards, Pat, I

522
00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 3: don't know you can get.

523
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 1: Him deep, but I mean twenty you.

524
00:22:57,880 --> 00:22:59,879
Speaker 2: Know, the old man can't quite throw the ball. You know,

525
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 2: fifty yards. You know that's not happening.

526
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:03,640
Speaker 1: But yeah I will.

527
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:05,119
Speaker 2: I will dink and joink you to death, and I

528
00:23:05,160 --> 00:23:07,160
Speaker 2: will be accurate and I will make the right plays.

529
00:23:07,160 --> 00:23:08,920
Speaker 2: There look a little bit extra time here with the

530
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,840
Speaker 2: playbook for Huntley's gonna be good. Patriots stink. So I

531
00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:14,359
Speaker 2: like this one big play from Tyreek Hill and we

532
00:23:14,480 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 2: get this.

533
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:18,760
Speaker 4: Wel do you think that Gonzalez is gonna be on

534
00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:20,680
Speaker 4: Tyreek Hill? Do you ever read on.

535
00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:23,879
Speaker 3: That that's that's a big key. I the way that

536
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:27,439
Speaker 3: you've moved around Tyreek Hill, I want to say, not

537
00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:30,639
Speaker 3: full blanket coverage. That could put a wrinkle into this.

538
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,120
Speaker 2: I don't want to burst anybody's bubble here. Christian Gonzalez

539
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:35,520
Speaker 2: is a very good player. Tyreek Hill is a great player.

540
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:38,920
Speaker 2: Give me the great elite wide receiver over the good

541
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 2: or very good corner every single day of the week,

542
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:45,200
Speaker 2: and twice this Sunday. Sorry, like there's a finite number

543
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:49,960
Speaker 2: of elite wide receivers. It's Hill, it's Chase, it's justin Jefferson.

544
00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:53,119
Speaker 2: We could talk about ceedee lamb. Those guys can't be

545
00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:55,360
Speaker 2: guarded by anybody. I don't care. I don't care who

546
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:58,640
Speaker 2: it is. So yeah, maybe slow them down here and there.

547
00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:00,680
Speaker 2: I don't care that Gonzales is a not of reason

548
00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:01,880
Speaker 2: for me not to like this one.

549
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:02,439
Speaker 1: I'm in.

550
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,879
Speaker 4: So my point with that was less about more to

551
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 4: your point, Yes, Tyrrek Kill is an elite receiver. But

552
00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 4: what I was thinking is if Gonzalez is on him,

553
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 4: that means it's man to man coverage and it's like

554
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:14,920
Speaker 4: Tyler Huntley, all you have to do is, Hey, I'm

555
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 4: Terry kell I'm gonna beat this guy and just throw

556
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:19,679
Speaker 4: me the ball. So in essence, I think it's better

557
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:21,760
Speaker 4: if gonzalt because that means they're not going to be

558
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:23,239
Speaker 4: safety off the top. It's like, no, Gonzo, you got

559
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,720
Speaker 4: to take on Tyreek Hill. Oh boom, eighty r touchdown.

560
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:27,760
Speaker 4: So that's kind of how I was trying to read

561
00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:28,600
Speaker 4: the situation.

562
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 1: One catch.

563
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,120
Speaker 2: You can get this one catch, all right, Ericson, give

564
00:24:32,200 --> 00:24:34,720
Speaker 2: us another under here. Let's go back to the Bengals

565
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:36,600
Speaker 2: because I think you were pretty harsh on the games.

566
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 2: Gripp Tier, pretty harsh on the defense, which means good

567
00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:42,480
Speaker 2: for Joe Burrow, Jamar, Chase t Higgins, but again, maybe

568
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:43,520
Speaker 2: not so good for the backfield.

569
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:44,800
Speaker 1: So let's talk about Chase Brown.

570
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:48,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, just continuing to fade the Bengals running backs in

571
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:50,960
Speaker 4: this particular matchup. Chase Brown under eight and a half

572
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 4: rushing attempts last week was the most work that he's

573
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 4: seen all season. But I think it was really about

574
00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,679
Speaker 4: the matchup playing the Carolina Panthers, Chase Brown had fifteen

575
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:00,680
Speaker 4: carries in that game. He had two in the first

576
00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:04,280
Speaker 4: half altogether. So unless we see a game script where

577
00:25:04,520 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 4: the Bengals are up massively against the Baltimore Ravens, don't

578
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:09,520
Speaker 4: really see that. I know they're playing at home, but

579
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,040
Speaker 4: don't really envision that scenario, and they can feed Chase

580
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:13,920
Speaker 4: Brown in the second half to run out the clock,

581
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 4: that seems like a very I'm not projecting that game

582
00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:18,960
Speaker 4: to go this way. So if I'm wrong about the game,

583
00:25:19,200 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 4: then this is a bet that's not gonna fire. But

584
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:24,360
Speaker 4: just based on what we've seen through the first three

585
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 4: weeks of the season, it's been mostly Zach Moss dominating

586
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 4: the carries with Chase Brown playing that complimentary role, I

587
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 4: feel like we could see more of Chase Brown in

588
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 4: the passing game, right get him out for a screen

589
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,360
Speaker 4: pass and that's obviously not a rushing attempt. So I'm

590
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 4: gonna take the under on eight and a half carries.

591
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,119
Speaker 4: Look at the Ravens against starting running backs that they

592
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,560
Speaker 4: have faced, Chase Brown not even technically the starter on

593
00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:43,720
Speaker 4: his own team. One running back they have faced has

594
00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 4: over nine carries and it was Isaiah Pacheco back in

595
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:46,359
Speaker 4: Week one.

596
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 2: Can argue with that? Can't argue with that? All right,

597
00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,520
Speaker 2: let's get to the touchdown calls here, and don't forget

598
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 2: the touchdown. The score report at bettingpros dot com slash

599
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:58,000
Speaker 2: touchdown is available. So if you're looking for an edge

600
00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 2: and touchdown bets, and we love to bet touchdowns here

601
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 2: and all I do, that's for sure. Our Touchdown score

602
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:07,040
Speaker 2: Report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bet odds and

603
00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 2: projections to help identify the best anytime touchdown bets you're

604
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:13,439
Speaker 2: gonna find anywhere all the internets, all the internets, So

605
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,920
Speaker 2: head to bettingpros dot com slash touchdown today to find

606
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:20,879
Speaker 2: the latest touchdown prop analysis. Get going, download the Betting

607
00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:24,159
Speaker 2: Pros app everybody again bettingpros dot com slash Touchdown, but

608
00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:26,960
Speaker 2: download the apps think your sportsbooks for free and help

609
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 2: us help you become the best better you possibly can.

610
00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:33,159
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to the touchdown calls here. Welsh,

611
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:34,880
Speaker 2: who's finding the end zone in the Week five?

612
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 3: All right, I got a wide receiver and a running

613
00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 3: back wide receiver. How about picking on the Washington Commanders.

614
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:43,240
Speaker 3: It's a true and tried.

615
00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 5: Theory, and that it's tried and true try not true

616
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 5: and tried.

617
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 1: I don't know what that means.

618
00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:52,600
Speaker 3: I'm not gonna score the touchdown, but Mark Cooper is.

619
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 3: It's like plus one eye the Washington Commander.

620
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 4: I love it.

621
00:26:56,880 --> 00:27:00,800
Speaker 3: Ten ten receiving touchdowns before you tear me down. Ten

622
00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 3: receiving touchdowns to wide receivers. Amari Cooper should have had

623
00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:06,840
Speaker 3: that won last week. Watson will make it right. It's

624
00:27:06,840 --> 00:27:09,440
Speaker 3: like plus one eighty. It's the best touchdown play of

625
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:10,520
Speaker 3: the week for any wide receiver.

626
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 2: I agree one hundred percent. I've bet at myself and

627
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 2: I've also bet the over on Cooper, Like this is

628
00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:18,400
Speaker 2: this is clearly the everyone's down. Let's just get back

629
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,159
Speaker 2: on the Mary Cooper training, all right. So Cooper's in,

630
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:22,480
Speaker 2: who else is getting to the goal line?

631
00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:25,200
Speaker 3: This is my probably, I think, the best plus two

632
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,000
Speaker 3: hundred play you can have for really anybody at a

633
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:31,520
Speaker 3: touchdown call. Alexander Madison, who's been a sneaky little touchdown

634
00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 3: play this year. They've also pierces said they want Madison

635
00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:37,160
Speaker 3: and he deserves more run. He has been the guy

636
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:40,560
Speaker 3: they've used in the inside the five. They've also been

637
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:42,879
Speaker 3: throwing him the ball, so if he gets more run boom.

638
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:45,560
Speaker 3: Also Samir White, there's a question on him. If if

639
00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 3: Zamir White were to be out, this number is going

640
00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:49,399
Speaker 3: to boost up. This is going to probably go to

641
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,960
Speaker 3: like a one thirty one forty right now. I got

642
00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 3: it at plus two forty. Alexander Madison score against a

643
00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:58,160
Speaker 3: Denver Broncos. Yes, please thank you, Madison. Mariy Cooper, those

644
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:59,280
Speaker 3: are my two touchdown calls.

645
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,160
Speaker 2: Right, So there you go, Madison Cooper In ericson who

646
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 2: else finds pay Dirt Week five?

647
00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:08,399
Speaker 4: Man Antonio pears such a such a straight shooter, you

648
00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 4: know exactly what he's gonna do. But I do like

649
00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 4: to call him Madison. You just got to hope the

650
00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:13,920
Speaker 4: Raiders find the end zone.

651
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:17,080
Speaker 3: One thing we know is he hates Samir White like that.

652
00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 3: That's like, you're right, Like we read through all the

653
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 3: garbage of what he's saying and what he's liking on

654
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:24,639
Speaker 3: Twitter and all that stuff, and what he's doing with

655
00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,359
Speaker 3: recruits at ASU, but one thing we know is he

656
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:30,000
Speaker 3: hates Samir White. So that's like, that's what you think.

657
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:32,880
Speaker 4: He was just on his phone and saw the Adams

658
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:36,360
Speaker 4: post and like thought about no, I want to cast

659
00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 4: some chaos and just like collect the button too, like.

660
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 3: The violent linebacker. He probably didn't think twice about it.

661
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:46,840
Speaker 4: He's like, yep, all right, my touchdown calls. Kobe Parkinson,

662
00:28:46,960 --> 00:28:49,760
Speaker 4: tight end for the Los Angeles Rams. He is plus

663
00:28:49,840 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 4: three hundred to score. He had seven targets last week.

664
00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 4: He actually leads the NFL among tight ends in red

665
00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 4: zone targets, but he is zero touchdown, so he plays

666
00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:01,080
Speaker 4: all the snaps, especially around the goal line. The Rams

667
00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 4: don't give the ball to Karen Williams for a touchdown.

668
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:04,960
Speaker 4: Karen Williams at this point has scored all of the

669
00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:06,840
Speaker 4: touchdowns for the Rams. I think it's going to go

670
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 4: to Kobe park and so I like the odds at

671
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:11,600
Speaker 4: three to one in this particular matchic in Supreemay Packers.

672
00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:13,920
Speaker 4: And then my second one. This is one I am

673
00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:17,000
Speaker 4: stealing from Treil Furman because he was right about Sterling

674
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 4: Shepherd scoring a touchdown on Thursday night, and I'm so

675
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:21,560
Speaker 4: mad that I didn't bet it. So I'm just gonna

676
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:25,920
Speaker 4: follow Furman and his giants. Jalen Hyatt plus six hundred

677
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 4: to score a touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks who are

678
00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:30,920
Speaker 4: maybe going to be sleepwalking a little bit coming off

679
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,800
Speaker 4: the Monday night game playing the Giants. No mo leak neighbors.

680
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 4: Oh what do you know, Jalen Hyde eighty yard touchdown.

681
00:29:36,880 --> 00:29:39,760
Speaker 4: I think Hyatt gets those deep targets and if he's

682
00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:42,800
Speaker 4: running more routes because of the injury to neighbors, Wanda

683
00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 4: Robinson is also banged up. I think Hyatt could take

684
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:47,720
Speaker 4: one to the house. So give me Hyatt at six

685
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:48,240
Speaker 4: to one odds.

686
00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:50,120
Speaker 3: Joey, we need yours. You were the only one to

687
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,920
Speaker 3: hit both of your touchdown calls last week, so mister touchdown, Joey,

688
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:54,680
Speaker 3: we need yours.

689
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 2: And I hit a three leg parlay of touchdowns last

690
00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 2: week personally, which was very nice, which kind of saved

691
00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:03,160
Speaker 2: the day because Week four was a little up and down.

692
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:06,360
Speaker 2: That little three leg parlay of the touchdowns was fantastic

693
00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:10,080
Speaker 2: and it was McLaurin justin Fields and Chase last week.

694
00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 1: So there you go.

695
00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:13,080
Speaker 2: Let's lock it in. So I got another special for

696
00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:15,960
Speaker 2: you here, a little bonus. So I got a QB special.

697
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:17,840
Speaker 2: Now you can bet these individually, or you could just

698
00:30:17,840 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 2: put them together. A little duo can be Jayden Daniels

699
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,480
Speaker 2: plus one twenty and Justin Fields plus one thirty five.

700
00:30:23,520 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 2: I think both guys find the end zone this week.

701
00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 2: You put those two together, you get plus four seventeen

702
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:31,160
Speaker 2: four to one. It's pretty good odds right there.

703
00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 1: I love that.

704
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 2: Now if you really feel on frisky, you can add

705
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:38,040
Speaker 2: one more in. My boy Dantavian Wicks, who makes big plays,

706
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 2: sees a boatload of targets, got a great matchup against

707
00:30:41,040 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 2: the Rams.

708
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:42,520
Speaker 1: I love this.

709
00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 2: I love Jayden Reid this week too, so I've done

710
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:46,960
Speaker 2: a version of this with the two quarterbacks and Read.

711
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 2: But the real fun one is the two quarterbacks and

712
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:52,480
Speaker 2: Dantavian Wicks was at plus one fifty. So if you

713
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 2: put Wicks with Fields and Daniels you get plus eleven hundred.

714
00:30:56,800 --> 00:31:00,440
Speaker 1: So that is a big return on investment. I'm in

715
00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:00,800
Speaker 1: for it.

716
00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:02,480
Speaker 2: By the way, just for fun, last week, I threw

717
00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 2: a dollar on the crazy eric Al and who the

718
00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:06,160
Speaker 2: other guys you were in on?

719
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:10,280
Speaker 3: Just to have it just it was Keenan Allen eric

720
00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:10,840
Speaker 3: Al and then.

721
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:13,560
Speaker 1: I had a goofy one two just for s's and g's.

722
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 5: Unfortunately it was more S than it was G.

723
00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:19,040
Speaker 1: But that's all right. We soldier on.

724
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:22,200
Speaker 2: But Jane Daniels plus one twenty fields plus one thirty five.

725
00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 2: That's the QB Combo of the week, and then Dantavian

726
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 2: Wicks on his own or you can edit into for

727
00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 2: a little bit of fun also.

728
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:31,680
Speaker 3: But let's do the three of us. Let's pay so

729
00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:34,640
Speaker 3: wait ericson, I would take one of her?

730
00:31:34,720 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 1: Is my favorite? One of you are?

731
00:31:35,800 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 3: Okay, so my Cooper and then ericson which one of

732
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 3: you are you had? Let's do the Parkinson one. I

733
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 3: like the stat with the inZone, and then which one

734
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 3: of yours?

735
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:46,880
Speaker 1: Joe, give me your favorite? Well, I think wix Is.

736
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:50,600
Speaker 4: I mean the Rams Packers correlation game, a little goal

737
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:53,719
Speaker 4: back and forth, guys when Kobe catches the last touchdown

738
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:54,040
Speaker 4: and be.

739
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,760
Speaker 5: Like Kobe garbage sub yeah, go all right, So there

740
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 5: you go.

741
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 3: So it's Cooper, Parkinson and Wis. That's probablyably at least

742
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,160
Speaker 3: twenty to one for those three. It's something fun like that.

743
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:03,959
Speaker 1: So let's go it.

744
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 2: Throw another buck on there, just for coms, be funpe

745
00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:11,560
Speaker 2: get them. Geez all right, everybody, don't forget go check

746
00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:14,000
Speaker 2: out the prop ed chee cheet and sink your sports books.

747
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 2: Download the Betting pros app to get all the information

748
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:18,680
Speaker 2: you need to be the best better you possibly can.

749
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:19,760
Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, but.

750
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,240
Speaker 2: The story of the game goes on for the Welsh

751
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:25,520
Speaker 2: and the Undertaker. I'm Joey p. Well see you next time, kids.

752
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:27,200
Speaker 2: Enjoy your week five props.

753
00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 6: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

754
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 6: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

755
00:32:33,400 --> 00:32:36,840
Speaker 6: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

756
00:32:37,120 --> 00:32:39,760
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757
00:32:39,840 --> 00:32:43,480
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758
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:51,720
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