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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast pop.

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Speaker 2: All Right, Here we Go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen, twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five,

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Speaker 1: fifty and The Kicks Block covers Football.

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Speaker 3: Stunned Us, Oh my goodness, please stumble and bumble the

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Speaker 3: latter turn a Canter on the episode j the.

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Speaker 1: Lad Table off the Day of the Night. My God,

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Speaker 1: it's not the size of the dog in the fighting,

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Speaker 1: it's the size of the fight. Get a Welcome to

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Speaker 1: the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Speaker 1: This is the group of five deep dive on Mike

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Speaker 1: Calberty's joined by my co host Duck. We made it

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Speaker 1: all the way here to Week fourteen is feast week,

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Speaker 1: and if you're hearing that, you may all have an

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Speaker 1: appetite for some college hoops. Check your podcast feed. Duck,

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Speaker 1: Tanne McGrath and I broke down the three major tournaments

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Speaker 1: that the players era battle for Atlantis and Maui. Some

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Speaker 1: of it's still going to be relevant, some of it

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Speaker 1: is going to be a little bit dated in terms

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Speaker 1: of those plays in the first round, but still a

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Speaker 1: chance to hear our take on the college hardwood. There's

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Speaker 1: going to be a lot more of that coming from

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Speaker 1: the BBOC universe in the coming weeks before we switch

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Speaker 1: in earnest in January into full college basketball coverage. But

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Speaker 1: we're going to be doing a little bit of that,

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Speaker 1: a little bit of bowl coverage coming up in the

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Speaker 1: next few weeks, which is very exciting. A busy time

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Speaker 1: of the year, but really the best time of year. Duck,

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Speaker 1: what are your thoughts here as we head into Thanksgiving

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Speaker 1: week in college football? The whole journey this season and

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Speaker 1: where your head at head is at now that you're

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Speaker 1: pulling double duty.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, really a fun season in the college leagues and

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Speaker 4: we're going to get another great week of college football.

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Speaker 4: All the conference championship races are going to shake out.

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Speaker 4: The Mountain West is chaos. Conference USA is a three

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Speaker 4: headed race. The Americans still to shake out. There's so

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Speaker 4: much that needs to play out. We're all hopefully still

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Speaker 4: holding our forty to one Southern misfutures in the Sun

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Speaker 4: Belt West to possibly get to the game where we

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Speaker 4: can make an assessment on what we want to do.

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Speaker 2: To make a little money. It's been a great season.

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Speaker 4: I'm really excited about getting college hoops fired up here,

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Speaker 4: but I wanted to just take a quick minute and

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Speaker 4: wish all of our loyal listeners are happy Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 2: We appreciate you sticking with us this year. We've had

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Speaker 2: a lot of fun.

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Speaker 4: We've gotten to the window quite a bit for you

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Speaker 4: and looking forward to running that back again next year.

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Speaker 4: But before that, we'll get on the hardwood here and

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Speaker 4: spend some time in the college hoops scene. But for now,

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Speaker 4: we're going to get some best bets to the window.

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Speaker 1: I know I speak for Duck on this one. I'm

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Speaker 1: thankful for the audience. You guys have been phenomenal this season,

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Speaker 1: maybe more so than any year that we've had thus far.

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Speaker 1: We had the weekend warm up show that we debuted

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Speaker 1: on Fridays. We're going to try to have some variation

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Speaker 1: of that during college basketball season, so you can cut

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Speaker 1: it up with us in real time. Hit us with

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Speaker 1: live questions, the interactions, the live show on Saturday, the comments,

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Speaker 1: the five star reviews, liking and subscribing to the YouTube

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Speaker 1: Channel's really helped us grow our brand, and we wouldn't

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Speaker 1: have a show. We wouldn't have an opportunity to do

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Speaker 1: this for a living if it wasn't for you guys.

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Speaker 1: So thank you so much. I hope that everyone enjoys

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Speaker 1: their Thanksgiving and then we can give you some winners.

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Speaker 1: But before we get into it into those best bets,

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Speaker 1: let's toss over to Stucky for a quick word from

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Speaker 1: our sponsor, DraftKings.

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Speaker 5: The Big Bets on Campus podcast the sponsored by DraftKings

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Speaker 1: Thanks Ducky. And now before we can do our best

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Speaker 1: bets for Week fourteen, if you'd like to tail some

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Speaker 1: it's now time for our best bets here in Week fourteen, Duck,

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Speaker 1: please take it away with really the safest bet in

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Speaker 1: college football, which is meet me the Roadrunners in the Almodome.

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Speaker 1: They're laying a number. It fell a little trappy to

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Speaker 1: me because I feel you don't have to be a

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Speaker 1: college football expert to know that UTSA has been a

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Speaker 1: covering machine and certainly an outright machine at home in

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Speaker 1: San Antonio. Yet they're only laying six and a half

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Speaker 1: against Army. Why do you think that is? Before you

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Speaker 1: get into all of the analytics and go under the

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Speaker 1: hood with why UTSA is a good play here, do

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Speaker 1: you think anything smells fishy.

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Speaker 2: With this number?

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Speaker 4: I mean, not necessarily based on Army's style of play.

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Speaker 4: They are propensity to play in close games. This is

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Speaker 4: actually a pretty heated battle. San Antonio is a pretty

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Speaker 4: intense military town, and Army takes this game very seriously.

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Speaker 1: They show up.

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Speaker 4: They generally play pretty well in the Alamo Dome, and

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Speaker 4: I think when you're just making a power ratings play,

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Speaker 4: when you're trying to assess the totality of the season

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Speaker 4: for both and then factor in some home field, I mean,

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Speaker 4: there's really not much more you can do other than

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Speaker 4: six and a half, seven, seven and a half, whatever

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Speaker 4: it might be, So you really can't go much higher

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Speaker 4: on this. I was surprised to see its steam over seven,

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Speaker 4: but I still like the play, and I'll ask anybody,

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Speaker 4: how much.

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Speaker 2: More do we need to see from these guys at

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Speaker 2: home in the dome?

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Speaker 4: Utsa is just such a different team. We've had strong

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Speaker 4: home showings in every game this season outside of that

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Speaker 4: first game against Texas State at home. Robert Henry could

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Speaker 4: be back at running back San Antonio. You know, you

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Speaker 4: look at the dome and the way that they defend

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Speaker 4: it and the way they throw the ball around. I

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Speaker 4: don't think Army's defense is going to be able to

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Speaker 4: rack up enough pressure on McCown to get them rattled.

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Speaker 4: Army ranks just one hundred and twenty fifth overall in

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Speaker 4: defensive havoc. They can't stop the pass. The Black Knights

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Speaker 4: one twenty seventh in pass play success allowed. UTSA excellent

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Speaker 4: at home and securing explosive plays and McCown a twenty

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Speaker 4: five to six touchdown to interception ratio eighteen touchdowns zero

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Speaker 4: interceptions at home. I don't trust Army's pass defense. I

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Speaker 4: do trust the triangle of toughness and that UTSA defense

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Speaker 4: at home. Just look what they did in recent games

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Speaker 4: against Tulane and ECU, just completely dominated the trenches, really

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Speaker 4: retavoc on the opposing quarterbacks. I think it's going to

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Speaker 4: be real, real trouble here for Army. There's only one

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Speaker 4: more thing that matters for Army this season, and it's

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Speaker 4: not beating UTSA. I'm laying it here with the road

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Speaker 4: Runners minus seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: Me. I like that one a lot too. I think

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Speaker 1: it's the only side you could potentially have in a

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Speaker 1: game like this. You can't step in front of the

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Speaker 1: UTSA freight train when it comes to them playing on

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Speaker 1: their home turf inside the Almodome. All right, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go to Conference Usa UTEP at Delaware, the Blue Hens

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Speaker 1: laying five and a half. I'm gonna lay it. Blue

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Speaker 1: Hens are still one win away from Bowl eligibility. As

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Speaker 1: we stressed time and time again, yes they are ineligible.

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Speaker 1: But if there's not enough teams to qualify, which is

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Speaker 1: looking increasingly likely as we head towards Bowl season, or

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Speaker 1: if a team backs out because coach quits, or there's

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Speaker 1: some team mutiny which has happened before, Bam you dell

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Speaker 1: could get in if and only if they get to

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Speaker 1: six wins. Here they are sitting at five and six.

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Speaker 1: Let's review real quick how Delaware is played in Newark

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Speaker 1: this season, and so the commenters out there, they always

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Speaker 1: give Stucky shit for this for some reason. It's Newark.

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Speaker 1: It's Newark. No it's not. It is Newark, Delaware. If

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Speaker 1: you're not from Delaware or you're not from southeastern Pennsylvania,

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Speaker 1: maybe don't know that, but just a heads up there

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Speaker 1: to the people won the comment section. Let's look at

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Speaker 1: how they played in Newark, all right. They handled FCS

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Speaker 1: in state rival in Delaware state. They upset a nine

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Speaker 1: win Yukon team in overtime. They outgained an eight win

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Speaker 1: Western Kentucky team by one hundred yards in a fluky

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Speaker 1: twenty seven to twenty four loss. Then they beat Middle

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Speaker 1: Tennessee by three, and they beat Louisiana Tech by one.

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Speaker 1: UTEP meanwhile was drawn dead. They're two to nine this

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Speaker 1: whole Scottie Waldon, let's do it with relentless enthusiasm. It

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Speaker 1: hasn't worked. It just I mean, this is a podcast

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Speaker 1: that was built on minor Nation. We would love to

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Speaker 1: see them playing some good football. That's just not been

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Speaker 1: the case. In twenty twenty five. They've lost four straight.

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Speaker 1: They've given up thirty plus in all four of those losses.

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Speaker 1: The quarterback play is simply not there. Skylar Locklear his

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Speaker 1: QBR during this losing streak thirty six point two. And

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Speaker 1: on the other side, just in the quarterback battle, Minakuchi's

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Speaker 1: gonna cook this UTEP defense. They struggle to rush the passer,

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Speaker 1: they're even worse in coverage and from a clean pocket.

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Speaker 1: He is fifteen big time throws this season and sixteen

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Speaker 1: passing touchdowns. So if you give them time, he can

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Speaker 1: absolutely pick you apart. And if you can't get to him,

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Speaker 1: he's got a little wiggle. He's got that game from

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Speaker 1: earlier this season where he had three rushing touchdowns. If

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Speaker 1: he has a lot of time and he's you know,

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Speaker 1: seeing clearly he's got the passing lanes, he can also

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Speaker 1: tuck it and run. So somebody to consider in this

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Speaker 1: one and last thing, longest road trip in Conference USA,

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Speaker 1: at least as the crow flies more or less an

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Speaker 1: equal distance in terms of New Mexico State or UTEP

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Speaker 1: to go all the way cross country to U Dell.

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Speaker 1: But this is a brutal late season road trip for

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Speaker 1: a team that's basically thrown up the white flag. In

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Speaker 1: five roadies this year, UTEP has scored a touchdown in

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Speaker 1: the first quarter only twice. Otherwise they've been shut out,

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Speaker 1: and one of those times was against Sam Houston. So

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Speaker 1: a slow start, Udell having a little bit of juice.

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Speaker 1: The crowd's probably going to be there for the last

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Speaker 1: home game of their inaugural FBS season. U Dell's gonna

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Speaker 1: jump all over him. I'm gonna go ahead and lay

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Speaker 1: the five and a half duck. What do you got

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Speaker 1: for your second best bet here? In Week fourteen?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so I like Coastal Carolina's team total under fifteen

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Speaker 4: and a half. I would anticipate jmu's defense to really

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Speaker 4: show up and give a strong performance here, as they

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Speaker 4: have much of the way in the second half of

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Speaker 4: the season, and I would expect Coastal's offense to show up.

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Speaker 2: Debt on arrival here.

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Speaker 4: Samrio Collier is out and he was really the draw

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Speaker 4: that stirs the drink for Coastal's resurgence on offense. If

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Speaker 4: you remember, before he was inserted into the lineup, the

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Speaker 4: first four or five games of the season, this Coastal

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Speaker 4: offense could hardly get a first down, let alone move

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Speaker 4: the ball down the field and score points. You just

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Speaker 4: can't count on these guys to do anything without him,

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Speaker 4: And now JMU is coming to town to put the

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Speaker 4: bow on the perfect conference season. It's really the closing

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Speaker 4: argument for JMU for their validity to be the top

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Speaker 4: G five team and make their playoff push here. I

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Speaker 4: think they still feel a little disrespected about how tou

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Speaker 4: Lane was able to get in or get into the

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Speaker 4: top ranking. Anyway, I look at Jami's defense, they do

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Speaker 4: not give up explosive plays. You can't run the ball

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Speaker 4: effectively on these guys. They're giving up less than three

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Speaker 4: yards per carry on the ground this year. Zero explosive

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Speaker 4: rushing plays, the front seven creation, it's havoc as good

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Speaker 4: as anyone at the G five level. I just don't

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Speaker 4: see this going well for Coastal Carolina. We remember when

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Speaker 4: Tad Hudson was the starting quarterback and it looked just

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Speaker 4: so jerky and just so choppy offensively for Coastal Carolina.

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Speaker 4: I can't see them getting right here. And I really

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Speaker 4: just don't see a lot of motivation for what this

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Speaker 4: team has showing up for this week. JMU has all

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Speaker 4: the motivation in the world. I think their defense is

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Speaker 4: locked in here. I think they win this game comfortably

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Speaker 4: and Coastal will stay under the fifteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'll close out Week fourteen with my second best bet,

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Speaker 1: ul Monroe Trevelin in State to play Louisiana formerly Louisiana

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Speaker 1: Lafayette the Raigingcasions laying eleven.

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Speaker 2: And a half.

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Speaker 1: I like the favorite in this one. This is another

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Speaker 1: dead team walking conversation. You talked about it just then

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Speaker 1: with Coastal the Warhawks. I mean, yes, somehow they beat

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Speaker 1: Arkansas State twenty eight to sixteen back on September twenty seventh.

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Speaker 1: Since then, though, they have just fallen off a cliff. Offensively,

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Speaker 1: they've been held as single digits three times, below fifteen

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Speaker 1: points six times since September twenty seventh. The offense is

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Speaker 1: just completely listless. They got dominated by Texas State, who

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Speaker 1: we've talked many times throughout the season. That was the

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Speaker 1: missing component. They had no defense. They were a half team.

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Speaker 1: They didn't score at all until halfway until the third

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Speaker 1: quarter against the Bobs, which is just pathetic in Louisiana.

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Speaker 1: You guessed it. It's going to be a theme of

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Speaker 1: this episode for me. They need one more win to

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Speaker 1: make a bowl game. And Michael Desermo, by the way,

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Speaker 1: every year they's been a head coach, he's led his

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Speaker 1: team to a bowl game, so you know him and

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Speaker 1: his staff they care about this. It's why they've dug in,

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Speaker 1: dug deep, and pulled out three straight wins to get

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Speaker 1: into this position. They also gave James mass in Southern

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Speaker 1: miss and Troy games. You know those were all below

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns in terms of the margin for a team

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Speaker 1: that just didn't have anything go right at the beginning

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Speaker 1: of the year, losing Walker Howard. They got off the

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Speaker 1: mat and a big reason for that was Launch Winfield.

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Speaker 1: He's punched in ten total touchdowns in these three games

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Speaker 1: that they've reeled off at the end of the season.

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Speaker 1: He's a killer on the ground, and when you look

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Speaker 1: at the comps, the Warhawks have not been able to

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Speaker 1: stop rushing quarterbacks. They got cooked by Colton Joseph for

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Speaker 1: three rushing touchdowns. Samri Collier you just mentioned, gave him

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Speaker 1: eighty six on the ground and a score. Brad Jackson

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Speaker 1: two eighty eight on the ground and a pair of tds.

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Speaker 1: This is a good blowout spot for the Cajuns. I

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Speaker 1: think this is going to launch them into their bowl game.

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Speaker 1: This is the kind of season that could have been

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Speaker 1: a lost year and really hurt them in the transfer

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Speaker 1: market and recruiting at the high school level. But instead

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Speaker 1: then get to a point and say, listen, another year,

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Speaker 1: another bowl game under Desermo. I really like the Cajuns here.

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Speaker 1: I think this is also, to borrow a phrase of yours, stuck.

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Speaker 1: I think it was a margin call situation. They could

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Speaker 1: win this one by north of three touchdowns and then

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden, you're getting a tasty payout on that.

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Speaker 1: Any thoughts on the alternate line between Monroe and Louisiana

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Speaker 1: LAFA yet.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I like it.

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Speaker 4: I was a little disappointed in Texas State last week

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Speaker 4: that they didn't get us to the window. They had

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Speaker 4: so many chances to score and they just could not

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Speaker 4: formulate enough successful plays to move the ball into the

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Speaker 4: red zone and they didn't score enough points. But the

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Speaker 4: defense showed up. I think Louisiana Monrose just a dead

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Speaker 4: team walking. There's very little motivation. We see such uninspired

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Speaker 4: play from the offense. I don't think the defense is

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Speaker 4: playing well enough to be able to contain what Louisiana

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Speaker 4: is going to throw out there offensively.

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Speaker 2: This is a rivalry game.

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Speaker 4: I think if the Cajuns are going to be able

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Speaker 4: to punch another one in late just just for the

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Speaker 4: hell of it, I think they'll do it. I think

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Speaker 4: Louisiana has a lot of motivation here to get to

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Speaker 4: Bowl eligibility.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I like this one a lot.

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Speaker 4: I think Louisiana could win this end up winning this

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Speaker 4: game by three or four touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Lunch Winfield's going from that like sad brown bag

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Speaker 1: lunch to potentially one of those nice corporate box lunches

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Speaker 1: you get. Maybe that's nice chicken salad, some slice scrapes

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Speaker 1: in there, the artists and potato chips. Everyone's who's going

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Speaker 1: to sit through some kind of symposium knows when those

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Speaker 1: box lunches are coming out. He's a premiere lunch. This

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Speaker 1: is going to be a premier performance. All right. This

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Speaker 1: gets us to your forming AT offense.

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Speaker 5: I'm out of time.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I got.

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Speaker 1: At which is a doozy in Conference USA. No, it's

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Speaker 1: been a punching bag or a punchline for much of

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Speaker 1: the season in terms of the level play top to bottom.

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Speaker 1: But now we got Western Kentucky, we got Jacksonville State.

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Speaker 1: The winner goes to the championship game of CUSA. This

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Speaker 1: one could be potentially pretty fun. Walk me through what

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Speaker 1: you're seeing.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this is a really fun game here. Like you

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Speaker 4: had mentioned, the winner goes. The loser still could go,

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Speaker 4: but likely not a really big revenge spot last year

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Speaker 4: from when Jacksonville State defeated Western Kentucky handily in the

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Speaker 4: Conference USA title game. Last season, I look at WKU.

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Speaker 4: Their offense has really found something since they've inserted freshman

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Speaker 4: quarterback Rodney Tisdale in at quarterback, completing sixty seven percent

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Speaker 4: of his passes. A nine to three touchdown to interception

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Speaker 4: ratio and conference play. Jacksonville State defensively has been torched

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Speaker 4: through the air most of the way this season. The

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Speaker 4: last six or seven weeks have been particularly bad. The

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Speaker 4: j State pass rush is graded as the best in

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Speaker 4: the conference, so there's a chance that that front seven

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Speaker 4: can create a little pressure. But I would assume that

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Speaker 4: Tisdale can wiggle out of that and create some plays

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Speaker 4: with his legs, as he's shown some escapability since he's

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Speaker 4: been inserted at quarterback. I don't think WKU defensively is

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Speaker 4: really going to be able to stop the ground attack

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Speaker 4: for Jacksonville State. We should see a ton of explosive

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Speaker 4: plays on the ground. The game Cocks have rushed for

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Speaker 4: two hundred and fifty yards or more in their last

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Speaker 4: three and in seven of their last eight games. Overall,

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Speaker 4: major trouble coming for WKU defensively. I think, you know,

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Speaker 4: you look at both teams. They both have pretty decent

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Speaker 4: special teams. The field goal operations are solid. Western Kentucky

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Speaker 4: has the better red zone defense, and that is really

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Speaker 4: a concern here because Jacksonville State has settled for plenty

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Speaker 4: of empty trips or kicked a ton of field goals.

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Speaker 4: You look at the red zone percentage. Jacksonville State just

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Speaker 4: sixty three percent touchdowns and thirteen red zone field goals

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Speaker 4: this season. If j State can capitol in the red zone,

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Speaker 4: if they cash in for seven, they're gonna win this

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Speaker 4: football game outright. So yeah, I think I also look

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Speaker 4: at WKU, their red zone offense has been better since

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Speaker 4: Tisdale has taken over. If you look at the numbers

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Speaker 4: over the course of the season, they don't look that impressive.

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Speaker 4: But I think, you know, since since Tisdale has taken over,

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Speaker 4: that team is cashing in. Western Kentucky's cashing in in

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Speaker 4: the red zone for six. I don't think either one

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Speaker 4: of these defenses is very good. I think we're gonna

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Speaker 4: get some sea to your pants football. Everyone's gonna, you know,

390
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Speaker 4: throw out the record books, to pull out all the stops,

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Speaker 4: empty the playbook, whatever you want to say.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a high scoring game.

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Speaker 4: You can go find fifty four and a half I

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Speaker 4: think is available with our friends over at DraftKings.

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Speaker 2: I like the over here. I think both these teams

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Speaker 2: have a chance to get into the thirties.

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Speaker 4: It should be back and forth football, not a lot

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Speaker 4: of weather that would inhibit any sort of big plays

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Speaker 4: or scoring. I think over fifty four and a half

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Speaker 4: is where we should go here.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the points with Western. It's at about

402
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Speaker 1: two and a half out there in the market right now.

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Speaker 1: And I've heard plenty of sharp people in our industry

404
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Speaker 1: called both the Toppers and the Cocks at separate times

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Speaker 1: this season frauds. And I get why they say that

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville State is a one trick pony. If you don't

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Speaker 1: get killed by Cam Cook, you can beat them. The

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Speaker 1: problem is he's run all all over every single Conference

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Speaker 1: USA defense. He's averaging one hundred and forty six yards

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Speaker 1: per game on the ground in conference play with eleven

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Speaker 1: rushing scores across those seven games. But guess what Western Kentucky,

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Speaker 1: if they want to hang their hat on anything.

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Speaker 2: Twenty ninth in.

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Speaker 1: Rush success defense, sixty fifth in line yards forty seventh,

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Speaker 1: and stuff rate. And they just held LSU. I understand

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Speaker 1: that LSU. Their head was not in it. They kind

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Speaker 1: of were going through the motions physically. They had everything

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Speaker 1: that they needed, you know, to be able to just

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Speaker 1: bully them. At the Lion of Scrimmage. They held the

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Speaker 1: Bayou Bengals to three point four yards per carry, and

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Speaker 1: as you said, Tisdale run the show. It's just a

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Speaker 1: different situation throughout the LSU game. I don't care about that.

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Speaker 1: He's not going to face any athletes like that in

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Speaker 1: this game against Jacksonville State and his three starts before that,

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Speaker 1: three wins, nine touchdowns, three interceptions, three hundred and thirty

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Speaker 1: seven total yards per game. So I think the offense

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Speaker 1: has been reborn. Bouie knows how to use him in

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Speaker 1: this system. So I'm gonna go with Western here and

429
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Speaker 1: just hope that they can put fifteen guys in the box.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's eyes on Cam Cook. Just don't let this guy

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Speaker 1: go off for two hundred yards. I think they win

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Speaker 1: this game and cover this number. All right with that,

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Speaker 1: it's time for our G five money line Parlay, presented

434
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 1: by DraftKings Sportsbook. And we've been close many times. It's

435
00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 1: time to get over that hump here.

436
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:30,760
Speaker 5: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

437
00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:32,240
Speaker 5: money line parlay.

438
00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:35,640
Speaker 1: I'm gonna get this started. I swore off the MAC,

439
00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 1: but here I am at the end of the season

440
00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:40,800
Speaker 1: pulling a max team out because there just weren't that

441
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,879
Speaker 1: many enticing dogs in G five Land this week. In

442
00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:46,840
Speaker 1: my opinion, a lot of teams that either had lots

443
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:48,840
Speaker 1: of play for teams have thrown up the white flag.

444
00:20:49,200 --> 00:20:51,240
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna go with Kent State plus one eighty

445
00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 1: five on the money line. And if you take out

446
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,920
Speaker 1: their blowout loss it Toledo, where I think Toledo scored

447
00:20:56,960 --> 00:20:58,520
Speaker 1: forty five straight points in that game. If you take

448
00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 1: that one out, they've been competitive for six weeks out

449
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:04,120
Speaker 1: of seven, let's call it. They beat the crap out

450
00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,320
Speaker 1: of UMass. They nipped Bowling Green in a close win.

451
00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:09,440
Speaker 1: They won the goddamn wagon Wheel in overtime. That put

452
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,280
Speaker 1: a lot of wind in their sales. To have these

453
00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:14,160
Speaker 1: guys continuing to believe and to play for their coaching

454
00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 1: staff and maybe they're all headed for the portal or

455
00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 1: greener pastures, but they want to put some good things

456
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:21,240
Speaker 1: on tape and they've done that. They lost by four

457
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:23,520
Speaker 1: against ball State, and they left points on the board

458
00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:25,959
Speaker 1: in a twelve point loss at Central Michigan where they

459
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,440
Speaker 1: missed a kick in the second half that potentially would

460
00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:30,120
Speaker 1: have given them a chance maybe to tie it late.

461
00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:33,120
Speaker 1: Really that kind of swung the game. But my point

462
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,400
Speaker 1: being this week Ken State team that we all rode off,

463
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:40,040
Speaker 1: the coaching turmoil, the personnel continuity issues, who is going

464
00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:42,639
Speaker 1: to play quarterback? This team had nothing. This team was

465
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,320
Speaker 1: a candidate to go for or maybe have one win,

466
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:47,800
Speaker 1: and here they are with four already at this point

467
00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:50,639
Speaker 1: in the season, and now they're going up against you know,

468
00:21:50,920 --> 00:21:54,440
Speaker 1: an NIU team as a favorite. Hard pass whenever it

469
00:21:54,480 --> 00:21:57,040
Speaker 1: comes to the Huskies when they're in a spot where

470
00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:59,760
Speaker 1: they are a favorite, they are eleven twenty five and

471
00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:03,359
Speaker 1: one under Hammock against the spread. In those thirty seven games,

472
00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 1: they've lost outright eighteen times. Of teams with at least

473
00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 1: twenty such games as a favorite, that's the lowest winning

474
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:15,159
Speaker 1: percentage in FBS football since twenty nineteen when Hammick took over. Now,

475
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 1: when I look at the you know, the actual personnel

476
00:22:17,320 --> 00:22:19,240
Speaker 1: on the field I talked about, you know, the Golden

477
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:22,240
Speaker 1: Flashes not having much of it. Well, Drew the Shields

478
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 1: has been a really promising freshman uneven but you know what,

479
00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 1: that's what you're gonna get from freshman this year. But

480
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,680
Speaker 1: when he runs around, he can make big plays happen.

481
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:31,639
Speaker 1: And as I said earlier in the season, when I

482
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:33,720
Speaker 1: was watching that game against Buffalo that they almost won

483
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,200
Speaker 1: outright end up losing thirty one to twenty eight. I've

484
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 1: never seen a guy make more throws running full speed

485
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,120
Speaker 1: at the line of scrimmage than him at this point.

486
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 1: It's not a fluke. He's like a three point shooter

487
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:44,959
Speaker 1: who knows exactly where the stripe is. He knows how

488
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 1: to get so close to it. And what's interesting is

489
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:51,480
Speaker 1: if you have linebackers who are not natural in coverage,

490
00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:53,240
Speaker 1: we're not used to that, they get stuck in that

491
00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 1: no man's land where all of a sudden, the coaching staff,

492
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 1: the d linman they're yelling at of the quarterback scrambling,

493
00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:00,919
Speaker 1: they turn their head around. That's where he's hurt teams.

494
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,359
Speaker 1: So it's just from you know, a perspective of actually

495
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:05,639
Speaker 1: watching this kid play. I've seen what he can do,

496
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:07,800
Speaker 1: and I don't think it's all fluky in terms of

497
00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,040
Speaker 1: the big plays that he's created. And I you, by

498
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:11,760
Speaker 1: the way, if they fall behind in this game and

499
00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:14,639
Speaker 1: the Shield starts making some plays, their offense is brutal.

500
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:16,800
Speaker 1: If they don't break a long run, which has been

501
00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:19,119
Speaker 1: the only thing that saved their bacon this entire season.

502
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 1: They're screwed because they have no consistency offensively. They have

503
00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:24,800
Speaker 1: no consistency in the run game, no real push there,

504
00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:26,919
Speaker 1: and the quarterback play. You could argue it can't get

505
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 1: any worse at the FBS level from a success rate

506
00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 1: perspective on aerials this year they are dead last one

507
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:34,480
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty six out of one hundred and thirty

508
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 1: six teams at the FBS level. They never found a

509
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:40,280
Speaker 1: replacement for Trayvon Rudolph and not being able to have

510
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:42,320
Speaker 1: that game breaker even just to take the top off

511
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,440
Speaker 1: the defense, that's clearly hurt them deeply this year. He's

512
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:48,840
Speaker 1: such a valuable asset for that Toledo offense. By the way,

513
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,159
Speaker 1: I think like the last piece of it here, the

514
00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:57,439
Speaker 1: last note that I want to go over. They're clearly

515
00:23:57,520 --> 00:23:59,960
Speaker 1: their heart and their head is already in the Mountain West.

516
00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 1: They've said goodbye to the MAC. I don't know exactly

517
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:04,400
Speaker 1: the moment when they had their farewell in their mind,

518
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,120
Speaker 1: but they're gone Kent kick their asses out the door

519
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 1: on the way out here because this has been a

520
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:11,920
Speaker 1: shameful performance. Really, since they're upset of Notre Dame. They're

521
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 1: just like you're welcome Mac. We're just gonna mail it

522
00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:16,520
Speaker 1: in the rest of the way here. I did not

523
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 1: see them necessarily playing this kind of football, you know,

524
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,760
Speaker 1: where they score three points earlier against San Diego State

525
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:25,040
Speaker 1: this season and then never figure it out offensively. You

526
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 1: would think given their success in past years with Rocky Lombardi, gritty,

527
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 1: finding ways to win, even getting creative in the run game,

528
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:36,439
Speaker 1: running some wildcat run in some Jets sweeps like do something.

529
00:24:37,240 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 1: They're just they're dead on arrival here. So I'm gonna

530
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:40,960
Speaker 1: take a Kent team that I never thought these words

531
00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 1: would come out of my mouth. They have juice, they

532
00:24:43,440 --> 00:24:46,120
Speaker 1: have excitement, and I think they're gonna win this one

533
00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 1: on the field. To borrow frase from a man duck here,

534
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 1: all right, what are we pairing it up with for

535
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 1: the G five money line? Parlay lay your little piece

536
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:54,960
Speaker 1: of magic on me.

537
00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:59,200
Speaker 4: Here, love it Kent State Golden Flashes on the field. Yeah,

538
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:01,600
Speaker 4: we're gonna pair it up Utah State. The Aggies have

539
00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 4: been absolutely lights out at home this season five and

540
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 4: oho straight up and against the number. The play of

541
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 4: the Utah State defense over the last several weeks has

542
00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:12,560
Speaker 4: been impressive. Really put the clamps on Fresno State in

543
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:16,160
Speaker 4: the second half. They did fairly well against that unlv

544
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:18,440
Speaker 4: rushing attack. It was the field goal kicker who really

545
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:22,600
Speaker 4: cost him that game. But Dunewell has Utah State in

546
00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:28,440
Speaker 4: preventing big plays against them fifty first nationally in limiting explosiveness.

547
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:31,840
Speaker 4: The secondary has been pretty good against the pass. And

548
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:35,239
Speaker 4: you know, I look at last week, the Broncos were

549
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 4: in a good spot to take advantage of lifeless Colorado

550
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 4: State and really put up a big number at home

551
00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:45,160
Speaker 4: on the blue turf. It looks so bad the previous

552
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 4: two games for Boise State's offense, and I really just

553
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 4: don't know that I trust Boise State to go on

554
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:56,000
Speaker 4: the road at Utah State. The ground attack has just

555
00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:59,480
Speaker 4: been averaged nothing like we saw last year. Boise's offense

556
00:25:59,480 --> 00:26:02,720
Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty seventh nationally and explosive plays registered.

557
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,160
Speaker 4: We look at the front seven on defense for the Broncos,

558
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,560
Speaker 4: not nearly what it was last season. Utah State should

559
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,440
Speaker 4: be able to protect Bryce and Barnes. They're going to

560
00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:15,399
Speaker 4: throw the ball around a little bit here. The offense

561
00:26:15,480 --> 00:26:18,320
Speaker 4: for Utah State has been really good at securing explosive

562
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:21,280
Speaker 4: plays and Boise gives that up a ton on defense.

563
00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 4: That Boise defense could absolutely get shredded here, something I

564
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,200
Speaker 4: would really be concerned about. But at the end of

565
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 4: the day, when you look at when you look at

566
00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,600
Speaker 4: Max Culpfirth, I just do not trust him to step

567
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:37,640
Speaker 4: in on the road. I like the spot for Utah State.

568
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:39,800
Speaker 4: I just think when you look at how many times

569
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,320
Speaker 4: Utah State has been embarrassed by Boise State over the years,

570
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:45,720
Speaker 4: and there's even been some times where they've been really

571
00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 4: really close and just can't get there.

572
00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:48,640
Speaker 2: This is the year.

573
00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 4: They're motivated, They've got the staff that can scheme it up.

574
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:54,920
Speaker 4: I think Utah State is really dangerous in their home finale.

575
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:57,920
Speaker 4: I think they can win this game on the field.

576
00:26:58,000 --> 00:26:59,920
Speaker 4: So I took three and a half as an official play.

577
00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 4: I like the money line.

578
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:02,280
Speaker 2: We're going to log that in the app.

579
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:04,800
Speaker 4: You toss day will win this game out right on Friday.

580
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:07,800
Speaker 1: If you head over now to DraftKings, you can lock

581
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:10,760
Speaker 1: this in at six to one. All right, that's our

582
00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 1: moneyline Parlay presented by DraftKings. Check out the Parlay Express

583
00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:16,760
Speaker 1: account in the free award winning Action Network app where

584
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Speaker 1: this will be posted. You can also find a bunch

585
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 1: of other long shot bets and fun parlays there as well. Also,

586
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:25,680
Speaker 1: you can go to the episode description for the quick

587
00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:28,960
Speaker 1: slip link it's both in the episode and video description,

588
00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:31,360
Speaker 1: or visit actionetwork dot com slash bet now to find

589
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 1: and tail some of the bets that we've discussed here

590
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,560
Speaker 1: thus far in the show. All right, duck, it is

591
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:40,240
Speaker 1: two minute drill time, which for you means some FCS

592
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,920
Speaker 1: action the playoffs, Like how excited are you about this

593
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:46,920
Speaker 1: field at the FCS level? And before you even get

594
00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:49,880
Speaker 1: into this two minute drill, just a quick sixty seconds.

595
00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 1: This is not business as usual? Correct, This is not

596
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:58,160
Speaker 1: just two absolute behemoths just barreling towards an FCS championship game.

597
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:01,760
Speaker 1: This feels like an open field, right? I think so.

598
00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 4: North Dakota State is the best team in FCS. But

599
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:07,439
Speaker 4: I don't think that they're unbeatable. I don't think they

600
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:11,359
Speaker 4: are without weakness. And I look at some of the

601
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,840
Speaker 4: results that they have played to this season, thirty eight

602
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:16,919
Speaker 4: to thirty against Youngstown State, fifteen to ten against North Dakota.

603
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,840
Speaker 4: This team at any point in time, if you get

604
00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,760
Speaker 4: the right matchup. There are several teams in this field

605
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 4: that can give North Dakota State a game. They're a

606
00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:29,600
Speaker 4: deserved favorite, they're a heavy favorite, but this is going

607
00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:32,159
Speaker 4: to be a really, really fun playoff. I was just

608
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 4: so disappointed. I thought the selection committee did okay at

609
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:41,160
Speaker 4: selecting the teams. I was really disappointed that Monmouth has

610
00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:43,600
Speaker 4: thirty two point favorites lost at home to All Buty

611
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 4: because if they hadn't lost outright, they would have been

612
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:48,280
Speaker 4: in the field and somebody else would have been bumped.

613
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 4: So I'm sad for Derek Robertson. I'm sad for Monmouth

614
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 4: that they didn't get in. I thought they should have

615
00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:54,800
Speaker 4: deserved to get in if they would have.

616
00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 2: Won, but they didn't.

617
00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 1: So that's the way it goes.

618
00:28:57,680 --> 00:28:59,560
Speaker 4: Fun though, really really fun time of the year to

619
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 4: get the play rolling, and I'm going to get my

620
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:04,640
Speaker 4: two minute drill rolling with the University of South Dakota

621
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,640
Speaker 4: projected about thirteen or fourteen and a half. Here rematch

622
00:29:08,720 --> 00:29:11,000
Speaker 4: up an earlier season game played with Drake. This was

623
00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:15,360
Speaker 4: played really before the Yoats started rolling here, but you

624
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 4: look at how that game played. USD controlled it throughout.

625
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:20,640
Speaker 4: They led forty two to seven before taking the fourth

626
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 4: quarter off the Yoats should absolutely dominate in the trenches here.

627
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 4: On defense, they'll create a ton of negative plays. I

628
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:29,920
Speaker 4: do not think that Drake will be able to block

629
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 4: it up front. They're not skilled enough to pass the

630
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 4: ball out of trouble. Pioneer Football League teams are used

631
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:38,320
Speaker 4: to getting pounded in the first round of the playoffs

632
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 4: year after year after year, and this.

633
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:41,240
Speaker 2: Will be no different.

634
00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 4: If it's under two touchdowns, it's going to be a

635
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 4: really sizable play. But anything under twenty I'm going to

636
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:48,480
Speaker 4: have a play on the Yoats. Next before we going

637
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 4: to South Dakota State in New Hampshire, I'm looking at

638
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,360
Speaker 4: under forty eight. New Hampshire is really going to struggle

639
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,880
Speaker 4: against this SDSU defense, which does not give up explosive

640
00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 4: plays through the year, and the secondary has fourteen in

641
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 4: or seven on the season. Chase Mason is still up

642
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 4: in the air and if he's going to play, if

643
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:07,040
Speaker 4: he's not going to play. The Jacks were really really

644
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,440
Speaker 4: run heavy last week, and I would anticipate they run

645
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:12,040
Speaker 4: the ball here a ton and have some success on

646
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,959
Speaker 4: the ground. It is going to be absolutely freezing coldon

647
00:30:15,000 --> 00:30:18,760
Speaker 4: Brookings on Saturday, twenty two degrees before you If actor,

648
00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:21,920
Speaker 4: the wind, chill, and possibilities of some snow. This weather

649
00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:24,280
Speaker 4: stinks to play in. It's going to be hard for

650
00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:26,880
Speaker 4: both teams to get it rolling. Offensively. We're going to

651
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,800
Speaker 4: see a lot of punting possessions, a slow burning grinder.

652
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 4: I'm taking the under if it's forty eight and a

653
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:34,520
Speaker 4: half or so. Last one we're going to Yale. We

654
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,160
Speaker 4: saw the formula for Yale last week when they defeated

655
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 4: Harvard handily to win the IVY League. They play stout defense,

656
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 4: they don't give up explosives, They get to the quarterback

657
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:46,479
Speaker 4: on defense. They are going to create some major issues

658
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 4: for y State quarterback Bo Bruntguard. He's the team's leading rusher.

659
00:30:51,280 --> 00:30:53,840
Speaker 4: He's a really good passer, but he's really the one

660
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:56,640
Speaker 4: man operation. They've got a few other pieces around them

661
00:30:56,880 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 4: for the Penguins, but he's really the do it all guy.

662
00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 2: It's gonna be tough for.

663
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:04,920
Speaker 4: Him to really get it going against this Yale front. Offensively,

664
00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 4: Yale is absolutely gonna pound the rock with Josh Pittsenberger.

665
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 4: He's a really solid running back. We saw it on

666
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 4: display on ESPNU last week.

667
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 2: But he's the guy.

668
00:31:13,960 --> 00:31:16,440
Speaker 4: He's run for thirteen hundred yards this season, and he

669
00:31:16,800 --> 00:31:21,160
Speaker 4: is going to dash Youngstown States defense, which has been

670
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:24,640
Speaker 4: torched week after week after week this year. The IVY

671
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:27,080
Speaker 4: League is very good. I think they're underrated. Yale can

672
00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,080
Speaker 4: win this game outright, and we're getting.

673
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 2: Three and a half. I'm gonna take those points with Yale.

674
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 1: All right for my two minute drill, Let's go San

675
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,600
Speaker 1: Diego State short favorite on the road at New Mexico

676
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,120
Speaker 1: and Albuquerque. The Essex are laying one point and a half.

677
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,760
Speaker 1: Gonna break some news here. Jason ec isn't long for Albuquerque.

678
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:45,720
Speaker 1: I think just everybody probably feels that in their gut.

679
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:48,760
Speaker 1: It hasn't been reported on all that much. But there

680
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 1: are too many games. Excuse me, there are too many

681
00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:53,280
Speaker 1: jobs that are gonna come open for a guy who

682
00:31:53,360 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 1: won too many games this year. It was an impossible situation.

683
00:31:56,320 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 1: Everybody looked at Bronco leaving, Devin Dan Pierre leaving, Jason

684
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:03,000
Speaker 1: back leaving, and we figured, if he wins three or

685
00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:06,040
Speaker 1: four games, that's solid momentum, that's keeping you know, the

686
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:09,560
Speaker 1: program upright. Then he goes and wins eight games somehow,

687
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 1: like he has all these you know, pieces that on

688
00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 1: papers shouldn't have been able to mesh together just an

689
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:18,800
Speaker 1: insanely good coaching job. And now you had this coaching

690
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:22,040
Speaker 1: carousel where not only are there massive jobs that have

691
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,800
Speaker 1: yet to be filled, but because there's so many, and

692
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 1: there's so many you know, itchy trigger fingers with athletic

693
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:31,520
Speaker 1: directors holding them all across the country, there's gonna be

694
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:34,120
Speaker 1: a domino effect and there's gonna be big jobs filled,

695
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:36,800
Speaker 1: and then medium P four jobs filled, and then from

696
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:39,320
Speaker 1: that they're gonna be coaching all over the place. At

697
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 1: the G five level, they're gonna be looking around pretty

698
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 1: soon and they're gonna say to themselves, who's the best

699
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,120
Speaker 1: guy I can get? And Jason Ack is going to

700
00:32:46,200 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 1: be one or two on those coaching lists for a

701
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:50,480
Speaker 1: lot of G five schools and really for some of

702
00:32:50,520 --> 00:32:54,040
Speaker 1: those middle range power for schools as well. He's proven

703
00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:56,240
Speaker 1: that he can win and do more with less. So

704
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:58,040
Speaker 1: what more do you need out of this guy? And

705
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,280
Speaker 1: while I love everything that he's done, respect them. They

706
00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 1: beat one team I respect all season long, and that

707
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:06,520
Speaker 1: was UNLV and their half team. They beat him forty

708
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 1: to thirty five in a shootout, because otherwise it was

709
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:12,959
Speaker 1: Idaho State FCS UCLA. Before the offensive makeover. They were

710
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:16,760
Speaker 1: just absolutely dreadful New Mexico State, Nevada, Utah State, which

711
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 1: you know, they've just kind of been an up and

712
00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:22,160
Speaker 1: down team. Certainly their home and away splits kind of

713
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 1: trouble me. Colorado State after the Rams clearly quit on

714
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 1: the season, and then Air Force without Zarka, that's their

715
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:31,840
Speaker 1: whole resume. So I just I don't see it. I

716
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,040
Speaker 1: want the Aztecs in the spot because they still have

717
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:37,400
Speaker 1: a salty defense that is held seven that's right, seven

718
00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:41,040
Speaker 1: different teams to single digits or shut them out. This

719
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 1: should be a much bigger story. Everybody just wants to

720
00:33:43,520 --> 00:33:46,520
Speaker 1: fight on Twitter on x You know, should we have

721
00:33:46,720 --> 00:33:48,800
Speaker 1: any G five teams in the playoff, why don't we

722
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 1: start celebrating these teams enough about the goddamn playoff? Like

723
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:54,880
Speaker 1: if North Texas makes it in or you know, another

724
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:57,640
Speaker 1: American school or James Madison they lose by three touchdowns,

725
00:33:57,800 --> 00:33:59,360
Speaker 1: then the argument's going to swing to ah. The G

726
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,200
Speaker 1: five's trash. The G five is not trash, and I

727
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 1: want to celebrate one of the best stories, which is

728
00:34:04,600 --> 00:34:08,040
Speaker 1: San Diego States defense. These guys have been absolute killers,

729
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:10,800
Speaker 1: and a win here clinches them a trip to the

730
00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:11,799
Speaker 1: Mountain West title game.

731
00:34:12,000 --> 00:34:12,880
Speaker 2: That's all I need to know.

732
00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:15,480
Speaker 1: Because this game is being played on a Friday. They

733
00:34:15,520 --> 00:34:17,960
Speaker 1: can't just wait it out and see where the other

734
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:20,520
Speaker 1: games shake out. They have to win it on the field.

735
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:22,440
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get premium effort and I think

736
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:24,879
Speaker 1: New Mexico's just a little bit overrated. All right, you're

737
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 1: gonna close out my two minute drill with this Temple

738
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:30,279
Speaker 1: at North Texas, North Texas laying nineteen and a half. Wait,

739
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:32,879
Speaker 1: hold on, Douck. I feel like the referee they're blowing

740
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:35,439
Speaker 1: this play dead. They're going to a review. They want

741
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 1: you in the booth. They're waving you over. Can you

742
00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:39,360
Speaker 1: look in here and tell us what's wrong with the

743
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 1: Temple offense because they've screwed you on like four bets

744
00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:44,160
Speaker 1: this year and they're all I mean, they're a well

745
00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:46,279
Speaker 1: coach team, Casey Keeler, we love them here at the

746
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:48,759
Speaker 1: Group of five deep dive. This offense just hasn't worked.

747
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:51,600
Speaker 1: Why has the Owls offense been flightless really for the

748
00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:52,120
Speaker 1: past month.

749
00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 2: I don't know.

750
00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:56,240
Speaker 4: They put up so many good performances when we haven't

751
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:58,359
Speaker 4: talked about them, and then we do talk about them.

752
00:34:58,400 --> 00:35:02,000
Speaker 4: And it's just been such a ruggle in recent weeks,

753
00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 4: and the last two home performances against East Carolina and

754
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:09,120
Speaker 4: Tulane have been really, really disheartening. We've seen the pass

755
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:13,120
Speaker 4: offense look just so choppy. Evan Simon has not been

756
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:17,040
Speaker 4: sharp and crisp, and ah, they could struggle again this

757
00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:19,480
Speaker 4: week too again North Texas. We saw it last week

758
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:23,719
Speaker 4: against Rice. Even in a fourteen nothing hole, you're never

759
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:27,040
Speaker 4: out of covering the number because their motivation is to

760
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:28,800
Speaker 4: score as many points as possible.

761
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 2: They score quickly.

762
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:34,320
Speaker 4: How many explosive long seventy yard touchdown passes did we

763
00:35:34,360 --> 00:35:37,399
Speaker 4: see against the Owls. Yeah, it's going to be pretty

764
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:39,960
Speaker 4: tough for Temple here in this one. I think the

765
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:42,319
Speaker 4: Me and Green are on schedule to score a ton

766
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:45,000
Speaker 4: of points this week. I was really disappointed in Temple's

767
00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:47,440
Speaker 4: offense last week. I thought they had some chances. I

768
00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 4: thought they made some stupid mistakes. They had some holding

769
00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 4: calls that pushed them back. It was just so disappointing

770
00:35:52,600 --> 00:35:55,000
Speaker 4: to see that team not get on a roll after

771
00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:57,440
Speaker 4: scoring the first touchdown, taking a seven to three lead.

772
00:35:58,120 --> 00:35:59,759
Speaker 4: Thought we had a chance for a little while, look

773
00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 4: to fun and then ended up being just an absolute

774
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,920
Speaker 4: turd show in the second half, So shitty performance from Temple.

775
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,520
Speaker 4: I was pissed off about it. I'm not happy that

776
00:36:07,600 --> 00:36:09,879
Speaker 4: that's how the Owls decided to go out. No Bowl

777
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:12,759
Speaker 4: game for Casey Keeler progress. Yes, am I happy with

778
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:13,640
Speaker 4: what the Owls have done.

779
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:18,200
Speaker 1: No a shitty turd show performance from Temple. You heard

780
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:21,560
Speaker 1: it here from Orman Duck. From that dysfunctional offense to

781
00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:24,520
Speaker 1: the hottest offense in America. Since North Texas has lost

782
00:36:24,600 --> 00:36:27,680
Speaker 1: to South Florida, They've averaged fifty points per game, five

783
00:36:28,160 --> 00:36:30,640
Speaker 1: zero Hawkins can go for two hundred on the ground.

784
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:34,200
Speaker 1: Messa Maker's shredded bad defenses all year long, and Temple

785
00:36:34,280 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 1: is ninety six in coverage, ninety fourth in pass defense

786
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:40,279
Speaker 1: success rate and also last piece of the puzzle here,

787
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 1: this is unt and their fan bases. This is their

788
00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:45,040
Speaker 1: last chance to see Eric Morris. I can talk about

789
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:47,319
Speaker 1: Jason Eck and project that he's going to go again

790
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:49,040
Speaker 1: a job. Eric Morris is going to be the Arkansas

791
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:51,720
Speaker 1: coach in like fifteen minutes, so they can go ahead,

792
00:36:52,000 --> 00:36:55,680
Speaker 1: clinch you a berth in the AAC title game. Storm

793
00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 1: the field be out there, have a great moment as

794
00:36:58,160 --> 00:37:00,719
Speaker 1: a community Intenton, you earned it. They're gonna do it

795
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 1: in blowout fashion. Nineteen and a half is just not

796
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:05,280
Speaker 1: enough points. I think they win this one by closer

797
00:37:05,320 --> 00:37:07,680
Speaker 1: to twenty eight thirty five points, somewhere in that range.

798
00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:11,040
Speaker 1: All right, Doc, Any closing thoughts here, because the next

799
00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:12,719
Speaker 1: time we talk, we're not gonna have a full slate

800
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:16,200
Speaker 1: to dissect anymore. We're just gonna have our conference championship

801
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:19,040
Speaker 1: games next week. Then we're gonna be hopping into college hoops.

802
00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:22,160
Speaker 1: Any final thoughts here? On the last full Saturday of

803
00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:22,560
Speaker 1: the season.

804
00:37:23,320 --> 00:37:25,279
Speaker 4: You know, it's gonna be real interesting to see how

805
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:27,400
Speaker 4: it all shakes out. The MAC is still up for grabs.

806
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:31,279
Speaker 4: You know, Western Michigan should play pretty well tomorrow night.

807
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:33,680
Speaker 4: I think, you know, when people are listening to this one,

808
00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:37,160
Speaker 4: I think it'll be fascinating to see in Michigan Mac

809
00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:41,000
Speaker 4: trophies on the line that defense has carried them throughout

810
00:37:41,040 --> 00:37:44,319
Speaker 4: the entirety of the MAC season. We get Bowling Green

811
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:46,799
Speaker 4: AC or Bowling Green u Mass that starts at four

812
00:37:46,960 --> 00:37:48,000
Speaker 4: thirty Eastern time.

813
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:50,040
Speaker 2: No one's going to be in the stands for that one.

814
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:54,440
Speaker 4: We get Navy on primetime on Thanksgiving to we're all

815
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:57,439
Speaker 4: sitting around the Thanksgiving Day table watching Navy. It's gonna

816
00:37:57,440 --> 00:37:59,640
Speaker 4: be a real fun weekend. But I agree with what

817
00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:02,680
Speaker 4: you said earlier. People dog on the G five and

818
00:38:02,719 --> 00:38:05,160
Speaker 4: say that they're garbage. This has been a lot of

819
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:07,239
Speaker 4: fun football this year. We've had some bad football, but

820
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:09,080
Speaker 4: we've had a lot of fun football this year. We've

821
00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 4: seen a lot of great breakout players. It's it's been

822
00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:13,719
Speaker 4: a treat this year for sure.

823
00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:16,719
Speaker 1: That'll do it for today's episode of the Group of

824
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:18,960
Speaker 1: Five Deep Dive under the Big Bets on Campus Banner

825
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:22,160
Speaker 1: presented by Draftkanks. Thanks as always for tuning in. Don't

826
00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:24,239
Speaker 1: forget to download the free award winning Action Network app

827
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:26,320
Speaker 1: and leave us a five star rating and review wherever

828
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:28,440
Speaker 1: you listen to the pod. Remember if you'd like to

829
00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:31,239
Speaker 1: tail some of the bets that we've discussed in today's episode,

830
00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:33,760
Speaker 1: look for the quick slip link in the episode description.

831
00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:36,160
Speaker 1: You can also go to Action network dot com slash

832
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:38,560
Speaker 1: bet now. If you haven't already, please subscribe to our

833
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Speaker 1: YouTube channel because as I said, we are scaling up.

834
00:38:41,920 --> 00:38:44,560
Speaker 1: College basketball is going to be added in there basically

835
00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:46,320
Speaker 1: on a daily basis before you know it, So you

836
00:38:46,400 --> 00:38:48,760
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00:38:48,840 --> 00:38:50,960
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Speaker 1: we'll be mentioned for other people who are looking for

839
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:55,680
Speaker 1: a like minded content. Thank you so much for listening

840
00:38:55,680 --> 00:38:58,200
Speaker 1: to the Big Bets on Campus podcast and as always,

841
00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:18,760
Speaker 1: best of luck with all your bets. Action Network reminds

842
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:22,680
Speaker 1: you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you care

843
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:25,839
Speaker 1: about has a gambling problem, help is available twenty four

844
00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:27,840
Speaker 1: to seven at one eight hundred Gambler