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Speaker 3: Welcome in episode one oh five What's Right with Nick Right?

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Speaker 3: Our week fourteen gambling show, and I gotta tell you

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Speaker 3: it's a show I've been dreading all week. Been very

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Speaker 3: excited for all the different media this week because a

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Speaker 3: couple weeks ago we didn't have the full run of

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Speaker 3: podcasts or TV shows because of the World Cup and Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 3: Last week we had the full run of podcasts, but

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Speaker 3: we didn't have the full run of TV shows because

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Speaker 3: of the World Cup. And all week long, there's been

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Speaker 3: so many interesting, exciting things to talk about. The Lakers

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Speaker 3: are alive again. The Chiefs actually lost, which makes them

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Speaker 3: more interesting to talk about. There's all of a sudden

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Speaker 3: Eagles fans hate me once again. There's so many fun things,

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Speaker 3: but this show is, you know, I was forced to

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Speaker 3: do some serious soul searching and look in the mirror

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Speaker 3: and figure out where things have gone awroyd, because all

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Speaker 3: year long the picks have been consistently mediocre. Whereas demons

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Speaker 3: would say mid, the picks have been very mid this year.

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Speaker 3: But what I'd said was we had avoid avoided the

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Speaker 3: pratfalls and pitfalls of a one in four, of a

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Speaker 3: disastrous zero for five, and because of that, we were

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Speaker 3: right around five hundred couple games under with the ability

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Speaker 3: for a late season push. And then Sunday happened, and

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Speaker 3: we can throw them up there and show you Sunday

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Speaker 3: we went oh and five, one and five, and easily

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Speaker 3: could have gone oh and six. The only victory was

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Speaker 3: a twenty twenty overtime tie where I had the Giants

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Speaker 3: getting two and a half points. I said, Kenny Pickett

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Speaker 3: shouldn't be the favorite on the road against anyone. They

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Speaker 3: went out right. I said, the Chargers are desperate, they

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Speaker 3: have to win. The Raiders dominated that football game. I said,

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Speaker 3: Kansas City minus two was my favorite bet of the year.

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Speaker 3: They lose outright, I gave you a bonus pick. I

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Speaker 3: couldn't stay away from Jacksonville, laying one against the lowly Lions.

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Speaker 3: The lowly Lions, the Lions, I think we're up thirty

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Speaker 3: to six. And then also we had the one game

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Speaker 3: that I felt a little unlucky on Colts Cowboys, where

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Speaker 3: the Colts score a touchdown late in the third quarter,

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Speaker 3: go for two to tie the game up. I'm getting

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Speaker 3: eleven and a half points, and the Cowboys respond to

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Speaker 3: that by scoring thirty three consecutive points thirty three to

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Speaker 3: nothing in the fourth quarter. First time in NFL history

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Speaker 3: that's happened to win the game by thirty five points.

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Speaker 3: So I had to ask myself some hard questions because

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Speaker 3: early in the year I had been getting unlucky in

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Speaker 3: some spots. The process was sound. This Sunday, there was

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Speaker 3: no unluckiness. They were just terrible, awful, no good picks

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Speaker 3: in a weekend that everybody made money but me, because

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Speaker 3: every favorite this past weekend one outright, except for my

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Speaker 3: bet of the year of the Kansas City Chiefs. So

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Speaker 3: what I did this week was very simple. I went

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Speaker 3: back to an old school method of on Tuesday morning,

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Speaker 3: looking at all the games, writing down what I believe

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Speaker 3: the point spread would be should be, and picking then

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Speaker 3: whichever one's the point spread that the actual listed point

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Speaker 3: spread was off by more than two points, those became

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Speaker 3: my selections, with one exception where the point spread was

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Speaker 3: off by so much I threw it in the be

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Speaker 3: careful category. So we have five picks this week. We

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Speaker 3: will break them down as such. I will tell you

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Speaker 3: what I thought the line was going to be, what

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Speaker 3: the line actually is, and we will go with that.

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Speaker 3: How's that sound demand before we get to the actual picks,

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Speaker 3: because you haven't said anything yet.

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Speaker 2: This show sounds good man? What I mean? Uh, I'm

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Speaker 2: hoping this process is successful.

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Speaker 3: Why don't you, as Chris Brussard, my television partner, would say,

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Speaker 3: put some bass in your voice and say it with

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Speaker 3: your chest. What you said to me moments before we

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Speaker 3: went on the air.

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Speaker 2: But that I'm going to start doing my own my

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Speaker 2: own five picks.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and why are they're gonna start doing your own five.

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Speaker 2: Picks to see if I end up doing No.

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Speaker 3: That's not what you said.

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Speaker 4: What you said was, oh, go ahead, I don't want

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Speaker 4: to put my picks on here.

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Speaker 2: Initially, no, because you did say that no shame.

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Speaker 3: But there it is. He said, Now that I know

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Speaker 3: that we have no shame, there's no embarrassment in going

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Speaker 3: one in five, I might as well start doing it too.

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Speaker 3: Are are you going to start that this week? Or

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Speaker 3: is it now?

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Speaker 2: Honestly?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean because I've already I've already seen a

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Speaker 4: couple of games on here that uh okay, but they're

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Speaker 4: in they're in conflicting categories.

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Speaker 3: Oh great, I'm excited that.

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Speaker 2: You know what.

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Speaker 3: That's the bulletin board material I needed to get back

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Speaker 3: on track this week fourteen. So we have fourteen, fifteen, sixteen,

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Speaker 3: seventeen eighteen. We have five regular season weeks left. That's

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Speaker 3: twenty five games. If I go fifteen and ten the

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Speaker 3: rest of the way, I'm still below five hundred. That's unacceptable.

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Speaker 3: So I need to go What is the math on this?

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Speaker 3: If I go sixteen and nine, I finished the year

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Speaker 3: at five hundred, So eighteen and seven is what we're

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Speaker 3: shooting for over the final five weeks. Eighteen and seven

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Speaker 3: would be a nice healthy Is that right?

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Speaker 4: Boy?

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Speaker 3: Is that right? That's seventy two percent against the spread.

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Speaker 3: That's hard. Yeah, that's really hard.

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Speaker 2: Eight.

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Speaker 3: I don't have to go eighteen and seven though, So

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Speaker 3: can't I go seventeen and eight? Yeah? I said, yeah,

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Speaker 3: seventeen and eight would be Yeah, seventeen and eight's would

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Speaker 3: I have to go? That's a much more manageable sixty

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Speaker 3: eight percent against the spread. Seventeen and eight would put

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Speaker 3: me on the season two games above five hundred, which

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Speaker 3: I can sleep with. Seventeen and eight is what we're

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Speaker 3: shooting for, So that would mean we need over the

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Speaker 3: final five weeks, three three and two weeks and two

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Speaker 3: four and one weeks, or mix a couple five and

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Speaker 3: oh's in there and give usselves the little breathing room.

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Speaker 3: We start this week with the Jets at the Bills.

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Speaker 3: I saw this game. I said, that's gonna be Buffalo

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Speaker 3: minus seven. It is Buffalo minus nine and a half.

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Speaker 3: That is far too many points. We are taking the

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Speaker 3: Jets plus the nine and a half. The reason is

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Speaker 3: as follows, the Buffalo Bills have not blown anyone out

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Speaker 3: in months. Okay, every is still so high on the

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Speaker 3: Bills for what they once were the Buffalo Bills. Let

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Speaker 3: me just remind you the last time they truly blew

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Speaker 3: someone out would have been the game against the Steelers

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Speaker 3: on October ninth. Since then, they beat the Chiefs by four,

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Speaker 3: They beat the Packers by ten in a game they

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Speaker 3: should have blown out the Packers. You remember, you won

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Speaker 3: some money on that game. They lost to these very Jets.

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Speaker 3: They lost to the Vikings. They beat the Browns by eight,

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Speaker 3: they beat the Bills by three, I'm the Lions by

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Speaker 3: three on Thanksgiving, and they soundly beat the Patriots by fourteen.

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Speaker 3: But even in that Patriot game, that game was a

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Speaker 3: ten point game headed into the fourth quarter when the

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Speaker 3: Patriots could do nothing all games. So I guess you'd

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Speaker 3: probably say they did blow out the Patriots, But to me,

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Speaker 3: it was not an overwhelmingly impressive offensive performance. The last

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Speaker 3: time these two teams played, Josh Allen struggled immensely. Now

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Speaker 3: everyone blamed it on the elbow, and maybe the elbow

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Speaker 3: had something to do with it, but he struggled immensely.

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Speaker 3: The Jets, on the other hand, moved the ball just fine,

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Speaker 3: including the final drive of the game going the length

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Speaker 3: of the field for the win.

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Speaker 4: But what they have Mike White now, a less experienced quarterback.

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Speaker 4: It's a big ask for him to get the game

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Speaker 4: that close, you know.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, but he's far better than Zach Wilson, who I

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Speaker 3: would argue Zach Wilson's game against the Bills the first

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Speaker 3: time might be the best game of the dude's career.

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Speaker 3: He had one hundred and fifty yards, but no turnovers,

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Speaker 3: a one to one rating, drove the ball down the

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Speaker 3: field at the end. I think that in the Jets,

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Speaker 3: by the way, that was a gutsy performance by them

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Speaker 3: against the Vikings last week. They ended up coming up short,

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Speaker 3: but they easily could have won. If Braxon Burials holds

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Speaker 3: onto that football, they do win. And the Bills, there's

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Speaker 3: a weird thing happening with Buffalo. I don't want to

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Speaker 3: spend too much time on it because I addressed it

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Speaker 3: a bit on Thursday Show and I dressed it on TV.

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Speaker 3: So much of the media is so shameless when it

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Speaker 3: comes to when the Bills added von Miller, the commentary

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Speaker 3: understandably was, I think this is the missing piece that

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Speaker 3: puts them over the top. And when the Bills beat

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs and the Bills early in the year looked

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Speaker 3: like a juggernaut, folks were saying the difference is von

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Speaker 3: Miller and they were right. Von Miller is now done

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Speaker 3: for the year. It was announced on Wednesday with a

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Speaker 3: blown acl And do you know what the commentary is, Oh,

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Speaker 3: they'll be fine. Square that circle. He's the missing piece

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Speaker 3: in my opinion. He had been their best player all season.

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Speaker 3: Now he's done for the year. Oh, it's no problem.

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Speaker 3: I'll tell you right now. I wouldn't sit here if

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Speaker 3: the Chiefs lost Travis Kelce. I wouldn't sit here and

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Speaker 3: be like, Oh, they're fine. Say it's a massive loss

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Speaker 3: someone wildly important for.

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Speaker 2: Them offensive defense. Though Travis Kelce I feel like is

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Speaker 2: a way.

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Speaker 4: Bigger loss than losing von Miller. Like, even though von

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Speaker 4: Miller might be the player that he is, I was.

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Speaker 3: Just thinking, if you lost your the best player on

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Speaker 3: your team, that's not your quarterback. So that's why I

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Speaker 3: said Kelsey. But if the Chiefs lost Chris Jones, I

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Speaker 3: would be concerned. And so it's a weird thing. It's

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Speaker 3: too many points. Jets plus nine and a half. Cleveland

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Speaker 3: at Cincy is the next game. I thought this would

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Speaker 3: be SINCEY minus three and a half. It is SINCEY

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Speaker 3: minus six. So here's what people need to understand. The

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Speaker 3: one team Cleveland has owned over the last few years

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Speaker 3: is the Cincinnati Bengals, even with Baker Mayfield. For some reason,

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Speaker 3: Kevin Stefanski has owned the Bengals, and this year the Browns,

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Speaker 3: as bad as they've been, played the Bengals and beat

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Speaker 3: him thirty two to thirteen. Baker Mayfield when he was there,

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Speaker 3: owned the Bengals. Cleveland, on the other hand, now does

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Speaker 3: have Deshaun Watson at quarterback. Now, Deshaun was awful against

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Speaker 3: the Texans. Awful the Browns, I don't believe scored an

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Speaker 3: offensive touchdown. There's special teams and two defensive touchdowns. I

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Speaker 3: imagine quite a bit of that was rust, quite a

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Speaker 3: bit of that was nerves. Now, do I think DeShawn

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Speaker 3: is gonna seamlessly become a top eight quarterback again? I

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Speaker 3: don't do. I think that the two years off from

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Speaker 3: football are is gonna be something that might forever alter

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Speaker 3: his career. Yeah, do I think it's definitely something that

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Speaker 3: you're gonna see the effects of throughout this season. I do.

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Speaker 3: With all that said, Cincinnati is coming off back to

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Speaker 3: back massive victories. They beat the Titans in I guess

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Speaker 3: you could argue they're coming off three straight massive victories.

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Speaker 3: Beating the Steelers, a divisional rival, beating the Titans in

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Speaker 3: a tard fought game, and then beating the Chiefs a

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Speaker 3: bit of a letdown spot. Cleveland, on the other hand,

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Speaker 3: it didn't play well at all last week, found a

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Speaker 3: way to win. This, to me is a traditional AFC

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Speaker 3: North three point game. It's six points is way too

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Speaker 3: many points. I like Cleveland getting the six go ahead.

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Speaker 4: So you said that even Baker on the Bengals, why

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Speaker 4: can't Patrick Mahomes do it? I think Baker Mayfield has

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Speaker 4: some type of edge that Patrick Mahomes doesn't.

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Speaker 3: I think it's actually a weird Stefanski that head to

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Speaker 3: Cleveland what he's been able to do against the Bengals.

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Speaker 3: But what you're saying is not ridiculous. And I do

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Speaker 3: think that the Chiefs and Andy Reid need to look

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Speaker 3: at the Cleveland offensive game plans against Cincinnati over the

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Speaker 3: last three years and figure out what they're what they've

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Speaker 3: done that the Chiefs have not been able to do,

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Speaker 3: because it is baffling how Cleveland has done so well

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Speaker 3: against Cincinnati and so mediocre against everyone else, and now

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Speaker 3: Cincinnati has done seemingly so well against the whole AFC

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Speaker 3: except for against Cleveland.

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrows never beaten the Browns before.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's what I'm Yeah, the Browns beat go too

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Speaker 3: and zero against him every year. It's the Browns stink.

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Speaker 3: It's unbelievable. And so it's just too many points, all right.

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Speaker 3: Next one, Seattle is hosting Carolina. I thought there's was

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Speaker 3: gonna be Seattle minus six and a half. It is

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Speaker 3: Seattle minus three and a.

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Speaker 2: Half, which is kind of eerie.

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Speaker 3: Why you think it's in those should maybe be category.

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Speaker 4: It seemed like Vegas does know what they're talking about

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Speaker 4: when it comes to these things which I wasn't like

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Speaker 4: super sure of in the beginning.

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Speaker 2: I mean, like doing the whole betting thing.

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Speaker 3: But now that you've been hambling year, yeah, I definitely

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Speaker 3: see it.

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Speaker 2: It's so it's a little strange to me.

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Speaker 3: I understand that. And there was a game, there's a

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Speaker 3: game that we're gonna get to in the be carefuls

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Speaker 3: that was so strange that I that I just stayed

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Speaker 3: away from it. But and I said, I think I

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Speaker 3: wrote down for this game six actually not six and

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Speaker 3: a half. It's Seattle minus three. Vegas does not believe

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Speaker 3: in Seattle. Vegas flatly thinks Seattle is not a good team.

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Speaker 3: Fair enough, but we know Carolina is not a good team, right. Seattle,

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Speaker 3: on the other hand, they just they just played the Rams,

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Speaker 3: they did not play well, and they a way to win.

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Speaker 3: This to me really is more about the Panthers and

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Speaker 3: how much respect should we be giving the Panthers right now,

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Speaker 3: And my answer is very little to none. I think

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Speaker 3: Seattle's defense, which was awful early in the year, then

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Speaker 3: played well for a stretch and now is regressed a bit,

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Speaker 3: can have a bounce back spot against the wretched Carolina offense.

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Speaker 3: Seattle needs this victory. Seattle also has I'm sure Pete

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Speaker 3: Carroll has been preaching to them with the Jimmy g

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Speaker 3: injury all of a sudden, their ability to win that division.

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Speaker 3: I don't think they're going to win that division, but

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Speaker 3: their ability to win that division is right in front

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Speaker 3: of them, and also preaching to them, this is a

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Speaker 3: must win spot for Seattle because of that. Giants Washington tie.

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Speaker 3: Both of those teams theoretically could make the playoffs. Giants Washington, Seattle.

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Speaker 3: Two of them are making the playoffs. One of them isn't.

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Speaker 3: Seattle has the record edge right now, on the well,

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Speaker 3: not really. They have the record edge on Washington. They

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Speaker 3: are I guess a half game behind the Giants Giants

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Speaker 3: seventy four and one, Seattle seven to five, Washington seventy

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Speaker 3: five and one. But what Seattle knows is this after

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Speaker 3: this week Niners, Chiefs that following me by the way Jets,

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Speaker 3: and then the end the season with the Rams, who

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Speaker 3: the Rams stink, but they'd struggled with him. I almost

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Speaker 3: lost to him last week. This is a must win

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Speaker 3: spot for Seattle, an absolute must win game for Seattle.

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Speaker 3: I like Seattle win by at least four points Seattle

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Speaker 3: minus three and a half. Next this game that I

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Speaker 3: understand why the line is where it is, but it's wrong.

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Speaker 3: San Francisco laying only three and a half against Tampa.

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Speaker 3: There is no scenario that I can see where Tampa

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Speaker 3: can move the football on San Francisco. So I love

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Speaker 3: San Francisco even with Brock Purdy, because I think they

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Speaker 3: could cover the three and a half by getting to

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Speaker 3: seventeen points. And I think San Francisco, I think maybe

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Speaker 3: they could cover the three and a half by getting

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Speaker 3: to fourteen points. You're not gonna is Tampa can't run

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Speaker 3: on anyone, and you're not gonna be able to throw

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Speaker 3: on this Niners pass rush. Brady is gonna be in

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Speaker 3: self preservation mode the entire game. Now, I understand the

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Speaker 3: idea of you're talking about Brock Purty against this Tampa defense. No,

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Speaker 3: I'm not talking about Christian McCaffrey, Deebo, Samuel Brandon Ayuk,

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Speaker 3: and George Kittle against this Tampa defense. They're going to

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00:19:56,760 --> 00:20:01,560
Speaker 3: be San Francisco is gonna be running the football consistently,

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Speaker 3: They're going to be getting off the field defensively and

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Speaker 3: three and outs repeatedly. This to me if we did

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Speaker 3: it on this show. Under let me see what the

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Speaker 3: total for the game is, but the under would be

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Speaker 3: the play in this game in addition to the side.

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Speaker 3: The total in this game, my guess is it's forty

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Speaker 3: one and a half. Let me see where it's at.

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Speaker 3: How close? Oh my goodness, gracious, the total is thirty seven.

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Speaker 3: What a tiny under. That's the third smallest under we've

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Speaker 3: had in the league all year. Yeah, so maybe the

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Speaker 3: under is not as strong of a play as I

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Speaker 3: quite thought if it's at thirty seven. But I just

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Speaker 3: don't see how Tampa moves the football and here's the

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Speaker 3: other thing for Tampa. Because they stole a victory last

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Speaker 3: week against the Saints, Tampa didn't have to have this game.

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Speaker 3: Tampa doesn't have to have this game. They don't even

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Speaker 3: have to have the next game against the Bengals. They

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Speaker 3: then get Cardinals, Panthers, Falcons to end the year, and

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Speaker 3: the NFC South is imploding around them. I just don't

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Speaker 3: I thought this line should be San Francisco minus six.

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Speaker 3: Even with brock perty it's San Francisco minus three and

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Speaker 3: a half. All lay the three and a half. I

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Speaker 3: do not think Tampa is a near equivalent team to

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Speaker 3: San Francisco. And by the way, let's and I know

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Speaker 3: they're not saying they're a near equivalent team because the

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Speaker 3: game is the well, no, that's right, the game is

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Speaker 3: in San Francisco. Let's not forget the fact. So they're saying,

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Speaker 3: because you don't get a full three points for home

334
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Speaker 3: field anymore, but you get at least two and a half.

335
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Speaker 3: They're saying it's a one point game on a neutral field. No,

336
00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:49,560
Speaker 3: it's not. You add to it that Tampa demanse, I

337
00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:52,200
Speaker 3: know you don't love this, but it's a thing that

338
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:55,840
Speaker 3: long flight you gotta go cross country from Tampa all

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Speaker 3: the way to San francs.

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Speaker 4: I believe it from when it comes to Seattle to Germany.

341
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Speaker 4: But when it comes from Tampa to where San Francisco,

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Speaker 4: San Francisco, it's a.

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Speaker 3: Long flight, long flight, Tom Brady.

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Speaker 2: I've got a stat for you.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, tell all right, So, first of all, Shanahan sucks

346
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Speaker 4: is a favorite, and he's nine and twenty nine straight

347
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Speaker 4: up without Jimmy Garoppolo as his quarterback. Seems like it

348
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Speaker 4: might be a little bit of a track.

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Speaker 3: That nine and twenty nine is wildly misleading. Here's why

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Speaker 3: it's wildly misleading. Oh sweet, So CJ. Bethor Nick Mullins

351
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Speaker 3: and Brian Hoyer. Okay, other than the couple of Trey

352
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Speaker 3: Lance games with the quarterbacks, for the entirety of that

353
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Speaker 3: nine and twenty nine, those are not NFL caliber quarterbacks.

354
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Speaker 3: They've started no games essentially cumulatively since leaving San Francisco.

355
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Speaker 3: Now you might say rock Perty's not NFO, But what

356
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Speaker 3: are you laughing about?

357
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Speaker 2: Uh yeah, I was gonna say something like that.

358
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Speaker 3: Okay, we don't know that. We'll see. He looked actually

359
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:56,680
Speaker 3: quite good in the game this weekend.

360
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Speaker 2: But we'll see.

361
00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 3: But the other part of that is Jimmy G got

362
00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:06,920
Speaker 3: hurt at the That record incorporates the Niners before Nick

363
00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 3: Bosa even got there. They have a similar record with

364
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 3: and without Jimmy G that they have with and without

365
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Speaker 3: Nick Bosa. Nick Bosa's thirty six and sixteen, there are

366
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,399
Speaker 3: Kyle changers thirty six and sixteen when Nick Bosa plays.

367
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Speaker 3: This Niners team is not the same caliber, either because

368
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Speaker 3: of injury or because players hadn't arrived as the previous

369
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:32,199
Speaker 3: Niner teams that were devastated by injury plus didn't have

370
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Speaker 3: Jimmy Garoppolo. And I'm not worried about that nine and

371
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Speaker 3: twenty nine Tampa that offense. Now, I still believe Tampa

372
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Speaker 3: can be a scary playoff team, but we're not in

373
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Speaker 3: the playoffs yet. San Francisco should be favored by more

374
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Speaker 3: than three and a half. We're laying the three and

375
00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:54,920
Speaker 3: a half of San Francisco. And lastly, this line shocked

376
00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:58,679
Speaker 3: me so much that when I saw it, I wanted

377
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,600
Speaker 3: to make sure Justin Herbert hadn't been injured and I

378
00:24:01,640 --> 00:24:08,560
Speaker 3: didn't know it. The Chargers are getting three points against Miami.

379
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:16,800
Speaker 3: The Chargers are gonna win this game outright. That another

380
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:21,480
Speaker 3: by the way, long flight Miami all the way. Now,

381
00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 3: let me tell you something, East coast to West coast

382
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:28,280
Speaker 3: not as tough as West coast to east coast because

383
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,600
Speaker 3: the West coast to East coast usually involves a one

384
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:34,960
Speaker 3: pm kickoff for a team that their body clucks ten am.

385
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:39,560
Speaker 3: That's not the situation here, however, this is a must

386
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:44,680
Speaker 3: win game for the Chargers. Miami is stuck, you know,

387
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 3: after being hot, got exposed a bit this past weekend.

388
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:53,400
Speaker 3: And there are certain things that play off, play out

389
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:57,320
Speaker 3: in storylines, and there have been far too many members

390
00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:00,640
Speaker 3: of the media that have been puffing their chest out

391
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:05,400
Speaker 3: with the oh, I told you to a greater than Herbert,

392
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Speaker 3: not a bad take when it's a horrible take. And

393
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Speaker 3: this is a game where justin Herbert plays a great

394
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 3: football game looks like a franchise quarterback. Tua struggles once again,

395
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,480
Speaker 3: still dealing with injuries on the offensive line, granted not

396
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:25,960
Speaker 3: as bad as the injuries last week. Miami. Some of

397
00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:28,399
Speaker 3: the bloom is off the rows, if you will. After

398
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 3: this weekend's game his national television Sunday Night Football, I

399
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 3: thought it would be Chargers minus one it's Miami minus three.

400
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:41,919
Speaker 3: Give me the Chargers getting the three points.

401
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:45,760
Speaker 4: Hey, you gotta go watch Manuel Acho's good, bad and

402
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:48,680
Speaker 4: the ugly clip on Twitter, and then you gotta come

403
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:49,600
Speaker 4: back to this pick.

404
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,639
Speaker 3: I have listen. I have a lot of respect for Emmanuel.

405
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:59,680
Speaker 3: He's a colleague in a pal. I think to use

406
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:05,439
Speaker 3: a his Tua Justin Herbert opinion is going to age

407
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:09,520
Speaker 3: like milk. I think that it is going to be

408
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 3: something that unfortunately now maybe mine will maybe we'll throw

409
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 3: it at me, I think, and Colin Cowherd and I

410
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:23,600
Speaker 3: have both quietly tried to talk a Manuel out of

411
00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:27,760
Speaker 3: this emit. He is entrenched. I do not think it

412
00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:32,159
Speaker 3: is going to age well. I think it is insane

413
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:36,960
Speaker 3: to believe that Tua is better than Justin Herbert, and

414
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 3: I think Sunday Night will be evidence of that. And

415
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:44,800
Speaker 3: so I like the Chargers to win. I like the

416
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,199
Speaker 3: Chargers obviously the cover of the three and there it

417
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 3: is five Picks of the week, Jets plus nine and

418
00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:53,960
Speaker 3: a half, Cleveland plus six, Seattle minus three and a half,

419
00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:56,960
Speaker 3: San Francisco minus three and a half, and the Chargers

420
00:26:57,000 --> 00:27:00,439
Speaker 3: plus three. We only have because there are six teams

421
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:02,880
Speaker 3: on a bye this week final bye week of the year,

422
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 3: we only have a handful of games to get to

423
00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:07,639
Speaker 3: in the final categories. We will or it might be.

424
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:09,600
Speaker 3: By the way, four teams on a buy. How many

425
00:27:09,600 --> 00:27:11,720
Speaker 3: teams are on a buy this week? Four? Four teams

426
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:13,640
Speaker 3: are on a bye this week. No, it is six,

427
00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:17,000
Speaker 3: thank you demanse. Six teams want to buy this week.

428
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:20,439
Speaker 3: So there's only thirteen total games. So we only have

429
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 3: seven other games to get to because we don't do

430
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 3: the Thursday night football games on this show. Even by

431
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:28,920
Speaker 3: the way, I do like the Raiders in tonight's Thursday

432
00:27:28,960 --> 00:27:31,200
Speaker 3: Night football game, but that's you guys will have already

433
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 3: seen the game, so do. Our stay aways are be

434
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:36,879
Speaker 3: carefuls and our perfectly priced with maybe our biggest be

435
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:41,760
Speaker 3: careful game of the year. That's all next, What's right?

436
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:50,080
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444
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Speaker 3: All right, welcome back in What's Right with Nick Wright,

445
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:20,439
Speaker 3: Episode one oh five, our week fourteen gambling show. We

446
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,120
Speaker 3: got to get back on track, so we went through

447
00:28:23,160 --> 00:28:27,440
Speaker 3: the old school Mike and the Mad Dog or Simmons

448
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:31,439
Speaker 3: and sal method of guessing the lines privately and using

449
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 3: that to make our picks publicly. So we have our

450
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:37,680
Speaker 3: five picks Jets plus nine and a half, Seattle minus

451
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 3: three and a half, Cleveland plus six, San Francisco minas

452
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 3: three and a half, and the Chargers plus three. Now

453
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:46,719
Speaker 3: our three other categories stay aways beat Careful's in perfectly priced.

454
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:50,560
Speaker 3: Our three stayaways are Jacksonville at Tennessee, Houston at Dallas,

455
00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:57,240
Speaker 3: and Baltimore at Pittsburgh. So Jacksonville at Tennessee Tennessee's laying

456
00:28:57,320 --> 00:29:00,960
Speaker 3: four to stay away for a number reasons. One is

457
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:08,400
Speaker 3: Trevor's a little banged up, another is the Jags were

458
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:14,200
Speaker 3: so wildly disappointing against the Lions, and another is because

459
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:19,000
Speaker 3: you guys, Uh, won't let me bet the Jags anymore,

460
00:29:19,200 --> 00:29:20,440
Speaker 3: so I have to stay away.

461
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:24,680
Speaker 4: From Yeah, I think the Jags should be in the

462
00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:27,760
Speaker 4: perfectly priced category no matter what team they play from

463
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 4: now on, play from now on?

464
00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:32,480
Speaker 2: What do you mean, how bad they are? Every team's

465
00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:33,360
Speaker 2: gonna cover on them.

466
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,080
Speaker 3: Oh, well, that's that's not perfectly price. You're saying that

467
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 3: their opponent should be in the picks.

468
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly.

469
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:41,120
Speaker 3: You think that Tennessee minus four? Oh, is that gonna

470
00:29:41,120 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 3: be one of your plays?

471
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 2: Buddy?

472
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 3: You like the Titans. You like the fact that Trevor

473
00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,640
Speaker 3: Lawrence has never beaten the Titans. You like all that. Okay,

474
00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 3: I here's the thing. A man's got to know his limitations.

475
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:58,320
Speaker 3: My analysis on the Jags thus far this year has

476
00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 3: been a touchoff, So I'm I'm not gonna argue with

477
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 3: you on it. I'm simply saying it's a stay away.

478
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:06,280
Speaker 3: The Jags are gonna be in a stay away for

479
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 3: me the rest of the year because every week I

480
00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:11,520
Speaker 3: see him. Every week, I want to bet them, and

481
00:30:11,560 --> 00:30:13,600
Speaker 3: I just need to stay away from him. I don't

482
00:30:13,680 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 3: know why I want to bet the Jags so much,

483
00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:17,719
Speaker 3: but I do. Once upon a time I did this

484
00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 3: with the Carolina Panthers with Cam Newton, and it worked

485
00:30:22,480 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 3: out brilliantly for me. The year they went fifteen and

486
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 3: one did not work out so brilliantly the next year.

487
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 3: Sometimes one of these six foot six inch stallions of

488
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:36,840
Speaker 3: a quarterback. I just can't get past the fact that

489
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:40,000
Speaker 3: I just feel like they should win every game they play. Next,

490
00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:44,360
Speaker 3: stay away Houston at Dallas. Dallas is laying sixteen and

491
00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:47,640
Speaker 3: a half points. This is a stay away purely for

492
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:52,840
Speaker 3: this reason. It is irresponsible gambling. And when a line

493
00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:56,120
Speaker 3: in the NFL is this big to not take the dog,

494
00:30:56,560 --> 00:31:00,480
Speaker 3: to not take Houston, it is also irresponsible gamble to

495
00:31:00,640 --> 00:31:04,040
Speaker 3: bet on Houston at this point in any context. They

496
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:07,880
Speaker 3: allowed zero defensive touch or offensive touchdowns against the Browns.

497
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:11,800
Speaker 3: They scored one defensive or special teams touchdown, and they

498
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 3: still couldn't cover. That team is a total disaster. So

499
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:18,880
Speaker 3: I'm not allowed to lay sixteen and a half. I'm

500
00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 3: not gonna bet on Houston. So it's a stay away.

501
00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, So I mean, and then they're run down there

502
00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:27,160
Speaker 4: saying that Doubt was capable of blowing any team out

503
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 4: by twenty on any given night, and Houston's really bad yeah,

504
00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:31,760
Speaker 4: but that's also one of my picks.

505
00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 2: I'm taking Houston with the sixteen and a half.

506
00:31:34,080 --> 00:31:37,240
Speaker 3: You know what, that's sharp gambling by taking it.

507
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:38,920
Speaker 2: That's a lot of points, man, it's a.

508
00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:41,720
Speaker 3: Lot of points. They get up seven to nothing and

509
00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:45,080
Speaker 3: all of a sudden, I feel like the game's over

510
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:49,440
Speaker 3: all right. Last one is Baltimore at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh laying

511
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:52,240
Speaker 3: two and a half. It's a stay away right now

512
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:55,600
Speaker 3: because of the uncertainty surrounding Lamar. It doesn't look like

513
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,479
Speaker 3: he's gonna play. He's probably not gonna play. But then

514
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 3: there's also the question with a Lamar has been playing,

515
00:32:02,120 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 3: is it that much of a downgrade Tyler Huntley, I

516
00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,960
Speaker 3: don't know. The quarterback injury stuff always makes these games

517
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 3: to stay away. For staying away now to the be

518
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:14,480
Speaker 3: careful Only two games in the be careful category Minnesota

519
00:32:14,560 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 3: Detroit in Kansas City at Denver. The Minnesota Detroit line

520
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:31,080
Speaker 3: is one of the most outwardly disrespectful things I've ever seen.

521
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 3: Vegas do Minnesota.

522
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,520
Speaker 4: I listen, it's because they beat wait, isn't Detroit the

523
00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:41,320
Speaker 4: only team that beat them?

524
00:32:41,640 --> 00:32:45,480
Speaker 2: Or the game hold on? Well?

525
00:32:45,520 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 3: Minnesota this year has lost to the Philadelphia Eagles, and

526
00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 3: they're one other loss this year, trying to remember. I

527
00:32:55,520 --> 00:32:57,840
Speaker 3: don't believe it was to Detroit. Maybe you're correct, but

528
00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:00,520
Speaker 3: I don't believe that's correct. They're one of the loss

529
00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:04,280
Speaker 3: this year came to the Cowboys. The Cowboys blow them out,

530
00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:09,080
Speaker 3: so they have Minnesota is tending to Their losses are

531
00:33:09,120 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 3: to the two teams most people think are the best

532
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:15,560
Speaker 3: teams of the conference, the Eagles and the Cowboys.

533
00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 4: The line just makes sense if Detroit did beat them

534
00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:19,760
Speaker 4: earlier that season or something.

535
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:22,800
Speaker 3: You know they now they played earlier this season in

536
00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 3: Minnesota and Detroit. That was the game, if I'm not

537
00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 3: mistaken that inexplicably, Dan Campbell kicked like a fifty five

538
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 3: yard field goal at the end, up three, and Minnesota

539
00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 3: came back and won. I don't believe in Minnesota. I

540
00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:44,200
Speaker 3: don't think Minnesota is a very good team. However, the

541
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:49,880
Speaker 3: fact that Vegas is telling us they think Minnesota and

542
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:54,880
Speaker 3: Detroit are equivalent talent teams when Minnesota's it's not like

543
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 3: Kirk Cousins or Justin Jefferson are hurt. It is why

544
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:04,720
Speaker 3: Foight started the year one in seven. Now I understand

545
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:08,200
Speaker 3: they've won four consecutive games. I give them credit for it.

546
00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:10,840
Speaker 3: It is I thought this line was going to be

547
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:15,720
Speaker 3: Minnesota minus three. It is Detroit minus two and a half.

548
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:22,280
Speaker 3: It is so off and it is so clearly daring

549
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:25,640
Speaker 3: you to bet the Vikings that I have to put

550
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 3: it in the be careful category. It is this is

551
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,279
Speaker 3: a ten and again. I don't think the Vikings are

552
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:35,080
Speaker 3: that good, but a ten and two team being a

553
00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:39,920
Speaker 3: dog again, Jared boff in the Lions is wild.

554
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 2: Vegas probably believes in Trevor Lawrence just as much as

555
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:43,200
Speaker 2: you do.

556
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:44,399
Speaker 3: What is that?

557
00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:49,240
Speaker 4: Well that tell Trevor Lawrence Detroit just smacked the Okay,

558
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 4: I get it.

559
00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:51,920
Speaker 3: I understand what you're saying. Maybe that's what it is.

560
00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:56,360
Speaker 3: I don't know what it is. That line is baffling,

561
00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,399
Speaker 3: and so I'm just throwing it. It's so far out

562
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:00,920
Speaker 3: of the realm what I thought it would be. I'm

563
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:04,040
Speaker 3: throwing the be careful category, all right, last be careful?

564
00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:07,279
Speaker 3: Kan City at Denver. Kent City is laying nine and

565
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:12,120
Speaker 3: a half points. So I know what people are going

566
00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:16,280
Speaker 3: to be thinking on this, which is are the Chiefs

567
00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 3: gonna score twenty? Because if they are, that's enough to

568
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 3: cover nine and a half against Denver. I mean, Denver's

569
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:26,919
Speaker 3: offense is going backwards. That Denver's offense, like we've gone

570
00:35:26,960 --> 00:35:29,080
Speaker 3: through it a number of times on the show, but

571
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:32,560
Speaker 3: they've scored like two touchdowns in the last month. Last

572
00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:35,000
Speaker 3: week they didn't get in the red zone once. But

573
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:39,600
Speaker 3: it's just I mean, it's just just impossible how bad

574
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:43,000
Speaker 3: that offense has been. Right, They're averaging less than fourteen

575
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 3: points per game this year. The Chiefs are coming off

576
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:50,759
Speaker 3: and you know they're angry. I'm sure Kelsey feels like

577
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:54,120
Speaker 3: he blew that game against Cincinnati with the fumble. Mahomes

578
00:35:54,200 --> 00:36:00,520
Speaker 3: is upset. However, historically the Chiefs never lose to Thecos,

579
00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:03,759
Speaker 3: but the Broncos at least once a year play them tight.

580
00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:09,760
Speaker 3: And because of that, and because the entire gambling public

581
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 3: is going to be on the Chiefs minus nine and

582
00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:14,800
Speaker 3: a half, I'm throwing it in the be careful category.

583
00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 4: So since you're a Chiefs fan, you don't want to

584
00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:19,080
Speaker 4: get on the Denver line here, because everything that you

585
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:22,000
Speaker 4: just explain basically says like bet on Denver.

586
00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:27,879
Speaker 3: Well maybe except everything I just said, it explains bet

587
00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:30,800
Speaker 3: On Denver. Everything we watched from Denver this year says,

588
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:34,360
Speaker 3: if you're only getting nine and a half points, the

589
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 3: moment the Chiefs get to fourteen, you're like, I might

590
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:39,759
Speaker 3: be screwed. Like if I need a touchdown to cover

591
00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:43,000
Speaker 3: this thing, I might I might be screwed. So to me,

592
00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:45,879
Speaker 3: it's to be careful and lastly, we'll be quick. Here

593
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:50,040
Speaker 3: the perfectly priced games Philly at the Giants, Philly laying

594
00:36:50,120 --> 00:36:53,600
Speaker 3: exactly seven. That's exactly what it should be. That Philly

595
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:56,879
Speaker 3: has shown the ability and they must be respected, even

596
00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:59,239
Speaker 3: if I don't think they're making the Super Bowl that

597
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:04,120
Speaker 3: right now, teams have massive issues dealing with their diverse

598
00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 3: offensive attack. They're on the road, though, and it's a

599
00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:09,759
Speaker 3: divisional game, so they shouldn't be favored by more than

600
00:37:09,800 --> 00:37:12,200
Speaker 3: a touchdown, but they also probably shouldn't be favored by

601
00:37:12,239 --> 00:37:14,840
Speaker 3: less than a touchdown. Philly minus seven feels like the

602
00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:15,760
Speaker 3: exact right number.

603
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:16,200
Speaker 2: All right.

604
00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 4: Earlier you picked Watson and the Browns getting six them

605
00:37:19,600 --> 00:37:21,480
Speaker 4: on the road because they felt like too many points

606
00:37:21,520 --> 00:37:24,440
Speaker 4: for a divisional hundred dogs. Why not pick the Giants'

607
00:37:24,480 --> 00:37:25,719
Speaker 4: dogs on this one.

608
00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:31,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just think that there is the added element

609
00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:36,840
Speaker 3: of Cleveland's ownership of Cincinnati over the last three years

610
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:40,480
Speaker 3: that does not apply here. And the fact that Philly,

611
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:44,680
Speaker 3: by the way, has true motivation in that Dallas could

612
00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:48,320
Speaker 3: catch them, so Philly needs all these games. Giants obviously

613
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:50,120
Speaker 3: need as well. To me the numbers just right, and

614
00:37:50,200 --> 00:37:52,799
Speaker 3: New England and Arizona, New England favor by a point

615
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:58,280
Speaker 3: and a half. Arizona has the better receivers, the better offense,

616
00:37:58,400 --> 00:38:04,480
Speaker 3: the better quarterback. All the golf and coaching between Belichick

617
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 3: and Kingsbury is so great. New England deserves to be

618
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:11,000
Speaker 3: a slight favorite, not a big favorite, not even a

619
00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:15,280
Speaker 3: field goal favorite, a slight favorite, particularly on national TV

620
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 3: on an extended week. For New England, it is an

621
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:21,680
Speaker 3: extra extended week. They go from Thursday all the way

622
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:24,960
Speaker 3: to a Monday, so for all those reasons. But I

623
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:27,759
Speaker 3: think Arizona, by the way, was off last week, so

624
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 3: they both have extended weeks. But I don't know that

625
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:34,719
Speaker 3: Kingsbury and Kyler are cooking anything up this weekend. You know,

626
00:38:34,800 --> 00:38:37,040
Speaker 3: on the extra time, New England minds a point and

627
00:38:37,040 --> 00:38:39,360
Speaker 3: a half feels like the right the exact perfect price,

628
00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 3: all right there it is. We have to give the

629
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:45,680
Speaker 3: right move, which has just been a total disaster. We'll

630
00:38:45,719 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 3: do that Demonse's got some Pixie's given you. I'll see

631
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:50,800
Speaker 3: if we've got a teaser to give you. We'll do

632
00:38:50,840 --> 00:38:58,480
Speaker 3: all that next. What's Right? All right, Welcome back in

633
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:02,439
Speaker 3: What's Right with Nick Wright, Episode one, Week fourteen, Gambling Show.

634
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:05,600
Speaker 3: Our five picks this week are the Jets plus nine

635
00:39:05,640 --> 00:39:08,600
Speaker 3: and a half, Cleveland plus six, Seattle minus three and

636
00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:10,680
Speaker 3: a half, San Francisco minus three and a half, and

637
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:16,120
Speaker 3: the Chargers plus three. Our right move of the week

638
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:19,759
Speaker 3: is the Chargers plus three against Miami. I believe they

639
00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:22,440
Speaker 3: are going to win outright. Oh they they changed it

640
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:24,920
Speaker 3: to the wrong move and put crying Jordan on my face.

641
00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 3: That's how they're doing me. Now, that's tough. That is tough.

642
00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:31,480
Speaker 3: It's deserved. I mean, god, damn three and ten on

643
00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:33,759
Speaker 3: the right move. So far this year, it's such a

644
00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 3: disaster on regular picks, I am twenty six, twenty six

645
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:41,439
Speaker 3: and two on the right move, I'm three and ten.

646
00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:46,719
Speaker 3: It's the entirety of my below five hundred record from

647
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:49,880
Speaker 3: the right move. But we're rolling with the Chargers plus

648
00:39:49,920 --> 00:39:52,440
Speaker 3: three because we believe the Chargers are going to win outright.

649
00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,560
Speaker 3: Before I give my exotic, I do have a great

650
00:39:55,800 --> 00:40:01,360
Speaker 3: seventeen or seven point teaser, not seventeen point teaser. Do

651
00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 3: you have picks you want to give out?

652
00:40:03,800 --> 00:40:05,880
Speaker 2: All right, so I'm obviously going with that.

653
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:09,279
Speaker 4: Houston and Dallas getting the sixteen and a half, uh huh,

654
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:11,120
Speaker 4: and Tennessee.

655
00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:13,359
Speaker 3: Plus four or minus four against Mines.

656
00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:15,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, Jackson getting the four, I mean, but yeah, I'm

657
00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:16,560
Speaker 2: saying it the other way.

658
00:40:17,040 --> 00:40:17,160
Speaker 3: Uh.

659
00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:20,920
Speaker 4: And then I also want both of those games in

660
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:24,319
Speaker 4: the be careful category. I want Denver plus the nine

661
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:27,680
Speaker 4: and a half, okay, and I also want Minnesota minus

662
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:28,400
Speaker 4: the two and a half.

663
00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:31,879
Speaker 2: Okay. Are you gonna do what I just honestly, yeah,

664
00:40:31,920 --> 00:40:33,319
Speaker 2: I will go for a fifth one here.

665
00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:37,080
Speaker 3: You don't have to if you only feel good about four,

666
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:38,439
Speaker 3: just do the four.

667
00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:44,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, okay, So we'll do the four, and this this

668
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 4: Pittsburgh one is the bonus one.

669
00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:48,839
Speaker 3: What do you mean the Pittsburgh one is the bonus one.

670
00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 2: It's just basically none at all. I'll do the four.

671
00:40:52,160 --> 00:40:54,400
Speaker 3: Yeah there, what the four? You feel good about?

672
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 2: Yeah?

673
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:57,920
Speaker 3: So Demonte's picks are Houston plus sixteen and a half yep,

674
00:40:59,160 --> 00:41:00,839
Speaker 3: Tennessee minus.

675
00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:03,200
Speaker 2: Four, YEP, Denver plus nine and a half.

676
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:05,319
Speaker 3: Denver plus nine and a half, and Minnesota minus two

677
00:41:05,360 --> 00:41:09,399
Speaker 3: and a half. So none in direct conflict with my picks. No,

678
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:10,680
Speaker 3: but but they're just.

679
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:13,359
Speaker 2: They were just a CIEs stay away.

680
00:41:13,400 --> 00:41:18,799
Speaker 3: But my exotic is very simple, an old school two

681
00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:24,080
Speaker 3: team seven point teaser. We are teasing the Kansas City

682
00:41:24,239 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 3: Chiefs down to minus two and a half, so they

683
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:30,680
Speaker 3: just have to win by a field goal, and we

684
00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:34,680
Speaker 3: are teasing the Chargers up to plus ten, so they

685
00:41:34,760 --> 00:41:37,879
Speaker 3: just have to win or stay within ten points. That's

686
00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:42,520
Speaker 3: a two team seven point teaser. Is minus one forty,

687
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:47,319
Speaker 3: so you gotta lay a significant big there, but be

688
00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:50,160
Speaker 3: one hundred and forty bucks to win one hundred. That's

689
00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:53,279
Speaker 3: our two team seven point teaser for the week. What's

690
00:41:53,320 --> 00:41:54,280
Speaker 3: the offer this week?

691
00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:56,799
Speaker 2: All right? I call this one? They uh, what if

692
00:41:56,880 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 2: rock Party isn't good? Special?

693
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:02,040
Speaker 4: You can bet if Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West

694
00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:02,840
Speaker 4: plus three hundred?

695
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:03,560
Speaker 2: Are you taking that?

696
00:42:05,400 --> 00:42:09,719
Speaker 3: I'm not taking that, And it's not because I necessarily

697
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:13,640
Speaker 3: believe brock Purty is good. It is purely because I

698
00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:16,600
Speaker 3: don't think there's enough value there given the fact that

699
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 3: Seattle what they have after this week is the Niners,

700
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,799
Speaker 3: the Chiefs, and the Jets in three consecutive weeks. And

701
00:42:24,880 --> 00:42:28,200
Speaker 3: I understand having the Niners could be beneficial for them

702
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:31,400
Speaker 3: because they win. However, they already lost once to the

703
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:36,080
Speaker 3: Niners this year and there even if they win.

704
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:38,600
Speaker 2: That out of the country game, wasn't that the game

705
00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:39,440
Speaker 2: that was out of the country.

706
00:42:39,719 --> 00:42:41,239
Speaker 3: A lot of games out of the country. I'm not

707
00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:42,200
Speaker 3: sure if that one was or not.

708
00:42:42,200 --> 00:42:42,800
Speaker 2: To be honest with you.

709
00:42:42,840 --> 00:42:46,160
Speaker 3: Okay, are you talking about the one where Seattle led

710
00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:48,600
Speaker 3: to go to Germany? No, it wouldn't. That wasn't a

711
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:51,240
Speaker 3: Seattle led to go to Germany against Tampa. They wouldn't

712
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:51,520
Speaker 3: be out.

713
00:42:51,440 --> 00:42:52,400
Speaker 2: Of the country twice.

714
00:42:52,960 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 3: Even if Seattle beats the Niners, they don't hold the tiebreaker.

715
00:42:57,640 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 3: They would have the same divisional record in the same

716
00:43:00,040 --> 00:43:01,319
Speaker 3: head to head, So I don't even know what the

717
00:43:01,320 --> 00:43:04,600
Speaker 3: next tiebreaker would be. Their probably conference record, and they

718
00:43:04,680 --> 00:43:07,640
Speaker 3: don't hold that tiebreaker. So even if they were to

719
00:43:07,680 --> 00:43:10,920
Speaker 3: beat the Niners, they could still not necessarily win the

720
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:17,400
Speaker 3: division and so the and Matt is adding if the

721
00:43:17,440 --> 00:43:20,360
Speaker 3: Bucks beat San Francisco this week, in San Francisco beats

722
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:24,680
Speaker 3: the Panthers, then Seattle all of a sudden becomes the favorite. Okay,

723
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:28,240
Speaker 3: the Bucks are not gonna beat San Francisco this week, however,

724
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:30,359
Speaker 3: and if you think that's gonna happen, then just bet

725
00:43:30,400 --> 00:43:33,319
Speaker 3: that instead of betting Seattle plus three hundred to win.

726
00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:35,120
Speaker 3: I don't like it. I'm rejecting this.

727
00:43:35,160 --> 00:43:35,680
Speaker 2: So can.

728
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:38,360
Speaker 4: I also add in that if you parlay the Texans

729
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:40,680
Speaker 4: on the money line, it goes up to plus forty

730
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:41,240
Speaker 4: seven hundred.

731
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:43,480
Speaker 3: Okay, you add the Texans on the money line to

732
00:43:43,520 --> 00:43:47,239
Speaker 3: any of your bets this week and it's gonna go crazy. Unfortunately,

733
00:43:47,320 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 3: losing bets are worth zero, so it doesn't matter what

734
00:43:50,520 --> 00:43:52,759
Speaker 3: the odds are. The Texans are not winning that game

735
00:43:52,760 --> 00:43:55,840
Speaker 3: out right, you know what. Maybe they will, but I'm not.

736
00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 3: I'm having nothing to do with it. That is our

737
00:43:59,239 --> 00:44:02,160
Speaker 3: Week fourteen gambling show. Hopefully you didn't listen to me

738
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:04,480
Speaker 3: last week. Hopefully we all do better this week. Talk

739
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:08,399
Speaker 3: to you guys on Monday. What's right