1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:04,000 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. 3 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 2: Every business day, we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, 4 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 2: and Bloomberg experts, along with essential market moven news. 5 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 1: Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast on Apple Podcasts or wherever 6 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: you listen to podcasts, and at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. 7 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:23,480 Speaker 1: Right now, we want to get back to the story, 8 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 1: the front page story, which is obviously what's happening in 9 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 1: Israel call it. Elgindy, Senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, 10 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:33,000 Speaker 1: joins us here. Colin, thanks so much for joining us here. 11 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: We know you have so much expertise in this part 12 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:37,879 Speaker 1: of the world. I wonder if you could just for 13 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: a lot of us, we're just not sure what's happened 14 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 1: over the last several days. Can you give us a 15 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 1: sense of why Hamas did what they did on Saturday? 16 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: Why did they do it, what was their goal of 17 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:51,080 Speaker 1: any and then where do we go from here? 18 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 3: Yeah? 19 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 4: I mean I can't really speak to why Hamas would 20 00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 4: carry out such a horrific attack that has killed hundreds 21 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 4: and hundreds over a thousand Israelis. I don't understand, you know, 22 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 4: the logic behind it. I think it's totally unjustifiable. But 23 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 4: what I can speak to is the context in which 24 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 4: this is happening, and that is, you know, there's you know, 25 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:27,320 Speaker 4: Israel has occupied, has ruled over the Palestinians, five million 26 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 4: Palestinians in a military occupation for more than half a century, 27 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 4: had many many generations of Palestinians who have grown up 28 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:41,560 Speaker 4: without really knowing any sort of freedom. And in Gaza 29 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:46,279 Speaker 4: in particular, you have a very severe blockade that Israel 30 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:52,640 Speaker 4: has imposed that has impoverished the Gaza Strip, and most 31 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:56,080 Speaker 4: of the two million people who live in Gaza actually 32 00:01:56,120 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 4: rely on international assistance for their basic needs. And so 33 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 4: that's the context in which this is happening, as well 34 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 4: as the sort of broader sense of despair among Palestinians 35 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 4: that you know, there is no end in sight either 36 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 4: to Israel's occupation, which is quite violent and repressive, or 37 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:25,160 Speaker 4: to the blockade in Gaza. And so Hamas is one 38 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 4: of the various Palestinian factions that have embraced what they 39 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 4: call armed struggle and are determined to pursue to push 40 00:02:38,120 --> 00:02:42,359 Speaker 4: back on and resist Israeli occupation through violence of course, 41 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:46,800 Speaker 4: the violence that they've opted for in this case is 42 00:02:46,880 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 4: wholly unjustified in that it's directed at civilians. 43 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 2: Yes, and seems to be specifically directed, according to the 44 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 2: New York Times report on hostages this morning, at women 45 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 2: and children as well, which doesn't make any sense. I 46 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:08,560 Speaker 2: think that we, those of us who've read pretty in 47 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 2: depth about this. 48 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 1: Not nearly as much as you have. 49 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 2: You've studied air studies at Georgetown and Indiana University, You've 50 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 2: you've taught that at Georgetown as well, and obviously you'ret 51 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 2: the Middle East Institute. But I think we understand to 52 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 2: some extent the context of the occupation. One thing that 53 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 2: we don't One thing that we have troubled divining is 54 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 2: how much support Hamas has in Gaza and from Palestinians. 55 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 2: And I noticed in a lot of reports, for example, 56 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 2: in the Times today, they have a ton of coverage 57 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 2: on this conflict. They seem to conflate Palestinians and Hamas, 58 00:03:45,320 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 2: and I wonder how fair that is. What kind of 59 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 2: support do you think Hamas has in Gaza? 60 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 4: Well, you're right, it's not fair to conflate millions of 61 00:03:57,000 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 4: Palestinians with with one movement, even if that move movement 62 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 4: is is governing at the moment inside the Gaza Strip. 63 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 4: It's it's impossible to say exactly how much support Hamas 64 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:13,800 Speaker 4: has I think it has support. You know, the West 65 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 4: Bank and Gaza are divided both politically and geographically under 66 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:24,719 Speaker 4: different kinds of Palestinian leaderships, both still under Israeli control. 67 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 4: I would say, you know, people in the West Bank 68 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:33,480 Speaker 4: probably are more supportive of Hamas than people in Gaza 69 00:04:33,520 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 4: who have lived under Hamas's governing And but but at 70 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 4: the end of the day, when something like this happens, 71 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 4: and and bear in mind that you know, Israel's now 72 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:51,680 Speaker 4: in the midst of a very severe bombing campaign inside Gaza, 73 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 4: where as I said, two million human beings live and 74 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:59,679 Speaker 4: have nowhere to go in a in a very narrow 75 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 4: strip of land, and entire neighborhoods have been leveled to 76 00:05:03,600 --> 00:05:07,359 Speaker 4: the ground. So it's I think it's impossible to overstate 77 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 4: the ferocity of the Israeli attack. And I think we 78 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 4: have to be mindful that, you knows, as horrific as 79 00:05:16,480 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 4: the attacks were inside Israel, we also have to remember 80 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:25,719 Speaker 4: that there are human beings also in the Gaza Strip 81 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:28,680 Speaker 4: who are suffering and who are dying by the hundreds 82 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 4: and without much say in what's going on. 83 00:05:33,200 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 2: In fact, I read a UNISEF report this morning that 84 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 2: estimated there roughly a million children living in the Gaza strip, 85 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 2: meaning almost half of the people there are you know, 86 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:47,479 Speaker 2: UNISEF says children are people who are under the age 87 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 2: of fifteen, So almost half of the people there are 88 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:53,720 Speaker 2: under the age of fifteen, in which case, you know, 89 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 2: they certainly can't support Hamas. They're not capable of making 90 00:05:56,600 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 2: that kind of decision. 91 00:05:57,839 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: So call it. That kind of raises a question here, 92 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 1: do we have an idea or based upon your research 93 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 1: giving the idea, what other than extracting some level of 94 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 1: retribution or revenge does Israel? What do you think israel 95 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:12,840 Speaker 1: strategy is in terms of its response that we expect 96 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 1: any day now. 97 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 4: Tragically, I don't think they have a strategy. I mean, 98 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 4: what they've stated is to remove Hamas or to end 99 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:29,159 Speaker 4: Hamas's military and governing capabilities. Nobody really knows what that means. 100 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:33,440 Speaker 4: I'm certain from having talked to many Israeli officials in 101 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:36,800 Speaker 4: the past, that they don't know what that means. I 102 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 4: think right now they are in a very high state 103 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 4: of emotion and trauma, and it is primarily a sort 104 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 4: of the response is really one of retribution, as you said, 105 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 4: and those are actually the words that Israeli military leaders 106 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 4: are using. That we're not after precision, we're looking to 107 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:03,039 Speaker 4: cause damage, and we're seeing that on the ground. I 108 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:08,599 Speaker 4: think there is considerable evidence that civilians are being targeted. 109 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 4: They're bombing neighborhoods, they're bombing infrastructure, they're bombing roads, preventing 110 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 4: ambulances from reaching the wounded and so forth, and so 111 00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 4: it's right now emotions are running high, and so what 112 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:29,560 Speaker 4: needs to happen is there needs to be a responsible 113 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 4: third party actor in the international community, presumably someone like 114 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 4: the United States that has considerable leverage to intervene and 115 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 4: really bring this to an end, because creating more death 116 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:48,680 Speaker 4: and destruction is not going to resolve any of the 117 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 4: underlying issues, and in fact, is just going to make 118 00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 4: things worse. 119 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 2: It's difficult not to be emotional about this when you 120 00:07:56,880 --> 00:08:00,600 Speaker 2: read the reports of what Hamas has done. I suppose 121 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 2: you could say the same thing in defense of the 122 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:07,680 Speaker 2: Palestinians when you read the history of what's happened, and 123 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 2: you could say the same thing in support of the 124 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 2: Jews when you read the history of what's happened, so 125 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:15,080 Speaker 2: you know there's this back and forth. One thing I 126 00:08:15,080 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 2: can't understand is why Iran can fund and support Hamas 127 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:28,240 Speaker 2: and Hezbollah. Why they are allowed to do that, essentially, 128 00:08:28,680 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 2: you know, promoting terrorism. Why nothing is done about it? 129 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 2: Why is Iran allowed to Reportedly they fund up to 130 00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 2: ninety percent of Hamas's budget and they're pursuing enriched uranium 131 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 2: to build a nuclear bomb. Why is that allowed even 132 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:51,720 Speaker 2: by other Arab states? 133 00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:56,199 Speaker 4: Well, I mean setting aside the nuclear issue, which is 134 00:08:56,240 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 4: a whole other topic. Okay, but Iran, Iran is not 135 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:02,680 Speaker 4: an air of state, but but it is a is 136 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:05,199 Speaker 4: a key player in the region and they support many 137 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:09,080 Speaker 4: different armed groups in different countries like Hisabela and Lebanon 138 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:12,960 Speaker 4: who he's in Yemen, UH and UH you know others 139 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:16,000 Speaker 4: in Iraq and in different places. Hamas is one of 140 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:21,839 Speaker 4: the groups that it supports. From Hamas's perspective, they are 141 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:27,680 Speaker 4: a non state actor. They need support from some patron, 142 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 4: some sponsor. Iran is a willing sponsor. Iran has an 143 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:38,599 Speaker 4: interest in UH, in opposing Israel, in UH creating problems 144 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,439 Speaker 4: for for Israel and what better way to do that 145 00:09:41,480 --> 00:09:46,440 Speaker 4: than to support groups whose mission it is to uh, 146 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:48,400 Speaker 4: to attack Israel. 147 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:52,600 Speaker 2: And to exdicate Israel to murder Jews. I mean, well, 148 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 2: one thing is support an state actor, but you can't 149 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 2: support terrorists. And Hamas, given what we've seen over the weekend, 150 00:09:58,840 --> 00:10:01,119 Speaker 2: is clearly a terrorist group, right. 151 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 4: I mean Hamas certainly isn't a group that has carried 152 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 4: out horrific acts of terrorism. There's no question about that. 153 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:12,319 Speaker 4: And and you know these are these are war crimes 154 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 4: and they should be held accountable. Anyone involved in the 155 00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 4: planning or the sponsoring, or the financing or the execution 156 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:24,920 Speaker 4: of any of these attacks should be absolutely held accountable. 157 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:27,240 Speaker 4: But I think we have to I think we have 158 00:10:27,400 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 4: to be careful in how we frame the issue. Uh, 159 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 4: this is I mean Hamas is not I mean Hamas 160 00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:42,440 Speaker 4: is a is a political movement. It's there's no serious 161 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 4: actor who believes that Hamas can destroy Israel. 162 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 5: Right. 163 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:51,679 Speaker 4: Whatever the rhetoric comes out of any political movement, rhetoric 164 00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 4: is rhetoric. I mean, if you if we take all 165 00:10:54,320 --> 00:10:57,120 Speaker 4: political and military leaders at their rhetoric. 166 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:00,439 Speaker 1: Exactly, it would be unfortunate, you can call it. I 167 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 1: have to just cut a short rare because of time, 168 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:04,680 Speaker 1: but we really appreciate you taking time sharing your thoughts 169 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:05,040 Speaker 1: with us. 170 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 3: You're listening to the team Ken's Are Live program Bloomberg 171 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 3: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, 172 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:16,240 Speaker 3: the iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg Business App, or listen 173 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,400 Speaker 3: on demand wherever you get your podcasts. 174 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 1: Big m and a trade here today exceon mobile buying 175 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:27,080 Speaker 1: Pioneer Natural Resource sixty large sixty billion dollars. This is 176 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 1: a big time play on shale. Let's break it down 177 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 1: with Frenetta Valley. He is a senior analyst at Bloomberg 178 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:36,000 Speaker 1: Intelligence is covering all the energy space. He joins his 179 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:38,680 Speaker 1: live here in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. So let's 180 00:11:38,679 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 1: start first with the price, the valuation. Did they have 181 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 1: to pay up to get this thing here? 182 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:47,480 Speaker 6: A little bit? But you know when you look at 183 00:11:47,520 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 6: the breakdown on the free Castle per share, the ebitdah 184 00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:53,160 Speaker 6: per share after the dilution, it's actually a creative right 185 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:55,880 Speaker 6: away to ex and mobile propriety. They can capture that 186 00:11:56,000 --> 00:11:58,439 Speaker 6: one billion dollar synergies which is the low end of 187 00:11:58,440 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 6: their target two billion being high end. 188 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:03,200 Speaker 1: And it's all stock deal, all stocked. Nice, that's good 189 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: to you. Don't go out and borrow. 190 00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 2: It, you know. I had read an analyst saying, like, 191 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 2: if they pay a moderate premium, then they can still 192 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 2: make money on this. But does it have to be 193 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 2: only a moderate premium or are they going to make 194 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 2: money handover fist. 195 00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:22,559 Speaker 6: I believe they'll make money handover fist regardless because of 196 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 6: two factors. First, we've talked about the underinvestment in the 197 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:30,199 Speaker 6: industry over the past decade, and although we're burish in 198 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:33,200 Speaker 6: the short term demand side of the equation, longer term 199 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 6: we think that will be the driver of oil prices. 200 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:41,480 Speaker 6: But second, Pioneer has the largest undeveloped resource base in 201 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:47,040 Speaker 6: the Midland Basin, which gives Excellent a huge jud region 202 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:48,720 Speaker 6: to develop over the next ten years. 203 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,080 Speaker 1: So Matt and I were just noticing that this is 204 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 1: just a good old fashion buy up some you know, 205 00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:59,920 Speaker 1: old fashioned fuel oil shale whatever it is. There's no carbon, 206 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 1: there's no solar here, there's no wind here, there's no 207 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:04,480 Speaker 1: eco friendly thing here, there's no green here. This is 208 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 1: good old fashioned big oil company buying another big Texas 209 00:13:07,960 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 1: oil company. Right, this is old time. But they said 210 00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:12,280 Speaker 1: it was good for the environment. They said it was 211 00:13:12,280 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 1: good for the environment. I'm not sure where they get 212 00:13:13,880 --> 00:13:14,320 Speaker 1: that from. 213 00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 6: Well, you know, there's two factors. Yes, it is exactly that. 214 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 6: And Darren Woods in his interview with Alex Steele said 215 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:25,800 Speaker 6: they don't believe peak oils upon us and that we'll 216 00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:28,079 Speaker 6: still use oil in gas for a really long time. 217 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:32,160 Speaker 6: And then their their point on reducing emissions is that 218 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 6: because they're developing this carbon capture center in the Gulf Coast, 219 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:39,880 Speaker 6: they'll actually be able to take all the Pioneer's production 220 00:13:40,400 --> 00:13:43,440 Speaker 6: and take it there and capture that carbon and use 221 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 6: and reduce their emissions. So on a net basis, this 222 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:48,959 Speaker 6: becomes a lower emissions. 223 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 1: So they bury that stuff, right. 224 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:54,040 Speaker 6: They bury. Eventually the goal is to use it for 225 00:13:54,160 --> 00:13:56,320 Speaker 6: power generation, but we're still a little bit away from that. 226 00:13:57,440 --> 00:13:58,959 Speaker 1: Okay, I'll buy it. 227 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:00,160 Speaker 2: Sounds interesting. 228 00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:02,960 Speaker 1: Some geologists somewhere came up with that idea. 229 00:14:03,280 --> 00:14:05,959 Speaker 2: So Alex Eel was on here earlier and told us 230 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:10,800 Speaker 2: we pump thirteen million barrels a day more than Saudi 231 00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:14,360 Speaker 2: Arabia in this country. Talk to us just for a 232 00:14:14,400 --> 00:14:17,520 Speaker 2: brief moment about energy independence. What does that mean? I mean, 233 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 2: if for example, we no longer could import any oil 234 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,960 Speaker 2: or petroleum products to the US. Would we still be 235 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:30,640 Speaker 2: okay with prices hovering around where they are now? 236 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 6: Likely not unless you're counting inports from Canada and Mexico 237 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:38,440 Speaker 6: as well and looking at that as one integrated system. 238 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 6: The issues that the shale oil that we produce is 239 00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 6: very light, and it's one of the reasons we export 240 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:47,359 Speaker 6: a fair amount of our shale crew and still import. 241 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 2: Then pulse fase, what what are light crudes used for 242 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:51,479 Speaker 2: as opposed to heavy. 243 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 6: So light crudes tend to produce more gasoline and NAFTA, 244 00:14:55,640 --> 00:14:58,640 Speaker 6: and then medium crudes produce diesel and jet fuel. So 245 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:01,720 Speaker 6: we need to balance that in our crude diet. And 246 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 6: then Paul's favorite act, the Jones Act, prevents us to 247 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 6: moving some of that crude into the East Coast that 248 00:15:08,000 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 6: could process some of that crude, So we'd have to 249 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 6: revoke that act. We would have to also refining capacity. 250 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 1: All right. Talk to so I bring up the oil 251 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 1: from the shale in Texas, how do I get it 252 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 1: to where it needs to go? How does that happen? 253 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 6: Pipelines primarily pipelines, and that's one of. 254 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:27,400 Speaker 1: The midstream what you guys called midstream. 255 00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 6: Yeah, midstream is the whole processing side. So we separate 256 00:15:31,800 --> 00:15:35,240 Speaker 6: oil from gas, from water, from the natural gas liquids, 257 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 6: and then we move it out to the production center's refineries, fractionators, 258 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 6: et cetera. And one of the wrinkles in this deal 259 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:45,200 Speaker 6: is that it will make it harder for the mid 260 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 6: streams and service players because Excellon is now going to 261 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:51,360 Speaker 6: be you know, nearly ten over ten percent of premium production. 262 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,880 Speaker 6: They'll have a lot of say on how the pricing 263 00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:57,280 Speaker 6: goes that in that market. And it will also make 264 00:15:57,320 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 6: it harder for smaller independent players to get those service 265 00:16:00,160 --> 00:16:03,080 Speaker 6: is because you need to be exposed to Xceon and 266 00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 6: they will have a driver's seat in that area. 267 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: Oh so, do we need to talk to Jennifer Ree 268 00:16:07,200 --> 00:16:09,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg intellig She is anti trust person. Is this still 269 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:10,800 Speaker 1: going to get approved? You think? 270 00:16:11,440 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 7: So? 271 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:15,480 Speaker 6: I was speaking to Jennifer earlier and she thinks, because 272 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:17,960 Speaker 6: it's less than fifteen percent of permium production, there's a 273 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:20,760 Speaker 6: good chance that he will get approved. But the timeline 274 00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:24,760 Speaker 6: maybe beyond the first half of twenty twenty four, and 275 00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 6: it will be a challenge. Typically, the way they argue 276 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:30,840 Speaker 6: is that oil is a global market and we export 277 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 6: CREWD So we're actually competing with the Saudia, Ramcos and 278 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:36,440 Speaker 6: the gas drums of the world and not just with 279 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 6: the pioneers and EOGs. 280 00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 1: So are we going to I mean, if I'm an 281 00:16:43,520 --> 00:16:46,360 Speaker 1: investment energy investment banker in Houston, am I just ripping 282 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 1: up the phone here calling everybody I can? My rolldeck's 283 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:49,800 Speaker 1: trying to get some deals done. 284 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 6: Well, you're calling four companies, primarily you're calling Conical Phillips, 285 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:56,720 Speaker 6: You're calling Chefron, you're calling Occidental, and maybe you're calling 286 00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:59,600 Speaker 6: EOG Resources and you're saying, who do you want? 287 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 1: Right? 288 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 6: And then perhaps they're calling all the private equity players 289 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:05,239 Speaker 6: and be like, hey, we need to get together and 290 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 6: create a better larger player or else we're going to 291 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:12,120 Speaker 6: be taken up by larger players. 292 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:16,159 Speaker 2: What about BP and SHELL Where are they in the 293 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:16,959 Speaker 2: Permian basin? 294 00:17:17,400 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 6: So shell sowed their acreage to Chronicle Phillips, so they're 295 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 6: no longer in the Permian basin and they really have 296 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:29,959 Speaker 6: moved away from shale. BP had bought BHP Billetin's shale portfolio. 297 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 6: They haven't been very aggressive in the Permian and it's 298 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:36,679 Speaker 6: kind of a question mark because they changed their CEO 299 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 6: after burn Looney was forced to resign a couple months ago. 300 00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:42,960 Speaker 1: All Right, we got WTI crude oil eighty four dollars 301 00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:45,200 Speaker 1: a barrel here it did you know spike up Monday? 302 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:47,160 Speaker 1: You know, four or five percent on the news coming 303 00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:49,440 Speaker 1: out of Israel. What's the feeling now when you talk 304 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:53,600 Speaker 1: to the energy folks about just kind of the geopolitics 305 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:55,840 Speaker 1: of that part of the world and what it really 306 00:17:55,880 --> 00:17:57,919 Speaker 1: means for global supply. 307 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:00,760 Speaker 6: I guess, well, the fear is there on what happens 308 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 6: with Iran. Is this war going to escalate to that 309 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 6: part of the world, and if he does, how will 310 00:18:06,160 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 6: it impact the oil flows and also the exports of crude? 311 00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:11,919 Speaker 1: How much does Iran I guess producer exporter. 312 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 6: They produce around three million barrels a day and the 313 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 6: export just north at one point two million barrels a day. 314 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 6: So it's about one percent of the world consumption in exports. 315 00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:26,440 Speaker 6: It's not that significant, except that supply is relatively tight. Again, 316 00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:28,880 Speaker 6: as we said, our fear is on the demand side, 317 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:33,080 Speaker 6: and that we think could be the bigger driver. But 318 00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 6: if Iran does go into war, wars consume a lot 319 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:38,920 Speaker 6: of fuel consume a lot of oil, so that could 320 00:18:39,000 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 6: shift the narrative entirely. 321 00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 2: But it's fungible, so we could be okay as long 322 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:48,600 Speaker 2: as we hold Canada and Mexico as allies. 323 00:18:48,800 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 6: Exactly exactly, and we could also we have other allies, 324 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:57,280 Speaker 6: including in the UK and Norway that produce a fair 325 00:18:57,280 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 6: amount of crud, in Brazil and others that can help 326 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:02,119 Speaker 6: fill our needs. 327 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:04,760 Speaker 2: By the way, I saw a pipeline had been damaged 328 00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:07,919 Speaker 2: between Finland and Estonia. Today you see that, yes, and 329 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 2: apparently at one point this is a young pipeline, it's 330 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 2: only three years old. Nonetheless, Finland gets almost all of 331 00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:18,840 Speaker 2: their gas through this pipeline. 332 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:22,320 Speaker 6: I mean, Europe is in a very comfortable place with 333 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 6: natural gas inventories. The issue is if there are disruptions 334 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:29,960 Speaker 6: and movements, because their diesel inventories are very low, and 335 00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:32,840 Speaker 6: that's the backup to the natural gas. And obviously they 336 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 6: closed a lot of nuclear plants over the past year 337 00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:38,639 Speaker 6: in Belgium and Germany. If there is a disruption, especially 338 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:41,520 Speaker 6: in the straight or horror moves between Katara and Iran 339 00:19:42,080 --> 00:19:44,280 Speaker 6: where we get a lot of the natural gas shipments 340 00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:47,920 Speaker 6: to Western Europe, that leads them the very precarious position. 341 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:50,440 Speaker 6: If we have a normal to cold winter. 342 00:19:51,040 --> 00:19:52,920 Speaker 2: Got to put LNG terminals in over there. 343 00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:54,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, and can you put like, yeah, what is the 344 00:19:55,040 --> 00:19:57,399 Speaker 1: LNG situation over in New York? Can't we just? I 345 00:19:57,400 --> 00:19:58,640 Speaker 1: thought you can build them pretty quickly. 346 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:00,480 Speaker 2: Well they did. They didn't want to build them back 347 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:01,920 Speaker 2: when Dan Boyette was over there. 348 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:05,520 Speaker 6: But that's to regassify we need the gas first. In 349 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 6: Qatar and Iran shared the largest gas field in the world, 350 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:12,200 Speaker 6: the North Field, and they are the Qatar is the 351 00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:14,080 Speaker 6: largest producer of ellen g in the world. 352 00:20:14,760 --> 00:20:16,200 Speaker 1: Interesting, man, it all comes back. 353 00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 2: It's a big gas field in Netherlands, but they decided 354 00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 2: to shut it down. 355 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,600 Speaker 1: Yeah I heard that, because all right, Fernando, thanks so 356 00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:25,720 Speaker 1: much for joining us. Fernando Valley, he's our senior global 357 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:28,600 Speaker 1: energy guy for Bloomberg Intelligence. 358 00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 3: You're listening to the tape catch are live program Bloomberg 359 00:20:31,920 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 3: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the 360 00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:38,800 Speaker 3: tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business app. 361 00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:41,639 Speaker 3: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our 362 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:46,400 Speaker 3: flagship New York station, Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 363 00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:52,640 Speaker 1: Economic outlook, inflation, interest rates, geopolitics is front center once again, 364 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,639 Speaker 1: first in Ukraine and now in Israel. Let's see how 365 00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:58,120 Speaker 1: some of these professionals kind of put that into their calculus. 366 00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:02,120 Speaker 1: Karra Murphy joins us. She's a CIO Kestra Investment Management. Karen, 367 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,600 Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us via zoom here. Talk 368 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:06,520 Speaker 1: to us about kind of you know, like the rest 369 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:08,800 Speaker 1: of us, we woke up over the weekend and saw 370 00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:13,159 Speaker 1: the terrible news coming out of Israel. As a professional investor, 371 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,640 Speaker 1: how does that factor into your calculus if at all? 372 00:21:18,640 --> 00:21:20,959 Speaker 8: It's interesting, you know, I've been a chief investment officer 373 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:22,399 Speaker 8: for a long time and I've given a lot of 374 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,560 Speaker 8: presentations on our you know, global market outlook, and there's 375 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,560 Speaker 8: usually always a slide at the end of the deck 376 00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 8: that says risks, and there's always a line item there 377 00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:33,480 Speaker 8: that says geopolitical risks. And exactly which risks are sort 378 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:36,399 Speaker 8: of simmering under the surface might change over time, but 379 00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:39,320 Speaker 8: there's always a possibility of some sort of conflagration around 380 00:21:39,760 --> 00:21:43,240 Speaker 8: around the world. And typically, like often when we see 381 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 8: a geopolitical event outside the US, the main transmission mechanism 382 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:51,199 Speaker 8: by which it starts to affect global markets is through oil, right, 383 00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:54,200 Speaker 8: So we saw this particularly in Ukraine when Russia invaded. 384 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:56,880 Speaker 8: Now conflict in the Middle East, and so I think 385 00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:59,520 Speaker 8: that's the biggest immediate concern in terms of the impact 386 00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,240 Speaker 8: on the US economy, and so far markets have really 387 00:22:02,280 --> 00:22:05,960 Speaker 8: been largely shrugging it off. Now, if this continues to 388 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,600 Speaker 8: be you know, a big focus and continues on for 389 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:11,520 Speaker 8: a long time, really starts to affect the supply of oil. 390 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,120 Speaker 8: That then will drive the price of oil up, which 391 00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:16,879 Speaker 8: then will complicate matters for the FED here at home. 392 00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:19,879 Speaker 8: The other piece of it, of course is military funding, 393 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,920 Speaker 8: where now we have the US government helping a fund 394 00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 8: war in Ukraine and now war in Israel, and that 395 00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:28,760 Speaker 8: does cost money. It is, you know, a commitment that 396 00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:31,639 Speaker 8: the US has made, but we'll start to hurt the 397 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:34,200 Speaker 8: US budget in some way at the same time when 398 00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:37,119 Speaker 8: the budget is already under pressure and we have discord 399 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:37,880 Speaker 8: in Washington. 400 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:38,800 Speaker 2: So it's sort of. 401 00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:41,360 Speaker 8: The layering of these risks that starts to become an issue. 402 00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 2: I wonder to what extent the dropping yields is a 403 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:51,480 Speaker 2: reaction to the Middle East or is it a reaction 404 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 2: to the FED speak that we've heard in the last 405 00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 2: couple of days. 406 00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,960 Speaker 8: I still think that the US markets are being driven 407 00:22:58,040 --> 00:23:01,000 Speaker 8: more by the FED than by what's happening outside the US. 408 00:23:01,760 --> 00:23:04,440 Speaker 8: You know, the FED has been such a focus over 409 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:06,960 Speaker 8: the last couple of years, and they've done a great 410 00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:09,240 Speaker 8: job so far in being able to bring down inflation, 411 00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:11,920 Speaker 8: but this last mile for them to go on inflation 412 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,520 Speaker 8: is still really really important in how long interest rates 413 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:17,560 Speaker 8: remain high, and the longer interest rates remain high, the 414 00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:19,760 Speaker 8: tougher it's going to be for the economy to moddel through. 415 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 1: All Right, So Cara, let's switch gears a little bit. 416 00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:26,000 Speaker 1: Focus on another data point for this market to kind 417 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 1: of digest. It is earnings, and corporate earning is really 418 00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:31,359 Speaker 1: kicking off in earnest Friday with some of the big banks. 419 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:35,000 Speaker 1: What are you looking for this quarter from Corporate America? 420 00:23:35,920 --> 00:23:37,920 Speaker 8: But the big banks, it's always really helpful that they 421 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,280 Speaker 8: go kind of early in the earning season because they 422 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:42,520 Speaker 8: do have a really great view kind of across the 423 00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:45,120 Speaker 8: country in terms of what's happening in both the corporate 424 00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:48,960 Speaker 8: sector and the consumer sector. So what we'll be looking 425 00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:52,399 Speaker 8: for is, particularly on the credit side, are we starting 426 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:55,919 Speaker 8: to see evidence that companies and individuals are feeling the 427 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,600 Speaker 8: pinch of higher interest rates. I think the answer is yes. 428 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:01,359 Speaker 8: So the question remains how much are they really feeling 429 00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:03,600 Speaker 8: the pinch and how much should we be worried about it. 430 00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 8: Company banks are going to have to start increasing credit 431 00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:09,600 Speaker 8: reserves and anticipation of that, you know, growing pinch. So 432 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:11,400 Speaker 8: I think that'll be a really helpful view of what's 433 00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,199 Speaker 8: happening on the ground. The other piece that we're going 434 00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:16,879 Speaker 8: to have to look out for our consumer shopping habits. 435 00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:20,120 Speaker 8: We've started to hear little anecdotes from retailers come through 436 00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:22,760 Speaker 8: that Again, consumers are starting to feel the pinch a 437 00:24:22,800 --> 00:24:25,400 Speaker 8: little bit, but hearing about the on the ground behavior 438 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:29,919 Speaker 8: and expectations, particularly heading into the very crucial holiday shopping season, 439 00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:32,520 Speaker 8: will give us a good sense of how consumers are feeling. 440 00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:36,399 Speaker 2: Yeah, it'll be interesting as we I just saw a 441 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,320 Speaker 2: chart from Torst and Slock this morning that movie viewership 442 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:43,960 Speaker 2: has dropped dramatically in theaters. In theaters, yes, but maybe 443 00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:48,560 Speaker 2: that's just a result of they're not being there's great movies. 444 00:24:48,720 --> 00:24:51,960 Speaker 2: We just had Barbenheimer and yeah, you're not gonna get anything. 445 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:53,760 Speaker 1: You're not going to get anyth until the Tailor's Holidays, 446 00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:57,639 Speaker 1: Taylor Swift movies coming true. We were all going to 447 00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 1: see that there's. 448 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 2: A huge impact there, right, What, Caro, what areas of 449 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:05,680 Speaker 2: the market do you like in terms of the risk 450 00:25:05,760 --> 00:25:08,480 Speaker 2: assets that you know we have on offer here? What 451 00:25:08,560 --> 00:25:09,560 Speaker 2: are the sectors you like? 452 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:12,879 Speaker 8: Yeah, so this is for this has been a really 453 00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:16,879 Speaker 8: tough year for anybody with a diversified portfolio, you know, 454 00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:19,440 Speaker 8: because if you didn't own something in the Big seven, 455 00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 8: you significantly lagged what you saw happening in the broad market. 456 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:25,720 Speaker 8: That said, we start that, we still think that the 457 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:27,920 Speaker 8: leadership is going to start to change and where it's 458 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,000 Speaker 8: no longer just going to be the Big seven or 459 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,879 Speaker 8: the Magnificent seven, whatever you want to call them. So 460 00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,159 Speaker 8: we're looking to go down cap a little bit. It 461 00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,359 Speaker 8: doesn't mean you have to be in microcap names, but 462 00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 8: sort of you know, outside the market a little bit, 463 00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 8: a little bit more outside the US. And then on 464 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:46,960 Speaker 8: the credit side, again, because of this increasing pinch of 465 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,880 Speaker 8: higher interest rates, we would be cautious, particularly in things 466 00:25:49,920 --> 00:25:52,400 Speaker 8: like high yield, where a lot of these companies are 467 00:25:52,440 --> 00:25:55,119 Speaker 8: going to be hurt by a continuation of higher interest rates, 468 00:25:55,400 --> 00:25:57,200 Speaker 8: and then spreads are at such a place where you're 469 00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,520 Speaker 8: not really being paid to take on that extra risk. 470 00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,200 Speaker 1: On the equity side, carea How do you feel about 471 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:04,679 Speaker 1: valuation here? I guess there's two ways to look at it. 472 00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:06,280 Speaker 1: One just kind of looking at the broad SMP, and 473 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:09,399 Speaker 1: you could make an argument that fairly fully valued. It's 474 00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:11,040 Speaker 1: not a little bit on the expensive side. But if 475 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:12,560 Speaker 1: you take out some of the big cap names, which 476 00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:15,080 Speaker 1: I've had such big, big runs, whether it's six or 477 00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:17,359 Speaker 1: seven names, maybe it looks a little bit better. How 478 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:18,080 Speaker 1: do you think about it? 479 00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:22,240 Speaker 8: Yeah, it's really interesting because there's not one single story 480 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:24,480 Speaker 8: across the market, And even if you look at it 481 00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:27,800 Speaker 8: just by sector, technology is really the only sector that's 482 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:31,399 Speaker 8: trading at a significant premium to its ten year historical average. 483 00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:35,360 Speaker 8: Even consumer discretionary, which at first glance looks a little expensive, 484 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,080 Speaker 8: is actually trading right in line with its historical average. 485 00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,879 Speaker 8: And then you have something like energy where valuations are 486 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 8: half their historical average. So there are certainly areas of 487 00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:46,639 Speaker 8: the market that don't look overstretched. And then even on 488 00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 8: a broad basis, you know, we're more expensive than average, 489 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:52,639 Speaker 8: but not extremely so, and that tends to not be 490 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:55,639 Speaker 8: a great indicator what direction the market is going next. 491 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,400 Speaker 2: By the way, I'm looking at one of the stories 492 00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,119 Speaker 2: that's popping up. As you know, when clients click on 493 00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 2: our Bloomberg stories a lot, I have an alert, so 494 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:10,000 Speaker 2: I see what they're watching right now. Ozempic shows kidney 495 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:13,200 Speaker 2: promise and blow the dialysis firm. That's a big story. 496 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,640 Speaker 2: And you know, I talked to the Pepsi coost CFO 497 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:18,920 Speaker 2: yesterday his view on ozepic Whether it's hurting pepsi sales, 498 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:23,440 Speaker 2: he says not yet. Walmart says GLP one users are 499 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:27,200 Speaker 2: buying fewer calories, which is a I think pretty cool 500 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:29,040 Speaker 2: thing in itself that they can even track that. But 501 00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:34,800 Speaker 2: what do you think about this move? It's like AI Junior, right, 502 00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:36,120 Speaker 2: GLP ones. 503 00:27:37,160 --> 00:27:39,480 Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean so in many ways, like I've read 504 00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:42,760 Speaker 8: the reports all those ones that you mentioned, and ozembic 505 00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,160 Speaker 8: and other drugs like it seemed to be the wonder drug. 506 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:45,400 Speaker 7: Right. 507 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:48,159 Speaker 8: They cause us to eat less, they cause us to 508 00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:51,040 Speaker 8: lose weight, have a healthier heart, now a healthier kidney. 509 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,840 Speaker 8: So let's all say that having healthier Americans and healthier 510 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:57,119 Speaker 8: people around the world is a good thing. Then the 511 00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,159 Speaker 8: question is how do you actually invest alongside it? And 512 00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:03,080 Speaker 8: you know, you mentioned some of the soft drink companies. 513 00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,200 Speaker 8: Those guys have been under pressure for a very long 514 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,960 Speaker 8: time because of healthier like growing healthier habits of Americans. 515 00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:11,439 Speaker 8: So this isn't necessarily new. It just sort of like 516 00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 8: accelerates many trends that you've already been in place. 517 00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:16,280 Speaker 1: All Right, Kerra, thank you so much for joining us. 518 00:28:16,280 --> 00:28:19,119 Speaker 1: As always, appreciate getting your thoughts. Karen Murphy. She is 519 00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:22,880 Speaker 1: a chief investment officer at Kestra Investment Management. 520 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:27,400 Speaker 3: You're listening to the team. Ken's a live program Bloomberg 521 00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:30,840 Speaker 3: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot Com, 522 00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:34,040 Speaker 3: the iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg Business App, or listen 523 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:36,240 Speaker 3: on demand wherever you get your podcasts. 524 00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:39,560 Speaker 1: You want to get the latest reporting, we do that 525 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,040 Speaker 1: with Galite Alstein. She's a reportered with Bloomberg New She 526 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:44,400 Speaker 1: joins us from Tel Aviv. Glee, thanks so much for 527 00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:48,400 Speaker 1: joining us. I know a very difficult time. What is 528 00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,040 Speaker 1: the latest that you can tell us about what you 529 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:54,880 Speaker 1: believe or what is the consensus building about the type 530 00:28:54,880 --> 00:28:57,440 Speaker 1: of response that we get from Israel. 531 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:03,239 Speaker 7: So actually today we're also seeing some developments in the 532 00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:05,920 Speaker 7: north of Israel. This has been obviously a big question 533 00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:09,240 Speaker 7: over the past few days on whether the Northern Front 534 00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:13,480 Speaker 7: will also be joining joining in mainly Isbela, which is 535 00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:17,160 Speaker 7: an Iranian backing group in the south of Lebanon and 536 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,680 Speaker 7: Lebanon in general. So over the past half hour or so, 537 00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 7: we've been getting reports on possibly some UAVs that have 538 00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:29,719 Speaker 7: penetrated Israel through the northern border. We do not have 539 00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 7: too much details on that yet yet. I can only 540 00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 7: tell you that a lot of people, roughly a million 541 00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:39,520 Speaker 7: and a half Israeli civilians have been called to go 542 00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 7: into safe rooms, into safe places and stay there until 543 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:48,600 Speaker 7: the picture is clearer. And earlier today we also saw 544 00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:53,680 Speaker 7: from back and forth it wasn't as possibly dramatic is 545 00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:56,760 Speaker 7: what we're seeing now. Once again, we don't exactly know 546 00:29:56,800 --> 00:29:59,280 Speaker 7: what is going on now, but earlier on we saw 547 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:03,960 Speaker 7: some i'm back and forth between grisbe line idea forces 548 00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:08,960 Speaker 7: some back and forth fire across the border. So we're 549 00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:12,520 Speaker 7: looking a lot at that today as well. 550 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 2: Paint a picture for us elite of you know, the 551 00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:24,480 Speaker 2: differences between what's happening now and the past incursions that 552 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 2: you face or the past you know, back and forth 553 00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:32,000 Speaker 2: because typically, as I understand Israeli has just continue to 554 00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:35,080 Speaker 2: go about their business, and I would imagine there's not 555 00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:38,960 Speaker 2: much of an economic impact. But this has been compared 556 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,680 Speaker 2: to a nine to eleven, it's been compared to a 557 00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:46,280 Speaker 2: nineteen seventy three. Yeah, Im Kapoor, War, is it different 558 00:30:46,280 --> 00:30:49,280 Speaker 2: this time? And that people are not necessarily going to work, 559 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 2: not necessarily going out and buying things, not necessarily doing 560 00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:56,360 Speaker 2: much except for sort of huddling scared and safe rooms. 561 00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:59,760 Speaker 7: Yeah, I think. I think you're absolutely right. I mean, 562 00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:03,360 Speaker 7: obviously don't have all the economic data yet to bat 563 00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:07,720 Speaker 7: this up, but I can definitely tell you that people 564 00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:11,280 Speaker 7: are staying home a lot and not coming in to work. 565 00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:15,040 Speaker 7: There's actually a combination. I think of a lot of 566 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,440 Speaker 7: people that have been called to serve in the army 567 00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:21,280 Speaker 7: reserve forces, so we've had three hundred thousand of those, 568 00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:24,480 Speaker 7: and then there are some people who need to stay 569 00:31:24,480 --> 00:31:26,880 Speaker 7: at home because the children have not been going to 570 00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:30,920 Speaker 7: school throughout the entire country, I mean all over Israel. 571 00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:34,280 Speaker 7: Schools have not been open since Saturday, I mean since 572 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:38,120 Speaker 7: since Sunday. In effect, Sunday is a business day in Israel, 573 00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 7: so and they've just announced today that schools are not 574 00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 7: coming back at least until next Sunday, so some of 575 00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,160 Speaker 7: the parents, you don't need to stay home with your children. 576 00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:49,200 Speaker 7: And then we also have people who are just afraid 577 00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:53,520 Speaker 7: because Israeli still under missile attacks from the south from Gaza. 578 00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:56,800 Speaker 7: This is affecting mostly the southern part of Israel, but 579 00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:00,640 Speaker 7: also you know, every once in a while for parts 580 00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:05,200 Speaker 7: like celebrating the Vicinity. So so what we're seeing basically is, 581 00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:08,040 Speaker 7: you know, people working from home if they can, or 582 00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:11,280 Speaker 7: not coming in to work. And this is very reminiscent 583 00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:14,440 Speaker 7: to many people that that I speak to of COVID, 584 00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:16,920 Speaker 7: of the first days of COVID, and you know, the 585 00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:21,320 Speaker 7: first lockdowns. So so in some cases, you know, it's 586 00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 7: not you know, direct you instruction from the authorities. You know, 587 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:27,240 Speaker 7: don't don't leave the house like a lockdown. In some 588 00:32:27,360 --> 00:32:30,040 Speaker 7: places it is, in some places it isn't, but but 589 00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,520 Speaker 7: it was reminiscent of that. And I think it's just 590 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:38,880 Speaker 7: worth noting and and that some businesses and some international 591 00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:43,000 Speaker 7: businesses that operate in Israel, and talking about some retail stores, 592 00:32:43,040 --> 00:32:48,360 Speaker 7: you know, h and m ikei Ikia, I know that 593 00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:51,600 Speaker 7: these stores for examples, have been shut down for the 594 00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:56,959 Speaker 7: last few days so so obviously business consumption is is 595 00:32:57,040 --> 00:32:58,280 Speaker 7: definitely down these days. 596 00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:02,480 Speaker 1: Yes, what do we know about this new unity government 597 00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:06,840 Speaker 1: that mister Nata who has announced tell us about that. 598 00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:12,360 Speaker 7: So this is O news from this afternoon. So actually 599 00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:19,000 Speaker 7: this is in fact a new party, Benny Ganz's party. 600 00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:23,840 Speaker 7: He was he an opprsition leader until just from this 601 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:29,920 Speaker 7: afternoon and he just joined forces with NATHANIAO. Nathaniel's government. 602 00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,640 Speaker 7: His former government stays in effect. But what we're seeing 603 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:37,440 Speaker 7: now is Gansa's party join in basically to form a 604 00:33:37,600 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 7: very narrow war managing cabinet. In this cabinet will see 605 00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:46,040 Speaker 7: as its members of Nathaniel himself defense minister, you have 606 00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 7: Gallant and joining them will be Benny Ganz, who is 607 00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 7: a former defense minister, and two more members in the cabinet, 608 00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:01,320 Speaker 7: one from Ganz's party and one from Nathaniel's party. And 609 00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:07,200 Speaker 7: actually they will be leading any operations the war. You 610 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,920 Speaker 7: can say that we'll be moving on from moving forward 611 00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:15,520 Speaker 7: from now on. These are people who are very experienced, 612 00:34:16,239 --> 00:34:20,120 Speaker 7: mainly speaking about Gance and another member of his party Eisenkott, 613 00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:24,280 Speaker 7: and of course Defense Minister Galan. They're all very senior 614 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:30,120 Speaker 7: former idea officers. Led the Israeli Army Glance was previously 615 00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:32,680 Speaker 7: in charge of the Southern Command. He's very familiar with 616 00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:34,879 Speaker 7: the Gazza Street and they're the ones who are going 617 00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:36,600 Speaker 7: to be leading the war effort from here on. 618 00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 2: I wonder if this changes the picture in terms of, 619 00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:45,840 Speaker 2: you know, regional allies of Iran. What have you heard 620 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:51,239 Speaker 2: from other Arab states, especially considering the fact that we 621 00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:57,440 Speaker 2: know Iran funds Hamas, we know Iran funds Hesbalah, and they've. 622 00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:00,600 Speaker 1: You know, been responsib for. 623 00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:06,280 Speaker 2: Something that's beyond a military attack, really just targeting citizens. 624 00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:08,680 Speaker 2: And I know that's happened in the past, but at 625 00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:11,799 Speaker 2: this point, now the world has seen it. Do you 626 00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:14,040 Speaker 2: expect any any pushback on Iran? 627 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:20,680 Speaker 7: That's a good question, and you know, I'm not sure. 628 00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,120 Speaker 2: It just seems to lead that everyone is hesitant from 629 00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:26,239 Speaker 2: from from here, it seems everyone is hesitant to push 630 00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,480 Speaker 2: back on Iran. When the Wall Street Journal first reported 631 00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:31,360 Speaker 2: that Iran knew about these attacks and even was involved 632 00:35:31,360 --> 00:35:33,600 Speaker 2: in the planning, or that the IRGC was involved in 633 00:35:33,640 --> 00:35:38,480 Speaker 2: the planning, we had, you know, the Secretary of Defense saying, well, 634 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,960 Speaker 2: we haven't seen any evidence, you know, not eager to 635 00:35:42,040 --> 00:35:44,600 Speaker 2: draw Iran into this because it makes things more difficult. 636 00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:47,360 Speaker 2: On the other hand, we all know they're funding Hamas. 637 00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:52,720 Speaker 7: Yeah, well well yeah, you know, the relationship between Iran 638 00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:55,880 Speaker 7: and Hamas and Iran and Frisbelle as a slightly different one. 639 00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:59,719 Speaker 7: You're right to say that Iran finances both Hamas and 640 00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:03,200 Speaker 7: his Bala with Haramas, It's it's on a much lower scale. 641 00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:07,200 Speaker 7: I'm talking about the financing, and there there are different 642 00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:11,440 Speaker 7: They're a different organization because you know, there are Sunni 643 00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:16,279 Speaker 7: Ramas is a sony organization, so they are cooperating with 644 00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 7: Iran and they're getting money from them, but they don't 645 00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:23,200 Speaker 7: necessarily take orders from Iran, even if they're coordinated with them. 646 00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:25,560 Speaker 7: I know it sounds a little complex, but it is. 647 00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 7: Whilezabella in the north of Israel is one hundred percent Iran, 648 00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:34,320 Speaker 7: it's just you know, a proxy organization, the militant organization 649 00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:37,000 Speaker 7: that is backed by Iran, that is led by around 650 00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:39,840 Speaker 7: that is you know, taking orders from Iran. So and 651 00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:43,160 Speaker 7: on your question, I think that you know, maybe what 652 00:36:43,280 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 7: speaks loudest at this time is that you know, when 653 00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:49,680 Speaker 7: we see the US carrier, the drive forward carrier, that 654 00:36:49,760 --> 00:36:54,360 Speaker 7: is now you know around Israeli waters. You know, this 655 00:36:54,520 --> 00:37:00,560 Speaker 7: is very extraordinary, slight. I would put it like that, 656 00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:05,680 Speaker 7: I don't remember anything, you know, this sort happening at 657 00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:09,080 Speaker 7: least over you know, the last decades. So this is 658 00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:12,319 Speaker 7: like a warning sign which which may be a reinforcement 659 00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:15,600 Speaker 7: of what you just said. You know, people don't countries 660 00:37:15,640 --> 00:37:18,279 Speaker 7: don't wanting you know, and all out don't want an 661 00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:20,600 Speaker 7: all out war. So they're putting you know, their biggest 662 00:37:20,640 --> 00:37:23,840 Speaker 7: like you know, warning signs and you know, telling Iran 663 00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:28,800 Speaker 7: don't get involved, not through football, not directly, and so 664 00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:31,640 Speaker 7: so it's safe to assume that yes, maybe you know, 665 00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:34,320 Speaker 7: the nations don't want an all out war at this time, 666 00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:39,279 Speaker 7: and Israel definitely you know, wants to concentrate on Gaza now, 667 00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:41,600 Speaker 7: but keep saying that it is very well prepared for 668 00:37:41,680 --> 00:37:43,880 Speaker 7: anything that happens in the Northwest. 669 00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:46,399 Speaker 1: Fastball Very good, All right, Glee, thank you so much 670 00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:49,360 Speaker 1: once again for joining us. Khalita Alstein. She's a reporter 671 00:37:49,440 --> 00:37:51,799 Speaker 1: with Bloomberg News. She's based in Tel Aviv, and we 672 00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:54,680 Speaker 1: really appreciate getting some of her time during this very 673 00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:58,920 Speaker 1: very difficult time for all Israeli citizens. And we'll see 674 00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:01,640 Speaker 1: what type of response that we get from Israel, but 675 00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,319 Speaker 1: all I guess indications are that it's going to be 676 00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:07,359 Speaker 1: severe as we look at the call ups and so on. 677 00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:10,759 Speaker 3: You're listening to the tape. Ken's are live program Bloomberg 678 00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:14,440 Speaker 3: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the 679 00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:17,719 Speaker 3: tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business App. 680 00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,560 Speaker 3: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our 681 00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:25,000 Speaker 3: flagship New York station, Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 682 00:38:26,960 --> 00:38:29,320 Speaker 1: Matt Miller Paul Sweeney live here in a Bloomberg Interactive 683 00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:33,320 Speaker 1: Brokers studio, and we are streaming this thing on YouTube's 684 00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:36,640 Speaker 1: Head over to YouTube dot com and search Bloomberg Radio. Matt, 685 00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:38,759 Speaker 1: I'm at an age where I just don't stay up 686 00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:41,520 Speaker 1: that late anymore. So the late night TV I used 687 00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:43,239 Speaker 1: to be a fan. I was there for Letterman and 688 00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:43,960 Speaker 1: all that kind of stuff. 689 00:38:43,960 --> 00:38:46,120 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, dude, I remember Letterman from the very beginning. 690 00:38:46,239 --> 00:38:48,040 Speaker 1: But I mean, but I understand that's where the cool 691 00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:51,319 Speaker 1: kids hang is kind of late night TV, which brings 692 00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:53,520 Speaker 1: us to Max Abelson. Why he's here, I don't know. 693 00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:57,399 Speaker 1: Max Abelson. He's one of our star reporters for Bloomberg news, 694 00:38:57,400 --> 00:38:59,480 Speaker 1: he joins us here on our Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. 695 00:38:59,520 --> 00:39:03,400 Speaker 1: But Max, you're going TV on it, You're going Hollywood. 696 00:39:03,520 --> 00:39:05,799 Speaker 1: Talk to us about the show that you're bringing to 697 00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:07,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Originals. 698 00:39:07,400 --> 00:39:09,919 Speaker 5: Yeah, my ego is too big now actually to talk, 699 00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:12,640 Speaker 5: so I'm just call into silence now. Well, first of all, 700 00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:16,520 Speaker 5: just about bedtime talking Phoenix, Yep, yep. Learn let's talk 701 00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:19,240 Speaker 5: at bedtime because I am out by like nine thirty, 702 00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:21,520 Speaker 5: just to be totally clear, So I'll be watching the 703 00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:23,480 Speaker 5: following day. But I'm hoping everyone here is going to 704 00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:27,680 Speaker 5: tune in on Thursdays at ten thirty pm on Bloomberg TV. Listen. 705 00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:30,000 Speaker 5: I think there's a chance that what we're making here 706 00:39:30,239 --> 00:39:32,200 Speaker 5: is like going to be really special. 707 00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:32,799 Speaker 1: And really good. 708 00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:34,960 Speaker 5: I mean, we had a really big challenge, which is 709 00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:37,759 Speaker 5: that Business Week is like a good thing as is. 710 00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:39,920 Speaker 5: You know, it's a great magazine. It's when you know, 711 00:39:39,920 --> 00:39:42,080 Speaker 5: when I have my best journalism of the year, if 712 00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:44,600 Speaker 5: I'm lucky, it gets to go in Business Week. And 713 00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:48,160 Speaker 5: to make something that's a really good magazine and to 714 00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:51,120 Speaker 5: try to turn it into something televisual as hard, because 715 00:39:51,160 --> 00:39:54,080 Speaker 5: like magazine and TV are different things. But we have 716 00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:57,200 Speaker 5: had a lot of fun with this idea that instead 717 00:39:57,200 --> 00:40:00,480 Speaker 5: of like sitting there, you know, kind of suck with 718 00:40:00,600 --> 00:40:02,239 Speaker 5: the issue that week, although I'm sure we would have 719 00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:02,719 Speaker 5: fun if. 720 00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:03,200 Speaker 1: We had to do that. 721 00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:07,319 Speaker 5: What we've done, gentlemen, is take the themes that would 722 00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:10,840 Speaker 5: normally kind of course below the surface of business journalism 723 00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:17,279 Speaker 5: and Business Week, specifically ambition, risk, failure, genius, imagination, and 724 00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:19,799 Speaker 5: we've dedicated episodes to each of them. And then we've 725 00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:23,680 Speaker 5: brought on, like, honestly like kind of astounding people whose 726 00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:28,280 Speaker 5: lives and careers and ideas, like honestly like have something 727 00:40:28,320 --> 00:40:30,239 Speaker 5: to say about those themes. Like I've learned a lot 728 00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:32,879 Speaker 5: like sitting at the table talking to people. It's been 729 00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:33,960 Speaker 5: fun and it's been eye opening. 730 00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:36,360 Speaker 2: All right, So what's the format you're gonna go on? 731 00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:38,680 Speaker 2: This show is going to go out every Thursday at 732 00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:40,600 Speaker 2: ten thirty on Bloomberg TV. I'm like, I'm guessing we're 733 00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:42,080 Speaker 2: gonna be able to watch it on Bloomer dot com 734 00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:45,759 Speaker 2: or somewhere online the next day. And then so is 735 00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:46,640 Speaker 2: it an hour? 736 00:40:46,880 --> 00:40:47,520 Speaker 1: Two? 737 00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:49,960 Speaker 2: Do you have one guest for? How does it work? 738 00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:51,880 Speaker 5: Thank you for asking. These are questions that remind me 739 00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:54,600 Speaker 5: of my mom, Patty Abelson has been asking just these 740 00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:57,600 Speaker 5: exact questions. All right, So look, it's gonna start with 741 00:40:57,640 --> 00:41:01,440 Speaker 5: a kind of essayistic introduction. My only complaint about this 742 00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:04,319 Speaker 5: whole series is that we have we we filmed me 743 00:41:04,680 --> 00:41:06,799 Speaker 5: walking through the streets of New York, and I have 744 00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:08,960 Speaker 5: to memorize my essay. 745 00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:12,279 Speaker 2: And it is not easy. No one just called a 746 00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:14,320 Speaker 2: monolog by the way, let's call it a monologue. 747 00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:15,720 Speaker 1: Monologue. 748 00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:18,160 Speaker 5: I have no teleprompter, so I'm in the streets of 749 00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:20,359 Speaker 5: New York. I give a little opening essay. Then then 750 00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:22,520 Speaker 5: I come to the studio, which, let me just say, 751 00:41:23,200 --> 00:41:27,000 Speaker 5: my colleagues, like carpentered a studio. We're not talking like 752 00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:32,640 Speaker 5: led screens. Is here here one floor up for listeners. 753 00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:35,600 Speaker 5: I can't see this, but we are on the fifth floor. 754 00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,600 Speaker 2: They can if they're streaming on YouTube. We're you look 755 00:41:38,640 --> 00:41:40,280 Speaker 2: into the camera. They're not in the building. 756 00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:41,799 Speaker 5: They're not in the building, so they would know it's 757 00:41:41,920 --> 00:41:43,840 Speaker 5: but it's on the sixth floor, and it's yeah. I 758 00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:47,000 Speaker 5: mean when I say carpentered, I mean like woodworkers made. 759 00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:50,120 Speaker 5: It looks like kind of an eccentric editor in chief 760 00:41:50,160 --> 00:41:50,719 Speaker 5: of it. 761 00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:51,320 Speaker 2: Looks so cool. 762 00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:52,399 Speaker 1: Seventy eight. 763 00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:55,680 Speaker 5: It is beautiful, and there's something about the vibe. I mean, actually, 764 00:41:55,680 --> 00:41:57,600 Speaker 5: I've always loved the studio where we are now, but 765 00:41:57,600 --> 00:42:00,680 Speaker 5: there's something about the vibe where I feel like even 766 00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:04,160 Speaker 5: interesting or powerful or complicated people come in and it's 767 00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:06,440 Speaker 5: like it almost reminds me of like a therapist's office 768 00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:08,040 Speaker 5: or something about it where I find that people are 769 00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:10,879 Speaker 5: willing to open up and I'm definitely willing to meet 770 00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:13,200 Speaker 5: them where they are. But there our guests so far 771 00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:15,239 Speaker 5: have been really willing to meet us where we are, 772 00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:18,040 Speaker 5: which is taking these themes seriously. It's not easy to 773 00:42:18,040 --> 00:42:20,280 Speaker 5: talk about failure, it's not easy to talk about ambition. 774 00:42:20,520 --> 00:42:22,200 Speaker 5: But I find that there's something about the space, and 775 00:42:22,239 --> 00:42:24,359 Speaker 5: there's something about my colleagues, Eduino Tira. I have to say, 776 00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:26,560 Speaker 5: our director and producer is really one of my favorite 777 00:42:26,600 --> 00:42:29,759 Speaker 5: people I've ever worked with, combined thanks to Business Week, 778 00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:32,240 Speaker 5: thanks to the show, thanks to the set, my colleagues, 779 00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:34,400 Speaker 5: there's something that I think is kind of special about it, 780 00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,120 Speaker 5: and I feel like, like I hope it'll I think 781 00:42:37,120 --> 00:42:39,160 Speaker 5: it might be kind of like unlike anything we've ever 782 00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:39,520 Speaker 5: done here. 783 00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:42,440 Speaker 2: It does look, like, I have to agree, a really 784 00:42:42,480 --> 00:42:46,279 Speaker 2: cool space and very unique and kind of different, a 785 00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:49,880 Speaker 2: step away from reality without being like fake, you know, 786 00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:52,279 Speaker 2: but just like a therapist's office. I think is a 787 00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:55,440 Speaker 2: great description because you're sort of putting the world on 788 00:42:55,560 --> 00:42:58,080 Speaker 2: pause to have these discussions. So who are the guests 789 00:42:58,120 --> 00:42:58,600 Speaker 2: that you've. 790 00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:00,000 Speaker 5: Had on Well, I'll tell you about the guys, but 791 00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:02,280 Speaker 5: first I just want to respond to a very beautiful 792 00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:04,080 Speaker 5: thing you just said, a step away from reality. It's 793 00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:08,400 Speaker 5: been very I thought a lot about how to make television, 794 00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:10,320 Speaker 5: which is very different from what I normally do. You know, 795 00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:12,480 Speaker 5: I'm a writer, like I'm a reporter here. I've spent 796 00:43:12,920 --> 00:43:16,040 Speaker 5: a long time here, my whole professional life in this building, 797 00:43:16,080 --> 00:43:19,319 Speaker 5: thirteen years. I think like writing and reporting and being 798 00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:22,600 Speaker 5: on TV and even you know what, honestly being on radio. 799 00:43:23,040 --> 00:43:26,160 Speaker 5: It involves a certain amount of theater, certain kind of performance, 800 00:43:26,320 --> 00:43:28,080 Speaker 5: Like it makes me think about my voice when I'm 801 00:43:28,080 --> 00:43:29,920 Speaker 5: talking now or when I'm on TV, Like I think 802 00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:31,400 Speaker 5: about the way I look, you know, the way I 803 00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:34,719 Speaker 5: move my hands. And we've really spent a long time 804 00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:36,680 Speaker 5: talking as a group about how to make it as 805 00:43:36,760 --> 00:43:38,719 Speaker 5: real as possible, even though I have to do some 806 00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:41,000 Speaker 5: performative things, not. 807 00:43:41,000 --> 00:43:42,440 Speaker 1: Move my hands in silly ways. 808 00:43:42,600 --> 00:43:46,600 Speaker 5: You know, not talk too much. We've really tried to 809 00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:50,600 Speaker 5: keep it as connected to reality as print journalism can be. 810 00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:52,799 Speaker 5: Now let me tell you about the guests. 811 00:43:52,800 --> 00:43:56,000 Speaker 2: But with the set that evokes a like nineteen seventies newsroom, 812 00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:58,000 Speaker 2: Thank you, but what you wanted to see today in 813 00:43:58,080 --> 00:44:00,840 Speaker 2: any news so you're trying to get real. But also 814 00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:05,960 Speaker 2: it's I aroays reminded kind of like a mister Rogers neighborhood. Oh, 815 00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:08,680 Speaker 2: like the you know the set in taxi, Like basically 816 00:44:08,760 --> 00:44:11,279 Speaker 2: one set that's different from everything else, but that you 817 00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:12,799 Speaker 2: want to be paying attention to that. 818 00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:14,560 Speaker 5: You're talking my language. We have a signed photo of 819 00:44:14,560 --> 00:44:17,680 Speaker 5: Fred Rodgers in the signed to me as a little boy. 820 00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:18,680 Speaker 1: Thanks, thanks my dad. 821 00:44:18,719 --> 00:44:20,160 Speaker 5: But let me just talk about the guests. So for 822 00:44:20,200 --> 00:44:24,000 Speaker 5: this week's episode, Genius Thursday Night, we have a ninety 823 00:44:24,040 --> 00:44:27,560 Speaker 5: one year old genius, Bert Malkiel, who who's writing a 824 00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:30,560 Speaker 5: gentleman probably walk down Wall Sheet, which is a book 825 00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:33,839 Speaker 5: about how genius doesn't actually exist in the markets. He 826 00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:36,040 Speaker 5: is so interesting, has so much to say, it's it's 827 00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:38,320 Speaker 5: such a distinct version of genius. Then we have a 828 00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:41,719 Speaker 5: seventeen year old genius who won the spelling Bee. I'm 829 00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:43,400 Speaker 5: going to say very little about her because she is 830 00:44:43,440 --> 00:44:46,680 Speaker 5: such a surprise and she has I think she is 831 00:44:46,680 --> 00:44:49,200 Speaker 5: my most genius guest, but I'm not going to say 832 00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:51,399 Speaker 5: too much more about her. And then we have more 833 00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:53,480 Speaker 5: of a Jah who is the genius. In fact, he 834 00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:58,480 Speaker 5: literally one genius grant. He is a guy who thinks 835 00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:02,239 Speaker 5: about all the garbage that floating around our orbit, all 836 00:45:02,280 --> 00:45:04,960 Speaker 5: the dead all the dead stuff that we sent out satellites, 837 00:45:05,000 --> 00:45:07,200 Speaker 5: but then they died and they're just there. It's this 838 00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:08,680 Speaker 5: new kind of trash. 839 00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:10,200 Speaker 1: And he really did. 840 00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:12,279 Speaker 5: Blow my mind the way that he talked about the 841 00:45:12,320 --> 00:45:15,600 Speaker 5: difference between jualized genius and a kind of collective genius, 842 00:45:15,640 --> 00:45:17,360 Speaker 5: and the way that you can learn from other people 843 00:45:17,360 --> 00:45:19,759 Speaker 5: instead of just like being a genius yourself. 844 00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:21,600 Speaker 2: Standing on the shoulders of giants exactly. 845 00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:23,840 Speaker 5: I found it, honestly, very moving. I was told I 846 00:45:23,840 --> 00:45:25,640 Speaker 5: had to stop nodding along because I was not on 847 00:45:25,719 --> 00:45:26,200 Speaker 5: the long term. 848 00:45:26,440 --> 00:45:29,239 Speaker 2: That's how much I enjoyed it. That sounds awesome. I 849 00:45:29,239 --> 00:45:30,720 Speaker 2: can't wait to see this, honestly. 850 00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,600 Speaker 1: And so what's the difference between kind of your what 851 00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:36,160 Speaker 1: you have been doing, interviewing, call people on the phone, 852 00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:38,080 Speaker 1: calling your sources and that kind of thing. As opposed 853 00:45:38,080 --> 00:45:41,520 Speaker 1: to now you're sitting, you know, face to face with 854 00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:44,000 Speaker 1: these people oftentimes, and that's a little different vibe. 855 00:45:44,080 --> 00:45:46,680 Speaker 5: Right Oh, the vibe is tremendously different. Like right now 856 00:45:46,680 --> 00:45:49,080 Speaker 5: I'm looking at you, you know, and we're talking like 857 00:45:49,360 --> 00:45:51,280 Speaker 5: I don't want to I'm on the mood to confront you, 858 00:45:51,280 --> 00:45:52,680 Speaker 5: you know, I don't want to press you on the 859 00:45:52,680 --> 00:45:55,200 Speaker 5: most difficult things that if you've ever had to live through, 860 00:45:55,280 --> 00:45:58,799 Speaker 5: or like, you know, if you were a prominent business person, 861 00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:02,680 Speaker 5: you're your most prominent in barres because embarrassment comes with success. 862 00:46:02,760 --> 00:46:05,719 Speaker 5: No one has success without failure. To sit across this 863 00:46:05,840 --> 00:46:08,520 Speaker 5: table in the BusinessWeek shows set and to talk to 864 00:46:08,560 --> 00:46:15,600 Speaker 5: people about pain and uncertainty and embarrassment, or even just 865 00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:18,440 Speaker 5: to talk to them about their ambition or to talk 866 00:46:18,480 --> 00:46:21,640 Speaker 5: about their genius or to talk about their imagination, there's 867 00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:24,640 Speaker 5: something that's very awkward about it. I'm very interested in 868 00:46:25,320 --> 00:46:28,080 Speaker 5: trying to re examine the journalistic encounter, you know, I 869 00:46:28,120 --> 00:46:31,040 Speaker 5: love my favorite My favorite journalist is Janet Malcolm, who 870 00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:34,239 Speaker 5: writes beautifully about the kind of betrayals that happen every 871 00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:37,319 Speaker 5: time there's a journalistic encounter. Because the journalist is going 872 00:46:37,320 --> 00:46:39,600 Speaker 5: to tell a story and the subject has a very 873 00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:42,160 Speaker 5: different story. And it's been really fun for me to 874 00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:45,320 Speaker 5: see in real time how different it is to stare 875 00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:49,240 Speaker 5: your subject in the eyes. And it's spooky. 876 00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:53,200 Speaker 2: That's very cool. I mean, we love your stories that 877 00:46:53,239 --> 00:46:55,319 Speaker 2: you write for Bloomberg, but I can imagine it's very 878 00:46:55,320 --> 00:46:57,480 Speaker 2: different because you get to kind of script everything. You 879 00:46:57,520 --> 00:47:01,080 Speaker 2: totally create the narrative by yourself or know with your editors, 880 00:47:01,280 --> 00:47:05,480 Speaker 2: whereas here you can script the questions and you can 881 00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:07,879 Speaker 2: stage the interview, but it's gonna go where it goes. 882 00:47:08,000 --> 00:47:08,880 Speaker 1: Yes, yes, you know. 883 00:47:08,960 --> 00:47:10,600 Speaker 5: Hearing you say that reminds me that you know, my 884 00:47:10,680 --> 00:47:12,680 Speaker 5: beat in a way is money and power, when when 885 00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:14,920 Speaker 5: I ask, honestly, my beat is like semi made up 886 00:47:14,920 --> 00:47:17,040 Speaker 5: but Wall Street culture of Wall Street money and power. 887 00:47:18,560 --> 00:47:20,680 Speaker 5: It really has got me thinking about the way that 888 00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:24,239 Speaker 5: we have power, like journalists have power. We shape stories, 889 00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:28,279 Speaker 5: we bring perspective. I mean, I believe that one of 890 00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:30,920 Speaker 5: the things that makes Bloomberg News and Business Meek great 891 00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:33,400 Speaker 5: is that we wield our power well and that we 892 00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:36,000 Speaker 5: wield it with fairness and we wield it with authority. 893 00:47:36,360 --> 00:47:39,840 Speaker 5: But it's been fun to feel powerful and also to 894 00:47:39,880 --> 00:47:42,160 Speaker 5: feel a little powerless. I don't know what people are 895 00:47:42,200 --> 00:47:43,680 Speaker 5: going to say. I don't know if they're gonna dislike 896 00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:45,279 Speaker 5: my questions. I don't know if our vibe is going 897 00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:47,680 Speaker 5: to be weird. And that's a powerless position to be in. 898 00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:48,560 Speaker 5: I have the power. 899 00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:49,839 Speaker 1: I have some power because I'm. 900 00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:53,040 Speaker 5: Asking questions, but but it's been a very powerless experience, 901 00:47:53,120 --> 00:47:55,480 Speaker 5: and it's it's been really fun to taste. What's the 902 00:47:55,520 --> 00:47:57,680 Speaker 5: name of the show, The Business Week Show? 903 00:47:57,760 --> 00:48:01,040 Speaker 1: The Business Week Show on Bloomberg Television on Thursday nights, 904 00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:05,320 Speaker 1: ten thirty pm, Wall Street Time, Boom Mark that, Max Abelson, 905 00:48:05,320 --> 00:48:06,799 Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us. 906 00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:11,799 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcasts. You can 907 00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:15,600 Speaker 2: subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever 908 00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:19,400 Speaker 2: podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter 909 00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:21,520 Speaker 2: at Matt Miller nineteen seventy three. 910 00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:24,440 Speaker 1: And I'm Faul Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. 911 00:48:24,480 --> 00:48:27,160 Speaker 1: Before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at 912 00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:28,919 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio.