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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast Action.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go the test throwing out so

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Speaker 2: spect we're sitting.

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Speaker 1: It's a cash touchdown.

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Speaker 2: We'll see most gamble is when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 2: they go to win.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Being bank small banks, I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate combine.

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Speaker 2: If you want to fall. And we are underway. What's

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Speaker 2: up everybody? Welcome to the Action Every podcast presented by DraftKings.

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Speaker 2: I am your host, Evan Abrams and I am joined

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Speaker 2: by Brandon Anderson for our NFL recap show. We will

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Speaker 2: discuss everything we saw today and a little bit earlier

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Speaker 2: this week as well. Plus we will look ahead briefly

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Speaker 2: some Monday night's game and get Brandon's hot read for

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Speaker 2: next week. But before we get started, as always, I

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Speaker 2: will give you a stat or two off the top

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Speaker 2: here based off of what we have just seen in

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Speaker 2: Brandon will have a little bit of you know, something

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Speaker 2: to say about it. But I'll start with one pm

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Speaker 2: Sunday Chaos. So this one was in my primer and

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Speaker 2: continue today. So since week nine, favorites are now nine

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Speaker 2: twenty seven and one against the spread in the early

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Speaker 2: Sunday window. In the first eight weeks they went thirty

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Speaker 2: nine and twenty so an absolute utter shift in the

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Speaker 2: last what is that four or five weeks since week nine?

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Speaker 2: The kicker is in that one pm Eastern window sixty

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Speaker 2: percent of tickets which have struggled all year fifteen and

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Speaker 2: forty seven against the spread, four and twenty one ats

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Speaker 2: since week nine, so those things with favorites kind of

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Speaker 2: bounced together. It's been a wild early window so far

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Speaker 2: this year with that start and that finish. And then

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Speaker 2: I'll end with this. I tweeted this out. But games

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Speaker 2: with ten plus mile an hour wins which we had

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Speaker 2: a few today twenty eight and one to the under

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Speaker 2: this year, one twenty five and seventy sixty four percent

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Speaker 2: since twenty twenty two, and of course we had that

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Speaker 2: San Francisco Cleveland game just barely under, but twenty five

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Speaker 2: plus mount in hour wins now fifteen and three to

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Speaker 2: the under. In our system, it looks like ten plus

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Speaker 2: Green Bay, Cleveland and Buffalo or early calls for next week,

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Speaker 2: but obviously long way to go there. And then Brandon,

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Speaker 2: how about this one? This one's always fun. So entering

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Speaker 2: Monday night football home teams road teams exactly even this

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Speaker 2: year ninety three, ninety three and one with Washington's cover tonight,

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Speaker 2: you could take your pick a lot of stuff. I guess,

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Speaker 2: a kind of boring Sunday slate that turned into a

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Speaker 2: rev show on Sunday Night Football. But what do you

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Speaker 2: take away?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, we got a lot of games where

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Speaker 3: it's like we kind of knew where this is going,

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Speaker 3: and or even it's just like two teams that don't

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Speaker 3: really matter. But then of course on those Sundays, those

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Speaker 3: are the games that end up going to overtime, going

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Speaker 3: down the stretch, hitting the witching hour, just kind of

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Speaker 3: this is one of those Sundays. So yeah, good day

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Speaker 3: to be on UNDERS for sure. I'm sure lots of

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Speaker 3: folks watching and listening right now. We're hit by the

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Speaker 3: same sort of weather that we saw all throughout the

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Speaker 3: day here in all the games, So windy unders definitely

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Speaker 3: a thing. A lot of unders. Unders for next week.

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Speaker 3: I'll even hitch out the top with their preview fast

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Speaker 3: forward all the way to the end of the show.

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Speaker 3: We're going back to the unders for next week ourselves

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Speaker 3: in the hot read with a couple actually three hot

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Speaker 3: reads tonight, all unders, so you can get those coming

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Speaker 3: soon and yeah, the regression was I was going to

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Speaker 3: come for those favorites. You know, it's it's not a

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Speaker 3: real trend when you get like seven eight weeks of

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Speaker 3: data and you're like, oh, the favorites at noon, and

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Speaker 3: that's what happens now, Like nobody thought that, So nobody thinks.

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Speaker 1: That it's flipped the other way.

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Speaker 3: Now it's just regression doing weird stuff with the numbers,

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Speaker 3: and this is what we're seeing, and it's kind of

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Speaker 3: going back out the other way now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, seven it was nine and twenty seven just a

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Speaker 2: wild sweaters. Let's get into Sunday. Let's get into Sunday

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Speaker 2: night football. Here, what we thought was going to be

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Speaker 2: a pretty goddamn boring game turned out to be kind

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Speaker 2: of interesting, I guess. But Denver wins the game twenty

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Speaker 2: seven to twenty six. They closed minus six, so Washington

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Speaker 2: gets the cover and it was looking under. It really

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Speaker 2: wasn't under until it wasn't and that's kind of how

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Speaker 2: it goes. But forty three and a half was the total.

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Speaker 2: Was it finished with fifty three points? It looks like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: so I mean, listen my story. The entire time I

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Speaker 2: ever watch a Denver Broncos game is kind of the

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Speaker 2: same exact story, which is their defense plays well, which

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Speaker 2: kind of didn't tonight. I mean, allowed some big plays

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Speaker 2: from Washington, especially in overtime, but I think at that

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Speaker 2: point they're exhausted and the bone Knicks play, I mean

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Speaker 2: a ton of passing yards played pretty well tonight. I

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Speaker 2: think he led the entire slate in passing yards, which

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Speaker 2: took over Perssett's bet that we actually had on action today,

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Speaker 2: which sucked. I think it happened right before overtime, so

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Speaker 2: maybe not so bad. But either way, Denver feels like

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Speaker 2: it plays the exact same game over and over again.

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Speaker 2: I'll give you the point margins of their last few games,

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Speaker 2: which it kind of tells the entire story of how

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Speaker 2: they play overall, which is one three, three three twenty Yep,

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Speaker 2: that's Dallas one two four oh twenty five. No, that's

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati three, one and eight. So this is just kind

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Speaker 2: of the way Denver plays. I just tweeted it out

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Speaker 2: with Bonnicks fifteen and one straight up as a favorite,

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Speaker 2: fifteen to Oho to one in a seven point t's

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Speaker 2: in those games, but now just ten and six against

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Speaker 2: the spread two and six ats is a favorite this year,

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Speaker 2: so this has just been the recipe for Denver, and

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Speaker 2: I think the question becomes can this continue the rest

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Speaker 2: of season and playoffs? One more stat before I give

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Speaker 2: it to Brandon here and I think it didn't happen tonight,

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Speaker 2: but Denver five and one straight up this year when

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Speaker 2: losing the turnover battle, two and oh when losing it

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Speaker 2: by two plus, like this can't be your king, It's

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Speaker 2: not my king, But what do you think about this matchup?

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Speaker 2: What's your deal with Bonnicks and Denver?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, just what we all wanted from Sunday night. Ninety

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Speaker 3: five passes from bo Nix and Marcus Marta with Evan

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Speaker 3: Ingram and Zach Ertz leading the both teams, and receptions

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Speaker 3: like this is not the game we asked for. I

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Speaker 3: guess this is the game we needed on Sunday night

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Speaker 3: to wrap up this riveting day of football. Shouts to

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Speaker 3: the luck rankings Washington clearly the right side all the way.

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Speaker 3: I think Nick Iffin had this like eleventh all time

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Speaker 3: among like two thousand games or some huge number as

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Speaker 3: a luck side, and then it looked like it was

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Speaker 3: gonna lose it in overtime, deserved two hit even though

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Speaker 3: Washington obviously does not get the win, sure felt like

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Speaker 3: an under to me.

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Speaker 1: This was the hot read. We were on a streak.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna go two and oh three straight weeks on

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Speaker 3: the hot read. Six nothing, three minutes till halftime, We're

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Speaker 3: under forty three and a half. We're feeling good, thirty

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Speaker 3: seven points heading toward the end of the game. Denver's

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Speaker 3: vaunted defense get one freaking stop, can't do it. We

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Speaker 3: go to overtime. Look, we could have still got out

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Speaker 3: of there with an under and overtime ties zero or

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Speaker 3: even three, nothing and overtime like a regular NFL overtime,

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Speaker 3: we probably get it instead. Touchdown, touchdown, that's it. Oh Look,

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Speaker 3: Mariota had that scramble with like twelve seconds left in regulation,

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Speaker 3: barely gets out of bounds.

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Speaker 1: That's the game. Like it's over.

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Speaker 3: You're not getting back to the line to spike it.

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Speaker 3: The clock just runs out after that, and we would

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Speaker 3: hit the under that way. So that was my roller

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Speaker 3: coaster tonight. I don't know if there's gonna be conversation

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Speaker 3: about the decision to go for two, no brainer, Like

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Speaker 3: you go for two every time in that spot. Let's

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Speaker 3: part of why you take the why you defer and

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Speaker 3: play defense is see what you go up against. You

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Speaker 3: gave up the TD, you go for two. What was

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Speaker 3: there like under three minutes left? You can't kick it

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Speaker 3: away as a three to eight team and either play

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Speaker 3: for the tire or the loss, like you just have

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Speaker 3: to go for the win. Clearly the right play call.

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Speaker 3: Great play by Nick Neita to knock it down. The

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Speaker 3: guy was open, So good play there, Denver. Of course

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Speaker 3: a one point when like usual, like you said, I

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Speaker 3: thought Knicks was good ish early, good ish because it's

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Speaker 3: good for Knicks.

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Speaker 1: It's like, oh yeah, look at that he made a throw.

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Speaker 3: It's kind of like how you talk about like when

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Speaker 3: when like your kid is in like the T ball game,

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Speaker 3: you're like, wow, contact, way to go, Like that's kind

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Speaker 3: of I felt about bo Nicks. But it still didn't

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Speaker 3: feel great and it still felt like a lot of

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Speaker 3: training wheels on this. He still had a really rough

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Speaker 3: interception that almost turned the game for them, and just

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Speaker 3: Washington's defense is not good.

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Speaker 2: Man.

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Speaker 3: If if you can't move the ball and if you

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Speaker 3: can't trust Knicks to actually play like real NFL quarterback

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Speaker 3: against Washington against this level defense, Like what is the

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Speaker 3: point of the whole season for Denver. You have this

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Speaker 3: super fun, talented defense, you're ten and two, you're the

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Speaker 3: best record in football. But then you won't play offense.

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Speaker 3: You won't play actual quarterback like their playoff team. We're

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Speaker 3: gonna watch them, possibly in multiple games, but we're gonna

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Speaker 3: watch bo Nicks doing whatever this is. You gotta give

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Speaker 3: a shot to go do some stuff at some point,

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Speaker 3: and there were some moments tonight, but just I just

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Speaker 3: don't understand, like I know you're gonna look at the box,

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Speaker 3: we're gonna be like, oh, three hundred and twenty one

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Speaker 3: most passing yards in the day is because it's a

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Speaker 3: windy everywhere and everything, like forty five passes and just

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Speaker 3: not a guy making NFL decisions and reads and he

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Speaker 3: got the job done. He keeps getting the job done.

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Speaker 3: If this is what Denver is, you're wasting this season

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Speaker 3: because you're gonna win twelve or thirteen games, you're gonna

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Speaker 3: get to the playoffs, and you're gonna exit the way

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Speaker 3: we all know you're gonna exit, exactly like you did

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Speaker 3: last year.

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Speaker 2: I guess my question is looking at the markets right now,

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Speaker 2: so there plus one sixty five or so to lose

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Speaker 2: in the divisional round, plus one ninety five to lose

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Speaker 2: in the wildcard, and about four plus four point fifty

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Speaker 2: to lose in the conference championship. So I mean at

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Speaker 2: the moment, if they hold the two seed, they're going

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Speaker 2: to get a buy, so you can forget the wildcard

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Speaker 2: and then basically it's okay home game, which I mean

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Speaker 2: they could win if the opponent is someone like I

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Speaker 2: don't know, Jacksonville, the Chargers, the Colts, like maybe the

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Speaker 2: Bills and Ravens. You maybe like the other side, but

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Speaker 2: I was kind of considering losson conference championship. It was

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Speaker 2: plus four eighty earlier now down to a well plus

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Speaker 2: four to sixty. I mean, it's kind of the script here, right,

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Speaker 2: Like Denver wins a game, they look good, and then

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Speaker 2: they flop out, assuming assuming they keep their seed and

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Speaker 2: move forward a bit of a different difficult schedule, but

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Speaker 2: they should beat the Raiders next week. And on top

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Speaker 2: of that, I mean, you're just stacking wins at this point.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, So one thing you're thinking of old playoff format

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Speaker 3: seven teams now, so only the one seed gets the buy,

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Speaker 3: not just the two. They're going to have to actually

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Speaker 3: beat out, presumably the Patriots for the buye, which they

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Speaker 3: maybe will still fair. Patriots have a much easier schedule,

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Speaker 3: I think after the Raiders, the Broncos finished with Packers,

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Speaker 3: Jacksonville Chiefs Chargers. Those are four playoff games, like those

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Speaker 3: are teams that the opponent is going to tweet as

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Speaker 3: a playoff game, that the opponent needs to win all

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Speaker 3: four of those games. And frankly, those are exact sort

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Speaker 3: of team that the Broncos might have to play any

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Speaker 3: home playoff game. So I don't know, I still am

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Speaker 3: not sold on this team. They're ten and two right now.

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Speaker 3: That feels like twelve and five to me, And twelve

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Speaker 3: and five might still be the one seed in the AFC,

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Speaker 3: and yeah, suddenly you're in the divisional round. You get

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Speaker 3: a home snowy January Denver game, and now you're in

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Speaker 3: the conference championship, and you never know, like this defense

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Speaker 3: can go win games on its own, and there's nobody

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Speaker 3: good in the AFC. So sure Denver absolutely could could

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Speaker 3: get to and lose in the Conference Championship or get

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Speaker 3: to and win it. Like that is in play with

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Speaker 3: the where the AFC is at. But I don't know

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Speaker 3: that I can get excited about the options, because I

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Speaker 3: do think the wildcard is still in play. The wildcard loss. Look,

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Speaker 3: I think, yeah, just I don't know what to do

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Speaker 3: with this team except that finally this year they keep

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Speaker 3: getting priced as pretty significant favorites like they did in

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Speaker 3: this game, and they're now playing like their significant favorites.

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Speaker 3: This was a pretty evenly matched game. I kind of

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Speaker 3: deserve to be a one point game at the end,

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Speaker 3: and so last year that didn't work. Anyways, you couldn't

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Speaker 3: bet bo Nicks as a favorite or as underdog. Sorry,

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Speaker 3: you couldn't fade Bonnicks as a favorite because he was

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Speaker 3: undefeated last year. This year, we at least can do that.

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Speaker 3: So maybe that's just the way is. Maybe we just

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Speaker 3: have to wait and bet against it in the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: But you know, Denver just keeps finding a way in

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Speaker 3: these games, and you know the people are going to

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Speaker 3: compare it to last year's Chiefs compared to some of

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Speaker 3: those Vikings teams. We get teams like this every year,

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Speaker 3: but again, those teams do the thing in the regular season,

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Speaker 3: but then you gotta do the real thing in the playoffs,

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Speaker 3: and those teams don't do the real thing in the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: I just if I'm Denver and I'm developing my young quarterback,

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Speaker 3: trying to see what is the plan for this team.

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Speaker 1: Let bone play real football.

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Speaker 3: Against the Packers, Jaguars, Chiefs, and Chargers. If you go

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Speaker 3: on four in those games, you're still making the playoffs.

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Speaker 3: But at least now you know your quarterback's not real

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Speaker 3: and you have to do something about it. Or maybe

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Speaker 3: you learn a couple of things and now you can

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Speaker 3: actually rip a few throws in a meaningful playoff game,

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Speaker 3: because I don't trust that he's able to do that

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Speaker 3: right now.

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Speaker 2: And just for President's sake, next week, you've got Washington

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Speaker 2: at Minnesota. You've got Denver at the Raiders, and you know,

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Speaker 2: both teams off of an overtime game on Sunday night

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Speaker 2: football on the road next week. So not the easiest

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Speaker 2: of scenarios. All right, you're ready for Rams Panthers.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let's move.

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Speaker 2: Well, let's move. Okay. Carolina wins the game thirty one

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Speaker 2: twenty eight as ten point dogs at home. Total goes

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Speaker 2: over forty four and a half. Listen, the only team

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Speaker 2: to show week to week consistency. Yes, they had some turnovers,

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Speaker 2: a few tip balls, and lost the tight one. But

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Speaker 2: my take here is we kind of just saw the

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Speaker 2: Rams team we've seen every single week, and Carolina was

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Speaker 2: up for the battle in this one. Carolina won the

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Speaker 2: turnover battle three nothing went ten for eight on third

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Speaker 2: down and fourth down. But listen, the Rams had one

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Speaker 2: penalty in the game, Carolina had seven. I think a

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Speaker 2: lot had to go right for Carolina to be in

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Speaker 2: the position they were. They took advantage of it. But

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Speaker 2: you know, Rams still Super Bowl favorites. I think they

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Speaker 2: are the team they are. There was a tip ball

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Speaker 2: in the red zone, like there were some things that

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Speaker 2: kept them in the game. But I'm not worried about

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Speaker 2: the Rams. The one thing I am worried about, and

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Speaker 2: I kind of have been all year, is their secondary.

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Speaker 2: I'm just not the biggest fan of that. Like, I

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Speaker 2: think their pass rush is good. I think their linebackers

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Speaker 2: are decent, but I think they can be beating their secondary,

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Speaker 2: and I thought, I think you saw some of it today.

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Speaker 2: They went over the top to McMillan, and you know,

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Speaker 2: in the run game, Carolina forty of one to sixty four,

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Speaker 2: So I think they got into those linebackers as well,

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Speaker 2: and they showed some weaknesses there, So to me, that's

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Speaker 2: one of the takeaways from today. But overall, going forward,

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Speaker 2: this isn't the game I'm gonna be like, oh my god,

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Speaker 2: you know what's happening to the Rams.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, this is the football is weirdly shaped

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Speaker 3: and sometimes stuff happens, and that's what happened in this game,

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Speaker 3: and the Panthers get credit for the win. Bryce Young

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Speaker 3: made some huge throws, two long touchdowns on fourth down,

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Speaker 3: a thirty three yarder and then the forty three to

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Speaker 3: tench at the end of the game that was worth

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Speaker 3: eleven point five EPA. Just on those two plays. It's

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Speaker 3: huge swings. That's fourth down, so you either turning it

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Speaker 3: over or ringing up seven points on fourteen points basically

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Speaker 3: to that totally turned the game round for them. So yeah,

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Speaker 3: credit to Carolina for doing that. Stafford, you mentioned the

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Speaker 3: tipped interception right after I think Schefter tweeted out. Stafford

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Speaker 3: gets their early touchdown and is now whatever, twenty eight

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Speaker 3: touchdowns in a row with no interceptions, and then like

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Speaker 3: the very next drive they're driving and you just get

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Speaker 3: tipped for in the end zone. Okay, fine, football happens

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Speaker 3: next drive, Stafford intercepted again after only two all year

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Speaker 3: back to back interceptions. That one's for pick six, So

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Speaker 3: there's another three seven points for Carolina. And then at

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Speaker 3: the end of the game, last play for Stafford, I

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Speaker 3: think it was third down, so they're not looking great

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Speaker 3: but driving a little bit, and then he gets kind

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Speaker 3: of sacked and fumbles and that's the end of the

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Speaker 3: game as well. So those three plays, two interceptions in

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Speaker 3: the fumble minus eighteen EPA just on that those are

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Speaker 3: Matthew Stafford mistakes. This is your MVP favorite, and this

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Speaker 3: game if it had happened on national television and if

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Speaker 3: it happened like two weeks from now, I think he

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Speaker 3: loses the MVP from it. I think it's maybe early

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Speaker 3: enough that he can still rebound, like you want to

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Speaker 3: get this bad one out of the way, because now

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Speaker 3: the Rams like, weirdly, this should hurt the MVP case

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Speaker 3: because he played poorly. It was on him and they

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Speaker 3: lose and fall out of the one seed in a

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Speaker 3: weird way. What actually happens is now that Lions game

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Speaker 3: in a couple of weeks, Now that Thursday night game

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Speaker 3: against Seattle, Now that's the chance to go be the

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Speaker 3: hero in a big, meaningful game when otherwise they were

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Speaker 3: kind of starting to pull away from the crowd. Now

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Speaker 3: you've got to go be the MVP in one of

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Speaker 3: those games. So I think this could maybe come back.

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Speaker 1: Around for him.

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Speaker 3: I saw from ESPN stats this is the fourth straight

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Speaker 3: game that the Super Bowl favorite at the time has lost. Outright,

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Speaker 3: it was Chiefs two in a row, then we switched

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Speaker 3: it to the Eagles. I don't know why we made

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Speaker 3: them the Super Bowl favorites. They lost last week and

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Speaker 3: then or maybe that was just the game this Friday,

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Speaker 3: and then the Rams now so favorites everywhere going down.

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Speaker 3: The Rams were like the one bastion of hope we had.

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Speaker 3: Nobody's good this year. Everyone's terrible. The AFC stinks. At

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Speaker 3: least the Rams are good. Well, apparently everyone just stinks,

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Speaker 3: like this is it not really?

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Speaker 1: Though?

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Speaker 3: You mentioned one penalty for the Rams seven and a

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Speaker 3: half yards of play for the game. They only got

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Speaker 3: the third down five times all game. This offense was churning.

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Speaker 3: They just had three turnover success for the game. Sixty

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Speaker 3: one percent for the Rams, thirty nine percent for the Panthers.

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Speaker 1: That is like a.

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Speaker 3: Double digit trending towards twenty point sort of win. A

365
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Speaker 3: lot of the time, the Rams are running all over them.

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Speaker 3: The Panthers weren't moving the ball that well, but when

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Speaker 3: you get a pick six and two fourth down touchdowns,

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Speaker 3: that's it. The big plays swing the game, and that's

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Speaker 3: the sort of thing that success rate doesn't show, but

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Speaker 3: EPA does so Carolina to me, this is a fluke

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Speaker 3: win for them, but doesn't matter. They all count the same.

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Speaker 3: There's seven and six into the buy. Then they have

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Speaker 3: the Saints, so probably eight and six. They've now earned

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Speaker 3: the right to get Bucks Seahawks Bucks. They're in this now,

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Speaker 3: like we have to follow Carolina all the way to

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Speaker 3: Week eighteen with Bucks twice in those last three games,

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Speaker 3: they've got their shot. Like this, it's Bucks Panthers all

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Speaker 3: the way down to the end. As for the Rams,

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Speaker 3: nine to three no longer the one seed. This could

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Speaker 3: be really bad because Seattle is so good. This might

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Speaker 3: drop you not one to two, but one to five

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Speaker 3: if they're not careful those Lions Seahawks games. Now, I

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Speaker 3: think what today means for the Rams is not a

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Speaker 3: whole lot. But you might have to win one of

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Speaker 3: those games where I don't think you had to before

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Speaker 3: to be the thing that the Rams are supposed to be.

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Speaker 3: But they're good enough they can probably still do that.

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Speaker 2: Talking about Bryce Young for a second six of six

389
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Speaker 2: facing the Blitz today, all three touchdown passes, I mean,

390
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Speaker 2: I think this is more about his game and what

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Speaker 2: Carolina could be. Ten point three yards gain per attempt

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Speaker 2: for Young two. I mean, there was just he really

393
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Speaker 2: made some of those passes when they needed them and

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Speaker 2: won the game for them. So some notes on Carolina.

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Speaker 2: I tweeted a few of these out, but just insane

396
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Speaker 2: all around. So McVeigh had been twenty and oh straight

397
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Speaker 2: up as a road favorite of four plus points. He

398
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Speaker 2: had won fifteen straight as a road favorite before today,

399
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Speaker 2: and Carolina now two games one as a double digit

400
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Speaker 2: underdog this season, first time they've done that since ninety six,

401
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Speaker 2: and they have seven wins as an underdog already this year,

402
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Speaker 2: tied with the twenty sixteen Bucks for the most through

403
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Speaker 2: thirteen games in the Super Bowl era. So this is

404
00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:17,679
Speaker 2: what we're seeing from an underdog standpoint, because nobody believes

405
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Speaker 2: in them, and their schedule keeps giving them like the

406
00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,119
Speaker 2: Rams every week and they win every other game. It

407
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Speaker 2: seems like to kind of sit at seven and six,

408
00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:27,960
Speaker 2: but some crazy things going on in Carolina. I'm actually

409
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Speaker 2: curious before we move on, just some markets questions. So

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Speaker 2: Ted McMillan now the favorite toWin offensive Rookie of the Year,

411
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Speaker 2: sitting at plus one twenty five, Dart Abuka kind of

412
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,399
Speaker 2: behind him. I think Dart kind of interesting right now

413
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Speaker 2: sitting at plus two thirty and during tomorrow night's game

414
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Speaker 2: and then the MVP market with this Matthew Stafford sitting

415
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Speaker 2: at plus one ten and Drake May sitting at plus

416
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Speaker 2: one thirty just behind them, I think it's kind of

417
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Speaker 2: interesting that McMillan, I'm sorry not McMillan was a Dart

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Speaker 2: and May kind of sitting second before the game tomorrow

419
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Speaker 2: night could be an opportunity. So that's what I was

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Speaker 2: kind of looking at.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's tough with Dart because I don't have the

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Speaker 3: number in front of me, but I remember seeing in

423
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Speaker 3: my kind of offensive Rookie of Year profile. It's extremely rare.

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Speaker 3: It hasn't happened for quite a while, I think for

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Speaker 3: quarterback to miss more than like two games and still

426
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Speaker 3: win Rookie of the Year. So Dart obviously didn't start

427
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Speaker 3: this season, so we already missed some startup and now

428
00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 3: misses what two games now, I think, or do you

429
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Speaker 3: just miss one? I forget what he missed in this range,

430
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Speaker 3: but we're so two games now, I think three maybe

431
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Speaker 3: to start the year where we're short on numbers. The

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Speaker 3: problem is both offense and defensive. Rookie of the Year

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Speaker 3: is just there's not really a clear choice, and we

434
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:47,720
Speaker 3: got to give the trophy out. So that's why we're

435
00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:50,720
Speaker 3: still looking at this. So I don't know. I think

436
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:53,880
Speaker 3: with Dart you need to have, like maybe you get

437
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 3: the win against New England and we'll preview that game later,

438
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:58,440
Speaker 3: there's your Rookie of Year moment.

439
00:21:58,520 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna need to have a moment.

440
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:03,360
Speaker 3: You can't just be a decent quarterback with decent stats,

441
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:06,720
Speaker 3: especially as Ted McMillan just had his moment that was

442
00:22:06,760 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 3: the big touchdown upset the Rams, and he's probably gonna

443
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 3: get more chances, you know, against Tampa and those games

444
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:14,240
Speaker 3: down the stretch, So I think he's.

445
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 1: The right favorite.

446
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:18,600
Speaker 3: To me, I'm still looking down the board at Rookie

447
00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,360
Speaker 3: of the Year, both offense and defense. Here's another preview

448
00:22:21,359 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 3: four year that I'll have a pick on. That later

449
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:27,040
Speaker 3: in the show as well. MVP, we've talked a lot

450
00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,440
Speaker 3: about it. It still feels like Stafford and May are

451
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:31,959
Speaker 3: out ahead of the field to me, kind of what

452
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,879
Speaker 3: I said with the Rams here, Like I think with

453
00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:38,320
Speaker 3: Stafford that this is not the end for him. I

454
00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:41,200
Speaker 3: think that the narrative is built up enough for him

455
00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:43,600
Speaker 3: and it could still another game like this and then

456
00:22:43,640 --> 00:22:47,240
Speaker 3: that's the end. But look, Drake May's gonna play tomorrow

457
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 3: night also, and Drake May, like the way we do

458
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 3: things with MVP now is once you get to this

459
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:56,480
Speaker 3: like around Thanksgiving range right before and after, it's real

460
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,960
Speaker 3: danger to be the lead for MVP or any of

461
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 3: these big awards, because we're all bored and we all

462
00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 3: need to change our opinion every couple of weeks. So

463
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 3: as soon as you're the favorite, everyone just wants to

464
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:08,719
Speaker 3: knock you down and find some reason if you're not

465
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:12,199
Speaker 3: to be anymore. So Drake May keep winning and they

466
00:23:12,200 --> 00:23:15,479
Speaker 3: go fifteen and two, He's gonna win MVP. But what

467
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 3: if you don't blow out the Giants? What if you

468
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:19,600
Speaker 3: lose in the bills in a couple of weeks, like

469
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:23,399
Speaker 3: Drake May is going to have chances to do what

470
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 3: Stafford just did, which is lose a game, lose MVP,

471
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:29,720
Speaker 3: and I think that's why Stafford getting the loss out

472
00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:33,040
Speaker 3: of the way with early early enough still November when

473
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 3: that happened, So I think I still like Stafford. Maybe

474
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 3: this is a slight BILO spot for him. If I'm

475
00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 3: picking one of the two, I'd certainly rather invest in

476
00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:43,920
Speaker 3: him right now. I just think he has an easier

477
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:45,400
Speaker 3: case with media narrative.

478
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 2: He certainly has the pedigree. New England has the schedule,

479
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:51,160
Speaker 2: so we will see it happens there. All right, Let's

480
00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,480
Speaker 2: go to the next game, Colts Texans. So Houston wins

481
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:58,200
Speaker 2: this game twenty sixteen as three point dogs total under

482
00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:01,479
Speaker 2: forty four and a half off the top. Sauce Gardner

483
00:24:01,560 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 2: hurt looks like a calf strain probably week to week,

484
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,200
Speaker 2: so maybe he misses the Jacksonville game this week, and

485
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:11,920
Speaker 2: they're at Jacksonville and at Seattle, so two pretty difficult games.

486
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 2: They could definitely use his services, So we will see there.

487
00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:19,280
Speaker 2: This was just a really tight game to me overall,

488
00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:22,520
Speaker 2: I think lots of things to point to. The Colts

489
00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 2: defense really helped them stay in this one, but it

490
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:29,159
Speaker 2: was just killer on offense. Going three of twelve on

491
00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:32,159
Speaker 2: third down, fourth down, and the Indie offens just couldn't

492
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:34,919
Speaker 2: stay in rhythm. I mean, Taylor held under ninety yards,

493
00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 2: DJ completing under like fifty five percent of his passes

494
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:42,199
Speaker 2: under pressure. DJ Dida five of eleven and well blitz

495
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:45,800
Speaker 2: two of eleven. So to me, Texans defense to what

496
00:24:45,840 --> 00:24:49,520
Speaker 2: they really do every week and really made Jones uncomfortable. Listen,

497
00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:54,240
Speaker 2: the last two Colts drives got inside the Houston thirty

498
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 2: five yard line and they ended with these five plays,

499
00:24:57,280 --> 00:25:00,479
Speaker 2: a minus five yard run, an incomplete pass, a one

500
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 2: yard run, and then three incomplete passes. So the Colts

501
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:07,600
Speaker 2: really had their chances to get this game at multiple

502
00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:10,159
Speaker 2: points and failed. And that's what a lot of people

503
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,640
Speaker 2: have done now with the Texans defense. So Houston wins

504
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:17,840
Speaker 2: again and they're at Kansas City on Sunday Night football

505
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 2: next week, which seems like a decent spot for Casey

506
00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 2: with Houston off the win. Casey's done really well against

507
00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,000
Speaker 2: Houston in the past. But what do you make from

508
00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 2: this one?

509
00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:28,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, it was a tale of two halves, I thought

510
00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:31,479
Speaker 3: for the Colts first half offense, and I was watching

511
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:33,720
Speaker 3: because I was on Colts first quarter and the offense.

512
00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,000
Speaker 3: Believe we get to play in the first quarter, they

513
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,400
Speaker 3: go three and out, three and out, five plays, eighteen yards,

514
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:43,399
Speaker 3: turnover on downs. We saw two tight end quarterback sneak

515
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:46,080
Speaker 3: fumbles in the first opening window today, which the Colts

516
00:25:46,080 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 3: were one of them. Then they get a touchdown but

517
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:51,000
Speaker 3: on a short field after interception, then punt in halftime,

518
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,959
Speaker 3: so just basically no offense in the first half. Then

519
00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:56,840
Speaker 3: second half they found offense. They got nine plays seventy

520
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:59,560
Speaker 3: nine yards in a score forty one yard eight play

521
00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:02,160
Speaker 3: field goal drive than the drive you're talking about eight

522
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:04,919
Speaker 3: for fifty two, but turnover and downs. But you know

523
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:06,640
Speaker 3: these teams will play again in a couple of weeks.

524
00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:09,639
Speaker 3: I think that should give some hope to Colts fans that, Okay,

525
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:13,480
Speaker 3: we found some answers eventually against this defense when not

526
00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:15,760
Speaker 3: it is with Houston the second halves over the years,

527
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:19,919
Speaker 3: but really mostly coin flippy game. And I thought, like

528
00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:23,440
Speaker 3: you said, Houston won it on late downs thirty percent

529
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:27,199
Speaker 3: success rate higher for Houston than Indianapolis even though they

530
00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:29,680
Speaker 3: both were o to on fourth down is third down

531
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 3: conversion stuff. And I think two we kind of because

532
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:36,159
Speaker 3: Houston's offense has been so terrible for much of the season.

533
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 3: I feel like we haven't totally noticed, like CJ. Stroud

534
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,119
Speaker 3: has actually been kind of pretty good honestly after the

535
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:45,400
Speaker 3: first month. So the first four games terrible, and obviously

536
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:47,360
Speaker 3: we know he's just back from a few weeks away too,

537
00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:50,600
Speaker 3: But you know that from week five forward, CJ. Stroud

538
00:26:50,680 --> 00:26:53,119
Speaker 3: is top five in the NFL and EPA per play.

539
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:57,359
Speaker 3: Here's the guys he's behind, Jordan Love, Matthew Stafford, Patrick Mahomes,

540
00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:57,920
Speaker 3: Drake May.

541
00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 1: That's it. Then CJ. Stroud. This this is the quarterback

542
00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:02,960
Speaker 1: that he was supposed to be.

543
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 3: And he hit some big throws against a really good secondary.

544
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:08,480
Speaker 3: And I know Sas was missing a bunch of the game,

545
00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 3: but still a couple other good corners there. And Houston

546
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 3: is still not a good offense. I'm not gonna sit

547
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,920
Speaker 3: here and pretend to tell you that. But if this

548
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 3: is even like an average offense with this defense, that

549
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:24,879
Speaker 3: Texans Chiefs game next week becomes a monster game, because

550
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:30,480
Speaker 3: there's a world where that game knocks one team basically

551
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,879
Speaker 3: out of the playoffs and the other one might become

552
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:35,760
Speaker 3: like the betting favorite in the AFC.

553
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:37,640
Speaker 1: Like that's those.

554
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,840
Speaker 3: Are the two teams that like Houston would at that

555
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:42,920
Speaker 3: point be off of beating Buffalo, Indye and the Chiefs

556
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:46,080
Speaker 3: in three straight games and suddenly in the mix or

557
00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:48,159
Speaker 3: Houston's out and the Chiefs get the big win and

558
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,920
Speaker 3: they're looking back good and they're probably the favorite again.

559
00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:54,800
Speaker 3: So it's like a kind of huge playoff game on

560
00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:57,880
Speaker 3: a Sunday night, and we will get to lead into

561
00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:01,159
Speaker 3: that one next week on the show. But Colts are

562
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:04,200
Speaker 3: now tied for the division lead, only one game up

563
00:28:04,200 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 3: on Houston. Houston's four and won the division and they

564
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 3: play the Colts in Houston in week eighteen, so that

565
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:13,320
Speaker 3: one's going to be a huge one for them if

566
00:28:13,320 --> 00:28:15,960
Speaker 3: they can hang around till then the Colts have now

567
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:19,919
Speaker 3: lost three or four. They go at Jacksonville next week.

568
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:22,800
Speaker 3: If I recall, I believe the Colts have covered two

569
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:26,240
Speaker 3: of the last twenty games against Jacksonville and they are

570
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 3: one point favorites right now, so not covering would be

571
00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 3: very bad for them. Then they go at Seattle, then

572
00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:37,800
Speaker 3: San fran and then Jacksonville again Houston again to close out.

573
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,719
Speaker 3: So a lot of talking about Daniel Jones playing with

574
00:28:40,760 --> 00:28:44,640
Speaker 3: like a fractured leg didn't look great today, only took

575
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:47,800
Speaker 3: one sacks. I guess that's encouraging, but this is not

576
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,240
Speaker 3: going the right direction for them. They started the day

577
00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 3: I think, as the one seed at least in the

578
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:56,280
Speaker 3: mix for it. They end the day seriously in threat

579
00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 3: to lose the division, and I think at this point

580
00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:00,000
Speaker 3: even impossibly missed the playoffs.

581
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:04,880
Speaker 2: Still, yeah, that is exactly where I was headed. I

582
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 2: wrote down plus two forty or so when I looked

583
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:11,240
Speaker 2: earlier to miss the playoffs hardest remaining strength to schedule

584
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,960
Speaker 2: when looking at win percentage. And you talked about it,

585
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 2: but Jacksonville, Seattle, San Francisco, Jacksonville, Houston, Like that's the

586
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:22,040
Speaker 2: way you end the year, not pretty whatsoever. And having

587
00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:24,160
Speaker 2: to face that defense again at the end of the

588
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,960
Speaker 2: season in Houston not pretty. I'll give you this that

589
00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 2: in November or later, Daniel Jones's face of defense allowing

590
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:33,720
Speaker 2: under twenty points per game nine times. He has now

591
00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,640
Speaker 2: won seven and one straight up in those games. He's

592
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:38,400
Speaker 2: done it in the last two weeks now with this

593
00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:41,760
Speaker 2: defense and the case defense in that spot. So we

594
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 2: will see how this goes. But Houston has been a

595
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:45,640
Speaker 2: thorn in the side. If you have India as well,

596
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:49,440
Speaker 2: beating them four straight, first time they've done that franchise history.

597
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:51,920
Speaker 2: And they've won four straight in Indy as well, So

598
00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 2: definitely a frustrating day. I really agree with you, Like

599
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:58,480
Speaker 2: I think India is in some trouble here. Taylor has

600
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,480
Speaker 2: been kind of like bottled up in terms of at

601
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:04,719
Speaker 2: least tailor stuff. And without Jonathan Taylor going for one

602
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:07,840
Speaker 2: twenty five, one fifty, the Colts have just been mediocre.

603
00:30:07,920 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 2: Like they can't find Michael Pittman. They're relying on, you know,

604
00:30:11,080 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 2: hero catches in certain situations. So have to see how

605
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 2: it looks at and again Casey next week. And then

606
00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:20,320
Speaker 2: you get a little bit of a reprieve Arizona in Vegas.

607
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,240
Speaker 2: But I mean, I'm sorry, that's Houston. But we'll see

608
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:24,760
Speaker 2: how it goes. Yeah, all right, Yeah.

609
00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:29,440
Speaker 3: Some of these offenses, the Indianapolis offense, the Seattle offense,

610
00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:32,400
Speaker 3: the teams that in September and October were the story

611
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:36,280
Speaker 3: of the season so far, These surprising offenses with mediocre

612
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:40,360
Speaker 3: veteran type quarterbacks now suddenly coming back down to earth

613
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 3: as teams have more tape, more chance to get them

614
00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 3: on the film. Look, I know that we're not going

615
00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:46,840
Speaker 3: to talk about the Seahawks, you'll give them on the

616
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 3: brief recap later. Not good offensively today, like not not

617
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 3: a banner day for Seattle's offense. Their defense just was incredible.

618
00:30:53,960 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 3: But these offenses that had all the answers early, now

619
00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:00,760
Speaker 3: defenses are starting to they've got the answers to the

620
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 3: test too, and so now we need to see, Okay,

621
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 3: what can Shane Steichen do to find some other answers.

622
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 3: Johnson Taylor today eighty five yards seems fine, but twenty

623
00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 3: one carries so four yards a pop, and that's like

624
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,320
Speaker 3: half of their plays. Texans are gonna take that every

625
00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:20,440
Speaker 3: game like that's perfectly fine with them. Longest run twelve yards,

626
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 3: that's great. You can run all you want and just

627
00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,200
Speaker 3: not hit any explosives down the field, and we'll take

628
00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:29,520
Speaker 3: that all game. And the Colts are not gonna win

629
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,480
Speaker 3: games by doing that. They've got to either break some

630
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 3: long runs with Taylor or they're gonna have to have

631
00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones make some plays.

632
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:36,920
Speaker 1: That's it.

633
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 3: The defense is not gonna win games for them. So yeah,

634
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna be very tight for the Colts.

635
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 1: Eight and four.

636
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:47,440
Speaker 3: I would think maybe you split the Jacksonville games. You

637
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 3: hope to split Seattle San fran but I could see

638
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:53,719
Speaker 3: them losing both of those. At that point, You're at

639
00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 3: ten wins, going to Houston for the you know, inevitable

640
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:01,600
Speaker 3: Sunday night Week eighteen game that the AFC South has

641
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:05,240
Speaker 3: just like locked in at this point, and I don't

642
00:32:05,280 --> 00:32:08,720
Speaker 3: know Indianapolis at Houston that smells a lot like a

643
00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:10,520
Speaker 3: de facto playoff game in week eighteen.

644
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:14,240
Speaker 2: Right now, let's stay in the AFC and keep rolling here.

645
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:17,880
Speaker 2: So we're gonna do some shorter recaps. Bill's Steelers. Buffalo

646
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:20,760
Speaker 2: wins this game twenty six to seven, cover three point

647
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 2: spread on the road, total under forty four and a half.

648
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:25,440
Speaker 2: I mean, the entire story of this game. I feel

649
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:28,720
Speaker 2: like it's just Pittsburgh's offense couldn't move the ball all day.

650
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,479
Speaker 2: Had one drive that in point six plays, two nice passes,

651
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:35,120
Speaker 2: and a touchdown run, but aside from Matt it was garbage.

652
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:37,920
Speaker 2: Three of ten on third down, fourth down, fifty eight

653
00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:40,720
Speaker 2: rushing yards and eighteen carries under four yards per play.

654
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:44,080
Speaker 2: Darniel Washington leads the league and receiving it leads to

655
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 2: the team in receiving yards, and that's basically two bulldozes

656
00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:49,920
Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter. So, I mean, it was just

657
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:52,240
Speaker 2: really bad. And I'll give you some perspective how bad

658
00:32:52,280 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 2: it was on early downs. Pittsburgh's EPA per play was

659
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 2: worse than Minnesota is today in Minnesota did not score,

660
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:01,640
Speaker 2: So that is the perspective I will leave you with.

661
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,840
Speaker 2: But aside from that, Buffalo just did enough. I am

662
00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 2: still not impressed with Buffalo whatsoever. I'll talk about just

663
00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,080
Speaker 2: some angles I'm looking at when I'm done here, But

664
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:14,960
Speaker 2: to me, this is all about Aaron Rodgers, Mason Rudolph

665
00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:19,400
Speaker 2: and just terrible Pittsburgh offense. Rogers' quote in postgame was

666
00:33:19,840 --> 00:33:22,480
Speaker 2: it was a poor practice week. I'm sure Mike Tomlin's

667
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 2: gonna love that. What do you take away?

668
00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I thought this was another tale of two halves.

669
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,080
Speaker 3: Everything you fear about Buffalo in the first half as

670
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 3: they trail at halftime, and this is like full on

671
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:36,160
Speaker 3: Tomlin Voodoo's script at halftime. And then we come out

672
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:39,080
Speaker 3: of the half and the first play after halftime, Rogers

673
00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 3: gets hit, fumbles the ball return for a touchdown. He

674
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 3: gets here, he's hurt, like that's it. One play after

675
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,440
Speaker 3: halftime and it's like, oh yeah, no, this is over.

676
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:50,880
Speaker 3: The voodoo ended at halftime. This is it, and Pittsburgh

677
00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:54,040
Speaker 3: didn't score again. Rudolph throws an interception like three plays

678
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:57,760
Speaker 3: after that. Buffalo ended up with thirty one more plays,

679
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:01,760
Speaker 3: twenty six to ten first downs, more than double the yardage.

680
00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:06,080
Speaker 3: It's dominant performance running the ball and dominant defensively for sure.

681
00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 3: So Buffalo's profile. I think this is interesting. This is

682
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,600
Speaker 3: the game they want to have where they can run.

683
00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:16,279
Speaker 3: And Josh Allen was one point seven average steps of

684
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,560
Speaker 3: target in this game. That was Buffalo saying, you're not

685
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:22,400
Speaker 3: beating us. Pittsburgh, as long as we don't beat ourselves,

686
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:26,040
Speaker 3: you're not beating us. And up next eight and four,

687
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:29,719
Speaker 3: Buffalo plays the Bengals and then the Patriots, who we

688
00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:34,800
Speaker 3: know are dangerous because they're quarterbacks, but they're also both

689
00:34:34,840 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 3: teams that cannout run the football. And Buffalo's defense is

690
00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:42,719
Speaker 3: awful stopping the run. Can they hold up past defense?

691
00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:46,680
Speaker 3: And can Buffalo run the ball in those games? That's

692
00:34:46,719 --> 00:34:49,080
Speaker 3: the script that they want. This is not the script

693
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:51,879
Speaker 3: Pittsburgh wants. And I think this is just again. Here

694
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:55,760
Speaker 3: we are, it's December, the Steelers are five hundred fighting

695
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:57,600
Speaker 3: to get one win. Over five hundred and keep the

696
00:34:57,600 --> 00:35:00,000
Speaker 3: streak alive. And they are who we thought they were

697
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,279
Speaker 3: and they have been for like a decade now. But

698
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,120
Speaker 3: they're still not doomed because they're the only division in

699
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 3: football without a five hundred team. Ever, the division has

700
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 3: at least two, and they're still tied with Pittsburgh and

701
00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:12,920
Speaker 3: Cincinnati's still in the mix from these losses too.

702
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:17,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, in my opinion, though, I think this Pittsburgh team

703
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:20,240
Speaker 2: versus all the other Pittsburgh teams feels a little different

704
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 2: if you're talking about actually trying to get there and

705
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:25,520
Speaker 2: finish above five hundred, not finished below five hundred. You're

706
00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:28,959
Speaker 2: at Baltimore next week, and after that you're at home

707
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:31,799
Speaker 2: against Miami on Monday Night football. In my opinion, you

708
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 2: better hope Miami loses to the Jets this week and

709
00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 2: kind of loses that momentum because I don't even think

710
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 2: you want that to be a game, because you follow

711
00:35:39,080 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 2: that up at Detroit and at Cleveland, like those are

712
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:44,880
Speaker 2: not easy contests for Pittsburgh to try to walk away

713
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:48,359
Speaker 2: from if they have no offense, which at the moment

714
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 2: it's so inconsistent, run game, pass game, rogers, like nothing

715
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:56,440
Speaker 2: looks right this is a tougher stretch in my opinion.

716
00:35:56,760 --> 00:36:00,680
Speaker 2: So I'll say this though, even looking at both teams,

717
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:02,839
Speaker 2: kind of out on both teams a little bit, Like

718
00:36:03,160 --> 00:36:05,719
Speaker 2: this game didn't give me much confidence in Buffalo because

719
00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:08,359
Speaker 2: I know Buffalo can do this. Like I know in

720
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 2: this type of matchup, Buffalo can play well. It's through

721
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:14,040
Speaker 2: the air, the pass game, trying to keep up on offense.

722
00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 2: I feel like trying not to make Josh hero ball

723
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:21,120
Speaker 2: is something that I fear in Buffalo. They're marked at

724
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:23,319
Speaker 2: like ten to one to miss the playoffs right now,

725
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:25,880
Speaker 2: Like I don't necessarily think they're going to miss the playoffs,

726
00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:31,800
Speaker 2: especially after this win. But again Cincinnati, New England, Cleveland, Philly,

727
00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:36,919
Speaker 2: Like I don't know. I mean again, I think it's

728
00:36:37,000 --> 00:36:39,920
Speaker 2: more likely they sneak in the wild card. New England

729
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,239
Speaker 2: takes the division and you know, we just go back

730
00:36:42,280 --> 00:36:44,640
Speaker 2: to scratch and you know, kind of lose the ten

731
00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:46,879
Speaker 2: to one shot. But feels a little long.

732
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:51,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, Buffalo has become a team that can lose any game.

733
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:53,600
Speaker 3: Like with Josh Allen, you can win any game. But

734
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:58,920
Speaker 3: they just are unpredictable because they can. Look the stats

735
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:02,200
Speaker 3: today are dominant, a dominant performance by them, even though

736
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:05,719
Speaker 3: at halftime they're losing, because like that's the Bills in

737
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:07,759
Speaker 3: the nutshell is they can play that half, and they

738
00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:09,880
Speaker 3: can play the second half and they can put you away.

739
00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:12,799
Speaker 3: You just don't necessarily know right now which version are

740
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:15,200
Speaker 3: you gonna get and do you get the breaks to

741
00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:18,080
Speaker 3: pull back around? And when you get to the playoffs

742
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:19,640
Speaker 3: and have to do that four times in a row,

743
00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:21,080
Speaker 3: I'm not sure this team is going to have that

744
00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:22,000
Speaker 3: in them.

745
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:23,879
Speaker 2: All right, I'll lend you with this and then we'll

746
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:27,560
Speaker 2: keep going. The AFC North twelve twenty one and one

747
00:37:27,719 --> 00:37:31,720
Speaker 2: ats outside the division this year. They were zeroing to today.

748
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 2: That is the worst mark for the AFC North since

749
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 2: nineteen ninety and that is a lot of different AFC norths,

750
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:40,440
Speaker 2: but this is a bad version of the division, it

751
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:43,520
Speaker 2: seems this year. All right, let's keep going here. Arizona

752
00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:46,280
Speaker 2: and Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay wins the game twenty seventeen.

753
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:49,200
Speaker 2: Arizona covers the four and a half total under forty

754
00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:51,319
Speaker 2: five and a half. This was a grind them out,

755
00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:55,160
Speaker 2: low scoring, poorly played win that keeps Tampa Bay ahead

756
00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:57,800
Speaker 2: in the division. After Caroline is upset of the Rams

757
00:37:57,840 --> 00:38:02,480
Speaker 2: like Tampa Bay really really couldn't lose this game, and

758
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:04,920
Speaker 2: they didn't. But I felt like at the end it

759
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:06,960
Speaker 2: was getting a little bit hairy, and it felt like

760
00:38:07,040 --> 00:38:08,800
Speaker 2: if the game would have gone a little bit longer,

761
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:12,280
Speaker 2: Arizona might have figured out a way. But between Baker's

762
00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:14,879
Speaker 2: injury comeback and welcome back and the way he looked

763
00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:18,200
Speaker 2: in this game, to Bucky's return, to Marvin Harrison being

764
00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:20,120
Speaker 2: back in this game, it felt like a lot of

765
00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 2: different moving parts. And again, I kind of just felt

766
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:26,360
Speaker 2: like Tampa Bay got lucky here. But I'll let you

767
00:38:26,440 --> 00:38:29,240
Speaker 2: kind of go from there. What did you see Arizona, Tampa.

768
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:30,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll take it a step further.

769
00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:32,759
Speaker 3: I thought Arizona was very clearly the better team on

770
00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:35,800
Speaker 3: the field today. They opened eleven plays seventy three yards

771
00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:36,800
Speaker 3: right down the field.

772
00:38:36,920 --> 00:38:38,120
Speaker 1: Interception on the red zone.

773
00:38:38,200 --> 00:38:41,359
Speaker 3: Okay, later on ten yards sixty five or ten plays

774
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:43,920
Speaker 3: sixty five yards down the field. You miss a forty

775
00:38:43,920 --> 00:38:46,440
Speaker 3: three yardfield goal. We're not missing forty threes anymore in

776
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:49,160
Speaker 3: today's era. They late in the game, they go for

777
00:38:49,719 --> 00:38:53,120
Speaker 3: a fourth down in their own territory, turnover and downs.

778
00:38:53,360 --> 00:38:55,399
Speaker 3: The Bucks get zero yards out of it, but kick

779
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:57,799
Speaker 3: a field well, they end up winning by three. So

780
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:01,319
Speaker 3: on the game, Arizona has over one hundred yards more

781
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 3: than Tampa Bay one point four yards per play, higher,

782
00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:08,560
Speaker 3: nine more first down sixty to forty three percent success rate,

783
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:14,359
Speaker 3: dominant performance by Arizona, but two turnovers to none, three

784
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:16,719
Speaker 3: of eight on third down, all four and fourth down,

785
00:39:16,760 --> 00:39:18,960
Speaker 3: and that's it. You can get all the plays and

786
00:39:19,000 --> 00:39:21,239
Speaker 3: all success but like we said, with a couple other

787
00:39:21,280 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 3: games already, those big swing plays can change everything, and

788
00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:28,160
Speaker 3: that's what happened. The Bucks keep getting the swing plays.

789
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:30,160
Speaker 3: They feel in a lot of ways kind of like

790
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:33,160
Speaker 3: Denver that they're they're getting the plays that matter, like

791
00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,800
Speaker 3: Carolina's the win today, But can you keep getting those?

792
00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:39,719
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay was on a three game losing streak and

793
00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 3: really should be on a four game losing streak.

794
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 1: They shouldn't feel great.

795
00:39:44,040 --> 00:39:48,160
Speaker 3: But now it's Saints and Falcons and then it's those

796
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:51,320
Speaker 3: Panthers games down the stretch, so it is a soft

797
00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:56,320
Speaker 3: winnable schedule Dolphins in between there. Tampa could pretty easily

798
00:39:56,680 --> 00:39:57,960
Speaker 3: win all five of those games.

799
00:39:58,000 --> 00:39:58,520
Speaker 1: They should.

800
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:01,919
Speaker 3: They are the better team decent margin in all five

801
00:40:01,960 --> 00:40:04,959
Speaker 3: remaining games, but they haven't played like the better team

802
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:09,120
Speaker 3: I think to store away Arizona three and nine officially

803
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:13,800
Speaker 3: now eliminated from the playoffs. They've played nine one score games.

804
00:40:14,200 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 3: Arizona has losses this season by one, one, three, three, three,

805
00:40:19,320 --> 00:40:24,120
Speaker 3: four and four. This is a dangerous team. So beware

806
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 3: the Rams, who we talked about. They played the Cardinals twice.

807
00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:33,400
Speaker 3: S though, be careful Los Angeles Rams, the Texans, the Bengals,

808
00:40:33,640 --> 00:40:36,800
Speaker 3: they played the Cardinals. I guarantee you Houston and Cincia

809
00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:38,480
Speaker 3: are going to be favoring those games. It's going to

810
00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:41,719
Speaker 3: be the easy one quote unquote to try to get

811
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:44,640
Speaker 3: a win and get in your playoff picture. Beware, the

812
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 3: Cardinals are going to beat a couple of these teams

813
00:40:46,840 --> 00:40:48,320
Speaker 3: or give them a good scared down the stretch, and

814
00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:49,600
Speaker 3: they should have won this game today.

815
00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:53,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, Rams, Texans, and Bengals should all be games or

816
00:40:53,440 --> 00:40:56,440
Speaker 2: underdogs in and they will be feisty in those. I

817
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:58,920
Speaker 2: mean Arizona, you said three and nine, but they are

818
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:03,400
Speaker 2: also nine and three first quarter ets, so they start hot,

819
00:41:03,600 --> 00:41:06,239
Speaker 2: they stay in the game, they just can't finish at

820
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:08,000
Speaker 2: the end. So I mean that is a trend that

821
00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:10,040
Speaker 2: has kind of stuck with them all season. Also worth

822
00:41:10,200 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 2: mentioning here Trey McBride eight of eighty two in this game.

823
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:16,800
Speaker 2: He is now eight plus catches in four straight games.

824
00:41:17,160 --> 00:41:19,719
Speaker 2: And last time I looked, he leads the NFL in

825
00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:22,960
Speaker 2: receptions as a tight end with eighty eight. So he

826
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:26,720
Speaker 2: is having an incredible year for a crappy, unlucky team.

827
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:29,560
Speaker 2: I'll say it again before we get out of here,

828
00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:32,439
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay's secondary just scares me. Twenty ninth and drop

829
00:41:32,480 --> 00:41:35,960
Speaker 2: back success right this year, they just I just don't know.

830
00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:38,160
Speaker 2: They need to get healthier on the offensive side of

831
00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 2: the ball if their secondary is going to be that

832
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:43,279
Speaker 2: bad where they're gonna have to play and shootout. So,

833
00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:45,879
Speaker 2: I mean, we've talked about Mike Evans like who that's

834
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,839
Speaker 2: probably not happening. But nice to see Godwin play well.

835
00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:51,759
Speaker 2: And you know, we'll see what happens with ABUCA. The

836
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:54,200
Speaker 2: last time I looked minus five point fifty to win

837
00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:57,359
Speaker 2: the division for Tampa Bay and that I think I'm

838
00:41:57,400 --> 00:42:00,239
Speaker 2: almost positive, and it is that price is including win

839
00:42:00,280 --> 00:42:02,400
Speaker 2: against New Orleans next week. They're like minus eight and

840
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:05,640
Speaker 2: a half with Carolina on a bye, So see how

841
00:42:05,640 --> 00:42:07,399
Speaker 2: it goes there. All right, let's keep let's keep rolling.

842
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:11,440
Speaker 2: Anything else no, I'll smooth, all right. Miami wins twenty

843
00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:14,320
Speaker 2: one to seventeen. New Orleans covers the five and a

844
00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:18,000
Speaker 2: half total under forty one and a half. I wrote

845
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:21,360
Speaker 2: the game. I know I didn't need I. You know,

846
00:42:21,400 --> 00:42:24,240
Speaker 2: we moved this game around a lot in our rundown today,

847
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:28,240
Speaker 2: and honestly, it was really really close to being much higher,

848
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:31,480
Speaker 2: because New Orleans was about six inches from recovering an

849
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,600
Speaker 2: on side kick and really destroying Miami's playoff dreams. But

850
00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:38,120
Speaker 2: as classic New Orleans fashion, they come up just short.

851
00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:41,600
Speaker 2: Miami comes away with it, but oh boy, two ends

852
00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:46,240
Speaker 2: with twelve completions, zero touchdown passes, an interception, he fumbled,

853
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:49,879
Speaker 2: he got sacked four times, and they won again by

854
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:54,160
Speaker 2: a basically six inches. So to me, this is just

855
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:57,239
Speaker 2: New Orleans is not starting fast enough and trying to

856
00:42:57,280 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 2: catch up at the end of games one and eleven

857
00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:03,239
Speaker 2: against the first quarter spread this year, oh eleven and

858
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:05,840
Speaker 2: one first quarter money line, worst mark in the NFL,

859
00:43:06,880 --> 00:43:11,400
Speaker 2: ninety two nineteen outscored in twelve first quarters. You just

860
00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 2: can't win that way. Now, we're going to see what

861
00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:16,279
Speaker 2: happens with Tampa Bay next week. But that's the story here.

862
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:19,319
Speaker 2: I mean Miami continues their run. They can say they're

863
00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:22,280
Speaker 2: still winning, but they played shitty in this game.

864
00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:27,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, passing twenty nine percent success rate against this opponent.

865
00:43:27,080 --> 00:43:29,720
Speaker 3: That is a big yikes for Mike McDaniel going forward.

866
00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 3: Even though you keep winning these games, that's not a

867
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:34,799
Speaker 3: good setup. We took Miami first half sixteen to nothing.

868
00:43:34,840 --> 00:43:37,160
Speaker 3: A halftime, we're cashed, we're out of here. And then

869
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:39,799
Speaker 3: the Saints almost won the game after that. And if

870
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:41,560
Speaker 3: you if you didn't see anything about this game, you're

871
00:43:41,560 --> 00:43:43,799
Speaker 3: like twenty one to seventeen two teams that don't matter.

872
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:46,759
Speaker 3: Why we're talking about this. Twenty one seventeen seems like

873
00:43:47,080 --> 00:43:49,919
Speaker 3: a normal game. This was not a normal game. Nothing

874
00:43:49,960 --> 00:43:52,960
Speaker 3: about twenty one seventeen was normal. It's sixteen to nothing,

875
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 3: Saints score touchdown and go for two sixty eight because

876
00:43:56,640 --> 00:43:58,239
Speaker 3: they know we're not going to score a bunch of times.

877
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:00,319
Speaker 3: We've got to get points where we can. Each team

878
00:44:00,360 --> 00:44:03,200
Speaker 3: gets a field goal, So it's nineteen to eleven, classic

879
00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:04,319
Speaker 3: nineteen eleven game.

880
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:04,919
Speaker 1: Am I right?

881
00:44:05,320 --> 00:44:09,640
Speaker 3: The Saints drive Tyler Shuck honestly not looking terrible, drives

882
00:44:09,680 --> 00:44:12,759
Speaker 3: them down the field. Saints get a touchdown. Okay, you're

883
00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:13,319
Speaker 3: down eight.

884
00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:16,080
Speaker 1: It's late. You gotta go for two for the win,

885
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 1: and we get a pick two.

886
00:44:18,600 --> 00:44:23,799
Speaker 3: He gets intercepted by Minka Fitzpatrick nineteen seventeen and Fitzpatrick

887
00:44:23,880 --> 00:44:26,720
Speaker 3: goes the other way for two, which is not insignificant

888
00:44:27,040 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 3: because now not only did you not get the two

889
00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:32,120
Speaker 3: points a field goal would have won it, now you

890
00:44:32,239 --> 00:44:35,400
Speaker 3: need a touchdown. You go from down two to not tying,

891
00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:38,839
Speaker 3: but now down four instead. It's a hilarious way for

892
00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:44,760
Speaker 3: them to lose because then new guy Charlie Smith, Irish kicker,

893
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:48,239
Speaker 3: who they sign instead of Justin Tucker. Thank god this

894
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 3: week he comes out. He has a fifty six yard

895
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:54,560
Speaker 3: field goal. They recovered that on side kick, Evan that counted.

896
00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:57,080
Speaker 3: They said Miami touch At first they got the kick,

897
00:44:57,520 --> 00:45:00,480
Speaker 3: they recovered it, they drove down the field, so I

898
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:02,280
Speaker 3: think the thirty six yard line.

899
00:45:02,719 --> 00:45:04,480
Speaker 1: Charlie Smith could have been the hero.

900
00:45:05,040 --> 00:45:07,759
Speaker 3: But they can't because they threw a pick too, so

901
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,279
Speaker 3: they can't kick the field goal. They're behind by four,

902
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:13,680
Speaker 3: and they put Tyler Schuck, who has one thousand injuries

903
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:15,560
Speaker 3: in his career and can't run the ball to save

904
00:45:15,640 --> 00:45:18,799
Speaker 3: his life under center for QB sneak and that's the

905
00:45:18,840 --> 00:45:22,040
Speaker 3: six inches. They lost by not the on side because

906
00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:24,759
Speaker 3: the man didn't move forward at all, and that was

907
00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:27,360
Speaker 3: the end of the game. If you're the Saints, just

908
00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:31,440
Speaker 3: week after week finding hilarious ways to lose and preserve

909
00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:34,239
Speaker 3: the tank. Which I just thought, this like, what a

910
00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:37,479
Speaker 3: ridiculously stupid twenty one to seventeen game that I thought

911
00:45:37,520 --> 00:45:40,360
Speaker 3: was glorious and to me, the highlight of a terrible

912
00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:42,840
Speaker 3: day of football. This was the one Saints Dolphins.

913
00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:46,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the one note on Miami I'll say

914
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 2: is this. So they've won now for in a row,

915
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:51,319
Speaker 2: four or five. They're five and seven. They travel to

916
00:45:51,360 --> 00:45:55,160
Speaker 2: the Jets next week, so this is to me, this

917
00:45:55,239 --> 00:45:57,280
Speaker 2: is I mean, they're eighty to one to make the playoffs.

918
00:45:57,280 --> 00:45:59,839
Speaker 2: They just got to keep winning because everyone in front

919
00:45:59,840 --> 00:46:03,280
Speaker 2: of them just keeps losing. But it would be just funny.

920
00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:05,719
Speaker 2: I at least want them at six and seven, so

921
00:46:05,760 --> 00:46:07,480
Speaker 2: we at least can talk about it when they go

922
00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:11,560
Speaker 2: to Pittsburgh on Monday night football, because they're gonna that game.

923
00:46:11,600 --> 00:46:15,840
Speaker 2: Would be actually mildly intriguing if Miami can beat the

924
00:46:15,920 --> 00:46:18,160
Speaker 2: Jets because they're a little bit of streak, a little

925
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:21,640
Speaker 2: fun we will see how it goes there. Processing note

926
00:46:21,640 --> 00:46:24,600
Speaker 2: on the Saints, They've now gone under eight straight games.

927
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:27,240
Speaker 2: They are forty and twenty three in the last sixty

928
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:30,319
Speaker 2: three to the under Tyler Shuck of course, now four

929
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:32,799
Speaker 2: and oho to the under himself. So see how that

930
00:46:32,840 --> 00:46:35,759
Speaker 2: goes against Tampa next week. All right, we are going

931
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:38,680
Speaker 2: to do a mini wrap up of the Thanksgiving and

932
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:42,240
Speaker 2: Black Friday games. Honestly, I'm giving you scores and stats.

933
00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:44,520
Speaker 2: He's given you one note or so, just to kind

934
00:46:44,520 --> 00:46:46,319
Speaker 2: of a touch up here. But I will say this,

935
00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:51,400
Speaker 2: all four dogs one outright on Thanksgiving and Black Friday.

936
00:46:51,520 --> 00:46:54,080
Speaker 2: Absolute chaos. For the first time in two thousand and

937
00:46:54,080 --> 00:46:57,200
Speaker 2: three and third times since nineteen ninety underdogs went undefeated

938
00:46:57,239 --> 00:47:01,399
Speaker 2: outright on Thanksgiving. Definitely, definitely doesn't happen often. But let's

939
00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:05,120
Speaker 2: start from the bottom here. Green Bay beats Detroit thirty one,

940
00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:07,240
Speaker 2: twenty four to two and a half point dogs total

941
00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:10,360
Speaker 2: over forty seven and a half now before just again

942
00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:13,319
Speaker 2: as an underdog twenty one and eighteen straight up. He

943
00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:16,080
Speaker 2: is the only coach above five hundred as an underdog

944
00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:18,120
Speaker 2: with this many games in the Super Bowl era. I mean,

945
00:47:18,160 --> 00:47:19,800
Speaker 2: what do you take away from green Bay Detroit?

946
00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:22,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, the story of the game was pretty easy. It

947
00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:24,680
Speaker 3: was just fourth downs. Detroit goes zero to two on

948
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:28,240
Speaker 3: fourth down. Green Bay goes three for three, two touchdown passes.

949
00:47:28,320 --> 00:47:28,680
Speaker 1: That's it.

950
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:32,200
Speaker 3: That's the game and Detroit now. The other takeaway is

951
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:35,279
Speaker 3: the injuries just piling up. Laporte is out now, the

952
00:47:35,320 --> 00:47:38,560
Speaker 3: backup tight end brock Wright is out long term. Imnaa

953
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:40,759
Speaker 3: Saint Brown gets rolled up on the fourth play of

954
00:47:40,760 --> 00:47:44,080
Speaker 3: the game for Detroit. Offensively, he looks like, I'm gonna

955
00:47:44,080 --> 00:47:46,840
Speaker 3: guess will likely miss at least the Thursday night game,

956
00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:49,160
Speaker 3: and then it's a long break after that. So this

957
00:47:49,239 --> 00:47:52,440
Speaker 3: seems like the prudent decision. And then the weird loss.

958
00:47:52,760 --> 00:47:55,360
Speaker 3: Frank Reig now comes out of retirement on the last

959
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:58,080
Speaker 3: day he's able to, and I'm all excited, like this

960
00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:01,440
Speaker 3: dude is awesome. This is gonna revital third season on

961
00:48:01,560 --> 00:48:03,879
Speaker 3: the He's the center from last year. If you don't

962
00:48:03,920 --> 00:48:06,560
Speaker 3: know that name, he's so important. You can see like

963
00:48:06,600 --> 00:48:08,920
Speaker 3: the on off splits with him. And then he fails

964
00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:11,680
Speaker 3: as physical with a Grade three hamstring, which means like

965
00:48:12,040 --> 00:48:15,160
Speaker 3: hanging off the bone body, what do you doing? I'm retiring,

966
00:48:15,560 --> 00:48:18,000
Speaker 3: But it's like a serious loss for this team. Because

967
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:19,839
Speaker 3: the interior of the line was not good in this

968
00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:22,640
Speaker 3: game and hasn't been for a while, so Green Bay

969
00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:25,879
Speaker 3: eight three and one. Honestly, this is a big win,

970
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:28,719
Speaker 3: kind of feels underwhelming, like the stats were basically a

971
00:48:28,719 --> 00:48:31,720
Speaker 3: coin flip game on this one against Detroit, who's missing

972
00:48:31,760 --> 00:48:34,400
Speaker 3: everyone on offense, so I can't be super too excited

973
00:48:34,400 --> 00:48:38,840
Speaker 3: about that. Detroit though, seven and five. Dallas next probably

974
00:48:38,840 --> 00:48:42,600
Speaker 3: with Alaman Ross Saint Brown. Then at the Rams they

975
00:48:42,680 --> 00:48:45,239
Speaker 3: might need to go four and a one, and quietly

976
00:48:45,840 --> 00:48:47,919
Speaker 3: they're a big loser today as well. On the rest

977
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:49,960
Speaker 3: of the weekend, the Bears got to win that was

978
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:52,920
Speaker 3: not great for them. We saw the Panthers win, we

979
00:48:53,000 --> 00:48:56,600
Speaker 3: saw the Cowboys win. All the other NFC teams that

980
00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:59,640
Speaker 3: Detroit is trying to get a playoff spot from are

981
00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:02,200
Speaker 3: all getting into better shape now. I think I've seen

982
00:49:02,239 --> 00:49:05,000
Speaker 3: Detroit as low as like thirty percent in some models

983
00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:07,680
Speaker 3: to make the playoffs. This is a team that we

984
00:49:07,800 --> 00:49:10,080
Speaker 3: know a lot of times we thought this season could

985
00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:12,719
Speaker 3: be best in the NFC, and it just seems like

986
00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:14,720
Speaker 3: it's getting away from them with all the injuries.

987
00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:18,720
Speaker 2: Right now, all right, let's keep rolling here. Case Dallas,

988
00:49:18,840 --> 00:49:21,319
Speaker 2: Dallas wins the game thirty one twenty eight a three

989
00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:23,279
Speaker 2: and a half point dogs, so goes over fifty three

990
00:49:23,320 --> 00:49:27,320
Speaker 2: and a half casey officially under their win total. Dallas

991
00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:30,000
Speaker 2: five and one against the spread as underdogs this year,

992
00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:34,480
Speaker 2: two and four as favorites and dogs de score twenty

993
00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:37,200
Speaker 2: plus in all six games. Ideal for Dallas when they

994
00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:39,399
Speaker 2: are an underdog, so score a lot of points. Nice

995
00:49:39,400 --> 00:49:41,839
Speaker 2: to be getting points. What do you make from this one?

996
00:49:41,920 --> 00:49:42,800
Speaker 2: Dallas takes the game?

997
00:49:43,920 --> 00:49:47,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, Chiefs Corners really struggled a lot of pass interference

998
00:49:47,080 --> 00:49:50,160
Speaker 3: in this game. Like this is if Pickens and Lamb

999
00:49:50,160 --> 00:49:52,759
Speaker 3: are playing like this, Dallas can hang with any one

1000
00:49:52,800 --> 00:49:56,520
Speaker 3: offensively and with Dak obviously throwing the ball, and frankly,

1001
00:49:56,600 --> 00:49:59,440
Speaker 3: this kind of just looked like two slightly above average

1002
00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:01,680
Speaker 3: teams trying to hang out and see you could be

1003
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:04,360
Speaker 3: better on the day. That's what the Chiefs and Cowboys

1004
00:50:04,360 --> 00:50:08,200
Speaker 3: feel like right now. And they went three of three

1005
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:11,480
Speaker 3: on fourth down, two fourth down touchdown passes just to

1006
00:50:11,560 --> 00:50:14,120
Speaker 3: be that close at the end and couldn't finish it.

1007
00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:18,320
Speaker 3: So Chiefs now six and six. They are four losses

1008
00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:21,439
Speaker 3: back in the division. We talked about that Texans game

1009
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:24,759
Speaker 3: Sunday Night Chargers. After that, that's tough. They still play

1010
00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:27,640
Speaker 3: the Broncos on Christmas. This feels a good true toss

1011
00:50:27,719 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 3: up for the team that we've still kind of thought

1012
00:50:29,760 --> 00:50:34,040
Speaker 3: is probably the the AFC favorite, So danger for them,

1013
00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:37,520
Speaker 3: Dallas six' five and a. One we've got the tie

1014
00:50:37,560 --> 00:50:40,040
Speaker 3: now Both packers And cowboys that TIME i end up

1015
00:50:40,040 --> 00:50:42,359
Speaker 3: screwing both of them at the. End here's Where i'm

1016
00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:45,120
Speaker 3: at with the. TIE i think the tie is bad

1017
00:50:45,160 --> 00:50:47,799
Speaker 3: for the division because you want wins going. Up if

1018
00:50:47,840 --> 00:50:50,640
Speaker 3: you're competing for something, high you want. Wins but it

1019
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:52,400
Speaker 3: might be good for the playoffs because.

1020
00:50:52,160 --> 00:50:52,560
Speaker 1: It's not a.

1021
00:50:52,600 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 3: Loss so if you're avoiding losses that time might end

1022
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:57,279
Speaker 3: up Giving dallas a real.

1023
00:50:57,320 --> 00:50:59,080
Speaker 1: Shot here six' five.

1024
00:50:59,120 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 3: And one they go four and one and get to

1025
00:51:01,560 --> 00:51:04,360
Speaker 3: ten six in the one that beats ten, and seven

1026
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:06,360
Speaker 3: which Is what detroit and some of these other teams

1027
00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:10,440
Speaker 3: might end up. Sitting at They, Go, minnesota Washington And. New,

1028
00:51:10,520 --> 00:51:13,719
Speaker 3: york still these are. Winnable games dallas is alive and

1029
00:51:13,880 --> 00:51:17,000
Speaker 3: very dangerous if they're playing, like that especially with the defense.

1030
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:21,440
Speaker 2: Playing, better yeah a current team is favorite to Win

1031
00:51:21,440 --> 00:51:23,759
Speaker 2: The super bowl FROM. The afc west is definitely Not.

1032
00:51:23,800 --> 00:51:26,640
Speaker 2: The chiefs, All right. I'm sorry a favorite to WIN

1033
00:51:26,680 --> 00:51:29,960
Speaker 2: the afc and it's Not. The chiefs let's keep. Rolling

1034
00:51:30,000 --> 00:51:32,960
Speaker 2: here bengals Beat the ravens thirty two to fourteen as

1035
00:51:33,000 --> 00:51:35,680
Speaker 2: seven point dogs total goes under fifty two and. A

1036
00:51:35,719 --> 00:51:38,680
Speaker 2: Half joe burrow has closed an underdoger three points and

1037
00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:41,520
Speaker 2: more twenty. One times after, this week he is now

1038
00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 2: eighteen and three ats in, those games thirteen and one

1039
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:46,719
Speaker 2: since twenty, twenty one and he will be in that

1040
00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:49,680
Speaker 2: spot a few, more times most likely this season with.

1041
00:51:49,760 --> 00:51:51,440
Speaker 2: That defense what do you make? From this?

1042
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:56,960
Speaker 3: Bengals, THROBBING yeah i hate the stats were not as

1043
00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:59,680
Speaker 3: bad as the, final Score but ravens turn it over.

1044
00:51:59,719 --> 00:52:02,160
Speaker 3: Five times you're gonna lose pretty much. Every time when

1045
00:52:02,200 --> 00:52:04,440
Speaker 3: you lose five to one on. THE turnovers i Of the.

1046
00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:07,360
Speaker 3: Bengals defense maybe you, played better but just something is

1047
00:52:07,400 --> 00:52:10,080
Speaker 3: Off with ravens offense. Right now it just doesn't. Look

1048
00:52:10,160 --> 00:52:12,800
Speaker 3: right lamar doesn't. Look Right derrick henry good on the

1049
00:52:12,800 --> 00:52:14,640
Speaker 3: first drive and then they barely even touch him again

1050
00:52:14,680 --> 00:52:17,319
Speaker 3: the rest of. The game everything that was clicking so

1051
00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:19,920
Speaker 3: well for them last year and to start, the season

1052
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:22,719
Speaker 3: it's just not there. Right now so they are six.

1053
00:52:22,800 --> 00:52:26,440
Speaker 3: And six they only have one win Against. The bears

1054
00:52:26,520 --> 00:52:29,240
Speaker 3: that's against a team above four wins the, entire season

1055
00:52:29,680 --> 00:52:34,879
Speaker 3: and they Still, Go, Steelers, Bengals, Patriots. Packers steelers so

1056
00:52:35,560 --> 00:52:37,680
Speaker 3: they are not a lock or anything close to it for.

1057
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:40,360
Speaker 3: The division for, THE playoffs i Think the bengals are.

1058
00:52:40,400 --> 00:52:42,840
Speaker 3: Live still they're gonna have to get some Tough wins

1059
00:52:42,880 --> 00:52:45,520
Speaker 3: bills And the, ravens next but this gave them a

1060
00:52:45,560 --> 00:52:46,239
Speaker 3: shot in.

1061
00:52:46,239 --> 00:52:48,000
Speaker 1: That division it's gotta be division.

1062
00:52:48,080 --> 00:52:50,400
Speaker 3: Or nothing they're not getting a wildcard at, this Point But,

1063
00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:53,239
Speaker 3: joe burrow we might have a. Shot here that Game

1064
00:52:53,280 --> 00:52:54,759
Speaker 3: Against buffalo sunday is going to.

1065
00:52:54,800 --> 00:52:57,560
Speaker 2: Be, interesting yeah at least we get some fun Weeks

1066
00:52:57,560 --> 00:52:59,680
Speaker 2: of burrow With the bengals. Still involved it's kind of

1067
00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:02,280
Speaker 2: what that game, gave us. All Right And, Black friday

1068
00:53:02,840 --> 00:53:06,800
Speaker 2: chicago wins twenty four to fifteen as seven point road Dogs.

1069
00:53:06,800 --> 00:53:09,320
Speaker 2: In philly total goes under forty three and. A Half

1070
00:53:09,560 --> 00:53:12,520
Speaker 2: The chicago bears are the ONE seed i could probably,

1071
00:53:12,560 --> 00:53:14,960
Speaker 2: stop there but that is where they are. Currently sitting

1072
00:53:15,680 --> 00:53:17,560
Speaker 2: the FUN one i tweeted, out before and this is

1073
00:53:17,680 --> 00:53:20,680
Speaker 2: just Chose to. Chicago History ben johnson's seven to four

1074
00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:23,200
Speaker 2: and one against the spread head coach Of. The bears,

1075
00:53:23,239 --> 00:53:25,600
Speaker 2: right now he's profited one hundred dollar dollars better. Two

1076
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:28,319
Speaker 2: fifty that would actually be the highest ats mark For

1077
00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:31,760
Speaker 2: any bears Coach, in ditka which is kind of shows

1078
00:53:31,880 --> 00:53:35,400
Speaker 2: everything that's happened up into. THAT point i was curious

1079
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:38,720
Speaker 2: about your conversation just on, This Point ben Johnson Versus

1080
00:53:38,719 --> 00:53:40,800
Speaker 2: mike Rabel for coach Of. THE year i was surprised

1081
00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:43,880
Speaker 2: To see vrabel as such a. Big, favorite obviously, record

1082
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:46,239
Speaker 2: helps but How Is ben johnson not coach of.

1083
00:53:46,239 --> 00:53:47,920
Speaker 1: The, YEAR yeah i think.

1084
00:53:48,000 --> 00:53:50,640
Speaker 3: IT is i think that's projecting forward where we Know

1085
00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:53,200
Speaker 3: the patriots schedule is so winnable and that they look

1086
00:53:53,280 --> 00:53:55,399
Speaker 3: like the, one seed And the bears are the one seed,

1087
00:53:55,480 --> 00:53:57,560
Speaker 3: right NOW but i think probably aren't even the favorite

1088
00:53:57,560 --> 00:53:59,759
Speaker 3: to win their own division still because they GOT the

1089
00:53:59,800 --> 00:54:03,080
Speaker 3: pas games both coming. Up STILL so i think if

1090
00:54:03,120 --> 00:54:05,400
Speaker 3: this season, Ended Today ben johnson's the coach of. The

1091
00:54:05,480 --> 00:54:08,480
Speaker 3: year but we still got five, more games And the bears,

1092
00:54:08,880 --> 00:54:10,960
Speaker 3: like this this might be the cell. High point they

1093
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:14,120
Speaker 3: Go At, green bay then They. Got browns they can lose,

1094
00:54:14,120 --> 00:54:16,839
Speaker 3: that Game the browns defense can, beat you And then

1095
00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:20,040
Speaker 3: packers again At, the niners which might be a really

1096
00:54:20,120 --> 00:54:23,080
Speaker 3: big possibly even like a. Playoff game And then week

1097
00:54:23,120 --> 00:54:25,239
Speaker 3: eighteen Against the. Lions Too the lions are going to

1098
00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:27,520
Speaker 3: be fighting for their lives at that, point still and

1099
00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:30,840
Speaker 3: that could be a. Playoff Game so chicago's got tough games.

1100
00:54:30,840 --> 00:54:33,640
Speaker 3: Going Out ben johnson is gonna have to keep doing.

1101
00:54:33,680 --> 00:54:36,440
Speaker 3: His thing it feels like the cell. High spot but,

1102
00:54:36,920 --> 00:54:40,680
Speaker 3: to me this, is huge huge red Flags. For philadelphia

1103
00:54:40,680 --> 00:54:44,440
Speaker 3: This the bears straight Up. Out Philadelphia the eagles in,

1104
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:48,799
Speaker 3: this game the blustery day on A, black friday and

1105
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:51,799
Speaker 3: one team runs all over the other opponent with a

1106
00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:53,960
Speaker 3: pair of one hundred yard rushers and gets like a.

1107
00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:55,840
Speaker 3: Dominant win That's the.

1108
00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:58,799
Speaker 1: Eagle script that's The thing philadelphia is supposed, to do

1109
00:54:59,360 --> 00:54:59,840
Speaker 1: and they got a.

1110
00:55:00,239 --> 00:55:03,200
Speaker 3: To them chicago doubled them up on, first downs almost

1111
00:55:03,239 --> 00:55:07,360
Speaker 3: double them up on time. Of possession philadelphia's offense plays

1112
00:55:07,360 --> 00:55:10,719
Speaker 3: a team with, no linebackers basically like the entire linebacking crew.

1113
00:55:10,800 --> 00:55:13,800
Speaker 3: Is hurt and they did nothing attacking, the backers nothing

1114
00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:16,160
Speaker 3: over the middle of. The field all the stuff we've

1115
00:55:16,200 --> 00:55:18,759
Speaker 3: been seeing About the eagles and worrying, all year this

1116
00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:21,959
Speaker 3: to me was the most worrying sign against not because

1117
00:55:21,960 --> 00:55:24,640
Speaker 3: the barriers are, so terrible but the way this game.

1118
00:55:24,680 --> 00:55:27,800
Speaker 3: Script went this is the Game the eagles are supposed

1119
00:55:27,840 --> 00:55:29,719
Speaker 3: to get. And win this is what they're built, to

1120
00:55:29,800 --> 00:55:32,600
Speaker 3: do and they got got by the exact.

1121
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:33,120
Speaker 1: Thing that they're supposed.

1122
00:55:33,120 --> 00:55:35,680
Speaker 3: To do so, To me i'm a lot more worried

1123
00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:37,080
Speaker 3: About the EAGLES than i even thought it.

1124
00:55:37,160 --> 00:55:40,520
Speaker 2: Was, Before yeah eagles should make, the playoffs but at,

1125
00:55:40,520 --> 00:55:42,319
Speaker 2: that point who knows what's going. To happen it's a,

1126
00:55:42,320 --> 00:55:44,719
Speaker 2: one GAME and i Mean it's philly at. THAT point

1127
00:55:44,760 --> 00:55:46,960
Speaker 2: i think up in two then they're just they look.

1128
00:55:47,000 --> 00:55:49,560
Speaker 2: A mess i think the Thing with philly is do

1129
00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:51,359
Speaker 2: they look like twenty twenty three or do they look

1130
00:55:51,400 --> 00:55:54,480
Speaker 2: more like twenty? Twenty four and unfortunately they're looking like

1131
00:55:54,520 --> 00:55:57,120
Speaker 2: twenty twenty three a little. Bit more, All Right San,

1132
00:55:57,120 --> 00:55:59,560
Speaker 2: francisco cleveland we're just going to do. Scores Here san

1133
00:55:59,600 --> 00:56:02,200
Speaker 2: francisco wins twenty six, to eight cover minus five and

1134
00:56:02,239 --> 00:56:04,719
Speaker 2: a half on. The road total goes under thirty five and.

1135
00:56:04,719 --> 00:56:07,360
Speaker 2: A half wind was. The story average win was twenty

1136
00:56:07,360 --> 00:56:10,600
Speaker 2: five miles an hour in. This one total Goes UNDER as,

1137
00:56:10,600 --> 00:56:14,399
Speaker 2: I mentioned cleveland ozero and six against the spread after

1138
00:56:14,440 --> 00:56:16,680
Speaker 2: a straight up win since the start of, last Year

1139
00:56:17,040 --> 00:56:20,719
Speaker 2: and cleveland next Week faces tennessee totally that game is

1140
00:56:20,920 --> 00:56:24,680
Speaker 2: thirty three and. A half should. Be amazing the OTHER

1141
00:56:24,719 --> 00:56:27,279
Speaker 2: one i thought Was Interesting san francisco to lose in

1142
00:56:27,320 --> 00:56:29,920
Speaker 2: the wild card minus one ten RIGHT now i saw.

1143
00:56:30,040 --> 00:56:32,560
Speaker 2: A book if that was closer TO even i consider

1144
00:56:32,560 --> 00:56:34,720
Speaker 2: IT because i think based off, the matchup that's probably

1145
00:56:34,719 --> 00:56:37,359
Speaker 2: where they're. Gonna sit, so uh that was JUST something

1146
00:56:37,400 --> 00:56:40,600
Speaker 2: i was, Looking At but i'll keep. Going Here atlanta

1147
00:56:41,360 --> 00:56:43,799
Speaker 2: jets win the game twenty seven to twenty four as

1148
00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:46,640
Speaker 2: a three point home dog total over thirty eight and.

1149
00:56:46,640 --> 00:56:49,480
Speaker 2: A half LAST time, i looked and this actually might.

1150
00:56:49,520 --> 00:56:52,239
Speaker 2: HAVE changed i probably should have checked this because it was,

1151
00:56:52,280 --> 00:56:55,080
Speaker 2: a great. Great note i'm going to refresh the PAGE

1152
00:56:55,120 --> 00:56:57,279
Speaker 2: as i am, now vamping but it looks like to

1153
00:56:57,360 --> 00:57:01,000
Speaker 2: me only one Oh zach ertz became, the second so

1154
00:57:01,480 --> 00:57:05,160
Speaker 2: two players today now have one hundred plus. Receiving yards

1155
00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:08,439
Speaker 2: it Was zach ertz And ad mitchell was the only

1156
00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:11,160
Speaker 2: other player with one hundred plus receiving. Yards TODAY glad

1157
00:57:11,160 --> 00:57:13,719
Speaker 2: i looked that up to save. That one but the

1158
00:57:14,040 --> 00:57:17,120
Speaker 2: other crazy note from this one and this is just blows.

1159
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:20,640
Speaker 2: Me away last, three seasons two teams are below five

1160
00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:23,200
Speaker 2: hundred against the spread when they run the ball twenty five,

1161
00:57:23,240 --> 00:57:26,680
Speaker 2: plus times which usually is a sign that everything is.

1162
00:57:26,720 --> 00:57:30,560
Speaker 2: Going right tennessee is eight and Fourteen in atlanta is fourteen.

1163
00:57:30,600 --> 00:57:33,040
Speaker 2: And twenty when they run the ball twenty five plus

1164
00:57:33,040 --> 00:57:36,120
Speaker 2: times feels, Almost impossible But as atlanta in the last,

1165
00:57:36,120 --> 00:57:38,920
Speaker 2: three years, all right let's keep Rolling here Jacksonville. And

1166
00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:42,240
Speaker 2: tennessee jacksonville wins the game twenty five to three as

1167
00:57:42,240 --> 00:57:45,280
Speaker 2: a six point, road favorite total under forty two and. A, half,

1168
00:57:45,640 --> 00:57:48,520
Speaker 2: tennessee man what. A disaster tennessee has lost to EIGHT

1169
00:57:48,600 --> 00:57:53,800
Speaker 2: Straight afc. South, games outright they are three and fourteen

1170
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:57,080
Speaker 2: against the spread versus their own division the last, three

1171
00:57:57,120 --> 00:58:00,840
Speaker 2: seasons by far the worst mark IN. The nfl let's keep, Going. Here.

1172
00:58:01,800 --> 00:58:05,320
Speaker 2: Raiders chargers chargers win the game thirty, one fourteen cover

1173
00:58:06,160 --> 00:58:08,840
Speaker 2: nine and a half at home total over forty and.

1174
00:58:08,880 --> 00:58:11,360
Speaker 2: A half the story here isn't, the game but it

1175
00:58:11,400 --> 00:58:14,680
Speaker 2: Is justin HERBERT'S broken I believe non. Throwing him, that's,

1176
00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:20,200
Speaker 2: Right Right brandon non throwing. Him yep, and also so story.

1177
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:22,440
Speaker 2: Is there we'll see if he can go. This weekend,

1178
00:58:22,800 --> 00:58:24,800
Speaker 2: if not It Is. Trey lance and then the other

1179
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:28,560
Speaker 2: story Is Brock, boers, wow, wow wow, two touchdowns an.

1180
00:58:28,560 --> 00:58:31,280
Speaker 2: Amazing grab it is just nice to see him in

1181
00:58:31,280 --> 00:58:34,440
Speaker 2: that offense and gives some promise For the raiders. Going

1182
00:58:34,520 --> 00:58:39,480
Speaker 2: forward and, then, Finally yeah seattle wins a game twenty six.

1183
00:58:39,520 --> 00:58:41,680
Speaker 2: To nothing they cover minus twelve and a half at

1184
00:58:41,680 --> 00:58:45,280
Speaker 2: home total under forty two and. A half brosmer was

1185
00:58:45,680 --> 00:58:48,640
Speaker 2: completely and utterly terrible in. THIS game, i mean we all.

1186
00:58:48,640 --> 00:58:52,040
Speaker 2: Had hope he threw four picks, early early. Just Comical

1187
00:58:52,080 --> 00:58:56,600
Speaker 2: will levis like. Pick six vikings Defensive Coordinator brian Flores

1188
00:58:56,960 --> 00:59:00,640
Speaker 2: On sam darnold's Success. In seattle we had a great rapport.

1189
00:59:00,800 --> 00:59:03,000
Speaker 2: Of friendship i'm happy, for him but we were gonna

1190
00:59:03,000 --> 00:59:05,520
Speaker 2: blitz him, all week all day, this week and it did,

1191
00:59:06,080 --> 00:59:10,280
Speaker 2: did nothing didn't matter. Who cares seattle didn't even look

1192
00:59:10,280 --> 00:59:13,240
Speaker 2: great in. This game they looked so. Shaky Early but

1193
00:59:13,520 --> 00:59:16,720
Speaker 2: minnesota just can't find. A quarterback, all right let's Go

1194
00:59:16,760 --> 00:59:27,920
Speaker 2: to monday. Night football, to me in terms, Of Storylines

1195
00:59:28,240 --> 00:59:31,560
Speaker 2: new england's won. Nine straight this kind of worked for

1196
00:59:31,600 --> 00:59:34,320
Speaker 2: them last week even though with the, non cover but

1197
00:59:34,640 --> 00:59:36,760
Speaker 2: teams on an eight plus game straight up. Win streak

1198
00:59:36,960 --> 00:59:40,000
Speaker 2: about thirty nine percent against the spreads in twenty ten

1199
00:59:40,040 --> 00:59:43,960
Speaker 2: and eleven and twenty two since, twenty twenty so doing

1200
00:59:44,000 --> 00:59:45,720
Speaker 2: them in a bit of a tough spot here minus

1201
00:59:45,720 --> 00:59:49,280
Speaker 2: seven and, A half i kind of Like. THE giants,

1202
00:59:49,440 --> 00:59:51,440
Speaker 2: i mean what is your play here on the?

1203
00:59:51,480 --> 00:59:54,919
Speaker 3: Game, ITSELF yeah i think it does feel a, touch

1204
00:59:55,000 --> 00:59:57,680
Speaker 3: long especially above the seven if you still get. It

1205
00:59:57,720 --> 01:00:01,120
Speaker 3: there neither defense has been that great season in both Bottom.

1206
01:00:01,160 --> 01:00:04,880
Speaker 3: Ten Dvoway the patriots offense has been better by, the numbers,

1207
01:00:04,880 --> 01:00:07,640
Speaker 3: but actually like last, six games Especially with dart on,

1208
01:00:07,640 --> 01:00:10,480
Speaker 3: the Field the giants offense has really looked pretty good by,

1209
01:00:10,520 --> 01:00:14,680
Speaker 3: the Numbers and dart has been. QUITE successful i think

1210
01:00:14,720 --> 01:00:18,960
Speaker 3: That the giants, run defense which is historically bad, right

1211
01:00:19,000 --> 01:00:21,520
Speaker 3: now that's not Something the patriots can hurt. Them WITH

1212
01:00:21,960 --> 01:00:23,800
Speaker 3: so i think that there's some matchup stuff that could

1213
01:00:23,880 --> 01:00:26,120
Speaker 3: keep this. Game closed and don't forget like this is.

1214
01:00:26,160 --> 01:00:29,160
Speaker 3: A rivalry this Is The super bowl rematch That the

1215
01:00:29,200 --> 01:00:32,880
Speaker 3: giants stole. Both times they've won four of six Since The.

1216
01:00:32,920 --> 01:00:36,160
Speaker 3: Super bowl So the giants just some teams just have

1217
01:00:36,240 --> 01:00:39,040
Speaker 3: a way of hanging in. Certain matchups giants are also

1218
01:00:39,040 --> 01:00:43,440
Speaker 3: a very strong. Luck, side also again similar to tonight With the,

1219
01:00:43,680 --> 01:00:45,800
Speaker 3: COMMANDER'S play i think this is like a top twenty

1220
01:00:45,880 --> 01:00:50,560
Speaker 3: all time. Luck side, SO yeah i Would lean giants

1221
01:00:50,920 --> 01:00:53,000
Speaker 3: especially get the seven and. A half You're on giants.

1222
01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:55,880
Speaker 2: As, well yeah Like the giants like the seven and.

1223
01:00:55,880 --> 01:00:59,000
Speaker 2: A half i mean to, ME again i just feel

1224
01:00:59,000 --> 01:01:02,320
Speaker 2: Like the giants have tens have done well to start

1225
01:01:02,440 --> 01:01:05,800
Speaker 2: fast in games nine to three first, quarter ATS and

1226
01:01:05,840 --> 01:01:09,160
Speaker 2: i believe two of those losses Are From. Russell wilson

1227
01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:12,360
Speaker 2: So With, jamison dark they're just a, faster team a

1228
01:01:12,360 --> 01:01:14,439
Speaker 2: better team as an underdog with three points or more

1229
01:01:14,680 --> 01:01:17,040
Speaker 2: starts four and one against, the spread both full game

1230
01:01:17,240 --> 01:01:20,360
Speaker 2: and the. First half so, TO me i just like

1231
01:01:20,400 --> 01:01:23,080
Speaker 2: the fast Pace starting giants in. This ONE so i

1232
01:01:23,120 --> 01:01:24,960
Speaker 2: would Go To. NEW york i like a, Few props

1233
01:01:25,480 --> 01:01:26,280
Speaker 2: but tell me what else you?

1234
01:01:26,440 --> 01:01:29,160
Speaker 3: Like, Here yeah i'm Gonna Play. Abdul carter i'm gonna

1235
01:01:29,160 --> 01:01:30,880
Speaker 3: play the. Rookie HERE and i kind of tease. This

1236
01:01:30,960 --> 01:01:33,880
Speaker 3: earlier give me over zero point twenty, five sacks it's

1237
01:01:33,920 --> 01:01:36,520
Speaker 3: plus one ninety five. At draftings we're not asking, for

1238
01:01:36,680 --> 01:01:39,360
Speaker 3: much but my man only has a half a sack in,

1239
01:01:39,360 --> 01:01:41,360
Speaker 3: his career so we're gonna have to get it On A.

1240
01:01:41,360 --> 01:01:44,720
Speaker 3: Monday night patriots Are Missing will Campbell And, dared wilson

1241
01:01:44,760 --> 01:01:47,880
Speaker 3: both their rookies on the left. Side Line keevon thibodeau

1242
01:01:47,960 --> 01:01:49,800
Speaker 3: is out For, the giants so we're gonna get a

1243
01:01:49,840 --> 01:01:52,760
Speaker 3: Lot Of abdual carter rushing. The passer he's, been good

1244
01:01:52,800 --> 01:01:55,840
Speaker 3: he's just not finishing the job on. The Season brian

1245
01:01:55,920 --> 01:01:59,360
Speaker 3: burns the other pass rusher And the giants thirty nine pressures,

1246
01:02:00,200 --> 01:02:02,560
Speaker 3: thirty eight so. One less that's top twenty five IN.

1247
01:02:02,600 --> 01:02:05,960
Speaker 3: The nfl burns his, Thirteen sacks carter is a half of.

1248
01:02:06,000 --> 01:02:08,560
Speaker 1: A sack what? Is happening finished, The Job?

1249
01:02:08,640 --> 01:02:13,560
Speaker 3: Abdul carter, so honestly Everyone above carter on the pressure

1250
01:02:13,600 --> 01:02:16,160
Speaker 3: list has at least. Four sacks he's at a half on.

1251
01:02:16,200 --> 01:02:19,360
Speaker 3: THE season i think some regression. Is coming two sacks

1252
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:22,160
Speaker 3: probably not, gonna happen but let's find out it's plus

1253
01:02:22,360 --> 01:02:25,680
Speaker 3: fifteen forty and then here's the. REAL escalator i don't

1254
01:02:25,720 --> 01:02:29,280
Speaker 3: think it's too late. For This abdul carter's numbers underneath are.

1255
01:02:29,320 --> 01:02:31,920
Speaker 3: Pretty good twenty to one For defensive rookie Of THE

1256
01:02:32,000 --> 01:02:34,600
Speaker 3: year i think still is. In play we don't really

1257
01:02:34,640 --> 01:02:36,960
Speaker 3: have great Contenders for rookie Of the year on the,

1258
01:02:37,000 --> 01:02:41,040
Speaker 3: defensive Side Either. Carson schwessinger he's. The favorite i'm taking that.

1259
01:02:41,080 --> 01:02:43,360
Speaker 3: INTO account i have the ticket thirty five to one from.

1260
01:02:43,360 --> 01:02:46,280
Speaker 3: The preseason we Have him andwari sixty. To one he's

1261
01:02:46,280 --> 01:02:49,640
Speaker 3: like the. Fourth favorite this erase is. So Open giad

1262
01:02:49,800 --> 01:02:52,760
Speaker 3: campbell was like a top. Two favorite he didn't play

1263
01:02:52,760 --> 01:02:55,040
Speaker 3: a snap For the Eagles On, Black friday like he

1264
01:02:55,080 --> 01:02:57,479
Speaker 3: did not see, the field and that's who we're putting

1265
01:02:57,520 --> 01:03:01,040
Speaker 3: As defensive rookie Of the. Year Candidates so carter plays

1266
01:03:01,120 --> 01:03:04,600
Speaker 3: this game where he's has, a Chance, then Washington then

1267
01:03:04,640 --> 01:03:07,360
Speaker 3: minnesota who doesn't have, a quarterback And the raiders who

1268
01:03:07,360 --> 01:03:10,000
Speaker 3: don't have an, Offensive line like there's a real chance

1269
01:03:10,280 --> 01:03:12,680
Speaker 3: he could quickly rack up five six sacks down the

1270
01:03:12,720 --> 01:03:15,439
Speaker 3: stretch here and still steal. This Thing so i'm Gonna

1271
01:03:15,480 --> 01:03:18,640
Speaker 3: Play abdual carter and hope we Get the december breakout

1272
01:03:19,040 --> 01:03:21,480
Speaker 3: over a quarter of, a sack two sacks and The

1273
01:03:21,480 --> 01:03:23,200
Speaker 3: defensive rookie Of the year and see if we Can

1274
01:03:23,200 --> 01:03:24,200
Speaker 3: get carter to make a few.

1275
01:03:24,240 --> 01:03:27,960
Speaker 2: Plays, here yeah a prediction would. Be This sean kerner

1276
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:31,400
Speaker 2: also loves Himself Some, abdual carter especially using the stats

1277
01:03:31,480 --> 01:03:34,680
Speaker 2: you've used, about pressures and you know he's if you

1278
01:03:34,760 --> 01:03:38,640
Speaker 2: had Like A Luck sank, sacriate rankings he would be.

1279
01:03:38,720 --> 01:03:41,280
Speaker 2: Up THERE so i think he would be Looking at carter,

1280
01:03:41,400 --> 01:03:43,560
Speaker 2: as WELL so i, you know wouldn't be surprised if

1281
01:03:43,560 --> 01:03:45,720
Speaker 2: he touched. Him TOMORROW so i think that price is.

1282
01:03:45,760 --> 01:03:47,800
Speaker 2: Canna move i'm gonna bet it tonight. AS well i

1283
01:03:47,880 --> 01:03:50,280
Speaker 2: like that at zero point zero two five the OTHER

1284
01:03:50,280 --> 01:03:53,160
Speaker 2: props i was Looking Into. YOUNG wayku i like him

1285
01:03:53,200 --> 01:03:55,760
Speaker 2: over five and a half. Kick points movie is really

1286
01:03:55,840 --> 01:03:59,920
Speaker 2: intrigued by teams with low, team totals who, you know

1287
01:04:00,440 --> 01:04:01,800
Speaker 2: no one thinks they're going to be in, the game

1288
01:04:01,880 --> 01:04:04,880
Speaker 2: and their kicker points is. Under six basically tells ME

1289
01:04:04,880 --> 01:04:06,760
Speaker 2: if i get two, field GOALS if i think a

1290
01:04:06,800 --> 01:04:08,720
Speaker 2: team can score a, FEW touchdowns i just think there's

1291
01:04:08,720 --> 01:04:11,160
Speaker 2: a lot of opportunity to get over. THAT number i

1292
01:04:11,200 --> 01:04:13,959
Speaker 2: Think our action pro projections even have him at like six,

1293
01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:17,720
Speaker 2: Point THREE so i, like that And then i'll toss

1294
01:04:17,760 --> 01:04:20,360
Speaker 2: one parlay. OUT there i think the big question in

1295
01:04:20,400 --> 01:04:23,680
Speaker 2: this game Is Just jackson dart and rushing off, the

1296
01:04:23,720 --> 01:04:26,680
Speaker 2: concussion off, the worry like they're gonna tell him not

1297
01:04:26,760 --> 01:04:29,440
Speaker 2: to run his instinct with a pass rush Coming from

1298
01:04:29,520 --> 01:04:31,720
Speaker 2: vrabel is going to be. To run so the question

1299
01:04:31,840 --> 01:04:34,080
Speaker 2: is is what does. HE do i would bank on

1300
01:04:34,160 --> 01:04:37,320
Speaker 2: some Running and i'll bank on that just happening based.

1301
01:04:37,320 --> 01:04:40,000
Speaker 2: Off INSTINCT so i had looked at him to score

1302
01:04:40,040 --> 01:04:43,120
Speaker 2: a touchdown and him twenty five plus and him to throw.

1303
01:04:43,160 --> 01:04:47,360
Speaker 2: A touchdown so, one run, one pass twenty. Five rush

1304
01:04:47,440 --> 01:04:50,800
Speaker 2: it's plus six point fifty plus six forty something of.

1305
01:04:50,800 --> 01:04:53,080
Speaker 2: That Nature and i'm not even Asking. The giants, you

1306
01:04:53,080 --> 01:04:55,080
Speaker 2: know they could lose it. From THERE but i think

1307
01:04:55,080 --> 01:04:57,520
Speaker 2: you're gonna see a bunch of dart in. This game,

1308
01:04:58,360 --> 01:05:00,200
Speaker 2: and listen if you wanted to Add, the giant. It's

1309
01:05:00,240 --> 01:05:03,120
Speaker 2: moneyline it's fifteen. To One but i'm not going to

1310
01:05:03,160 --> 01:05:05,160
Speaker 2: tell you to. Do it it's just up. To you that's.

1311
01:05:05,240 --> 01:05:08,880
Speaker 2: YOUR call, i, mean, Yeah YEAH and i had a question.

1312
01:05:08,920 --> 01:05:11,600
Speaker 2: For YOU so i think this is a really really

1313
01:05:11,640 --> 01:05:15,000
Speaker 2: intriguing game when it Comes To, triple crown because, YOU

1314
01:05:15,040 --> 01:05:17,880
Speaker 2: know I think drake and for anyone who, Doesn't Know

1315
01:05:17,960 --> 01:05:20,920
Speaker 2: triple crown is just basically lead the game, in, passing receiving.

1316
01:05:20,960 --> 01:05:23,880
Speaker 2: And rushing you could pick all, three players, you know forty,

1317
01:05:23,920 --> 01:05:25,600
Speaker 2: to one fifty, to one eighty. To one, you know

1318
01:05:25,640 --> 01:05:28,480
Speaker 2: the combination just depends on who. You PICK so I

1319
01:05:28,520 --> 01:05:30,760
Speaker 2: Think drake may is obviously a bigger Favorite Than jackson

1320
01:05:30,840 --> 01:05:33,400
Speaker 2: dart from the, Passing standpoint but if you Think the

1321
01:05:33,440 --> 01:05:35,560
Speaker 2: giants can stay in, the game Like maybe dart's a,

1322
01:05:35,600 --> 01:05:39,280
Speaker 2: little sneaky and then from rushing, and receiving it is

1323
01:05:39,360 --> 01:05:41,960
Speaker 2: a completely open field in, this GAME and i think

1324
01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:45,840
Speaker 2: the opportunity might Lie in dart leading. And rushing so

1325
01:05:45,920 --> 01:05:47,800
Speaker 2: that was the ANGLE that i was, looking at Just

1326
01:05:47,800 --> 01:05:52,680
Speaker 2: Because Travion Ramandre, singletary, tracy like there's a lot of

1327
01:05:52,840 --> 01:05:57,160
Speaker 2: taking people's jobs in, This game so THAT'S something i,

1328
01:05:57,200 --> 01:05:59,880
Speaker 2: looked At like dart to lead in rushing In one

1329
01:06:00,080 --> 01:06:03,280
Speaker 2: dell receiving forgetting the passing is thirty five. To one

1330
01:06:03,840 --> 01:06:05,480
Speaker 2: and then the OTHER one i looked At like dark

1331
01:06:05,520 --> 01:06:08,440
Speaker 2: to lead and Rushing And pop douglas to lead, in

1332
01:06:08,480 --> 01:06:11,600
Speaker 2: receiving like maybe a long reception or so is two

1333
01:06:11,680 --> 01:06:15,520
Speaker 2: hundred and thirty to One. At DraftKings, SO like i

1334
01:06:15,600 --> 01:06:18,280
Speaker 2: just think messing around with that could be a little

1335
01:06:18,280 --> 01:06:21,000
Speaker 2: bit fun in, this game considering that there is no

1336
01:06:21,200 --> 01:06:22,240
Speaker 2: real favorite in.

1337
01:06:22,280 --> 01:06:26,080
Speaker 3: Both, categories Yeah the patriots are a third and explosive

1338
01:06:26,120 --> 01:06:28,920
Speaker 3: play rate on, the season and it's almost. Entirely passing

1339
01:06:29,200 --> 01:06:31,640
Speaker 3: giants are bottom five and giving, those up And the

1340
01:06:31,680 --> 01:06:33,920
Speaker 3: patriots are killed sea high, this year And the patriots

1341
01:06:33,960 --> 01:06:36,160
Speaker 3: play a lot of Or the giants playout. Single high,

1342
01:06:36,280 --> 01:06:38,959
Speaker 3: SO yeah I think i don't. Mind that it's gonna.

1343
01:06:39,000 --> 01:06:41,600
Speaker 3: BE tough i think to thread the needle on dart leading,

1344
01:06:41,640 --> 01:06:45,400
Speaker 3: as passing But the patriots getting that, long reception but,

1345
01:06:45,720 --> 01:06:47,640
Speaker 3: just one like you can only allow one, of Those

1346
01:06:47,920 --> 01:06:50,560
Speaker 3: otherwise drake is gonna. Hit it, BUT yeah i think

1347
01:06:51,000 --> 01:06:54,360
Speaker 3: finding the random dart. Throw receiver trying to not use

1348
01:06:54,400 --> 01:06:56,920
Speaker 3: the word dart here too many times, is confusing, but

1349
01:06:57,320 --> 01:07:00,479
Speaker 3: yeah the. Random RECEIVER and i think you're proably gonna

1350
01:07:00,520 --> 01:07:04,000
Speaker 3: need to Hope the Patriots With remandre brack split the

1351
01:07:04,080 --> 01:07:07,000
Speaker 3: carries and Just hope trayveon doesn't break one at some

1352
01:07:07,120 --> 01:07:09,680
Speaker 3: point because he's done that and can always do. Any play,

1353
01:07:10,160 --> 01:07:12,960
Speaker 3: AND yeah i think if you can, limit that limit the,

1354
01:07:12,960 --> 01:07:16,040
Speaker 3: big play probably you're at a giant script now at.

1355
01:07:16,080 --> 01:07:19,560
Speaker 3: That point, but yeah limit the big plays down the

1356
01:07:19,560 --> 01:07:22,480
Speaker 3: field For, the patriots limit the runs For. The patriots

1357
01:07:22,840 --> 01:07:24,760
Speaker 3: you're probably on a. Giant script but that's kind of

1358
01:07:24,800 --> 01:07:27,000
Speaker 3: the way. We're LEANING so i think it's interesting to

1359
01:07:27,360 --> 01:07:27,919
Speaker 3: play a couple.

1360
01:07:27,920 --> 01:07:30,840
Speaker 2: Of, THOSE yeah i think an option Of like may

1361
01:07:31,040 --> 01:07:36,120
Speaker 2: Passing pop douglas receiving in dart rushing is also relatively

1362
01:07:36,160 --> 01:07:40,160
Speaker 2: correlated in. Some Fashion, LIKE so i just think there's an,

1363
01:07:40,160 --> 01:07:42,600
Speaker 2: opportunity there, All right if you want to tell some

1364
01:07:42,640 --> 01:07:44,680
Speaker 2: Of these monday night, football bets make sure to look

1365
01:07:44,680 --> 01:07:47,040
Speaker 2: for the quicksip link in the podcast and, video description

1366
01:07:47,360 --> 01:07:49,720
Speaker 2: or go to actionework dot com slash. Bet now you

1367
01:07:49,720 --> 01:07:52,240
Speaker 2: can also find those quicks up in the live YouTube

1368
01:07:52,320 --> 01:07:54,080
Speaker 2: chat if you're still hanging out. With us, All, Right

1369
01:07:54,120 --> 01:07:56,960
Speaker 2: brandon we've always just teased them hot. Long enough so

1370
01:07:57,040 --> 01:08:01,280
Speaker 2: what are your hot read plays for? Next Week app boo,

1371
01:08:01,360 --> 01:08:07,440
Speaker 2: Seventy One, ice rights ice, Cream S hoy Real. Celtrat

1372
01:08:07,520 --> 01:08:10,120
Speaker 2: may we're.

1373
01:08:10,160 --> 01:08:13,880
Speaker 3: Going under we're Gonna Go steelers. Ravens under you KNOW

1374
01:08:14,000 --> 01:08:16,880
Speaker 3: how I Love Steelers. Ravens unders it's forty five and

1375
01:08:16,920 --> 01:08:19,920
Speaker 3: a Half. At DraftKings if you follow me on, the

1376
01:08:19,960 --> 01:08:22,960
Speaker 3: app you got This hopefully, sunday morning forty seven and

1377
01:08:23,000 --> 01:08:26,320
Speaker 3: a half above that. Key number it's already dropping forty

1378
01:08:26,360 --> 01:08:28,439
Speaker 3: five at. Some books we're gonna grab you. For it, falls,

1379
01:08:28,479 --> 01:08:32,080
Speaker 3: FURTHER look I Love steelers RAVENS because i love to

1380
01:08:32,120 --> 01:08:35,160
Speaker 3: bet It with Tom. And harbaugh you bet, the underdog

1381
01:08:35,240 --> 01:08:37,719
Speaker 3: you bet. The under nine of the last eleven meetings

1382
01:08:37,760 --> 01:08:40,559
Speaker 3: have been within. One score the last ten meetings are

1383
01:08:40,600 --> 01:08:44,000
Speaker 3: averaging thirty three point one points. A game nine out

1384
01:08:44,000 --> 01:08:46,360
Speaker 3: of ten hit this under at forty two, or below

1385
01:08:46,560 --> 01:08:47,519
Speaker 3: seven of ten.

1386
01:08:47,720 --> 01:08:50,400
Speaker 1: At thirty four. Or below that is what these.

1387
01:08:50,439 --> 01:08:54,000
Speaker 3: Teams do they play, low scoring. CLOSE games i don't

1388
01:08:54,000 --> 01:08:56,200
Speaker 3: think they look that far, apart honestly and how they're.

1389
01:08:56,240 --> 01:09:01,720
Speaker 3: Playing anyway baltimore slightly Better offense pittsburgh's DEFENSE by dva on,

1390
01:09:01,760 --> 01:09:05,160
Speaker 3: The season baltimore's defense. Trending, up, okay great that'll help

1391
01:09:05,200 --> 01:09:08,519
Speaker 3: our under. Just fine baltimore's offense certainly doesn't look right

1392
01:09:08,560 --> 01:09:11,040
Speaker 3: the way they're playing. Right NOW and i know the

1393
01:09:11,080 --> 01:09:13,680
Speaker 3: offense kind Of had pittsburgh's number the last couple. Of

1394
01:09:13,720 --> 01:09:16,960
Speaker 3: years but this is not that. Same Team and ravens weren't.

1395
01:09:17,040 --> 01:09:20,280
Speaker 3: Overteam early they've four or five to the under now

1396
01:09:20,520 --> 01:09:24,439
Speaker 3: since that. Over Start So tomlin road unders fifty seven

1397
01:09:24,479 --> 01:09:28,040
Speaker 3: percent most profitable coach in, our database And then week

1398
01:09:28,120 --> 01:09:31,040
Speaker 3: fourteen forward have a whole bunch of under trends that

1399
01:09:31,080 --> 01:09:34,160
Speaker 3: start popping for, division games and this one is a

1400
01:09:34,240 --> 01:09:37,360
Speaker 3: kind of a trends bonanza home favorite under seven in

1401
01:09:37,400 --> 01:09:40,240
Speaker 3: a division late season game fifty six percent of the

1402
01:09:40,320 --> 01:09:43,360
Speaker 3: under total from forty three to, forty seven fifty seven

1403
01:09:43,400 --> 01:09:46,200
Speaker 3: percent of the under, outdoor game sixty percent of. The

1404
01:09:46,280 --> 01:09:49,439
Speaker 3: under just like Trend after trand is, hitting here we

1405
01:09:49,560 --> 01:09:52,920
Speaker 3: might be back for this game on Our best, bets episode,

1406
01:09:52,960 --> 01:09:55,360
Speaker 3: because MAN am i going to be Looking at steelers

1407
01:09:55,360 --> 01:09:58,400
Speaker 3: plus six and, A half especially that thing touches seven in.

1408
01:09:58,479 --> 01:10:00,639
Speaker 3: THIS game i don't know if it'll be away, from

1409
01:10:00,680 --> 01:10:04,040
Speaker 3: it but, for tonight give me the under under forty

1410
01:10:04,080 --> 01:10:05,559
Speaker 3: five and, a HALF and i think that that thing

1411
01:10:05,560 --> 01:10:06,320
Speaker 3: will keep dropping a.

1412
01:10:06,320 --> 01:10:09,960
Speaker 2: Little, bit yeah that matchup always. SCREAMS under i mean

1413
01:10:09,960 --> 01:10:12,320
Speaker 2: the look ahead was forty seven down to forty four and.

1414
01:10:12,360 --> 01:10:14,559
Speaker 2: A half i'd be kind of shocked if they didn't

1415
01:10:14,640 --> 01:10:17,839
Speaker 2: keep dropping a. Little, Bit also rogers just looked completely

1416
01:10:17,880 --> 01:10:20,559
Speaker 2: and utterly, banged up so they'll be probably some questions

1417
01:10:20,600 --> 01:10:22,080
Speaker 2: about status. Going there but what else?

1418
01:10:22,080 --> 01:10:25,200
Speaker 3: You, got yeah just, Another note i'm gonna actually give

1419
01:10:25,200 --> 01:10:27,400
Speaker 3: you a third under HERE before i get To Mather

1420
01:10:27,520 --> 01:10:30,800
Speaker 3: Main saints bucks under forty three and. A half ANOTHER

1421
01:10:30,880 --> 01:10:32,880
Speaker 3: one i threw in the app, this morning fading the

1422
01:10:32,920 --> 01:10:35,599
Speaker 3: forty two and a half at some books already fits

1423
01:10:35,600 --> 01:10:38,479
Speaker 3: a lot of those same late division. Under trends saints

1424
01:10:38,560 --> 01:10:40,960
Speaker 3: nine to three to. The under you mentioned that when

1425
01:10:41,000 --> 01:10:43,800
Speaker 3: we talked about them a little. Bit earlier best IN

1426
01:10:43,800 --> 01:10:46,880
Speaker 3: the nfl, for them and they shut down to this game.

1427
01:10:47,000 --> 01:10:49,599
Speaker 3: As well so six of the Last Eight saints bucks

1428
01:10:49,640 --> 01:10:52,439
Speaker 3: games have been forty points, or last so under forty

1429
01:10:52,439 --> 01:10:55,320
Speaker 3: three and. A half my other, Official pick i'm Gonna

1430
01:10:55,360 --> 01:10:57,679
Speaker 3: go sunday night to. The game we keep Talking About

1431
01:10:57,760 --> 01:11:01,240
Speaker 3: texans chiefs one. More under they Love our texans unders,

1432
01:11:01,280 --> 01:11:04,960
Speaker 3: of course forty three and a Half At DraftKings texans

1433
01:11:05,120 --> 01:11:07,799
Speaker 3: nine and three to, the under best IN, The nfl

1434
01:11:07,920 --> 01:11:09,639
Speaker 3: chiefs eight and four to, the under.

1435
01:11:09,760 --> 01:11:11,519
Speaker 1: Just behind that's just how these.

1436
01:11:11,520 --> 01:11:13,880
Speaker 3: Teams play this is not really as much of a

1437
01:11:13,880 --> 01:11:17,479
Speaker 3: trend thing as a stylistic Thing. For houston it's, defense

1438
01:11:17,520 --> 01:11:20,040
Speaker 3: first as good, as anybody and they Held the chiefs

1439
01:11:20,120 --> 01:11:22,280
Speaker 3: last year to twenty seven and twenty. Three points like

1440
01:11:22,320 --> 01:11:25,400
Speaker 3: that's a pretty good outing Against, the Chiefs and HOUSTON'S

1441
01:11:25,439 --> 01:11:27,479
Speaker 3: defense i think is better now And the chiefs offense

1442
01:11:27,520 --> 01:11:30,400
Speaker 3: definitely has been worse For. The chiefs it's kind of

1443
01:11:30,400 --> 01:11:35,880
Speaker 3: by design going, under, long slow, boring drives matriculating down,

1444
01:11:35,880 --> 01:11:38,479
Speaker 3: the field and frankly a defense that should be good

1445
01:11:38,520 --> 01:11:40,439
Speaker 3: enough to kind of Hold the texans and check. As

1446
01:11:40,479 --> 01:11:45,320
Speaker 3: well so Under On Sunday Night primetime Unders non thursday

1447
01:11:45,479 --> 01:11:49,040
Speaker 3: editions since twenty nineteen one, forty eight ninety three and

1448
01:11:49,160 --> 01:11:52,640
Speaker 3: four to the under sixty, one percent sixty three percent this.

1449
01:11:52,760 --> 01:11:55,800
Speaker 3: Season unders when the line drops in, this range you

1450
01:11:55,880 --> 01:11:58,639
Speaker 3: just want to keep following the money basically fifty five

1451
01:11:58,680 --> 01:12:00,000
Speaker 3: percent to the unders.

1452
01:12:00,000 --> 01:12:01,360
Speaker 1: As, well like this is, a huge.

1453
01:12:01,760 --> 01:12:05,120
Speaker 3: HUGE game i think it's Gonna be it's gonna feel

1454
01:12:05,160 --> 01:12:09,200
Speaker 3: like that Opening playoff. Texans game that's the sort OF

1455
01:12:09,200 --> 01:12:12,439
Speaker 3: style i think we're. Getting here just like every, first down,

1456
01:12:12,960 --> 01:12:15,599
Speaker 3: every point every score is gonna feel like. A battle

1457
01:12:15,920 --> 01:12:18,599
Speaker 3: this is where we're gonna end Next Week. Sunday night

1458
01:12:18,840 --> 01:12:21,400
Speaker 3: so let's end the show, there too under forty three

1459
01:12:21,479 --> 01:12:23,160
Speaker 3: and A, Half chiefs texans in a.

1460
01:12:23,240 --> 01:12:25,840
Speaker 2: Huge game and you can call me, on this but

1461
01:12:26,280 --> 01:12:29,519
Speaker 2: that over under you like forty three and, a half.

1462
01:12:29,560 --> 01:12:31,479
Speaker 2: It's falling so if you're gonna if you're hearing, this

1463
01:12:31,560 --> 01:12:33,720
Speaker 2: now you definitely should go. AFTER it i see some

1464
01:12:33,760 --> 01:12:35,479
Speaker 2: forty two and. A half the ONE thing i do kind,

1465
01:12:35,479 --> 01:12:38,000
Speaker 2: of like looks like first half total is twenty two and.

1466
01:12:38,040 --> 01:12:40,519
Speaker 2: A half i think that's a little. Bit high that'll probably,

1467
01:12:40,520 --> 01:12:42,760
Speaker 2: Come down so twenty two and a half first half

1468
01:12:42,840 --> 01:12:45,120
Speaker 2: UNDER and i think is kind of intriguing, as WELL

1469
01:12:45,640 --> 01:12:49,599
Speaker 2: but i. Like it we will be here for after

1470
01:12:49,640 --> 01:12:51,880
Speaker 2: that game to go, over everything And then i'll do

1471
01:12:51,920 --> 01:12:54,280
Speaker 2: it here On The action hour podcast FOR Our nfl

1472
01:12:54,439 --> 01:12:57,920
Speaker 2: week thirteen recap episode presented By. Your DraftKings give us

1473
01:12:57,920 --> 01:13:00,360
Speaker 2: a like on the YouTube video before you. Take off

1474
01:13:00,720 --> 01:13:03,400
Speaker 2: we always. Appreciate it and if you, haven't yet check

1475
01:13:03,400 --> 01:13:05,920
Speaker 2: out OUR new Ai quick SLIPBOT on x Just tag

1476
01:13:06,040 --> 01:13:09,439
Speaker 2: playbook At playbook he'll to grab whatever bets you're. Looking

1477
01:13:09,479 --> 01:13:11,840
Speaker 2: for it'll create a quick slip link for you in

1478
01:13:11,880 --> 01:13:14,479
Speaker 2: a matter. Of seconds we'll be Back For action Island

1479
01:13:14,520 --> 01:13:19,160
Speaker 2: before monday night Football Game giants patriots tomorrow night right

1480
01:13:19,160 --> 01:13:21,080
Speaker 2: Here On. Action network use, you page as well AS

1481
01:13:21,120 --> 01:13:24,040
Speaker 2: more nfl Bets from brandon To, six Pack From ray

1482
01:13:24,080 --> 01:13:27,080
Speaker 2: Bond And Stuck anytime touchdowns and more on The Podcast Speed.

1483
01:13:27,320 --> 01:13:29,400
Speaker 2: Next week thank you, For listening good luck with all,

1484
01:13:29,439 --> 01:13:49,280
Speaker 2: your bets and enjoy, The Week Everybody action network reminds

1485
01:13:49,320 --> 01:13:53,160
Speaker 2: you please. Gamble responsibly if you or someone you care

1486
01:13:53,200 --> 01:13:56,320
Speaker 2: about has a, gambling Problem help us available twenty four

1487
01:13:56,360 --> 01:13:58,400
Speaker 2: to seven at one eight hundred gambler