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Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. Hello and welcome,

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Speaker 1: ladies and gentlemen. Straight Fire. It's me Jason McIntyre, Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: January nineteenth. Tope, everybody had a good MLK Monday. I

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Speaker 1: enjoyed it. If you went to my Instagram, you saw

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Speaker 1: I one on a morning hike clear my head after

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Speaker 1: a brutal NFL gambling weekend. Obviously, it's a big week

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Speaker 1: in America. I know it's gonna be stressful. Um. I

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Speaker 1: hope everybody can have a clear mind to get out

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Speaker 1: in nature. Uh, just relax, take some deep breaths. We

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Speaker 1: will get through this. And I want to start with

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Speaker 1: you know, there's a couple of things percolating in the

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Speaker 1: sports world. I'm gonna get to this Ben Simmons chatter

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Speaker 1: in a moment, but I have to start with an

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Speaker 1: interesting story developing in Kansas City. Obviously, the a f

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Speaker 1: C Championship game is hinging upon the return of Pat

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Speaker 1: Mahomes from his evaluation. Now why am I using a

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Speaker 1: word evaluation, because if you listen closely, Andy Reid and

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs have not used the word concussion since Mahomes

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Speaker 1: left the game Sunday afternoon. It is really weird and interesting.

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Speaker 1: And the Casey media is slowly starting to pick it up.

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Speaker 1: The gambling market hasn't totally picked it up. They all

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Speaker 1: think based on what Andy Reid saying. And the media

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Speaker 1: is reporting that Pat Mahomes is gonna play and it

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Speaker 1: sounds like he's a ghost. So the Chiefs are favored

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Speaker 1: by three. But if you look closely, folks, um, I listen.

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Speaker 1: I'm not trying to make a mountain out of a

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Speaker 1: mole hill, but there is something here. Andy Reid has

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Speaker 1: not said the word concussion. They're not going there. They

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Speaker 1: refuse to call it a concussion. Andy Reid will just

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Speaker 1: say he's in protocol, and you know, he was running

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Speaker 1: in the tunnel after the injury and I'm leaving it

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Speaker 1: to the doctors and the training staff and all that.

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Speaker 1: And he hasn't said the word concussion. And if you

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Speaker 1: look closely, apparently the final straw is an independent doctor,

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Speaker 1: not affiliated with the team or the player, but jointly

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Speaker 1: agreed upon by the league and the nfl p A.

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Speaker 1: Why is that, Well, that's obvious because you don't want

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Speaker 1: a team forcing a player out there, right, and you

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Speaker 1: don't want a player trying to get back out there

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Speaker 1: when he ain't ready, and that's gonna have to be

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Speaker 1: the final step. Listen, brain injuries are tricky, and it's

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Speaker 1: clear as day to anybody who watched the hit Pat

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Speaker 1: Mahomes took when his head slammed to the ground in

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Speaker 1: the third quarter against the Browns. He got up wobbly,

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Speaker 1: and there's the Chiefs are starting to get the word

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Speaker 1: out there. Oh well, it wasn't really a concussion. He

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Speaker 1: was just like rattled. I mean, it's I don't know, folks.

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Speaker 1: I'm not trying to be too good of Nancy here.

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Speaker 1: I obviously want Patrick Mahomes to play. I wanted to

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Speaker 1: be fine. But the mere fact that Andy Reid hasn't

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Speaker 1: said the word concussion and the Chiefs are not using

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Speaker 1: that word at all, and they're just saying the word, Oh,

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Speaker 1: he's in protocol. He's gonna get through the protocol. Blah

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Speaker 1: blah blah. He's gonna be good. We think he's gonna

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Speaker 1: be good to go. We hope he's ready. I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying the Chiefs are cutting corners. I'm not blaming anybody

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Speaker 1: on anything. I'm just saying they downgraded him to out

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Speaker 1: during the game and all you heard Sunday night and

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Speaker 1: Monday was hey, he's fine, he passed the second test. Um.

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Speaker 1: He was running around in the tunnel. Like they're saying, basically,

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Speaker 1: Pat Mahomes didn't have a concust They're trying to build

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Speaker 1: up a case. It sounds like to me at least

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Speaker 1: that hey man, Mahomes is gonna be fine. And you

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Speaker 1: just wonder where this is headed again. It's gonna take

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Speaker 1: several days, and if Mahomes is out is bad for

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs, it's bad for the league, it's bad for fans.

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Speaker 1: I mean, no disrespect to chat. Anything is possible, but

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Speaker 1: I don't want to see a thirty five year old

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Speaker 1: game who hasn't started a football game that has at

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Speaker 1: any meeting. And I'm not counting the week's seventeen spots

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Speaker 1: start a couple of weeks back. Um, I'm not I don't.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to see Chad Heny started playoff game. Okay,

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Speaker 1: he's never started a playoff game in his career. And

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Speaker 1: don't think because he showed well for a couple of

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Speaker 1: plays against the Cleveland Browns that he's gonna go out

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Speaker 1: there and beat the Buffalo Bills in the A f

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Speaker 1: C Title game. Um, I don't want to even see

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Speaker 1: that now. I did see a story where if Henny

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Speaker 1: is ruled the quarterback, this line was just currently Chiefs

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Speaker 1: by three will swing two Bills two and a half

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Speaker 1: to anywhere from Bills two and a half to Bill seven.

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Speaker 1: You know, that would basically say Patrick Mahomes worth about

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Speaker 1: ten points to the spread. That might be low when

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Speaker 1: you look at the drop off from Pat Mahomes to

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Speaker 1: Chad anything as possible. Chad Henny, of course, former Miami

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Speaker 1: Dolphins quarterback. I know him as a Jet skuy. He

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Speaker 1: is what he is. He he is a backup quarterback, um,

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Speaker 1: and you don't want to have to start him if

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Speaker 1: you're the Kansas City Chiefs. So I don't know. It's

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Speaker 1: just something worth monitoring obviously, Brady and um, Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: needs no introduction. We don't. We're gonna spend days on

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Speaker 1: these games leading up to Sunday, so I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to really dive into anything. There really nothing to say.

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Speaker 1: I would say. The only fallout on the NFC side

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Speaker 1: is there is some chatter out there about Holy Cow.

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Speaker 1: The New Orleans Saints path going forward is extremely ugly.

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Speaker 1: They are up against it in the cap um. At

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Speaker 1: this rate, they're probably gonna have to start Taysom Hill

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Speaker 1: at quarterback next year. This idea that you know, somebody

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Speaker 1: give Jamis a look, maybe make him a backup quarterback. Like,

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Speaker 1: I don't see why would he stay in New Orleans

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Speaker 1: unless he thinks he can win the starting job and

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Speaker 1: on a really tiny salary. Um. I'm sure he'd rather

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Speaker 1: be a backup somewhere for more money than that. But

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Speaker 1: we'll see what happens. But just structurally, the Saints are

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Speaker 1: in trouble, and just keep an eye. All I'll say

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Speaker 1: is keep an eye on Michael Thomas and New Orleans. Um,

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Speaker 1: it's not going well behind the scenes, all right, Let's

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Speaker 1: get quickly to the NBA and a story that kind

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Speaker 1: of has flown under the radar. So everybody was all

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Speaker 1: excited the Nets trade for James Harden, and you know, briefly,

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Speaker 1: to go off topic, James Harden was very good once

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Speaker 1: again on Monday night in a big game against the Bucks.

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Speaker 1: The MLK schedule, you know, listen, it was okay, it

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Speaker 1: wasn't a great MLK basketball schedule day Um, Nets and

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Speaker 1: Bucks was a good one. It didn't totally feel like

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Speaker 1: a Eastern Conference finals. It probably will end up being that.

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Speaker 1: We'll see about the Sixers. Janice had a good game

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Speaker 1: and seven, but I'm sorry Joanna's going head to head

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Speaker 1: against James Harden and Kevin Durant. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: you honest is winning many of those. Then you throw

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Speaker 1: Kyrie Irving into the mix and it's like whoa. So

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Speaker 1: Harden had thirty four twelve and six k D, thirty nine,

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Speaker 1: thirty points, nine rebounds, six assists and the Nets win

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Speaker 1: by two. But I really think the big story is

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Speaker 1: what's going on, what's going on behind the scenes this

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Speaker 1: Rockets sixer stuff. It is really starting to sound like Tillman,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna butcher his name again, the owner of

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Speaker 1: the Rockets, the billionaire Tillman for Tita really screwed over

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Speaker 1: the Philadelphia seventis. And it all goes back to the

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Speaker 1: Darryl Morey situation. Yes, the Darryl Morey departure, because remember

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Speaker 1: Daryl Morey was like, Oh, I'm gonna need something, I

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Speaker 1: need some time off. I just kind of want to

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Speaker 1: get away reset blah blah blah, and then like two

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Speaker 1: weeks later he's you know running the seventies sixers. Um So,

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Speaker 1: according to the Philadelphia inquire Big Weekend for the Inquirer, huh,

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Speaker 1: I mean they had that Carson Wentz story. We touched

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Speaker 1: on it. It's ugly. We touched on it on Monday's

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Speaker 1: podcast if you missed that. But this si suation, according

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Speaker 1: to the Inquirer, was the Rockets owner just did not

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Speaker 1: want to make a deal with the Sixers because of Mori.

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Speaker 1: And of course the owner was asking for the world.

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Speaker 1: He wanted out give me Ben Simmons, tyrese, Maxi, Matisse,

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Speaker 1: thybel draft picks, and Sixers are like, come on, we're

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Speaker 1: not doing that, get out of here. Um And according

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Speaker 1: to the Inquirer, the Rockets never called back the seventies

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Speaker 1: Sixers for a counter offer when they had the uh

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Speaker 1: you know, the four team deal sending hard into the nets.

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Speaker 1: They just apparently strung them along, and the owner of

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Speaker 1: the Rockets was basically saying, listen, I want to screw

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Speaker 1: these guys up as much as possible. Um, let me

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Speaker 1: drive awayge between Ben Simmons, the GM, Joel embiid everybody

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Speaker 1: and if you're Ben Simmons now and Ben Simmons is

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Speaker 1: on mind my son's fantasy basketball team, and yes, I'm

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Speaker 1: monitoring his developments. He ain't playing well, you know, and

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Speaker 1: obviously a lot is wearing on you during the process

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Speaker 1: where you may or may not be traded. And Ben

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Speaker 1: Simmons is it almost feels like he's thrown up his

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Speaker 1: hands as if to say, listen, I'm done with this whole.

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Speaker 1: Whose team is it? And beads her mine? Like Simmons

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Speaker 1: has kind of throwing up his hands. Remember when they

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Speaker 1: went to the Eastern Conference Semis and lost to the

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Speaker 1: Raptors on that prayer by Kauai Leonard from the corner

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Speaker 1: in Game seven one at the buzzer, Still one of

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Speaker 1: the craziest shots I've ever seen to win a series. Um,

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Speaker 1: Ben Simmons was phenomenal that year. Now, Joel Embiade was excellent,

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Speaker 1: but Simmons was off the charts. And you know last

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Speaker 1: year they just it felt like that it was a

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Speaker 1: ticking time on no Jimmy Butler, no jj Reddick, the

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Speaker 1: coach was an issue. And and you know this year

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Speaker 1: the whole hardened trade And it almost feels like Simmons

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Speaker 1: is kind of shrugging his shoulders, like, hey man, they

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Speaker 1: were gonna trade me. They don't love me here, I

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Speaker 1: don't know where I'm gonna end up. It just he

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Speaker 1: just looking at him. He doesn't look like he has

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Speaker 1: like the confident Ben Simmons from two years ago where

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Speaker 1: I really thought he was ascending to be a top

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Speaker 1: ten twelve player in the league. You know, I've always

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Speaker 1: been on the Simmons training against him beating and nothing

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Speaker 1: against him bead. He just refused to play back to

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Speaker 1: backs the injury history I was I would have rather

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Speaker 1: built around Ben Simmons than Mbat, even though em beats

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Speaker 1: a really really good player. You say something like that,

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Speaker 1: people are instantly like, oh gosh, you hate Joel and beat. No,

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Speaker 1: I don't hate him, Come on, um, But this situation

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Speaker 1: with Simmons now is oh, well, they were going to

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Speaker 1: trade me for James Harden And does that mean they're

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Speaker 1: not trading me anywhere now? Or am I on the

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Speaker 1: table for I don't know, Bradley Beale? Would they would

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Speaker 1: they trade me for Bradley Beale because frankly, right now,

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Speaker 1: the Washington Wizard stink and Bradley Beale with Embiid and

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Speaker 1: Seth Curry and some of the other uh, you know,

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Speaker 1: secondary pieces they have on that Sixers team, Bradley bue

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Speaker 1: will be incredible And if you really want to look

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Speaker 1: at it, Bradley bals, I mean, he's doing great numbers

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Speaker 1: as a number one in Washington. What would he do

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Speaker 1: as a two with him beat around him? I mean,

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Speaker 1: Bradley Buell will be off the chart to dangerous. I

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Speaker 1: I like the Sixers either way, but I'm trying to

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Speaker 1: get into the Ben Simmons mindset if he feels like

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Speaker 1: it's a fat accompany, that he's not going to be

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Speaker 1: there long term and he's the guy that's gonna get

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Speaker 1: dealt We know Darryl Morey does not like to stand pat.

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Speaker 1: If it wasn't now for Simmons, Is it going to

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Speaker 1: be at the trade deadline? Is it gonna be in

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Speaker 1: the off season? Like? When is it gonna It almost

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Speaker 1: feels inevitable that this Doc Rivers Joel Embi Ben Simmons

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Speaker 1: trio ain't gonna last and they're not firing Doc Rivers

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Speaker 1: after one year. I'll tell you that they are probably

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Speaker 1: gonna give this one year. See what Doc Rivers can do. Now.

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Speaker 1: Doc Rivers has said he loves Ben Simmons a ton

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Speaker 1: and again Ben Simmons kind of iors don't come along

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Speaker 1: in the draft all the time. So the Rockets can

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Speaker 1: get four number one picks, they might be seventeen, nine, twelve, whatever. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: getting Ben Simmons combined with all four of those, the

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Speaker 1: odds of that happening are very slim, and I'm just

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna monitor it. The Sixers had a game canceled

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Speaker 1: due to COVID uh this weekend and they are currently

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Speaker 1: nine and five, third in the East behind the Celtics

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Speaker 1: who are about to take a swan dive here still

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Speaker 1: uh Tatum and he has his COVID issue. Kemba Walker

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Speaker 1: is on the verge of playing, but he's not there.

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Speaker 1: And the Bucks, you know, just just went down to

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Speaker 1: the nets. Those two, the Nets will be on the

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Speaker 1: come up in the East. But again, it's way too

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Speaker 1: early to get too excited about anything going on in

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Speaker 1: the East. I will say this, keep an eye on

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Speaker 1: this Tray Young situation with John Collins. I touched on

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Speaker 1: it on my radio show Saturday. If you guys listen

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Speaker 1: to that podcast The Athlete that had a deep dive

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Speaker 1: into a film session where John Collins went off on

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Speaker 1: Trey Young and was like, Yo, this ain't working. You know,

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Speaker 1: you need to do this and get us involved in.

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Speaker 1: Trey Young was kind of taken aback, like it's his team.

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Speaker 1: They gave up Luca Dodgson's for Trey Young, you know,

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Speaker 1: before the before the draft or during the draft or

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Speaker 1: whenever it was right before the draft. And so Trey

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Speaker 1: Young came out the next game and basically pouted his

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Speaker 1: way through like a two for twelve shooting and just

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Speaker 1: was moping around and listen, they did connect a lot

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Speaker 1: on MLK Day and an easy win over one of

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Speaker 1: the worst teams in the league in the Timberwolves. But

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Speaker 1: just watch that. If things go sideways, the blame is

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Speaker 1: gonna be on Trey Young. Now. The team is not

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Speaker 1: shipping him anywhere. They probably asked the head coach first,

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Speaker 1: but John Collins did not sign an extension with the Hawks.

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Speaker 1: He wants big money. He's gonna be gone in this offseason.

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Speaker 1: If I'm the Hawks, I looked to ship John Collins

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Speaker 1: around the deadline to somebody that may want to extend him. Um,

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Speaker 1: what can you get a return? I don't know. Hawks

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Speaker 1: also drafted a couple of the big kid on you,

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Speaker 1: Onyeka Onyeka okong Wu from USC who I like a lot.

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Speaker 1: He just started playing coming back from an injury, so

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Speaker 1: we'll monitor that. But that's enough of the NBA for now.

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Speaker 1: I want to go back. Started to bounce around, but

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Speaker 1: I want to go back to the NFL for two notes.

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Speaker 1: So today the Atlanta Falcons are gonna introduce Arthur Smith

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Speaker 1: as the new head coach in the a t L.

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Speaker 1: He of course, was the o C of the Tennessee Titans,

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Speaker 1: and he's a thirty eight year old guy. He hasn't

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Speaker 1: been an o C that long. And I think the

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Speaker 1: interesting camp here is matt LeFleur in Green Bay. Okay,

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Speaker 1: you had a young coach, offensive minded guy, goes to

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Speaker 1: a team that has had success in the not too

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Speaker 1: distant past Atlanta has. They went to the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 1: of course, choked away lead against the Patriots, and he's

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Speaker 1: going in with listen, a really good quarterback and a

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Speaker 1: good supporting cast. Now La Fleur was able to take

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Speaker 1: that to the next level pretty quickly. They went NFC

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Speaker 1: Title Game last year. They're back in the NFC Title

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Speaker 1: Game this year. They might win the Super Bowl in

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Speaker 1: year two with the flour the big difference of course

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Speaker 1: that I can hear you shouting. It ended the into

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Speaker 1: the podcast. Jason, are you comparing Aaron Rodgers to Matt Ryan?

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Speaker 1: Are you doing that? Aaron Rodgers is a domineering presence. Okay.

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Speaker 1: I did a panel I think about four years ago

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Speaker 1: with a former Packers player, and before I'm on the panel,

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Speaker 1: you know, uh, they flew me out to New York City.

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Speaker 1: I am on the panel. Then you go back in

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Speaker 1: like the green room and I'm hanging out with a

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Speaker 1: former Packers player. Of course I'm asking him, yeo, what

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Speaker 1: was it like with Rogers? And this guy just starts

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Speaker 1: unloading one. Oh my gosh, Rogers is the biggest jerk

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Speaker 1: of all time. I was a rookie and you know,

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Speaker 1: as a rookie, you don't want to step out of pocket.

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Speaker 1: You expect the quarterback leader of the team to make

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Speaker 1: you feel welcome. And Aaron Rodgers would not acknowledge him,

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Speaker 1: not even like a head, no, not even what's up, hey, rookie?

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Speaker 1: You nothing to the point where this rookie had to

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Speaker 1: then go in to the coaches and be like, does

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers hate me? What's going on? Like I feel weird?

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Speaker 1: I don't feel comfortable. You guys drafted me, you believe

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Speaker 1: in me. Aaron Rodgers won't even talk to me. They

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Speaker 1: had to the Packers mediate Aaron Rodgers and this rookie.

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Speaker 1: They had to set aside time every week. I don't

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Speaker 1: know whether there's ten minutes, fifteen minutes, twenty minutes were

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Speaker 1: they would just sit there and talk. And I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying Aaron Rodgers is a jerk. This perception from the

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Speaker 1: rookie was, Man, Aaron Rodgers an't friendly. He's walking around

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Speaker 1: the halls. He's not even acknowledging me. He's not even

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Speaker 1: saying hi, who does that? You're a young kid out

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Speaker 1: of college. Is that the move of a leader? And

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Speaker 1: then he said we mediated. It was fine, like we

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Speaker 1: would just hang out in the room and talking. Was like, oh,

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Speaker 1: this is normal. But that's the kind of guy. Rogers says.

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Speaker 1: He is a gruff dude, a little rough around the edges,

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Speaker 1: and the fleur was going into a tough spot. Compounding matters.

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Speaker 1: After the thirteen and three season, they went out and

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Speaker 1: drafted a quarterback in the first round. Aaron Rodgers response, Oh,

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Speaker 1: that's funny. I'm gonna win the m v P of

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Speaker 1: this league. I'm gonna throw a billion touchdown passes and

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take us on my back and we're gonna

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Speaker 1: go to the NFC title game again. Go draft a quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Good for you guys, do that. It's funny. I compared

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Speaker 1: that Aaron Rodgers this season two. Do you guys remember

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Speaker 1: those strongman competitions on ESPN where you would have this

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Speaker 1: like hulking guy like the sides of a refrigerator, wrap

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Speaker 1: a rope around his waist and he would toe like

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Speaker 1: a Mack truck. Right he would get down and like

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Speaker 1: the runners stance and oh grunt and get it, and

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Speaker 1: he would tow a Matt truck or an eighteen wheeler

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Speaker 1: or whatever. Aaron Rodgers is the All Kings strongman towing

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Speaker 1: just carrying the Green Bay Packers right now. That's how

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Speaker 1: good Rogers is. Honestly, even if you're not a huge

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Speaker 1: football fan, I urge you watch the replay of Packers Rams.

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Speaker 1: You can find it on YouTube. It's a condensed version,

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Speaker 1: and just watch the domination from Rodgers, the confidence, the brains.

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Speaker 1: He's just the total package. And as difficult as the

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Speaker 1: situation it was for La Fleur going in there, Da've

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Speaker 1: been pretty good. You know, I don't I don't know

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Speaker 1: what their relationships like. I mean, if you're La Fleur,

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Speaker 1: you're just ride and cut Roger's cotails. You're not trying

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Speaker 1: to ruffle any feathers. This guy knows what he's doing.

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Speaker 1: I will just try to navigate the locker room and

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Speaker 1: make sure everybody else is cool. Let's get back to

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Speaker 1: Arthur Smith, the Falcons coach. What's his situation. He goes

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Speaker 1: into Atlanta with kind of a team that was on

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Speaker 1: you know again, they went to the Super Bowl, but

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Speaker 1: Matt Ryan is not the domineering quarterback. And I'm talking

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Speaker 1: personality wise. I don't maybe the word bully is too strong,

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Speaker 1: but Matt Ryan's nothing like that. He's a much more cerebral, quiet,

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Speaker 1: friendly leader. Okay, My issue with Arthur Smith and I

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Speaker 1: think what the biggest challenge will be is and this

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Speaker 1: is no secret, but his father is the founder of FedEx.

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Speaker 1: So Arthur Smith, who's thirty eight, probably has a trust

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Speaker 1: fund and he's going to be a billionaire one day.

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Speaker 1: His father is a billionaire. So there's a really, really

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Speaker 1: good chance that Arthur Smith is going to be extremely

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Speaker 1: ridiculously wealthy. And you could argue. Arch of people would man,

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Speaker 1: why is Arthur Smith even doing this? I would just

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Speaker 1: get a business with my dad and ride them coatails.

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Speaker 1: And I think that speaks to Smith, who I don't know,

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Speaker 1: I've never met, never interviewed. I'm shocked that this guy

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Speaker 1: is where he is. A lot of these guys born

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Speaker 1: on third base, you know, football, They're not handing out

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Speaker 1: on anything. They're not handing out head coaching jobs to

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Speaker 1: the son of a billionaire who runs FedEx. Arthur Smith

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Speaker 1: is a fascinating figure to me. I don't know that

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Speaker 1: much about him. There isn't a ton out there on him.

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Speaker 1: I want to know what his upbringing was like. What

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Speaker 1: was this guy like growing up? I mean, did he

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Speaker 1: act like he was born on third base with the

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Speaker 1: silver spoon in his mouth? Did he that is gonna

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Speaker 1: go overwhell in the locker room where sent of the

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Speaker 1: league is African American and a lot of these guys

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Speaker 1: came from impoverished backgrounds. How I really am curious how

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Speaker 1: Arthur Smith is gonna go over in the A T

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Speaker 1: l um pretty good young offensive mind. I didn't think

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Speaker 1: he had a good game against Ravens, but whatever, that's

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Speaker 1: one game. And a in a body of work that

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Speaker 1: says he's done really well with Ryan Tannehill. Um, so

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Speaker 1: we'll see what happens with Arthur Smith. I don't have

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Speaker 1: a best bet here, but I do want to wrap

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Speaker 1: up the podcast with one note, so I put this

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Speaker 1: tweet out. Of course, as I went hiking, I was

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Speaker 1: listening to a financial advisor. I listened to a couple

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Speaker 1: of financial advisor podcasts UM and for whatever reason, I

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Speaker 1: got off on this tangent about numbers UM and I

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Speaker 1: was looking at Later on Monday, I was looking at

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Speaker 1: the Football Outsiders numbers and destruct me as just stunning. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we're in an error right now where it's an offensive NFL.

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Speaker 1: This is why I've been saying the Jets should have

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Speaker 1: hired an offensive guy. I don't have issues with Sala.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna root for him. I think he's gonna do fine.

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Speaker 1: The reason I think offensive coaches are so in demand

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Speaker 1: is what happens when you look at the Football Outsiders stats,

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Speaker 1: and again we're not in We don't look at total

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Speaker 1: yards as an offensive metric. We don't look at points

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Speaker 1: per game as an offensive metric. That's lazy and just

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Speaker 1: irrelevant in an arrow where there's so much information. Don't

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Speaker 1: use the kind of info it's just it gets you nowhere. Okay,

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Speaker 1: those are antiquated numbers. Yards per game does not take

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Speaker 1: into account blowouts, opponents, all that stuff there, All that

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Speaker 1: is put into the Football Outsiders formula. Okay, And I

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Speaker 1: had the creator of Football Outsiders, Aaron Chatz, on a

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Speaker 1: podcast during the season. Maybe we'll get him on in

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Speaker 1: the off season again. But take a look at the

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Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers. Okay, Football Outsiders has them in the

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Speaker 1: number one offense in the league, the most efficient offense

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Speaker 1: in the NFL, there's no doubt about that. Watching. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but if you look at total yards, well, Packers are

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Speaker 1: only fifth behind the Vikings, Like, what does that mean?

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Speaker 1: Why are you using total yards? And the same applies

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Speaker 1: to the Chiefs, right, the Chiefs are number two in

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Speaker 1: offensive d v o A most of the second most

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Speaker 1: efficient offense in the NFL. But if you look at

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Speaker 1: points per game, oh, the Chiefs are only six and

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Speaker 1: their offense is really really good, but it's not etlite.

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Speaker 1: Trust me, trust the Football Outsiders numbers. When I started

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Speaker 1: to improved my gambling on the NFL a few years ago,

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Speaker 1: football Outsiders d v o A Metrics was one of

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Speaker 1: the biggest keys um And this is my big overlying

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Speaker 1: point here. Football Outsiders ranks all the thirty two offenses. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the number one offense, Green Bay Packers number two, Kansas

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Speaker 1: City Chiefs number three, Tampa Bay Bucks number four, Tennessee

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Speaker 1: number five, Buffalo Bills. Four of the five best offenses

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Speaker 1: in the league this season are left in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Now let's look at the defensive stats. Tampa Bay fifth

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Speaker 1: in defense. They are left, Buffalo twelve in defense, Green

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Speaker 1: Bay se in defense, Kansas City twenty second in the

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Speaker 1: league in defense, one behind my New York Jets. And

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Speaker 1: now I'm obligated to reference the Jets in every single

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Speaker 1: podcast in some way, shape or form. But the larger point,

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Speaker 1: guys see the forest through the trees. The league is

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00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:10,920
Speaker 1: geared toward offense. The quarterbacks come in the league having

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Speaker 1: studied and played seven on seven drills. Quarterbacks go into

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00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:20,040
Speaker 1: college and the NFL playing so much more football at

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Speaker 1: quarterback than ever before. These guys are doing seven on

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Speaker 1: seven at like eleven years old. They know the position

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Speaker 1: so well. The offensive skill position players have gotten ridiculously good.

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Speaker 1: Players are bigger, faster, stronger. You can't run the football

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Speaker 1: and expect to win in the NFL. Running helps, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's great, but you've got to pass to win. All

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Speaker 1: the numbers and Warren Sharp is big on this, you

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Speaker 1: need to be passing on first down to be successful

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Speaker 1: in the NFL because if you run for three yards

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Speaker 1: on first down, you now have second and seven, and

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Speaker 1: guess what the defense knows is coming. You're going to pass.

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Speaker 1: You don't want to be in third and five, third

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Speaker 1: and six, third, and you want the short yardage. So

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Speaker 1: you pick up eight on first down with the past boom,

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Speaker 1: You're in great shape. And passing is what the smart

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Speaker 1: teams are doing, and offense is what's carrying the day

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Speaker 1: here in the NFL. So when you hear me prattle

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Speaker 1: on and get upset about the Jets going for a

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00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:23,919
Speaker 1: defensive coach, I want to see what they are on offense.

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Speaker 1: Now they're bringing the forty Niners passing game coordinator. I

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00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:31,680
Speaker 1: believe it is um La Fleur's brother. He's going to

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Speaker 1: run the Jets offense. So I'm not totally out on it.

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Speaker 1: I'm just saying the numbers don't lie. Four of the

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Speaker 1: five best offenses in the NFL are left in the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: One of the top ten defenses is left and that's

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, which by the way, benefited greatly from four

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Speaker 1: Saints turnovers. Um so. And again this is not a knock.

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Speaker 1: Defense doesn't matter. No, I'm not saying that. I'm just

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Speaker 1: saying you want a great offense consistently in the league.

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Speaker 1: Defense can be flight a year to year. Go look

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Speaker 1: look at the Chicago Bears. This is another big football

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Speaker 1: outside of things. Defense year to year is high variable.

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Speaker 1: It can you can go from one to fifteen, you

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Speaker 1: can go from two to twenty. Okay, just remember last

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Speaker 1: year Jets defense was awesome, top five, top seven unit

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00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:22,240
Speaker 1: in the league. They fell to twenty one. Go look

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Speaker 1: at the Bears the first when they made the playoffs

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Speaker 1: with Naggy, I think the defense was number one in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. What happened the next year, Oh, they didn't

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00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:30,879
Speaker 1: force a million turnovers. They plummeted. They were like twelve

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00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 1: or something fifty didn't make the playoffs. Defense here and there.

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Speaker 1: Offense because of the continuity of the quarterback like offense

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Speaker 1: rules the NFL. Right now, Um, I hope I didn't

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Speaker 1: just give away my my picks for UH Championship weekend.

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Speaker 1: We're still far away and obviously is not both. I

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Speaker 1: just like one. If you guys watched Talk the Line

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00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:54,399
Speaker 1: on Monday with Colin and Carissa, um, you know I

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00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,479
Speaker 1: basically said my favorite picks so far of the weekend. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: you can't do anything with the Mahomes game not knowing

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00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 1: his dad us So alright, that wraps up today's podcast.

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Speaker 1: We will be back tomorrow. Special guests joining the pod

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Speaker 1: should be a fun one. We'll talk to you then