WEBVTT - President Trump Facing Scrutiny Over Personal Finances

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're right here every day bringing you the

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<v Speaker 1>latest news from the world's of business and finance, plus technology, politics, economics,

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<v Speaker 1>all harnessing the power of Business Week reporters and editors.

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<v Speaker 1>And of course Carol that's part of a team of

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts more than a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and twenty countries and Jason. You can download Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week on iTunes, SoundCloud, bl Bloomberg dot com. You can

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<v Speaker 1>also listen to our radio show at two pm Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio every weekday, or watch us on YouTube

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<v Speaker 1>by searching Bloomberg Global News. Well, let's set the business

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<v Speaker 1>week agenda, understand what investors may be thinking going into

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<v Speaker 1>this week. Gina Martin Adams with this, chief equity strategist

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<v Speaker 1>for Bloomberg Intelligence, joining us on the phone from New Jersey. So, Gina,

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<v Speaker 1>nice to have you with us. A little bit of

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<v Speaker 1>a different tone. What are investors thinking about today? Yeah, Well, first,

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<v Speaker 1>thank you for having me. It's always good to join

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<v Speaker 1>you guys on a Monday afternoon. In terms of what

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<v Speaker 1>investors are thinking, I think it's all actually started um

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<v Speaker 1>as if Thursday's trade. We noticed in our chart book

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<v Speaker 1>last week that some of the stocks that really got

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<v Speaker 1>us into this mess, namely the technology, communications, consumer discretionaries,

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<v Speaker 1>some of those really high flyers over the summer had

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<v Speaker 1>finally reached some signals of stabilization. As of Thursday's trades.

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<v Speaker 1>We started to see a little bit of recovery in

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<v Speaker 1>the broad market on Friday, and I think this is

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of follow through of that recovery. Though I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's really notable that it's not tech that's leading,

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<v Speaker 1>and this has been part of our strategy really since

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<v Speaker 1>the beginning of September. Our sector scorecards suggested that we

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<v Speaker 1>were moving into a new phase of the market where

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<v Speaker 1>the leadership would have to rotate to the sectors where

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<v Speaker 1>we're exposed to experience the biggest economic recovery into one eventually,

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<v Speaker 1>and that means not the tech COVID sort of safety plays,

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<v Speaker 1>but more value cyclical type of stocks like the industrials

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<v Speaker 1>and materials and energy in the world and even energy.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think that what's happening is a bit of

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<v Speaker 1>rotation and finally you get the tech sector stabilizing. So

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<v Speaker 1>your primary source of downdraft in stocks is stable, and

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<v Speaker 1>that allows for the sectors that have actually been performing

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<v Speaker 1>reasonably well, like industrials and materials, to perform um and

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<v Speaker 1>to continue to show that leadership well. And I do

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<v Speaker 1>wonder Gina, and first of all, we love having you,

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<v Speaker 1>so it's a great way for us to start off

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<v Speaker 1>our week. Um is, do you think you're getting more

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<v Speaker 1>visibility at all from CEOs? Jason and I talked to

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of CEOs, and I still feel like there's

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<v Speaker 1>still that like, yeah, we don't quite know what's going

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<v Speaker 1>you know one. But do you feel like you're starting

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<v Speaker 1>to get a little bit more guidance? Uh, certainly when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to earnings and earnings growth. Yeah, I think

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<v Speaker 1>you're getting guidance on some things, but not on others.

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<v Speaker 1>I think I think CEO they're picking and choosing very

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<v Speaker 1>carefully where they can provide visibility, they will. For instance,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, if you flashback six months ago, there was

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<v Speaker 1>no visibility because there were companies were scrambling to such

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<v Speaker 1>an extent that they were just working to survive, let

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<v Speaker 1>alone thurrive. And I think that the converse that is

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<v Speaker 1>slowly shifting to how do we thrive. How do we

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<v Speaker 1>do well in an environment where we do have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of people still working from home. There are still

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of unemployed, but there is incremental improvement in

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<v Speaker 1>the economy. How do we navigate an economy that's partially

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<v Speaker 1>open but operating in a different way than economy. It's

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<v Speaker 1>certainly not the crisis mode that we were in in

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<v Speaker 1>the fall, but I do think that there is a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit more forward looking commentary, more focus on how

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<v Speaker 1>to grow rather than just how to survive. Now that

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<v Speaker 1>we've gotten past the peak of the crisis period, it's

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<v Speaker 1>about how do we navigate this new recovery Either. That said,

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<v Speaker 1>nobody has fantastic visibility into what the economy is going

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<v Speaker 1>to look like, obviously, but there are some signs of light.

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<v Speaker 1>There are some signs of improvement. There are the CEOs

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<v Speaker 1>that have had the experience of recovery in China and

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<v Speaker 1>can kind of take that story of Asian recovery and

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<v Speaker 1>and place it on in the Western world and say, well,

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<v Speaker 1>where could we go from here and what does our

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<v Speaker 1>outlook look like in a post COVID environment. Yeah, it's

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<v Speaker 1>also interesting, Gina, And I know this is a loaded

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<v Speaker 1>word when it comes to two markets, but there's almost

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<v Speaker 1>this sense of capitulation or maybe resignation that, Listen, the

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<v Speaker 1>virus is going to be with us for for some

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<v Speaker 1>amount of time, and maybe longer than we certainly thought

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<v Speaker 1>in March or April, but we're learning to live with

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<v Speaker 1>it in a certain way. Obviously, the next few months

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be um difficult and and and we

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<v Speaker 1>don't know what to expect, but investors sort of living

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<v Speaker 1>with it to some extent and getting and maybe understanding

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<v Speaker 1>that the new normal is a new normal with the virus,

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<v Speaker 1>not a new normal post virus in some ways. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that. I think that's absolutely spought on correct

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<v Speaker 1>is and that's the change in the language. Right If

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<v Speaker 1>you think six months ago, it was okay, well this

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<v Speaker 1>might go away soon, and then it was okay, that's

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<v Speaker 1>never going to go away, and now it's well, we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to make incremental progress to improvement. But the reality

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<v Speaker 1>is we're not going to go back to anytime soon.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not going to just completely go away, but it

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<v Speaker 1>also is not going to be crisis mode forever. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think we're trying to kind of trying to find

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<v Speaker 1>that middle ground. It's a little bit more about realism

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<v Speaker 1>and assessing where the realistic outlook is. At the same time,

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<v Speaker 1>there obviously is a lot of fireworks coming out of Washington.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, you've got everything from what It's amazing how

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<v Speaker 1>much we are contending with in terms of just political

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<v Speaker 1>volatility right now in the midst of this virus environment.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I think that companies are going to have

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<v Speaker 1>to address that in the post election period when we

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<v Speaker 1>know who the players are in Washington, right and we

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<v Speaker 1>don't even know when we're going to know at this point,

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<v Speaker 1>so that even that is up for a speculation, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>Gina Martin Adams, thank you so much. Great way to

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<v Speaker 1>start the week, Chief Equity Strategies for Blueberg Intelligence. Joining

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Jersey. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>Well Global COVID nineteen cases topping thirty three million as

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<v Speaker 1>infections in India reached the six million mark, the official

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<v Speaker 1>death toll nearing one million worldwide. The experts say the

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<v Speaker 1>real tally maybe almost double that. Let's get back to

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<v Speaker 1>someone it's been one of our he has been one

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<v Speaker 1>of our go to voices. During the COVID nineteen pandemic.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Sandra Galia is back with us. Diana, professor at

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<v Speaker 1>Boston University School of Public Health, author of Pained Uncomfortable

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<v Speaker 1>Conversations about the public's health, and he joins us once

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<v Speaker 1>again on the phone from Boston UM. Dr Galia, so

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<v Speaker 1>nice to have you back with Jason and myself. How

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<v Speaker 1>are you, how's this school? Tell us how things are going? Hi? Gerald,

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<v Speaker 1>Hi Jason, Thank you for having me again. You know

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<v Speaker 1>it has been there has been a challenging month. I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's a challenging month for everybody who is part

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<v Speaker 1>of an institution that is trying to balance the risks

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<v Speaker 1>of the moment we are. We are a university have

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<v Speaker 1>been reopening cautiously, carefully with a lot of testing, a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of contact, tracing, a lot of isolation as needed,

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<v Speaker 1>and really working hard to keep the community safe. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>also working on our mission and continuing teaching and containing

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<v Speaker 1>our research. And it's a tough balance. I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>a tough balance for everybody, and and it's part of

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<v Speaker 1>I think a broader societal place where we are at,

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<v Speaker 1>where we are recognizing that we are living with COVID

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<v Speaker 1>for some time now and uh, and we cannot afford

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<v Speaker 1>to keep our world slow down because there are important

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<v Speaker 1>things that we have to do. And so give us

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<v Speaker 1>a sense of that balance, Dr Galia, like, what is

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<v Speaker 1>something where you feel like you've found it in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of either staffing or class size or doing labs, Like,

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<v Speaker 1>give us an example of where you feel like, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>well this this feels about as good as we can get. Well, Jason,

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<v Speaker 1>I think, uh, I don't think I feel confident telling

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<v Speaker 1>you anything as good as at the camp. I think

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<v Speaker 1>I think everything is a working progress. Don't. Let's talk

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<v Speaker 1>about what we're doing. So we as a university are

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<v Speaker 1>testing people extensively. We have about five to six thousand

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<v Speaker 1>tests a day happening, so students are tested in multiple

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<v Speaker 1>times a week. We have a lot of people who

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<v Speaker 1>are involved bought in the testing, but then also somebody

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<v Speaker 1>tests positive and the contact racing to see who they've

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<v Speaker 1>been in contact with. Right, So the idea is, and

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<v Speaker 1>we had discussed this before in our previous conversations, the

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<v Speaker 1>idea with testing is that you catch a case early

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<v Speaker 1>so that it does not become a cluster that does

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<v Speaker 1>not then continue the epidemic. So you find the case,

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<v Speaker 1>you do contact tracing, you find the people around that case,

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<v Speaker 1>you quarantine those people, and you isolate the case. And

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<v Speaker 1>of course all of that is superimposed over a very

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<v Speaker 1>strict regiment of building hygiene, and by that I mean

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<v Speaker 1>ventilation and the building wiping down surfaces, a very strong

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<v Speaker 1>public campaign for people to remain safe, wearing masks, making

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<v Speaker 1>sure that people are not in if they're sick, and

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<v Speaker 1>everyday doing symptoms screens for everybody. So it really is

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<v Speaker 1>a fairly comprehensive effort, and it is in some respects

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<v Speaker 1>I think the challenges that it's a comprehensive effort that

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<v Speaker 1>has to happen now and has to keep happening really

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<v Speaker 1>for weeks and months until there is a definitive vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>for COVID. Talk to me about contact tracing, because I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like we are getting very mixed results, mixed reviews

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of people essentially saying yep, I'm not going

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<v Speaker 1>to cooperate. It's voluntary, and I'm not going to tell

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<v Speaker 1>you either I don't want to get in trouble because

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<v Speaker 1>I was at a party, or I feel like it's

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<v Speaker 1>an invasion of my privacy. How do you manage that well.

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<v Speaker 1>In some respects, I think it's easier to manage that

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<v Speaker 1>within a closed system of one institution versus in the

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<v Speaker 1>general population. Right, So in our in our system, in

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<v Speaker 1>our system, we have been very clear that this is

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<v Speaker 1>part of the cost of citizenship. If you're if you're

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<v Speaker 1>going to be part of the community, you have responsibility

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<v Speaker 1>to work towards keeping others safe. And part of that

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<v Speaker 1>responsibility is if you test positive, is that you talk

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<v Speaker 1>to the contact tracers and you told them who you've

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<v Speaker 1>been in contact with, so that they can reach out

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<v Speaker 1>to those people and make sure we keep them safe

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<v Speaker 1>as well. It's harder to do that in the general population.

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<v Speaker 1>There's not a lot of reports about fifty people in

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<v Speaker 1>general population answer and talk to contact traitors. That's that's

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<v Speaker 1>in the general population where I think there isn't as

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<v Speaker 1>much of a sense of shared responsibility for one another

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<v Speaker 1>there should be. I'm just reflecting on probably what's going

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<v Speaker 1>out there. Yeah, now that's a big part of it.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, Jason and I've talked about it. I know,

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<v Speaker 1>when my daughter got together with some classmates at the

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<v Speaker 1>end of the summer and we had kind of quarantined

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<v Speaker 1>her for months. You know, we as families went into

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<v Speaker 1>it saying Okay, what have you been doing? Who's getting tested?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, like there was this sense of community to

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<v Speaker 1>make sure everybody stayed safe. And I feel like, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>there not everybody's on the same page with that. Also,

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<v Speaker 1>to be fair and Dr Glaire, you understand that's not

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<v Speaker 1>everybody can be on the same page. There are some

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<v Speaker 1>people that you know, if they don't go to work,

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<v Speaker 1>they don't get paid in it, they're in a tougher predicament.

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<v Speaker 1>And I just you know, I just well, I think,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is why, this is why Carol, I

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<v Speaker 1>think the reopening is so important. I think it's a

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<v Speaker 1>The data are very clear, for example, that your chances

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<v Speaker 1>of being able to work from home are much higher

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<v Speaker 1>if you're in the top quartile of income. So people

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<v Speaker 1>who are who are who have to go to work

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<v Speaker 1>are people who are already making less income. We know

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<v Speaker 1>that it overlaps with race, right. We know that the

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<v Speaker 1>disproportionate burn of COVID in many respects was because we

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<v Speaker 1>expose people that low income people of color often to

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<v Speaker 1>work before we understood how COVID works. But the the

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<v Speaker 1>economic shutdown, I feel like the public conversation about the

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<v Speaker 1>economic slowdown hasn't been fair because, to be to be frank,

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<v Speaker 1>it's been there. It's been directed by people whose livelihoods

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<v Speaker 1>that's not really at risk from economic slowdown because they

0:11:50.559 --> 0:11:52.600
<v Speaker 1>can work from home. But the fact that more than

0:11:52.640 --> 0:11:55.439
<v Speaker 1>half the population cannot work from home. So if we

0:11:55.520 --> 0:11:58.640
<v Speaker 1>if we if we say, if we take the premise

0:11:58.720 --> 0:12:01.800
<v Speaker 1>that well, we should reduce risk of COVID at all costs, well,

0:12:02.360 --> 0:12:03.920
<v Speaker 1>do we really mean at all costs or do we

0:12:03.960 --> 0:12:06.240
<v Speaker 1>mean at all costs to somebody else? I think we

0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:07.520
<v Speaker 1>need to be honest with that, and and and and

0:12:07.640 --> 0:12:11.200
<v Speaker 1>economic slowdowns hurt people who are already at the low

0:12:11.360 --> 0:12:14.200
<v Speaker 1>end of making income, and that is something that we

0:12:14.240 --> 0:12:16.199
<v Speaker 1>as a society have a responsibility to try to avoid

0:12:16.200 --> 0:12:18.200
<v Speaker 1>as much as possible. To get back to our conversation

0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:21.360
<v Speaker 1>with Dr Sandro Galia, dean at the Boston University School

0:12:21.360 --> 0:12:23.360
<v Speaker 1>of Public Health, also the author of the book Pained

0:12:23.440 --> 0:12:27.360
<v Speaker 1>Uncomfortable Conversations about the Public's Health. So let's talk about

0:12:27.360 --> 0:12:31.240
<v Speaker 1>the public's health. Dr Galia, What can we be doing

0:12:31.960 --> 0:12:34.320
<v Speaker 1>before we get to the other side of this? What

0:12:34.480 --> 0:12:38.360
<v Speaker 1>should we be doing to ensure that we don't lose

0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:41.520
<v Speaker 1>sight of these inequalities that have been laid bare by

0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:46.040
<v Speaker 1>this pandemic. And Jason, I think what the pandemic has

0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:48.000
<v Speaker 1>shown us, and I like your use of the term

0:12:48.080 --> 0:12:51.040
<v Speaker 1>laid bare. It has shown us the inequalities that existed

0:12:51.080 --> 0:12:55.199
<v Speaker 1>already before the pandemic. The country is really shaped by

0:12:55.320 --> 0:12:58.520
<v Speaker 1>deep socio economic and equalities and deep racial inequalities. And

0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:01.439
<v Speaker 1>those inequalities have helped analogus. Just like we have have

0:13:01.679 --> 0:13:03.320
<v Speaker 1>the have not, we have held haves and have not

0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:07.400
<v Speaker 1>around those two acts. Now, the the pandemic revealed that

0:13:07.440 --> 0:13:09.800
<v Speaker 1>we have Black Americans have two and a half times

0:13:09.840 --> 0:13:13.040
<v Speaker 1>greater risk of dying during COVID than white Americans, and

0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:16.559
<v Speaker 1>that is largely due to the double whammy of one

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:19.679
<v Speaker 1>greater burden of disease among the black Americans had convered

0:13:19.679 --> 0:13:22.720
<v Speaker 1>the white Americans, and number two that a disproportionate number

0:13:22.720 --> 0:13:25.199
<v Speaker 1>of them work in what we came to call sort

0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:28.280
<v Speaker 1>of essential work, frontline work, work that exposed them to

0:13:28.280 --> 0:13:31.600
<v Speaker 1>get in COVID. So to my mind, what COVID is

0:13:31.640 --> 0:13:34.640
<v Speaker 1>now letting us see what was already there for us

0:13:34.640 --> 0:13:36.480
<v Speaker 1>to see had we looked for it. So the question

0:13:36.520 --> 0:13:39.520
<v Speaker 1>you ask is, how do we not forget this, and

0:13:39.559 --> 0:13:41.800
<v Speaker 1>I think we do not forget this frankly, by continue

0:13:41.840 --> 0:13:44.920
<v Speaker 1>to have the conversation and and saying to ourselves the

0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:49.679
<v Speaker 1>time to fix these inequities by socioconomic class, by by

0:13:49.800 --> 0:13:53.040
<v Speaker 1>race is not when we're under dress room pandemic. It's

0:13:53.040 --> 0:13:55.840
<v Speaker 1>when the pandemic is over, before the next pandemic. So

0:13:55.880 --> 0:13:58.640
<v Speaker 1>I really think that there's going to be and there

0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:02.360
<v Speaker 1>should be a reckoning with what are the forces in

0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:05.199
<v Speaker 1>our society economic forces to social forces that we need

0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:07.720
<v Speaker 1>to realign once the pandemic is over. You know, the

0:14:07.760 --> 0:14:10.920
<v Speaker 1>metaphor that keeps running through my mind is you're on

0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:13.280
<v Speaker 1>a ship going through a storm, right, and the ship

0:14:13.320 --> 0:14:15.120
<v Speaker 1>going through a storm, and the ship is not doing

0:14:15.120 --> 0:14:17.360
<v Speaker 1>well because it's leaking or because the sailors don't know

0:14:17.400 --> 0:14:20.080
<v Speaker 1>what they're doing well. While you're going through the storm,

0:14:20.160 --> 0:14:21.800
<v Speaker 1>the best you can do is try to patch up

0:14:21.800 --> 0:14:24.720
<v Speaker 1>the patch, patch up the prow, and get your sailors

0:14:24.760 --> 0:14:27.200
<v Speaker 1>to do something that's not too terrible. But really, the

0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:28.760
<v Speaker 1>time when you should be fixing the ship is when

0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:31.160
<v Speaker 1>you're past the storm, So you should be getting the

0:14:31.160 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 1>ship ready to face the next storm. And we as

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:37.560
<v Speaker 1>a country have ignored this for for decades, so it

0:14:37.760 --> 0:14:42.000
<v Speaker 1>is if one were to be silver lining inclined, this

0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:45.080
<v Speaker 1>could be a good time for reflection for us once

0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:47.400
<v Speaker 1>we get past this pandemic and say, what are the

0:14:47.480 --> 0:14:50.360
<v Speaker 1>structures we want to build to make the country healthier

0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:53.320
<v Speaker 1>and ready for the next time. What would be the

0:14:53.360 --> 0:14:57.160
<v Speaker 1>structures you would build? Well, I think the big mistake

0:14:57.200 --> 0:15:00.920
<v Speaker 1>carel that we've been making is we con late healthcare

0:15:01.040 --> 0:15:04.680
<v Speaker 1>with health We spend more on healthcare than any the

0:15:04.760 --> 0:15:07.160
<v Speaker 1>country in the world by a lot, by about more

0:15:07.440 --> 0:15:10.240
<v Speaker 1>than any other country in the world, and yet compared

0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 1>to other high income countries, which is really only fair comparison,

0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:15.800
<v Speaker 1>we have the worst health indicators compared to you know,

0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:18.840
<v Speaker 1>we we have lower life expectancy, we have higher heart disease,

0:15:18.880 --> 0:15:21.880
<v Speaker 1>we have higher cancer mortality rates. Now why is that?

0:15:22.080 --> 0:15:24.600
<v Speaker 1>The reason that is is very simple. It's because all

0:15:24.600 --> 0:15:27.640
<v Speaker 1>our money goes into high tech medicine that's there to

0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:30.040
<v Speaker 1>cure us when we all least sick. What we need

0:15:30.080 --> 0:15:32.640
<v Speaker 1>to do is we need to prevent disease before it starts.

0:15:32.640 --> 0:15:35.840
<v Speaker 1>And the way to do that is by having livable wages,

0:15:36.040 --> 0:15:40.120
<v Speaker 1>safe housing, availability of nutritious food, gender equity, less violence,

0:15:40.440 --> 0:15:42.440
<v Speaker 1>and unless we invest in those forces, we are going

0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:44.840
<v Speaker 1>to keep pumping money into healthcare and our health is

0:15:44.840 --> 0:15:47.640
<v Speaker 1>still going to light behind. So that's at the fundamental level.

0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:52.160
<v Speaker 1>It requires understanding what what produces health and invested in

0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:55.640
<v Speaker 1>what produces health, not just investing in healthcare. Yeah, that's

0:15:55.680 --> 0:16:00.640
<v Speaker 1>a really Dr Sandragolia, thank you so much. Really nice

0:16:00.680 --> 0:16:02.240
<v Speaker 1>to have you back with us. We look forward to

0:16:02.320 --> 0:16:04.760
<v Speaker 1>next time for sure. Dean of Boston University's School of

0:16:04.760 --> 0:16:08.280
<v Speaker 1>Public Health also the author of Pained Uncomfortable Conversations about

0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:11.480
<v Speaker 1>the Public's Health, and it's such an important point. Carol

0:16:12.080 --> 0:16:14.360
<v Speaker 1>and I had never really heard it distilled down like

0:16:14.440 --> 0:16:17.480
<v Speaker 1>that we separate healthcare from health. We do think we

0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:19.400
<v Speaker 1>think about it when we talk about it from an

0:16:19.400 --> 0:16:23.200
<v Speaker 1>investment perspective. It's the health care industry. But all of

0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:26.280
<v Speaker 1>those things that he talked about, and education, I feel

0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:30.320
<v Speaker 1>like there's a pretty clear um path too. But nutrition,

0:16:30.400 --> 0:16:33.400
<v Speaker 1>I feel like sometimes food we separate from health. We

0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:36.360
<v Speaker 1>totally do. But I thought what he said about livable wages,

0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:41.600
<v Speaker 1>safe housing, you wouldn't necessarily correlate that right with better

0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:45.400
<v Speaker 1>health either. But it's all intertwined. You need all of

0:16:45.440 --> 0:16:48.280
<v Speaker 1>a total steps that that whole last thing, how he

0:16:48.320 --> 0:16:50.880
<v Speaker 1>tied it up, I thought was just brilliant. That's a

0:16:50.920 --> 0:16:53.600
<v Speaker 1>T shirt all on its own. That's that's like a

0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:57.800
<v Speaker 1>jogging suit plus socks and sneaks. I'm just going to say,

0:16:58.000 --> 0:17:02.040
<v Speaker 1>courtesy of Dr Sandrew Galleia, this is Bloomberg Business Week

0:17:02.240 --> 0:17:06.280
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Messer and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. Well,

0:17:06.320 --> 0:17:08.959
<v Speaker 1>I'm really excited to talk about this next story because

0:17:09.080 --> 0:17:13.160
<v Speaker 1>it's just in such the Bloomberg wheelhouse and so appropriate

0:17:13.760 --> 0:17:15.879
<v Speaker 1>for a time when we're talking so much about it

0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:18.640
<v Speaker 1>could be a Netflix series two and how it's managed.

0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:20.919
<v Speaker 1>I know, it's so great. Neil Weinberg, one of our

0:17:20.960 --> 0:17:23.720
<v Speaker 1>favorite reporters here are senior projects and an investigations reporter

0:17:23.760 --> 0:17:26.880
<v Speaker 1>for Bloomberg. Johnny is on the phone from New York

0:17:26.920 --> 0:17:29.480
<v Speaker 1>along with Joel Webber, the editor of Bloomberg Business Week.

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:32.360
<v Speaker 1>He joins us from Massachusetts, and Joel, I feel like

0:17:32.720 --> 0:17:35.240
<v Speaker 1>this is also one of these stories that's so in

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:38.120
<v Speaker 1>the Joel Webber wheelhouse too, because you were the editor

0:17:38.160 --> 0:17:41.240
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Markets before you became theater of Bloomberg Business Week,

0:17:41.280 --> 0:17:44.440
<v Speaker 1>so you understand all the intricacies of this world. Set

0:17:44.440 --> 0:17:47.199
<v Speaker 1>this up for us. It's funny. It actually makes me

0:17:47.880 --> 0:17:50.919
<v Speaker 1>remember a very similar story that Neil did for me

0:17:51.040 --> 0:17:53.840
<v Speaker 1>once upon a time that actually goes to some similar places.

0:17:53.880 --> 0:17:56.240
<v Speaker 1>And this is the story that Neil spent a lot

0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:59.600
<v Speaker 1>of time on and it's a really interesting one because

0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:03.600
<v Speaker 1>all rich people in their bankers UM and if that

0:18:03.640 --> 0:18:07.280
<v Speaker 1>doesn't get your attention, I don't know what does, especially

0:18:07.280 --> 0:18:11.720
<v Speaker 1>here in September right exactly. So, So Neil, let's let's

0:18:11.720 --> 0:18:15.600
<v Speaker 1>talk about this, because it's not a story that UM

0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:19.320
<v Speaker 1>goes particularly well for the rich guy, or at least

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 1>it hasn't so far. What's what are we talking about? No,

0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:25.679
<v Speaker 1>I guess the sort of conceit of the of the

0:18:25.880 --> 0:18:29.480
<v Speaker 1>story is the idea that when you're talking about private banking,

0:18:29.600 --> 0:18:32.679
<v Speaker 1>the banking for the super rich, you're talking about the

0:18:32.720 --> 0:18:36.159
<v Speaker 1>service that you don't get walking into your local branch office.

0:18:36.520 --> 0:18:39.960
<v Speaker 1>And this goes obviously to things like investing and putting

0:18:39.960 --> 0:18:42.879
<v Speaker 1>your money in savings accounts, but it also goes to

0:18:43.040 --> 0:18:47.919
<v Speaker 1>things that can include outside investments or sports tickets or

0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:52.119
<v Speaker 1>dinner reservations or private planes or you name it, and

0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:55.000
<v Speaker 1>they'll arrange it for you. And the question in the

0:18:55.040 --> 0:18:58.680
<v Speaker 1>story is, at what point does it stop becoming banking

0:18:58.840 --> 0:19:02.960
<v Speaker 1>and become something else. At what point are the clients

0:19:03.240 --> 0:19:05.760
<v Speaker 1>lulled into sort of a sense of comfort with their

0:19:05.800 --> 0:19:10.440
<v Speaker 1>bankers where they're not exactly trusting but verifying. Yeah, who

0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:13.280
<v Speaker 1>are the characters that you're talking about here, Neil? In

0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:17.879
<v Speaker 1>this case, we're talking about a extremely wealthy young Mexican

0:19:18.480 --> 0:19:23.800
<v Speaker 1>gentleman named Moises Coco Spinosa. He inherited a lot of money,

0:19:23.800 --> 0:19:25.600
<v Speaker 1>went at a very young age, when he was in

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:30.280
<v Speaker 1>his teens. Among his holdings is a buildings fifty nine

0:19:30.320 --> 0:19:33.439
<v Speaker 1>stories on the corner of Fifth Avenue and forty two Street,

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:36.640
<v Speaker 1>across from the New York Public Library, to name one.

0:19:37.119 --> 0:19:39.000
<v Speaker 1>Uh So, he had a lot of money at a

0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:44.359
<v Speaker 1>very young age, and he was introduced to a pretty

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:47.800
<v Speaker 1>young banker banker who at the time was in his twenties,

0:19:48.359 --> 0:19:52.600
<v Speaker 1>and they struck up a relationship which from our reporting

0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:57.080
<v Speaker 1>indicates that it was professional, it was also social and

0:19:57.280 --> 0:19:59.920
<v Speaker 1>uh it sort of gets into the story, gets into

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:03.040
<v Speaker 1>of the dark corners of you know, what is trust

0:20:03.119 --> 0:20:07.120
<v Speaker 1>and what is appropriate uh in in banking and beyond. Well,

0:20:07.200 --> 0:20:09.960
<v Speaker 1>I also feel, like you know, Neil, that it raises

0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:14.080
<v Speaker 1>questions like are these relationships usually mutually beneficial. I mean,

0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:17.199
<v Speaker 1>there's fees that the banker gets for doing transactions and

0:20:17.200 --> 0:20:20.240
<v Speaker 1>so on and so forth. But I do wonder there's

0:20:20.240 --> 0:20:23.320
<v Speaker 1>a balance, right, and I feel like this story gets

0:20:23.320 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 1>too Did the bankers go you know, over the line

0:20:27.560 --> 0:20:31.920
<v Speaker 1>in terms of what they did? Absolutely, And obviously you're

0:20:31.960 --> 0:20:35.600
<v Speaker 1>always going to have attention in a sales environment, whether

0:20:35.640 --> 0:20:39.399
<v Speaker 1>you're selling cards or computers or banking services, where the

0:20:39.480 --> 0:20:43.760
<v Speaker 1>more revenue you generate for your employer probably means you'll

0:20:43.800 --> 0:20:46.960
<v Speaker 1>get paid more too, which was the case here. And

0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:49.879
<v Speaker 1>on the other hand, obviously it's a good deal for

0:20:50.040 --> 0:20:52.840
<v Speaker 1>a client to get a good deal, so you have

0:20:52.920 --> 0:20:55.200
<v Speaker 1>to sort of strike a balance. And in this case,

0:20:56.040 --> 0:20:59.560
<v Speaker 1>after many years where the banker and the client we're

0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:02.800
<v Speaker 1>working together, the client came to the conclusion that no,

0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:07.160
<v Speaker 1>he wasn't getting good service, he was getting ripped off Neil.

0:21:07.240 --> 0:21:10.320
<v Speaker 1>Another UM element that it kind of stands out here

0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:14.399
<v Speaker 1>is that the banker in question, who obviously UM has

0:21:14.440 --> 0:21:19.480
<v Speaker 1>disputed the allegations UM, wasn't like he stuck at one bank, right,

0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:22.760
<v Speaker 1>He actually moved around and brought the client with him.

0:21:22.800 --> 0:21:26.520
<v Speaker 1>Talk to us about that element exactly. Uh, this was

0:21:26.720 --> 0:21:31.840
<v Speaker 1>a banker who started in his twenties after he had

0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:35.240
<v Speaker 1>skied in the Olympics of all things. M a fellow

0:21:35.320 --> 0:21:39.000
<v Speaker 1>Mexican UH, he joined City Bank. He then moved for

0:21:39.160 --> 0:21:43.280
<v Speaker 1>a larger pay package to credit suee and ultimately ended

0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:46.520
<v Speaker 1>up at Morgan Stanley in Miami, where he was part

0:21:46.520 --> 0:21:51.080
<v Speaker 1>of the Latin American practice. UH. The client, Moises Coco,

0:21:51.240 --> 0:21:54.239
<v Speaker 1>followed him from one bank to the next, set up

0:21:54.280 --> 0:21:58.080
<v Speaker 1>a family office along the way, and UH he and

0:21:58.320 --> 0:22:02.360
<v Speaker 1>he hired to run his family the office another banker

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:05.800
<v Speaker 1>who was very familiar to both the banker and the client,

0:22:05.920 --> 0:22:10.160
<v Speaker 1>which raised questions about UH conflicts of interest and whether

0:22:10.359 --> 0:22:14.399
<v Speaker 1>the the relationship was too cozy for comfort, or at

0:22:14.440 --> 0:22:18.240
<v Speaker 1>least too cozy to work appropriately well. So, I wonder

0:22:18.359 --> 0:22:21.960
<v Speaker 1>if the problems are because the investments didn't pay off

0:22:22.040 --> 0:22:24.760
<v Speaker 1>and that's why we had lawsuits, because I feel like

0:22:24.800 --> 0:22:28.680
<v Speaker 1>these cozy relationships maybe would be okay if everything went

0:22:28.720 --> 0:22:32.080
<v Speaker 1>along fine. Is that is it a case that things

0:22:32.119 --> 0:22:34.160
<v Speaker 1>didn't go so well and that's why we have lawsuits?

0:22:34.160 --> 0:22:35.440
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I guess this is what we're trying to

0:22:35.480 --> 0:22:38.480
<v Speaker 1>figure out. Well, it's important to say in this case

0:22:38.560 --> 0:22:41.919
<v Speaker 1>it's a hotly disputed legal dispute at this point. But

0:22:42.520 --> 0:22:46.280
<v Speaker 1>what the client is alleging in a lawsuit and in

0:22:46.400 --> 0:22:52.280
<v Speaker 1>a private arbitration before finra UH is that the bankers,

0:22:52.520 --> 0:22:55.720
<v Speaker 1>he says, stepped way over the line and they were

0:22:55.760 --> 0:22:59.840
<v Speaker 1>doing transactions inside the bank. In this case, the bank

0:23:00.040 --> 0:23:04.480
<v Speaker 1>he is pointing UH finger at is credit SUEEE, and

0:23:04.520 --> 0:23:08.560
<v Speaker 1>he is saying that the bankers were doing transactions purely

0:23:08.640 --> 0:23:14.440
<v Speaker 1>to profit themselves and their employer. In addition, he's alleging

0:23:14.760 --> 0:23:19.680
<v Speaker 1>that they encouraged him to get involved in outside investment

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:24.159
<v Speaker 1>sort of private private equity or private placement type of

0:23:24.640 --> 0:23:27.200
<v Speaker 1>deals where they say there was a lot of self

0:23:27.320 --> 0:23:29.680
<v Speaker 1>He says, there was a lot of self dealing going on.

0:23:30.440 --> 0:23:33.280
<v Speaker 1>The bankers, the one who was inside the bank and

0:23:33.320 --> 0:23:37.160
<v Speaker 1>the one who was running the family office, have vehemently

0:23:37.200 --> 0:23:40.600
<v Speaker 1>denied the allegations. Yeah, it's interesting. I mean, you talk

0:23:40.680 --> 0:23:43.960
<v Speaker 1>about in this story where you know that the lines

0:23:44.080 --> 0:23:48.959
<v Speaker 1>blur in part because these are not always traditional straight

0:23:49.000 --> 0:23:52.840
<v Speaker 1>ahead investments, and so it's hard, especially if you're not

0:23:53.000 --> 0:23:56.120
<v Speaker 1>well versed in this area, to even know sort of

0:23:56.359 --> 0:24:01.680
<v Speaker 1>what's cool and what is not cool exactly. And the

0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:05.440
<v Speaker 1>other question is at what point should a client who

0:24:05.640 --> 0:24:09.720
<v Speaker 1>is UH in control at a young age of ten's

0:24:09.880 --> 0:24:13.239
<v Speaker 1>or hundreds of millions of dollars or potentially more. How

0:24:13.359 --> 0:24:17.320
<v Speaker 1>much attention should they pay? Should they have advisors to

0:24:17.440 --> 0:24:20.919
<v Speaker 1>keep an eye on their advisors in this case? Uh?

0:24:20.960 --> 0:24:24.800
<v Speaker 1>You know exactly what happens depends on which side you ask,

0:24:24.920 --> 0:24:28.600
<v Speaker 1>but clearly the relationship went way off the rails. Well.

0:24:28.800 --> 0:24:31.720
<v Speaker 1>Not surprisingly, it is one of the most read stories

0:24:31.760 --> 0:24:34.480
<v Speaker 1>on the Bloomberg and will continue to be. I have

0:24:34.560 --> 0:24:38.600
<v Speaker 1>to imagine a lot of our wealthier and maybe not

0:24:38.720 --> 0:24:41.639
<v Speaker 1>so wealthy customers are sending this to the banker being like,

0:24:42.359 --> 0:24:44.720
<v Speaker 1>call tomorrow, can we check in? Can we check in?

0:24:44.920 --> 0:24:47.800
<v Speaker 1>All right, Neil Weinberg, terrific piece of reporting. Thank you

0:24:47.840 --> 0:24:50.840
<v Speaker 1>so much, senior Projects and Investigation supporter for Bloomberg. Check

0:24:50.920 --> 0:24:54.280
<v Speaker 1>that story out online and on the Bloomberg Ard thinks

0:24:54.280 --> 0:24:57.240
<v Speaker 1>as well. To Joel Webber, Carroll, it's like you got

0:24:57.240 --> 0:25:01.320
<v Speaker 1>to read it too, because there's just some great detail exactly,

0:25:01.800 --> 0:25:05.360
<v Speaker 1>Its just the way it starts. It's just wonderful. This

0:25:05.680 --> 0:25:09.480
<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly

0:25:09.600 --> 0:25:13.760
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. All right, let's do a little business

0:25:13.760 --> 0:25:17.359
<v Speaker 1>Week economics. Now, our pal Andy Brown is back with us,

0:25:17.440 --> 0:25:20.720
<v Speaker 1>editorial director for Bloomberg New Economy, joins us on the

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:26.040
<v Speaker 1>phone from New Hampshire. So I am really into this reason.

0:25:26.640 --> 0:25:29.280
<v Speaker 1>Tell him that you wrote, Andy, because it really brings

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:33.120
<v Speaker 1>to the forest something that I think is dare I say,

0:25:33.200 --> 0:25:36.080
<v Speaker 1>sort of hiding in plain sight when it comes to China,

0:25:36.680 --> 0:25:42.560
<v Speaker 1>which is around climate change. Tell us what you took on. Yeah. So,

0:25:42.560 --> 0:25:45.399
<v Speaker 1>so the central point is that when it comes to

0:25:45.480 --> 0:25:51.159
<v Speaker 1>climate change, China is at war with itself. Um. You know,

0:25:51.200 --> 0:25:54.720
<v Speaker 1>on the one hand, it's a global superpower when it

0:25:54.760 --> 0:26:02.400
<v Speaker 1>comes to renewable energy batteries, soul wind. On the other hand, Um,

0:26:02.440 --> 0:26:05.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, it minds and burns half the world's coal.

0:26:05.880 --> 0:26:10.919
<v Speaker 1>And right now it has in its development pipeline power

0:26:11.040 --> 0:26:16.080
<v Speaker 1>stations with a either approved or about to get the

0:26:16.119 --> 0:26:20.680
<v Speaker 1>green light, with the capacity equal to the entire installed

0:26:21.200 --> 0:26:26.879
<v Speaker 1>coal capacity of the European Union. So you know, in

0:26:26.920 --> 0:26:30.600
<v Speaker 1>a sense, it hardly matters what the rest of the

0:26:30.600 --> 0:26:35.919
<v Speaker 1>world does, um, because China is going to swamp all

0:26:35.960 --> 0:26:40.560
<v Speaker 1>of those efforts. And this is why she Campings announcement

0:26:40.760 --> 0:26:43.679
<v Speaker 1>last week that China was to go is to go

0:26:44.160 --> 0:26:47.600
<v Speaker 1>common neutral by two thousand and sixty. Why it is

0:26:47.760 --> 0:26:53.240
<v Speaker 1>potentially potentially so important. Well, and I wonder Andy, I mean,

0:26:53.520 --> 0:26:56.720
<v Speaker 1>I love what you wrote, this whole idea of two

0:26:56.720 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 1>Titanic forces, one clean one dirty that are at constant war.

0:26:59.520 --> 0:27:03.560
<v Speaker 1>In China fractures domestic economy. I mean, like it or not,

0:27:04.240 --> 0:27:07.159
<v Speaker 1>they still use so much coal and have to write

0:27:07.200 --> 0:27:10.280
<v Speaker 1>as being you know, kind of the manufacturer to the world.

0:27:10.320 --> 0:27:13.080
<v Speaker 1>They've got a lot to power. I mean, they needed

0:27:13.080 --> 0:27:15.639
<v Speaker 1>to keep their economy growing. But at the same time,

0:27:16.480 --> 0:27:19.600
<v Speaker 1>China is increasingly I feel like, you know, stepping or

0:27:19.640 --> 0:27:22.320
<v Speaker 1>as you right, stepping into a void that the US

0:27:22.359 --> 0:27:24.960
<v Speaker 1>has stepped out of when it comes to hey, world,

0:27:25.040 --> 0:27:29.320
<v Speaker 1>let's all work together to protect the climate exactly. So,

0:27:29.320 --> 0:27:31.679
<v Speaker 1>so coal is shrinking in the rest of the world,

0:27:31.880 --> 0:27:37.479
<v Speaker 1>and it's it's rising dramatically in China, particularly now that

0:27:37.560 --> 0:27:41.560
<v Speaker 1>China wants to jump start its economy from the COVID lockdowns.

0:27:41.560 --> 0:27:44.440
<v Speaker 1>Fire up, fire up the boilers. But here's the thing,

0:27:44.520 --> 0:27:48.880
<v Speaker 1>China doesn't actually need all the capacity it's building. Um.

0:27:48.920 --> 0:27:51.440
<v Speaker 1>You know, these these power plants that that that that

0:27:51.440 --> 0:27:54.720
<v Speaker 1>that it's cranking out, um, add to a fleet that

0:27:54.880 --> 0:27:59.119
<v Speaker 1>is in massive overcapacity about fifty So what's happening is

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:03.240
<v Speaker 1>that China is exporting its self lest capacity to countries

0:28:03.280 --> 0:28:09.080
<v Speaker 1>along its Belt and Road infrastructure megaproject, including Turkey, places

0:28:09.080 --> 0:28:13.840
<v Speaker 1>like Pakistan, Indonesia, and worse than that, the technology that

0:28:13.960 --> 0:28:21.200
<v Speaker 1>is exporting is its most basic, most polluting duty is technology.

0:28:22.040 --> 0:28:26.000
<v Speaker 1>So Andy, you mentioned President Hijimping earlier in the conversation,

0:28:26.840 --> 0:28:30.160
<v Speaker 1>what is his role in all of this? Because more

0:28:30.280 --> 0:28:34.320
<v Speaker 1>so it feels like than any world leader, he has

0:28:34.520 --> 0:28:38.640
<v Speaker 1>not just a massive economy that he's responsible for, but

0:28:38.720 --> 0:28:41.600
<v Speaker 1>he has control of that economy in a way that

0:28:41.760 --> 0:28:46.240
<v Speaker 1>few world leaders do well. That is, that is that

0:28:46.400 --> 0:28:50.440
<v Speaker 1>is somewhat true. But I mean if even Ji Jim

0:28:50.520 --> 0:28:55.120
<v Speaker 1>ping um is subject to forces that are beyond his

0:28:55.240 --> 0:28:59.360
<v Speaker 1>control um and and this is this sort of both

0:28:59.480 --> 0:29:02.320
<v Speaker 1>positive negative. So so if you think about why is

0:29:02.400 --> 0:29:06.160
<v Speaker 1>China cranking out all these power plants, well, provincial governments

0:29:06.320 --> 0:29:09.960
<v Speaker 1>need growth um and the easiest way they find to

0:29:10.080 --> 0:29:15.560
<v Speaker 1>promote growth is by by by manufacturing uh, you know,

0:29:15.680 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 1>coal gear. On the other hand, he's under huge domestic

0:29:20.360 --> 0:29:23.960
<v Speaker 1>pressure to do something about the environment. So the legitimacy

0:29:24.000 --> 0:29:26.480
<v Speaker 1>of his party state derives and has done for the

0:29:26.480 --> 0:29:29.880
<v Speaker 1>past forty years from rapid economic growth. Increasingly people in

0:29:30.000 --> 0:29:33.880
<v Speaker 1>China to say, we want you to prioritize clean air,

0:29:34.360 --> 0:29:37.280
<v Speaker 1>clean water. So that's on the sort of the public

0:29:37.320 --> 0:29:42.080
<v Speaker 1>opinion side. There's also in a more positive vein this

0:29:42.240 --> 0:29:48.680
<v Speaker 1>idea that China could actually use renewable or green technologies

0:29:48.760 --> 0:29:53.680
<v Speaker 1>to become a world economic leader, industrial leader. We've already

0:29:53.680 --> 0:29:56.080
<v Speaker 1>talked about batteries and coal and so on. There are

0:29:56.120 --> 0:29:59.440
<v Speaker 1>all these carbon capture and storage technologies that have yet

0:29:59.480 --> 0:30:02.840
<v Speaker 1>to be develop Look, China could actually become a the

0:30:03.240 --> 0:30:06.880
<v Speaker 1>the leader in these technologies of the future. So there

0:30:06.960 --> 0:30:10.200
<v Speaker 1>is there is big incentive on the negative side. And

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:12.560
<v Speaker 1>and and this is very important to him. You know,

0:30:12.640 --> 0:30:15.440
<v Speaker 1>China stuff as massive drought in the north, it has

0:30:15.480 --> 0:30:18.320
<v Speaker 1>bloods in the south, the Yanks. The Yanks River has

0:30:18.120 --> 0:30:21.240
<v Speaker 1>has been has been swelling. There's putting huge pressure on

0:30:21.280 --> 0:30:25.560
<v Speaker 1>the three gorgeous damn huge parts of coastal China's manufacturing

0:30:25.600 --> 0:30:28.960
<v Speaker 1>could disappear if if you get rising sea levels. So

0:30:29.000 --> 0:30:33.320
<v Speaker 1>it does have a great incentive to tackle climate. So

0:30:33.480 --> 0:30:37.800
<v Speaker 1>will it This is the question. So a lot of

0:30:37.800 --> 0:30:40.920
<v Speaker 1>people say, well, you know, easy to say, right, climate

0:30:40.960 --> 0:30:43.800
<v Speaker 1>neutral by two thousand and sixty forty years away. You know,

0:30:43.880 --> 0:30:47.440
<v Speaker 1>that's long after g J being himself is gonna will

0:30:47.440 --> 0:30:49.880
<v Speaker 1>have will have gone to meet marks. As they say,

0:30:50.000 --> 0:30:52.040
<v Speaker 1>um so so so we said we'll talk is cheap.

0:30:52.120 --> 0:30:55.640
<v Speaker 1>We will, however, find out whether there is some substance

0:30:56.240 --> 0:31:00.040
<v Speaker 1>to what he said by looking at the details in

0:31:00.160 --> 0:31:02.840
<v Speaker 1>the next five year plan right to thousand and one

0:31:02.840 --> 0:31:05.560
<v Speaker 1>to two. Those will be coming out in the next

0:31:05.640 --> 0:31:09.360
<v Speaker 1>few months, probably early next year, so we'll see. Um.

0:31:09.400 --> 0:31:11.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's it's I don't think we should be

0:31:12.160 --> 0:31:14.200
<v Speaker 1>we should we shouldn't take this at face value, but

0:31:14.320 --> 0:31:18.440
<v Speaker 1>nor I think should we be too skeptical? Right? All right, Well,

0:31:18.480 --> 0:31:22.560
<v Speaker 1>it's very smart, as always, great context for us to consider.

0:31:22.600 --> 0:31:26.120
<v Speaker 1>Andy Brown, editorial director for Bloomberg New Economy. Check out

0:31:26.280 --> 0:31:30.720
<v Speaker 1>his latest column, China has a big climate change paradox.

0:31:30.920 --> 0:31:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Just massive numbers, massive influence, but the scale of both

0:31:35.720 --> 0:31:39.200
<v Speaker 1>the opportunity but also the challenge. He really laid them

0:31:39.200 --> 0:31:41.040
<v Speaker 1>out nicely there. But I do feel like anytime we

0:31:41.080 --> 0:31:43.080
<v Speaker 1>talk to anybody in the alternative energy space or the

0:31:43.080 --> 0:31:45.720
<v Speaker 1>e V space, they bring up China as being able.

0:31:45.800 --> 0:31:47.840
<v Speaker 1>You know, that's a huge market and their way ahead

0:31:48.240 --> 0:31:50.640
<v Speaker 1>in many ways. We do want to mention a headline

0:31:50.640 --> 0:31:55.360
<v Speaker 1>crossing the Trump administration considering fresh sanctions to sever Iran's

0:31:55.520 --> 0:32:00.200
<v Speaker 1>economy from the outside world, except in limited circumstance, says

0:32:00.240 --> 0:32:02.640
<v Speaker 1>by targeting more than a dozen banks and labeling the

0:32:02.760 --> 0:32:05.520
<v Speaker 1>entire financial sector off limits. Is according to three people

0:32:05.560 --> 0:32:08.280
<v Speaker 1>familiar with the matter. Our team at a d C

0:32:08.840 --> 0:32:12.720
<v Speaker 1>reporting this. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser

0:32:12.840 --> 0:32:16.760
<v Speaker 1>and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. The story, I think

0:32:16.760 --> 0:32:19.600
<v Speaker 1>it's fair to say that just about everyone who looks

0:32:19.640 --> 0:32:22.800
<v Speaker 1>at the world of politics and taxes for that matter,

0:32:23.240 --> 0:32:26.120
<v Speaker 1>was really talking about was the blockbuster report in the

0:32:26.160 --> 0:32:29.960
<v Speaker 1>New York Times all about President Trump's taxes over the

0:32:29.960 --> 0:32:33.480
<v Speaker 1>past two decades, what he paid, what he didn't pay,

0:32:33.800 --> 0:32:37.880
<v Speaker 1>maybe most importantly going forward, the debt that is coming

0:32:38.000 --> 0:32:41.680
<v Speaker 1>to As we were reading this, we thought, who could

0:32:41.800 --> 0:32:44.920
<v Speaker 1>tell us what this actually means? And we came up

0:32:44.920 --> 0:32:48.280
<v Speaker 1>with a perfect solution as a team. Laura Davison, Congressional

0:32:48.280 --> 0:32:50.760
<v Speaker 1>tax reporter for Bloomberg, She joins us on the phone

0:32:51.160 --> 0:32:55.840
<v Speaker 1>from d C. All right, so, Laura d words in

0:32:56.120 --> 0:32:58.240
<v Speaker 1>the main story, A lot of us read it all.

0:32:58.800 --> 0:33:00.840
<v Speaker 1>You read it though with me, be a different eye

0:33:00.880 --> 0:33:02.840
<v Speaker 1>than someone who's just like, oh, what are the politics

0:33:02.840 --> 0:33:05.520
<v Speaker 1>of this tell us what jumped out at you here.

0:33:06.720 --> 0:33:08.600
<v Speaker 1>So some of the things that it talked about, the

0:33:08.640 --> 0:33:11.560
<v Speaker 1>business losses, those are sort of ordinary uses of the

0:33:11.600 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 1>tax code. But in case, speaking with a bunch of

0:33:14.120 --> 0:33:16.040
<v Speaker 1>tax layers all morning, there's a bunch of things that

0:33:16.080 --> 0:33:19.520
<v Speaker 1>they said that looks a little bit funky, um, particularly

0:33:19.560 --> 0:33:22.680
<v Speaker 1>the consulting fees those so high and going to employees

0:33:22.760 --> 0:33:25.600
<v Speaker 1>like Ivanka Trump as the as the report detailed, they

0:33:25.600 --> 0:33:29.400
<v Speaker 1>say that is highly unusual and and probably potentially could

0:33:29.480 --> 0:33:32.720
<v Speaker 1>run against some some i r S rules. Other things

0:33:32.760 --> 0:33:37.840
<v Speaker 1>like the Seven Springs estate in Westchester County. Uh, he

0:33:37.880 --> 0:33:40.000
<v Speaker 1>has two different ways that he's sort of generating tax

0:33:40.000 --> 0:33:42.480
<v Speaker 1>breaks off of that. One is through this conservation easement

0:33:42.560 --> 0:33:45.800
<v Speaker 1>deal where who's able to generate a really big charitable

0:33:45.800 --> 0:33:49.080
<v Speaker 1>tax deduction. There lots of questions about whether the property

0:33:49.160 --> 0:33:52.080
<v Speaker 1>was really valued correctly. The i r S has identified

0:33:52.360 --> 0:33:55.000
<v Speaker 1>that sort of transaction is one that's ripe for abuse.

0:33:55.320 --> 0:33:57.960
<v Speaker 1>So a lot of questions they're also sort of on

0:33:58.040 --> 0:34:01.480
<v Speaker 1>that same property Trump has has as an investment property

0:34:01.800 --> 0:34:05.200
<v Speaker 1>for for business purposes, for tax purposes, but also publicly

0:34:05.280 --> 0:34:06.920
<v Speaker 1>in the Trumps suns and set, oh, this is our

0:34:06.960 --> 0:34:10.200
<v Speaker 1>family compound. On the Trump Organization website, it's listed as

0:34:10.200 --> 0:34:13.120
<v Speaker 1>a family or treat There's some discrepancies there about how

0:34:13.200 --> 0:34:15.000
<v Speaker 1>how it's being viewed kind of in the eyes of

0:34:15.000 --> 0:34:17.160
<v Speaker 1>of the tax code, and then how they're actually treating it,

0:34:17.320 --> 0:34:19.799
<v Speaker 1>which were things that would really raise red flags for

0:34:19.840 --> 0:34:22.759
<v Speaker 1>I R. S auditors. One thing that jumps out is

0:34:23.320 --> 0:34:25.920
<v Speaker 1>um it also said he earned seventy three million dollars

0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:28.600
<v Speaker 1>abroad in his first two years in the White House,

0:34:28.840 --> 0:34:32.560
<v Speaker 1>including from authoritarian leaning countries as you point out in

0:34:32.560 --> 0:34:35.319
<v Speaker 1>your story, such as the Philippines and Turkey, despite a

0:34:35.360 --> 0:34:38.719
<v Speaker 1>pledge that he would pursue no new foreign deals while president.

0:34:38.920 --> 0:34:42.120
<v Speaker 1>That's a big no no. Yeah, And this is one

0:34:42.120 --> 0:34:44.920
<v Speaker 1>thing that Democrats in particular are leaning in really hard things.

0:34:45.000 --> 0:34:46.759
<v Speaker 1>Is why we need to see, you know, more of

0:34:47.040 --> 0:34:48.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, the full extent of at tax returns. We

0:34:48.920 --> 0:34:52.000
<v Speaker 1>need to have more financial disclosures. Uh. They're really pointing

0:34:52.000 --> 0:34:54.360
<v Speaker 1>that is to you know, something that could be an issue. Um.

0:34:54.480 --> 0:34:56.520
<v Speaker 1>There's also you know, some saying, look, this could be

0:34:56.560 --> 0:34:59.240
<v Speaker 1>an issue for Trump in terms of him leaving office.

0:34:59.280 --> 0:35:01.120
<v Speaker 1>He has all these can actions. You know, There's been

0:35:01.120 --> 0:35:04.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot of kind of confusion and questions thrown into

0:35:04.120 --> 0:35:06.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, kind of will there be a peaceful transfer

0:35:06.160 --> 0:35:08.480
<v Speaker 1>of power? And this sort of adds another layer of

0:35:08.520 --> 0:35:10.880
<v Speaker 1>sort of confusion and murkiness around that about what Trumps

0:35:10.880 --> 0:35:13.920
<v Speaker 1>ties maybe to the presidency, to his businesses, and to

0:35:14.040 --> 0:35:16.440
<v Speaker 1>why kind of the stake he has in as staying

0:35:16.440 --> 0:35:19.360
<v Speaker 1>in the Oval office. So, Laura, as you were talking

0:35:19.440 --> 0:35:23.000
<v Speaker 1>to tax experts today and I guess you were texting

0:35:23.080 --> 0:35:24.680
<v Speaker 1>with them last night as we all were, you know,

0:35:24.719 --> 0:35:26.800
<v Speaker 1>trying to sort of figure out what what this all means.

0:35:27.840 --> 0:35:31.160
<v Speaker 1>As you had those conversations, how much of a tone

0:35:31.160 --> 0:35:34.000
<v Speaker 1>of there was like, look, this is what rich guys do.

0:35:34.040 --> 0:35:36.120
<v Speaker 1>They hire a bunch of lawyers, they hire a bunch

0:35:36.120 --> 0:35:39.520
<v Speaker 1>of accountants, They pay as little tax as possible. And

0:35:39.560 --> 0:35:42.160
<v Speaker 1>this is just kind of an extreme example of this.

0:35:43.840 --> 0:35:45.480
<v Speaker 1>I think it's a little bit more than than an

0:35:45.520 --> 0:35:47.520
<v Speaker 1>extreme example of you know, they're sort of you know,

0:35:47.560 --> 0:35:50.719
<v Speaker 1>really using a tax code, uh, you know, to your advantage.

0:35:50.719 --> 0:35:52.640
<v Speaker 1>And then there's maybe crossing some lines. Here is the

0:35:52.760 --> 0:35:55.120
<v Speaker 1>is the Times articles details several things that that tax

0:35:55.280 --> 0:35:57.560
<v Speaker 1>lawyer said, Hey, look this is really beyond what I

0:35:57.560 --> 0:36:00.680
<v Speaker 1>would advise my clients to do. But kind of in

0:36:00.719 --> 0:36:02.560
<v Speaker 1>the in the bigger picture here. This really is a

0:36:02.560 --> 0:36:05.720
<v Speaker 1>demonstration of how there are sort of parallel tax codes,

0:36:05.760 --> 0:36:08.799
<v Speaker 1>one for sort of just you know, quote average people

0:36:08.800 --> 0:36:11.680
<v Speaker 1>who earn salaries versus if you have uh, you know

0:36:11.880 --> 0:36:15.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of different businesses and lots of different entities,

0:36:15.040 --> 0:36:17.440
<v Speaker 1>and you know, can employ some smart tax people, you

0:36:17.480 --> 0:36:19.600
<v Speaker 1>can really save a lot more and pay a lot

0:36:19.640 --> 0:36:22.040
<v Speaker 1>lower rate than someone who is you know, just filing

0:36:22.480 --> 0:36:25.560
<v Speaker 1>with H and R block. But these are his actual

0:36:26.080 --> 0:36:28.359
<v Speaker 1>tax forms, because it's interesting in your story, you knowe

0:36:28.400 --> 0:36:30.640
<v Speaker 1>that a lawyer for the Trump organization tell the Times

0:36:30.640 --> 0:36:33.560
<v Speaker 1>that quote most if not all, of the facts appear

0:36:33.600 --> 0:36:36.919
<v Speaker 1>to be inaccurate. I mean they are reporting off of

0:36:37.239 --> 0:36:42.400
<v Speaker 1>his tax forms. Yes, they didn't validate the forms with

0:36:42.440 --> 0:36:44.800
<v Speaker 1>the Trump organization. They decided to protect their sources to

0:36:44.880 --> 0:36:47.080
<v Speaker 1>keep those um in house. But they detailed you know,

0:36:47.120 --> 0:36:49.040
<v Speaker 1>all the all the different information that was that was

0:36:49.120 --> 0:36:51.320
<v Speaker 1>listed on those tax forms. So there seems to be

0:36:51.360 --> 0:36:53.960
<v Speaker 1>a discrepancy that I'm not proven to you between the

0:36:53.960 --> 0:36:56.560
<v Speaker 1>Trump organization and the Times. But the Time says that

0:36:56.560 --> 0:36:59.840
<v Speaker 1>they obtained the forms uh from a source that legally

0:36:59.840 --> 0:37:01.840
<v Speaker 1>had access to them, and then you know, they verified

0:37:01.880 --> 0:37:04.200
<v Speaker 1>the numbers um. You know, through reporting on their own.

0:37:04.360 --> 0:37:07.879
<v Speaker 1>What about the three million dollars in loans um obligations

0:37:07.880 --> 0:37:10.680
<v Speaker 1>for which the president is personally responsible that are going

0:37:10.719 --> 0:37:12.880
<v Speaker 1>to come do I think in the next couple of years.

0:37:12.920 --> 0:37:15.920
<v Speaker 1>What do we know about that? So there's a lot

0:37:15.920 --> 0:37:17.920
<v Speaker 1>of questions there about where those loans are tied to.

0:37:18.000 --> 0:37:21.120
<v Speaker 1>Nancy Pelosi raised that today, Um how speaker in as

0:37:21.160 --> 0:37:23.160
<v Speaker 1>one of her concerns if you know, you who has

0:37:23.200 --> 0:37:26.800
<v Speaker 1>those obligations and and how might he be beholden to

0:37:26.800 --> 0:37:29.080
<v Speaker 1>to those debtors um. The other thing, too, is just

0:37:29.239 --> 0:37:31.600
<v Speaker 1>sort of bigger picture. You look at Trump has a

0:37:32.000 --> 0:37:35.560
<v Speaker 1>potentially very precarious financial situation going forward. He has these

0:37:35.600 --> 0:37:38.040
<v Speaker 1>loans that will come do he potentially could have a

0:37:38.120 --> 0:37:40.120
<v Speaker 1>very big tax bill from the I R. S Uh.

0:37:40.200 --> 0:37:43.480
<v Speaker 1>There's lots of questions about sort of his financial situation

0:37:43.520 --> 0:37:45.520
<v Speaker 1>and sort of you know, particularly if he's still in

0:37:45.560 --> 0:37:48.080
<v Speaker 1>the government, Uh, you know, what incentives he might have

0:37:48.200 --> 0:37:50.320
<v Speaker 1>to to make sure that he uh you know, he

0:37:50.360 --> 0:37:52.200
<v Speaker 1>does it full he doesn't have to file for bankruptcy,

0:37:52.440 --> 0:37:55.080
<v Speaker 1>right exactly, all right, Laura David's in great context. Thank

0:37:55.080 --> 0:37:58.239
<v Speaker 1>you so much. Congressional tax reporter for Bloomberg. Joonius on

0:37:58.280 --> 0:38:01.000
<v Speaker 1>the phone from the nation's capital, every one trying to

0:38:01.080 --> 0:38:03.840
<v Speaker 1>break down what it all means, what it means going forward.

0:38:03.920 --> 0:38:08.799
<v Speaker 1>Carol as I couldn't get any more strata. Just wait.

0:38:08.840 --> 0:38:13.120
<v Speaker 1>We've got the days to go. But he's still plenty

0:38:13.120 --> 0:38:17.879
<v Speaker 1>of time. We got a little ele plenty of time,

0:38:17.960 --> 0:38:20.640
<v Speaker 1>plenty of time for some more shenanigans. Don't you worry,

0:38:21.239 --> 0:38:25.080
<v Speaker 1>don't you worry? You're a pretty little heads. I knew

0:38:25.080 --> 0:38:28.600
<v Speaker 1>where that was going. I didn't say it, didn't say it.

0:38:27.800 --> 0:38:31.760
<v Speaker 1>I thought. This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser

0:38:31.880 --> 0:38:35.680
<v Speaker 1>and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. Let's get to the

0:38:35.800 --> 0:38:37.880
<v Speaker 1>drive to the close. Happy to have back with this,

0:38:37.960 --> 0:38:40.600
<v Speaker 1>Deepak Poory. He is c IO of the America's at

0:38:40.640 --> 0:38:43.799
<v Speaker 1>Deutsche Bank Wealth Management. Johnny on the phone, tepack. Really

0:38:43.880 --> 0:38:47.040
<v Speaker 1>nice to have you back with us. Great, thank you, Jason,

0:38:47.120 --> 0:38:49.839
<v Speaker 1>good to be back. So what are you saying out

0:38:49.840 --> 0:38:52.279
<v Speaker 1>there these days? We had a few kind of rough

0:38:52.320 --> 0:38:54.600
<v Speaker 1>weeks and certainly a few rough days on the market

0:38:55.040 --> 0:38:59.680
<v Speaker 1>last week, but a little more optimism today. It looks

0:38:59.680 --> 0:39:02.919
<v Speaker 1>like we're going to close in the green, and we've

0:39:02.920 --> 0:39:05.839
<v Speaker 1>had a couple of experts ahead of you come in

0:39:05.880 --> 0:39:08.480
<v Speaker 1>and say, well, some of it is just some rebalancing

0:39:08.520 --> 0:39:14.120
<v Speaker 1>that's going on, some of it is optimism about the virus,

0:39:14.239 --> 0:39:17.879
<v Speaker 1>some of it is optimism about banks. What do you think.

0:39:19.360 --> 0:39:22.319
<v Speaker 1>I think it's a combination of these things that you

0:39:22.440 --> 0:39:25.680
<v Speaker 1>just mentioned. But I just would like to have your

0:39:25.719 --> 0:39:28.880
<v Speaker 1>listeners go to the month of August, where the markets

0:39:28.920 --> 0:39:31.960
<v Speaker 1>had a very significant rally, you know, in some cases

0:39:32.400 --> 0:39:36.279
<v Speaker 1>low double digits. So I think September looks like we're

0:39:36.280 --> 0:39:38.920
<v Speaker 1>going to be still down for the month. Um, you know,

0:39:40.000 --> 0:39:42.319
<v Speaker 1>warrants that there was some profit taking in the month

0:39:42.360 --> 0:39:45.520
<v Speaker 1>of September, which is not too out of for ordinary

0:39:45.600 --> 0:39:48.560
<v Speaker 1>given it's an election year. And um and I do

0:39:48.680 --> 0:39:52.720
<v Speaker 1>feel that the nastac pullback that we saw is somewhat

0:39:52.760 --> 0:39:56.600
<v Speaker 1>healthy because some of the front especially in the megacaf

0:39:56.680 --> 0:39:59.360
<v Speaker 1>tech name, that has been really driving not just a

0:39:59.400 --> 0:40:04.560
<v Speaker 1>naspact also FMP, you know, would make some money on

0:40:04.600 --> 0:40:08.279
<v Speaker 1>the sideline, make it a better, more appealing investment for

0:40:08.320 --> 0:40:10.560
<v Speaker 1>the long run. And I don't know, Jason, did you

0:40:10.600 --> 0:40:14.600
<v Speaker 1>mention this the portfolio rebalancing? I know, Okay, so yeah,

0:40:14.880 --> 0:40:17.320
<v Speaker 1>so I know our Vinceagnerella had shared some some insight

0:40:17.400 --> 0:40:20.520
<v Speaker 1>with both of us earlier and and talked about this,

0:40:20.640 --> 0:40:24.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, month end quarter and portfolio rebalancing. I mean

0:40:24.880 --> 0:40:28.640
<v Speaker 1>we I mean it's technical, but it happens, right, I mean,

0:40:28.719 --> 0:40:30.680
<v Speaker 1>deep back, that's what we see kind of at the

0:40:30.760 --> 0:40:32.160
<v Speaker 1>end of a month or end of a quarter, and

0:40:32.200 --> 0:40:36.719
<v Speaker 1>we could be seeing you know, some investors, you know,

0:40:36.880 --> 0:40:39.759
<v Speaker 1>kind of doing some rebalancing and bringing their asset allocations

0:40:39.760 --> 0:40:43.759
<v Speaker 1>back in line. Yes, indeed, and I think you know,

0:40:44.000 --> 0:40:47.080
<v Speaker 1>one should also keep in mind that the entire attacks

0:40:47.080 --> 0:40:50.680
<v Speaker 1>regime might also be in course for a change if

0:40:50.760 --> 0:40:53.759
<v Speaker 1>there's a change in the White House, especially if there

0:40:53.840 --> 0:40:56.920
<v Speaker 1>is a Blue Way. You know, I don't necessarily expect

0:40:56.920 --> 0:40:59.279
<v Speaker 1>that to be the first course of order, but that's

0:40:59.280 --> 0:41:03.880
<v Speaker 1>can potentially happen. The Biden you know, manifesto holds for

0:41:03.960 --> 0:41:08.240
<v Speaker 1>an increase of taxes on both the long term tabital

0:41:08.320 --> 0:41:12.160
<v Speaker 1>gains in ordinary dividends. So I think might be you know,

0:41:12.280 --> 0:41:15.200
<v Speaker 1>this time around, it's a normal rebalancing quarter end, but

0:41:15.320 --> 0:41:18.319
<v Speaker 1>I think end of the rebalancing this particularly, it might

0:41:18.400 --> 0:41:20.440
<v Speaker 1>be even more severe than what we are used to

0:41:20.560 --> 0:41:25.479
<v Speaker 1>in other years. So when you think about sort of

0:41:25.480 --> 0:41:28.480
<v Speaker 1>writing out this period, you know, we're getting closer and

0:41:28.480 --> 0:41:31.400
<v Speaker 1>closer to thirty days out from the election, and you

0:41:31.480 --> 0:41:34.000
<v Speaker 1>alluded to some of the different plans. Do you just

0:41:34.120 --> 0:41:37.120
<v Speaker 1>kind of stay still here if you're an investor and

0:41:37.440 --> 0:41:39.319
<v Speaker 1>wait for it to play out? I mean, how do

0:41:39.440 --> 0:41:43.840
<v Speaker 1>you uh anticipate or how difficult is it gonna be

0:41:43.960 --> 0:41:47.200
<v Speaker 1>to just kind of do that given all the at

0:41:47.239 --> 0:41:52.960
<v Speaker 1>least political and rhetorical volatility we expect to see. Yeah,

0:41:53.000 --> 0:41:55.760
<v Speaker 1>I think this has been such a unique here, Jason,

0:41:55.800 --> 0:41:59.600
<v Speaker 1>and I don't think it's going to really abate anytime soon.

0:41:59.680 --> 0:42:03.840
<v Speaker 1>I think we're entering this heightened period of volatility. Normally

0:42:04.000 --> 0:42:06.960
<v Speaker 1>in a general election year, that volatility tends to go

0:42:07.040 --> 0:42:10.680
<v Speaker 1>down post election. I'm not sure that this time around

0:42:10.680 --> 0:42:14.359
<v Speaker 1>that happens. You know, we've already seen this rhetoric in

0:42:14.440 --> 0:42:19.000
<v Speaker 1>terms of a contested election, and that might prolong the volatility.

0:42:19.440 --> 0:42:21.880
<v Speaker 1>Case in point, if you look back to another contested

0:42:21.920 --> 0:42:25.400
<v Speaker 1>election two thousand, you know, the SMP drop five percent

0:42:25.600 --> 0:42:28.000
<v Speaker 1>from the date of the election to the time the

0:42:28.120 --> 0:42:31.319
<v Speaker 1>courts made their judgment. So, you know, what are what

0:42:31.480 --> 0:42:34.160
<v Speaker 1>is most concerning to me this time around is that,

0:42:34.560 --> 0:42:37.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, I think of a couple of months ahead,

0:42:38.080 --> 0:42:41.800
<v Speaker 1>you have a court deciding the outcome of the election,

0:42:41.960 --> 0:42:45.040
<v Speaker 1>and the Senate races on top of that, somehow you

0:42:45.080 --> 0:42:49.200
<v Speaker 1>get the second wave within infections, and there's still no

0:42:49.680 --> 0:42:52.840
<v Speaker 1>tangible movement on the next COVID relief package from the

0:42:52.840 --> 0:42:57.120
<v Speaker 1>Congress because everyone is so sort of focused on what's

0:42:57.120 --> 0:43:00.400
<v Speaker 1>happening on the election outcome. And that's sort of a

0:43:00.440 --> 0:43:04.400
<v Speaker 1>cocktail could be quite negative for the for the risky assets.

0:43:04.480 --> 0:43:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Now that I wouldn't say that's our base case scenario,

0:43:07.080 --> 0:43:10.920
<v Speaker 1>but the probability of that scenario has definitely gone up

0:43:11.200 --> 0:43:14.439
<v Speaker 1>over the last month or so. Okay, So in terms

0:43:14.440 --> 0:43:17.799
<v Speaker 1>of portfolios, fixed income, equity, how do you see it? What?

0:43:17.800 --> 0:43:23.480
<v Speaker 1>What's what's your ideal portfolio right now? To be honest,

0:43:23.680 --> 0:43:26.600
<v Speaker 1>it changes on a um you know, on a quite

0:43:26.640 --> 0:43:31.200
<v Speaker 1>frequent basis. It hasn't, but given so much stuff happening

0:43:31.239 --> 0:43:34.680
<v Speaker 1>in the market, I think ideally it's it's a case

0:43:34.719 --> 0:43:38.680
<v Speaker 1>by case study, as you can imagine, Carol. So there's

0:43:38.719 --> 0:43:41.600
<v Speaker 1>no one size fits all. You have to look at

0:43:41.719 --> 0:43:45.040
<v Speaker 1>your time horizon and what you're comfortable with in terms

0:43:45.080 --> 0:43:48.960
<v Speaker 1>of drawdowns. What I would say is that the you know,

0:43:49.000 --> 0:43:53.400
<v Speaker 1>the tailwind of this massive fiscal and monetary stimulus. And

0:43:53.440 --> 0:43:57.000
<v Speaker 1>then I mentioned I think physical stimulus needs to again

0:43:57.040 --> 0:44:01.560
<v Speaker 1>make a comeback, but it's just massive on a global scale.

0:44:01.880 --> 0:44:05.640
<v Speaker 1>And now that you have this optimism surrounding to the vaccine,

0:44:06.000 --> 0:44:10.080
<v Speaker 1>I think that adds on to the to the positiveness

0:44:10.120 --> 0:44:13.160
<v Speaker 1>that you know, equities represent. And in this kind of

0:44:13.280 --> 0:44:16.560
<v Speaker 1>environment where everyone is going down to zero, you know,

0:44:16.640 --> 0:44:19.040
<v Speaker 1>you want to be with long dated assets, and there's

0:44:19.120 --> 0:44:23.320
<v Speaker 1>nothing more long dated than you know, quality equity names.

0:44:23.680 --> 0:44:27.440
<v Speaker 1>So hence one of the reasons why I feel equity still,

0:44:27.560 --> 0:44:30.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, once we get over the next couple of months,

0:44:30.239 --> 0:44:34.040
<v Speaker 1>because almost everything that is concerned right now to me

0:44:34.600 --> 0:44:38.440
<v Speaker 1>seems to have a calendar date of expiry, you know,

0:44:38.520 --> 0:44:40.960
<v Speaker 1>so you look at um you know the second way,

0:44:41.040 --> 0:44:43.080
<v Speaker 1>for example, it is going to be are going to

0:44:43.160 --> 0:44:48.920
<v Speaker 1>know in the next couple of that we are having Yeah, yeah, exactly. Well,

0:44:49.040 --> 0:44:52.279
<v Speaker 1>sorry to U, Sorry to wrap you there, Deepac really

0:44:52.320 --> 0:44:55.799
<v Speaker 1>appreciate your time. Deepat Pury is chief investment officer for

0:44:55.840 --> 0:44:58.200
<v Speaker 1>the America's at Jotscha Bank Wealth Management. Journing us on

0:44:58.239 --> 0:45:00.080
<v Speaker 1>the phone from New York City, Takes a Bunch are

0:45:00.120 --> 0:45:03.320
<v Speaker 1>listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, Southcloud,

0:45:03.360 --> 0:45:06.160
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0:45:06.200 --> 0:45:08.120
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