1 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,320 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday 2 00:00:16,360 --> 00:00:18,759 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: Matt Parol. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk. Matt. You're going to hear 5 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: background noise. I'm doing it in the kitchen. It's late 6 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: at night. It's going to be dogs and cats and 7 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 1: people and games and everything else. And just bear with 8 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:33,239 Speaker 1: us here today is it's been a day, folks. It's 9 00:00:33,240 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 1: been a day, but it's been a good day. So 10 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 1: right now, the Bengals are leading the Steelers. It's getting late. 11 00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 1: It's already ten thirty here on the East Coast. I 12 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 1: don't know how you guys do this on the East 13 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:45,559 Speaker 1: Coast watching these games, but it's late, and so I 14 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 1: am going to count this barring a complete until collapse 15 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 1: win for the Bengals. Lamar Jackson over one and a 16 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 1: half touchdown tosses. We got that the same game, Tease, 17 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 1: the same game, Parlay with Henry, with Derrick Henry anytime 18 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 1: touchdown he got two over one hundred yards rushing easily. 19 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 1: That comes in at a plus one twenty eighth. Indiana 20 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 1: State got smoked. Defensively, they won the game by four. 21 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: They covered did not get the team total of seventy 22 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:14,039 Speaker 1: six and a half there. So it is a three 23 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 1: in one day for us, A winning day as long 24 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 1: as the Bengals don't blow it. A winning day for 25 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: us here on the Daily Juice. And that's good because 26 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:22,680 Speaker 1: we haven't had one of those in a couple of days. 27 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:26,200 Speaker 1: So that's nice to get that in. It is week eighteen, 28 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 1: it is the end of the regular season. This is 29 00:01:29,920 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 1: a horrific data bed football. Okay. Who's playing, why are 30 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 1: they playing, Who's in? Who is out? So what we're 31 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 1: going to focus on is four NFL player props and 32 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 1: then we're going to take a look a look at 33 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 1: one teaser and that's it, okay, because it's going to 34 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: be a ridiculous day of you know, players may play 35 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: halfs and then sit. Players may say they're playing and 36 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: then not. You may see an effort that you're not 37 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 1: expecting out of a team that's been eliminated because there 38 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 1: have been games. I mean, if you're looking at trends, 39 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: this is a pretty inch trend if you want to 40 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: follow this. Okay, we're teams who have been eliminated. This 41 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 1: comes from Stuckia the Action Network, a guy that I'm 42 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:10,080 Speaker 1: friends with and I trust a lot. Since nineteen ninety, 43 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: teams that have been eliminated that are taking on teams 44 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:15,919 Speaker 1: that need to win over the final two weeks of 45 00:02:16,000 --> 00:02:19,400 Speaker 1: the regular season have gone on one oh five sixty 46 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:23,520 Speaker 1: nine to four against the spread. So here it's the 47 00:02:23,560 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: Saints at Tampa, the Panthers at the Falcons, and the 48 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:30,960 Speaker 1: Jets at Miami, meaning teams that have been eliminated playing 49 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 1: teams that must win. Tampa must win to win the 50 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:37,240 Speaker 1: division to get in. Atlanta must win to win the 51 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: division they're in the same division to get in. The 52 00:02:40,360 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: Jets are taking on Miami. Miami is not guaranteed to 53 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 1: get in with a win, but they need to win 54 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:48,359 Speaker 1: to stay alive with the tiebreaker situation. So you want 55 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: to take the Saints plus fourteen, take the Panthers plus 56 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:54,360 Speaker 1: seven and a half, take the Jets plus one plus 57 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:56,079 Speaker 1: one and a half. Go right ahead, because that's not 58 00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 1: a horrible thing to do here. If you want to 59 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 1: just follow trends, I'm not taking really having them. Although 60 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:05,360 Speaker 1: the Falcons in the Panthers gameiest part of a teaser 61 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: that I'm going to put together for us here today. 62 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:11,799 Speaker 1: So let's talk player props. Okay, player props are going 63 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:16,120 Speaker 1: to be very interesting today. Let's start with running a 64 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,440 Speaker 1: running back for the Bears who I think is going 65 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:21,880 Speaker 1: to get fed a lot today. Now, the Bears have 66 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 1: had a lot of things have gone wrong this season, 67 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: a whole lot of things have gone wrong. But DeAndre 68 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 1: Swift has eight hundred and ninety four rushing yards. That's 69 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:32,920 Speaker 1: one hundred and six away from one thousand. That's a 70 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 1: pretty big number for running backs. Okay, getting guys coming 71 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:38,520 Speaker 1: over trying to establish, you know, just their value and 72 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:42,839 Speaker 1: their worth. We know green Bay, who knows who Green 73 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 1: Bay is going to play? Okay, we know the Packers 74 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: are pretty much set here. I think you'd see the 75 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,160 Speaker 1: Bears just run the football. We know they's going to 76 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:52,400 Speaker 1: be a new head coach next year. Also, to talk 77 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 1: about Mike McCarthy potentially going to Chicago, I don't know 78 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 1: how Packer fans will feel about that. It's a rivalry game. 79 00:03:58,960 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: We know about you know, the Packers and under Aaron 80 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 1: Rodgers the ownership. But I think they're going to feed 81 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: the football a lot to DeAndre Swift and his prop numbers. 82 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 1: Under fifty. Let's get DeAndre Swift run a lot of 83 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: carries here today, trying not to get anybody hurt. Don't 84 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 1: get Caleb hurt. He's been sacked sixty seven times. By 85 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 1: the way, he is nine sacks away from the record 86 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 1: set by David Carr and his rookie campaign where he 87 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:26,440 Speaker 1: was sacked seventy six times. That's ridiculous. We're going to 88 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 1: go DeAndre Swift over on his rushing prop here. Again, 89 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:32,719 Speaker 1: these are important to shop around too, But the number 90 00:04:32,800 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 1: I played was forty three and a half. DeAndre Swift 91 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: over forty three and a half yards rushing for a 92 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:41,719 Speaker 1: half unit to win a half a unit. Bet. Number 93 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 1: two record time Terry McLaurin of the Washington Commanders. He 94 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:50,640 Speaker 1: is one touchdown away from setting the Commander's single season 95 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 1: touchdown record. He's facing the Cowboys. Our drival Cowboys defense 96 00:04:56,839 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 1: is trash. Like we know, mclaurin's in a game targeted 97 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:02,599 Speaker 1: quite a bit. We'll see how much he stays in 98 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:04,919 Speaker 1: the game. But this could be like, get McLaurin a 99 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:07,839 Speaker 1: touchdown and then get him out of the game. Anytime 100 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:11,239 Speaker 1: touchdown for Tarry McLaurin is just plus one oh five. 101 00:05:11,400 --> 00:05:13,919 Speaker 1: We're gonna come in and jump on that. With Tarren McLaurin. 102 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:17,359 Speaker 1: We're gonna go plus one oh five anytime touchdown for 103 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: Terry McLaurin. Number two, Mike Evans needs eighty five yards 104 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: for his eleventh straight one thousand yard receiving season, would 105 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 1: be Jerry Rice's would tie Jerry Rice's consecutive one thousand 106 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: yard record. Evans is facing the Saints in a game 107 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 1: in which his team is favored by fourteen points. I 108 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 1: think we see over one hundred yards from Mike Evans, 109 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 1: maybe even more than that. Big game for Mike Evans 110 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 1: here today. They got a win to get in. You know, 111 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:49,360 Speaker 1: he's gonna play as much as they till the game 112 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:51,440 Speaker 1: pretty much. Is that a reach? Mike Evans is a 113 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:54,400 Speaker 1: huge target obviously in this offense. I think you see 114 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 1: Mike Evans go off big. Over ninety four and a 115 00:05:57,279 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: half yards receiving for Mike Evans today against the Saints. 116 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: And then finally Sam Darnald, we're gonna take a shot here, Okay, 117 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:09,840 Speaker 1: take a little shot here. Sam Darnld needs four passing 118 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:14,200 Speaker 1: touchdowns to set the Viking single season passing record. The 119 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:15,920 Speaker 1: toll of this game is fifty six and a half. 120 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: It's really high. Vikings are three point dogs. If you 121 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:24,839 Speaker 1: play Sam Donald to throw three or more touchdowns. Fandel 122 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:29,039 Speaker 1: has this, it is plus one eighty six. I'm gonna 123 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 1: take a shot here with Sam Donald to go and 124 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:37,040 Speaker 1: throw three or more touchdowns here up against the Lions. 125 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:39,960 Speaker 1: Now that's anticipating this game flying over, but the games 126 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:43,520 Speaker 1: at Ford fie Field typically fly over, even though it 127 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:47,040 Speaker 1: is Sunday night football. We get three passing touchdowns, it's 128 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,840 Speaker 1: plus one eighty six for Sam Donald, he needs four 129 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:53,120 Speaker 1: for the record. He gets three, gets you know, one short, 130 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:56,560 Speaker 1: and we cash the spat three or more. Fandel has 131 00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 1: this at plus twenty eighty six. Well play a half 132 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 1: a unit down on this. Sam Darnold three or more 133 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 1: passing touchdowns against the Lions here tonight at plus one 134 00:07:05,480 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 1: eighty six for a half a unit. Take a shot 135 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:11,760 Speaker 1: on that. And then finally, the last teaser of the 136 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 1: regular season. If I like darl to throw a three 137 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: touchdown potentially three touchdown tosses, potentially, think the Vikings are 138 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,160 Speaker 1: going to be in the game, think the Lions win. 139 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: But I think the number three is accurate. I'm going 140 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 1: to give the Vikings six points, Vikings plus nine, and 141 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:34,080 Speaker 1: then I think the Vikings are going to win. I'm sorry, 142 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 1: I think the Falcons are going to win. Rather, you 143 00:07:36,920 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 1: could potentially pull the number down if you want, If 144 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 1: you want to pull the number from fourteen down to 145 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 1: eight for the Bucks. I don't mind that, but I'm 146 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 1: a little I'm a little hesitant on that, just a 147 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:53,640 Speaker 1: little bit on the Hesdon side. I'll play that teaser too, 148 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 1: But I think you can also sit there and take 149 00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 1: the number from seven and a half and pull it 150 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 1: down to one and a half and just have the 151 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 1: Falcons win at home against the Panthers. The Panthers have 152 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 1: been a thorn in the side for teams, but I 153 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 1: don't think Panthers win the game on the road outright 154 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,640 Speaker 1: in Week eighteen, Okay, I don't think that happens, even though, 155 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:14,240 Speaker 1: like I said before, you can bet on the Panthers 156 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: to win the game or just sorry to cover if 157 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 1: you will taken the seven and a half, I'm gonna 158 00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:20,680 Speaker 1: pull it down to s one and a half Falcons 159 00:08:20,720 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: minus one and a half. Yes, if they win by one, 160 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 1: we lose the bat That's the one fear, that's one 161 00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:27,640 Speaker 1: of the number seven and a half. It's teaser insurance. 162 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: You can do a seven point teaser if you want 163 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 1: and avoid this, but I like land the one twenty 164 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 1: juice rather than the one thirty or one thirty five juice. 165 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:37,080 Speaker 1: You're gonna play play with a seven point teaser. Okay, 166 00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 1: So those are the plays for us here on Week 167 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 1: eighteen of the NFL. We're going with DeAndre Swift over 168 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 1: forty three and a half yard rushing, Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown, 169 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 1: Mike Evans over ninety four and a half yard receiving 170 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:56,600 Speaker 1: Sam Darlin to throw three or more touchdown tosses at 171 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 1: plus twenty six, and the teaser of the day is 172 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: the Vikings plus n nine Falcons minus one and a half. 173 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go watch the end of this game with 174 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:08,240 Speaker 1: the Bengals. Hopefully we get the money line. We have 175 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 1: a winning day to talk about, heading us into a 176 00:09:10,679 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 1: Sunday for the last day, and then I'll recap the 177 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: entire week coming up on Monday, depending on how we 178 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,520 Speaker 1: do here on Sunday minus Matt Parolo to Gus find 179 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: me across some of my socials at Sports Talk Matt 180 00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:25,200 Speaker 1: every single morning regardless where you get your podcasts. It 181 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 1: is the daily Juice