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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Monday? Welcome in

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Speaker 1: to another episode of the Daily Juice Podcast and a

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Speaker 1: brand new week. I am your host for this three

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Speaker 1: hundred and sixty five day stravaganza, the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Paroltz. You guys follow me across

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Speaker 1: all socials at Sports Talk Matt. This podcast being brought

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Speaker 1: Juice at Omaha Steaks. All right, winning week, winning Sunday,

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Speaker 1: small but win. We were up about two units on

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Speaker 1: the week, which I mean, to be honest, given where

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Speaker 1: we were. We Monday three and oh Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday,

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Speaker 1: not great Friday? What do we do Friday? I can

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Speaker 1: remember what we did Friday but Saturday was great. Sunday

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Speaker 1: was a win. We went three and two on our plays.

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Speaker 1: Wong Teaser won four consecutive wins for the Wong Teaser.

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Speaker 1: My personal Teaser lost because, well, my Patriots beat the Bills.

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Speaker 1: I don't care about losing that bet. I actually liked

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Speaker 1: I lost that bet. I'm Exciteday I lost that bet.

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Speaker 1: That's great. Patriots beat the Bills. How about that? As

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Speaker 1: I said, Hey, I said on the podcast, I said,

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Speaker 1: look at if I lose the teaser because my team

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Speaker 1: beats the Bills, I'm all about it. Bang Mac Jones.

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Speaker 1: How about that drive into the game. It's beautiful. I

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Speaker 1: don't care if they have two wins. Jets and Bills

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Speaker 1: not bad. Gotta beat the Dolphins, nown but you know,

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Speaker 1: Dolphins looked beatable last night. Didn't look great against the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: But you know AFC East is wide open. I mean

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Speaker 1: like wide open AFC East. So anyways, good day, three

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Speaker 1: and two. My Personal Teaser dropped to four and three,

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Speaker 1: long improved to four and three, four consecutive wins. By

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Speaker 1: the way, for the Wong Teachers, those things are red hot,

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Speaker 1: so right on pace. As someone said before I opened up,

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Speaker 1: Oh and three last year ended up twelve and three

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Speaker 1: on the season. I'm oh and three into four and three,

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Speaker 1: so let's see how we do the rest of the way.

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Speaker 1: But the Wong teachers have worked out fairly well. We

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Speaker 1: get the Ravens in an absolute cake walk. I mean,

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Speaker 1: you want to talk about the easiest bed of the day,

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Speaker 1: Ravens minus three over the Lions. That game was over

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Speaker 1: at the first quarter. The cover was assured. It was

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Speaker 1: a blowout. Lamar Jackson was phenomenal. Ravens looked really good.

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Speaker 1: Lions did not more on teams that played two straight

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Speaker 1: road games. What they look like not great in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: Then we got my teaser wrong and the under was dead.

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Speaker 1: Colts Brown's was the worst bet. As good as the

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Speaker 1: bet was for the Ravens, that's how bad the bet

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Speaker 1: was for the total for the Browns. I think both

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Speaker 1: teams almost covered it themselves. That's that's that's talent, right

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Speaker 1: when you bet under forty one and the finals thirty

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Speaker 1: nine thirty eight. Takes talent to hit that. By the way,

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Speaker 1: I would rather lose a bet like that than on

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Speaker 1: a last second play. I always just rip the band

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Speaker 1: aid off and kill me. Put a bullet in the

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Speaker 1: back of my head quick because I kill me fast,

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Speaker 1: don't make me suffer. I'm good with that, move on

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Speaker 1: to something else. So three and two there, we were

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Speaker 1: up point eight units with that, and then we lost

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Speaker 1: on the props about a half a unit, so we

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Speaker 1: wand up for like zero point three. So it wasn't

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Speaker 1: a losing day, but it wasn't a winning day. But

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Speaker 1: it was a winning day. But it was up because

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Speaker 1: we were up about one point eight units going into

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Speaker 1: to the day. So winning week another one. That's great.

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Speaker 1: So let's see if gonna. I think we're pretty much

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Speaker 1: on pace here to have a winning month in October.

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Speaker 1: You know, we had a winning month in September. I

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Speaker 1: think we had to have a winning month in October

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Speaker 1: if we keep it going here. So this is this

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Speaker 1: is good. College football continues to be red hot. NFL

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Speaker 1: football continues to be just you know, we're just slowly

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Speaker 1: ticking up with NFL football, which is good, right. I mean,

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Speaker 1: last week we had a great week. This week we

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Speaker 1: had a winning week, So it's good. Prop bets are

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Speaker 1: still going to be you know, they're coin flip bets.

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Speaker 1: I don't like betting props, but we do it because well,

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Speaker 1: we have the prop bet cheat sheet on the betting

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Speaker 1: pros app and all that other fun stuff you guys

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Speaker 1: can get by downloading the better pros app. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: here's where we are today. Two baseball games in one

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Speaker 1: football game. I will be watching baseball. I don't really

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Speaker 1: care much about the football game, to be honest. Forty

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Speaker 1: nine Ers and the vikingspill let's start with that. Teams

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Speaker 1: that play two times on the road back to back

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Speaker 1: weeks generally are bet against. The injuries for the forty

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Speaker 1: nine ers are significant, and brock Party looked like an

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Speaker 1: average quarterback last week, and I wonder I was going

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Speaker 1: to deal with the fact that, for the first time,

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Speaker 1: somebody reminded him that he was the last pick of

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Speaker 1: the whole entire draft. He looks really bad. We somehow

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Speaker 1: got the under Browns won the game last week, and

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Speaker 1: now they're back on the road against the Vikings. Now, look,

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Speaker 1: the Vikings are not a good football team. Okay, Kirk

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Speaker 1: Cousins is not waving as no trade co lost justin

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Speaker 1: Jefferson's not playing. I mean it's not great right now, Okay,

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Speaker 1: But teams that play on back to back road games

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Speaker 1: generally speaking, they're a bet against. I bet two days ago.

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Speaker 1: I took the seven because I thought it might move,

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Speaker 1: so I took the Vikings plus seven. The public got

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Speaker 1: killed yesterday. The public they're on the Niners laying seven.

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Speaker 1: It's too many points. But I don't trust the Vikings.

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Speaker 1: So what I'm going to do officially, I bet this

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Speaker 1: as well. You can take plus seven if you want.

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Speaker 1: That's fine, Okay, you just say, Matt, I'm taking plus seven.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to play around with the total. But yesterday,

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Speaker 1: I mean the total went under yesterday, seventeen got to

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Speaker 1: forty eight. You can tease this total up to nine

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Speaker 1: to forty nine and a half. I just don't think

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Speaker 1: that number. I don't think either team is gonna come

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Speaker 1: close to scoring enough to get this number over forty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. And maybe I'm dead wrong, and

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Speaker 1: maybe you just want to take the Vikings plus seven

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Speaker 1: and that's it. But the Niners defense is still really good.

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Speaker 1: This offense for the Niners is still very run heavy,

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Speaker 1: and I don't really trust this Vikings offense. And as

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Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins in primetime, we know what Kirk Cousins does

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Speaker 1: in primetime. He normally stinks, right, So I don't trust

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Speaker 1: that plus seven to be enough points. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: same game tease this. I'm gonna give the Vikings to

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Speaker 1: thirteen points plus thirteen, and then I'm gonna take the

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Speaker 1: total from forty three and a half and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go up to forty nine and a half. Even last

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Speaker 1: night's Sunday Night football game between the Dolphins and the

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Speaker 1: Eagles that stayed under forty nine and a half. Forty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half is a lot of points in

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Speaker 1: the NFL in today's crazy no one scores, in particular

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Speaker 1: in primetime NFL, forty nine and a half is a

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Speaker 1: ton of points. Feel pretty good with the total need

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Speaker 1: the Vikings to score. You can't just get crushed here.

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Speaker 1: You can't lose the game like twenty to three. That

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Speaker 1: would stink. I hope to see some points out of

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Speaker 1: the Vikings, but again, you can take plus seven. But

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Speaker 1: officially I like same game teasers minus one. Twenty DraftKings

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Speaker 1: has this. Other books have it as well as well

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Speaker 1: plus thirteen Vikings under forty nine and a half. You

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Speaker 1: must hit both bets for it to cash. Same game

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Speaker 1: teaser here for us for Monday night football. Okay, to baseball,

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Speaker 1: we go early game Game number one. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: what we're going to see out of what I think

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Speaker 1: is the end of the National League Championship Series. Phillies

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Speaker 1: are at home taking on the Diamondbacks, and look, I

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Speaker 1: want the Diamondbacks to force the game seven. It would

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Speaker 1: be awesome. I just don't think think Merrill Kelly is

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Speaker 1: going to be able to do it. Aaron Nola is

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Speaker 1: so darn good. This is a two o'clock specific time,

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Speaker 1: five pm Eastern times start. There will be shadow issues here.

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Speaker 1: The sun will be out still when this game begins,

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Speaker 1: So for the first couple of innings, not great. Merrill

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Speaker 1: Kelly on the road so far here in the postseason

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Speaker 1: has been pretty good. Although last time out ten nothing loss,

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Speaker 1: Phillies hammered the bullpen, and they hammered him five and

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Speaker 1: two thirds, four earned runs, three home runs given up

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Speaker 1: for America. Meryl Kelly, he got just torched in Game two.

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Speaker 1: Here we are in Game six, and he started against

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Speaker 1: the Dodgers's pretty good six and a third, no earn runs,

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Speaker 1: three hits given up. Against the Yankees on the road,

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Speaker 1: he gave up two earned runs in five against the

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Speaker 1: Mets on the road, he gave up seven earned runs

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Speaker 1: and five against the Cup five and two thirds in

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Speaker 1: one earned run. I am not expecting much out of

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Speaker 1: Merrill Kelly, but I'm not really interested in laying minus

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Speaker 1: one eighty because the hook could be pretty fast here.

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Speaker 1: If Kelly gets out there and he doesn't look like

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Speaker 1: he has it. This is all. This is an elimination game.

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Speaker 1: This is all hands on deck, okay, And when it

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Speaker 1: comes to elimination games, I generally bet on drs. It's

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Speaker 1: just the way the managers are gonna be. It's everyone

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Speaker 1: and every single person. Ow the rules about facing three

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Speaker 1: batters comes into play here. But I mean, Aaron Nola

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Speaker 1: is just so darn difficult to touch in, so tough

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Speaker 1: to score on. He was so good in the last

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Speaker 1: start against Arizona. He gave it. He's given up zero

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Speaker 1: earned runs, two earned runs in zero earned run so

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Speaker 1: far here in the postseason. Just phenomenal. Ten nothing, ten

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Speaker 1: to two, seven to one. The finals. Unfortunately for my

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Speaker 1: bet here, it's a little scary with the lineup for

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Speaker 1: the Phillies. But because it's an elimination game and because

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Speaker 1: of the start time, I don't think you're gonna se

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Speaker 1: Merril Kelly go through the lineup more than maybe one

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Speaker 1: and a half times two times Max, So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: play the under under eight. It could be a little sweaty,

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Speaker 1: it could be a little dangerous. I know, you just

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Speaker 1: want to bet the Astro bit bet the Phillies and

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Speaker 1: leave it alone, go right ahead. But maybe Arizona can

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Speaker 1: pull a rabbit out of the hat here and force

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Speaker 1: the game seven. If that happens, I think it's going

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Speaker 1: to be an under. Kelly's going to be phenomenal, and

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Speaker 1: Nola's going to be Nola. I think on this. So

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Speaker 1: three to two final, something along those lines. Under eight

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Speaker 1: at Arizona and Philadelphia, Game six of the National League

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Speaker 1: Championship Series, and then we go to the nightcap. Max

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Speaker 1: Scherzer is pitching for the Rangers. Mad Max did not

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Speaker 1: look good in his first start in this series. Hadn't

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Speaker 1: pitched in a really long time, had been a month.

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Speaker 1: Four innings, five earned runs against these Astros. Buddy was

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Speaker 1: at home. This is on the road where the Astros

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Speaker 1: do not hit. Their offense is a knemic at home

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Speaker 1: nine to two the final. Yesterday, the Rangers hit a

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Speaker 1: grand slam Garcia shut the whole damn place up. It

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Speaker 1: was four to two, and then a grand Slam. It

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Speaker 1: was seven to two and they tacked it on nine

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Speaker 1: to two. The final Rangers rout rout the Astros to

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Speaker 1: force a game seven. Here comes Max Scherzer. Will the

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Speaker 1: Rangers be able to stay out of the bullpen? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. That's my big concern because the Rangers bullpen

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Speaker 1: is an absolute roller coaster ride. We met first five

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Speaker 1: for a reason in that game. The problem, though, is

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Speaker 1: Kristin Javier is pitching for the Astros. If I was

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Speaker 1: gonna say, who do I want on the mound for

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Speaker 1: the Astros to win this game, it's Kristin Xavier Javier

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Speaker 1: against Texas when five and two thirds give up two

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Speaker 1: earned runs against the Twins five innings, one hit, zero

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Speaker 1: earned runs. And this guy, historically speaking in the playoffs

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Speaker 1: is absolutely phenomenal. I mean, he's one of the best

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Speaker 1: pitchers ever in the postseason in terms of what he's

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Speaker 1: capable of doing and how he pitches. It's I don't know,

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Speaker 1: some guys just really like the playoffs, some guys like

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Speaker 1: the postseason a ton he has an ERA in twenty twenty,

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Speaker 1: he had an ERA of two point eight nine, went

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Speaker 1: two and oh in twenty twenty one. He did not

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Speaker 1: came a zero to one with a three point three

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Speaker 1: eight ERA, but only gave up four earned runs in

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. Last year, he went two and two

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Speaker 1: with a point seven to one ERA, twelve and two

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Speaker 1: thirds innings pitched. He only gave up one earned run.

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Speaker 1: So far here in these playoffs, he's two and two.

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Speaker 1: He's two and I sorry he went. He went two

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Speaker 1: and oh last year in the playoffs, he's two and oh.

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Speaker 1: This year he's got a one point six y nine ERA,

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Speaker 1: two earned runs given up. So Last year he was

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Speaker 1: in fah he appeared in three games. This year he's

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Speaker 1: played in two games. That's five games. He's four to

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Speaker 1: oh with an ERA of basically one point three one

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Speaker 1: point three to five ridiculous point five to five last

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Speaker 1: year for a whip point nine to four this year.

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Speaker 1: Give him the ball, Get out of the way. It's

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Speaker 1: Christian Xavier's game. Let him go as far and as

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Speaker 1: long as he can go. Don't know who wins the game.

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Speaker 1: Being totally honest, I think he's a complete and utter

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Speaker 1: coin flip. I lean towards the Rangers, because the road

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Speaker 1: team has won every game so far in this series,

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Speaker 1: and the Astros can't win at home. But you play

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Speaker 1: the whole year to host a game seven at home,

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Speaker 1: and you have the best guy in the mound, you

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Speaker 1: have the guy that you want pitching. Surezer is a

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Speaker 1: complete unknown. I think the only way to bet this

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Speaker 1: is under nine and a half, under nine and a

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Speaker 1: half and minus one ten because Schurezer will got a

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Speaker 1: quick cook. There's no way both you will let him go.

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Speaker 1: If he's cracking at all, he's out now. That's not

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Speaker 1: good because at Rangers' bullpen is awesome. But they'll have

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Speaker 1: Dunning who's waiting in the wings. They'll have other relievers

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Speaker 1: ready to go. I mean, they will piecemeal this whole

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Speaker 1: thing together. They'll get starters up if they have to.

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Speaker 1: It's a game seven. There is no tomorrow. It's all

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Speaker 1: hands on deck. For that reason, I like to play

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Speaker 1: unders under nine and a half for one point one unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: three bets for us here on a Monday to start

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Speaker 1: the week. Quick programming note tomorrow. If you don't like

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Speaker 1: betting hockey, I gotta gotta warn you tomorrow is frozen

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Speaker 1: frenzy for the NHL. Have you heard about this yet?

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Speaker 1: The NHL is starting a game every fifteen minutes, beginning

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Speaker 1: at six pm Eastern Time, and every single team in

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Speaker 1: the league is playing tomorrow. Okay, I don't know how

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Speaker 1: many units I'll haven't played tomorrow, but it'll be a lot, five, six,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, but this is awesome to do this.

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Speaker 1: We've got hockey starting on the West Coast from three

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Speaker 1: o'clock all the way to eleven PM. You guys on

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Speaker 1: the East Coast are gonna get hockey starting at six

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Speaker 1: pm going all the way to like one or two

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Speaker 1: o'clock in the morning. This is phenomenal. ESPN's doing like

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Speaker 1: a red zone thing with John Butcher gross I forget.

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Speaker 1: I think they're calling it frozen frenzy, but whip around

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Speaker 1: like looking in at all these different games every fifteen

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Speaker 1: minutes they're starting. So on Tuesday's podcast, it'll be all hockey,

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Speaker 1: and it's gonna be a lot of bets. I'm looking

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Speaker 1: forward to do it. I've already started my prep. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna spend most of the time when I'm watching these

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Speaker 1: games on a Monday's night to go ahead and prep

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Speaker 1: for a frozen frenzy on Tuesday. I can't wait. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be super fun. Okay. Three bets for us here today,

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Speaker 1: same game teaser on Monday Night Football. Plus thirteen for

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Speaker 1: the Vikings, also under forty nine and a half for

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Speaker 1: one point two units, under eight, one point one units

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Speaker 1: for the Diamondbacks and the Phillies. Under nine and a

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Speaker 1: half for the Astros and the Rangers for one point

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Speaker 1: one units. All right, let's have a good Monday, A

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Speaker 1: good start to the week. Minus Matt Paroles following me

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Speaker 1: across all socials at sports talk Map. Each and every morning,

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Speaker 1: the Daily Jence Podcast being brought to you by Omaha

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Speaker 1: Sakes dot Com