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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast Poda. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go fifteen Cundy twenty five, thirty thirty five,

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Speaker 1: toy coenty five fifty and the kick as Black Look

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Speaker 1: College Buckball World Stunner.

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Speaker 2: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and fumble the lateral.

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Speaker 1: Turn the counter on the inside. Don't you believe? Tap

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Speaker 1: them off the field to night. It's not the side

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Speaker 1: on the dog any fuck. It's the side of the

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Speaker 1: fight in the roll. Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 1: Campus Podcast. This is the Group of five Deep die

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Speaker 1: of I am Mike Calvary is joined by my Action

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Speaker 1: Network colleague Mike Ianello and as the Great Steve Spurry

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Speaker 1: or the old ball Coach, like to say, we are

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Speaker 1: in the heart talking season, and what better to talk

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Speaker 1: about than the best of the best. In the group

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Speaker 1: of five, We're gonna put together a ten team draft.

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Speaker 1: We're going to end up with five teams each all

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Speaker 1: gunning for that elusive New year six automatic berth. This

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Speaker 1: is a fun way to do it, a fun way

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Speaker 1: to you know, research the best and the brightest in

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Speaker 1: you know, G five. I'm excited about it. I'm excited

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Speaker 1: to finally start to get our eyes primed on the fall,

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Speaker 1: no longer looking back, looking forward. How are you feeling

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Speaker 1: about the upcoming college Fooball season, Mike, this was.

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Speaker 2: My first time really starting to dive in, you know,

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Speaker 2: dig into some roster, turnover some new looks. It was fun.

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Speaker 2: I miss it. I'm very excited to get back in.

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Speaker 2: That's the top part with G five. You got to

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Speaker 2: relearn everyone's name. But I'm very excited about it.

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Speaker 1: So we did a little pre production draft order clarification.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ahead with the first pick, then I

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Speaker 1: n l O gets two, then it's back and forth

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Speaker 1: the rest of the way. Is that okay with you?

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Speaker 1: Are you fine with the guardrails I've set here. I

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Speaker 1: want to make sure that everything's legitimate and also that

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Speaker 1: we can iron out the prize pool here. Being the

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Speaker 1: winner gets a hat and T shirt of the official

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Speaker 1: bowl announcement, so you know, whatever that team ends up

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Speaker 1: going to Peach Bowl, Common Bowl, the special swab that

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Speaker 1: gets thrown on there, and I assume that the Action

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Speaker 1: Network's just going to fly the winner to the actual

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Speaker 1: bowl games.

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Speaker 2: The Action Network sends us out on Brown Murphy's private

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Speaker 2: jet to whatever city this is being played in.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, just sources emblazed on the side of the plane

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Speaker 1: for Mattz, who's our illustrious producer. We're gonna make you

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Speaker 1: a special offer, Matt. If any team outside of the

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Speaker 1: ten we select end up as the automatic qualifier for

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Speaker 1: the New Year six Bowl Game, you win, and we'll

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Speaker 1: go ahead and buy you that hat and T shirt.

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Speaker 1: So you don't have to do anything. You just have

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Speaker 1: to be a hater of these ten teams. Really a

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Speaker 1: job description that I think perfectly suits you and your

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Speaker 1: skill set.

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Speaker 2: I accept these terms, thank you.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go ahead and jump off here. We

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Speaker 1: don't need the pomp and circumstance of the ESPN lead

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Speaker 1: in with the chine and the commissioner and everything else.

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Speaker 1: I'm jumping right in. I'm going with the Houston Cougars.

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Speaker 1: I think they're clearly the class of you know, the

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Speaker 1: G five teams this year, and there's so much to like.

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Speaker 1: Their win totals set at nine in Vegas. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to go over on that when you look at their

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Speaker 1: returning starters six on offense, five on defense. But one

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Speaker 1: element that I'm really keen on, and you're going to

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Speaker 1: notice this, hopefully if I get the right teams off

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Speaker 1: the board that I want to draft. They return their quarterback,

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Speaker 1: their head coach, their defensive coordinator, and their offensive coordinator.

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Speaker 1: And as it relates to you know the teams at

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Speaker 1: the G five level, oftentimes there's musical chairs in those spots.

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Speaker 1: If you achieve a lot of success either as a

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Speaker 1: coordinator as a head coach, you get plucked. You get

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Speaker 1: to have that stepping stone opportunity to move up to

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Speaker 1: a bigger job. But they were able to hold onto everybody,

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Speaker 1: specifically Doug Belk, the million dollar man, the highest paid

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Speaker 1: coordinator defensive coordinator in the group of five. I love

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Speaker 1: the guy who's a Broils Award semi finalist. Last year.

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Speaker 1: He created an attacking defense. Their front line refer to

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Speaker 1: themselves as Sack Avenue. They had forty five sacks as

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Speaker 1: a defense six nationally, tied first in G five with

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Speaker 1: Western Michigan Derek Parrish and de Anthony Jones, who first

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Speaker 1: himself as the CEO of Sack Avenue.

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Speaker 2: He's back.

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Speaker 1: I love what they have there. And then on offense,

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Speaker 1: it's pretty simple. As I mentioned, Clayton Tune returning and

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Speaker 1: he gets his best playmaker back in tank Dell Tank

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Speaker 1: Dell blew up last year an incredible performance down the stretch,

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Speaker 1: ends with ninety receptions. But in terms of where is

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Speaker 1: his ceiling when you know the lights are brightest against

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati and Auburn in their final two games, nineteen receptions

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Speaker 1: over three hundred yards and a touchdown. I love what

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Speaker 1: he brings to the table. Their entire secondary as well.

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Speaker 1: Another element that I really like all juniors or seniors,

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Speaker 1: and this is something I'm going to come to a lot.

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Speaker 1: In terms of the methodology behind my picks, you gotta

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Speaker 1: look at schedule. They open with UTSA, Texas Tech, and Kansas.

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Speaker 1: They also avoid Central Florida and Cincinnati during the regular season.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a recipe for an eleven to one season,

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Speaker 1: And honestly, unless something crazy happens in the other conferences,

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Speaker 1: I do believe that as long as they don't have

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Speaker 1: a really bad loss as a one loss AAC champion,

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna get the green light to go

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Speaker 1: ahead and snag that New Year six Bowl. I assume

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Speaker 1: that Houston was on top of your board as well.

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Speaker 1: Do you like the pick? Is there anything the nitpick?

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Speaker 1: Do they miss anything?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? I like Houston. You know, we kind of got

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Speaker 2: on them behalf through last season and rode them right

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Speaker 2: to the AAC championship. But I do think it's a

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Speaker 2: little disrespectful that you're not gonna go that the first

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Speaker 2: pick has to be the team that's been there two

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Speaker 2: straight years. So I'm going if you're gonna leave for me,

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Speaker 2: I go with the team that beat Houston in the

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Speaker 2: conference championship. I go to Cincinnati two straight New Year

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Speaker 2: six balls. They haven't lost a regular season game in

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Speaker 2: two years, and yes, they have had a lot of tremor.

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Speaker 2: I know you talked about that with why you like Houston.

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Speaker 2: Sincinnati lose Desmon Ritter, they lose your Room four, they

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Speaker 2: lose Ali Pearce, they lose Sauscrot, and they lose Kobe Bryant.

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Speaker 2: But they still Luke Finckle, and I think no one

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Speaker 2: would argue he's the best G five coach in the country.

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Speaker 2: He's probably one of the top what five seven, certainly

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Speaker 2: top ten coaches period in the country. So I'll ride

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Speaker 2: with Luke Fickle and the Bearcats again to replace Desmond Fitter.

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Speaker 2: They have a new quarterback, but he's not really a

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Speaker 2: new quarterback. They bring in Ben Bryant, who started at Cincinnati.

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Speaker 2: It was there for three years in the system knows

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Speaker 2: this in some transferred to East Eastern Michigan to get

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Speaker 2: playing time. Through for over three thousand yards fourteen touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: led the back in completion percentage. They returned they like

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Speaker 2: I said, they lost Alec Pierce, but they bring back

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Speaker 2: Tyler Scott and Tree Tucker, who were second and third

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Speaker 2: in the team in receiving. The entire offensive line is back.

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Speaker 2: And yeah, I know some of you know they lose

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Speaker 2: those big names, but the nice thing about the G

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Speaker 2: five is like who cares? Because you didn't know who

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Speaker 2: any of those guys were until they were starters and

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Speaker 2: got playing time and were great. Cincinnati is stacked the

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Speaker 2: best recruiting class in the G five for three straight years.

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Speaker 2: They bring in some Power five guys. They brought Ivan

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Speaker 2: Pierce from oh He's not Power five years, but they

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Speaker 2: brought Ivan Pierce from Miami Ohio. He let the mac

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Speaker 2: and tackles. He finished seventh for tackles falls, he was

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Speaker 2: tenth in the entire country tackles. He's gonna be huge

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Speaker 2: to help shore up some of those losses on the defense.

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Speaker 2: Derwin total is also nine, and they do have a

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Speaker 2: pretty reasonable schedule. Other thing I like with Cincinnati is

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Speaker 2: you assume they'll start the season as the highest G

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Speaker 2: five team just out of respect. Maybe Houston gets it,

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Speaker 2: but I think Cincinnati's earned the rights at least start

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Speaker 2: the year as the highest G five team in the polls,

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Speaker 2: so they're gonna have that advantage already. They start the

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Speaker 2: year at Arkansas. Obviously, that is a tough game, and

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Speaker 2: that is pretty much gonna make a break how this falls.

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Speaker 2: But even if they do slip up to Arkansas, they

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Speaker 2: have plenty of time to build it back up. They're

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Speaker 2: home against Canashaw State the following week, then they play Miami, Ohio,

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Speaker 2: and then they play Indiana, which is a good, like

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Speaker 2: you know, Power five Big ten team that they're probably

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Speaker 2: gonna be. They go to s you and you see

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Speaker 2: back to back weeks in the end of October, so

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Speaker 2: that's kind of a little scary. But I think if

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Speaker 2: they get past Arkansas they can very well be undefeated again.

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Speaker 2: And even if they fall Arkansas, they should have plenty

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Speaker 2: of leeway to kind of build themselves back up. Colin

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Speaker 2: Wilson has them twenty fourth in his power ratings the

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Speaker 2: highest of any G five team. He is Houston thirty second.

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Speaker 2: Se plus has them eleventh. So I just I like

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Speaker 2: this in stact team. I think they've earned their respect

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Speaker 2: to be the presumed favorite to be there again.

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Speaker 1: I think everything you said makes sense, but I think

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Speaker 1: the bigger picture, and this happens every year in the

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Speaker 1: preseason poll, there's teams that are higher than they should

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Speaker 1: be based on respect. I think they've earned it, but

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Speaker 1: the fact of the matter is their brand has been

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Speaker 1: their defense, and they only returned four starters. A ton

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Speaker 1: of super high end talent is out the door. The

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Speaker 1: Thorpe Award winner, you know, that doesn't even include Sauce Gardner. Like,

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Speaker 1: the fact of the matter is, I think they're going

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Speaker 1: to get steamrolled in Fayetteville by an Arkansas team that

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Speaker 1: is on the precipice of becoming a top fifteen team

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Speaker 1: if everything breaks right for them this season. And I

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Speaker 1: think there's no overlooking a Cincinnati team. This isn't three

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Speaker 1: years ago when they could sneak up on somebody. They

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Speaker 1: have a big target on their back in this particular game.

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Speaker 1: And what I think is actually a problem that you know,

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Speaker 1: big picture may not be a problem, but certainly in

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Speaker 1: September is they may have a quarterback controversy between Prouder

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Speaker 1: and Ben Bryant. Both of them are capable. Prouter is,

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Speaker 1: you know, the highest rated quarterback I think they've ever

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Speaker 1: recruited in school history. So there's a chance that that

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Speaker 1: lingers into fall camp. I just think there's an opportunity

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Speaker 1: for them potentially to get pushed around in that opener

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Speaker 1: and lose a little bit of that swagger and confidence

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Speaker 1: that they've clearly played with for multiple years in the AAC.

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Speaker 1: So I'm glad that you took them, because honestly, if

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Speaker 1: they were still on the board, I have to take

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Speaker 1: them with my next pick. But you get back to

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Speaker 1: back here are you double dipping in the AAC orre

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Speaker 1: you going elsewhere?

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Speaker 2: I'm double dipping in American I'm going with former national

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Speaker 2: ch mpion UCF. And by the way, there's a reason

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Speaker 2: the top three picks off the board are American teams

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Speaker 2: because in eight years in this current format, the AAC

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Speaker 2: has been the G five representative six times. Mountain West

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Speaker 2: wants the MAC once, Tomarcessa and some have never made it,

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Speaker 2: and only two teams have made the new year six

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Speaker 2: bolt more than once Cincinnati and you see I have

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Speaker 2: them both. UC had a like sneaky impressive nine to

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Speaker 2: four year last season under their first season under Gus Malsan,

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Speaker 2: and just about everything went wrong. You know, Dylan Gabriel

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Speaker 2: broke his Cali run like the last play of the game,

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Speaker 2: and that lost to Louisville. They lost their best running back,

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Speaker 2: Isaiah Bouser. They lost their best receiver, Dayla Robinson. They

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Speaker 2: lost on defense, they lost Khalia Davis, they lost Tatum

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Speaker 2: Bessoon and a few others. They're sent I think they're starring.

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Speaker 2: Center got hurt. They lost Louisville, like I said, like

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Speaker 2: the last play of the game. They lost at Navy

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Speaker 2: by four, and that was mikey Keane's first star as

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Speaker 2: true freshman. They lost at Cincinnati, they lost at SMU,

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Speaker 2: all respectable losses, and they finished the year beating Florida

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Speaker 2: in the bowl game. They finished the year seven to

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Speaker 2: zero at home. I believe if you take out the

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty COVID season, they haven't lost the home game

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Speaker 2: since twenty sixteen. With like full capacity bounce house balancing.

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Speaker 2: Mikey Keane I mentioned him. He struggled really or he

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Speaker 2: really struggled early on, which you know Understandble is the

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Speaker 2: true freshman, but he didn't throw a single interception in

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Speaker 2: his last five weeks. And he's gonna get some competition

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Speaker 2: at quarterback because they brought in John Rey's Plumbley from

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Speaker 2: Ole Miss who you don't remember. He I believe was

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Speaker 2: he the starter at first? He kind of lost his

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Speaker 2: job to Krall, but he is a freak athlete transitional

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Speaker 2: wide receiver Link Kippen. And you say he's like the

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Speaker 2: fastest player on a roster, and King's not mobi at all.

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Speaker 2: And if you know, you look back at someone of

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Speaker 2: Gus's good teams, obviously Cam Newton, you know, even Nick Marshall,

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Speaker 2: like when he has those mobile quarterbacks, I mean boon

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Speaker 2: Nicks was at his bastrot. He was running around like

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Speaker 2: a madman. So Gus's teams tend to do better with

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Speaker 2: that mobile quarterback. So I wouldn't be shocked if Johnny's

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Speaker 2: pulling me takes that job. And whoever is the quarterback

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Speaker 2: is going to have plenty of weapons because Isaiah Bowser's back,

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Speaker 2: Johnny Richardson's back, who filled in when Bowser got hurt.

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Speaker 2: I guess said. They get Jalen Robinson's back, Ryan o'keef

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Speaker 2: for their second leading receiver. They bring in two power

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Speaker 2: five weapons. They bring in Kobe Hudson from Auburn. They

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Speaker 2: bring in tight end Ken Gamble from our Ken More

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Speaker 2: Gamble from Florida. Those are both going to really help

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Speaker 2: the offense. And the defense was better under Gus last year,

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Speaker 2: but still not elite. But pretty much every starter on

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Speaker 2: defense is back, so I do expect that defense to

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Speaker 2: take a big step forward. And they have a really

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Speaker 2: easy non con schedule. They play South Carolina State, they

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Speaker 2: play Louisville again, and they played Georgia Tech all at home.

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Speaker 2: Louisville and Georgia Tech are at home, and then they

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Speaker 2: go to Florida Atlantic, which doesn't exactly scare me. They

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Speaker 2: don't actually leave Florida until October twenty second. They get

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati and SMU, both at home. They avoid Houston. I mean,

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Speaker 2: their toughest road game this year is probably East Carolina.

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Speaker 2: You know, go Pirates, But if that's your toughest road game,

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Speaker 2: they very well could go undefeated. And I think I

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Speaker 2: think Houston and Cincinnati were clearly one and two on

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Speaker 2: my board. But if you were finding some sort of

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Speaker 2: odds of betting, who's going to be that representative and

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Speaker 2: you assume UC has the third best odds, I think

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Speaker 2: they are the best value on the board. I would

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Speaker 2: not be at all surprised DUCF is that team to

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Speaker 2: come out of it, because I think the way their

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Speaker 2: schedule sets up, if they just hit at quarterback, that

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Speaker 2: so many weapons around him. Obviously, Gus Malzan is an

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Speaker 2: experienced coach. I'm really excited about what the Knights are

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Speaker 2: going to be this year.

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Speaker 1: This one, interestingly, I'm more bullish on than your Cincinnati pick.

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Speaker 1: I probably would have flipped the order, not that it matters,

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Speaker 1: you know, last year. Yeah, out of respect, you're a

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Speaker 1: very respectful guy. I agree with you. I had to

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Speaker 1: do like a double take when I saw the fact

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Speaker 1: that they have not won but two ACC teams traveling

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Speaker 1: to them. I guess they won the messaging war. Over

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Speaker 1: the years, no one will play us. We always had

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Speaker 1: to play three or four at your place. Now they

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Speaker 1: got it, and I agree if they get the right

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Speaker 1: and expected kind of maturation from their quarterback, you know,

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Speaker 1: whether it's keen or whether it's plumbly. I do think

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Speaker 1: this is a dangerous team. I think, just given kind

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Speaker 1: of the chaotic nature of some of Malazan's coach teams

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Speaker 1: in years past, you could see them, you know, win

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Speaker 1: against Louisville going away and then mess around and lose

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Speaker 1: a game that maybe they shouldn't or you know, find

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Speaker 1: themselves in a dogfight in the fourth quarter against a

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Speaker 1: team that's you know, right on the exactly. So I

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Speaker 1: do think that there they could be a very fun

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Speaker 1: team with a high ceiling. And I agree, I think

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Speaker 1: a big part of it is how do they integrate

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Speaker 1: some of those transfer pieces out on the perimeter because

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Speaker 1: Bowser is healthy and everything they else, everything else they

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Speaker 1: have in terms of speed, I think they could be

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Speaker 1: the most dynamic offense in the AAC. So I like

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Speaker 1: that picked a lot. I'm going to go outside of

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Speaker 1: the AAC for my pick, and I'm going to go

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Speaker 1: with the original BCS buster. I'm going to go with

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Speaker 1: Boise State. Their win total for the season sitting at

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. I like over there. A lot

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Speaker 1: of it has to do with their very manageable schedule.

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Speaker 1: But offensively, you know, under Bachmeyer, not someone I love,

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Speaker 1: but certainly a consistent guy. But if you can get

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Speaker 1: a little bit better offensive line play in front of

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Speaker 1: him and you know, reduce some of those panic throws

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Speaker 1: that he had last season, I think they can really

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Speaker 1: improve offensively. It was one of their worst offenses they've

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Speaker 1: had really since the late nineties. But they returned seven starters.

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Speaker 1: They have Holani Back who hopefully if he can stay healthy,

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Speaker 1: give them, you know, a bit of stability on the ground.

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Speaker 1: But really it's all about this defense. In the Mountain West,

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of good offenses, there's a lot of

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Speaker 1: good offensive coaching, so you need to have a dynamic defense.

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Speaker 1: They were sixteenth or they're projected to be sixteenth by

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Speaker 1: Dull Conley's S and P plus they have nine starters

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Speaker 1: returning on that side of the ball, and just like

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Speaker 1: my first pick, Bachmeyer back Avlos is the head coach,

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Speaker 1: Tim Plow is their offensive coordinator, and Spencer Danielson is

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Speaker 1: their DC. Returning all of that as a package. I

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Speaker 1: love that kind of continuity at the G five level.

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Speaker 1: So digging a little deeper into the defense wise, like

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Speaker 1: from so much beyond what the projections are for Conley,

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Speaker 1: even looking backwards, they were top twenty last year and

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Speaker 1: turnovers generated, points per game allowed, touchdowns in the red

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Speaker 1: zone allowed, So they really, you know, beyond being a

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Speaker 1: team that created havoc, they were bend but not break

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Speaker 1: at the right time. And the offensive line, as I mentioned,

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Speaker 1: you know, are they going to get better just by

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Speaker 1: virtue of the experience. I think yes a little bit.

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Speaker 1: But they needed to dip into the transfer portal. They did.

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Speaker 1: They pulled out Caid Beresford from Wazoo played I think

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Speaker 1: eight or nine games last year for the Cougars in

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Speaker 1: the Pac twelve. He's going to step in at the

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Speaker 1: right tackle, which is important for them. And then finally,

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Speaker 1: one other element of it. When you have an offense

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Speaker 1: that you know hopefully makes baby steps in the right direction,

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Speaker 1: you're going to need to be awesome on special teams

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Speaker 1: to make up for that, and they were last year

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Speaker 1: at times. Jonah Damas their placekicker, was very good. They

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Speaker 1: were a blocks field goal away from beating Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 1: So I actually think when you look back at their year,

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Speaker 1: there were seven and five, which by Boise standards is

347
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Speaker 1: like they may as well have gone two to ten.

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Speaker 1: I think they were close to breaking through to having

349
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Speaker 1: more of a typical nine win season for a Boise

350
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Speaker 1: State team. It's a transition year, new head coach. When

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Speaker 1: I look at their schedule, I think it sets up

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Speaker 1: really nicely to build momentum in the right way. They

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Speaker 1: open against a power five team at Oregon State. They're

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Speaker 1: a bowl team last year, but Oregon State, for all

355
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Speaker 1: of the positive progress they made under Jonathan Smith offensively,

356
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Speaker 1: I'm not scared of them at all. I think their

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Speaker 1: backfield leaves a lot to be desired, and I think

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Speaker 1: this could be a rock fight in the game that

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Speaker 1: Boise could steal and if they do. After that the

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Speaker 1: rest of the month at New Mexico, they're awful home

361
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Speaker 1: against UT Martin Ghost Guyepawks, but I don't think they're

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Speaker 1: getting over there. UTEP is a team that we're not

363
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Speaker 1: probably going to mention in this draft because they lost

364
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Speaker 1: so much. So when you look at that, I think

365
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Speaker 1: a four oh start is absolutely on the table. And

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Speaker 1: then they get into Mountain West play. They get San

367
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Speaker 1: Diego State at home, they get Frisno State at home.

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Speaker 1: They get BYU late in the year, also at home,

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Speaker 1: an opportunity because they're going to be competing against an

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Speaker 1: AAC resume for that champion they need a calling card win.

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Speaker 1: If everything breaks right for BYU, they could be a

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Speaker 1: top twenty team. Beating them in the month of November.

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Speaker 1: I think is that, you know, kind of springboard that

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Speaker 1: they would need from a public perception standpoint to possibly

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Speaker 1: move past an AAC champ. So Poises might pick here.

376
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Speaker 1: Do you think the Broncos are limited by Bachmeier? And

377
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Speaker 1: I'm just you know, have the rose colored glasses on?

378
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Speaker 1: Or do you like everything I'm kind of laying out

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Speaker 1: in terms of Boise.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Blochmeyer just scares me. And I also was on

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Speaker 2: Boise State that Oklahoma State game, so I still kind

382
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Speaker 2: of hate them for that. But I mean, at this

383
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Speaker 2: point in the draft, I feel like every team we're

384
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Speaker 2: going to mention has flaws and that's why they're going,

385
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Speaker 2: you know, fourth and fifth and sixth in this draft.

386
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Speaker 2: I agree with you anything about their defense, I think

387
00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:48,959
Speaker 2: you know, you can make an argument they're probably I mean,

388
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Speaker 2: I assume they're the favorite in the Mountain West. If

389
00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:55,080
Speaker 2: they're not the team I'm about to mention, probably is.

390
00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:59,560
Speaker 2: But yeah, Bachmeyer just he scares me a lot of times.

391
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Speaker 2: Just watch last year. Their offense just seemed to be

392
00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 2: thrown up to Shakir and let him go make it

393
00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:06,119
Speaker 2: sick catch and make a play. So I w' was

394
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Speaker 2: nervous about them, So I'm going to take the quarterback.

395
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Speaker 2: I do trust Jake Haner. Season in full effect the

396
00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:18,320
Speaker 2: Fresno State Bulldogs. We love him, Everyone loves them. Jake

397
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Speaker 2: Haner is back through for four thousand yards last year,

398
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Speaker 2: thirty three touchdowns, nine interceptions. Looks like he was battling

399
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,280
Speaker 2: injuries pretty much the whole year. It's like his hip

400
00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:29,800
Speaker 2: and shoulder everything was seen wrong.

401
00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:31,920
Speaker 1: I heard he also has whiplash because he went in

402
00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:33,639
Speaker 1: the portal and he was going to Washington and now

403
00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,840
Speaker 1: he's back at Fresno. You know, any ill feelings in

404
00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:37,760
Speaker 1: that locker room.

405
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,399
Speaker 2: For No, that makes me more confident because he dipped

406
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,760
Speaker 2: his toe. He was flirting with Washington and his old

407
00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:45,359
Speaker 2: boo Kaylin de Boor, and then he said no, no, no,

408
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,399
Speaker 2: I'm going to move on to bigger and brighter things.

409
00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:51,480
Speaker 2: And he decided to stay at Presno State. Because Jeff

410
00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:55,000
Speaker 2: Tedford's coming back after he used to be the Bulldogs coach.

411
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Speaker 2: He resigned in twenty nineteen because of the health reasons.

412
00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:00,680
Speaker 2: But he is back better than ever. Probably has a

413
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Speaker 2: new perspective on life. You know, he's just thankful to

414
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:05,520
Speaker 2: be alive at this point. So I mean the boys

415
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:07,680
Speaker 2: are going to play for him. Jay Cayner, I don't

416
00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:09,639
Speaker 2: even know if it was that seriously, I'm just I

417
00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:13,200
Speaker 2: don't know the actual free store, but Hayter wanted to

418
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,639
Speaker 2: play for him, and Hayter wanted to come back to

419
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:18,399
Speaker 2: play for Tedford. He said that in his three years

420
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Speaker 2: at Fresno State, he led them to the conference title

421
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Speaker 2: game twice. So and not only is Haynter back, but

422
00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:28,879
Speaker 2: his top receivers back. But we love Jalen Cropperd. He

423
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,320
Speaker 2: was second in the conference with eleven touchdowns, third with

424
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:35,320
Speaker 2: eighty five catches. Josh Kelly's also back, Zane Pope is

425
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:38,119
Speaker 2: also back. All of his weapons are back, and the

426
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:42,480
Speaker 2: only person he lost was Ronnie Rivers, who drove both

427
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:45,160
Speaker 2: of us nuts last year because he was so talented

428
00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:48,840
Speaker 2: and didn't do anything all season. Eventually, he basically lost

429
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 2: his job to Jordan Mims, who is back. Jordan Mims

430
00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:53,920
Speaker 2: finished the year with five point six starts. Kerry he

431
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:57,160
Speaker 2: had more touchdowns than Ronnie Rivers, so his Rivers even

432
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,119
Speaker 2: that big of a loss. He really wasn't a factor

433
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:02,200
Speaker 2: most of the season to the you know angerment of

434
00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:05,000
Speaker 2: the two of us who bet on them all the time. Now,

435
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,720
Speaker 2: Franzo State's defense was sick last year. They were kind

436
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:11,679
Speaker 2: of the biggest story, especially with Hayter in having his injuries.

437
00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 2: They do lose a couple of key pieces, especially up front,

438
00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,920
Speaker 2: but all Mountain West safety of Williams back, and Williams

439
00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:19,560
Speaker 2: is the heart and soul of that defense. Let the

440
00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:22,320
Speaker 2: steam and tackles, let the team and interceptions. He is

441
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:26,040
Speaker 2: just a missile all over the field. So I'm not

442
00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:28,280
Speaker 2: super worried about the defense. I think m Williams will

443
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 2: kind of stabilize it and he is that safety net

444
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:34,080
Speaker 2: on that team. Nothing gets past him. We talked about it.

445
00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 2: Disappoint the draft everyone has. You have the boise was

446
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:41,639
Speaker 2: it was a quarterback for Fresno. Is the schedule They

447
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,920
Speaker 2: go to USC Week three, and sure we don't know

448
00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:48,200
Speaker 2: what USC is exactly gonna be, but we assume they'll

449
00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:50,280
Speaker 2: be a little bit better with kateive Williams. That defense

450
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 2: is still a nightmare. So Hayter probably torches them. But

451
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,719
Speaker 2: can he go to with Kate Williams. Now, we did

452
00:21:56,840 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 2: see him take down UCLA on the road last year.

453
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,760
Speaker 2: Fresdo also plays the home against Oregon State, who you

454
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:07,639
Speaker 2: just mentioned, So I said two pack twelve games are

455
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 2: a little scary, but as I mentioned, you saw him

456
00:22:09,800 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 2: takedown Uclia last year. It pushed Oregon to the wire

457
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 2: and a game that was super exciting, and Oregon had

458
00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:19,879
Speaker 2: all but lost until they came back. So I'm not

459
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:22,160
Speaker 2: saying those are the losses. But even if let's say

460
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:26,480
Speaker 2: they they lose to USC beat Oregon State. You mentioned

461
00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:28,159
Speaker 2: that they do have to go to Boise State, but

462
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:30,960
Speaker 2: they get San Diego State and San Jose State aut

463
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:35,880
Speaker 2: So while the schedule scares me, I do think they're

464
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:39,800
Speaker 2: a better team than Boise State, so I think getting

465
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:41,760
Speaker 2: him it was the fifth pick. I'm gonna go with

466
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:44,600
Speaker 2: Fresdo State. Jay Canner season in full effect.

467
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:48,440
Speaker 1: As long as he stays healthy, there's nothing to nitpick

468
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 1: on their offense. Their offense should be elite. I think

469
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,679
Speaker 1: it'll be close to top ten nationally, which puts them

470
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:57,040
Speaker 1: in any game against anybody. But that schedule is rough.

471
00:22:57,200 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 1: In a four week span, playing Oregon State at US

472
00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,679
Speaker 1: and then two weeks later at Boise State, they got

473
00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:04,879
Speaker 1: to win two or three in that spot. And to

474
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 1: be honest, as I brought up, I'll beat this drum,

475
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:10,919
Speaker 1: you know, against an AAC champion. He can't lose by

476
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 1: thirty five points to USC. So if you do lose,

477
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,639
Speaker 1: you know, it's got to be really close. Or if

478
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 1: he lose to Oregon State, it needs to be by

479
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:19,400
Speaker 1: a field goal or something like that, and then follow

480
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,959
Speaker 1: it up with an upset of USC. So it's all

481
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:25,440
Speaker 1: there for them. It's not the traditional first year situation

482
00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 1: with you know, the head coach coming in obviously with

483
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 1: his his history with the program and everything else, but

484
00:23:31,440 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 1: there could potentially be growing pains there.

485
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 2: I think it's probably he probably recruited half of these guys.

486
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:38,800
Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, that's actually correct. So the fact that they

487
00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:40,680
Speaker 1: opened with cal Poly, I think that's a nice little

488
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:43,400
Speaker 1: preseason game for them. So I like him. I think

489
00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,680
Speaker 1: there's a lots to like about him in general. I

490
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:47,879
Speaker 1: wonder if their defense is going to take even you know,

491
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 1: a baby step back. You know, they were top thirty,

492
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,040
Speaker 1: top forty and all the important metrics, but that's kind

493
00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:55,160
Speaker 1: of Kalin de Borg's like, you know, bread and butter

494
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 1: and really kind of how he built the program. Up

495
00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 1: on that side of the ball. So even if it's

496
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 1: half step backwards, does that hurt them? They certainly have

497
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 1: the personnel to get it done. So, like I said,

498
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 1: this is purely nippicking. I think a great value at

499
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 1: this point in the draft. Speaking of value, I am

500
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 1: so happy meet me. Utsa is still on the board

501
00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:18,000
Speaker 1: with this pick. Their win total set at eight and

502
00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:19,560
Speaker 1: a half. You can get it at some books at

503
00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 1: plus one thirty on the over. I'm gonna go ahead

504
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 1: and hammer that as soon as we get off this call.

505
00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:26,920
Speaker 1: S and P plus has them at the thirty second

506
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,320
Speaker 1: ranked offense in the country. That's blasphemy. This offense is

507
00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 1: gonna be a lot better. They got eight returning starters.

508
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,480
Speaker 1: I'll get to them in a minute. Defensively, this is

509
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:35,800
Speaker 1: where they either sink or swim. I don't know if

510
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:39,120
Speaker 1: roadrunners can swim. I don't think they can fly either.

511
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:41,159
Speaker 1: I'm not exactly sure why they're a bird if they

512
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 1: can't do either. But they're projected to be eighty ninth

513
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,560
Speaker 1: nationally according to Bill Conley's S and P plus projections.

514
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 1: They only have five starters back on that side of

515
00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:53,440
Speaker 1: the ball. But let's talk offense. Frank Harris fantastic took

516
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:57,160
Speaker 1: a huge leap forward last year as a passer, Sokari, Franklin,

517
00:24:57,800 --> 00:25:00,840
Speaker 1: Josh Cephas plus four returning starters on the offensive line

518
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 1: for a team that scored thirty seven points per game,

519
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:08,159
Speaker 1: eleventh nationally last year. But last preseason, we introduced the

520
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 1: world to Bailey z Appy. I'd like to take this

521
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:13,680
Speaker 1: opportunity to introduce Ty Edwards. This is the Ty Edwards

522
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:18,120
Speaker 1: Appreciation Show because he is replacing Sincere McCormick, a bell

523
00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:19,679
Speaker 1: cow if there ever was one. I think he had

524
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:22,320
Speaker 1: two hundred ninety eight carries last year. This kid is

525
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 1: ready to take over in that spot. JUCO All American

526
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 1: he was the MVP of the JUCO National Championship game.

527
00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:30,760
Speaker 1: He's six three, two hundred and thirty pounds out of

528
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 1: high school. Before he went the JUCO route, he had

529
00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 1: offers from Alabama and Oregon and a host of other

530
00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:40,639
Speaker 1: major power programs. He is ready to blow up this season.

531
00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:43,159
Speaker 1: And I think a lot of people are naturally going

532
00:25:43,240 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 1: to say, Okay, they have so much back on offense,

533
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,840
Speaker 1: but McCormick was their bread and butter. They certainly fed

534
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:50,919
Speaker 1: him in key moments. You'll get that upset at Memphis

535
00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:54,480
Speaker 1: things of that nature. Ty Edwards is read ready to roll,

536
00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:56,119
Speaker 1: so I love him in this spot. And then you

537
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:59,200
Speaker 1: look get the schedule. When you go through what UTSA

538
00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:01,159
Speaker 1: has the opportunity to do it all starts in the

539
00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:04,920
Speaker 1: first month. They get Houston in the Alamodome. That's going

540
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 1: to be a hard ticket to get in San Antonio.

541
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,000
Speaker 1: It's going to be a sellout. This is a program

542
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:12,560
Speaker 1: that won twelve games last year. They just gave a

543
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 1: huge contract extension, like this is a community that is

544
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:19,040
Speaker 1: bought in on this UTSA football team, So that's going

545
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:20,680
Speaker 1: to be a sellout. I think it should be a

546
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:23,639
Speaker 1: great game. And from a draft capital perspective, I got

547
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 1: Houston and UTSA, so I'm just pulling for whoever comes

548
00:26:26,320 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 1: out of that with a dub. Then they go to Army,

549
00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:30,920
Speaker 1: which can be a tricky game, particularly with a short

550
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,520
Speaker 1: week to prepare, but if they're able to escape there,

551
00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:36,840
Speaker 1: then they get Texas and it's on the forty Acres.

552
00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:38,920
Speaker 1: I know their fans are going to travel for a

553
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 1: game like that because it's an opportunity finally to play

554
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:44,159
Speaker 1: on the biggest stage in the state of Texas. The

555
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 1: Longhorns the week before they play Alabama. So if there

556
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:51,359
Speaker 1: was ever a letdown opportunity, either they get their butts

557
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:54,119
Speaker 1: kick and they feel like they're not back, or somehow,

558
00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:57,040
Speaker 1: by the grace of God, the outset Nick Staban, that

559
00:26:57,080 --> 00:26:59,879
Speaker 1: would be the ideal scenario for me. I think we

560
00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:03,440
Speaker 1: saw it last year when UCLA upset LSU and the

561
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:05,880
Speaker 1: very next week we were on the podcast talking about

562
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 1: Fresno State taking at UCLA in the Rose Bowl. I

563
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,960
Speaker 1: think there's an opportunity to win two or three here

564
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:15,000
Speaker 1: in the open and at that point, the momentum the

565
00:27:15,040 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 1: rest of the Commerce USA, save for UAB, this is

566
00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:19,760
Speaker 1: not very good. So I think they can run the table,

567
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:23,080
Speaker 1: particularly with that offense. Defensively, they have a lot of

568
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:26,199
Speaker 1: new pieces in place, but I don't know. I think

569
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:27,840
Speaker 1: they're just gonna win some shootouts, and at this point

570
00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:30,120
Speaker 1: in the draft, I want one side of the ball

571
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:32,720
Speaker 1: to be elite, and I'm gonna go with Frank Harris

572
00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,360
Speaker 1: and the Roadrunner offense. I saw you grimace a little

573
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:37,160
Speaker 1: bit when I pulled the trigger on this one. I'm

574
00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:39,200
Speaker 1: sure you're also pulling for the Roadrunners.

575
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:42,679
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, we love meet Meat Pier, so I'm

576
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 2: not gonna say a bad word about side note. I

577
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 2: think there's a chance. Do you think Texas starts Hudson,

578
00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:53,440
Speaker 2: card feeds him to Alabama and then the UTSA game

579
00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:56,159
Speaker 2: is the Queen Yours debut. I wouldn't be shocked. You

580
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:58,200
Speaker 2: don't want to wreck the kids confidence in his second

581
00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:01,359
Speaker 2: career game. So if you start assume he gets thrown

582
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:04,920
Speaker 2: in the wood chipper against Bama and then utsay is

583
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,520
Speaker 2: that you let when yours debut to.

584
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:14,160
Speaker 1: Be honest with the just incredible offensive weaponry that Texas has.

585
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,640
Speaker 1: I think if viewers or card play well, that it's

586
00:28:17,680 --> 00:28:19,679
Speaker 1: going to be a game against Alabama. I'm not going

587
00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:22,040
Speaker 1: to say that they're going to win, but I think

588
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 1: it's unlikely that either one of them are going to

589
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:27,240
Speaker 1: get chewed up and spit out by the Alabama defense.

590
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 1: I don't lose, but at least like they'll put up

591
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,880
Speaker 1: forty five and just lose seventy to forty five. There's

592
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:33,359
Speaker 1: so many more questions on that side of the ball

593
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 1: for the Longhorns. Not that this needs to turn into

594
00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:38,520
Speaker 1: a ut burn Orange podcast, but I do think there's

595
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: so much to like on the perimeter for Texas. If

596
00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 1: they can get b plus quarterback play. I think they

597
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:45,640
Speaker 1: can score twenty eight to thirty one points on Bama.

598
00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:47,680
Speaker 1: And then then it becomes a question of do you

599
00:28:47,720 --> 00:28:49,960
Speaker 1: get any breaks? Do you follow in a fumble? Does

600
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,680
Speaker 1: you know Bryce Young gets shaken up and miss a

601
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 1: drive or something like that. There's all kinds of hypotheticals

602
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:56,920
Speaker 1: to stay within two touchdowns in that game.

603
00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, it would help, you know, obviously it would help

604
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:02,960
Speaker 2: the road Runners if you're getting you know, a Yewers

605
00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:06,680
Speaker 2: debut in that game. I hate this pick from doing it. Anyway,

606
00:29:07,200 --> 00:29:09,760
Speaker 2: we talked about it conference. You was saying Sun Belt

607
00:29:09,800 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 2: have never sent a team to the New Year six Bowl.

608
00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 2: So let's go with kind of a mix of both.

609
00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 2: I'm taking Marshall. Marshall who went just seven and six

610
00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 2: last year in the first season under Charles Hoff Go

611
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 2: Penn State. Well, now Marshall's in the sun Belt. You know,

612
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:27,680
Speaker 2: you know the sun Belt, Mike, you remember the Sunbelt,

613
00:29:27,680 --> 00:29:31,880
Speaker 2: you know with Marshall for the sun Belt, Marshall Old Dominion,

614
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 2: Southern Miss James Madison, you know that sun Belt. Yeah,

615
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 2: they are in the New Bok Sunbelt. So who knows

616
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:41,360
Speaker 2: what they expect out of that conference? This year. Marshall

617
00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:43,480
Speaker 2: was a weird team last year where you know, four

618
00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:46,240
Speaker 2: of their six losses were by a touchdown or lass

619
00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 2: and their stud as a freshman quarterback, Grant Wells, transferred

620
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:55,520
Speaker 2: to Virginia Tech. Is that a bad thing because anyone

621
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:58,720
Speaker 2: who bet on Marshall last year probably absolutely despises Grant

622
00:29:58,800 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 2: Wells because he was so good. He had a cannon arm,

623
00:30:02,080 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 2: he was so talented and was so bad at so

624
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 2: many times. You know, his freshman year eighteen touchdowns nine

625
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 2: picks kind of left the world on fire as a

626
00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:13,120
Speaker 2: true freshmen. Well last year he threw sixteen touchdowns in

627
00:30:13,280 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 2: thirteen picks and he was so infuriating to watch. Incomes

628
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 2: Henry Columbi from Texas Tech. He was their leading passer

629
00:30:21,120 --> 00:30:24,200
Speaker 2: last year despite only starting five games. His leading receiver,

630
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,920
Speaker 2: Core Gammage is back and he was huge for that offense.

631
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 2: But the start of the show Rashin Ali all Conference

632
00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:33,400
Speaker 2: to USA running back. Rashin Ali finished tenth in the

633
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:36,640
Speaker 2: country fourteen hundred yards rushing. He led the nation the

634
00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:41,080
Speaker 2: entire country with twenty three rushing touchdowns. He scored at

635
00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 2: least two touchdowns in eight games last years. Last season,

636
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 2: he is a monster. I don't care whose quarterback, give

637
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 2: him the ball thirty times a game and get the

638
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 2: hell out of his way. On defense, again, kind of

639
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 2: a weird team because they were really good at getting

640
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 2: in the backfield, they were really good at greeting pressure,

641
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:02,320
Speaker 2: and they got torched against a run. Well, Charlesoff has

642
00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:04,600
Speaker 2: tried to solve this problem. They went into the transfer

643
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 2: portal and just give me all the beef. Quinton Williams

644
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:13,600
Speaker 2: from Miami, Isaiah Gibson from Kentucky, Anthony Watts from Purdue.

645
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:17,680
Speaker 2: Three defensive linemen from the Power five level, all over

646
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:21,600
Speaker 2: three hundred pounds. Just give me that beef up front.

647
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:25,560
Speaker 2: So they recognize their biggest issue and just here you go, guys.

648
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 2: Just put the big fats right in the middle of

649
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 2: the field and clog it up on the backside. They

650
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:32,960
Speaker 2: return all conference. You would say corners Steven Gilmour and

651
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 2: Mike Abraham they probably have the best corner duo in

652
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:38,360
Speaker 2: the Sunbelt or they'll be up there.

653
00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 1: So both both those guys are huge too. I think

654
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 1: they're both over six feet so long arms. That's an

655
00:31:44,160 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 1: incredible rarity, you know for anybody.

656
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 2: Really they're big, they're physical and long arms. I'm pretty

657
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:51,840
Speaker 2: confident them against the past. They can get after the

658
00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:54,600
Speaker 2: passer if they can just have those three big meatheads

659
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:57,160
Speaker 2: make them better against the run. I think this is

660
00:31:57,200 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 2: a defense that can improve very quickly. They're another one

661
00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:00,120
Speaker 2: with that.

662
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:00,360
Speaker 1: You know.

663
00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 2: They have the one big, glaring non time game Week

664
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:06,520
Speaker 2: two at Notre Dame. Their other nine times are Norfolk

665
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 2: State and Bowling Green. They also have a very lucky

666
00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 2: draw in the Some Belt where they get Louisiana, Coastal

667
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:17,120
Speaker 2: Carolina and app State all at home. Their road conference

668
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 2: game for Troy James Madison, Old Dominion and Georgia Southern.

669
00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:25,400
Speaker 2: So if they win their home games, and sure they

670
00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:29,520
Speaker 2: probably lose Notre Dame, I'm sure they'll. You know, it's

671
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:32,520
Speaker 2: not unheard of that they could be eleven and one

672
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:36,160
Speaker 2: if that defense takes a big step back and Columbia

673
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 2: can do enough to basically carry the offense while rashe

674
00:32:38,840 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 2: Ali does his thing. I wouldn't do shock to Marshall

675
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:43,560
Speaker 2: makes a little statement in the fun Belt.

676
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:46,240
Speaker 1: I'm going to be honest with you, I kind of

677
00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:48,160
Speaker 1: see it. I mean, this is a Notre Dame team

678
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:51,760
Speaker 1: that messed around with Toledo and probably should have lost.

679
00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:53,080
Speaker 2: In don't know who the quarterback is.

680
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 1: They don't know who their quarterback is. I'm very bullish

681
00:32:56,960 --> 00:33:00,440
Speaker 1: on Freeman. Marcus Freeman long term, I think he's going

682
00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 1: to recruit to the next level. He's going to break

683
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:05,239
Speaker 1: through that class ceiling for Notre Dame recruiting and get

684
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:08,720
Speaker 1: them top ten classes and potentially, you know, have them

685
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:12,200
Speaker 1: not only on the college football playoff stage, but competing

686
00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:15,560
Speaker 1: in those games. But I don't necessarily see it in September,

687
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:17,240
Speaker 1: and I think you saw it a little bit in

688
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:20,480
Speaker 1: the bowl game. They seemed overwhelmed to a certain degree.

689
00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:23,520
Speaker 1: I don't know that. You do have to squint.

690
00:33:23,760 --> 00:33:26,000
Speaker 2: And you know, Marcus Freeman is such a good recruiter.

691
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:30,520
Speaker 2: He's about to steal Lloyd Carr's grandson from Michigan. You

692
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 2: know the ball that takes to do that.

693
00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:37,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's He's an elite mix of you know, a

694
00:33:37,400 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 1: charismatic guy, a great family guy. In addition to all

695
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:44,240
Speaker 1: of the work that he actually did where he's not

696
00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:47,320
Speaker 1: just one of those rising star recruiters, you know, being

697
00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:50,040
Speaker 1: the architect of that Cincinnati defense, I think gives some

698
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:53,240
Speaker 1: credibility right away. He talks the talk, he understands it,

699
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 1: and probably his best job qualification is he's not Brian Kelly.

700
00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:00,440
Speaker 1: The guy was an ass So I mean, he was

701
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 1: a jerk who won a ton of games. But when

702
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:04,280
Speaker 1: you come in and you get a little bit of

703
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:06,720
Speaker 1: a leeway in your first full year and you're not

704
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:09,320
Speaker 1: a monster, and you're personable and the alumni like you,

705
00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:11,719
Speaker 1: you can start to build up positive momentum and notre date.

706
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:14,319
Speaker 1: Now that being said is a very short fleash there.

707
00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:16,799
Speaker 1: You got to win. But I do think right now

708
00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,400
Speaker 1: everything is pointing, you know, the green arrows up for

709
00:34:19,480 --> 00:34:21,799
Speaker 1: the program. I just think that Marshall may be able

710
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:24,120
Speaker 1: to come in there. And also when we talk about

711
00:34:24,520 --> 00:34:27,200
Speaker 1: fan bases that travel, there's gonna be a lot of

712
00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 1: Marshall fans at that South Bend game. And really when

713
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:31,719
Speaker 1: you look down their entire schedule, being newbies in the

714
00:34:31,760 --> 00:34:34,560
Speaker 1: Sun Belt, they're going to rekindle some of their old

715
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:37,160
Speaker 1: FCS rivalries. So I'm going to see them, you know,

716
00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:40,560
Speaker 1: going in there and packing some you know, visitors sections.

717
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:43,759
Speaker 1: So I think if we cross our fingers and hope

718
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:46,880
Speaker 1: for b B minus quarterback play, I think they're going

719
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:48,719
Speaker 1: to be in the running to win this conference. And

720
00:34:49,120 --> 00:34:51,960
Speaker 1: if they strike you know, gold against Notre Dame and

721
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:54,880
Speaker 1: win in an upset, then yet they immediately become a

722
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 1: serious contender for that New Year six game. And at

723
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:58,960
Speaker 1: this point in the draft it may not seem that

724
00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:02,239
Speaker 1: late to our listeners, but you really have to start

725
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 1: using your imagination after the first three or four teams for.

726
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:06,879
Speaker 2: What it's going to take to get taking a rolling

727
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:09,320
Speaker 2: dice on a team I think can win the conference

728
00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:09,799
Speaker 2: at this point.

729
00:35:09,880 --> 00:35:11,840
Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, I think I think that's true, and I

730
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:14,400
Speaker 1: think you have the right perspective, and I like how

731
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:16,880
Speaker 1: you focused in on the beef up front, because the

732
00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:19,359
Speaker 1: easiest way to beat a G five team is if

733
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:21,920
Speaker 1: they can't man, you know, if they're bad in the

734
00:35:22,040 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 1: trench and they don't have the horses down there, you

735
00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:25,960
Speaker 1: can just hand the ball off and run for two

736
00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:27,719
Speaker 1: hundred yards. And I think it makes it so much

737
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:30,640
Speaker 1: more difficult to score an upset. All right. I saw

738
00:35:30,680 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 1: you grimace a little bit and you know, kind of

739
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,440
Speaker 1: double clutch on some picks. This is my first double

740
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:38,640
Speaker 1: clutch one. I don't love it. A lot of things

741
00:35:38,719 --> 00:35:40,880
Speaker 1: have to go right for me here, but really it's

742
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:43,000
Speaker 1: an opportunity for me to highlight a player that I

743
00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 1: absolutely love. But I'm gonna go with SMU in the

744
00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:48,759
Speaker 1: AAC and hope for some chaos, hope that Cincinnati doesn't

745
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 1: put it together on offense. That's Gus Melson. Gus Melson's

746
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 1: up some games for UCF and that Houston. I don't know.

747
00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:58,680
Speaker 1: Dana Holgerson still scares me a little bit as the

748
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 1: captain of the ship. And you know Clayton tuned last

749
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,239
Speaker 1: year and their opener through four picks, So maybe has

750
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:07,880
Speaker 1: another game like that. Does it open the window or

751
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:11,640
Speaker 1: door crack, whatever the analogy that you like to choose

752
00:36:11,719 --> 00:36:14,800
Speaker 1: here for SMU, I don't know. I'm looking at it

753
00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:17,879
Speaker 1: like this. Bill Conley's numbers still love them. Offensively, he's

754
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:21,840
Speaker 1: got them fourteenth in their projections nationally. That's an elite offense.

755
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:25,960
Speaker 1: Their defense is just regular bad, not extremely bad. Not

756
00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:28,239
Speaker 1: a defense that's going to give up fifty points per game.

757
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:31,239
Speaker 1: He hasn't met seventy first only three returning starters there

758
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:33,840
Speaker 1: and a new head coach. Htt Lashley finally gets a

759
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:35,920
Speaker 1: head coaching job after doing some fine work with the

760
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:40,120
Speaker 1: Miami offenses in the last two years. Offensively, in terms

761
00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:43,000
Speaker 1: of their weapons, they lost a lot, they lost some portal,

762
00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:46,600
Speaker 1: they've lost them to graduation. Rash Gie Rice is now

763
00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:49,279
Speaker 1: the new alpha dog. But what I like, even though

764
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:52,560
Speaker 1: that defense I mentioned bad on paper, don't have a

765
00:36:52,560 --> 00:36:54,279
Speaker 1: whole lot to get excited about. But they do have

766
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:57,640
Speaker 1: ten potential starters who are seniors. So in terms of

767
00:36:57,719 --> 00:36:59,560
Speaker 1: like what they can handle in terms of a new

768
00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:02,880
Speaker 1: system complexity, maybe they're able to roll with the punches there.

769
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:05,520
Speaker 1: But really I think this offense needs to carry the

770
00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:07,680
Speaker 1: load and they can't do it unless they have one

771
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:11,600
Speaker 1: of those Ulysses Bentley type players, someone who can hit

772
00:37:11,640 --> 00:37:15,719
Speaker 1: the home run. This program was number one in the

773
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 1: G five in terms of the transfer portal. They got

774
00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:22,239
Speaker 1: eleven transfers from the Power five level. The number one

775
00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:24,200
Speaker 1: guy that they got, who I would argue is the

776
00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:28,239
Speaker 1: number one transfer impact player and the entire country is

777
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 1: Kamar Whedon from Alabama. Five star kid track star speed

778
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:34,800
Speaker 1: at five eleven one to ninety. I just went in

779
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:37,160
Speaker 1: and watched his high school highlight tape. It's just silly.

780
00:37:37,400 --> 00:37:39,720
Speaker 1: Every time he bounces, it's the outside, it's a touchdown.

781
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:43,200
Speaker 1: So when I balance that potential, you know, if he's

782
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:45,440
Speaker 1: as good as he is on tape, and I understand

783
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 1: it's high school, but there's a reason that he was

784
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 1: at Alabama last fall and he had a miniscus tear

785
00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:52,120
Speaker 1: tear and he ends up leaving because of what they

786
00:37:52,200 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 1: did in the portal, and he wants to play right away.

787
00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:57,320
Speaker 1: If he is as good as he's projected to be,

788
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,440
Speaker 1: I think this offense will be top five national, and

789
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:02,400
Speaker 1: they are top fifteen nashally, and then all of a

790
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:06,120
Speaker 1: sudden it becomes a situation, can they be disruptive on defense?

791
00:38:06,200 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 1: Can they be on the plus side in the turnover

792
00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,080
Speaker 1: margin and win some games in some shootouts. I think

793
00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:13,520
Speaker 1: they can because when you look at their schedule, it's

794
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:16,719
Speaker 1: very workable, and there's two opportunities to score you know,

795
00:38:16,920 --> 00:38:20,200
Speaker 1: national credibility, and they both come in September at Maryland's.

796
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:23,040
Speaker 1: I mean, you don't have to stretch your imagination to

797
00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:24,200
Speaker 1: see a shootout against you.

798
00:38:24,200 --> 00:38:25,879
Speaker 2: Know, brother there.

799
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:29,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, and then TCU but at home and TCUs in

800
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,759
Speaker 1: a rebuild, So I don't know. I like that. I

801
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,960
Speaker 1: think their schedule in AAC is more difficult, so I

802
00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:37,800
Speaker 1: think there's an opportunity. As they've done in really the

803
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 1: last five or six years, they start hot and then

804
00:38:40,120 --> 00:38:42,080
Speaker 1: they fade. I think there's an opportunity for them to

805
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:44,160
Speaker 1: stop start hot here. As you can tell, I'm not

806
00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:46,880
Speaker 1: enamored with this pick, but I do think there's a

807
00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:48,600
Speaker 1: chance for their offense to be special. So I'll go

808
00:38:48,640 --> 00:38:49,200
Speaker 1: with the Ponies.

809
00:38:50,520 --> 00:38:52,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like it. Mousam star hot last year, then

810
00:38:52,960 --> 00:38:55,920
Speaker 2: they kind of faded, faded down the stretch that was

811
00:38:56,000 --> 00:39:00,360
Speaker 2: they were definitely on my dateboard, all right. From my

812
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:04,799
Speaker 2: last pick, I'm gonna go with We've already taken two

813
00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:08,359
Speaker 2: Mountain West teams and we have yet to take either

814
00:39:08,440 --> 00:39:10,200
Speaker 2: of the two teams that played for the Mountain West

815
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:14,240
Speaker 2: Championship last year. So I'm gonna go with the loser

816
00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:16,920
Speaker 2: of that game. I'm gonna take air Force. I think

817
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:20,520
Speaker 2: air Force very sneakily put together a ten win season

818
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,759
Speaker 2: last year. No one really talked about them. It was

819
00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 2: their second ten win season in the last three years.

820
00:39:25,680 --> 00:39:27,800
Speaker 2: They won the Mountain Division, earned birth of the Mountain

821
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:31,360
Speaker 2: West Championship before they lost to Utah State. Like as

822
00:39:31,400 --> 00:39:34,400
Speaker 2: I said, ten to three, all three games they lost

823
00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:37,440
Speaker 2: by seven points are less, including an overtime loss to

824
00:39:37,719 --> 00:39:40,839
Speaker 2: Army Air Force. David, What air Force does? They led

825
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:43,719
Speaker 2: the country with three twenty seven rushing yards per game

826
00:39:44,280 --> 00:39:46,880
Speaker 2: thanks to the two head monster of Zeke Daniels and

827
00:39:47,000 --> 00:39:50,480
Speaker 2: running back Brad Roberts. They combined for over two thousand

828
00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:54,359
Speaker 2: yards twenty four touchdowns combined. Both of them are back,

829
00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:57,200
Speaker 2: so this offense is not going to miss a beat.

830
00:39:57,440 --> 00:40:00,400
Speaker 2: The nice thing about you know a service academy is

831
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:03,960
Speaker 2: you really only need two buyers, so you don't have

832
00:40:04,000 --> 00:40:06,319
Speaker 2: to worry about who's on, who's playing receiver, who cares.

833
00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:09,120
Speaker 2: Although that is something that kind of did help the

834
00:40:09,200 --> 00:40:12,840
Speaker 2: Falcons last year is they actually were sneaky decent throwing

835
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,120
Speaker 2: the ball. You know, Daniel's average one hundred yards per game,

836
00:40:15,560 --> 00:40:18,480
Speaker 2: seven touchdowns. He's eleven point four yards per tent was

837
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 2: second in the country, so he completed passes when he

838
00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 2: needed to, which is very, very big for you know

839
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 2: a service academy to be able to catch teams off

840
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 2: guard and pick up you know, long third downs. For

841
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 2: the five offensive line starters are back, eight of their

842
00:40:33,000 --> 00:40:35,880
Speaker 2: eleven defensive starters are back. You know, they do have

843
00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:38,400
Speaker 2: to replace some key guys. Jordan Jackson and Trey Bugs

844
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 2: are big losses, especially Bugs. But what's nice about service

845
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:45,840
Speaker 2: academies maybe more than any other team is like, who cares,

846
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:48,720
Speaker 2: They're gonna just throw in another guy. He's probably twenty

847
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:51,959
Speaker 2: six already. He's been at Service Academy for five years.

848
00:40:52,680 --> 00:40:54,759
Speaker 2: They just plugging guys you've never heard of, and they're

849
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:58,240
Speaker 2: just fine. So I think for me, Service Academies returning

850
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:01,120
Speaker 2: production is like the least important of any cool But

851
00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:03,000
Speaker 2: like I said, they're bringing back eight of eleven defenders,

852
00:41:03,040 --> 00:41:05,840
Speaker 2: so I'm still pretty confident in that. And they have

853
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:08,399
Speaker 2: a super manageable non conference schedule this year.

854
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:11,880
Speaker 1: I'll I'll stop you there. Is it too manageable? Is

855
00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:15,359
Speaker 1: it is impossible they go undefeated and get leaped by

856
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:18,640
Speaker 1: a one loss AAC team or a Sun Belt team

857
00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:21,000
Speaker 1: that scores a huge, you know, upset win over Notre

858
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:24,200
Speaker 1: Dame as we just discussed. That's my only concern. Like

859
00:41:24,280 --> 00:41:25,720
Speaker 1: Colorado is their best opponent.

860
00:41:26,320 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 2: That's why I liked the who Was It? Cincinnatio was

861
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:31,520
Speaker 2: saying that they're playing like Indiana and the Maryland the

862
00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:34,080
Speaker 2: Oregon States. You need power five games you can win.

863
00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:36,600
Speaker 2: I do agree. I mean, Colorado is Power five, But like,

864
00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 2: are they really so? It is a little easy? You know,

865
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:42,919
Speaker 2: they played Northern Iowa, they played Colorado both at home.

866
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:45,840
Speaker 2: They don't have to go on the road to a

867
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,640
Speaker 2: service academy, which is nice. They play Navy at home,

868
00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:53,040
Speaker 2: and they play Army in Arlington, Texas. So they also

869
00:41:53,120 --> 00:41:55,600
Speaker 2: get Boise State at home, which is obviously their toughest

870
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:59,759
Speaker 2: in conference opponent. So yes, there's a good chance that

871
00:42:00,040 --> 00:42:02,280
Speaker 2: you know they could. They're going to need other teams

872
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:04,760
Speaker 2: to lose because they're not going to win a resume battle.

873
00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:09,759
Speaker 2: But Air Force could go undefeated. So to take a

874
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:13,640
Speaker 2: team that could go twelve and zero, eleven and one

875
00:42:14,160 --> 00:42:17,120
Speaker 2: like almost seems like like ten to three again, seems

876
00:42:17,160 --> 00:42:21,719
Speaker 2: like the worst case scenario, doesn't it So, but that

877
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 2: kind of upside at for my last pick, give me

878
00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:25,800
Speaker 2: the Falcons.

879
00:42:26,920 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 1: I think it's a little bit of a stretch, but

880
00:42:29,080 --> 00:42:31,280
Speaker 1: it's one that I'm going to be pulling for because

881
00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:33,560
Speaker 1: I think one of the last things on my bingo

882
00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:36,479
Speaker 1: card as a college football fan after last year getting

883
00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 1: a G five team in the College Football Playoff. I

884
00:42:38,760 --> 00:42:41,320
Speaker 1: love it when non quarterbacks when the Heisman. You know,

885
00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:44,840
Speaker 1: DeVonta Smith doing that two years ago. I've always wanted

886
00:42:45,800 --> 00:42:48,879
Speaker 1: not just the New Year six Bowl, but I would

887
00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:51,480
Speaker 1: love for one of these Service academies to be in

888
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:53,960
Speaker 1: the top ten conversation. I think it's just fun for

889
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 1: college football. It's something that all of us as Americans

890
00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 1: are rooting for beyond just you know the Commander in

891
00:42:59,560 --> 00:43:01,880
Speaker 1: Chief Cup and you know Army Navy at the end

892
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:04,000
Speaker 1: of the regular season. I think it's it's exciting, it's

893
00:43:04,040 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 1: something I'm going to root for, And honestly, if you

894
00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:08,319
Speaker 1: don't watch a ton of triple option football, sometimes it's

895
00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:10,719
Speaker 1: like the butt of you know, the joke when it's

896
00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:13,040
Speaker 1: at a power program like Georgia Tech or something like that.

897
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:14,960
Speaker 1: But when I only watch it three or four times

898
00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:17,719
Speaker 1: a year, I like watching it. So I hope that

899
00:43:17,760 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 1: they can put it together. I do think they're going

900
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:20,960
Speaker 1: to be able to get off to a hot start.

901
00:43:21,120 --> 00:43:23,800
Speaker 1: I think there's a higher likelihood they lose to Wyoming

902
00:43:23,840 --> 00:43:26,040
Speaker 1: in week three than Colorado at home in week two.

903
00:43:27,719 --> 00:43:29,719
Speaker 1: We'll pick up the pace here for my last pick,

904
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:32,719
Speaker 1: I'm going to keep this simple. I'm gonna go Coastal Carolina.

905
00:43:33,000 --> 00:43:36,600
Speaker 1: You know, this is a program that returns those four

906
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:40,080
Speaker 1: key elements. They got Grayson McCall, quarterback, Jamie Chadwell, their

907
00:43:40,080 --> 00:43:42,680
Speaker 1: head coach Willie krn Oc, and Chad Stags as their

908
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:45,839
Speaker 1: defensive coordinator. It was only like twenty two, twenty four

909
00:43:45,920 --> 00:43:48,480
Speaker 1: teams in the country that return all four of those elements.

910
00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:51,960
Speaker 1: I understand there's so much to replace, you know, a

911
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:54,840
Speaker 1: three starters return on offense, three on defense. I do

912
00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:59,719
Speaker 1: think there's a little bit of bias in terms of

913
00:43:59,840 --> 00:44:03,319
Speaker 1: the projections for their defense. Bill Conley's sm B plus

914
00:44:03,480 --> 00:44:07,160
Speaker 1: has them slayd at one hundred and twelfth nationally. No way,

915
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:09,960
Speaker 1: I just don't see it, particularly because what they have upfront,

916
00:44:10,520 --> 00:44:13,360
Speaker 1: Josiah Stewart on the edge. Then they get Chikwan Griffin

917
00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:15,680
Speaker 1: at Georgia Tech transfer, who's kind of a D tackle

918
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:18,520
Speaker 1: d ND hybrid. He could be special. And I think

919
00:44:18,640 --> 00:44:21,960
Speaker 1: if they're really good upfront, then it becomes a question

920
00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:25,000
Speaker 1: of can they, you know, limit the big plays and

921
00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:28,160
Speaker 1: win in some shootouts. And honestly, their schedule kind of

922
00:44:28,160 --> 00:44:29,839
Speaker 1: sets up in such a way that I think they're

923
00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:32,360
Speaker 1: going to be able to get through their growing pains early.

924
00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:34,799
Speaker 1: They open the season at home against Army, which gives

925
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:36,920
Speaker 1: them a month's time lead up in fall camp to

926
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:39,239
Speaker 1: prepare for the triple option. Not an easy game, but

927
00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:41,040
Speaker 1: if they get that win, then they get Gardner, Webb

928
00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:43,560
Speaker 1: and Buffalo at home in back to back weeks. Then

929
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:45,960
Speaker 1: they're into their Sun Belt slate, and at the end

930
00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:48,400
Speaker 1: of the year they get to travel to Virginia to

931
00:44:48,400 --> 00:44:50,920
Speaker 1: play a Cavaliers team that I'm actually pretty bullish on

932
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,040
Speaker 1: in the ACC. I think they could win eight or

933
00:44:53,120 --> 00:44:56,239
Speaker 1: nine games fun offense. You know, first year head coach,

934
00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:59,759
Speaker 1: there could be a really exciting opportunity to score top

935
00:44:59,800 --> 00:45:02,560
Speaker 1: two twenty five win. So for reasons like that, I

936
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:06,040
Speaker 1: look at this coastal team that people may forget because

937
00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:08,560
Speaker 1: they lost two games, they were five points away from

938
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,480
Speaker 1: a perfect season last year, an app state comes to them,

939
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:14,680
Speaker 1: no Louisiana on their schedule in the regular season. I

940
00:45:14,719 --> 00:45:16,719
Speaker 1: started to like add some of these things up. And

941
00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:18,400
Speaker 1: you know, the fact that they get to have so

942
00:45:18,480 --> 00:45:20,879
Speaker 1: many games on the surf turf early in the year,

943
00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:22,480
Speaker 1: I think that's going to make up for some of

944
00:45:22,520 --> 00:45:25,360
Speaker 1: their growing pains in terms of new starters. But this

945
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:28,080
Speaker 1: all runs through Grayson McCall, who's statistically one of the

946
00:45:28,080 --> 00:45:31,439
Speaker 1: most accurate passers in modern college football history. So I'm

947
00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:33,680
Speaker 1: comfortable the fact that they kept him out of the portal.

948
00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:35,640
Speaker 1: He kind of flirted a little bit with the idea

949
00:45:35,680 --> 00:45:37,319
Speaker 1: of going to the NFL Draft. I think that would

950
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:39,239
Speaker 1: have been a mistake. But this is probably going to

951
00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:41,319
Speaker 1: be his last year on campus and I think he'll

952
00:45:41,360 --> 00:45:43,600
Speaker 1: be damned to see them be just an average Sun

953
00:45:43,680 --> 00:45:45,520
Speaker 1: Belt team. I think they'll be right in there in

954
00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:47,800
Speaker 1: the mix to win it, and if they do it

955
00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:50,279
Speaker 1: with an impressive win against Virginia down the stretch, the

956
00:45:50,320 --> 00:45:52,880
Speaker 1: stranger things that happens. And I do think the committee

957
00:45:53,280 --> 00:45:56,160
Speaker 1: is human in terms of having that bias of have

958
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 1: we heard of this team before? Have they shown us

959
00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:00,200
Speaker 1: on a big stage that they can play? That why

960
00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 1: you win from two years ago still looms large. I

961
00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:04,920
Speaker 1: think they'll they'll get the respect in that regord if

962
00:46:04,920 --> 00:46:06,719
Speaker 1: they run the table. So I'm gonna go with the

963
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:07,480
Speaker 1: shots here.

964
00:46:08,040 --> 00:46:10,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, you said we've seen it kind of we saw

965
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:13,760
Speaker 2: you see, we saw it Cincinnati, and it almost takes like, Okay,

966
00:46:13,800 --> 00:46:16,440
Speaker 2: they've been here for two or three years to finally

967
00:46:16,840 --> 00:46:18,520
Speaker 2: where the committee will kind of put them over the edge.

968
00:46:18,760 --> 00:46:21,359
Speaker 2: At the end of the day, you're getting what's I mean,

969
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:24,040
Speaker 2: I'm faience them office on my head, probably the best

970
00:46:24,120 --> 00:46:26,880
Speaker 2: G five player in the country at the tenth spot.

971
00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:28,759
Speaker 2: So I don't hate that pick at all. They were

972
00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:30,640
Speaker 2: on my big bares like them, You a Be and

973
00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:32,960
Speaker 2: Toledo were kind of like the last three I left off.

974
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:35,520
Speaker 2: It's all run through our picks here.

975
00:46:35,719 --> 00:46:40,160
Speaker 1: I got Houston, Boise, UTSA, SMU, and Coastal and you

976
00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:43,680
Speaker 1: ended up with Sincy, Central Florida, Fresno State, Marshall and

977
00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:46,680
Speaker 1: Air Force for Mike I Andelo on Mike Calabery's This

978
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 1: has been big bets on campus.

979
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:49,719
Speaker 2: The group of five Deep Dive.

980
00:46:50,040 --> 00:46:53,359
Speaker 1: We're gonna be back next month with more contents going

981
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:55,759
Speaker 1: to be hitting all of the season previews. We're gonna

982
00:46:55,800 --> 00:46:58,400
Speaker 1: have more specifics on exactly what that's gonna look like.

983
00:46:58,480 --> 00:47:01,240
Speaker 1: They'll be sure to keep an eye on your podcast

984
00:47:01,360 --> 00:47:03,920
Speaker 1: feeds as well as the Action Networks Twitter feed for

985
00:47:04,160 --> 00:47:06,680
Speaker 1: updates on what's to come. Thanks so much and looking

986
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:08,000
Speaker 1: forward to another great season.