WEBVTT - Can You Stop a Hurricane?

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<v Speaker 1>Hey, welcome to Sign Stuff, a production of iHeartRadio. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Horee Cham and today we're answering the question can you

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<v Speaker 1>stop a hurricane? Hurricanes are some of the most destructive

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<v Speaker 1>phenomena in nature. A Category four or five hurricane can

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<v Speaker 1>cause upwards of one hundred billion dollars in damage and

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<v Speaker 1>kill thousands of people depending on where it hits when

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<v Speaker 1>it reaches land. To find out if we can stop them,

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to talk to several experts, including someone who

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<v Speaker 1>flies into hurricanes for a living and a scientist who's

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<v Speaker 1>been tracking how these storms have changed over the last

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<v Speaker 1>one hundred years. So batten down the hatches and get

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<v Speaker 1>ready to get blown away as we answer the question

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<v Speaker 1>can you stop a hurricane? Hey? Everyone, So today's question

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<v Speaker 1>is a pretty tall order. As we'll learn today, the

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<v Speaker 1>answer to can you stop a hurricane is actually sort

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<v Speaker 1>of yes. Red lease, it's not a no okay. To

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<v Speaker 1>get started, we need to know what a hurricane is

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<v Speaker 1>so that we know what we're up against, and I

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<v Speaker 1>thought the best way to do that is to take

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<v Speaker 1>you inside a hurricane. So I found someone who is

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<v Speaker 1>a real life hurricane hunter, which means it's his job

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<v Speaker 1>to go into hurricanes. Here's my conversation with doctor John Zowislack,

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<v Speaker 1>a researcher at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration or Noah.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you, doctor Zoways Slagg for joining us.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's great to talk to you about hurricanes here.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, describe for us what is your current job as

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<v Speaker 1>a hurricane hunter.

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<v Speaker 2>So, as a hurricane hunters, our job is take an

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<v Speaker 2>airplane into a hurricane. I'm at the no Aircraft Operations

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<v Speaker 2>Center as a flight director and meteorologist. So my job

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<v Speaker 2>in the airplanes is essentially helped navigate the storm, help

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<v Speaker 2>the pilots out and make sure the data is quality

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<v Speaker 2>and make sure we're getting the data to the ground.

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<v Speaker 1>How would you describe what a hurricane is?

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<v Speaker 2>Complete chaos at times. Obviously they're very large in scale

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<v Speaker 2>and when you go out fly one, you can really

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<v Speaker 2>feel the scale of the motion, the scale of the energy.

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<v Speaker 2>So for us, we see them as the danger they are.

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<v Speaker 2>We see them for the hazards they are.

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<v Speaker 1>So this sounds super dangerous.

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<v Speaker 3>Why do it? So?

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<v Speaker 2>We often gets the question why do it? Why fly

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<v Speaker 2>an airplane into a hurricane? Right, We're taking a crew

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<v Speaker 2>into a very turbulent environment, just a little bit more

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<v Speaker 2>hazardous than an any pilot would do. But the reality

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<v Speaker 2>is that satellite they see the big scale, right, they

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<v Speaker 2>see the cloud field, they see where it's located. But

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<v Speaker 2>to actually see inside those clouds, to see the rain

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<v Speaker 2>field inside those clouds, and particular the winds. Winds are

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<v Speaker 2>very very hard to measure from a satellite, So the

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<v Speaker 2>airplane allows us to go into the storm and measure

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<v Speaker 2>it at that high resolution scale, both in time and space,

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<v Speaker 2>to really understand what's going on inside that cloud field.

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<v Speaker 2>Because when they make landfall, we know the impacts and

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<v Speaker 2>them that has on communities. Is what really motivates us

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<v Speaker 2>to learn more and forecast better.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, I asked, doctor, is always like, how do you

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<v Speaker 1>actually fly into a hurricane?

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<v Speaker 2>How we sample a hurricane with an airplane? First of all, No,

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<v Speaker 2>we have a four engine turboprop airplane called a P three.

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<v Speaker 2>They are our storm petting trading aircraft, so they were

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<v Speaker 2>built to fly low and slow and they could take

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<v Speaker 2>a punishing too. What we do is we'll set up

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<v Speaker 2>a direct path from outside the storm to the eye

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<v Speaker 2>to the other side, and it's a straight line, right.

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<v Speaker 2>The safest way to fly a storm is a straight line.

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<v Speaker 2>It's just you get in and out quickest, right.

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<v Speaker 1>Could you maybe describe the whole experience. You take off,

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<v Speaker 1>you're flying, You're approaching the storm. What do you see.

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<v Speaker 2>It's just basically you start getting cloudier, You're starting to

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<v Speaker 2>get the rain. You might have a really strong outer band,

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<v Speaker 2>which is a really intense thin line of thunderstorms, and

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<v Speaker 2>we're gonna have to navigate through that. You just kind

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<v Speaker 2>of have to find the weak spot and get through

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<v Speaker 2>the outer band.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, here I thought would be good to explain where

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<v Speaker 1>we are in the hurricane. You can think of a

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<v Speaker 1>hurricane as a giant area of circulating air. The area

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<v Speaker 1>is typically three hundred but sometimes up to six hundred

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<v Speaker 1>miles wide. And if you've ever seen a satellite image

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<v Speaker 1>of a hurricane, it basically looks like a giant white

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<v Speaker 1>cloud that is flushing down the toilet. But actually a

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<v Speaker 1>hurricane is sort of the opposite of a toilet. It's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of air coming together in a spiral and

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<v Speaker 1>then shooting up from the center towards the sky and

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<v Speaker 1>then spreading out into that giant white cloud you see now.

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<v Speaker 1>For the first few hundred miles that you're going into

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<v Speaker 1>a hurricane, things aren't too bad. This part is called

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<v Speaker 1>the outer band, and you're basically cutting through layers of

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<v Speaker 1>rain and thunderclouds that get progressively more intense.

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<v Speaker 2>And then you start getting towards fifty sixty miles away

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<v Speaker 2>from storm, and now things start happening, right. You're encountering

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<v Speaker 2>more turbulence, the winds are coming up, and I always

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<v Speaker 2>say the biggest thing that happens is it gets really loud.

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<v Speaker 2>On the airplane. It's already loud enough because of the

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<v Speaker 2>four turboprops running on you, but once you start getting

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<v Speaker 2>the wind, you start really getting the heavy rain, so

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<v Speaker 2>it gets really really loud, particularly in the stronger storms.

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<v Speaker 2>Ending of course it's bumpy. It's kind of a roller coaster,

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<v Speaker 2>but you don't know what the next drop is or

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<v Speaker 2>what's coming up next. Wow.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay. As you get closer to the center, the winds

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<v Speaker 1>get faster and faster, up to about seventy to ninety

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<v Speaker 1>miles per hour, and then when you get to about

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<v Speaker 1>thirty miles from the center of the storm, you reach

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<v Speaker 1>the final band of the hurricane. Here the winds can

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<v Speaker 1>reach up to one hundred and sixteen miles per hour.

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<v Speaker 1>This part, called the eye wall, is the one that

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<v Speaker 1>causes the most destruction when it reaches land.

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<v Speaker 2>The eyewall is essentially a giant rainfield that's rotating. Now

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<v Speaker 2>I don't want to call it a tornado, but it

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<v Speaker 2>has that really strong intensi so it's creating a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of turbulent eddies, really really intense turbulent eddies.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, then if you make it through that chaotic, intense,

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<v Speaker 1>spinning eye wall, you get to clear, calm air.

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<v Speaker 2>So when you get in the eye, the rain comes down,

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<v Speaker 2>the winds come down, You look out the window, you're

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<v Speaker 2>gonna generally see a clear area. So if you ever

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<v Speaker 2>see the really infamous pictures or hurricanes of that clear eye,

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<v Speaker 2>that's what we call a stadium effect. You just emerge

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<v Speaker 2>into the stadium and it's clear above. Everything calms down,

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<v Speaker 2>and you just get this beautiful bowl of clouds. So

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<v Speaker 2>it's a true magnificent site. I mean, it's breadthaking. You

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<v Speaker 2>can hear audible gasps because you're going into sunlight beaming

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<v Speaker 2>down on you, or at night you might see the moon.

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<v Speaker 2>We kind of we call that sort of the Holy

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<v Speaker 2>Girl hurricane flying when you're in the stadium effect and

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<v Speaker 2>it's a full moon and you're looking at a full

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<v Speaker 2>moon in the clear eye of this hurricane. But as

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<v Speaker 2>magnificent and onspiring as that moment, there's the downside which

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<v Speaker 2>you use. You know, for as beautiful as a storm

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<v Speaker 2>can be, you also know the hazards the risks that

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<v Speaker 2>it poses because it's you know, if we're flying it,

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<v Speaker 2>it's all likelihood, means that it's forecast to potentially make landfall.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh, I see. The more beautiful it is, the more

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<v Speaker 1>dangerous it is to people outside the storm.

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<v Speaker 2>Right. A lot of times that's happening because the storm

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<v Speaker 2>is just so intense, right, So it's a magnificent, saddling image.

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<v Speaker 2>It's magnificence flying that statement effect, But it's also a

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<v Speaker 2>bit frightening to us because you know that storm is

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<v Speaker 2>extremely intense.

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<v Speaker 1>What got you're interested in this field in doing this?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, ask my parents. I was growing up. There's two

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<v Speaker 2>great gloves I had.

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<v Speaker 1>Flying.

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<v Speaker 2>Just loved when we took a vacation every summer and

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<v Speaker 2>flew there. But I also loved weather. My first book

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<v Speaker 2>I could ever read it was a meteorology book, a

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<v Speaker 2>weather guide. Right now, my job is to fly in weather,

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<v Speaker 2>so I get to work with aircraft, I get to

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<v Speaker 2>study the weather, so I say I am living the dream.

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<v Speaker 1>You might say you're right in the eye of the storm.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we're ring the eye of storm.

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<v Speaker 1>All right. So having met someone who flies into hurricanes

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<v Speaker 1>for a living, the big question now was whether he

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<v Speaker 1>thinks we can stop a hurricane. A lot of people

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<v Speaker 1>are wondering but on the internet, if you can stop

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<v Speaker 1>a hurricane, how would you answer that question?

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<v Speaker 2>Scientifically? If you have to think about the scale and

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<v Speaker 2>the energy of a hurricane. Okay, this is a cloud

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<v Speaker 2>field that is several hundred miles large. A hurricane itself

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<v Speaker 2>will released an equivalent heat of about ten thousand nuclear bombs. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>that's a lot of energy.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay. When we come back, we're really going to dig

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<v Speaker 1>into this question. We're going to talk about all the

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<v Speaker 1>different ways people have proposed to stop a hurricane, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to talk to different experts about whether they

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<v Speaker 1>think any of these ways would work. Stay with us,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll be right back. Welcome back. Okay. We just heard

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<v Speaker 1>a first hand account what it's like to go inside

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<v Speaker 1>a hurricane, and now we're going to answer the question

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<v Speaker 1>of whether you can stop a hurricane. To do this,

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<v Speaker 1>I reached out to someone who's been studying hurricanes and

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<v Speaker 1>storms for over thirty years. Here's my conversation with Professor

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<v Speaker 1>Bob Hart. Well, thank you, doctor Heart for joining us.

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<v Speaker 4>Hello.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm a professor of meteorology at Florida State University in Tallahassee, Florida,

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<v Speaker 3>and my research is primarily hurricanes, how they form, and

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<v Speaker 3>trying to help out the public with proving the warnings

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<v Speaker 3>and watch us.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll ask doctor Heart in a minute if we can

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<v Speaker 1>stop a hurricane. But first I thought it was important

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about how hurricanes form because that's going to

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<v Speaker 1>help us a little later. Okay, back to the conversation.

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<v Speaker 2>Amazing.

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<v Speaker 1>I guess we'll start with can you give us a

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<v Speaker 1>brief overview of how hurricanes form?

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<v Speaker 3>That's an hour question right there.

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<v Speaker 1>Sorry, we need a whirlwind answer from you.

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<v Speaker 3>They don't just appear with an eye suddenly. Usually it

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<v Speaker 3>takes several days for it to go from disorganized thunderstorms

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<v Speaker 3>in the tropics to organized thunderstorms to having an eye

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<v Speaker 3>could take several days to a week, sometimes even longer,

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<v Speaker 3>and it has a life cycle of formation and growth.

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<v Speaker 1>Can you maybe step us through that life cycle, like,

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<v Speaker 1>how do hurricanes get started?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, there's not one way, and it's a big area

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<v Speaker 3>of debate right now.

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<v Speaker 1>Really, we don't know exactly how hurricanes form.

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<v Speaker 3>We know so some aspects of it.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right, It seems we don't know exactly how hurricanes form.

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<v Speaker 1>According to doctor Hart, we know what the basic ingredients

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<v Speaker 1>are for making a hurricane, but we can't really predict

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<v Speaker 1>exactly when those ingredients will turn into a hurricane. Here's

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<v Speaker 1>how doctor Hart explains it.

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<v Speaker 3>We know that you need to have some rotation in

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<v Speaker 3>the atmosphere, whether that's due to the Earth turning corioliss

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<v Speaker 3>or due to something else like a front. If you

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<v Speaker 3>have that, and you have a moist atmosphere and you're

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<v Speaker 3>over warm water, then those thunderstorms can become increasingly strong,

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<v Speaker 3>increasingly more organized. But the million dollar question that we've

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<v Speaker 3>been debating for quite a while now is what specifically

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<v Speaker 3>causes those thunderstorms to get organized and what's enough.

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<v Speaker 1>When you say organized, what do you mean.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, if you look at a satellite image of the tropics,

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<v Speaker 3>you'll find that on average, thunderstorms are pretty sporadic. There's

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<v Speaker 3>popcorn type thunderstorms. You know, thunderstorm in one location and

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<v Speaker 3>then an hour away there's another thunderstorm, but in between

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<v Speaker 3>there's no rain or no clouds. That's not organized. Organized

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<v Speaker 3>would be if they grow in size and the rotation

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<v Speaker 3>that occurs causes them to continue to reform and reform

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<v Speaker 3>and reform so that it isn't short lived, so that

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<v Speaker 3>it lasts hours and hours and days and days.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, here's a quick breakdown of how a typical hurricane forms.

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<v Speaker 1>You start with a patch of warm ocean. That's where

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<v Speaker 1>most of the energy for a hurricane comes from. That's

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<v Speaker 1>what powers the hurricane. This patch of warm water heats

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<v Speaker 1>up the air above it, causing it to go up,

0:12:49.960 --> 0:12:53.280
<v Speaker 1>and as it goes up, it kind of creates a vacuum,

0:12:53.320 --> 0:12:57.160
<v Speaker 1>pulling in more air from the surrounding area. So it's

0:12:57.160 --> 0:12:59.959
<v Speaker 1>a little like someone brought in a giant vacuum host

0:13:00.480 --> 0:13:04.920
<v Speaker 1>and started sucking air near the surface of the water. Now,

0:13:04.960 --> 0:13:08.240
<v Speaker 1>a sucker heart said, if the air has some initial rotation,

0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:11.720
<v Speaker 1>like from the rotation of the Earth, but just randomly

0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:15.560
<v Speaker 1>from the air current, that spinning will create a vortex

0:13:15.760 --> 0:13:19.880
<v Speaker 1>as the air gets sucked up, and sometimes the conditions

0:13:19.880 --> 0:13:22.959
<v Speaker 1>will be just right. The air will be moist enough,

0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:25.760
<v Speaker 1>and the top of the atmosphere will be cold enough,

0:13:26.200 --> 0:13:28.720
<v Speaker 1>and the wind shear will be low enough, and the

0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:31.199
<v Speaker 1>thunderstorms that are there will come together in just the

0:13:31.280 --> 0:13:35.800
<v Speaker 1>right way that it creates a complex spinning system that

0:13:36.040 --> 0:13:40.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of acts like a runaway, self perpetuating machine that

0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:44.040
<v Speaker 1>just gets stronger and stronger on its own, all powered

0:13:44.160 --> 0:13:46.480
<v Speaker 1>by the heat from the warm ocean.

0:13:48.000 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's a feedback where the warming that occurs in

0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:56.360
<v Speaker 3>the column above the storm ends up leading to lower

0:13:56.360 --> 0:14:00.000
<v Speaker 3>pressure even more warming, and so it's a nonlinear feedback

0:14:00.320 --> 0:14:04.880
<v Speaker 3>that strengthening of a hurricane makes even more strengthening possible.

0:14:05.080 --> 0:14:08.240
<v Speaker 3>And the theory says that as long as you don't

0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:11.280
<v Speaker 3>have something getting in the way of that, like land

0:14:11.600 --> 0:14:15.760
<v Speaker 3>or cold water, the hurricane will continue to strengthen, but

0:14:15.840 --> 0:14:18.280
<v Speaker 3>it doesn't reach infinity.

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:22.440
<v Speaker 1>According to doctor Hart, hurricanes would continue to grow and

0:14:22.560 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 1>grow indefinitely if it wasn't for one thing friction.

0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:32.080
<v Speaker 3>There's a reason why we have a category five as

0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:34.960
<v Speaker 3>a maximum, and that's because as it gets stronger and

0:14:35.000 --> 0:14:38.080
<v Speaker 3>stronger and stronger, and now we're talking about winds of

0:14:38.360 --> 0:14:42.120
<v Speaker 3>approaching two hundred miles an hour. The friction goes up

0:14:42.680 --> 0:14:47.240
<v Speaker 3>very very quickly with friction between what with the ocean,

0:14:47.320 --> 0:14:49.960
<v Speaker 3>so friction between the air and the ocean's while we

0:14:50.000 --> 0:14:54.280
<v Speaker 3>get large waves in hurricanes. So eventually that friction becomes

0:14:54.320 --> 0:14:58.040
<v Speaker 3>so strong that this hurricane cannot intensify any further.

0:14:59.360 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 1>Okay, those are the basics of how hurricanes form. Now

0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:05.720
<v Speaker 1>let's get to the main question, which is can you

0:15:05.880 --> 0:15:10.000
<v Speaker 1>stop a hurricane? All right? Now we get to the

0:15:10.160 --> 0:15:13.440
<v Speaker 1>kind of controversial part of the topic here. What are

0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:17.880
<v Speaker 1>some ways that people have said you can maybe stop

0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:22.160
<v Speaker 1>a hurricane? All right? According to doctor Hart, there are

0:15:22.240 --> 0:15:25.640
<v Speaker 1>three basic ways you can try to stop a hurricane.

0:15:26.560 --> 0:15:29.960
<v Speaker 1>Number one, you can mess with the way a hurricane forms.

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:33.800
<v Speaker 1>Number two, you can try to cut off its energy supply,

0:15:34.400 --> 0:15:37.560
<v Speaker 1>and number three you can try to blow it out

0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:40.920
<v Speaker 1>of the water. We'll start with number one, messing with

0:15:41.040 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 1>how a hurricane forms.

0:15:45.600 --> 0:15:49.200
<v Speaker 3>There were some experiments, it's about seventy five years ago now,

0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:53.000
<v Speaker 3>Project Storm Fury, where they did cloud seating of hurricanes.

0:15:53.240 --> 0:15:53.880
<v Speaker 1>What does that mean.

0:15:54.200 --> 0:15:57.920
<v Speaker 3>They put certain chemicals in the atmosphere in thunderstorms or

0:15:57.960 --> 0:16:02.320
<v Speaker 3>near thunderstorms to dissipate those thunderstorms. So this was like

0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:05.000
<v Speaker 3>one of the earliest tests of weather modification.

0:16:05.440 --> 0:16:07.720
<v Speaker 1>What did these chemicals? What were they supposed to do?

0:16:08.000 --> 0:16:10.880
<v Speaker 3>They would reduce the relative you met the air, so

0:16:10.960 --> 0:16:14.040
<v Speaker 3>the cloud would go away, or you could turn the

0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:18.120
<v Speaker 3>liquid more to ice, which changes the physics of the air.

0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:20.680
<v Speaker 1>I see. It'd be like throwing salt up into the

0:16:20.720 --> 0:16:25.280
<v Speaker 1>atmosphere to lower the freezing point. Maybe something like that.

0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:27.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, okay.

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:29.560
<v Speaker 1>One way to try to mess with how a hurricane

0:16:29.600 --> 0:16:32.760
<v Speaker 1>forms is to spray the clouds in a hurricane with

0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:38.920
<v Speaker 1>basically anti freeze, or actually the opposite of anti freeze.

0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:43.840
<v Speaker 1>And this is something scientists actually tried. Project Storm Fury

0:16:44.240 --> 0:16:47.720
<v Speaker 1>was a twenty year joint project between the US Navy

0:16:47.800 --> 0:16:51.400
<v Speaker 1>and the Department of Commerce where they experimented with spring

0:16:51.640 --> 0:16:56.479
<v Speaker 1>silver iodide to the clouds outside the eye of a hurricane.

0:16:57.120 --> 0:17:00.200
<v Speaker 1>The idea was that the silver iodide would trigger the

0:17:00.240 --> 0:17:03.800
<v Speaker 1>moisture in those clouds to turn to ice and eventually

0:17:03.920 --> 0:17:08.439
<v Speaker 1>expand the eye wall, making it weaker. It's something that

0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:13.000
<v Speaker 1>actually works in a single small thunderstorm, but showing that

0:17:13.000 --> 0:17:17.360
<v Speaker 1>it works in a complex, huge hurricane is a different story.

0:17:19.359 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 3>The results were nonconclusive, and the reason why they were

0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:26.439
<v Speaker 3>abandoned and never done again. Was because they could not

0:17:26.640 --> 0:17:30.359
<v Speaker 3>prove that there was a cause and effect there. Sometimes

0:17:30.440 --> 0:17:34.160
<v Speaker 3>it didn't have any effect, sometimes there was an intensification,

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:38.640
<v Speaker 3>and sometimes they weaken anyway, So that experiment's never been redone.

0:17:38.680 --> 0:17:41.280
<v Speaker 3>And you're of course modifying the environment. With all this

0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:43.879
<v Speaker 3>junk that you're throwing into the atmosphere, you would be

0:17:44.000 --> 0:17:47.320
<v Speaker 3>dramatically hurting the oceans and us. Even if you could

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:49.520
<v Speaker 3>get all this chemical Think about what it would be

0:17:49.560 --> 0:17:51.560
<v Speaker 3>doing to the fish, Think about what it would be

0:17:51.600 --> 0:17:52.720
<v Speaker 3>doing to the trees.

0:17:53.080 --> 0:17:55.760
<v Speaker 1>I see. So it could be an environmental disaster.

0:17:55.680 --> 0:18:00.320
<v Speaker 3>Yes, okay, without saving another environmental disaster.

0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:03.359
<v Speaker 1>Right, right, okay? What are some other ideas that people

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:04.360
<v Speaker 1>have floated out there?

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:08.000
<v Speaker 3>Pumping up cold water from the deep ocean. Once you

0:18:08.119 --> 0:18:11.320
<v Speaker 3>get deep enough, let's say, beyond maybe two hundred and

0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:14.679
<v Speaker 3>three hundred feet, the ocean begins to cool and some

0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:18.480
<v Speaker 3>of the ideas are to pump up that cold water

0:18:18.600 --> 0:18:21.760
<v Speaker 3>to the surface to cool off the surface of the

0:18:21.760 --> 0:18:24.879
<v Speaker 3>ocean such that all that physics we talked about and

0:18:24.920 --> 0:18:27.520
<v Speaker 3>that feedback doesn't occur or shuts down.

0:18:28.760 --> 0:18:31.800
<v Speaker 1>Another idea to stop the hurricane is to shut off

0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:35.280
<v Speaker 1>the source of our hurricanes energy, which is the heat

0:18:35.640 --> 0:18:39.879
<v Speaker 1>in the ocean, presumably would deploy something like an array

0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:43.800
<v Speaker 1>of deep water pumps that go down two hundred to

0:18:43.960 --> 0:18:48.240
<v Speaker 1>three hundred meters and bring up cold water through hoses

0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:52.600
<v Speaker 1>or tubes. This could technically work, but.

0:18:55.359 --> 0:18:57.800
<v Speaker 3>The problem is you need to cool over a large

0:18:57.840 --> 0:19:00.960
<v Speaker 3>area for one storm, and in order to cool or

0:19:01.000 --> 0:19:03.119
<v Speaker 3>for a large area, you need to drop all these

0:19:03.359 --> 0:19:06.760
<v Speaker 3>devices that we haven't even created yet, and that means

0:19:06.800 --> 0:19:08.720
<v Speaker 3>you have to fly them out there in the right location.

0:19:09.200 --> 0:19:12.320
<v Speaker 3>And of course then you also realize that, well, we

0:19:12.320 --> 0:19:16.000
<v Speaker 3>don't know the forecast of these things incredibly well, which

0:19:16.040 --> 0:19:18.320
<v Speaker 3>means by the time you get there that forecasts may

0:19:18.320 --> 0:19:22.240
<v Speaker 3>have changed, and now you've missed your opportunity.

0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:25.680
<v Speaker 1>In other words, you could build this array of water

0:19:25.760 --> 0:19:29.119
<v Speaker 1>pumps and deploy them, but you need to build a

0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:33.000
<v Speaker 1>lot of them to cover a large area hundreds of

0:19:33.119 --> 0:19:38.280
<v Speaker 1>miles wide, and then you might miss the hurricane could

0:19:38.359 --> 0:19:42.040
<v Speaker 1>unexpectedly veer off and miss the area of the ocean

0:19:42.280 --> 0:19:45.640
<v Speaker 1>you were cooling off, So then you need even more

0:19:45.680 --> 0:19:52.280
<v Speaker 1>of these pumps. It all gets super expensive. Pumping cold

0:19:52.320 --> 0:19:56.440
<v Speaker 1>water that's also just prohibitively expensive, and you don't know

0:19:56.480 --> 0:19:58.560
<v Speaker 1>if it's going to work. Yeah, all right, what are

0:19:58.600 --> 0:19:59.960
<v Speaker 1>other ones? I've heard? Nuclear bomb?

0:20:00.520 --> 0:20:04.720
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I've gotten those questions from the public. Those go back,

0:20:05.000 --> 0:20:07.760
<v Speaker 3>you know, twenty years when I started teaching at FSU,

0:20:08.119 --> 0:20:11.560
<v Speaker 3>before social media became a real big thing. These sort

0:20:11.560 --> 0:20:16.679
<v Speaker 3>of questions become very nice graduate school questions for candidacy

0:20:16.760 --> 0:20:21.360
<v Speaker 3>exam for PhD students to pursue their PhD, because they

0:20:21.400 --> 0:20:24.399
<v Speaker 3>have to go through the math of figuring out is

0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:28.399
<v Speaker 3>this feasible sort of and what are the downsides to it? Well,

0:20:28.520 --> 0:20:30.560
<v Speaker 3>all the physics that we've talked about at the beginning

0:20:30.600 --> 0:20:33.760
<v Speaker 3>of this for how hurricane strengthens and forms. That's an

0:20:33.800 --> 0:20:37.639
<v Speaker 3>incredible amount of energy, a really incredible amount of energy,

0:20:37.680 --> 0:20:40.480
<v Speaker 3>and we can generally calculate it various types of energy,

0:20:40.560 --> 0:20:43.679
<v Speaker 3>kinetic energy, latent energy, thermal energy. So we can come

0:20:43.760 --> 0:20:45.920
<v Speaker 3>up with an estimate of the total amount of energy

0:20:45.960 --> 0:20:48.360
<v Speaker 3>that is in a hurricane over its life. And then

0:20:48.400 --> 0:20:52.040
<v Speaker 3>you can say, okay, well, let's say we wanted to

0:20:52.200 --> 0:20:57.120
<v Speaker 3>destroy the hurricane by matching that amount of energy by

0:20:57.119 --> 0:21:01.239
<v Speaker 3>the release of nuclear weapons outside the eye and the

0:21:01.280 --> 0:21:04.359
<v Speaker 3>eye wall of the storm to disrupt it. Right, So

0:21:04.400 --> 0:21:09.199
<v Speaker 3>you're basically causing this disruption in the normal structure of

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:13.600
<v Speaker 3>the system with the goal of dissipating it. Well, if

0:21:13.600 --> 0:21:15.879
<v Speaker 3>you do the math out, total amount of energy is

0:21:15.920 --> 0:21:19.520
<v Speaker 3>equivalent to basically the entire nuclear arsenal of the world.

0:21:20.840 --> 0:21:24.040
<v Speaker 1>In other words, what doctor Hart is saying is you

0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:28.119
<v Speaker 1>could stop a hurricane by blowing it up, but you

0:21:28.200 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 1>need about ten thousand nuclear bombs, which is basically all

0:21:32.840 --> 0:21:37.639
<v Speaker 1>the nuclear bombs on Earth. That's just to stop one hurricane.

0:21:37.920 --> 0:21:41.159
<v Speaker 1>There would still be more hurricanes that season, and the

0:21:41.200 --> 0:21:44.280
<v Speaker 1>next year and the year after that, not to mention

0:21:44.680 --> 0:21:49.640
<v Speaker 1>the enormous mess exploding ten thousand nuclear bombs would make.

0:21:51.080 --> 0:21:53.320
<v Speaker 3>And so even if you were to do that, we

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:56.240
<v Speaker 3>don't know where to put them these weapons, Like where

0:21:56.280 --> 0:21:58.560
<v Speaker 3>exactly do you put them? Do you put them in

0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:01.639
<v Speaker 3>a circle outside the eye? Well, well we don't know.

0:22:01.800 --> 0:22:03.520
<v Speaker 3>In the outer part of the storm, we don't know.

0:22:04.000 --> 0:22:07.800
<v Speaker 3>And even if you could do that with phenomenal resources,

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:10.479
<v Speaker 3>probably more resources than it would take to go to Mars,

0:22:11.880 --> 0:22:16.000
<v Speaker 3>you now have caused a massive environmental disaster, both in

0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:18.520
<v Speaker 3>the ocean and the air in this attempt.

0:22:18.280 --> 0:22:21.800
<v Speaker 1>Meaning you've basically radiated the entire Atlantic Ocean kind of

0:22:22.160 --> 0:22:22.440
<v Speaker 1>and the.

0:22:22.400 --> 0:22:24.840
<v Speaker 3>Atmosphere there above it, and the food, the food supply

0:22:25.160 --> 0:22:28.000
<v Speaker 3>because so much of the world's food comes from the ocean,

0:22:28.200 --> 0:22:31.680
<v Speaker 3>and the greenhouse effect that exists. Of course, because you're

0:22:31.720 --> 0:22:35.239
<v Speaker 3>modifying the structure of the ocean. It's a nightmare. The

0:22:35.280 --> 0:22:38.639
<v Speaker 3>planet would be destitute financially, resource wise.

0:22:40.160 --> 0:22:45.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, let's not do that, all right. When we come back,

0:22:45.680 --> 0:22:48.280
<v Speaker 1>we're going to explore this idea more, and we're going

0:22:48.359 --> 0:22:52.520
<v Speaker 1>to learn about the time when humans they have inadvertently

0:22:52.560 --> 0:22:58.040
<v Speaker 1>stopped several hurricanes. Stay with us, you're listening to science

0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:14.919
<v Speaker 1>stuff and we're back. But the people have mentioned Saharan

0:23:15.000 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 1>dust and wind turbines.

0:23:17.520 --> 0:23:22.280
<v Speaker 3>Yes, there's wind over Africa. Those winds often carry dust

0:23:22.480 --> 0:23:26.760
<v Speaker 3>into the atmosphere of the Atlantic, and that dust changes

0:23:26.800 --> 0:23:29.800
<v Speaker 3>the physics of the atmosphere there, causes it to be drier,

0:23:30.280 --> 0:23:33.200
<v Speaker 3>causes it to be warmer. So that changes the ability

0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:34.200
<v Speaker 3>to form thunderstorms.

0:23:34.920 --> 0:23:38.040
<v Speaker 1>So the idea to put more dust or less dust.

0:23:37.920 --> 0:23:40.760
<v Speaker 3>Well, you would want more dust in theory that would

0:23:40.760 --> 0:23:44.040
<v Speaker 3>prevent the thunder storms or decrease the likelihood of thunder

0:23:44.040 --> 0:23:46.679
<v Speaker 3>storms going all the way up in the atmosphere. But

0:23:47.000 --> 0:23:49.240
<v Speaker 3>yet again, this is a lot of dust you would

0:23:49.240 --> 0:23:50.600
<v Speaker 3>need over a large area.

0:23:51.000 --> 0:23:53.840
<v Speaker 1>You need to be pumping dust all year over a

0:23:53.920 --> 0:23:55.280
<v Speaker 1>huge amount of space.

0:23:55.680 --> 0:23:58.000
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I don't think a lot of the people that

0:23:58.080 --> 0:24:02.840
<v Speaker 3>live in Africa and otherwise would appreciate having enormous fans

0:24:03.200 --> 0:24:06.919
<v Speaker 3>blowing at all this dust into the Atlantic air and

0:24:07.000 --> 0:24:12.719
<v Speaker 3>also changing the surface there and probably hurting rainforests as well.

0:24:13.920 --> 0:24:17.280
<v Speaker 1>So you could also stop a hurricane by throwing dust

0:24:17.280 --> 0:24:20.040
<v Speaker 1>at it, but again, the skills such that you need

0:24:20.160 --> 0:24:23.399
<v Speaker 1>an enormous amount of dust, how would you blow all

0:24:23.440 --> 0:24:27.480
<v Speaker 1>that dust from Africa? Okay? The last idea here is

0:24:27.520 --> 0:24:31.640
<v Speaker 1>to use a wind turbine basically a fan to try

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:35.359
<v Speaker 1>to blow a hurricane away or at least a mess

0:24:35.400 --> 0:24:39.200
<v Speaker 1>with it. Okay, and then really quick wind turbines. I

0:24:39.200 --> 0:24:42.560
<v Speaker 1>imagine it's the same idea somehow you put wind turbines.

0:24:42.000 --> 0:24:45.000
<v Speaker 3>And yeah, that was one of the emails that somebody

0:24:45.000 --> 0:24:49.719
<v Speaker 3>had tried to patent an enormous ship like device that

0:24:49.760 --> 0:24:55.040
<v Speaker 3>would basically redirect air in a hurricane, preventing it from strengthening.

0:24:55.119 --> 0:24:58.680
<v Speaker 3>And the same questions logistically come to mind is even

0:24:58.720 --> 0:25:02.040
<v Speaker 3>if you could build this in enormously expensive device, how

0:25:02.040 --> 0:25:03.639
<v Speaker 3>do you lift it? And if you're going to have

0:25:03.720 --> 0:25:06.639
<v Speaker 3>it floating in the water. Things that are very heavy

0:25:06.920 --> 0:25:09.439
<v Speaker 3>tend to move very slowly in the water, and by

0:25:09.480 --> 0:25:11.240
<v Speaker 3>the time you got it to where you need it,

0:25:11.280 --> 0:25:15.000
<v Speaker 3>the storm's gone formed and died somewhere else I see.

0:25:15.119 --> 0:25:17.760
<v Speaker 3>Not to mention the energetics of it. We've seen enough

0:25:17.800 --> 0:25:21.960
<v Speaker 3>examples of oil rigs and ships at sea that have

0:25:22.040 --> 0:25:25.960
<v Speaker 3>been capsized during hurricanes due to the massive waves that

0:25:26.000 --> 0:25:29.800
<v Speaker 3>would just probably destroy this or certainly heavily damage it.

0:25:30.119 --> 0:25:34.280
<v Speaker 1>WHOA all right, So what does this all mean for

0:25:34.400 --> 0:25:39.600
<v Speaker 1>a question today? Can you stop a hurricane? I feel

0:25:39.640 --> 0:25:43.399
<v Speaker 1>like all of these potential solutions could work if we

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:47.000
<v Speaker 1>just crazy scale up the engineering, throw all our money

0:25:47.359 --> 0:25:51.119
<v Speaker 1>into it, not worry about environmental disaster. I feel like

0:25:51.240 --> 0:25:53.920
<v Speaker 1>maybe the answer can we stop a hurricane is yes,

0:25:54.560 --> 0:25:56.359
<v Speaker 1>but maybe we don't want to. Yes.

0:25:56.560 --> 0:25:59.920
<v Speaker 3>I think we could be able to stop hurricane century

0:26:00.160 --> 0:26:03.119
<v Speaker 3>from now, let's say, when we're in a very different

0:26:03.240 --> 0:26:07.439
<v Speaker 3>technological environment, ideally with a lot more resources and a

0:26:07.440 --> 0:26:08.680
<v Speaker 3>lot better understanding.

0:26:10.119 --> 0:26:13.600
<v Speaker 1>So we might be able to stop hurricanes. But here's

0:26:13.640 --> 0:26:17.359
<v Speaker 1>the surprising part of the answer. According to doctor Hart,

0:26:17.680 --> 0:26:21.719
<v Speaker 1>we may not want to because when you mess with nature,

0:26:22.160 --> 0:26:24.960
<v Speaker 1>things can happen that you didn't expect.

0:26:26.320 --> 0:26:29.360
<v Speaker 3>So there's also the political aspect of that that you know, Okay, well,

0:26:29.359 --> 0:26:31.680
<v Speaker 3>what if it did work and you change the path

0:26:32.000 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 3>storm if you did cloud seating, Let's say of a

0:26:35.800 --> 0:26:39.000
<v Speaker 3>hurricane that was a day or two away from one

0:26:39.080 --> 0:26:41.879
<v Speaker 3>country and you weakened it, you could change the track

0:26:42.200 --> 0:26:46.320
<v Speaker 3>slightly enough that it ends up hitting another country nearby,

0:26:46.640 --> 0:26:50.120
<v Speaker 3>or ends up going into a major city rather than

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:54.240
<v Speaker 3>a rural area. And then it becomes a mess, a nightmare,

0:26:54.400 --> 0:26:58.200
<v Speaker 3>because you're going to have some stating that Okay, well

0:26:58.280 --> 0:27:01.240
<v Speaker 3>we got a hurricane with high damage that we shouldn't

0:27:01.240 --> 0:27:03.360
<v Speaker 3>have got because of the modification.

0:27:03.600 --> 0:27:06.040
<v Speaker 1>Oh, it becomes kind of like a hot potato.

0:27:06.240 --> 0:27:08.280
<v Speaker 3>Yes, yeah, I guess the best thing for me to

0:27:08.320 --> 0:27:11.600
<v Speaker 3>close in on is hurricanes themselves are a part of

0:27:11.600 --> 0:27:14.800
<v Speaker 3>the climate, just like winter storms are, just like tornadoes are.

0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:19.000
<v Speaker 3>They occur, they play a role, and usually that role

0:27:19.200 --> 0:27:22.360
<v Speaker 3>goes back to, well, it's hotter in the tropics, it's

0:27:22.359 --> 0:27:27.560
<v Speaker 3>colder in the poles, and we're trying to redistribute the heat. Well,

0:27:27.640 --> 0:27:31.879
<v Speaker 3>if we don't allow these hurricanes to occur, we may

0:27:31.920 --> 0:27:35.320
<v Speaker 3>get something worse, something different that we're not prepared for. Anyway.

0:27:36.640 --> 0:27:39.440
<v Speaker 1>Okay, we heard from a hurricane hunter about what it's

0:27:39.520 --> 0:27:42.960
<v Speaker 1>like to go into hurricane. We talked about a lot

0:27:43.000 --> 0:27:46.879
<v Speaker 1>of the ways humans have proposed to stop hurricanes, and

0:27:46.960 --> 0:27:50.000
<v Speaker 1>so far none of them seem to work or be

0:27:50.240 --> 0:27:53.600
<v Speaker 1>very practical. Now, does that mean we are helpless against

0:27:53.600 --> 0:27:58.440
<v Speaker 1>the forces of nature? Not necessarily. It turns out there

0:27:58.480 --> 0:28:03.400
<v Speaker 1>is an instance where hu may have inadvertently stopped not one,

0:28:03.720 --> 0:28:07.160
<v Speaker 1>but several hurricanes. It's something I learned when I talk

0:28:07.240 --> 0:28:10.240
<v Speaker 1>to Professor Gave Becky and I asked him how the

0:28:10.359 --> 0:28:14.960
<v Speaker 1>number of hurricanes has changed over time. Here's what he does.

0:28:18.000 --> 0:28:21.880
<v Speaker 4>My name is Abe Becky. I'm a professor of geosciences

0:28:21.960 --> 0:28:27.040
<v Speaker 4>at Princeton University, and I do research on how climate

0:28:27.280 --> 0:28:30.080
<v Speaker 4>affects weather events, including hurricanes.

0:28:30.359 --> 0:28:34.120
<v Speaker 1>Amazing, I was wondering how has the frequency of hurricanes

0:28:34.400 --> 0:28:35.480
<v Speaker 1>changed over time?

0:28:35.840 --> 0:28:39.040
<v Speaker 4>So the part that we can answer very clearly and

0:28:39.160 --> 0:28:43.280
<v Speaker 4>unambiguously is that over the last forty years, the frequency

0:28:43.320 --> 0:28:45.880
<v Speaker 4>of hurricanes in the Atlantic has gone up a lot.

0:28:46.080 --> 0:28:49.360
<v Speaker 4>We have satellites and those let us see hurricanes very

0:28:49.360 --> 0:28:52.000
<v Speaker 4>well over the last forty years, and we are almost

0:28:52.040 --> 0:28:55.400
<v Speaker 4>one hundred percent sure that they've increased in the Atlantic

0:28:55.440 --> 0:28:56.480
<v Speaker 4>over the last forty years.

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:58.800
<v Speaker 1>How many hurricanes are we talking about here per year

0:28:58.880 --> 0:28:59.600
<v Speaker 1>in the Atlantic.

0:29:00.000 --> 0:29:04.280
<v Speaker 4>In the Atlantic, the average number of hurricanes, if you

0:29:04.600 --> 0:29:08.640
<v Speaker 4>go and you look before nineteen ninety five, that average

0:29:08.840 --> 0:29:12.400
<v Speaker 4>was much lower, as more than four, and recently that

0:29:12.440 --> 0:29:15.920
<v Speaker 4>average is eight or so. It's a substantial increase in

0:29:15.960 --> 0:29:18.320
<v Speaker 4>the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic over the last

0:29:18.400 --> 0:29:19.000
<v Speaker 4>forty years.

0:29:20.080 --> 0:29:22.800
<v Speaker 1>All right, what doctor Vicki's saying is that the number

0:29:22.840 --> 0:29:26.040
<v Speaker 1>of hurricanes per year has been going up since the

0:29:26.160 --> 0:29:29.840
<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighties. But here's the weird part. Before this happened,

0:29:30.120 --> 0:29:33.360
<v Speaker 1>the number of hurricanes per year went down.

0:29:35.840 --> 0:29:39.640
<v Speaker 4>So this increase over the last forty years was preceded

0:29:39.880 --> 0:29:44.200
<v Speaker 4>by a decrease over the preceding forty years. So if

0:29:44.200 --> 0:29:46.400
<v Speaker 4>you look at the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic

0:29:46.480 --> 0:29:49.520
<v Speaker 4>from World War II, or they say the nineteen thirties

0:29:49.680 --> 0:29:53.400
<v Speaker 4>to the nineteen eighties, they showed a very dramatic decrease

0:29:53.760 --> 0:29:56.520
<v Speaker 4>comparable to the increase that we've seen over the last

0:29:56.600 --> 0:29:57.720
<v Speaker 4>forty years.

0:29:58.640 --> 0:30:02.480
<v Speaker 1>These changes in the number of hurricanes are significant, which

0:30:02.600 --> 0:30:06.720
<v Speaker 1>makes the question what happened and here scientists are not sure,

0:30:07.000 --> 0:30:10.120
<v Speaker 1>but there are a few hypotheses, the first being that

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:13.800
<v Speaker 1>it's a random fluctuation of the ocean currents.

0:30:14.840 --> 0:30:18.400
<v Speaker 4>The climate system. It sort of fluctuates on its own.

0:30:18.720 --> 0:30:22.320
<v Speaker 4>It can have time scales of decades. And in the

0:30:22.360 --> 0:30:27.920
<v Speaker 4>Atlantic there's this current it's called the Atlantic Meridional overturning circulation.

0:30:28.000 --> 0:30:32.280
<v Speaker 4>It's a mouthful. This current brings warm surface water to

0:30:32.360 --> 0:30:37.520
<v Speaker 4>the north across the Atlantic, and that current seems to fluctuate.

0:30:37.920 --> 0:30:41.920
<v Speaker 4>Some decades, it's stronger, some decades it's weaker. And so

0:30:42.040 --> 0:30:46.560
<v Speaker 4>one hypothesis is that those chaotic fluctuations have led to

0:30:46.880 --> 0:30:51.880
<v Speaker 4>an increase in hurricane activities. Not everything aligns with that hypothesis,

0:30:51.880 --> 0:30:56.520
<v Speaker 4>but some evidence does. Another hypothesis is one to do

0:30:57.000 --> 0:31:01.640
<v Speaker 4>with human practices. It has to do with sulfur dioxide.

0:31:01.720 --> 0:31:06.120
<v Speaker 4>So one of the byproducts of burning coal was emission

0:31:06.160 --> 0:31:10.920
<v Speaker 4>of sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere which would undergo chemical

0:31:11.040 --> 0:31:14.600
<v Speaker 4>changes in the atmosphere and become sulfate, which you can

0:31:14.640 --> 0:31:19.280
<v Speaker 4>see it reflects sunlight and it can turn into sulfuric acid,

0:31:19.360 --> 0:31:21.600
<v Speaker 4>and this is what gave us acid rain is a

0:31:21.640 --> 0:31:25.880
<v Speaker 4>side effect of burning coal. And as there was industrial

0:31:25.920 --> 0:31:29.280
<v Speaker 4>development after World War two in Europe and in North America,

0:31:29.720 --> 0:31:32.239
<v Speaker 4>there was a lot of emission of sulfur dioxide. And

0:31:32.320 --> 0:31:35.600
<v Speaker 4>so between World War Two into the nineteen eighties, you

0:31:35.640 --> 0:31:40.680
<v Speaker 4>had this cloud of reflective particles building up over the Atlantic,

0:31:41.040 --> 0:31:44.920
<v Speaker 4>and they reflected sunlight and they made the Atlantic colder

0:31:44.960 --> 0:31:48.760
<v Speaker 4>than it otherwise would have been, and they sapped the

0:31:48.920 --> 0:31:51.640
<v Speaker 4>energy that hurricanes would have liked to have had.

0:31:52.600 --> 0:31:55.080
<v Speaker 1>Okay, what doctor Vicki's saying is that there are two

0:31:55.160 --> 0:31:58.920
<v Speaker 1>possible reasons why the number of hurricanes went down in

0:31:58.960 --> 0:32:02.240
<v Speaker 1>the nineteen eighties. One is that it's a natural cycle

0:32:02.400 --> 0:32:04.880
<v Speaker 1>of the ocean currents in the Atlantic, and the other

0:32:05.320 --> 0:32:08.800
<v Speaker 1>is that it's due to us. After World War II,

0:32:09.360 --> 0:32:12.520
<v Speaker 1>we started burning coal like crazy, and that could have

0:32:12.560 --> 0:32:16.680
<v Speaker 1>cooled the ocean and reduced the number of hurricanes. But

0:32:16.720 --> 0:32:19.360
<v Speaker 1>then in the nineteen eighties, when we realized all this

0:32:19.440 --> 0:32:22.719
<v Speaker 1>pollution was terrible for our health and it was causing

0:32:22.800 --> 0:32:25.920
<v Speaker 1>acid rain, which was killing all the forests, we started

0:32:25.920 --> 0:32:29.240
<v Speaker 1>putting filters in coal power plants to take out to

0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:33.320
<v Speaker 1>reflective pollution, and this ironically could have led to the

0:32:33.360 --> 0:32:36.880
<v Speaker 1>rewarming of the Atlantic and the increase in the number

0:32:36.920 --> 0:32:40.400
<v Speaker 1>of hurricanes per year. Now, I brought this up not

0:32:40.480 --> 0:32:42.440
<v Speaker 1>to make the point that we should go back to

0:32:42.480 --> 0:32:45.480
<v Speaker 1>polluting our air and killing our forests, but to show

0:32:45.640 --> 0:32:49.640
<v Speaker 1>that human activity does have the potential to basically stop

0:32:49.720 --> 0:32:52.960
<v Speaker 1>something as large as a hurricane. And this is important

0:32:52.960 --> 0:32:56.600
<v Speaker 1>because of climate change. Now, we don't actually know if

0:32:56.600 --> 0:32:59.280
<v Speaker 1>the number of hurricanes is going to increase because of

0:32:59.320 --> 0:33:03.200
<v Speaker 1>global warming. Scientists have a strong prediction that it's definitely

0:33:03.200 --> 0:33:04.840
<v Speaker 1>going to make them deadlier.

0:33:06.520 --> 0:33:10.040
<v Speaker 4>We don't know whether the number of hurricanes in a

0:33:10.080 --> 0:33:14.760
<v Speaker 4>warming climate goes up or goes down. We know it's

0:33:14.920 --> 0:33:19.040
<v Speaker 4>possible that it might change by a considerable amount. Now,

0:33:19.160 --> 0:33:22.560
<v Speaker 4>this is where we get to the other metric, which

0:33:22.600 --> 0:33:28.240
<v Speaker 4>is intensity, and there we have a lot more consistency

0:33:28.320 --> 0:33:32.600
<v Speaker 4>and understanding that the peak intensity of hurricanes in a

0:33:32.640 --> 0:33:37.520
<v Speaker 4>warmer world should increase. And that's because hurricanes draw energy

0:33:37.560 --> 0:33:40.600
<v Speaker 4>from the warm ocean and the moisture, and so as

0:33:40.640 --> 0:33:43.320
<v Speaker 4>you warm the planet, you have more energy in the

0:33:43.320 --> 0:33:45.800
<v Speaker 4>ocean and the hurricanes will tap into that. So the

0:33:45.880 --> 0:33:49.560
<v Speaker 4>hurricanes that exist in a warmer world are likely to

0:33:49.640 --> 0:33:51.120
<v Speaker 4>have larger peak.

0:33:50.880 --> 0:33:59.120
<v Speaker 1>Intensities and therefore be deadlier. Exactly, all right, so recap,

0:33:59.680 --> 0:34:03.240
<v Speaker 1>can you stop the hurricane? The answer seems to be yes,

0:34:03.760 --> 0:34:06.360
<v Speaker 1>we can stop a single hurricane, but it would be

0:34:06.400 --> 0:34:10.600
<v Speaker 1>too expensive and unpredictable with current technology. And yes, our

0:34:10.680 --> 0:34:14.480
<v Speaker 1>actions can affect how many hurricanes happen and how deadly

0:34:14.840 --> 0:34:17.279
<v Speaker 1>they are. I think what's clear is that we need

0:34:17.320 --> 0:34:20.239
<v Speaker 1>more science. With more science, we could answer a lot

0:34:20.239 --> 0:34:22.479
<v Speaker 1>of these questions, and we could do a better job

0:34:22.640 --> 0:34:26.919
<v Speaker 1>of neutralizing hurricanes by being able to predict when they're

0:34:26.960 --> 0:34:29.439
<v Speaker 1>going to form and where they're going to hit where

0:34:29.480 --> 0:34:32.759
<v Speaker 1>people live. If we can do that, we can evacuate

0:34:32.800 --> 0:34:36.200
<v Speaker 1>people and prepare so that the hurricanes don't do as

0:34:36.280 --> 0:34:42.359
<v Speaker 1>much damage. Unfortunately, right now, the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric

0:34:42.400 --> 0:34:46.640
<v Speaker 1>Administration is getting massive cuts to their budget. The Trump

0:34:46.680 --> 0:34:50.960
<v Speaker 1>administration has proposed cutting the NOAH budget by forty percent,

0:34:51.440 --> 0:34:56.080
<v Speaker 1>including killing its research division, the Office of Oceanic and

0:34:56.160 --> 0:34:59.919
<v Speaker 1>Atmospheric Research. So, if you live in Florida or tax

0:35:00.480 --> 0:35:04.480
<v Speaker 1>or Alabama, or North or South Carolina states that are

0:35:04.480 --> 0:35:07.960
<v Speaker 1>in the crosshairs of future hurricanes, I highly recommend you

0:35:08.040 --> 0:35:11.320
<v Speaker 1>call your elected official and let them know you oppose

0:35:11.520 --> 0:35:15.799
<v Speaker 1>these cuts because stopping a hurricane may not be practical,

0:35:16.239 --> 0:35:18.640
<v Speaker 1>but learning more about them so we can reduce the

0:35:18.719 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 1>effect is just common sense. Thanks for joining us. See

0:35:24.160 --> 0:35:30.600
<v Speaker 1>you next time you've been listening to Science Stuff. Production

0:35:30.719 --> 0:35:34.880
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0:35:34.920 --> 0:35:38.920
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0:35:38.920 --> 0:35:41.600
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